Paper to be presented at the DRUID Summer Conference 2006 on KNOWLEDGE, INNOVATION AND COMPETITIVENESS: DYNAMICS OF FIRMS, NETWORKS, REGIONS AND INSTITUTIONS Copenhagen, Denmark, June 18-20, 2006 G: Corporate Innovation, Strategy and Organization LEARNING FOR INNOVATION IN SCIENCE-BASED INDUSTRIES: THE CASE OF PHARMACEUTICAL CRUG DISCOVERY Danielle D. Dunne PhD Candidate ddunne@andromeda.rutgers.edu Deborah Dougherty Professor doughert@rbsmail.rutgers.edu Department of Management and Global Business Rutgers Business School Rutgers, the State University of New Jersey 111 Washington St. Newark, NJ 07102 Initial draft, January 9, 2006 Abstract While science differs from engineering, most learning models for innovation come from engineeringbased industries. We examine learning in pharmaceutical R&D to explore the industry’s declining R&D productivity, and to develop new theory for science-based R&D learning. We find that learning methods of inquiry, integration, and sensemaking in drug discovery are similar to those in academic science in that there are no paths or physical frameworks to fill in, but are much more socially interactive. The method of inquiry is searching for clues (not for causes as in engineering), and involves a tenuous, stepwise process of searching the multi-dimensional problem space of human disease. Scientists work like detectives, not engineers, noticing, gathering, and digging for clues. Integration occurs by iterating among specialties to combine clues into temporary and partial patterns. Rather than brokering, iterating helps to select among clues and “round them up” into “bodies of data and evidence” around a hypothesis that a given molecule will solve a medical problem. Sensemaking involves all senses, not just hands, is both cerebral and unconscious, and is situated in the overall social organization of drug discovery. The organization becomes the main sensemaking organ for this innovation process. We develop implications for managing the special challenges of accumulation that science-based learning produces (processes lead easily to knowledge depreciation, not accumulation), for weaving engineering solutions into the process more appropriately (when technologies are used in engineering mode, as they often are, they do not enhance learning), and for organizing to enable this expanded sensemaking. Keywords: Learning, science, pharmaceuticals JEL – codes: L65, O31 1 Support for this research is provided by the MINE program (Managing Innovation in the New Economy), Roger Miller, PI, Ecole Polytechnique, Montreal, Quebec, Canada; The Technology Research Management Center of Rutgers Business School, Department of Management and Global Business; and RBS funding from the research resources committee. 2 It is well established that the work of science differs fundamentally from the work of engineering (Bunge 1967; Vincent 1990; Cardinal and Hatfield 2000; Floricel and Dougherty 2006). Scientists seek to generate a fuller understanding of natural phenomena, while technologists seek to apply knowledge in useful products or processes. Studies show that science and technology progress independently, each building upon its own prior developments (Allen 1977). It stands to reason, therefore, that people engaged in innovation might learn very differently in sciencebased industries than in engineering based industries. But our understanding of learning and its management for innovation is based largely on engineering industries such as automobiles, electronics, computing, and hard goods production (Clark and Fujimoto 1991; Brown and Eisenhardt 1997; Carlile 2004). The purpose of this paper is to tease out the learning processes underlying pharmaceutical drug discovery, innovation in a science-based industry. Clarifying the unique learning processes in this industry is vital for two reasons. First, pharmaceutical R&D productivity has declined precipitously in recent years, and in fact evinces a negative learning curve – costs have gone way up while output has gone way down. Global R&D expenditures have increased from $30 to $60 billon from 1993 to 2005, while output of new molecular entities (NMEs), or drugs, has dropped from around 40 to 25 in that period (Economist June 18 2005). Second, more fully exploring learning in this industry can help build general theory of scientific learning, since 21st century industrial innovation may increasingly rely on scientific understandings, not just on engineering (Grove 2005). This paper provides a preliminary report of grounded theory on learning in drug discovery based on interviews with 57 scientists and managers in seven “big pharma” firms, and in three smaller biotechnology firms that sell technologies to “big pharma.” Our emerging results suggest new applications of existing R&D management insights in the pharmaceutical 3 industry, and new ideas from that industry for R&D learning. We focus on the general process of small molecule drug discovery that occurs in “big pharma” companies, which is similar across these firms. The companies do vary by culture, disease emphasis, and how they organize the numerous steps in this process. But all are trying to improve productivity with cross-disciplinary teams organized by therapy area, and holding these groups accountable for larger chunks of the process. Indeed, the era of the star scientist, if it ever existed in fact, is fading as innovation in this industry is becoming a “team sport” (cf Tushman and O’Reilly 1997) just like it has become in most other industries. We find three science-based processes of learning in drug discovery that differ qualitatively from engineering learning. Before presenting our findings and developing their implications for managing learning in this industry, we describe the learning challenges in drug discovery and the unique problems of working with the still largely unknown arena of human biology and disease. Many possible causes for the productivity decline in pharmaceuticals may exist, among these national health care crises, regulatory pressures, difficulties managing the multi-firm and global nature of the process, and the inertia that can arise in large, historically very profitable firms. We limit our attention to learning challenges in the drug discovery, recognizing that these challenges interact with other pressures. We then outline how learning in engineering differs from that in science to provide a template against which we will compare our interview data on drug discovery. Grounded theory building depends on comparison to surface defining properties and dimensions that distinguish activities being examined. 4 CONCEPTUAL BACKGROUND Pharmaceutical Drug Discovery in Context That significant learning challenges exist in drug discovery is revealed from three different perspectives: the sheer complexity of the process; the failure, so far, for major scientific and technological breakthroughs to actually enhance drug discovery; and the limited productivity, in terms of profits, of the biotechnology industry that supports drug discovery. First, developing new drugs comprises the creation and evaluation of medicines for the safe and effective treatment of human disease. Figure 1 outlines the key activities of the entire process, from target discovery to the evaluation of safety and efficacy over the long term, post launch. The total process averages 12 years until market launch, with enormous attrition rates: 10,000 compounds are initially screened, 250 enter preclinical testing, 5 of these enter clinical trials, and only 1 on average gets FDA approval. We focus on the first six key activities in figure 1, typically referred to as “discovery,” which takes 6 years on average (varying from 2-10 years). The activities across the entire process are interdependent and cannot be separated simply, since, for example, new “targets” are not fully validated until drugs are on the market long enough to discern side effects. As well, drugs developed for one reason are often found to work for another problem late in the process (e.g., erectile dysfunction medicines and statins were initially developed for cardiovascular problems). However, the transition to clinical trials represents a shift in emphasis, since different people and regulations are involved, and since costs ramp up rapidly (clinical trials are very expensive). The Appendix provides a synopsis of drug discovery, and explains the key activities in this process. As figure 1 and the Appendix indicate, the key activities of drug discovery involve extensive scientific learning, as possible pathways for a disease are discovered and sorted out, 5 the roles of various proteins in those pathways are discerned and verified, molecular compounds which might bind to those proteins (called “targets”) are discovered and examined for toxicity (e.g., do they also bind to other proteins, thus causing side effects) and efficacy (e.g., how are they absorbed, metabolized and excreted by the body). The subject matter of drug discovery – the human body – is not only enormously complex but also largely unknown. One scientist we interviewed explained that a biological system has been “tweaked” over billions of years of evolution, so while one thing has to work in concert with another to get a function, like in engineering, there are many more regulatory levels, massive redundancies, and systems overlaps. Another scientist contrasted what he learned in a two day executive education program on reducing cycle time with what goes on in pharmaceuticals: It was interesting in a sense. They look at it in somewhat of a linear conception and have prototypes. Basically it is a linear process and at the end you have a physical product that is governed by physical laws, and can be modeled. That does not fit with us…. Our process is highly iterative, and the scientist goes back several times before he comes up with a chemical entity. It is biology to understand how the body works and chemistry to design a compound, but we don’t know how it will talk to the