Firecast: a NR-time Monitoring System Improving Forest Management for the Tropics Andrés Cano Manager, Monitoring Systems Moore Center for Ecosystem Science and Economics Conservation International Photo 1 4.2” x 10.31” Position x: 8.74”, y: .18” CI-US, CI-Bolivia, CI-Peru, CI-Indonesia, CI-Madagascar, NASA Ames, NASA Goddard, Esri Overview 1)Impacts of wildland fires 2)Challenges 3)Response 4)Current systems 5)FIRECAST 6)Future Directions Effects of wildland fires on natural ecosystems Emissions from tropical deforestation 2000-2005 1) Ecosystem destruction/degradation 2) Health 3) Access for illegal activities Harris et al., 2012 Science Photo 1 4.2” x 10.31” Position x: 8.74”, y: .18” 4) Carbon emissions Challenges to reducing wildland fire effects • lack of timely and accurate information • limited resources and capacity • lack of evidence Photo 1 4.2” x 10.31” Position x: 8.74”, y: .18” Response Near real-time Earth Observation data to support decisions to… 1) Improve land use management 2) Enhance enforcement activities 3) Support national planning (e.g. REDD+) Photo 1 4.2” x 10.31” Position x: 8.74”, y: .18” CI’s early warning systems 1. Fire Alert System https://firealerts.conservation.org 2. Illegal logging and encroachment alerts https://firealerts.conservation.org/fas/maps 3. Fire Risk System http://firerisk.conservation.org Photo 1 4.2” x 10.31” Position x: 8.74”, y: .18” 1. Fire Alert System (FAS) Subscription Alert system for detected active fires (since 2003!) Customized for individual users needs Website in Spanish, French, Bahasa, & English 1538 users of the FAS 149 46 501 852 Bolivia Indonesia Madagascar Peru successful stories Field operation in 2012 in Bukit Barisan Selatan National Park, Southern Sumatra. Photos courtesy of Hagnyo Wandono BBSTN Project partners 2. Illegal Logging and encroachment Alerts Quarterly delivery of observations of illegal forest activity (Indonesia) Alerts are emailed to subscribers and reports and maps are available online Deforestation and Encroachment Alert for Kerinci Seblat National Park, Indonesia. Analyze Landsat 15m resolution for evidence of encroachment How the illegal logging and encroachment is being used •illegal logging/ encroachment monitoring Training and capacity building 3. Fire risk system Near real-time index of fire risk in the Amazon derived from satellite observations Automated daily drought/forest flammability index available on the website Along with 2 other drought indices Field validation by El Museo de Historia Natural Noel Kempff Mercado Who is using the Fire Risk System… Used by FAN in Bolivia as an input to their fire risk system, SATRIFO FAN sends alerts and provides outreach & education for 34 indigenous and 4 Mennonite communities in Santa Cruz Next generation of CI’s Early Warning Systems… FIRECAST CIFOR 2. FIRECAST Fire and forest monitoring and forecasting system Photo 1 4.2” x 10.31” Position x: 8.74”, y: .18” • Integration of fire alerts and fire risk systems • Addition of new products • Additional selection criteria • Building entire new system in the cloud • Website overhaul • interactive web maps • social networking • Delivery of alerts to mobile devices 2. FIRECAST Fire and forest monitoring and forecasting system Subscription email and mobile alerts for 1. active fire detection 2. fire risk warnings 3. fire season severity forecasts 4. recent deforestation from QUICC Fires in Madagascar on October 19th, 2008. Images from NASA’s Aqua satellite show detected active fires (in red) and smoke plumes. CI’s daily risk of forest flammability for the Amazon region elevated risk of fire due to drought conditions (shown in orange and red in this map). Fire season severity forecasts for South America (from NASA Goddard SFC) NASA’s QUICC Quarterly Indicator of Change Future Directions • System alerts expandable to new geographies • Provide illegal logging and encroachment alerts • Enhanced website functionality and data delivery • Alerts and forecasts based on available near real-time data (air quality, burn scar, agricultural droughts) Photo 1 4.2” x 10.31” Position x: 8.74”, y: .18” • Continued outreach and engagement to new and current users Get Involved 1. Sign up for active fire alerts https://firealerts.conservation.org 2. Be part of the system development. Sign up to be a beta tester of the new system! Contact : Karyn Tabor /Andrés Cano ktabor@conservation.org Photo 1 4.2” x 10.31” Position x: 8.74”, y: .18” ccano@conservation.org Thank You Team! Andres Cano Howard Kistler John Manwell Alex Dinnouti Eddy Mendoza (CI Peru) Juan Carlos Ledezma (CI Bolivia) Andriambolantsoa Rasolohery (CI Madagascar) John Musinsky (NEON) Forrest Melton (NASA Ames) Doug Morton (NASA Goddard) And others helping along the way Carly Silverman Kellee Koenig Martine Culbertson JC Spradley Gayle Levy Lindsay Walter-Cox Jenny Hewson Marc Steininger Monique Derfuss Justin Ward Andrew Kolb Heather Luca Areliz Claros Vlasova Gonzalez Will Turner Celia Harvey