Clinical Nutrition 33 (2014) 106e114 Contents lists available at SciVerse ScienceDirect Clinical Nutrition journal homepage: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/clnu The use of hand grip strength as a predictor of nutrition status in hospital patients Anna Flood a, Alexis Chung a, Hayley Parker b, Victoria Kearns b, Therese A. O’Sullivan a, * a b School of Exercise and Health Science, Edith Cowan University, Joondalup, Western Australia, Australia Dietetics Department, Joondalup Health Campus, Joondalup, Western Australia, Australia a r t i c l e i n f o s u m m a r y Article history: Received 18 July 2012 Accepted 4 March 2013 Background & aims: Hand grip strength (HGS) has been found to respond to nutrition deprivation and repletion but few studies have investigated its use as an independent nutrition assessment tool. We conducted an observational study to determine if HGS can predict nutrition status independently of other factors. Methods: The Patient Generated Subjective Global Assessment (PG-SGA) was used to determine nutrition status. PG-SGA and HGS measures were collected from 217 well nourished and malnourished hospital patients for cross-sectional analysis. Of the 217, 18 patients had these assessments repeated two weeks (3 days) later to assess change. Correlation, and multiple linear and binary regression analyses were conducted. Results: HGS and PG-SGA score were significantly correlated (r ¼ 0.292, P < 0.01). HGS was a significant independent predictor of PG-SGA score and category (P < 0.01), accounting for 4% and 9% of variability respectively. Change-in-HGS was an independent predictor of change-in-PG-SGA score (P ¼ 0.04) and category (P ¼ 0.06) over two weeks, accounting for 47% and 42% of variability respectively. Conclusions: Our results suggest that HGS can independently predict nutrition status and change in nutrition status defined by PG-SGA score and category, although future longer term research is required to confirm the use of HGS as an early detection tool for malnutrition risk. Ó 2013 Elsevier Ltd and European Society for Clinical Nutrition and Metabolism. All rights reserved. Keywords: Hand grip strength PG-SGA Malnutrition Nutrition status Hospital 1. Introduction Malnutrition is a common and ongoing problem among hospital patients.1 Studies in developed countries report that malnourished patients account for between 20 and 60 percent of the hospitalised population.2e4 In this setting, malnutrition has been independently associated with compromised health, including medical complications, prolonged recovery from illness and surgery, and an increased rate of mortality.2,5 Identification of hospital patients who are malnourished or at a high risk of malnutrition is therefore essential in clinical nutrition best practice. Recognising these patients as early as possible facilitates earlier nutritional intervention and improved health outcomes. Non-standard abbreviations: (HGS), hand grip strength; (PG-SGA), patient generated subjective global assessment; (PAL), physical activity level. * Corresponding author. School of Exercise and Health Sciences, Edith Cowan University, Building 19, 270 Joondalup Drive, Joondalup, WA 6027, Australia. Tel.: þ61 8 6304 5055; fax: þ61 8 6304 5384. E-mail addresses: aflood@our.ecu.edu.au (A. Flood), achung@our.ecu.edu.au (A. Chung), ParkerH@ramsayhealth.com.au (H. Parker), kearnsv@ ramsayhealth.com.au (V. Kearns), t.osullivan@ecu.edu.au (T.A. O’Sullivan). A variety of nutrition assessment tools are used in hospitals, many of which rely on weight or physical assessment.6 One such tool is the scored Patient Generated Subjective Global Assessment (PG-SGA), a validated means of triaging patients according to nutritional status and need for nutritional support using a physical assessment.7 However, research into the physiological changes in the malnourished human body suggests that a change in muscle function may be useful as an early indication of malnutrition.8 A nutrition assessment tool based on an objective measure of physical function may therefore be valuable,9 particularly in circumstances where weight is not known or accurate physical assessment is difficult due to a lack of trained staff. Hand grip strength (HGS), a commonly used tool for assessment of muscle function in clinical settings,10 has gained considerable attention as an indicator of nutrition status in recent research.11 A systematic review of HGS as a nutritional marker by Norman and colleagues suggests that this measure would be a good indicator of nutrition status.11 The review also highlights the potential monitoring capabilities of HGS to detect improvements in nutritional status following supplementation.11 HGS is a rapid, costeffective and a user friendly tool10 that has high test and re-test reliability, as well as high inter-rater reliability.12 HGS could 0261-5614/$ e see front matter Ó 2013 Elsevier Ltd and European Society for Clinical Nutrition and Metabolism. All rights reserved. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.clnu.2013.03.003 A. Flood et al. / Clinical Nutrition 33 (2014) 106e114 therefore provide a number of benefits over existing nutrition assessment methods, which are more time consuming and require higher skill levels. Despite the promising evidence and benefits of HGS as a nutrition assessment tool, to our knowledge there have been no published articles exploring the potential of HGS to independently predict nutrition status in a standard hospital population. To evaluate HGS as a nutrition assessment tool, we have undertaken a study of hospital patients from the Joondalup Health Campus in Western Australia, with the aim to investigate the relationship between PG-SGA and HGS values. It was hypothesised that HGS would show a significant correlation with PG-SGA score as well as being an independent predictor of PG-SGA score and nutrition status. 2. Materials and methods 2.1. Participants This observational study combined cross-sectional and longitudinal methods using both prospective and retrospective data. The study was conducted at Joondalup Health Campus (JHC), Western Australia, with approval from the Human Research Ethics Committees of JHC and Edith Cowan University. The retrospective data included in this study was collected from medical, surgical and rehabilitation ward patients between January and June 2011. Complete data sets were retrieved from dietetic inpatient notes with consent from JHC. The prospective component of this study was carried out during July and August 2011. All adult patients referred to the JHC Dietetics Department from medical, surgical and rehabilitation wards were eligible for inclusion. JHC dietetic outpatients assessed during these periods were also included. All prospective data was collected by Accredited Practising Dietitians or by student dietitians with written consent from the participants. Injury, malformation and severe rheumatoid arthritis in both hands were considered exclusion criteria, to avoid potential limitations to HGS measurement. Patients who were under the age of 18, displayed signs of cognitive impairment or had severe dementia were also excluded. Exclusion criteria were the same for the prospective and retrospective data groups. Cross-sectional analyses were performed on combined prospective and retrospective data, which will be referred to as ‘baseline data’. Longitudinal analyses were performed on duplicate measures and will be referred to as ‘monitoring data’. 2.2. Nutrition status assessment Nutrition status was assessed using the PG-SGA,7 determining the presence and severity of malnutrition in each patient. The PGSGA was completed by trained JHC dietitians and student dietitians whose competence in using the tool was subjectively assessed as satisfactory by an experienced JHC dietetics supervisor prior to data collection. The PG-SGA consists of two sections. The first medicallybased component is reported by the patient, including their weight history, dietary intake, symptoms, and level of function and activity. The second clinically-based component requires the assessor to perform a physical examination of fat stores, muscle tone and fluid status and to use this information to generate a global assessment of nutrition status. The PG-SGA produces a score and category. These results are related13 but independent and for this reason have been analysed as different independent variables of nutrition status in this study. The PG-SGA category triages patients nutrition status into well nourished (category A), moderately malnourished or suspected malnutrition (B), or severely malnourished (C).7 The total numerical score is summed from questions in the first component 107 of the assessment which provides a guideline for the need and urgency of nutrition intervention. A patient achieving a score greater than nine indicates a critical need for nutrition intervention, and a score between one and nine identifies the need to reassess and monitor the patient.13 Additional information needed to complete the assessment, including relevant diagnosis, primary disease stage, current use of steroid medication and body temperature, were obtained from the patients’ medical notes and dietetic inpatient notes. 2.3. Hand grip strength measurement HGS was measured using one of three JamarÒ Hydraulic Hand Dynamometers (Sammons Preston Rolyan, Bolingbrook, Illinois, 2010 model). This tool has been shown to be reliable and valid,10 with high inter-rater reliability.12 Jamar dynamometers require 12 monthly calibration and each device was calibrated in December 2010 prior to the start of data collection in January 2011. Patients performed the test sitting on a bed or chair in the posture found to produce the most accurate results14: shoulders adducted and neutrally rotated, elbow flexed at 90 and wrist neutrally positioned. The patient’s dominant hand was used for the assessment and where this was not possible, the patient’s nondominant hand was used and this detail was recorded. Each patient was given a demonstration and then asked to complete