A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas - Towards a Smart Specialisation Strategy 1 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas Towards a Smart Specialisation Strategy European Metropolitan network Institute Laan van N.O. Indië 300 2593 CE Den Haag Postbus 90750 2509 LT Den Haag telefoon +31(0)70 344 09 66 fax +31(0)70 344 09 67 email: info@emi-network.eu website: www.emi-network.eu Authors: Dr. Cees-Jan Pen Dr. Ruud Dorenbos Marloes Hoogerbrugge, MSc September, 2012 The responsibility for the contents of this report lies with European Metropolitan network Institute. Quoting numbers or text in papers, essays and books is permitted only when the source is clearly mentioned. No part of this publication may be copied and/or published in any form or by any means, or stored in a retrieval system, without the prior written permission of EMI. A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas 4 Content Executive Summary 9 1.Introduction 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 13 Cities as Motor of the Economy Trends and Patterns in Europe Towards a Policy-Driven Research Agenda Research Methodology Structure of the Agenda 2. Economic Vitality of Metropolitan Areas 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 A Focus on Metropolitan Areas: why? Economic Vitality Determinants of Economic Vitality Europe’s Economic Strategy 3. Themes of Economic Vitality 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 Knowledge and Innovation Entrepreneurial Economy Labour Market and Education Modernising and Adaption Conclusion 21 21 23 24 25 31 31 35 39 43 48 4. Case studies 4.1 4.2 13 14 16 18 20 49 Gathering insights from practice Case study selection 49 49 5. Case study Munich 53 5.1Introduction 5.2 Economic vitality of Munich 5.3 Insights from practice 5.4 Munich, a glimpse in the future 5.5Conclusions 53 53 58 64 68 6 Case study Madrid 71 6.1Introduction 6.2 Economic Vitality of Madrid 6.3 Madrid’s problematic labour market situation 6.4Conclusions 5 71 71 76 80 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas 7 Case study Poznan 85 7.1Introduction 7.2 Urban development of Poznan 7.3 Economic Vitality of Poznan 7.4 SWOT analysis 7.5Conclusions 85 88 91 96 96 8 Case study Bucharest 101 8.1Introduction 8.2 Institutional Structure of Bucharest 8.3 Economic Vitality of Bucharest 8.4 SWOT analysis 8.5Conclusions 9. Conclusion 9.1 9.2 9.3 9.4 117 Results Case Studies Research Challenges Research Questions Next Steps A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas 101 103 109 111 111 117 117 119 120 6 7 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas 8 Executive Summary Metropolitan areas are seen as engines of the national and European economy. As Europe is currently facing a huge financial and economic crisis, the economic importance and vitality of metropolitan areas should be widely and increasingly acknowledged. Although the European Commission launched the “smart specialisation platform” recently, to support cities and regions in better defining their research and innovation strategies, it is striking that the EU still pays little attention to metropolitan areas in general and their important role in economic recovery in particular. Instead, the EU focuses at the role of national policies. However, governments find it hard to develop effective public-private economic strategies to stimulate the economic vitality. On the upside, it seems that local and regional levels have acknowledged the economic importance of metropolitan areas. It is on this level where numerous debates are taking place on how to address economic challenges. In this Knowledge and Research Agenda ‘Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas’ – drafted by the European Metropolitan network Institute (EMI) – the main economic challenges of metropolitan areas across Europe, in the form of research and knowledge questions, are addressed. The agenda discusses the economic vitality of metropolitan areas in Europe from both a scientific and practical point of view. The aim of this agenda is to strengthen European metropolitan areas by means of integrated, coordinated and overarching knowledge for policy makers and regional and urban economy scientists. The agenda should inspire people to work on effective economic strategies and have them ask themselves some fundamental economic questions. This agenda helps cities and regions across Europe to reflect, question, discuss and finally define their smart specialization strategy, as requested by the European Commission. To address the economic reality in urban daily life, four case studies – Bucharest, Munich, Madrid and Poznan – have been drafted. Together with a scientific part and an overview of European policies, these case studies lead to the formulation of the most relevant research and knowledge questions addressed by both policy makers and scientists. The Knowledge and Research Agenda makes clear why it is of great importance to analyse the determinants of the economic vitality of metropolitan areas. Without analysis into and knowledge about these determinants as well as the way they affect the economic structure, developing and implementing policy measures geared towards strengthening the economic vitality of metropolitan areas is impossible. As the Knowledge and Research Agenda is based on EMI’s guiding principle ‘research based, practice led’, results from academic research as well as concrete insights and questions from urban practice were used. Consequently, both extensive desk-research and consultations with urban practitioners, researchers, experts, etc. led to the choice to address four economic themes in particular: (1) knowledge and innovation, (2) entrepreneurial economy, (3) labour market and (4) modernisation and adaption. For each theme the main current challenges are discussed resulting in the definition of five to ten knowledge and research questions per theme. These questions are important from a practical point of view and/or scientific point of view. In any case, the lessons learned will be of relevance for the daily urban practice and policy in metropolitan areas focussing on stimulating the economic vitality of metropolitan areas. 9 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas Themes Knowledge and Innovation are key elements in a knowledge-driven economy. This explains, for example, the relatively high investments in R&D and higher education across Europe. Whether these investments pay off in attracting innovative, high-technology companies, will be one of the central questions within this theme. The geographical focus is on the western European innovative hot spots; what explains the success of these areas and what can other metropolitan areas learn from them in developing their own regional innovation strategy? The degree and dynamics of entrepreneurial activity is one of the main determinants of the level of competitiveness of metropolitan areas. Therefore, this theme addresses the role of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in the local and regional economy. The (dis)advantages of both economically diversified and economically specialized metropolitan areas will also be discussed. From a policy point of view, the main question to be answered is how metropolitan areas can develop the right conditions for entrepreneurial activity and what (hard and soft) location factors create an entrepreneurial economy that is diverse, robust and competitive. To answer both practical and scientific questions, adequate data on metropolitan level must be available and reliable. For example, metropolitan areas should have accurate information about the location, dynamics and economic structure of both SMEs and larger firms within their territory. stitutions and a mismatch between demand for and supply of labour. Recently unemployment has risen to even higher levels because of the economic decline and the associated national cuts. Consequently, metropolitan areas in southern Europe house a growing group of young workers with little or no working experience. This could lead to social-economic problems, frustration and destruction of human capital. Low participation rates have a negative impact on labour productivity and, thus, on urban competitiveness. The scientific focus of this theme is particularly on the relationship between labour productivity and competitiveness at the metropolitan level. From a policy point of view it is essential to determine how cities and regions, together with employers and schools, can deal with labour challenges such as a high percentage of youth unemployment and a high representation of migrants in the labour market. Metropolitan areas in the newest EU Member States are facing a period of economic change. There are major differences – as compared to northern and southern Europe - in the way how metropolitan areas are transforming from an economic perspective in central and eastern Europe. For example, some Polish cities recovered relatively quickly from the recent economic crisis while other cities – for example in the Baltic States – are lagging. This agenda discusses the challenges of the economic transformation process of the new EU Member States and the path to recovery and growth these cities follow. Many European metropolitan areas are currently dealing with rising unemployment percentages, particularly the areas located in southern Europe. Unemployment figures have always been high in southern Europe, mainly the result of rigid labour market in- A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas 10 Case studies cation to bridge the gap between labour demand and labour supply and by facilitating SMEs better to maintain and create local and regional jobs. The city of Poznan faces other challenges since their economic performance is impressive, even during the current crises: low unemployment, relative high standards of living and a diverse economic structure. One of the explanations of Poznan’s success is the existence of tight relationships between government, local business representatives and university researchers. However, Poznan needs to anticipate on a number of challenges in order to keep pace with European economic developments. For example, the service sector currently depends heavily on small, local enterprises. It is therefore necessary to attract more (foreign) high-tech companies and Poznan needs to reinforce the integration of knowledge into the business sector. Finally, the economy of Bucharest has rapidly transformed from an industrial-based economy into one that is service-based and driven by consumption. This transformation resulted in a boost of the urban economy and, driven by the construction sector, the city thus expanded drastically these past years. This rapid expansion led to various problems such as a lot of pressure on the social and physical infrastructure; public services such as hospitals, dentists and schools having difficulties dealing with the increased amount of inhabitants and finally, the insufficient capacity of the physical infrastructure for day-to-day travel in the city. The city of Bucharest particularly struggles with the question how to deal with the negative external effects that are associated with its rapid expansion towards a metropolitan area. Besides the four case studies, an interactive workshop was organised for urban prac- For a more in-depth analysis of the determinants of the economic vitality of metropolitan areas, four study-visits to European cities – Bucharest, Madrid, Munich and Poznan - were arranged. During various meetings, on-site visits, roundtable discussions and face-to-face consultations, the main challenges in the economic field of these cities were collected and analysed. This, together with additional desk-research, resulted in case studies on the economic vitality of the four cities. During the visits many questions came up at to how to work on effective regional and urban economic strategies. Furthermore, it appeared that there is a strong need for exchange of knowledge and sharing of experiences so as to learn from other European cities. For Munich it became clear, among other things, that a brain gain is needed in order to keep pace with the (expected) economic growth. Besides, more emphasis needs to be put on the establishment of ‘communities of knowledge’ as well as of ‘communities of practice’. This competitive city has many questions on how to achieve this. For example, should they intensify the cooperation in their own region, should they intensify cooperation with other metropolitan areas or should they do both? Until 2008 the metropolitan area of Madrid was one of the strongest performing economies within the European Union. However, Spain was one of the European countries that was hit hard by the financial and economic crisis. This resulted in a very high unemployment rate. Although unemployment in Madrid has, as compared to other Spanish cities, not reached dramatic levels, the city considers improving the functioning of the labour market as its main challenge. For example, by enhancing the level of edu- 11 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas titioners and scientists in Brussels. The workshop – with the aim to connect academic research with urban practice – resulted in a valuable list of relevant topics and questions addressed by urban practitioners as well as academics. It was striking to see that many urban practitioners had a clear economic objective - such as becoming a creative city – but did not have the tools and knowledge to implement a sound economic analysis. Research challenges and next steps The metropolitan economy should be examined based on a wide range of factors; both quantitative assets (economic facts and figures) as well as qualitative assets (concepts as quality of life and cultural diversity). Research should establish links between these different sets of assets and the economic vitality of metropolitan areas. In this way, a more comprehensive and empiricallyinformed understanding of the economic performance of cities can be obtained. By addressing relevant questions for metropolitan areas, research will be demand-driven and useful for urban practitioners who are dealing with these questions in their daily work. After all, metropolitan areas are facing the future challenges (and threats) related to economic vitality and are therefore also expected to develop strategies to stimulate this vitality. More evidence-based research is required to understand the underlying mechanisms in and between metropolitan areas. This knowledge forms the basis for effective public and private regional and urban economic strategies. of ranked cities. Many questions about the role of cities and regions in the economic field remain unanswered. There is a high level of support amongst metropolitan areas for initiating a long-term, in-depth research project analysing and explaining economic vitality. They are interested to understand how other cities are enhancing their economic vitality. By monitoring these cities for several years, interesting outputs about effective economic policies and clear-cut explanations behind economic success and failure will result. Together with the European cities, the European Metropolitan network Institute (EMI) aims to take up the challenge to fill the research lacunas with practice-led research projects and programs. EMI proposes to create and build a multiannual knowledge and research program of, for and by cities and regions and their urban stakeholders. The ultimate goal and ambition is to invest in the future by further developing innovative knowledge and creative solutions to current and future metropolitan challenges. In this way cities will have a stronger voice on national and European decision-making levels. With a robust and committed programme, a consortium of cities together with EMI, will be able to apply for further EU (co-)funding. As this consortium is based on actual and concrete metropolitan challenges, the underlying research is focused on useful and practical results. Cities and regions across Europe indicate that there is a need for comparative research on a long-term basis. At this moment, policy and comparative research is often based on methodologically weak lists A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas 12 1.Introduction 1.1 Cities as Motor of the Economy awareness that national economies are increasingly dependent on the cumulative performances of metropolitan areas and cities. The growing awareness that the economic vitality of national economies depends on the economic vitality of metropolitan areas and cities leads to new questions and issues for researchers and practitioners alike. Even when setting aside (for the moment) the problem of defining what a ‘metropolitan area’ actually is, looking at the relationship between metropolitan areas and the economy, raises a multitude of complex questions. For example, what does economic productivity and competitiveness of metropolitan areas actually mean? How do we measure it, and if we measure it, what does this knowledge actually mean to the strategy and impact of different actors? What is urban economic policy and in what way can it be effectively applied? How can the cooperation between certain actors contribute to the regions’ economic vitality? And with (urban) planning shifting towards an integrated approach of promoting economic development, environmental quality and social integration all at the same time, is it possible to structure broad urban strategies and their impact on the competitiveness of metropolitan areas? Are we able to determine which strategy works bad and best in which context? How can metropolitan areas make a valuable contribution to the success of the European Commission’s new ten years growth strategy: Europe 2020?2 How can formulating all these questions and the answers to these questions, contribute to the European governing level? The list of ques- Given today’s economic climate, it is not surprising that EMI’s knowledge and research agenda is named Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas: Towards a Smart Specialisation Strategy. The global economic crisis has a major impact on Europe. For Europe’s recovery it is important to acknowledge the role of metropolitan areas; there must be more focus on the motors of the European economy. The performance of national economies – and even the EU in general – is increasingly dependent on the cumulative performance of metropolitan areas. With around 80 percent of Europe’s population living in cities, it is no wonder that cities are often referred to as the motors of the economy. London, Paris, Milan, Munich, Stockholm, Warsaw, Prague, and Budapest are all vital cogs in their country’s economic wheels. It is therefore all the more curious that economic policy debates are, by and large, still focused on the national level, even though developing and implementing policy geared towards metropolitan areas, could potentially play a key role in creating sustainable national economic growth. In his most recent seminal book ‘Triumph of the City’ Glaeser clearly states that regional, national and world wide economic development depends on economic vital sustainable cities.1 Many economists tend to identify tasks relating to the economy as purely a concern for national governments; economic stabilisation by means of monetary and fiscal policy, redistribution of income by means of taxing and social security, or the provision of public goods and services. The role of local and regional governments, as well as institutions working in the public-private sector, is seemingly underestimated. In the academic world, however, there is growing 1 Glaeser, E. (2011) ‘Triumph of the City’, London: Macmillan 2 European Commission (2010) ‘Europe 2020 – A European Strategy for Smart, Sustainable and Inclusive Growth’, Brussels 13 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas tions is endless; high time to prioritise, analyse, find and fill in the missing blanks. 1.2 Trends and Patterns in Europe Various trends are apparent in European metropolitan areas: Europe’s average growth rate has been structurally lower than that of its main economic partners, largely due to a productivity gap that has widened over the last decade. Some of these trends and patterns can be named worrisome as seen from a perspective of future economic growth. Obviously, these trends and patterns have been observed by the European Commission as well. Some of these trends and patterns have been important input for the Europe 2020-strategy. In this strategy, the European Commission defined serious challenges for Europe’s future economic growth strategy. The following discusses some of the trends and challenges in Europe related to the economic vitality of cities across Europe: Rigidity of the European labour market Many European metropolitan areas are currently dealing with high unemployment percentages, particularly the regions located in southern Europe. These high unemployment figures can often be explained by the rigidity of labour market institutions and a mismatch between demand for and supply of labour. Low participation rates have a negative impact on labour productivity and, thus, on urban competitiveness. A rising employment rate is one of the Europe 2020-targets, including a higher involvement of women and older workers and the better 3 European Commission (2010) ‘EU Industrial R&D Investment Scoreboard 2010’, Brussels A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas integration of migrants in the work force. We have to keep in mind that the European labour market is also an important achievement because of its job security and welfare system. Low levels of innovation and R&D expenditures Alarm bells should be ringing when looking at the situation in Asia. Asian economies have continued to invest heavily in research and development (R&D) with growth recorded in many countries. The continuing rapid rise of Asian-based companies highlights the innovation emergency that Europe is facing. As compared to Asia, in the EU there is a lower level of investment in R&D and innovation. According to the European Commission much of this is due to differences in business structures combined with lower levels of investment in R&D and innovation and communication technologies, reluctance in some regions to embrace innovation, barriers to market access and a less dynamic business environment. Although the overall trend in the US is far less positive – there has been a 5,6 percent reduction in investment in R&D in the US in 2009 – there is a wide gap with top US companies especially in areas like software and biotechnology. Europe’s persistent deficit in R&D is, to a large extent, the result of its failure to promote the emergence and growth of innovative businesses in new sectors, technologies and services.3 Besides, private sector R&D is increasingly outsourced to emerging economies and thousands of Europe’s best researchers and innovators have moved to countries where conditions are more favourable. One of the Europe 2020-targets is to improve R&D and innovation intensity. Hereby the focus is put on the impact of the R&D 14 investments rather than the input. European education should be improved at all levels, from nursery school to university. This will enhance productivity, support vulnerable groups and contribute to the fight against inequality and poverty. Metropolitan areas find it hard to position themselves in this field and to formulate effective strategies and actions. The so-called triple helix – cooperation employers, education and government – is popular at the moment, but roles, scales and responsibilities are not always clear. telecommunication infrastructure. Not only the worldwide exchange of persons and goods represents an important metropolitan function but also the exchange of knowledge and information. Connectivity and accessibility is one of the main determinants of a location decision. Infrastructural problems, e.g. congestion or transport bottlenecks, strongly affect the competitiveness of a region. Multifunctional nodes are regarded as the economic and real estate hot spots of the future. Two dimensions determine the connectivity and accessibility of metropolitan areas. The internal dimension – that is the connection within a metropolitan area - influences the spill-over effects of companies and employees. This determines to what extent businesses and people can make use of the agglomeration advantages of a region. Through congestion or an insufficient transport system within a region it is possible that they face disadvantages of a certain location which might result in the departure of companies, employees and capital. The external dimension - the connections with other metropolitan areas by motorway, (high speed) train, plane or ship – determines the attractiveness of a region too. For example, the competitive city of Munich has an outstanding external accessibility but the internal accessibility (e.g. connection between inner city and airport) is problematic. Because it frustrates the economic advantages of the whole metropolitan area, the Lack of entrepreneurial mentality Compared to other developed economies, the entrepreneurial activity in most European countries is low. The European Observatory for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs)4 states that major problems are perceived in the access to finance and lack of skills (particularly relevant for technologically driven new services). Also obstacles to sales activities and administrative burdens are often mentioned. For young potential entrepreneurs there are some important obstacles, such as a lack of selfconfidence, weak support of surroundings and wrong beliefs about entrepreneurship.5 By taking away these obstacles, Europe may enhance the rate of entrepreneurial activities. Local governments are working hard (entrepreneurial desks, account management, enterprise zones) to improve the local entrepreneurial climate. More research, expertise and (best) practices are needed to create more entrepreneurial friendly and therefore competitive metropolitan areas. 4 European Commission (2000) ‘The European Connectivity and accessibility Observatory for SMEs’, Brussels In today’s network economy, global exchange processes, division of labour and networking require that metropolitan areas are involved in a high-quality transport and 5 European Commission (2004) ‘Helping to create an entrepreneurial culture, a guide on good practices in promoting entrepreneurial attitudes and skills through education’, Brussels 15 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas Figure 1 improvement of the problematic internal accessibility is one of the main challenges for Munich. It is acknowledged that infrastructural investments and strategies should focus more on the impact and relevance for the metropolitan economic vitality. 1.3 Towards a Policy-Driven Research Agenda The European Metropolitan network Institute (EMI) aims to strengthen European metropolitan areas by means of integrated, coordinated and overarching knowledge. The Knowledge and Research Agenda ‘Economic Vitality’ addresses the main economic challenges of cities and metropolitan areas across Europe. It is the aim of this agenda to bridge the gap between academic re- A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas search and urban practice. This is a challenge in itself. The scientific world and daily reality of cities seem to be two separate worlds, often speaking different languages. This means that they are only weakly intertwined. With respect to economic vitality, across Europe numerous benchmark activities and ‘best practices’ between cities exist. Many policies are based upon these evaluations leading to cherry-picking, superficial analyses and hasty copying of experiences from one specific urban context to another. Many metropolitan areas are striving to create, or maintain, a knowledge-intensive economy that attracts innovative enterprises. In practice a majority of these cities have difficulties to achieve this goal. Many cities are developing science parks to stimulate a knowledge-based innovation driven econo- 16 my. It is, however, questionable whether these science parks are actually stimulating the urban economy and creating jobs for the local working forces. Many cities are ‘copy pasting’ urban policies to their own situations, almost leading to the creation of hypes-type behaviour in the policy-making world. Europe has, for example, policies to promote creative industries and to attract highly skilled workers. Before implementing policy, cities should really look into what the underlying problems are that these cities want to resolve. In other words, what do they actually want to achieve with these policies? Hasty copying of experiences from one specific urban context to another is not always a good manner. The path-dependency of cities often makes it difficult to copy paste successful urban policies in city A to city B. The different path-dependent trajectories of urban systems limit the comparability of cities6, since the specific local situation requires a more evidence-based policy that fits within the broader picture of a city. A deeper understanding of the problems, economic structure and structural mechanisms involved is often lacking. How can the economic performance be explained beyond the well-known ranking lists of cities? Further questions to be addressed are: what kind of policy actions and instruments do cities and metropolitan areas use to deal with the economic situation and to improve their competitive position? Which strategies and actions are effective and which concrete results are known? At the same time researchers and knowledge institutions have insight into processes shaping European cities, but fail to get this across to urban practitioners and policy makers. This shows a potential for solid research and improvement of the link between knowledge and urban policy in Europe. This agenda aims to analyse the competitiveness of European metropolitan areas via a comparative case study research, defining the main threats and challenges concerning the economic vitality of urban areas. It is driven by the input of regions and cities with the aim to identify ‘best’ and ‘bad’ practices across Europe. Generally, the aim of this agenda is to strengthen the innovative capacity of metropolitan areas and help these areas get to grips with complex economic – i.e. productivity- and competitiveness related - issues. Main challenge is therefore that the questions addressed in this agenda are as concrete, relevant and directly applicable in metropolitan areas as possible. The aim of the agenda is to assess the challenges (and threats) of the urban economy of metropolitan areas. Moreover it aims to elaborate on existing urban knowledge and make academic studies on urban competitiveness applicable for urban practice by listing knowledge and research questions that are of interest for both researchers and urban practitioners. By setting up the contours of a research framework on economic vitality the gap between academic research and urban practices can be bridged by means of a policy-driven research agenda. This agenda is a first step to bridge this gap since relevant and actual policy questions form the basis. By connecting academic researchers with urban practitioners it is possible to create a significant added-value for both worlds. This added value however is only sustainable when researchers and practitioners organize their research activities in a consortium facilitated and monitored by institutes such as the European Metropolitan network Institute. 6 Storper, M. and A.J. Scott (2009) ‘Rethinking human capital, creativity and urban growth’, Journal of Economic Geography, 9, pp. 147-167 17 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas The ranking lists of competitive cities are based on very doubtful analysis. More urban research is needed to gather more insights in economic mechanisms and future urban economic policies, especially those that underlie the ranking lists of competitive cities. How can the causalities between certain coefficients be explained, and more important, how can cities use the results of academic research effectively? The challenge is on one side how to make academic research more applicable for the daily practice of urban practitioners. On the other side the challenge is how to achieve better academic research by using more actual empirical data and knowledge. According to Cheshire there is a lack of understanding how policies have an impact on the urban system, on economic productivity and hence even on the competitiveness of urban economies.7 For local policy makers it is important to understand the urban economy, since they want to keep the working class – which are their voters - satisfied. Cities must determine which urban problems they wish to tackle and, at the same time look into the effects of their current urban policies. In other words, are they implementing correct policy measures in order to face the most important urban challenges? In a way it is irresponsible to be imposing policies without knowing better what the effects of those policies will be or even whether they are treating the real problems. For cities it is important to discover what role they can play in enhancing urban competitiveness. For ex- 7 Cheshire, P.C. (2006) ‘Resurgent Cities, Urban Myths and Policy Hubris: What We Need to Know’, Urban Studies, Vol. 43, No. 8, pp. 1231-1246 8 Begg, I. (1999) ‘Cities and competitiveness’, Urban Studies, Vol.36, No. 5/6, pp. 795-809 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas ample, in order to create and implement correct policy measures to tackle market failures (one of the main reasons why urban policies are required) policy makers must be wellinformed. What can cities do to create a knowledge economy that drives innovation and urban competitiveness? Although urban competitiveness is partly beyond the control of urban policy-makers, they need not be passive actors. According to Begg, ‘good’ policy can equip cities to adapt and to foster a dynamic economy.8 1.4 Research Methodology This knowledge and research agenda addresses the main economic themes based on analysis on input from practitioners, experts, decision makers and scholars. The agenda discusses four sub themes of economic vitality: knowledge and innovation, entrepreneurial economy, labour market and the transforming economy (modernisation and adaption). Different steps have been taken to draft this agenda. The first step of the process entails desk research on scientific articles, papers, reports and studies conducted and written by the World Bank, the OECD and the European Commission. A quick scan of all these documents revealed general topics and issues prominent in urban economic policy. This agenda is developed in close cooperation with urban practitioners, researchers, experts, Member States and European institutions. Another important aspect, on which the agenda is based, are numerous thematic discussions with urban economic experts and so-called practitioners. In a scientific workshop the agenda was discussed with lead partners to guarantee the scientific value of the agenda. To mention just a few (but this list is by no means exhaustive) Professor Cheshire of 18 Figure 2 Lecture by Professor Paul Cheshire during EMI Economic Vitality workshop London School of Economics and Professor Thierstein of Technical University Munich. But also urban experts at the European level have been consulted, such as Mrs. Madeleine Mahovsky, Senior Economist at the European Commission, Directorate General (DG) for Regional Policy. Furthermore, face-to-face interviews and roundtable discussions with representatives of a region were initiated (e.g. municipal councillor, policy makers, regional and local urban strategists, scientific researchers). The EMI-vitality team is advised by lead partners from universities all over Europe. In the second step EMI organised roundtable discussions in four cities across Europe: Munich, Bucharest, Madrid and Poznan. These discussions made it possible to define the main urban challenges of cities with regard to economic vitality. Face-to-face interviews are especially of importance because – in contrast to questionnaires – more open questions can be asked to explore specific regional circumstances into more detail. In addition, an interactive workshop was initiated for urban practitioners in Brussels (see Figure 1). By actively involving urban practitioners in an earlier phase of the research, the agenda is actually practice-led. Cities and metropolitan areas leaded the way in defining the scope and focus of the agenda. For this agenda, EMI has invited urban experts and scientific partners to participate in the open thematic network of suppliers and users of urban knowledge on the economic vitality of metropolitan areas. 19 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas Figure 3 Source: Shutterstock 81496981 1.5 Structure of the Agenda The agenda discusses the economic vitality of European metropolitan areas from both an academic as well as a policy point of view. The aim is to address and discuss the competitiveness of metropolitan areas and to identify the underlying trends, interlinked drivers, possible impacts and policy challenges of urban economies. The case studies on the economic vitality of four metropolitan areas across Europe (Munich, Bucharest, Madrid and Poznan) are an important part of this research agenda. The input of these cities played a role in defining and testing the scope and focus of the agenda. The agenda has the following chapters. A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas Chapter two discusses why it is interesting to analyse the economic vitality of metropolitan areas across Europe, including the future economic challenges. Chapter three discusses the four selected themes of economic vitality (knowledge and innovation, entrepreneurial economy, labour market and modernising and adaption). Chapter four discusses the case study selection followed by the four case studies (chapter five till eight). Subsequently, chapter nine discusses the main findings of the case studies and a list of research and knowledge questions, including an explanation of the next steps of the process. 