Industrie in Europa – Zukunft durch Kompetenz 07.05.2013 Dr. Reinhard Ploss Vorstandsvorsitzender Infineon Technologies AG Europe but not only Europe! Being successful as Europe means being successful on a global basis Latest technology shrinks the world into one single point Global competition is just around the corner! 2013-05-07 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2013. All rights reserved. Page 2 Chinese population as percentage of global population will decline by 2030, but… …China will jump from producing 17% of the world's GDP in 2011 to producing 28% of the world's GDP in 2030. Share of global GDP 2011 China 17% 2030 USA 23% China 28% USA 18% The bigger share of this growth is expected to come from local consumption. Source: OECD Economic Policy Paper #3, Nov 2012 and IMF, Euromonitor, Roland Berger. 2013-05-07 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2013. All rights reserved. Page 3 Consumption, urbanization and mobilization are key growth drivers in China CONSUMPTION INFRASTRUCTURE MIDDLE CLASS 28% 34% x4 of global growth in 2030 is contributed by Chinese domestic consumption of GDP will be fixed asset investments in 2030 Middle class will quadruple in two decades Source: World Bank, China 2030 Source: World Bank, China 2030 Source: World Bank, China 2030 INNOVATION MOBILIZATION URBANIZATION 1652 483 1 billion Chinese patents registered 2010 in US up from 112 in 2000 Source: Roland Berger, Think Act, 8 billion 2013-05-07 Billion USD Light vehicle sales in 2030 Source: Roland Berger, Think Act, 8 billion live in cities by 2030 Source: MCK, Preparing for China's urban billion Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2013. All rights reserved. Page 4 Europe – Where do we come from? 2013-05-07 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2013. All rights reserved. Page 5 Europe was already successful in the past by it's innovation, competencies and industry Erstes Fließband, Schlachthöfe von Cincinnati 1870 Erster mechanischer Webstuhl 1784 1. Industrielle Revolution durch Einführung mechanischer Produktionsanlagen mit Hilfe von Wasser- und Dampfkraft Ende 18. Jhdt 2. Industrielle Revolution durch Einführung arbeitsteiliger Massenproduktion mit Hilfe von elektrischer Energie Beginn 20. Jhdt Erste Speicherprogrammierbare Steuerung (SPS), Modicon 084 1969 3. Industrielle Revolution durch Einsatz von Elektronik und IT zur weiteren Automatisierung der Produktion Beginn 70er Jahre 20. Jhdt Source: DFKI (2011) 2013-05-07 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2013. All rights reserved. Page 6 Today's challenges 2013-05-07 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2013. All rights reserved. Page 7 Major challenges of the 21st century worldwide Population explosion Growing megacities Limited energy resources Emerging markets 2013-05-07 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2013. All rights reserved. Page 8 Europe's future – The challenge 2013-05-07 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2013. All rights reserved. Page 9 How will Europe maintain its position in the Global Market in the upcoming years? Differentiation potential in industrial competition – Examples Competence Individual factors, especially in the face of global competition from emerging nations, are hard to maintain Innovation Costs Speed Customer focus and proximity & application Raw materials 2013-05-07 Which factor gives Europe a significant and sustainable edge? Constant renewal in selected priorities Combination of several elements and formation of a multi-factor competitive advantage Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2013. All rights reserved. Page 10 Knowledge is growing, and scientific and technical challenges are increasing Earlier: Knowledge was associated with one person Later: Knowledge was associated with a group Cause and effect were linear and managable Today: Knowledge is widely distributed, solutions require cooperation Tomorrow: The pooling of knowledge will become a competence in its own right. Cause and effect will no longer be as clear 2013-05-07 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2013. All rights reserved. Page 11 The higher the (digital) semi content the faster the product ramp up is possible … and realized ANALOG Base technology % of semiconductors in price production 1000 m 2% DIGITAL 12% 30% 35-40% GSM 100 m TV color PC TV B&W xDSL Set Top Box Ipod VCR 10 m DVD 1m 1950 USER 1960 1970 PASSIVE 1980 ACTIVE 1990 2000 VE Source: Dataquest, ST shown at IEF 2005, Malta 2013-05-07 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2013. All rights reserved. Page 12 Only a successfully implemented idea is an innovation. The last step is often the most difficult one. Source: Final Report High-Level Expert Group on