Working Paper No. 2016/6 | May 2016 International Regulation of Emerging Technologies: Global Ideologies and Local Headaches Dannie Jost World Trade Institute dannie.jost@wti.org This paper begins to address the international regulation of emerging technologies taking an approach that includes the co-production of technologies and the nature of wicked problems. Both the development of technologies over time, the role of science in regulation, and results from case studies in the regulation of biotechnologies are discusses. Biotechnology, nanotechnology and synthetic biology receive the most attention. Research for this paper was funded by the Swiss National Science Foundation under a grant to the National Centre of Competence in Research on Trade Regulation, based at the World Trade Institute of the University of Bern, Switzerland. This is an early draft of the working paper. All comments and criticism is welcome. NCCR TRADE WORKING PAPERS are preliminary documents posted on the NCCR Trade Regulation website (<www.nccr-trade.org>)and widely circulated to stimulate discussion and critical comment. These papers have not been formally edited. Citations should refer to an “NCCR Trade Working Paper”, with appropriate reference made to the author(s). TableofContents InAnthropoceneorinChuthulucene.................................................................................3 Technologies.....................................................................................................................4 Co-production...................................................................................................................5 ScienceattheServiceofTechnologies...............................................................................7 BiotechnologyrevisitedintheChuthulucene.....................................................................7 TheGlobalIdeologies.................................................................................................................8 TheLocalHeadaches..................................................................................................................9 RegulationandGovernanceDreamscapes.......................................................................12 InAnthropoceneorinChuthulucene Thisessayconsidersinternationalregulationofemergingtechnologiesatdawnofthe Chutullucene1andstartstheenterpriseofreengineeringregulatoryandgovernanceconcepts totakeintoaccountconceptsofknowledgeco-production2andwickedcomplexity.3Ifweare totaketheadviceofDonnaHaraway,“wemustaddressintense,systemicurgencies.“4Is climatechangeoneofthesesystemicurgencies?Whatrolehastechnology,more appropriately,whatrolewilltechnologiesplayandwhathasourunderstandingofpast technologiesandtheirregulationplayedinourabilitytoproduceregulation,internationalor otherwise,thatisappropriate?Oneworkingprincipleisthatappropriatenessofregulationand governanceisindicatedbytheabilitytobringoutdesiredoutcomes,thatiseffectiveness.This inturnimpliesthatregulationandgovernancemustbeinformedbycorrespondingvaluesas organisingprinciples. Oneofthemanyclaimsbeingmadeinacademicandnon-academicnarratives,itisthat syntheticbiology,atleastintheformofiGEM(internationalgeneticallyengineered machines),5isthatoneenablerintheso-calledthirdindustrialrevolution.6Howeverthisthird industrialrevolutionisasclutteredwithclaimstoitsenablersasitistoitsveryhappening. Someproposethatweareseeingwiththeemergenceofartificialintelligenceandthe convergenceofphysical,mechanical,digital,chemicalandbiologicaltechnologies,isthefourth industrialrevolution.7It’snotcomplicated,itiscomplexandmuddled. 1 DonnaHaraway,‘Anthropocene,Capitalocene,Plantationocene,Chthulucene: MakingKin’,EnvironmentalHumanities6(2015):159–65.Notethevariousproposed namesforthepresentepocharesubjectsofconsiderabledebate,andinitselfpointto thecomplexnatureofthepluratiyinwhichwelive. 2 SheilaJasanoffandSang-HyunKim,eds.,DreamscapesofModernity:Sociotechnical ImaginariesandtheFabricationofPower(UniversityofChicagoPress,2015),3,6–7, 14,22,326,332. 