The sun, climate change and the expansion of the Scythians after 850 BC Bas van Geel Institute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics (IBED), Research Group Paleoecology and Landscape Ecology, Faculty of Science, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Kruislaan 318, 1098 SM Amsterdam, The Netherlands vanGeel@science.uva.nl 14C-dates of the ‘Terp’-phase of West-Friesland wood and charcoal from ditches, pits and wells 2760 ±35 BP 2745 ±30 BP 2745 ±30 BP 2740±40 BP 2710±35 BP 2690±25 BP 2685±30 BP 2650±30 BP 2620±20 BP This phase represents ca 140 14C-‘years’, but probably only ca 60 calendar years. This is the period of a fast increase of delta 14C, and also the period of the start of the ‘Younger Sphagnum Peat’. (S. imbricatum: oceanic conditions) Acknowledgements: Bas van Geel and other members of the research team got financial support from: - The Netherlands Organization for Scientific Research (NWO 047.009.005; ALW 750-19-812). - INTAS (project 03-51-4445), - EU 5th Framework Programme, Energy and Environment (ACCROTELM project; EVK2-2002-00166). Illustrations used in the powerpoint presentation: 2: Blytt-Sernander scheme from Birks and Birks, 1980. 3: Map of southern Norway (van Geel, 2004), based on an map by Blytt (1882). 4 and 22: Raised bog profile in Bargerveen area (northwest Netherlands; photo B. van Geel). The arrow in 4 points to the Subboreal-Subatlantic transition. 5: From Landwehr, 1984. 6 and 7: Details of leaves of Sphagnum cuspidatum and Sphagnum imbricatum (photo B. van Geel). 8: Selection of macrofossil data from raised bog profile Engbertsdijksveen-I (van Geel, 1978). 11: Radiocarbon calibration curve (Stuiver et al., 1998). 12: From De Jong et al., 1979. 18: From van Geel et al., 1999. 19, 20 and 46: from van Geel and Renssen,1998. 23 and 25: after van Geel et al., 1996. 24: Aerial photograph showing soil marks from Bronze Age settlement in West-Friesland, The Netherlands (photo W.H. Metz, IPP, UvA). 26: Ruinen-Wommels pottery type (photo BAI, RuG). 27: Migrations in the northern Netherlands at the SubborealSubatlantic transition (from Waterbolk, 1966). 28: Cartoon showing development of landscape in northern Netherlands (after van Geel et al., 1998). 29: Gaillard and Berglund (1988). For reference and paleoclimatological interpretation see van Geel et al.,1998. 30: Excavated wooden trackway in Ireland (Raftery, 1990). 31: From Raftery (1990). 32: From Raftery (1990) with relevant part of 14C calibration curve and delta 14C added by Bas van Geel. 33: Bog oak from Diemen, The Netherlands (photo B. van Geel). 34: Dutch bog oak record and delta 14C (van Geel, Jansma and van der Plicht, in prep). 35: After Speranza et al. (2002). 36: Abstracts by Kroonenberg et al., and Gracheva (for references see van Geel et al., 2004). 37 and 38: from Grunert et al., 2000 (for reference see van Geel et al., 2004). 39 and 40: Excavation scythian burial mount Arzhan-2, Tuva (photo H. Hooghiemstra). 41: Scythian kurgan 5 from Pazaryk, after Rudenko. 43: White Lake near Arzhan-2 in Tuva (photo H. Hooghiemstra). 44: Pollen diagram Kutuzhekovo Lake (for interpretation see van Geel et al., 2004). 45: Radiocarbon dates from archaeological sites in Khakassia and Tuva (see van Geel et al., 2004). 48 and 49: See van Geel et al. (1998). 50, 51 and 52: see Magny (1993a,b). REFERENCES: Birks, H.J.B. and Birks, H.H., 1980. Quaternary Palaeoecology. Edward Arnold, London Blaauw, M., Heuvelink, G.B.M., Mauquoy, D., van der Plicht, J. and van Geel, B., 2003. A numerical approach to 14C wiggle-match dating of organic deposits: best fits and confidence intervals. Quaternary Science Reviews 22: 14851500. Blaauw, M., van Geel, B. and van der Plicht, J., 2004. Solar forcing of climate change during the mid-Holocene: indications from raised bogs in The Netherlands. The Holocene 14: 35-44. Blaauw, M., van Geel, B., Mauquoy, D. and van der Plicht, J., 2004. Carbon-14 wiggle-match dating of peat deposits: advantages and limitations. Journal of Quaternary Science 19: 177-181. Blytt, A., 1882. 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Abrupt climate change around 2,650 BP in North-West Europe: evidence for climatic teleconnections and a tentative explanation. In: Water, Environment and Society in Times of Climatic Change, Eds. Issar, A.S. and Brown, N., Kluwer, Dordrecht, p. 21-41. van Geel, B., Raspopov, O.M., van der Plicht, J. and Renssen, H., 1998. Solar forcing of abrupt climate change around 850 calendar years BC. In: Natural catastrophes during Bronze Age civilisations. Eds: B.J. Peiser, T. Palmer and M.E. Bailey. BAR International Series 728: 162-168. van Geel, B., van der Plicht, J. and Renssen, H., 1999. Comment on "A large California flood and correlative global climatic events 400 years ago" (Schimmelmann et al., 1998). Quaternary Research 51: 108-110. van Geel, B., Raspopov, O.M., Renssen, H., van der Plicht, J., Dergachev, V.A. and Meijer, H.A.J., 1999. The role of solar forcing upon climate change. 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