Hemphill Presentation - National Defense Industrial Association

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Ballistic Missile Defense Update For The
National Defense Industrial Association
Distribution Statement A:
Approved for public release;
distribution is unlimited
4 JUN 09
Mr. Albert D. Hemphill II
Director for Operations
Missile Defense Agency
Approved for Public Release
09-MDA-4626 (3 JUN 09)
ms-112396 / 060109
Foreign Ballistic Missile Programs 2009
Belarus Ukraine
Scud B Scud B
SS-21
SS-21
Syria
Scud B/C/D
SS-21
Turkmenistan
Scud B
Kazakhstan
Scud B
SS-21
Libya
Scud B
Al Fatah
North Korea
Scud B/C,
No Dong,
Taepo Dong-1,
New IRBM
Taepo Dong-2
Egypt
Scud B
Iran
Fateh-110, Scud B/C,
CSS-8
Shahab 3,
Shahab 3 Variant,
Ashura
New MRBM
Rest of World Force Levels
2008
SRBM
5,500
MRBM
350
IR/ICBM
<40
Totals
Approved for Public Release
09-MDA-4626 (3 JUN 09)
5,900
Saudi Arabia
CSS-2
UAE
Scud B
Yemen
Scud B
SS-21
India
Pakistan
Prithvi 1/2,
Hatf 1, Ghaznavi, Dhanush, Agni 1,
Shaheen 1,
Agni 2, Agni 3
Ghauri, Shaheen 2
Sagarika
Vietnam
Scud B
“Current trends indicate that adversary ballistic missiles, with advanced liquidor solid-propellant propulsion systems, are becoming more flexible, mobile,
survivable, reliable and accurate while also presenting longer ranges.”
LTG Michael Maples, Director, DIA
Sources: OSD, Proliferation: Threat and Response, 2001; NASIC, Ballistic and Cruise Missile Threat, 2003,
2006; DIA Annual Threat Assessment, 2007, 2008 DIA/MSIC Message 2009281441SS(U)
ms-112396 / 060109
2
Missile Defense Goals
Hedge against
future
Launch
Near-term
defense
$191M
Boost
$368M
Ascent
2,840M*
Midcourse
$1,335M
Terminal
Pervasive Sensors, Testing & Integration $3,093M
*$1,538M of midcourse
has ascent phase
application
• Provide a balance of capabilities, requirements, and
risks to deter aggression, project power, and protect
U.S. and allied interests
• Respond to war fighter requirements to counter the
most pressing near-term regional threats
• Pursue cost-effective and operationally effective
missile defense capabilities to hedge against future
threat uncertainties
Approved for Public Release
09-MDA-4626 (3 JUN 09)
ms-112396 / 060109
3
FY10 Missile Defense Program Strategy
• Enhance protection of our deployed forces, allies
TY$ in Millions
and friends against existing threats
Development
- Field more THAAD and SM-3 interceptors
Test
- Begin conversion of 6 additional Aegis ships
Fielding
• Maintain a ground-based midcourse capability to
Sustainment
defeat rogue state threats or accidental launch
Total
against the United States
- Complete emplacement of 26 GBIs at Ft. Greely and 4 at VAFB
- Complete procurement of 14 GBIs
– Backfill oldest GBIs
– Refurbish and test removed GBIs
– Maintain 4 operational spares
• Enhance rigorous BMDS testing
FY10
4,153.3
1,458.0
1,509.2
705.9
7,826.4
• Balance Midcourse R&D with Ascent Phase Intercept (API) R&D
- Terminate midcourse Multiple Kill Vehicle
- Terminate Kinetic Energy Interceptor program
- Leverage emerging API technologies to hedge against threat growth, increase
operational effectiveness and efficiency
- Cancel ABL Tail #2 and focus program on R&D
• Continue plans to deploy a European Capability to defeat longer-range threats to the
extent allowed by law
• Increase size and qualification of MDA government workforce and efficiency of
operations
Approved for Public Release
09-MDA-4626 (3 JUN 09)
ms-112396 / 060109
4
The PB10 BMDS
Sensors
Overhead Persistent
Infrared
Space Tracking
& Surveillance
System
UAV Based
Sensor
Boost
Sea-Based
Radars
Ascent
IA IB
Early
Warning
Radar
Midcourse
X-Band
Radar
Midcourse
AN/TPY-2
SPY-1
Terminal
IIA
Sea-Based Terminal
Airborne Laser (Tail 1)
SM-3
Command, Control,
Battle Management
& Communications
Aegis BMD
Ground-Based
Midcourse
Defense
Terminal
High Altitude
Area Defense
Patriot Advanced
Capability-3
NMCC USSTRATCOM USNORTHCOM USPACOM EUCOM CENTCOM
PB10
PB10Sustains
SustainsMidcourse
MidcourseDefense
Defense(ICBMs)
(ICBMs)While
WhileEmphasizing
EmphasizingTerminal
Terminal(SRBMs)
(SRBMs)
And
AndEfficient
EfficientAnd
AndOperationally
Operationally––Effective
EffectiveAscent
AscentIntercepts
Intercepts(MRBMs,
(MRBMs,IRBMs)
IRBMs)
Approved for Public Release
09-MDA-4626 (3 JUN 09)
ms-112396 / 060109
5
Why Ascent Phase Intercept?
