Homeostasis Revisited in the Genesis of Stress Reactivity by Pedram Ataee B.Sc., Electrical Engineering, University of Tehran, Iran, 2005 M.Sc., Electrical Engineering, University of Tehran, Iran, 2007 A THESIS SUBMITTED IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEGREE OF Doctor of Philosophy in THE FACULTY OF GRADUATE AND POSTDOCTORAL STUDIES (Electrical and Computer Engineering) The University Of British Columbia (Vancouver) March 2014 c Pedram Ataee, 2014 Abstract Autonomic-cardiac regulation operates through interactions between the autonomic nervous system (ANS) and the cardiovascular system (CVS). In order to maintain homeostasis in the CVS, the ANS adjusts it effectors, such as the stiffness of blood vessels and the pace of heartbeats, against physical and psychological stressors, so that it can maintain adequate blood flow. This allows oxygen and nutrients to be delivered to organs and enables the performance of other essential functions. Autonomic-cardiac regulation can be described by a mathematical model and it can be analyzed under different scenarios such as a stressful condition or an increased arterial stiffness. This may help researchers to obtain new understandings of the autonomic-cardiac regulation. This thesis is built upon a physiology-based mathematical model of autonomic-cardiac regulation describing the regulation of heart rate (HR) and blood pressure (BP), using a set of nonlinear, coupled differential equations with delay. Non-invasive and subject-specific monitoring of autonomic-cardiac regulation has the potential to improve current treatments of autonomic-cardiac disorders. A parameter estimation method has been used to specify time-varying subjectspecific model parameters associated with autonomic-cardiac regulation. The proposed method will help to improve monitoring of autonomic-cardiac variables, such as sympathetic and parasympathetic nerve activities affecting the heart and sympathetic nerve activity affecting the arterial tree. The complex dynamic interactions between nonlinearities and delays in the autonomic-cardiac regulation may result in the onset of instabilities in BP and HR regulation. In this thesis, we propose a model-based approach to stability analysis and introduce a quantitative stability indicator of the autonomic-cardiac regulaii tion. We can prevent irregularities in cardiovascular rhythms (e.g., HR and BP) by knowing their causes and developing an intelligent method to control them. An artificial bionic baroreflex can be an effective treatment for baroreflex failure in, for example, individuals with severe orthostatic hypotension. We propose a method to design an artificial bionic baroreflex by mimicking the baroreflex mechanism in the body. This could then be potentially used to adjust existing neurostimulator devices that regulate BP. iii Preface The work presented in this thesis has been partially published in different journals or conference proceedings. The list of these publications is provided below. I have been the main author for all publications and have had the main role in generating the ideas, developing the methodologies, processing the data, and analyzing the results. The work presented in Chapter 3 has been partially published in the Proceedings of Computer in Cardiology Conference in 2010 [1], and has been accepted for publication in the IEEE Transactions on Biomedical Engineering [2]. Parts of the work presented in Chapter 4 have been published in the Proceedings of the 33rd Annual International Conference of the IEEE EMBS in 2011 [3]. Chapter 5 is based on the work published in the Proceedings of the 35th Annual International Conference of the IEEE EMBS in 2013 [4]. Chapter 6 is based on the work published in the Proceedings of the 34th Annual International Conference of the IEEE EMBS in 2012 [5]. The conclusions provided in Chapter 7 are based on the papers published in IEEE Transactions on Biomedical Engineering [2], Proceedings of the Annual International Conference of the IEEE EMBS [3–5], Computer in Cardiology Conference [1], and American Control Conference [6]. iv The list of publications resulted in this thesis is as follows: Journal Articles • P. Ataee, J.O. Hahn, Dumont, G.A., and W.T. Boyce. Non-Invasive SubjectSpecific Monitoring of Autonomic-Cardiac Regulation. IEEE Transactions on Biomedical Engineering, accepted, 2013. Refereed Conference Papers • P. Ataee, J.O. Hahn, C. Brouse, G.A. Dumont, and W.T. Boyce. Identifica- tion of cardiovascular baroreflex for probing homeostatic stability. Computing in Cardiology, (37):141-144, 2010. • P. Ataee, J.O. Hahn, G.A. Dumont, and W.T. Boyce. A Systemic Approach to Local Stability Analysis of Cardiovascular Baroreflex. 33rd Annual International Conference of the IEEE EMBS, pages 700-703, 2011. • P. Ataee, L. Belingard, G.A. Dumont, H.A. Noubari, and W.T. Boyce. Autonomic-Cardiorespiratory Regulation: A Physiology-Based Mathematical Model. 34th Annual International Conference of the IEEE EMBS, pages 3805-3808, 2012. • P. Ataee, G.A. Dumont, H.A. Noubari, W.T. Boyce, J.M. Ansermino. A Novel Approach to the Design of an Artificial Bionic Baroreflex. 35th Annual International Conference of the IEEE EMBS, pages 3813-3816, 2013. v Table of Contents Abstract . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ii Preface . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . iv Table of Contents . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . vi List of Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . x List of Figures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xi Glossary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xv Acknowledgments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xvii Dedication . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 xix Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 1.1 Problem Statement . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 1.1.1 Our Approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 1.1.2 Challenges . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 Scope of Application . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 1.2.1 Autonomic-Cardiac Reactivity Assessment . . . . . . . . 5 1.2.2 Clinical Decision Support Systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 1.2.3 Artificial Bionic Baroreflex . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Thesis Contributions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Thesis Outline . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 9 1.2 1.3 1.4 vi 2 Literature Review on Autonomic-Cardiorespiratory Regulation . . 10 2.1 Physiological Background . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 2.1.1 Cardiorespiratory System . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 2.1.2 Autonomic Nervous System . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 2.1.3 Baroreceptor Reflex . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 2.1.4 Chemoreceptor Reflex . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 2.1.5 Lung-Stretch Receptor Reflex . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 Autonomic-Cardiac Monitoring . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 2.2.1 Standard Heart Rate Variability Measures . . . . . . . . . 19 2.2.2 Respiratory Sinus Arrythmia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 2.2.3 Pre-Ejection Period . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 Standard Clinical Tests . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 2.3.1 Lower Body Negative Pressure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 2.3.2 Orthostatic Hypotension . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 2.3.3 Mental Stress . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 2.4 Mathematical Modeling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 2.5 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 Subject-Specific Monitoring of Autonomic-Cardiac Regulation . . . 26 3.1 Methods and Algorithm . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 3.1.1 Experimental Dataset . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 3.1.2 Mathematical Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 3.1.3 Sensitivity Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 3.1.4 System Identification . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 3.1.5 Validation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 Results and Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38 3.2.1 Sensitivity Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38 3.2.2 System Identification . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40 3.2.3 Limitations of the Proposed Approach . . . . . . . . . . . 48 3.2.4 Autonomic-Cardiac Regulation Monitoring . . . . . . . . 50 Conclusions and Future Work . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 Model-Based Stability Analysis of Autonomic-Cardiac Regulation . 54 2.2 2.3 3 3.2 3.3 4 vii 4.1 Methods and Algorithm . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56 4.1.1 Physiology-Based Model: Delayed Differential Equations 56 4.1.2 Delay-Free Realization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58 4.1.3 Identification of Equilibrium States . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 4.1.4 Stability Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62 4.1.5 Simulation Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64 4.1.6 Validation of the Proposed Approach . . . . . . . . . . . 65 Results and Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69 4.2.1 Identification of Equilibrium States . . . . . . . . . . . . 69 4.2.2 Proposed Stability Metrics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69 4.2.3 Multi-dimensional Stability Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . 71 4.2.4 Limitations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73 Conclusion and Future Work . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73 A Novel Approach to the Design of an Artificial Bionic Baroreflex . 75 5.1 Methods and Algorithm . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76 5.1.1 5.1.2 Experimental Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Mathematical Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77 77 5.1.3 System Identification . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79 5.1.4 Artificial Bionic Baroreflex . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 80 5.1.5 Robustness Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83 5.2 Results and Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83 5.3 Conclusions and Future Work . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86 4.2 4.3 5 6 Mathematical Modeling of Autonomic-Cardiorespiratory Regulation 88 6.1 Methods and Algorithm . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 89 6.1.1 Experimental Dataset . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 89 6.1.2 Physiological Background . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 90 6.1.3 Autonomic-Cardiac Regulation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 91 6.1.4 Autonomic-Cardiorespiratory Regulation . . . . . . . . . 93 Results and Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 96 6.2.1 Model Validation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 96 6.2.2 Mechanical vs. Neuromechanical Couplings . . . . . . . 98 6.2 viii 6.2.3 6.3 7 Limitations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 100 Conclusions and Future Work . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 100 Conclusion and Future Work . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101 7.1 Summary: Work Accomplished . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101 7.2 Future-Work: The Road Ahead . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 103 Bibliography . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 105 ix List of Tables Table 3.1 Parameters in the mathematical model of autonomic-cardiac regulation [7]. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 Table 3.2 Sensitivity-based parameter classification. . . . . . . . . . . . 38 Table 3.3 Statistical properties of the identified baroreflex-modulated Sympathetic Nerve Activity (SNA) and Parasympathetic Nerve Activity (PSNA ): mean±std . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Table 4.1 52 Parameters in the mathematical model of autonomic-cardiac regulation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58 Table 5.1 Model parameters of autonomic-cardiac regulation. . . . . . . 78 Table 5.2 Individualized nominal values of high-sensitivity parameters in three subjects versus corresponding population nominal values. 86 Table 6.1 Model parameters of autonomic-cardiac regulation. . . . . . . 93 Table 6.2 Respiratory system impacts on VL , Heart Rate (HR), VR, and ∆V . 96 Table 6.3 A numerical measure of perturbation caused by mechanical coupling effects J2 and neuromechanical coupling effects J1 . . . . x 98 List of Figures Figure 1.1 A schematic model of a hemodynamic stability monitoring system using a subject-specific mathematical model . . . . . . 6 Figure 1.2 A schematic diagram of the artificial bionic baroreflex. . . . . 7 Figure 2.1 An extensive block diagram model of autonomic-cardiorespiratory regulation. Parameters shown in red are outputs of the Autonomic Nervous System (ANS) as well as inputs for parts of autonomic-cardiorespiratory regulation (i.e., the closed-loop autonomic-cardiac regulation is opened at this level). . . . . . 11 Figure 2.2 A schematic diagram of the cardiorespiratory system [8]. . . . 13 Figure 2.3 Various factors affect autonomic regulation of the heart, including but not limited to respiration, thermoregulation, humoral regulation, Blood Pressure (BP), and Cardiac Output Figure 2.4 (CO ) [9]. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Schematic diagram of the baroreflex mechanism. The Nu- 14 cleus Tractus Solitarius (NTS ) excites the parasympathetic motor neurons and inhibits the sympathetic motor neurons [10]. 16 Figure 2.5 Two aspects of baroreflex characteristic . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Figure 2.6 A schematic example of electrocardiography (ECG) signal and Figure 3.1 impedance cardiography (dZ/dt) signal [11]. . . . . . . . . . . 20 Schematic diagram of the autonomic-cardiac regulation model. 30 xi Figure 3.2 An extensive block-diagram model of autonomic-cardiorespiratory regulation [see Chapter 2] with emphasis on the parts studied in this chapter. The shaded parts are not described in the mathematical model Equation 3.1-Equation 3.2. . . . . . . . . . . Figure 3.3 Measured versus the model-estimated signals (Case No.: 289); blue is measured signals and black is model-estimated signals. Figure 3.4 Distribution of the index IµEval j 37 for the estimated high-sensitivity parameters in a set of 500 idealized simulations. . . . . . . . . Figure 3.5 31 39 The overall sensitivity (mean and standard deviation) of autonomiccardiac model parameters over 100 sensitivity analysis runs with nominal values selected from +/-20% the associated nominal values introduced in Table 3.1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40 Figure 3.6 Experimental results from MIMIC dataset (Case No.: 476). . . 43 Figure 3.7 Experimental results from MIMIC dataset (Case No.: 486). . . 44 Figure 3.8 Experimental results from MIMIC dataset (Case No.: 289). . . 45 Figure 3.9 Experimental results from MIMIC dataset (Case No.: 477). . . 46 Figure 3.10 System identification results on the orthostatic hypotension dataset to monitor SNA and PSNA during a tilt test. The two top panels show the measured vs. model-estimated HR and BP signals, and the three bottom panels show the identification results: α Ts , βH Ts , and VH Tp . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Figure 3.11 Measured versus model-estimated HR and BP signals with and without the use of measured CO signal (Case No.: 289); blue are measured signals, black are model-estimated signals with measured CO and red are model-estimated signals without measured CO. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Figure 4.1 47 49 Comparison of equilibrium states estimated using the proposed analytical approach Equation 4.25 against numerical optimization (left panel) and nonlinear simulation (right panel). . . . . xii 66 Figure 4.2 Two metrics for stability margin Sm and S p over changes of a model parameter from 50% to 200% of its nominal value for a healthy physiological condition with and without stress. Sm is the blue solid line; S p is the green dashed line. A normal condition (i.e., VH , βH , and α were fixed at their nominal values). Figure 4.3 67 Two metrics for stability margin, Sm and S p , over changes of a model parameter from 50% to 200% of its nominal value for a healthy physiological condition with and without stress. Sm is the blue solid line; S p is the green dashed line. A stressful condition (i.e., a 50% lower VH and 100% higher βH and α compared to their nominal values). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Figure 4.4 68 The proposed stability metric, Sm , over 2-D parameter spaces from 50% to 150% of their nominal values for a normal physiological condition. The quantitative stability margin metric, Sm , at each point of the 2-D parameter space is mapped into a pixel-intensity level. A higher pixel-intensity level is related to lower stability margin, and vice versa. . . . . . . . . . . . . 72 Schematic model of autonomic-cardiac regulation with emphasis on the baroreflex . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77 Figure 5.2 Schematic model of the proposed artificial bionic baroreflex . 79 Figure 5.3 BP Figure 5.1 measurement (BP setpoint) vs. the results of the artificial bionic baroreflex (simulated number 477. Figure 5.4 BP 80 measurement (BP setpoint) vs. the results of the artificial number 486. BP for individual with subject . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . bionic baroreflex (simulated Figure 5.5 BP ) BP ) for individual with subject . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81 measurement (BP setpoint) vs. the results of the artificial bionic baroreflex (simulated number 476. BP ) for individual with subject . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xiii 81 Figure 5.6 The results of robustness analysis for an individual with subject number 477. The solid line shows an average value of 100 simulated signals obtained by the proposed control strategy, whereas the shaded area indicates the corresponding standard deviation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 84 Figure 5.7 The calculated control signal, P0 , in three subjects . . . . . . . 85 Figure 6.1 Physiological measurement during Lower Body Negative Pressure (LBNP ) experiment in an individual; mean BP, Stroke Volume (SV ), and HR were calculated according to the BP wave- form and Electrocardiogram (ECG ) recordings. . . . . . . . . Figure 6.2 Schematic diagram of interactions between cardiovascular, respiratory and nervous systems. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Figure 6.3 90 92 An extensive block-diagram model of autonomic-cardiorespiratory regulation [see Chapter 2] with emphasis on parts described in Equation 6.7-Equation 6.8. The shaded parts are not described in the mathematical model. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Figure 6.4 94 Power Spectral Density (PSD ) difference of Heart Rate Variability (HRV) among simulated (two methods) vs. measured HR signals at the different stages of the LBNP experiment; the shaded area shows the respiratory frequency band. . . . . . . 97 Figure 6.5 Neuromechanical coupling effects of respiration on HR and BP. 99 Figure 6.6 Mechanical coupling effects of respiration on HR and BP. . . . 99 xiv Glossary ABP Arterial Blood Pressure AP Action Potentials ANS Autonomic Nervous System BP Blood Pressure CO Cardiac Output CRS Cardiorespiratory System CSF Cerebrospinal Fluid CVS Cardiovascular System CNS Central Nervous System ECG Electrocardiogram HF High Frequency HR Heart Rate HRV Heart Rate Variability HUT Head-Up Tilt ILV Instantaneous Lung Volume LBNP Lower Body Negative Pressure xv LF Low Frequency NTS Nucleus Tractus Solitarius PEP Pre-Ejection Period PNS Parasympathetic Nervous System PSNA Parasympathetic Nerve Activity PSD Power Spectral Density RR Respiration Rate RS Respiratory System RSA Respiratory Sinus Arrhythmia SA Sinoatrial SCI Spinal Cord Injury SNA Sympathetic Nerve Activity SNS Sympathetic Nervous System SV Stroke Volume TPR Total Peripheral Resistance TV Tidal Volume xvi Acknowledgments I would like to express my deepest appreciation to my supervisors, Professors Guy A. Dumont, Hossein A. Noubari, and W. Tom Boyce, for their inspiration, encouragement, patience and unconditional support. They have provided me not only wonderful support, but also enough freedom to explore my interests and find my way to the end. I would also like to express my gratitude to Dr. J. Mark Ansermino, who provided me wonderful opportunities to be involved with clinical experiences and who shared his precious medical knowledge with us. This thesis could not have been completed without the help of all of these people. I have learned how to elaborate and conduct research in a complex field, how to collaborate with other researchers as a team and how to conduct research as an individual, how to target a real-life problem to remove a burden from society, and how to be patient throughout the course of my PhD program. I have been fortunate to collaborate with Dr. Jin-Oh Hahn during, and after, his stay at the University of British Columbia. He has certainly been an excellent mentor for me; his advice has always been relevant and effective. His professionalism, modesty, and hard work have been helped me to collaborate with him productively through different stages of my PhD program. Many thanks also to my friends and colleagues at the laboratory of Electrical and Computer Engineering in Medicine, in alphabetical order: Chris Brouse, Matthias Görges, Walter Karlen, Sara Khosravi, Mande Leung, Joanne Lim, Behnam Molavi, Prasaad Shrawane, Kouhyar Tavakkolian, Klaske van Heusden, Aryannah Umedaly, Ali Shahidi-Zandi, Ping Yang and all my other fellow students and colleagues. They have provided a pleasant academic and social environment in the laboratory and a wonderful teamwork culture that helped me to resolve my profesxvii sional and personal issues during this program. I also want to thank my dear friends Amin Aziznia, Pouyan Abouzar, Sona Kazemi, and Kaveh Shafiee who supported me in my unkind moments, and laughed with me in my wonderful moments during my stay in Vancouver. Lastly, I wish to express my genuine gratitude to my wonderful parents, my constant source of energy, for their never-ending love, support, and guidance throughout my entire life. I also thank my two lovely sisters, Maryam and Sara, for their support during every stage of my life. xviii Dedication To my family, an insufficient token of my appreciation of their unwavering love and faithfulness xix Chapter 1 Introduction Cardiovascular disease is the leading cause of mortality and morbidity worldwide; more than one million individuals in the United States suffer a heart attack each year [12]. According to the World Health Organization (WHO), hypertension is estimated to cause 7.5 million deaths worldwide, which is about 12.8% of the total of all deaths [13]. Although hypertension is a major risk factor for coronary heart disease and hemorrhagic stroke [13] and is extremely common, it is still poorly understood [14]. For example, it has been recently shown that many patients need newly conceived Blood Pressure (BP)-stabilizing drugs as well as BP -lowering drugs [14]. 