body… Biology is not linear, it is all a network. There are multiple channels for arriving at a disease… The linearity, adherence to physical laws, and ability to be modeled distinguish the subject matter of engineering in general from that in life science. Indeed, since drugs are by definition poisons, the body can react to them with other mechanisms that dampen their effects. Major scientific and technological breakthroughs for drug discovery have occurred in the past several decades, but the number of new drugs is declining nonetheless. For example, the human genome was fully sequenced in 2000, and the expectation was that since the genes that create proteins involved in diseases could be identified readily, then drugs that regulate those proteins can be quickly found. However, there is no one to one correspondence from genes to proteins to disease. According to Goozner (2005), the genome contains 30,000 genes but these 6 produce more than 300,000 proteins, and different genes make different proteins at different stages in life. The ability to genetically engineer single proteins has produced several important drugs (human insulin, EPO, factor VIII), but very few diseases are caused by a single missing protein. Diseases such as heart disease, cancer, stroke, Alzheimer’s, or arthritis, according to Goozner (2005), are not genetically determined in any simple way, and may involve multiple genes. As well, even when a gene involved in a disease is identified (as is the case with cystic fibrosis) creating the protein and getting it to the right site in the body is very challenging. The second scientist quoted above explained that the human genome generates vast amounts of data, but only some of it makes sense. As well, individual genetic make-ups differ, affecting whether or not and how drugs work in their bodies. While the human genome remains an enigma, one might think that the ability to screen hundreds of thousands of compounds in just a few days and to design them by computer would produce more drugs, but it has not. According to a Deloitte white paper, the director of R&D strategy at Eli Lilly explained problems with these major technologies: …Seven to eight years ago drug companies were enthralled with the possibilities of two specific technologies, heavily promoted by the biotech community and the venture capital industry, namely: Combinatorial Chemistry and High Throughput Screening (HTPS). Both approaches involve an industrialization of laboratory processes to allow large volumes of experiments to accelerate the search for candidate medicines. But mass production research carries a price… According to Mr. Schacht, “both approaches did not always increase intellectual know-how and were of limited value to the drug discovery process” (p. 14). A director of pre-clinical development at another firm that we interviewed explained that of the several thousand “hits” in a screening, most are either “horribly toxic” or not water soluble (and thus cannot be taken orally and may not be bio-available). This director’s explanation for why 7 productivity is down is that all these technologies have had a “disruptive” effect on this highly interdependent system, and how to fit them into this system remains to be figured out. Finally, the existence of productivity problems in drug discovery may come as a surprise to innovation and learning academics, since so many studies in these fields rely on biotechnology and drug patents and alliances to indicate that learning takes place (Powell, Koput, and Smith Doerr 1996). It is true that the majority of new drugs launched in 2004 were discovered by biotech firms (Economist June 4 2005), although this fact reflects less of an increase in biotech productivity overall, but one can argue that this reflects the big decline in “big pharma” productivity. However, the relatively better performance of the biotech sector might indicate better management of scientific learning, since these firms focus more on the science than on risk management and marketing that some say managers in big pharma focus on (Goozner 2005). However, despite its productivity in patent generation, the biotechnology sector has not been productive in the profit generation arena. The sector has lost money every year since its inception more than 25 years ago, even when the large profits of firms like Amgen and Genentech are counted. Ernst and Young predicted in 2004 that the industry will finally show a profit in 2008, but that remains to be seen. The biotechnology industry has generated innumerable additional technologies for screening, genetic mapping, measuring, assaying, and so on, all of which have poured into the drug discovery process. Perhaps the positive effects of all these enhancements on drug discovery will become evident eventually, as will those of the major scientific and technological breakthroughs. By examining the underlying processes of learning in drug discovery and how they may be managed more effectively, we hope to add some understanding to whether and how these improvements might appear in the industry outputs. 8 Learning In Engineering Vs. Sciences This brief sketch of the drug discovery activities and innovations indicates that learning most likely plays a vital role, as it does in engineering. Managers and academics alike have advanced the efficacy of engineering by understanding the underlying processes of learning well enough to explicitly enhance them. Procedures such as technology roadmapping, platform and portfolio management, phase review procedures for new product development, and technologymarketing-manufacturing linking tools enhance performance by enhancing the learning. The pharmaceutical industry seems to be applying many of these techniques to their innovation process as well, but these techniques are based on the particular processes of engineering learning. This learning presumes a “path” along which knowledge can readily accumulate around a dominant design, core operating principle, or architecture. These techniques may need to adapted – if not fully reconfigured – to fit the processes of science learning. To begin to disentangle the processes of science learning, we integrate the considerable research on engineering and (mostly academic) science into distinct if very general learning processes. Our intent is not to oversimplify but to bring out underlying dynamics in learning that may be very different. These differences frame our grounded theory building by providing a template against which we can compare descriptions of drug discovery work, and help us surface core properties that distinguish the learning in this work. Method of Inquiry: In engineering, the method of inquiry is to search for causes to specific, identified problems through trial and error “learning by doing.” Problems in engineering are usually stated specifically enough to be measured (e.g., degrees of flexibility, deviation from ideal functioning, cycle time of the process, amount of energy that can be used). These measures directly reflect the end product, and provide a frame of reference that better 9 defines the problem. Once the problem is specified, engineers can identify solution alternatives, and while they may not know which one will work at the start, they can compare the performance of alternatives against the measurable criteria, identify the causes of the particular problems, and choose how to proceed. The inquiry therefore seeks to find the path to a solution, and can often rely on models and algorithms to find the path, since the central forces and/or factors are understood (Allan 1977; Rosenberg 1982; Clark 1985; Ulrich 1995). The method of inquiry in academic life sciences is “blind variation,” according to KnorrCetina (1999). Microbiologists in her ethnography did not try to understand the numerous problems that arose in their experiments because “… their attempts to understand a living organism, of which little is known, quickly reaches its limits” (1999:93), and because there are many ways in which things “do not work” in microbiology, the most typical being that results of experiments are ambiguous and not easily interpreted. Instead, “(i)n the practice of molecular biology…problems are treated by varying components of the experimental strategy until things work out, not by launching an investigation of the cause of the problem” (1999: 92). Indeed, experiments mostly fail and/or cannot be repeated (Fleck 1979). In his study of corporate scientists, Bhardwaj (2005) finds similar results: scientists would select a domain for study, and then select a search anchor around which to search more specifically. Strong results and unambiguous conclusions were “few and far between.” These studies all indicate that lifesciences have no path around which knowledge readily accumulates, that causes of problems remain unknown, and that there are no precise measures or models that can provide direction. Method of Integration: The method of integration in engineering is brokering, or pulling together various existing solutions into a new package – ‘putting old things in new combinations and new things in old combinations’ (Hargadon & Sutton, 1997: 8). Brokering pulls the existing 10 pieces together into a physical product that represents the “integrity” of technology and user needs, and of the firm’s technologies (Clark and Fujimoto 1991). This pulling together is enabled, indeed framed, by the creation of holistic templates or systems such as a product concept (Bacon et al, 1994), product platform (Meyer and Leynerd 1997), and an “application context” that reflects the whole design and manufacturing system (Iansiti 1998). These templates represent the product and how fits into the application context of users and of the manufacturing process, and provide engineers and colleagues in other functional areas with a common vision of what each is to do, why, and how (Leonard 1998; Dougherty 2001). Complex engineering integrations can be further enabled by modularity, which allow systems to be disintegrated into discrete components that integrate with a standardized interface (products in telecommunications, games, software). Modularity reduces the intensity and complexity of task coordination, and makes it easier to incorporate new technologies (Baldwin and Clark 2000). The method of integration in life sciences has not been explicitly described, since most of research that examines underlying processes focuses on academic science, where integration occurs at the institutional level (the paradigm, peer review). Academics are not concerned with integration, but rather with publishing ideas. Knorr Cetina (1999) finds that work in microbiology is achieved in fragments, and that the objects of study are detached from their natural environment and transformed so they can be studied in the lab – just the opposite of creating wholes. Similarly, Kline (1987) argues that because science often abstracts phenomena to a few essential properties, it is difficult to apply science directly to the complex forms of real products (c.f., Floricel and Dougherty 2006). Fragmented findings and non-modular systems may make integration very difficult in science. But research does establish that integration enhances drug discovery (Henderson and Cockburn 1994), so we know it is important. 