LIGHTWEIGHT VEHICLES AND POWERTRAIN STRUCTURES : UK OPPORTUNITIES LIGHTWEIGHTING WORKING GROUP: SEPTEMBER 2013 This report published with support from “Helping to turn low carbon propulsion technology into products developed in the UK” CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The Advanced Propulsion Centre was formed in 2013, demonstrating the commitment between the government and automotive industry through the Automotive Council to position the UK as a global centre of excellence for low carbon powertrain development and production. It is a central pillar of the Automotive Industrial Strategy created by the Automotive Council and focuses on five strategic technologies. The APC focuses on the four shown in green, whilst the Transport Systems Catapult addresses the fifth, Intelligent Mobility. 1.0INTRODUCTION 2.0 MASS PRODUCTION TARGETS 2.1 Future CO2 targets 2.2 2.3 2.4 If you... 3.0 • Are a company with a prototype, innovative low carbon OPTIONS FOR REDUCING VEHICLE MASS 4.0 OPPORTUNITIES FOR UK INDUSTRY 4.1 Context propulsion technology. • Want to turn your technology into an automotive product developed in in the UK. The Advanced Propulsion Centre can help you... 4.2 4.3 Weight Save forms Requirements to achieve objectives 5.0CONCLUSIONS • Find partners and create a collaboration with other companies, suppliers and manufacturers. APPENDICES • Access industry and government funding to share the risks and opportunities when preparing to bring your technology to market. The APC is an industry wide collaboration with government, academia, innovators and producers of low carbon propulsion systems. It facilitates and supports partnerships between those who have good ideas and those who have a desire to bring them to market. The APC is also the custodian of the strategic technology consensus roadmaps developed by the Automotive Council which inform the UK’s research and development agenda. Reducing CO2 emissions The energy-based model 2.3.1 Energy required to complete a journey 2.3.2 Efficiency of motion Calculating future weight reduction 1Calculation Methodology for Weight Reduction Targets 2Weight Reduction Targets – Sensitivity Studies 3 Weight Save Forms The services provided by the APC enable projects which provide profitable growth and sustainable opportunities for the partners involved and builds the UK supply chain. The APC’s activities will build the UK’s capability as a Propulsion Nation and contribute to the country’s economic prosperity. Contact The Advanced Propulsion Centre University Road Coventry CV4 7AL info@apcuk.co.uk 02476 528 700 @theapcuk www.apcuk.co.uk 2 3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1.0INTRODUCTION Vehicle Lightweighting is one of 5 ‘sticky’ technologies which were identified by the Automotive Council in 2010 as primary opportunities for creating future industry prosperity in the UK. Accordingly, the Council established a Vehicle & Powertrain Lightweighting Working Group and tasked it with examining the likely future requirements for reducing vehicle mass and identifying the manufacturing and production options for meeting those requirements. The UK makes around 1.5 million cars a year. All but a handful of these are manufactured from conventional materials using manufacturing processes that have not changed significantly for many years. The average mass of vehicles in each market segment has grown significantly since the end of the 1970s, mainly as a result of increased safety, functionality, and durability requirements. This has stabilised in the recent past and is now starting to fall slightly due to better Computer Aided Engineering optimisation and some application of higher performance materials. This report concludes the work of that Lightweighting Working Group. The group has studied the probable range of weight reduction targets which will be demanded by stiffer CO2 emissions regulations across all major market segments, and it has identified the practicable options for meeting those targets. The enabling actions required to support the delivery of a range of successful outcomes have been identified and a technology roadmap has been produced. It is concluded that the UK has a number of attributes which suit it well to the development of lightweight vehicle technologies and manufacturing processes. However, several key enablers will need to be addressed if the potential for future growth is to be fully realised. These include: • Selecting and Launching Appropriate Collaborative R&D Programmes • Developing the UK Supplier Base • Up-Skilling Across the Entire Industry Spectrum of Disciplines and Responsibility levels • Investing in New Manufacturing and Production Facilities • Migrating materials, tehcnologies and processes from the premium sector to a wider vehicle market base. The rate of mass reduction now being seen in the industry is not, however, sufficient to give confidence that new vehicles will be able to meet future carbon emissions targets as a result of these mass savings alone. Notwithstanding the probable increases in vehicle efficiency which will be delivered through improvements in powertrain efficiency, and reductions in aerodynamic drag and tyre rolling resistance, significantly more ambitious mass savings targets will need to be set if the emissions targets are to be met. The likely range of these targets is explored in the early part of this report. Ambitious mass savings will demand equally ambitious changes to vehicle design and manufacture. Lighter structures, components, trim, and finishes will be required. These, in turn, might be delivered through more optimised use of materials (better design) and/or the more widespread use of lighter weight materials. The options for achieving future mass savings are explored, and the impact of adopting these options is assessed in the latter part of this report. The report considers the opportunities which these challenges create for the UK automotive industry and concludes with some general observations and recommendations for next steps. This report provides a summary of the information available and the industry consensus at September 2013. Any subsequent changes to weight-based targets and developments in technology will change the picture presented here. 4 5 2.0 MASS REDUCTION TARGETS The purpose of the work described in this chapter was to calculate the vehicle mass reductions required to meet future CO2 targets which might be anticipated within the EU. Likely improvements in powertrain efficiency, aerodynamics and rolling resistance were to be included in the calculation and reference made to the work of others in this area. The following sections describe the method which was used. This process started with defining the CO2 targets which must be met, and then proceeded to calculate the required mass reductions using a simple energy-based mathematical model. 2.1 FUTURE CO2 TARGETS The EU fleet average CO2 targets adopted for this study were discussed and agreed by the Automotive Council Lightweighting Working Group. The trend is shown in the chart below, starting with 143gms/km at 2010 and 130 gms/km at 2012. 160 140 CO2 Target g/km 120 1. T he energy losses between the fuel tank and the road wheels (powertrain losses). These losses are dominated by the combustion efficiency of the engine. Other components include gearbox efficiency, differential efficiency, and other bearing efficiencies 2. T he energy losses between the roadwheels and the completion of the journey (external losses). These reflect the effects of aerodynamic drag, tyre rolling resistance, and a combination of vehicle mass and the pattern of driving (route topology, acceleration/braking cycles, and general speed profiles). These losses can only be calculated for a known journey under known conditions. The standard EU emissions drive cycle (the New European Drive Cycle, or NEDC) has therefore been used in all the work reported here. 2.3 THE ENERGY-BASED MODEL A simple energy-based mathematical model has been developed in order to estimate the vehicle mass reductions which will be required over the period 2010 – 2050. Data for 127 different current vehicles covering all the EU OEM market segments was collected and used as part of this exercise. 80 60 40 20 The general approach and key outcomes are summarised in the following sections, but further detail of the model and its application is described in Appendices 1 and 2. 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 Based on these figures, targets for each market segment were then calculated by taking 127 2010 vehicles and calculating the future emissions targets for each vehicle using the following relationship: Fleet Target for Year Vehicle CO2 Target for Year = Current Vehicle CO2 x 143 The assumed distribution of vehicles across the EU market segments over the period 2010 – 2030 is shown below. It can be seen that there is expected to be little change in segment split over this period; the most significant change is in the B-segment in 2030 which increases from 25% to 30% of market. This effectively eases the larger segment CO2 targets by around 4.5% compared to the 2010 mix. 2010 30.0% 2015 25.0% 2020 20.0% 2.3.1 ENERGY REQUIRED TO COMPLETE A JOURNEY This parameter is also referred to as ‘energy used per distance travelled’. It has been calculated as illustrated in the box below. 3 FORCES TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT: • V ehicle mass + 100kg (driver and passenger consideration) • Aerodynamic Drag, CdA • Rolling Resistance – M odel based on today’s vehicles with standard tyres – A ll vehicles assumed to have tyres with the same performance and the force varies with vehicle mass 35.0% Percentage of European Sales [%] The conversion of energy from fuel to journey comprises two main loss components: This study focusses on the means of reducing component (2) through the reduction of vehicle mass. 100 0 2010 2.2 REDUCING CO2 EMISSIONS The CO2 emissions from a vehicle in operation are the result of burning hydrocarbon fuels (mainly petrol and diesel). If these emissions are to be reduced, the efficiency of energy conversion from fuel in the tank to completion of journey must be raised. 