1.1 Problem Statement This project aimed to investigate a potential autocatalytic loop, also referred to as positive feedback, within the autonomic-cardiac regulation, which leads to an unstable (i.e., fluctuating) BP . To investigate such physiological conditions, we selected a subject-specific model-based approach to analyze the stability of the autonomic-cardiac regulation. 1.1.1 Our Approach We investigated a large number of mathematical models describing autonomiccardiac regulation to find a physiology-based mathematical model. A physiologybased mathematical model with two coupled differential equations [7] to describe 1 the autonomic-cardiac regulation has been selected. We revised this model regarding the baroreflex mechanism to increase its physiological consistency. To individualize the mathematical model, we then developed a parameter identification technique to estimate time-varying and subject-specific model parameters including sympathetic and parasympathetic activation, by using routine clinical measurements including Heart Rate (HR ) and BP. Further, we developed a systematic framework to analyze the system stability. To investigate the potential system-level causes of instability (e.g., a potential positive feedback) in the autonomic-cardiac regulation, we introduced an index showing the stability margin of the autonomic-cardiac regulation. We then used the subject-specific mathematical model for the autonomic-cardiac regulation to design a closed-loop artificial bionic baroreflex. Finally, we recognized the significance of respiratory effects in autonomiccardiac regulation. Therefore, to describe the respiratory effects on autonomiccardiac regulation, the mathematical model was improved to include respiratoryrelated terms. 1.1.2 Challenges In this section, some challenges that we have confronted in this research are explained and categorized into three parts: mathematical modeling, system identification, and stability analysis. Mathematical Modeling- The major purposes of developing a mathematical model for a dynamic physiological system are to improve our understanding of the system, to reveal new insights into physiological mechanisms within the system, and to predict the behavior of the system in different clinical conditions [15]. A dynamic physiological system can be described by different types of mathematical models including statistical models or differential equations. In this context, a white-box1 physiology-based mathematical model (e.g., differential equations) has more advantages than a black-box2 model (e.g., statistical models) [16–18]. De1A white-box model is a mathematical model developed based on a priori information about the system. 2 A black-box model is a mathematical model solely developed based on its input, output and transfer function without any knowledge of its internal dynamics. 2 veloping a mathematical model with minimal complexity to simplify mathematical analysis, as well as developing the model sufficiently detailed to reproduce as much clinically relevant data as possible are the main challenges of the modeling process [19]. In fact, a mathematical model with a complex structure and a large number of parameters may produce significantly more accurate simulation results that are consistent with experimental observations; however, such a model generates many complexities in the mathematical analysis and may cuase parameter identification become impossible. Developing an accurate mathematical model of the autonomic-cardiac regulation and then a simulator environment could reduce the need for invasive clinical experiments on the system as well as some clinical expenses. For instance, a physiology-based pharmacokinetic model may be used to predict the absorption, distribution, and excretion of synthetic or natural chemical substances (e.g., a brand new drug) in the human body. In fact, the pharmacokinetic model gives clinicians the ability to investigate how a new drug impacts system outcomes, e.g., dosagerelated effects of a drug on other physiological variables can be investigated without any of drug being injected into the body. Recently, many mathematical models for the autonomic-cardiorespiratory regulation have been introduced. In this thesis, we intend to develop a physiology-based mathematical model of autonomiccardiorespiratory regulation. System Identification- The prediction-error framework is the dominant approach in system identification theory and its applications with a focus on multivariable and closed-loop systems [20]. Once we have a mathematical model of autonomic-cardiac regulation based on the physical laws describing the various components and interconnection structure, system identification is used to estimate unknown parameters in the model using the measured signals. Considering that all of the model parameters were not identifiable, we had to examine whether the predicted outputs were sensitive to each parameter to obtain a group of identifiable parameters [20]. In general, two types of sensitivity analysis approaches have been introduced in the literature, local and global sensitivity analyses [21]. The local sensitivity of a system output due to a model parameter is computed by the first-order partial 3 derivatives of the system output with respect to that model parameter. Similarly, the global sensitivity used to quantify the overall effects of the parameters on the system output is computed by perturbing parameters within large ranges. Since the introduced mathematical model of autonomic-cardiac regulation contains a set of coupled nonlinear and delayed differential equations, we used a finite difference approximation method to compute the global sensitivity and to separate the model parameters into two groups: high-sensitivity and low-sensitivity parameters. Stability Analysis- An improper dynamic change may cause an oscillatory system, such as the respiratory system, to stop oscillating or to oscillate irregularly. On the other hand, dynamic changes in a non-oscillatory system, such as blood pressure regulation, may cause undesirable oscillation [22]. In fact, a large number of physiological disorders are characterized by improper changes in the dynamics of corresponding physiological systems, which result in unstable or irregular system behavior [22]. In the autonomic-cardiorespiratory regulation, model parameter changes (e.g., an increase in the time delay of sensory afferent pathways) may cause an onset of oscillations (limit cycle or even instability) in BP and HR which is not relevant to its normal regulatory task [16, 23]. An instability or irregularity in a physiological system is called homeostatic imbalance (i.e., a disturbance in homeostasis3 ). The homeostatic imbalance may occur as a result of the complex dynamic interactions among nonlinearities and delays in a physiological system. It is crucial to maintain a certain degree of stability margin in the autonomiccardiorespiratory regulation as a major in-vivo physiological control mechanism for individuals with, for example, treatment-resistant hypertension since they are susceptible to cardiovascular instability [26]. The system-level cause of instability and the stability margin of the autonomic-cardiorespiratory regulation can be investigated using model-based stability analysis. To perform model-based stability analysis, we must first develop an accurate physiology-based mathematical model of the system. To actively monitor and then control the system’s stability and to provide the patients with appropriate preventive interventions, it is important to 3 Homeostasis is the capability of living systems to maintain a physiological parameter fixed at a setpoint by means of dynamic regulatory mechanisms in the face of external or internal challenges [24, 25]. 4 identify the root causes of instability, and to predict the system’s transition to instability. In this thesis, we propose a model-based approach for stability analysis of autonomic-cardiorespiratory regulation to determine impacts of the parameter configurations that cause complex undesirable behavior and to determine the stability margin of the physiological system. 1.2 Scope of Application 1.2.1 Autonomic-Cardiac Reactivity Assessment Assessment of autonomic-cardiac reactivity can be used in many fields. Autonomiccardiac reactivity is the deviation of an autonomic-cardiac parameter, enforced by an individual’s Autonomic Nervous System (ANS), from its normal value in response to a stimulus (e.g., environmental stress) [27]. In this context, reactivity is defined as an individual’s physiological response to an environmental challenge (e.g., stressful condition) compared with his resting state [28]. Autonomic-cardiac reactivity can be used as a criterion to assess the severity of injury in individuals with Spinal Cord Injury (SCI ) as well as an indicator of life satisfaction in individuals with high thoracic and cervical SCI [29, 30]. Moreover, it can be used to improve the current classification systems for the Paralympics to ensure a fair competition among Paralympians [31]. Exaggerated stress-related autonomic-cardiac reactivity puts children at risk of, for example, cognitive impairments and poor emotion regulation. The process that creates these effects can be investigated by finding an autocatalytic loop (i.e., positive feedback) within autonomic-cardiac regulation that is stimulated under stressful conditions [32]. 1.2.2 Clinical Decision Support Systems Clinical decision support systems are computer-based intelligent systems that can potentially provide subject-specific recommendations for a clinician to increase patient safety and improve health outcome [33]. Subject-specific mathematical models may eventually play a significant role in providing subject-specific recommendations in clinical decision support systems. Subject-specific mathematical 5 Figure 1.1: A schematic model of a hemodynamic stability monitoring system using a subject-specific mathematical model models can be used to predict an individual’s physiological response to, for example, a specific medication dosage or a surgery procedure [34]. Patients with pre-existing conditions including cardiovascular diseases and SCI undergoing major surgical procedures with anesthesia are at the risk of hemodynamic instability [35]. It is important for anesthesiologists to be able to predict the risk of hemodynamic instability in their patients. Therefore, the stability margin of a patient’s autonomic-cardiac regulation could be continuously monitored and predicted during surgery [35]. Hemodynamic instability is mostly associated with an unstable (i.e., fluctuating) BP ; however, fluctuations in HR, central venous pres- sure, and Cardiac Output (CO) may also be referred to as hemodynamic instabilities [35]. BP instability is determined by transient fluctuations in BP, which are usually caused by a specific stimulus such as surgery, drug injection, emotional stress, or postural change [14]. A quantitative metric of BP instability could be used to prevent hemodynamic instability during surgery. Increased BP instability is also a risk factor for vascular dementia, which can be prevented by prescribing medicines that 6 Figure 1.2: A schematic diagram of the artificial bionic baroreflex. reduce variability in BP [14]. We investigated BP instability by using a model-based analysis of autonomic- cardiac regulation. Pre-existing conditions in the autonomic-cardiac regulation as well as physiological changes during surgery can be described using a subjectspecific mathematical model with different parameter configurations. Figure 1.1 depicts a schematic model of the hemodynamic stability monitoring system that was studied in this research. 1.2.3 Artificial Bionic Baroreflex The disruption of the autonomic regulation (e.g., baroreflex failure) critically affects the quality of life for individuals with neurological disorders (e.g., Shy-Drager syndrome) or traumatic SCI s which results in severe orthostatic hypotension [36]. The baroreflex characteristic is also altered in individuals with chronic hypertension, preventing proper BP constantly exposed to high regulation [10, 37]. The fact that the baroreceptors are BP may impair the baroreflex mechanism, resulting in a significant loss of baroreceptor sensitivity. Therefore, the impaired baroreflex can not attenuate the effects of rapid perturbation in arterial pressure during, for example, a posture change from lying to standing, possibly resulting in loss of consciousness [36]. A novel therapeutic approach including artificial bionic baroreflex must be investigated for the treatment of severe baroreflex failure. An artificial bionic baroreflex could be used for treatment of individuals with baroreflex failure by using an external mechanism that activates the sympathetic efferent nerves. An artificial bionic baroreflex is a functional replacement of the 7 baroreflex that consists of arterial pressure sensors as well as an automatic nerve stimulator, which generates a pulse train signal to stimulate sympathetic nerves [38]. Sunagawa [39, 40] proposed several anatomical sites, such as the carotid sinus and the spinal cord, to manipulate the Sympathetic Nervous System (SNS ) . Yamasaki [38] also investigated a bionic baroreflex by stimulating sympathetic nerves through an epidural catheter located at the level of the lower thoracic spinal cord [38]. Accordingly, BP could be normally regulated in different physiological conditions, providing a higher quality of life for individuals with baroreflex failure. 1.3 Thesis Contributions The major contributions of this thesis are as follows: • Develops a solid framework to analyze system stability and investigates the presence of positive feedback in the autonomic-cardiac regulation using a physiology-based subject-specific mathematical model of autonomic-cardiac regulation. • Develops a novel non-invasive model-based method to estimate and then monitor autonomic-cardiac regulation based on a computationally efficient system identification method by using routine clinical measurements: BP , HR , and CO. • Presents a systematic approach to investigate the system-level cause of instability in the autonomic-cardiac regulation as a major in-vivo physiological control mechanism based on a stability index that determines the stability margin for a parameter configuration. • Introduces a novel model-based approach to the design of an artificial bionic baroreflex that can be used to restore normal arterial pressure regulation in individuals with baroeflex failure by mimicking the in-vivo baroreflex mechanism. • Introduces a novel physiology-based mathematical model of autonomic-cardiorespiratory regulation described by a set of three nonlinear, coupled dif- 8 ferential equations, each of which describes regulations of HR , BP , and In- stantaneous Lung Volume (ILV ). • Develops a software package that simulates macro level interactions in the autonomic-cardiac regulation to investigate potential instability conditions in BP and HR, and a software package that assesses the autonomic reactivity by monitoring sympathetic (cardiac and arterial) and parasympathetic activation. 1.4 Thesis Outline Chapter 2 presents the background material on the autonomic-cardiorespiratory regulation as well as reviews of the previously published mathematical models. Chapter 3 describes the details of an identification technique conducted on the physiology-based mathematical model of autonomic-cardiac regulation. A parametric sensitivity analysis used to classify the model parameters into high-sensitivity, low-sensitivity, and invariant groups is also described in this chapter. The feasibility and potential of the proposed subject-specific monitoring technique are demonstrated and discussed using two datasets: the MIMIC dataset and an orthostatic hypotension dataset. Chapter 4 presents a systematic approach to the stability analysis of the autonomiccardiac regulation. A Lyapunov-based systematic approach to analyze the system stability in the neighborhood of the equilibrium state is developed in this chapter. Further, a quantitative metric of stability margin capable of comparing different parameter configurations regarding their stability has been introduced. Chapter 5 introduces a novel model-based approach to the design of a closed-loop artificial bionic baroreflex. In this chapter, an individual’s in-vivo autonomic-cardiac regulation is described by a subject-specific mathematical model. In Chapter 6, a physiologically-based mathematical model of the autonomic-cardiorespiratory regulation is introduced. Further, the significance of respiratory dynamics in autonomiccardiac regulation is studied. 9 Chapter 2 Literature Review on Autonomic-Cardiorespiratory Regulation Autonomic-cardiorespiratory regulation operates through interactions between the ANS and the Cardiorespiratory System (CRS ). The ANS maintains homeostasis in the cardiorespiratory system against physical stressor, such as exercise and orthostatic hypotension, and psychological stressor, such as fear and anxiety [41–43]. A recently developed theory proposes that a physiological system only restores its stability (allostasis) against a stressor rather than regulating a physiological parameter to a fixed setpoint (homeostasis) [24]. The ANS responses to physical and psychological stressors are dictated by the individual’s autonomic reactivity characteristics [44, 45]. In fact, the ANS responds to different conditions by adjusting cardiorespiratory parameters, including Respiration Rate (RR), Peripheral Resistance (TPR )1 , BP , HR , and Total to deliver adequate oxygenated blood-flow to organs in different conditions [45]. Figure 2.1 shows the complex interconnected structure of short-term autonomic-cardiorespiratory regulation. The present chapter will provide a brief overview of autonomic-cardiorespiratory regulation including the CRS, the ANS , 1 Total and the autonomic regulation mecha- peripheral resistance (i.e., systemic vascular resistance) refers to the resistance to blood flow from the systemic vasculature, excluding the pulmonary vasculature [10]. 10 11 Figure 2.1: An extensive block diagram model of autonomic-cardiorespiratory regulation. Parameters shown in red are outputs of the ANS as well as inputs for parts of autonomic-cardiorespiratory regulation (i.e., the closed-loop autonomic-cardiac regulation is opened at this level). nisms of the Cardiovascular System (CVS ) and the Respiratory System (RS), followed by a review of the related work in the field of autonomic-cardiorespiratory modeling. Further, we briefly introduce several common clinical tests to investigate autonomic-cardiorespiratory regulation with different stressors including orthostatic hypotension, Lower Body Negative Pressure (LBNP ), and mental stress tests. We used readily available orthostatic hypotension [46] and MIMIC datasets [47] to assess the proposed parameter identification method described in Chapter 3 and used an LBNP test to assess the proposed mathematical model of autonomic- cardiorespiratory regulation described in Chapter 6. 2.1 Physiological Background 2.1.1 Cardiorespiratory System The cardiorespiratory system consists of the CVS and the respiratory system. The cardiorespiratory system transports nutrients, oxygen, carbon dioxide, hormones, and blood cells in the body. The major functions of the cardiorespiratory system are to provide vital needs for metabolic activities, to protect the body from infection, to maintain homeostasis in thermoregulation, and to maintain fluid balance within the body cells. The CVS consists of the heart, blood, and two networks of blood vessels: pul- monary circulation and systemic circulation. The pulmonary circulation carries deoxygenated blood from the heart to the lungs and returns oxygenated blood to the heart. The systemic circulation carries oxygenated blood from the heart to the body tissues and returns oxygen-depleted blood back to the heart (Figure 2.2). The respiratory system consists of the lungs, airways, and respiratory muscles (e.g., the diaphragm). During respiration, carbon dioxide accumulated in the blood is exchanged with oxygen inhaled from the external environment through the diffusion mechanisms within the lungs [48]. 2.1.2 Autonomic Nervous System The nervous system is divided into the somatic nervous system, which controls organs under voluntary actions, and the ANS , 12 which mostly regulates involuntary Figure 2.2: A schematic diagram of the cardiorespiratory system [8]. organ functions. The ANS maintains physiological parameters of the cardiorespi- ratory system within their functional ranges. The ANS is divided into two separate branches, the Parasympathetic Nervous System (PNS ) and the Sympathetic Nervous System (SNS ), based on anatomical and functional differences. The PNS is dominant in “rest and digest” states, and the SNS is aroused in “fight or flight” states [49, 50]. In most cases, these systems are reciprocally activated (i.e., when one system is activated, the other is usually depressed) with antagonistic impacts [51]. However, there are conditions during which SNS and PNS may be activated (e.g., sexual arousal) or inhibited (e.g., anesthesia) together [50, 52]. The medulla oblongata (often referred to as the medulla) is the brain’s primary site for regulation of sympathetic and parasympathetic (vagal) outflows. The medulla is located in the lowest part of the brain and the lowest portion of the brain- 13 Figure 2.3: Various factors affect autonomic regulation of the heart, including but not limited to respiration, thermoregulation, humoral regulation, BP, and CO [9]. stem above the spinal cord [10]. Within the medulla, a visceral sensory nucleus, known as the Nucleus Tractus Solitarius (NTS ), receives sensory information from different systemic and central receptors (e.g., baroreceptors and chemoreceptors) as well as higher brain centers (e.g., the hypothalamus). The hypothalamus plays a particularly important role in determining cardiovascular responses to emotion and stress. Efferent fibers of sympathetic and vagal nerves innervate the heart and blood vessels, where they modulate the activity of these target organs. The heart is innervated by both sympathetic and vagal divisions, which exert a regulatory influence on HR by influencing the activity of the heart’s primary pacemaker, the Sinoatrial (SA )-node [51] (Figure 2.3). An increase in HR could arise from either increased cardiac sympathetic activity or decreased cardiac vagal inhibition. The ANS adjusts the cardiorespiratory parameters through several involuntar- ily mechanisms, mostly negative-feedback control mechanisms (also referred to as reflexes), based on continuously integrated measurement of vital physiological 14 variables captured by specialized biological receptors [51, 53, 54]. For example, perturbations in BP (e.g., orthostatic hypotension) are measured by the baroreceptors, and the baroreceptor reflex is primarily responsible for short-term BP regula- tion. Further, perturbations in blood oxygen or carbon dioxide concentration (e.g., exercise-induced hypercapnia) are measured by the chemoreceptors, and then the chemoreceptor reflex regulates oxygen and carbon dioxide concentration in the blood. The measured physiological variables are transmitted to the ANS, and the ANS acts against perturbations by sending control commands through sympathetic and parasympathetic pathways to a set of effectors including the heart and blood vessels [16, 17, 23]. For instance, a rise in sympathetic activation tone elevates Cardiac Output (CO)2 by increasing cardiac contractility (contraction force of the heart) and the pace of the heartbeat, and elevates TPR by decreasing the diameter of blood vessels (i.e., vasoconstriction). Conversely, a rise in parasympathetic activation tone decreases CO by decreasing HR [55]. 