Telephone Surveys and the Mobile Phone Only Population Workshop Program - 17 July, 2012 The Institute for Social Science Research and the Social Research Centre Telephone Surveys and the Mobile Phone Only population Workshop Program Page i Contents OVERVIEW OF PROGRAM ............................................................................................................................. 1 DETAILED PROGRAM ..................................................................................................................................... 2 PRESENTERS .................................................................................................................................................. 7 The Institute for Social Science Research and the Social Research Centre Telephone Surveys and the Mobile Phone Only population Workshop Program Page 1 Overview of program Start time Session Speaker 9:00 Coffee and registration 9:30 OPENING SESSION 9:30 Introductory comments and recap of last workshop Darren Pennay 10:00 NSW Population Health Survey - Dual frame results Margo Barr 10:30 Mental health literacy and stigma - Dual frame results To be advised ACMA Mobile Phone Only study 10:45 Surveying Australia’s communications users: Integrating the Jennifer Newton mobile only population into a single survey vehicle 11:00 Morning Tea 11:15 MORNING SESSION Social Research Centre Dual-frame Omnibus 11:15 Methodology Darren Pennay 11:35 Transport and Road Safety (Selected findings) Michael Nieuwesteeg 11:55 Gambling (Selected findings) Alun Jackson 12:15 12:35 13:00 Sexual activity and sexual experiences (Selected findings) Fieldwork and financial considerations in undertaking dual-frame surveys Anthony Smith Graham Challice Lunch AFTERNOON SESSION Methodological Issues 13:30 Optimal approaches to weighting Michele Haynes 13:50 Measures of data quality across the frames Paul Lavrakas 14:10 It’s not just the mobile phone frame you need to worry about 14:30 Latest developments and emerging issues 15:00 Afternoon Tea Graham Challice Paul Lavrakas FINAL SESSION 15:15 Advocacy initiatives since last workshop Darren Pennay 15:30 Summing up and next steps. Mark Western 15:45 Close The Institute for Social Science Research and the Social Research Centre Telephone Surveys and the Mobile Phone Only population Workshop Program Page 2 Detailed program 9:00am Registration and coffee OPENING SESSION 9:30am Opening Remarks and Recap of last workshop Darren Pennay This workshop follows on from the successful workshop held in March 2011, the purpose of which was to raise awareness of the gap in the coverage of traditional landline surveys due to the increasing proportion of the population living in ‘mobile phone only’ households. A main focus of the 2011 workshop was to learn how the U.S. survey research community responded to this issue and to explore the findings of what was believed to be the first ever Australian dual-frame survey (the Social Research Centre / ISSR Dual-frame Demonstration Survey). The workshop concluded that the exclusion of the ‘mobile phone only’ population from traditional landline surveys was a source of non-ignorable bias. It was agreed that there was need for advocacy and capacity building to enable the Australian survey research community to better respond to some of these emerging methodological issues. The 2012 workshop will pick-up on these themes and also have a very practical focus with regard to the developments in survey methodology which affect this area. Topics for discussion include: • Updating participants on the latest Australian developments in this area • Presenting the findings from the Social Research Centre’s dual-frame omnibus survey and other recently commission dual-frame surveys • Presenting a summary of the key developments in this area based on the relevant papers / presentations from the preceding International Social Science Methodology Conference. This will include some very practical sessions on data quality, sample design and weighting. • A discussion of emerging issues and latest developments from the US, and • The continuing need for advocacy in this area. 10:00am NSW Population Health Survey Margo Barr This presentation will cover details about how mobile only phone users were incorporated into the NSW Population Health Survey (an existing landline RDD health survey on health behaviours, health status, and social determinants) using an overlapping dual-frame design in the first quarter of 2012. Data collection was kept as consistent as possible with the previous years’ landline only RDD surveys and between frames. Over 3000 interviews were completed with approximately a third from the mobile frame and two thirds from the landline frames. Presentation will include information on: • Data collection considerations, sample frame performance, costing, acceptance by staff, respondents profile and response and participation rates The Institute for Social Science Research and the Social Research Centre Telephone Surveys and the Mobile Phone Only population Workshop Program • Page 3 Weighting options, assumptions required and final strategy used as well as some preliminary results, and • What is currently being explored to assess the impact of including mobile only phone users (through a dual-frame) on the integrity of the time series. 