The Seventh Asia-Pacific Conference on Wind Engineering, November 8-12, 2009, Taipei, Taiwan AN EMPIRICAL JOINT PROBABILITY DENSITY FUNCTION OF WIND SPEED AND DIRECTION 1 Jun Chen1 and Xiaoqin Zhang2 Associate Professor, Department of Building Engineering & State Key Laboratory of Disaster Reduction in Civil Engineering, Tongji University ,Shanghai, China cejchen@tongji.edu.cn 2 Postgraduate, Department of Building Engineering, Tongji University Shanghai, China, zhangxiaoqin0808@163.com ABSTRACT An empirical joint probability density function (JPDF) of mean wind speed and direction is presented in this paper. The proposed JPDF model is built up by marginal distributions of wind speed and wind direction that are assumed as an Extreme-Value equation. Details of the JPDF model are first discussed with focus on application procedure for both unimodal and bimodal wind data and approaches for determining the modal parameters. It is then applied to field measured joint probability density of wind sample from parent population and extreme value data as well. Design wind prediction for given return period using the proposed JPDF is also briefly discussed. The performance of the proposed JPDF model is assessed by goodness-of-fit criteria. It is concluded from the results that the proposed JPDF model can represent quite well the joint distribution properties of wind speed and direction from different data source. KEYWORDS: JOINT PROBABILITY DENSITY FUNCTION, WIND SPEED, WIND DIRECTION Introduction Field measurement of wind turbulent properties and analysis is a long-term and fundamental task for structural wind engineering since uncertainties of wind load is in fact the key factor that affects the analysis accuracy of wind-resistant structures. Among many turbulent wind parameters as wind spectrum, wind profile, turbulent intensity and so on, the joint probability density function of mean wind speed and direction (short as JPDF hereafter) is an very important but less addressed property. The importance of wind directionality for design wind prediction, wind-induced fatigue analysis and wind-energy assessment has been underlined and emphasized by many researchers. Without considering wind directionality, as pointed out by Moriarty [Moriarty 1983], the design extreme wind speed might be overestimated. In the current non-directional wind-induced fatigue analysis procedure, it assumes that the wind blows with constant direction during the whole life of the structure concerned, which in turn leads to in general conservative prediction [Repetto and Solari, 2004, Xu and Chen 2008]. In the evaluation of wind-power resources available at a given site, the knowledge of joint probability density function is crucial for positioning the wind turbines to maximize the capturable energy [Carta 2008]. Several JPDF models have been proposed by researchers in the past decades that can be broadly classified into continuous function and discrete function. McWilliams [McWilliams 1979] suggested an isotropic Gaussian model based on the assumptions that the wind speed component along the prevailing wind direction follows normal distribution with non-zero mean and a given variance, while the wind speed component along the direction orthogonal to the prevailing direction is independent and normally distributed with zero mean The Seventh Asia-Pacific Conference on Wind Engineering, November 8-12, 2009, Taipei, Taiwan and same variance. Weber [Weber 1991] extended McWilliams model to the anisotropic Gaussian model in which the same variance limitation was released. Angular-linear distribution function is often adopted to model the JPDF, and normally the wind speed is modeled as Gaussian distribution and wind direction is modeled as von-Mises distribution [Marida 2000]. More recently, Carta [Carta 2008] proposed a new JPDF model based on the angular-linear distribution