INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF GEOMATICS AND GEOSCIENCES Volume 5, No 1, 2014 © Copyright by the authors - Licensee IPA- Under Creative Commons license 3.0 Research article ISSN 0976 – 4380 Quantification of geologic hazard and vulnerability for Chennai city, India Ganapathy G.P1, Rajawat A. S2 1-Centre for Disaster Mitigation and Management, VIT University, Vellore 632014, India 2-Space Application Centre, ISRO, Ahmedabad 380015, India seismogans@yahoo.com ABSTRACT Quantification of geologic hazard and vulnerability is an important tool for planners and decision makers, when planning for a future potential earthquake particularly in major cities. Chennai city is one of the well urbanized and densely populated areas of India, where the majority of buildings are reinforced concrete cement structures containing three to four stories. The metropolitan city like Chennai would require more attention when planning for such earthquake scenarios. The present paper aims to study and understand the seismic hazard and vulnerability of the Chennai city’s built environment and infrastructure facilities due to earthquakes. The seismic hazard of the city is assessed by integrating geological and geotechnical parameters in GIS platform. A pilot seismic vulnerability study is carried out in the densely populated built areas of the city. A first level rapid visual screening study of buildings is carried out for part of the city. The vulnerability on infrastructure viz., road, railway line, bridges, underground pipelines are mapped using GIS techniques. The seismic vulnerability of part of the city is quantified by integrating the seismic hazard over the built environment and infrastructure details. The outcome of study will be helpful in earthquake preparedness as well as during the emergencies in focusing and prioritizing rescue and relief operations. Keywords: Seismic Hazard, Vulnerability, Built Environment, Earthquake Planning, Chennai City. 1. Introduction Seismic hazard and vulnerability in urban areas is the biggest and most rapidly growing problem in developing countries. Post-disaster studies, especially after the Bhuj earthquake, have given the engineering community both architects and structural engineers number of important lessons to be adequately addressed so as to mitigate the effect of such hazards in future. Chennai city has experienced three earthquakes of magnitudes greater than or equal to 5.0 in 1807, 1816 and 1823 (Ganapathy, G. P, 2005). Also part of Chennai falls in seismically moderate to high hazard prone areas. Seismic micro zoning studies have been used primarily to outline concrete counter measures and emergency response policies. Spatial vulnerability mapping can helpful for better visual presentations and understanding of the risks and vulnerabilities so that decision -makers can see where resources are needed for protection of these areas (Janet Edwards, 2007). The impact of the earthquake event is most distressing because it distress larger area, and the event onset is sudden. Also they can cause large scale loss of life and property and disruption to critical facilities, essential services etc. Assessment of the risk to lifelines such as water supply, telecommunication and road networks helps manage the risk, through prioritization and mitigation or planning for emergency preparedness (Pathmanathan Brabhaharan, 2000). The usage of the spatial decision support system provides the advantages of emphasis on the regions which need more attention (Harold D. Foster, 2011). One motive behind land-use planning in earthquake Submitted on August 2014 published on August 2014 32 Quantification of geologic hazard and vulnerability for Chennai city, India Ganapathy G.P and Rajawat A. S prone areas is safety and how to mitigate losses (Raafat E. Fat-Helbary et al., 2005). Without sound risk assessment data the local government officials are handicapped in trying to make risk management decisions. The earthquake damage scenario analysis are valuable immediately after major disasters, such as large magnitude earthquakes, as they permit very quick estimates of damage, loss of life and injury, allowing a rapid, yet realistic response. Even relatively moderate earthquake events can be the source of huge socio-economic disasters. Urban areas likes Chennai city therefore require special attention during the evaluation of seismic hazard and vulnerability. In this regard a study on quantification of seismic hazard ground shaking effects and vulnerability of the built environment, critical facilities, and lifeline utilities of Chennai city carried out for the earthquake planning scenarios. 