11 Method of Sensemaking: Sensemaking in engineering is based on understanding factors that are governed by physical laws; practitioners typically know how and why the systems they work with function. This sensemaking is hands-on doing (Rosenberg, 1982); it is concrete and physical since products can be seen and touched. As Weick, Stucliffe, and Obsfeld (2005: 412) explain, “to make sense is to connect the abstract with the concrete.” In engineering the abstract readily connects with the concrete; the abstract suggests action. The method of sensemaking in life sciences is best described as the “sense of the scientist,” according to Knorr-Cetina (1999) who examines this sense in the context of academe. While similar to the hands-on, skilled practice of engineering, the sense of the scientist involves all the senses and is both cerebral and unconscious. Materials need to be visually inspected but holistically in their setting. “Many scientists feel it is impossible to try and reason through the problem or to pick up the important clues from oral or written descriptions. In order to know what to think, one has to place oneself in the situation” (Knorr-Cetina,1999: 97-98). Results are not readily translated from one scientist to another: “Results that are not seen directly or not produced through embodied action cannot be properly evaluated and are prone to misinterpretation” (Knorr-Cetina, 1999: 98). The logic connecting the abstract to the concrete is not linear, and it is not readily understood. Scientists act like ensembles of sense and memory organs and manipulation routines onto which intelligence has been inscribed. Sensemaking is described by Knorr-Cetina (1999: 109) as: “The experienced body of the scientist, when it operates, naturally brings its experience to bear on the variation it concocts for selection by success. The retries scientists perform are never just any odd random alterations. Instead, they are based on what a scientist ‘senses’ to be a promising strategy in a problem case.” 12 The sense of the scientist is inextricably linked and embedded in the activities that the scientist is involved in such that each constitutes the other (Weick et al., 2005). Scientists are constantly faced with the unknown and are therefore constantly inventing new meaning based on mental models situated in their work context. The contrast between engineering and science suggest three significant challenges for managing learning in drug discovery that we will explore. First, how does science-based work proceed when there is no clear path for it to follow, no determinable cause for problems, and no model to test things/no accurate criteria against which to test things? Second, how can knowledge be integrated when there is not an understandable whole that it can be integrated into? Third, how do scientists, faced with deadlines and budgets, make enough sense to find drug candidates, when the work is fragmented, and there is no path to follow, no clear understanding of why problems occur, and no model to provide direction? METHODS We used grounded theory building to begin to build new theory about the processes of learning in the pharmaceuticals industry. Qualitative methods, specifically, grounded theory building, is uniquely suited to probe the complexity of this phenomenon and to capture the sense of utter ambiguity that pervades the innovation process in this industry. Data Gathering: We gathered data by interviewing people who work in the drug discovery and development process in seven large pharmaceutical companies. The interview subjects were involved in either discovering or developing new drugs or the processes that enable the discovery and development of new drugs. Both authors carried out the 57 interviews. Since drug discovery is an extensive and complicated process, we tried to interview people from different aspects of the process. Interviewees included chemists, biologists, biophysicists, 13 biochemists, pharmacologists, bio-informatic experts, formulation experts, manufacturing scaleup experts, preclinical and early clinical experts, business development managers (who oversee alliances and licensing), and business planners. People in the biotechnology firms were either engaged in drug discovery themselves which involved “big pharma” or worked on technologies that they would try and sell to big pharma. By level interviewees include several heads of R&D overall, scientific directors of discovery by therapy area and by discipline, project team leaders, and bench scientists. When people who manage others were interviewed they were asked to identify people for future interviews. Each person was asked to describe what they do and how they are involved in the drug discovery process. These were semi-structured interviews (Strauss & Corbin, 1998) that allowed each subject to tell his or her story from their perspective in the process. We asked people for as many concrete examples as was possible, in order to reduce memory bias and to aid our understanding of what they were describing. We used a ‘cheat sheet’ of biological and chemical terms to insure that we understood the issues brought up by the discussion. Although many issues were scientifically related they were somewhat consistent across the interviews so we were able to build up a stock of chemistry and biology knowledge that enabled us to follow the subjects. The interviews lasted approximately an hour and were done at the subject’s work site. Our focus is on the process as a whole, not a specific project, since we are interested in how learning works in the general drug discovery process. Most people discussed their work, their view of the overall process, and how what they do connects to the rest of the organization. Most discussed the challenges and the uncertainty of their work, sometimes comparing it to work in other industries. These interview data reveal what subjects chose to reveal, and we were clear that we were not interested in any confidential information, simply a person’s perspective on 14 their work and experiences. We entered these interviews with the assumption that learning was important for pharmaceutical companies, but not that they were learning. However, when people were asked about learning they were unable to provide examples. Instead we asked for details about their work, what they were able to get from their various projects, and what they wished they could do differently. We actively searched out and spoke to people in different pharmaceutical firms. All of the companies are confidential per our agreements; however, we can reveal that each is a well known large pharmaceutical company. Because the companies are similar in size and in the same industry, technology and market dynamics can be considered roughly equivalent. The data collection and analysis process was carried out over nine months; this process continued until each of the categories was well established, and all of the variations among the key categories had been thoroughly investigated. This is a process called theoretical sampling, as defined by Strauss and Corbin (1998). However, as we noted in the introduction, this is a preliminary report of our research; because of this we are still collecting and analyzing data. Although organizational and perspective differences were apparent in the data, all of the subjects were working with the same complex process. In order to provide a contrast with our data we compared how the work is done in this industry to how existing literature describes learning in engineering industries. Some of this contrast was apparent in our data and we referred to existing examples in the literature to make this contrast clearer. Because this is the first time that the learning processes have been explored in this industry at this depth this study simply attempts to uncover the learning processes and expose their significant differences with accepted theory. We found similar learning processes across the collection of organizations, which suggests these results are generalizable at least to this industry. 