Voltage Stability in the German Power System Univ.-Prof. Dr.-Ing. Albert Moser Bremen, 23th June 2016 Summer School “Stability of Electricity Grids“ Agenda Agenda System Stability Basics Parameters influencing Voltage Stability Methodology Exemplary Results Summary and Conclusion 1 Agenda Agenda System Stability Basics Parameters influencing Voltage Stability Methodology Exemplary Results Summary and Conclusion 2 3 System Stability Basics Classification of System Stability System Stability Rotor-Angle Stability SmallSignal Frequency Stability Voltage Stability LargeSignal ShortTerm ShortTerm LongTerm Affected System Variable SmallSignal LargeSignal Size of Disturbance ShortTerm LongTerm Time Frame of Dynamics (Definition and Classification of Power System Stability, IEEE/CIGRE Joint Task Force on Stability Terms and Definitions) 4 System Stability Basics Rotor Angle Stability rotor angle response to disturbance first swing unstable remain in synchronism after being subject to a disturbance Depends on ability to maintain/restore equilibrium between electromagnetic and mechanical torque of synchronous machines Loss of equilibrium leads to (de)acceleration of rotor Large disturbance (e.g. short circuit) Monotonic rotor acceleration due to missing voltage System response may involve large excursions of rotor angle Small-signal disturbances (e.g. load oscillations) Inter-area-oscillations initiated even by small disturbances Use of Power System Stabilizers (PSS) to provide damping (via excitation control) to prevent power system oscillations unstable rotor angle 𝛿 Ability of synchronous machines in power systems to stable time power-angle curve 5 System Stability Basics Frequency Stability 50 Hz of a power system to maintain a steady frequency after a severe disturbance. Disturbances mainly related to power imbalance of generation and consumption (e.g. due to power plant outages). As frequency is a system-wide reference variable, frequency instabilities have an wide-area impact. Spinning reserve of synchronously connected generating units with rotating masses limit steepness of frequency drops. Load-frequency control activates reserves to countermeasure frequency drops. Due to a decrease of synchronously connected power plants, frequency stability may be endangered in the future. 51 Hz 49 Hz Frequency stability is defined as the ability 𝑓 spinning reserve Δ𝑓𝑠𝑡𝑒𝑎𝑑𝑦−𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑡𝑒 Δ𝑓𝑑𝑦𝑛 primary control 𝑡 6 System Stability Basics Voltage Stability Voltage stability is defined as the ability Short-term voltage stability Transient phenomena within few seconds Caused by sudden changes of the operating point, e.g. short curcuits Often locally limited phenomenon Voltage stable/unstable system Vstable voltage of a power system to remain within operational voltage limits after being subject of disturbance. disturbance voltage tolerance band Vunstable time Long-term voltage stability Steady state phenomena within a time range up to a few hours Involves slowly reacting grid components such as transformer tap changer, behaviour of loads, voltage control of synchronous generators and converters Instability by exceeding transmission capacity of the system German “Energiewende” influences long-term voltage stability due to increased power transfer needs and distances as well as decreasing reactive power resources. System Stability Basics Time Domain of Transients 7 8 System Stability Basics Focus of this Lecture System Stability Rotor-Angle Stability SmallSignal Frequency Stability Voltage Stability LargeSignal ShortTerm ShortTerm LongTerm Affected System Variable SmallSignal LargeSignal Size of Disturbance ShortTerm LongTerm Time Frame of Dynamics (Definition and Classification of Power System Stability, IEEE/CIGRE Joint Task Force on Stability Terms and Definitions) 9 System Stability Basics Voltage Stability and Transmission Line Loading Load increase (i.e. resistance decrease) is causing voltage drop at end of line. Voltage control in the distribution grid, such as transformers with on-load tap changers, constant power loads or converters lead to instability below voltage 𝑉𝑐𝑟𝑖𝑡 . Thermal limit high-temperature conductors (HTC) may be beyond maximum power. 