10:30am Mental Health Literacy and Stigma To be advised The Orygen Youth Health Research Centre at the University of Melbourne commissioned the Social Research Centre to undertake a dual-frame telephone survey to measure aspects of mental health literacy and mental health stigma. The 2011 survey was the third in a series with previous surveys undertaken in 1995 and 2003. The overall survey design featured two main components. The main survey comprised a national sample of approximately 6,000 persons aged 15 years and over with 4,500 of these interviews obtained from a fixed-line RDD telephone sample and 1,500 from a mobile phone RDD sample. The overall design also featured a separate survey targeting young people aged 15 to 25 years. This ‘Youth Survey’ comprised 1,800 interviews from a fixed-line RDD sample and 1,200 from a mobile phone RDD sample. This paper will describe and evaluate the survey methodology and profile the respective samples. The paper will also cover differences in levels of psychological distress and mental health literacy of the landline and mobile phone samples. Mental health literacy being defined as ‘knowledge and beliefs about mental disorders that aid in their recognition, management and prevention’. 10:45am Australian Communications and Media Authority – Surveying Australia’s communications users: Integrating the mobile only population into a single survey vehicle Jennifer Newton Each year, the Australian Communications and Media Authority undertakes a survey of Australian adults to gauge levels of take-up and use of, and community attitudes toward, communications technology. Data from this survey feeds into a range of ACMA functions including regulatory reviews, research reports and the annual flagship publication, the Communications report. This session will outline the techniques used to reach mobile-only consumers for the past two ACMA consumer surveys. It will reveal the findings of these surveys to show that far from being a permanent communications choice, for many Australian consumers, going mobile-only is a temporary phase based on lifestyle and financial pressures. 11:00am MORNING TEA The Institute for Social Science Research and the Social Research Centre Telephone Surveys and the Mobile Phone Only population Workshop Program Page 4 MORNING SESSION 11:15am Social Research Centre Dual-frame Omnibus (Methodology) Darren Pennay One of the action points arising from the 2011 workshop was to assess the level of interest among the research community in supporting a Dual-frame Omnibus Survey. The objectives of such as survey were to further developing our knowledge of dual-frame surveys, and to provide subscribers with a better understanding of any biases associated with the ongoing exclusion of the mobile phone only population from their established survey estimates. It eventuated that there was sufficient interest in this topic to enable the Social Research Centre to undertake a Dual-frame Omnibus Survey in December, 2011. This session will present a methodological overview of this survey and act as a segue for the following presentations which focus on specific topic areas – Transport and Road Safety (Michael Nieuwesteeg), Gambling (Alun Jackson) and (Sexual activity and Sexual experiences (Anthony Smith). 11:35am Transport and Road Safety Michael Nieuwesteeg The Victorian Transport Accident Commission (TAC) conducts a number of surveys among Victorian road users that investigate a range of road safety issues. In recognition of the decreasing population coverage of landline telephones, declining response rates in landline-based surveys, the rise of on-line research panels and the proliferation of mobile phones, the TAC has embarked on a program of renewal of its range of social surveys. The TAC purchased several questions on the Social Research Centre’s Dual-frame Omnibus Survey covering topics such as transport usage and driving patterns, drivers licence and crash history, attitudes to selected road safety measures and self-reported driving behaviours in relation to issues such as speeding and drink driving. This presentation will explore the differences in the survey results between the landline and mobile phone only respondents and consider the broader issues for general community road safety surveys. 