Medium Range Ballistic Missile
Ascent Phase
Threat Apogee
Furthest Launcher
Intercept
Altitude
• Ascent Phase intercept will help us
achieve key operational- and costefficiencies
- Chance to kill before countermeasures
deploy with easier intercepts than
boost phase
- Greater chance to shoot-look-shoot
(doubles inventory efficiency)
- Optimized asset locations to maximize
standoff distances
- 2002 Defense Science Board Report
recommended it for emphasis
Closest Launcher
Intercept
TSRM Burnout
• What’s changed since 2002: Leveraging
Today’s Technologies
- Interceptors with substantial burnout
velocities
- Rapid closure of fire control loops
demonstrated with hardware-in-theloop
- Over-the-horizon sensors for netted
coverage
- Affordable, continuously-available
sensors
Approved for Public Release
09-MDA-4626 (3 JUN 09)
2nd Stage Burnout
Threat
Burnout
Threat
Launch
0
1st Stage Burnout
Interceptor Away
Distance From Launch Point
ms-112396 / 060109
6
System Configuration
End Of FY 2009 End Of FY 2010
OPIR
UEWR
UEWR
C2BMC
GBI (25→26)
Thule
Greenland
EWR
C2BMC
Fylingdales,
UK
AN/TPY-2
Shemya, AK
Ramstein,
GE
AN/TPY-2
Ft. Greely
SBX
UEWR
Shariki, Japan
C2BMC
Israel
Beale AFB
GBI (4)
C2BMC
Vandenberg AFB
Patriot Fire Units (44→58)
AN/TPY-2 (6→7) PAC-3 Interceptors (727→831)
THAAD Fire Units (1→2)
THAAD Interceptors (8→32)
Hawaii
Aegis Ships (19→21)
SM-3 Interceptors (35→61)
SM-2 Interceptors (≈ 58→70)
C2BMC = Command, Control And Battle Management Network
EWR = Early Warning Radar
OPIR = Overhead Persistent Infrared
Approved for Public Release
09-MDA-4626 (3 JUN 09)
SBX = Sea-based X-Band Radar
SM-2 = Standard Missile-2 Terminal Interceptor
SM-3 = Standard Missile-3 Interceptor
UEWR = Upgraded Early Warning Radar
THAAD = Terminal High Altitude Area Defense
ms-112396 / 060109
7
BMDS Test Review
• Phase 1 (January 2009) – determined data needed to
validate BMDS Modeling and Simulation (M&S) and
evaluate operational effectiveness, suitability, survivability,
supportability
- 101 critical variables and parameters (Critical
Engagement Conditions and Empirical Measurement
Events) that must be tested to validate M&S
• Phase 2 (March-May 2009) – determine test venues and
scenarios to acquire the data identified in Phase 1
- 6 test campaigns to conduct approximately 144 tests
(including 56 flight tests involving 37 tests where threat
targets are intercepted)
• Phase 3 (June 2009) – Identify the resources and the
planning infrastructure, including targets and test ranges,
to execute those scenarios identified in Phase 2
- Work in progress
Approved for Public Release
09-MDA-4626 (3 JUN 09)
ms-112396 / 060109
8
FY10 Test Campaign
Multi-Event Campaign
FTL-02
ABL Boost Phase
SRBM Negation
(Q1)
• PAC-3 Events Not Depicted
Multi-Event Campaign
FTS-01
JFTM-03
JFTM-03
Int’l SM-3 SRBM Intercept
FTX-06
with U.S. TrackEx.