𝑉𝐿 𝑅𝐿 → ∞ 𝑃𝑒 𝐸𝐺 ~ 𝑋𝑁 𝑉𝐿 𝑅𝐿 𝑉𝑐𝑟𝑖𝑡 stable 𝑃𝑒 𝑅𝐿 → 0 𝑃𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑚 Wide range of nonlinearities existent in electrical power systems Limiters of exciter systems (synchronous generators) Min./max. cos 𝜑 of converters (distributed energy sources) Power plant dispatch Continuation Power Flow is able to reflect such nonlinearities. 𝑃𝑚𝑎𝑥 𝑃𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑚,𝐻𝑇𝐶 10 System Stability Basics Continuation Power Flow Continuation Power Flow (CPF) commonly used approach to determine voltage stability limit Definition of a parameter variation variable 𝜆 for the load in power flow equations Increase until 𝜆 = 𝜆𝑐𝑟𝑖𝑡 results in voltage stability limit 𝑓 𝑧crit , 𝜆𝑐rit = 0 Two-staged iterative approach 1) Predictor: Estimation of P-V-characteristic of predictor 𝑽 a variation in 𝜆 using linearized continuation corrector 2) Corrector: Newton-Raphson algorithm to determine exact solution of underdetermined power flow equation 𝑓 𝑧, 𝜆 𝜆crit No parameter variation for distributed generation feed-in No determination of equipment outages relevant for voltage stability No consideration of uncertainty of the power plant dispatch Recent research project: Development of models and methods to evaluate the voltage stability in the German power system 𝝀 Agenda Agenda System Stability Basics Parameters influencing Voltage Stability Methodology Exemplary Results Summary and Conclusion 11 12 Parameters influencing Voltage Stability Grid Equipment and Equipment Outages Grid Equipment grid / outages Traditional equipment like cables, overhead lines and transformers cap. reactive power compensation / voltage control ind. Q V overhead line 𝑃𝑛𝑎𝑡 𝑃𝑛𝑎𝑡 𝒍 P cable P Thermal limit Thermal limit Innovative equipment power plant dispatch loads / renewable energy sources • High temperature conductors allow higher currents at similar reactances. • HVDC with independent active/reactive power control Equipment Outage As most common trigger for voltage collapses a consideration beyond the (n-1)-criterion is necessary. 13 Parameters influencing Voltage Stability Reactive Power Compensation Devices Synchronous generator: controllable grid / outages reactive power compensation / voltage control reactive power source connected to transmission grid Installation of mechanical switched capacitors (MSC) planned in German grid Supply of reactive power from shunt capacitance is proportional to square of voltage 𝑄𝑀𝑆𝐶 ~𝑉 2 . Steeper voltage gradients and increased critical voltage V power plant dispatch Stepwise connection of capacitors stable unstable loads / renewable energy sources s Trajectory of critical voltage using capacitive shunt compensation P Increased maximal power transfer But also endangerment of voltage collapse at normal operating voltages 14 Parameters influencing Voltage Stability Uncertainty of Power Plant Dispatch Electricity transport through grid is not only grid / outages reactive power compensation / voltage control determined by loads and renewable energy sources but also by central generating units. Power plant dispatch is a result of European electricity trading. Adjustments because of grid restrictions, forecast errors and outages by TSOs Power plant dispatch is uncertain when evaluating