11:55am Gambling Alun Jackson This presentation will argue that in terms of gambling behaviour, the dual frame methodology provides a more nuanced picture than in landline sample frames which have been the norm in problem gambling population studies. The ‘mobile phone only’ subset of the total mobile sampling frame, including dual landline and mobile users, were significantly less likely as a group to have gambled in the last 12 months, but nevertheless significantly more likely to endorse items in a lifetime measure of problematic gambling. In addition, levels of anxiety, depression and hazardous drinking were also found to be higher in the mobile phone sample. The Institute for Social Science Research and the Social Research Centre Telephone Surveys and the Mobile Phone Only population Workshop Program 12:15pm Page 5 Sexual activity and Sexual experiences Anthony Smith The first Australian Study of Health and Relationships (ASHR1) was conducted in 2001/2, involved telephone interviews with 19,307 people aged 16-59 and provides much of the contemporary evidence base concerning sexuality and sexual health in Australia. The second such study (ASHR2) will be competed in 2012/13 and will similarly involve telephone interviews with 20,000 people aged 16-69. Whereas sole reliance on a landline sample in 2001 could be justified, sampling for ASHR2 provides different challenges. 12:35pm Fieldwork and financial considerations in undertaking dual-frame surveys Graham Challice There has been an increasing number of dual-frame surveys commissioned since the Dual-frame Demonstration Survey in September, 2010. This session presents the acquired learnings from these surveys with a focus on research ethics, call procedures, response dynamics, response maximisation, and the cost of undertaking dual-frame surveys. 1:00pm LUNCH AFTERNOON SESSION 1:30pm Optimal approaches to weighting Michele Haynes Surveying mobile phone users introduces new complexities in coverage and sampling, nonresponse, measurement and weighting that survey researchers must address. Through a comparison of the fixed line and mobile phone samples, this presentation illustrates some of the consequences of failing to include mobile phone users in telephone surveys, and examines and evaluates some of the different approaches to combining results from these samples in dual-frame designs. 1:50pm Measures of data quality across the sample frames Paul J. Lavrakas There are myriad reasons to hypothesize that data quality from those interviewed via a mobile device will be inferior to that gathered from those interviewed on a landline. This session will address what we know about these issues and point out the circumstances under which differential data quality is most likely to result. 2:10pm It’s not just the mobile phone frame that you need to worry about? Graham Challice This presentation switches the focus from the mobile phone component of dual-frame surveys back to the landline frame and documents the findings from a major review of the entire Victorian RDD landline sample frame. The Social Research Centre commissioned this review to test all non-working residential numbers in Victoria which had not been tested for six months or more (some 2.8 millions numbers). The process resulted in a 19% increase in the pool of working residential landlines in Victoria (from 1,387,332 numbers to 1,651,222). This updated sample frame was then used for the Victorian Population Health Survey (VPHS). The Institute for Social Science Research and the Social Research Centre Telephone Surveys and the Mobile Phone Only population Workshop Program Page 6 Very preliminary interim results from the 2011-12 VPHS are used to look at the profile of the newly included telephone numbers. 2:40pm Latest developments and emerging issues in dual-frame surveys Paul J. Lavrakas Since the 2010 Cell Phone Surveying Task Force report was released by AAPOR, survey researchers in the USA have continued to learn a great deal about how to design the most cost effective dual frame RDD surveys for the purposes to which those must be put. This session will provide an update of what is now known (and suspected) about these “best practices” using newly released findings from the just completed 2012 AAPOR annual conference. This will include new information about several of the issues I discussed in the 2011 Melbourne workshop, including the optimal allocation of interviewing across the two frames, and how to gather reliable data to screen and weight dual frame RDD surveys. 3:00pm AFTERNOON TEA 3:15pm Advocacy undertaken since the last workshop Darren Pennay 3:30pm Summing up and next steps Mark Western 3:45pm CLOSE The Institute for Social Science Research and the Social Research Centre Telephone Surveys and the Mobile Phone Only population Workshop Program Page 7 Presenters Darren Pennay - Managing Director and Head of Research at the Social Research Centre, Adjunct Professor, University of Queensland, Institute for Social Science Research Darren Pennay is the founder and Managing Director of the Social Research Centre and an Adjunct Professor with the University of Queensland’s Institute for Social Science Research (ISSR). Darren has worked in social research and survey design since 1984. He has previously worked with the Australian Institute of Multicultural Affairs, Australian Bureau of Statistics, Reark Research and the Wallis Consulting Group. Darren formed the Social Research Centre late 2000 to