2.1.3 Baroreceptor Reflex The baroreceptor reflex (baroreflex) is a short-term homeostatic mechanism in the autonomic cardiorespiratory regulation. It includes specialized sensory neurons (also known as baroreceptors), efferent and afferent neural pathways, and the brainstem [41]. The baroreceptors, mostly located in the carotid sinus and the aortic arch, are stretch-sensitive mechanoreceptors that are excited by the stretch of blood vessels. They are sensitive to both absolute stretch (mean BP) and the rate of stretch variation (pulsatile and pulsatile BP BP ); however, the response characteristics to mean BP are different (Figure 2.5b). In this work, we modelled absolute stretch baroreceptors that respond to mean BP. A series of Action Potentials (AP) are fired and conveyed to the NTS (refer to Section 2.1.2) in response to deformations in the arterial wall according to a nonlinear response curve [56–58]. For example, a BP rise causes the walls of vessels with baroreceptors to expand and the baroreceptors to increase firing rate of APs [10]. The greater the stretch, the more rapidly baroreceptors fire APs . The NTS 2 CO is the amount of blood pumped through the circulatory system in a minute by the heart. 15 Figure 2.4: Schematic diagram of the baroreflex mechanism. The NTS excites the parasympathetic motor neurons and inhibits the sympathetic motor neurons [10]. uses the frequency of received APs as a measure of BP [16]. The baroreceptor firing-rate pattern also adapts to alterations in physiological conditions, causing both short-term and long-term changes in BP . For example, baroreflex responses will be adjusted under a stressful condition to maintain BP in a proper range (shortterm) [10], while the baroreflex loses its sensitivity to high BP in an individual with chronic hypertension (long-term) [10]. Further, the baroreflex is less sensitive to a fall in BP than to a rise in BP , also known as the hysteresis3 effect, as shown in Figure 2.5a [60]. In a healthy individual, the baroreflex maintains using a set of sensors and effectors that adjusts ity under a closed-loop negative feedback4 baroreflex responds to a decrease in BP BP within a narrow range by HR , TPR , and cardiac contractil- mechanism (see Figure 2.4) [41]. The (mean, pulsatile, or both) by increasing sympathetic outflow and decreasing vagal outflow, while it acts differently on sym3 Hysteresis is defined as “dependency of the steady-state response curve of a deterministic system on the direction of the parameter change (increase or decrease)” [59]. 4 Feedback is the property of a control system to use its output as (a part of) its input [61]. 16 (a) The hysteresis effect in baroreflex fir(b) Two different response curves of baroreing rate to increasing and decreasing BP in an flex firing rate in response to pulsatile and mean anesthetized dog [65]. BP [56]. Figure 2.5: Two aspects of baroreflex characteristic pathetic and vagal outflow in an elevated BP [16, 18]. The baroreflex characteristic driven by the ANS is time-varying and subject-varying, i.e., it changes in different physiological conditions, and it differs among individuals [41, 56]. Homeostatic imbalance in the CVS can be caused by impaired baroreflex response to an external or internal stressor, which results in an oscillation and an instability in HR and BP regulation [18, 62]. For example, Mayer waves are low-frequency oscillations in HR with an approximate frequency of 0.1 Hz. These waves are caused by the sym- pathetic (delayed) feedback control of the BP through the baroreflex [7, 63, 64]. It has been shown that if sympathetic activity becomes chemically blocked, Mayer waves are significantly reduced [41]. Therefore, investigation of the baroreflex characteristics within the autonomic-cardiorespiratory regulation can be of significant importance in the context of homeostatic imbalance. 2.1.4 Chemoreceptor Reflex The chemoreceptor reflex (chemoreflex) is a cardiorespiratory reflex that has evolved to maintain systemic blood gas (O2 and CO2 ) levels within a functional range [66, 67]. The chemoreflex can be divided into two reflexes with two different sets of receptors: the peripheral chemoreceptors and the central chemoreceptors [68]. The peripheral chemoreceptors are located in the carotid bodies at the bifurcation of the carotid arteries, and the central chemoreceptors are located in the medulla [69]. The peripheral chemoreceptors respond primarily to a fall in partial pressure of oxygen in arterial blood PaO2 (hypoxia) [69, 70]. At normal levels of PaO2 , 17 some neural activity arises from the peripheral chemoreceptors, while, in arterial hyperoxia (i.e., abnormally high PaO2 ), this activity is slightly reduced in a healthy individual. However, in arterial hypoxemia (i.e., abnormally low PaO2 ), the intensity of neural activity varies in a nonlinear manner according to the severity of the condition, causing an increase in the depth and rate of breathing. Hypoxia also causes sympathetically mediated vasoconstriction in most arterioles (except for coronary and brain arterioles) to maintain BP and circulation [71]. The central chemoreceptors respond primarily to a rise in partial pressure of carbon dioxide in the arterial blood PaCO2 (hypercapnia) [69, 70]. In other words, the response of the peripheral chemoreflex to arterial PaCO2 is less important than that of the central chemoreflex [68]. The central chemoreceptors are exposed to Cerebrospinal Fluid (CSF ) and are not in direct contact with the arterial blood [72]. Nevertheless, alterations in arterial PaCO2 are rapidly transmitted to the CSF . An increase in the concentration of CO2 in the CSF causes hyperventilation [73]. 2.1.5 Lung-Stretch Receptor Reflex The lung-stretch receptor reflex (often referred to as the Hering-Breuer reflex) is a cardiorespiratory reflex that triggers lung inflation and deflation by using mechanoreceptors located on the lung to provide information on the degree of lung expansion or contraction. For example, inspiration causes the lung-stretch receptors and their afferent nerves to activate and then project to the NTS . The activation of receptor afferent nerves causes vagal cardiac outflow to inhibit and sympathetic outflow to excite. This reflex may play a major role in ventilation by regulating breathing rate and depth in newborns. However, more recent work indicates that this reflex is largely inactive in adults unless the tidal volume exceeds one liter, as in exercise [48]. 2.2 Autonomic-Cardiac Monitoring The ANS responds differently during exposure to physical and psychological challenges including stressful, emotional, and threatening conditions. The response deviation of a physiological variable (e.g., HR ) from a control value that results from an individual’s ANS response to a stimulus is called autonomic, or ANS, reac18 tivity and is associated with physical and psychological health [27, 32, 45, 74–76]. For example, researchers in behavioral pediatrics have shown that increased ANS or autonomic reactivity (i.e., exaggerated physiological responses to stress) puts children at risk for a variety of physical and mental disorders, including poor emotion regulation and cognitive impairments [32]. Further, cardiac vagal tone has been proposed as a physiological marker of stress vulnerability (i.e., an individual’s differences in response thresholds to the identical challenging condition) [77]. In general, any change in HR , also referred to as Heart Rate Variability (HRV), has been used as an indicator of autonomic reactivity [43, 78]. However, the ability to monitor and interpret HRV is dependent on measuring technology, the HRV quantifying method and the knowledge of underlying mechanisms [79]. Autonomic reactivity indices are classified into data-driven and model-based groups. In this thesis, we mostly investigated autonomic reactivity using a model-based technique. Autonomic reactivity can be assessed by using some data-driven measures, as well [74]. 2.2.1 Standard Heart Rate Variability Measures Standard methods for measuring HRV can be divided into time-domain and fre- quency-domain methods. Time-domain measures are calculated directly from the R-R interval signal such as the standard deviation and the standard deviation of the successive differences of R-R intervals describing the overall variation and shortterm variation, respectively [80, 81]. The frequency-domain measures are calculated using the power spectral density of the R-R intervals. The well-accepted measures are the powers of Low Frequency (LF ) (0.04-0.15 Hz) and High Frequency (HF) (0.15-0.4 Hz) bands in absolute and relative values, the normalized powers of LF and HF modulated by both PNS bands, and the SNS and PNS LF to HF power ratio [80, 81]. activities, while HF LF power is power is modulated only by activities [82, 83]. Therefore, it is commonly assumed that the LF to HF power ratio provides a measure of "sympathovagal balance" [82, 83]. 19 Figure 2.6: A schematic example of electrocardiography (ECG) signal and impedance cardiography (dZ/dt) signal [11]. 2.2.2 Respiratory Sinus Arrythmia Respiratory Sinus Arrhythmia (RSA ) is a periodic oscillation in HR, which is caused by respiration [84]. This periodic oscillation can be triggered during inhalation and exhalation, and results in an RSA HR increase and decrease, respectively [84–86]. has been used as an index of cardiac vagal control as well as an index of respiratory-circulatory interactions [84]. Several time-based and frequency-based indices for assessment of the methods, RSA RSA have been introduced [87–89]. In the spectral is mostly calculated using the power spectrum of R-R interval data and an individual’s respiratory bandwidth [50, 85]. For example, Quas et al. [32] quantified RSA as the natural logarithm of the variance of the R-R interval within the respiration bandwidth. 2.2.3 Pre-Ejection Period Pre-Ejection Period (PEP ) is the duration of isovolumetric ventricular contraction in the left ventricle [74, 88]. PEP is quantified as the time interval between the onset of ventricular depolarization (indicated by the ECG Q-wave) and the onset of left ventricular ejection (indicated by the B-point of the impedance cardiography signal) (Figure 2.6). PEP is an indirect, non-invasive measure of sympathetic influence on cardiac rhythm, as a lower PEP score indicates higher cardiac sympathetic activity [32, 74, 76, 90]. However, PEP has been shown to be more reliable to investigate within-subjects differences rather than between-subject differences [90, 91]. 20 2.3 Standard Clinical Tests To study autonomic-cardiac monitoring techniques, several clinical experiments including LBNP, orthostatic hypotension, and mental stress were introduced in the literature, each of which specifically targets an aspect of autonomic-cardiorespiratory regulation. That is, LBNP , orthostatic hypotension, and mental stress tests mainly affect Stroke Volume (SV ), Arterial Blood Pressure (ABP), and parasympathetic nerves activation. These clinical experiments are briefly explained as follows. 2.3.1 Lower Body Negative Pressure In an LBNP test, the lower body of a subject (for just above the pelvis) is placed supine in a sealed chamber [92, 93]. After a resting control period, negative pressure is imposed mostly in 10 mmHg increments for a specific interval. The gradual pressure decrease in the LBNP chamber continues until either completion of the test or the onset of presyncope symptoms including light-headedness, nausea, sweating, dizziness, or blurred vision [93]. Further, a sudden decrease in systolic BP (>25 mmHg) or HR (>15 bpm) is the symptoms of presyncope. In the literature, the LBNP test is widely used to investigate post-spaceflight orthostatic intolerance as well as severe hemorrhage in humans [94]. 2.3.2 Orthostatic Hypotension Orthostatic hypotension, also referred to as Head-Up Tilt (HUT), is a sustained reduction of either systolic BP (> 20 mmHg) or diastolic BP BP (>10 mmHg) within three minutes of standing or HUT [95]. The magnitude of orthostatic BP reduction is dependent on the baseline BP. Orthostatic hypotension is a clinical condition that can severely affect quality of life in individuals with SCI . After a postural change from supine to standing position, the venous return to the heart falls because of gravitationally mediated redistribution of blood volume in the circulation system. The venous return fall results in a decrease in SV and CO. In response, sympathetic outflow to the heart and blood vessels increases and cardiac vagal outflow decreases [95]. These autonomic-cardiac mechanisms increase vascular tone, HR and cardiac contractility, and stabilize BP [95]. 21 2.3.3 Mental Stress In a mental stress test, challenge tasks are designed to elicit ANS responses in a group of individuals (especially children) to different types of stressors: social, cognitive, sensory, and emotional. For example, the social challenge task can be a structured interview about a child’s family and friends. The cognitive challenge task can be a digit-span recitation task in which a child is asked to recall sequences of numbers. The sensory challenge task can be a tasteidentification task in which two drops of concentrated lemon juice are placed on a child’s tongue, and the child is asked to recognize the taste. The emotionalchallenge task can be consisted of watching an emotion-evoking movie to elicit fear in a child. The details of such a mental stress test are thoroughly explained in [88]. 2.4 Mathematical Modeling To describe autonomic-cardiorespiratory regulation, a variety of mathematical models using either black-box or white-box (physiology-based) approaches have been proposed [23, 55, 96]. The nonlinearity of the baroreflex and medulla responses, the various time delays, and the number of different feedback loops create a large number of challenges [7]. Further, the subject-varying and time-varying properties of model parameters in each mathematical model have been neglected many times to reduce challenges. By introducing a physiology-based mathematical model of the autonomic-cardiorespiratory regulation that includes a set of ordinary differential equations, we will be able to simulate the physiology deliberately, and investigate system-level causes of a physiological observation. Vooren et al. [55] proposed a model for short-term BP control without breath- ing modulation which was tuned for supine posture. The model represented the systemic circulation and consisted of three sections: a hemodynamic section simulated by a Windkessel model and Starling heart, a baroreceptor section simulated by a linear function within the range between a threshold of 90 mmHg and a saturation level of 150 mmHg, and an autonomic control section simulated based on the first-order system dynamic. Saul et al. [97] proposed a mathematical model describing the closed loop 22 cardiorespiratory regulation to test complex links among RR , HR , and ABP . This model consists of the SA node, HR baroreflex, and mechanical effects of respiration on ABP but ignores two significant aspects of hemodynamic regulation: the effect of modulation of TPR via the baroreflex and the influence of cardiopulmonary re- ceptors. Further, it describes the relation between all physiological variables by using the frequency analysis technique. In 2003, Ursino and Magosso [66] proposed a mathematical model of shortterm cardiovascular regulation to investigate the reliability of using HRV to study the action of the autonomic regulatory mechanisms (vagal and sympathetic). The proposed mathematical model included the pulsating heart, the systemic and pulmonary circulation, the mechanical effect of respiration on venous return, two groups of receptors (arterial baroreceptors and lung-stretch receptors), the sympathetic and vagal efferent branches, and a very low-frequency vasomotor noise. Fowler and McGuinness [7] proposed a nonpulsatile lumped-parameter5 model, which consists of two coupled differential equations with nonlinear and delayed dynamic interactions, each of which describes the dynamics of lation. The pulmonary system and the small delay of the PNS HR and BP regu- were neglected in this work. The sensitivity of Mayer waves to sympathetic delay and gain, to sympathetic control of peripheral resistance, and to sympathetic control of HR were explored. This model is an extension of the mathematical model introduced by Ottesen [16] with an added intrinsically controlled HR , and baroreflex control of peripheral resistance. Ringwood and Malpas [96] developed a nonlinear model based on a linear feedback model comprising delay and lag terms for the vasculature, and a linear proportional derivative controller and an amplitude-limiting sigmoidal nonlinearity, which could belong to either the neural controller or the vasculature itself. They showed that variations in the nonlinearity characteristics may account for growth or decay in the BP oscillations as well as situations where the oscillations can thoroughly disappear. Further, they studied a BP oscillation between 0.1 Hz and 0.4 Hz potentially caused by a resonant feedback in the baroreflex loop. 5 The lumped parameter model simplifies the description of the behavior of spatially distributed physical systems into a topology consisting of discrete entities that approximate the behavior of the distributed system under certain assumptions. 23 Cavalcanti [23] used bifurcation theory in nonlinear systems to explain the high sensitivity of the HR oscillatory pattern to model parameter changes, specifically parameter changes in the arterial baroreflex model. In this work, the basic mechanisms that generate HRV pump with a constant such as the systemic circulation, a non-pulsatile cardiac SV 6 and nonlinear negative feedback simulating an arterial baroreflex closed-loop control of the HR were studied. The proposed model of the short-term autonomic control (i.e., the arterial baroreflex) consists of two distinct delayed branches of mean ABP SNS and PNS (2.8s and 0.8s). Dynamic linking between the and mean aortic flow is described based on the classic three-element Windkessel model, and aortic flow is expressed as SV times HR. Seidel and Herzel [41, 98] proposed a hybrid model to capture both beat-tobeat and continuous dynamics of the autonomic-cardiorespiratory regulation and to investigate its dynamic properties. The mathematical model consists of delay differential equations that can describe physiological rhythms on timescales from fractions of a second to a few minutes. Since chemoreceptors, temperature regulation, dynamics of renal hormones, and the circadian cycle were not included in the model, the long-term variations in the physiological variables cannot be studied. They showed that an increase of the delays in conveying SNS signals leads via Hopf bifurcation to the HR oscillations (called Mayer waves). Ottesen [16] extended a model of uncontrolled CVS by adding an explicit modeling of the baroreflex-feedback mechanism to investigate the chronotropic effect (HR regulation) and the inotropic (ventricle contractility regulation). Besides, the system stability with special attention to the effect of the value of the time delay was studied. A well-established physiological theory was used in this work. The introduced model of the baroreflex-feedback mechanism inserted some nonlinearity to the model as well as a time delay. Moreover, the CVS was simulated using an expanded Windkessel model. In this work, Ottesen showed that the timedelay enforced some instability to the system, while the exact location of instability windows were sensitive to the values of other parameters in the model. In 2006, Olufsen et al. [99] developed a mathematical model describing HR dynamics as a function of BP during postural change from sitting to standing. This 6 SV is the amount of blood pumped by the left ventricle of the heart in one contraction. 24 model ignored the BP feedback impacts on HR changes and regulation of TPR , vascular tone, and cardiac contractility. The introduced mathematical model is divided into four sub-models connected in series. The first sub-model is an afferent trigger model, which uses the finger BP as an input to predict the firing rates of baroreflex afferent fibers. The second sub-model, representing the Central Nervous System (CNS), uses baroreceptor afferent nerve activity as an input to predict sympathetic and parasympathetic firing in response to the rate of change of the mean BP.The third sub-model uses sympathetic and parasympathetic responses as an input to predict concentrations of the neurotransmitters norepinephrine and acetylcholine. The fourth sub-model, the effector model, uses concentrations of neurotransmitters as an input to predict HR . 2.5 Conclusion In this chapter, we briefly reviewed the physiological background of autonomic-cardiorespiratory regulation by focusing on the baroreflex mechanism. We then described some standard data-driven measures of autonomic-cardiac reactivity, including RSA and PEP , as well as several standard clinical tests to study autonomiccardiac reactivity. At the end, we provided an extensively review of mathematical models to describe autonomic-cardiorespiratory regulation that have been proposed in the literature. It has been observed that a physiology-based and closedform mathematical model of autonomic-cardiac regulation has not been studied properly in the past. Considering that a physiology-based and closed-form mathematical model of autonomic-cardiac regulation is developed in this work. This mathematical model is used to investigate the system stabilty using an analytical, rather than numerical, stability analysis algorithm with both accuracy and computational efficiency. This model is also used to develop an artificial bionic baroreflex for treatment of baroreflex failure. 