20 2. Economic Vitality of Metropolitan Areas Economic vitality is a broad concept, which includes various themes; such as sustainability, accessibility, business districts, hightech science parks, creative economy and labour market. These themes obviously vary in scale and scope. This chapter discusses the economic vitality of cities or regions in Europe from a scientific and practical point of view. First, paragraph 2.1 explains the focus of this agenda on metropolitan areas. Subsequently, paragraph 2.2 defines economic vitality from both a scientific as practical point of view. Subsequently, paragraph 2.3 describes different determinants of economic vitality defined on the basis of deskresearch. Paragraph 2.4 finally discusses the European strategy to foster the future economic vitality of Europe, hereby focusing on Europe’s smart specialisation strategy. of production. The firms are connected through chains of production with often geographically separated sub-activities. Cities or metropolitan areas are often considered as the best spots to businesses. This is especially true for knowledge-based industries in which the agglomeration advantages of cities or metropolitan areas come to the fore.9 Cities all around the world are increasingly competing, since they are interconnected with each other in a network of criss-cross relations between firms and institutions. Generally, the emergence of new global market players, especially many Asian cities, has changed the economic relations between cities. However, simultaneously with a process of globalisation there is a process of localisation whereby there is an increasing interest for the local level. These processes together are termed as glocalisation. As a result of this process, there is less attention for the national scale since the attention shifted both upwards – to supra-national or global scales – and downwards - to the scale of local or regional configurations.10 2.1 A Focus on Metropolitan Areas: why? Growing importance as an economic power…… ……strong contribution to the national economy…… Metropolitan areas have become crucial economic actors in today’s highly integrated world. Not only do they play an increasingly important role of growth poles in their countries, but they function as essential nodes of the global economy as well. Metropolitan areas are seen as outstanding locations for the international flow of trade and as nodes for financial and information transfers. Globalisation of the world economy, under the influence of structural and technological changes, creates increasing interdependence between places. Firms become footloose since they are able to choose more flexible where they locate specific processes. Consequently, they are in the position to select the locations that best suit each stage The ‘balance of power’ between national states and metropolitan areas has shifted to the latter. One possible explanation is that especially economic control potentials have been strongly concentrated in these regions. These metropolitan areas have gained such a strong control of industrial production, 9 Begg, I. (1999) ‘Cities and Competitiveness’, Urban Studies, vol.36, no.5/6, p. 795-809 10Swyngedouw, E. (2004) ‘Globalisation or Glocalisation? Networks, Territories and Rescaling’, Cambridge Review of International Affairs, vol.17, no. 1, pp. 25-48 21 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas financial flows and information that their weight has become much stronger than that of national states. Consequently, metropolitan areas are often conceived as the motors of the national economy. Research carried out by the OECD shows that the contribution of metropolitan areas to the national GDP is significant. For example, the urban economies of Budapest, Copenhagen, Dublin, Helsinki and Brussels account for around half of the national GDP whilst in the case of Oslo, Prague, London and Stockholm this is one third. Most OECD-metropolitan regions have a higher GDP per capita and a higher labour productivity than the national average and many of them tend to have faster growth rates than their countries. Although the contribution of metropolitan areas to the national GDP is high and increasing, little is known about the relationship between economic growth and the degree of urban concentration. The contribution of urban economies to national GDP might be significant for countries with one dominant (capital) city or region, but it is questionable if the relation between national- and urban economy is similar for countries with multiple metropolitan areas (e.g. Germany, Poland, United Kingdom).11 The relation between the national economy and the urban economy will be an important element within this knowledge and research agenda. Questions that can be raised are: Is a metropolitan area capable to be self-reli- 11Another important question is whether the dependency between urban and national economy is higher in countries with one or two dominant ant or is there a strong dependency on the economic performance of the national economy? How important is a metropolitan area for the national GDP of a country – and vice versa? Differs the interdependency of metropolitan area on their national state from case to case? ……but still underrepresented in academic literature Whereas in the United States metropolitan areas have been subject to extensive policy and academic debate, in Europe the rise of metropolitan areas in public and academic debate is a rather new phenomenon. In contrast to the metropolitan areas in Europe, considerable research has been carried out on the levels of competitiveness of metropolitan areas as well as on the performance of polycentric regions in the United States. In Europe academic research on metropolitan areas and polycentric regions is still in its infancy. Since the United States has a longer research tradition, many of its results have been published in international refereed journals by authors such as Glaeser, Hall, Castells, Taylor, Sassen, Florida, Scott, Gordon and McCann. These studies reveal practical results and suggest recommendations on how metropolitan areas can deal with matters such as agglomeration power, (labour) productivity, (effects of) scale, diversity, polycentricism and governance. In Europe little is known on the economic aspects, economic strategies and local, regional and national economic impact of metropolitan areas. This suggests that much important work – from which cities and metropolitan areas will benefit – needs to be done. cities or regions than countries with multiple metropolitan areas. In another EMI knowledge and research agenda –polycentric metropolitan areas this question will be addressed. A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas 22 2.2 Economic Vitality al industrial networks, financial markets, producer services industries and other associated service industries (Sassen, Castells, Friedman). The awareness of the significance of urban economy of metropolitan areas is slowly increasing. Metropolitan areas have become crucial economic actors in today’s highly integrated world. Not only do they play an increasingly important role of growth poles in their countries, but they function as essential nodes of the global economy as well. The POLYNET study of Hall and Pain introduced the mega-city region of as a new urban phenomenon in the most urbanized parts of the world.17 During the coming halfcentury many European cities are likely to develop large surrounding mega-city regions (Hall, 2009). Metropolitan areas are seen as outstanding locations for the international flow of trade and as nodes for financial and information transfers. In today’s global economy cities are increasingly competing with each other.18 Competitiveness is defined The economic competitiveness and the economic vitality of a city are often used interchangeable. An urban economy is considered as ‘vital’ when it is able to compete with other cities and regions in a sustainable way. A competitive region is a region that is able “to attract and maintain firms with stable or rising market shares and the distribution of that wealth and creation of higher standards of living for all citizens.”12 According to Porter, governments must, first and foremost, strive to create an environment that supports rising productivity.13 A nation’s standard of living is determined by the productivity of its economy, which is measured by the value of its goods and services produced per unit of the nation’s human capital and natural resources. In short, an economic vital city is a city that is able to compete with other cities in term of productivity and in terms of sustainability and quality of life. In Porter’s ‘clusters of competitive advantage’ cities are defined as vital resources for competitive advantage, from proximity to markets and various factor inputs to economies of agglomeration. The shift towards a knowledge economy takes place with information, advanced services, and innovation as important markets.14 Within the knowledge economy cities play an important role since cities owns access to markets and customers. The new urban professionals prefer to live in attractive and creative cities as Florida described in his book ‘The Rise of the Creative Class’.15 According to Parkinson (1994) ‘businesses are attracted to cities since they depend on good quality higher education institutions to provide the skilled labour and the technological innovation that can feed into local economies’.16 Cities are centres of command and control within glob- 12COMPETE network (2008) ‘Messages for Competitive European Cities’, Brussels 13Porter, M.E. (1996) ‘Competitive advantage, agglomeration economies and regional policy’, International Regional Science Review 19, pp. 8590 14Boddy, M. and M. Parkinson (eds.)(2004) ‘City Matters. Competitiveness, cohesion and urban governance’, Bristol: The Policy Press 15Florida, R.L. (2002) ‘The Rise of the Creative Class’, New York: Basic Books 16Parkinson, M. (1994) ‘European cities towards 2000: The new age of entrepreneurialism?’ Mimeograph, European Institute for Urban Affairs, Liverpool, United Kingdom, John Moores University 17Hall, P. and K. Pain (2006) ‘The Polycentric Metropolis: Learning from Mega-City Regions in Europe’, London: Earthscan 23 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas as an indicator of the drivers and dynamics of economic success. There are different theories that explain the competitiveness of cities, but one accepted comprehensive definition of competitiveness is missing. There is a range of quantitative measures to assess the competitiveness of cities in term of productivity (GDP), import/export and employment. But academics have stressed the role of a wider set of urban assets such as quality of life, capacity to attract urban capital and the accessibility and connectivity of a city. “It is important, therefore, to go be- yond descriptive economic measures, such as income per capita or employment trends, to explore the underlying sources of improved economic performance (Turok, p. 1070).”19 But what are the actual determinants of urban competitiveness? Why are certain cities always high in ranking lists while other cities are lagging behind? Which factors determines the economic success of cities? Is it the presence of an international airport, a financial business district, or innovative high-tech clusters? The list of (hard and soft) determinants of urban competitiveness seems to be endless and there is not much known about the actual correlation between the determinants and the competitiveness of a city. The Global Metro Monitor analyzed the path to economic recovery of 150 metropolitan economies.20 This monitor lists the progress of recovery for these metropolitan economies. The economic performance of cities across Europe strongly differs from each other. Where the southern European metropolitan economies are still in decline (Greece, Italy, Spain) the Polish metropolitan areas (Krakow and Warsaw) seems to be the only European metropolitan area that are hardly affects by the recent economic recession. What explains the strong differences between the economic performances of European cities? 18OECD (2006) ‘Competitive Cities in the Global 2.3 Determinants of Economic Vitality Figure 4 Source: Shutterstock 94488721 Economy’, Paris 19Turok, I. (2004) ‘Cities, Regions and Competitiveness’, Regional Studies, Vol. 38.9, pp. 1069-1083 20Brookings Institute and LSE Cities, London School of Economics and Political Science (2010) ‘Global Metro Monitor, the Path to Economic Recovery, a Preliminary Overview of 150 Global Metropolitan The economic vitality of metropolitan areas is determined by a list of factors which have an impact on the economic performance of metropolitan areas. However, the pursuit of competitiveness in terms of high economic growth alone – i.e. of gross domestic product (GDP) or gross regional product (GRP) Economies in the Wake of the Great Recession’. A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas 24 - is no longer adequate. This is in line with the on-going debate about whether economic growth is an adequate indicator of the welfare of citizens. The European Commission has published a report on the possibilities to close the gap between the known macro figures (growth, inflation) and the day-to-day experience of well-being of citizens.21 According to the citizens’ income per household, consumption and property are better indicators of the material living standard than the economic production as a whole. Various determinants drive the economic vitality of metropolitan areas. The OECD lists, for example, a range of factors that determine city’s competitiveness, such as infrastructure and accessibility, industrial and economic scale and structure, human capital and labour force. There have been many different attempts to identify factors that are associated with competitive strength or critical to competitiveness. There is a range of quantitative measures to assess the competitiveness of cities in term of productivity (GDP), import/export and employment. Other publications have stressed the role of a wider set of urban assets such as quality of life, capacity to attract a high urban capital and the accessibility and connectivity of a city. This knowledge and research agenda identifies four comprehensive sub themes of economic vitality: knowledge and innovation, entrepreneurship, labour market and education and modernisation and adaption. There is increasing attention for sustainable economic growth rather than economic growth in terms of productivity, inflation and import/export. Sustainability is a broad concept and it can not only be related to environmental quality conditions (such as air or water quality) but has also to do with general quality-of-life conditions in cities. In this regard, the income per household, consumption and property ownership are better indicators of the material living standard than the economic production as a whole. The transformation to a more sustainable economic system can lead to new economic activities and to an increased export of sustainable products and services. A role for government, as launching customer, can contribute to accelerate these economic activities and export possibilities. Quality of life is crucial to create and retain a vital economy. Soft location factors are becoming increasingly important in differentiating one city from another. It determines the attractiveness of metropolitan areas and consequently the urban and regional economic structure. Cities with the assets of a good environment, distinctive architecture, cultural facilities, a diverse housing stock and access to natural amenities are attempting to preserve and improve them. Quality of life is a decisive factor in people’s choice where they want to live, work and recreate. Culture is of special importance to metropolitan areas, since it can be an important destination for international tourism and it reflects the cultural life of cities. 2.4 Europe’s Economic Strategy “Europe needs to get back on track. Then it must stay on track. That is the purpose of Europe 2020. It is about more jobs and better lives. It 21Stiglitz, J.E., A. Sen and J. Fitoussi (2010) ‘Report by the Commission on the Measurement of Economic Performance and Social Progress’, Brussels 25 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas shows how Europe has the capability to deliver smart, sustainable and inclusive growth, to find a path to create new jobs and to offer a sense of direction to our societies” – José Manual Barroso, preface Europe 2020 strategy 22 This paragraph discusses Europe’s policies and strategies focus on enhancing Europe’s urban and regional economy. First Europe’s 2020-strategy will be discussed followed by the Smart Specialisation Strategy and Smart Cities. 2.4.1 Europe 2020 strategy The Europe 2020 strategy aims to strengthen the European Union, facilitating its recovery with the ultimate goal to turn the EU into a smart, sustainable and inclusive economy by 2020. The European Commission defines serious challenges for Europe’s future economic growth strategy. According to the European Commission, time is pressing for Europe as Europe’s average economic growth rate has been structurally lower than that of its main economic partners, largely due to a productivity gap that has widened over the last decade. Many European metropolitan areas are currently dealing with high unemployment percentages, particularly the regions located in southern Europe. These high unemployment figures can often be explained by the rigidity of labour market institutions and a mismatch between demand for and supply of labour. Low partici- 22European Commission (2010) ‘Europe 2020 – A European Strategy for Smart, Sustainable and Inclusive Growth’, Brussels 23Smart Specialisation Platform (2012) ‘Guide to Research and Innovation Strategies for Smart Specialisations’, Brussels A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas pation rates have a negative impact on labour productivity and, thus, on urban competitiveness. The Europe 2020-strategy emphasizes the interrelation between education and the knowledge economy. In two of the strategy’s three priorities – smart growth (based on knowledge and innovation) and an inclusive high- employment society – as well as in three of its seven flagship initiatives (Innovation Union, Youth on the Move, and An Agenda for New Skills and Jobs) it is pointed out that there is a strong relation between education and knowledge for Europe’s future growth. Generally, innovation is needed if the cities’ objective is to create smarter, cleaner and greener jobs into the future. The European Commission defines competitive regions as regions that are able to anticipate and successfully adapt to internal and external economic and social challenges. During the past decade, the European Commission has introduced and supported a variety of programs and instruments that are directly or indirectly aimed at enhancing regional economic capacity. 2.4.2 Smart Specialisation Strategy The Smart Specialisation Strategy is relevant to all three priorities of Europe 2020: smart, sustainable and inclusive growth. Smart specialisation matters for the future of Europe because the development of an economy based on knowledge and innovation remains a fundamental challenge for the EU as a whole. By concentrating knowledge resources and by linking them to a limited number of priority economic activities, countries and regions can become – and remain – competitive in the global economy.23 This type of specialisation allows re- 26 gions to take advantages of scale, scope and spillovers in knowledge production and use, which are important drivers of productivity. Furthermore, strategies that combine innovation with specific strengths of the national or regional economy offer a much greater chance of success. -- They focus policy support and investments on key national/regional priorities, challenges and needs for knowledge-based development (including ICT-related measures) -- They build on each country’s/region’s strengths, competitive advantages and potential for excellence -- They support technological as well as practice-based innovation and aim to stimulate private sector investment -- They get stakeholders fully involved and encourage innovation and experimentation -- They are evidence-based and include sound monitoring and evaluation systems. In order to strengthen the innovation capacity of regions and cities, the European Commission encourage the Member States and regions to define a ‘smart specialisation strategy’ (S³). The S³ promotes an efficient, effective and synergetic use of public investments and support. The strategy is built on a sound analysis of the assets of the region and clear regional cooperation strategies. This includes an analysis of potential partners in other regions to avoid unnecessary duplication, fragmentation of efforts and oversupply. The Guide to Research and Innovation Strategies for Smart Specialisations conceived a methodological guidance for policymakers and implementing bodies on how to prepare for and how to design, draft and implement national/regional research and innovation strategy for smart specialisation (RIS3). Smart specialisation strategies will usually require some sort of structural change like the transition from an existing sector to a new one, the technological upgrading of an existing industry (modernisation) and the potential synergies which are likely to materialise between an existing activity and a small new one (result of diversification). “The idea is to build a vision of what works locally, to engage all stakeholders in the process, and then to drive the policy processes with this long term vision. However, this also requires urgent, careful and longterm thinking and an absolute commitment to prioritising and concentrating funding on long run resultoriented policies” – Philip McCann, Special Adviser to EU Commissioner for Regional Policy, Johannes Hahn, April 2012 24 -- According to the Smart Specialisation Platform the RIS3-report should include the following steps: -- Analysis of the regional context and European structural funds are being reorganised in order to allow regions and Member States to bundle different funding streams together in smarter ways. The national and regional research and innovation strategies for smart specialisation are integrated, place-based economic transformation agendas that do five important things: 24Smart Specialisation Platform (2012) accessed online: http://s3platform.jrc.ec.europa.eu/home In 2011 the European Commission 27 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas potential for innovation -- Governance: ensuring participation and ownership -- Elaboration of an overall vision for the future of the region -- Identification of priorities -- Definition of coherent policy mix, roadmaps and action plan -- Integration of monitoring and evaluation mechanisms 2.4.3 Smart cities The Innovation Union (part of Europe’s 2020-strategy) announced European Innovation Partnerships (EIPs) which are designed to mobilise actors across the innovation cycle and across sectors around an overarching target in order to speed up innovative solutions to societal challenges, including major energy and transport challenges in cities and communities. In July 2012 the European Commission launched a Smart Cities and Communities EIP (SCC), aiming to boost the development of smart technologies in cities. The partnership is dedicated to the demonstration of innovative urban solutions at the interface of energy, transport and ICT.25 The budget earmarked for the SCC has been increased from 81 million euro in 2012 to 365 million euro in 2013. 25European Commission (2012) ‘Smart cities and Communities – European Innovation Partnership’, Brussels 26Smart Cities Stakeholder Platform (2012), accessed online: http://eu-smartcities.eu 27European Commission, DG Region (2011) ‘Cities of tomorrow, Challenges, visions and ways forward’, Brussels A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas The focus on cities and communities is clear: across Europe they are forerunners in the transition towards a low carbon and resource efficient economy. The Smart Cities Stakeholder Platform set up three thematic expert (technical) working groups on energy supply networks, energy efficiency in buildings, mobility and transport) and two horizontal cooperation groups (finance and roadmap).26 The main stakeholders will be technical experts, allowing the platform to draw in expertise from those experts who are directly involved within developing, testing, demonstrating new technologies. 2.4.4 Cities of tomorrow The ‘Cities of tomorrow’ report of the European Commission Directorate General (DG) for Regional Policy discusses the current and future threats for Europe with regard to sustainable urban development.27 The report is based on the input of 60 European experts identifying challenges faced by the cities in the 21st century. The report provides inspiration for policymakers and practitioners involved in urban development, whether at local, regional, national or European level. The administrative boundaries of cities no longer reflect the physical, social, economic, cultural or environmental reality of urban development and new forms of flexible governance are needed. Besides that the report also contains opportunities and solutions that new forms of governance can provide. Some of the threats identified in the report are: -- Demographic changes such as ageing populations, shrinking cities or intensive processes of suburbanisation -- Economic stagnation: Europe is no longer in a situation of continuous economic growth and many cities face the serious 28 Figure 5 Source: Shutterstock 95286871 threat of economic stagnation -- Growing income disparities and the poor getting poorer in terms of housing, lowquality education, unemployment and difficulties or inabilities to access certain services, like health, transport and ICT. should look like. In addition, horizontal and vertical coordination is required as cities have to work with other governance levels and reinforce their cooperation and networking with other cities in order to share investments and services which are required at a larger territorial scale. Also new governance models based on citizens’ empowerment, participation of all relevant stakeholders and innovative use of social capital are needed. In response to these threats, cities have to work across sectors and not let mono-sectoral visions set the agenda of what urban life 29 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas 30 3. Themes of Economic Vitality This chapter discusses the four comprehensive themes of economic vitality of metropolitan areas: knowledge and innovation, entrepreneurship, labour market and education and modernisation and adaption. These themes are identified on the basis of intensive desk-research of academic books and articles in journals as Urban Studies and Journal of Economic Geography. Besides literature, urban policy document, studies written by World Bank, OECD and European Commission were analyzed as well. A quick scan of all documents outlined the themes of urban economic policies across Europe. After discussing the four themes, paragraph 3.5 identifies the relevant knowledge and research questions. lix’. The innovation capacity of metropolitan areas is important to urban competitiveness. Innovation-intensive sectors strongly drive current economic changes, including high technology industries and services. Moreover, innovation enhanced signification of product innovation that will force cities to a quality-based competition. Cities with a high percentage of innovative-intensive sectors are attractive for businesses and for high skilled people. In the shift towards a more knowledge-based economy, the innovative character of a region is often seen as the key to economic vitality. The geographical focus is here on the Western-European innovative hotspots: how can the success of these areas be explained and what can other metropolitan areas learn from these successes? Scandinavian cities are highly innovative cities with innovative hotspots as Helsinki, Stockholm and Oslo. But also German cities – for example Munich, Stuttgart and Frankfurt - have strong innovative and high-technology clusters (e.g. automobile, life science, biotechnology, micro-electrons). How are these cities attracting these innovative clusters? First, knowledge and innovation will be discussed as drivers of urban competitiveness. 3.1 Knowledge and Innovation Innovation and education are key elements in a knowledge-driven economy. This explains the relatively high investments in research and development (R&D) and higher education across Europe. It is expected that these investments should pay off by attracting various innovative, high-technology companies. Education can be seen as a driver of economic vitality since it is strongly related to the human capital of a region. A high degree of human capital attracts innovative and knowledge-based firms. By improving the level of education there will be a high-skilled labour force. The education system is, however, mainly the result of national state policy. Consequently, metropolitan areas have often fewer possibilities to influence the system. Nevertheless, there are opportunities for additional training programmes initiated by local policymakers. Moreover, cities can intensify the relations between college universities and the public and private sector; the so-called ‘triple he- 3.1.1 Drivers of urban competitiveness Modern economies increasingly depend upon knowledge intensive sectors and – therefore – both policy makers and business leaders believe that these sectors drive the future competitiveness of cities. The growth of the knowledge intensive economy has been driven by an increasing demand for higher value added goods and services. The ability to produce, use, share and analyse knowledge has become increasingly important as a source of economic growth and wealth creation in all sectors of the European economy. The knowledge economy is commonly 31 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas defined in terms of technology and knowledge-based industries reflecting R&D intensities, high ICT usage and the deployment of large numbers of graduates and professional and associate professional workers.28 Knowledge and innovation are considered to be the key to urban competitiveness and, thus, to economic prosperity in the future. Innovation involves the introduction of a new or significantly improved product, process or method that is needed to drive growth and employment and improve living standards.29 Innovation is essential for creating new jobs in both high-tech and traditional sectors. On the one hand innovation generates new jobs in high-tech and advanced manufacturing sectors as diverse as aerospace, nanotechnology, life sciences, and alternative energy. On the other, innovation also creates jobs for workers installing broadband networks, manufacturing biopharmaceuticals and building advanced infrastructure. An increasing number of cities position and ‘sell’ themselves as knowledge cities, as a skilled workforce is essential in making the status of a knowledge city realistic. Currently, only 20 to 30 percent of the European working population has enjoyed higher education and works in knowledgeintensive occupations.30 This is worrisome because comparative data on cities underline the relationship of skilled workers to the innovation and GDP levels of cities and, 28Brinkley, I. and N. Lee (2007) ‘The knowledge economy in Europe’, a report prepared for the 2007 EU Spring Council, the Work Foundation 29OECD (2010) ‘The OECD Innovation Strategy: Getting a head start on tomorrow’, Paris 30Winden, van W. (2010) ‘Knowledge and the European city’, Tijdschrift voor Economische en Sociale Geografie (TESG), Vol. 101, Issue 1, thus, their level of competitiveness. Studies observed that knowledge-based employment has increased across most European cities and regions. This can be explained by an employment growth in sectors such as professional services, education and healthcare and creative industries. Europe has made great strides in building science parks, incubators, research networks and educational exchanges in specific research area. Moreover high amounts of money are spent on the creation and exploitation of knowledge and other intangible assets such as research and development, software, marketing, training and design increased sharply. Nevertheless, the European market is fragmented and insufficiently innovation friendly. The services sector, for example, accounts for seventy percent of the economy but knowledge intensive services are still under-developed. Europe’s open innovation system must be based on the power of networks and the access to knowledge across Europe and world-wide. Another concern is the social inequality that knowledge and innovation policies might cause. A case study of Bremen (Germany) is illustrative in this respect. The appearance of high-skilled jobs in economic growth sectors has created good prospects of the middle classes. The low-skilled, however, have considerable problems in accessing the labour market. Bremen, like many other cities, has difficulties in trying to be both economically competitive and social integrative. The EU acknowledges the importance of knowledge and innovation for the competitiveness of Europe. Innovation has been a central EU priority over the last decade, repeatedly supported by European leaders and backed by numerous strategies, funding programmes and assessments. However, the 2.1 percent of GDP that the EU-27 devoted to R&D in 2009 remains almost 1 percent pp. 100–106, February 2010 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas 32 point below the 3 percent target set for 2010 by the Lisbon strategy. Within Europe significant differences in innovation intensity can be observed. Data from Eurostat show that only Finland, Sweden and Denmark have reached this target (in 2009); Austria and Germany are nearing this target. Recently it became known that European companies reduced their investments in R&D activities by 2.6 percent in 2009 lagging behind the global average of 1.9 percent. However, considering how seriously the crisis impacted companies’ net sales (-10 percent) and profits (-21 percent) it can be asserted that R&D remains a top priority for the largest R&D investors.31 GDP and, finally, the percentage of R&D personnel as a share of total labour force. As for R&D expenditures in absolute terms, six German regions featured among the top 15 EU regions, together with two French regions, a region in Belgium, two Swedish regions, two Italian regions, one region in Finland and Spain.32 In terms of total R&D intensity as a percentage of GDP the top fifteen positions are filled by regions in Northern Europe. Seven regions were located in Germany, four in Sweden, two in Finland and one in France and Austria respectively. In terms of R&D personnel as a share of total labour force, Vienna (Austria) was the leading region with almost 4.6 percent. In absolute terms, this was equal to over 19 thousand workers in R&D. Vienna was followed by the regions of Prague (Czech Republic) (4.5 percent) and Trøndelag (Norway) (4.4 percent). Also regions in Germany and Finland had a high score in this ranking-list, with three regions each. It is striking that mainly Northern European areas have a high score on these ranking lists. One of the salient features of the top 15 regions in relative terms is that nine of them are capital regions. According to BCI (2008), the most knowledge-intensive regions, Munich and Zurich, lead the ranking for technology and know-how. This is mainly due to the relatively high amount of R&D spending as a percentage of GDP (which is above the Lisbon target of 3 percent), high number of registered patents 3.1.2 Knowledge and innovation across Europe There is a significant difference between innovation intensities across Europe. Firstly, differences at the national level will be discussed by looking at the geographic spread of private and public R&D (divided into three sectors: business enterprise, government and higher education). Subsequently, indicators of innovation will be discussed at the local or regional level. The business enterprise sector accounted for the highest R&D expenditure at EU-27 level - 64 percent of total expenditure - followed by the higher education sector (22 percent) and the government sector (13 percent). The business enterprise sector accounted for the bulk of R&D expenditure in most of the countries. The fact that major EU firms have largely maintained their R&D investment during times of crisis shows that they recognise R&D as key in their recovery from the crisis (and emerging stronger). Although various indicators of innovation can be discussed, this section focuses on three indicators: R&D expenditures in absolute terms, R&D intensity as a percentage of 31European Commission (2010) ‘EU Industrial R&D Investment Scoreboard 2010’, Brussels 32Eurostat (2010) ‘Science, technology and innovation in Europe, Statistical Yearbook’, Brussels 33 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas and overall high innovative performance. Stuttgart, Stockholm and Karlsruhe follow in second, third and fourth position.33 Although R&D is critical to innovation and is the main focus of public support, innovation is more than just R&D. Innovation also involves the interaction of a system wherein business and governance are collaborating with each other in an integral and multidisciplinary way. In the next section local innovation models of cities will be discussed wherein the collaboration between business and governance is addressed. 3.1.3 Challenges for metropolitan areas It is interesting and relevant to analyse knowledge and innovation at the local level rather than the national level since the actual dynamics are taking place within cities. Cities can provide the required conditions for (the exchange of) knowledge. Through the geographical concentration of firms within a city they are likely to interact with each other via subcontracting, joint ventures or other collaborative means. Across Europe many metropolitan areas are striving to create, or maintain, a knowledge-intensive economy that is attractive for innovative enterprises. In practice, a majority of these cities have difficulties to achieve this goal. It is important to look at the role of cities: what can cities actually do to create a knowledge economy that drives innovation and urban 33See Buck Consultants International - BCI (2008), Index Measures Metros’ Tech-nicity’, in: Site Selection Magazine, July 2008 34Fischer, M.M. and A. Varga (2001) ‘Production of Knowledge and Geographically Mediated Spillovers from Universities. A Spatial Econometric Perspective and Evidence from Austria’ paper presented at European Regional Science Association A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas competitiveness and how can cities improve the impacts of the public and private R&D expenditures? R&D expenditures are mainly national investments and the influence of cities on the higher education system is rather limited. A major challenge for cities is to benefit of the knowledge and innovation available in the city. Local innovation system can be seen as the key for an optimal use of knowledge and innovation within a city. Within the literature three possible models of local innovation can be distinguished. A first model is that local innovation is driven by the market with little control from outside. The second model is the so-called network model in which multi-level networks are established seeking agreement between firms, banks, education institutions and different layers of government. The third model is one in which innovation is mainly initiated by the government rather than the market. The local innovation systems of the most innovative cities (in Germany and the Scandinavian countries) are based on the network model; the different (public and private) institutions are jointly working together. Knowledge institutions (e.g. universities and research institutes) are important players within the local innovation system. Knowledge spill-overs from universities can occur when graduates - who have the requisite levels of scientific and technological knowledge - leave the university and take a job at a firm or start their own. But it can also occur between academic researchers and industry sector researchers.34 For cities it is a challenge to optimally benefit from the spin-offs of innovative firms and knowledge institutions. For example by paying more attention to exploring which local innovation system is most appropriate – given the specific local (and regional) circumstances – and what the existing barriers to suc- 34 cess are. It is the task of cities to take these barriers away and create the right conditions for a knowledge-based economy that drives innovation and that can compete with other metropolitan areas. To keep up with the growing competition, cities must invest in the skills appropriate to the key economic sectors within the region. Knowledge and innovation is highly concentrated in private enterprises and, therefore, local policies have a limited influence on their innovation intensity. Therefore innovation policies of cities or metropolitan areas are focused on facilitating the right conditions for a knowledge-based economy driving innovation and competitiveness. One of the main aims of this theme is to gather more insights into the relationship between knowledge and the urban competitiveness of a city or region. It is important to know what local policy can do to improve the innovation intensity. -- How to develop a balanced economy that contains some knowledge intensive industries but also (employment in) other industries reflecting the existing skills mix? -- What can be the added value – in terms of human capital and competitiveness - of collaboration between universities, knowledge- and research centres and local governments? How can cities establish a network model wherein the institutions are intensively working together? -- To what extent are R&D expenditures and the innovation intensity of a metropolitan area correlated? Do high R&D investments turn out in higher innovation intensity? -- How can agglomeration benefits – skills, size, proximity, connectivity – be optimalised to develop a knowledgebased economy? Knowledge and research questions: -- What explanation can be given for the regional differences in innovation intensity across Europe? Why are areas in Northern Europe generally more innovative than areas in southern Europe and central- and eastern Europe? -- To what extent do innovative economic sectors drive urban competitiveness and what are the general characteristics of these sectors? (e.g. high-skilled employees, cluster of highly innovative companies, spin-off of knowledge institutions) -- What strategy or policy do cities use to make the city attractive for innovative enterprises and how successful is this? -- How can cities improve the impact of public and private R&D expenditures in a way that it actually enhances innovation intensity? 