a maximal isometric contraction for 3 s. To minimise variance in psychomotor motivation,12 standardised encouragement was given to each subject: “Squeeze as hard as you can, harder, harder, relax”, saying “relax” at 3 s. A total of three maximal isometric contractions were required from each patient with no less than 10 s, and no more than 30 s rest between tests, and the mean HGS result was calculated. The patients predicted HGS was also calculated as shown in Table 1. Mean and predicted HGS results were then compared and the patients percentage of predicted HGS was calculated. From this point forward, ‘HGS’ will refer to percentage of predicted HGS. As difficulties exist with defining acceptable ranges for aspects such as predicted HGS, we also examined changes in nutritional status. Monitoring analysis was conducted using the difference between HGS at baseline and two weeks and the difference between PG-SGA score and category at these times. This difference will be referred to as ‘change-in-HGS’ and ‘change-in-PG-SGA’ score or category. During this study it was identified that one of the dynamometers was reading inaccurately, despite calibration occurring before commencement of data collection. In response to this, all patients who had been assessed in the previous week and remained in hospital had their HGS re-assessed using a calibrated device. Any patients who could not be re-assessed and data which could not be identified as collected with the unaffected dynamometers were excluded from the study. 2.4. Data collection Eligible patients had PG-SGA and HGS assessments completed at baseline. Gender, age (years), weight (kg), height (cm), body mass index (BMI) (kg/m2), mid upper arm circumference (cm), reason for Table 1 Predictive equations of hand grip strength for adults aged 18 years and over.24 Prediction equations Left hand Right hand (Age 0.16) þ (gender 16.68) þ (BMI 0.29) þ 26.60 (Age 0.18) þ (gender 16.90) þ (BMI 0.23) þ 31.33 Age: in years. Gender: male ¼ 1, female ¼ 0. BMI: body mass index as measured by weight in kg/height in m2. 108 A. Flood et al. / Clinical Nutrition 33 (2014) 106e114 referral to the dietetics department and past medical history were collected from dietetic inpatient notes. All diagnoses and total number of diagnoses at the patient’s most recent admission to JHC were also recorded, as well as the number of medications taken which are known to impact on nutrition status. Patients who remained in hospital for two weeks (3 days) or returned to an outpatient clinic two weeks (3 days) after their initial assessment had HGS and PG-SGA assessments repeated. For those assessed again at two weeks, the number of days between baseline and repeat HGS and PG-SGA assessments was recorded from dietetic inpatient notes. 2.5. Physical activity level HGS and physical activity level (PAL) have been shown to positively correlate in a population of healthy men and women aged 40e79 (P < 0.05).15 To investigate its possible confounding effect on HGS, PAL was assessed in the prospective patients using the International Physical Activity Questionnaire-short form (IPAQSF). This valid and reliable tool16 includes seven questions assessing the minutes spent walking, sitting and doing vigorous and moderate intensity activity during the last seven days. The questionnaire was used without change to the order or wording of the questions. Accumulated hours spent being physically active in the seven days prior to HGS and PG-SGA assessments were calculated and used in analysis. 2.6. Statistical methodology Data was analysed using Predictive Analysis Software by Statistical Package for the Social SciencesÓ (SPSS, version 18, SPSS Inc. Chicago, IL, USA). HGS, PG-SGA and patient characteristic data are presented as mean standard deviation (SD). Descriptive statistics were used to detail the subjects characteristics. Within this, a One Way Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) was then used to identify significant differences between PG-SGA categories and these variables, including HGS, while Spearman’s rho was used to determine the correlation between HGS and PG-SGA score, as well as the change-in-HGS against the change-in-PG-SGA score. The PG-SGA categories were divided into well nourished (PG-SGA category A) and malnourished (PG-SGA categories B and C) groups, and will be referred to as nutrition status from this point on. An independent ttest was used to determine the difference in HGS between nutrition status groups. For baseline and change-in-HGS, multivariate binary logistic and linear regression were used to investigate factors predicting nutrition status and PG-SGA score respectively. Nagelkerke r2 values were used to assess individual contributions to the models for each included variable.17 Potential confounding factors considered for inclusion in the regression models were age (years), gender, mid upper arm circumference (cm), number of medications, number of diagnoses and PAL (hours). We did not include body mass index (BMI) in the model as the