Key Enabling Technologies, June 2011 2013-05-07 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2013. All rights reserved. Page 13 Europe's future – Competence Solution by focusing on KET 2013-05-07 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2013. All rights reserved. Page 14 Focus on Key Enabling Technologies will support future success of Europe Micro- and nanoelectronics, including semiconductors Advanced materials Biotechnology Nanotechnology Photonics Advanced manufacturing Systems http://ec.europa.eu/enterprise/sectors/ict/key_technologies Source: Willy Van Puymbroeck, European Commission, 2012 2013-05-07 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2013. All rights reserved. Page 15 Europe's way from basic research to globally competitive manufacturing Competitive Manufacturing Prototyping Product Development Technological Research Basic Research To overcome the valley of death a close interaction of all aspects is recommended Source: HLG, Sherpa Group Meeting, 01/23/2013 + Infineon 2013-05-07 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2013. All rights reserved. Page 16 Pilot Lines will help to close the innovation gap Equipment and consumables European companies KETS PILOT LINE European subcontractors European research organisation Advanced KETS prototype products for competitive advanced products of european end user companies Single pilot line on a single site in Europe UPSTREAM DOWNSTREAM Source: HLG, Sherpa Group Meeting, 01/23/2013 2013-05-07 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2013. All rights reserved. Page 17 Europe needs to play a leading role in the ICT sector Europe needs to set the right frame conditions Innovation along the value chain Inventions (patents and IP) Core competencies along the value chain Appropriate education and sciences Eco systems – cluster w/ KMU and Universities Incentives for R&D and production Major European industries depend on high tech ICT is key enabler for most of the other industries … and semiconductors are a motor for innovation Source: AT Kerney, The future of Europe's High-Tech Industry + Infineon 2013-05-07 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2013. All rights reserved. Page 18 Semiconductors Enable Future Technologies Global challenges Climate Energy Health Nutrition Fields of action Mobility Security Communication Key technologies Cross-cutting issues / general conditions 2013-05-07 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2013. All rights reserved. Page 19 Leading by system competency along the value chain based on selected competencies Energy Smart grid Data Secure internet Cars mobility Technical competence Material competence Manufacturing competence Highest quality standards Selection of differentiating elements 2013-05-07 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2013. All rights reserved. Page 20 Europe's future – Through selected core competencies Semiconductor technology 2013-05-07 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2013. All rights reserved. Page 21 Semiconductors are a Key Enabling Technology and Most Likely the Key Source of Productivity Automotive / Industrial / Medical / ... Electronics ×5 WW: $1,600 bn Semiconductors WW: $298 bn Innovation x 20 100 Productivity WW: ~USD 30,000 bn About 45% of the OECD Economic growth since 1985 comes from increased productivity, electronics is a key driver for this growth Good system understanding enables semiconductor companies to develop solutions which increase productivity Example Automotive: 70-80% of innovations depend on electronics Source: DECISION, ESIA, Future Horizons, IMF, WSTS 2010, AUDI, OECD Factbook 2013, Infineon 2013-05-07 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2013. All rights reserved. Page 22 Infineon: System competency is key to provide products for outstanding solutions Competency Understanding of System Requirements Technical and Commercial Driver Interdependency of various subsystems System Data Center Automotive Wind Mill Competency Sub-System Motor Control Power Supply Application Recuperation Understanding of the Sub-System Broad technical Expertise Competency Product Technology Power Discretes Production Driver ICs Sensors Power Management ICs Electrical Circuit Design Semiconductor Processes and Manufacturing TECHNOLOGY PRODUCTION 2013-05-07 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2013. All rights reserved. Page 23 Infineon: System competency is key to provide products for outstanding solutions System Innovation Process: Understand Future Requirements Data Center Automotive Wind Mill Sub-System Motor Control Power Supply Application Recuperation Go to Market: Design Support and New Concepts Product Technology Power Discretes Production Driver ICs Sensors Power