Int’l/U.S. SRBM TrackEx (2) First Aegis BMD 4.0.1
with Simulated Intercepts SRBM TrackEx (4) with
(Q1)
Simulated Intercepts
(Q1)
FTL-04
FTT-13
FTG-07
FTT-12
FTL-03
THAAD Simultaneous
MRBM/SRBM Intercept
ABL Negation with
with Simulated Mass
Different Geometries
Raid
(Q1)
(Q2)
Multi-Event Campaign
First STSS SRBM Target
Tracking Exercise
(Q2)
FTM-16 Under Review
FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
GTD-04 Test Architecture
GTD-04 Test Architecture
GTD-04 Test Architecture
FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
GT-04
SIU
Web Browser
SIU
SIU
SIU
SIU
SIU
SIU
Web Browser
EUCOM
Web Browser
C2BMC
NCR
SIU
GFC MDIOC
GMD S-1
ESI
IDT
CDUSIU
Web
MPBrowser
DB
SIU
SIU
SIU
SIUCLE
IDT
CLE
IBS-S
IBS-S
IBS-S/I
SPAWAR
ADSI
SIU
SIU
GMD S-2
IDT
XBR
IDT
FGA
CLE
IDT
IDT
CNIP
(FGA)
MDSE Test Framework
SBIRS
CNIP
Element/Component
(FGA)
MDSE Processors
Test Framework
Tactical Comm
BuckleyVMF
SBIRS
Buckley VMF
Element/Component
Comms LegendMDSE Test Framework
Processors
SBIRS Tactical Comm
Regional
ADSI (JREAP-C)
Buckley
Element/Component
Comms
Legend
Protocol
C2BMC Net Interface
Tactical Comm Processors
IBS-S
XML
HWIL Labs
IBS-S
S-TADIL J
RNG
S-TADIL J
S-TADIL J
GTE
S-TADIL J
IBS-S
IBS-S
MTJ
S-TADIL J
S-TADIL J
MTJ
IBS-S
JREAP-CJ
S-TADIL
JREAP-C
JREAP-B
RNG IBS-S/IRNG
IBS-S
S-TADIL J
Regional ADSI (JREAP-C)
Comms
Legend
Net Interface
Protocol
C2BMC
UHF DAMA
(S-TADIL
J)
XMLLink Regional ADSI (JREAP-C)
SBIRS VMF
RNG
RNG
RNG
C2BMC Net Interface Protocol
IBS-S UHF DAMA (S-TADIL J)
C&D
CDLMS JTT
CDLMS Adj
CDLMS JTT
XML
EHF MTJSBIRS VMF Link
RNG
RNG
RNG
Aegis
Aegis
Aegis
UHF DAMA (S-TADIL J)
IBS-S
BMD
BMD CDLMS JTT
BMD CDLMS JTT Video Data Display
C&D
CDLMS Adj
(Moorestown)
SBIRS
VMF
Link
(Dahlgren)
(Pt. Loma)
Landline EHF
STJ MTJ
Via STU-III
Aegis
Aegis
Aegis
AN/TPY-2
IBS-S
Patriot
THAAD
Aegis
Aegis
B-Series JTAGS
Video Data
Display
BMD CDLMS BMD
C&D
BMD
Theater
JTT
DIGISIM Japan
JTT Comm (JREAP)
CDLMS Adj
CDLMS
BMD
BMD
(SED)
(SED)
(Moorestown)
CDLMS JTT
CDLMS JTT
EHF
MTJ
TTC
Driver (SED) FMS/D
GPS Sync
A-STATS (Dahlgren)
ACSIS (Pt. Loma)
ACSIS
Dockside
Dockside (TBD)
Landline
Via
STU-III
(TBD)
Dashed
LinesSTJ
indicate
Aegis
Aegis
Aegis
AN/TPY-2
Patriot Simulator
THAAD SimulatorAegis
JTAGS
Aegis
Video(JREAP)
Data Display
monitoring
by
BMD
BMD
BMDpassive
Theater
Comm
DIGISIM Japan
BMD
BMD
(SED)
(SED)
(Moorestown)
(SED)
MDSE TCS and NSITE.