equation used to estimate the ‘normal’ HGS of patients includes BMI (Table 1). We also ran receiving operator characteristic (ROC) curve for observed HGS and nutritional status sensitivity/specificity. Statistical significance was established at P < 0.05. (n ¼ 5), non-compliance with requests (n ¼ 2), confusion (n ¼ 2), aggression (n ¼ 1), hand malformation (n ¼ 1), and being discharged before collection of informed consent (n ¼ 1). The remaining 217 patients qualified for inclusion. Of these patients, 52 remained in or returned to hospital over the study period and had duplicate HGS and PG-SGA assessments taken. Eighteen duplicate measures were included in the study; 34 were excluded because of collection of data outside of the two week (3 days) period (n ¼ 22) and incomplete data collection (n ¼ 12). At baseline, 45 patients were classified as well nourished (A), 148 as moderately malnourished or at risk of malnutrition (B) and 24 as severely malnourished (C), according to the PG-SGA. The monitoring population consisted of one well nourished, 15 moderately malnourished or at risk of malnutrition and two severely malnourished patients. Characteristics of the baseline and monitoring groups are shown in Table 2. Patients included in the study were located on medical (n ¼ 104), rehabilitation (n ¼ 34), surgical (n ¼ 24), orthopaedic (n ¼ 2) and mental health (n ¼ 1) wards. Four outpatients and five day therapy patients were also included. The remaining patients were unspecified inpatients (n ¼ 21) or did not have their location recorded (n ¼ 23). The main reasons for referral to the dietetics department were loss of appetite or low oral intake (n ¼ 81), unintentional weight loss (n ¼ 60), underweight or malnutrition (n ¼ 24) and nutrition education (n ¼ 21). Other reasons for referral included needing a specialised diet (n ¼ 17), gastrointestinal surgery (n ¼ 8), malnutrition screening tool results (n ¼ 6), bariatric surgery (n ¼ 5), nutrition impact symptoms (n ¼ 5), nasogastric tube in situ (n ¼ 3), constipation (n ¼ 2), refusing food (n ¼ 2), oral nutrition support (n ¼ 2), poor diet choices (n ¼ 1), and high stoma output (n ¼ 1). Some patients had multiple reasons for referral. 3.2. Baseline results 3. Results The mean HGS of well nourished (A), moderately malnourished or at risk of malnutrition (B) and severely malnourished (C) patients differed according to PG-SGA category, with values of 82.1 24.9%, 59.1 23.9% and 51.2 20.1%, respectively, P < 0.001 (Table 2). An inverse relationship existed between HGS and PG-SGA score, rs ¼ 0.292, P < 0.001 as determined by Spearman’s rho (Fig. 1). Post hoc tests showed HGS scores for patients in PG-SGA category A was significantly different to patients in categories B (P < 0.001) and C (P < 0.001) but scores between categories B and C were not significantly different (P ¼ 0.285) (Fig. 2). A number of potential confounding factors were considered in the relationship between HGS and nutrition status. Of these, age (r ¼ 0.419, P < 0.001), number of medications (r ¼ 0.305, P < 0.001), and number of diagnoses (r ¼ 0.176, P ¼ 0.01) were significantly associated with HGS. Similarly, age (r ¼ 0.182, P ¼ 0.007), number of medications (r ¼ 0.169, P ¼ 0.013), number of diagnoses (r ¼ 0.168, P ¼ 0.015) and patient ward (r ¼ 0.177, P ¼ 0.022) were significantly associated with PG-SGA score. PG-SGA category was significantly associated with age (F ¼ 22.8, P < 0.001), mid upper arm circumference (F ¼ 10.9, P < 0.001) and number of medications (F ¼ 9.8, P < 0.001). Hours spent being physically active in the seven days prior to assessment was not associated with HGS (r ¼ 0.136, P ¼ 0.369), PG-SGA score (r ¼ 0.027, P ¼ 0.860) or category (F ¼ 1.008, P ¼ 0.486). 3.1. Patient characteristics 3.3. HGS predicting PG-SGA score A total of 294 patients were eligible for entry into the study. Seventy seven of these patients were subsequently excluded for reasons including incomplete data collection (n ¼ 54), inability to complete the HGS assessment (n ¼ 11), hand dynamometer failure The final linear regression model to predict PG-SGA score showed HGS was an independent predictor accounting for 4% of the variability, P ¼ 0.001, b ¼ 0.219, B ¼ 0.049, 95% CI [0.078, 0.020] (Table 3). A. Flood et al. / Clinical Nutrition 33 (2014) 106e114 109 Table 2 Characteristics of baseline and monitoring patients grouped by PG-SGA category. PG-SGA categorya Total A Well nourished Baseline (n) % Male PG-SGA score (n ¼ 217) Actual HGS, kg (n ¼ 217) % ideal HGSc (n 217) Age, years (n ¼ 216) Weight, kg (n ¼ 216) BMI, kg/m2 (n ¼ 216) MUAC, cm (n ¼ 62) Diagnosesd (n ¼ 210) Medicationse (n ¼ 212) Physical activity (n ¼ 47) Hours activef Monitoring (n) % Males Baseline (n ¼ 18) PG-SGA score Actual HGS, kg % ideal HGSc Two weeksg (n ¼ 18) PG-SGA score Actual HGS, kg % ideal HGSc Age, years (n ¼ 18) Weight, kg (n ¼ 18) BMI, kg/m2 (n ¼ 18) MUAC, cm (n ¼ 7) Diagnosesd (n ¼ 18) Medicationse (n ¼ 18) Days between assessments (n ¼ 14) B Moderately malnourished C Severely malnourished Mean SD Mean