develop a ‘centre for excellence’ in government and social research and to offer government and academic researchers the choice of working with an agency specialising in this area of research. In the twelve years since, the Social Research Centre has grown from a single person start up entity (working out of a spare bedroom) to Australia’s leading supplier of survey research services to government and academic institutions. Darren’s specific interests include survey methodology, large-scale survey design and management, longitudinal surveys, population health surveys and community attitudes research. He is a full member of the Australian Market and Social Research Society and has QPMR (Qualified Practicing Market Researcher) accreditation. Darren is also a member of the American Association of Public Opinion Research, the World Association of Public Opinion Research, the European Survey Research Association and the Australasian Evaluation Society. Margo Barr - Principle Epidemiologist and Manager, Health Behaviour Surveillance, Centre for Epidemiology and Evidence, NSW Health Margo Barr is the Principal Epidemiologist and Manager, Health Behaviour Surveillance, Centre for Epidemiology and Evidence, NSW Ministry of Health. She has worked with the NSW Ministry of Health since 2001 running their population health survey program. Margo is an epidemiologist with over 20 years of experience in public health and surveillance methodology having also worked at PNG Department of Health, Queensland University of Technology, Queensland Health and the Australian Government, Department of Health and Ageing. She has a BSc, a MPH and, although mainly working in the public sector, has published over 30 research articles on public health, service provision, surveillance and survey methodology. She is currently completing her PhD in survey methodology at the Centre for Statistical and Survey Methodology, University of Wollongong. Margo is also a member of the Australasian Epidemiological Association, the International Epidemiological Association and the European Survey Research Association. Nicki Reavley? The Institute for Social Science Research and the Social Research Centre Telephone Surveys and the Mobile Phone Only population Workshop Program Page 8 Jennifer Newton - Policy Analyst, Communications Analysis, Australian Communications and Media Authority Jennifer Newton has been a researcher and policy analyst at the ACMA for over five years, specialising in quantitative design, questionnaire development and sampling techniques in the area of communications technology adoption and behaviour. Her research work has explored internet usage, unsolicited communications, e-Security issues and emergency telecommunications. As statistical liaison officer for the ACMA, Jennifer also acts as a primary contact between the ACMA and the Australian Bureau of Statistics with respect to business survey development, assisting staff to design fit-forpurpose questionnaires that minimize the burden on Australian businesses while achieving specific research objectives. Jennifer holds a PhD in Geography and Archaeology from the University of Melbourne. Michael Nieuwesteeg - Research Manager Transport Accident Commission Michael Nieuwesteeg (B.Science (Honours - Statistics) is Research Manager for Road Safety and Marketing at the Transport Accident Commission. He is responsible for the evaluation of the TAC's marketing and road safety program, which is based largely on social research and analysis of administrative datasets. He has worked for over ten years as an analyst in a range of government agencies predominantly in crime and accident prevention. Alun Jackson - Director, Problem Gambling Research and Treatment Centre, University of Melbourne Alun is Professor and Director of the Problem Gambling Treatment Research Centre at the University of Melbourne, a Professorial Fellow of the Melbourne Graduate School of Education, an Honorary Research Fellow of Peking University and an Honorary Research Fellow of the Centre on Behavioural Health at the University of Hong Kong. Professor Jackson’s previous positions include: Chair of Social Work at the University of Melbourne from 1997 to 2007; Chairman of the Centre for Migrant and Intercultural Studies at Monash University; and Director of the HIV/AIDS Socio-behavioural Research Unit at the University of Melbourne. He is the President of Drummond Street Services, a not-for profit family mental health service. He has been involved in the design and direction of many large scale gambling research projects including a study on family violence and problem gambling; a study of risk factors for the children of problem gamblers; an evaluation of the Victorian Gambler’s Help service; a study of the social and economic impact of gambling in Tasmania; and the development of the NH&MRC-endorsed Clinical Guidelines for Screening, Assessment and Treatment of Problem Gambling. Anthony Smith - Professor, Faculty of Health Science, Australian Research Centre in Sex, Health and Society