25 Chapter 3 Subject-Specific Monitoring of Autonomic-Cardiac Regulation Autonomic-cardiac regulation operates through interactions between the the CVS . The ANS dictates homeostasis in the CVS ANS and in order to maintain adequate blood flow to deliver oxygen and nutrients to organs by adjusting its effectors against internal (e.g., orthostatic hypotension) and external (e.g., hemorrhage) perturbations [41–43]. Specifically, the ANS adjusts BP , CO , and HR using different mechanisms, e.g., adjusting Sympathetic Nerve Activity (SNA ) and Parasympathetic Nerve Activity (PSNA ) on sinoatrial node, cardiac contractility, and peripheral resistance [17, 23, 51]. In particular, homeostasis in the CVS CVS SNA and PSNA are controlled to maintain against physical and/or emotional stressors acting on the [16, 56]. In this regard, autonomic-cardiac regulation is closely linked to car- diovascular disorders. Indeed, it has been suggested that the capacity of autonomiccardiac regulation (i.e., a measure of sympathovagal balance [90]) is an important predictor of an individuals’s health outcome [90, 100]. Subject-specific monitoring of autonomic-cardiac regulation has the potential to improve current treatments of autonomic-cardiac disorders such as chronic drugresistant hypertension and SCI . For example, the capacity of autonomic-cardiac regulation can be monitored and used to reduce excessive intake of anti-hypertensive drugs in individuals with chronic drug-resistant hypertension. The capacity of autonomic-cardiac regulation is also a criterion used to assess the severity of 26 injury in individuals with SCI as well as an indicator of life satisfaction in indi- viduals with high thoracic and cervical SCI [29, 30]. Moreover, the capacity of autonomic-cardiac regulation can be used to improve the current classification systems for the Paralympics to ensure a fair competition among Paralympians [31]. In addition, autonomic-cardiac regulation monitoring can be used to categorize the severity of the spinal cord injury, in regard to HR and BP regulation, with better accuracy. It can also be beneficial to assign proper special care to individuals with chronic hypertension as well as SCI . Several data-driven indices of autonomic-cardiac regulation, including the RSA and PEP , have been introduced using the autonomic blockade research methodol- ogy [101]. RSA and PEP are used as indices of PSNA [45, 87] and SNA [32, 45] on the cardiac cycle, respectively. However, there are critical limitations to the use of RSA on and PEP measures [86, 102]. For example, RSA is not a good measure of PSNA HR during mechanical ventilation or severe physical activity. RSA has limited capability to differentiate the inter-individual differences of the PNS [86]. PEP can only indicate the SNA on the heart, but it cannot be used to assess the sympathetic outflows to blood vessels. More importantly, these two measures are both calculated based on the heart rhythm; however, previous investigations (e.g., [67]) show that the SNA and PSNA may be better estimated by looking into multiple effector mechanisms. Subject-specific and model-based estimation techniques to identify and monitor autonomic-cardiac variables including blood flow and blood pressure have drawn attention [55, 103–108]. Nevertheless, only a small number of studies have addressed identification of the subject-specific, time-varying model parameters in autonomic-cardiac regulation by using model-based estimation techniques (e.g., [99]). The objective of this study is to develop and validate a model-based approach to subject-specific monitoring of autonomic-cardiac regulation. Note that the proposed method does not rely on the dataset containing invasive CO measurement, as discussed in this chapter. Moreover, as explained in Section 3.1.5, the use of CO measurement in the proposed method is not necessary; however, it will increase the parameter estimation accuracy. The proposed approach allows us to monitor temporal changes in autonomic-cardiac regulation by continuously identifying 27 time-varying changes in the autonomic-cardiac model parameters, including and PSNA on the heart (modulating HR ) and SNA SNA on the arterial tree (modulating peripheral resistance). The validity of the proposed approach was tested by using a number of experimental data from the MIMIC (Multiparameter Intelligent Monitoring in Intensive Care) database and the orthostatic hypotension tests performed in the Center for Hypotension at New York Medical College. 3.1 Methods and Algorithm We used a physiologically-based mathematical model of autonomic-cardiac regulation described by a set of coupled nonlinear and delayed differential equations. The mathematical model consists of 12 subject-specific parameters (VH , βH , α , P0 , α0 , ∆V , γ , Ca , τ , δH , H0 , R0a ; see Table 3.1) and two outputs: HR and BP. This model was chosen for its relative simplicity, which is crucial for successful system identification with routinely available clinical measurements. However, it is emphasized that the general idea constituting the proposed approach is applicable to more complicated physiologically-based autonomic-cardiac regulation models upon the availability of additional measurements. Figure 3.2 illustrates the aspects of autonomic-cardiorespiratory regulation introduced in Chapter 2 that were studied in this chapter. Given the task of identifying complex autonomic-cardiac regulation using the limited information included in routine clinical measurements, it was determined that only high-sensitivity parameters (whose changes significantly affect the system outputs, i.e., HR and BP) be individualized with the aid of system identification. To achieve this aim, parametric sensitivity analysis was used to classify the model parameters into two groups, high-sensitivity and low-sensitivity groups, according to the physiology underlying autonomic-cardiac regulation and the significance of each model parameter in terms of its impacts on the system outputs. Then, a system identification problem formulated as a nonlinear optimization was solved to estimate high-sensitivity model parameters associated with autonomiccardiac regulation; whereas, low-sensitivity parameters were fixed at their nominal values. The high-sensitivity parameters can be estimated properly by using HR and BP measurements, which can be non-invasively obtained in real clinical practice. 28 In addition to HR and BP , CO obtained using a direct measurement or an indirect analysis can be helpful in order to increase the fidelity of the estimated parameters. 3.1.1 Experimental Dataset We used experimental data from the MIMIC database and the orthostatic hypotension tests, each of which is described in detail below. The MIMIC dataset is described in detail in [47] and is freely available on the PhysioNet website [109]. It contains multiple physiologic signals of 121 subjects recorded from monitors in the intensive care units (ICUs) at the Beth Israel Hospital, Boston, MA [110]. In this dataset, the measured data of each subject usually contains ECG signals recorded by surface ECG leads and sampled at 500 Hz and ABP signal recorded by invasive radial artery catheterization and sampled at 125 Hz [110]. The data also contain several signals including systolic, diastolic, and mean ABP as well as beat-to-beat Hz [110]. The CO HR , which are computed and sampled at 0.9765 signal, recorded using thermodilution technique, is also avail- able for some subjects. In this work, four 1-hour data segments containing HR , mean ABP, and CO signals corresponding to four different subjects were extracted and subsequently used for analysis. The orthostatic hypotension dataset used in this study were collected from the Center for Hypotension at New York Medical College and are described in [46]. A single lead ECG, beat-to-beat continuous BP , respiratory plethysmography and capnography recordings as well as a Modelflow estimate of beat-to-beat CO (using a proprietary arterial pulse contour method) are included for each subjects undergoing head-up tilt table testing (upto 70◦ ). We used experimental data from two subjects to establish initial proof-of-concept of the proposed approach to monitoring autonomic-cardiac regulation. 3.1.2 Mathematical Model We adopted a model of autonomic-cardiac regulation proposed by Ottesen [16] and Fowler and McGuinness [7]. This model is schematically shown in Figure 3.1, and is described by two differential equations Equation 3.1-Equation 3.2. The model consists of two coupled nonlinear and delayed differential equations, each of which 29 Figure 3.1: Schematic diagram of the autonomic-cardiac regulation model. describes the dynamics of HR and BP regulation: βH Ts −VH Tp + δH H0 − H(t) 1 + γ Tp P(t) H(t)∆V Ṗ(t) = − 0 + , Ra (1 + α Ts )Ca Ca Ḣ(t) = where H is HR and P is BP . (3.1) (3.2) Ts = g1 (P(t − τ )) is the sympathetic control with the strength βH on the heart and α on the peripheral resistance, and Tp = 1−g1 (P(t)) is the parasympathetic control with the strength VH on the heart, where g1 (x) = 1 . 1+x4 Note that Ts (sympathetic control function) and Tp (parasympathetic control function) are dependent of BP, and the time delay associated with sympathetic pathway is denoted by τ . Since the PNS is relatively fast-acting in comparison with the SNS, the time delay associated with the PNS is neglected. This model is devised based on the physiologic mechanisms underlying autonomic-cardiac regulation and therefore is equipped with parameters having physiologic implications that dictate essential short-term regulation mechanisms of HR and BP such as baroreflex control of HR and peripheral resistance. The definitions and nominal values of the parameters in Equation 3.1-Equation 3.2 are adopted from Fowler and McGuinness [7] and summarized in Table 3.1. To emulate the in-vivo sympathetic and parasympathetic control functions, Ts and Tp with any explicit algebraic definition must always satisfy the following properties [16]: • 0 < Ts < 1; Ts ≃ 1 for P(t − τ ) small, and Ts ≃ 0 for P(t − τ ) large 30 Figure 3.2: An extensive block-diagram model of autonomiccardiorespiratory regulation [see Chapter 2] with emphasis on the parts studied in this chapter. The shaded parts are not described in the mathematical model Equation 3.1-Equation 3.2. • 0 < Tp < 1; Tp ≃ 0 for P(t) small, and Tp ≃ 1 for P(t) large • ∂ Tp ∂ Ts > 0 and < 0; i.e., Ts and Tp are monotonic functions ∂P ∂P Though the model g1 (x) = 1 1+x4 may reproduce baroreflex activity with accept- able accuracy, it has limited capability to be adapted at the individual level since it does not involve any tunable parameters. In this regard, we replaced it by the well-known sigmoid function [16, 18, 111–113], which includes parameters to represent inter-individual differences in baroreflex activity. That is, g1 (P) = 1 1+P4 in (Equation 3.1)-(Equation 3.2) is replaced with g2 (P) = 1 − σ (P). σ (P) is defined 31 Table 3.1: Parameters in the mathematical model of autonomic-cardiac regulation [7]. Parameter Ca R0a ∆V H0 τ VH βH α γ δH Definition arterial compliance minimum arterial resistance stroke volume intrinsic HR sympathetic delay parasympathetic control of HR sympathetic control of HR sympathetic effect on Ra parasympathetic damping of βH relaxation time Nominal Value 1.55 mlmmHg−1 0.6 mmHgsml −1 50 ml 100 min−1 3s 1.17 s−2 0.84 s−2 1.3 0.2 1.7 s−1 as follows: σ (P) = 1 1 + e−α0 (P−P0) 50 ≤ P ≤ 200. (3.3) The sigmoid function σ (P) is characterized using two variables, setpoint P0 and 1 sensitivity α0 . In contrast to the Hill function ( 1+P 4 ) which lacks physiological implications, the sigmoid function can be easily mapped to human physiology. For example, α0 shows the amount of baroreflex compensatory response against BP perturbation at P0 [67]. Since the maximum slope of the sigmoid function occurs at P0 , the baroreflex compensatory response assumes its maximum at P0 . Further, P0 shows the central tendency of the mean ABP [67]. 3.1.3 Sensitivity Analysis Since the number of unknown parameters is significantly greater than the number of independent equations in the autonomic-cardiac regulation model (i.e., an undetermined system), complete estimation of subject-specific model parameters without some constraints is not likely to be feasible [103, 114, 115]. To make the parameter identification feasible, we can fix some parameter values that are less relevant to model predictions by applying some a priori physiological knowledge or using sensitivity analysis. We can also use inequality constraints on high32 sensitivity parameters imposed by a feasible physiological range to effectively limit the range of values for the solutions on unknown parameters [114, 116]. To systematically select a subset of the model parameters amenable to identification from the observation of system outputs, we performed a sensitivity analysis on the model parameters and investigated the impacts of each model parameter on the system outputs. It is noted that H0 and R0a were excluded from this analysis, since they are not expected to vary much within the time scale of interest (from hours to days) within an individual. Indeed, H0 denotes the intrinsic or “denervated” expected to change much in an individual. In addition, TPR R0a HR , which is not denotes the minimum when the sympathetic excitation to the arterial tree (i.e., vasoconstriction) is minimal, which should be characterized mostly by the geometry (and properties to some extent) of the arterial vessels that is not supposed to vary significantly within the time scale of interest. In this work, therefore, H0 and R0a were classified into the category of invariant parameters. Thus, the nominal values listed in Table 3.1 were assigned to H0 and R0a during the system identification procedure. We then classified the remaining model parameters into high-sensitivity and low-sensitivity groups based on the results of the sensitivity analysis, thereby identifying a subset of parameters with significant impact on the system outputs that must be individualized by the system identification procedure. Essentially, even a small change in these high-sensitivity parameters yields a large change in outputs, whereas the outputs are not significantly impacted by (even large) changes in low-sensitivity parameters. Traditionally, parametric sensitivity in dynamic systems is analyzed in the frequency domain [117]. However, the frequency-domain technique is not applicable to the autonomic-cardiac regulation model Equation 3.1-Equation 3.2, mainly due to the nonlinearities in the model. To resolve this challenge, this work seeks to carry out sensitivity analysis in the time domain. To this aim, the sensitivity functions for HR and BP are defined as follows: H(t, µ j ) − H(t, µ j,0 ) H × µj S (t, µ j ) = H(t, µ j ) − µ j µ j,0 33 (3.4) (3.5) P(t, µ j ) − P(t, µ j,0 ) × µj S (t, µ j ) = P(t, µ j ) µ j − µ j,0 P (3.6) In Equation 3.4-Equation 3.6, SX (t, µ j ); X = H, P is the instantaneous sensitivity of X at time t due to perturbation of parameter µ j . In other words, SH (t, µ j ) and SP (t, µ j ) represent percent changes in HR and BP at time t due to a certain per- centage perturbation of parameter µ j from its nominal value. The total sensitivity function Equation 3.7 is obtained by combining the sensitivity functions of both system outputs, i.e., HR (H) and BP (P): S(t, µ j ) = SH (t, µ j ) + SP (t, µ j ) , 2 (3.7) where we decided to use equal weights of 0.5 to both SH and SP since we aim to analyze autonomic-cardiac regulation as a whole rather than BP or HR regulation separately. Due to the nonlinearity in the autonomic-cardiac regulation model, the S(t, µ j ) can assume different values depending on the amount and direction of perturbations given to the independent variable µ j . To develop a robust sensitivity metric against variations in magnitude of perturbations in the parameter µ j , we elaborated on the sensitivity function Equation 3.7 by considering the variation in µ j up to +/-50% in 1% increments, which yields the sensitivity metric as a function of time Equation 3.8: v u u u S j (t) = t 3 2 µ j,0 ∑ S2 (t, µ j ) (3.8) µ j = 21 µ j,0 Finally, a scalar metric S j in Equation 3.9 is calculated by aggregating the sensitivity values S j (t) in time to obtain the overall sensitivity of a particular parameter on the system output: v u t f inal u S j = t ∑ S2j (t) (3.9) tinitial The parameters are classified into high-sensitivity and low-sensitivity groups based on the values of S j . 34 3.1.4 System Identification To estimate subject-specific high-sensitivity parameters in Equation 3.1-Equation 3.2, a system identification method was developed based on an optimization problem minimizing the normalized L1 -error between measured versus model-estimated HR and BP signals. The error function (i.e., the objective function) was specified as follows: EP + EH J= ; 2 Xs (t, M) − Xm (t) , EX = ∑ Xm (t) n (3.10) t=0 where Xm (t) and Xs (t, M) (X = H, P) are measured and model-estimated output signals, respectively, and M is the set of high-sensitivity parameters in the autonomiccardiac regulation model, i.e., M = {VH , βH , α , P0 , ∆V }. For each 30s-long data segment, system identification was performed by opti- mizing the high-sensitivity parameters in Equation 3.1-Equation 3.2 so that the error function Equation 3.10 is minimized, while low-sensitivity parameters as well as H0 and R0a were fixed at their corresponding nominal values (Table 3.1). The optimization problem was solved using the fmincon routine with an active-set algorithm in the MATLAB Optimization Toolbox [118], which finds the constrained minimum of the multivariable nonlinear scalar function J in Equation 3.10 by using the Quasi-Newton approximation that determines the search direction using an approximation of the Hessian matrix during each optimization iteration[118]. The set of optimized high-sensitivity parameters minimizing the error function were used as their optimal estimates associated with the corresponding data segment. To perform system identification for the first data segment, the high-sensitivity parameters (VH , βH , α , P0 , and ∆V ) were initialized by assigning random values from a uniform distribution in the neighborhood (+/- 10%) of their respective nominal values. In all of the remaining data segments, the high-sensitivity parameters were initialized by the corresponding estimates in the previous data segment. We assumed that the high-sensitivity model parameters vary slowly within each 30s-long segment, so that they can be approximated as constants within each data segment. In fact, we assumed that the hemodynamic state of the subject is stable in each 30s interval, and thus the model parameters to be identified can be regarded as 35 constants. If a data segment involves abrupt changes in physiologic and/or mental states, the model parameters may represent the ”average" state corresponding to the data segment. The model-estimated HR and BP signals were calculated by solving the model equations Equation 3.1-Equation 3.2 on the interval [0 s,30 s] using the estimates of high-sensitivity model parameters in each 30s-long segment during the optimization process. In each segment, the model-estimated HR and BP in the previous segment were assigned as initial conditions for HR and BP, whereas the first measured HR and and BP BP samples were used as initial conditions to solve model-estimated HR in the first segment. In order to prevent the divergence of high-sensitivity model parameters out of the physiologically relevant range during the course of the optimization procedure, the range of each model parameter was constrained as follows: µ j,Nom < µ j < 2µ j,Nom ; 2 µ j ∈ M, (3.11) where µNom is the nominal value of µ taken from Table 3.1. 3.1.5 Validation To establish the performance of the proposed approach, it is necessary to evaluate the accuracy and repeatability of the system identification procedure. To evaluate the accuracy of the parameter estimates, the proposed system identification method was first applied to the idealized data. The idealized data are a set of 30s-long simulated HR and BP signals under the idealized setting with nominal model parameter values in the absence of any structural uncertainty (i.e., model mismatch). We performed a total of 500 system identification trials, which resulted in 500 sets of high-sensitivity parameter estimates. For each system identification trial, the highsensitivity parameters were randomly initialized in the neighborhood (+/- 50%) of their corresponding nominal values while the low-sensitivity parameters were fixed at their nominal values. The accuracy of the system identification method was assessed by examining the distributions of the index Equation 3.12, which is the ratio 36 Figure 3.3: Measured versus the model-estimated signals (Case No.: 289); blue is measured signals and black is model-estimated signals. of each individual parameter estimate and its actual counterpart. IµEval = j µ Est j µ Nom j , 1 ≤ j ≤ 12 (3.12) To evaluate the repeatability of the system identification method, it was applied 50 times to each 30s-long segment of the experimental data corresponding to four subjects obtained from the MIMIC dataset (case numbers 476, 486, 289 and 477). For each 30s-long data segment, 50 system identification trials were carried out with 50 distinct, randomized initial conditions for the high-sensitivity parameters. The mean and standard deviation of the estimated high-sensitivity parameters associated with each 30s-long data segment were studied to assure the repeatability of the proposed system identification method. In comparison with HR and BP that can be measured easily in clinical practice, CO measurement is usually accessible only from critically ill patients. To assess 37 Table 3.2: Sensitivity-based parameter classification. High-sensitivity P0 ∆V VH βH α the benefit of using CO Low-sensitivity γ Ca τ α0 δH Invariant H0 R0a measurements in the system identification procedure (i.e., to quantify how much the availability of CO data can improve its performance), we applied the proposed system identification procedure to both idealized and experimental data in the absence/presence of available, the CO by HR , SV CO data. In case the CO data were (∆V ) was not estimated but was calculated directly by dividing thereby eliminating uncertainty associated with ∆V . Otherwise, it was fixed at its nominal value in the absence of CO data. Our expectation was that the use of CO measurement may lead to better model-estimated HR and BP signals, and accordingly, the estimates of the autonomic-cardiac model parameters with better accuracy. 3.2 Results and Discussion 3.2.1 Sensitivity Analysis The overall sensitivity metric S j of the autonomic-cardiac model parameters are illustrated in Figure 3.5. The model parameters were classified into high-sensitivity (P0 , ∆V , VH , βH , and α ) and low-sensitivity parameters (γ , Ca , τ , α0 , and δH ) based on their overall sensitivity metric Equation 3.9 (see Figure 3.5). It is noted that all the parameters pertaining to ANS (VH , βH , α and P0 ) were assigned to the high- sensitivity group as anticipated. These high-sensitivity parameters were used to fit the model-estimated HR and BP to their measured counterparts during the system identification procedure. 38 for the estimated high-sensitivity Figure 3.4: Distribution of the index IµEval j parameters in a set of 500 idealized simulations. Since the sensitivity analysis was performed in the neighborhood of the nominal values shown in Table 3.1, the classification results obtained based on S j may be affected by the nominal values. To investigate the effect of perturbations in the nominal values on S j and to assess the consistency of the parameter classification strategy employed in this chapter, we repeated the sensitivity analysis for 100 sets of distinct nominal values. Each set contained nominal values randomly selected from +/-20% intervals in the neighborhood of the associated nominal values listed in Table 3.1. Figure 3.5 shows the mean and standard deviation of 100 calculated S j values associated with each model parameter. It can be concluded that the classification shown in Table 3.2 would not be affected significantly by reasonable perturbations in the nominal model parameter values. 39 Figure 3.5: The overall sensitivity (mean and standard deviation) of autonomic-cardiac model parameters over 100 sensitivity analysis runs with nominal values selected from +/-20% the associated nominal values introduced in Table 3.1. 3.2.2 System Identification 1) Idealized Data: Overall, the proposed system identification procedure performed well. Figure 3.4 shows the distribution of the index Equation 3.12 for the estimated high-sensitivity parameters (VH , βH , α and P0 ) obtained from the 500 system identification trials on the idealized data. The distributions corresponding to VH , βH , α and P0 are mostly centered around the unity (see Figure 3.4), suggesting that high-sensitivity parameters are accurately estimated based on our proposed system identification procedure even when the low-sensitivity parameters were fixed at their nominal values. Since the system identification could accurately estimate the autonomic-cardiac model parameters in the idealized dataset, its potential to accurately estimate the model parameters in the experimental dataset can be regarded 40 as promising. 