3.2 Entrepreneurial Economy According to the EU “competitive regions” are regions that are able to anticipate and successfully adapt to internal and external economic and social challenges. During the past decade, the EU has introduced and supported a variety of programmes and instruments that are directly or indirectly aimed at enhancing regional economic capacity. Cities which are dependent on a single sector – whether old-fashioned coal, steel, shipping or new-fashioned financial services, mobile telephones, culture or computers – are the most vulnerable to fluctuations in global economic forces. Moore and Begg analysed that cities which have a broad industrial base rather than being dependent on a single sector or small number of related sectors tend to be more success- 35 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas ful in responding to economic change and in reinventing themselves economically, over time. They suggest that cities should be constantly seeking to push into new areas of economic activity rather than simply seeking to specialise or lack in their existing culture. The degree of entrepreneurial activity is one of the main determinants for the level of competitiveness of metropolitan areas. The role of SMEs is important for the local and regional economy as well as the (dis)advantages of both economically-diversified and economically-specialised metropolitan areas. From a policy point of view, the main question to answer is: “How can cities develop the right boundary conditions for entrepreneurial activity and what types of (hard and soft) location factors create a diverse, robust and competitive entrepreneurial economy?” 3.2.1 Drivers of Competitiveness The emergence of the entrepreneurial economy is a response to two fundamental aspects of globalisation. The first is the advent of low-cost but highly skilled competition in central and eastern Europe as well as in Asia. The second is the telecommunications and microprocessor revolution, which has greatly reduced the cost of shifting standardized economic activity out of the highcost locations, such as Europe, and into lower-cost locations elsewhere in the world. In today’s network economy cities are increasingly competing with each other and the entrepreneurial economy is one of the main determinants of competitiveness. The economic performance of metropolitan areas strongly depends on its economic sector structure. Despite the extensive effort devoted to characterise entrepreneurship there is little consensus about the most appropriate metric. This section discusses determinants of an entrepreneurial economy and A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas discusses the possibilities of local policies to stimulate entrepreneurship and the start-up of SMEs. Entrepreneurship is likely to be driven by the availability of knowledge. Knowledge is an important determinant of the entrepreneurial economy. The traditional production factors – labour and capital – were not sufficient anymore in explaining economic growth and knowledge has become the vital factor in economic growth models. Academic studies have predicted that the emergence of knowledge – as an important determinant of growth and competitiveness in global markets – would have a positive effect on new and small firms. The increasing attention to entrepreneurship in Europe and North America has shifted the comparative advantage towards knowledge-based economic activity. Another determinant of the entrepreneurial economy is location. The location decision of business and people depends on a range of factors and can been divided in hard and soft location factors. Hard location factors include, among others, the accessibility of the region, local rate of taxes and duties, availability of real-estate (offices) and relevant production conditions. In recent years, a greater role is accorded to soft location factors, which are important for the service capability of companies with knowledgeoriented jobs. Soft location factors include, among others, a good environment, distinctive architectures, cultural facilities and diverse housing stock. These factors are typically viewed as determinants for the quality of a locality and influence the decision where businesses settle and where qualified personnel decides to offer their services (human capital). Both hard and soft location factors have become increasingly important in differentiating one city from another and for attracting and retaining skilled workers. 36 It is a challenge for cities to create an entrepreneurial economy that is attractive for innovative, highly technological, enterprises. Although economic growth is an endogenous process local policies can influence economic growth in various aspects: efficient public administration, reducing uncertainty and making decisions transparently and quickly, more effective co-ordination between public and private investments, providing relevant and effective training and ensuring that land use policies are flexible and coordination of infrastructure provision and demands of the private sector investors. The aim of these policies is to enhance economic growth within a city or region. National and local policies focus on attracting (inter)national headquarters or multinationals since these large companies are seen as the catalysts in attracting new companies and/or creating job openings. There has been a shift towards a more diverse economic policy whereby there is a focus on SMEs as well as on large (inter) national companies in the urban economy. Between 2002 and 2008 the percentage of SMEs in the EU has increased with 13 percent whereas the number of large enterprise increased by only 5 percent. A cluster of innovative SMEs is able to attract large multinational firms to a city since these companies are strongly interlinked with each other. Economic growth is highly correlated with the presence of many small, entrepreneurial employers and therefore cities are increasingly focused on supporting SMEs. In an entrepreneurial economy, innovative SMEs create economic value by launching innovative products and services. New firms are often established by relatively young people who have new ideas and are keen to introduce new innovations. SMEs seem to respond to the new competition and globalisation by creating experimental, risk-taking activities in a variety of niches of industry, trade, business and personal services. They are often highly specialised companies that are focused on the development, design and marketing of new products and services and experimenting with new ideas. SMEs have been characterised as having, on average, a relatively low tendency to export since large enterprises are more involved in distribution activities whereas SMEs are more focused on (international) trade. The role of SMEs is not at all constant across industrial sectors. For example, the added-value of innovative highly technological enterprises strongly differs from SMEs in the construction sector. A diverse economy is able to react in a dynamic and flexible way on continuously changing market situations and therefore both specialisation and diversity should be enhanced by public authorities. Entrepreneurship generates economic output by providing diversity among firms by enhancing a greater number of enterprises and increasing the variety of enterprises in a certain location. The degree of diversity versus specialisation may account for differences in rates of growth and technological development. Where specialisation of industry activities is associated with lower transaction costs and, therefore, greater (static) efficiency, the diversification of activities is said to facilitate the exchange of new ideas, and therefore, greater innovative activity and (dynamic) efficiency. SMEs are believed to serve as an engine of economic growth since SMEs increase the diversity of urban economies which may, in turn, generate productivity increases in existing enterprises. The role of SMEs in the European economy has been repeatedly acknowledged at the highest political level. The European Council strongly supports the further strengthening of SMEs’ sustainable growth and competitiveness. The ‘Europe 2020’- strategy places 37 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas a special emphasis on entrepreneurship by stimulating (old and new) Member States to remove measures that discourage self-employment. In recent years a number of European policies and programmes have been put in place to support self-employment and SMEs such as the European Small Business Act. This act recognises the role of entrepreneurs and SMEs in contributing to the future prosperity of the EU. The aim of this act is to create a level playing field for SMEs. According to the act ‘dynamic entrepreneurs are particularly well placed to reap opportunities from globalisation and from the acceleration of technological change. Vibrant SMEs will make Europe more robust to stand against the uncertainty thrown up in the globalising world.’ 3.2.2 Entrepreneurship across Europe The dynamic development of the SME sector in 2002 to 2008 was a widespread phenomenon across the EU. During this period the old and new Member States convergence; the remaining differences appeared to be increasingly less significant. Although the economic crisis has caused an abrupt discontinuation of the upward trends in the number of SMEs in the EU-27, this number of enterprises is expected to resume its upwards trend when the economic growth picks up again. Much of the well-known literature on SMEs and many of the examples of local economic development concerning SMEs relates to Italy, particularly the industrial districts of central and north-east Italy. The relative importance of SMEs for the Italian economy far exceeds the EU average, as illustrated by the above-EU average share of persons employed and value added accounted for by the SMEs. In Italy there are approximately 65 SMEs per 1000 inhabitants, a figure that lies substantially above the EU-27 average A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas of circa 40. Moreover 81 percent of the labour force is employed by a SME which is significantly higher than the EU-24 average of 67 percent. Germany is another example of a country in which SMEs play an important role within industrial clusters. This can be explained by the fact that this country used to have a strong support infrastructure for SMEs. A successful example of an entrepreneurial German city is Munich metropolitan area. Munich has a diverse economic profile with a mix of large, global-orientated, firms and more local-orientated SMEs. Munich constantly tries to diversify its economic base by pushing it into different sectors. The Munich case teaches other cities that there is a need to diversify and to deepen existing strengths. The trick is to work with what you have and to modernise. 3.2.3 Challenges for metropolitan areas The start-up of enterprises is something that takes place in cities and therefore local policies are highly important for improving entrepreneurship and stimulating (start-up) SMEs. Through a process of globalisation and European integration there is increasing interest in the economic performance of cities. Consequently, local policy efforts are more and more focused on enhancing economic growth of cities. As stated before, entrepreneurship and the role of SMEs in the urban economy are seen as important determinants for the creation of jobs and (related) economic growth. In the period 2002 to 2008, 83 percent of the total employment growth is attributed to SMEs rather than large firms. The annual employment growth within SMEs is with 1,9 percent higher than the employment growth within large enterprises (0,8 percent). Local policymakers are increasingly recognizing entrepreneurship as the key to build- 38 ing and sustaining economic growth. There are various examples of local policies that primarily affect entrepreneurs by easing business formation, ensuring access to finance and appropriate protection of intellectual property. For a city it is a challenge to create a unique selling point that distinguishes them from other cities. The creation of an entrepreneurial economy usually involves local levels of government and formal business associations. For local policy makers it is important to understand the dynamics behind today’s network economy as cities are increasingly competing with each other. The entrepreneurial economy can be seen as an important determinant of urban competitiveness. Local policies can stimulate the start-ups of SMEs by providing attractive hard and soft location factors. This theme discusses why some cities are more successful in creating a highly attractive entrepreneurial economy than others. The following research questions will be addressed in the agenda: -- To what extent do SMEs contribute to urban competitiveness? -- How can cities facilitate the right (hard and soft) location factors? -- How can a city distinguish itself from other cities? Is specialisation the key in establishing a unique selling point of a city? -- How can policy makers maintain – and ideally accelerate – the continuing transition towards a more entrepreneurial economy? How can cities attract SMEs or support the number of start-ups or, more in general, encourage entrepreneurship? -- How can local policies influence the level of entrepreneurial activity? -- Which factors determine the attractiveness of a dynamic and entrepreneurial urban economy? -- Are policies for innovative high-growth SMEs different from general SME policy? And if so, how? Is there a trade-off between both types of polices? -- What about the path-dependency of the cities: should cities focus more on attracting new enterprises or should they better build on the present enterprises? 3.3 Labour Market and Education The focus of this sub theme is specifically on the relation between labour productivity and competitiveness at the metropolitan level. Moreover, from a policy point of view this sub theme discusses how cities can deal with urban labour challenges such as a high percentage of youth unemployment and a high representation of migrants in the local labour market. Especially in the largest cities in Spain, Greece and France the percentage of (youth) unemployment is high caused by major problems of the traditional economic sectors as for example the construction sector in Spain. Low participation rates have a negative impact on labour productivity and, thus, on urban competitiveness on the metropolitan level. In the Baltic States there is a striking high percentage of (youth) unemployment too which can be explained by a strong decline of the economy caused by the financial crisis. Although the percentages of (youth) unemployment are quite similar for these regions (between 30-40 percent) the underlying causes might strongly differ. 3.3.1 Drivers of Competitiveness The European labour market is often characterised as rigid and inflexible with high unemployment, low mobility and a mismatch between labour supply and labour demand. Although there is some truth in this generalisation, the European picture is not uni- 39 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas form but very varied. However, as for some aspects there is general agreement. For example, in most European countries workers on permanent contracts are strongly shielded. In Spain, economic dismissals are routinely challenged in Court; employers lose in three-fourths of the time. One of the consequences is high youth unemployment. Generally, European Governments made substantial efforts to reform labour market institutions. Since the eighties, there were some 200 reforms of employment protection in the EU-15 countries, increasing labour market flexibility in over half of cases. The reforms mostly entailed changing the rules only for new hires and introducing a wide array of new flexible, fixed-term, contractual types or expanding their scope where they already existed. There were almost no changes in rules on regular, open-ended, contracts. This created two parallel labour markets – a labour market largely insulated from shocks (workers with permanent contracts) and a labour market of temporary workers, where all risks are concentrated. These developments have to be bear in mind when the urban labour market is taken into consideration. After all, it tells us that at the local and regional level it is hard to influence certain institutional aspects of the labour market – because it is national policy. Consequently, from a labour market perspective it is hard for local policy makers to affect the level of competitiveness of a metropolitan area. When we zoom in on urban labour markets some observations can be made, such as a great demand for highly educated labour, a high supply of migrant workers and a higher productivity than in rural areas. Research shows that a doubling of population density leads to about 6 percent increase in productivity. Since labour productivity is considered one of the underlying A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas drivers of competitiveness, this has important policy implications. In fact all of the other drivers of competitiveness - innovation, education, investments and participation - have an effect on labour productivity, as was shown by numerous studies. This led the European Commission to acknowledge productivity as the key factor to competitiveness. Therefore it is important to further explore which factors mostly drive local productivity growth and what the relation is between local (labour) productivity and competitiveness at the level of metropolitan areas. When the relation between local (labour) productivity and level of competitiveness is proved to be strong, the future does not look good for the EU-25. Projections regarding labour productivity in the long run suggest a significant slowdown in potential growth rates in the EU as a whole, with the EU-25 growth rate projected to fall from around 2,5 percent in 2006 to half that rate over the period 2041-2050. While the decline in the growth rate of living standards is less dramatic, it is nevertheless significant, with EU-25 GDP per capita growth rates expected to decline from 2¼ percent at 2006 to 1½ percent in the 2040’s. The expected GDP per capita drop is particularly strong for Spain, Italy, Portugal and Malta. Low labour productivity leads to less economic growth and, thus, a decline in employment. Although there are also other explaining factors, a high or increasing unemployment rate can be seen as a sign of a low or declining labour productivity. When labour productivity is low and declining, and the prospects for recovery are not good, long-term unemployment may arise. Preventing high rates of long-term unemployment should be combated strongly. Usually, the substantial effects of early unemployment on subsequent labour market 40 and social outcome are mostly temporary. However, for disadvantaged youth lacking basic education unemployment spells may create ‘scarring’ effects. This means that the mere experience of unemployment will increase future unemployment risks and/or reduce future earnings. The longer the unemployment spell lasts, the more individual productivity will be affected and the lower the level of initial qualification, the longer the scarring effects are likely to last. percent) youth unemployment is relatively high. Zooming in on NUTS-2 level the highest youth unemployment rates can be found in regions located in Spain, France and Italy: three regions in both in Spain and France and one region in Italy show youth unemployment rates above 40 percent. The causes behind these eye-catching differences vary from country to country. For example, in Spain the high unemployment figure is partly due to the continued rise in the number of economically active population, especially migrants. Besides, a large percentage of workers are on temporary contracts which make it employers easy to lay off staff. Last but not least, the last decade the economic success was mainly ascribed to the construction and related sectors. Because of the direct effects of the credit crunch demand has declined dramatically. Consequently, the construction sector accounts for over 60 percent of the fall in employment. Given the nature of these causes, it is interesting to examine what local authorities and policy makers could have done to prevent the strongly rising unemployment and what their instruments are to combat a further rise. 3.3.2 Local labour market and unemployment Often youth unemployment rates are more than double or triple those for the population as a whole. A combination of supply side variables (union density, employee benefits etc.) and demand side variables (restructuring from manufacturing to a service industry, the introduction of new information technologies, and escalating international competition etc.) have led to high rates of youth unemployment in Europe (and worldwide). The recent global economic crisis has hit youth very hard. In the OECD area, the youth (15-24) unemployment rate rose by 6 percentage points in the two years to the end of 2009, to reach almost 19 percent. There are currently nearly 15 million youth unemployed in the OECD area, about four million more than at the end of 2007. When we focus on the labour market for youth (15-24 years), youth unemployment rates in 2009 varied substantially between countries within the EU. For example, in the Netherlands (6,6 percent), Austria (10 percent), Germany (11,2 percent) and Denmark (11,2 percent) youth unemployment is relatively low whereas in countries like Spain (37,8 percent), Slovak Republic (27,3 percent), Hungary (26,5 percent), Ireland (24,2 percent), Greece (25,8 percent), Italy (25,4 percent) and France (23,3 3.3.3 Challenges for metropolitan areas Unemployment rates tend to be higher in cities. Across Europe, the unemployment rate was higher than the national rate in two out of three Urban Audit cities in 2001. Usually unemployment rates also differ between the core cities and the wider urban area, as well as between neighbourhoods, but there is no clear pattern. Within cities, very large differences in unemployment rates can be observed between neighbourhoods. In 2001 neighbourhood disparities in unemployment were particularly large in France, Belgium and south Italy, but are also significant in the cities of eastern 41 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas Germany, larger Spanish cities and the North of England. Since cities often act like magnets for youth the share of youth in the total population of cities is above average. Besides, Urban Audit data suggests that, in general, the cities with the fastest population growth are those with the lowest share of elderly people and, correspondingly, the highest share of children and young people. Examples of fast growing and young cities are London, Dublin and Madrid. Although having a young population may seem positive from a labour market perspective, it has some dangers in it as well. For examples, many European cities have increasing concentrations of young people who have dropped out and are no longer in education, employment or training. Especially during times of economic crisis when more and more companies find themselves having to downsize and dismiss qualified workers from their jobs, more and more young people looking for first employment or vocational training placement will find themselves standing before closed doors. The situation in many cities is bad enough to begin with, due mainly to an educational system illadapted to the changed needs of a multicultural society, shaky family structures and a falling demand for low skilled people. The problems tend to concentrate in the neighbourhoods, especially those where the less well-off people live. It is here that help is most needed. Giving more attention to the educational requirements of children and young people in these urban areas seems straightforward. If more than one half of young people in these deprived neighbourhoods leave school without any qualifications, there are bound to be problems in the future. Eventually an insecure job situation may lead young people to refrain from or to postpone starting a family, thus having an A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas impact on demographic developments. It can be asserted that unemployment is often an element of a vicious circle with poverty, low education and human capital, health disease and social and political marginality. All things considered, there are many reasons why cities should do its maximum to improve the quality of their labour force in order to minimize unemployment. The concept of local labour productivity is just as hard to grasp as the notion of local competitiveness. When a city or metropolitan area has a lower than average labour productivity, this does not have to be a sign of low competitiveness, as long as labour costs are also lower. From the production side of competitiveness, lack of labour productivity growth is not necessarily a signal that something is wrong with that city or metropolitan area. When a city is activating all social assistance beneficiaries to find a job, this will likely have a lower productivity growth path, particularly when long-term unemployed, whose productivity is (too) low to find a job. The trade-off is then one between lower competitiveness and productivity against less unemployment (or vice versa). One of the main aims of this theme is to find out what the most important factors are that drive local productivity growth and, strongly linked to this, what is the relation between local (labour) productivity and competitiveness at the level of metropolitan areas? Besides, it is important to know what the implications are of high labour productivity respectively low labour productivity. As for the latter, in the foregoing we already linked low labour productivity with high (youth) unemployment but the opposite may be true as well. -- What are the most important factors that drive local productivity growth and what is the relation between local (labour) 42 -- -- -- -- -- -- productivity and competitiveness at the level of metropolitan areas? How are differences in labour productivity and competitiveness of cities and metropolitan areas affected by differences in sector structure, skill and educational level of the workforce? To what extent are differences in labour productivity due to internal factors of firms? To what extent are differences in labour productivity due to institutional arrangements and facilities provided by the government? What policy instruments are available (and what measures can be taken) at the local level to increase labour productivity and combat (youth) unemployment? What is the impact of local (and regional) policy measures on youth unemployment? What will be the consequences of (rising) youth unemployment for the competitiveness of cities (in the short and in the long run)? How can local labour market policy increase the participation rates of those with limited access to regular jobs (due to lack of skills, work rhythm, social or mental disorder etc.)? Is it necessary to have measures for all groups, e.g. is a special intervention only necessary in few marginal cases of particularly weak young people (drop-outs or those with low levels of education)? transforming. For example, some Polish cities recovered relatively quickly from the recent economic crisis while other cities, for example in the Baltic States, are lagging behind. This sub theme discusses the challenges of the economic transformation process of the new European Member States and the path to growth these cities will (or should) follow. The aim of metropolitan governance is to manage urban growth and to implement policy actions and strategies in pursuing competitive objectives. 3.4.1 Drivers of Competitiveness The world is changing constantly and, as it sometimes seems, every day more rapidly. From an economic point of view particularly the process of modernisation and adaption from an industrial-based to a service- and quaternary based economy is interesting. Literature has particularly touched upon the issue of de-industrialisation. The term deindustrialisation can have two meanings, either a relative decline in the importance of manufacturing, or an absolute decline bringing with it the problems of job losses. The loss of traditional industries is sometimes partially offset by the creation of new industries. Europe-wide there has been a shift towards the service- and quaternary sector away from older industrialised areas such as urban economies depending on steel, mines and textile. Overall, the share of manufacturing in the European Member States has declined drastically in the last decade and the share of service has grown as many manufacturing firms have closed or moved towards lower-cost locations. Moreover, through outsourcing and off-sourcing of industrial activities the economic focus is increasingly service-oriented and knowledgebased. However, this does not mean that cities or metropolitan areas that are still manufacturing oriented cannot belong to the 3.4 Modernising and Adaption Metropolitan areas, especially the new European Member States, are currently in a period of economic change. From an economic perspective, there are major differences in the way how the various metropolitan areas in central and eastern Europe are 43 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas Figure 6 Source: Shutterstock 89254516 most dynamic and economically robust metropolises in Europe. In the traditional industrial cities in transition, manufacturing is not the driver of growth but it stays an important economic sector, with significant links to other sectors. In these cities, the transition towards a service- and quaternary economy will continue but manufacturing is likely to remain resilient. This means that de-industrialisation is not a prerequisite to become a modern urban economy. The aim of this theme is, however, broader than a focus on the economically adaptation from an industrial-based to a servicedbased economy. Cities worldwide constantly go through periods of intense growth or decline, innovation or decay. Recently a new phenomenon can be added: demographic decline. Estonia, parts of eastern Europe, A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas the eastern part of Germany and some areas in Spain already experienced strong population declines since the nineties. Recently also some peripheral areas in Scandinavia, the UK, Italy, Greece, the Netherlands and Belgium experienced a population decline. Lithuania, Germany, Estonia, Hungary, Poland, Slovenia and Slovakia are expected to have a lower population by 2030. Old industrial metropolitan areas are often associated with demographic decline. That is true for Leipzig, North-Rhine Westphalia, Ostrava, Liverpool, Manchester and Lille. These cities were built on dominant industrial tradition and experienced a dynamic economic growth until the 1960s. Already since the 1970s, these regions have experienced big problems and lost the ability of economic regeneration. Consequently, 44 these areas were characterized by high unemployment and a population with obsolete skills. Nowadays, these cities are in the midst of their recovery process. Academic research has touched upon the question what policy options would be appropriate but it proves that only few can be offered in this respect. In summary, this theme aims at (1) examining what are the decisive factors explaining urban decline and recovery and (2) what the policy options are at the local (and regional) level. For example, when a city or metropolitan area is in the transition process towards a knowledge-based economy, it needs enough qualified people to work in knowledge-oriented companies. Consequently, for cities it becomes increasingly important to answer questions like – for example – how to invest in skills appropriate to their (new) key sectors, how to strengthen the cities’ capacity to diffuse knowledge across the totality of the economy, how to capitalise upon public knowledge intensive industries - such as education and healthcare - to develop spin-offs etc. Besides, since most cities are transforming towards a service- and knowledge based economy, the question arises to what extent their economic structures will converge. For example, urban economies are increasingly focusing towards high-tech sectors, financial services, tourism and the creative industries. An important question for cities in this respect is how to create a unique-selling point. The role of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) is important here. In particular the economic competitiveness of the German SMEs may be an interesting casus. The transformation towards a service- and quaternary based economy goes hand in hand with the current process towards a more ‘entrepreneurial economy’. In an entrepreneurial economy the smaller SMEs create economic value by launching innovative products and services. The small, innovative companies specialize, serve niche markets, are focused on development, design, directing and marketing new products and services and experiment with new ideas. These companies are also regarded as most fit to compete with countries with lower wages. 3.4.2 Modernisation patterns across Europe There are different modernisations patterns across Europe. Many Western European cities are transforming from an service economy towards a modern economy which is more and more focused on advanced services and products. Well-known examples are Liverpool, Glasgow and Rotterdam. Some cities have experienced a quick and successful transformation while other cities have difficulties to adjust to a new economic profile. Although economic transformation is relevant for all cities, perhaps the most interesting examples of economic transformation can be found in Central and Eastern European (CEE) cities. After all, these cities have first made a transition from a centrally planned economy to a market economy followed by a transition towards becoming a full-fledged EU Member State. Still, for many CEE cities it is a challenge to catch-up with the richer countries of the EU. Worldwide experience shows that economic catching-up requires high saving and investment ratios, constant upgrading of educational standards and of the work force and a steady improvement of competitiveness. Although CEE cities vary in many aspects, they also share some common characteristics originating from their historical past and from the state-system that they had during the common Soviet regime. Case studies from across CEE suggest that some privatized firms have engaged in stra- 45 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas Figure 7 Source: Shutterstock 61876528 tegic restructuring and thereby developed competitive advantage and sustained positive performance despite international competition. These studies suggest that CEE local firms may be able to compete effectively without support from foreign investors. At the same time transition economies have been running sometimes large current account deficits. The reason for this is that investment needed for catching-up growth could not be fully financed by domestic savings. Capital inflows including large FDI, attracted by bright domestic growth prospects and providing long-term financing of current account deficits, can be reflected in a real appreciation of the domestic currency. Poland has established itself as one of the most successful transition economies in CEE. Large cities are the main drivers of Polish growth. Gross domestic product in urban areas is more than double that in rural areas. Besides, the eight largest urban areas A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas in Poland are 20 percent more productive than the average Polish sub-regions. Examples of transforming cities are the three largest cities in Poland: Krakow, Poznan and Warsaw. Past years these cities have experienced a strong economic growth that can be explained by a range of factors. The robust economic growth reflects large flows of foreign direct investments and the dynamics of small private enterprises. Also in the Global Metro Monitor the Polish cities are highly ranked. It is interesting to analyze the main explanatory factors (e.g. the facilitating role of national and/or local policy, foreign investments etc.) behind the outperforming of these cities. Rather than analysing “best practices” it is also interesting to discuss metropolitan areas that have difficulties with the economic transition. 3.4.3 Challenges for metropolitan areas The relevance for cities and metropolitan 46 areas is self-evident. Since the world is becoming increasingly urbanised - since 2007 more than 50 percent of the world population is living in urban areas - cities and metropolitan areas play crucial economic roles. Consequently, cities and metropolitan areas can be considered as the frontrunners in responding to (new) global challenges. Ultimately the objective of the transforming process – with periods of urban decline and recovery – of the urban economy is to become more competitive which means more tailored to (new) national and global changes and at the same time able to make necessary adaptations quickly. Although many of the explanatory factors for urban decline and recovery are exogenous for local authorities and policy makers (macro-economic forces, state of the art of technology etc.), some local policy instruments may be useful and effective. Some CEE cities are also dealing with the adverse consequences of the transition. Several transforming cities suffer from spreading poverty and diminishing social cohesion, high inflation and fragility of financial systems. Nevertheless, CEE cities – like Warsaw - may serve as an example to other European cities and metropolitan areas of how a city became tailored to (new) national and global changes and at the same time able to make necessary adaptations quickly. Warsaw was one of the few European metropolitan areas that did not experience a decline in either GDP per capita or employment during the recession. One of the explanatory factors is Warsaw’s diversified economic base. Warsaw, but also Poland as a whole, depends less on particular industry sectors than other CEE cities and countries. Besides, its large share of highly flexible SMEs rely more on Poland’s internal market than exports and international expansion. This structure has ensured that there is no major economic orientation around cyclical industries. -- What measures are/were metropolitan areas using to make a successful transition towards a post-industrial economy (i.e. more service- and quaternary oriented)? What specific progress is made as a result of these measures (and what explains this progress)? What are the remaining challenges? -- What strategies do cities choose to transform towards a modern economy (and on what grounds)? Do they focus on specific economic sectors? Do they choose for specialisation or diversification of the economy? Is the economic structure of metropolitan areas converging? -- What are the available strategies to adjust the economy of a metropolitan area to a changing demographic structure (for example to demographic decline)? -- How to create the right boundary conditions for small, innovative companies serving niche markets (i.e. SMEs focused on development, design, directing and marketing new products and services and experiment with new ideas)? -- What can cities undertake to match (future) labour supply with the new labour demands of the developing key sectors? How should cities strengthen their capacity to diffuse knowledge across the whole economy? How to capitalise upon public knowledge intensive industries - such as education and healthcare - to develop spin-offs? -- With regard to the different patterns of economic transition: what can cities learn from each other? For example, what explains the quick successful transition of some Central- and Eastern European cities – like Warsaw - while 47 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas Table 1: Observations and policy-related questions for each subtheme Academic observations Policy questions Knowledge & innovation • Shift from manufacturing towards a service-based economy. • Outsourcing of economic activities to low-cost countries • Emergence of new economic sectors (for high-tech technology) • How should a shift towards a knowledge economy be stimulated effectively (e.g. through attracting human capital and/or high-tech clusters)? • What is the success formula behind ‘innovation hotspots’? • What is an effective regional innovation strategy? Entrepreneurship • Shift from a more standardized economy towards a strongly differentiated economy. • Higher percentage of small and • medium-sized entrepreneurs (rather than big industrial platforms). • Do cities need to support specialization or differentiation of the urban economy? • Can urban policies stimulate entrepreneurship or start-ups of SMEs within a city? Labour market & education • Demand for high-skilled employees • High percentage of unemployment • Increasing gap between low-skilled and high-skilled workers • How can cities deal with urban labour challenges, such as youth unemployment? • How can cities close the gap between low-skilled and high-skilled workers? (e.g. training, high investment in education) Modernisation & adaption • Many Central- and Eastern European cities are quickly transforming from a socialist planned economy towards a capitalist economy. • How does the economic profile of cities in transition look like? • Will cities in Central- and Eastern Europe follow similar pathways as the Western European cities did? other cities are lagging behind? How did these cities attract huge amounts of foreign investments? What new (modern) institutional arrangements were introduced and what were the following results? -- How are cities dealing with possible adverse consequences of the transformation process (e.g. unemployment, mismatch labour market, identity-crisis and physical costs of transformation)? -- Which metropolitan areas experience or will experience in the near future a decline in population and household numbers? A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas -- How do local and regional governments deal with demographic decline (or a changing demographic structure)? What policy options are available, which policy efforts proved to be successful? 