3 Foranintroductiontothenatureof‘wickedcomplexity’asopposedto‘static complexity’see:BradenR.AllenbyandDanielSarewitz,TheTechno-HumanCondition (Cambridge,Mass.:TheMITPress,2013),109. 4 Haraway,‘Anthropocene,Capitalocene,Plantationocene,Chthulucene:MakingKin’. 5 ManuelPorcarandJuliPeretó,SyntheticBiology:FromiGEMtotheArtificialCell (Springer,2014);ChristinaDSmolke,‘BuildingoutsideoftheBox:iGEMandthe BioBricksFoundation’,NatBiotech27,no.12(December2009):1099–1102;Rudolph Mitchell,YehuditJudyDori,andNatalieH.Kuldell,‘ExperientialEngineeringThrough iGEM-AnUndergraduateSummerCompetitioninSyntheticBiology’,JournalofScience EducationandTechnology20(2011):156–60. 6 GeorgeM.ChurchandEdRegis,Regenesis:HowSyntheticBiologyWillReinvent NatureandOurselves(BasicBooks,2012),179. 7 KlausSchwab,TheFourthIndustrialRevolution(WorldEconomicForum,2016);M. WaidnerandM.Kasper,‘SecurityinIndustrie4.0-ChallengesandSolutionsforthe FourthIndustrialRevolution’,Dresden,inDesign,AutomationTestinEurope ConferenceExhibition(Dresden:IEEE,2016),1303–8;AndrewD.Maynard,‘Navigating Thispaperbeginstoaddresstheroleandprospectsofinternationalregulationofemerging technologiesgivenbythecontextsprovidedbyaglobaleconomy,theaspirationsof sustainabledevelopment,andthedesiretorespecthumanrightsasorganisingprinciples.To dothisthecomplexrelationshipbetweentheworldsofscienceandtechnologyandthatoflaw needtoberevisitedwiththehopeofrecognizingpastfailuresandpotentialvenuesforaction. Aftersettingthetechnologies-contextandintroducingtheconceptofco-production,thecase ofbiotechnologyistakenupanddiscussedinlightofitsnewestdevelopmentsinsynthetic biology.Abriefperusalthroughwhatinternationalregulationoftechnologiesingeneral,and WTOlawinparticularofferindealingwiththeadvancingedgeoftechnologyfindsthesystem wanting.Whiletherearemanyproposalsforglobalgovernanceoftechnologies,noneseemto lendthemselvestotheaspirationsofsustainabledevelopmentandanincreasingexpectation thatwhateverhappensintechnologyoreconomicsbeinclusive. Technologies Technologyisnotonediscipline;itisneithermonolithicnorhomogeneous.Apluralityof technologiesrangingfromthemoleculartotheplanetaryhaveevolvedovertimeandare emergingacrossallscientificandtechnicaldisciplines.Aboveall,technologyisnormative,not apanacea.8Onecanalsosaythattechnologiesareartefactual,andlocatedintimeandspace. Tocontextualizeinternationaleconomiclawandhowittreatstheregulationoftechnologyin timeandspacecallsforanunderstandingoftheinterfacesbetweenlawandtechnologywithin ouractuality.Whetherwewanttoconsiderouractualityasmodernpost-modern,or accelerationistmayaffecttheassumptionstobemadeabouttechnology’sroleinsociety whichinturnyielddifferentresultsastotheregulatoryoptionsavailableforconsideration.In thisessayweusetheideaofmodernity,andleaveapost-modernistapproachforalater occasion.Alreadythebridgingofmodernity–andtechnologyisataskthatleavemostlooking foreasierterraintoexplore. Thenatureofouractualityismarkedbypolitical,legal,moral,technological,andscientific discoursesaroundglobalclimatechange,humanrightsanddignity(terrorismandwar, migration,globalisation),plussustainability,allwithanunprecedentedaccelerationof developmentsthatstrainandstressnotionsoflegitimacy,legalconcepts,established regulatoryagenciesandmankind’sownunderstandingofitself. First,theevolutionofourunderstandingoftechnologydirectsustocometogripswithwhat technologyisandtotrytounderstanditwithintheglobalisationcontext.Broadlyspeaking technologyistheapplicationofscientificknowledgeforpracticalpurposes,especiallyin theFourthIndustrialRevolution’,NatureNanotechnology10,no.12(December2015): 1005–6. 