2025 NEDC DRIVE CYCLE 2030 • C alculate the energy required to move the vehicle over the cycle, Wh/km 15.0% Aero Resistance Mass V(time) NEDC Wh/km 10.0% 5.0% 6 Other Light Commercial Vehicles (LCVs) Cross Over Sports Utility Vehicles (CUVs) Full Frame SUVs Sports Utility Vehicles (SUVs) Multi-Purpose Vehicles (MPVs) Pickups (PUPs) Car E Car D Car C Car B Car A 0.0% 7 2.3.2 EFFICIENCY OF MOTION Knowing the energy used per distance travelled, the fuel type, and the quoted mpg for each vehicle, it is possible to calculate the ‘efficiency of motion’ for the 127 vehicles in the study. This sets the 2010 benchmark for each vehicle type. 2.4 CALCULATING FUTURE WEIGHT REDUCTION The targets for future weight reduction were calculated for the 127 vehicles using a 2010 starting point for each vehicle considering: • Mass • Aerodynamic drag (CdA) • R olling resistance • P owertrain efficiency (calculated from published figures for engine specific fuel consumption and assumed figures for driveline efficiency) • Value for the vehicle mpg (from VCA, the UK Vehicle Certification Agency) For each future target year, improvements were assumed for aerodynamic drag, rolling resistance, and powertrain efficiency as illustrated in the chart below. (This chart is based on the information presented in Appendix 2). The vehicle mass required to match the calculated CO2 emissions to the EU target value was then calculated based on the predicted improvements in other parameters. • Energy required to move the vehicle over the cycle • Fuel type: Petrol / Diesel • From this, we can calculate the efficiency of motion Wh/km mpg n = Energy required to complete journey petrol/diesel 1.00 Energy content of the fuel Efficiency of Motion 0.95 n The efficiency of motion for different vehicle types varies widely, as can be seen from the examples presented in the table below. The results show that vehicle efficiencies range from sports cars where the efficiency is as low as 12 to 14% up to 31% for an efficient diesel engine (with stop-start and long gear ratios) and a top figure of nearly 36% for a full hybrid vehicle. Improvement versus 2010 0.90 0.85 0.80 0.75 Rolling Resistance 0.70 Aerodynamics 0.65 Diesel 0.60 Petrol 0.55 CdA kerb VCA quoted CO2 g/km Fiesta 1.6d Econetic 0.544 1158 98 28.8 Prius 3 0.543 1420 92 35.9 Focus 2.0 tdcid 0.677 1391 144 23.5 3 Series 318d ES 0.643 1505 123 28.5 3 Series 320d ES 0.643 1505 126 27.6 3 Series Efficient Dynamics 0.636 1495 109 31 E 5 Series 530d SE 0.64 1655 170 22 F XJ 3.0 V6d SWB 0.72 1796 184 22.2 JS X3 35d SE 0.85 1950 208 21.7 Segment B C C/D J 8 Model Range Rover 3.6 TDV8 1.1552 2717 299 Efficiency % 20.6 0.50 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 Year The following table shows the results from these calculations by segment versus year. In the 2010 column the average vehicle mass is shown in bold along with the maximum and minimum mass for that segment. The average CO2 emissions are shown above the vehicle mass. For each of the future predicted years the average emissions for that segment and average mass targets are shown. 2010 143 g/km 2012 130 g/km 2020 95 g/km 2025 80 g/km 2030 70 g/km 2050 50 g/km A/Sub B | | 770 108 • 899 | | 1055 | | 98 • 812 | | | | 78 • 702 | | | | 70 • 567 | | | | 69 • 549 | | | | 72 • 794 | | B | | 980 118 • 1108 | | 1253 | | 108 • 1012 | | | | 85 • 893 | | | | 77 • 742 | | | | 76 • 722 | | | | 79 • 985 | | C | | 1185 130 • 1295 | | 1395 | | 118 • 1190 | | | | 93 • 1065 | | | | 84 • 895 | | | | 83 • 873 | | | | 86 • 1182 | | CD | | 1295 147 • 1491 | | 1609 | | 134 • 1378 | | | | 106 • 1239 | | | | 96 • 1056 | | | | 94 • 1032 | | | | 98 • 1337 | | DE | | 1650 169 • 1749 | | 1865 | | 154 • 1620 | | | | 122 • 1459 | | | | 110 • 1254.4 | | | | 108 • 1227 | | | | 112 • 1563 | | J-L Premium Utility | | 2041 291 • 2041 | | 2041 | | 285 • 1863 | | | | 209 • 1712 | | | | 189 • 1373 | | | | 186 • 1328 | | | | 193 • 1945 | | JmedLarge | | 1995 259 • 2324 | | 2810 | | 236 • 2014 | | | | 190 • 1801 | | | | 168 • 1529 | | | | 166 • 1493 | | | | 172 • 1956 | | Jsmall | | 1225 165 • 1618 | | 1845 | | 150 • 1488 | | | | 118 • 1325 | | | | 107 • 1118 | | | | 105 • 1090 | | | | 109 • 1450 | | M | | 1740 199 • 1785 | | 1830 | | 160 • 1646 | | | | 143 • 1473 | | | | 129 • 1250 | | | | 127 • 1222 | | | | 132 • 1597 | | S | | 1240 210 • 1537 | | 1910 | | 191 • 1410 | | | | 151 • 1232 | | | | 136 • 1046 | | | | 134 • 1022 | | | | 140 • 1337 | | F | | 1755 219 • 1941 | | 2449 | | 199 • 1785 | | | | 157 • 1608 | | | | 142 • 1384 | | | | 140 • 1354 | | | | 145 • 1721 | | 9 Rounding all the future target data, and averaging across 2025 – 2030 yields the following, simplified, table: 2000 2030 A/Sub B 899 812 700 550 B 1108 1012 900 725 C 1295 1190 1050 875 CD 1491 1378 1225 1050 DE 1749 1620 1450 1250 J-L Premium Utility 2041 1863 1700 1350 Jmedlarge 2324 2014 1800 1500 Jsmall 1618 1488 1350 1100 M 1785 1646 1475 1225 S 1537 1410 1225 1025 F 1941 1785 1600 1375 From this, it can be seen that a CD segment vehicle will have a weight reduction requirement over 2012 standards of around 150kg by 2020 and around 300kg by 2030. At today’s prices and at the current minimum cost assumption of £2/kg weight save, this will increase the cost of the vehicle at 2030 by £600. This is a very significant sum when compared to the current average margin of ~£800 on a £16,000 car (5% margin). The weight reduction requirements in the large car and luxury vehicle segments are even more demanding. Note, however, that the increased costs in meeting these should be offset against the potential for European Commission fleet average performance penalties. 1750 Pessimistic EV sales Optimistic EV sales LOW CVP 1500 1250 1000 750 500 2010 2015 2020 ‘Real World’ drive cycles could replace the use of simulated drive cycle conditions (the NEDC). It is estimated that this would have the effect of reducing emissions targets by a further 15%. This would add further significant pressure to reduce vehicle weight. The sensitivity study results for the CD market segment are summarised on the chart opposite. 2035 2040 2045 2050 The results from this study have been compared to those produced by the Low Carbon Vehicle Partnership (Low CVP) in their report titled “Influences on the Low Carbon Car Market from 2020–2030”, produced by Element Energy. The chart above suggests the Automotive Council results are compatible with the LowCVP data. In reality, it must be remembered that there are multiple pathways to any given target. A CO2 emissions level might be achieved by a large improvement in powertrain efficiency accompanied by a small improvement in vehicle mass (for example), or by a small improvement in powertrain efficiency accompanied by a large improvement in mass. There will, therefore, be a very large number of possible pathways associated with achieving each target as is illustrated below. However, it appears reasonable to propose that none of these pathways will be delivered without some significant savings in vehicle mass being an important part of the equation. 2010 EU Average Wt. 1290 kg CdA 0.6 m2 = 21.5% 143gr CO2 Theoretical target without Efficiency improvement 1st Tier Optimised 10% less Aero Drag 15% less Roll Resist 136gr CO2 Only -45% Wt. Wt. 742 kg 95gr CO2 2nd Tier Optimised η η = 28% 143gr CO2 TI O Further Lightening -15% Wt. 94gr CO2 >140g LU More Efficient Powertrain EU emissions targets are based on fleet average figures and the effect of new lowcarbon vehicles coming into the market will therefore, be to relieve the emissions pressure on conventional vehicles. More bull-ish assumptions about the uptake of EV’s (for example) leads to the possibility of weight reduction targets being significantly reduced. 2030 Year Because the implications of these calculations are so significant, it was considered important to examine the sensitivity of the calculations to the base assumptions. A series of sensitivity studies was carried out and the details are presented in Appendix 2. The key findings were as follows: The assumption that performance improvements in the areas of powertrain, aerodynamics, and rolling resistance will be continuous leads to some of the weight reduction targets being reversed beyond 2025. (All the necessary emission reductions are achieved by these other performance improvements and the need to reduce weight is removed). This seems unlikely, so the other performance improvements were then assumed to plateau after 2020. This has the effect of significantly increasing the weight reduction targets post 2025. 2025 N 2020 E.g. Ford Fiesta O 2012 Further 3% Optimisation η = 31% 94gr CO2 E.g. BMW Efficient Dynamics EV 2010 Mass [kg] Segment No EV sales CD segment <140g <105g <95g CO2 Lighter Vehicle Weight = Efficiency Metric 10 11 3.0 OPTIONS FOR REDUCING VEHICLE MASS Given the dramatic reductions in vehicle mass suggested by the analysis presented in Chapter 2, all possible options for reducing the mass of structure, component, trims, and finishes must be pursued. There are a large number of possible options including : WeightSaving Potential (See note 1) Difficulty (See note 2) Steel (Hot Stamping) 3 1 Steel Tube Hydroforming 2 2 Ultra-High Strength Steel 2 1 Metal Sandwich Materials 3 3 Aluminium Electrical Harness 3 2 Aluminium Chassis 4 4 Full Aluminium BIW 5 5 Aluminium Bolt-on Panels (2020) 4 3 Magnesium Sheet 4 4 2 2 Titanium Alloys 3 4 SMC Panels 3 1 Composite Bolt-on Panels 4 4 5 5 Lightweight Structural Plastics 3 2 Metal Matrix Composites 2 3 Seating Systems 4 2 4 4 5 4 NOTE 1: Difficulty is rated on a scale of 1 (easy) to 5 (very difficult) 3 5 NOTE 2: Weight-saving potential is rated on a scale of 1 = 0-2 kg to 5 = 40-50 kg Option Category • Reducing vehicle specifications and equipment levels (This would reverse a clear trend of increasing customer appeal which has been set over the past 50 years) • Improving vehicle design methods. (This is an attractive area for study because the UK has strength in numerically intensive computing and the Multi-Physics simulation/optimisation methods which are required to drive further vehicle weight reduction. • Increasing the use of advanced forms of conventional materials (e.g. ultra highstrength steels) • Migrating new lightweight materials and technologies from the premium OEM segments (e.g. increased use of aluminium and advanced plastics) Steel • Migrating new lightweight materials and technologies from the motorsport and aerospace sectors (e.g. adopting the use of carbon fibre technologies) • D eveloping new and untried materials and manufacturing technologies The UK is a good base from which to pursue these options. It has an impressive science base in lightweight materials & structures, a thriving world-class motor-sport industry with lightweight vehicle technology/skills, and a strong aerospace industry with world leading lightweight