SD Mean SD Mean SD (217) 35.5 11.4 18.8 63.0 75.1 64.4 23.6 23.9 1.6 4.5 (45) 35.6 4.1 27.2 82.1 62.7 83.6 30.0 27.0 1.3 2.8 (148) 35.8 12.4 17.1 59.1 78.8 61.6 22.8 24.7 1.7 5.2 (24) 33.3 18.5 14.0 51.2 75.0 45.6 16.9 19.2 1.8 3.8 5.8 10.7 25.7 15.2 20.4 6.6 4.1 1.0 3.3 2.0 3.3 (18) 27.8 13.7 4.0 14.5 7.1 54.0 16.2 10.3 15.9 57.2 80.5 53.8 21.1 23.6 1.6 5.1 4.1 7.6 17.6 8.4 11.5 4.0 2.9 0.8 3.0 13.8 1.5 3.4 11.7 24.9 17.4 23.0 7.7 3.6 0.8 2.8 1.4 2.7 (1) 0 8.0 0 13.0 0 59.7 0 14.0 14.0 64.3 77.0 61.9 25.8 28.0 2.0 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15.0 0 4.3 9.5 23.9 11.5 15.7 4.7 3.6 1.1 3.2 3.0 7.6 20.1 19.4 13.4 5.0 3.4 1.1 3.4 Pb 0.973 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.106 <0.001 2.2 3.5 (15) 33.3 2.5 4.5 (2) 0 0.549 13.7 3.4 16.0 6.8 55.1 16.9 20.5 3.5 8.0 1.4 42.6 11.0 0.010 0.394 0.685 3.0 0.7 1.2 6.4 2.5 2.5 0 0 3.5 0.028 0.288 0.317 0.183 0.362 0.615 0.133 0.247 0.339 12.5 1.5 0.029 9.8 16.5 55.6 79.3 55.2 21.1 23.0 1.7 5.4 4.0 8.2 18.8 8.2 11.1 3.6 2.5 1.0 2.6 13.9 1.3 12.0 12.5 65.9 88.5 38.8 16.1 20.0 1.0 2.5 0.753 HGS: hand grip strength; MUAC: mid upper arm circumference; PG-SGA: patient generated subjective global assessment. a PG-SGA category (A) well nourished, (B) moderately malnourished or risk of malnutrition, (C) severely malnourished. b Significance of difference between well nourished (PG-SGA A) and malnourished (PG-SGA B and C) mean patient characteristics. c Percent of calculated ideal HGS. d Number of diagnoses at most recent admission to JHC. e Number of medications taken by the patient that are relevant to nutrition. f Accumulative hours spent physically active, defined by the International Physical Activity Questionnaire, over the seven days prior to assessment.16 g HGS and PG-SGA assessments taken two weeks (3 days) after baseline assessments. 3.4. HGS predicting nutrition status Logistic regression modelling showed that HGS was an independent predictor accounting for 9% of the variability, P ¼ <0.001, B ¼ 0.035, OR ¼ 0.966, 95% CI [0.949, 0.983] (Table 4). 3.5. Monitoring results The mean HGS and PG-SGA score of the monitoring group was 52.0 17.1 and 13.9 4.0, respectively. After an average of 13.8 1.4 days in hospital, the mean HGS for this group increased to 57.2 18.6 (P < 0.001) and PG-SGA score decreased (representing improved nutrition status) to 10.3 4.1 (P ¼ 0.09) (Fig. 3). HGS showed a significant inverse association with PG-SGA score over this monitoring period (Spearman’s rho, r ¼ 0.672, P ¼ 0.002) (Fig. 4). HGS and PG-SGA category over this period also had a significant negative association (F ¼ 4.028, P ¼ 0.04). model HGS alone was an independent predictor accounting for 47% of the variability (P ¼ 0.003) (Table 5). 3.7. HGS predicting nutrition status over time The final logistic regression model showed that HGS independently predicted a change in nutrition status over time. Within this model HGS alone was borderline as a predictor accounting for 42% of the variability (P ¼ 0.079) (Table 6). 3.8. ROC curve We ran a ROC curve analysis for observed HGS and nutritional status sensitivity/specificity and found high discriminatory values (Fig. 5). The area under the curve is 0.776 with a standard error of 0.039 (P ¼ <0.001) and a 95% confidence interval of 0.698, 0.853. 4. Discussion 3.6. HGS predicting PG-SGA score over time The final factors in the linear regression model to predict change-in-PG-SGA score were change-in-HGS, number of medications and number of diagnoses. In combination, these factors accounted for 53% of the variability in PG-SGA score. Within this In this observational study of a heterogeneous group of well nourished and malnourished hospital patients, we found a significant association between HGS and nutrition status, as defined by PG-SGA score and category. Furthermore, we demonstrated that baseline HGS may independently predict nutrition status and that 110 A. Flood et al. / Clinical Nutrition 33 (2014) 106e114 Table 3 Unstandardised (B) and standardised (b) regression coefficients and change in squared correlations (R2) for each variable in a regression model predicting PG-SGA score (n ¼ 217). r = -0.292 Variable B [95% CI] b P Change in R2 Percent ideal HGSa BMI (kg/m2) Number of medicationsb 0.049 [0.078, 0.020] 0.297 [0.405, 0.189] 0.157 [0.064, 0.379] 0.219 0.340 0.090 0.001 <0.001 0.163 0.042 0.109 0.009 BMI: body mass index; HGS: hand grip strength; PG-SGA: patient generated subjective global assessment. a Percent of calculated ideal HGS.24 b Number of medications relevant to nutrition taken by the patient. Table 4 Outcome (B) and odds ratio (Exp[B]) coefficients and change in Nagelkerke R2 17 from baseline for each variable in a regression model predicting risk of malnutrition (PG-SGA categories B and C) (n ¼ 217). Fig. 1. Correlation between percent of ideal HGS and PG-SGA score by PG-SGA nutrition status category (n ¼ 217). HGS: hand grip strength. PG-SGA: patient generated subjective global assessment.25 Scatter plot showing the overall inverse correlation between