ENGINEERING ECONOMY, Sixth Edition LEARNING OBJECTIVES by Blank and Tarquin 1. Dealing with shifted series 2. Shifted series and single amounts CHAPTER 3 COMBINING FACTORS 3. Shifted gradients 4. Decreasing gradients Mc Graw Hill 5. Spreadsheet applications Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 3-1 Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 Sct 3.1 Calculations for Uniform Series that are Shifted For a shifted series the present worth point in time is NOT t = 0. It is shifted either to the left of “0” or to the right of “0”. Remember, when dealing with a uniform series: The PW point is always one period to the left of the first series value, no matter where the series falls on the time line. Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 3-3 Example of Shifted Series P and F F6 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 A = $-500/year P0 P2 • F for this series is at t = 6; F6 = A(F/A,i%,4) © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 3-2 Shifted Uniform Series Consider: 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 A = $-500/year P0 P2 P of this series is at t = 2 (P2) or F2 P2 = -500(P/A,i%,4) or could refer to as F2 P0 = P2(P/F,i%,2) or could be F2(P/F,i%,2) Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 3-4 © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved Sct 3.2 Calculations Involving UniformUniform-Series and RandomlyRandomly-Placed Single Amounts Draw and correctly label the cash flow diagram that defines the problem Locate the present and future worth points for each series Write the time value of money equivalence relationships Substitute the correct factor values and solve • P0 for this series at t = 0 is P0 = -500(P/A,i%,4)(P/F,i%,2) Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 3-5 © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 3-6 © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 1 Series with additional single cash flows 3.2 Series with Other cash flows It is common to find cash flows that are combinations of series and single, randomly-placed cash flows F4 = $300 ♦ Consider: A = $500 For present worth, P Solve for the series present worth values then move to t = 0 Then solve for the P at t = 0 for the single cash flows using the P/F factor for each cash flow Add the equivalent P values at t = 0 0 1 2 3 4 Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 3-7 Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 2 2 3.2 The PW Points are: 1 4 5 6 7 8 i = 10% t = 1 is the PW point for the $500 annuity; “n” = 3 Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 0 1 2 2 3 3 4 5 6 7 8 i = 10% F5 = -$400 3-9 © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 3.2 Write the Equivalence Statement P = $500(P/A,10%,3)(P/F,10%,2) + $300(P/F,10%,4) 400(P/F,10%,5) Back 5 Periods F5 = -$400 t = 1 is the PW point for the two other single cash flows Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 3-10 3-11 © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 3.2 Substitute the factors and solve P = $500( 2.4869 )( 0.8264 ) + $300( 0.6830 ) 400( 0.6209 ) = Substituting the factor values into the equivalence expression and solving…. Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 F4 = $300 A = $500 3 3 © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 3-8 Back 4 periods A = $500 1 8 •Find the PW at t = 0 for this cash flow F4 = $300 1 7 F5 = -$400 3.2 The PW Points are: 0 6 i = 10% For future worth, F Convert all cash flows to an equivalent F using the F/A and F/P factors in year t = n Add the equivalent F values at t = n 5 $1,027.58 $204.90 $248.36 $984.12 Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 3-12 © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 2 Sct 3.3 Calculation for Shifted Gradients The Present Worth of an arithmetic gradient (linear gradient) is always located: One period to the left of the first cash flow in the series ( “0” gradient cash flow) or, Two periods to the left of the “1G” cash flow Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 3-13 © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved Shifted Gradient A Shifted Gradient has its present value point removed from time t = 0 A Conventional Gradient has its present worth point at t=0 Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 3-14 Example of a Shifted Gradient Example of a Conventional Gradient ♦ Consider: Gradient Series Gradient Series ……..Base Series …….. ……..Base Series …….. 0 1 2 n-1 … n 0 1 2 n-1 … This represents a conventional gradient n The present worth point for the base series and the gradient is here! The present worth point is t = 0 This represents a shifted gradient Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 3-15 © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved Shifted Gradient: Numerical Example Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 3-16 Shifted Gradient: Numerical Example PW of the base series P0 nseries = 8 time periods P2 G = $+100 Base Series = $500 0 1 2 3 4 ……….. ……….. Base Series = $500 9 10 0 1 2 3 4 ……….. ……….. 