originally suggested by Jonhson [Jonhson and Wehrly 1978 ]. This model is derived using marginal PDF of wind speed and wind direction, which are assumed as normal Weibull mixture distribution and von Mises distribution respectively. As for discrete JPDF model, the basic idea is divide the whole circle into several sub-sections, in which the probability density of wind speed is assumed as Weibull, Gumbel or other functions and some measures are introduced to account for the correlation between each section [Gu 1999, Ge and Xiang 2002, Matsui 2002, Xu and Chen 2008]. None of the above JPDF models, however, enjoy universal acceptance nowadays. More attempts are necessary to archive a better JPDF model. In this connection, an empirical JPDF model is presented in this paper based on the classical directional statistical theory on angular-linear distribution. The proposed JPDF model is actually built up by marginal distributions of wind speed and wind direction whose distribution is assumed as an ExtremeValue equation. The framework of the proposed JPDF model is introduced in the following section. The performance of the model is then assessed by applying to field measured JPDFs from different sources. Proposed Empirical JPDF model Basic functions There has been extensive research carried out over the last forty more years to address separately the probability distribution of mean wind speed or wind direction. Therefore, the most distinct way to form the joint probability density function of wind speed and direction is using the information of the marginal distributions. In wind-induced structural fatigue analysis, for instance, the general approach is to divide the wind direction into several subsections and apply identical probability function say Weibull distribution for wind speed in each subsection and assume statistical independence among subsections [Ge 2002]. For angular-linear distribution, Johnson and Wehrly [Johnson 1978] suggested to construct the joint probability density using marginal distribution as fV Θ ( v,θ ) = 2π g (ζ ) fV ( v ) fΘ (θ ) ; 0 ≤ θ ≤ 2π ; − ∞ ≤ v ≤ ∞ (1) where fV ( v ) , fΘ (θ ) is probability density function for mean wind and direction respectively; ζ is a circular variable and g (ζ ) is its probability density function, and g (ζ ) can be derived from cumulative probability distribution of mean wind speed and direction. Inspired by Eq.1 the following empirical JPDF model is suggested based on the following two assumptions: (1) the existence of one or multi- prevailing wind directions, and the whole circle [0~2 π ] section can be accordingly divided into several sub-section (usually two) each possessing only one prevailing wind direction; (2) in each sub-section the JPDF model is identical as: fΩi (U ,θ ) = a * fU ( v, b, c ) + d * fΘ (θ , e, f ) + g * fU (v, b, c)* fΘ (θ , e, f ) (2) where Ωi is the ith sub-section, a,b,c,d,e,f, g are seven unknown model parameters to be determined; function fU ( v, b, c ) , fΘ (θ , e, f ) are the extreme-value equation as The Seventh Asia-Pacific Conference on Wind Engineering, November 8-12, 2009, Taipei, Taiwan ⎛ ⎛ v −b ⎞ ⎛ v −b ⎞ ⎞ fU ( v, b, c ) = exp ⎜ − exp ⎜ − (3) ⎟ −⎜ ⎟ + 1⎟ ⎝ c ⎠ ⎝ c ⎠ ⎠ ⎝ ⎛ ⎛ θ −e ⎞ ⎛θ −e ⎞ ⎞ (4) f (θ , e, f ) = exp ⎜ − exp ⎜ − 0 < θ ≤ 2π ⎟−⎜ ⎟ + 1⎟ f ⎠ ⎝ f ⎠ ⎠ ⎝ ⎝ Given the above JPDF, the marginal PDF for wind direction/wind speed can then be calculated by integrating over θ / U . Estimation of model parameters Two technical issues associated with the proposed JPDF model are definition of each sub-section and determination of modal parameters. Taking the most common situation of two prevailing wind directions as example, suppose θ1 is the wind direction having the lowest occurrence frequency of wind data and θ 2 is another wind direction having the lowest occurrence frequency of wind data in the range of [θ1 + π − π / 4, θ1 + π + π / 4] . The two subsections can then be defined as Ω1 = {θ ∈ (θ1,θ2 ) mod 2π } Ω2 = {θ ∈ (θ2 ,θ1 ) mod 2π } , The prevailing wind direction in each sub-section can then be calculated as θΩ1 = ( f0 − f−1 ) βk + βk −1 ( f0 − f+1 ) = β 2 f0 − f −1 − f +1 k −1 + f0 − f −1 ( βk − βk −1 ) 2 f0 − f +1 − f −1 (6) (7) where ( βk −1, βk ] is the upper and lower bound of the wind direction interval having the maximum wind occurrence; f0 is the wind occurrence in this interval, f −1 and f +1 are the wind occurrence value in the adjacent interval [Mardia 2000]. Finally, the unknown modal parameters can be identified by fitting the model to field measured data using non-linear least square algorithm. Prediction of design wind speed A simplified procedure is used in this paper to predict the design wind speed at a certain wind direction zone ⎡⎣θ j − Δβ / 2,θ + Δβ / 2⎤⎦ using the proposed JPDF. By this way, the value obtained can be directly compared with that determined by other discrete JPDF model. In particular, the design wind speed at certain wind direction zone ⎡⎣θ j − Δβ / 2,θ + Δβ / 2⎤⎦ in return period R (year) can be determined by the following equation Δβ 2 Δβ θj− 2 ∫ θj+ ∫ U max 0 P ( u , θ ) dudθ = 1 − 1 R (8) where θ j Δβ and U max is, respectively, wind direction, interval and design wind speed. Application and Discussion Various types of field measured wind data are employed in this section to assess the applicability of the proposed model. In specific, unimodal and bimodal wind data and wind The Seventh Asia-Pacific Conference on Wind Engineering, November 8-12, 2009, Taipei, Taiwan sample from parent population and extreme value data are adopted. The verification procedure is as follows: (1) compute the discrete joint probability density function using field measured mean wind speed and direction; (2) fit the proposed model to the measured one to determine the modal parameters. The performance of the proposed model is judged by goodness-of-fit criteria. Data Source The proposed JPDF is applied to three field measured discrete JPDFs, denoted as Case 1 to 3. In Case 1, the measured JPDF was computed from hourly mean wind speed and wind direction of a city for 100 year, which is considered as bimodal sample from parent population [Chen 2009]. In Case 2, the measured JPDF was computed from weekly extreme value of wind speed and direction of a city for more than thirty year, which is considered as bimodal sample from extreme value [Yang 2002].. In Case 3, the measured JPDF was calculated from 5-year records of hourly mean wind speed and direction from a 50 m high mast [Chen 2007], which is considered as unimodal sample from parent population. For each case, the whole circle is divided into 16 sections each of 22.5 degree interval, the number of wind speed falling in each section are counted and the occurrence rate is calculated accordingly through Eq.9, where N j , N is the number of wind data in the section and total wind data. The measured JPDF (wind occurrence rate) for Case 1, Case2 and Case 3 are given in Table 1, Table 2 and Table 3 respectively. Pij = N ij (9) N * ΔU * Δθ Table 1: Measured JPDF of Case 1 (%) m/s N NNE NE ENE E ESE SE SSE S SSW SW WSW W WNW NW NNW 0~2 1.8026 1.6270 1.8458 1.1105 1.7163 4.8378 5.2799 1.4097 0.9750 0.9929 0.8395 0.4451 0.1370 0.0655 0.5716 1.6002 2~4 4.9092 3.8122 2.4531 1.1745 2.3638 7.7166 6.4052 2.3072 1.9872 1.8845 1.9991 0.6803 0.2620 0.0893 0.8395 3.7615 4~6 3.6246 2.0795 0.6371 0.3855 1.5079 3.7318 1.8964 1.2042 1.1372 1.4603 0.9795 0.2947 0.0729 0.0372 0.4495 1.9664 6~8 1.4692 0.5210 0.1503 0.0997 0.6698 1.0479 0.4525 0.4421 0.4882 0.5686 0.2679 0.0774 0.0268 0.0164 0.1131 0.6505 8~10 0.5002 0.1563 0.0461 0.0283 0.2858 0.3126 0.1727 0.1221 0.1637 0.2114 0.1012 0.0357 0.0149 0.0045 0.0387 0.2263 10~12 0.1370 0.0164 0.0119 0.0104 0.1250 0.1131 0.0670 0.0342 0.0298 0.0432 0.0104 0.0119 