technologies. Indeed, during the lifetime of the Council’s Lightweighting Working Group, further work (beyond the scope of this report) has already been initiated in some of these areas. Of particular relevance are the following recent TSB programmes: • TSB IDP 6 – Lightweight vehicle and powertrain structures • Projects focused on achieving significant vehicle mass reduction. • B e innovative beyond the current state of the art, cost-effective & scalable for mass production. • T ake into consideration the life cycle analysis of the structure and overall environmental impact. Aluminium Magnesium Castings Lightweight Metals • TSB IDP 8&9 – Technology challenge 4 - lightweight vehicle and powertrain structures • W e are looking for projects aimed at the development of lightweight vehicle and powertrain structures focused on achieving significant vehicle mass reduction. • F or example, for the C/D class, the industry through the automotive council has identified that a weight reduction of at least 150kg is required by 2020 with a further reduction of 150kg by 2030. Carbon-Fibre Body Plastics & Composites • TSB IDP 10 – Technology Challenge 3 - lightweight vehicle and powertrain structures. • “ Each project is expected to include a work package focused on a route to production and on taking manufacturing maturity past MRL 4 towards MRL 5 and 6 by the end of the project.” The specific options which have been studied in this report are summarised in the table opposite. Roofing Systems Ultra-Lightweight Transmissions & Drivelines Optimisation via Revisions to Design Standards 12 Systems & Assemblies Design Processes 13 4.0 OPPORTUNITIES FOR UK INDUSTRY The various technology options may be set out in diagrammatic form by plotting them on a chart which shows weight-saving potential vs difficulty. Clearly, those which have greater potential and lesser difficulty are the ones which are most likely to be successful in a commercial sense. This suggests that those options which lie above and to the left of the diagonal dotted line should receive the greatest attention. Weight Saving Potential Design Processes Steel Plastics & Composites Aluminium Lightweight Metals Systems & Assemblies This chapter considers the weight targets derived in Chapter 2 and the technology options described in Chapter 3. For each option, it identifies key enablers and gaps. A series of required actions is developed and an industry roadmap is presented. 4.1 CONTEXT As discussed in Chapter 2, the weight reduction trends are very demanding. It is estimated that B segment cars will need to reduce in mass by approximately 110Kg by 2020 compared to 2012 standards (an 11% weight reduction) and CD, small and midsize SUV by approximately 150Kg (11%). Further reductions of similar proportions will be required between 2020-2030. It is tempting to start an immediate search for exotic lightweight technologies and materials, but there are considerable costs and uncertainties associated with this strategy. A more measured pathway would be to start by migrating materials, technologies and processes that are relatively mature in the premium/large sector out into the small/medium sector. Examples are found in BMW i8 and i3 (composites), Range Rover (aluminium) and various supercars (carbon fibre). Even this approach poses severe challenges, e.g. • S ignificant advances in Technology Maturity Level and Manufacturing Technology Level are required to match requirements of higher volume and lower cost. • T he supply base capacity needs to be substantially increased. • E ngineering and manufacturing skills need to be disseminated to a much wider workforce. • L arge investments will need to be made in new manufacturing facilities Difficulty Broadly, each technology falls into one of the following categories: 1. M ature in premium segment (at Present or by 2020) but needs volume/cost reduction or the introduction of new infrastructure to migrate. These technologies could well be of interest to the Automotive Council Supply Chain Group – they would create more volume demand for lightweight materials (e.g. Magnesium). 2. R esearch Required. This is split into two further categories: • V iable weight save for a particular vehicle segment in the imminent future, but requires further research to address the technical issues or cost or both. • Currently ineffective/unknown, but may be viable in the future after research work (e.g. light metals & composites applied to volume products). 3. Ineffective and expensive and should not be pursued (e.g. Harness integrated in IP structure) It is considered that there are sufficient Category 1 items to meet the 2020 targets for Small and Medium sized vehicles (representing a major UK growth opportunity). For larger vehicles at 2020 and all vehicles beyond 2020, the gaps are significant and Category 2 options become essential. This represents a major Research & Innovation challenge for the industry. 14 Beyond this, there is an opportunity to migrate Motorsport and Aerospace technology through the industry sectors. This will present even greater challenges, but the opportunities for leadership are similarly greater. It is only when these routes have been thoroughly explored that fundamental R&D into new and exotic materials/processes should be considered. 4.2 WEIGHT SAVE FORMS Each of the lightweighting technology options defined in Chapter 3 has been examined in detail and the potential to migrate technologies from the premium vehicle segments and niche specialists have been identified in the form of key enablers and gaps. In each case, the technology option has been rated in terms of its overall weight-saving potential and difficulty, having been assessed from the following viewpoints: • Technical challenges • Supply chain challenges • Skills development challenges • Infrastructure requirements The results have been written-up using a standard template which is referred to here as the Weight Save Form. These forms are presented in Appendix 3. 15 THE ROADMAP An industry development plan based on the Weight Save Forms has been developed and is presented below in the form of a Roadmap. This plots each technology option on a timeline, and suggests a sensible progression through the various levels of weight-saving potential and difficulty of achievement. Mass Reduction (on 2012 mass) 200kg SKILLS DEVELOPMENT • Training and “up-skilling” in new Lightweight materials is required not just for Product Development Engineers. There is a need to target all key business functions (Purchase, Quality, Manufacturing, etc) at all levels of the supply chain. This is required for: 435kg Magnesium structural (castings) Hybrid materials • Automotive Composites & Advanced Plastics • New to Automotive Light Metals. • Advanced High Strength Steel automotive component manufacturing. Metal matrix composites Magnesium (sheet) LW transmission & driveline Mass Reduction (on 2012 mass) 170kg 425kg Alumimium (BIW bolt-on panels, chassis) Lightweight roof systems Lightweight seat systems Mass Reduction (on 2012 mass) 120kg Training funding and support is required to develop all of the above workforce skills and to encourage new inward investments in this area. 250kg Sheet moulding compound panel Lightweight structural plastics INFRASTRUCTURE The production of new materials and the establishment of new manufacturing facilities require heavy investments to be made in fixed infrastructure (buildings and plant). The following critical issues need to be addressed: Lightweight seat systems Steel (UHSS, tube hydroforming, hot stamping) Aluminium thin-wall HPDC casting EU Fleet Average CO2 Targets (g/km) 130 2020 2025 55 TBC Large Medium Real-world data (RWD) & structure health monitoring 2015 Small Alternative lightweight vehicle architectures Numerionally intensive computing & CAE multi-physios optimisation General Radical Carbon composite BIW Carbon composite bolt on panels 2010 SUPPLY CHAIN • T here is a need to engage supply chain partners and to work with academia to estimate current and future production demands, establish lightweight materials technology capabilities, and work out how to close the gaps to OEM mass segment requirements which have been identified. 2030 4.3 REQUIREMENTS TO ACHIEVE OBJECTIVES The conclusions drawn from the Weight Save Forms and the Roadmapping exercise are summarised below under the four key headings of technology, supply chain, skills development, and infrastructure. TECHNOLOGY Collaborative R&D programmes are required in the following areas. These programmes describe cases where known technologies need to be adapted for volume applications, as well as to cases where new technologies need to be developed from scratch. • J oining Technology (including technology development for light-metals, composites and mixed materials which meet with automotive structural, corrosion performance and manufacturing requirements) • Materials and Manufacturing Process Technologies (including advanced casting, forming, net shape and disruptive technologies for the manufacture of lightweight components) • Material Characterisation (including specialised testing to support the development of new materials and that of CAE models) • R ecycling/Sustainability (including enabling technology to achieve lower C02 emissions for the automotive supply chain through the use of less refined materials thus enabling cost reduction and increased use of lightweight materials, e.g. REAL Car) • Investment in UK production capacity for Advanced High Strength Steel automotive components. Most of these components today are sourced from outside the UK, but the work in this report points to a significant increase in the HSS content in small and medium size cars. • Investment in UK production capacity for aluminium vehicle bodies, particularly aimed at increasing the necessary infrastructure around the adoption of aluminium technologies (e.g. re-cycling). • T he establishment of R&D facilities in the UK for Sheet Moulded Compound (SMC). Currently OEMs undertake development work with Tier 1 suppliers or the likes of Fraunhofer ICT, both of which lie outside the UK. • Initial investment in new facilities to support automotive R&D in composites is already underway, but further and significant new investments will be required if these technologies are to be available at OEM mass segment production costs and volumes. • Investment in the development and production of ‘New to Automotive’ light metals. Specifically, this should include magnesium, titanium and metal matrix composites. (Manufacturing capabilities for these new technologies could be realised through further investment in the High Value Manufacturing Catapult). • N ext generation Numerically Intensive Computing and Multi-Physics design optimisation have been identified as a significant route to lower vehicle weights whilst maintaining vehicle performance. This is an area of natural advantage for the UK (with its strong research and technical education base) and there is a real opportunity for the UK to take a lead in this area. But significant investment is required in Collaborative R&D infrastructure to realise this ambition (e.g. the creation of massive shared computing facilities and R&D programmes). Increasing the production capacity for all of these technologies should be treated as an important opportunity for the Automotive Council Supply Chain Group. • Coatings & Corrosion (including new, cost effective processes to enable high volume application and technologies such as pre-treatments that are critical enablers). • M odelling & CAE (Development of CAE models for the analysis of manufacturing processes and for predicting the structural performance of lightweight materials; and development of advanced computing, multi-physics and multi-scale CAE capabilities and design optimisation methods to support the development of new lightweight materials solutions. 