2) MIMIC Dataset: The top panels of Figure 3.6-Figure 3.9 depict the measured signals (BP, HR , and CO ) for 4 individuals taken from the MIMIC dataset, and the bottom panels depict the baroreflex-modulated SNA and PSNA (VH Tp , βH Ts , and α Ts ) derived from the estimated model parameters for the corresponding four individuals, where the solid line shows an average value of 50 estimated baroreflexmodulated SNA and PSNA , whereas the shaded area indicates the corresponding standard deviation. The relatively small standard deviation (which suggests the uncertainty related to system identification) supports the repeatability of the proposed system identification procedure. We further scrutinized the experimental results to examine whether the identified autonomic-cardiac model parameters are reasonable based on a priori knowledge on the behavior of autonomic-cardiac regulation as follows. Consider Figure 3.6. First, gradual decrease in BP during t=100 s-500 s is the consequence of gradual decrease in α Ts (baroreflex-modulated SNA on arterial tree), while a sudden drop (≃ −5%) of CO at t=360s is compensated by the increase in α Ts at t=360 s to maintain stable HR and BP . Moreover, an abrupt increase in (≃ +25%) at around t=1000 s ( 3.6a) is caused by an abrupt increase in βH Ts (baroreflex-modulated SNA on the heart) at t=1000 s. Note that HR and BP are HR dependent variables according to the model (Equation 3.1)-(Equation 3.2) but CO is an independent variable. Now consider Figure 3.7. At t=1740 s, a sudden drop (≃-30%) in the measured CO is observed. However, there is no specific change in HR and BP . Therefore, it is reasonable not to observe any changes in βH Ts and VH Tp (baroreflex-modulated PSNA on the heart), but to observe a sudden increase in α Ts to maintain stability of the system by increasing TPR. There are abrupt increases in HR BP (≃+30%) and (≃+5%) at t=2700 s, which are caused by the increase in α Ts and decrease in VH Tp . Overall, these results suggest, to a large extent, the physiologic relevance and consistency of the proposed system identification procedure. Similar interpretation could be made for the remaining datasets to which the proposed approach was applied. Finally, it is important to note that SNA and PSNA may or may not act antago- nistically. Indeed, βH Ts and VH Tp at t=1000 s in Figure 3.6b act antagonistically, 41 whereas the opposite pattern can be observed in Figure 3.7b. For example, a large reduction in VH Tp occurs at t = 2700s, which is accompanied by a slight reduction in βH Ts . In fact, simultaneous activation of SNA and PSNA is not uncommon ac- cording to the recently proposed notion of co-activation [90]. Indeed, a series of studies performed by Cacioppo and Berntson shows that psychological processes and higher neuro-behavioral substrates can result in independent activation or even co-activation of SNA and PSNA [12, 90]. 3) Orthostatic Hypotension Dataset: During the postural changes from supine to upright positions (which can be caused either by tilting the bed or standing), blood volume is redistributed in the lower extremities due to gravity [95]. As a consequence, blood volume returning to the heart in each cardiac cycle (venous return) falls resulting in diminished CO , SNA stabilize SV on the heart increases while ABP by modulating HR and CO . PSNA In response to this decrease in on the heart increases decreases to and SV . The activation of SNA on the arterial tree is different for standing and tilting situations, because the body’s skeletal muscle contraction helps to maintain venous return in an appropriate range during standing whereas muscle contraction has no role during tilting. Figure 3.10 shows the results of applying the proposed system identification procedure to the orthostatic hypotension test data of two subjects. In regards to the first subject, the two upper panels of Figure 3.10a show that the subject is in the supine position starts being tilted at t=400 s, and is then brought back to the supine position at t=1060 s after the tilting maneuver ends. The three lower panels in Figure 3.10a show that βH Ts increases and VH Tp decreases to increase HR to maintain homeostasis in BP regulation once the tilting maneuver commences. After the tilting maneuver ends, HR decreases, while BP increases with some delay (Figure 3.10a). Note that this observation can be caused only by an increase in VH Tp and a decrease in βH Ts to decrease HR and an increase in α Ts to increase mean ABP through TPR. The three lower panels in Figure 3.10a clearly show that the proposed approach could estimate successfully these anticipated changes in SNA and PSNA acting on both the heart and the arterial tree. The results shown for the second subject in Figure 3.10b exhibit trends consistent with those of the first subject and they both support the potential of the proposed approach in monitoring the autonomic-cardiac regulation. 42 (a) Measured vs. model-estimated signals: BP, HR, and CO (b) Identification results: α Ts , βH Ts , and VH Tp Figure 3.6: Experimental results from MIMIC dataset (Case No.: 476). 43 (a) Measured vs. model-estimated signals: BP, HR, and CO (b) Identification results: α Ts , βH Ts , and VH Tp Figure 3.7: Experimental results from MIMIC dataset (Case No.: 486). 44 (a) Measured vs. model-estimated signals: BP, HR, and CO (b) Identification results: α Ts , βH Ts , and VH Tp Figure 3.8: Experimental results from MIMIC dataset (Case No.: 289). 45 (a) Measured vs. model-estimated signals: BP, HR, and CO (b) Identification results: α Ts , βH Ts , and VH Tp Figure 3.9: Experimental results from MIMIC dataset (Case No.: 477). 46 (a) Subject I (b) Subject II Figure 3.10: System identification results on the orthostatic hypotension dataset to monitor SNA and PSNA during a tilt test. The two top panels show the measured vs. model-estimated HR and BP signals, and the three bottom panels show the identification results: α Ts , βH Ts , and VH Tp . 47 3.2.3 Limitations of the Proposed Approach Despite its promising preliminary results, this study has a number of limitations as discussed below. First, comparing the system identification results with and without the use of CO measurements, the results with CO measurements incorporated into the system identification procedure were superior to the results without CO measurements. This means that the proposed approach may benefit from the availability of CO measurements. Figure 3.11 shows a typical result comparing model-estimated HR and BP signals with and without CO measurements (Case No.: 289). The thermodilution technique (which is accepted as the gold standard CO nique [119]) was used in this individual to measure Figure 3.11 shows that the accuracy of the model-estimated the measured CO HR and BP CO . measurement tech- signals can be improved by using signal in the system identification procedure. Accordingly, it is expected that the accuracy of the estimated baroreflex-modulated SNA and PSNA (i.e., α Ts , βH Ts , and VH Tp ) will be enhanced as well. Considering that currently available techniques for direct measurement of CO with acceptable accuracy, in- cluding the thermodilution technique, are highly invasive [120], the use of CO data for the purpose of system identification may not be practical. Non-invasive techniques including echo-cardiography [121], electrical velocimetry [122] and the use of pulse contour methods to estimate CO from arterial BP waveform using the morphological feature (e.g., [120, 123, 124]), can be considered potential alternatives. Second, the possible interdependence between model parameters was not explored in this paper. For example, physiology dictates that related to arterial compliance (Ca ) and by the afterload if TPR TPR (in particular, SV R0a ), (∆V ) is essentially e.g., SV is affected increases. The incorporation of a priori knowledge on the interdependence between model parameters may have improved the outcomes of system identification. Further, it is important to emphasize that the structural coupling among α , Ca and R0a , and between ∆V and Ca in Equation 3.2 could be avoided using the classification of model parameters used in this study (Table 3.2). Indeed, α could be uniquely identified since R0a and Ca were fixed at their nominal values. Likewise, ∆V could also be uniquely identified since Ca was fixed at its nominal value. 48 Figure 3.11: Measured versus model-estimated HR and BP signals with and without the use of measured CO signal (Case No.: 289); blue are measured signals, black are model-estimated signals with measured CO and red are model-estimated signals without measured CO. Third, due to the nonlinear dynamic nature of autonomic-cardiac regulation, the sensitivity of the model parameters may depend on their respective nominal values. This, in turn, suggests that the classification of the autonomic-cardiac parameters as presented in Table 3.2 may also depend on the values of the model parameters (or equivalently, the underlying physiologic state). The nominal model parameter values used in this study were well-suited for an average adult in a stable resting state. However, the model parameters may need to be re-classified when applying the proposed system identification approach to subject groups under highly non-nominal physiologic and/or mental conditions. Fourth, to make maximal use of the limited information contained in the HR and BP data, we chose to identify a subset of parameters characterizing the autonomiccardiac regulation model that largely impacts the HR and BP signals. This ap- 49 proach is, in fact, not uncommon when identifying systems involving many parameters (e.g., [125]). It was claimed that fixing the invariant parameters may be well-justified physiologically (see Section 3.1.3 for details). However, the lowsensitivity parameters may vary in time, and physiologic justification of fixing these parameters at constant values is not trivial. Regardless, the effect of fixing these low-sensitivity parameters on the estimates of high-sensitivity SNA and PSNA parameters is expected to be non-significant, since the low-sensitivity parameters cannot alter the HR and BP signals (which are used in the system identification procedure to estimate the SNA and PSNA parameters) much due to their small impact on these signals. Lastly, although this study provides an initial evidence and proof-of-concept for the physiologic relevance of the estimates of autonomic-cardiac regulation parameters (as demonstrated by the physiologically anticipated changes in the estimated SNA and PSNA parameters in response to head-up tilt tests; see Figure 3.10), the clinical strength of the proposed method for diagnostic/therapeutic procedures is yet to be investigated deeply . In this regard, this study must be regarded as a preliminary feasibility study to estimate autonomic-cardiac regulation parameters based on easily accessible clinical measurements; additional in-depth work is necessary before the clinical value of the proposed method can actually be claimed. 3.2.4 Autonomic-Cardiac Regulation Monitoring The model parameters of autonomic-cardiac regulation (e.g., VH , βH , α , and P0 ) and, therefore, baroreflex-modulated SNA and PSNA (α Ts , βH Ts , and VH Tp ) are subject-specific, time-varying (short-term and long-term), and health-dependent. The model parameters are subject-specific because physiologic differences of the ANS and CVS among different individuals result in different statistical properties (e.g., mean and variance) in the baroreflex-modulated SNA and PSNA (Table 3.3). The model parameters of autonomic-cardiac regulation are also time-varying in both short-term and long-term periods. For example, the model parameters are continuously adjusted in response to physical and emotional stressors in order to maintain the stability of vital physiologic variables such as HR and BP (short-term). Additionally, as humans age, neural reflexes become slower, thereby resulting in 50 larger delays in the sympathetic pathways (τ ) associated with older adults (longterm). We showed that autonomic-cardiac regulation is health-dependent since individuals with different types of stress reactivity can be differentiated by the characteristic of autonomic-cardiac regulation, especially the baroreflex characteristic (Ts and Tp ) [6]. Therefore, a subject-specific monitoring method for autonomiccardiac regulation can be used to identify the underlying regulation mechanism and to diagnose the ANS - and CVS -related deficiencies [99, 126]. Further, we can deduce valuable physiologic information from autonomic-cardiac regulation monitoring based on the variation of estimated parameters in different subjects under the same physiologic condition, and similarly within a subject under different physiologic conditions. The non-invasive direct measurement method for SNA and PSNA is not avail- able. Therefore, non-invasive indirect measurement methods such as electrocardiogram-based indices (e.g., RSA and PEP ), galvanic skin response method, and model-based measurement methods have been used to estimate For example, the galvanic skin response method measures SNA SNA and PSNA . using the electri- cal conductance of the skin which changes according to the skin’s moisture level, which is itself altered by changes in the SNA. It has been proposed that the RSA shows activity of the PNS and the PEP shows activity of the SNS [32]. However, the efficacy of RSA and PEP are limited in comparison with model-based measurement methods for SNA and PSNA since they are calculated solely on the basis of the electrocardiogram signal, while model-based measurement methods are developed based on the complex physiological structure of autonomic-cardiac regulation. In this work, we therefore proposed a model-based monitoring method for autonomic-cardiac regulation using a mathematical model that takes into account important physiologic parameters in the regulation mechanism. The proposed method can potentially be used to improve non-invasive autonomic-cardiac regulation monitoring. 3.3 Conclusions and Future Work In this chapter, we presented initial evidence and proof-of-concept for a novel subject-specific model-based monitoring method for autonomic-cardiac regulation 51 Table 3.3: Statistical properties of the identified baroreflex-modulated and PSNA : mean±std Case No. 476 486 289 477 βH .Ts 0.40 ± 0.08 0.62 ± 0.10 0.45 ± 0.07 0.64 ± 0.07 VH .Tp 0.27 ± 0.06 0.28 ± 0.13 0.25 ± 0.03 0.25 ± 0.09 SNA α .Ts 1.21 ± 0.17 1.04 ± 0.40 0.75 ± 0.06 0.39 ± 0.12 that uses a computationally efficient system identification method with routine clinical measurements: HR and BP. We used CO measurement in this chapter as provided in the MIMIC dataset; however, the proposed method has not been developed with the assumption of incorporating CO measurement (refer to Section 3.2.3). Note that some non-invasive CO estimation techniques including electrical velocimetry and echocardiography have also been introduced recently. The proposed method is effective in estimating the time-varying and subject-specific characteristics of autonomic-cardiac regulation, since it accommodates the complex nature of the regulation mechanism through a mathematical model rather than calculating arguable features directly extracted from signal measurements. Our proposed model-based monitoring method has the potential to eliminate the limitations of competing methods currently available (e.g., RSA and PEP ) such as lack of inter- individual separability and lack of fidelity during mechanical ventilation or severe physical exercise. In the future, more intensive experimental validation of the proposed method must be performed to further assess its efficacy in monitoring autonomic-cardiac regulation. The method should also be improved by incorporating the impact of the respiratory system on the regulation mechanisms for HR and BP, which will consequently lead to an enhancement in the fidelity of the system identification results (i.e., in terms of α Ts , βH Ts , and VH Tp ). Note that the system identification technique must be revised to be applicable to the mathematical model with respiratory effects. In addition, the proposed method must be compared with the conventional markers of SNA and PSNA , including the time-domain measures of the HRV. Further, the use of multi-dimensional autonomic-cardiac spaces (such as VH Tp -βH Ts , VH Tp -α Ts , and βH Ts -α Ts ) may be investigated to assess and differen52 tiate the capacity of autonomic-cardiac regulation in different individuals. Finally, an extensive clinical study must be conducted to determine the clinical usefulness of the proposed method for diagnostic and therapeutic procedures. 53 Chapter 4 Model-Based Stability Analysis of Autonomic-Cardiac Regulation Autonomic-cardiac regulation operates through interactions between the the CVS . ANS and The ANS mostly regulates involuntary organ function and maintains homeostasis in the CVS against physical (e.g., exercise and orthostatic hypoten- sion) and psychological (e.g., fear and anxiety) stressors [41–43]. The ANS adjusts cardiorespiratory parameters, including BP, HR, vascular resistance and respiratory rate (RR), to deliver adequate oxygenated blood flow to organs in different conditions [45]. In general, autonomic-cardiac regulation is regarded as stable if BP and HR converge to equilibrium states after a certain amount of transient time when it is exposed to a stressor, whereas it is considered unstable if HR and BP exhibit non-decaying or slowly-decaying oscillations or diverge from their normal values. It is well known that undesirable changes in the dynamics of the autonomic-cardiac regulation (e.g., an excessive increase in the time delay of sensory afferent pathways) can result in an onset of instabilities in BP and HR [16, 23]. Cavalcanti et. al. [18, 23] showed that perturbations in autonomic-cardiac parameters affect the stability of the CVS. Ottesen [16] showed that switching between stability and instability of the CVS can occur depending on the value of the time delay associ- ated with the baroreflex feedback mechanism. He also demonstrated that complex dynamic interactions between nonlinearities and delays in autonomic-cardiac regulation may cause instability [16]. Abbiw-Jackson [127] reported that an increase 54 in the gain of the baroreflex feedback loop controlling venous volume may cause the onset of oscillation in BP. Deboer et. al. [128] also showed that the time delay in the baroreceptor feedback loop may be the cause of the Mayer waves (low-frequency oscillations in the mean arterial BP ). As a result, stability analysis of autonomic-cardiac regulation may be beneficial in improving current diagnostic and treatment methods for ANS-CVS disorders. Model-based stability analysis is useful to examine the system-level causes of instability and the stability margin in autonomic-cardiac regulation [23, 128]. For example, several model-based analyses of the baroreflex mechanism have revealed that mechanisms underlying the baroreflex are responsible for the Mayer waves [16–18]. In another model-based analysis, it was shown that autonomic-cardiac regulation may remain stable or be driven to instability in response to changes in the baroreflex parameters, even if the baroreflex delays remain constant, i.e., the stability of the autonomic-cardiac regulation is sensitive to both time delays and other parameters associated with baroreflex [16]. A model-based study was also used to show that baroreflex modulation does not promptly return to a steady state in hypertensive elderly individuals during postural change from sitting to standing [99]. Model-based analysis of autonomic-cardiac regulation was also used in investigating the reliability of the heart period variability index to study the autonomic regulatory mechanisms [66]. However, to the best of our knowledge, existing results using the model-based approach for stability analysis of the autonomic-cardiac regulation have limited capability for quantifying stability margins, although some previous studies have qualitatively examined the impacts of parameter configurations on the stability margin of ANS -CVS [3, 16]. Moreover, it is crucial to maintain a certain degree of stability margin in autonomic-cardiac regulation for individuals with, for example, treatment-resistant hypertension. In a recent study, we developed an optimization-based system identification approach to characterize autonomic-cardiac regulation mechanisms based on a physiology-based ANS -CVS model [1], which we used to conduct a preliminary feasibility study on the model-based stability analysis of autonomic-cardiac regulation [3]. In this work, we present a model-based approach to investigate the stability of autonomic-cardiac regulation. A unique strength of the proposed approach is its capability to determine the stability margin of autonomic-cardiac regulation 55 quantitatively and computationally efficiently once the model parameter configuration is given. Specifically, the proposed approach quantifies the stability margin of autonomic-cardiac regulation via two key contributions: 1) an analytical method to determine the equilibrium states of the autonomic-cardiac regulation and 2) a systematic approach to analyze the system stability in the vicinity of the equilibrium state. First, we validated our approach by comparing our analysis results to well-established physiological concepts; we then used this approach to explore potential model parameter configurations that can incur instability in autonomic-cardiac regulation. We also demonstrated that the proposed approach can determine the equilibrium state and quantify its stability with a high level of accuracy. This approach is very powerful in identifying the system-level cause of instability in the autonomic-cardiac regulation by virtue of its capability to determine the stability margin associated with model parameter configurations. 4.1 Methods and Algorithm In this section, the physiology-based mathematical model of autonomic-cardiac regulation that is used for the proposed stability analysis is described. The delayfree realization of the mathematical model is then devised to be used in further analysis. The proposed stability analysis consists of three steps. In the first step, the equilibrium state of autonomic-cardiac regulation, in terms of BP and HR, is identified as a closed-form steady-state solution of the mathematical model Equation 4.10 presented (see Section 4.1.3). In the second step, the model of autonomic-cardiac regulation is linearized around the equilibrium state to obtain the Jacobian matrix of the system that can be used to assess its stability in the neighborhood of the equilibrium state. In the last step, the stability margin of autonomic-cardiac regulation is quantified using the eigenvalues of its Jacobian matrix (see Section 4.1.4). We validated our proposed stability analysis using a simulation dataset. 