Anthony Smith is a leading authority on the sexual behaviour and sexual health of the Australian population. He is a Professor at the Australian Research Centre in Sex, Health & Society at La Trobe University. The Institute for Social Science Research and the Social Research Centre Telephone Surveys and the Mobile Phone Only population Workshop Program Page 9 Graham Challice - Executive Director, Head of Survey Operations, the Social Research Centre Graham has over 21 years experience in market and social research operations with a reputation for effectively managing large-scale, resource intensive, high stakes government research projects to industrybest standards. Graham is a full member of the Australian Market and Social Research Society and has previously held positions with Wells Research, Reark Research, AC Nielsen and NCS Pearson. His expertise is in large-scale survey management, complex multi-mode projects and the development and execution of quality operational processes, with specific skills in response maximisation techniques, interviewer performance and enhanced data quality. Michele Haynes - Associate Professor, Social Statistics, Program Leader, Research Methods & Social Statistics Michele Haynes is Leader of the Research Methodology and Social Statistics Program in the Institute for Social Science Research (ISSR), The University of Queensland. She is also Executive Director of the Queensland node of the Australian Social Science Data Archive. Michele has been the senior statistician in ISSR (and previously the UQ Social Research Centre) since 2003 where she has participated in and managed academic and numerous contract research projects for government agencies. Michele has had extensive experience in the application of statistical methodology to both cross-sectional and longitudinal datasets arising in the social sciences. Her current research interests include developing methodologies for analysing multilevel and longitudinal social survey data with applications to understanding transitions throughout the life course including partnership, employment and housing transitions and interrelationships with important outcomes. Paul J. Lavrakas - Independent Research Consultant Paul is a research psychologist, and currently is serving as a methodological research consultant for several organizations, including Google and The Associated Press. From 2000-2007 he was Vice President and chief methodologist for Nielsen Media Research. He was a tenured Professor at Northwestern University (1978-1996) and Ohio State University (1996-2000), and was the founding faculty director of the Northwestern University Survey Lab (1982-1996) and the OSU Center for Survey Research (1996-2000). Among his publications, he has written two editions of a widely read book on telephone surveying (Telephone Survey Methods: Sampling, Selection and Supervision) which were published by Sage in 1987 and 1993. Since then he has authored several handbook chapters on telephone survey methods, the most recent appearing in the Handbook of Survey Research (Elsevier, 2010). In 2007, he was the editor of a special issue of Public Opinion Quarterly on mobile phone surveying in the USA. He also was co-editor for Advances in Telephone Survey Methodology (Wiley, 2008). He also organized and chaired the 2003 and 2005 U.S. Cell Phone Sampling Summits and the 2007-2008 and 2009-2010 AAPOR Task Forces on Cell Phone Surveying. Among his other publications, Dr. Lavrakas is the editor of the Encyclopedia of Survey Research Methods published by Sage in 2008. He is the current President of the American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR), and looks forward to reconstituting AAPOR’s Cell Phone Surveying Task Force in 2013, with anticipation of issuing a report from that initiative by early 2014. The Institute for Social Science Research and the Social Research Centre Telephone Surveys and the Mobile Phone Only population Workshop Program Page 10 Mark Western - Director of the Institute for Social Science Research Mark Western is Director of the Institute for Social Science Research at The University of Queensland and a Fellow of the Academy of Social Sciences in Australia. He is a sociologist who has previously worked at the University of Tasmania and the Australian National University and held visiting appointments at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, the University of Manchester and the Institute of Education. He has published on topics relating to social and economic inequality, political behaviour, and family demography using Australian and international academic and government survey data. He has also led and participated in a number of research projects for Federal government departments and agencies. In addition to his substantive research he also has research interests in survey methodology and statistical methods for categorical data analysis, and longitudinal and multilevel data structures. The Institute for Social Science Research and the Social Research Centre