8 HansRadder,‘WhyTechnologiesAreInherentlyNormative’,inPhilosophyof TechnologyandEngineeringSciences,ed.AnthonieMeijers,Handbookofthe PhilosophyofScience(Amsterdam:North-Holland,2009),887–921, http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/B9780444516671500379. industry.Suchadefinition,eveniftakenfromthedictionary,iscolouredbyinstrumental rationality.Forregulatorypurposestechnologyhasbeentreatedasanexogenousobjectthat canbecontrolledinapredefinedwayandthatistoopedestrianforproperconsiderationby thehighpriestsofthesocialsciences.Thisantiquatedideaassumesthat(ubiquitous)control (oftechnology)ispossible.Italsooverlooksunintendedconsequences(surprises)and emergentphenomena. Asystemicapproachtotechnologyregulationthataddressesitsupdatedcontemporary ubiquity,diversityanduncertaintiesappearsunexplored.Technologyregulationcanbeapplied inmanydifferentsocialcontexts–production,consumption,use,disposal,etc.–thatgenerate plentyoflegalquestionsandrequireamultitudeofcarefullydifferentiatedconsiderations withrespecttothelife-cycleofthespecifictechnology,andtheproduction-chainofthat industry.Technology’snormativityhasoftenbeenignoredandarangeofattitudesandvalues havebeenattributedtoitdependingonwhateverideologyortheorypermeatedthethinking ofscholarsandregulators.Infact,pervasivenessandsuccessofmoderntechnologymeans thattechnologicaldecisionsincreasinglyaffectsociallife.Thatis,duetothispervasiveness, intensity,andinterwovencharacterofthefibresofsocietyandtechnology,“onecandraw diametricallyopposedconclusions:eitherpoliticsbecomesanotherbranchoftechnology,or technologyisrecognizedaspolitical”.9 Co-production Wecangenerallyagreethatanapparentaccelerationintechnologicaldevelopmentcreates challengestoexistingpracticesandnormativeunderstandingthatareyettobeidentifiedbeit inquality,quantityorscope.Thatis,uncertaintyiswhatweneedtocopewithinaworld markedbyincreasinglywickedproblems.Twodifferenthistoricisedsurveysoftechnology systemscanserveasguidingpoststowardstryingtogainperspective.Thefirstonedatesfrom 1946,andthesecondfrom2013.LewisMumford’s1946classification10isseparatedintimeby half-centuryfromthatofAllenbyandSarewitz11andwhilesinninginthedirectionof reductionism,theycanlaterbeanalysedthroughtheprismofcriticaltheorysuchasthat offeredbyFeenberg.12 Mumforddistinguishesthreesuccessivemaintechnologyphases:eotechnic,paleotechnic,and neotechniceachmarkedbyasetofdistinctinventions.Theeotechnicorearlyphaseof technicsstretchesroughlyfrom1000to1750when“inventionandexperimentaladaptation 9 AndrewFeenberg,QuestioningTechnology(Routledge,2012),2. LewisMumford,TechnicsandCivilization(London:GeorgRoutledge&Sons,Ltd., 1946). 11 AllenbyandSarewitz,TheTechno-HumanCondition. 12 Feenberg,QuestioningTechnology;AndrewFeenberg,BetweenReasonand Experience:EssaysinTechnologyandModernity(MITPress,2010);TylerJ.Veak, DemocratizingTechnology:AndrewFeenberg’sCriticalTheoryofTechnology(SUNY Press,2006);AndrewFeenberg,TransformingTechnology :ACriticalTheoryRevisited: ACriticalTheoryRevisited(OxfordUniversityPress,USA,2002). 10 wentonataslowlyacceleratingpace”andnewsourcesofenergyweredeveloped.13Once equippedwithmechanicalclocks,telescopes,cheappaper,printingpresses,magnetic compassesfromtheeotechnicthenextphase–thepaleotechnic–sawtheinventionofthe steamengineandthebeginningofthedestructionoftheenvironment,andthedegradationof theworkerallinfavourinthedoctrineofprogressinwhatweareaccustomedtocallthefirst industrialrevolutionfromca.1760to1820,whichisalsooftenreferredtoasthefirst industrialrevolution.Theneotechnicphase,theoneduringwhichMumfordwrotehis observations,isinhiswords“adefinitephysicalandsocialcomplex”thatbeganin1832with the“perfectionofthewater-turbinebyFourneyron14andismarkedbytheconquestofnew formsofenergy,namelyelectricity.15Mumford’sdistinctionsareusefulastheyillustratethe cumulativenatureoftechnology,anditsinextricabilityfromthesocialconditionofmanfroma linearhistoricalperspectivethatalsodemonstratestheso-calledaccelerationofthepaceof invention.Onceelectricityandthesteamengineenteroursociotechnicalworld,technologies multiplyineverypossibledirectionintoeveryaspectofhumanactivity. TheapproachdevelopedbyAllenbyandSarewitzdistinguishthreelevelsoftechnology designatedI,II,andIII.Thistaxonomypermitsaclearerstructuralunderstandingofthe differencesbetweentoastersandnuclearweaponsperspective.16AtlevelI,technology’s