2. Materials and methods 2.1 Study area Chennai formerly known as Madras is the capital city of the Indian state Tamil Nadu covering an area of 174sq.km. The district is bounded by north latitudes 120 59’ 10” to 130 08’ 50” and east longitudes 800 12’ 10” to 800 18’ 30” (Figure 1). Figure 1: Location map of Chennai city It has the second largest beach in the world stretching more than 12km length. The population of the city was 4.343 million in 2001 and increased to 4.848 million in 2011 Census of India. Chennai being the fifth most populous city in India, it is also the world's 36th largest metropolitan area. The Archaean crystalline rocks, Gondwana and Tertiary sediments and Recent alluvium are the three group of geological formations found in Chennai. Most of the geological formations are concealed since they are overlain by the alluvial materials excepting for a few exposures of crystalline rocks of Charnockites in south-western part of Chennai. Geologically major part of the city is covered by recent alluvium to a maximum thickness of 28m and these alluvial deposits can amplify in multi-fold during International Journal of Geomatics and Geosciences Volume 5 Issue 1, 2014 33 Quantification of geologic hazard and vulnerability for Chennai city, India Ganapathy G.P and Rajawat A. S earthquakes Ground shaking is more severe on sites underlain by thick deposits of saturated sediments rather than those located on bedrock (CGWB, 1993). As a result unless precautions are taken, the greatest loss from ground shaking where the structures are built on thick relatively soft saturated sediments. Chennai city is in such condition, about 80% of the city located in the recent alluvial material and buildings constructed in these areas would be highly vulnerable to earthquakes. 2.2 Approach To understand the Seismic Hazard and Vulnerability of Chennai City a pilot study is carried out on a regional scale of 1:12,500. The seismic hazard of the city is assessed by Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) technique developed by Saaty in 1980 (Saaty, T. L, 1980). The thematic layers viz., Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA), soil, geology, groundwater fluctuation and depth to bedrock are prepared in a GIS platform. A pair wise comparison matrix was prepared for these five thematic layers. Following the AHP, the thematic maps are assigned weights on a scale of 1–5 depending on their contribution to seismic hazard. The higher weight is assigned to the theme that contributes more to the hazard. The obtained values are then incorporated in Arc-GIS Spatial Analyst tool for the integration of all the thematic maps to obtain the seismic hazard microzonation map of Chennai city. The UNION and overlay operation carried out to integrate these five thematic layers. To understand the vulnerability of the built environment and infrastructure, a spatial/nonspatial database on the built environment, critical facilities, transportation and lifeline utilities was created for the Chennai city. These elements at earthquake risk were studied for different level of vulnerability in the seismic hazard zone. The steps involved in the vulnerability assessment are identification of high risk areas by integrating the seismic hazard map over the vulnerability map and the focus the vulnerability assessment on areas and or structures located in the high risk areas. The quantification of seismic vulnerability of Chennai city is assessed by integrating seismic hazard map over the built environment and critical facilities, transportation and lifeline utilities, in a GIS platform. 3. Results and discussion 3.1 Seismic hazard of Chennai city The city has been classified under Zone III (moderate seismic hazard) as per seismic hazard map of India published by Bureau of Indian Standard1. A first level seismic microzonation map of Chennai city has been produced with a GIS platform using the themes, viz, Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA), Shear wave velocity at 3m, Geology, Ground water fluctuation and bed rock depth. Chennai has been broadly classified into three zones, as high, moderate and low in terms of seismic hazard in an event of future earthquakes (Ganapathy 2011a). The part of Chennai falls in seismically moderate to high hazard prone areas. The resultant map depicts that the high hazard areas are distributed in patches around Adyar River and few patches distributed below Cooum River in the south western part of the city. The areas in the southern part of Chennai represent lacustrine deposits are underlined by marine black clay as evident in Taramani areas. The maximum depth to basement is 14m. The central part of the city has mainly fluvial origin of flood plain deposits as evidence from the flowing Adyar and Cooum rivers. The upstream portion of Adyar and Cooum rivers had a moderate slope and in the downstream, the rivers are very gentle to flat in coastal areas. These areas in the northern International Journal of Geomatics and Geosciences Volume 5 Issue 1, 2014 34 Quantification of geologic hazard and vulnerability for Chennai city, India Ganapathy G.P and Rajawat A. S part of the city represent black clay and alluvium of marine origin with maximum depth to basement of 30m and patches of these areas show high hazard. The western and northwestern part of Chennai falls under moderate hazard. These areas represent the shale and clay of the Gondwana age and are also correlated with lake-fill deposits. The remaining areas are prone to low seismic hazard. It can be concluded that half of the Chennai city is prone to moderate to high hazard. 