Options for Ward Boundaries VAUGHAN WARD BOUNDARY REVIEW PUBLIC MEETINGS JUNE 2016 www.Vaughan.ca/WardBoundaryReviw | #VaughanWBR VAUGHAN WARD BOUNDARY REVIEW Agenda 1. 2. 3. 4. Introduction Approach The Options Ranking/Refining the Options 5. Next Steps VAUGHAN WARD BOUNDARY REVIEW 3 options for ensuring ‘effective representation’ within the ward structure of the City of Vaughan VAUGHAN WARD BOUNDARY REVIEW Effective Representation • • • • • • Voter parity Natural/physical boundaries Geographic communities of interest Capacity to represent Geographic size and shape of ward Population growth VAUGHAN WARD BOUNDARY REVIEW How is Vaughan Growing • • • 2026 population – 383,500 Close to 70,000 new people between 2014 and 2026 Vaughan WBR projections based on York Region projections VAUGHAN WARD BOUNDARY REVIEW 3 Municipal Elections • • • 2018, 2022, 2026 Target year for voter parity – 2022 If system works for 2022, it will still work for 2026 VAUGHAN WARD BOUNDARY REVIEW Balanced Ward Sizes • • • Best outcome: +/- 10% of AVG ward population Possible: between 10% and 15% above or below average ward population Variances over 15% only in exceptional circumstances VAUGHAN WARD BOUNDARY REVIEW TORONTO WARD WARD BOUNDARY BOUNDARY REVIEW VAUGHAN REVIEW Forecast Population by Current Ward WARD 2014 2018 2022 2026 2030 1 68,200 75,200 84,700 96,100 117,600 2 56,800 59,100 62,100 64,200 65,100 3 65,700 70,300 74,500 78,300 79,400 4 51,900 58,400 63,800 70,700 81,800 5 71,300 72,600 73,000 74,100 75,200 Totals 313,900 335,600 358,100 383,400 419,100 AVERAGE WARD POPULATION 62,800 67,100 71,600 76,700 83,800 TORONTO WARD WARD BOUNDARY BOUNDARY REVIEW VAUGHAN REVIEW Forecast Population Variance by Current Ward WARD 2014 2018 2022 2026 2030 1 + 9% +12% +18% +25% +40% 2 -10% - 12% - 13% -16% -22% 3 + 5% + 5% + 4% + 2% -5% 4 -17% - 13% - 11% - 8% -2% 5 +14% + 8% + 2% - 3% -10% AVERAGE WARD SIZE 62,800 67,100 71,600 76,700 83,800 VAUGHAN WARD BOUNDARY REVIEW Status Quo Results • • • Current wards growing out of balance past 2018 Implement new ward structure for 2018 Should last to 2026 without review TORONTO WARD WARD BOUNDARY BOUNDARY REVIEW VAUGHAN REVIEW The Options AVG. WARD POPULATION POPULATION RANGE (+/- 10%) # OF WARDS 1: Maintain Current Number of Wards 71,600 64,440 – 78,800 5 2: Maintain Current Average Ward Population 62,800 56,500 – 69,000 6 3: Four Wards 89,500 80,500 – 98,500 4 OPTION OPTION 1 MAINTAIN CURRENT NUMBER OF WARDS OPTION 1 MAINTAIN CURRENT NUMBER OF WARDS • • • • 5 Wards/5 Local Ward Councillors 2022 average ward population: 71,600 Population range: 64,400 – 78,800 Population variance among wards: -3% - +2% OPTION 1 MAINTAIN CURRENT NUMBER OF WARDS OPTION 2 MAINTAIN CURRENT AVG WARD POPULATION OPTION 2 MAINTAIN CURRENT AVERAGE WARD POPULATION • • • • 6 Wards/6 Local Ward Councillors 2022 average ward population: 62,800 Population range: 56,500 – 69,000 Population variance among wards: -6% - +6% OPTION 2 MAINTAIN CURRENT AVG WARD POPULATION OPTION 3 FOUR WARDS OPTION 3 FOUR WARDS • • • • 4 Wards/4 Local Ward Councillors 2022 average ward population: 89,500 Population range: 80,500 – 98,500 Population variance among wards: -4% - +3% OPTION 3 FOUR WARDS VAUGHAN WARD BOUNDARY REVIEW Other Options Considered • Small wards (7 wards) • • • • Average ward population: 50,000 Not pursued because of local role of Local & Regional Councillors Federal ridings • • Only 1 completely inside Vaughan Not pursued, no voter parity • Not pursued, no strong agricultural community Separate rural ward RANKING / REFINING THE OPTIONS VAUGHAN WARD BOUNDARY REVIEW VAUGHAN WARD BOUNDARY REVIEW All 3 Options Achieve Effective Representation • • • All have strengths/weaknesses Options have to work for the whole City Need to be assessed against components of effective representation REFINING OPTION 1 MAINTAIN CURRENT NUMBER OF WARDS REFINING OPTION 2 MAINTAIN CURRENT AVG WARD POPULATION REFINING OPTION 3 FOUR WARDS VAUGHAN WARD BOUNDARY REVIEW Next Steps • • • • • • • Complete the survey – PRINT & ONLINE Online closes JUNE 30, 2016 4 public meetings (JUNE 22, 23, 25) Report on ‘Preferred Option’ (SEPT. 2016) Public consultation on ‘Preferred Option’ (SEPT. 2016) Public meetings - SEPT. 24, 28, 29 Vaughan WBR Final Report (JAN. 2017) Thank you VAUGHAN WARD BOUNDARY REVIEW info@vaughanwbr.ca www.vaughan.ca/wardboundaryreview #VaughanWBR