16 17 5.0CONCLUSIONS The important messages to be drawn from this study are: • A key challenge lies in achieving the required weight reduction to meet anticipated future CO2 targets whilst maintaining or increasing functionality and without adding to the vehicle purchase price (or, at least, maintaining cost of ownership). • T he primary route to meeting this challenge in the next 7-10 years is unlikely to be the widespread adoption of exotic motorsport or aerospace technologies. (This is because the vast majority of cars manufactured in the UK are in the B, C, CD, small and midsize SUV segments. In the short-to-medium term, these segments will be unable to stand the material and manufacturing costs associated with such technologies due to the need for customer affordability). • A more practicable short-term route forward is to accelerate the trickle-down of those materials and manufacturing technologies that are already beginning to find their place in the premium market segments. APPENDIX 1 Calculation Methodology for Weight Reduction Targets • In the longer term, both of the above options represent important opportunities for success. However, in each case, practical implementation will need to be preceded by significant programmes of technology development and manufacturing readiness development. • In addition, further resource demands will come from the need to expand the UK supplier base; up-skill the workforce (across a range of different levels and disciplines); and invest in new manufacturing and production infrastructure. The UK has an impressive science base in lightweight materials & structures, a thriving world-class motor-sport industry with lightweight vehicle technology/skills and an aerospace industry with world leading lightweight structure capabilities. It also has a strength in numerically intensive computing and the Multi-Physics simulation methods which are required to drive further vehicle weight reductions through highly optimised design. These attributes underline the potential for vehicle lightweighting to become a world-class activity in the UK in future, but the resource demands referred to above are not insignificant. 18 19 APPENDIX Calculation Methodology for Weight Reduction Targets METHOD The calculation methodology comprises a series of discrete steps as described below: STEP 1: SET CO2 TARGETS Take current EU average fleet CO2 emissions targets and sub-divide them into market segments. Project these figures forward to 2030/2050. Calculation Methodology for Weight Reduction Targets APPENDIX STEP 3: CALCULATE ENERGY REQUIRED AT THE TANK AND CALCULATE CO2 EMISSIONS Calculate energy required at fuel tank (mpg), using powertrain efficiencies calculated from average 2010 specific fuel consumption figures for diesel and petrol engines, with suitable allowances for future efficiency improvements (see below). Convert mpg to CO2 emissions (gm/km) STEP 2: CALCULATE ENERGY REQUIRED PER JOURNEY (ENERGY PER DISTANCE TRAVELLED) Calculate energy per distance travelled for each market segment using the standard New European Drive Cycle (NEDC). Energy requirement calculations allow for: Aerodynamic Resistance: (F=0.5ρCdAv2) This is based on 2010 values for frontal area and Cd for a selection of vehicles in the appropriate segment, plus future estimates for efficiency improvements (See below) Rolling Resistance: (F=mgRe) This is based on 2010 values for Michelin tyres, plus future estimates for efficiency improvements (See below) 20 STEP 4: ADJUST VEHICLE MASS UNTIL CO2 EMISSIONS MEET TARGET Compare CO2 emissions thus calculated with the segment target value. Adjust vehicle mass in Step 2 in order to meet the target. Report vehicle mass. Vehicle Mass: (F=ma) This is based on 2010 values for a selection of vehicles in the appropriate segment. The mass is taken as the declared vehicle mass +100kg. Note that this calculation does not use inertia test weight (ITW) categories, but an upper limit of 2270kg is used. Any vehicle mass above 2270kg is limited to 2270kg. FUTURE IMPROVEMENTS These forces are calculated at each time-step within the NEDC velocity-time profile and then integrated over the distance travelled to evaluate the journey energy requirement (Wh/km). POWERTRAIN EFFICIENCY The 2010 spread of calculated powertrain efficiencies for the 127 vehicles used in the study is shown below. 21 APPENDIX Calculation Methodology for Weight Reduction Targets Calculation Methodology for Weight Reduction Targets APPENDIX From this spread, average figures for improvements to engine efficiency over the period 2010 - 2020 were estimated as follows: Petrol Engine (benchmarked at 24% powertrain efficiency BSFC 310g/kWh @ 2010 1.4% improvement year on year to 2020 272g/kWh @2020 Diesel Engine (benchmarked at 26% powertrain efficiency) BSFC 290g/kWh @ 2010 2.3% improvement year on year to 2020 237g/kWh @ 2020 2010 2012 2020 2025 2030 CO2 target 143 130 95 80 70 Petrol 1.00 0.97 0.88 0.85 0.83 SFC [g/kWh] 310 302 273 264 257 Efficiency [%] 27% 28% 31% 32% 33% Including Driveline 24.5% 25.2% 27.9% 28.9% 29.6% Diesel 1.00 0.96 0.82 0.80 0.78 SFC [g/kWh] 290 279 237 232 226 Efficiency [%] 29% 30% 36% 37% 38% Including Driveline 26.4% 27.5% 32.3% 33.0% 33.9% Driveline assumed to be 0.95 x 0.95 AERODYNAMIC DRAG A study of recent vehicle aerodynamic trends shows that CdA values are slowly increasing with time (see diagram below). Frontal Area [m2] and Coefficient of Drag [Cd] versus Year Looking to the future in light of the above, a cautious approach might assume that current values for vehicle drag will continue to rise, whilst a more aggressive approach might assume that improvements will be made. If we assume that frontal areas do not continue to increase at the same rate in future (a bet on styling trends), it is considered feasible to improve overall vehicle aerodynamic drag by 10%. This is the figure which has been adopted in this study for the period 2010 to 2020. ROLLING RESISTANCE The improvement in rolling resistance as a function of time was based on presentation given by Michelin: “Marc DANIEL - Multi-Scale Dynamics of Structured Polymeric Materials December 7th, 2010 Copyright © 2010, Manufacture Française des Pneumatiques Michelin” Aerodynamic drag [CdA] versus Year Breaking this data into Cd and Frontal Area shows that frontal area has increased much faster than drag coefficient Cd has improved. 22 23 APPENDIX Calculation Methodology for Weight Reduction Targets Calculation Methodology for Weight Reduction Targets APPENDIX EV SALES In the ‘baseline’ case, EV vehicle sales predictions were taken as follows: • • • • 0% 5% 10% 15% EV for 2012 EV for 2020 EV for 2025 EV for 2030 This profile is shown in the following graph in blue. The EV sales were incorporated by offsetting the CO2 target by percentage of EV sales. APPENDIX 2 Weight Reduction Targets – Sensitivity Studies http://www.going-electric.org/why/electric-vehicles/sales-predictions.htm FLEET AVERAGE CO2 TARGETS The CO2 targets assumed for the ‘Base Case’ are as follows: 24 2010 143 (gms/km) 2012 130 2020 95 2025 80 2030 70 2050 50 25 APPENDIX Weight Reduction Targets – Sensitivity Studies SCENARIO 1: INITIAL CASE • P owertrain efficiences increase over time as shown below Weight Reduction Targets – Sensitivity Studies APPENDIX SCENARIO 2: • Improve Aero, Rolling Resistance and Powertrain Efficiency until 2020 then plateau to 2030. • A erodynamic and rolling resistance efficiences increase over time as shown below • Low uptake of EV/PHEV’s • Carbon targets as shown on table 26 27 APPENDIX Weight Reduction Targets – Sensitivity Studies SCENARIO 3: OPTIMISTIC EV SALES Weight Reduction Targets – Sensitivity Studies APPENDIX SCENARIO 4: REVISED CO2 TARGETS (Adopted as ‘Base Case’ in Chapter 2) • N ew CO2 target line based on Feb 2 mtg • Targets extended out to 2050 • E fficiency targets plateau between 2020-2030, but steadily improve again between 2030-2050 • Low penetration of EV/PHEV 28 29 APPENDIX Weight Reduction Targets – Sensitivity Studies Weight Reduction Targets – Sensitivity Studies APPENDIX SCENARIO 5: • A ssume that test procedure changes from 2020 onwards to include real world loads APPENDIX 3 • Impact is effectively 15% lower CO2 target Weight Save Forms The results from this study have been compared to those produced by the Low Carbon Vehicle Partnership (Low CVP) in their report titled “Influences on the Low Carbon Car Market from 2020–2030”, produced by Element Energy. The chart above suggests the Automotive Council results are compatible with the LowCVP data. 30 31 APPENDIX Title Weight Save Forms APPENDIX Weight Save Forms Title Aluminium Chassis 2020 Aluminium BIW & Bolt On Panels Description Description Adapting the Aluminium technologies currently used in Premium Segment low volume production for High Volume Manufacturers by 2020. Adapting the Aluminium technologies currently used in Premium Segment low volume production for High Volume Manufacturers by 2020. 