R EVI E W A R T IC L E BJUI ‘Insignificant’ prostate cancer on prostatectomy and cystoprostatectomy: variation on a theme ‘low-volume/ low-grade’ prostate cancer? BJU INTERNATIONAL Kiril Trpkov*, Asli Yilmaz*, Tarek A. Bismar*,† and Rodolfo Montironi‡ *Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Calgary Laboratory Services and † Department of Oncology, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada, and ‡Pathological Anatomy, Polytechnic University of the Marche Region, School of Medicine, United Hospitals, Ancona, Italy Accepted for publication 9 March 2010 Although ‘insignificant’ prostate cancer has been examined separately in radical prostatectomy (RP) and radical cystoprostatectomy (RCP) studies, it is not entirely clear whether cancers designated as ‘insignificant’ on RP and RCP represent the same, similar or different forms of prostate cancer. Insignificant prostate cancer has been traditionally defined based on the pathological findings in the whole prostate gland. In addition to the pathological determinants of ‘insignificant’ prostate cancer, it is also important to account for the biological and the clinical context of the disease, as well as patient age and health status to designate a prostate cancer ‘insignificant’. This review examines and compares prostate cancers described as ‘insignificant’ on RP and RCP. We conclude that in most cases these low-volume/low-grade prostate cancers represent an early stage and clinically ‘silent’ disease, which are only detected in different clinical settings. KEYWORDS insignificant prostate cancer, indolent prostate cancer, incidental prostate cancer, minimal prostate cancer, prostatectomy, cystoprostatectomy INTRODUCTION The improved public awareness and widespread screening for PSA in the last couple of decades, in a large part because men actively seek medical evaluations and PSA testing, have contributed to the earlier detection of prostate cancer during the natural history of the disease. Therefore, prostate cancer encountered in clinical practice based on PSA screening has undergone stage migration, resulting in earlier stage disease at diagnosis and surgery, with increasing detection of smaller tumour volumes on biopsy and radical prostatectomy (RP) [1,2]. In addition to PSA screening, extended biopsy schemes were adopted in many centres during the last decade as a standard of care, which has increased the prostate cancer detection rates by ≈30% compared with sextant biopsy schemes [3,4]. Although the most recent trend for smaller tumour volume detection on RP was attributed to extended biopsy templates in several studies [4–7], others have found no difference in tumour volume or increased incidence of low-volume cancer (<0.5 cm3) on extended biopsy compared with sextant biopsy schemes [8]. The changes in prostate cancer as a primarily screen-detected disease constantly reinvigorate the controversies of over-diagnosis and over-treatment of a subset of potentially indolent prostate cancers, which are incidentally diagnosed on needle biopsy [9,10]. A proportion of these slowly progressing cancers represent low-grade, organ-limited disease, which may not require immediate curative treatment and, in some instances, the treatment can be delayed indefinitely, through regular clinical monitoring using active surveillance. A separate issue is the clinical significance of the incidentally detected prostate cancers in patients undergoing radical cystoprostatectomy (RCP), primarily because of bladder malignancy. Indeed, many of the 304 incidental prostate cancers detected on RCP reflect potentially insignificant and clinically indolent or ‘silent’ disease, not apparent before surgery. These unsuspected prostate cancers on RCP are probably similar to the © JOURNAL COMPILATION © 2010 THE AUTHORS 2 0 1 0 B J U I N T E R N A T I O N A L | 1 0 6 , 3 0 4 – 3 1 5 | doi:10.1111/j.1464-410X.2010.09499.x ‘INSIGNIFICANT’ PROSTATE CANCER autopsy detected cancers, which are in the overwhelming majority also clinically silent during life and are also more frequent in older men. The aim of the present review is to reassess and compare the prostate cancers detected on RP and RCP that are labelled ‘insignificant’. WHAT IS AN ‘INSIGNIFICANT’ PROSTATE CANCER AND WHY AN ACCEPTABLE DEFINITION IS NEEDED? Unfortunately, there is no universally accepted definition of ‘insignificant’ prostate cancer because of the different perception of the disease significance from a pathological, biological, clinical and patient age perspective. The ‘insignificance’ of the disease is also relative to the social and public healthcare context, because the diagnosis of cancer conveys immediate significance to the patient, the family and the healthcare system in terms of required resources. The term clinically or biologically ‘insignificant cancer’ indicates a low-volume, low-grade tumour with somewhat varying definitions used in published studies. In theory, every tumour starts with a few cells that gradually grow 2 that these patients can be identified with reasonable accuracy 3 that delayed intervention does not appear to put those patients who re-classify as higher risk over time at significant risk 4 that the psychological burden of surveillance is acceptable. The definition of ‘insignificant’ prostate cancer generally implies a disease that is clinically or biologically insignificant, but the definition has somewhat varied and evolved over time. The most commonly used pathological parameters to define ‘insignificant’ cancer include: • tumour volume of <0.5 cm3 • Gleason