Ballistic Missile Defense Update For The National Defense Industrial Association Distribution Statement A: Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited 4 JUN 09 Mr. Albert D. Hemphill II Director for Operations Missile Defense Agency Approved for Public Release 09-MDA-4626 (3 JUN 09) ms-112396 / 060109 Foreign Ballistic Missile Programs 2009 Belarus Ukraine Scud B Scud B SS-21 SS-21 Syria Scud B/C/D SS-21 Turkmenistan Scud B Kazakhstan Scud B SS-21 Libya Scud B Al Fatah North Korea Scud B/C, No Dong, Taepo Dong-1, New IRBM Taepo Dong-2 Egypt Scud B Iran Fateh-110, Scud B/C, CSS-8 Shahab 3, Shahab 3 Variant, Ashura New MRBM Rest of World Force Levels 2008 SRBM 5,500 MRBM 350 IR/ICBM <40 Totals Approved for Public Release 09-MDA-4626 (3 JUN 09) 5,900 Saudi Arabia CSS-2 UAE Scud B Yemen Scud B SS-21 India Pakistan Prithvi 1/2, Hatf 1, Ghaznavi, Dhanush, Agni 1, Shaheen 1, Agni 2, Agni 3 Ghauri, Shaheen 2 Sagarika Vietnam Scud B “Current trends indicate that adversary ballistic missiles, with advanced liquidor solid-propellant propulsion systems, are becoming more flexible, mobile, survivable, reliable and accurate while also presenting longer ranges.” LTG Michael Maples, Director, DIA Sources: OSD, Proliferation: Threat and Response, 2001; NASIC, Ballistic and Cruise Missile Threat, 2003, 2006; DIA Annual Threat Assessment, 2007, 2008 DIA/MSIC Message 2009281441SS(U) ms-112396 / 060109 2 Missile Defense Goals Hedge against future Launch Near-term defense $191M Boost $368M Ascent 2,840M* Midcourse $1,335M Terminal Pervasive Sensors, Testing & Integration $3,093M *$1,538M of midcourse has ascent phase application • Provide a balance of capabilities, requirements, and risks to deter aggression, project power, and protect U.S. and allied interests • Respond to war fighter requirements to counter the most pressing near-term regional threats • Pursue cost-effective and operationally effective missile defense capabilities to hedge against future threat uncertainties Approved for Public Release 09-MDA-4626 (3 JUN 09) ms-112396 / 060109 3 FY10 Missile Defense Program Strategy • Enhance protection of our deployed forces, allies TY$ in Millions and friends against existing threats Development - Field more THAAD and SM-3 interceptors Test - Begin conversion of 6 additional Aegis ships Fielding • Maintain a ground-based midcourse capability to Sustainment defeat rogue state threats or accidental launch Total against the United States - Complete emplacement of 26 GBIs at Ft. Greely and 4 at VAFB - Complete procurement of 14 GBIs – Backfill oldest GBIs – Refurbish and test removed GBIs – Maintain 4 operational spares • Enhance rigorous BMDS testing FY10 4,153.3 1,458.0 1,509.2 705.9 7,826.4 • Balance Midcourse R&D with Ascent Phase Intercept (API) R&D - Terminate midcourse Multiple Kill Vehicle - Terminate Kinetic Energy Interceptor program - Leverage emerging API technologies to hedge against threat growth, increase operational effectiveness and efficiency - Cancel ABL Tail #2 and focus program on R&D • Continue plans to deploy a European Capability to defeat longer-range threats to the extent allowed by law • Increase size and qualification of MDA government workforce and efficiency of operations Approved for Public Release 09-MDA-4626 (3 JUN 09) ms-112396 / 060109 4 The PB10 BMDS Sensors Overhead Persistent Infrared Space Tracking & Surveillance System UAV Based Sensor Boost Sea-Based Radars Ascent IA IB Early Warning Radar Midcourse X-Band Radar Midcourse AN/TPY-2 SPY-1 Terminal IIA Sea-Based Terminal Airborne Laser (Tail 1) SM-3 Command, Control, Battle Management & Communications