Canadian Research to Improve Navigation in the Arctic Ivana Kubat, Michelle Johnston and Garry Timco National Research Council of Canada Canadian Hydraulics Centre – Ottawa, ON NRC-CHC Research Projects 1. Canadian Arctic Regulatory shipping system 2. Multi-year ice as hazards to navigation 3. Prediction of pressured ice zones 1. Canadian Arctic Regulatory Shipping Systems • Zone-Date System (ZDS) • Arctic Ice Regime Shipping System (AIRSS) Zone - Date System (ZDS) • In 1972, the Canadian Government drafted the Arctic Shipping Pollution Prevention Regulations (ASPPR) • North of 60° latitude • These regulations include the 16 Shipping Safety Control Zones, and the Date Table (Zone-Date System - ZDS) • The ZDS is based on the premise that nature consistently follows a regular pattern year after year. It is a rigid system with little room for exceptions. Shipping Safety Control Zones Ice Regime System (AIRSS) • In 1996, Transport Canada introduced the Arctic Ice Regime Shipping System - AIRSS • An "Ice Regime" is a region of generally consistent ice conditions • AIRSS represents the actual ice conditions in vicinity of a vessel • It is a regulatory Standard that can be used, with certain conditions, outside the ZDS IN is calculated for each Ice Regime Project Drivers • Ice Climate in the Arctic is changing; the existing ZoneDate System was based on ice conditions present 40 years ago • Neither the existing Zone-Date System nor the Ice Regime System are strongly scientifically based • International Association of Classification Societies (IACS) has introduced a unified classification for polar vessels (Polar Class – PC) that are not part of the Canadian Regulations • With renewed interest in the Beaufort Sea, there is possibility of year-round support and shipping in this region • Ship operators of bulk carriers are interested in expanding the Arctic shipping season and they require up-to-date regulations for this Project Objectives • Update the Arctic Shipping Pollution Prevention Regulations by applying a scientific analysis of historic ice conditions and including the unified classification for polar vessels (PC) • Project funded by Transport Canada Research Results Development of a Hybrid System, an up-to-date regulation system, based on a Hybrid approach of a verified Zone-Date-Ice Regime System developed for the Polar Class vessels and Type A and Type B Baltic vessels Entry Into Zone 6 – Type B vessel Zone-Date System Jun/01 Jul/01 Aug/01 Sep/01 Oct/01 Nov/01 Dec/01 Jan/01 Aug/01 Sep/01 Oct/01 Nov/01 Dec/01 Jan/01 Hybrid System Jun/01 Jul/01 Modified Ice Regime System Mandatory HYBRID SYSTEM 'TYPE B' 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Jun/01 Jul/01 Aug/01 Sep/01 Oct/01 Nov/01 Dec/01 Jan/01 Consultation Meetings The participants in the consultation process included several members of the following organizations: • • • • • • • • • • • • • Canadian Shipping Companies Oil & Gas Industry Canadian Coast Guard Classification Societies Territorial Governments Canadian Ice Service Transport Canada Department of National Defence Tourism Operators Consultants Inuvialuit Joint Secretariat Government of Nunavut US Coast Guard Note: There was also international input into this consultation process Future work • March 2011 - A report describing the scientific analysis of the ice conditions for all vessel classes • TC will seek an input from Stakeholders • Future research depends on TC and feedback from Stakeholders of the shipping regulations • Interest in this research was expressed by USGC, however, no direct research has resulted from it Hazards to Navigation • A number of Captains interviewed as part of the “Scoping Study: Ice Information Requirements for Marine Transportation of Natural Gas from the High Arctic” Multi-year ice identified as the key ice parameter, second highest concern for shipping were ice pressure zones detection of MY ice should be the key research area more information on pressured ice regions would be desirable Multi-year Ice • Ice which survived at least two summers. MY ice is thicker and stronger than first-year ice. • Previous analysis showed that damage to vessels happened in ice regimes where MY ice was present. 2. MY Ice as Hazards to Navigation Project Objectives • Collect and analyze long-term ice loads on an icebreaking vessel in the Arctic • Establish criteria that can be used to rate the damage potential of multi-year (MY) ice using: • On-ice measurements • Ship-based observation of MY ice • Global impact forces on ships and ship damage statistics Project Partners • Project funded by: • Transport Canada • Climate Change Technology Innovation Initiative Unconventional Gas Supply Program (CCTII) NRCan • Resolute Hunters and Trappers Organization (HTO) via on-ice measurements Research Results • Will be used to develop statistical information on ice loads and to improve vessel design for safe operation in the Arctic • Will provide mariners with statistical information about the ice impact forces they can expect during annual operation in ice which will lead to safer operations in ice-covered waters and enhance pollution prevention measures Future Research • This project is planned to be completed in 2012 • Understanding MY ice is a key aspect to the promotion of safer operations in the Arctic - further R&D to enhance our understanding of MY ice is highly recommended • Systems are in place in the USA to document the thinner types of MY ice in the Arctic Basin from Ice Mass Balance equipment; Canadian efforts have focused upon the thicker types of MY ice in the Archipelago that have not been