4.1.1 Physiology-Based Model: Delayed Differential Equations A wide variety of mathematical models for autonomic-cardiac regulation with different levels of complexity have been proposed in the literature. Examples include a three-element Windkessel model of CVS 56 with baroreflex represented by a series connection of delayed first-order linear dynamics and a sigmoid nonlinear function [23], a simple nonlinear feedback control system containing an amplitude-limiting nonlinearity added to a linear feedback model comprising delay and lag terms for the vasculature and a linear proportional-derivative controller for the ANS [96], a set of two coupled nonlinear and delayed differential equations describing and BP HR regulation mechanisms [7], and a relatively complex model consisting of a Windkessel model and Starling heart for the hemodynamic section, a saturated linear function for baroreceptor section, and a set of first-order systems for autonomic control section [55]. Considering that a high-fidelity, physiology-based, and closed-form mathematical model is required to develop an analytical, rather than numerical, stability analysis algorithm with both accuracy and computational efficiency, we adopted a model described by Fowler [7]. The autonomic-cardiac regulation model used in this chapter is described by: βH Ts −VH Tp + δH H0 − H(t) 1 + γ Tp P(t) H(t)∆V Ṗ(t) = − 0 + , Ra (1 + α Ts )Ca Ca Ḣ(t) = where H is HR , and P is mean arterial BP . (4.1) (4.2) The definitions and nominal values of the parameters in Equation 4.1-Equation 4.2 are summarized in Table 4.1. In this model, the sympathetic and parasympathetic modulating functions generated by the baroreflex control mechanism are denoted by Ts and Tp , respectively. The time delay associated with the sympathetic pathway is denoted by τ , whereas the parasympathetic delay was assumed to be negligible [37]. In this study, we neglected the inhibitory impact of the parasympathetic system on the sympathetic system by setting γ ≃ 0 in Equation 4.1-Equation 4.2, as it is well known that its effect on overall autonomic-cardiac regulation is generally small [7, 16]. The mathematical model Equation 4.1-Equation 4.2 is then rewritten as follows: Ḣ(t) = βH Ts −VH Tp + δH H0 − H(t) P(t) H(t)∆V Ṗ(t) = − 0 + . Ra (1 + α Ts )Ca Ca (4.3) (4.4) The sympathetic and parasympathetic modulating functions Ts and Tp can be 57 Table 4.1: Parameters in the mathematical model of autonomic-cardiac regulation. Parameter Ca R0a ∆V H0 τ VH βH α γ δH Definition arterial compliance minimum arterial resistance stroke volume intrinsic HR sympathetic delay vagal tone sympathetic control of HR sympathetic effect on Ra vagal damping of βH relaxation time Nominal Value 1.55 mlmmHg−1 0.6 mmHgsml −1 50 ml 100 min−1 3s 1.17 s−2 0.84 s−2 1.3 0.2 1.7 s−1 modeled as sigmoid functions with amplitude-limiting characteristic [96]. A sigmoid function, σ (P), is characterized by a setpoint and a sensitivity coefficient [113, 129] as follows: σ (P) = where P0 and α0 are the 1 1 + e−α0 (P−P0) 50 ≤ P ≤ 200. (4.5) setpoint and the sensitivity of the baroreflex mech anism, respectively. Substituting Ts = 1 − σ P(t − τ ) and Tp = σ P(t) into BP Equation 4.3-Equation 4.4 yields: h i Ḣ(t) = βH 1 − σ P(t − τ ) −VH σ P(t) + δH H0 − H(t) Ṗ(t) = − R0a H(t)∆V P(t) h . i + C a 1 + α 1 − σ P(t − τ ) Ca (4.6) (4.7) 4.1.2 Delay-Free Realization To alleviate analytical and computational challenges that can potentially arise in the course of stability analysis of autonomic-cardiac regulation, the transport delays associated with the sympathetic and parasympathetic responses were replaced by approximations. Note that this essentially simplifies the original infinite-dimensional 58 model Equation 4.6-Equation 4.7 to a finite-dimensional model. For this purpose, we employed the first-order Pad é approximation to eliminate the delayed stated variable P(t − τ ) as follows. First, a new state variable X is defined as follows: Pτ (t) = P(t − τ ) ⇒ L Pτ (s) = P(s)e−τ s ≃ P(s) ⇒ Pτ (s) ≃ P(s)(−1 + 1 − τ2 s 1 + τ2 s 2 ) 1 + τ2 s 2 Pτ (s) ≃ −P(s) + P(s) 1 + τ2 s 2P(s) Pτ (s) + P(s) ≃ | {z } 1 + τ2 s ⇒ ⇒ X(s) X (s) = Pτ (s) + P(s) ⇒ L −1 ⇒ P(t − τ ) = X (t) − P(t) (4.8) which serves as the output equation relating P(t − τ ) to P(t) and X . The state equation dictating the dynamics of X is obtained as follows: X (s) ≃ 2P(s) 1 + τ2 s ⇒ L −1 ⇒ ⇒ τ X (s) + X (s) ≃ 2P(s) 2 τ X (t) + Ẋ(t) ≃ 2P(t) 2 2 Ẋ(t) ≃ 2P(t) − X (t) τ (4.9) Using Equation 4.8 and Equation 4.9, the delay-free realization of the autonomic-cardiac regulation model Equation 4.6-Equation 4.7 can be obtained as Equation 4.10, shown below. 4.1.3 Identification of Equilibrium States At an equilibrium state of the system described by Equation 4.10, time derivatives of the the state variables are zero, i.e., Ẇ(t) = 03×1 , and the state variables reach their respective steady-state values P(t) = P(t − τ ) = Pf , H(t) = H f , and X (t) = X f . 59 f1 H(t), P(t), X (t) Ẇ(t) = Ṗ(t) ≃ f2 H(t), P(t), X (t) Ẋ(t) f3 H(t), P(t), X (t) βH 1 − σ X (t) − P(t) −VH σ P(t) + δH H0 − H(t) P(t) H(t)∆V − + C (4.10) = a R0a 1 + α 1 − σ (X (t) − P(t)) Ca 2 2P(t) − X (t) τ Ḣ(t) Therefore, Equation 4.10 at the equilibrium state can be rewritten into: h i 0 = βH 1 − σ (X f − Pf ) −VH σ (Pf ) + δH H0 − H f (4.11) 0 = − (4.12) Pf H ∆V h i + f Ca R0a 1 + α 1 − σ (X f − Pf ) Ca 2 2Pf − X f τ 0 = (4.13) Note that, according to Equation 4.13, X f = 2Pf and Equation 4.11-Equation 4.12 reduce to a set of two algebraic equations as shown below: 1 βH 1 − σ (Pf ) −VH σ (Pf ) + δH H0 δH = H f ∆V R0a 1 + α 1 − σ (Pf ) = Hf Pf (4.14) (4.15) which further simplifies to: Hf Pf 1 βH + δH H0 − σ (Pf ) βH +VH δH = H f ∆V R0a 1 + α − α σ (Pf ) . = (4.16) (4.17) Deriving closed-form solutions of the equilibrium state (H f and Pf ) from these nonlinear equations is not trivial. Employing a numerical optimization method 60 using MATLAB Optimization Toolbox [118] or solving the set of nonlinear differential equations using a delay differential equation solver in MATLAB [130] may be considered suitable options. However, there are three potential drawbacks: large convergence time especially for a slowly varying system, relatively expensive computational load and potential convergence to local minima. To avoid these drawbacks, we propose a method to derive a closed-form, analytical solution for the equilibrium states using a linearized form of Equation 4.16Equation 4.17. To linearize the nonlinear term σ (Pf ) in Equation 4.16-Equation 4.17, σ (Pf ) in Equation 4.5 can be approximated into the following piecewise linear function in which σ (Pf ) is replaced by a set of three linear functions representing its behavior in low, normal and high BP regions: k1 P + c1 ; Pmin ≤ P ≤ P1 σ (P) ≃ σlin (P) = k2 P + c2 ; P1 ≤ P ≤ P2 k3 P + c3 ; P2 ≤ P ≤ Pmax (4.18) where Pmin and Pmax were assigned as 50 and 200 in this work. Further, P1 and P2 are estimated based on a constrained optimization that minimizes an error between the sigmoid function σ (P) and its linear approximation σlin (P). The constraints are: 1) two lines k1 P + c1 and k3 P + c3 pass through [Pmax , 1] and [Pmin , 0], respectively, and 2) the slope of the line k2 P + c2 is equal to the slope of σ (P) at the inflection point ∂ 2 σ (P) ∂ P2 = 0, which yields k2 = ∂ σ (p) ∂P = α 4 . According to Equation 4.18, the steady-state equations Equation 4.16-Equation 4.17 can be rewritten into a set of linear equations for each region with corresponding slope ki and y-intercept ci , i ∈ {1, 2, 3}, as follows: Hf Pf 1 βH + δH H0 − (ki Pf + ci )(VH + βH ) δH = H f ∆V R0a 1 + α − α (ki Pf + ci ) = (4.19) (4.20) which can ultimately be reduced to: Hf Pf = A6 A1 − A2 Pf = H f A5 A3 − A4 Pf . 61 (4.21) (4.22) where A1 = βH + δH H0 − ciVH − ci βH , A2 = ki (VH + βH ), A3 = 1 + α − α ci , A4 = α ki , A5 = ∆V R0a , and A6 = δ1H . Equation 4.21-Equation 4.22 can be reformulated into the following quadratic equation solely based on Pf : Pf = A5 A3 − A4 Pf A6 A1 − A2 Pf | {z } (4.23) Hf or, aPf2 + bPf + c = 0 (4.24) where a = −A4 A2 A5 A6 , b = A4 A1 A5 A6 + A3 A2 A5 A6 + 1, and c = −A1 A3 A5 A6 . The closed-form solution for Pf is then obtained as follows: Pf1,2 √ −b ± b2 − 4ac = 2a (4.25) Once Pf is determined, H f can be easily calculated as a function of Pf using Equation 4.21: H f1,2 = A6 A1 − A2 Pf1,2 (4.26) It is noted that, since Pf and H f are not known a priori, their candidate values must be determined for the three regions specified in Equation 4.18. The three pairs of Pf and H f thus obtained must then be validated against the corresponding regions. For instance, Pf and H f determined from σ (P) = k2 P + c2 is regarded as valid if P1 < Pf < P2 . 4.1.4 Stability Analysis To the best of our knowledge, there is no well-accepted method for global stability analysis of nonlinear dynamic systems with delays, which include the autonomic-cardiac regulation model used in this study. However, according to the Hartman-Grobman Theorem [131], stability properties of a nonlinear system in the vicinity of an isolated equilibrium state can be determined by investigating the properties of its linearization in the neighborhood of the equilibrium. Note 62 that the equilibrium states obtained by our analysis are isolated in the sense that they are uniquely determined for the autonomic-cardiac regulation model once its parameter configuration is provided. In order to exploit linear systems theory to solve our problem, we developed the delay-free realization Equation 4.10 of the delayed nonlinear autonomic-cardiac regulation model. The stability of autonomic-cardiac regulation can be assessed by calculating the Jacobian matrix (JJ ) or the state matrix of the nonlinear system Equation 4.10 at an estimated equilibrium state W f = [H f , Pf , X f ]T as follows: ∂ ( f1 , f2 , f3 ) J (W f ) = ∂ (H, P, X ) W f −δH J (W f ) = ∆V C a 0 −βH ∂ f1 ∂H ∂ f2 = ∂H ∂ f 3 ∂H ∂ σ (X − P) ∂ σ (P) −VH ∂P ∂P ∂ f1 ∂P ∂ f2 ∂P ∂ f3 ∂P ∂ f1 ∂X ∂ f2 ∂X ∂ f3 ∂ X W=W f (4.27) ∂ σ (X − P) ∂X (X − P) ∂ σ 0 −PRaCa α ∂X (4.28) 2 0 RaCa 1 + α [1 − σ (X − P)] −2 τ W=W f −βH ∂ σ (X − P) −R0aCa [1 + α (1 − σ (X − P))] − PR0aCa α ∂P 2 0 RaCa 1 + α [1 − σ (X − P)] 4 τ Taking partial derivatives of the delay-free realization Equation 4.10 at a given equilibrium state W f = [H f , Pf , X f ]T yields the Jacobian matrix Equation 4.28 where e−α0 (Pf −P0 ) ∂ σ (P) . |W=W f = α0 ∂P [1 + e−α0 (Pf −P0 ) ]2 (4.29) According to the Hartman-Grobman theorem [131], the original nonlinear system (i.e., the autonomic-cardiac regulation) is stable in the neighborhood of an equilibrium state if all the eigenvalues λi (i = 1, 2, 3) of the state matrix (JJ ) have negative real parts, whereas it is unstable if any of its eigenvalues has a positive real part. To quantitatively investigate conditions suggested by the Hartman-Grobman theorem and also to calculate the stability margin of the system, we propose the 63 following stability margin metric, Sm : Sm = max real(λi ) i=1,2,3 (4.30) where real(·) denotes the real part of its argument, and λi is the i-th eigenvalue. Sm represents the stability margin of the original system at the point of linearization, and Sm < 0 is required for a stable system. In fact, Sm is a quantitative index representing the stability margin of the autonomic-cardiac regulation whose absolute value measures the distance between the dominant system pole and the imaginary axis. The system generally forfeits its stability margin, i.e., approaches to instability, as Sm becomes closer to zero. 4.1.5 Simulation Data In this study, we generated two simulation-based datasets to validate the proposed approach for estimating the equilibrium states and analyzing the stability of autonomic-cardiac regulation. First, to validate our approach to estimate the BP HR and equilibrium states, we generated 100 parameter configurations for the auto- nomic-cardiac regulation model Equation 4.1-Equation 4.2 in which each model parameter was determined randomly from a uniform distribution within 80% and 120% of the corresponding nominal value (see Table 4.1). Second, to validate our approach to analyze the stability of autonomic-cardiac regulation, we considered two distinct mental conditions: normal and stressed. The normal condition was simulated by assigning normal parameter values listed in Table 4.1 to the model parameters, while the stressed condition was simulated with appropriate changes in the sympathetic and parasympathetic reflex parameters. Specifically, VH was decreased by 50%, whereas βH and α were increased by 100% [50]. For each of the mental conditions, we generated 12 sets of 100 parameter configurations. In each set only a single parameter in the autonomic-cardiac regulation model Equation 4.1-Equation 4.2 was altered from 50% to 200% of its nominal value, while other parameters were fixed at their respective (i.e., normal or stressed) nominal values. 64 4.1.6 Validation of the Proposed Approach Using the datasets described above, the validity of the proposed approach was examined as follows. First, for each of the 100 parameter configurations generated to validate the proposed approach for estimating the equilibrium state of autonomic-cardiac regulation, the equilibrium state determined by the proposed approach was compared with those obtained numerically via numerical optimization and nonlinear simulation. For this purpose, we first computed HR and BP equilibrium states using Equation 4.25-Equation 4.26 according to the proposed approach. Then, to obtain HR and BP equilibrium states via numerical optimiza- tion, we solved Equation 4.14-Equation 4.15 for H f and Pf using the MATLAB Optimization Toolbox [118]. Second, the nonlinear dynamic autonomic-cardiac regulation model Equation 4.6Equation 4.7 was simulated with MATLAB’s delay-differential equation solver (dde23), from which HR and BP equilibrium states were determined as the steadystate values of simulated HR and BP time series obtained directly from the orig- inal nonlinear autonomic-cardiac regulation model. The fidelity of the equilibrium states obtained from the proposed approach was assessed by its consistency with those obtained from numerical optimization and nonlinear simulation via the Bland-Altman analysis. Finally, in order to validate the proposed approach for analyzing the stability margin of autonomic-cardiac regulation, the proposed analytical stability metric, Sm , was compared to an empirical metric, S p , obtained directly from a nonlinear simulation Equation 4.31, which was defined based on the absolute amount of fluctuation of BP P(t) around its steady state: 30 Sp = ∑ t=1 P(t) − P(t) P(t) , (4.31) where P(t) was calculated by solving the original nonlinear system model Equation 4.6Equation 4.7 using the dde23 routine in MATLAB [118]. For the dataset generated to validate the proposed approach for analyzing the stability of autonomic-cardiac regulation, the proposed metric, Sm , was calculated using Equation 4.28 and Equation 4.30. The empirical metric, S p , was calculated using Equation 4.31. 65 (a) BP (b) HR Figure 4.1: Comparison of equilibrium states estimated using the proposed analytical approach Equation 4.25 against numerical optimization (left panel) and nonlinear simulation (right panel). In addition to comparing Sm with S p , the validity of the proposed stability metric was further assessed using a priori knowledge of the relationship between autonomic-cardiac regulation model parameters and its stability. In particular, we tested whether or not the proposed stability margin metric deteriorated as parasympathetic tone (VH ) decreased and/or sympathetic tone (βH ) increased, as reported in the literature [50]. We also tested if the stability margin metric degrades as sympathetic delay is increased [18]. 66 Figure 4.2: Two metrics for stability margin Sm and S p over changes of a model parameter from 50% to 200% of its nominal value for a healthy physiological condition with and without stress. Sm is the blue solid line; S p is the green dashed line. A normal condition (i.e., VH , βH , and α were fixed at their nominal values). 67 Figure 4.3: Two metrics for stability margin, Sm and S p , over changes of a model parameter from 50% to 200% of its nominal value for a healthy physiological condition with and without stress. Sm is the blue solid line; S p is the green dashed line. A stressful condition (i.e., a 50% lower VH and 100% higher βH and α compared to their nominal values). 68 4.2 Results and Discussion 4.2.1 Identification of Equilibrium States The Bland-Altman analysis clearly indicates that the equilibrium states determined by the proposed analytical approach are highly consistent with those obtained from numerical optimization and nonlinear simulation. Specifically, with respect to the nonlinear simulation results, bias and 95% confidence interval associated with BP equilibrium states were only 1.0mmHg and 0.4mmHg, respectively, and bias and 95% confidence interval associated with HR were both less than 0.5bpm (see Figure 4.1). Therefore, we can conclude that the proposed analytical approach could estimate equilibrium states very accurately with relatively low computational burden, when compared with those estimated by numerical optimization and nonlinear simulation. Note that the low computational burden of the proposed method will be observed during high-dimensional stability analysis of the timevarying mathematical model. Further, the proposed approach does not suffer from issues associated with local minima since it is not an optimization-based method. Finally, the proposed approach computes the equilibrium states associated with each parameter configuration independently of the dynamic characteristics of autonomic-cardiac regulation, which often cause problems when nonlinear simulation is used to obtain equilibrium states of slowly varying systems. 4.2.2 Proposed Stability Metrics Figure 4.2-Figure 4.3 show the behaviour of Sm and S p calculated for the dataset that we generated to validate the proposed approach for analyzing the stability of autonomic-cardiac regulation. Using this dataset with a wide range of variation in each parameter (i.e., 50% to 200%), we can investigate the pure effect of a single model parameter on the stability margin of autonomic-cardiac regulation in different physiologic conditions. Sm and S p values in response to variations in a single parameter in the autonomic-cardiac regulation model are depicted in Figure 4.2-Figure 4.3 for normal and stressful conditions. Overall, the tendency in behaviors of the proposed stability margin metric, Sm , and the empirical metric, S p , were qualitatively consistent in most cases. It is noted that although inconsistency 69 in pattern between Sm and S p was observed for Ca in the normal condition, it was regarded as noncritical since the sensitivity of the metrics to Ca was relatively small compared with those to other parameters. The discrepancy in pattern between Sm and S p associated with γ is due to the fact that γ is set to zero in the model used to develop the proposed approach to stability analysis, whereas its value is not zero in the model used for simulating autonomic-cardiac regulation. Therefore, the effect of a single model parameter on the stability of autonomic-cardiac regulation can be examined by analyzing the stability margin metric, Sm , over a desired parameter space. Figure 4.2-Figure 4.3 also suggest that the proposed stability metric, Sm , exhibits behavior consistent with well-known physiologic knowledge on the relationship between the stability of autonomic-cardiac regulation and sympathetic/parasympathetic tones and delays. In particular, the stability margin of autonomic-cardiac regulation is expected to decrease as cardiac vagal tone (VH ) decreases or cardiac sympathetic tone (βH ) increases [90]. Figure 4.2-Figure 4.3 show that the magnitude of Sm decreases with decreasing VH and increasing βH in both nominal (Figure 4.2) and stressful (Figure 4.3) conditions, as anticipated. It is known that the stability margin of autonomic-cardiac regulation decreases as sympathetic delay (τ ) increases [18]. Indeed, the magnitude of Sm is shown to decrease with increasing sympathetic delay; the system may become unstable for a large enough delay. In essence, along the consistency with S p , these observations support the validity of the proposed approach to analyze the stability of autonomic-cardiac regulation. The results suggest that the effect of autonomic-cardiac parameters on stability margin is not always monotonous, i.e., an increase (or a decrease) in a model parameter does not always cause a strict decrease or increase in the stability margin. In Figure 4.2-Figure 4.3, the stability margin is shown to be related monotonously to most parameters in the autonomic-cardiac regulation model, including Ca , τ , α0 , VH , βH , α , and δh , but it is shown to be enhanced or deteriorated depending on the value of R0a , P0 , and H0 . These parameters can be critical in determining the stability margin of autonomic-cardiac regulation, since they complicate the analysis of autonomic-cardiac stability. Further, we also observe in Figure 4.3 that a large peripheral resistance may help the stabilizing effort of autonomic-cardiac regulation 70 under stressful conditions. 4.2.3 Multi-dimensional Stability Analysis Comparing Figure 4.2 and Figure 4.3 suggests that the reliance of stability margin on each individual model parameter pertaining to autonomic-cardiac regulation is distinct for different physiologic conditions, e.g., normal condition or stressful condition. For instance, the stability of autonomic-cardiac regulation is largely affected by R0a in Figure 4.2, but the effect of R0a is relatively small in Figure 4.3. Further, a decrease in the nominal value of δh may cause instability during a stressful condition, whereas the same change in δh causes a decrease in the stability margin only during a normal condition. The patterns in the reliance of the stability margin on H0 and γ are largely different between Figure 4.2 and Figure 4.3. Since γ represents the inhibitory strength of the PNS on the cardiac sympathetic tone βH , the significance of γ on the stability margin will be increased during a stressful condition with an increased βH . These observations indicate that physiologic conditions (as represented by a particular parameter configuration in the autonomic-cardiac regulation model) must be accounted for when studying the impact of autonomic-cardiac parameters on the stability of autonomic-cardiac regulation. Considering that autonomic-cardiac regulation is a multi-parameter nonlinear system with delay, one-dimensional stability analysis (i.e., stability analysis over changes in a single model parameter) may not provide a comprehensive perspective on the stability of autonomic-cardiac regulation. For instance, the pattern of reliance of Sm on H0 is dependent on the entire parameter configuration as indicated in Figure 4.2-Figure 4.3. Because of this, it is preferable to analyze the stability properties of autonomic-cardiac regulation and its stability margin against simultaneous changes in multiple parameters, i.e., the stability properties of autonomic-cardiac regulation should be examined in a multi-dimensional parameter space. An important strength of the proposed approach is that it can examine the effect of changes in multiple parameters on the stability of autonomic-cardiac regulation. Figure 4.4 graphically illustrates the reliance of the proposed stability metric, Sm , Equation 4.30 on simultaneous changes of two parameters (baroreflex set point P0 and another parameter). Accordingly, the stability properties of au- 71 Figure 4.4: The proposed stability metric, Sm , over 2-D parameter spaces from 50% to 150% of their nominal values for a normal physiological condition. The quantitative stability margin metric, Sm , at each point of the 2-D parameter space is mapped into a pixel-intensity level. A higher pixel-intensity level is related to lower stability margin, and vice versa. tonomic-cardiac regulation against changes in two distinct model parameters can be easily predicted. In essence, Figure 4.4 properly demonstrates the complexities associated with multi-dimensional stability analysis of autonomic-cardiac regulation, i.e., interaction among autonomic-cardiac model parameters in determining its stability. Figure 4.4, for example, depicts that a specific amount of change in P0 can have different influences on the stability of autonomic-cardiac regulation in the presence of simultaneous changes in other parameters. Indeed, large P0 results in smaller stability margin in response to increasing H0 , whereas large P0 yields a larger stability margin in response to increasing Ca . Overall, Figure 4.4 clearly demonstrates the importance of analyzing the stability of autonomic-cardiac regulation in multi-dimensional parameter space; mush in-depth work on this issue in follow-up studies is warranted. Autonomic-cardiac regulation can also be studied using a hybrid dynamical systems framework that describes a physical system with a combination of continuous and discrete parts to represent time- and event-based behaviors [132]. Autonomiccardiac regulation is a complex, nonlinear physiological system that can be approximated with several relatively simple, linear mathematical models in different op- 72 erating points. Different physiologic conditions (e.g., normal condition or stressful condition) described with a specific set of model parameters generates some complexities in stability analysis. Using the framework of hybrid dynamical systems reduces complexities to analyze the system stability, and it may increase the accuracy of mathematical modeling to capture physiological behaviors [133]. The linearized mathematical model introduced in this chapter will be beneficial to analyze the stability of autonomic-cardiac regulation using a hybrid system framework. 