3.5Conclusion Table 1 lists the academic observations and urban policy-related questions for cities based on the four subthemes addressed in this agenda. 48 4. Case studies 4.1 Gathering insights from practice tions and strategies in pursuing competitive objectives. Local economic policy is increasingly seen as important since cities are coined as the engines of the national economy. The role of local governments is, however, rather limited because a formal government authority is hardly ever developed at the scale of the metropolitan area. Cities can play a more important role when they start to cooperate at a regional scale. Economic co-operation is regarded as an important strategy to stimulate urban competitiveness and to implement urban policies. The increasing intensity of local and regional competition goes hand in hand with an increased mobility and flexibility of businesses and highly skilled labour, which in turns impacts the importance of local and regional factors of a location. In general cities are more likely to co-operate when they are located in each other vicinity. It is important that the different partners do know who is responsible for which themes. What can be arranged local and what can be done at a regional scale? What is the role of private partners? Metropolitan developments are stimulated by global trends operating through economic, social and cultural networks. The economy of metropolitan areas is largely driven by global economic forces and cities may strengthen the urban economy. Many of the factors that influence urban performance have a strong link to national or supra-national economic trends. As a result, there is little that the individual city can do to affect these variables. Still, there are some aspects that a city may control and where policy can have a role in influencing the urban economy from ‘bottom-up’. Since the economic performance of important competitors outside the EU seems to be more prosperous, time is pressing for European cities and regions. It is therefore urgent to analyse and formulate effective strategies and action to stimulate the economic vitality of cities. Cities should be put high on the European agenda and cities should focus more on effective economic strategies. To gain further insights in the economic policies of metropolitan areas, we analysed four areas in more detail. How can local and regional policy makers create and advance a vital urban economy? It is the role for policy to provide the delivery of hard and soft location factors. It is now widely accepted that the local context matters in terms of competitive strength since some cities clearly offer a better mix of attributes for business. In strict economic terms, it may be correct to argue that businesses are competing with each other, not cities or regions as such. Cities, however, can have significant impact on the capacity of businesses to compete effectively. The aim of cities is to manage urban growth and to implement policy ac- 4.2 Case study selection The cases are selected on a practical approach. Therefore, besides number of inhabitants and geographical spread it may also be of relevance to include metropolitan areas which have either a strongly service-based economy or a strongly industrial based economy. Also a balance between new and old member states of the European Union needs to be considered. By including several Eastern European metropolitan areas the question can be addressed how (if) the main cities in the newest EU Member States follow the economic patterns of northern-, westernand southern European cities. For example, 49 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas do they copy past the economic profile of other European cities, or do they follow their own path of economic growth? Following a practical approach seems even more appropriate when data availability and data reliability is taken into consideration. For example, the economic vitality of countries can be defined by indicators such as gross domestic product, employment, investments in R&D and innovativeness. Although there is data available for EU Member States (e.g. Eurostat)35, there is a lack of data at the level of metropolitan areas since they are in-between the national and local level, and even the formal regional boundaries do not suit the daily urban systems of metropolitan areas. The collection of statistical data at the level of metropolitan areas – in order to acquire knowledge of their economic structure – is problematic. These areas, which are defined functionally and technically, only coincidentally correspond to existing administrative or census boundaries.36 For example: in quantitative data analysis the data used for the London metropolis is sometimes only the data for Greater London and sometimes the entire South-East region of England. Both scales do not correspond with London’s metropolitan level. Consequently, metropolitan areas cannot be compared well in a quantitative way which 35Eurostat is the statistical office of the European Union. Eurostat provides the European Union statistics at European level that enables to make comparisons between countries and regions. At the regional level Eurostat set up the NUTS classification in order to produce regional statistics. The NUTS regulation defines minimum and maximum population thresholds for the size of the three NUTS regions. 36OECD (2006) ‘Competitive Cities in a Global Economy’, Paris, p.80 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas limits the scope of what can be learned from an international comparison of metropolitan areas across countries. To compare metropolitan areas only on the basis of some basic quantitative data – added with qualitative data - is not sufficient. This often leads to so-called ‘ranking lists’ research - with London, Paris and Frankfurt often high ranked. These lists are lacking – if any – reliable explanations for the underlying mechanism. In the knowledge and research agenda the lack of adequate data - to make comparisons between metropolitan regions possible - will be one of the topics. An interesting development in this respect is that some national planning bureaus have developed – or are in the process of developing - their own ‘Europe-covering’ database. Some of these databases may contain useful data on the level of metropolitan areas. In Europe there is not a comprehensive database for cities and this makes it difficult to do comparative research among European cities. In the USA there is a database which enables scientists and policy makers to compare and analyze different cities with each other. The collection of statistical data at the level of European metropolitan areas – in order to acquire knowledge of their economic structure – is problematic. Although there is data available for Member States of the EU (e.g. database Eurostat), there is a lack of data at the level of metropolitan areas since they are in-between the national and local level, and even the formal regional boundaries do not suit the daily urban systems of metropolitan areas. These areas, which are defined functionally and technically, only coincidentally correspond to existing administrative or census boundaries. The lack of data at the metropolitan level limits the ability to compare cities with each other. There is not one general definition of a city or metropolitan area either. Sometimes re- 50 Table 2 Explanation of the case selection of four European metropolitan areas Munich Innovation and knowledge driven economy – German cities, together with the larger Polish cities, survived the recent financial crisis without too much damage (Brookings Institute and LSE Cities, 2010). The German metropolitan areas are often seen as ‘innovative hotspots’ with strong traditional sectors (as for example the automotive branch) and new economic sectors (such as high-tech clusters as nanotechnology and bioscience). Munich is selected as case study in order to define the secrets behind its outstanding economic performance and its strongly driven knowledge economy. Madrid Labour market and education – In the southern European countries the percentages of unemployment are high; especially amongst youth and migrants. Many cities in Greece, Italia, Spain and Portugal have a weak competitiveness position due to high percentages of unemployment and local economic downturn. Madrid is one of these cities dealing with a problematic labour market situation – a high percentage of unemployment – and declining economic growth. Poznan Entrepreneurial economy – Despite the financial crisis the economic figures have shown an economic growth for the larger Polish cities. Poznan, one of these strongly growing metropolitan areas in Poland besides Krakow and Warsaw, is therefore selected as case study. Poland quickly transformed from a socialist planned economy towards a more capitalist economy. Poznan is an interesting case study due to its entrepreneurial economy and the role of entrepreneurs (SMEs) within this urban economy. How do the new entrepreneurial economies of Polish cities actually function? Bucharest Modernisation and adaption– Romania is one of the newest EU Member States and is currently transforming from an industrial-based economy to a more service-based and quaternary-based economy. But how does this transformation process take place? What is the new economic focus of Bucharest’s metropolitan area? The case study analyses how the capital city is transforming from a communist planned economy towards a market-driven economy. searchers are using data on city-level while for other indicators the data is only available for the administrative borders of the regions. With as a result that data on metropolitan areas have no relation with the actual daily urban systems of these regions. The area of institutions is perhaps the most complex and least well-explored aspect in the explanation of regional economic development. According to Djankov (et al., 2003) it is easier to analyze comparative national growth processes, because national boundaries describe relatively distinct institutional structures and national data on politics and legal structures, as well as international survey data, allow for comparison. For the metropolitan scale these data are rather limited.37 To conclude, the question which met- ropolitan areas will be subject of analysis and advise will not be answered now. It may differ by theme, dependent on whether the issues at hand are relevant in the respective metropolitan areas. Each metropolitan area is linked to one sub theme which makes it possible to analyse the themes in-depth. Table 2 discusses the case selection of four metropolitan areas across Europe: Munich, Bucharest, Madrid and Poznan. 37Storper, M. (2010) ‘Why Does a City Grow? Specialisation, Human Capital or Institutions?’, Urban Studies, 47 (10), pp. 2027-2050 51 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas 52 5. Case study Munich 5.1Introduction address the threats and challenges which the Munich metropolitan region is facing. In this case study the questions and opinions of urban practitioners and scientists are leading. The Munich Metropolitan Region (MMR) has been – from an economic point of view – very successful. Even during the financialand economic crisis, the MMR showed good economic figures and survived without any serious damages. What makes the MMR special and what explanations (e.g. specific policies, economic sectoral structure, geographic location etc.) may be given for its economic success? The City of Munich is placed high on the European urban competitive lists, but what is the story behind this? Besides, what are the prospects for further economic growth in the future and on what grounds are these prospects based? These questions will be at the centre of this case study. In line with EMI’s principle ‘research based, practice led’ also a few good practice examples will be described briefly to give further insights into the backgrounds of the economic vitality of MMR. 5.2 Economic vitality of Munich Table 3 shows some demographic and economic figures for the metropolitan region and city of Munich as well as for the state of Bavaria of which Munich is the capital. It can be observed that the region of Munich has a population of over 5,4 million. The city of Munich has over 1,3 million inhabitants which makes Munich the third largest city of Germany. Economically, Munich is one of the strongest performing cities in Germany. With a Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of 54.598 euro per capita it is even one of the leading cities in Europe. Between 2001 and 2009 the GDP of Munich increased sharply from 63.411 euro to a (estimated) GDP of 72.640 euro in 2009, an increase of almost 15 percent. This case study has been carried out by a combination of desk research and interviews with practitioners from the public and private sector in MMR. Also a roundtable discussion has been organised to - on the one hand – collect information and to discuss possible explanations for the current economic situation and – on the other hand – to Table 3 Export and foreign direct investments Traditionally, the urban economy of MMR is strongly export-driven. During the years from 2000 to 2008, Bavaria’s export went up by about 75 percent; from 90 billion to Some demographic and economic figures, Munich 200938 Area Population GDP in €M GDP per capita in € Bavaria 12 510 331 429 862 34 361 MMR 5 382 651 218 282 40 482 City of Munich 1 330 440 72 640 54 598 1 324 286 52 020 39 282 Periphery 53 38City of Munich (2010) ’Munich. The Business Location. Facts and Figures 2010’, Department of Labor and Economic Development. A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas nearly 156 billion euro. But in 2009, the global economic crisis triggered a sharp slump in Bavarian export by 20 percent. The enlargement of the EU proved to be the driver of Bavaria’s export business with the countries of Central and Eastern Europe. Bavarian exports to the new EU Member States have nearly doubled just in the period from the EU enlargement to the East in 2004 to the global economic crisis in 2008. Many foreign companies have either their German or European headquarter in MMR or are represented there. About 90 large companies are headquartered in the city of Munich, which is the home of global players like Allianz, BMW, Infineon, MAN, Siemens, Microsoft Germany and many others. Innovation and research and development (R&D) The city of Munich is considered as an ‘innovation hotspot’. The city is an important centre of modern industries such as information and communication industry, media and finance. The number of employees working in research & development (R&D) in the MMR is very high with a proportion of about 3.3 percent of employees in R&D. Munich is only topped by the region of Stuttgart with 3.4 percent. The same is true for the expenditures on R&D in relation to GDP. Only the enterprises of the region of Stuttgart invest more in R&D than the enterprises in the MMR which invested over 4 percent of the GDP. 39German Patent and Trade Mark Office, ‘Annual Report 2009’. 40City of Munich (2011) ‘Munich. The Business Location. Facts & Figures 2011’, Department of Labor and Economic Development. A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas In the year 2009, German companies and inventors filed almost 48 thousand patent applications. With 32,5 percent of the applications, Baden-Wurttemberg again came top and was able to extend its overall lead. It is followed by Bavaria – that had occupied the top position from 1996-2006 – with 12.641 applications (26,4 percent of the total).39 By analysing the number of applications in relation to the size of the population, Bavaria filed 101 applications per 100 thousand inhabitants. This is much more than the average amount of 58 patents for each German Lander. Standard of living The Munich Metropolitan Region has a high standard of living. On the one hand, this can be observed from an economic point of view as the city of Munich as well as the MMR have a high GDP per capita (see Table 3). In addition, Munich has the highest purchasing power rate of Germany (24.879 euro)40. This is considerably higher than - for example Frankfurt (almost 22 thousand euro), Stuttgart (21 thousand euro) and Hamburg (20 thousand euro). The high standard of living in MMR can also be observed by looking at more qualitative aspects. For example, the green and relatively clean environment, the location between the Danube and the Alps and the relatively new density of housing all contribute to a high standard of living. Due to the general situation on the labour market and the magnetic attractiveness which leads to a high influx of workers, the social situation of immigrants is much better than in other European cities. The city of Munich has the reputation for being one of the safest big cities in Germany and in Europe. Despite the fact that Munich has one of the highest proportions of immigrants in Germany and social inequalities exist, Munich has so far rarely seen significant social unrest. 54 Figure 2 Emplyment growth in selected growth sectors in Munich in the period 2007-2009 Employment and unemployment 42 4,7 percent. The unemployment rate in Munich is also lower than the unemployment rates in nearby cities such as Nurnberg (6 percent) and Stuttgart (5,6 percent). Munich presents itself as an attractive ‘employment centre’ with a varied supply of high- and low skilled jobs. Figure 2 envisions the employment growth in five selected growth sectors in Munich in the period 2007-2009. The employment growth in the ‘health services’ is striking with almost 4 thousand extra jobs in two years. Also ‘education and teaching’ envisions an employment growth what can be explained by Munich’s function as an innovation and knowledge city.41 Figure 2 also envisions the high contribution of ‘finance and insurance services’ to Munich as employment centre. Next to Frankfurt, Munich seems to be an important financial centre as well. Figure 2 Employment growth in selected growth sectors in Munich in the period 2007-200942 Table 4 Unemployment rates, Germany, Bavaria, Munich 2008-2010 (in %)43 Region of Munich 2008 2009 2010 Germany 7,8 8,2 7,7 Bavaria 4,2 4,8 4,5 City of Munich 4,4 5,0 4,7 41Munich as an innovation and knowledge city will be discussed in section 2.3 The city of Munich has a low unemployment rate in comparison to other German cities. For example, in 2010 the unemployment rates in Berlin and Hamburg were respectively 13,5 percent and 8,2 percent whereas in Munich the unemployment rate was only 42City of Munich (2011) ‘Munich. The Business Location 2011. Fact and Figures 2011’, Department of Labor and Economic Development. 43City of Munich (2010) ‘Munich. The Business Location. Facts and Figures 2010’, Department of Labor and Economic Development. 55 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas Explanations Although the number of economic indicators described in this study is limited and no strong conclusions can be drawn, many agree that MMR is an economically vital region which has even more potential for the future. From literature three explanations for the economic prosperity in the city of Munich and its surrounding metropolitan area can be given: innovation- and knowledge city, the so-called ‘Munich Mix’ and ‘institutional thickness’. Innovation and knowledge city Economic power is concentrated in MMR. Munich’s importance as a knowledge region is based on two pillars: the concentration of public and private research institutions - after World War II – and a developed brand of a high emerging technology and innovation. Furthermore, Munich’s main resource is human capital and as a capital city of Bavaria State and former kingdom, it has developed historically some central functions and cultural heritage. The economic success of Munich is directly related to a strong innovation system. The city of Munich is well ahead on critical hightech innovation such as biotech, ICT and clean-tech activities.44 The innovation system is – to a great extent - underpinned by factors such as a high human capital and a substantial mass of public research activity. With 16 universities and colleges, Munich 44LSE Report, 2010. 45City of Munich (2005) ‘Munich – City of Knowledge’, Department of Labor and Economic Development. 46City of Munich (2005) ‘Munich – City of Knowledge’, Department of Labor and Economic Development. A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas and its surrounding metropolitan region represents one of Germany’s leading centres of higher education. Together with the numerous non-university research institutions, scientific institutes, private-sector research undertakings, museums and libraries, the knowledge infrastructure is exceptional. These institutions collectively form a stable, growth-oriented knowledge cluster.45 With 16 universities and colleges, Munich and its surrounding metropolitan region represents one of Germany’s leading centres of higher education. Together with the numerous nonuniversity research institutions, scientific institutes, private-sector research undertakings, museums and libraries, the knowledge infrastructure is exceptional. These institutions collectively form a stable, growth-oriented knowledge cluster.46 The ‘Munich Mix’ One other prominent explanatory factor behind MMR’s economic success is the so called ‘Munich Mix’: a very diverse industrial structure which covers a range of sectors, global players and SMEs. The advantage of the ‘Munich Mix’ is the diversity of its economic base. This ‘resilience’ is impressive, which could be experienced particularly during the financial and economic crisis following the year 2008 onwards. MMR has more than one pole of development, which is especially of importance during economic downturns. The diversity of economic output makes the region stronger. The MMR economy is characterised by strong (international) companies such as Audi AG and BMW who provide jobs for more than 30 thousand high skilled workers. But there is more than only the automotive industry. For example, there are also major enterprises in other economic branches with important (inter)national headquarters in 56 Munich such as insurance company Allianz and engineering company Siemens AG. ments in place, and in addition can profit from Bavaria’s overall interconnectedness of interests. However, it is often asserted that ‘institutional thickness’ can be extremely helpful to the economic development of a metropolitan area, but only under the right circumstances.49 So what has made the difference in Munich? According to the LSE report (2010, p. 9) the following key ingredients have made the difference in Munich: -- Political stability: Despite the fact that the political colour of the State of Bavaria (conservative) differs from the City of Munich (social-democrats-green party coalition) there is a certain amount of political stability in the region. This can be caused by Munich’s economic prosperity which give not any reason for political unrest; -- Strong interventionist tradition and strong technology-led development by the City of Munich and the Bavarian State; -- Critical mass: city of Munich has a rich mix of high-value economic activity, high-quality universities and a network of public research intermediaries, focused on both blue-skies and applied research; -- Connected elites: There are multiple connections between heads of the business, university and public research communities. They repeatedly use their influence to promote Munich’s wider standing. The concept of ‘triple helix’ seems to have a positive influence on Munich’s branding as economic and innovative centre of Europe. There are almost 650 thousand medium-sized businesses in Bavaria, forming the backbone of the state’s economy. Together they account for more than 41 percent of the total turnover and more than 50 percent of the total investments in Bavaria. 75 percent of the employees and 83 percent of the trainees are employed by small and medium-sized companies. A major role is played here by the more than 175 thousand skilled crafts and trades firms of Bavaria which employ almost 900 thousand people. Medium-sized businesses are represented in many sectors, occupy market niches, and are especially strong on innovation.47 Their diversity and flexibility mean that they can respond quickly to new developments on the market and make good use of opportunities for the future. The number of people in Bavaria who are self-employed and who found new business is above the national average. Bavaria is at the head of the national start-up statistics. In this way new jobs with a secure future are created, particularly in the high-tech field, in the new media, in ecology and in the health sector. ‘Institutional thickness’ The London School of Economics (LSE) defines ‘institutional thickness’ as a highly interactive mix of private, public and researchoriented actors that induce economic growth. The economic geographers Ash Amin and Nigel Thrift refer – as for ‘institutional thickness’ - to the ‘ensemble of local social and cultural conditions conducive to economic growth’.48 The key elements are: strong institutions, high levels of interaction, a sense of common purpose and co-ordinating activity. The city of Munich has all of these ele- 47Bavarian Ministry of Economic Affairs, Infrastructure, Transport and Technology (2011) ‘Initiative for Medium-Sized Businesses’. 48See LSE (2010) and Amin and Thrift (2001). 49For example, in other German regions, the RheineRuhr region for example, ‘institutional thickness’ has been obstructed innovation (see LSE 2010). 57 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas Combined these four factors have helped Munich and its metropolitan area to become a powerful policymaking machine that is characterized by strong and stable public institutions, productive public-private relationships, a commitment to technology and a common purpose and flexibility. However, it is not completely clear how ‘institutional thickness’ works. For example, questions that remain open are how the informal way of doing business works and how the collaboration contributes to the economic vitality of the Munich Metropolitan Region. Also, it is not determined yet to which extent - in terms of ambitions/challenges, scale and duration - the collaboration is effective. 5.3 Insights from practice This paragraph presents the main outcomes of the interviews and the roundtable discussion, both carried out and held in Munich. The session - attended by public and private stakeholders/professionals operating in the Munich Metropolitan Region, with different backgrounds and responsibilities - was hosted by EMI in collaboration with the Technical University of Munich (TUM). The main objective of the interviews and the roundtable discussion was to address the threats and the challenges related to the economic vitality of the MMR and to discuss a variety of issues from different perspectives (private, public and scientific). Obviously, also the knowledge- and research questions that are of particular importance for Munich and its metropolitan area were discussed extensively. Discussion To get an idea of what kind of research- and knowledge needs there are in the Munich Metropolitan Region, the participants of the A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas regional roundtable in Munich were confronted with the question what their strongest irritations were about Munich. The answers varied considerably: -- Munich is not open-minded enough; -- The costs of housing in the city of Munich are (too) high; -- A critical approach is not appreciated; -- A rapid train connection between the City of Munich and the international airport is missing. The potential of the corridor airport-city is neglected; -- There is a deficit in the use of innovation network structures (like ‘Wiki’, forums, electronic platforms); -- The need for collaboration among communities is evident. Nevertheless, there is competition between municipalities and territorial organizations; -- The ‘heart’ of the city is still facing southwards towards the Alps, but the mindset (economic connections) is heading northwards. During the roundtable discussion, the participants were asked how they would spend 50 million euro on policy measures to strengthen the economic competitiveness of the region. Some of the participants decided to invest the money in improving the cooperation between the cities within the broader region. Others decided to invest in improving the infrastructure within the region, thereby acknowledging that 50 million euro is not enough to make any difference. Other ideas and suggestions were related to the ‘mentality’ of Munich. The city is highly self-centred and not really open-minded. By spending the money on developing and reinforcing networks, new platforms may arise where people - from various backgrounds and professions - can exchange ideas to create new opportunities for (knowledge) spill-overs and innovative 58 Table 5 Overview of strong and weak point Strong points Weak points A powerful knowledge economy driven by innovation Migration of high skilled workers to other regions mismatch between demand and supply of high skilled workers (low level of education of young migrants – migrants high % of population. Economy is strongly depending on human capital (which might be a threat on the longer term) Major incentives by the State of Bavaria (political stability) Conflicting institutional interests of municipalities within A diversity of economic sectors, global players and the presence of many SMEs (Munich mix) Mismatch between labour demand and vocational education (lack of knowledge workers on the longer term) Quality of life: green and high quality of the environment Inadequate infrastructure system (bad connection between city of Munich and Airport or to neighbour regions Stuttgart, Zurich, Vienna) Traditional strong ‘Brand’ of Munich Demographic changes, increasing social inequalities External and unforeseen factors as the Unification, The Olympic Games, institutional thickness Saturation/ lack of a sense of urgency Integrated urban development planning strategy ‘Perspective Munich’ High pressure on the land causes rising housing rents and real estate prices, high land prices, mismatch between urban planning principles the Munich Metropolitan Region.51 incentives. This is likely to result in fruitful cooperation between the international orientated multinationals and the SMEs within the region. Regarding the current economic position of Munich within Germany and Europe, (maintaining) human capital is one of the most daring challenges for the Munich region. Invest in (vocational) education was one of the ideas to keep the talent in Munich. Also improving the accessibility of the labour market for immigrants (especially Turkish) and offering them a variety of opportunities was mentioned. In order to define a common goal for socioeconomic development of the MMR, the suggestion was done to participate in a benchmark award called ‘most admired knowledge region’. 50Sources: in-depth interviews with key-actors, roundtable discussion (including Professor’s Thierstein scientific review in appendix two), desk research. 51Bavaria’s planning regions operate between the district and the county level. Municipalities are relatively autonomous, particularly when it comes to planning and delivering public services. The system in Germany gives municipalities relatively much freedom to develop their own economic infrastructure, like industrial parks and retail centers. Despite this freedom of act, local authorities have to take into account the plans of higher authorities. It means that municipalities, like Munich, should obey the planning guidelines defined by the regional planning authorities, the development program of the State of Bavaria and the federal government’s spatial principles. Another aspect of the administrative structure is Strong and weak points that municipalities, due to the unique German-tax Based on the regional roundtable discussion, an overview of elements is given which makes the Munich Metropolitan region economically strong (or weak).50 Table 5 assesses the strengths and weaknesses of system, have the possibility to develop commercial and industrial areas. Municipalities will benefit from strong incentives to develop such sites, because of the trade-tax. The city of Munich is one of those cities that is highly dependent on trade. 59 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas MMR urban economy. Based on this overview the conclusion can be drawn that MMR seems to be able to anticipate to certain economic changes and find new opportunities to be a part of the economy even when this brings less economic security. Exploring new opportunities might be one of the major economic challenges. The roadmap towards sustainable economic success is depending on the strength of innovation which relies on the presence of a critical mass of R&D. Practice examples Practice examples originating from similar situations, cities or countries are becoming increasingly important as input for policy recommendations. As Professor Paul Cheshire from the London School of Economics states it “Because there is a need for careful analysis and evidence-sifting before we impose supposed cures for perceived urban ills ...it is increasingly important to have knowledge of bad and best practises to judge empirically if policies have effects and fulfilled the targeted objectives”.52 Following this recommendation, some of the success factors behind the economic prosperity of the Munich Metropolitan 52P.C. Cheshire (2006), Resurgent Cities, Urban Myths and Policy Hubris: What We Need to Know, Urban Studies, Vol.43, No.8, pp. 1231-1246, July 2006. 53These examples were collected during the interviews and the roundtable discussion as well as by desk research. 54City of Munich (2010) ‘Munich. The Business Location. Facts & Figures 2010’, Department of Labor and Economic Development. 55Bavarian Ministry of Economic Affairs, Infrastructure, Transport and Technology (2010) region will be discussed (on the basis of practice examples).53 Powerful knowledge environment The most powerful incentives for economic strength and growth are knowledge and innovation. Creating the right circumstances and conditions to achieve both is crucial. In Munich and its surrounding metropolitan area this has been done successfully as can be seen via: -- The presence of several (international operating) public and private research institutes which make the Munich Metropolitan Region a centre of knowledge;54 In Munich, education and training is not only a public task of the city; -- Various incentives that undisputedly contributes to the development of new products. The automotive, the biotechnology and the ICT are the main important economic innovations clusters. Investing in high technology not only requires knowledge and manufacturing (by migration of high skill workers) but also feeds the supply chain industry with new challenges and opportunities. The State of Bavaria undisputedly played an important role in creating the right conditions for research- and knowledge institutes to flourish. For example, the State of Bavaria can be seen as the main factor behind what has become an important and economically strong cluster in the metropolitan region of Munich: Biotechnology. Through an international tender the State of Bavaria invited companies (large, medium and small) to start or move their activities to the region of Munich.55 ‘Invest in Bavaria. First in Biotech’. 56City of Munich (2005), ‘Munich – City of Knowledge’, Department of Labor and Economic Development. A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas In 2005 the City of Munich defined an action plan for the future development of Munich as a city of knowledge.56 The action points 60 are focused on: -- supporting growth industries, which implies getting young and innovative firms to settle in the region as driving forces of regional economic development; -- attracting and keeping talented people in Munich Metropolitan Region, for example by giving more attention to students as a group of the municipal population; -- supporting the generation of new knowledge, for example by accompanying the application of knowledge across the full chain of utilization. clustering of high-value activity in the metropolitan area. The innovation policy of the State of Bavaria is focused on 19 clusters. In 2012 the cluster policy will be evaluated and some changes will be made (if necessary). It is their objective to create a ‘corporate density’ by stimulating co-operation between research institutes, business and public institutions (triple helix). State of Bavaria gives subsidies for technological development. Exports form traditionally an important pillar for the Bavarian industry. They make a substantial contribution to both economic growth and jobs. For Bavaria, foreign trade policy largely means an SME policy designed to compensate for the sizerelated disadvantages experienced by small and medium-sized enterprises.58 The state’s policy towards medium-sized businesses is specifically geared to supporting their growth.59 To encourage investment in medium-sized companies, Bavaria has a programme of loans for medium-sized firms with attractive financial offers, for example to stimulate start-ups. According to the Economic diversity Despite the fact that the federal government indirectly supported the automotive industry during the economic crisis and thanks to some labour measures, the MMR survived the crisis successfully mainly by its economic diversity. Munich has more than one pole of development which is especially importance during economic downturns. The diversity of economic output and acting on a global scale makes the region stronger. In addition, the number and growth of Small Medium Enterprises (SMEs) operating in the surrounding area of the city of Munich, provide the capital city of Bavaria economic strength and stability. Due to innovation, the variety of manufactures and the demands for supplies and knowledge on different topics (ICT, biotechnology and food), the economy emerges rapidly and still there is no horizon appearing for starting up new SMEs. 57Bavarian Ministry for Economic Affairs, Infrastructure, Transport and Technology (2011) ‘Bavaria’s Industry Cluster Initiative’ (www.bavaria.org/industry_clusters.php) 58Bavarian Ministry of Economic Affairs, Infrastructure, Transport and Technology (2007) ‘Successful abroad; the foreign trade services offered by the State of Bavaria’. 59In Perspective Munich, a leading document for The State of Bavaria encourages - through incentives – the development of life sciences, information technology and green technology.57 The State has led the process of promoting innovation and stimulating a long-term growth. The economic development activities of the State disproportionately affect Munich, because of the spatial the City of Munich defined by the Department of Urban Planning and Building Regulation, it is stated that the diversity of the economy must be maintained and developed especially by promoting and stimulating new sectors of the economy. In this context, particular priority is given to SMEs in the craft trade sector, as well as to high-tech enterprises with future potential. 