5 5 Whilst the cost/supply of Aluminium for High volume production is critical, technical restrictions must also be studied. This comes under the general scope of how to adapt design and manufacturing technology from high cost low volume vehicle manufacture to cost effective high volume production. Challenge 2 Recycling (Production and end of life) - Improve Production scrap recycling and the segregation of material and grade at end of life Start 2015 End 2020 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Technical Development -To study how to increase rivet process speed and how to improve tool maintenance . . . . . . 2018 2020 . . . -To study how to increase rivet process speed and how to improve tool maintenance -Research/Validation of existing and new 2015 2020 1)Recycling (Production and end of life) Improve Production scrap recycling and the segregation of material and grade at end of life recycling. 1)Expansion of REALCAR study completed by JLR with TSB funding. Expand into different vehicle variants and increased volumes. 2018 2020 Formability - Panels are Deep drawn for strength. This is difficult due to elongation properties of Aluminium.(higher scrap rate) Study Material development, and increasing elongation potential. Research best practice 2013 2020 Aluminium production, especially Heat treatment and finishing capacity is reaching its limits, with current volume. Identify current limits, and predict future requirements and make a plan to close the gap. 2019 2020 Designers need to improve their confidence in CAE simulation especially for high impact strength (crash) and for modelling of rivet and bonded joint Research new modelling/CAE code to improve the correlation between physical and simulation test data 2017 2020 Improve logistics to mitigate Ageing characteristics of the Aluminium sheet prior to pressing Study how to extend shelf life of bulk material (sheet/roll) 2018 2020 Challenge 2 Challenge 3 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2030 End 2029 Start 2028 Action to Resolve 2027 Challenge 1 2026 Joining Technology ChallengesA) Self piercing rivet process - How to improve process time B) Bonding/Adhesive Reliability- How to 2025 Technical Development Skills Action Develop cost effective coatings & application method for High Volume Production 2017 2020 . . . . Supply Chain Action Aluminium production, especially Heat treatment and finishing capacity is reaching its limits, with current volume. Route to implementation by 2030 Whilst the cost/supply of Aluminium for High volume production is critical, technical restrictions must also be studied. This comes under the general scope of how to adapt design and manufacturing technology from high cost low volume vehicle manufacture to cost effective high volume production. Supply Chain Action Expansion of REALCAR study completed by JLR with TSB funding. Expand into different vehicle variants and increased volumes. Challenge 3 Corrosion - (Dissimilar Metal Galvanic Corrosion) - Manufacture process for application of anticorrosion coating with minimum Value Description of where we are now. 2024 Route to implementation by 2030 Joining Technology ChallengesA) Self piercing rivet process - How to improve process time B) Bonding/Adhesive Reliability- Hardest X 5 2023 Value Description of where we are now. Action to Resolve 5 2022 Hardest Aluminium is used extensively in the Premium Segment Brands, whilst High volume manufacturers have concentrated on High Performance steels as the preferred choice for weight reduction. The maximum weight reduction potential of these steels may be insufficient to achieve the vehicle mass reduction requirements to realise CO2 reduction trends however. Challenge 1 Easiest 4 Aluminium is used extensively in the Premium Segment Brands, whilst High volume manufacturers have concentrated on High Performance steels as the preferred choice for weight reduction. The maximum weight reduction potential of these steels may be insufficient to achieve the vehicle mass reduction requirements to realise CO2 reduction trends however. 4 Easiest 3 2021 4 2 2020 3 X 1 2019 1 2 Challenge 2018 Challenge 50+ 5 2017 Saving (Kg) 0 - 2 Challenge 4 50+ 2016 4 Saving (Kg) 0 - 2 5 2015 3 4 2014 2 3 2013 1 2 2012 Value 1 Challenge Value Identify current limits, and predict future requirements and make a plan to close the gap. 2019 2020 . . Research new modelling/CAE code to improve the correlation between physical and simulation test data 2017 2020 . . . . Study how to extend shelf life of bulk material (sheet/roll) 2018 2020 . . . . Infrastructure Requirements Skills Action Designers need to improve their confidence in CAE simulation especially for high impact strength (crash) and for modelling of rivet Infrastructure Requirements Improve logistics to mitigate Ageing characteristics of the Aluminium sheet prior to pressing 32 33 APPENDIX Title Weight Save Forms APPENDIX Weight Save Forms Title Aluminium Bolt On Panels (eg Hood) - 2020 Aluminium Harness - 2020 Description Description Adapting the Aluminium technologies currently used in Premium Segment low volume production for High Volume Manufacturers by 2020. Adapting the Aluminium technologies currently used in Premium Segment low volume production for High Volume Manufacturers by 2020. 5 5 2 Value Action to Resolve Start Expansion of REALCAR study completed by JLR with TSB funding. Expand into different vehicle variants and increased volumes. 2018 To study how to guarantee quality of part when manufacturing at increased rates. Study cleaning procedure of Aluminium tooling to 2018 End 2020 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Technical Development . . . Route to implementation by 2030 Whilst the cost/supply of Aluminium for High volume production is critical, technical restrictions must also be studied. This comes under the general scope of how to adapt design and manufacturing technology from high cost low volume vehicle manufacture to cost effective high volume production. . . . In conjunction with Challenge 2, include enviromental elements as a key area of focus. 2018 2020 . . . Research to establish Design standards/best practice. 2018 2020 . . . 2030 2020 2029 2018 2028 End 2027 Start Action to Resolve 2026 Study into different orientation and joining techniques that could be used to reduce any impact on Harness structure. 2025 Challenge 1 Joining Technology Challenges (Harness) Joining technology will need to improve due to location and enviromental impacts 2024 Technical Development 2023 Value Whilst the cost/supply of Aluminium for High volume production is critical, technical restrictions must also be studied. This comes under the general scope of how to adapt design and manufacturing technology from high cost low volume vehicle manufacture to cost effective high volume production. Formability/Styling - Improve process time of Bolt-on Panel production Hardest 2022 Hardest Route to implementation by 2030 Challenge 2 5 Aluminium is used extensively in the Premium Segment Brands, whilst High volume manufacturers have concentrated on High Performance steels as the preferred choice for weight reduction. The maximum weight reduction potential of these steels may be insufficient to achieve the vehicle mass reduction requirements to realise CO2 reduction trends however. Description of where we are now. Recycling (Production and end of life) - Improve Production scrap recycling and the segregation of material and grade at end of life 4 Description of where we are now. Aluminium is used extensively in the Premium Segment Brands, whilst High volume manufacturers have concentrated on High Performance steels as the preferred choice for weight reduction. The maximum weight reduction potential of these steels may be insufficient to achieve the vehicle mass reduction requirements to realise CO2 reduction trends however. Challenge 1 3 Easiest 3 Easiest 2 2021 4 1 2020 3 Challenge 2019 1 2 X X 2018 Challenge 50+ 3 2017 Saving (Kg) 0 - 2 Challenge 4 50+ 2016 4 Saving (Kg) 0 - 2 5 2015 3 4 2014 2 3 2013 1 2 2012 Value 1 Challenge Value Challenge 2 Corrosion - Improve protection against enviromental elements Challenge 3 Durability - Howto ensure fatigue life of harnesses that are exposed to vibration or movement (eg. Door harness) Supply Chain Action 2020 . . . Skills Action Challenge 3 Infrastructure Requirements Supply Chain Action Aluminium production, especially Heat treatment and finishing capacity is reaching its limits, with current volume. Identify current limits, and predict future requirements and make a plan to close the gap. 2019 2020 . . Study how to extend shelf life of bulk material (sheet/roll) 2018 2020 . . . Skills Action Infrastructure Requirements Improve logistics to mitigate Ageing characteristics of the Aluminium sheet prior to pressing 34 35 APPENDIX Title Weight Save Forms Title Composite bolt on panels Carbon Fibre Body Description Description Design and manufacture of complete set of composite bolt on panels (fixed panels and closures) Design and Manufacture of complete carbon fibre BIW structure at appropriate cost and rates of manufacture Value Value 3 4 Saving (Kg) 0 - 2 Challenge 1 5 50+ 2 3 Easiest 4 5 Hardest 4 2 3 4 Saving (Kg) 0 - 2 X Challenge 4 1 5 50+ 2 3 Easiest Value Description of where we are now. 1 4 5 Hardest 5 Challenge 2 Challenge 1 APPENDIX Weight Save Forms X 5 Value Description of where we are now. Technology exists to make some closure panels in non-structural composites and is limited for structural panels CRP bodies deployed today in hypercars/supercars. Typical cost of bodyshell is £20k +. Cost mainly driven by material and process time. Route to implementation by 2030 Route to implementation by 2030 36 . . . 2013 2018 . . . . . . Varcity as phase 1, follow up actions to provide capability for high £/kg payback cars 2012 2018 . . . . . . R&D of 2nd generation Automotive material&new processes aimed at volume manufacture 2016 2020 . . . . . Highly innovative new low cost Architectures & procesess, building onPhase 1 lessons learnt R&D to Develop and validate highly innovative architectures to meet mass market needs 2017 2024 . . . . No automotive T1 in composites & No material developer/supplier in UK UK Supply chain development programme. Attract Global Material supplier to UK 2013 2018 . . . . . . Dedicated UK Automotive composites skills programme needed urgently 2013 2018 . . . . . . Fund National Composites Centre to grow this capability 2012 2015 . . . Challenge 3 2014 2018 . . . . . Designing for the material (New architecture and integration) . New materials for new low cost processes - potentially to include renewables Challenge 4 2017 2022 . . . . . Challenge 5 2014 2022 . . . . . . . . . Supply Chain Action UK Supply chain development programme. Attract Global Material supplier to UK 2012 2018 . . . . . . . . . . . . 