score of ≤6, with absence of Gleason grades 4 and 5 • cancer that is confined to the prostate (i.e. negative for extraprostatic extension with no seminal vesicle or lymph node involvement, and usually negative margins). In fact, the tumour volume threshold of 0.5 cm3 for insignificant prostate cancers was based on the initial analysis by Stamey et al. [13] who examined prostate glands obtained from 139 consecutively sampled RCP specimens and found that 55 (40%) had incidental (unsuspected) prostate cancer. ‘ “insignificant cancer” indicates a low-volume, Because low-grade tumour with somewhat varying epidemiological data suggested that definitions used in published studies’ the largest 8% of into a larger tumour and all tumours are at cancers were those that become clinically some stage biologically ‘insignificant’ [11]. significant, the authors concluded that Ultimately, if patients live long enough, every tumour volumes above the 92nd percentile, tumour will grow and potentially become ranging in size from 0.5 to 6.1 cm3 were clinically ‘significant’. Klotz [12] has argued, clinically significant and suggested that based on the results of the recent long-term tumours measuring <0.5 cm3 are unlikely to studies of conservative management, that: reach a significant size within the life-span of the individual and spread to the regional 1 widespread screening results in a diagnosis nodes [13]. Epstein et al. [14] in 1994 of prostate cancer in many patients with examined the pathological tumour features clinically insignificant disease in 157 men with clinical stage T1c cancer © treated by RP. In the final pathology, they established two groups of prostate cancers: (i) insignificant (tumour volume <0.2 cm3, organ-confined, Gleason score of <7) and (ii) minimal (tumour volume 0.2–0.5 cm3, organ-confined, Gleason score of <7). Later, both categories were combined and the absence of Gleason grades 4 and 5 and extraprostatic spread were added to the tumour volume threshold of 0.5 cm3, which resulted in the generally accepted and widely used pathological definition of ‘insignificant prostate cancer’ [15]. The pathological definition of prostate cancer as clinically ‘insignificant’, if used in clinical practice, has to take into account other important variables, such as patient age. For example, a potentially insignificant cancer may be clinically significant for a healthy 50year-old man with long life expectancy, while being insignificant for an 80-year-old man in poor general health with confounding comorbidities [16]. Because the pathological definition of ‘insignificant’ prostate cancer has not been formally validated, some have argued that pathological definition of ‘insignificant’ cancer should be tested clinically with data of actual patient followup to support the notion of long-term disease insignificance [17]. In a recent series from the Mayo Clinic, patients deemed by the authors to have ‘insignificant’ cancers were at low risk of systemic progression or death from cancer over a 5–10-year period, which was nevertheless comparable to the low-risk faced by men with significant prostate cancer, and no significant differences in outcome were found [17]. The term ‘indolent’ prostate cancer has been preferred to describe cancers prospectively detected by nomograms, still relying on the established pathological criteria for cancer insignificance [18,19]. Some authors have also advocated trials to establish an accurate definition of ‘insignificant’ prostate cancer, which would allow validation of potential biological 2010 THE AUTHORS JOURNAL COMPILATION © 2010 BJU INTERNATIONAL 305 T R P K O V ET AL. markers predictive of tumour progression and investigation of possible preventive interventions, such as dietary and lifestyle changes, in preventing tumour progression and delaying or eliminating the need for curative intervention [20]. Other questions that may be answered through trials are whether the cure rates for patients who progress and undergo delayed therapy with curative intent is as good as the cure rate for those who choose immediate treatment and what are the psychological, economic, and health-related quality of life consequences of active surveillance [20]. Accurately defining an ‘insignificant’ prostate cancer will ultimately help in resolving the crucial clinical challenge in balancing on one hand, the appropriate curative treatments for earlierstage, but clinically significant lower grade and stage cancers, and, on the other, conservatively managing the truly biologically insignificant cancers, which may not be harmful in the short term. Some methodological issues relating to the pathological definition of insignificant cancer in these types of studies are worth considering. Tumor volume calculations in some studies represent the total tumour volume [18], while others used the volume of the largest or dominant tumour [15,21], which somewhat hampers the comparison between studies. Tumor volume has also been calculated using different, but largely comparable, methods or formulas. In addition, some studies provide only tumour volume estimates as a percentage of gland involvement, determined by visual inspection, which was also shown to strongly correlated with the actual tumour volume calculated by grid-morphometric analysis [22]. ‘INSIGNIFICANT’ PROSTATE CANCER ON RCP In a landmark study published in 1993, Stamey et al. [13] detected 40% unsuspected or incidental prostate cancers on RCP and this study also established the tumour volume threshold of 0.5 cm3 for insignificant prostate