61 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas Figure 9 Headquarter of BMW in Munich Source: Shutterstock 96505379 State of Bavaria, the policy has resulted in more than 47 thousand new jobs being created in Bavaria. The technology transfer of the universities and research facilities in Bavaria encourages more innovations by medium-sized businesses. In addition, the Bavarian ‘cluster initiative’ for networks between research and businesses throughout the state is specifically tailored to mediumsized companies. To allow more scope for independent activity by medium-sized firms, 60Bavarian Ministry for Economic Affairs, Infrastructure, Transport and Technology (2011) ‘Bavaria’s Industry Cluster Initiative (www.bavaria.org/industry_clusters.php) A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas Bavaria is aiming at less bureaucracy and fewer regulations. In this way new ideas can be put into practice quickly and simply.60 The brand ‘Munich’ Several organisations have been investing in - and selling - the brand called ‘Munich’. This started in 1972 with the Olympic Games. Due to this major sporting event Munich placed itself into the international spotlight. With the unification in the early nineties, Munich developed itself further to an important centre of economic vitality in Germany and started playing a significant role in the European economy. During the past 40 years the City of Munich became a brand for economic success. In a monocentric eco- 62 nomic environment the city of Munich plays a dominant role, but there is a significant change - or call it mentality-shift - going on. Efforts are being undertaken to develop the surrounding cities (Ingolstadt, Augsburg, Landshut, Rosenheim) of Munich to make them attractive for investments. The brand Munich - a combination of various economic opportunities, good public-, social-, educational- cultural- and sports facilities and events (such as FC Bayern and Oktoberfest), a green and clean environment, a relatively good infrastructure of accessibility and mobility - expands to the whole metropolitan region and reinforces its economic strength. clearly visible to a wide extent externally.62 Although MMR tries to stimulate regional cooperation between the City of Munich and the surrounding cities and the rural areas in the region, it is not always easy. This can be explained by the competitiveness about issues such as company, people, capital, land and trade tax. In an evaluation of Perspective Munich in 2007, the researchers stated that two principles of the strategy were not (yet) being sufficiently implemented or achieved; (1) improvement of co-operation in the region and the enhancement of the competitiveness of the economic area and (2) developing ecological standard and safeguarding national resources.63 With regard to the general goal of countering urban sprawl, the former of the two principles are obviously very much dependent upon the cooperation with neighbouring communities of Munich in order to achieve a significant diminishing in the consumption of surface and land. Based on this evaluation report, regional cooperation within the Munich Metropolitan Region can be considered as one of the main challenges for the future urban and economic growth of Munich. Munich’s Triple helix Due to Munich’s institutional thickness there are close and intensive collaborations between the private partners, public institutions and universities/research institutions. In other words, the ‘triple helix’ seems to be fruitful within the Munich Metropolitan Region. For example, the Chamber of Commerce of Munich, in cooperation with universities, is investing in ‘re-training’ programs. Regional Cooperation The Association called ‘Munich Metropolitan Region’ (MMR) plays an important role in reinforcing the Munich brand and to achieve a common mentality to establish - on a metropolitan level - an attractive region for investing, working, living, commuting and recreation.61 MMR is an open and interdisciplinary discussion and cooperation platform. Under the MMR’s leadership actors from the worlds of the economy, science, politics and society, get together in order to work together - voluntarily but bindingly – to attain a positive development within the MMR. A central goal is to network the Munich Metropolitan Region internally and make it 61Munich Metropol Region (MMR) (2008) ‘The economic location. Munich Metropolitan Region’, p. 6. 62See Appendix 2: ‘Scientific Review Thierstein’, review written on the outcome of the roundtable discussion held in Munich the 30th of March. 63Thierstein, A. and S. Reiss-Schmidt ‘Urban Development Management in Munich, Germany’, ISOCARP Congress 2008, Dalian/China. 63 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas 5.4 Munich, a glimpse in the future Does MMR have the strength and the possibilities to maintain its current economic position? If the current economic situation of MMR is analysed, there seem to be - in the short term - no major significant problems which may affect the economic growth dramatically. On the contrary, a recent publication shows that until 2014 more than 420 thousand professionals on the labour market are needed to fill the open vacancies.64 Even a light economic decline in the coming years does not seem to affect the demand for labour. A forecast shows that until 2022 620 thousand highly qualified workers are needed. For example, Audi, one of the global automotive enterprises in the Munich Metropolitan Region, needs 2 thousand extra highly skilled workers for the coming years to maintain its innovation strength. A brain gain is needed to establish a high level of powerful knowledge and innovation. SMEs carrying out R&D are mainly found in new dynamic sectors such as biotechnology, environmental technologies, automotive industries and medical technology.65 The ‘Zukunftsrat’ The State of Bavaria is aware of the fact that the economic strength of the metropolitan region of Munich is not a given fact. 64Bayerschen IHK (2011), Fachkräftemonitor Bayern, Without specific (policy) measures there is always the danger that the metropolitan region will lose its current strong economic position. To address the threats and the challenges of Munich Metropolitan Region and to develop a strategy for the future, the State of Bavaria installed the ‘Zukunftsrat’. The ‘Zukunftsrat’ defined three scenario’s for regional development to reinforce the economic competitiveness of Bavaria:66 -- Focus purely on one Megacity (Bayern becomes Munich); -- Networking of existing centres (integration and expansion); -- Focus purely on rural areas/equivalent lively hoods. Based on criteria as competitiveness, quality of life and environmental sustainability, the ‘Zukunftsrat’ chose the second scenario as the most optimal strategy for a sustainable development. In other words, the scenario implicates to reinforce the connection between Munich and the surrounding cities and due to this bond, the cities become powerful (economic) centres. The ‘Zukunftsrat’ stressed that it must be insured that cities keep on pace with the economic size of Munich and closely intertwined with the surrounding rural area. According to the advisory committee of the State of Bavaria the Munich Metropolitan Region should be developing from a monocentric to a polycentric area in order to create the best circumstances for enhancing the economic vitality of the region. March 2011. 65Duell, N. (2006) ‘Ideopolis: Knowledge City Region. Munich Case Study’, p. 15 66During the roundtable discussion it became clear that the results of the ‘Zukunftsrat’ were received very critically. Until now it is not clear yet what will be done with the recommendations made in the report. A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas The ‘Zukunftsrat’ emphasized a strategy that surrounding cities (like Augsburg, Ingolstadt) play a key role in strengthen the competitiveness of the region. From a monocentric metropolitan region (with Munich as the dominant city) the region should develop to a polycentric metropolitan 64 area (with economic corridors between the cities). By connecting these centres and to reinforce integration and allow expansion (holding suburbanisation along the highways) the area will operate as one (re-concentrating) economic region. some other possible obstacles to a continuing economic growth. For example, despite the presence of ‘institutional thickness’ – and its seemingly positive effects on the economy - its power is limited when investments are needed in enhancing the infrastructure and transportation in the MMR. In terms of infrastructure and transportation the MMR seems not to invest enough in its north-east corridor that links the city with the international airport. The absence of a direct high-speed train (the ICE) connection, that links the city with the airport, may become - on the supra regional level – an important obstacle for future development. According to the ‘Zukunftsrat’ the State of Bavaria policy should follow a basic principle that every citizen of Bavaria spends no more than 60 minutes travelling time between home and labour, in order to contribute to and participate in the prosperity of the centre in which they live. The Zukunftrat is aiming for a dynamic daily-urban–system which operates on a metropolitan scale and contributes to strengthen the economic growth of the MMR. Figure 10 Airport of Munich Challenges Munich’s main challenge is to maintain its economic position in the long run. What needs to be done to stay in the European frontrunners group? First of all the city of Munich has to deal with the adverse consequences of its economic growth as discussed in the previous paragraph. The lack of housing – in quantitative and qualitative terms - is a major challenge for Munich. The city of Munich needs to cooperate with the surrounding neighbourhoods to prevent urban sprawl and to realise a more sustainable growth of the broader region. The high costs of living can also cause social inequalities within the city. What will happen if the poor people cannot move away, and are forced to stay in the city, while the rich people can chose for greener, saver and quiet suburbs? The economic pressure on the city can cause tensions between the different income groups. Coordinated infrastructure investments Besides a necessary ‘brain gain’ there are Source: Shutterstock 78041065 65 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas This is particularly worrisome because of Europe’s thrive for linking the main economic hubs via a high-speed train. From the positive side however, the state of Bavaria considers public transport in the Munich Metropolitan Region a major issue. If infrastructure within the Munich Metropolitan Region will not be improved, the pressure on the city will be too high, especially on the longer term. To maintain the attractive character of Munich, with green spaces and cultural amenities, an organic growth of the city is desirable. Maintain Munich’s economic position To keep Munich in its position as a leading economic metropolitan region and maintain its attractiveness for foreign direct investments, it needs to keep an eye on innovation and networking to proceed and reinforce the typical “Munich Mix”. More emphasis has to be put on the establishment of ‘communities of practice’ as well as of ‘communities of knowledge’. Investing in education and interaction between different cultures is important to attach human capital – the talents – to the city. On top, Munich should tap much more the brain pool and the capacity of the second generation of immigrants, for example people with Turkish background. Well-qualified people have started migrating back to their country of origin. There seem to be better outlooks for 67Another challenge is to make more use of female employees by offering more facilities for crèches and/or kindergarten. Nowadays, most mothers are working part-time. 68For example, a mid-term evaluation of Perspective Munich in 2007 stated co-operation in the region needs to be improved to, among other things, enhance the competitiveness of the economic professional careers and more tolerance within society. Thus brain gain not “brain drain” is one of Munich’s key challenges in order to being a global location in business as well as in scientific research and development.67 Improve regional cooperation Another observation that can be made in the case of Munich is the lack of economic cooperation between the municipalities in Munich’s Metropolitan Region.68 The traditional borders of the city of Munich do not fit with the ‘daily urban systems’ of people and business in the broader metropolitan area. There is no formal governmental authority whereas informal economic cooperation is also missing. As long as the economy is doing well, there is not much urgency for the municipalities to start economic cooperation. However, informal cooperation initiatives (such as the MMR-association) can be of significant added-value for the region. Inner-regional competition is a risk for the future economic growth of the Munich Metropolitan Region. In particular, in the case of industrial development areas and out-of town shopping complexes, the competition between local authorities is often counter-productive to the interests of the region as a whole. At the same time, the City of Munich is becoming more and more closely integrated with its surrounding areas to form a single, functional residential and economic unit. The process of establishing a shared identity between Munich, Augsburg, Ingolstadt must be actively pursued. Efforts must be made to cooperate closely with business associations, Chambers of Commerce and trade unions in all corresponding activities and aspects of concept design. area. A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas 66 Due to the positive economic performance, there is a lack of urgency for economic cooperation between the municipalities in the Munich Metropolitan Region. It is a challenge to define a so-called ‘win-win’ situation that stimulates economic cooperation between the municipalities. It is questionable, to what extent cooperation is required in order to stimulate the urban competitiveness of the region, and to what extent is competition not any problem. The association of MMR tries to stimulate cooperation between municipalities in the region, but this institute has not (yet) the formal power to force the municipalities. However, starting with more voluntary, informal, collaborations might be a good step in the right direction. to live in a green environment with low housing density; -- The increase of the population may become even more worrisome when the trend towards smaller households is taken into consideration. There is a lack of space within the city of Munich and there are only limited possibilities with regard to urban development (vertical and horizontal). This development makes it (more) difficult to maintain the high quality of environment in Munich; -- The population- and employment growth – and the related demand for space (for offices and for houses) – may result in rising land prices and, consequently, in rising real estate prices and/or higher housing rents. Munich may become too expensive for lower income groups (and causing increasing poverty, an increase of social inequalities and an increasing income gap between low and high skilled workers); -- When the supply of housing will not keep pace with the growing demand and housing becomes too expensive, people are forced to move to the cheaper surrounding areas of Munich. This causes a larger distance between home and work which increases more commuting and traffic which leads to an increase load on public transport. Caused by a lack of a metropolitan government authority, there is not any policy yet to deal with the expansion of the daily urban system. There is a chance that Munich will grow in a highly unsustainable way, with strong commuting patterns between the city and the surrounding municipalities. Adverse effects of economic growth Economic growth is often seen as positive in the sense that it – for example - creates employment and attracts foreign direct investments. However, also the possible adverse effects of economic growth need some attention. Some of these adverse effects are already appearing on the surface and when no policy is developed the effects may cumulate to – for example – an increase of unemployment, social inequality or migration of highly skilled workers towards other regions in Europe. Perhaps the main risk factor – linked to the economic growth – is the high population (and employment) growth. Although an increasing number of inhabitants is not by definition negative, some unwanted developments may be related to it. For example: -- Due to a greater demand for (highly skilled) workers and a substantial growth of new SMEs, an increasing number of people may move towards Munich which leads to increasing use of space in the city region. This may contradict with the desire of many highly skilled workers In Munich there is already awareness of the possible adverse effects of the economic growth. For example, in the 5th housing program the municipality is taking the problems 67 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas - such as lack of social housing, rising prices of living etc. - into account. However, some important questions remain to be answered, such as: What are the instruments the municipality of Munich may use to deal with these adverse consequences of growth? Which policy actions is the city of Munich taking to deal with the adverse consequences of economic growth? Is the 5th housing program sufficient or does the city of Munich need to take other policy actions as well? 5.5Conclusions Munich and its surrounding metropolitan area are economically vital and its economic prospects look good. The city- and the metropolitan region of Munich are innovation hotspots. Two – interrelated – types of explanations for the economic success of MMR can be given: -- The Munich mix: i.e. its economic diversity and strong firms, plus investments in infrastructure and human capital; -- Institutional thickness: i.e. an effective ‘active state’ and the right kind of institutional thickness, especially at State- and metropolitan region level. When the economic prospects for the future are taken into consideration, the general impression is that these look good. Nevertheless, Munich and its metropolitan region are facing numerous challenges. For example, improving the infrastructure of the North-East corridor or finding a balance between economic growth and a clean and green environment. For some of these - and other - challenges the route to achieve them is clear. For others new knowledge and research is essential. The economic policy of the State of Bavaria is strongly focused on clusters, especially high-tech clusters. Taken into account the high number of patent applications and a high amount of money spend in R&D, the cluster policy seems to be fruitful. For future research it is interesting to analyse the selection criteria of these clusters and the ‘tailor-made’ policies that the State of Bavaria defines for each specific cluster. Perhaps these tailor-made policies are the secret behind Munich’s economic success? 69Although it falls outside the scope of the ‘economic vitality’ research- and knowledge agenda, Thierstein and Reiss-Schmidt formulated two interesting research questions regarding landuse: (1) Which preconditions are necessary in decentralised federalist nation states in order to get a core city and its neighbouring suburbanised communities interested in a sustainable land use policy? (2) What win-win situations are conceivable that make autonomous municipalities deliberately give away some of their planning competencies in exchange for overall benefits of more sustainable land use? (see Thierstein, A. and S. Reiss-Schmidt ‘Urban Development Management in Munich, Germany’, ISOCARP Congress 2008, Dalian/China). A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas This case study leads to the following knowledge- and research questions:69 -- The economic resilience of the Munich Metropolitan Region is impressive. Munich survived the financial and economic crisis in 2008 without any serious damages so far. Because of the current EURO-crisis, the financial crisis is not endured definitely. One of the unique elements characterizing the city (and metropolitan region) – and contributing to its economic success of Munich – is the Munich Mix. Regarding to its success could there also be a ‘Madrid Mix’ or a ‘Bucharest Mix’ or etc.? 68 -- How should (inter)national networks operate to disseminate knowledgeenhancing innovation? -- Does another – or a new - spatial scale provide new and better economic opportunities? -- What are the right circumstances and conditions (governance, education, spatial, infra-structure) for a city (or metropolitan region) to achieve a ‘brain gain’? -- Why does ‘institutional thickness’ pay off in the Munich Metropolitan Region and which motives and/or (economic) circumstances have led/or leads to this informal collaboration between public and private partners? -- Formal politically binding at the metropolitan scale is not (yet) successful, within the metropolitan region of Munich. Nevertheless, the metropolitan region of Munich is characterized by high sustainable economic growth. This raises the question how a region can be economically attractive without a politically institutionalized regional association but with many informal networks, platforms and cooperation forms. 69 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas 70 6 Case study Madrid 6.1Introduction is mainly based on academic articles written by several academics of different universities in Madrid71 but also on reports written by private and international organizations. Besides desk-research, the case study is based on in-depth interviews with urban and economic experts in Madrid. The interviewees represent both the public and the private domain. The real estate bubble, together with the recent financial and economic crisis has meant that Spain has become an economically weak and vulnerable member of the European Union. This is especially evident when one looks at the unemployment percentages. These are, like in many other southern European countries, very high in Spain. Youth and migrants have especially been hit hard by the effects of the crisis. Madrid, the capital city of Spain, is one of those cities dealing with a problematic labour market situation; 40 per cent of the youth is currently unemployed. 6.2 Economic Vitality of Madrid Madrid is the biggest and most populated metropolitan area of Spain (see Table 6). Madrid’s population has grown substantially over recent years, particularly due to a high influx of foreigners. Foreign citizens currently account for around 18 per cent of the city’s total population. The largest group of immigrants originates from South American countries. Madrid’s metropolitan area can be easily separated into two parts: the more industrial/lower income per capita Southern and Eastern part and the more prosperous Western and Northern communes. The Madrid Metropolitan Area can be typified as a solar system including a huge city in its centre. The municipality of Madrid is the key actor in the politics of the area, in a con- Madrid is an interesting case study for EMI’s Economic Vitality Agenda given the stark change of situation it has undergone; the urban economy has been strongly affected by the recent financial and economic crisis whereas before it was seen as one of the promising growth poles within the European Union. Madrid is, with approximately 3.3 million inhabitants, by far the biggest city in Spain. The City of Madrid accounts for 51.2 percent of the population of the Autonomous Community of Madrid. This metropolitan area, with almost 6.5 million inhabitants, represents the third largest metropolitan area in Europe after Île-de-France and Greater London. This case study discusses, in the light of the current economic situation, the economic performance of the Madrid Metropolitan Area.70 Particular attention will be given to the question what the city of Madrid can do in response to the crisis and the huge problems of its labour market. 70The Madrid Metropolitan Area corresponds with the administrative boundaries (Autonomous Region of Madrid or Comunidad de Madrid). 71These articles, composed by José Luis García Delgado from the Complutense University of Madrid, are published in the book ‘Madrid, the Economy of a Global Region’. It was published by the ‘Comunidad de Madrid’ in 2009. Although the book was published just before Spain was hit by This case study is based on desk-research and in-depth interviews with key-actors in the Madrid Metropolitan Area. Desk-research the financial and economic crisis, the interviewees considered the articles as an important summary of Spain’s economy. 71 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas Table 6 Spanish Metropolitan Areas Metropolitan area Total population Number of municipalities Central city population (as % of total) Madrid 5.135.225 52 2.938.723 (57%) Barcelona 4.391.196 165 1.503.884 (34%) Valencia 1.359,743 45 738.441 (54%) Sevilla 1.160.241 24 684.633 (59%) Source: Ministry of Housing (2005) stant power struggle with the ‘autonomous community’.72 The tension between the two 72Spain is divided into 17 regions or ‘autonomous institutions is a structural condition, which cannot be mitigated by the fact that the same political party (the conservatives) has been governing the city and the region for over a decade. communities’ which have competences over a wide range of issues, including housing and urban Some economic facts and figures and spatial planning. In addition, Spain has more Until 2008 the Metropolitan Region of Madrid was one of the strongest economies within the European Union. The national economic growth at the start of the 21st century was exceptional and it turned the city of Madrid into the most dynamic region of Spain. If one thing is to characterise Madrid’s economy over the past few years it must be the strong, dynamic and sustained economic growth helping Madrid to become the leader of Spain’s economy and to become a member of select group of regions that enjoy the greatest economic development within the European Union.73 Madrid’s economic performance was impressive during the period 1990 to 2006, particularly between the years 1996 and 2006.74 Population, employment and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) rose substantially. Moreover, this growth was more robust than in Spain and West-Europe, and the Metropolitan Average.75 In terms of population growth (annually 2.1 per cent) and employment growth (annually 3.7 per cent), Madrid was one the best performing metropolitan regions in Europe.76 Thanks to the than 8 thousand municipalities. The ‘autonomous communities’ can choose to set up a metropolitan area. This is a voluntary mechanism in order to better structure its territory. The idea behind it is that co-ordinated action among municipalities leads to a more effective and efficient delivery of outputs, because these localities are interlinked. Very few ‘autonomous communities’ have set up a metropolitan area since the actors responsible to initiate the process have no incentives to do so, see EUKN (2010), Urban Development in Europe, A survey of National Approaches to Urban Policy in 15 EU Member States; see also C. Navarro (2010), Spanish metropolitan areas and the case of Madrid. 73José Luis García Delgado (2009), Madrid The Economy Of A Global Region. 74Madrid International Benchmarking rapport (2007). 75The Metropolitan Average is based on the economic figures of the following cities: London, Stockholm, Dublin, Helsinki, Munich, Boston, Stuttgart, Barcelona, Vienna, Rome, Frankfurt, Lisbon, Milan, Paris, Athens. 76Population growth can be mainly explained by the large influx of migrants. A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas 72 Table 7 Annual growth of GDP in percentages 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Madrid 4,3 4,3 3,4 1,0 -3,3 - 0,6 Spain 3,6 4,0 3,6 0,9 -3,7 - 0,1 Source: Madrid Economy 2010, Observatorio Económico. impressive number of jobs created during the period 1996 to 2006, Madrid was able to solve social problems that were related to the previously high unemployment rate. Between 1996 and 2006 the unemployment rate in Madrid fell by more than 13 per cent to a level of 6.4 per cent. Moreover, during the same period, the GDP rose by almost 4 per cent per year, whereas the expansion of the GDP for the Metro Average amounted to 2.5 per cent per year. In this period, the Metropolitan Region of Madrid enjoyed important and solid business growth; the entrepreneurial spirit was in actual fact the true motor of economic activity. -- the lack of agrarian, energy and mineral primary resources -- the distance from the main ports of the peninsula -- the absence of direct access to river and sea transport77 In the OECD Territorial Review - published in 2008 just before the crisis actually started to affect European urban economies - several concerns regarding Madrid’s economic growth on the longer term were addressed. These main challenges include: -- a relatively low productivity level -- an insufficient specialization in high value-added manufacturing activities -- a low innovation capacity -- job-skills mismatches (especially for migrants) -- a shortage of rented housing Since Spain opened up to outside markets and joined the European Union, Madrid has become one of the main links between the national economy and international markets. It has become the prime location for many Spanish companies, a large number of multinationals based in Spain and the majority of financial institutions operating in the country. Madrid is, due to its geographical location, also a bridge between Europe and Latin America as well as between Europe and North Africa for the movement of people and the transport of goods. The main three factors explaining Madrid’s economic makeup (location, status as capital and being the crucial centre of a transport and communications network) will together more than compensate for the unfavourable foundation of Madrid’s economy: -- a poor immediate rural environment A relatively low labour productivity is a concern across the country, but since 2011, the growth in labour productivity in Madrid has been below the Spanish national average . According to the OECD, this can be explained by certain structural bottlenecks on the labour market such as an overuse of short-term contracts. Besides, Madrid is characterized by a mismatch between edu- 77Miguel Carrera Troyano & José Luis García Delgado (2009), Determinants of the evolution of Madrid’s economic structure, in: Madrid The Economy Of A Global Region. 73 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas cation and the labour market (i.e. the required job skills). As one of the consequences insufficient specialization in high valueadded activities has limited the increase of the productivity level.78 Figure 11 Gross Value Added (in percentages) The impact of the crisis Table 7 illustrates the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of Madrid and Spain from 2005 to 2010. The impact of the crisis is evident. In 2009 the annual GDP growth of Madrid was minus 3.3 per cent. This negative growth rate mirrored the overall Spanish GDP rate, lying at minus 3.7 per cent. Although 2010 is showing first signs of recovery in Madrid (annual growth of minus 0.6 per cent) the situation is still not altogether promising. For 2011, the forecasts point to a positive growth figure; about 1 per cent in the City of Madrid and 0.8 per cent for Spain as a whole. In comparison with the average GDP per capita of other metropolitan areas across Europe, the GDP per capita in Madrid is 7 percentage points lower. Madrid should also be concerned about its labour productivity, which is currently 25 per cent lower than European metropolitan area average. This negative productivity gap is partially compensated by an above-average number of hours worked (9 per cent above the average). 78OECD (2008), OECD Territorial Reviews: Madrid, Spain. 79La Economía de la Comunidad de Madrid: Diagnostico Estratégico, 2011 80La Economía de la Comunidad de Madrid: Source: Madrid Economy 2010, Observatorio Económico. GDP per capita and labour productivity are important measures of a region’s economic strength. Based on these measures, it can be argued that the Metropolitan region of Madrid - after years of growth – is now facing a dramatically decreasing economy. The GDP per capita from a 2.1 per cent positive growth figure in 2006 to a negative 4.1 per cent growth figure in 2009, which of course constitutes a huge gap of 6 percentage points.79 Simultaneously, whereas the demand for employment still increased by 4 per cent in 2005, it decreased by 6 per cent in 2009.80 Between 2006 and 2010 the unemployment rate increased dramatically, from 6 per cent in 2006 to 16 per cent in 2010.81 Recent data show that the unemployment rate in the first quarter of 2011 is hovering around 21 per cent, which is currently the highest unemployment rate in the developed world.82 Section 2.3 will further discuss the labour market situation. Diagnostico Estratégico, 2011 81Instituto de Estadistica, The Region of Madrid in figures. 82The Economist (June 2011). A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas 6.2.1 Economic structure Figure 6 illustrates Madrid’s strong orientation towards its service economy. About 85 74 per cent of the value added of the economy comes from the service sector and almost 78 per cent of the region’s workers are employed in the tertiary economy.83 Services such as banking, real estate and business services, transport and communications are the strongest sectors within the urban economy of Madrid.84 Madrid is also working hard on further expanding sectors that have a promising outlook such as biotechnology (see box 1) and renewable energies. Madrid has various characteristics that make it an ideal region for services. Many (head)quarters of important (inter)national companies are located in Madrid. The bulk of Spain’s global investor flow is concentrated in Madrid. In 2009 the Madrid region accounted for 32.4 per cent of incoming investments to Spain and 69.7 per cent of outgoing investments. Madrid’s international airport especially has boosted tourism numbers. New runways and a new terminal (opened in 2006) have increased the capacity of Barajas Airport considerably; it can now accommodate 70 million travellers on an annual basis, making the airport fit for use for the next 15 years at least. The region of Madrid has a high level of urbanisation bringing with it many advantages such as cultural events, a high level of education (14 public and private universities), scientific and health facilities. Madrid’s urban infrastructure, the concentration of its economic activities and its varied offering of public and private services, creates a very advantageous environment which helps actors make the most of the economics of agglomeration that feed economic growth.85 Madrid is also Spain’s heaviest investor in Research & Development (R&D). In 2008 the metropolitan area of Madrid invested 3.892 million euro in R&D, representing 26,5 per cent of total national investment. Private companies are responsible for 57,7 per cent of total investments in R&D. Location as a determining factor The fact that Madrid is the capital of Spain is a determining factor in deciding on the location of those services that need to be close to decision-making and information flows within the central public administration. Madrid is the point of entry and exit for many services; a large number of serviceorientated multinationals have an office located in Madrid. They are either following the international expansion movements of their clients or have decided on their own account that the region is strategically advantageous. Madrid is considered to be an attractive location when it comes to setting up commercial ventures with a more global outlook such as linking to the Iberian Peninsula, Latin America and North Africa. The region and capital city of Madrid have been very distant from the main axes of European development. Their privileged position in the centre of the peninsula was clearly limited when the perspective was increased to the whole territory of the EU. 83The ‘tertiary economy’ refers to the group of different economic activities that does not fit within the sectors of agriculture or industry. The service economy – together with its excellent network of infrastructure – is an important asset for the Metropolitan Region of Madrid in the way of attracting tourism. 84Based on data from 2005. 85Francisco Javier Sáez Fernández (2009), Madrid within the territorial structure of Spain and Europe, in: Madrid, The Economy Of A Global Region. 75 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas Box 1 Best practice Biotechnology in Madrid87 The largest biotechnology cluster in Spain is located in Madrid; Madrid is leading in the number of companies, turnover and private investment in Research and Development (R&D) at national level and is fifth in the European ranking of patent applications. Madrid’s Bio Region comprises about 400 companies, providing direct employment for 24.000 people and an annual turnover of 4.000 million euro. The cluster also has a public R&D system which consists of thirteen research centres recognised at international level, five universities and more than 5.000 researchers employed and investing more than 500 million euro a year. However the consolidation of its industrial sector based on high technology industries, the development of its transport and communications infrastructures, its role as capital of the fifth most populated country in the EU and its strategic geographical position (as gateway to Africa and Latin America) have made Madrid a prosperous region and, on the side-lines of the great axes of expansion, one of the centres with the highest growth rates within the EU.86 the biotechnology cluster, for example by improving the infrastructure and by financing international promotion, technical assistance and training. The most recent effort to boost the sector include the creation of Madrid Biocluster with partners such as Madrid Development Institute, PromoMadrid, Madrid City Council, through its department Madrid Emprende, Madrid Science Park, the National Centre for Biotechnology, and also, more than twenty companies among which there are some of the largest and most active in the sector. Based on the economic facts and figures presented above, it can be concluded that Madrid has been hit hard by the recent financial and economic crisis. The bursting of the real estate bubble or housing bubble - in combination with the economic crisis worldwide - has had (and still is having) an enormous impact on the economic competitiveness strength of Spain in general, and the Metropolitan Region of Madrid in particular. Currently, Spain has difficulties in fulfilling its financial obligations and the country might have to consider requesting financial support from the EU. In a period of three years, Spain lost its position as one of the leading and strongest economies of Europe. Up until the year 2009, the economic performance of the Metropolitan Region of Madrid strongly increased but due to the crisis, the situation changed dramatically. Both the central, regional and local government offer support for the development of 6.3 Madrid’s problematic labour market situation 86Francisco Javier Sáez Fernández (2009), Madrid Unemployment rates tend to be higher in cities. Moreover, cities often act like magnets for youth and therefore the share of youth in the total population of cities is above average. Urban Audit data suggests within the territorial structure of Spain and Europe, in: Madrid, The Economy Of A Global Region. 87Barometro de economia de la ciudad de Madrid 25, third Trimestre 2010. A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas 76 that, in general, the cities with the fastest population growth are those with the lowest share of elderly people and, correspondingly, the highest share of children and young people.88 Madrid is, amongst others, a typical example of a fast-growing and young city. Although having a young population may seem positive from a labour market perspective, it has some dangers in it as well. For example, many European cities have increasing concentrations of young people who have dropped out and are no longer engaged in education, some form of employment or training. Especially during times of economic crisis when an increasing amount of companies find themselves having to downsize and dismiss qualified workers, more and more young people looking for first-time employment or vocational training placements will find themselves standing in front of closed doors.89 people are currently jobless. This dramatic situation on the labour market situation strongly affects the competitiveness of Spanish cities. Although instruments to stimulate the labour market are mainly in the hands of the national government, cities can (and should) play a role as well. Cities should play a role in stimulating the local economy and in creating jobs for their inhabitants. This is not an easy task especially because of limited financial means. A first necessary step in defining a role for cities is to take a closer look at the unemployment situation. Sharp increase in unemployment 88The Urban audit data collection system provides Youth In Spain there is a very high unemployment rate among young people, in particular those between 15 and 24 years old with a After steady employment growth since the 1990s, Spain has experienced the sharpest increase in unemployment during the crisis of all OECD countries amplified by structural problems of the labour market. The current labour market situation has resulted in a rigid dual labour market with adverse effects on unemployment and productivity. The large drop-out rate concerning lower secondary education is an important factor explaining the high unemployment rates among young workers. One effective tool of keeping young people out of a depressed labour market is making sure they have better access to training. Besides this, the matching of people to jobs in general, notably through the public employment services, must be made more efficient.90 information on different aspects of the quality of urban life in a cross-section of Europe’s cities. The Urban audit is the result of a joint effort by the participating cities, the statistical offices belonging to the European statistical system (ESS) and the European Commission’s Directorate-General for Regional Policy. 