15 Data Analysis Leading to the Grounded Theory: Grounded theory building is inherently subjective since researchers are interpreting people’s experiences, so the analysis requires disciplined questioning of ideas across researchers and events in the data (Bailyn 1977), to continually check alternate possibilities. We followed the specific discipline described by Strauss (1987; Strauss & Corbin 1998), and elaborated by Dougherty (2002): “open coding” (to surface many possible categories), “axial coding” (to hone categories and articulate properties), and “selective coding” (to articulate a core category that integrates others into a theory). Coding is defined as the “... analytical process through which data are fractured, conceptualized, and integrated to form a theory” (Strauss & Corbin 1998:3). The coding process is an interactive process that includes shuffling between the data and existing literature in the field in order to build more robust categories. The two researchers met twice a week over a roughly three month period in order to discuss the interviews and code ideas about the overall process of drug discovery and development and the learning in that process. After each meeting we wrote up analytical memos and circulated them. We also coded our interviews independently to insure that we were not biasing the other’s interpretation of the data. Once certain categories (learning processes or characteristics of learning processes) we looked across the organizations to insure that what we were finding was not organization specific. One of first things that struck us was that people were not concerned with learning – they seemed to focus on concrete results rather than on the processes by which they got them. As we analyzed the data, looking across organizations, it became apparent that there was no clear accumulation of knowledge from project to project. While individuals accumulated experience which was useful, there was not a systematic way to apply past experiences to new projects other than having the scientist who worked on the past 16 project involved in the new one. In an industry where knowledge is central this seemed very surprising. In addition, although companies spent large amounts of money on information technology to help store and analyze the data, people working in this area were constantly trying to ‘get into the heads’ of scientists so they could provide them with better information, because they didn’t know the best way to use all the technology. The theory presented in the next section began to emerge as we saw similar concerns and processes across the organizations; and when it was clear that these processes contrasted with similar processes in engineering based industries. One limitation of using semi-structured interviews is that we rely on the subject’s interpretation of the situation, his or her story of what happened, compared to ethnographic data where the researcher observes what is happening. However, ethnographic studies are typically limited to one setting, and by using interviews we were able to collect data on multiple organizational settings and to insure that the processes we identified fit more than one setting. FINDINGS Summary Overview Our analysis suggests three approaches for inquiry, integration, and sensemaking in drug discovery that are much more like the learning approaches in science, but they apply scientific learning to product development, and thus are much more socially interactive than the learning approaches in academic science. First, “blind variation” becomes a process of searching for clues in drug discovery. The searching goes on in a complex, multi-dimensional space of possibilities for drug candidates, during which scientists work like detectives, not engineers, noticing, gathering, and really digging for clues. This variation is blind to causes as is academic life science, and is pushed by scientific inquiry rather than pulled by a given path. This learning process is also shaped by intermediary criteria that roughly reflect the “goodness” of possible 17 targets and molecules. Second, we find that drug discovery requires extensive integration since the process involves many specialties, each with its own clues. Integration occurs through iterating and reiterating among specialties to combine clues into patterns. Rather than brokering, iterating helps to select among clues and “round them up” into “bodies of data and evidence” around a hypothesis that a given molecule will solve a medical problem. The iterating results in choices for next steps of clue searching, occurs throughout all activities for discovery and development (the activities are displayed in Figure 1), and takes place at different levels that are working on different sets of clues (disease, therapeutic area, pipeline, business franchise). Finally, we find that the more individual “sense of the scientist” of academic science operates as well, but must work within an organizing system that fosters navigating the multi-dimensional space. The organizing system of work groupings, connections, and decision making becomes the sensing organ, much like Fiol’s (2002) idea that organizational learning is similar to the human brain, full of neurons that network around and “fire” based on cues and connections. Our data suggest that these complex learning processes go on “behind the backs” of people engaged in drug discovery, as do most complex social processes. But the possibility that people do not pay much attention to them means that people may not deliberately enable or enhance the learning. Learning in drug discovery can be largely idiosyncratic, because these three learning processes are easily disrupted and lend themselves to eccentric and fragmented insights that may not accumulate readily. We also find that technologies associated with drug discovery may at times be used in an engineering mode, not in a science mode. Some technologies are treated as solutions, not as clues, and some are imposed on other data rather than woven iteratively into a pattern along with other clues. Finally, pharmaceutical managers 18 may, however inadvertently, suppress the learning in their efforts to introduce discipline (be on time and on budget) and reduce cycles times. These insights suggest three ways to enhance learning in drug discovery: dealing with the lack of knowledge accumulation that may accompany these learning processes; avoiding the mis-use of engineering learning; and being mindful of the need to integrate technology and science within and across levels of analysis. First, we present a lengthy example of each learning process to show that the three processes operate not only simultaneously, but in concert. The quote comes from a scientific director of discovery biology who was asked to describe how the work proceeds and how expertise is leveraged, and he mentions all three processes in one brief synopsis. First, he explains the subject itself and makes clear that this work is science, not engineering: You want to know OK – you have now picked the most likely inhibitor of this enzyme now I want to understand what it does in a cell – in a hepatocyte – a liver cell or a cancer cell. One of the set of experiments that I need to be able to do to be able to understand what this drug does in a cell, then the next question is OK I now understand what it does in a cell and it does what I want it to do – it lowers the ability of the liver to generate lipids or sugar or a cancer cell to grow. He emphasizes the need to understand how the inhibitor works in the cell. He then describes how they try to understand more about the possible drug, not by searching for causes but by raising questions and looking for indications, or clues. He outlines the kinds of clues the scientists need to figure out if this idea for a drug will work in humans: Now how do we understand how that is going to translate into studies in whole animals where we have to deal with other issues – is the drug metabolized in a way that it all gets broken down to something that is no longer effective – or can it deliver the right models – I want to study in animals that seem to predict for activity in humans, so what kind of models I need to understand – develop, build, create and the begin to test new compounds against… In the third paragraph we begin to see iteration, how the project “touches on a lot of different expertise;” the project literally gets passed back and forth between different parts of the 19 organization, and that process integrates new knowledge into the project. For chemists it is different vision, for protein biologists it is a very much different vision but the morphing of a program by and larges goes through – most of the steps go through kind of biology hands and then touches on a lot of different expertise until it ultimately gets toward the stages of it becoming a drug that is going to go into people… Note that he mentions “the morphing of a program” (a “program” is a drug candidate). This is not a linear process, but rather a cycling back and forth and up and down and around, so the program moves forward but it also shifts and emerges. Finally, he describes the collective sensemaking that involves interpretation and judgement of a variety of clues and their re-iterative shaping: If they interpret well then they have done the right experiment that proves that we have met that hurtle – again some of these are technical and some of these are more philosophical – if you cannot express the protein that – experimental that you knock the gene out – you knock the gene out and the cell completely changes and reverts to a normal form of cancer cell – we get real excited – now let’s make the protein that the gene codes for and study it. They must interpret “well,” figure out the “right” experiment to generate the right data, and they get “real excited,” so the choice to go forward from here is not simply rational, it involves passion too. The sensemaking underlies the first two learning processes since the right question starts the clue searching, combining the various hurdles integrates clues, and iteration leads to the development of additional clues which are followed as dictated by the sense-making bodies of the scientists working together. A chemistry leader in another firm was asked why organizing by therapeutic area, as they did, was better than organizing by scientific discipline (e.g., biology then chemistry), and he explained that so doing enabled what we are calling the collective sense of the scientists: …sometimes chemists are thought to be interchangeable and sometimes they even sell themselves that way, but one does develop an expertise over years of experience where you start