The sun, climate change and the expansion of the Scythians after

advertisement
The sun, climate change and
the expansion of the Scythians
after 850 BC
Bas van Geel
Institute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics (IBED), Research Group Paleoecology and Landscape Ecology,
Faculty of Science, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Kruislaan 318, 1098 SM Amsterdam, The Netherlands
vanGeel@science.uva.nl
14C-dates
of the ‘Terp’-phase of
West-Friesland
wood and charcoal from ditches, pits and wells
2760 ±35 BP
2745 ±30 BP
2745 ±30 BP
2740±40 BP
2710±35 BP
2690±25 BP
2685±30 BP
2650±30 BP
2620±20 BP
This phase represents ca 140 14C-‘years’,
but probably only ca 60 calendar years.
This is the period of a fast increase of
delta 14C, and also the period of the start
of the ‘Younger Sphagnum Peat’.
(S. imbricatum: oceanic conditions)
Acknowledgements:
Bas van Geel and other members of the research team got
financial support from:
- The Netherlands Organization for Scientific Research (NWO
047.009.005; ALW 750-19-812).
- INTAS (project 03-51-4445),
- EU 5th Framework Programme, Energy and Environment
(ACCROTELM project; EVK2-2002-00166).
Illustrations used in the powerpoint presentation:
2: Blytt-Sernander scheme from Birks and Birks, 1980.
3: Map of southern Norway (van Geel, 2004), based on an
map by Blytt (1882).
4 and 22: Raised bog profile in Bargerveen area (northwest
Netherlands; photo B. van Geel). The arrow in 4 points to the
Subboreal-Subatlantic transition.
5: From Landwehr, 1984.
6 and 7: Details of leaves of Sphagnum cuspidatum and
Sphagnum imbricatum (photo B. van Geel).
8: Selection of macrofossil data from raised bog profile
Engbertsdijksveen-I (van Geel, 1978).
11: Radiocarbon calibration curve (Stuiver et al., 1998).
12: From De Jong et al., 1979.
18: From van Geel et al., 1999.
19, 20 and 46: from van Geel and Renssen,1998.
23 and 25: after van Geel et al., 1996.
24: Aerial photograph showing soil marks from Bronze Age
settlement in West-Friesland, The Netherlands (photo W.H.
Metz, IPP, UvA).
26: Ruinen-Wommels pottery type (photo BAI, RuG).
27: Migrations in the northern Netherlands at the SubborealSubatlantic transition (from Waterbolk, 1966).
28: Cartoon showing development of landscape in northern
Netherlands (after van Geel et al., 1998).
29: Gaillard and Berglund (1988). For reference and
paleoclimatological interpretation see van Geel et al.,1998.
30: Excavated wooden trackway in Ireland (Raftery, 1990).
31: From Raftery (1990).
32: From Raftery (1990) with relevant part of 14C calibration
curve and delta 14C added by Bas van Geel.
33: Bog oak from Diemen, The Netherlands (photo B. van
Geel).
34: Dutch bog oak record and delta 14C (van Geel, Jansma
and van der Plicht, in prep).
35: After Speranza et al. (2002).
36: Abstracts by Kroonenberg et al., and Gracheva (for
references see van Geel et al., 2004).
37 and 38: from Grunert et al., 2000 (for reference see van
Geel et al., 2004).
39 and 40: Excavation scythian burial mount Arzhan-2, Tuva
(photo H. Hooghiemstra).
41: Scythian kurgan 5 from Pazaryk, after Rudenko.
43: White Lake near Arzhan-2 in Tuva (photo H.
Hooghiemstra).
44: Pollen diagram Kutuzhekovo Lake (for interpretation see
van Geel et al., 2004).
45: Radiocarbon dates from archaeological sites in Khakassia
and Tuva (see van Geel et al., 2004).
48 and 49: See van Geel et al. (1998).
50, 51 and 52: see Magny (1993a,b).
REFERENCES:
Birks, H.J.B. and Birks, H.H., 1980. Quaternary
Palaeoecology. Edward Arnold, London
Blaauw, M., Heuvelink, G.B.M., Mauquoy, D., van der Plicht,
J. and van Geel, B., 2003. A numerical approach to 14C
wiggle-match dating of organic deposits: best fits and
confidence intervals. Quaternary Science Reviews 22: 14851500.
Blaauw, M., van Geel, B. and van der Plicht, J., 2004. Solar
forcing of climate change during the mid-Holocene:
indications from raised bogs in The Netherlands. The
Holocene 14: 35-44.
Blaauw, M., van Geel, B., Mauquoy, D. and van der Plicht, J.,
2004. Carbon-14 wiggle-match dating of peat deposits:
advantages and limitations. Journal of Quaternary Science 19:
177-181.