cancers. ‘Prostate cancers detected on RCP are typically Prostate cancers small, organ-confined, peripheral-zone cancers of detected on RCP are typically small, lower Gleason score’ organ-confined, peripheral-zone cancers of lower Gleason score. They do not produce clinical symptoms and are usually 306 not diagnosed on DRE or by laboratory tests before surgery performed for bladder malignancy. Preoperatively, 90% of patients with available PSA data who underwent RCP, had PSA values of ≤4 ng/mL [23]. There was variable incidence of incidental prostate cancer in the RCP specimens. Its clinical significance also remains questionable, because the outcome of the patients depends almost exclusively on the prognosis of the bladder tumours. The reported incidence of unsuspected prostate cancer on RCP, as shown in Table 1 [24–48] (modified from Damiano et al. [49]), varies widely from 4% [40], documented in an Oriental study population from Taiwan, up to 60% [43], with an overall weighted incidence of 29.3%. The frequency of prostate cancers on RCP that were considered ‘insignificant’ ranges from 30% [38] to 90% [33], although there are differences between the studies regarding the definition of ‘clinical significance’ of prostate cancer. Based on the aggregate reported data, only a third (32.8%) of the incidental prostate cancers on RCP were considered ‘significant’, while two-thirds (67.2%) were ‘insignificant’; of note, the data of actual tumour volume were not provided in many studies. This variability may be also due to different study populations, use of different criteria for determining ‘significant’ cancer and the variations in the pathology sampling method relating to the slice thickness and complete vs partial sampling of the specimens. In recent study by Mazzucchelli et al. [48] one of the largest and most detailed series of 248 completely sampled RCPs, there were 123 (49.6%) incidental prostate cancers of which 81.3% were clinically ‘insignificant’. Terris et al. [50] reported a significant difference in the preoperative PSA level between patients who had incidental prostate cancer on RCP: 3.4 ng/mL in patients with incidental prostate cancer vs 0.4 ng/mL in those without. This finding was supported by Winkler et al. [43] who reported preoperative PSA level of 3.1 ng/mL in patients with incidental prostate cancer vs 1.1 ng/mL in those without (P < 0.06), although a reliable preoperative PSA level distinction between patients with and without prostate cancers was not documented in other studies [35,38,39]. The great majority of patients with incidental prostate cancers on RCP had no clinical consequences because of their prostate cancers and their prognosis was almost © JOURNAL COMPILATION © 2010 THE AUTHORS 2010 BJU INTERNATIONAL ‘INSIGNIFICANT’ PROSTATE CANCER TABLE 1 Incidental and significant prostate cancer found in published RCP series* Reference/year Winfield et al. [24]/1987 Pritchett et al. [25]/1988 Montie et al. [26]/1989 Kabalin et al. [27]/1989 Abbas et al. [28]/1996 Moutzouris et al. [29]/1999 Aydin et al. [30]/1999 Yang et al. [31]/1999 Conrad et al. [32]/2001 Prange et al. [33]/2001 Cindolo et al. [34]/2001 Ward et al. [35]/2004 Revelo et al. [36]/2004 Kouriefs et al. [37]/2005 Delongchamps et al. [38]/2005 Ruffion et al. [39]/2005 Lee et al. [40]/2006 Rocco et al. [41]/2006 Abdelhady et al. [42]/2007 Winkler et al. [43]/2007 Hosseini et al. [44]/2007 Weizer et al. [45]/2007 Esgueva et al. [46]/2008 Saad et al. [47]/2008 Mazzucchelli et al. [48]/2009 Overall No. of samples 80 165 84 66 40 59 121 49 133 85 165 129 121 128 141 100 248 63 204 97 50 35 120 425 248 3156 Mean age of patients, years 63.7 65 62 64 64.3 66.5 67.1 67.8 60 64 69 69 67.4 NA 62 62 63 67 67 NA 62.5 65 NA 59 68 64.8 Prostate cancer, n (%) Significant (% of incidental Incidental prostate cancer)† 22 (28) 11 (50) 45 (27.3) NA 39 (46) 6 (15) 25 (38) 3 (12) 18 (45) NA 16 (27) NA 17 (14) NA 16 (33) NA 58 (43.6) 11 (19) 41 (48) 4 (10) 17 (10.3) NA 30 (23.3) 18 (60) 50 (41.3) 24 (48) 23 (18) NA 20 (14.2) 14 (70) 51 (51) 6 (12) 10 (4) NA 34 (54) 12 (35) 58 (28.4) 18 (31) 58 (60) 31 (53) 7 (14) 4 (57) 16 (46) 4 (25) 41 (34.2) 25 (61) 90 (21.2) 36 (40) 123 (49.6) 23 (18.7) 925 (29.3) 250 (32.8) *Modified from Damiano et al. [49]; †Weighted average based only on studies with reported significant prostate cancer. NA, not available. Ohori et al. [51] compared the unsuspected prostate cancers found on RCP to the clinically detected cancers on RP and found that unsuspected cancers on RCP had significantly smaller volumes, lower Gleason scores and pathological stages: 83% were ≤0.5 cm3, 89% had only Gleason grades 1–3 and 97% were organ-confined. Most of these tumours (78%) were considered ‘The reported incidence of “insignificant” prostate ‘unimportant’ and cancer in studies from the USA ranges from 5.5% although 22% of cancers were to 29% in men undergoing RP’ regarded ‘important’, they represented potentially curable disease. These appears to be completely dependent on the findings were confirmed in a more recent bladder malignancy, the confounding study, in which incidentally detected cancers variables in the studies were the limited data on RCP showed less aggressive pathological sets, the short patient follow-up and the parameters, including lower Gleason scores retrospective study design. exclusively dependent on the bladder malignancy. In studies with documented patient follow-up, there were only two local recurrences for prostate cancer [29,42]; one patient had progression with lung metastasis [42], but no death related to