percent of ideal hand grip strength and PG-SGA score in patients classified as well nourished (A, black dot), moderately malnourished (B, white dot) and severely malnourished (C, grey dot), where ideal HGS was determined using predictive equations that consider age, gender and BMI. Spearman’s rho correlation: rs ¼ 0.292, P < 0.001. Variable B Exp [B] [95% CI] P Change in R2 Percent ideal HGSa BMI (kg/m2) Number of medicationsb 0.035 0.198 0.149 0.966 [0.949, 0.983] 0.820 [0.761, 0.885] 1.160 [1.007, 1.337] < 0.001 < 0.001 0.040 0.093 0.216 0.029 BMI: body mass index; HGS: hand grip strength; PG-SGA: patient generated subjective global assessment. a Percent of calculated ideal HGS.24 b Number of medications relevant to nutrition taken by the patient. Fig. 2. Mean percent ideal HGS across PG-SGA categories of nutrition status. The same letters indicate a significant difference between means: A (P < 0.001) B (P < 0.001). HGS: hand grip strength. PG-SGA: patient generated subjective global assessment.25 Post Hoc test shows that well nourished patients had a mean percent of ideal hand grip strength significantly different to both moderately and severely malnourished patients, where ideal hand grip strength was determined using predictive equations that consider age, gender and BMI. The same test shows no significant difference between the mean percent of ideal hand grip strength of the malnourished patient groups. A. Flood et al. / Clinical Nutrition 33 (2014) 106e114 111 Fig. 3. Change in mean percent ideal HGS (left) and mean PG-SGA score (right) between baseline and two weeks (n ¼ 18). HGS: hand grip strength. PG-SGA: patient generated subjective global assessment.25 Patients who remained in or returned to hospital two weeks (3 days) after their initial measurements had their hand grip strength and PG-SGA tests repeated. Left: Plot shows a mean increase in percent of ideal hand grip strength over the monitoring period of 5.3% (P < 0.001), indicating an increase in muscular strength. Right: Plot shows a mean decrease in PG-SGA score of 3.6 points over the monitoring period (P ¼ 0.09), indicating improvement in nutritional status. r = -0.672 Fig. 4. Correlation between change-in-HGS and change-in-PG-SGA score (n ¼ 18). HGS: hand grip strength. PG-SGA: patient generated subjective global assessment.25 Patients who remained in or returned to hospital two weeks (3 days) after their initial measurements had their hand grip strength and PG-SGA tests repeated. The difference between these measurements were calculated and shown as change-in-HGS and change-in-(PG-SGA)score. The scatter plot shows change-in-HGS and change-in-score had a significant inverse correlation. Spearman’s rho correlation: rs ¼ 0.7672, P ¼ 0.002. 112 A. Flood et al. / Clinical Nutrition 33 (2014) 106e114 Table 5 Unstandardised (B) and standardised (b) regression coefficients and change in squared correlations (r2) for each variable in a regression model predicting changein-PG-SGA score over two weeks (n ¼ 18). Variable B [95% CI] b P Change in R2 Change in percent ideal HGSa Number of diagnosesb Number of medicationsc 0.341 [0.543, 0.140] 0.695 0.003 0.467 1.890 [0.812, 4.592] 0.674 [1.407, 0.060] 0.331 0.447 0.156 0.069 0.076 0.131 BMI: body mass index; HGS: hand grip strength; PG-SGA: patient generated subjective global assessment. a Change in percent of calculated ideal HGS over two weeks.24 b Number of diagnoses at most recent admission to Joondalup Health Campus. c Number of medications relevant to nutrition taken by the patient. Table 6 Outcome (B) and odds ratio (OR) coefficients and change in Nagelkerke R2 a for each variable in a regression model predicting change in nutrition status categories well nourished (PG-SGA category A) and malnourished (PG-SGA categories B and C), over two weeks (n ¼ 18). Variable B O [95% CI] P Change in R2 Change in percent ideal HGSb BMI (kg/m2) 0.200 1.222 [0.977, 1.528] 0.079 0.415 0.172 0.842 [0.563, 1.259] 0.402 0.048 BMI: body mass index; HGS: hand grip strength; OR: odds ratio; PG-SGA: patient generated subjective global assessment. a Nagelkerke R2 represents the degree of variability of the outcome variable contributed by the dependent variable.17 b Change in percent of calculated ideal HGS over two weeks.24 monitoring measures of HGS have the potential to independently predict change in nutrition status over time. The ability of HGS to account for variation in nutrition status differed with the dependent variable (PG-SGA score or category) and whether baseline or monitoring HGS measures were used. Change-in-HGS accounted for the highest proportion of variability (47%) in relation to changein-PG-SGA score (P ¼ 0.003). The results of the ROC curve plot suggests that HGS has a fair accuracy as a diagnostic test, with the area under the curve of 0.776 compared to a perfect test of 1 and a worthless test of 0.5. 