Blytt, A., 1882. Die Theorie der wechselnden kontinentalen
und insularen Klimate. Botanische Jahrbücher für Systematik,
Pflanzengeschichte und Pflanzengeographie 2: 1-50.
De Jong, A.F.M. et al., 1979. Confirmation of the Suess
wiggles: 3200 - 3700 BC, Nature 280: 48-49.
Dergachev, V.A., Raspopov, O.M., van Geel, B. and Zaitseva,
G.I., 2004. The ‘Sterno-Etrussia’ geomagnetic excursion
around 2700 BP and changes of solar activity, cosmic ray
intensity, and climate. Radiocarbon 46: 661-681.
Dirksen, V.G. and van Geel, B., 2004. Mid to Late Holocene
climate change and its influence on cultural development in
south central Siberia. In: E.M. Scott, A.Yu. Alekseev and G.
Zaitseva (eds) Impact of the environment on human migration
in Eurasia. NATO Science Series, IV. Earth and
Environmental Sciences 42: 291-307.
Kilian, M.R., van der Plicht, J. and van Geel, B., 1995. Dating
raised bogs: new aspects of AMS 14C wiggle matching, a
reservoir effect and climatic change. Quaternary Science
Reviews 14: 959-966.
Landwehr J., 1984. Nieuwe Atlas Nederlandse Bladmossen.
Stichting Uitgeverij Koninklijke Nederlandse
Natuurhistorische Vereniging en Thieme, Zutphen, 568 pp,
474 pl.
Magny, M., 1993a. Solar influences on Holocene climatic
changes illustrated by correlations between past lake-level
fluctuations and the atmospheric 14C record. Quaternary
Research 40: 1-9.
Magny, M., 1993b. Un cadre climatique pour les habitats
lacustres préhistoriques? Compte Rendu de l'Académie des
Sciences Paris 316: (Série II): 1619-1625.
Mauquoy, D., van Geel, B., Blaauw, M. and van der Plicht, J.,
2002. Evidence from northwest European bogs shows ‘Little
Ice Age’ climatic changes driven by variations in solar
activity. The Holocene 12: 1-6.
Mauquoy, D., van Geel, B., Blaauw, M., Speranza, A. and van
der Plicht, J., 2004. Changes in solar activity and Holocene
climate shifts derived from 14C wiggle-match dated peat
deposits. The Holocene 14: 45-52.
Raftery, B., 1990. Trackways Through Time. Headline
Publishing, Dublin. ISBN: 0951576100.
Renssen, H., van Geel, B., van der Plicht, J. and Magny, M.,
2000. Reduced solar activity as a trigger for the start of the
Younger Dryas? Quaternary International 68-71: 373-383.
Speranza, A., van der Plicht, J. and van Geel, B. 2000.
Improving the time control of the Subboreal/Subatlantic
transition in a Czech peat sequence by 14C wiggle-matching.
Quaternary Science Reviews 19: 1589-1604.
Speranza, A., van Geel, B. and van der Plicht, J., 2002.
Evidence for solar forcing of climate change at ca. 850 cal BC
from a Czech peat sequence. Global and Planetary Change 35:
51-65.
Stuiver, M. et al., 1998, INTCAL98 radiocarbon age
calibration, 24,000-0 cal BP. Radiocarbon 40: 1041-1084.
van der Plicht, J., van Geel, B., Bohncke, S.J.P., Bos, J.A.A.,
Blaauw, M., Speranza, A.O.M., Muscheler, R. and Björck, S.,
2004. Early Holocene solar forcing of climate change in
Europe. Journal of Quaternary Science 19: 263-269.
van Geel, B., 1978. A palaeoecological study of Holocene
peat bog sections in Germany and the Netherlands. Rev.
Palaeobot. Palynol., 25: 1-120.
van Geel, B., 2004. Zijn wij schuldig aan klimaatverandering
of is het de zon? GEA 37 (4): 126-131.
van Geel, B. and Mook, W.G., 1989. High-resolution 14C
dating of organic deposits using natural atmospheric 14C
variations. Radiocarbon 31: 151-156.
van Geel, B., Buurman, J. and Waterbolk, H.T., 1996.
Archaeological and palaeoecological indications for an abrupt
climate change in The Netherlands and evidence for
climatological teleconnections around 2650 BP. Journal of
Quaternary Science 11: 451-460.
van Geel, B., van der Plicht, J., Kilian, M.R., Klaver, E.R.,
Kouwenberg, J.H.M., Renssen, H., Reynaud-Farrera, I. and
Waterbolk, H.T., 1998. The sharp rise of 14C ca. 800 cal BC:
possible causes, related climatic teleconnections and the
impact on human environments. Radiocarbon 40: 535-550.
van Geel, B. and Renssen, H., 1998. Abrupt climate change
around 2,650 BP in North-West Europe: evidence for climatic
teleconnections and a tentative explanation. In: Water,
Environment and Society in Times of Climatic Change, Eds.