SIU A-STATSSIU(Dahlgren)
FMS/DTIU
TTC
Driver SIU
GPS Sync SIU
ACSIS (Pt. Loma)
ACSIS SIU
Dockside
Landline
Via STU-III
(TBD)
Dashed
Lines STJ
indicate
SIU Dockside
SIU (TBD)
Simulator
Simulator
passive
monitoring by
Theater
DIGISIM
29 Apr 09Comm
Rev A (JREAP)
MDSE
TCS
and NSITE.
200-DWG-0044
FMS/D
TIU
TTC
SIU
Driver SIU
SIU
GPS Sync SIU
A-STATS
ACSIS
ACSISSIU
Dockside
Dockside
Dashed Lines indicate
SIU
SIU
Simulator
Simulator
passive monitoring by
FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
29 Apr 09 Rev A
MDSE
TCS and NSITE.
200-DWG-0044
SIU
SIU
TIU
SIU
SIU
SIU
SIU
SIU
JRE
HWIL Labs
HWIL Labs
Ships
First Aegis BMD SM-3 CD tracking Exercise
Blk 1B SRBM Intercept of MRBM with
with TrackEx
simulated engagement GT-04 exercises
1. SSF Increment 1 integration
(Q4)
(Q4)
2. Upgrades to SBIRS Rep
3. Tactical Software Availability
(Begins Q1)
FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
29 Apr 09 Rev A
200-DW G-0044
FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Approved for Public Release
09-MDA-4626 (3 JUN 09)
GMD S-2
XBR
CNIP
(FGA)
VMF
Ships
(Q4)
IDT
GTE
IBS-S
Injection
Node
IBS-S
MTJ
S-TADIL J
S-TADIL J
IBS-S
Injection
Node
IBS-I
JREAP-CIBS-S
JRE
JREAP-C
IBS-I
S-TADIL JIBS-S
Bi-Lateral
ADSI
USFJ
Radiant
JTT
CTT
Mercury
ADSI
JRE
CNIP
(Japan)
CDLI
CDLI
CDLI
(Japan)
BCN
JTT
CTT
B-Series
CNE
ADSI
CNIP
CDLMS JTT
(Japan)
CDLI
CDLI
CDLICDLMS JTT
(Japan)
CTT
AN/TPY-2
Patriot
THAAD JTT
Aegis
Aegis
B-Series JTAGS
CNIP
BMD
Japan ADSI
BMD
(SED)
(SED)
(SED)
CDLMS JTT
(Japan)
CDLMS JTT
CDLI
CDLI
CDLI
(Japan)
(TBD)
(TBD)
BCN
CNE
FTX-08
Injection
Node
Host Nation
IBS-I
JREAP-C
IBS-S
JREAP-C
USFJ
Radiant
Mercury
IBS-I
JREAP-C IBS-I
IBS-S
C-Series
Bi-Lateral
ADSI
IBS-I
First 2-stage GBI
IRBM Intercept
BCN
CNE
C-Series
JREAP-B
JREAP-C
Host Nation
USFJ
Radiant
Mercury
Generated
Threat Tapes
IDT
FGA
GFC FGA
ESI
MP
DB
GCN
XML (VMF)
JREAP-C
JREAP-CXML (VMF)
Regional
CNIP/ADSI SPAWAR
ADSI
JREAP-C
Teleport
GTE
Regional
IBS-S/I CNIP/ADSISPAWAR
ADSI
Teleport
SIU XBR
CLE
VAFB
CLE
SIU
GMD S-2
IDT
GFC FGA
ESI
MP
DB
IDT
GMD S-4
GCN
Teleport
Bi-Lateral
ADSI
Aegis
BMD
GMD S-3
SIU
FGA
CLE
MP
Generated
Threat Tapes
Regional
CNIP/ADSI
Ships
(Q3)
Host Nation
IBS-SJREAP-C
C-Series
JREAP-B
First THAAD
Intercept of MRBM
with CMs
C2BMC
NORTHCOM
CNIP
(MDIOC)
SBX
SIU
VAFB
GMD
GCNS-4
XML (VMF)
CMD
CNIP
(MDIOC)
CMD
(Q2)
NORTHCOM
Cobra Dane
SIU
SIU
GFC FGA
ESI
DB
SIU
VAFB
GMD S-4
GMD S-3
STRATCOM
DATMS EUCOM
SIU
• Test Configuration Control
• Test Control Segment (TCS)
Web Browser
C2BMC NCR GFC MDIOC GMD S-1
C2BMC
• ClearCom/DRSN/Voice
GMD S-3
ESI
• NSITE
STRATCOM
C2BMC DATMS EUCOM