to know- you gain insight into a specific surrounding – making a drug to treat 20 pain or a drug to avoid say a side effect that is typically associated with analgesic agents and that is very valuable information and something that is really hard to capture. Part of it is intuition and part of it is experience – some of it is an eye for how to make the molecule better but some of those intangibles are uniquely qualified with certain therapeutic areas. People have intuition, experience, and an “eye” for how a molecule can be made better. They get these diverse senses in part from their social experience of working in their respective therapeutic areas. While remaining cognizant of the way these three learning processes work together, in the following descriptions we disentangle them in order to explicate them clearly. After we have explained them individually, we return to a more holistic view and suggest how the details of each process can be leveraged to improve accumulation, avoid treating the process simply as one of technology management, and leverage the synergies of so many technologies and sciences, since this industry, at least, does not have the luxury of separating them. Details of the Learning Processes Searching for Clues: The method of inquiry in drug discovery is searching for clues, not for causes, because, as in academic science, causes cannot be easily discovered and the problems are not fully or precisely specified. The work proceeds with no clear path and is driven by a scientific step-wise search for clues to understand a target’s role in disease and what binds to it. The problem “find a drug” is a big one that cannot be broken down in to separate steps since the various activities are highly interdependent. Instead, drug discovery scientists try to preserve the whole of the problem space and work like detectives, exploring this multidimensional space by reaching out and trying various experiments, asking good questions, finding reasonable answers, and moving forward by filling in some of that space. The process unfolds over time but clues can begin to align, so next steps do build on prior ones. Searching 21 for clues is exemplified by this biologist’s account of how she and her team created a new kind of molecule for a kind of kidney disease (the molecule is now in phase I clinical trials): We wanted to try and find other molecules like that (pointing to a picture). The natural ligand is much larger and there are many key connection points on the receptor. Everyone said you can’t do it… We had some clues that we thought would be important. There were other receptors in the same family and other clues about what could make a connection… We visited another pharmaceutical company and different biotech companies... We used [an alliance partner’s] technology to screen for peptides. This [pointing to the model on the wall] has no identity at all with the original ligand, it is not known in nature, we had to create it… I remember very vividly thinking it was a waste of time. And we were trolling in a couple of other areas like natural products and antibodies… She describes collaborations with other firms, consistent with the numerous academic studies that indicate that such relationships are important in this industry. When we seek to tease out how learning through alliances actually unfolds, it seems here that different companies have different clues that may not have much value on their own. Drug discovery learning therefore requires a purposeful searching for clues that matter. In fact the clues are just that, indicators of a possible direction without much meaning on their own. This scientist and her team were trying to zigzag among these clues, driven by their objective of trying to create this different kind of molecule (details are deleted to protect identities). The biologist describes many steps going off in a variety of directions to search for clues: “other receptors in the same family” and “other clues” about connections; insights from other companies who had special screening techniques; and “trolling in other (but related) areas.” This illustration highlights two key aspects of searching for clues: 1) it is a stepwise process, often one step in one direction and another step in another direction, but things can begin to point to a possible path so it is not just shots in the dark, and 2) it is goal-driven: find clues that indicate whether or not a drug does or can work, although this goal is very tenuous and 22 so requires leaps of faith. Both the steps and the goal are shaped by intermediate criteria such as some indication of action against the protein, toxicity (is it cancerous, does it react with other targets, and, especially since the Vioxx troubles, does this molecule have any cardiovascular interactions that we do not like); solubility; and absorption, distribution, metabolism and excretion (known as ADME). These characteristics are like signposts in the clue searching, because clues that indicate the presence or absence of these markers suggest to the scientists how a potential drug will behave in the human body. These intermediate criteria are vital in the work because of the protracted timeline that scientists must work with. A potential new drug is not tested in humans until it has been under development for several years, and the only way to truly figure out if a drug works is by testing it in humans. Thus, along the way, the results of these tests are just clues, tenuous ones at that. Even during the clinical trials the clues are indirect and require considerable interpretation, as this chemist explained: You can analyze the signaling of the this receptor in this piece of skin and you can show that the drug is affecting that signaling – that is a XX marker, it is not a tumor but you cans show that the drug is actually inhibiting signaling in a tissue that expresses that receptor. This clue from the marker shows that “the drug is affecting that signaling” at least in the skin that also expresses this receptor. Clues do not provide a finite answer, but instead reach out to suggest a number of possibilities. For example: This is a proxy measure – what does that have to do with human depression…the connection to the disease is so often somewhat tenuous but there may be this correlation of effects and you are using that correlation and that model to at least say ‘did they get the drug to the appropriate place to mediate an effect that I can measure’ does my drug get there and does my drug do the job then you know… The tenuous nature of searching for clues means that drug discovery is punctuated by 23 leaps of faith regarding whether or not a possible drug will work. As this biology team leader explained, discovery scientists want to know: Does the molecule behave the way that you would like it to or think that it should in your best in vivo model. So when we see that activity we get very excited and predicate our advancement of the project on that basis to a great extent. They must leap from experimental clues to judgments based on “the way you would like it to” behave, or “think that it should.” To summarize, searching for clues is an inherently exploratory process that is based on science – people are trying to understand how a portion of a biological system works, although they try to apply that understanding right away to drug discovery. Searching for clues raises the possibility that knowledge and learning will not accumulate readily because there is no established process or routine, and because the processes that are followed to find one clue may fade quickly as the search goes on to more clues. Just focusing on this learning process raises certain issues for management. For example, how well is the process of searching for clues itself enabled, and what might push it inappropriately into exploitation? How well do the numerous technologies enable the search for clues, and are some used instead as “clueless” solutions? And can the problem space itself be framed differently to enhance the search for clues? As our examples illustrate, people focus on specific targets and molecules rather than on the disease or the therapy areas, but it is also possible that these larger systems introduce too much ambiguity. The search for clues is just one part of learning and is complemented by integration and sensemaking, so a more complete understanding of the learning challenges in drug discovery requires some analysis of these processes as well. We turn next to integration by iteration. Integration of clues through Iterating: We find that integration is essential for product innovation in the pharmaceutical industry as it is in most other industries. Scientists need to put 24 together a body of data to support their core hypothesis that their drug works, and this “package” must “… engage the rest of the matrixed organization to get behind your idea and develop a drug” as one science director put it. Indeed, a package must be put together eventually that satisfies the FDA and other regulatory bodies as well. However, the method of integration must overcome the fragmented nature of biology work, and the lack of holistic frames like architectures that define how parts go together. We find that people engaged in drug discovery rely on iteration among specialties to create temporary and partial wholes at all levels. The iterations cycle around different specialties to “round up” clues into a pattern of what is going on. This continued rounding up and synthesizing makes some clues more sensible and meaningful, and eliminates others from further consideration. Iteration is based on interdisciplinary collaboration, since the insights of one science or function are deliberately juxtaposed with others to see how all these different insights fit into a pattern. This iterative collaboration requires concrete, situated work with the biological system, goes on at all levels although it is not clear that the various levels are explicitly managed as iterations, and it facilitates decision-making. This