0.0015 0.0015 0.0089 0.0432 12~14 0.0417 0.0074 0.0015 0.0000 0.0566 0.0536 0.0238 0.0134 0.0089 0.0074 0.0074 0.0060 0.0030 0.0000 0.0060 0.0164 14~16 0.0089 0.0030 0.0015 0.0000 0.0298 0.0119 0.0134 0.0074 0.0074 0.0104 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0015 0.0045 16~18 0.0074 0.0000 0.0030 0.0000 0.0149 0.0179 0.0045 0.0000 0.0060 0.0015 0.0015 0.0015 0.0030 0.0000 0.0030 0.0045 18~20 0.0030 0.0000 0.0015 0.0030 0.0060 0.0089 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0015 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0015 20~22 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0030 0.0000 0.0030 0.0030 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 22~24 0.0015 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0015 0.0000 0.0015 0.0015 0.0000 0.0000 0.0015 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 24~26 0.0000 0.0000 0.0015 0.0000 0.0030 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0015 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 26~28 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0015 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 28~30 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0015 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0015 0.0000 30~32 0.0000 0.0015 0.0000 0.0000 0.0015 0.0015 0.0015 0.0000 0.0015 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 32~34 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0015 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 34~36 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0015 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 36~38 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 38~40 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0015 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 40~42 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0015 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Total 12.5052 8.2242 5.1533 2.8163 6.7863 17.8580 14.3227 5.5418 4.8065 5.1801 4.2081 1.5540 0.5210 0.2143 2.0334 8.2748 Comparison of Measured and Calculated JPDF The field measured JPDFs for case 1 to 3 are depicted on left side of Fig. 1, and the proposed JPDFs are shown on right side of Fig. 1 accordingly. The identified modal parameters and the Chi-square error for the three cases are given in Table 4. It is observed The Seventh Asia-Pacific Conference on Wind Engineering, November 8-12, 2009, Taipei, Taiwan from Fig.1 that the proposed JPDF model can represent the field measurement results quite well. The Chi-square error for Case 1, Case 2 and Case 3 is larger than 0.94, the minimum value is 0.942 for case 3 which indicates a very good fit for all cases. Furthermore, introducing the identified seven unknown parameters into Eq.5, the calculated value is unity for each cases which also indicates a proper PDF model. Table 2: Measured JPDF of Case 2 m/s 0-2 2-4 4-6 6-8 8-10 10-12 12-14 14-16 16-18 18-20 20-22 22-24 24-26 26-28 N 0 0.876 2.378 1.314 0.313 0.125 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NNE 0 1.001 3.004 1.377 0.313 0.063 0.063 0.063 0 0 0 0 0 0 NE 0 0.814 3.191 2.253 0.626 0.063 0 0 0 0.125 0 0 0 0 ENE 0 1.502 5.882 2.879 0.751 0.125 0 0 0 0 0 0.063 0 0 E 0 2.315 6.821 2.128 0.501 0.125 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.063 N 0.081 0.465 0.126 0.152 0.081 0.071 0.076 0.106 0.071 0.035 0.02 0.005 0.01 0 0.005 0 NNE 0.101 0.753 0.647 0.647 0.44 0.324 0.314 0.197 0.142 0.066 0.046 0.015 0 0 0 0 NE 0.086 0.87 0.728 0.389 0.288 0.197 0.167 0.025 0.01 0.015 0.005 0 0 0 0 0 ENE 0.142 3.075 4.42 3.363 1.29 0.435 0.177 0.278 0.263 0.147 0.056 0.046 0.01 0.01 0 0.005 E 0.243 3.798 6.144 6.528 2.19 0.501 0.329 0.253 0.152 0.116 0.116 0.046 0.02 0.005 0 0 ESE 0 1.252 4.38 2.128 0.501 0.125 0.063 0.063 0 0 0 0 0 0 SE 0 1.189 3.88 2.065 0.688 0.188 0 0.063 0 0 0 0 0 0 SSE 0 1.377 4.13 2.441 0.751 0.125 