89It is interesting to analyse the relation between labour market and economic performance both from a scientific and an urban practice perspective. For example, a question that comes up often is which policy instruments are available at the local level to increase labour productivity and combat (youth) unemployment? Another interesting research objective is the relation between the formal and informal economy. There is less information about the functioning of informal economies and it is interesting to analyse the relation between informal activities and a crisis. Spain is dealing with the highest number of unemployed in recent history; five million 90Wölfl,S. and J.S. Mora-Sanguinetti (2011) ‘Reforming the Labour Market in Spain’, OECD. 77 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas Figure 12 Demonstration of youth against budget cuts of Spanish government Source: Shutterstock 77966464 very low level of education. The high level of youth unemployment in Spain, as compared to other countries, reflects to some degree the weak employability of early school drop outs and may also relate to a high incidence of temporary contracts among young workers.91 The official registration of youth unemployment in Spain is well over 40 per cent. This number includes only those individuals who are officially registered as unemployed. It is good to point out that many people do not officially register as being unemployed as they have no incentive to do so. A high share of the youth is employed ‘badly’; either in part-time work or in temporary contracts lasting only a few months. This often results in a ‘yoyo’- effect where they con- A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas tinually fluctuate between employment and unemployment. Some even say that this situation on the labour market constitutes an actual change in the definition of youth itself; de facto adolescence lasts for increasingly longer periods of time as youth are unable to make the transition to regular working life. The situation for migrants is particularly dire as they are often among the first to have to leave their jobs when the first job cuts take place. What’s more, they generally have much less, or no, family support network to fall back on for basic survival. Plus, the present economic-social climate is not exactly conducive to pro-immigrant attitudes and politics. 78 6.3.1 Economic sectors September 2010, aims to reduce the duality in the Spanish labour market by implementing several measures. Besides reforms of employment protection, the 2010 labour market reform aims also to improve the adaptability of the labour market to shocks.94 The effects of the crisis on employment are spread across sectors, with construction and some manufacturing sectors being hit hardest. The significant loss of employment in the construction sector and in financial and real estate services reflects, among other things, the sharp loss of jobs that had earlier been created due to and during the housing boom.92 What should Madrid do? In order to recover from the economic downturn, Madrid should tackle various urgent problems. One example is supporting employment-programmes and/or training facilities to improve the qualifications and skills of the labour force. By doing so, the gap between demand and supply of labour can be bridged and unemployment in the Madrid region can be reduced. However, one of the main problems is that Madrid’s municipality is lacking enough (financial) incentives to open up the locked labour market. Close cooperation with the private sector and universities might be one of the solutions to improve the situation on the labour market. From an academic point of view, the relation between labour market and productivity and the economic performance of a city is highly interesting. According to the OECD, one possible solution for this problem is to allow wages to become more flexible helping the labour market to absorb and reallocate workers more effectively. The idea is that this would lead – on the one hand - to lower wages in sectors where there is an oversupply of available workers whereas – on the other hand - the wages would increase in those sectors where demand for labour exceeds the supply of labour. In due time this would – ideally – reduce the mismatch between workers and available jobs which – for example – may facilitate the shift towards more export-led economic growth. Some measures The Spanish government has approved a series of measures to stimulate the economic recovery and to alleviate the negative burden of the crisis on the labour market from April 2008 onwards,. These include: -- wider unemployment benefit entitlements -- subsidies for hiring targeted groups of unemployed workers on permanent contracts and promoting the creation of jobs in strategic sectors -- financial incentives to promote selfemployment -- the extension of the resources of the public employment services93 How does Madrid attempt to reduce youth unemployment? To name one example; the introduction of tailor-made local training programmes. These programmes focus on the upcoming needs of a specific area. For 91Wölfl,S. and J.S. Mora-Sanguinetti (2011) ‘Reforming the Labour Market in Spain’, OECD 92Wölfl,S. and J.S. Mora-Sanguinetti (2011) ‘Reforming the Labour Market in Spain’, OECD, p.6 93Wölfl,S. and J.S. Mora-Sanguinetti (2011) ‘Reforming the Labour Market in Spain’, OECD 94Wölfl,S. and J.S. Mora-Sanguinetti (2011) The labour market reform, approved in ‘Reforming the Labour Market in Spain’, OECD 79 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas example, when a hotel is being opened, the programme (re)focuses the training to ensure that a suitable number of young people in the relevant skill sets gain the necessary qualifications. However, the main challenge facing Madrid is how to create jobs and/or new enterprises. These jobs need to be quality jobs which give access to stable and higher incomes. In the short-term it is also an option for the city of Madrid to focus on, for example, firms such as call centres, gaming industry, ICT, tourism offering (mainly) jobs for younger people. These jobs could perhaps function as stepping stones towards more stable, highly paid jobs. 6.4Conclusions Madrid can be considered as a strategic and vital cog in Spain’s economic structure. Besides, Madrid constitutes the basic platform for the accentuated internationalisation of Spain’s economy.95 Although the Madrid Metropolitan Region makes up less than 2 per cent of the national territory, the region is still home to 14 per cent of the total population and provides 18 per cent of the total Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Moreover, the Madrid Metropolitan Region is leading in terms of the creation of employment and its income per capita lies over 30 per cent above the national average and the average of the EU-25. Madrid has highly-developed communication infrastructures, making the city the 95José Luis García Delgado (2009), Madrid The Economy Of A Global Region. 96Luis Rubalcaba & Gisela Di Meglio (2009), The service sector, in: Madrid The Economy Of A Global Region. A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas leading logistics hub for both Spain and all of southern Europe. Madrid’s role as a great logistic centre and Spain’s capital of telecommunications is without a doubt reinforced by its status as political and administrative capital. The service industry not only plays a major role in Madrid’s economy, but the diffusion of its benefits to the rest of Spain has to be taken into account as well. It is important to note that the region is a centre of economic wealth that spreads to the whole of Spain, through income and services.96 Although the above still stands, the Madrid Metropolitan Region has been hit hard by the economic crisis. It can be asserted that the crisis has illuminated the vulnerable parts of the economy. Besides it has – once again – shown that the functioning of the labour market is weak and needs strong reforms. 6.4.1 SWOT-analysis of the urban economy This paragraph discusses the strengths and weaknesses, opportunities and threats of four main features of Madrid’s urban economy. These features have been selected on the basis of desk-research and interviews with key actors in the city-region. The SWOT is defined in light of the current economic situation of Madrid. The results are displayed in Table 8. As became clear in the previous chapter, the situation on the labour market is considered as the most urgent issue. High unemployment figures, especially among youth and migrants, a strong mismatch between demand for and supply of labour and a fiscal system discouraging entrepreneurship are all ingredients that have culminated in a large unemployment pool consisting of people with very limited chances to escape their labour market situation. Although this is a 80 Table 8SWOT-analysis Labour market and education Strengths Large human capital environment reinforced by high rates of R&D investments. Capacity to provide good (living) circumstances (reinforced by an excellent operating daily urban system) for immigrants/expats in order to fulfil the demands of highly skilled workers. Weaknesses High level of unemployment, especially amongst youth. High percentage of lower educated people. Mismatch between employment supply and demand. Less professional training for employees. Fiscal system discourages entrepreneurship and self-employment; no credit market (anymore) to stimulate it. Laws obstruct flexible labour market. No universities from Madrid in the international ranking. Opportunities Enhance the level of education in order to bridge the gap between education (supply) and the labour market (demand). Stronger focus of the universities on market demands. Increases the percentage of employees with secondary education to improve innovation potential. Improve the knowledge of the English language. Reduce regulations to enhance a flexible labour market. Enhance the skills of the second and third generation of migrants. Threats Expansion and increasing importance of the informal (black) market. Increase in corruption. Lack of (financial) incentives to improve the current labour market situation and to make high investments in education. Economic structure and infrastructure Strengths Strong entrepreneurial mentality combined with open mindedness and high level of education. A diversified economic structure (particularly in the service sector). Dominant trade fair centre in Poland. New economic spin-off due to EURO 2012 European Football Championship Tournament. Weaknesses Relatively few global investors and enterprises in the high-tech sector. Lack of integration of knowledge into the economy, partly due to large number of small enterprises. Suburban phenomenon resulting in declining inner city population heavily based on motorized transport. Insufficient and undeveloped daily urban system, due to a lack of an efficient system connecting the region and the airport. Opportunities To become an international centre for congress, culture and sports (emphasized by the EURO 2012, the UEFA European Football Championship) Improvement of the Airport capacity and completion of the Berlin-PoznaĹ„-Warsaw motorway can work as leverage for economic growth. Create more economic spin-off from operating as a gateway between northern/southern and western/eastern Europe, due to its geographical location. 81 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas Economic structure and infrastructure Threats Continuing exodus of companies and inhabitants to suburban areas, damaging economic potential of the central city. A strong central city is vital for metropolitan ambitions. It also causes a decrease in tax income for the city, which hinders the development of important (economic) projects A decreasing quality of the environment, due to increased and denser car-oriented traffic producing more carbon emissions and noise pollution. Public transport infrastructure investments not in pace with urban sprawl in the Poznan metropolitan area. Poznan may not profit from the increasing global importance of high-tech, innovative sectors due to its current emphasis on traditional, small SMEs Box 2 Best practice: Madrid’s renewable energies sector97 The renewable energies sector in Madrid (and Spain) has recorded significant growth in recent years. Despite the uncertainty arising from the present crisis, the outlook for the future remains favorable. The sector has promoted job creation, which amounted to over 32 thousand people employed in the renewable energies sector in 2008, representing 1,7 per cent of the total employment in the city. The main renewable energy subsectors where Madrid companies work are photovoltaic solar technology and solar thermal energy, followed by wind power and biomass energy. very gloomy picture, there may be some possible solutions. Perhaps the most important ones focus on education and training and a reduction of the labour laws and regulations. Whereas the labour market can be considered the weakest element of the economy in Madrid, so can accessibility and infrastructure be considered the strongest elements. Madrid has invested strongly in a sophisticated public transport system and a modern international airport. Moreover, there are opportunities to make better use – also as for economic profitability – of Madrid as a gateway to Latin-America and North-Africa. Another challenge concerns the involvement of private partners to start public-private constructions for investments. Last but not least, Madrid is also known for its renewable energies sector. The promising outlook of this sector – as well as the promising outlook of the biotechnology sector – may serve as examples and inspiration for other sectors (see box 2). Four of the world’s seven leading wind turbine manufacturing companies have located their corporate and operational headquarters in Madrid. Madrid has also significant factors which can boost the development of the sector in the city such as the availability of highly qualified human capital, a high level of concentration of potential clients’ headquarters, and proximity to institutional and administrative decision-making centres. 6.4.2 Knowledge and research questions 97Based on Madrid Economy Barometer 22nd Edition (October 2009). A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas Less than three years ago, the economic forecast of Madrid was characterized by 82 Table 9 Observations of the case study translated into challenges, research questions and policy implications. Observations Challenges Knowledge and research questions Possible policy implications Productivity of Madrid’s Increase the labour productivity and reduce unemployment What is the correlation between labour productivity and the local sector structure of a city? Transform the urban economy from low quality service towards a more high quality service sector Madrid’s labour market is locked Create more flexibility and dynamics in the labour market Which measures maximize flexibility and dynamics More and intensive collaboration between local, regional and national government with regard to labour market policy The crisis strongly affects Madrid’s urban economy (in terms of GDP, FDI and productivity) Recover from the crisis by achieving economic growth and by creating a more stable urban economy What opportunities do deprived urban economies have to recover from a crisis? Create a more integrated and stable urban economy with less interference from the government Family structures in Spain seem to play an important role in stabilizing the social climate within communities Make optimal use of these family structures which can function as a ‘safety net’ in times of crisis What is the added value of family structure in stabilizing the social climate? Support of these family structures in order to avoid social unrest in the city The current ‘credit market’ is locked for new entrepreneurs Develop a new and sustainable credit market in order to encourage entrepreneurship and start-ups of SMEs Which financial incentives are attractive, accessible and sustainable in order to enhance the start-up (or expansion of current) SMEs? Municipality should give more initiative to the private sector and, at the same time, try to stimulate entrepreneurship The informal (black) market plays an important role in the current declining economy Get more control on the informal economy and enhance the accessibility to the formal economy What is the role of the informal market in a declining economy, and how is it interrelated with the formal economy? Municipality should try to get more grip on the informal economy and try to decrease corruption labour force is low99 growth of R&D investments, growth in Foreign Direct Investments (FDI), growth in GDP per capita and growth in available jobs. At that time, there were genuine expectations that Madrid might develop as one of the leading financial sectors of Europe. Due to the crisis, the current economic situation of Madrid is less positive. The construction sector collapsed as a result of the burst of the real-estate bubble, and Madrid’s rela- 83 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas tively high share of low-productivity sectors turned out to be less profitable. Many construction workers became unemployed and were not able to adjust to the new economic situation. In addition, due to the economic downturn, the supply chain market (hotels, restaurants, food sector) was forced to fire employees. The demographic expansion of Madrid, mainly due to immigration, has had a negative impact on GDP per capita and productivity. The growth of the labour force turned out to be uneven concerning the amount of available jobs.98 Madrid is facing numerous challenges in dealing with the city’s economic downturn. The previous chapter already summarized these challenges according to specific themes. As noted in the introductory chapter, the aim of this case-study is to indicate what knowledge and research is needed to deal adequately with these challenges. For some of these challenges, the route to achieve them is clear whereas for other challenges (more) scientific research is required. Scientific research can provide useful insights into the causalities between various economic indicators and impose policy recommendations to cities. This paragraph defines research questions that are of interest for academics and urban practitioners. By defining research questions and policy implications it is possible to combine ‘research’ with ‘urban practice’. Table 9 translates the main observations on Madrid’s economic vitality into future challenges of the urban economy, into fundamental research questions and into policy implications. 98Madrid, The Economy Of A Global Region, Urs Müller & Marc Bros de Puechredon BAK Basel Economics, 2009 99The GDP per capita is 7 per cent lower than the Metro Average and the productivity of Madrid’s labour force is 25 per cent lower than the Metro Average. A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas 84 7 Case study Poznan 7.1Introduction Europe and is an important junction for both interregional and international routes. This is important because according to the European Spatial Development Plan, economic development should be equally spread throughout Europe, thereby reducing the influence of the so-called Pentagon area (Europe between London, Paris, Milan, Munich and Hamburg) on Europe’s competitiveness.101 Poznan can act as the corridor to connect the whole of Poland with Europe’s economic centre. This case study discusses the economic vitality of Poznan in Poland. As one of the oldest and largest Polish cities, Poznan is the historical capital of the Wielkopolska Region where the Polish State was born over 1000 years ago. In 2009 Poznan counted 554.000 inhabitants (fifth largest city in Poland), with another 319.000 living in its conurbation.100 Since Poland’s economic transformation from 1990 onwards and its accession to the EU in 2004, new economic opportunities have emerged for Poznan and Poland as a whole. In comparison to the Western part of Europe, Poland became an attractive country for investors and business due to its low labour costs. Poznan is a city of international fairs and conferences; the 2008 UN Climate Change Conference is a good example of this. The city is an important national and European centre of industry, trade, culture, higher education and science and is one of the leading Polish cities in terms of its economy. Poznan’s booming economy Poznan and Poland as a whole can be characterized as a new economy with emerging opportunities, due to the Poland’s post-communist transformation of government and by it becoming a member of the EU in 2004. Whilst combing data from the city of Poznan and Eurostat, Poznan’s leading role in the economy becomes evident: Poznan accounts for 3 per cent of Poland’s Gross Domestic Project (GDP) whilst the city only accounts for 1,45 per cent of the total population (2009), making it roughly twice as productive as Poland in general.102 Combined with the current unemployment rate, which hovers around 3,7 per cent (the lowest rate in Poland and Metro average) one can conclude that the economy of the Poznan region in general is doing rather well. The low unemployment rate suggests that Poznan, in terms of available jobs, is suffering less 7.1.1 Poznan: three characteristics Poznan’s gateway function Poznan’s geographic location in Europe and in the country provides the city with a privileged position. The city sees itself as the meeting place of West-East and North-South transportation routes, including the panEuropean transport corridors from Berlin to Moscow and from Gdansk to Prague. The city is situated half way between Berlin and Warsaw; 160 km from the Polish-German border. Poznan’s location within the sphere of impact of Berlin, one of the largest agglomerations in Europe, is a vital factor in the formation of mutual contacts important for the city’s development. The city operates and reinforces itself as a gateway to Eastern 100 City Development Department (2010) Development Strategy for the City of PoznaĹ„ to 2030 101 European Commission (1999) European Spatial Development Plan 102 Data derived from website Eurostat and website City of Poznan (facts and figures) (online accessible: www.poznan.pl) 85 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas Figure 13 Impression of the roundtable discussion in Poznan from the current financial and economic crisis in Europe. Poznan: Eastern Energy, Western Style Poznan is an open-minded city with big ambitions, highlighted by its own slogan: Eastern Energy, Western Style. The slogan envisions a city with a strong entrepreneurial spirit, since the inhabitants have a strong ‘can do’ mentality. The city is really dedi- cated to offer the best of both worlds and to offer a sort of ‘fusion’ culture. The EU accession gave Poland many new economic opportunities to its mayor cities and provided Poznan with new funds, projects and energy.103 Both the Region of Poznan and Poland as a whole were able to enjoy significant and solid business growth. Poznan’s efforts and planned investments are geared towards its ambition of becoming an important economic centre of Poland and reinforcing the economic axes West-East en NorthSouth. 103 Presentation by Mr T. Kayser, Deputy Mayor of Poznan, during the EMI roundtable discussion in Research methodology Poznan This case study is based on desk research A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas 86 Figure 14 Impression of the roundtable discussion in Poznan and a roundtable discussion in Poznan. Desk research is mainly based on the ‘Development Strategy for the City of Poznan to 2030’ written by the City Development Department of Poznan in 2010.104 This development strategy describes, among other things, the present condition of the city. It also provides a panorama of Poznan’s metropolitan character and draws a vision to the year 2030. It was created in collaboration with a body of university scientists and local government officials. Poznan’s inhabitants and businesses were also consulted at various stages during the conception of the Strategy about various key elements. Besides the strategy, other scien- tific articles and policy studies were taken into account. The roundtable discussion, hosted and organised by the city of Poznan and supervised by EMI, was attended by urban experts from the public, private and scientific sectors, all operating in the metropolitan area of Poznan. During the discussion, the Deputy Mayor of Poznan, Mr Tomasz Kayser, gave a PowerPoint-Presentation about the state-of- 104 City Development Department (2010) Development Strategy for the City of Poznan to 2030 87 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas the-art of the economic vitality of the city (see Figure 8 and 9 for an impression of the roundtable discussion). The roundtable discussion was divided into two sessions; one session focusing on reflection and the second session focusing on the future. Reflection: -- Distinctive competitiveness strengths/ weaknesses of Poznan compared to other cities or regions in Poland and Europe -- Best practices and policies of Poznan over the past years -- Positive and/or negative effect of becoming a member of the EU -- The main objective of every city/ metropolis is to become an area of economic vitality and competitiveness. What are the main incentives of urban policy for Poznan to establish (or maintain) economic vitality and competitiveness? Looking ahead: -- Prioritization of the objectives and/ or strategic program mentioned in the Development Strategy for the City of Poznan to 2030. -- Which challenges/developments (governance, education, social, others?) need to be overcome to execute these objectives and programs? -- Use of research: what knowledge is needed to underpin economic policies and tackle the challenges and developments? Structure of the case study This case study discusses the economic performance of Poznan by analysing the local economic structure of the city and its surrounding region and by focusing on the future challenges and threats to the city’s competitiveness. In light of the current financial and economic crisis, Poznan’s urban economy seems to be very dynamic. A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas However, does this mean that Poznan has a high degree of economic competitiveness and that it (still) has the potential, in the economic sense, to become one of the leading cities in Europe? Which policy ingredients is Poznan using to complement and establish a balanced economy? The aim of this case study is to define research questions that are of particular interest for academics and urban practitioners alike. Scientific research can provide more insights into the causalities between economic indicators and, combined with input from practitioners, also propose policy recommendations to cities based on this research. 7.2 Urban development of Poznan Poznan’s urban development has been (and still is) very much dependent on the opportunities derived from European funds. Following Poland’s accession to the EU in 2004, the city of Poznan, as well as companies and organisations operating in Poznan obtained over 1.6 billion Polish ZĹ‚oty (PLN) from the EU (± 370 million Euro). Poznan has definitely benefited from these new opportunities. The greatest part of these European resources has been dedicated to the expansion of the infrastructure, the transportation and sewage systems, scientific base, research and didactic programmes. Poznan is characterized by a strong collaborative approach between various stakeholders. In other words, local government, business and key researchers from various universities form a strong network, or so-called triple helix, that has shown to be stable over time. 7.2.1 Towards Poznan Metropolitan Area As the capital of the Province of Wielkopolska, Poznan plays a dominant role 88 in the development of the region as being the administrative centre of the Province. The Poznan metropolitan landscape stretches further than the administrative boundaries of Poznan. Poznan is surrounded by smaller communities close connected to the city. Poznan Metropolitan Area is characterised by highly urbanised outlying areas; the urbanisation process has led to an increased developed area, which is 3,5 times as big as the area was in 1945. In recent years, urban sprawl has meant (economic) growth of suburban areas, but has, at the same time, also contributed to population decline in the city of Poznan itself. Infrastructural developments have been mainly car-oriented and public transport investments have been unable to keep up with the pace of urban sprawl.105 ers, most notably the surrounding municipalities, so it remains unclear whether such an integrated metropolitan approach is regarded as urgent by all stakeholders. 7.2.2 Urban plans and policies The city of Poznan is aware of its potential due to its strategic position in Poland and Europe and is aiming to play an active and substantial role in the new European open market. In 2010 the City Development Department defined the ambitions in the ‘Development Strategy for the City of Poznan 2030’. The timeframe for this document spans over two decades, which corresponds to the period of time which has elapsed since Poland’s post-communist transformation of government. The goals of Poznan’s city strategy are encompassed by four general developments:106 -- Creation of an innovative modern economy -- Increasing Poznan’s importance as a centre of knowledge, culture, tourism and sports -- Improvement of the quality of life of the city’s inhabitants -- Development of Poznan’s metropolitan functions Poznan is putting effort in thinking and acting on a metropolis scale in order to enhance its competitive strength and create the right circumstances for economic growth. The city of Poznan has chosen to create the Poznan Metropoly by starting to organise informal meetings between the city and its surrounding municipalities. This has led to more advanced institutional forms of cooperation including inter alia the creation of the association of the Poznan Metropoly and integrated policy making in areas like transport, tourist promotion and waste economy. Eventually these meetings (attended by government representatives on a voluntary basis) should further develop into an internally integrated metropolis providing advanced services for the region and the country. This achievement should result in Poznan gaining an important position in the network of metropolitan cities, allowing it to successfully compete in the national and international arena. The scope of this case study does not include an in-depth analysis into the views and positions of all stakehold- With regards to these four developments, the strategy describes 14 major challenges including problems and issues that need to be tackled in order to provide the city with a new impetus for development. The challenges are defined in four strategic goals, 16 objectives and finally elaborated in 21 differ- 105 Radzimski (2009), Residential and urban planning in transition, case study of PoznaĹ„ 106 City Development Department (2010) Development Strategy for the City of Poznan to 2030 89 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas Figure 10 Economic facts and figures of five Polish cities employmentunemployment persons in economic national rate economy entities foreignper ineconomic '000 1000 GDPpopulation per entities capita per€ 10'000 population y ear 2009 2009 2009 2009 2008 Poznan 408,0 3,2 171 49 16,1 Gdansk 308,0 4,9 136 31 12,5 Krakow 372,0 4,2 146 34 10,0 Lodz 306,0 9,5 114 22 12,4 W arsaw 366,0 5,0 154 48 23,8 Source: Facts and Figures, available at www.Poznan.pl ent strategic programmes. In 2030, Poznan is aiming to operate as “a functionally integrated metropolis, by extending and tightening the cooperation with neighbouring municipalities”.107 In addition, it is aiming to be externally connected by means of numerous and strong links in the European network of metropolitan cities. The main fields of actions include: improvement of the spatial, infrastructural, legal and administrative conditions for enterprises, increases in enterprises’ competitiveness and innovativeness and enhance the collaboration between Poznan universities and scientific research institutions. In addition, Poznan will strengthen its position as a European scientific and academic centre and create conditions for the development of highly-qualified human capital in order to achieve a competi107 City Development Department (2010) Development Strategy for the City of Poznan to 2030, p. 19. 108 Comment on a draft report by Mr Bogdan Frackowiak, Director of the City Development Department A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas tive economy (based on the development of highly specialised services). All the 21 strategic programmes have one common goal; to achieve a better Poznan for inhabitants, entrepreneurs and visitors by investing in different fields of interest. The strategy has a long-term character. To make sure the individual projects will also be adequately executed in the longer run, the municipality has passed laws that link the development strategy directly to the city’s budgetary planning. The above-mentioned projects will be developed further in separate documents.108 Not every program of the ‘Development Strategy for the City of Poznan to 2030’ carries the label ‘new’. The majority of the strategic programmes (13 out of 21) are included in various forms in the ’Development Plan for the City of Poznan for the years 2005-2010’. Some of these measures and projects that have been executed have been verified and supplemented with new proposals. The category of ‘new programmes’, a total of eight, are mainly focused on improving the public space of 90 Table 10 Indicators of Poznan in 2004 and 2010 2004 2010 Population 570.800 552.300 Number of students 122.600 135.900 7,0 3,5 GDP per capita (€) 12.200 16.800 Registered business entities 88.100 98.100 650 950 381.000 1.400.000 Unemployment rate (%) Average gross wage in enterprise sector (€/month) Passenger traffic at Poznan Lawica Airport Source: Presentation by Mr Tomasz Kayser, Deputy Mayor of Poznan 7.3 Economic Vitality of Poznan Poznan and the development of social capital, creation of (social) cohesion, spatial and functional integration and counteracting social exclusion. The programmes ‘Socially Sensitive Poznan’ and ‘Metropoly Poznan’ are examples of the new goals. Strategic programmes, such as Academic and Scientific Poznan, Knowledge for Business and Digital Poznan, emphasize how important it is to develop the city based on knowledge. By presenting several programmes (such as the new programme ‘Spaces for Business’), the city shows that it is aware of the threat of losing its attractiveness for (foreign) investors and that reforms on (labor)legislation and enlarging the spatial and administrative scale are required. Poznan’s development strategy does not contain a financial and/or an implementation paragraph. The commitment to the strategy can be lost during the time being. Another weak point in this respect is the fact that none of the programmes and projects is prioritized. Most programmes (or parts thereof) focus on improving the quality of life. Various investments (such as transportation, recreation, safety, ICT environment, housing, sports, social cohesion/exclusion, and education) should ensure the achievement of the objectives. Poznan has a balanced economy which is dominated by trade, financial services, education and the property market. Last decade the following sectors: automotive (Volkswagen), furniture, telecommunications services (including IT outsourcing) and logistic services have developed. As the capital of the Province of Wielkopolska, Poznan plays a dominant part in the development of the region. The most important factors of economic development, such as scientific and research potential, business environment institutions, foreign capital and entrepreneurship are all concentrated in Poznan. The Poznan International Fair also plays an important role as well as (the provision of) supra-regional services related to education, culture, healthcare and sports. In comparison to other Polish cities, Poznan has a strong economy. Statistics109/110 (see Figure 10) show that Poznan is ranked 109 Website City of Poznan (facts & figures) 110 Presentation of Mr T. Kayser, Deputy Mayor of Poznan, during the EMI roundtable discussion in Poznan 91 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas highest in employment in national economy and number of (foreign) economic entities. It has the lowest unemployment rate (3,2 per cent in 2009) and comes in second place after Warsaw regarding 2008 GDP figures (16,1 Euro for Poznan against 23,8 Euro for Warsaw). Since 1995 Poznan has gradually strengthened its urban economy. Statistics (GDP, FDI per inhabitant, and number of business entities) show a gradual upward trend in economic activity, but never a large peak. The city has a buoyant and developed labour market, dynamic economy, rich natural environment and a high level of attractiveness for tourism.111 Table 10 below lists some indicators and the development from 2004 to 2010. Labour market Although the unemployment rate is low, Poznan encounters labour market problems concerning particular groups. Data of 2008 show that people aged 25 to 34 are having the most difficulties in finding employment. The number of job-seekers in this group considerably increased at the end of 2009, when the attractiveness of occupational emigration to West European countries decreased. Among those who were looking for employment, 1/3 did not have any professional experience or had worked for less than one year. Every fourth unemployed person had secondary or primary school education, and every fourth had a degree. Graduates, especially those from secondary technical schools, often have to deal with relatively long periods of unemployment. The can be explained by the mismatch of professional qualifications of the graduates and the expectations of the (potential) employers. This mismatch can be resolved by verifying educational programmes of secondary schools and universities. Mentality & entrepreneurship From the mid-1990s onwards, Poznan has experienced a dynamic development of entrepreneurship. In the years 2002-2008 there were 9.400 new economic entities established (mainly natural persons conducting business activities and micro-enterprises) primarily in the market services sector. The greatest figures have been noted in the ‘real estate and business services, education’ section with 4.600 employees. A high percentage of the businesses (94 per cent) are so-called micro companies that employ up to nine people. Poznan has a high and growing saturation of the economy with enterprises of diversified sectorial structure. Up till 2009 the financial results of Poznan companies were good.112 In comparison to other Polish cities, Poznan enterprises stand out because of their high profitability indicators. The economic condition of Poznan enterprises started to worsen in 2009 due to the influence of the economic crisis on the global markets.113 111 City Development Department (2006) Socioeconomic analysis of the city of Poznan 112 Kochalksi (2009) Preliminary assessment of Poznan enterprises activities in comparison to other cities 113 City Development Department (2010) Development Strategy for the City of PoznaĹ„ to 2030 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas There are several explanations for an increasing amount of entrepreneurship in Poznan. Many SMEs only have one or two