3.2 Vulnerability of Chennai city Establishing the degree of vulnerability of buildings and lifeline utilities, one can obtain an estimate of risk. Vulnerability analysis is, therefore, an intrinsic aspect of disaster mitigation and one of the linkages in the assessment process. The Chennai city’s vulnerability is assessed in three categories viz., built environment, critical facilities (essential and high potential loss), and transportation and lifeline utilities. 3.3 Built environment Once the seismic hazard has been quantified, the next step is to create a spatial representation of the study areas structural, demographic, and economic inventory. Large scale base maps were prepared using satellite images in GIS platform. The creation of building database for the present study will be based on visual interpretation of satellite imageries/aerial photos and field inventories. A spatial data base on landuse, road, railway, bridges, water ways and built environment were created in a GIS platform using the collected maps from various authenticated agencies viz. Census of India, Chennai Metropolitan Development Authority (CMDA), and Corporation of Chennai (Ganapathy 2011b). In the Second Master Plan published by CMDA the landuse of Chennai in the year 2006, the residential areas covered by 54.25 %, institutional areas 18.48%, commercial areas 7.09%, industrial areas 5.17%, open space 2.09%, agriculture and non-urban areas 0.57 and 0.47, and the areas including vacant, forest, hills, low-lying areas and water bodies etc, are 11.89%. Census 2001, reveals the different wall material of the constructed buildings are Brick 65.03%, Concrete 21.78 stone walls 5.16% and rest of the buildings walls constructed by wood, mud, unburnt brick etc3. In the city 75% of the houses are with roof made up of brick, stone, concrete and other materials of pucca nature. About 15% are with semi-pucca roofing materials such as tiles, slate, G.I. metal sheets and asbestos cement sheets, and about 10% are with ‘Katcha’ materials such as thatched, bamboo etc. Totally 75, 498 slums in the city. Among these 30,922 slums distributed along the river margin, 5,288 in feeder canals, 22,769 in road margin, and 16,519 distributed in seashore areas. Three major watercourses in the Chennai City viz, Cooum River, Buckingham canal, Adyar River which are encroached by 30922 slums viz., 8,432, 15,733, and 6,757 respectively. 3.4 Critical facilities The classification given in HAZUS-MH, 2010 (Hazus-MH, 2010) is used for the present study on critical facility analysis, Transportation and Utility lifeline structures. The critical facilities are classified in to two categories viz, essential facilities (hospitals, medical clinics, schools/educational institutions, Public Buildings, Bus Stops, fire stations, police stations and emergency operations facilities) and high potential loss facilities (dams, levees, military installations, nuclear power plants and hazardous material sites). The details of critical facilities are presented in the Figure 2. International Journal of Geomatics and Geosciences Volume 5 Issue 1, 2014 35 Quantification of geologic hazard and vulnerability for Chennai city, India Ganapathy G.P and Rajawat A. S Figure 2: Spatial distribution of critical facilities in Chennai Chennai is well known for educational institutions totally 1585 institutions (schools, colleges, technical educations, medical education, veterinary college, Law College) and most of these institutions were spread spatially in the southern side of the city. Out of 1585 institutions, 485 are in Government and Government aided and other 1100 are private category (Census 2001). Chennai has totally 323 hospitals which includes 28 Government Hospitals and 42 private hospitals and had a capacity of 12,522 beds and 8411 beds respectively. Apart from this totally 25 fire stations, 96 police stations, and 10 information and publicity bureaus are available in the Chennai city. (Yellow Pages) 3.5 Transportation and lifeline utilities The lifeline inventory is divided between transportation and utility lifeline systems in the Hazus Methodology. The transportation systems include highways, railways, bus, ports, International Journal of Geomatics and Geosciences Volume 5 Issue 1, 2014 36 Quantification of geologic hazard and vulnerability for Chennai city, India Ganapathy G.P and Rajawat A. S ferry and airports and utility systems that include potable water, wastewater, natural gas, crude and refined oil, Bank, ATM, places of worship, electric power and communications. The transportation details and Lifeline utilities are given in Figure 3. Figure 3: Spatial distribution of transport network and lifeline utilities in Chennai The Chennai city’s road network is mainly dominated by radial pattern and it converging towards George Town and is the main Central Business District (CBD) of the Chennai Metropolitan Area (CMA). The city’s road network is