Options for Ward Boundaries

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Options for Ward Boundaries
VAUGHAN WARD BOUNDARY REVIEW
PUBLIC MEETINGS
JUNE 2016
www.Vaughan.ca/WardBoundaryReviw | #VaughanWBR
VAUGHAN WARD BOUNDARY REVIEW
Agenda
1.
2.
3.
4.
Introduction
Approach
The Options
Ranking/Refining the
Options
5. Next Steps
VAUGHAN WARD BOUNDARY REVIEW
3 options for ensuring
‘effective representation’
within the ward structure of
the City of Vaughan
VAUGHAN WARD BOUNDARY REVIEW
Effective Representation
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•
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Voter parity
Natural/physical boundaries
Geographic communities of interest
Capacity to represent
Geographic size and shape of ward
Population growth
VAUGHAN WARD BOUNDARY REVIEW
How is Vaughan Growing
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•
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2026 population – 383,500
Close to 70,000 new people between
2014 and 2026
Vaughan WBR projections based on York
Region projections
VAUGHAN WARD BOUNDARY REVIEW
3 Municipal Elections
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2018, 2022, 2026
Target year for voter parity – 2022
If system works for 2022, it will still
work for 2026
VAUGHAN WARD BOUNDARY REVIEW
Balanced Ward Sizes
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Best outcome: +/- 10% of AVG ward
population
Possible: between 10% and 15% above or
below average ward population
Variances over 15% only in
exceptional circumstances
VAUGHAN WARD BOUNDARY REVIEW
TORONTO WARD
WARD BOUNDARY
BOUNDARY REVIEW
VAUGHAN
REVIEW
Forecast Population by Current Ward
WARD
2014
2018
2022
2026
2030
1
68,200
75,200
84,700
96,100
117,600
2
56,800
59,100
62,100
64,200
65,100
3
65,700
70,300
74,500
78,300
79,400
4
51,900
58,400
63,800
70,700
81,800
5
71,300
72,600
73,000
74,100
75,200
Totals
313,900
335,600
358,100
383,400
419,100
AVERAGE WARD
POPULATION
62,800
67,100
71,600
76,700
83,800
TORONTO WARD
WARD BOUNDARY
BOUNDARY REVIEW
VAUGHAN
REVIEW
Forecast Population Variance by
Current Ward
WARD
2014
2018
2022
2026
2030
1
+ 9%
+12%
+18%
+25%
+40%
2
-10%
- 12%
- 13%
-16%
-22%
3
+ 5%
+ 5%
+ 4%
+ 2%
-5%
4
-17%
- 13%
- 11%
- 8%
-2%
5
+14%
+ 8%
+ 2%
- 3%
-10%
AVERAGE
WARD SIZE
62,800
67,100
71,600
76,700
83,800
VAUGHAN WARD BOUNDARY REVIEW
Status Quo Results
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•
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Current wards growing out of balance
past 2018
Implement new ward structure for 2018
Should last to 2026 without review
TORONTO WARD
WARD BOUNDARY
BOUNDARY REVIEW
VAUGHAN
REVIEW
The Options
AVG. WARD
POPULATION
POPULATION RANGE
(+/- 10%)
# OF WARDS
1: Maintain Current Number of Wards
71,600
64,440 – 78,800
5
2: Maintain Current Average Ward
Population
62,800
56,500 – 69,000
6
3: Four Wards
89,500
80,500 – 98,500
4
OPTION
OPTION 1 MAINTAIN CURRENT NUMBER OF
WARDS
OPTION 1
MAINTAIN CURRENT NUMBER OF
WARDS
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5 Wards/5 Local Ward Councillors
2022 average ward population: 71,600
Population range: 64,400 – 78,800
Population variance among wards:
-3% - +2%
OPTION 1 MAINTAIN CURRENT NUMBER OF
WARDS
OPTION 2 MAINTAIN CURRENT AVG WARD
POPULATION
OPTION 2
MAINTAIN CURRENT AVERAGE WARD
POPULATION
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6 Wards/6 Local Ward Councillors
2022 average ward population: 62,800
Population range: 56,500 – 69,000
Population variance among wards:
-6% - +6%
OPTION 2 MAINTAIN CURRENT AVG WARD
POPULATION
OPTION 3 FOUR WARDS
OPTION 3
FOUR WARDS
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4 Wards/4 Local Ward Councillors
2022 average ward population: 89,500
Population range: 80,500 – 98,500
Population variance among wards:
-4% - +3%
OPTION 3 FOUR WARDS
VAUGHAN WARD BOUNDARY REVIEW
Other Options Considered
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Small wards (7 wards)
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Average ward population: 50,000
Not pursued because of local role of Local
& Regional Councillors
Federal ridings
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Only 1 completely inside Vaughan
Not pursued, no voter parity
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Not pursued, no strong agricultural community
Separate rural ward
RANKING / REFINING
THE OPTIONS
VAUGHAN WARD BOUNDARY REVIEW
VAUGHAN WARD BOUNDARY REVIEW
All 3 Options Achieve Effective
Representation
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All have strengths/weaknesses
Options have to work for the whole City
Need to be assessed against
components of effective representation
REFINING OPTION 1 MAINTAIN CURRENT
NUMBER OF WARDS
REFINING OPTION 2 MAINTAIN CURRENT AVG
WARD POPULATION
REFINING OPTION 3 FOUR WARDS
VAUGHAN WARD BOUNDARY REVIEW
Next Steps
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Complete the survey – PRINT & ONLINE
Online closes JUNE 30, 2016
4 public meetings (JUNE 22, 23, 25)
Report on ‘Preferred Option’ (SEPT. 2016)
Public consultation on ‘Preferred Option’
(SEPT. 2016)
Public meetings - SEPT. 24, 28, 29
Vaughan WBR Final Report (JAN. 2017)
Thank you
VAUGHAN WARD BOUNDARY REVIEW
info@vaughanwbr.ca
www.vaughan.ca/wardboundaryreview
#VaughanWBR
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