employees. For many companies it is more efficient and cheaper (with regard to tax, legislation) to involve SMEs in implementing/ executing their objectives and tasks. In addi- 92 tion, many graduates (who find it particularly hard to find a job in the Poznan region because of surplus supply) start new small companies in the hope of getting assignments from companies. Despite the lack of evidence it might be that the Polish mentality (which is similar to the German and reinforced by the significant influence of Berlin on Poznan) can explain the strong growth of SMEs.114 Other stimuli for entrepreneurs to locate their businesses in Poznan include the diversified local economy, a major government campaign stimulating the setting up of SMEs, the highly developed labour market and the presence of well-established companies. Barriers include weak integration of local businesses, low availability of bank loans, complicated administrative procedures and unsatisfactory levels of innovativeness and high-tech companies.115 certain extent financed by foreign investments, against 2,3 per cent in 2000. The largest foreign investor is the German concern Volkswagen. Other sectors with significant foreign investments are commerce, and services and financial brokerage services. The office space rental market is growing particularly quickly.116 Human capital and innovation Over 140.000 students attend 26 Poznan universities (including 8 state universities). Nearly ¾ of the students come from outside the city. There are 251 students per 1000 inhabitants and this ranks Poznan at the top of the list of Polish cities regarding relative number of students. Poznan universities struggle to keep talented scientific employees, as these regularly receive attractive employment offers from commercial companies elsewhere and foreign scientific centres. From 2007 onwards the number of students rose quickly, but since 2010 it has stabilized. This can be explained by a drop in the number of young people (negative demographic development) and the attraction of foreign universities. Every year 30.000 students graduate from Poznan’s higher education establishments.117 From the mid-1990s onwards, Poznan attracted a high level of investment. These investments were a main incentive for especially foreign investors, who have undertaken numerous ventures at that time. Between 1990 and 2009 the accumulated value of investment expenditure was USD 6.6 billion or USD 11.900 per inhabitant. The high investment attractiveness of Poznan, which continuously holds a top position in all the nationwide rankings, has encouraged foreign investors who have established numerous companies in the city. The foreign capital which has been invested in Poznan constitutes about 5 per cent of all the direct investments in Poland. Despite the high percentage, the city believes that foreign direct investment (FDI) should be stimulated. Although FDI has grown over the years, the amount of economic entities financed through FDI is still quite low. In 2010, 2,8 percent of all economic entities were to a 114 Interview with Monica Matusiak (PhD) Poznan University of Economics Department of Spatial and Environmental Economics 115 City Development Department (2006) ‘Socioeconomic analysis of the city of Poznan’, Poznan City Hall 116 Website City of Poznan (facts & figures); Presentation by the Deputy Mayor of PoznaĹ„ during the EMI roundtable discussion in PoznaĹ„ 117 City Development Department (2010) Development Strategy for the City of PoznaĹ„ to 2030 93 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas Table 11 SWOT analysis Governance structure Strengths The success of implementing new economic opportunities due to the governance transformation and Poland’s accession to the EU. Pragmatic, efficient and open-minded attitude, high level of executing policy. High degree of civil participation and professional collaboration with private and public stakeholders such as scientific institutes and companies (triple helix). Awareness that the future competitiveness of Poznan needs the involvement of the whole urban area (including neighboring municipalities). Weaknesses Weak political connections with Warsaw (Capital of Poland) and the EU. Metropolitan area is not well represented at the regional level (Wielkopolska). No fully autonomous authority over land-use. Opportunities Achieve a clear Poznan-profile by reinforcing current and future (inter)national political contacts. Threats No priorities or ranking in strategic programmes to 2030, every program seems equally important, and lack of financial strategy. May impede decision-making process and consequently harm implementation. Hindered cooperation with neighboring municipalities because of differing socioeconomic developments. Suboptimal management of certain areas of the metropolitan area. Economic structure and infrastructure Strengths Strong entrepreneurial mentality combined with open mindedness and high level of education. A diversified economic structure (particularly in the service sector). Dominant trade fair centre in Poland. New economic spin-off due to EURO 2012 European Football Championship Tournament. Weaknesses Relatively few global investors and enterprises in the high-tech sector. Lack of integration of knowledge into the economy, partly due to large number of small enterprises. Suburban phenomenon resulting in declining inner city population heavily based on motorized transport. Insufficient and undeveloped daily urban system, due to a lack of an efficient system connecting the region and the airport. Opportunities To become an international centre for congress, culture and sports (emphasized by the EURO 2012, the UEFA European Football Championship) Improvement of the Airport capacity and completion of the Berlin-PoznaĹ„-Warsaw motorway can work as leverage for economic growth. Create more economic spin-off from operating as a gateway between northern/ southern and western/eastern Europe, due to its geographical location. A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas 94 Economic structure and infrastructure Threats Continuing exodus of companies and inhabitants to suburban areas, damaging economic potential of the central city. A strong central city is vital for metropolitan ambitions. It also causes a decrease in tax income for the city, which hinders the development of important (economic) projects A decreasing quality of the environment, due to increased and denser car-oriented traffic producing more carbon emissions and noise pollution. Public transport infrastructure investments not in pace with urban sprawl in the Poznan metropolitan area. Poznan may not profit from the increasing global importance of high-tech, innovative sectors due to its current emphasis on traditional, small SMEs Governance structure Strengths The success of implementing new economic opportunities due to the governance transformation and Poland’s accession to the EU. Pragmatic, efficient and open-minded attitude, high level of executing policy. High degree of civil participation and professional collaboration with private and public stakeholders such as scientific institutes and companies (triple helix). Awareness that the future competitiveness of Poznan needs the involvement of the whole urban area (including neighboring municipalities). Weaknesses Weak political connections with Warsaw (Capital of Poland) and the EU. Metropolitan area is not well represented at the regional level (Wielkopolska). No fully autonomous authority over land-use. Opportunities Achieve a clear Poznan-profile by reinforcing current and future (inter)national political contacts. Threats No priorities or ranking in strategic programmes to 2030, every program seems equally important, and lack of financial strategy. May impede decision-making process and consequently harm implementation. Hindered cooperation with neighboring municipalities because of differing socioeconomic developments. Suboptimal management of certain areas of the metropolitan area. In addition, Poznan holds an important position in Poland’s science sector, particular in such fields as molecular physics, applied chemistry, biochemistry, genetics, new technologies and materials. However, this research and educational potential of the city’s scientific institutions does not translate into the concrete development of a high-tech economy. This is confirmed by the small number of patent applications and license and implementation contracts, as well as low levels of innovativeness of Poznan enterprises. Poznan is therefore focusing on attracting high-tech companies. Foreign investments are thought to be necessary, since Poland itself does not have many hightech companies. High-tech companies could also help bridge the gap between knowledge 95 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas en entrepreneurship: medium-sized, hightech companies seem to have more contact and relationships with research institutes than traditional sector enterprises.118 7.4 SWOT analysis This paragraph discusses the strengths and weaknesses, opportunities and threats of the Poznan urban economy in a so-called SWOT-analysis. The current global financial and economic crisis is affecting Poznan and Poland as a whole, but significantly less than in other European metropolitan areas. Poznan is, however, facing several challenges which could (on a longer term) affect economic growth. The SWOT-analysis covers three features of the urban economy: labour market and education, governance economic structure and infrastructure.119 7.5Conclusions This section translates the main observations on Poznan’s economic competitiveness into future challenges of the metropolitan area, related research questions and policy implications (see Table 12). By defining research questions and policy implications it is possible to link ‘research’ to ‘urban practice’ and vice versa. The challenges in order to improve the economic vitality of a city depend on various factors. For example, a competitive environment for global hightech companies depends on the labour mar- 118 Mizgajska, H. & L. Wsciubiak (2011) Collaboration with science as a source of innovation for SMEs in Poland 119 These features are selected on the basis of deskresearch and the roundtable discussion in Poznan A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas ket as well as on good connections between business and science and an attractive ‘quality of life’ for the employees of these firms. A range of factors can often influence the actual performance of economic indicators. This chapter discusses the main observations influencing the economic vitality of Poznan. Governance structure and sense of optimism Poznan’s slogan ‘Eastern Energy, Western Style’ envisions a city with a strong entrepreneurial spirit and big ambitions. The city was able to increase current assets and, due to the economic reforms, develop new economic opportunities. On top of that, Poznan has very stable and well-connected elite of government officials, business representatives and scientists from the various universities and research institutes (triple helix). In other words, the institutional thickness of Poznan is very high. Poznan has been able to formulate coherent policies that are widely accepted, also among the population. Moreover, these relations have proven to be very stable over time; many key figures have held the same positions for a substantial of time. This encourages the decisiveness of local governance, but also forms a threat; the danger of relying too much on past successes and embedded relationships that do not formulate a correct answer for new challenges. Strong economic performances, but limits within sight The data on the economic competitiveness of Poznan show an impressive picture: very low unemployment, a high standard of living and a high level of entrepreneurship. Poznan is aware of its economic potential. Despite uncertainty about the effects emerging economies (e.g. India and China) may or 96 may not have on Poland and, the uncertain future due to the financial and economic crisis, there is a widely held confidence in the Poznan future economy. However, there are some aspects that need to be addressed in order for Poznan to stay competitive. Poznan’s service sector is already well developed en well-endowed with many SMEs. Currently, the city is facing the challenge to attract larger, predominantly foreign companies to accommodate growth in high-tech sectors. This is especially important given the fact that nowadays many young graduates remain unemployed because - despite their high education – there are very little suitable job opportunities for them. The absence of global players and high-tech companies can be seen as a weak point of the urban development of Poznan. If Poznan has the ambition to become a city in which hightech economic sectors flourish, than the whole local economy needs to be oriented towards that goal. This means the reform and strengthening of the educational system, but also a reduction of the dependence on small SMEs (currently the case in Poznan). Despite growth in the past, the city is currently not attracting a high amount of FDI. In order to maintain its competitive strength and subsequently attract mediumsized companies to the city, Poznan should provide the services which the large scale, high-tech companies’ demand. tion will systematically decrease over subsequent years to reach the level of 506.500 inhabitants in 2030, that is 8,2 per cent less than in 2011.120 However, in the suburbs the population will continue to grow. Together this will probably result in a stable population but due to processes of ageing, the productive age categories remains to decline.121 The population of the city of Poznan is already in decline, and for the urban region the population is expected to remain stable until 2030. The population is also ageing, which means that the productive age categories will decline even more than the total population. Cooperation at European, national and regional level Poznan strongly focuses on integration within Europe since the city is fully aware of its strategic location in the heart of Europe. Its location on infrastructural lines (motor- and railway) between Berlin and Warsaw/ Moscow makes Poznan an ideal place where East and West Europe can meet. Poznan’s ties with Warsaw and the EU are not that strong, and the city realizes that many advantages can be obtained if good (lobby) connections are maintained with both national and EU-institutions. As well as cooperation at the European and national level needs to be improved, the cooperation between the city of Poznan and the surrounding municipalities is lagging behind. In order for Poznan to become a recognized Labour market and demographic forecast The labour market is beginning to show signs of under capacity. This is partly due to the fact that the demographic potentialities of the city and the region will be exhausted in the near future. Demographic statistics show a negative birth rate and the migration balance increased from –1 per cent in 2002 to –6 per cent in 2008. According to the demographic forecast, the Poznan popula- 120 City Development Department (2010) Development Strategy for the City of Poznan to 2030’, Poznan City Hall, p. 24 (online accessible: www.poznan.pl/strategia 121 Presentation of Mr T. Kayser, Deputy Mayor of Poznan, during the EMI roundtable discussion in Poznan 97 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas European player, it strategically needs to integrate its surroundings. It will be difficult for Poznan to compete with Western Europe if the population keeps declining, because Western cities are growing again after several decades of suburbanization. Poznan is lagging behind 30 years in that respect. The only way to tackle this problem is to cooperate with the surrounding (growing) municipalities. These municipalities need to understand that a healthy population development in Poznan is to their advantage too. Major infrastructure investments Poznan is aware of the fact that, if the city wants to maintain or even enhance its attractiveness and competitive strength, investments in infrastructure are necessary. The European Football Championship, EURO 2012, generated major investments in the (road) infrastructure and improved the connectedness of the city. The new motorway between Poznan and Warsaw is a good ex- ample of such an investment. The further development of the road network is still a challenge and the present situation is far from satisfactory. Good connections between Poznan and other cities in the Wielkopolska region are lacking as well as the connection with WrocĹ‚aw.122 In order to establish an integrated transport within the agglomeration and a high functionality of the collective transport system, Poznan planned several major infrastructure investments. Overall, a well operating integrated infrastructure and its catalytic role in improving economic growth and competitiveness is important. In this light, it is conceivable to choose for speeding up realizing the main transport routes. In addition, the public transport connection between the airport and the city centre needs to be improved as well as the public transport connections covering the entire region. The high speed train linkage between Berlin, Warsaw and Moscow is also subject to heavy debates. 122 Comment of Mr Bogdan Frackowiak, Director of the City Development Department, during the roundtable discussion in Poznan A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas 98 Table 12 Observations of the case study translated into challenges, research questions and policy implications Observations Challenges Research questions (Possible) policy implications Strong entrepreneurial spirit and sense of optimism. Combine this spirit with simultaneously opening up for high-tech and foreign FDI? How to successfully combine SME potential with influx of high-tech, foreign FDI? Balance stimulation of local SMEs and FDI influx. Stable, well-connected governance network. Maintain the energy without taking things for granted. How can the Poznan triple helix be strengthened/ further stimulated? Extend or change the existing network. Labour market is coming under strain. Combine rising wages with stable supply of labour. How can the labour market be expanded in the light of population decline? Plan for immigration. Relatively few global and high-tech companies. Create a competitive environment that is attractive for global, high-tech players. What pros and cons does Poznan have to attract global, high-tech companies? Create amenities or attractive financial packages for global players. Integration between enterprises and research is lacking. Stimulate the connections between enterprises and research institutes. Do larger, high-tech enterprises indeed connect better to research institutes than smaller traditional ones? Which strategy works better, creation of business parks or network platforms? Attract larger, high-tech companies; Create business parks; Create network platforms. Focus on becoming a hub between East and West. Answer to large (institutional and socioeconomic) differences between Eastern and Western EU states. What can Poznan learn from other European cities pursuing similar strategies? Learn from other best practices of Western and Eastern European cities. Poznan is cooperating regionally on a voluntary basis. Extend regional cooperation into a more formal framework. Is a more (powerful) formal regional cooperation both feasible and beneficial? Extend regional cooperation into a more formal framework. Investments in infrastructure are high on the agenda. Prioritize investments in infrastructure (both regionally and internationally). What investments in infrastructure contribute most to urban competitiveness? Invest in those methods that add most to the urban competitiveness. Poznan has weak political connections (nationally and within Europe). Invest in building relationships with national and EU institutions through lobby efforts. What effects does (inter) national networking have on the local economy? If positive, invest in lobby nationally and on EU-level. 99 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas 100 8 Case study Bucharest 8.1Introduction This case study discusses the economic vitality of Bucharest, the capital of Romania. Bucharest, with almost 3 million inhabitants, is the sixth biggest city of Europe. The city is by far the biggest urban agglomeration in the country. Bucharest can be considered as a strong monocentric region; the remaining Romanian cities cannot compete with the capital. As the political and administrative centre of Romania, the city is an attractive location for companies. Many headquarters are based in Bucharest while the production activities are located in other, more rural, parts of Romania. Bucharest is an interesting case study for EMI’s Economic Vitality knowledge and research agenda as its economy faced a quick transformation from an industrial based economy towards a servicebased economy. It is a city with a strategic location within Europe which encounters some strong institutional, accessibility, economic and physical challenges. The economy largely dependent on the economic situation in the EU; for example, the structural funds absorption is two per cent in four years. Moreover the economy is highly sensitive to economic cycles; resulting in higher than average peaks and lower valleys. This case study is based on desk research and in-depth interviews with key actors in Bucharest. There are only a few studies written in English on the urban competitiveness of Bucharest. This study is mainly based on academic articles written by academics of the Bucharest Academy of Economic Studies and the ‘Ion Mincu’ University of Architecture and Urbanism (UAUIM). The Faculty of Urban Planning of UAUIM have conducted several studies for the city of Bucharest, including the General Urban Plan of Bucharest. Further to these articles and studies, reports from the World Bank and European INTERREG Projects were extensively consulted. Besides desk research, this case study is based on two roundtable discussions with urban experts in Bucharest. During the roundtable discussions the main economic challenges of Bucharest Metropolitan Area were discussed with the urban practitioners of the local planning department (CUMP), academics of the ‘Ion Mincu’ University of Architecture and Urbanism, and members of the Romanian Urban Planning Register. Other in-depth interviews include those with representatives of the Ministry of Regional Development and Tourism, Department of Territorial Development and the BucharestIlfov Development Agency. The focus of this case study is based on the questions and information provided by Bucharest’s urban experts. Figure 15 Bucharest General Urban Plan (2000) Source: Bucharest City Council (2000) 101 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas This case study addresses the economic performance of Bucharest as well as the future challenges and threats to the city’s competitiveness position, by analysing the local economic structure of the city and its surrounding region. It remains unclear how Bucharest will mature after its quick transition towards a more knowledge-based economy. Is the economic structure of the city sustained enough to be competitive on the longer term? The aim of this case study is to define research questions that are of particular interest for academics and urban practitioners alike. Scientific research can provide more insights into the causalities between economic indicators and propose policy recommendations to cities. 8.1.1 Bucharest: five characteristics 1. Bucharest as a new European metropolis Romania has been a Member State of the EU since 2007. As a European capital city, Bucharest plays an important role within Central and Eastern Europe. The accession process involved undertaking a vast array of political and economic reforms and the harmonization of national legislation, in order to guarantee the four basic freedoms which are fundamental to EU policies; the free movement of goods, services, capital and labour within the common market. Romania must adhere to the same European conventions as the other Member States. Romania has, however, been placed under severe observa- 123 Interreg 3C (2007) ‘North-South Interface’, by the EU and Metrex, p.87-110: chapter Bucharest, written by Dr. Arch. Victoria-Marinela Berza, on behalf of the Interdisciplinary Centre for Advanced Research on Territorial Dynamics and Prof. Dr. Ioan Ianos, University of Bucharest, tion, due to its insufficient institution building and, at times, an inadequate mechanism for justice control. This problem is similar to the experiences of other former communist countries entering the EU. Romania’s main challenge, however, is to function within the EU given its severe economic disparities. It is a challenge for Bucharest to catch up with the richer cities in the EU. 2. Bucharest as transport node Bucharest is an important transport node in Central and South-Eastern Europe. Romania is located at the intersection of the main Pan-European transportation corridors. Bucharest, for example, is an important node within the INTERREG 3C-program ‘North-South Interface’. According to this report ‘the identification and promotion of polycentric city-regions is essential in order to create a long term vision of better territorial balance within the European Union.’123 The ‘North-South Interface’ connects Helsinki, Vilnius, Warsaw, Bucharest, Sofia, Thessaloniki and Athens with each other. Up till now, it is one the poorest connected areas of Europe, and therefore, the INTERREG project aims to create a better transnational connectivity in this area. Cities located on these nodes will profit from an improved connectivity. 3. Bucharest as a city in transition Although economic transition can be considered as relevant for many European cities, the most interesting examples can be found in Central and Eastern European cities. In the 1990s, these cities underwent the transition from a centrally planned economy towards a market economy followed by a Romania’s transition towards becoming a full-fledged EU Member State. Bucharest is currently experiencing a period of transition from a central-planned economy towards a Romania A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas 102 market-led economy. It is therefore all the more interesting to see how Bucharest’s urban economy is transforming; is there a focus on specific types of economic clusters, areas or market segments? Is the transition process of the central and eastern European countries comparable to the process western and southern European countries experienced some decades ago? The shift from communist times with a dominant public sector, towards market-led private developments, has a strong impact on Bucharest urban economy. Due to this shift, Bucharest underwent a period of strong economic growth resulting in a relatively strong regional competitiveness of the city. It is the aim of this case-study to discuss the competitiveness of Bucharest, and to define the public and private challenges in order to give insight into possible ways to enhance the economic vitality of the city, and its broader metropolitan area. 4. Bucharest as a reconstruction city The current transit period to a market economy favours the spontaneous process of urban developments in Bucharest. Urban developments are mainly market-driven; meaning that they are strongly determined by the private sector and with less restrictions of public spatial planning. This had led to a more or less spontaneous northwards development with booming competitive service sectors and trade areas. The more chaotic development of the 1990s is followed by a more politically driven image in the beginning of the 21st century. In the last years, the city of Bucharest has invested in infrastructure and built many new housing and business areas. Many existing buildings and public and private infrastructure were neglected as a result. It is important; therefore that Bucharest changes the focus from expansion to regeneration and renewal during the next decades and connects the newly built areas. Due to the Bucharest spatial expansion, the actual transformation has a great impact upon the urban quality of life in the city. It is a challenge to generate a proper balance between the quality of the development of the traditional centre, on the one hand, and the expanding of the new peripheral growth centres on the other. 5. Bucharest as an undiscovered city Quality of life, atmosphere, culture and heritage increasingly determine the competitiveness of metropolitan areas. Bucharest is discovering its urban strengths and weaknesses and the city is facing the challenge improving the quality of life and keeping and attracting highly skilled workers and wealthy people and entrepreneurs. Many Romanian people, especially the highly skilled persons, are currently leaving the country and Bucharest is very much burdened by this brain drain phenomenon. On the other hand, there is a growing civil society that is increasingly aware and involved in decisionmaking processes and seeking dialogue with other stakeholders for better policies regarding urban life. The struggle between new infrastructure and the existing urban fabric, just as the struggle between new buildings (abusively built) and heritage have fostered significant (yet incomplete) redefinitions in the professional and social strategies over the past years. Bucharest is trying to find the correct balance between urban development and preservation. 8.2 Institutional Structure of Bucharest The shift from communism towards capitalism has a strong impact on the institutional structure of Bucharest. During the commu- 103 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas nist period, no general urban plan for the whole of Bucharest was drawn-up and/or applied. Since the introduction of marketoriented economic policies, it is the market that determines the actual urban and economic growth of the city. This does not mean, however, that there are not any studies, visions and strategies being written for Bucharest. In the year 2000 the General Urban Plan of Bucharest was approved by the city council. But generally, politicians are experiencing difficulties in actually implementing these types of strategies and studies. The pressure of the market on politicians is high, and the instruments to implement the visions and strategies are weak. Moreover, planning is culturally connected with the communistic period. Paragraph 2.1 describes the governance structure and the current national, regional, local urban plans and policies that are of relevance for Bucharest. Paragraph 2.2 subsequently discusses the initial steps towards the Bucharest Metropolitan Area, arguing that a polycentric development of the Bucharest Metropolitan Area is required, but that there is still a lack of ‘metropolitan thinking’. National government The ‘Strategic Concept of Territorial Development, Romania 2030’ is a strategy to foster Romania’s balanced development and to strengthen its role as a Member State of the EU in a spatially integrated way.124 To 124 Ministry of Development, Public Works and Housing (2008) ‘Strategic Concept of Territorial Development, Romania 2030. Romania a competitive, balanced and prosperous country’, DG for Strategies and Policies for Territorial improve the competitiveness of Romania, the national strategy formulates the ambition to develop a competitive economy by supporting and developing research, innovation activities related to new, high-quality (business) services. The national policy focuses on three key concepts: Polycentrism Strengthening a polycentric and more balanced system of metropolitan areas, city clusters and settlements network. Complementarity Strengthening a balanced settlements structure by building dynamic, attractive and competitive cities and urban regions. Connectivity Developing the national transport and telecommunications system integrated in the European network. The Department Territorial Planning of the Ministry of Regional Development and Tourism has acknowledged the cross-border economic relations of cities in a broader region. The national policy aims for a more polycentric development of Romania, by developing seven so-called ‘urban growth poles’. This policy is focused on the development of seven cities across Romania in order to create a better balance. These urban growth poles actually represent (with one exception) the former ‘secondary cities’ in Romania.125 Bucharest has not been selected as an ‘urban growth pole’ but has instead been designated a special status. Cohesion 125 Register of Romanian Urban Planners (2010) ‘Urbanismul. The Growth Poles in Romania’, 4/2010 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas Regional government Bucharest is part of the Bucharest-Ilfov Region; a non-administrative development 104 region built on the partnership between the local administration authorities of the city of Bucharest and the local administration of the Ilfov Country. It is the deliberative body, without legal status, that is built on and functions on the basis of the partnership principle at the level of each development region.126 The Regional Development Agency Bucharest-Ilfov (ADRBI) is responsible for developing and updating the Regional Development Plan. Moreover, the agency is responsible for an operational program (financed by the EU) in order to increase the economic competitiveness of Romania. It coordinates the drafting and monitoring activities that derive from the regional development policies. The ‘Regional Operational Programme (ROP) 2007-2013’ is financed by the European Regional Development Fund (ERDF). The ROP is focused on five objectives: -- Support of the sustainable development of the towns potential growth poles -- Improvement of the regional and local transport infrastructure -- Improvement of the social infrastructure -- Strengthening of the regional and local business environment -- Tourism sustainable development and promotion The general objective is to increase Romanian companies’ productivity in compliance with the principles of sustainable development, and reducing the disparities when compared to the average productivity of the EU. The ROP is expected to boost the creation and the development of enterprises, mainly SMEs. One of the priority axes is ‘research, technological development and innovation for competitiveness’. The aim is to increase research capacity by investing in the development of research and development (R&D) infrastructure and attracting young researchers and high-level specialists both in R&D institutions (universities and research institutes) and in companies with research departments. Another priority axes is focused on the creation and reinforcement of high-tech firms and the development of poles of excellence and competitiveness.127 Local government Bucharest City Council can be seen as a regional authority, since the city is divided into six administrative units functioning as local governments. Decentralization of the administrative structure of the centralized Romanian government is a difficult process.128 The structure has not changed for 40 years, although it is in need of re-organization. The capital’s organization is often difficult to manage, with the city government headed by a general mayor. Decisions are approved and discussed by a general council made up of 55 elected councillors from different parties. The powers of local government are shared between the Bucharest City Hall and the local sectorial councils, each having specific areas of competence. The Bucharest City Hall is responsi- 126 The regional development board is made up of the mayor of the Ilfov Country Board, the general mayor of the city of Bucharest, a representative of each local sector board and representatives of the local boards within Ilfov country, at parity with the representatives of the sectors of the city of Bucharest. (Source: website of Ministry of Tourism and Regional Development) 127 Ministry of Economy, Trade and Business Environment (2007) ‘Romania, Operational Programme, Increase of Economic Competitiveness’, Regional Policy, European Union 128 Nica, M. and A. Gravis (2009) ‘Public Policies in 105 the Bucharest Metropolitan Area – Inertias and Challenges for Local Administration’. A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas ble for citywide utilities such as the water system, the transport system and the main boulevard, while sectorial councils manage the contact between residents and local government, secondary streets, parks, schools and cleaning services. A significant problem of the six administrative sectors is the large heterogeneity of the sectors. Each of them must deal with all the problems facing Bucharest; from challenges relating specifically to the city historic centre to the particular problems related to the suburbs. Smaller sectors, which are more homogenous and more manageable, have been proposed, but this initiative faded in the light of the political fight for power. A referendum was initiated to ask the residents their opinion about the re-organization of the local administration and the development of the city. The question was whether the residents want to keep the current six decentralized sectors along with a central administration, given their overlapping roles. In the end, the referendum was abandoned since it increasingly became a polarized political discussion. It is unclear if the current and future government structure stimulates or hinders economic development. Bucharest ‘General Urban Plan’ (GUP) is the strategic urban planning tool of the City of Bucharest.129 The plan was adopted by the General City Council of Bucharest in 2000, but was never really put into practice. The plan refers to the time horizon of 2025 and, even though it has of yet not been applied, the validity of the plan has been prolonged to 2013. The GUP is orientated to stimulate the economic, social and spatial growth of 129 General City Council of Bucharest (2000) ‘General Urban Plan Bucharest’, Urban and Metropolitan Planning Centre, City of Bucharest 130 Interrreg 3C (2007) ‘North-South Interface’. A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas the city and its metropolitan territory. It lists the following objectives:130 -- An attractive, liveable and sustainable environment having high density connections over the metropolitan territory -- Clean air, green and secure spaces, an attractive city centre and high quality services, including cultural and recreational amenities -- A high quality of life, also relating to the environment in the city, which will attract mobile and skilled knowledge workers and high value activities -- Redevelopment of the brown field sites and public spaces, an improvement of the local services, adding a plus-value to the city and the city-region -- An efficient urban structure and administrative management of the city, resulting in an efficient consumption of public resources. 