prostate cancer was recorded [25,28,29,34,37,38,48]. Although the prognosis in these patients © and pathological stages and had fewer positive margins [52]. Although incidental cancers on RCP had somewhat different and ‘less aggressive’ marker expression profile than clinically detected cancers on RP, regarding the nuclear and nucleolar size, Ki-67 proliferation index, HER2 gene amplification and protein expression, AMACR (racemase) and endothelin 1 and its receptors, these differences appeared more quantitative that qualitative and showed a significant overlap, which mirrored the differences in the standard pathological parameters [52–55]. Concomitant bladder and prostate cancer occur significantly more frequently than each cancer individually in the general population [56–59], which raises the possibility of a common or dependent carcinogenetic pathway for both cancers. However, the influence of a diagnostic bias in this setting is an important variable because the detection of bladder cancer leads to detection of an incidental prostate cancer through a more detailed clinical and/or pathological examination. To our knowledge, no study to date has examined the ability to preoperatively predict an incidental or ‘insignificant’ prostate cancer on RCP, performed due to bladder malignancy. ‘INSIGNIFICANT’ PROSTATE CANCER ON RP AFTER POSITIVE NEEDLE CORE BIOPSY The reported incidence of ‘insignificant’ prostate cancer in studies from the USA ranges from 5.5% to 29% in men undergoing RP, higher numbers being reported in cancers with clinical stage T1c or impalpable cancer, as shown in Table 2 [14,15,17–19,60–70] (modified from Anast et al. [68]). The incidence of clinically ‘insignificant’ cancer reported in the Johns Hopkins Hospital RP series was as high as 26% and 29% [14,65] in patients with clinical stage T1c, but lower values of 9% and 10% were reported in series from the Mayo Clinic and Stanford, respectively [17,66]. Potentially ‘insignificant’ cancers were detected in 14.4% of patients in a study from Japan [69], while in Europe, Augustin et al. [67] reported an overall incidence of 5.8% (8.3% in stage T1c). The highest prevalence of indolent cancer of 49% was found in a screening setting; the same group found 20% prevalence of indolent cancer in a clinical setting [19]. In a study of 1000 consecutive RP between 1983 and 1995, the frequency of indolent 2010 THE AUTHORS JOURNAL COMPILATION © 2010 BJU INTERNATIONAL 3 07 T R P K O V ET AL. TABLE 2 Insignificant prostate cancer on RP in previously published studies Reference/year Epstein et al. [14]/1994 Irwin et al. [61]/1994 Terris et al. [62]/1995 Cupp et al. [63]/1995 Goto et al. [60]/1997 Elgamal et al. [64]/1997 Carter et al. [65]/1997 Epstein et al. [15]/1998 Noguchi et al. [66]/2001 Kattan et al. [18]/2003 Augustin et al. [67]/2003 Anast et al. [68]/2004 Miyake et al. [69]/2005 Steyerberg et al. [19]/2007 Chun et al. [70]/2008 Sengupta et al. [17]/2008 No. of patients 157 28* 92† 130 170 90 72‡ 163§ 222 409 480¶ 152 195 247†† 1132 678 433 21 6496‡‡ 2106 3834 428 Clinical stage T1c T1c–T2 T1c–T2 T1c–T2 T1c–T3 T1c T1c T1c T1c T1c–T2a T1c T1c T1c–T2 T1c–T2a T1c–T3 T1c T2 T3 T1–T4 T1c T2 T3–4 Criteria for ‘insignificant’ cancer on RP <0.5 cm3 + OC + Gleason score <7 <0.5 cm3 tumour volume <1.0 cm3 <0.5 cm3 <0.5 cm3 + OC + Gleason score <7 <0.5 cm3 + negative margins + Gleason score <7 <0.5 cm3 + OC + Gleason score <7 <0.5 cm3 <0.5 cm3 <0.5 cm3 + OC + Gleason score <7 <0.5 cm3 + Gleason score <7 <0.5 cm3 + OC + Gleason score <7 <0.5 cm3 <0.5 cm3 + OC + Gleason score <7 <0.5 cm3 + OC + no Gleason 4 or 5 ‘Insignificant’ cancers, % 26 12 16 2.3 10 20 31 31 10 20 8.3 25.7 14.4 49 5.7 7.5 3 5 5.5 9 4 0.7 <0.5 cm3 + OC + Gleason score <7, PSA <10 ng/mL Updated and modified from Anast et al. [68]. OC, organ-confined; *only 28 patients analyzed with biopsy Gleason ≤4 and ≤3 mm from an initial group of 188 patients with cancer; †15 patients with transitional zone cancer and 29 patients with isoechoic tumours on ultrasonography were excluded; ‡probability of cancer <0.5 cm3; §subset of patients of those previously included in studies by Epstein et al. [14] and Carter et al. [65]; ¶analysis limited to men with biopsy Gleason score ≤6 from an initial group of 1254 men; ††patients selected from a screening programme (Rotterdam section of European Randomized Study on screening for Prostate Cancer); ‡‡includes 106 cases clinical stage T1a–b. potentially ‘insignificant’ tumours. In 52 of these cases, the total tumour volume was additionally measured by digital image analysis; 49 of 52 (94.2%) cases had tumour volumes of <0.5 cm3 and only three (5.8%) had tumour volumes of >0.5 cm3 (none were >1 cm3). In a ‘The pathological definition of “insignificant” subset of 1376 prostate cancer essentially determines the disease patients with a after a definitive surgery’ normal DRE (stage T1c), 163 (11.8%) had potentially ‘insignificant’ tumours. In 38 the ‘insignificant’ cancer did not show patients with total tumour volume calculated significant linear correlation with the by digital imaging in this group, 35 (92.1%) increased rate of cancers detected exclusively had tumour volumes <0.5 cm3 and only three due to PSA level elevation (i.e. stage T1c cancers). (7.9%) had tumour volumes of >0.5 cm3 (none were >1 cm3). In a recent unpublished analysis of 2145 completely sampled RPs after a positive 10core biopsy, performed between 2000 and PRETREATMENT PREDICTION OF 2008 at the University of Calgary, 242 (11.3%) ‘INSIGNIFICANT’ PROSTATE CANCER ON RP contained tumours volume