Issar, A.S. and Brown, N., Kluwer, Dordrecht, p. 21-41.
van Geel, B., Raspopov, O.M., van der Plicht, J. and Renssen,
H., 1998. Solar forcing of abrupt climate change around 850
calendar years BC. In: Natural catastrophes during Bronze
Age civilisations. Eds: B.J. Peiser, T. Palmer and M.E. Bailey.
BAR International Series 728: 162-168.
van Geel, B., van der Plicht, J. and Renssen, H., 1999.
Comment on "A large California flood and correlative global
climatic events 400 years ago" (Schimmelmann et al., 1998).
Quaternary Research 51: 108-110.
van Geel, B., Raspopov, O.M., Renssen, H., van der Plicht, J.,
Dergachev, V.A. and Meijer, H.A.J., 1999. The role of solar
forcing upon climate change. Quaternary Science Reviews 18:
331-338.
van Geel, B., Heusser, C.J., Renssen, H. and Schuurmans,
C.J.E., 2000. Climatic change in Chile at around 2700 BP and
global evidence for solar forcing: a hypothesis. The Holocene
10: 659-664.
van Geel, B. and Berglund, B.E., 2000. A causal link between
a climatic deterioration around 850 cal BC and a subsequent
rise in human population density in NW-Europe?, Terra
Nostra 2000/7: 126-130.
van Geel, B., Renssen, H. and van der Plicht,J., 2001.
Evidence from the past: solar forcing of climate change by
way of cosmic rays and/or by solar UV? Proceedings
Workshop on Ion-Aerosol-Cloud Interactions, Geneva, ed. J.
Kirkby, CERN 2001-007: 24-29.
van Geel, B. et Magny, M., 2002. Mise en évidence d'un
forçage solaire du climat à partir de données paléoécologiques
et archéologiques: la transition Subboréal-Subatlantique. In H.
Richard et A. Vignot (dir.): Équilibres et ruptures dans les
écosystèmes durant les 20 derniers millénaires en Europe de
l'Ouest; Actes du colloque international de Besançon,
septembre 2000. Annales Littéraires 730 (3): 107-122.
van Geel, B., van der Plicht, J. and Renssen, H., 2003. Major
14C excursions during the late glacial and early Holocene:
changes in ocean ventilation or solar forcing of climate
change? Quaternary International 105: 71-76.
van Geel, B., Shinde, V. and Yasuda, Y., 2004. Solar forcing
of climate change and a monsoon-related cultural shift in
western India around 800 cal. yrs. BC. Chapter 17 in: Y.
Yasuda and V. Shinde (eds) Monsoon and Civilization. Roli
Books, New Delhi, p. 275-279.
van Geel, B., Bokovenko, N.A., Burova, N.D., Chugunov,
K.V., Dergachev, V.A., Dirksen, V.G., Kulkova, M., Nagler,
A., Parzinger, H., van der Plicht, J. Vasiliev, S.S., Zaitseva,
G.I. 2004. The sun, climate change and the expansion of the
Scythian culture after 850 BC. In: E.M. Scott, A.Yu. Alekseev
and G. Zaitseva (eds) Impact of the environment on human
migration in Eurasia. NATO Science Series, IV. Earth and
Environmental Sciences 42: 151-158.
van Geel, B., Bokovenko, N.A., Burova, N.D., Chugunov,
K.V., Dergachev, V.A., Dirksen, V.G., Kulkova, M., Nagler,
A., Parzinger, H., van der Plicht, J. Vasiliev, S.S., Zaitseva,
G.I., 2004. Climate change and the expansion of the Scythian
culture after 850 BC, a hypothesis. Journal of Archaeological
Science 31: 1735-1742.
Waterbolk, H.T., 1966. The occupation of Friesland in the
prehistoric period. Berichten van de Rijksdienst voor het
Oudheidkundig Bodemonderzoek 15/16: 13-35.
Wille, M., Hooghiemstra, H., van Geel, B., Behling, H., de
Jong, A., van der Borg, K., 2003. Submillennium-scale
migrations of the rainforest-savanna boundary in Colombia:
14C wiggle-matching and pollen analysis of core Las
Margaritas.
Palaeogeography,
Palaeoclimatology,
Palaeoecology 193: 201-223.
Zaitseva, G.I. and van Geel, B., 2004. The occupation history
of the southern Eurasia steppe during the Holocene:
chronology, the calibration curve and methodological
problems of the Scythian chronology. In: E.M. Scott, A.Yu.
Alekseev and G. Zaitseva (eds) Impact of the environment on
human migration in Eurasia. NATO Science Series, IV. Earth
and Environmental Sciences 42: 63-82.
Download