8.2.1 Towards a Bucharest Metropolitan Area? As written before, the development of Bucharest is primarily a market-driven development with less public spatial planning restrictions. This led to the possibility for the private partners to obtain authorizations, often informed by political interest, by means of bribery. In some cases, it was even possible to initiate the development of a project without even having prior authorization. In short, it is the private sector that determines the urban developments within the metropolitan area. For example, the market determines the pace of real estate developments resulting in a quick development of commercial real estate (housing, business parks, and shopping malls). The less profitable developments (such as public schools, public hospitals and infrastructure) are lagging behind or not being built at all. 106 They are not being developed at the same pace as the rapidly expanding city. Moreover, new neighbourhoods are being developed adjacent to existing villages around the city. However, the new neighbourhoods that have appeared are not yet sufficiently integrated into a regional public transport network. Public infrastructure and public services continue to be weak in these areas. This has resulted in an imbalanced development of the Bucharest Metropolitan Area, including a more or less spontaneous northwards development with booming competitive service sectors and trade areas. One of the main drivers of the growth in the northern part of the city is the existence of the airport. The existing urban structure of the city of Bucharest is a radial-concentric one, almost a monocentric one, which is in complete contradiction to its actual urban flows. The administrative borders of the city of Bucharest do not correspond with the daily urban systems of the broader region. There is a need for a more polycentric development strategy for the Bucharest Metropolitan Area for different reasons. With a polycentric development of the Bucharest Metropolitan Area the politicians want to achieve: -- Increasing diversity of the metropolis -- Decreasing traffic congestion and the investment pressure -- A more balanced urban structure of the metropolitan area -- A new modern urban image and the new urban landscape cient, the social and economic disparities are higher in comparison with the capital. In the proximity of Bucharest these areas underwent a period of rapidly urbanisation simultaneously with a progressive abandonment of agricultural activities.131 The idea of ‘metropolitan thinking’ started already in 1994 by conducting a first study for a master plan. In 2000 the municipality approved the ‘Bucharest Master Plan’; a plan with a strong focus on a polycentric development of the metropolis.132 In 2003 Bucharest administration decided to finance a complex research with the purpose to make a final document which (1) will approve the Bucharest Metropolitan Areas and (2) will offer a legal framework for regional and local cooperation. One of the results is the development of eight regional parks, around some of the most important urban poles of Bucharest Metropolitan Area (see box 3). Despite the various initiatives and plans it turns out to be difficult to plan the Bucharest Metropolitan Area. This can be explained by a lack of a culture for cooperation; urban practitioners are not used to cooperate with each other. This limits the process of metropolitan thinking and act- 131 Zolin,M. B. (2007) ‘The Extended Metropolitan Area in a New EU Member State: Implications for a Rural Development Approach’, Transition Studies Review, 14 (3), p. 565-573 132 Nica, M. and A. GavriČ™ (2009) ‘Public Policies in the Bucharest Metropolitan Area – Inertias and The expansion of Bucharest comprises an urban area with growing levels of pollution and living costs, as well as dramatically shrinking green areas. In the more rural areas where the infrastructures are insuffi- Challenges for Local Administration’, no. 27, proceeding of the 5th Administration and Public Management International Conference Bucharest, Research Centre in Public Administration and Public Services, Bucharest 107 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas Box 3 Bucharest’s Regional Parks of Activities In order to stimulate a more polycentric development of Bucharest, eight ‘regional parks of activities’ are identified. These parks will comprise some of the smaller villages and will attract the attention for actors interested in infrastructure and development. These parks were created by means of a mutual agreement between urban actors involved and they are located in the surrounding areas of the city centre. It takes the pressure off the overstrained real estate market of Bucharest as well as the villages can profit more of the capital’s urban facilities. The concentration of economic, research or entertainment activities around the territories of these administrative centres transform the areas into future metropolitan poles of development, and thus contribute to the balance of the development process in the entire metropolitan area. Every ‘regional park of activities’ has a different development plan based on specific existing resources and future potential. In the Bucharest Metropolitan Area thirteen metropolitan regional parks are defined as ‘urban development poles’.133 In reality, these development poles seem to be mainly ignored by the local authorities. ing.134 Over the past couple of years, there have been several proposals made to change the Romanian administrative organization, but not one of these proposals has actually been implemented.135 In fact, the national government remains the only one capable to support a polycentric develop- 133 General City Council of Bucharest (2003) ‘Regional Territory Arrangement Plan’, Urban and Metropolitan Planning Centre, City of Bucharest 134 Tuclea, C.E., G. Tigu, D. Popescu (2008) ‘Economic, social and legal arguments for the foundation of the Bucharest Metropolitan Area’, International Journal of Economic Policy Studies, vol.3, article 6, pp. 119-136 135 ALMA-RO Association (2006) ‘The Bucharest Metropolitan Area – a challenge for public administration’, in partnership with the Institute for Public Policy 136 Transportation Master Plan is approved by the city council in 2000, and updated in 2008. A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas ment of the area and by attracting both actors and finance for the development of Bucharest Metropolitan Area. One way in which this can be accomplished is by creating a transport system that strives for a compact structure of the city.136 To sum up, urban practitioners in Bucharest have less influence on actual decision-making processes. Local policymakers lack adequate fiscal and/or juridical instruments to help them determine and steer urban developments. The planning instruments of the city of Bucharest are seen as weak and have little influence on the current imbalanced and uncontrolled development of the broader city-region. Despite several initiatives to establish the Bucharest Metropolitan Area, the (political) focus is still very much on the city of Bucharest rather than on the city and its surrounding region. A more polycentric development of Bucharest might support 108 the development of the Bucharest Metropolitan Area. But as long as the six local administrative units continue to act against initiatives such as the development of ‘regional parks of activities’, the Bucharest Metropolitan Area will also continue to only exist on paper. old economic and financial structures transformed and adapted slowly as well as the bureaucratic culture inherent to many old institutions. During the last years, the overall business climate has constantly improved and economic indicators are looking much healthier. The transition resulted in a boost of the urban economy of Bucharest and the city rapidly expanded. 8.3 Economic Vitality of Bucharest 8.3.1 Bucharest urban economic structure Since the early 1990s, Romania has shifted towards a free market economy. Like in many countries in Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union, turning a command economy into a market economy has proved to be a challenging process. Successive governments in Romania have found it difficult to turn the economy around because of a lack of a hard currency and the inability to secure external funds due to the country’s high budget deficits. These high budget deficits had been largely accumulated by the financing of inefficient state industries. The Figure 16 Composition of Bucharest’s economic structure Today’s economic structure Bucharest’s economy transformed into a service-driven and consumption-orientated economy; 70 per cent of the economic activities is service-related (see Figure 14). The tertiary service sector is important with a strong contribution of advanced ICT, telecommunication, services, as well as the banking sector (finance). Due to a high tempo of real estate development, the city faced a strong urban growth resulting in an increasing pressure on the urban fringe of Bucharest. This was caused by the rising standards of living and the increased availability of credit for automobiles and housing. The rising living standard resulted in a high consumption of luxury goods, such as cars, televisions and mobile phones. Shopping centres, as a new concept of leisure, turned out to be very popular. The current generation living in Bucharest has more opportunities to spend their money in comparison with the previous generation(s). The industrial activities reduced to 20 per cent of the economic activities of the city, which can be explained by the outsourcing of industrial companies to other, more peripheral parts of the country. The real estate sector highly profited of an increasing demand for new apartments in Bucharest, and its surrounding region. New neighbourhoods have been built in the outskirts of the city, and especially in the north- 109 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas Figure 17 Source: Shutterstock 102237562 ern part of Bucharest new business districts are built by private developers. The construction sector contributes with 10 per cent strongly to the urban economy and is one of the major growth sectors of Bucharest’s economy. The urban economy is also strongly driven by foreign direct investments (FDI). The National Bank of Romania (BNR) stated that FDI is unevenly distributed in Romania. According to BNR data for the years 20032006, the region Bucharest-Ilfov recorded over 60 per cent of total FDI, with the other seven developmental regions in Romania sharing the rest. In the first quarter of 2011, FDI in Romania dropped with 22 per cent compared to the same period of 2010. 137 Website BUC online: http://www.buconline.ro/ Analysts say that investors lost interest in the local market, with exceptions for companies in the automotive industry, mainly due to the global economic crisis.137 Of all East European cities, Bucharest is in the top three of highest FDI after Moscow and Prague. Many foreign companies invest in Bucharest because of the low wages of Bucharest’s work force. The rising land prices of Bucharest, however, might make the city less attractive for companies. The prices of the surrounding areas are noticeably lower in comparison to the prices in Bucharest. Bucharest and the crisis Despite steady economic growth since 2000, Romania started to show signs of recession in the fourth quarter of 2008, in line with the economies around the world. The effects of the recession became deeper in 2009 and the decline of the economy has continued in foreign_investments_romania.htm A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas 110 2010. Since Romania’s main export partner, the European Union, is still facing consequences of the recession, the industry is experiencing a significant contraction. During the coming years, the city has to deal with a lack of investment capital of the private partners and major government cuts. The purchase of homes is slowing down as loans become more difficult. Development projects are likely to be postponed, or even never be realized. Despite this situation, there is a clear need to catch up on infrastructure. A new airport rail link is now operating from the city centre and new metro extensions are planned.138 Public investment, especially in infrastructure but also in refurbishing public spaces or historic areas, seems to have taken the lead because 2011 is a pre-electoral year. Through investments the local government is trying to obtain citizens’ votes. But perhaps the crisis saved Bucharest from a real estate bubble since the crisis slowed down the pace of real estate development. The crisis took off the pressure on the real estate market and slow down the quick, and uncontrolled, urban growth of Bucharest. The crisis might cause a more stable and sustainable growth of Bucharest on the longer term. 8.4 SWOT analysis This paragraph discusses the strengths and weaknesses, opportunities and threats of the urban economy in a so-called SWOTanalysis. The urban economy of Bucharest is competitive in South-East Europe, but it is uncertain whether the city can maintain its competitive position in the long-run. The SWOT-analysis (see Table 13) covers five features of the urban economy: labour market and education, accessibility and infrastructure, government structure, urban de- velopment patterns and economic structure.139 8.5Conclusions This paragraph discusses the main observations of Bucharest’s case study by translating the observations into future challenges (and threats) facing the urban economy of Bucharest. For some of these challenges the necessary way to achieve them is clear, whereas in the case of other challenges (more) scientific research is required. By defining research questions and policy implications it is possible to connect ‘research’ with ‘urban practice’. Table 14 discusses research questions which require more indepth and fundamental academic research. After a period of strong economic growth, caused by the transition towards a service economy under a capitalist regime, the economic growth of Bucharest slowed down due to the financial and economic crisis of 2008. During the coming years, the private sector will have less investment power and the government will have to make major financial cuts. European funds will most likely be the only stable form of income. These streams are mainly invested in regional projects in order to, for example, stimulate a polycentric urban development within Romania. One of Bucharest’s main challenges is how to improve its urban competitiveness. Bucharest risks becoming a so-called American ‘donut-city’, in which all rich peo- 138 Nae, M. and D. Turnock (2011) ‘The new Bucharest: Two decades of restructuring’, Cities, nr. 28, p. 206-219 139 These five features are selected on the basis of 111 desk research and interviews with key actors in the metropolitan area. A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas Figure 18 Source: Shutterstock 97474199 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas 112 ple are moving out the inner-city to the surrounding municipalities. How to determine and create an institutional advantage for local entities if and when they decide to work together? initiatives such as the development of ‘regional parks of activities’, the Bucharest Metropolitan Area will also continue to only exist on paper. The research questions posed in table 14 are mainly focused on Bucharest’s economic transition process. When analyzing the economic vitality of Bucharest it is important to take a city’s path-dependency into account. The future development pattern of Bucharest’s economy is uncertain. Given the current situation, it is likely that the city will transform into a European metropolis with a more Western European economic profile, dominated by knowledge economy and advanced services production. But on the other hand, sustainability, quality of life, and creative industries – typically Western European topics – are not (yet) on the political agenda. What will the future hold with respects to this? Will the politicians realize that the current urban economic growth of the Bucharest Metropolitan Area is not sufficiently sustainable? Will they realize that changes are needed if Bucharest wishes to maintain its competitive position in the longrun? In any case, scientific research on the economic challenges facing Bucharest is necessary and will be especially interesting to analyse in Central and Eastern European cities, as little known about the economic development patterns of these cities. Too often a Western European view is used for analyzing and assessing these cities. Therefore, further research on the challenges and questions addressed in this case study can be highly valuable. This case study is mainly focused on the city of Bucharest rather than the Bucharest Metropolitan Area. As there is no such thing as a the Bucharest Metropolitan Area as of yet, this is understandable. Despite several initiatives to establish the Bucharest Metropolitan Area, the (political) focus remains on the city of Bucharest rather than on the city and its surrounding metropolitan region. A more polycentric development of Bucharest might support the development of the Bucharest Metropolitan Area. But, as was stated earlier, as long as the six local administrative units continue to act against 113 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas Table 13 SWOT Analysis Labour market and education Strengths Bucharest labour market is characterized by a pool of good employees; (1) a majority of the employees have a university degree140, (2) the wages of the work force are relatively low, and (3) the working ethos of the employees is attractive for (foreign) companies. Romanian people are eager to learn and they pick up new languages quite easily. Impact of the new ‘teaching law’ concerning the continuity to produce highly skilled specialists. Weaknesses The brain drain of highly-skilled young professionals illustrates a weakness of the Bucharest urban economy, namely the inability to keep the ‘first class’ students in the city. After graduation many young professionals move away to more attractive career opportunities abroad. Opportunities The main opportunity is to create more jobs for highly-skilled people in Bucharest, for example, by investing in innovative enterprises. There is, however, only a limited budget available for innovation and Romanian entrepreneurs are not so much focused on invest in research and development (R&D). Nowadays, there are not enough jobs available for highly-skilled people, which cause a mismatch in the labour market. Young professionals with a university degree often have low-skilled jobs. Bucharest should make optimal use of the Romanian young professionals abroad. Threats The quick transformation of the economy has resulted in a mismatch in the labour market. This necessitates the re-training of employees having to change their career focus. Since it is unclear which main economic sectors in Bucharest will prevail in the long run, it is also unclear what kind of training programs is required (now and in the future). Accessibility and infrastructure Strengths Trucks are not allowed in the inner city of Bucharest. The trucks have to transfer their goods and products to smaller vans in order to reduce the CO²-emission. Bucharest has a good metro-system, but more metrolines are needed to connect the neighbourhoods with the city centre. Weaknesses Bucharest’s infrastructure is strongly orientated towards car traffic. There are only a few restrictions to car parking; often car parking facilities are free of charge or extremely cheap. Footpaths and public spaces are often filled with cars blocking the way and/or making a mess of public space. Local politicians are hesitant of introducing unpopular measures (in order to reduce car traffic) in case of losing voters. Instead, increasing numbers of parking spaces are being planned as well as high-speed roads cutting the city. Opportunities The development of a new inner ring road in Bucharest can be a solution to reduce the congestion, as well as enlarging sections of the outer ring. This ring road could improve the accessibility of the city and it could connect the city with the new neighbourhoods. The accessibility of the city can only be improved in combination with investments made in public transport and cycling lanes. Introduce higher prices for paid parking and road pricing to reduce car use. By introducing a parking tariff in the city centre, people might choose public transport over the car as use of the latter would become more expensive. Threats A threat for the accessibility of the city is the lack of attention for public transport. The attention is focused too much on road-infrastructure, rather than on improving the accessibility by investing in public transport (new metro-lines) or cycling lanes in order to support cycling in the city. For example, the materials used for the cycling lanes are not fit for use, resulting in damaged bike tires. There is also great discontinuity between and fragmentation of existing bike lanes. All this points to the fact that Bucharest’s government authorities are underutilizing the opportunities to learn from other cities’ experiences and practices. 140 Some of these degrees were obtained by the so-called ‘university plants’; private universities which attracted people because they provided easy obtainable diplomas. A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas 114 Government structure Strengths Strong link between ‘public sector’ and ‘universities’. Universities often participate in public tenders together with private companies. Due to low costs of students, universities can offer attractive prices in these tender procedures and often win assignments made by various authorities. This explains the strong link between the public sector and universities. Weaknesses Politicians, under pressure of the private sector, have a strong influence on urban planning decisions. This governance structure can result in arbitrary planning decisions and missed opportunities for a more balanced, and integral, development. Opportunities Create more balanced public-private partnerships by giving the public authorities more instruments. Up till now, the power of the public sector has been limited since they do not have the instruments to actually implement the plans they are making. Threats Lack of a formal government authority at the metropolitan scale limits an effective cooperation between the city of Bucharest and the villages in the surrounding region. Moreover there is a lack of experienced people in the key positions in local authorities responsible for implementing the strategies and policies defined by academics and policy-makers. Despite a lot of good studies, there is lack of implementation, monitoring and controlling leading to a lack of results. Urban development patterns Strengths There is a growing acknowledgement that the urban development pattern of Bucharest needs to be changed. Several studies are pointing towards the unbalanced and non-sustainable changes of the metropolis. Since last year there is a new law which improves the conditions for public-private partnerships. In addition, first steps have been made towards a true dialogue between public authority and civil society. Weaknesses Bucharest has developed in an unbalanced way; there is a (strong) difference between the northern and southern parts of the city. Moreover, the new neighbourhoods, and some of the old neighbourhoods as well, are lacking public services (i.e. public hospitals, green spaces, and public schools) and are poorly connected to public transport facilities. This makes people increasingly dependent on the car. Another weakness is the unsuccessful development of eight ‘regional parks of activities’ in the Bucharest Metropolitan Area. Opportunities The redevelopment of brown field sites is a good opportunity for a future urban (and economic) growth of Bucharest. This can result in a more compact and sustainable development of the city, and an optimal use of available land. Threats There is a threat for ‘free-riders’ behaviour of private actors since the public authority cannot enforce them to develop neighbourhoods in a more integral way. It explains why the development of public services is staying behind. It is a challenge to confine the private partners to invest in the ‘quality of life’ of Bucharest, by investing in green space or heritage. Economic structure Strengths The strength of the Bucharest economy is its ‘gateway function’ within Central and Eastern Europe. Logistics and transport activities are an important part of the ‘service-profile’ of Bucharest. The improvement of the physical connection with port-city Constanta will give a new boost to the urban economy of Bucharest. Weaknesses Lack of transparency and legitimacy of Romanian rules and regulations for business. Especially for SMEs the procedures are difficult to understand and are very time-consuming. Opportunities Bucharest has a high investment potential. The dynamics of the urban economy attracts many investors and the economy provides various money-making opportunities. Main opportunity for Bucharest is to make a shift from a service-based economy towards a more knowledge-based economy. Moreover, the city should profit more of the city’s historical values in order to enhance the quality of life in the city. Instead of mere solution-based policies, a real vision for Bucharest with proactive strategies should be developed. Threats Bucharest has attracted many foreign companies with its low costs (which explain the high percentage of FDI). Strong dependency on FDI, and low cost companies, can be a threat for the economic situation of Bucharest. It is a challenge for Bucharest to keep these companies in the city –especially given the rising prices (for land and labour). 115 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas Table 14 Observation of the case study translated into challenges, research questions and policy implications Government structure Challenges Research questions Policy implications Bucharest is a highly congested city. Improve the accessibility of the city by discouraging car ownership and stimulating new ways of sustainable transport. What is the impact of paid parking/road pricing on the economic vitality of the city? Taking into account the negative externalities of congestion, the politicians must take unpopular decisions in order to discourage car use. Urban developments in Bucharest are dominated by the market. Initiate public-private partnerships in order to stimulate a more controlled urban and economic growth. Division of tasks between public and private actors within a market-driven economy: what kind of governance model works? Which instruments should be used Start with more informal public-private collaboration and support bottom-up initiatives. Many foreign companies – attracted by low labour costs- are located in Bucharest (resulting in a high % of FDI). How to keep these foreign companies in Bucharest given rising labour costs and the fact that other countries are becoming more attractive for low cost companies? How can an economy – that strongly depends on FDI – mature towards a more modern and stable economy? Maintain the attractiveness of the economy for (foreign) companies, for example by enhancing the relationships between the foreign companies and local suppliers. Brain drain of highly skilled people caused by a lack of high-skilled jobs. Creating more highskilled jobs by changing ‘low quality’ services into ‘high quality’ service requiring more knowledge, experience and skills. How did former industrial cities make the shift towards a knowledge economy? Which conditions are required for this shift? Public-private investments in technology parks or research centres to stimulate a more knowledge-based economy. Inhabitants have low expectations regarding the quality of urban life. Empowering people and aiding community development should result in more accountable and responsible administration. How to raise the awareness and the urban culture of inhabitants facing difficulties in their daily lives? The growing civil society in Bucharest could be an opportunity to enforce a real implementation of the participation law of 2010. Suburbanization: rich people are moving out of the inner city resulting in a daily commuting pattern of half a million people. Create a balanced development of the city and reducing commuter patterns by a more integral urban development. How can the negative effects of urban, and economic, growth be reduced by public and private partners? Suburbanization requires collaboration between the city of Bucharest and surrounding municipalities. A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas 116 9. Conclusion This chapter discusses the main research challenges identified by researchers and urban practitioners and describes the next steps towards a fully-fledged multiannual demand driven research program. The relationship between metropolitan areas and the urban economy raises a multitude of complex but actual questions. This agenda translates academic research into more concrete policy-driven economic questions relevant for cities and identifies economic challenges (and threats) for metropolitan areas in the near future. The aim of this agenda is to list the structural questions that cities would like to address. Future European research programmes could use the building blocks from this agenda to stimulate practically driven scientific research. In this way researchers and practitioners work together on effective economic strategies for vital metropolitan areas. 9.1 Results Case Studies The negative influence of the financial and economic crisis is visible in the case studies. Especially Madrid is strongly hit by the crisis resulting in high unemployment figures, especially amongst youth and migrants. The city should make a shift from a traditional urban economic strategy (focused on infrastructure projects and traditional economic sectors) towards a strategy in which humans are the central focal points. In a knowledgebased economy it is all about attracting and maintaining human capital. Quality of lifeindicators, such as a green, safe, and quiet living environment and a diverse offer of high-end amenities and services, are gaining importance. This might be one of the main reasons why Munich is such an attractive city for knowledge workers. Munich offers a good quality of life and is lucky to have the Alps on a short distance for recreation facilities. The competition between metropolitan areas is likely to be dominated by qualitative indicators rather than the traditional quantitative indicators since all cities want to attract new knowledge workers. The availability of good education for the children of the expats is gaining importance. It is crucial that economic vital metropolitan areas have an attractive and diverse central inner city with culture, monuments, leisure, and quality of public space. Metropolitan regions need an inspiring heart which attracts highly skilled workers and the creative class. In this respect, the ideas of Richard Florida are crucial. Quality of life is a fundamental quality of competitive metropolitan areas. The case study Munich shows the importance of a long-term strategy and focus on entrepreneurship and R&D. There are identical experiences in innovative regions as brainport Eindhoven, Helsinki and Stockholm. Economic vitality demands a long-term focus and continuity in economic policy. This continuity is missing in the case study of Madrid where there is an instable urban and national economic situation. 9.2 Research Challenges The case studies illustrate that the metropolitan areas struggle in defining their (research) questions and challenges. This might cause the ‘copy paste’ behaviour of metropolitan areas, since they do not know how they actually should enhance the urban economy. Cities are stimulating the development of science parks and are formulating policies to attract the creative class without knowing whether these policies are effective. They often ignore to pose the fundamental question if this policy is supported by 117 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas economic analyses. In other words: whether these policies are actually solving the more specific urban problems remains unknown. Metropolitan areas face the dilemma of investing in practical short term solutions on the one hand or to execute economic analyses and formulate long-term strategies on the other hand. The current political climate is, however, mainly focused on short term solutions. By defining a Smart Specialisation Strategy (S³), regions are stimulated to focus on a selected number of economic sectors. The idea being that it is easier to develop (inter)national competitive economic clusters if your priorities your expenses. importance of metropolitan areas. Therefore, metropolitan areas, scientists, national research councils and the European Union should work on a long-term economic metropolitan research agenda. The triumph of the city continuous worldwide and Europe with its attractive and diverse cities has to invest in metropolitan areas to benefit from the attractiveness many cities have. All urban practitioners underlined the importance of metropolitan areas for the national and European economy. This, however, does not mean that national governments prioritize their policy efforts on these areas. Some governments focus on regions that underperform, whereas other countries intensify the regional government or mainly invest in these metropolitan areas. The urban practitioners indicated that they are in need for tools, information and evidence to convince other governments with facts and figures and effective strategies of the importance of urban economies. There is a quest for further research on the economic vitality of metropolitan areas. More evidence-based and policy-driven research is needed to define the underlying structural mechanisms. So far, remarkably little research has been carried out on the economic aspects, effective economic strategies and local, regional and national economic impact of metropolitan areas within the EU. This confirms the observation that metropolitan areas are neglected in European economic debates. Metropolitan areas should be put high on the European agenda and at the same time cities find it hard to quantify and qualify the economic A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas The urban economy can no longer be analysed by only taking into account purely economic facts and figures; it is about quantity and quality. The urban economy is too diverse, dynamic and complex. Many aspects influence the economic vitality of a metropolitan area: from housing policy, city marketing, quality of public space and green areas to regional governance towards accessibility and connectivity. Integral and coordinated policies and strategies based on sound economic analyses are needed. The urban reality of cities has turned out to be much more complicated and persistent than initially expected. Even the selected four sub themes of competitiveness: knowledge and innovation, labour market and education, entrepreneurship and modernisation and adaption do not include the main challenges observed in the four case studies. Policy makers and politicians seem to lack sufficient knowledge of urban reality and are not able to organise the exchange of knowledge. They often do not have sufficient knowledge of actual outcomes of their policies on particular areas. For example, clear evaluations are scarce. Moreover, cities have difficulties to prioritise their objectives and do not know whether they should invest in sector A, B or C? During times of recession cities are often forced to make hard choices. Is it better to choose for only one specific sector or large project, or do all economic sectors deserve the same amount of attention (and money)? Especially in times of major cut offs of gov- 118 vitality of metropolitan areas. Therefore the research programme or other European programmes should reserve budget and space for knowledge exchange and learning within and between metropolitan areas. ernment expenses, these questions are highly relevant for cities. What can cities and regions effectively do for the urban economy within a limited budget? Cooperation is essential and public and private partners should focus on preventing overlapping policies and projects. The economic vitality of metropolitan areas includes a broad range of qualitative and quantitative assets. There is, however, a lack of methodology and data to analyse qualitative assets of urban economies such as quality of life. The lack of a metropolitan database limits the possibilities of quantitative research. To obtain clear evidence on the economic performance of European cities, more quantitative research is required. The future research agenda therefore should have enough budget for sound and transparent data collection, analyses and metropolitan comparisons. Metropolitan areas indicate that they have strong needs for comparative research on a long-term basis. They are interested in the way in which other cities are enhancing their economic vitality. By monitoring these cities for several years, interesting outputs about effective economic policies can result. So there is a high level of support amongst metropolitan areas for initiating a long-term, in-depth research project analysing economic vitality. Many questions about the role that cities play are still unanswered and various metropolitan areas indicate that they have strong needs for comparative research. The research should focus on quantitative and qualitative indicators of the urban economy in order to explain the underlying dynamics of the urban economy and to gather insight in the meaning of the quantitative rankings and benchmarks. Research should then try to establish links between these different sets of assets and the economic For cities and regions it is a challenge to remain economically vital and have a sufficient quality of life, be able to compete with other cities and regions and results in actual jobs, profits, and wealth for their people and business. The degree of entrepreneurial activity is one of the main determinants for the level of competitiveness of metropolitan areas. The of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in the local and regional economy is essential as well as clear cut information on the (dis)advantages of both economically diversified and economically specialized metropolitan areas. A crucial question in this regard is how cities can actually develop the right conditions for economic activities in order to create an entrepreneurial economy that is diverse, robust and competitive at the same time. This agenda is a discussion and inspiration document in the current process of metropolitan areas to structurally strengthen the regional, and even national, economy. Although the agenda is supposed to be carried out by scientists and practitioners, the main focal points are firms and entrepreneurs within the metropolitan areas. 9.3 Research Questions Further research should first investigate the urban economy from a wide range of factors; both quantitative assets (economic facts and figures) as well as qualitative assets (concepts as quality of life and cultural diversity). Research should then try to establish links between these different sets of assets and the economic vitality of metro- 119 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas politan areas. In this way, a more comprehensive and empirically-informed understanding of the economic performance of metropolitan areas can be obtained. By addressing questions that are of high relevance for metropolitan areas, research will be demand-driven. After all, metropolitan areas are actually facing the future challenges (and threats) of economic vitality. More evidence-based research is required to fully understand the underlying mechanisms. -- What is the relation between productivity and competitiveness of metropolitan areas? -- How can urban economic policy be defined? In what way can it be applied effectively? -- How can cooperation between certain (public and private) actors contribute to the economic vitality of metropolitan areas? -- Which financial incentives are attractive, accessible and sustainable in order to enhance the start-up (or expansion of existing) of SMEs? -- How can metropolitan areas make a valuable contribution to the European Commission’s new ten year growth strategy: Europe 2020? -- Which (policy) interventions may strengthen the competitive position of metropolitan areas? -- How to organise, strengthen and define smart results for the triple helix structure in a city or metropolitan area? -- What explains the differences in economic growth patterns between European metropolitan areas? -- What is the multiplier of attracting highly skilled knowledge (creative) workers? -- What is the impact of a liveable highly qualitative inner city on the urban competitiveness? A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas -- How can the negative external effects of urban, and economic, growth be reduced by public and private actors? 9.4 Next Steps The European Metropolitan network Institute (EMI) is willing to take up the challenge to fulfil the research lacunas with practice-led research projects and programs. EMI proposes to create and build a multiannual knowledge and research programme of, for and by cities and region and their urban stakeholders. The ultimate goal and ambition is to invest in the future by further developing knowledge on creative and innovative solutions to current and future challenges. In this way cities will have a stronger voice on national and European decisionmaking levels. With a robust and committed programme, the consortium will be able to apply for further EU (co-)funding. Investing in the further establishment of a joint multiannual programme on economic vitality will ensure that individual efforts of cities and their stakeholders are multiplied (both content-wise and financially). This programme, facilitated by EMI, builds on existing research and knowledge and brings together cities and other important stakeholders, such as business, together. The aim is to create a strictly ‘research-based, practice-led’ programme firmly rooted in a solutions-oriented approach. This Knowledge and Research Agenda is the first step towards a multiannual research programme. Based on this agenda, EMI will identify the possible opportunities to take the agenda to a higher level. Preferably within a divers consortium of partners varying from cities to universities to (semi)-public and private organisations. 120 121 A Strategic Knowledge and Research Agenda on Economic Vitality of European Metropolitan Areas