chemistry team leader describes iterative learning between the chemists and biologists in his therapy team: … we can all make a prediction as to what kind of potency we think we need but it is a reiterative process where the biologists will not only provide the data but can tell us a lot about our molecules that we could not foresee such as – how do they look when they dissolve – do they dissolve – how did the cells look after they saw the molecule…It is reiterative – it demands a lot of creativity and it is a very competitive area so we have to work well together and again try to develop molecular chemistry… Iteration creates new clues and new insights from existing clues, since the biologists “tell us a lot about our molecules that we could not foresee…” 25 This same scientist emphasized the concrete nature of their iterative work as they push along the clue searching from simple to more complex models of the disease biology: (early molecules) will be screened in an in-vitro setting against activity within the cell or it could be cell membrane or an enzyme or what ever and we will get a quick read out on that – that kind of screening might take a day or two and then from there we pick our best molecules .. and we try to build upon that activity and as we improve the potency of the molecules, they go into tissue base and then eventually rodent based models and so it is reiterative process that really drives the science forward. …You try to get potency there [in a cell mechanism] because that is a little more complex of a system. So as you go to animals you hit different roadblocks or challenges so you go back and try to redesign your molecule and try to figure out why the molecule is not doing precisely what you wanted to do – does it have good bio-availably in a body – it is really potent or maybe … it is also toxic because it is hitting some other targets that you don’t know. Iteration drives the science forward, he says, and they go from in-vitro cells to tissues to animals, and back as they “hit different roadblocks.” We understand this learning process of iteration as the process of integrating into a whole when there is not a whole to integrate into. Instead we have partially closed spaces in the larger multi-dimensional problem space that is being searched, and these partial wholes are created over time as people go forward with clues, reach across to other units and insights, and reach “up” to the disease area strategy or the management system, and then reach back again as roadblocks are encountered. A scientist in a small biotech firm described the integration process as a “spiral” rather than an endless loop because there is always movement. The iteration process facilitates decisions by bringing in new information and by bringing in better, increasingly narrow information together around key decisions. Iteration also helps people focus in on useful clues. A scientist, speaking of the high throughput screening outputs, said: “we would try to eliminate the ones that we thought were say molecules or classes that we didn’t think we could make easily.” The information for this focusing and honing comes from interacting with different groups that provide data on issues 26 such as can we make this easily, is the protein itself available or make-able, have we seen this before in toxicology screens, and so on. In fact, people pointed out that they have learned to recognize the iterative nature of their work, and to fold the output of HTS into their iterative process, as this chemistry VP explained: One of the changes over the last 15 years or more… what happened is that we went to a time when we thought that everything would be high throughout screening. We thought that by sheer numbers a gem would pop out. No, that didn’t happen. Now we are smarter. It is an iterative process. First you get the data and then redesign the chemistry and rethink it, so we have shied away from that HTS model. (I asked about iterative). More iterative, this is still a pretty empirical field. You cannot predict the outcomes efficiently. We still have to put the molecule into an animal model and at the end of the day into a human. We must observe, so we cannot bank on an initial set of data. There is no crystal ball. And you can’t run all through a half a million compounds in all tests. We also see different levels of iteration in the data that may embrace different time scales and different scopes of activity. For example, as the clues about compounds are coming together, the discovery teams will propose to move them forward into the final stage of discovery overall, pre-clinical testing. Typically another team of experts is formed around each potential compound to include clinical trials experts, and they integrate the clues into other packages, as this director of preclinical explained: …the discovery people would start working on certain targets but sometimes they would work with animal models of a variety of different things so they might test it [a compound] out in six different things that approximate human diseases – nothing is perfect – they might do something that resembles asthma, rheumatoid arthritis and even multiple sclerosis with the idea that it would probably go in one of those directions but it really then takes a full project team or project development team to get everybody’s input – some of it like the commercial input has to do a little bit with what else do we have in our product portfolio and how does it fit in – and the clinical input in terms of something like multiple sclerosis is an important area to study but you don’t know you have true proof of concept and an effective drug until you are virtually through eight years of phase III testing and raises different kinds of issues. Basically it is an interdisciplinary team that works out the full plan going forward as well… Integration in drug discovery is an inherently interdisciplinary process of rounding up and 27 weaving together clues about the possibilities of a drug candidate. Iteration underlies all key decision points, and in fact turns those decisions into processes. Iteration occurs at different levels which take in different scales of time and different scopes of activities. Our data suggest that these different round-ups of clues may not be explicitly managed as such, however, since most people at all levels seem to focus on “the compound.” The iteration by different levels raises several more questions that can be explored for learning. For example, can knowledge accumulation be managed more explicitly by paying careful attention to the different levels of issues such as target and pathway, disease, side-effects? What exactly is being accumulated in these different cycles of iteration, and how and who well? As well, there seems to be a key boundary between technologies and the sciences which may need more explicit management, since the knowledge on either side does not translate readily and may require bio-informatic boundary objects that are designed expressly to enable each side to recreate its understandings (cf. Carlile 2004). There also seems to be a knowledge boundary between “the business” and the science. While our data regarding this point are still preliminary, we do find that each side is “pushing” its issues and point of view onto the other. Finally, all the examples so far indicate that enormous amounts of complex sensemaking takes place all across the discovery process, so learning management issues must incorporate this process as well. Making Sense of It All with Collective Navigating: Finally, we indeed find that the “sense of the scientist” described by Knorr-Cetina (1999) is the primary vehicle for making sense of all these clues and partial patterns. The sense of the scientist operating in pharmaceutical organizations as opposed to the academic labs that Knorr-Cetina (1999) describes must contend with the organizational imperative to create new drugs. The sense of the scientist is very complicated; it incorporates the whole body of the scientists, unconsciously cerebral, and fully 28 situated, engaged in a system of people. People who must make sense together, since they are engaged in the highly interdependent and extremely ambiguous innovation process of creating new drugs, on time and on budget. We choose to label this process collective navigating based on the comments of one research director who described the work as “a twelve dimensional space to navigate in.” The dimensions refer to the many properties that any compound must meet such as efficacy, toxicity, solubility, and so on. He later increased the number of dimensions, saying that this is an eighteen dimensional space, with the bar going up all the time with new regulations and new expectations. Navigating is an organizational challenge since no one person can not do it alone. The sense of the scientist is easiest to see when it is described at the individual level, but the individual sense constitutes and is constituted by the collective one. The sense can be seen in the previously quoted biologist searching for clues: Science is about knowing when to stay the course and when to leave. (how do you know). You know the data to access and the experiments that have to be done and whether or not they will cover enough (of the info or situation?) to answer the questions and test the hypotheses. And your experience with how long it takes to break through a technical barrier, and whether or not it is worth your while to stay with it or go over to something else. Sensemaking is about “knowing;” it how a scientist knows things. This knowing is remarkable given the ambiguity that operates in. As one scientist explains, even if “you know in the body exactly how [a drug] will work…what you don’t know is the body’s other mechanisms which will be kicked in to compensate for something that you have dampened; that is the big unknown”. Scientists are constantly dealing with the unknown, like this, but must decide what to do and how to move forward nonetheless. The