voltage stability Only grid-connected power plants can power plant dispatch loads / renewable energy sources supply reactive power. Implicit evaluation of conventional power plants by means of voltage stability specific power plant dispatches Voltage-stability-critical power plant dispatch Market-based power plant dispatch Voltage-stability-optimized power plant dispatch 15 Parameters influencing Voltage Stability Loads and Distributed Energy Resources Active and reactive power balance of grid / outages distribution grid is changing. Impedances of grid and voltage control in distribution grid are not negligible. Distribution grid model based on public data reactive power Explicit modelling of distribution grids compensation / Grid topology of 110 kV grids (KraftNAV) voltage control Homogenized, regionally classified consideration of medium and low-voltage grids (StromNZV/StromNEV) power plant dispatch Regionalisation of loads and distributed power feed-in according to public data Grid model HV level Comparison with snapshots 200 Mvar 100 P 0 -100 -100 100 Q loads / renewable energy sources snapshots model MW 300 Source snapshots : Amprion GmbH Agenda Agenda System Stability Basics Parameters influencing Voltage Stability Methodology Exemplary Results Summary and Conclusion 16 17 Methodology System under consideration Time Domain Quasi steady-state assessment based on the assumption that all transient effects are decayed Technical Domain Explicit consideration of the grid topology of all voltage levels Assuming voltage-independent active and reactive power consumption Central and decentralized power generating units System Domain Focus area is the German power system Explicit modelling of voltage stability endangered grid regions (critical notes) Implicit modelling of the rest of Germany (uncritical nodes) Consideration of neighbouring countries 380/220 kV 110 kV <110 kV Implicit modelling with parameter variations Explicit modelling within voltage stability endangered grid regions Surrounding area for taking into account European power flows 18 Methodology Overview of Methodology Parametrization of input data Determination of critical outages and power plant dispatch • Defining grid topology and load/feed-in situation • Pre-setting of marketbased power plant dispatch • Definition of Λ-state space and directions 𝛼 to be evaluated Evaluation of voltage stability • model reduction “aggregated“ For all 𝛬𝛼 , determination of • voltage stability endangered grid region (critical nodes) • critical equipment outages • voltage stability specific power plant dispatch (PPD) Pre-setting as intermediate results • model reduction “implicit and explicit“ • Applying intermediate results For all 𝛬𝛼 , critical outages, voltage stability specific PPD • Determination of voltage stability limit with multidimensional CPF 𝑓 𝑧𝑐𝑟𝑖𝑡 , 𝜆crit , 𝛬𝛼 = 0 • result evaluation 𝜆𝑐𝑟𝑖𝑡 (𝛬𝛼 ) 𝜦 −state space unstable load/feed-in situation stable 𝜶 voltage stability limit 𝑓 𝑧𝑐𝑟𝑖𝑡 , 𝜆𝑐𝑟𝑖𝑡 , 𝛬𝛼 = 0 with 𝛬𝛼 = 1 𝑓 𝑧 =0 𝑓 𝑧, 𝜆 = 0 𝑓 𝑧, 𝜆, 𝛬𝛼 = 0 𝜆 𝛬𝛼 𝛼 power flow equations equations of classic CPF equations of multi-dimensional CPF parameter variation variable direction vector direction [°] 19 Methodology Model Reduction Methods Model reduction of distribution system (topology HV grid, 𝑺(𝑫𝑮𝟏 ) Method “implicit and explicit“ for evaluation of voltage stability In voltage stability endangered grid region (critical EHV nodes) explicit representation of distribution grids For uncritical EHV nodes, ex-ante calculation of power balances 𝑃, 𝑄 by load flow analysis including voltage controls implicit 𝑃, 𝑄 variation paths of power balances 𝑃𝑖 𝜆Λ𝛼 , 𝑄𝑖 𝜆Λ𝛼 for 𝑃, 𝑄 underlying distribution grid in dependence of 𝜆Λ𝛼 Developed two-staged heuristic ensures required