measuring ≤5% of the gland, with no Gleason grades 4 and 5 or The pathological definition of ‘insignificant’ other adverse RP findings, thus representing prostate cancer essentially determines the cancer was 9% and subsequently increased to 14.7% between 1996 and 1998 [71]. Augustin et al. [67] also found an increasing trend of ‘insignificant’ cancer, from 5% before 1999 to 9.5% in 2002 over a period of 10.5 years, but 308 disease after a definitive surgery. This underscores a need for reliable and accurate pretreatment prediction of potentially ‘insignificant’ or ‘indolent’ tumours for clinical decision making, because tumour volume cannot be accurately and reliably measured before surgery using the currently available noninvasive imaging methods. Several investigators have generated models based on preoperative parameters to predict ‘insignificant’ cancers, as shown in Table 2 (reviewed in Anast et al. [68]). The common preoperative parameters used to predict pathologically defined ‘insignificant’ cancer on RP included Gleason score ≤6, cancer on biopsy measuring in length of ≤3 mm, combined with PSA level, PSA density or free PSA level [6,14,15,60,61,63,66–68]. In brief, these studies showed variable sensitivity from 23% to 77% and specificity from 75% to 99% for the prediction models applied. However, earlier studies used different modifications of a six-core (sextant) biopsy scheme. The © JOURNAL COMPILATION © 2010 THE AUTHORS 2010 BJU INTERNATIONAL ‘INSIGNIFICANT’ PROSTATE CANCER differences between the studies, pertaining to study design and method, preoperative parameters examined and study results, preclude adopting uniformly accepted clinical recommendations based on these models. Additional limitations in most of the earlier studies that used sextant biopsies were the lack of independent validation and the clinical setting in an earlier PSA screening era, characterized by different clinical profile of prostate cancer. One of the key landmarks used in predicting ‘insignificant’ cancer on RP was a small volume or minimal prostate cancer on biopsy. Minimal or microfocal prostate cancer on biopsy was usually defined as cancer involving ≤5% of one core or ≤1 mm cancer length of one core [72–74]; others have used cancer extent ≤×40 microscopic field (‘minute’ cancer) [75]. Single microfocal cancers on biopsy are more likely to occur in a previously PSA-tested and biopsied patient population [74]. Minimal cancer on needle biopsy, defined as ≤1 mm or ≤5% of one core, is not a rare finding in the diagnostic practice. In a contemporary series of 1017 consecutive prostate cancers diagnosed on a 10-core biopsy (sextant plus additional lateral cores at the mid and base), one in 10 (10.4%) of all cancers represented minimal cancer on biopsy and one in four (24.3%) represented a singlecore positive biopsy [76]. In a model with a specific focus of predicting a pathologically defined ‘insignificant’ cancer on RP after a single core positive biopsy, the following variables were used: tumour length of <2 mm, Gleason score ≤3 zyxfouronexyz 4, and prostate volume of >50 cm3 [77]. The authors showed that even in studies using the most restrictive criteria with smallest maximum length of cancer on biopsy and maximum Gleason score of 6, there was an extraprostatic disease in a median (range) of 13.5 (4–45)% of patients, positive margins in 11 (5–19)% and PSA recurrence in 8.5 (0– 26)%. However, most of the evaluated studies used sextant or variable biopsy strategies, which limited the analysis. The authors concluded that a significant proportion of patients with microfocal cancer on biopsy, regardless of how it was defined, show adverse pathological findings on RP with subsequent significant risk of PSA recurrence and they argued strongly against delayed treatment even in patients with minimal cancer on biopsy [80]. In contrast, one of the largest studies using a prospective active surveillance with delayed intervention showed an overall patient survival of 85% and disease-specific survival of 99.3% after a median follow-up of 8 years [81]. Although the criteria used in this study were not the most stringent, even among the worst patient subset in the cohort treated by surgery, i.e. those patients re-classified as higher risk over time, most remained curable by delayed therapy. PREDICTION OF ‘INSIGNIFICANT’ PROSTATE CANCER USING CONTEMPORARY EPSTEIN CRITERIA More recent attempts to redefine and predict an ‘insignificant clinical’ prostate cancer before surgery were based on the updated Epstein criteria, which included PSA density of <0.15 ng/ mL, Gleason sum of ‘minimal cancer on biopsy . . . does not necessarily ≤6, prostate carcinoma in <3 translate into a small tumour volume in the cores on biopsy (i.e. prostate of an individual patient’ 1 or 2 cores positive), with cancer not exceeding 50% of any core [82]. When these authors showed a positive predictive value criteria were applied to the Johns Hopkins (PPV) of 70.4%, negative predictive value Hospital RP patient cohort, 91.6% of (NPV) of 71.1% and diagnostic accuracy of patients were found to have organ-confined 70.6% [77]. However, minimal cancer on disease and only 9.7% of patients had biopsy, as shown in several studies, mostly Gleason scores 7 or 8 on RP [82]; no data based on six-core biopsy, does not necessarily were provided as to the correlation with translate into a small tumour volume ‘insignificant’ cancer on RP based on the in the prostate of an individual patient [14,63,66,72,73,78,79]. A meta-analysis based traditional pathological