categorized as national highways (3 Nos) and a number of radial roads which connects CMA. The railway network of Chennai carry’s by 3 corridors in northeast southwest direction as well as in east to west direction and almost covers the total city. The Phase 1 and Phase 2 of MRTS traversing a length of more than 15 km covering the residential and IT corridor on the south eastern side of the city in addition to those 3 corridors. Chennai city’s sewerage system was designed in 1910 for an estimated 1961 population of 6.6 lakhs at the rate of 114 lpcd, as a separate system. The system then allowed for admission International Journal of Geomatics and Geosciences Volume 5 Issue 1, 2014 37 Quantification of geologic hazard and vulnerability for Chennai city, India Ganapathy G.P and Rajawat A. S of storm water from house courtyards and roofs through gullies. The city was divided as north, west and south (independent) drainage areas. In the present Chennai City Corporation area of 174sq.km the sewerage system now covers 99% of the city area. There are 5,15,560 sewer connections as on date to serve the population of Chennai City through a network of 2,663 kms of sewer and 180 sewage pumping stations. The city has one Airport and sea port. The total quantity of exports handled by sea port remains larger when compared to imports. Chennai has a major harbour, which consist of 209 acres. Apart from these 9 electricity offices, 17 fuel stations, 97 gas appliances/agencies, 47 telecommunication services and 106 water suppliers are in the Chennai city. (Yellow Pages) 4. Discussions Chennai city has been classified into three broad zones, viz, High, Moderate and Low Seismic Hazard. The High seismic Hazard concentrated in a few places in the western central part of the city. The moderate hazard areas are oriented in NW-SE direction in the Western part. The southern and eastern part will have low seismic hazard. Out of 174 sq.km area 107.68 sq.km area covered by residential and commercial buildings. Most of the residential and commercial areas fall under moderate to high seismic hazard areas. The urbanization in the city starts from north and spreads in a radial pattern. The areas around Saidapet, Kodambakkam and Anna Nagar are densely populated as well as these areas built over the recent alluvial materials, which have the capacity of the soil amplification 2 to 3 times more than the normal soils. These areas are falls in high seismic hazard zone and mostly residential. T.Nagar is one of the centres of attraction in Chennai for shopping and mixed residential areas, where most of building have spatial irregularity. Figure 4: Spatial Vulnerability of a) Hospitals and Educational Institutions, b) Lifeline utilities c) Critical facilities in the Chennai City These are highly vulnerable during earthquakes. This area also falls under moderate to high seismic areas. Nearly 77% of the buildings are accessible through tar roads, and only 14% are approachable through mud roads. 18% of the buildings comprise flats and 41% are independent buildings. Since the city is old one, totally 147 heritage buildings are spreader mostly in the north Chennai, where we have moderate seismic hazard. The north Chennai is densely populated compare to other areas and most of buildings in these areas were constructed in 17th Century. 53% of the buildings are within 20 years of age. 14% are International Journal of Geomatics and Geosciences Volume 5 Issue 1, 2014 38 Quantification of geologic hazard and vulnerability for Chennai city, India Ganapathy G.P and Rajawat A. S between 20 to 40 years of age. The bureau of Indian Standard revised Chennai city from Zone II to Zone III. Since 77% of the buildings were constructed before the year 2002 and this building can’t meet seismic design code for Zone III for the city. Even though these areas are moderate seismic hazard, due to dense population and old buildings nature, the vulnerability is very high compared to other areas. The probability of damage to these structures can be depending on their impact on the earthquake strength of the building by simple Rapid Visual Screening Techniques. The critical facilities like hospitals and educational institutions are situated in densely populated areas falls under moderate seismic hazard and these areas are more vulnerable in terms of population density. However the city doesn’t have much high potential loss facilities like dams, levees, military installations, nuclear power plants and hazardous material sites within the city limit. The details are depicted in Figure 4 and Table 1. Table 1: The severity of hazard zone wise statistics and its vulnerability on the infrastructure facilities Seismic Hazard No Data Facilities Total Area Low Moderate High Hospitals 56 37 1 8 102 Educational Institutions 25 27 1 30 83 Critical Facilities 348 137 10 93 588 Lifeline Utilities 399 168 6 134 707 Total 828 369 18 265 1480 The length of roads in the city viz, cements concrete, bituminous and Water bound macadam are 83kms, 3,656kms, and 11kms respectively. Since the sewage system designed before the 2002, it should be checked thoroughly for leakage coz, earthquake is related to ground shaking phenomenon and the sewerage system of Chennai covers 99% of city’s total area, it would be highly vulnerable during earthquakes. About 195 parks with extent varying from 150sq.m to 35,000sq.m and totalling to more than 6, 00,000sq.m. Playgrounds maintained by Chennai Municipal Corporation is concerned, is more than 200 nos., with a total extent exceeding 5, 00,000sq.m. These areas should avoid for future development and can be used for emergency shelters. 