addressed previously Long-term Monitoring of Ice Loads on a Vessel (MOTAN) • Summer 2008, ’09, ’10 data from CCGS Louis S. St-Laurent • Currently examining areas of challenging ice encountered in summer 2009 data record begins on 13 Jul, ends on 30 Sep 2009 Voyage 27 - 30 Aug 25 July: ship departed Halifax 25 Jul 30 Sep 24 Sep 8 Aug; 23 - 24 Sep; 27 – 30 Aug: challenging ice encountered 23 Sep 30 Sep: last recorded data (ship still in Beaufort Sea) 8 Aug Two hours of ramming to penetrate MY floes like this in the S. Beaufort Sea X-accel (g's) Ramming this floe caused highest load of voyage 0.2 (17 MN) X acceleration 0.1 0.0 (g’s) -0.1 Y-accel (g's) -0.2 20:30:00 0.1 0.0 Z-accel (g's) -0.1 20:30:00 1.2 1.1 20:35:00 20:40:00 20:45:00 20:50:00 20:55:00 20:40:00 20:45:00 20:50:00 20:55:00 Y acceleration (g’s) 20:35:00 Z acceleration (g’s) 0.12 g’s 1.0 Global Load (MN) 0.9 20:50:00 20:51:00 20:52:00 20:53:00 20:54:00 20:55:00 20:56:00 20:57:00 20:58:00 20:59:00 20 16 Global load (MN) 17 MN 12 8 4 0 Ship speed (kts) 20:50:00 20:51:00 20:52:00 20:53:00 20:54:00 20:55:00 20:56:00 20:57:00 20:58:00 20:59:00 15 Ship speed (kts) 11 kts 10 5 0 20:50:00 20:51:00 20:52:00 20:53:00 20:54:00 20:55:00 20:56:00 20:57:00 20:58:00 20:59:00 (aerial view of ship/floe from 1500 ft,Timecourtesy of B. Molyneaux, (hh:mm:ss) CIS) Establishing Damage Potential of MY Ice: Measuring its Thickness Drilled 24 MY floes in High Arctic during past 3 years, for a total of 650 thickness measurements (4300 m of ice) 2007: 11 MYI floes 2008: 4 MYI floes 2009: 9 MYI floes Thickness variations on Floe L04 avg floe thickness: 8.3 m ± 3.6 m max: 14.9 m min: 1.4 m transects: 3 holes drilled: 23 Average thickness of multi-year floes sampled over 3 years 20 • Avg. floe thickness ranged from 3.4 to 14.7 m • about 50% of floes were more than 8 m thick, on average 16 High Arctic (2009) 14 Resolute (2008) High Arctic (2007) 12 10 8 6 4 2 Sampled multi-year ice floes L09 L08 L07 L06 L05 L04 L03 L02 L01 LCI01 R05 R02 R01 N11 N10 N09 N08 N07 N06 N05 N04 N03 N02 0 N01 Average drill-hole ice thickness (m) 18 Understanding and Identifying Old Ice in Summer ship-based observations on ice measurements aerial observations satellite observations M.E. Johnston and G.W. Timco December 2008 3. Prediction of Pressured Ice Zones • Regions of high pressure would significantly slow the vessel and therefore affect the operation and in some cases could compromise safety. A vessel could get also trapped and beset in the pressured ice and consequently get damaged by ice. • Having knowledge of where high pressure regions could potentially develop is essential for reducing a risk of vessel being damaged and a risk of environmental pollution. • Having knowledge of leads will be an aid to plan an alternate route Project Objectives • Providing information to ships operating in Arctic on the development of pressured ice along shipping routes • Quantify the role of pressure and convergence of ice covers on besetting of tankers and supply vessels • Determine parameters and criteria which predict conditions that may beset a vessel • Develop a guide that will assist mariners with identifying the key indicators which may lead to the formation of ice pressure and besetting of a vessel Ship Safety and Performance in Pressured Ice Zones Task1: Captains’ Responses to Questionnaire Information assisting evaluation of pressured ice conditions 6 # of interested individuals 5 4 3 2 1 0 Ambient pressure Ridging Pressure Intensity Pressures on hull Power requirements Projected speed Ship Safety and Performance in Pressured Ice Zones Task1: Captains’ Responses to Questionnaire Pressured ice product 8 # of interested individuals 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Hard copy of charts Digital charts Tabulated values Animations Software run locally (onboard) Bulletin indicating pressured ice areas Project Partners • Project funded by: • Transport Canada • Program of Energy and Research Development (PERD), NRCan • Canadian Coast Guard, Canadian Ice Service, Shipping Industry • ABS Research Results • Detailed pressure prediction methods for various specific geographic regions in the Arctic; CHC developed a model based on an approach that can well simulate ice deformation and failure • A database documenting available records of ship besetting cases, based on the compilation and analysis of reports of ship entrapment and damage in pressured ice conditions • Guide booklets intended for end-users will be produced. The booklets will be designed to give simple access to the predictive criteria of ship besetting Future Work • Implementation of pressured ice model at the CCG Regional Office in St.John’s 2011 and distributing information on pressured ice build-up • Development of predictive criteria that can be employed by end-users to estimate the potential for ship besetting. • Focus on specific locations of interest (the southern Beaufort Sea and locations in the Canadian Archipelago). The work will explore whether a universal set of criteria can be used over all locations of interest, or specific criteria will have to be established for each location. Ice Thickness Results Dissemination • Stakeholders Workshops • International Conferences (POAC, ICETECH, IAHR, Arctic Shipping North America, ISOPE) • Northern-CMAC meetings • CCG pre-Arctic/post-Arctic meetings • Old Ice Guide • Reports on CHC website: http://www.chc.nrc.gc.ca www.chc.nrc.gc.ca • Dr. Garry Timco – garry.timco@nrc.ca, 613-993-6673 • Dr. Michelle Johnston – michelle.johston@nrc.ca, 613-990-5141 • Mrs. Ivana Kubat – ivana.kubat@nrc.ca, 613-993-7695