scientists do not have the language to describe this process of sensemaking, and even 29 at this point, we are just beginning to articulate this sensemaking process. For example, one scientist explains it as “risk, luck, intuition;” he lists of numerous ideas for why an idea worked because he can not accurately articulate the connection between interpretation and action. Other scientists describe it as “something that is really hard to capture.” Because the sensemaking is so hard to articulate people tend to call it luck, but luck is not an accurate description because luck implies knowing without the use of a rational process. Scientists can not articulate how they know things but they do say that they know things. We suggest that one way to describe this process of sensmaking is by depicting it as navigating, sojourning, through unknown territory. These scientists are navigators who recognize clues in the flow of every day activity that includes recognizing, interpreting, and acting. As Weick et al. (2005) describe this navigational sensemaking is guided by mental models of work, training, and other experience. The navigational sensemaking is situated in the systemic setting of the organization. The organization must be designed and managed so that all these people can navigate the multidimensional space heedfully or with collective intelligence (Weick and Roberts 1993; Dougherty and Takacs 2004) – that is, with regard to the collective task of drug discovery and how individual activities inform and fit into that collective task. The largest category of changes we find in the interviews concerns transforming how the discovery work is organized, bundling up different steps to provide collective work but also separating activities to break things down and reduce complexities. One director said that: You create…teams of scientists that are working at various phases of the discovery process, in other words there is a team working on discovering genes of interests, you have a team that is working on validating those genes, you have a team that is working on converting those genes into an understanding of a protein at a level that enables us to begin to approach it from a drug discovery process where we could begin to design drugs against that target. Then you have a team that gets involved with crafting that drug that modulates that target and then it ultimately goes out to clinical development. The 30 difference being compared to academia – each of those tasks in academia would be an independent investigator dealing with each of those issues. By forming teams what you are doing is one creating synergies around the expertise that is required as well as allowing for a more robust triage process. He describes four separate aspects of the task: “discovering genes,” “validating those genes,” “converting those genes,” and “crafting that drug.” Each of these four aspects requires complicated navigation. Then, “by forming teams” they work and create synergies around their specific expertise. Organizing is what enables heedfulness so that all the people can navigate the space mindful of the overall task. In another example, a company that had emphasized one scientific discipline in the process is breaking out of its “science silos” and organizing around disease groups, this gives the groups responsibility for going from the early stages of discovery into the clinical trials process. Both of these are examples of heedful organizing; allowing the groups to navigate independently and together. Navigating in the sciences means moving through the multi-dimensional space of the actual work of science and working with regard to the collective task. As we have explained navigating requires a scientist’s whole sensory self, not just the physical. This sensory self is situated in everyday action in an organization and must be recognized as such. IMPLICATIONS/DISCUSSION One major lesson learned in 20th century industrial management, albeit engineeringbased, is to pay careful attention to the processes through which people figure out what to do, how to do it, and how to get better at it – i.e., learn. This study is just a first effort, and a preliminary one at that, to explore the basic processes of learning and knowing in the enormously complicated drug discovery process. But we can draw a few initial conclusions and make several suggestions for how to study the learning processes in drug discovery, and perhaps in 31 science-based industries more generally. First, we hope that our brief overview of the subject matter of human disease and how people in this industry are trying to address it has given some glimpses of the utter complexity and nearly infinite profusion of “datums” that are involved in human diseases and their remediation. Even if databases could be constructed to store and instantly retrieve all the information that have been and are continually generated in drug discovery, enhanced human learning and sensemaking would be absolutely essential. Moreover, there is an endless need for assays, models, and other techniques, so just generating these databases would not be enough. The solution is not technological despite calls for better techniques (Grove 2005), although obviously technologies will help provided they are developed and used to facilitate the inherently science-based learning. The solution to this problem is about enabling and enhancing the human learning that is involved in drug discovery and development. Second, we find that the processes of learning in drug discovery differ significantly from the more familiar engineering processes, and cannot be managed in the same way – no PERT or GANTT charts are possible, and conventional project and total quality management programs may not apply either. But by understanding what the actual, science-based processes of learning are like, we can develop ideas for how these learning processes can be leveraged in their own right to improve drug discovery. We develop implications for managing the special challenges of knowledge accumulation that science-based learning produces, for weaving engineering solutions into the process more appropriately, and for organizing around three major knowledge boundaries so that they can be traversed more effectively – between science and technology, between science and business, and between all three and the human body. At the very least, these three kinds of processes should be fully examined. 32 Searching for clues, iterating among specialties around possible drugs, and relying on the virtually mysterious, collective sense of scientists all lend themselves to steady knowledge depreciation rather than accumulation (Argote 1999), since processes and procedures fade quickly, intermediate ideas dissipate when a drug possibility is found, and attention focuses on those drugs individually. What people learn does not accumulate readily in routines, machinery, or even products since the drugs are not systems. First, our findings about searching for clues and iterating to round them up suggest that the domain of search might be better managed and framed so that what is learned can be tracked. People in all companies are actively trying to find better domains of search by adjusting the basis of organizing – by disease, therapeutic area, or pathway, for example, moving away from pure disciplinary search domains such as chemistry versus biology. One director, a microbiologist himself, said that if it were up to him he would get rid of the microbiologists (who focus on abstracted cellular mechanisms) and bring back pharmacologists and physiologists, because these “old fashioned” disciplines are more based on how diseases and the body work. There may never be simple paths and relatively simple arrays of machinery in the life sciences that invoke clues, but we do see the need for realistic and concrete grounding of the search in actual bodily processes and systems. Different companies are experimenting with different ways to ground the work in rich, systematic domains that reflect human biology or at least a disease. Thus, what defines a domain for search remains unclear, but deliberate efforts to step back and think this issue through are vital. Second, knowledge accumulation can be enhanced if the processes of searching for clues can be articulated and improved. We have shown that being engaged in the actual search process is important to scientific learning and sensemaking, so these processes cannot be pulled out and mechanized or “industrialized” in separate shops, as has been the tendency in this industry. But 33 these technologies can be used if they are explicitly managed to enable the search, iterating, and sensemaking processes. We find that directors of enabling technologies and genomics are actively trying to support rather than replace the science-based learning. Although much work needs to be done since this may be one of the most challenging IT management problems yet. Indeed, companies are creating their own systems, with various numerous external collaborations and using their own “home grown” experts since products do not exist. One director of bioinformatics claimed that his group was on the leading edge of academic computing and multi media (publishing in the top journals). Their goal, he said, was: “…to present that information, organize it properly, categorize properly and present it to our users, our scientists in a way that would allow them to make decisions – what to do next and what molecules to design, what compounds to advance, etcetera.” A genomics director at another company said: “You want to get the essential nugget of information to the forefront from experiments in more facile ways, and that is through data processing and all that.” Part of enhancing the process of clue searching is to develop better clues, and better intermediary signposts around which knowledge may accumulate better. The enhanced markers perhaps can be boundary objects that mediate the disparate thought worlds of technology and science, but if