intentionandeffectareathand.Forexample,toastersreliablyandsafelydelivertoasted breadorairplanescarrypassengersfrompointAtopointB.AtlevelIoftechnology,systemic complexityisforgotten.LevelII,intheAllenby-Sarewitzmodelweencounterthesystemic complexityaroundairtravel(ortheproductionoftoastersorautomobiles).Thatis,tostay withAllenby-Sarewitzmodel,atlevelIIwehavetheairtransportationsystemembodiedwith “theirrationality,dysfunctionandinsanepricesystem,theabsurdinefficiencyofitsboarding andsecurityprocesses,thecontinualdelays,and…”.17Lookingattechnologyasawholein levelII,wesoondiscernthefirstcontoursofasystemandtheemergenceofthelock-in phenomenaconcurrentlywithalevelIIambivalenceandambiguitythatisaccompaniedbya reliablelevelItechnology.TheAllenby-SarewitzlevelIIIpatterninthistechnologytaxonomyis perhapseasiertorecognizeinhighlynetworkedtransportationsystems(still,wecanalsosee inenergyproductionsystems,telecommunications,agriculture,textiles)suchasthoseof transportationeitherbyairorland.AtlevelIIIweobservetheco-evolutionof“significant changesinenvironmentalandresourcesystems;mass-marketconsumercapitalism;individual credit;behaviouralandaestheticsubculturesandstereotypes;withoilspills;with opportunitiesfor,andasenseof,extraordinaryhumanfreedom,especiallyforwomen…“.18 Mumford,AllenbyandSarewitz,inspiteoftheseventyyearsbetweentheirobservationsboth pointtotheunequivocalco-productionoftechnologyorthe“constantintertwiningofthe 13 Mumford,TechnicsandCivilization,111–23. DietrichEckardt,GasTurbinePowerhouse:TheDevelopmentofthePower GenerationGasTurbineatBBC-ABB-Alstom(WalterdeGruyterGmbH&CoKG, 2014),49.BenoitFourneyron(1802-1867)wasaFrenchengineereducatedatthe ÉcoleNationaledesMinesdeSaint-Etiénne. 15 Mumford,TechnicsandCivilization,212ff. 16 AllenbyandSarewitz,TheTechno-HumanCondition,36. 17 Ibid.,37. 18 Ibid.,39. 14 cognitive,thematerial,thesocialandthenormative”.19Co-productionofnaturalandsocial ordersmeansthatthewaysinwhichwerepresenttheworldareinseparablefromtheways thatwechoosetoliveinit.20Thatis,explanatorypowerisgainedbythinkingofnaturaland socialorderstogetherwherebothnatureandsocietyareinseparable.21 ScienceattheServiceofTechnologies Thecommonunderstandingisthatwhenevaluatingatechnology’seffectivenessandsafety theusualcourseofactionistomakerecoursetoscienceinassessingthetechnology’s effectivenessandsafety.Therearethentwotasksthatscienceoughttoaccomplish:fact findinganddecidingwhatissafeandeffective.Thefirsttaskistheonethattraditional– normalscience–isbestequippedtodowithinitsreductionistwalls.Thesecondtaskis uncomfortableforscientists–postnormalscience–involvestheacknowledgedadditionof values.22Howeveritisthatlasttaskthatattemptstoconnectthedotsofuncertaintyby appealingtovaluesthatcouldbearthemarkofaleastcommondenominator.Whatthe resultsare,doesdependonthevaluesapplied.Itishowevernotclearthatitispossibletofind thatleastcommondenominatorforall.Or,toputinotherwords“theauthorityofscienceis notafoundationforfactualenlightenmentbutanideologicalfoundationforauthoritarian policyprescriptionsthatmightotherwisebedifficulttoimplement”inworldofwicked problems,“morelikelytodeliversurprisesthansolutions.”23 BiotechnologyrevisitedintheChuthulucene Thetransitionfrombiotechnologytosyntheticbiologyhasbeenevolutionary,andinkeeping withthegeneraldevelopmentallowedbyacademicandeconomicfreedoms.Stillwhilethere aremanycommonalities,therearealsomarkeddifferences.Themostradicaldifferencebeing thatofthepossibilitiesenabledbythediscoveryofagroupofgenesthatallowforveryprecise engineeringofgenomes.24 19 SheilaJasanoff,‘TheIdiomofCo-Production’,inStatesofKnowledge :TheCoProductionofScienceandSocialOrder,ed.SheilaJasanoff,InternationalLibraryof Sociology(London:Routledge,2004),1–12. 20 Ibid. 21 Ibid. 22 SilvioO.FuntowiczandJeromeR.Ravetz,‘ScienceforthePost-NormalAge’,Futures 25,no.7(September1993):739–55;JerryRavetz,‘ThePost-NormalScienceof Precaution’,Futures36,no.3(April2004):347–57. 23 AllenbyandSarewitz,TheTechno-HumanCondition,122. 