5. Conclusions Seismic risk macro-zoning is useful principally for regional policy-making and planning purposes. Seismic risk micro-zoning is likely to emerge as an important land-use planning tool for local planning and development in areas of high seismic risk. Since the present seismic hazard map for Chennai is GIS based one and also have its own limitations, it can be used as first level regional studies. Further the map can be refined with more geophysical and geotechnical information’s for future detailed site specific studies. The characteristics of each seismic zone, the basis for land—use controls, zoning ordinances, building codes, and building or location permits should be clearly demarcate in the future city developmental activities. Vulnerability analysis in disaster prone areas is not only fundamental to formulation of building codes, as widely accepted, but is even more important for the general process of physical planning, and land use planning in particular, especially with regard to location decisions for new development. The emergency planners can make use of the present study as the first hand information. The vulnerability of the buildings, critical facilities, International Journal of Geomatics and Geosciences Volume 5 Issue 1, 2014 39 Quantification of geologic hazard and vulnerability for Chennai city, India Ganapathy G.P and Rajawat A. S lifeline strictures should be studied thoroughly for further planning purposes. The present vulnerability study is based in spatial distribution and relative risk based. However the likely damage to structures should be categorized in different grades depending on their impact on the seismic strength of the building. This kind of studies will be useful to identify the need for retrofitting. Also thorough study and regular health check up should be recommended for the vulnerable buildings in the high seismic hazard areas of the city. Generally earthquake planning scenarios are designed to give realistic image of an anticipated earthquake. They clearly teach us an important lesson that, some lifeline facilities will be damaged and some of them won’t damage. By delineating the areas where extensive damage likely, the earthquake scenarios highlights locations where lifeline facilities need special attention from emergency planners, public, officials and engineers. Acknowledgements The present study is part of ISRO Ongoing project-ISRO/RES/4/548/09-10. The authors thankful to SAC, ISRO for funding under RESPOND programme. The authors are grateful to the Officials of Census of India, Madras Metropolitan Development Authority (MMDA), Corporation of Chennai, Metro Water, Central Ground Water Board and Geological Survey of India, Chennai for providing the data and necessary information without which this work would not have been possible. The first author acknowledges all the facilities provided by Dr. G. Viswanathan, Chancellor, VIT University, Vellore, India. 6. References 1. BIS: 1893 Part-1, Indian Standard, Criteria for Earthquake Resistant Design of Structures, (2002) Part 1-General Provisions and Buildings (fifth revision), ICS 91.120.25, Bureau of Indian Standards, New Delhi, Edition 6.1 (2005 – 01), p 40. 2. Brian E.Tucker, (1992), Use of Earthquake Damage Scenarios, Proceedings off Special Theme Session Number 10 of the Tenth World Conference on Earthquake Engineering entitled, Earthquake Damage Scenarios for cities of the 21st Century, Madrid, Spain July 23, 1992, and p 203. 3. 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International Journal of Geomatics and Geosciences Volume 5 Issue 1, 2014 41 Quantification of geologic hazard and vulnerability for Chennai city, India Ganapathy G.P and Rajawat A. S 19. Shailesh Kumar Agrawal, and Prasad.J.K, (2009), Requirements of Building Materials for Earthquake Resistant Building, Planning Urban Future, Proceedings of the World Habitat Day, 5th October, 2009, pp 46-55. 20. UNDRO-1, (1978), Disaster Prevention and Mitigation- A Compendium of Current Knowledge, Vol. 9, Legal Aspects- Disaster Legislation, Office of the United Nations Disaster Relief Co-ordinator, Geneva, p 69. 21. UNDRO-2, (1991),Mitigating Natural Disasters-Phenamena, Effects and Options, A Manual for Policy Makers and Planners, A publication within the framework of the International Decade for Natural Disaster Reduction (IDNDR) 1990 – 1999, Office of the United Nations Disaster Relief Co-ordinator, Geneva, p.164. 22. 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