2030 R&D programme to develop new processes optimised for reduced cycle time and cost Phase 1 New processes to manufacture at right cost and rate . 2029 . 2028 . 2027 . 2026 . 2025 . 2024 Run a long term programme to deliver highly advanced multifuncytional solutions . 2018 2017 2023 Integrated materials/ process/ design programme to deliver low cost solutions 2017 2012 2030 2029 2028 2027 2026 2013 2022 R&D to develop application specific designs/proceeses for initial high return applications 2013 Skills Action Dedicated UK Automotive composites skills programme needed urgently 2013 2018 . . . Infrastructure Requirements No-Automotive capable composites development facility available Investment in new material manufacturing technologies 2021 Develop new processes suitable for bolt-on panels Skills Action Shortage of Automotive Composite skills at all levels Material at right price Challenge 2 Supply Chain Action Limited UK supply capability & No material developer/supplier in UK 2020 generation multifunctionality (Plastic Electronics?) 2019 Challenge 5 Maximise value add through integration of 2nd 2017 Challenge 4 Deliver weight save with renewable materials & at low cost for all sectors End 2016 Design and produce bolt-on panels with required cost/value proposition Start 2015 Challenge 3 Action to Resolve 2014 Today's processes too expensive Challenge 1 2013 Challenge 2 2025 . 2024 . 2023 . 2022 2015 2021 2013 2020 Work with material suppliers to develop material to bolt on panels at right cost 2019 New materials at right cost 2018 End 2017 Start 2016 Action to Resolve 2015 Technical Development Challenge 1 2014 Technical Development 2013 Overall cost needs to come down by a factor of 10. Combination of material cost reduction & (mostly) process time reduction. New design solutions will be required to allow low cost processes & new UK supply chain capabilities & skills will be essential sustain UK value contribution. 2012 Initially develop new materials and processes, together with designs that increase panel value by integrating functionality. 2nd phase is to look at innovative solutions, considering today's bolt-on panels differently in new archtectures, and with 2nd generation multifunctionality . . . Shortage of skills at all levels Infrastructure Requirements Fund National Composites Centre to grow this capability 2012 2015 . . . . No-Automotive capable composites development facility available . 37 Title Development of metal sandwich materials into energy adsorbing applications by 2030 Lightweight Structural Plastics Description Description Development of steel sandwich materials and associated technologies to enable the application of steel sandwich materials into energy adsorbing applications. These are three layer strutures with two sheets of metal (Al or steel) seperated by a polymer layer. Current research shows that weigth savings of between 20 and 40% can be achieved over the monolithic equivalent for the same energy adsorbtion. Total potential weight saving of 20-30 kg. Cost effective way to reduce BIW mass. Highly recyclable. Mechanical and physical properties restrict applications. Value Value Easiest 4 5 Hardest Saving (Kg) 0 - 2 Challenge 3 50+ 2 3 Easiest Value Description of where we are now. 1 5 4 5 Hardest 3 2 Value Description of where we are now. Technology demonstrated in cosmetic panels but potential for energy adsorbtion only recently realised. High volume cost competitive material production route exists. Covnvetional forming and joining technologies (SPR) have been successfully applied to these materials. Wide range of structural plastics (PPs, PAs) with SF & LF contents available. Overmoulded solutions available since circa 2002. Limitations of integrating parts within BIW, ie Bolt-on parts. Limited strutuctural performance - lower stiffness, strength and fatigue performance and managament of TCE through appropriate fixation. 2020 High strain rate testing and formability trials. Develop material models for commercial software. Develop technologies for recycling of sandwich materials. CRD - Hybrid (polymer & metallic-polymer) composite solutions 2012 2020 . . . . . . . . . 2013 2018 . . . . . . CRD - hybrid composite solutions 2012 2020 . . . . . . . . . CRD into new joining methods 2012 2020 . . . . . . . . . New CRD into composite Thermo-Plastics 2012 2020 . . . . . . . . . Low TCE Challenge 3 2015 2020 . . . . . . Joining Challenge 4 2015 2020 . . . . . . Challenge 5 Supply Chain Action Work with Steel/Al suppliers and Tier1s to adapt current technologies. 2015 2028 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . New composite LW plastics solutions Skills Action Skills Action Workforce (tech, engineer, designer) that understands the characteristics, advantages and restrictions. Training activity to sit along side collaborative R&D. Extend TAS. Ensure capacity, price stability and low CO2 manufacture. Encourage investment in new capacity for high volume production.EoL solution is critcal step. 38 2019 CRD programme involing joining equipment suppliers. Supply Chain Action Infrastructure Requirements Low stiffness, strength prevents integration for BIW crash relevant parts Challenge 2 Challenge 5 Develop UK supply chain. 2018 EoL issues. 2017 Challenge 4 End 2016 CAE tools for manufacture and performance prediction. Start 2015 Challenge 3 Action to Resolve 2014 Develop joing technolgies for sandwich strucutres. Challenge 1 2013 Challenge 2 Technical Development 2012 2030 2029 2028 2027 . 2026 . 2025 . 2024 . 2023 . 2022 . 2021 2018 2020 2013 2019 CRD programme involing exisitng press shop and toolmaker. 2018 Adapt conventional forming methods for sanwhich materials. 2017 End 2016 Start 2015 Action to Resolve 2014 Challenge 1 2013 Route to implementation by 2030 OEM - Tier 1 supplier engagement with state-of-the-art Compression or Injection Moulding solutions 2012 Route to implementation by 2030 Major challenges are around forming, integration and end of life. Technical Development X 2030 3 4 2029 2 3 2028 1 X 2 2027 Challenge 50+ 1 2026 Saving (Kg) 0 - 2 3 2025 5 2024 4 2023 3 Challenge 2 Challenge 1 APPENDIX Weight Save Forms 2022 Title Weight Save Forms 2021 APPENDIX 2015 2020 . . . . . . 2015 Infrastructure Requirements 2015 2030 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2012 39 APPENDIX Title Weight Save Forms APPENDIX Weight Save Forms Title Sheet Mg Applications by 2030 Magnesium Structural Castings Description Description Development of cost effective technologies to enable BIW applications of sheet Mg by 2030. Potential weight saving 20-30 kg. Cost effective way to reduce BIW mass, particulalrly for Premium and Large vehicles segment (D/E class and above). Increase in integration limited primarily by joining, pre-treatment and current mechanical properties of available alloys (elongation, yield & tensile strength) Value Value 3 4 Saving (Kg) 0 - 2 Challenge 1 5 50+ 2 3 Easiest 4 5 Hardest 4 2 3 4 Saving (Kg) 0 - 2 X Challenge 4 1 5 50+ 2 3 Easiest Value Description of where we are now. 1 4 5 Hardest Route to implementation by 2030 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 . . . . . . . . 2030 2025 . 2029 2024 . 2028 2023 . 2027 2022 . 2026 2021 2017 2015 Joining process for integration of large Mg castings CRD into Mg alloy joiing processes 2012 2020 . . . . . . . . . E-coat painting processes creates corrosion issues for Mg alloys and prevents integration within BIW (ie nonbolt-on applications) 2020 . . . . . . . CRD of new pre-treatment processes 2012 2022 . . . . . . . . . . . . Tensile elastic modulus of Mg alloys is <25% of steel. CRD of Alloy development for high modulus, castings or Composite Castings 2012 2030 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Thinner wall castings (<2.00mm) with high elongation >15% 2012 2030 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Undertake CRD to extend structural Mg casting usage within BIW 2013 2030 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Training to address skills shortage. 2012 2015 . . . Development of Pre-treatment facilities for Mg alloy parts 2015 2030 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2023 . . . . . . . . Challenge 4 2020 2025 . . . . . Challenge 5 Alloy development for high modulus, high elongation castings or Composite Casting development for tunable properties Supply Chain Action Training activity to sit along side collaborative R&D. Extend TAS. 2020 Ensure capacity, price stability and low CO2 manufacture. Encourage investment in Mg production using low environmental impact processes. (Norway) 40 2016 CRD programme involving OEM and joining equipment suppliers Workforce (tech, engineer, designer) that understands the characteristics, advantages and restrictions of Mg. Infrastructure Requirements . Challenge 3 2015 Skills Action 2015 2013 Work with existing UK Mg companies and sheet component supply chain to adapt current technologies. Develop UK supply chain. End 2014 Supply Chain Action Start 2013 Challenge 5 Action to Resolve Challenge 2 1) develop commercial warm forming technologies (CRD programme).2) develop auto sheet grade Mg alloy. High strain rate testing and formability trials. Develop material models for commercial software. Challenge 1 2012 Challenge 4 CAE tools for manufacture and performance prediction. 2020 2025 2019 2013 2018 Support current activity on Mg twin roll casting (POSCO/Brunel) 2017 Volume production of low cost Mg sheet. 2016 End 2015 Start 2014 Action to Resolve 2013 Technical Development Challenge 1 2012 Technical Development Robust joining technology for Mg Value Route to implementation by 2030 Pre-treatment processes and Joining processes for large Mg structural castings Challenge 3 2 High fluidity structural Mg Alloy casting suppliers currently producing alloys with with yield strengths of 100-150MPa and tensile strengths of 200-260MPa and reasonable ductility (8-10%). Fatigue strength is a limitation. High-level of integration into BIW is limited owing to corrosion issues and joining processes available. Parts are typically 'bolt-on' items. LCA an issue. UK has a large casting Tier supplier (Meridian) and an alloy supplier (MEL). Need to advance currently low TRL technologies for sheet manufacture and forming as well as address develop robust joining technologies to avoid galvanic corrosion issues. Volume forming technology for Mg sheet. X Description of where we are now. Castings routinely used however no sheet applications due to cost. This is primarily associated with formability issues but there are also joining, corrosion and LCA issues. Challenge 2 2 Challenge 2 Challenge 1 2028 . . . . . . . . . . . . . OEM demand driven by off-the-shelf solutions, Tier 1 resources limited . Skills Action 2030 . . . . . . . . . . . . Infrastructure Requirements 2015 2030 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . OEM paint plant not compatable for integrated Mg BIW parts (bolt-ons only0 . 