4.2.4 Limitations This study has a number of limitations, as discussed below. First, the mathematical model may not capture every significant mechanism in HR and BP regulation. For example, baroreflex control of SV , respiratory coupling on CVS (refer to Chapter 6), and chemoreflex mechanism are not described in the current mathematical scheme, and therefore, they were not included in the stability analysis results. Second, we assumed that all of the parameters in autonomic-cardiac regulation are independent of one another in the simulated data; this may not be true in reality. Thus, it is possible that a small portion of the simulated data we used to validate the proposed approach may not be good reproductions of reality. In-depth understanding of interactions and dependence among the parameters is required to resolve this issue. Third, to study hemodynamic instability in an individual, we must first develop a subject-specific mathematical model (refer to Chapter 3) and then perform stability analysis. For example, we used empirical minimum/maximum BP values to linearize the sigmoidal baroreflex characteristic Equation 4.18. In the future, the proposed method must be improved by specifying the model parameters for each subject. 4.3 Conclusion and Future Work In this chapter, we proposed a model-based analytical approach to stability analysis of autonomic cardiac regulation. Based on a physiology-based model of au73 tonomic-cardiac regulation, we developed an analytical and computationally efficient method to estimate the equilibrium states of the system, and we developed a systematic approach to stability analysis of autonomic-cardiac regulation that can provide a quantitative metric of stability margin. The efficacy of the proposed approach was examined using a series of simulation experiments. Future work will include developing 1) an approach to analyze global stability of autonomic-cardiac regulation, 2) computationally efficient strategies to identify parameter configurations associated with autonomic-cardiac instability in multi-dimensional parameter space, and 3) novel intervention and therapeutic strategies to maintain the stability of autonomic-cardiac regulation. 74 Chapter 5 A Novel Approach to the Design of an Artificial Bionic Baroreflex The ANS maintains homeostasis in the CVS through many negative feedback mechanisms including the baroreflex (the major short-term blood pressure control mechanism) to deliver adequate oxygenated blood flow to organs in response to physical (e.g., exercise and orthostatic hypotension) and psychological (e.g., fear and anxiety) stressors [41–43]. In the CVS, instantaneous arterial BP is sensed by baroreceptors located on the major arteries. Accordingly, a series of commands is produced by the baroreflex and transmitted to the heart, arteries, and other organs to maintain homeostasis in the CVS. An artificial bionic baroreflex consists of pressure sensors to measure arterial BP and a neurostimulator that generates an electrical pulse train to stimulate sympathetic and parasympathetic nerves regulated by a computerized device [36, 134]. The gravitational effect on circulation during postural changes provokes a baroreflex response to prevent hypotension and hypoperfusion of the brain [39]. Therefore, baroreflex failure in individuals with severe orthostatic hypotension (e.g., individuals with traumatic SCI s) may result in loss of consciousness during a sittingto a standing-position change resulting in a severely impaired quality of life [36, 135]. Moreover, the prevalence of drug-resistant hypertension (i.e., BP remains above 140/90 mmHg in spite of the concurrent use of three anti-hypertensive med75 ications [58, 136]) has increased in recent years [136, 137]. An artificial bionic baroreflex is aimed to be an effective treatment for baroreflex failure in individuals with drug-resistant hypertension and severe orthostatic hypotension. In [39], the open-loop transfer function of the baroreflex was identified using white noise perturbation after anatomically isolating the carotid sinuses by assuming that the baroreflex works linearly in some physiological pressure range. Kawada and Sugimachi [135] presented encouraging results to regarding the prevention of orthostatic hypotension in anesthetized cats by using epidural spinal cord stimulation and frequency analysis. The nerve stimulation devices can be implanted or percutaneously inserted into the skin’s surface. We proposed a method to design an artificial bionic baroreflex by mimicking the in-vivo baroreflex mechanism. This method can be used to adjust existing neurostimulator devices to regulate BP within an individual’s CVS (Figure 5.1). The proposed method consists of two parts: a sigmoidal characteristic that mimics the modulating baroreflex functions on the SNA and PSNA and an adaptation mecha- nism that adjusts the sigmoidal characteristic to different physiological conditions (e.g., exercise and sleep) as well as pathological conditions (e.g., hypertension and cardiovascular disorders). The adaptation mechanism resetting the baroreflex characteristic is devised according to the physiological adjustment mechanism of the in-vivo baroreflex. Further, we analyzed the robustness of the proposed controller scheme in regard to the model uncertainty showing the inter-individual differences in autonomic-cardiac regulation. 5.1 Methods and Algorithm In this section, we first briefly explain the experimental data obtained from the MIMIC dataset, which is used in this study. We then present a physiology-based mathematical model of autonomic-cardiac regulation described by two coupled nonlinear and delayed differential equations. Subsequently, the system identification technique introduced in [1] and used to develop subject-specific models for three subjects is briefly explained. In this study, the subject-specific mathematical model has been used instead of the individual’s in-vivo autonomic-cardiac regulation (Figure 5.2). Finally, the proposed method to design an artificial bionic 76 Figure 5.1: Schematic model of autonomic-cardiac regulation with emphasis on the baroreflex baroreflex is described and is followed by a robustness analysis of the proposed control strategy. 5.1.1 Experimental Data We examined the proposed method using experimental data of autonomic-cardiac regulation in three subjects taken from the MIMIC dataset [47]. A 1-hour sample of HR and BP signals in each individual is extracted and divided into 30s-long data segments to be used in the system identification section. The MIMIC dataset contains physiologic signals including HR , BP , and CO in different lengths contin- uously recorded at approximately 1 Hz from intensive care unit (ICU) monitors. The MIMIC dataset is freely available on the PhysioNet website [109]. 5.1.2 Mathematical Model We introduced a physiology-based mathematical model of the autonomic-cardiac regulation in Chapter 3 by using two coupled differential equations Equation 5.1Equation 5.2 having nonlinear and delayed dynamic interactions, each of which 77 Table 5.1: Model parameters of autonomic-cardiac regulation. Parameter Ca R0a ∆V H0 τ VH βH α γ δH Definition arterial compliance minimum arterial resistance stroke volume intrinsic HR sympathetic delay vagal tone sympathetic control of HR sympathetic effect on Ra vagal damping of βH relaxation time Nominal Value 1.55 mlmmHg−1 0.6 mmHgsml −1 50 ml 100 min−1 3s 1.17 s−2 0.84 s−2 1.3 0.2 1.7 s−1 describes the dynamics of HR and BP regulation as follows: Ḣ(t) = βH Ts −VH Tp + δH H0 − H(t) H(t)∆V P(t) + Ṗ(t) = − 0 Ra (1 + α Ts )Ca Ca where H is HR , and P is mean arterial BP . (5.1) (5.2) The definitions and nominal values of the parameters in Equation 5.1-Equation 5.2 are summarized in Table 5.1. In this model, the modulating baroreflex functions on the SNA and PSNA are denoted by Ts and Tp , respectively. The modulating baroreflex functions on the SNA and PSNA (i.e., Ts and Tp ) can be modeled using a sigmoid function σ (P) with an amplitude-limiting characteristic [96]. σ (P) is defined as follows: σ (P) = 1 1 + e−α0 (P−P0) 50 ≤ P ≤ 200. (5.3) The sigmoid function σ (P) is characterized using two variables, setpoint P0 and sensitivity α0 [113, 129]. To simulate the in-vivo sympathetic and parasympathetic modulating functions, we substitute Ts = 1 − σ P(t − τ ) and Tp = σ P(t) into Equation 5.1-Equation 5.2. Parametric sensitivity analysis is conducted on the model to classify the model parameters into high-sensitivity and low-sensitivity groups based on their relative 78 Figure 5.2: Schematic model of the proposed artificial bionic baroreflex impacts on the system outputs. H0 and R0a were initially classified into the category of invariant parameters since they are essentially constant within an individual in a short-time interval. The remaining model parameters were classified into highsensitivity (VH , βH , α , ∆V , and P0 ) and low-sensitivity (α0 , γ , Ca , τ , δH ) groups, according to the results of the sensitivity analysis, to select a subset of parameters with significant impact on the system outputs (i.e., high-sensitivity group). The detailed description of the mathematical model and parametric sensitivity analysis is explained in Chapter 3. 5.1.3 System Identification To estimate subject-specific high-sensitivity parameters in Equation 5.1-Equation 5.2, a system identification method was developed based on an optimization problem minimizing the normalized L1 -error between measured versus model-estimated HR and BP signals. The system identification was performed by optimizing the high- sensitivity parameters such that the error function Equation 5.4 became minimized in each 30s-long data segment, whereas low-sensitivity and invariant parameters were fixed at their corresponding population nominal values (Table 5.1). The error 79 Figure 5.3: BP measurement (BP setpoint) vs. the results of the artificial bionic baroreflex (simulated BP) for individual with subject number 477. function (i.e., the objective function) was specified as follows: EP + EH ; J= 2 Xs (t, M) − Xm (t) , EX = ∑ Xm (t) n (5.4) t=0 where Xm (t) and Xs (t, M) (X = H, P) are measured and model-estimated output signals, respectively, and M is the set of high-sensitivity parameters in the autonomiccardiac regulation model, i.e., M = {VH , βH , α , P0 , ∆V }. The optimization problem was solved using the fmincon routine with an active-set algorithm in the MATLAB Optimization Toolbox [118], which finds the constrained minimum of a multivariable nonlinear scalar function J using Quasi-Newton approximation. The set of optimized high-sensitivity parameters minimizing the error function was used as estimates of high-sensitivity parameters for the corresponding data segment. The system identification method has been thoroughly described in Chapter 3. 5.1.4 Artificial Bionic Baroreflex The artificial bionic baroreflex is a negative-feedback control system containing a set of sensors that measures BP , a computerized device that determines the con- trol action and a set of electrodes that stimulates the sympathetic and parasympa- 80 Figure 5.4: BP measurement (BP setpoint) vs. the results of the artificial bionic baroreflex (simulated BP) for individual with subject number 486. Figure 5.5: BP measurement (BP setpoint) vs. the results of the artificial bionic baroreflex (simulated BP) for individual with subject number 476. 81 thetic efferent nerves. This system continuously measures BP and computes the frequency of a pulse train required to stimulate sympathetic and parasympathetic efferent nerves. The measured time-varying BP BP (BPm ) must be compared continuously to the setpoints (BPsp ), the BP level providing the need of body organs for oxygenated-blood, to be used in the control scheme. If the BPm differs from the BPsp , the baroreflex characteristic is adjusted so that the BP to gradually reaches the BPsp . Note that determining the BPsp signal is a challenge, and the proposed method has been developed based on a given BPsp signal. In theory, the timevarying BP setpoints must be estimated based on the major vital needs of the body, e.g., the oxygenated blood-flow supply to the brain during physical (e.g., exercise and orthostatic hypotension) and psychological (e.g., fear and anxiety) stressors. In this study, individuals were replaced by subject-specific mathematical models describing autonomic-cardiac regulation of each subject, and simulated BP (BPsim ) was used instead of BPm continuously compared against BPsp . The baroreflex effects on the autonomic-cardiac regulation are achieved by modulating and PSNA (VH , βH , and α ) using Ts and T p . For example, when the BP SNA must de- crease to reach the setpoint, T p must reset such that its magnitude at the same BP level becomes higher. This causes HR to decrease and then BP to decrease. As T p is a sigmoidal curve, P0 must reset to a lower value in order to obtain a higher HR decelerating parasympathetic effect and vice versa. Therefore, P0 , then sigmoidal characteristic, must be updated by the adjustment rule as follows: P0 (t + ∆) = P0 (t) + k · (BPm − BPsp) (5.5) where k is a positive coefficient representing the pace or the strength of the adjusting mechanism in response to an error in the BP regulation, and ∆ is an interval in which the baroreflex characteristic needs to be updated. The adjustment rule Equation 5.5 is initialized by P0 = 100. Moreover, to be consistent with baroreflex physiology, P0 is constrained between 50 mmHg and 200 mmHg. A very large k may cause overshoot in the control system, while a very small k may cause a large settling time, preventing proper adjustment of the baroreflex characteristic to track the BPsp . This coefficient is empirically tuned to k = 0.08 by considering both overshoot and settling time of the control system. The time inetrval, ∆, in 82 Equation 5.5 is 30s in this study; however, it can be set to a larger or smaller value depending on the pace of variation in BPsp . 5.1.5 Robustness Analysis To validate the robustness of the proposed control strategy in regard to model uncertainty as well as inter-individual differences, we generated 100 sets of model parameters showing 100 different mathematical models of autonomic-cardiac regulation. In each set of model parameters, the high-sensitivity parameters were assigned to random values from a uniform distribution in the neighborhood (+/-50%) of their respective individualized nominal values (Table 5.2), while the remaining parameters were fixed at their population nominal values (Table 5.1). The BP set- points were also assigned to the BPm of the individual whose nominal parameter values were selected to generate the 100 sets of random values. 5.2 Results and Discussion Since we aimed to use a subject-specific mathematical model for each individual, the mathematical model Equation 5.1-Equation 5.2 was specified by estimating individualized nominal values for high-sensitivity parameters in each subject, whereas the remaining parameters were assigned by their population nominal values (Table 5.1). As the MIMIC dataset contains CO measurement, we calculated an individualized nominal value of ∆V for each subject instead of either estimating ∆V by the proposed identification technique or using the population nominal value. Accordingly, we obtained a time series of VH , βH , and α with a 1-hour length using the system identification technique; the average value of these parameters over a 1-hour length was calculated to be assigned as individualized nominal values (Table 5.2). Note that the individualized high-sensitivity parameters must be updated at every 1-hour (or any other length initially assumed) interval of data in future studies. We obtained three sets of model parameters representing three subjects in the 1-hour interval to evaluate the proposed method for designing an artificial bionic baroreflex. To evaluate the proposed method, we compared the simulated BP obtained based on the control strategy Equation 5.5 versus the BP setpoints Figure 5.3-Figure 5.5. 83 (a) BP measurement (BP setpoint) vs. the results of the artificial bionic baroreflex (simulated BP) (b) The calculated control signal P0 Figure 5.6: The results of robustness analysis for an individual with subject number 477. The solid line shows an average value of 100 simulated signals obtained by the proposed control strategy, whereas the shaded area indicates the corresponding standard deviation. In each panel of Figure 5.3-Figure 5.5, the top figure shows the BP measurements used as BP setpoints versus simulated BP obtained by the proposed artificial bionic baroreflex and the bottom figure shows the tracking error over the 1-hour interval. In each subject shown in Figure 5.3-Figure 5.5, the tracking error is considerably higher during t=0 s - 100 s because of the P0 initialization. After t>100 s, P0 converges to a proper value to control the BP regulation system. Since we assumed that the control strategy would not respond very rapidly, several abrupt changes in the BP setpoints during t=1000 s - 1300 s in Figure 5.3 and t=1700 s - 1800 s in Figure 5.5 which may be originated due to the measurement noise caused the 84 Figure 5.7: The calculated control signal, P0 , in three subjects tracking error to become large. Figure 5.7 shows the calculated P0 for 3 subjects. The large tracking error between t=2700 s and t=3200 s in Figure 5.4 and the saturated P0 at 200 s during the same interval indicates that the control strategy was not able to track the setpoints successfully in that interval. Figure 5.6 shows the exemplary results of robustness analysis for an individual (Subject I). Figure 5.6a indicates that the proposed control strategy meets the setpoint tracking specification (low tracking error) regardless of variability in model parameters as well as parameter identification error described by a large uncertainty in the model parameters (VH , βH , and α ). Indeed, we showed that the proposed control strategy is robust against model uncertainty by tolerating large variations in P0 (Figure 5.6b). To evaluate the proposed approach in a clinical setting, we must perform a clinical study in which the regulation mechanism of the baroreflex on sympathetic and vagal nerves are replaced with an external controller. The closed-loop in-vivo 85 Table 5.2: Individualized nominal values of high-sensitivity parameters in three subjects versus corresponding population nominal values. VH βH α ∆V I (477) 0.65 1.5 0.7 46 Subject II (486) III (476) 1.37 2.13 0.87 0.68 1.36 1.55 40 36 Population 1.17 0.84 1.3 50 baroreflex must be opened at the level of efferent or afferent nerves according to the level/type of injury in the baroreflex mechanism, and an electrical stimulator must be subcutaneously implanted to be overridden the corresponding nerves. The electrical stimulator is a rate responsive pulse generator, and the stimulation frequency and magnitude must be adjusted based on calculated P0 (Figure 5.7). As mentioned above, the electrode placement site will be different according to the level/type of injury in the baroreflex mechanism. For example, afferent baroreceptor nerves may need to be overridden in individuals with chronic drug-resistant hypertension, while efferent nerves may need to override in individuals with SCI . Sensory information, such as BP and HR measurement, is needed in the closed-loop control scheme. For example, BP can be sensed by in-vivo mechanism (e.g., afferent baroreceptor nerves) or artificial receptors (e.g., implanted microstrain gauges) according to the specific physiological condition of the individual. Since there is no in-vivo HR measurement mechanism, the artificial HR sensors may improve the efficiency of the proposed approach. In order to determine the optimal site of electrode placement to stimulate sympathetic and vagal nerves, we must investigate ease of access, significance of effect, and possible side effects [38]. 5.3 Conclusions and Future Work This chapter presented the feasibility and potential for a computationally efficient closed-loop control scheme to design an artificial bionic baroreflex that can be used in the treatment of baroreflex failure. The recently introduced open-loop BP control schemes will be improved by the proposed closed-loop technique to accommodate the time-varying needs of BP level in different daily life conditions. In the future, 86 the proposed approach should be validated extensively in clinical settings. 87 Chapter 6 Mathematical Modeling of Autonomic-Cardiorespiratory Regulation Autonomic-cardiorespiratory regulation operates through interactions between the ANS , the cardiovascular system, and the respiratory system. The ANS maintains homeostasis in the cardiorespiratory system in order to deliver adequate oxygenated blood flow to organs against physical (e.g., exercise and orthostatic hypotension) and psychological (e.g., fear and anxiety) stressors [41–43]. The ANS consists of two branches, the PNS , which is dominant in “rest and digest" states, and the SNS, which is aroused in “fight or flight" states. The ANS regulates RR , ILV , BP , CO , and HR using different mechanisms, e.g., adjusting SNA and PSNA on the sinoatrial node, cardiac contractility, and peripheral resistance [17, 23, 51]. A variety of mathematical models to describe autonomic-cardiac regulation using black-box and white-box (physiology-based) approaches have been proposed previously [23, 55, 96]. However, a physiology-based mathematical model for the respiratory system impacts has been investigated to a certain extent [43]. Further, the respiratory system impacts on and BP HR (i.e., respiratory sinus arrhythmia or RSA ) (i.e., venous return variation) have either been neglected [55] or simply modeled by a non-physiology function (e.g., a sine function) [64]. In this chapter, we introduce a physiology-based mathematical model of auto88 nomic-cardiorespiratory regulation described by a set of three coupled nonlinear and delayed differential equations, each of which describes the regulation of BP , and RR. A unique HR , strength of the proposed model is its physiology-based mod- eling approach to describe most of the internal mechanisms within in-vivo systems. Recently, we proposed a relatively improved model of autonomic-cardiac regulation [1] based on the work of Fowler et. al. [7]. However, the respiratory system dynamics and effects such as venous return variation during respiration phases, lung stretch-receptor reflex and respiratory generator center were not studied in [1]. 