4.1. Potential mechanism The association demonstrated between HGS and PG-SGA score and category is likely to be linked to the relationship between muscle function and nutrition status. In the malnourished state, skeletal muscle is the body’s preferential fuel source,8 which causes a loss of protein stores and a resultant decline in muscle strength and functionality.9 This mechanism may explain why mean HGS was significantly lower in malnourished patients when compared to well nourished patients. Additionally, muscle protein stores have been found to respond rapidly to restored nutrition.11 This could explain the concomitant increase in HGS and nutrition status seen in the observational group after two weeks of nutrition intervention. Together these mechanisms may contribute to the ability of HGS to account for nutrition status variability. 4.2. Clinical significance The clinical significance of our results depends on the ability of HGS to predict nutrition status. The maximal predictive ability of a single HGS measure in our model was 9% of PG-SGA category variability. In practice, this means that almost 10% of the variation in nutrition status as determined by the PG-SGA can be predicted by a single HGS measure. Furthermore, for every 10% increase in HGS, the odds of the patient being at risk of malnutrition decreases by 29%. The maximal predictive ability of change-in-HGS alone was 47% of change-in-PG-SGA score. This suggests that Fig. 5. Observed HGS and nutritional status sensitivity/specificity ROC curve. HGS: hand grip strength. ROC: receiver operating characteristic. The area under the curve is 0.776 with a standard error of 0.039 (P ¼ <0.001) and a 95% confidence interval of 0.698, 0.853. A. Flood et al. / Clinical Nutrition 33 (2014) 106e114 almost half of the variation in nutrition status over time may be determined by change-in-HGS over the same period. Although this level of accuracy is not high enough to suggest that HGS can replace current nutrition assessment tools in practice, it is important to note that HGS and the PG-SGA measure different nutrition parameters (nutrition status versus muscle strength). However, the significant association and predictive capacity of HGS indicates that this tool could provide valuable information about a patient’s nutrition status and may play an important role in clinical practice. Using HGS as a monitoring tool may have more advantages than providing earlier information about nutrition status. Repeating the PG-SGA is a way of monitoring a patient’s nutrition status; however, this requires an updated patient weight to determine weight loss, gain, or stabilisation. Weight measurement can be difficult to obtain in a clinical setting, especially in nonambulatory or critically ill patients. Dietitians can be required to make assessments without weight or wait for other hospital staff to obtain these measurements for them, which may result in inaccurate or delayed assessments. An inaccurate assessment may result in inappropriate nutrition intervention, and delayed assessments may mean patients wait longer for the nutrition therapy they require. Using HGS as a monitoring tool however, compares each successive measurement to the patients initial HGS in order to determine change-in-HGS and therefore change in nutrition status. This only requires initial BMI which is used to determine initial percentage of ideal HGS and, therefore, only requires measurement of body weight initially. HGS may therefore provide an indication of change in nutrition status when ongoing weight measurement is not available and weight-reliant assessments such as the PG-SGA are not possible. Literature also recommends that the PG-SGA is only repeated every two weeks to allow time for change to occur.13 In contrast, HGS can be repeated more often and may therefore provide more frequent updates on the patient’s nutrition status and direction of change. Although we do not recommend the use of HGS as the primary measure of nutritional status of hospital patients, it appears to be a potentially useful tool for performing rapid assessments of nutritional status, which can indicate the patient’s direction of change over time. HGS is quick, easy, non-invasive and objective, with high inter-rater reliability12 which can be performed by any staff member following the set procedure. In addition to the advantages discussed, HGS may therefore provide rapid information about a patient’s nutrition status without the subjectivity and invasiveness of the PG-SGA or the need for a dietitian. 