24 SimonN.Waddingtonetal.,‘ABroadOverviewandReviewofCRISPR-Cas TechnologyandStemCells’,CurrentStemCellReports2,no.1(11February2016):9– 20;JacobS.Sherkow,‘CRISPR:PursuitofProfitPoisonsCollaboration’,Nature532,no. 7598(13April2016):172–73;EricS.Lander,‘TheHeroesofCRISPR’,Cell164,no.1–2 TheGlobalIdeologies Arecentreviewof99peer-reviewedjournalarticlespublishedsince2004onthesocialimpacts ofgeneticallymodified(GM)cropsinagriculturecomestotheconclusionthatthemost commonlystudiedimpact–economic–mainlyreportthattherearebenefitswhileother socialimpactsthatarelessstudiedpresentamorecomplexpicture.25 Biotechnologyhasreceiveddetailedattentionininternationallaw,internationalrelations,and thescienceandtechnologystudiesliterature.26Brieflystated,differencesofopinionand valuesbetweentheUnitedStatesandtheEuropeanUnionovertheregulationofgenetically modifiedorganismshaveresultedinalackofcooperationandstarkdifferencesinregulatory standardsandframeworkswhiletherestoftheworldmuddlesthrough.27 Oneviewisthatthereisnoperceivedpubliccrisisinbiotechnologythatcreatedaspecific regulatorymomentashasbeenthecaseforotherregulatoryobjects.28Thatmaybeso,and thedifferencesmayarisefromamultitudeofsources,andtheymaybeendogenousor (14January2016):18–28;DanielSarewitz,‘CRISPR:ScienceCan’tSolveIt’,Nature522, no.7557(23June2015):413–14;DavidCyranoski,‘CRISPRTweakMayHelpGeneEditedCropsBypassBiosafetyRegulation’,Nature,19October2015, http://www.nature.com/doifinder/10.1038/nature.2015.18590;JenniferA.Doudna andEmmanuelleCharpentier,‘TheNewFrontierofGenomeEngineeringwithCRISPRCas9’,Science346,no.6213(28November2014):1258096. 25 KlaraFischeretal.,‘SocialImpactsofGMCropsinAgriculture:ASystematic LiteratureReview’,Sustainability7,no.7(2July2015):8598–8620. 26 ThomasBernauer,Genes,Trade,AndRegulation:TheSeedsOfConflictInFood Biotechnology(PrincetonUniversityPress,2003);SusetteBiber-Klemmetal., ‘ChallengesofBiotechnologyinInternationalTradeRegulation’,inTheProspectsof InternationalTradeRegulation:FromFragmentationtoCoherence,ed.ThomasCottier andPanagiotisDelimatsis(Cambridge ;NewYork:CambridgeUniversityPress,2011), 284–320;SheilaJasanoff,DesignsonNature:ScienceandDemocracyinEuropeandthe UnitedStates(Princeton,N.J:PrincetonUniversityPress,2005);MarkA.Pollackand GregoryC.Shaffer,WhenCooperationFails:TheInternationalLawandPoliticsof GeneticallyModifiedFoods(OUPOxford,2009);DanielWügerandThomasCottier, eds.,GeneticEngineeringandtheWorldTradeSystem,WorldTradeForum (Cambridge ;NewYork:CambridgeUniversityPress,2008). 27 PollackandShaffer,WhenCooperationFails,1–32. 28 MichaelHowlettandDavidLaycock,eds.,RegulatingNextGenerationAgri-Food Biotechnologies(Routledge,2013),49–72;MichaelHowlettandJoshuaNewman, ‘After“theRegulatoryMoment”inComparativeRegulatoryStudies:Modelingthe EarlyStagesofRegulatoryLifeCycles’,JournalofComparativePolicyAnalysis:Research andPractice15,no.2(1April2013):107–21. exogenous.29Theproblemisanoldone.Whatlooksgoodintheory,encountersproblems whenputintopractice,andtherealitymaybemorecomplexthanitwashopedfor. Academics,farmers,activists,multinationalcorporations,governmentofficialsallpromote theirviewsontheadvantagesoftechnologyoritsregulation,howeverwhenitcomestoGM crops“thescientificdataareofteninconclusiveorcontradictory”.30In2013arecordof175.2 millionhectaresofbiotechcropsweregrownglobally.31Meanwhileabitofdusthasstartedto accumulateonsomeofearliertextsontheinternationalaspectsofgeneticallymodified organisms(GMO),andonewondershowthesenarrativescomparewithlocalfarmer’s realities. TheLocalHeadaches Let’stakethecaseofGMcottonwhichconstitutesalargefractionofthetotalglobal productionofallofGMcrops.TheestimateisthatintheUSmorethan90percentofthe plantedcottonis2014wasGM.32InArgentinatheestimateisthatitcoversabout80-90per centoftheareasownalbeitwithuncertifiedtransgenicseed.33Briefly,therearethreemain typesofGMcottonvarietiesbasedontwodifferentgenetictraits:oneisresistanttothe herbicideglyphosate(alsoknownbyMonsanto’strademarkRoundup),anotherproduces toxinsthatkillcottonbollworm.ThetreetypesofGMcottononthemarketare:onethatis