6.1 Methods and Algorithm In this section, we first describe the experimental dataset collected in this study. Then, we present the physiological background associated with major causes of HR and BP fluctuations. A mathematical model of autonomic-cardiac regulation (without respiratory system effects) described by a set of two coupled nonlinear and delayed differential equations is also introduced. We then present an improvement in the mathematical model that describes neuromechanical and mechanical coupling of cardiovascular and respiratory systems, i.e, lung stretch-receptor reflex and venous return variations. We also introduce a differential equation to model RR regulation that mainly originates from the medullary respiratory center in the brainstem, which is influenced by voluntary actions and chemoreflex. 6.1.1 Experimental Dataset We collected autonomic-cardiorespiratory signals including ECG , BP waveform, and Tidal Volume (TV ) from 18 healthy subjects without any cardiovascular disorder history during an LBNP experiment followed by a respiration maneuver using the Pneumocard and Portapress devices. The experiment was approved by Simon Fraser University board of ethics (Appl. # 2012s0078; Dated November 26,2012) and consent form was signed by the participants. Figure 6.1 depicts an example of recorded signals during different stages of the LBNP test. 89 Figure 6.1: Physiological measurement during LBNP experiment in an individual; mean BP, SV , and HR were calculated according to the BP waveform and ECG recordings. 6.1.2 Physiological Background HR fluctuations around the mean the SNS and PNS HR (also referred to as HRV ) are generated by in the cardiorespiratory control system. In healthy individuals, the HRV spectrum shows two predominant peaks: one at low frequency around 0.1 Hz (Mayer waves) associated with arterial pressure biofeedback. The other one, at higher frequency around 0.25 Hz (corresponding to respiration frequency), is called RSA . RSA is mainly generated through two mechanisms: neural-based modulation of cardiac vagal activation by the medullary respiratory center and neuromechanical-based modulation of cardiac vagal activation by the lung stretchreceptor reflex [84]. RSA has been observed at the approximate respiratory fre- quency even in the absence of respiration due to the activation of the medullary respiratory center [85]. The lung stretch-receptor reflex inhibits and excites cardiac vagal activation tone during inspiration (lung inflation) and expiration (lung 90 deflation) respectively, causing a decrease and an increase in heart periods during respiratory cycles [84, 85]. The synchrony of heart period fluctuations (i.e., HRV) and respiration cycles caused by the lung stretch-receptor reflex has the potential to increase the efficacy of the pulmonary gas exchange between capillary blood flow and alveolar gas volume by matching perfusion to ventilation within each respiratory cycle [84, 138]. Blood pressure variability (BPV) is caused mainly by HRV as well as the direct mechanical effects of respiration (either spontaneous or mechanical) on The HRV influences BP BP [139]. through the heart period baroreflex mechanism. Further, the direct mechanical effect of respiration causes variation of venous return in each respiratory cycle. During spontaneous inspiration, the chest wall expands and the diaphragm descends resulting in lower intrapleural pressure1 and therefore expansion of the lungs and cardiac chambers [48]. This expansion causes an increase in cardiac pre-load2 and SV due to the Frank-Starling mechanism as well as a de- crease in right atrial pressure that is necessary for obtaining the required pressure gradient for the venous return [48, 67]. Consequently, venous return increases during spontaneous inspiration and decreases during spontaneous expiration. During mechanical ventilation, the chest wall and diaphragm are not displaced; however, the lungs are inflated due to an external air force that causes different consequences such as an increase in intrapleural pressure during mechanical inspiration. Similarly, venous return decreases during mechanical inspiration and increases during mechanical expiration (Table 6.2). 6.1.3 Autonomic-Cardiac Regulation We introduced a physiology-based mathematical model of autonomic-cardiac regulation in [1] using two coupled differential equations Equation 6.1-Equation 6.2 having nonlinear and delayed dynamic interactions, each of which describe the 1 The pressure within the thoracic space between the organs (lungs, heart, vena cava) and the chest wall is called intrapleural pressure. 2 Cardiac pre-load is the end-diastolic volume (EDV) of the ventricle at the beginning of systole. 91 Figure 6.2: Schematic diagram of interactions between cardiovascular, respiratory and nervous systems. 92 Table 6.1: Model parameters of autonomic-cardiac regulation. Parameter Ca R0a ∆V H0 τ VH βH α γ δH Definition arterial compliance minimum arterial resistance stroke volume intrinsic HR sympathetic delay vagal tone sympathetic control of HR sympathetic effect on Ra vagal damping of βH relaxation time Nominal Value 1.55 mlmmHg−1 0.6 mmHgsml −1 50 ml 100 min−1 3s 1.17 s−2 0.84 s−2 1.3 0.2 1.7 s−1 dynamics of HR and BP regulation: Ḣ(t) = βH Ts 1+γ Tp −VH Tp + δH H0 − H(t) P(t) = − R0 (1+ + H(t)∆V Ca . α Ts )Ca Ṗ(t) a where H is HR and P is mean arterial BP . (6.1) (6.2) Ts = 1 − σ P(t − τ ) and Tp = σ P(t) are sympathetic modulating function and parasympathetic modulating function respectively, generated by the baroreflex control mechanism. Note that Ts and Tp are both purely BP dependent while the SNS and PNS are also modulated by other physiological variables (e.g., O2 and CO2 concentration in blood) or psychophysiological states (e.g., fear and anger). The time delay associated with the sympathetic pathway is denoted by τ . σ (P) is defined as follows: σ (P) = where P0 and α0 are the respectively. 1 1 + e−α0 (P−P0) BP 50 ≤ P ≤ 200. (6.3) setpoint and the sensitivity of baroreflex mechanism, 6.1.4 Autonomic-Cardiorespiratory Regulation In this study, we improve our previous mathematical model of autonomic-cardiac regulation Equation 6.1-Equation 6.2 by modeling two major interactions of car93 Figure 6.3: An extensive block-diagram model of autonomiccardiorespiratory regulation [see Chapter 2] with emphasis on parts described in Equation 6.7-Equation 6.8. The shaded parts are not described in the mathematical model. diovascular and respiratory systems, i.e., mechanical and neuromechanical. Further, we introduce a differential equation representing the dynamic of respiration rhythm originated in the medullary respiratory center. The mechanical coupling of the cardiovascular and respiratory systems causes an increase in venous return and, consequently, an increase in SV , during sponta- neous inspiration and mechanical expiration. On the other hand, venous return, and therefore SV , decrease during spontaneous expiration and mechanical inspiration (Table 6.2). We modeled this pure mechanical effect by adding (during mechanical respiration) or subtracting (during spontaneous respiration) k2V̇L with positive 94 coefficient k2 to the SV (∆V ) as follows: Ṗ(t) = − P(t) R0a (1 + α Ts )Ca + H(t)(∆V ± k2V̇L ) . Ca (6.4) The neuromechanical coupling of the respiratory and cardiovascular systems is generated by the lung stretch-receptor reflex. This reflex causes an increase in HR in during inspiration, while ILV consistently increases (i.e., V̇L >0), and a decrease HR during expiration, while ILV consistently decreases (i.e., V̇L <0) (Table 6.2). The lung stretch-receptor reflex inhibits and excites cardiac vagal activation tone during inspiration and expiration, respectively [84]. We model this mechanism by subtracting a respiration-related term consisting of a rate of change in ILV, V̇L , multiplied by a positive coefficient k1 , to cardiac vagal activation tone VH in the HR equation as follows: Ḣ(t) = βH Ts − (VH − k1V̇L )Tp + δH H0 − H(t) 1 + γ Tp During inspiration while V̇L >0, inhibition effects of the therefore HR (6.5) on HR reduce, and increases. Similarly, during expiration, while V̇L <0, HR decreases in PNS response to a rise in inhibition effects of the PNS . The medullary respiratory center of each individual generates a relatively constant rhythm, R0 , which is modulated in different conditions such as low O2 or high CO2 concentration in blood, sleep, and emotions (e.g., fear and anxiety). Specifically, the respiration rhythm, R0 , is modulated by chemoreflex stimulation caused by changes in chemoreceptors responses throughout the body. The chemoreflex operates mainly in response to the CO2 levels rather than O2 levels [48]. We model the dynamics of respiration rate, denoted by R, generated in the respiratory center as follows: h i Ṙ(t) = k3 1 + σco2 R0 − R(t) + u(t) (6.6) where σco2 is a sigmoid function representing chemoreflex modulating function on R0 and u(.) is a voluntary component of RR regulation. Note that the only voluntary term in autonomic-cardiorespiratory regulation is the individual’s ability to change 95 Table 6.2: Respiratory system impacts on VL , HR, VR, and ∆V . Spontaneous Inhale Exhale ↑ ↓ ↑ ↓ ↑ ↓ ↑ ↓ VL (Instantaneous Lung Volume) HR (Heart Rate) VR (Venous Return) ∆V (Stroke Volume) Mechanical Inhale Exhale ↑ ↓ ↑ ↓ ↓ ↑ ↓ ↑ RR. Finally, we propose the mathematical model of autonomic-cardiorespiratory regulation illustrated in Figure 6.3 as follows: Ḣ(t) = βH Ts − (VH − k1V̇L )Tp + δH H0 − H(t) 1 + γ Tp Ṗ(t) = − P(t) R0a (1 + α Ts )Ca + (6.7) H(t)(∆V ± k2V̇L ) Ca (6.8) i h Ṙ(t) = k3 1 + σco2 R0 − R(t) + u(t) (6.9) where nominal values of the non-respiratory related parameters are shown in Table 6.1, and nominal values of k1 and k2 are 0.073 l −1 s−1 and 3.12 ms, respectively. Nominal values of k1 and k2 are assigned such that the respiration-related terms k1V̇L and k2V̇L generate 10% perturbation on the amplitude of VH and ∆V , respectively. 6.2 Results and Discussion 6.2.1 Model Validation In this work, we proposed a physiology-based mathematical model of autonomic-cardiorespiratory regulation built upon a mathematical model of autonomic-cardiac regulation described in Chapter 3. We included respiratory terms in the mathematical model according to the corresponding location and dynamic of the respiratory effect on autonomic-cardiac regulation. We potentially can use the proposed mathematical model to investigate the effects of respiration on 96 HR and BP regula- Figure 6.4: PSD difference of HRV among simulated (two methods) vs. measured HR signals at the different stages of the LBNP experiment; the shaded area shows the respiratory frequency band. tion and fluctuation. To validate the proposed mathematical model, we must show that adding respiratory terms in the mathematical model improves the accuracy of model-estimated signals. Since respiration plays a major role in HRV and Power Spectral Density (PSD ) analysis commonly used in HRV studies, the model-estimated HR obtained from the autonomic-cardiorespiratory regulation model and HR obtained from the autonomiccardiac regulation model were tested against measured HRV . HR using PSD Figure 6.4 shows that ∆PSD of model-estimated and measured analysis of HR is close to zero within the respiratory frequency band (mostly located at 0.2±0.05 Hz) in the autonomic-cardiorespiratory regulation model. We can conclude that a more accurate mathematical model was obtained by including the respiratory dynamic in the autonomic-cardiac regulation model. 97 Table 6.3: A numerical measure of perturbation caused by mechanical coupling effects J2 and neuromechanical coupling effects J1 . k1 /k1,Nom 50% 75% 100% 125% 150% k2 /k2,Nom 50% 75% 100% 125% 150% J1 0.18 0.27 0.36 0.44 0.53 J2 0.76 1.14 1.52 1.89 2.28 6.2.2 Mechanical vs. Neuromechanical Couplings To investigate the neuromechanical coupling effects of respiration k1V̇L on HR and BP , we assigned k2 =0 and all the non-respiratory related parameters to their nominal values, whereas k1 was changed from 50% to 150% (25% increment) of its nominal value. Further, to compute the perturbation of HR and BP merely caused by neuromechanical coupling effects k1V̇L , the average sum of absolute normalized errors of HR and BP J1 was used as follows: 30 X EP,1 + EH,1 k1 6=0 (t) − Xk1 =0 (t) J1 = ; EX,1 = ∑ 2 Xk1 =0 (t) t=0 whereas Xk1 6=0 (t) and Xk1 =0 (t) are HR or BP (6.10) (X = H, P) with and without neu- romechanical coupling effects, respectively. To solve the mathematical model Equation 6.7-Equation 6.8 for each given set of parameteres, we first generated an arbitrary ILV signal for a 30 s-length segment with constant rate of change in lung volume V̇L =2 ls−1 during inhaling and exhaling phases (Figure 6.5). Then, we numerically solved the mathematical model Equation 6.7-Equation 6.8 using a DDE (delay differential equation) solver in MATLAB to obtain perturbed BP HR and and BP , for five different values of k1 (Figure 6.5). Similarly, J2 is the average sum of absolute normalized errors of HR while k2 was changed from 50% to 150% (25% increment) of its nominal value. This study shows that HR and BP perturbation caused by mechanical coupling ef- fects J2 is higher than perturbation caused by neuromechanical coupling effects J1 (Table 6.3). 98 Figure 6.5: Neuromechanical coupling effects of respiration on HR and BP. Figure 6.6: Mechanical coupling effects of respiration on HR and BP. 99 6.2.3 Limitations Despite the novelty of this study to describe the autonomic-cardiorespiratory system using a physiology-based mathematical model, it has one major limitation, as discussed below. The nominal values of two parameters, k1 and k2 , presented in this work must be reconsidered. In fact, we must perform an experiment to calculate numerically two parameters, k1 and k2 , which represents open-loop gains from ILV to VH and from ILV to SV , respectively. Accordingly, the significance of mechanical vs. neuromechanical couplings should be revisited. 6.3 Conclusions and Future Work In this chapter, we resolved the lack of accuracy in the autonomic-cardiac regulation model proposed in Chapter 3. The mathematical model was revised in regard to the respiratory system effects by taking the major respiratory impacts, including lung stretch-receptor reflex and venous return variation on HR and BP, into consideration. Future work will include extending the mathematical model to increase the model’s accuracy and improving the proposed identification technique described in Chapter 3 to use capabilities of the proposed autonomic-cardiorespiratory model. We will aim to eliminate the effects of respiration on PSNA k1V̇L . This will help to extract a pure parasympathetic activation caused by different mental states and environmental stimulus. Further, the effects of spontaneous (during consciousness) and mechanical (during anaesthesia) respiration on HR and BP regulation can be investigated individually. Similarly, results of the identification technique will be improved for anaesthetized and awake individuals. 100 Chapter 7 Conclusion and Future Work 7.1 Summary: Work Accomplished In this thesis, we studied autonomic-cardiac regulation with and without respiratory coupling within a series of investigations using different techniques including mathematical modeling, system identification, stability analysis, and control design. We summarize and conclude the major points and achievements in this chapter. Mathematical Modeling- In Chapter 3, we adopted a model of autonomiccardiac regulation consisting of two coupled nonlinear and delayed differential equations, each of which describes the dynamics of HR and BP regulation. We improved the existing model to mathematically describe respiratory-based mechanisms in Chapter 6. We revised the model in regard to the mechanical and neuromechanical couplings of the respiration system and autonomic-cardiac regulation including the lung stretch receptor reflex and the venous return variation, which had not been investigated properly in the past. The revised model can physiologically present a source of oscillatory patterns observed in tem, which is commonly known as RSA . HR due to the respiration sys- The proposed mathematical model must be improved further to describe other significant mechanisms in HR and BP regulation. For example, baroreflex control of SV and the renin-angiotensin system have not been described mathematically in this manuscript. 101 System Identification- A parameter identification technique for estimating and then monitoring SNA and PSNA using routine clinical measurements, HR and BP , was introduced in Chapter 3. We presented a proof-of-concept for the proposed identification technique using two clinical datasets: the MIMIC dataset collected at Beth Israel Hospital, Boston, MA [110] and the orthostatic hypotension dataset collected at New York Medical College [46]. We examined the repeatability of the identification outcome using the MIMIC dataset and the physiological consistency using the orthostatic hypotension dataset. Despite the promising preliminary results, the proposed method has several limitations. For example, the identification technique may benefit from the availability of CO measurement that is not com- monly measured in the clinical setup; however, some non-invasive CO estimation techniques including electrical velocimetry and echo-cardiography have recently been introduced (refer to Section 3.2.3). Further, the possible interdependence between model parameters was not deeply explored. Stability Analysis- A systematic approach to stability analysis of autonomiccardiac regulation was proposed in Chapter 4. The proposed method was derived according to the mathematical model of autonomic cardiac regulation with two coupled nonlinear and delayed differential equations. We introduced a stability index to compare numerically different parameter configurations and to monitor the stability margin of CVS during any clinical condition enforced by a parameter configuration. We can investigate the stability margin of a large number of clinical conditions using the proposed index to recognize a possible disorder in the autonomic-cardiac regulation that could not be recognized easily without a modelbased stability analysis. For example, the stability margin of the autonomic-cardiac regulation can be investigated in individuals with high arterial stiffness and low intrinsic HR in stressful conditions by using the proposed stability index. Further, this study may be used to determine dosage or type of BP stabilizing drugs, a new concept, that has been proposed recently [14]. An extensive clinical study demonstrating the potential significance of the proposed stability analysis should be performed. 102 Artificial Bionic Baroreflex- In Chapter 5, we developed a method for designing an artificial bionic baroreflex capable of restoring normal arterial pressure regulation by mimicking the in-vivo baroreflex mechanism. The individual’s invivo autonomic-cardiac regulation was described by a subject-specific mathematical model. To individualize the mathematical model, we used the proposed system identification technique in Chapter 3. A unique strength of the proposed method is its capability to determine the modulating baroreflex functions on the sympathetic and parasympathetic nerves. The proposed method potentially can be used to design an advanced pacemaker, a medical device that regulates the heartbeat sequence according to the individual’s current physical and psychophysical condition. Current pacemakers provide only constant-rate stimulation for the heart. An extensive clinical study of the proposed bionic baroreflex is needed to evaluate the significance of this work. 7.2 Future-Work: The Road Ahead This section suggests a number of possibilities for future work, categorized according to the chapters of this thesis. Mathematical Modeling- The proposed mathematical model that includes the respiration system could be applied to the frequency analysis of HRV. In the power spectrum analysis of HRV , LF power, modulated by both SNA and PSNA , and HF power, modulated by PSNA , have been used together as measures to monitor what has been called the sympathovagal balance (e.g., model-based method to analyze the of the HRV HRV LF /HF ratio) on the heart. A spectrum may reveal some unseen parts dynamic, which could be useful for investigaing other possible causes of variation in these frequency bands System Identification- Considering that we used a relatively fast parameter identification technique, we can potentially use the proposed sympathetic and parasympathetic monitoring technique in the treatment of individuals with ANS disorders using biofeedback techniques. A large number of studies have attempted to use biofeedback to alter HRV . Further, we can investigate extensively the consis- 103 tencey of the proposed system identification results on sympathetic and parasympathetic activation and other markers of SNS and PNS including HRV -based markers [82, 93]. Stability Analysis- In this thesis, we showed that the presence of a negative feedback (i.e., baroreflex mechanism) in autonomic-cardiac regulation may not always result in stability due to, for example, the system nonlinearity. It has been shown in [140] that negative feedback can cause expanding oscillations in certain circumstances. Further, cyclic interaction among elements of a system with two negative feedbacks may cause an instability in the system. Note that two or any even number of negative interactions generate a positive circuit in the system [141]. In autonomic-cardiorespiratory regulation described by ordinary differential equations, circuits can be defined in terms of the elements of the Jacobian matrix [142]. Considering that a compact DDE mathematical model for autonomic-cardiac regulation described in Chapter 6 and the corresponding Jacobian matrix was presented in Chapter 4, a possible future study is an investigation of occurence of positive feedback (circuit) in autonomic-cardiac regulation. Artificial Bionic Baroreflex- The method proposed in Chapter 5 can be used to design of an artificial bionic baroreflex that would regulate with resistant hypertension or SCI BP in individuals [143]. With this method, the sympathetic and parasympathetic nerves must be stimulated such that the measured (or, simulated) BP tracks BP setpoints. HR changes due to the sympathetic and parasympathetic activation were not studied. A control strategy in which BP and HR are regulated simultaneously and a control strategy that considers constraints other than HR setpoints can be developed in the future. 104 BP and Bibliography [1] P. Ataee, J. Hahn, C. Brouse, G. Dumont, and W. Boyce, “Identification of cardiovascular baroreflex for probing homeostatic stability,” in Proceedings of the Computing in Cardiology, 2010, pp. 141–144. → pages iv, 55, 76, 89, 91 [2] P. Ataee, J. Hahn, G. Dumont, and W. Boyce, “Non-invasive subject-specific monitoring of autonomic-cardiac regulation,” IEEE Transactions on Biomedical Engineering (submitted), 2013. → pages iv [3] P. Ataee, J. Hahn, G. Dumont, and W. 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