41 APPENDIX Title Weight Save Forms Title Introduction of Powder Metallurgy Based Al Metal Matrix Composites (MMCs) into mainstream automotive by 2030 Vehicle Optimisation by 2030 Description Description Development of cost effective technologies to enable the introduction of Powder Metallurgy Based Al MMCs into mainstream automotive. Applications include engine components (high temperature fatigue critcal applications) breaking systems (low weigth high stiffness application). Replacing steel can lead to 40% weight reduction with a total potential weight saving of 5 -10 kg. Development of LW vehicles optimised to meet 'real world' load cases by challenging existing design standards/requirements Value Value 3 4 Saving (Kg) 0 - 2 Challenge 1 5 50+ 2 3 Easiest 4 5 Hardest 2 X 1 2 3 4 Saving (Kg) 0 - 2 Challenge 3 50+ 2 3 Easiest Value Description of where we are now. 1 Technology implemented in niche, autosport and demostrator vehicles. Currently high processing costs and lack of proven route for mass production means that this is not viable for mainstream automotive. Route to implementation by 2030 5 4 5 Hardest 3 Challenge 2 Challenge 1 APPENDIX Weight Save Forms X 5 Value Description of where we are now. Current OEM vehicle designs are developed around a series of legislative requirements and internal design standards sometimes distant from 'real world' load cases and conditions and consequently this leads to inefficient, over-engineered designs or sub-optimal solutions w.r.t mass. Route to implementation by 2030 . Development of condition monitoring (C.M.) systems to provide real-time measurement Low Cost Net Shape Manufacturing for MMC components. (Press - Sinter) CRD programme to develop C.M. systems to reverse engineer designs to real world data 2013 2020 . . . . . Challenge 3 Low Cost Net Shape Manufacturing for MMC components. (ALM) . OEM Design Standards OEMs to review and challenge design standards 2018 2030 Challenge 4 CAE tools for manufacture and performance prediction. . Current CAE methods cannot consider all load cases at once and designs require iterative approaches 2015 2025 Challenge 5 EoL issues. Supply Chain Action Develop UK supply chain. Transportation KTN/Catapult to catalyse mult-sector approach 2013 2015 . . . Skills Action Knowledge transfer of condition Monotoring / real-time measurement expertise 2013 2015 . . . Invest in UK SET base 2015 2030 CRD programme involing PM Tier 1/2 to develop press & sinter technology for MMCs. CRD programme involing ALM supplier, Univ, Catapult to develop high rate ALM technology for MMCs 2013 2015 Develop technologies for recycling of MMC's 2016 Ensure capacity, price stability and low CO2 manufacture. Encourage investment in new capacity for high volume MMC production. EoL solution is critcal step. . . . . . . . 2023 . . . . . . . . Challenge 4 2020 Work with existing MMC suppliers, PM companies and ALM compnaies to adapt current technologies. 2020 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Challenge 3 High strain rate testing and formability trials. Develop material models for commercial software. Training activity to sit along side collaborative R&D. Extend TAS. 42 . Challenge 2 Workforce (tech, engineer, designer) that understands the characteristics, advantages and restrictions of MMCs. Infrastructure Requirements . 2030 . 2029 . 2028 . 2027 . 2026 2017 . 2025 2016 2017 2024 2015 2013 2023 2014 CRD programme to capture real-world duty cycle data 2022 2013 Insufficient 'real world' load case data 2021 End 2020 Start 2019 Action to Resolve 2018 Challenge 1 Challenge 2 2012 2030 2029 2028 2027 . 2026 . 2025 . 2024 . 2023 . 2022 . 2021 2018 2020 2013 2019 CRD programme involing MMC supplier and conventioanl supply chain 2018 End 2017 Start 2016 Taking cost out of conventional processing. (forging, extrusion, machining) Action to Resolve 2015 Technical Development Challenge 1 2014 Technical Development 2013 This will require several actions including: (i) capturing a better understanding of the real world load cases and methods to measure, model and predict these to provide suitable confidence to relax any strenuos OEM design standard(s) that may inhibit efficient LW vehicle designs; (ii) development of condition monitoring systems for real-time predctive assessments. 2012 Inherenelty the raw mateiral costs are low and there is a general belief that once the technology is widely adopted processing costs will fall. The key techologies that need to be developed are methods for mass production of parts. End of life solutions must also be established. 2025 . . . . . Challenge 5 2021 . . . . . CRD - True Multi-disciplinary Optimisation (MDO) CAE assessments factoring real world data, including Mult-physics solutions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Supply Chain Action 2015 2028 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Network / share learning with other sectors (e.g. Rail & Aerospace) . Pockets of knowledge/expertise exist in UK Skills Action 2020 2030 . . . . . . . . . . Infrastructure Requirements 2015 2030 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Develop expertise in UK . 43 APPENDIX Title Weight Save Forms APPENDIX Weight Save Forms Title Roofing Systems Seating Systems Description Description A wide range of roofing systems are used by all OEMs in the UK - however, no specific UK-based manufacturing capability in UK Seating provides a significant opportunity for weight reduction and various different systems are used by all OEMs in the UK. Some UK supply chain ( e.g. JCI). Value Value 3 4 Saving (Kg) 0 - 2 Challenge 1 5 50+ 2 3 Easiest 4 5 Hardest 4 2 3 4 Saving (Kg) 0 - 2 X Challenge 4 1 5 50+ 2 3 Easiest Value Description of where we are now. 1 4 5 Hardest 4 X Challenge 2 Challenge 1 2 Value Description of where we are now. Growing consumer demand of large size, sunroof options including multi-panel glass, panoramic, moving panoramic). In terms of roofing systems an increase in LW materials is required for Cabriolet Convertible vehicles and LW retractable roofing systems. Lightweighting materals include light metals for roofing frame and roof inner components and Polycarbonate for glazing which can achieve upto 50% weight reduction over traditional materials (steel and glass). Growing consumer demand for customisation, shaped, thinner seats provides new opportunities for the adoption of LW materials for seating systems. Additional functional integration with seating (heating, cooling, multi-way movement, occupant comfort & massage features) have yet to be achieved. Potential lightweighting materals include light metals for seat frames. However, the majority of frames are steel and also include light-weight structural plastics delivering affordable commodity items CRD of toughened glazing applications, e.g. Gorilla Glass from Corning or more use of Polycarbonate for future Glasshouse applications. Need to understand wider opportunities, forming, paintability/coating/supply chain. Leader in Polycarbonate technology is Webasto. Continue to drive systems integration. Down size mechatronics. CRD of lightweight, package efficient, multi-functional seating solutions applicable for volume production. Technical Development Technical Development Challenge 2 . . . . . . . . . 2030 . 2029 . 2028 . Challenge 2 2012 2018 . . . . . . . Challenge 3 Challenge 3 Challenge 4 Challenge 4 Challenge 5 Challenge 5 Supply Chain Action Supply Chain Action Major roofing systems suppliers are outside of the UK. Majority of seating R&D outside of UK as Seating R&D Centres outside of UK None Skills Action Encourage UK suppliers to inMs Skills Action 2013 2015 . . . Infrastructure Requirements Infrastructure Requirements 2012 44 . 2027 2020 . 2026 2013 . 2025 2018 2024 2012 2023 CRD to develop new LW seating concepts 2022 Develop efficient, multi-functional LW seat designs 2021 . 2020 . 2019 . 2018 . 2017 . End 2016 . Start 2015 . Action to Resolve 2014 . Challenge 1 2013 . Route to implementation by 2030 2012 . 2030 2025 . 2029 2024 . 2028 2023 . 2027 2022 . 2026 2021 EU CRD and supply chain development 2020 Development of high clarity, formable and paintable Polycarbonate systems 2019 2025 2018 2012 2017 OEM R&D to understand suitability for structural glazing applications 2016 End 2015 Start 2014 Develop cost effective applications of ultra-high toughness glazing (Gorilla Glass). Action to Resolve 2013 Challenge 1 2012 Route to implementation by 2030 2015 . . . . 45 Title Sheet Moulding Compound (SMC) Panels Steel - Hot Stamping Description Description UK OEMs in the LWV Group are using SMC technology for Skin Panels (Horizontal & Vertical) and there is limited UK-based manufacturing (PO & MITRAS) All OEMs in the LWV Group are using hot stamped steel parts - however, no UK-based manufacturing capability. Saving (Kg) 0 - 2 Challenge 1 50+ 2 3 Easiest Value Description of where we are now. 1 5 4 5 Hardest 3 1 Value Description of where we are now. Widespread use of SMC in both niche and volume vehicle production Widespread use of hot stamped steel in volume vehicle production. Challenge 2 2012 2020 . . . . . . . . . OEMs engage Tier 1 suppliers 2013 2020 . . . . . . . . . . . 2020 Uncoated steel surface oxidises. Shot blasting required, or use coated steel. 2012 2012 . Need to get all form in one pressing, followed by laser trim. 2012 2012 . 2012 Cycle time for single part= 20Need to 30s to press multiple parts in one press stroke Challenge 5 2012 . 2030 . 2012 2029 . Alternative energy sources? 2028 . End 2027 2030 2029 2028 2027 . Start No follow-on forming or mechanical trim operations possible. Challenge 4 Challenge 5 Supply Chain Action Supply Chain Action OEMs engage Tier 1 suppliers 2013 2020 . . . . . . . . No automotive hot stamping production facility in the UK. Skills Action Skills Action None None Shortage of skilled resource with production experience in the UK. Infrastructure Requirements Infrastructure Requirements Limited SMC suppliers in UK. PO have a satellite operation No SMC R&D facilities within UK No automotive hot stamping production facility in the UK. 46 . Action to Resolve Challenge 3 Challenge 4 Limited SMC suppliers in UK. PO have a satellite operation. No/limited SMC development in UK Challenge 1 . The process requires high energy input high CO2 output. Is this a medium term solution only? Will hot stamping stop after 2020? Challenge 2 Challenge 3 Limited SMC suppliers in UK. PO have a satellite operation. No/limited SMC development in UK 2026 . 