glyphosateresistant,onethatproducestheBttoxin,andathirdincorporatingbothtraits.Over fiftydifferentcommercialGMcottonseedshavebeenapproved.Theseedstradenamesand detailsareavailableindatabasessuchasthosemaintainedbytheInternationalServiceforthe AcquisitionofAgri-BiotechApplications34,GMOCompass.35TheInternationalCottonAdvisory Committee36providesstatisticsonworldcottonproduction,consumption,trade,andservesas 29 MichaelHowlettandAndreaMignone,‘RegulatoryLifecyclesandComparative BiotechnologyRegulation’,inRegulatingNextGenerationAgri-FoodBio-Technologies, ed.MichaelHowlettandDavidLaycock(Routledge,2013),64. 30 NatashaGilbert,‘CaseStudies:AHardLookatGMCrops’,Nature497,no.7447(1 May2013):24–26. 31 CliveJames,‘GlobalStatusofCommercializedBiotech/GMCrops:2013-ISAAABrief 46-2013:ExecutiveSummary’,InternationalServicefortheAcquisitionofAgri-Biotech Applications,2014, http://www.isaaa.org/resources/publications/briefs/46/executivesummary/. 32 http://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/adoption-of-genetically-engineered-cropsin-the-us/recent-trends-in-ge-adoption.aspx 33 Maria-EugeniaFazioetal.,‘LocalRealitiesforTransgenicCotton’,inRegulating Technology:InternationalHarmonizationandLocalRealities,ed.PatrickVan Zwanenberg,AdrianEly,andAdrianSmith(London ;Washington,DC:Earthscan, 2011),73–98. 34 http://www.isaaa.org/ 35 http://www.gmo-compass.org/ 36 https://www.icac.org/ aclearinghousefortechnicalinformationaboutcottonandcottontextiles;italsorepresents theinternationalcottonindustrybeforeUNagenciesandotherinternationalorganizations. Intheoryandinthelaboratory,butalsofromanideologicalpointofview,greatopportunities forbetterintegrationofconventionalbreedingandmolecularbiologytoimprovecultivarsand heraldanewageincottonimprovementseempromising.37Itisclaimedthat80%ofglobal cottonproductionin2012wasthatfromgeneticallymodifiedseeds38Therealityonthe groundtellsadifferentstory. Intheglobalsouth,onestudyintheChacoprovinceinArgentinawhatwasfoundwasthat onlythe2percentoffarmerswithmorethan200hectaresoflandandproducing70percent ofthecottonhadboththemeanstobuycertifiedtransgeneticseedandboththeknowledge andscaletomaintainqualityofsuccessivemultiplicationsofsavedseed.39Toaddinsultto injury,the‘2percentfarmers’arealsoadeptatignoringcontractsthatwouldbindthemto takerecommendedmeasurestomaintainthequalityofthenewseedandtodelay developmentofpestresistancetotheBttoxinwhilethemajorityinthesameregionwho obtainnon-certifiedseedsininformalmarketshaveneithertheginstodelinttheseedsnorthe knowledgetoensurequalityormakethebestofwhatthey.40Thatis,themajorityofthese Argentiniansmallcottonfarmersgetseedsofnotonlyvariable,butdoubtfulqualitywith transgenicandnon-transgenictraits,andduetothelackofknowledgeormislabellingfarmers endupwithpooryieldsasmaybecaseifaherbicideresistanceisassumedwheninsteadthe non-certifiedseedispesticideresistant.Thatis,thesesmallcottonfarmersarebeyondthe reachoftheregulatoryregime.Inthiscase,thelocalregulatoryagency–theInsitutoNacional deSemillas(INASE)–ispracticallyincapableofassertinganyoversightespeciallyininformal markets,butalsotherewherefarmersignorecontractualobligationsalthoughtheirtaskis thatofapplyingtheSeedLaw(LeydeSemillasYCreacionesFitogenéticasN°20.247).The resultingsituationisonewhereregulationofthetechnologyfailsatseverallevelsbeyondthe internationalmodalitiesthatmadeitpossiblefortheseedtoenterthemarket.Theinterests ofthosewhomthetechnologyoughttobenefitareleftunattendedbylocalandnational governments.Therights,moralandethicalvaluesrecognizedbyinternationallaware orphaned. Thissituationalsoraisesquestionofbiosafetyandbiodiversity.ThefactthatuncontrolledGM seedsreachtheinformalmarketswithoutbiosafetytestingandapproval,leavesopenthe 37 GregConstableetal.,‘CottonBreedingforFiberQualityImprovement’,inIndustrial Crops,ed.VonMarkV.CruzandDavidA.Dierig,HandbookofPlantBreeding9 (SpringerNewYork,2015),191–232,http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-14939-1447-0_10. 38 Ibid. 39 Fazioetal.,‘LocalRealitiesforTransgenicCotton’. 