Aegis BMD Ground-Based Midcourse Defense Terminal High Altitude Area Defense Patriot Advanced Capability-3 NMCC USSTRATCOM USNORTHCOM USPACOM EUCOM CENTCOM PB10 PB10Sustains SustainsMidcourse MidcourseDefense Defense(ICBMs) (ICBMs)While WhileEmphasizing EmphasizingTerminal Terminal(SRBMs) (SRBMs) And AndEfficient EfficientAnd AndOperationally Operationally––Effective EffectiveAscent AscentIntercepts Intercepts(MRBMs, (MRBMs,IRBMs) IRBMs) Approved for Public Release 09-MDA-4626 (3 JUN 09) ms-112396 / 060109 5 Why Ascent Phase Intercept? Medium Range Ballistic Missile Ascent Phase Threat Apogee Furthest Launcher Intercept Altitude • Ascent Phase intercept will help us achieve key operational- and costefficiencies - Chance to kill before countermeasures deploy with easier intercepts than boost phase - Greater chance to shoot-look-shoot (doubles inventory efficiency) - Optimized asset locations to maximize standoff distances - 2002 Defense Science Board Report recommended it for emphasis Closest Launcher Intercept TSRM Burnout • What’s changed since 2002: Leveraging Today’s Technologies - Interceptors with substantial burnout velocities - Rapid closure of fire control loops demonstrated with hardware-in-theloop - Over-the-horizon sensors for netted coverage - Affordable, continuously-available sensors Approved for Public Release 09-MDA-4626 (3 JUN 09) 2nd Stage Burnout Threat Burnout Threat Launch 0 1st Stage Burnout Interceptor Away Distance From Launch Point ms-112396 / 060109 6 System Configuration End Of FY 2009 End Of FY 2010 OPIR UEWR UEWR C2BMC GBI (25→26) Thule Greenland EWR C2BMC Fylingdales, UK AN/TPY-2 Shemya, AK Ramstein, GE AN/TPY-2 Ft. Greely SBX UEWR Shariki, Japan C2BMC Israel Beale AFB GBI (4) C2BMC Vandenberg AFB Patriot Fire Units (44→58) AN/TPY-2 (6→7) PAC-3 Interceptors (727→831) THAAD Fire Units (1→2) THAAD Interceptors (8→32) Hawaii Aegis Ships (19→21) SM-3 Interceptors (35→61) SM-2 Interceptors (≈ 58→70) C2BMC = Command, Control And Battle Management Network EWR = Early Warning Radar OPIR = Overhead Persistent Infrared Approved for Public Release 09-MDA-4626 (3 JUN 09) SBX = Sea-based X-Band Radar SM-2 = Standard Missile-2 Terminal Interceptor SM-3 = Standard Missile-3 Interceptor UEWR = Upgraded Early Warning Radar THAAD = Terminal High Altitude Area Defense ms-112396 / 060109 7 BMDS Test Review • Phase 1 (January 2009) – determined data needed to validate BMDS Modeling and Simulation (M&S) and evaluate operational effectiveness, suitability, survivability, supportability - 101 critical variables and parameters (Critical Engagement Conditions and Empirical Measurement Events) that must be tested to validate M&S • Phase 2 (March-May 2009) – determine test venues and scenarios to acquire the data identified in Phase 1 - 6 test campaigns to conduct approximately 144 tests (including 56 flight tests involving 37 tests where threat targets are intercepted) • Phase 3 (June 2009) – Identify the resources and the planning infrastructure, including targets and test ranges, to execute those scenarios identified in Phase 2 - Work in progress Approved for Public Release 09-MDA-4626 (3 JUN 09) ms-112396 / 060109 8 FY10 Test Campaign Multi-Event Campaign FTL-02 ABL Boost Phase SRBM Negation (Q1) • PAC-3 Events Not Depicted Multi-Event Campaign FTS-01 JFTM-03 JFTM-03 Int’l SM-3 SRBM Intercept FTX-06 with U.S. TrackEx. Int’l/U.S. SRBM TrackEx (2) First Aegis BMD 4.0.1 with Simulated Intercepts SRBM TrackEx (4) with (Q1) Simulated Intercepts (Q1) FTL-04 FTT-13 FTG-07 FTT-12 FTL-03 THAAD Simultaneous MRBM/SRBM Intercept ABL Negation with with Simulated Mass Different