so and how must be explored. Third, knowledge might accumulate more fully if people explicitly managed the clues themselves and their iterative integrations, not just the outcomes of the clue gathering and integration. This implication is more tenuous because we require more data and analyses to sort it out. But we were struck by the inference that everyone is managing individual molecules, which people said were unique and idiosyncratic – thus non-scalable. It seems that several distinct systems of knowing and doing operate in drug discovery, and they can perhaps be explicitly managed in their own right. Some people could manage the disease or therapy areas 34 to try and accumulate scientific learning more systematically, and develop business and competitive strategies at this level of analysis. However, the very sparse knowledge may make it impossible for individual companies, however large they are, to accumulate much knowledge at the disease or therapy levels – a question for future research. We do feel that the overall process of drug discovery can be explicitly examined and managed in its own right, and clues can be iteratively accumulated to improve the process and the decisions being made. New technologies can be evaluated for how well they support searching for clues and sensemaking, and for how well they can be woven into the iterative processes of rounding up clues. Questions like how can business and strategic management do a better job of intersecting with the scientific learning and leveraging the science should be raised as well. One last frontier for further study concerns the collective “sense of the scientists” process for making sense of all the clues and their partial integrations. This aspect of our findings also requires much better grounded theory than we have provided thus far, and is a major focus of our continued research. We find a strong individual/organizational duality here. One the one hand, it takes a highly skilled, talented, and experienced scientist to “get” the implications of all these clues and that cannot be ignored. But on the other hand, there is so much to understand from so many different disciplines and specialties that the whole organization and indeed the whole network that includes the hundreds of alliance partners working together at any one time must participate in the sensemaking. This organizing challenge is much more complicated than we have seen anywhere else, since so many more specialties are involved – these include all the “usual suspects” such as manufacturing, marketing, and sales, all the clinical trials specialties (MDs, statisticians, etc.), and all the scientists and technologists outlined in figure 1 and the Appendix. As we have mentioned, all the big companies have reorganized their discovery and 35 development processes thoroughly to try and capture this intelligence more fully, but the jury is still out on effectiveness. One director of pre-clinical development said that he suspects that all companies change how they make the decision regarding which compounds come forward “every few months, because nobody knows what they are doing.” Our admittedly limited insight here is to begin with the major boundaries of knowledge management: technology and science, business and science, and all three with the human body. These, we suggest, are the most problematic knowledge boundaries, and will take the most energy and effort to manage effectively (Carlile 2004). We predict that all three learning processes discovered here also exist in other science based industries. 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Organization Science, 16: 409-421. 38 Figure 1: Pharmaceutical Drug Discovery and Clinical Development Drug Discovery Target Discovery Informatics/ Functional Genomics Lead Discovery Medicinal Chemistry Cellular and Molecular Pharmacology Preclinical Development Target identification Bioinformatics Assay development Library Development In vitro drug activity Pharmacokinetics Target validation Genomics High throughput screening Structurebased drug design Cellular Disease Models In vivo Pharmacology Assay development Proteomics Biochemistry and enzymology Medicinal chemistry Drug Mechanism of Action Tox/ Safety Pharmacology Key activities during drug discovery, from ideas to molecules NOTE that is figure oversimplifies the steps, since the very real challenges of formulation (designing modes for getting the drug into the body) and of developing “scale-up” amounts of the molecule to make enough for additional testing and to verify that it can be manufactured in a very stable, reliable manner, are not included. Clinical Development 39 Phase I Phase IIa Phase IIb Phase IIIa Phase IIIb Phase IV Safety and tolerance of drug Proof of concept Determinatio n of active dose Pharmacokin etics parameters Final decision on formulation Double blind trials versus comparators Efficacy (1 dose) on limited number of indications vs. one comparator Extension of indications (e.g., quality of life, comparison to other marketed therapeutics) Long term safety and efficacy of launched product ADME: adsorption, distribution, metabolism, and excretion Tens of patients Hundreds of patients Thousands of patients Small population of healthy, paid volunteers 40 APPENDIX The drug discovery and development process1 Drug Discovery and Development Drug discovery and development is the process of creating and evaluating drugs for the safe and effective treatment of human disease. Today, this process requires biological, chemical and informatics expertise. The role of biology in drug discovery is primarily focused on the early stages of research, including understanding the mechanism of diseases, identifying potential targets for therapeutic intervention and evaluating potential drug candidates. The role of chemistry in drug discovery is the actual invention of safe and effective new chemical entities, or drug candidates, to address these targets. The role of informatics in drug discovery is focused on improving decision-making by identifying and replicating the characteristics of successful drugs, efficiently sharing current knowledge and creating databases to predict future clinical success. Drug discovery and development comprises: Target identification Targets are proteins that may play a fundamental role in the onset or progression of a particular disease. Biologists identify targets against which chemists create drugs. Until recently, pharmaceutical researchers were limited to studying approximately 500 biological targets. The number of available biological targets is being vastly expanded through genomics. Pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies are advancing many of these newly identified potential targets into drug discovery. Many other potential targets have yet to be validated, meaning that their roles in causing disease are not completely understood. Drug Discovery Drug discovery includes structural biology, lead generation, lead optimization and process research and development: Structural biology Structural biology is the process of cloning, expressing and purifying proteins to create information about their functions and how they interact with drug candidates. Lead Generation Lead generation is the process of identifying potential drug compounds, or leads, that interact with a target with sufficient potency and selectivity to warrant further testing and refinement as possible drug candidates. During lead generation, researchers develop tests, called assays, to screen libraries of leads against targets to evaluate their therapeutic value. 1 Source : www.arraybiopharma.com/discovery/index.cfm 41 Lead Optimization Lead optimization is the complex, multi-step process of refining the chemical structure of a compound to improve its drug characteristics with the goal of producing a preclinical drug candidate. Researchers focus on a number of considerations in optimizing a drug candidate, including the following drug characteristics: Potency The amount of a drug required to effectively treat the disease; Selectivity The extent to which a drug interacts only with the target; the greater the selectivity, the lower the probability of harmful side effects; Toxicity The presence and significance of any harmful side effects; Metabolism How rapidly the drug works and how long it stays effective; and Formulation How the drug is administered to patients, for example, orally or by injection. Process Research and Development The process to make compounds for screening in lead generation typically uses a parallel synthesis approach to explore drug characteristics, rather than to optimize ease of synthesis, and usually results in small, milligram quantities of the compound. Before a drug candidate can be taken into clinical trials, kilogram quantities often must be synthesized. The goal of process research is to streamline the synthesis of larger quantities of the compound, typically by minimizing the number of synthetic steps and reducing the time and cost of production. Preclinical Development Prior to human clinical testing, a potential drug candidate must undergo extensive in vitro, or laboratory, and in vivo, or animal model, studies to predict human drug safety. These studies investigate toxicity over a wide range of doses and the mechanism by which the drug is metabolized. The objective of preclinical testing is to obtain results that will allow a drug candidate to enter human clinical trials through approval of an IND by the Food and Drug Administration. Clinical Development Clinical trials, or human tests to determine the safety and efficacy of potential drug candidates, are typically conducted in three sequential phases, although the phases may overlap. Successful clinical trials will result in the filing of a New Drug Application, or NDA, with the FDA in order to obtain approval to market the drug in the United States. Similarly, clinical trials must be conducted and regulatory approvals secured before a drug can be marketed in other countries. 42 43