40 Ibid. questionof“regulatorycapacitytoanticipateanddiminishpotentialenvironmentalimpacts, ortoassureinternationalmarketsthatexportedproductsarewhattheypurporttobe”.41 IntheprovincesofHubeiandShandonginChinathesociotechnicaldynamicsaredifferent fromthoseintheChacoprovinginArgentina,andcorrespondinglytheregulatoryfailuresare different.Usingnationallyrepresentativepaneldata,ArzaandvanZwanenberganalysedthe economicimpactofBtcottonadoptionanditssustainability,after15yearsofits commercializationinChina.Consistentwithitsshort-termimpact,thestudytheyshowedthat theeconomicbenefitofBtcottondidnotdiminish,butremainedstableandcontinuousin China.42Theirstudythatusesnationallyrepresentativedataandfocusesontheeconomic benefitofBtcottonanditsdynamics.“Asshowninthispaper,thefirstgenerationofcotton varietieswithasingleBtgenestillcaneffectivelycontrolthebollworm.Eventhoughfarmersin somecountrieshaveswitchedfromunpatentedandroyaltyfeecottonvarietieswithasingle Btgenetopatentedcottonvarietieswithstackedgenes,rigorousanalysisisneededtoanswer whetherthisswitchiseconomicaloraresultcausedbymanyfactors.”43 Thepatternsdescribedfor“internationaltransfertoandadaptationofgeneticallymodified (GM)cottoninArgentina,andaskwhetherpoliticalbargainingbetweenthetechnologyowner, amultinationalenterprise(MNE),andhostcountryactorsmayhaveinfluencedupgrading”to GMcrops.Theseauthorssuggestthat“theMNEwasabletouseitsexclusivecapacityto upgradeGMcottontechnologiesasanegotiationtooltopersuadehostactorstochangethe rulesthataffecteditsmultiplelineofbusinessinthecountry.Thisimplieswiderpolicyscope toencouragetechnologyupgrading;hostactorscouldnegotiateoverawiderrangeofaspects ofinteresttoMNEs.”44 Thattheremanymoreproblemstobeaddressedbeyondtheinterestsofmultinational corporationsoughttobeevident.Thatis,“despitethewidespreadadoptionofBtcropsanda continuedincreaseintheareaonwhichtheyaregrown,therearestillanumberof unansweredquestionsassociatedwithlongertermagro-ecosysteminteractions,forinstance theimpactofsecondarypests.”45 Meanwhilethesituationisnotoptimalintheglobalnortheithereveniftheproblemshavea differentcharacter.IntheUStheannualstatisticsfor1992to2009oncottonplantedindicates thatwhilethepercentageofgeneticallymodifiedcottonhasincreasedtonearly90percent, theaverageannualtotalherbicideapplicationrateforcotton(massperarea)failstoshowa 41 Ibid.,85. ValeriaArzaandPatrickvanZwanenberg,‘ThePoliticsofTechnologicalUpgrading: InternationalTransfertoandAdaptationofGMCottoninArgentina’,World Development59(July2014):521–34. 43 FangbinQiao,‘FifteenYearsofBtCottoninChina:TheEconomicImpactandIts Dynamics’,WorldDevelopment70(June2015):177–85. 44 ArzaandvanZwanenberg,‘ThePoliticsofTechnologicalUpgrading’. 45 RuiCatarinoetal.,‘TheImpactofSecondaryPestsonBacillusThuringiensis(Bt) Crops’,PlantBiotechnologyJournal13,no.5(1June2015):601–12. 42 decreasealthoughitwouldhavebeenexpectedaccordingtotheoryandrationaleof introducingtransgenetictraits.46 RegulationandGovernanceDreamscapes Nanotechnologies,likeotherproceedingtechnologies,havegottenmuchattentionandatoo largebodyofliteraturehasbeengenerateddisplayingaspectrumofviews.Thereissome agreementthattherearetwomaindangers.Oneisthata“blinkeredadherencetosciencedrivenandhierarchicaldecision-makingapproach”inregulationwillignorethevaluesofthe citizenswhoseektoinfluenceregulationbysomeparticipativeorotherlegitimizing mechanisms.47Anotheristhatperceptionscountertocurrentscientificunderstandingmay haveanundueornon-justifiableinfluenceonregulatorydecisions.48Thatis,balanceis required,andsocial,regulatoryandgovernanceinnovationiscalledupontoassure transparency,legitimacyandtrustintheregulatoryprocess. “Wehavecometothepointinsyntheticbiologywheretherearemanylab-scaleorproof-ofconceptexamplesofchemicallycontrolledsystemsusefultosensesmallmolecules,treat disease,andproducecommerciallyusefulcompounds.Thesesystemshavegreatpotential,but moreattentionneedstobepaidtotheirstability,efficacy,andsafety.”49(linktocasestudies