definition. However, using the same criteria others have found on a systematic literature review explored the adverse RP findings in 24% of European predictive potential of minimal or small men [83] and 30.5% in Korean men [84], volume prostate cancer on biopsy [80]. The © which was largely due to RP upgrading from Gleason sum of ≤6–7 and, to a smaller extend, to cancer upstaging (mostly pT3a extraprostatic disease on RP). Another recent USA study from the Cleveland Clinic examined the validity of the contemporary Epstein criteria and concluded that although they were highly predictive of an organconfined disease and an absence of biochemical failure for up to 6 years after RP, they were insufficiently robust to predict biologically insignificant disease, defined by the classic pathological criteria, primarily because of underestimating Gleason 7 on RP, and, to a smaller extent, the extraprostatic disease on RP [85]. In part of their analysis, they introduced a more liberal definition of ‘insignificant’ prostate cancer on RP (organ-confined disease, Gleason score of ≤6 of any tumour volume), but found that the updated criteria had a PPV of only 58% even for the more liberally defined ‘insignificant’ prostate cancer. The rationale for introducing a more liberal definition was derived from a multi-institutional pooled analysis of 24414 patients treated by RP between 1987 and 2006, which showed that only 1 of 3756 patients (0.003%) with organ-confined Gleason score ≤6 disease died from prostate cancer within 15 years [86] and the evidence that tumour volume does not upstage the disease in the great majority of patients with Gleason 6 disease [87,88]. The authors from the Cleveland Clinic concluded that: • a substantial portion of men fulfilling the Epstein contemporary criteria, which is currently the most widely used approach to predict ‘insignificant’ cancer at the time of diagnosis, are at risk for pathological under-staging, under-grading or disease progression • that these criteria define only a potential for biological insignificance • that there is an ongoing need for identifying truly biologically insignificant tumours, which can not be fully characterized by the currently available tools [85]. PRETREATMENT PREDICTION OF ‘INSIGNIFICANT’ PROSTATE CANCER USING NOMOGRAMS Several years ago, Kattan et al. [18] developed nomograms for predicting small, potentially ‘indolent’ tumours, incorporating pretreatment variables, such as clinical stage, 2010 THE AUTHORS JOURNAL COMPILATION © 2010 BJU INTERNATIONAL 309 T R P K O V ET AL. Gleason grade, PSA level, gland volume and the amount of cancer in a systematic biopsy specimen. Their nomograms demonstrated good discriminatory variables with an area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) of 0.64–0.79. A subsequent attempt to validate these nomograms on an independent data set, initially showed a poor calibration, and, thus it was updated resulting in adequate discriminative ability (AUC 0.76) [19]. Recently, another nomogram-based approach to predict ‘insignificant’ prostate cancer was developed using PSA level, clinical stage, biopsy Gleason sum, cancer length and percentage of positive cores [70]. The authors claimed a predictive accuracy of 90% for the model, but no external validation was performed. More importantly, as much as 63% of patients, considered as high probability for ‘insignificant’ prostate cancer, were misclassified and harboured adverse findings (Gleason score 7–10, extraprostatic extension, seminal vesicle or lymph node invasion). The term ‘low-volume/low-grade’ has been recently proposed and favoured for those cancers fulfilling the classic pathological definition of ‘insignificant’ cancer [7,11,89]. A nomogram was generated, based on the aggregate data from two institutions, to preoperatively predict ‘low-volume/lowgrade’ prostate cancer, which applied only to men who had one positive cancer core on extended (≥10 cores) biopsy [89]. Preoperative predictors in this nomogram included patient age, PSA density and cancer length (but not Gleason score), which resulted in a good disease discrimination (AUC 0.73). Indeed, despite the accuracy of 64% to 79% in the proposed nomograms [18,19,89,90], the ability to predict potentially ‘insignificant’ disease preoperatively is still far from perfect. It nevertheless provides a reasonable starting point to select patients for active surveillance in the current practice, based on statistical probabilities, patient preference and an ongoing commitment by the clinician. This strategy includes active patient follow-up with regular PSA evaluations, regular or clinically driven repeat biopsies and initiation of definitive treatment when and if necessary upon tumour progression, to achieve delayed but complete patient cure. 310 DO PATIENTS WITH ‘MINIMAL OR MINUTE’ CANCER ON RP ALWAYS PRESENT WITH FAVOURABLE PREOPERATIVE AND BIOPSY FINDINGS? Another approach in investigating preoperative correlates of ‘minimal or minute’ cancer on RP would be to use pathologically defined ‘minimal’ disease on RP as a starting point and to correlate it with the preoperative clinical and biopsy variables. The specific objective would be to evaluate whether ‘minute’ cancers on RP invariably correspond with extremely favourable biopsy and preoperative clinical findings. In such a study of 151 RPs at the Johns Hopkins Hospital, showing only ‘minute cancer’ (defined as prostate cancer involving only one to three RP slides with Gleason score 6 (3 + 3) and no focus of cancer measuring >2 mm), the biopsy and the clinical