9 10 Cash flows start at t = 3 $500/year increasing by $100/year through year 10; i = 10%; Find P at t = 0 Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 3-17 © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved P2 = 500(P/A,10%,8) = 500(5.3349) = $2667.45 P0 = 2667.45(P/F,10%,2) = 2667.45(0.8264) = $2204.38 Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 3-18 © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 3 Shifted Gradient: Numerical Example PW for the gradient component P0 For the base series P0 = $2204.38 For the arithmetic gradient P0 = $1,324.61 P2 G = +$100 1 0 Example: Total Present Worth Value 2 3 4 ……….. ……….. 9 10 Total present worth P2 = $100(P/G,10%,8) = $100(16.0287) = $1,602.87 P = $2204.38 + $1,324.61 = $3528.99 P0 = $1,602.87(P/F,10%,2) = $1,602.87(0.8264) = $1,324.61 Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 3-19 Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 To Find A for a Shifted Gradient © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 3-20 Shifted Geometric Gradient Conventional Geometric Gradient 1) Find the present worth of the gradient at actual time 0 2) Then apply the (A/P,i,n) factor to convert the present worth to an equivalent annuity (series) A1 0 1 2 3 … … … n Present worth point is at t = 0 for a conventional geometric gradient Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 3-21 Shifted Geometric Gradient Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 3-22 Shifted Geometric Gradient Example Shifted Geometric Gradient i = 10%/year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 A = $700/year A1 0 1 2 3 … … … n A1 = $400 in year t = 5 12% increase/year Present worth point is at t = 2 for this example Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 3-23 © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 3-24 © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 4 Geometric Gradient Example 3.3 The Gradient Amounts i = 10%/year 0 1 2 3 4 t 5 6 7 Base Amt $400.00 51 62 73 84 8 $448.00 $501.76 $561.97 A = $700/year Present Worth of the Gradient at t = 4 PW point for the A series is t = 0 3.73674 P4 = $400{ P/A1,12%,10%,4 } = $ 1,494.70 12% increase/year P0 = $1,494.70( P/F,10%,4) = $1,494.70( 0. 6830 ) PW point for the gradient is t = 4 P0 = $1,020,88 Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 3-25 Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 3.3 The Annuity Present Worth ♦ PW of the Annuity © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 3-26 3.3 Total Present Worth ♦ Geometric Gradient @ t = i = 10%/year ♦ P0 = $1,020,88 ♦ Annuity 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 ♦ P0 = $2,218.94 ♦ Total Present Worth” A = $700/yr P0 = $700(P/A,10%,4) ♦ $1,020.88 + $2,218.94 ♦ = $3,239.82 = $700( 3.1699 ) = $2,218.94 Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 3-27 Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 3-28 Sct 3.4 Shifted Decreasing Arithmetic Gradients PW for Shifted Decreasing Gradient Given the following shifted, decreasing gradient First, find PW at t = 2 F3 = $1,000; G = $-100 F3 = $1,000; G = -$100 i = 10%/year i = 10%/year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Find the present worth at t = 0 Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 3-29 © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 PW point at t = 2 Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 3-30 © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 5 Shifted Decreasing Gradient Example Shifted Decreasing Gradient Example F3 = $1,000; G = -$100 Second, find the PW at t = 0 i = 10%/year i = 10%/year Base amount = $1,000 F3 = $1,000; G = $-100 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 0 1 2 P2 3 4 5 6 7 8 P2 The gradient amount is subtracted from the base amount P0 here Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 3-31 P0 here Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 3.4 Time Periods Involved © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 3-32 3.4 Time Periods Involved F3 = $1,000; G=-$100 F3 = $1,000; G=-$100 G = -$100/yr $1,000 i = 10%/year 1 0 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 1 7 8 P2 or, F2: Take back to t = 0 P0 here Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 Dealing with n = 5. 3-33 i = 10%/year © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 0 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 7 8 P2 = $1,000( P/A,10%,5 ) – 100( P/G,10%.5 ) P2= $1,000( 3.7908 ) - $100( 6.8618 ) = $3,104.62 P0 = $3,104.62( P/F,10%,2 ) = $3104.62( 0 .8264 ) = $2,565.65 Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 3-34 © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved Summary Chapter summarizes cash flow patterns that are shifted away from time t=0 Illustrations of using multiple factors to perform PW or FW analysis for shifted cash flows Illustrations of shifted arithmetic and geometric gradients Illustrations of the power of Excel financial functions3-35 Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved CHAPTER 3 End of Slide Set Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 3-36 © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 6