Geometries Raid (Q1) (Q2) Multi-Event Campaign First STSS SRBM Target Tracking Exercise (Q2) FTM-16 Under Review FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY GTD-04 Test Architecture GTD-04 Test Architecture GTD-04 Test Architecture FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY GT-04 SIU Web Browser SIU SIU SIU SIU SIU SIU Web Browser EUCOM Web Browser C2BMC NCR SIU GFC MDIOC GMD S-1 ESI IDT CDUSIU Web MPBrowser DB SIU SIU SIU SIUCLE IDT CLE IBS-S IBS-S IBS-S/I SPAWAR ADSI SIU SIU GMD S-2 IDT XBR IDT FGA CLE IDT IDT CNIP (FGA) MDSE Test Framework SBIRS CNIP Element/Component (FGA) MDSE Processors Test Framework Tactical Comm BuckleyVMF SBIRS Buckley VMF Element/Component Comms LegendMDSE Test Framework Processors SBIRS Tactical Comm Regional ADSI (JREAP-C) Buckley Element/Component Comms Legend Protocol C2BMC Net Interface Tactical Comm Processors IBS-S XML HWIL Labs IBS-S S-TADIL J RNG S-TADIL J S-TADIL J GTE S-TADIL J IBS-S IBS-S MTJ S-TADIL J S-TADIL J MTJ IBS-S JREAP-CJ S-TADIL JREAP-C JREAP-B RNG IBS-S/IRNG IBS-S S-TADIL J Regional ADSI (JREAP-C) Comms Legend Net Interface Protocol C2BMC UHF DAMA (S-TADIL J) XMLLink Regional ADSI (JREAP-C) SBIRS VMF RNG RNG RNG C2BMC Net Interface Protocol IBS-S UHF DAMA (S-TADIL J) C&D CDLMS JTT CDLMS Adj CDLMS JTT XML EHF MTJSBIRS VMF Link RNG RNG RNG Aegis Aegis Aegis UHF DAMA (S-TADIL J) IBS-S BMD BMD CDLMS JTT BMD CDLMS JTT Video Data Display C&D CDLMS Adj (Moorestown) SBIRS VMF Link (Dahlgren) (Pt. Loma) Landline EHF STJ MTJ Via STU-III Aegis Aegis Aegis AN/TPY-2 IBS-S Patriot THAAD Aegis Aegis B-Series JTAGS Video Data Display BMD CDLMS BMD C&D BMD Theater JTT DIGISIM Japan JTT Comm (JREAP) CDLMS Adj CDLMS BMD BMD (SED) (SED) (Moorestown) CDLMS JTT CDLMS JTT EHF MTJ TTC Driver (SED) FMS/D GPS Sync A-STATS (Dahlgren) ACSIS (Pt. Loma) ACSIS Dockside Dockside (TBD) Landline Via STU-III (TBD) Dashed LinesSTJ indicate Aegis Aegis Aegis AN/TPY-2 Patriot Simulator THAAD SimulatorAegis JTAGS Aegis Video(JREAP) Data Display monitoring by BMD BMD BMDpassive Theater Comm DIGISIM Japan BMD BMD (SED) (SED) (Moorestown) (SED) MDSE TCS and NSITE. SIU A-STATSSIU(Dahlgren) FMS/DTIU TTC Driver SIU GPS Sync SIU ACSIS (Pt. Loma) ACSIS SIU Dockside Landline Via STU-III (TBD) Dashed Lines STJ indicate SIU Dockside SIU (TBD) Simulator Simulator passive monitoring by Theater DIGISIM 29 Apr 09Comm Rev A (JREAP) MDSE TCS and NSITE. 200-DWG-0044 FMS/D TIU TTC SIU Driver SIU SIU GPS Sync SIU A-STATS ACSIS ACSISSIU Dockside Dockside Dashed Lines indicate SIU SIU Simulator Simulator passive monitoring by FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY 29 Apr 09 Rev A MDSE TCS and NSITE. 200-DWG-0044 SIU SIU TIU SIU SIU SIU SIU SIU JRE HWIL Labs HWIL Labs Ships First Aegis BMD SM-3 CD tracking Exercise Blk 1B SRBM Intercept of MRBM with with TrackEx simulated engagement GT-04 exercises 1. SSF Increment 1 integration (Q4) (Q4) 2. Upgrades to SBIRS Rep 3. Tactical Software Availability (Begins Q1) FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY 29 Apr 09 Rev A 200-DW G-0044 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Approved for Public Release 09-MDA-4626 (3 JUN 09) GMD S-2 XBR CNIP (FGA) VMF Ships (Q4) IDT GTE IBS-S Injection Node IBS-S MTJ S-TADIL J S-TADIL J IBS-S Injection Node IBS-I JREAP-CIBS-S JRE JREAP-C IBS-I S-TADIL JIBS-S Bi-Lateral ADSI USFJ Radiant JTT CTT Mercury ADSI JRE CNIP (Japan) CDLI CDLI CDLI (Japan) BCN JTT CTT B-Series CNE ADSI CNIP CDLMS JTT (Japan) CDLI CDLI CDLICDLMS JTT (Japan) CTT AN/TPY-2 Patriot THAAD JTT Aegis Aegis B-Series JTAGS CNIP BMD Japan ADSI BMD (SED) (SED) (SED) CDLMS JTT (Japan) CDLMS