preoperative findings were typically favourable, but no ideal correlation was established between the preoperative and the RP findings [91]. The discrepancies were reflected in the cancer extent on biopsy with 24.5% of patients having >1 positive core, PSA levels of >10 ng/ mL in 4.8%, PSA density of >0.15 ng/mL in 13%, free PSA of <10 ng/mL in 9.7% and suspicious DRE in 14.6% [91]. There were ≥3 positive cores in 6% of the patients and >50% cancer involvement in at least one of the positive cores was identified in 2% of the patients [91]. In a similar recent study from our institution, we evaluated 114 RP specimens which contained ‘minimal’ tumours, defined as ≤1% of the whole gland volume; they represented 6.5% of a cohort of 1754 RPs [92]. The median gland volume in these patients with ‘minimal’ cancers on RP was 52 cm3. There was an abnormal DRE in 23% of patients and 17% had abnormal ultrasound findings. In 18.7% patients the PSA level was >10 ng/mL and 29% had a PSA density od >0.15 ng/mL. On biopsy, 22% of patients had cancer in >1 core (3.6% had ≥3 positive cores). The median cancer involvement on biopsy was 0.9% of the total biopsy core sample and the median cancer length on biopsy was 1.4 mm [92]. In conclusion, regardless whether a ‘minimal’ cancer on biopsy or ‘minimal’ cancer on RP is used as a starting point, no perfect correlation between the two can be achieved because of the sampling limitations and error. The lack of correlation between minimal cancer on biopsy and minimal cancer on RP, which is driven by the sampling limitation and error is inherent © JOURNAL COMPILATION © 2010 THE AUTHORS 2010 BJU INTERNATIONAL ‘INSIGNIFICANT’ PROSTATE CANCER to the current practice, because even an extended (or saturation) biopsy samples <1% of the whole prostate gland, and even a ‘complete’ or in toto pathological gland sampling evaluates overall <1% of the gland tissue [93]. ROLE OF MOLECULAR AND OTHER EMERGING MARKERS IN DEFINING ‘INSIGNIFICANT’ PROSTATE CANCER It is apparent that predicting ‘insignificant’ prostate cancer is not perfect using the clinical and biopsy parameters alone, which creates a need to incorporate molecular and other markers to improve on this task. Emerging molecular markers are expected to potentially aid in refining and further clarifying what prostate cancer and insignificant cancer represent from a molecular perspective. Of the ever growing number of biomarkers that exist, to date, only a few show promise to be potentially relevant in characterizing prostate cancer further. One of the promising molecular markers is ERG gene rearrangement, which was recently identified as the most common gene rearrangement specific to prostate cancer [94,95]. The incidence of ERG gene rearrangement in prostate cancer is variable and ranges between 15 and 60%, depending on the detection methods used and the studied patient cohorts [96–98]. This variability may indicate a role for ERG gene rearrangement in segregating significant from insignificant tumours, which is reflected in the tumour aggressiveness. Indeed, in some reports, ERG gene rearrangement is this marker in discriminating between the minimal and non-minimal cancers in that study. Although other emerging molecular markers may play a role in distinguishing clinically insignificant from significant cancers, such as ‘Prostate CAncer gene 3’ (PCA3) [101] and early prostate cancer antigen 2 (EPCA-2) [102], at present, traditional pathological and clinical parameters, such as grade, stage, tumour volume, PSA level and its derivatives are the cornerstones used in clinical practice. Another novel research venue uses molecular imaging of prostate cancer based on molecular signatures for prostate cancer discovered through genomics, proteomics, metabolomics and bioinformatics (reviewed in [103]). This approach allows physicians to visualize tumours using various imaging techniques and to monitor the expression and activities of key molecular signatures that are closely associated with the early biological events of human cancer. Selection and targeting of suitable molecular signatures may also help to not only detect the presence of cancer at its early and curable stage, but also to understand the underlying pathogenesis of human cancer. EMERGING TREATMENT OPTIONS FOR PATIENTS WITH LOW-RISK PROSTATE CANCER In many instances, patients considered preoperatively to harbour potentially ‘insignificant’ prostate cancer, as well as some patients who do not fulfil all criteria for ‘insignificant’ ‘There are apparent clinical and pathological prostate cancer, can similarities between cancers considered be considered ‘insignificant’ on RCP and RP’ within the low-risk cancer category. These low-risk patients face and will face a difficult choice associated with aggressive clinical behaviour between the risk of morbidity from RP or [97,98], while in other studies an association radiotherapy, and the risks of an ongoing with favourable prognosis has been reported anxiety brought by watchful waiting and [99]. Recently, TMPRSS2-ERG gene fusion has active surveillance. Thus, there is a need for an been found in 47% of ‘minute’ (or minimal) organ-sparing therapy that definitively treats prostate cancers on RP, defined as total the largest tumour, achieves excellent tumour volume of ≤0.5 cm3, Gleason score <7 oncological outcomes, and preserves the and organ-confined disease with no evidence patient’s quality of life. One of those emerging of margin, seminal vesicle or lymph node options is focal cryoablation, which is a positivity [100]. This was