model accuracy solvability for real systems EHV level 𝑺(𝑫𝑮𝟐 ) ~ Representation of underlying distribution system as cumulative active and reactive power EHV level ~ classes of representative MV and NV grids) to comply with practical computation times Method “aggregated“ for determination of critical outages, critical nodes, voltage stability specific power plant dispatches 𝑺(𝑫𝑮𝟐 , 𝝀𝜦𝜶 ) 𝑃, 𝑄 𝑃, 𝑄 𝑃, 𝑄 20 Methodology Determination of Critical Outages and Power Plant Dispatches Determination of Critical Equipment Outages *S. Greene, I. Dobson and F. Alvarado, “Contingency ranking for voltage collapse via sensitivities from a single nose curve“, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, Vol. 14, No. 1, 1999. Injection of power flow change caused by equipment outages Ranking of most critical outages through eigenvalue analysis of the Jacobian matrix of power flow equations at the point of the voltage stability limit* Verification of most critical (n-1) and (n-2) outages as combinatorial composition Evaluation of Uncertainty of Power Plant Dispatch (PPD) 𝚺 Estimation of the impact of change of the power plant Δ𝑃𝑃𝑃1 dispatch on voltage stability limit 𝚺 Δ𝑝 Eigenvalue analysis for determination of 𝚪 as tangent of 𝚺 Calculation of linearized change of the voltage stability limit 𝜆𝑘,𝑛𝑒𝑤 = 𝜆𝑘 + Δ𝜆 Subsequent application of a successive linear optimization for determination of voltage stability specific power plant dispatches OF Max./Min. 𝝀𝒄𝒓𝒊𝒕 C PF equations 𝑓 𝑧, 𝜆, 𝛬𝛼 = 0 Var Change PPD(𝝀) Δ𝑃𝑃𝑃2 𝚪 21 Methodology Evaluation of Voltage Stability Multi-dimensional Parameter Variation Method 𝚲-state space Reduction of the dimension of the state space by 𝜆𝑊 introducing a transformation matrix 𝑻 Parameter variation relative to the feed-in of generating plant and consumer load, respectively Variation of load 𝜆𝐿 and power supply from wind turbine generators 𝜆𝑊 Development of CPF for vectorial parameter variation 𝜆 𝑘 𝜦𝜶 = 𝜆 𝑘 𝜆𝐿,𝜶 𝜆𝑊,𝜶 𝜆𝐿 unstable stable Predictor step: factor of power variation Corrector step: P-control, explicit Q-control for critical nodes or implicit Q-control for uncritical nodes, improved Q-model for synchronous generators Evaluation of voltage stability by iterative application of CPF for all direction vectors Ʌ𝜶 for voltage stability specific PPD for critical equipment outages Determination of voltage stability limits 𝜆𝑊 voltage stability optimized PPD market based PPD voltage stability critical PPD equipment outage 𝜆𝐿 Agenda Agenda System Stability Basics Parameters influencing Voltage Stability Methodology Exemplary Results Summary and Conclusion 22 23 Exemplary Results Considered scenario Approximation model of the German power system in 2018 Transmission grid • According to German network development plan (NEP) of 2013 and European TYNDP • 14 Gvar of Q-compensation (MSC) in Germany at locations according to the NEP Grid 400 kV line 230 kV line EHV/HV switch-gear station Load load Distribution grid • Scaling of the electricity supply task based on current regionalization scenario of NEP 2013 B Load/feed-in scenario Peak load/Peak wind scenario (78 GW/34 GW) Power plant dispatch based on market simulation Parameter variation Load increase Wind feed-in increase Specified merit order Distributed generation wind turbine generators photovoltaic plants bio mass plants 24 Exemplary Results Voltage Stability Risk in Southern Germany High power flow from east/north to south-east is limiting voltage stability Active power feed-in of wind turbines approximately 34 GW High active power feed-in by other distributed generation Market based power plant dispatch in accordance with merit order Voltage stability limit reached after shutdown of supporting power plants Increase of critical voltage by using