State SAR Coordinators Conference 2011 Rick Button Chief, Coordination Division Office of Search and Rescue Coast Guard Headquarters Secretary, National SAR Committee References • National SAR Committee (www.uscg.mil/nsarc) National SAR Plan of the United States www.uscg.mil/hq/cg5/cg534/manuals/Natl_SAR_Plan(2007).pdf National SAR Supplement (NSS) www.uscg.mil/hq/cg5/cg534/manuals/Natl_SAR_Supp.pdf Catastrophic Incident SAR Addendum www.uscg.mil/hq/cg5/cg534/nsarc/CISAddendum2.0_Nov09.pdf • NRF Resource Center (www.fema.gov/emergency/nrf/) National Response Framework www.fema.gov/pdf/emergency/nrf/nrf-core.pdf Emergency Support Function (ESF) #9 www.fema.gov/pdf/emergency/nrf/nrf-esf-09.pdf • Coast Guard SAR Addendum www.uscg.mil/directives/cim/16000-16999/CIM_16130_2E.pdf U.S. Nat’l SAR Committee NSARC Chair: USCG DOD, DOC, DOT, DOI, DHS, FCC, NASA (NOAA) (FAA) (NPS) (FEMA/USCG) Also: CAP, NTSB, NASAR, and State SAR Reps participate www.uscg.mil/nsarc National Search and Rescue Plan 1919-Page Plan: • Formal agreement among the National SAR Committee member Departments and Agencies • Out of date… Needs to be revised! • Assigns Federal SAR Coordinator (SC) responsibilities – major change http://www.uscg.mil/hq/cg5/cg534/manuals/Natl_SAR_Plan(2007).pdf NSP: Federal SAR Coordinators (SC) National SAR Plan: Federal SAR Coordinators (SCs) U.S. Northern Command: U.S. Pacific Command: Continental U.S. Alaska (AFRCC) (AKRCC) - Revised - U.S. Coast Guard: All U.S. maritime SAR regions, HI and U.S. navigable waters and waters under U.S. jurisdiction State SAR Coordinators National SAR Plan: Federal SAR Coordinators (SCs) State SAR Coordinators U.S. Northern Command: U.S. Pacific Command: Continental U.S. Alaska (AFRCC) (AKRCC) - Revised - U.S. Coast Guard: All U.S. maritime SAR regions, HI and U.S. navigable waters and waters under U.S. jurisdiction State SAR Coordinators National SAR Plan: Federal SAR Coordinators (SCs) State SAR Coordinators Local and volunteer SAR professionals U.S. Northern Command: U.S. Pacific Command: Continental U.S. Alaska (AFRCC) (AKRCC) - Revised - U.S. Coast Guard: All U.S. maritime SAR regions, HI and U.S. navigable waters and waters under U.S. jurisdiction National Search and Rescue Supplement • Guidance to Federal Agencies on implementing the National SAR Plan • Specific additional national guidance builds upon the IAMSAR Manual • Way out of date… Desperately needs to be revised – hopefully this year! http://www.uscg.mil/hq/cg5/cg534/manuals/Natl_SAR_Supp.pdf Emergency Support Function (ESF) #9 National Response Framework (NRF) http://www.fema.gov/nrf Capabilities and Resources NRF’s basic premise: All-hazards, tiered response Federal Response State Response Regional/Mutual Response Systems Local Response, Municipal and County Minimal Catastrophic Increasing magnitude and severity ESF #9 (Revised Feb 2011) Three primary response operational environments • Structural Collapse (Urban) SAR (US&R) Primary Agency: DHS/FEMA • Maritime/Coastal/ Waterborne SAR Primary Agency: DHS/USCG • Land SAR Primary Agency: DOI/NPS & DoD/NORTHCOM ESF #9 • Assigns Fed Primary Agency responsibilities for a specific incident when a State requests ESF #9 SAR resources • Primary Agency is not the same as the Federal SC described in the NSP (ESF #9 is incident specific) Catastrophic Incident SAR (CISAR) Catastrophic Incident SAR “…any natural or manmade incident, including terrorism, which results in extraordinary levels of mass causalities, damage, or disruption severely affecting the population, infrastructure, environment, economy, national morale, and/or government functions.” National Response Framework, page 42 Catastrophic Incident SAR • Civil SAR carried out as all or part of the response to an emergency or disaster declared by the President under the NRF & ESF #9 • What qualifies SAR operations as CISAR is when the response is associated with a Presidential declaration NSARC: CISAR Addendum (2.0) CISAR Addendum (2.0): Purpose • Provides a description of Fed Govt’s civil SAR response in catastrophic incidents • Guidance for Fed Authorities involved in a CISAR response • Provides guidance for SAR responders during the first 24-72 hours of a disaster • Can be downloaded at the NSARC website • Version 3.0 is under development – hopefully this year! CISAR Addendum (3.0) • Revising several Sections: Children, Persons with Special Needs, Coast Guard, ESF #9, Planning, etc. • Adding several Sections (proposed): Tribes, Territories, Earthquakes, Tsunamis, Hurricanes, Tornadoes, Flooding, International SAR Land SAR Addendum Land SAR and the Olive “Normal” SAR Operations (24/7) MROs Land SAR Addendum: Why? • Standardize land SAR terminology • Develop basis for land search principles and theory • Validate use of NIMS/ICS in land SAR operations • Explains differences (and compatibility) between NIMS/ICS and international SAR system Land SAR Addendum: Why? • Identifies resources available for the conduct of land SAR operations • Provides practical considerations when undertaking large (or small) search and/or rescue operations • Provides an explanation of geo-referencing procedures for SAR responders Land SAR Addendum Should be completed this summer and will be free to download from the NSARC website (www.uscg.mil/nsarc) Other Stuff 121.5 MHz ELTs on GA Aircraft Coast Guard , Air Force, and FCC have been working to change General Aviation ELT carriage requirement (currently states GA a/c can have either a 121.5 MHz or 406 MHz ELT) Working towards developing a phased plan to prohibit the manufacture/sale of 121.5 MHz ELTs, then X years later their use… Other Stuff Satellite Emergency Notification Devices (SEND) RTCM’s Special Committee SC128 completed the SEND standard; RTCM will forward to the FCC Other Stuff Geo-referencing Three Issues in Catastrophic Incidents: 1. How do SAR Responders navigate when landmarks, such as street signs, are destroyed? 2. How do SAR Responders communicate position in a common language? 3. Resource deconfliction: multiple SAR responders/ resources working in a common operating area It’s not just CISAR… It’s happening every day. Black Swan Theory One final consideration… Black Swan Theory Black Swan Theory • Popularized by author and derivatives trader Nassim Taleb in his 2007 book, The Black Swan • The issue: Deriving general rules from observed facts… and those facts only – leads to limited planning for the outlier events! Black Swan Theory These rare events are what Talib calls “Black Swans” Black Swan Theory: The Story In 17th century Europe, what was the chance of ever seeing a black swan, since they were thought to not exist? “How many white swans does one need to observe before inferring that all swans are white and there are no black swans? Hundreds? Thousands?” Black Swan Theory • No matter how many white swans are observed, if just one black swan was discovered, then the rule, “There are no black swans,” would be completely disproved • It was thought impossible to calculate… • Until 1697, when Cygnus atratus was discovered in Australia! Black Swan Theory: The Point • Mankind places too much weight on the odds that past events will always repeat • It’s the important events that are rare and unpredictable… Black Swan Theory and SAR • Volunteers and local, regional, tribal, and Fed SAR authorities need to plan for/coordinate resources for normal SAR operations… • But also need to prepare for the outliers, the Black Swan events, that infrequently can and do occur… What outlier events are possible in your State? Black Swan Theory Need to learn from other Black Swan events that have occurred Questions? NSARC: www.uscg.mil/nsarc NSARC’s “Olive” SAR Model Olive Model: “Normal SAR” “Normal” SAR Operations (24/7) Olive Model: “Normal SAR” “Normal” SAR: SAR that NSARC Departments and Agencies conduct day in and day out. Any SAR case, not an MRO or Catastrophic Incident, can be considered a “Normal” SAR operation. Olive Model: Mass Rescue Operatons “Normal” SAR Operations (24/7) Mass Rescue Operations (MROs) MROs “ A mass rescue operation (MRO) is one that involves a need for immediate assistance to large numbers of persons in distress such that capabilities normally available to SAR authorities are inadequate.” IAMSAR Manual, Volume 1 • MROs are Infrequent • Not considered “Normal” SAR, but also does not meet the criteria for a Catastrophic Incident • Usually transportation related Olive Model: MROs MROs are low probability, high risk events. Olive Model: Catastrophic Incident SAR “Normal” SAR Operations (24/7) Catastrophic Incident SAR MROs The Olive “Normal” SAR Operations (24/7) MROs Key Points: No line between “Normal” SAR and MROs: unique to each agency, circumstance, and type of SAR (land, aeronautical, maritime, urban, etc.) Line around CISAR represents the requirement for a Presidential Declaration that implements CISAR operations United States SAR Regions COLOR KEY: U.S. MARITIME REGION (USCG) U.S. INLAND REGION (USAF) CANADIAN SRR RSC AFRCC Tyndall AFB