comparable with the promising minimally invasive therapy that ERG fusion rate of 58% in non-minimal might ultimately satisfy this growing need cancers, which argued against the value of © [104,105]. For example, for patients with unilateral positive biopsies, a recently proposed approach involved simulated focal therapy with regionally targeted cancer ablation in a subtotal fashion (either by cryotherapy or high-intensity focused ultrasound). Comparing two simulated regional template strategies (hemi-prostate and ‘hockey-stick’), the authors concluded that regional ablation would have successfully treated all clinically significant prostate tumours in 64% and 81% of patients using the hemi-prostate or ‘hockey-stick’ templates, respectively [106]. Most ‘out-offield’ cancers (i.e. outside of the treatment zone) were considered clinically insignificant (low volume <0.5 cm3 and low grade Gleason score ≤6). ‘INSIGNIFICANT’ CANCER ON RP AND RCP: VARIATION ON A THEME LOW-GRADE/ LOW-VOLUME PROSTATE CANCER? There are apparent clinical and pathological similarities between cancers considered ‘insignificant’ on RCP and RP. Both are generally reflective of an early stage, low tumour volume disease, which usually bears no significant clinical consequences for the patients on follow-up. In both instances, patients typically present with low PSA levels and PSA densities. However, the preoperative parameters, such as PSA level and PSA density are difficult to compare in a systematic fashion between ‘insignificant’ cancers on RCP and RP, because they are generally not recorded or are incomplete in RCP series of incidentally detected cancers. Another similarity includes the cancer distribution, which in both instances typically involves the peripheral zone of the prostate. However, there are also some differences between the cancers labelled ‘insignificant’ on RCP and RP. While most incidental cancers on RCP may be considered ‘insignificant’, only a minority of all prostate cancers on RP represent an ‘insignificant’ disease, using the accepted pathological definition. Another potential difference between these cancers on RP and RCP may relate to the prostate gland size or volume. More recent RP studies have documented larger gland size (>50 cm3) for prostates containing ‘insignificant’ cancers compared with prostates with ‘significant’ cancers [18,67,77]. This is nevertheless difficult to 2010 THE AUTHORS JOURNAL COMPILATION © 2010 BJU INTERNATIONAL 3 11 T R P K O V ET AL. evaluate and compare in a systematic fashion regarding the prostate gland size for cancers considered ‘insignificant’ on RCP, because these studies generally do not provide prostate size data. Although the ‘insignificant’ cancers on RP and RCP are typically detected in patients aged 60–69 years, cancers detected on RCP are usually found in patients who are 5–10 years older than patients are with cancers detected on RP. The age-difference in the two patient populations, probably reflects the lead-time bias from more frequent PSA screening and the stage migration occurring in clinical practice for cancers detected on RP. Because cancers considered ‘insignificant’ on RP and RCP peak in the 60–69 years age group, it would be pertinent to compare their incidences with the corresponding cohorts of men in the same age group in the general population, which are documented in autopsy and organ donor studies. In an autopsy study of men who died of trauma from Wayne State University [107], there was an incidental (or latent) prostate cancer in 70% of AfricanAmerican and 65% of Caucasian men in the age group 60–69 years. In another autopsy study examining specifically the incidence of prostate cancer in cadaveric organ donors, a lower incidence of 35% was documented in the same age group 60–69 years [108]. The rate of 35% of incidental cancers in cadaveric donors is closer to the documented rates of incidental cancers on RCP (overall 29.3%; Table 1). In the study of prostate cancer in cadaveric organ donors, the mean (range) Gleason score of prostate cancer in the age group 60–69 years was 6.5 (6–7). Although the authors concluded that many of the cancers detected in cadaveric donors may be clinically ‘insignificant’ with a Gleason score ≤6 and have small tumour volumes, no specific data were provided in both studies as to what proportion of these cancers fulfilled the pathological criteria for ‘insignificant’ cancer. ‘insignificant’ are probably biologically similar, but different from most clinically ‘significant’ prostate cancers found on RP, which represent later and more advanced stage disease. We feel that a more neutral term ‘low-volume/low-grade prostate cancer’ may be currently more appropriate until a universally accepted definition of ‘insignificant’ prostate cancer is achieved and a clear distinction of insignificant vs significant disease is established, based on clinical, pathological, molecular or other parameters, in order to appropriately manage patients harbouring this type of disease. 312 9 10 CONFLICT OF INTEREST None declared. 11 12 REFERENCES 1 2 3 4 5 CONCLUSIONS The cancers deemed ‘insignificant’ on RCP and RP in most cases represent an early stage and clinically silent disease. These cancers in both instances represent essentially a ‘low-volume/ low-grade disease’ occurring only in different clinical settings, which explains some of the differences between the two. Prostate cancers detected on RCP and RP, labelled 8 6 7 Stamey TA, Caldwell M, McNeal JE, Nolley R, Hemenez M, Downs J. 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