PACOM
IDT
CDU
MP
DB
• Test Configuration Control
NORTHCOM
GFC MDIOC
GMD S-1
C2BMC
C2BMC
• ClearCom/DRSN/Voice
Generated
ESI
CNIP
Threat
STRATCOM
PACOM
C2BMC DATMS
IDT
CDU
MP Tapes
DB
(MDIOC)
CMD
ABL Negation
with Different
Geometries
SIU
NCR
Web Browser
IBS-S
Distributed Test
Exercise Control
(MDIOC)
• Test Control
Distributed
Segment (TCS)
Test
Exercise Control
• NSITE
(MDIOC)
• Test Configuration
Control
Test
• Test Control Distributed
Segment (TCS)
C2BMC
• ClearCom/DRSN/Voice
Exercise Control
• NSITE
PACOM
(MDIOC)
IBS-SJ
S-TADIL
FTM-16
Target
ms-112396 / 060109
9
International Activity Highlights
R&D Cooperative Efforts
Foreign BMD Projects / Interests
Netherlands: PAC-3, Maritime
BMD Cooperation
UK: Fylingdales UEWR, Joint Project
Arrangements for Cooperative Projects
France: Cooperative project
potential
Italy: MEADS partner
Poland: Agreed to host Ground
Based Interceptors, potential
RDT&E cooperation
Denmark: Upgrade Thule Early
Warning Radar
India: Have had discussions
on RDT&E
Russia: Strategic cooperation
/transparency dialogue
Australia: Advanced technology
cooperation
United Arab Emirates: Request
for THAAD
Japan: Forward-based X-Band
radar siting, 21" Missile
Development
Israel: Arrow Deployed, Arrow
System Improvement Program;
development of short-range BMD,
Upper Tier program
Czech Republic: Agreed to host
midcourse radar; some RDT&E
cooperation
ROK: Missile Defense
discussions, Request for
BMD requirement analysis
Germany: MEADS partner, laser
cross-link technology
NATO: Completed tasking to explore architectures to supplement
European Site. Working with ALTBMD to demonstrate connectivity
between NATO and U.S. systems
Kuwait: Expressed interest in
missile defense
Approved for Public Release
09-MDA-4626 (3 JUN 09)
Saudi Arabia: Requested BMD
requirements analysis
Ukraine: Conducting a missile
defense project; RDT&E
agreement being staffed
Bahrain: Request for BMD
requirements analysis
Qatar: Expressed interest in
missile defense
ms-112396 / 060109
10
PB10 Summary
• Enhances protection of our deployed forces, allies and
friends against existing threats
• Maintains a ground-based midcourse capability to defeat
rogue state threats or accidental launch against the United
States
• Leverages Ascent Phase Intercept (API) technologies
• Emphasizes a rigorous modeling and test program to
improve confidence in the effectiveness of capabilities
under development
Approved for Public Release
09-MDA-4626 (3 JUN 09)
ms-112396 / 060109
11
Approved for Public Release
09-MDA-4626 (3 JUN 09)
ms-112396 / 060109
12
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