JTT CDLI CDLI CDLI (Japan) (TBD) (TBD) BCN CNE FTX-08 Injection Node Host Nation IBS-I JREAP-C IBS-S JREAP-C USFJ Radiant Mercury IBS-I JREAP-C IBS-I IBS-S C-Series Bi-Lateral ADSI IBS-I First 2-stage GBI IRBM Intercept BCN CNE C-Series JREAP-B JREAP-C Host Nation USFJ Radiant Mercury Generated Threat Tapes IDT FGA GFC FGA ESI MP DB GCN XML (VMF) JREAP-C JREAP-CXML (VMF) Regional CNIP/ADSI SPAWAR ADSI JREAP-C Teleport GTE Regional IBS-S/I CNIP/ADSISPAWAR ADSI Teleport SIU XBR CLE VAFB CLE SIU GMD S-2 IDT GFC FGA ESI MP DB IDT GMD S-4 GCN Teleport Bi-Lateral ADSI Aegis BMD GMD S-3 SIU FGA CLE MP Generated Threat Tapes Regional CNIP/ADSI Ships (Q3) Host Nation IBS-SJREAP-C C-Series JREAP-B First THAAD Intercept of MRBM with CMs C2BMC NORTHCOM CNIP (MDIOC) SBX SIU VAFB GMD GCNS-4 XML (VMF) CMD CNIP (MDIOC) CMD (Q2) NORTHCOM Cobra Dane SIU SIU GFC FGA ESI DB SIU VAFB GMD S-4 GMD S-3 STRATCOM DATMS EUCOM SIU • Test Configuration Control • Test Control Segment (TCS) Web Browser C2BMC NCR GFC MDIOC GMD S-1 C2BMC • ClearCom/DRSN/Voice GMD S-3 ESI • NSITE STRATCOM C2BMC DATMS EUCOM PACOM IDT CDU MP DB • Test Configuration Control NORTHCOM GFC MDIOC GMD S-1 C2BMC C2BMC • ClearCom/DRSN/Voice Generated ESI CNIP Threat STRATCOM PACOM C2BMC DATMS IDT CDU MP Tapes DB (MDIOC) CMD ABL Negation with Different Geometries SIU NCR Web Browser IBS-S Distributed Test Exercise Control (MDIOC) • Test Control Distributed Segment (TCS) Test Exercise Control • NSITE (MDIOC) • Test Configuration Control Test • Test Control Distributed Segment (TCS) C2BMC • ClearCom/DRSN/Voice Exercise Control • NSITE PACOM (MDIOC) IBS-SJ S-TADIL FTM-16 Target ms-112396 / 060109 9 International Activity Highlights R&D Cooperative Efforts Foreign BMD Projects / Interests Netherlands: PAC-3, Maritime BMD Cooperation UK: Fylingdales UEWR, Joint Project Arrangements for Cooperative Projects France: Cooperative project potential Italy: MEADS partner Poland: Agreed to host Ground Based Interceptors, potential RDT&E cooperation Denmark: Upgrade Thule Early Warning Radar India: Have had discussions on RDT&E Russia: Strategic cooperation /transparency dialogue Australia: Advanced technology cooperation United Arab Emirates: Request for THAAD Japan: Forward-based X-Band radar siting, 21" Missile Development Israel: Arrow Deployed, Arrow System Improvement Program; development of short-range BMD, Upper Tier program Czech Republic: Agreed to host midcourse radar; some RDT&E cooperation ROK: Missile Defense discussions, Request for BMD requirement analysis Germany: MEADS partner, laser cross-link technology NATO: Completed tasking to explore architectures to supplement European Site. Working with ALTBMD to demonstrate connectivity between NATO and U.S. systems Kuwait: Expressed interest in missile defense Approved for Public Release 09-MDA-4626 (3 JUN 09) Saudi Arabia: Requested BMD requirements analysis Ukraine: Conducting a missile defense project; RDT&E agreement being staffed Bahrain: Request for BMD requirements analysis Qatar: Expressed interest in missile defense ms-112396 / 060109 10 PB10 Summary • Enhances protection of our deployed forces, allies and friends against existing threats • Maintains a ground-based midcourse capability to defeat rogue state threats or accidental launch against the United States • Leverages Ascent Phase Intercept (API) technologies • Emphasizes a rigorous modeling and test program to improve confidence in the effectiveness of capabilities under development Approved for Public Release 09-MDA-4626 (3 JUN 09) ms-112396 / 060109 11 Approved for Public Release 09-MDA-4626 (3 JUN 09) ms-112396 / 060109 12