reactive power compensation devices Detailed evaluations 𝜦𝟖𝟗 Total result voltage stability limit 𝜆𝑤𝑖𝑛𝑑 𝜆(Λ89 ) − 𝑉 graph Voltage stability endangered grid region 85 1,1 75 GW Detailed evaluation 𝛼 = 89° 65 𝑉/𝑉𝑏 55 1 0,9 45 0,8 35 75 85 95 GW 105 𝜆𝑙𝑜𝑎𝑑 115 Endangerment of voltage stability 00 25 15 50 30 % 45 𝜆(Λ 89 )/𝜆crit,89 100 60 25 Exemplary Results Significant Impact of Conventional Power Plants on Voltage Stability Evaluating the impact of uncertainty of power plant dispatch Detailed analysis shows suitability of the successive linearized approach to determine voltage stability specific power plant dispatches Wide range of voltage stability limits, depending on power plant dispatch Voltage stability limit in the worst-case power plant dispatch at maximum load With appropriate intervention in the power plant dispatch voltage stability is not critical Total result voltage stability limits 𝜆𝑤𝑖𝑛𝑑 Power plant dispatches voltage stability critical market based voltage stability optimized 65 always unstable GW 55 stable at market based PPD 45 always stable stable after correcting market based PPD 35 75 85 85 95 GW Detailed evaluation 𝜦𝟏 - Determining critical PPD 105 Voltage stability critical PPD Market based PPD 1 V/𝑉𝑏 0,9 0,8 0,7 Detailed evaluation 𝛼 = 1° 𝜆𝑙𝑜𝑎𝑑 0,6 0 % 50 100 25 𝜆 Λ1 /𝜆𝑐𝑟𝑖𝑡,1,𝑚𝑎𝑟𝑘𝑒𝑡−𝑏𝑎𝑠𝑒𝑑 26 Exemplary Results Equipment Outages May Lead to Voltage Instabilities Most critical equipment outages in considered load/feed-in scenario Outage of overhead double line Redwitz – Remptendorf Outage of nuclear power plant Isar 2 Equipment outages cause reduction of voltage stability in whole state space Voltage stability limit may be in areas of real load/feed-in scenarios Consideration as planning-relevant grid security criterion recommended Voltage stability limit at market based PPD Voltage stability limit at voltage stability critical PPD 60 65 Equipment outages 𝜆𝑤𝑖𝑛𝑑 55 𝜆𝑤𝑖𝑛𝑑 GW without outage 55 GW 50 line outage 45 power plant and line outage 45 40 35 35 75 80 GW 85 90 𝜆𝑙𝑜𝑎𝑑 75 85 GW 95 105 𝜆𝑙𝑜𝑎𝑑 27 Exemplary Results System Relevance of Conventional Power Plants System relevance in accordance to ResKV quantifiable Comparative evaluation of voltage stability with and without power feed-in of the conventional power plant to be evaluated Virtual power plant at EHV location Grafenrheinfeld assumed: active power feed-in 𝑃 = 1,5 GW, reactive power control range 𝑄 = ±0,5 𝐺var Coloured surfaces quantify improvement of voltage stability by the virtual power plant Evaluation of system relevance of conventional power plants 65 Sensitivity Calculation 𝜆𝑤𝑖𝑛𝑑 with virtual power plant without virtual power plant 55 GW Power plant Dispatch voltage stability critical market based voltage stability optimized 45 35 75 85 GW 95 105 𝜆𝑙𝑜𝑎𝑑 Agenda Agenda System Stability Basics Parameters influencing Voltage Stability Methodology Exemplary Results Summary and Conclusion 28 Summary and Conclusion Summary and Conclusion The induced incentives by the public and politics to install distributed generation increase the challenges for a stable grid operation Increased risk of voltage instabilities Evaluation of Voltage Stability in German Power System Detailed model of German distribution grid has been developed Multi-dimensional parameter variation method with Heuristic simulation of equipment outages Consideration of uncertainty of power plant dispatch Results show, among other things Under given assumptions load/feed-in scenarios with insufficient voltage stability can be expected Critical equipment outages can significantly reduce voltage stability margin Strong impact of conventional power plants on voltage stability Voltage stability should be considered in the future as a planning-relevant network security criterion 29