2025 . 2024 . 2023 . 2022 . 2021 . 2020 Tier 1 led CRD New, HS, high Stiffness, low density SMC solutions - > CF SMC . 2019 SMC itself is not a highly effective LW material solution 2018 2018 2017 2012 2016 OEM material substitution for sustainable / low VOC materials? 2015 End 2014 High Volatile Compounds associated with SMC materials. Legislative or company standards may impact usage beyond 2020? Start 2013 Technical Development Action to Resolve 2012 Technical Development 2026 Route to implementation by 2030 General trend among volume vehicle manufacturers is to increase the number of parts which are hot stamped. 2025 Route to implementation by 2030 General trend among volume vehicle manufacturers is an increase in the number of SMC parts owing to part integration and low tooling investment enabling greater model derivatives requiring a lower total tooling investment Challenge 1 X 2024 Hardest 4 2023 5 3 2022 Easiest 4 2 2021 3 1 2020 2 Value 2019 1 X 2018 Challenge 50+ 3 2017 Saving (Kg) 0 - 2 5 2016 4 2015 3 2014 2 Challenge 1 Challenge Value APPENDIX Weight Save Forms 2013 Title Weight Save Forms 2012 APPENDIX 2012 2018 . . . . . . . Attract European T1 hot stamping suppliers to UK. 2013 2015 . . . Training activity to be organised, perhaps from more experienced European T1 suppliers. 2013 2015 . . . Incentivise European T1 suppliers to create facility in UK. 2012 2015 . . . . 47 Title Steel - Ultra High Strength Steel - Tube Hydroforming Description Description Cost effective way to reduce BIW mass. Cost effective way to reduce BIW mass. Saving (Kg) 0 - 2 Challenge 1 50+ 2 3 Easiest Value Description of where we are now. 1 5 4 5 Hardest 2 X 2 Value Description of where we are now. Challenge 2 Restricted part design freedom due to Challenge 1. R&D into making these steels more formable. 2012 2015 . 48 2015 Assembly is an issue. Further develop single-sided spotwelding techniques? 2013 2014 . . . Take learning from the Hydroform Intensive Body programme and consider next steps. 2012 2013 Adopt a low pressure hydroforming strategy. 2013 2015 . . . Attract European T1 suppliers to the UK 2013 2015 . . . Training activity to be organised, perhaps from more experienced European T1 suppliers. 2013 2015 . . . Incentivise European T1 suppliers to create facility in UK. 2013 2015 . . . Designing for the process (prebend/hydroform/laser trim) . . Challenge 3 R&D into making these steels more formable. 2012 2015 . Strategic links with steel suppliers for testing and early adoption of more formable UHSS in R&D phase. . . . Process speed. Training to address skills shortage. Supply Chain Action 2012 2015 . . . . Lack of T1 suppliers in the UK. . Shortage of skilled resource with production experience in the UK. Skills Action 2012 2015 . Infrastructure Requirements Higher press forces required compared to conventional steel stamping. 2014 End Challenge 5 Skills Action 2013 Start Challenge 5 Lack of design skills taking into account formability of UHSS. . Action to Resolve Challenge 4 Supply Chain Action . Challenge 1 Challenge 4 More formable UHSS required from steel suppliers. 2012 2030 2029 2028 2027 Technical Development Challenge 2 Challenge 3 May need to be considered as an eventual replacement for hot stamped steel, due to high CO2 output of hot stamping process. 2026 . 2025 . 2024 . 2023 . 2022 2015 2021 2012 2020 R&D into making these steels more formable. 2019 Low formability - typically crash formed or bent into shape. 2018 End 2017 Start 2016 Action to Resolve 2015 Challenge 1 2014 Technical Development 2013 Route to implementation by 2030 Could be considered for other BIW parts via design study with material and T1 suppliers (as per Hydroform Intensive Body programme). 2012 Route to implementation by 2030 Require steels of this strength level to be more formable. 2030 For example, tube hydroforming being used for Engine Sub-frame and A-Post/Cantrail in current volume vehicle production. 2029 Steel suppliers currently producing ultra high strength steels, with tensile strength > 1000Mpa, but with limited formability. 2028 Hardest 4 2027 5 3 2026 Easiest 4 2 2025 3 1 2024 2 Value 2023 1 X 2022 Challenge 50+ 2 2021 Saving (Kg) 0 - 2 5 2020 4 2019 3 2018 2 2017 1 Challenge Value APPENDIX Weight Save Forms Challenge Title Weight Save Forms 2016 APPENDIX . . Infrastructure Requirements Higher capacity press lines required (already available). 2012 2012 . Lack of automotive tube hydroforming production facilities in the UK. 49 APPENDIX Title Weight Save Forms APPENDIX Weight Save Forms Title Introduction of Ti Alloys into mainstream automotive by 2030 Ultra-Lightweight Transmission & Driveline Description Description Development of cost effective technologies to enable the introduction of Ti alloys into mainstream automotive. Applications include engine components (high temperature applications) exhaust systems (corrosion applications) and suspension springs (low modulus applications). Replacing steel can lead to 40% weight reduction with a total potential weight saving of 10-20 kg. Delivering a step-change in transmission and driveline weight via the development of cost-effective, complimentary lightweight technologies. Taking advantage of the latest developments in sustainable materials, coupled with novel manufacturing processes and design approaches to deliver significant weight reduction without sacraficing attributes such as vehicle NVH, drivability and performance. Value Value Challenge Low cost production of Ti Challenge 2 Low Cost Net Shape Manufacturing for Ti components. (Press - Sinter) Challenge 3 Low Cost Net Shape Manufacturing for Ti components. (ALM) Challenge 4 CAE tools for manufacture and performance prediction. Challenge 5 CRD programme involing ALM supplier, Univ, Catapult to develop high deposition rate ALM technology for Ti High strain rate testing and formability trials. Develop material models for commercial software. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Route to implementation by 2030 New multi-material designs eg: skeleton casing structures suitable for T&D app. 2023 . . . . . . . . . Protecting vehicle attributes eg: NVH, drivability, performance vs weight. . Ensuring solutions are cost-effective and suitable for mass production Challenge 4 2020 2025 . . . . . Challenge 5 Minimising the overall environmental impact Supply Chain Action Develop UK supply chain. 2013 2019 . . . . . . . Development of robust joining techniques, validation of new materials in T&D environment. 2013 2020 . . . . . . . Development of advanced CAE analysis capability to enable multi-parameter optimisation 2013 2016 . . . . Conducting careful cost/benefit analysis & engagement of tier 1 manufacturing partners at start 2013 2016 . . . . Exploring new manufacturing techniques eg: cold forging to reduce / eliminate waste 2013 2016 . . . . 2013 2019 . . . . . . . . . . 2030 End 2029 Start Action to Resolve . Supply Chain Action Work with existing PM companies and ALM compnaies to adapt current technologies. 2015 2028 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . - Mass produced high strength 'clean' steels - Multi-material capability Early engagement of materials suppliers, tier 1's & dev't of new CAE methods. . . Multi-material design and analysis capability. Dissemination of best practice from leading ESP's, dev't of new CAE methods. 2013 2016 . . . . . Production infastructure for cost-effective mass produced high strength 'clean' steels Early engagement of materials suppliers. 2013 2020 . . . . Skills Action Skills Action Workforce (tech, engineer, designer) that understands the characteristics, advantages and restrictions of Ti. Training activity to sit along side collaborative R&D. Extend TAS. Ensure capacity, price stability and low CO2 manufacture. Encourage investment in new technologies for low cost Ti production. 2020 2030 . . . . . . . . . Infrastructure Requirements 50 Development of cost-effective high strength 'clean' steels and manufacturing / finishing proc. 2028 Challenge 1 2027 Technical Development 2026 A clean-sheet redesign of system topology, optimised using new analytical techniques and taking advantage of the latest developments in materials technology. Exploring down-sized hardware & multi-material design opportunities for all elements of the transmission & driveline. Challenge 3 2015 Value Today's conventional systems utilise well known, homogeneous materials, eg; steel and aluminium and an overall system topology which has not changed significantly since the 1970's. Down-sizing of gear and rotating parts. . 4 Description of where we are now. Challenge 2 2020 Hardest X 2025 2030 2029 2028 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2013 . 2018 CRD programme involing PM Tier 1/2 to develop press & sinter technology for Ti. . 2017 2025 2016 2013 2015 End 2014 Support/Maintain watching brief on global efforts to develop new technology for Ti production. Start 2013 Action to Resolve 2012 Challenge 1 5 2024 Route to implementation by 2030 Since 2000 there has been a surge of activity to lower the cost of Ti production. These programmes must be successful for Ti will be a viable material for automotive production. Low alloy grades of Ti can be rolled to sheet using conventional steel technology hovever higher alloyed grades and complex components require process development to reducce manufacturing costs. Net shape processing though powder metallurgy (Press/Sinter) or ALM need to be developed. 4 2023 Technology implemented in niche, autosport and demostrator vehicles. Currently high cost of raw material and in some applications lack of proven route for mass production means that this is not viable for mainstream automotive. Technical Development 3 Easiest Value Description of where we are now. 2 2022 4 1 5 2021 Hardest X 50+ 2020 5 Saving (Kg) 0 - 2 5 2019 Easiest 4 4 2018 3 3 2017 2 2 2016 1 1 2015 Challenge 50+ 3 2014 Saving (Kg) 0 - 2 5 2013 4 2012 3 Challenge 2 Challenge 1 Infrastructure Requirements 2015 2030 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 0.0TITLE