Management ICs TECHNOLOGY PRODUCTION 2013-05-07 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2013. All rights reserved. Page 24 Europe's future – System competence Cyber-Physical Systems: Industry 4.0, competitive production Network of data – things – energy: Smart Grid Optimal energy use 2013-05-07 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2013. All rights reserved. Page 25 Industrie 4.0 supports Europe's advantages in a global manufacturing environment Erster mechanischer Webstuhl 1784 1. Industrielle Revolution durch Einführung mechanischer Produktionsanlagen mit Hilfe von Wasser- und Dampfkraft Ende 18. Jhdt 2. Industrielle Revolution durch Einführung arbeitsteiliger Massenproduktion mit Hilfe von elektrischer Energie Beginn 20. Jhdt 4. Industrielle Revolution auf Basis von CyberPhysical Systems Degree of complexity Erstes Fließband, Schlachthöfe von Cincinnati 1870 Erste Speicherprogrammierbare Steuerung (SPS), Modicon 084 1969 3. Industrielle Revolution durch Einsatz von Elektronik und IT zur weiteren Automatisierung der Produktion Beginn 70er Jahre 20. Jhdt heute Source: DFKI (2011) 2013-05-07 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2013. All rights reserved. Page 26 Several Challenges need to be solved to achieve Industrie 4.0 Smart Factorys need to be stable and profitable Know-how needs to be secured successfully Manufacturing tools are linked together internally and externally and therefore need to be protected from manipulation Smart Factory need to be able to control complexity and to be robust against disfunctions Industrie 4.0 is showing close collaboration between politics, sciences and industry 2013-05-07 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2013. All rights reserved. Page 27 Smart Grids are key for delivering sustainable, cost effective and secure energy supplies Smart Grid: Infineon's contribution 1 1 3 2 1 Integration of renewable energies 2 Energy efficient transmission 3 EV charging and energy storage 4 Grid and smart meter security 5 Smart Metering 6 Energy efficient consumption 1 4 6 6 2013-05-07 5 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2013. All rights reserved. Page 28 Several challenges need to be addressed as traditional grids evolve into Smart Grids The worldwide growth in energy demand must be met in a sustainable way Large numbers of distributed and intermittent renewable energy sources need to be integrated Supply and demand must be balanced intelligently Existing energy efficiency potentials need to be utilized The grid must be reliable in terms of stability, security, privacy For this to happen we need international collaboration across politics, science and industrial value chains 2013-05-07 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2013. All rights reserved. Page 29 Europe's future – Network competence Infineon in its network of competence, innovation, networking – Examples of successful innovation implemented into manufacturing 2013-05-07 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2013. All rights reserved. Page 30 To master the future we need to bring together our competencies across organizations Customer Local Innovation activities Innovation Initiatives in the Divisions InnovationFAB Universities Common Culture Methods & Language Suppliers Research Intitutes All innovation activities are integrated in the InnoNet. Started 2007 the INNOVATION project is still growing! 2013-05-07 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2013. All rights reserved. Page 31 Infineon Austria and its network Lehr- und Forschungsnetzwerke Bildungskooperationen Kompetenzzentren/ Forschungszentren Cluster 2013-05-07 Gesellschaftliche Verantwortung Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2013. All rights reserved. Page 32 Infineon – successful innovation and transferred into manufacturing Customer acceptance First 300mm thin-wafer technology CoolMOS™ qualified CoolMOSTM C3 600V CoolMOSTM C6 600V ... and released by first customers Production start CoolMOSTM production in Villach started 1st products have passed Qualification in Dresden Next for qualification Low Voltage MosFET and IGBT 2013-05-07 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2013. All rights reserved. Page 33 Summary Shaping tomorrow's success today 2013-05-07 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2013. All rights reserved. Page 34 Europe will be successful driving innovation along the value chain based on core competencies Innovation along the value chain Inventions (patents and IP) Core competencies Appropriate education and sciences Incentives for R&D and production Pilot lines – the step to innovation Competitive manufacturing 2013-05-07 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2013. All rights reserved. Page 35