whereappropriate) Gervaisanalysisusesaclassificationoftechnologythatisinterestingasananalyticaltool,and reliesmainlyontheprecautionaryprincipleapplicationtoleavetheemergingtechnology unregulatedandpleadsforanimbleregulatoryapproach(courts,regulatoryagencies)when risksemerge.50Thisproposedapproachignoresthenatureoftechnologyandco-production. (tobeexpanded) 46 SeeTable3in:RichardHCoupeandPaulDCapel,‘TrendsinPesticideUseon Soybean,CornandCottonsincetheIntroductionofMajorGeneticallyModifiedCrops intheUnitedStates’,PestManagementScience,1August2015,n/a-n/a. 47 AndrewD.Maynard,DianaM.Bowman,andGraemeA.Hodge,‘Conclusions: Triggers,Gaps,RisksandTrust’,inInternationalHandbookonRegulating Nanotechnologies,ed.GraemeA.Hodge,DianaMBowman,andAndrewD.Maynard (Cheltenham,UK:Elgar,2010),573–86. 48 Ibid. 49 TylerJFordandPamelaASilver,‘SyntheticBiologyExpandsChemicalControlof Microorganisms’,CurrentOpinioninChemicalBiology,Syntheticbiology•Synthetic biomolecules,28(October2015):20–28. 50 DanielJ.Gervais,‘TheRegulationofInchoateTechnologies’,HoustonLawReview47, no.3(18November2010):665–705. Harmonizationpresumesstableandwidelysharedgoals.Develop.“Howdoharmonizing regulationsimpactontheopportunitiesforpoorercommunitiesindevelopingcountriesto effectivelyaccessnewtechnologies,assurethemselvesofbenefits,whilstguardingagainst risks?Howdoharmonizingregulationsaffectthecapacityofpoorercommunities,localand nationalbusinesses,andnationalgovernmentstodeveloplocallyappropriateformsof technologyuse?Doregulationsenableenvironmentallysustainableandsociallyjust technologydevelopmentpathwaysappropriatetospecificsituationsordotheyhinder them?”51 Lastbutnotleast,thereistheissueofwhatcanWTOdotodealwithemergingtechnologies. Theverdictisthatifananalysis(type)oftheEUGMregulationinlightoftheWTOtrade disputesisindeedlegal,butitcertainlyhasbeencostly.52Thenwhenlookedatindetail,while WTOandinternationallawcannotreallyeasetheburdenofdealingwithwickedregulatory andgovernanceproblems,astreamliningofitsfunctionscouldbehelpfulisreducingofofthe burdens.(tobedeveloped,TBTiswhatisontheline,itisaboutstandardsafterall). 51 CompareEly,Winter,Maynard,andGervais(considerFeenberg)AdrianEly,Patrick VanZwanenberg,andAndrewStirling,‘BroadeningoutandOpeningupTechnology Assessment:ApproachestoEnhanceInternationalDevelopment,Co-Ordinationand Democratisation’,ResearchPolicy43,no.3(April2014):505–18;GerdWinter,‘In SearchforaLegalFrameworkforSyntheticBiology’,inSyntheticBiologyAnalysed,ed. MargretEngelhard,EthicsofScienceandTechnologyAssessment44(Springer InternationalPublishing,2016),171–211, http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-319-25145-5_7;GerdWinter,‘The RegulationofSyntheticBiologybyEULaw:CurrentStateandProspects’,inSynthetic Biology,ed.BerndGieseetal.,RiskEngineering(SpringerInternationalPublishing, 2015),213–34,http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-319-02783-8_11;B. Erickson,R.Singh,andP.Winters,‘SyntheticBiology:RegulatingIndustryUsesofNew Biotechnologies’,Science333(1September2011):1254–56;ElenStokesandDianaM. Bowman,‘LookingBacktotheFutureofRegulatingNewTechnologies:TheCasesof NanotechnologiesandSyntheticBiology’,EuropeanJournalofRiskRegulation2012 (2012):235;JenniferKuzmaandToddTanji,‘UnpackagingSyntheticBiology: IdentificationofOversightPolicyProblemsandOptions’,Regulation&amp; Governance4(1February2010):92–112;HenryMillerDrewKershen,‘Will OverregulationInEuropeStymieSyntheticBiology?-Forbes’,Forbes.com,n.d.;Mithun BantwalRaoetal.,‘TechnologicalMediationandPower:Postphenomenology,Critical Theory,andAutonomistMarxism’,Philosophy&Technology28,no.3(September 2015):449–74;GregoryConkoetal.,‘ARisk-BasedApproachtotheRegulationof GeneticallyEngineeredOrganisms’,NatureBiotechnology34,no.5(May2016):493– 503;AlexanderKelle,‘BeyondPatchworkPrecautionintheDual-UseGovernanceof SyntheticBiology’,ScienceandEngineeringEthics,26May2012. 52 MaartenJ.PuntandJustusWesseler,‘LegalButCostly:AnAnalysisoftheEUGM RegulationintheLightoftheWTOTradeDisputeBetweentheEUandtheUSA’,The WorldEconomy39,no.1(1January2016):158–69.