4.3. Further research A systematic review by Norman and colleagues suggests that HGS is an attractive tool for predicting nutrition status because it reacts quickly to change in nutrition deprivation and restoration.11 If muscle function changes before body composition with decreasing nutrition and HGS can detect this change, HGS may have an important role in the early detection of malnutrition. Many tools used to screen for malnutrition or risk of malnutrition, such as the Malnutrition Screening Tool, are based on changes to body composition, particularly weight.18 Although not investigated in our study, HGS may be able to detect change earlier than current anthropometry based screening tools. In theory, earlier detection of malnutrition should lead the way to earlier nutrition intervention and provide a better outcome for the patient. HGS may also be useful in the evaluation of the adequacy of existing nutrition intervention. Further research is required to investigate whether HGS can detect changes in nutrition status earlier than the PG-SGA, using comparative measures such as body nitrogen or assessment 113 of fat and non fat mass using techniques such as dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry. Research into specific populations, such as oncology patients, may be useful, particularly in regards to development of equations that use HGS to determine predicted nutrition status or change in nutrition status over time. An equation using HGS but not relying on weight would be useful in dietetic assessment where weight is not easily obtained. We also suggest that data on PAL be collected in future studies, despite our results finding no correlation using the IPAQ-SF tool which was contrary to other literature.15,19 In our study population, the lack of association may be due to the tool assessing the past seven days, a time when most patients would have a low PAL due to illness or hospitalisation over this period. Therefore an alternative measure of long term PAL may provide a more representative assessment of physical activity in a clinical population group such as ours. 4.4. Study strengths and limitations A comprehensive number of variables collected from patients by trained staff was a strength of this study. HGS and PG-SGA data were collected from patients simultaneously which strengthens the consistency of our data. Our analysis was based on a sample size (n ¼ 217) that is comparable to similar studies,20e22 and included male and female hospital patients aged 20e99 years from a variety of wards. However, approximately a quarter of patients were excluded from our study due to problems with positioning, arthritis in their hands, or dementia/delirium. This therefore limits the generalization of our results, which may not be directly transferable to the wider hospital population. Although patients in our study were positioned in the posture recommended by The American Society of Hand Therapists for each HGS assessment which has high intra-test and inter-test reliability,23 there is no consensus on assessment protocol for HGS.11 This limits the comparison between our study and others using different methodology. Standard reference values for HGS are also lacking and a variety of equations have been used throughout the literature. It is important to state that the equations used are only estimates of ideal HGS and may have intrinsic error. The size of the monitoring sample was limited in our study (n ¼ 18) which is likely to have affected the ability of our results to reach significance. 5. Conclusion The association between HGS and nutrition status we observed in our study indicates the potential of HGS to provide valuable information to health care professionals working with malnourished patients. Our research contributes to the literature in this field by demonstrating that HGS may independently predict nutrition status, as determined by PG-SGA score and category, which confirms our hypothesis. Although we do not recommend that HGS should replace existing nutrition assessment tools in a clinical setting at this stage, we do suggest that HGS should be further investigated as a malnutrition screening and monitoring tool, as it may provide information about a patient’s nutrition status earlier than existing methods. Statement of authorship H.P. and V.K. were responsible for the conception and design of this study, and overseeing of data collection. A.F and A.C were responsible for data collection and interpretation of the results. A.C carried out the statistical analysis and A.F. drafted the manuscript. T.O. provided methodology guidance and statistical support as well as mentoring of A.F and A.C. All authors were involved in editing the manuscript. 114 A. Flood et al. / Clinical Nutrition 33 (2014) 106e114 Sources of funding No funding was provided for any component of this study. Conflict of interest The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest regarding this article. Acknowledgements We would like to thank the JHC Dietetic Department for assistance with data collection, and the JHC patients who kindly participated in the research. We would also like to thank Kimberley Voo for statistical support, and Nicholas Flood and Sarah Cox for assistance with manuscript editing. References 1. Corish CA, Kennedy NP. Protein-energy undernutrition in hospital in-patients. Br J Nutr 2000;83(6):575e91. 2. Correia MITD, Waitzberg DL. The impact of malnutrition on morbidity, mortality, length of hospital stay and costs evaluated through a multivariate model analysis. Clin Nutr 2003;22(3):235e9. 3. Norman K, Schütz T, Kemps M, Josef Lübke H, Lochs H, Pirlich M. 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