0.063 0.063 0 0 0 0 0 0 S 0 0.751 1.877 0.814 0.188 0 0.125 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 SSW 0 0.501 0.939 0.25 0.063 0.063 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 SW 0 0.375 0.563 0.063 0.125 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 WSW 0 0.501 0.688 0.25 0.063 0 0.063 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 W 0 0.751 1.377 0.563 0.188 0.125 0.063 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 WNW 0 1.502 2.879 2.128 1.064 0.438 0.125 0 0.063 0 0 0 0 0 NW 0 1.252 3.379 2.003 1.001 0.25 0.063 0.063 0 0 0 0 0 0 NNW 0 1.064 2.566 1.627 0.438 0.063 0.063 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 WSW 0.101 0.278 0.455 0.329 0.066 0.03 0.01 0.005 0.005 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 W 0.101 0.602 0.637 0.607 0.182 0.071 0.015 0.005 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 WNW 0.091 0.475 0.435 0.303 0.061 0.015 0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NW 0.051 0.379 0.142 0.147 0.051 0.035 0 0 0 0.005 0 0 0 0 0 0 NNW 0.308 1.102 0.622 0.389 0.223 0.131 0.025 0.035 0.03 0.005 0.01 0 0.005 0 0 0 Table 3: Measured JPDF of Case 3 m/s 0-2 2-4 4-6 6-8 8-10 10-12 12-14 14-16 16-18 18-20 20-22 22-24 24-26 26-28 28-30 30-32 ESE 0.253 3.004 4.733 4.243 1.446 0.47 0.217 0.137 0.056 0.02 0.005 0.01 0.01 0 0 0 SE 0.293 2.908 3.965 2.655 0.86 0.43 0.142 0.051 0.04 0.025 0.005 0.01 0 0 0 0.005 SSE 0.172 1.76 2.528 2.215 0.753 0.354 0.121 0.091 0.051 0.01 0.01 0.005 0.005 0 0 0 S 0.283 1.35 2.336 2.599 0.925 0.465 0.228 0.086 0.025 0.025 0.005 0.015 0.01 0.005 0 0 SSW 0.187 0.91 1.163 1.077 0.531 0.142 0.167 0.137 0.106 0.025 0 0.005 0 0 0 0 SW 0.071 0.531 0.855 0.753 0.314 0.051 0.015 0.005 0.005 0 0.005 0 0 0 0 0 Table 4: Modal Parameters and Chi-square Error Case 1 2 3 Ω1 a 0.979 b 2.273 Modal parameters c d e f 1.531 0.007 117.001 20.117 g 7.759 Chi-square error γ 2 0.951 Ω2 0.128 2.811 1.711 -0.005 290.241 28.594 4.980 0.967 Ω1 -7.178 4.759 1.438 -0.001 83.238 115.357 12.607 0.946 Ω2 Ω 0.532 4.925 1.795 -0.005 310.465 33.401 2.876 0.976 0.584 4.934 2.227 -0.023 5.884 0.942 Sect ion 94.119 33.042 Determination of Design Wind Speed Taking Case 2 as an example, the design wind speed for 100y return period is calculated and given in Table 5. In [Ge 2002, Yang 2002] the joint distribution probability model is suggested by assuming identical probability model with different model parameters for each wind direction section. The prediction of design wind speed for 100y for Gumbel, Frechet, The Seventh Asia-Pacific Conference on Wind Engineering, November 8-12, 2009, Taipei, Taiwan Weibull distribution are also given in Table 5 for comparison. Figure 2 plots the design wind speed at each wind direction. It is seen from Fig.2 that some kind of ‘smoothing effect’ can be observed for values obtained by the proposed JPDF model, since the value for relatively small occurrence wind direction become large while those for relatively large occurrence wind direction become small. Generally, the value obtained by the proposed JPDF mode is small than that from separated Gumbel/Frechet/Weibull distribution. Further work is necessary to explore the meaning of directional design wind speed. 8 6 Frequency 4 6 4 2 2 2 00 90 45 ) 4 8 10 12 14 16 (m /s) /s) (m ree 180 225 (Deg 270 ction e 315 ir dD 360 Win 135 6 d ee Sp d ee Sp 8 10 12 14 ind ind 6 W W 4 2 360 315 225 180 135 0 0 90 45 (D ction Dire d in W 270 Probability Dens ity 8 e) egre (a) Bimodal wind sample from parent population ty (%) Probability Densi 6 4 4 (m /s Wind 100 150 200 Dire ction 250 300 (Deg ree) 6 4 2 2 0 0 45 Win 90135 dD 180 irec 225 tion 270 (De 315 gre e) 360 ed 8 50 Sp e 0 0 16 14 12 10 ) 2 W in d ty(%) Probability Densi 6 10 8 6 4 2 in W 16 14 s) 12 m/ e pe dS d( 7 6 6 2 2 1 (m ) 0 0 45 16 14 12 10 90 135 Win 180 d Dir ectio 225 270 n (D egre 315 360 e) 6 4 2 (c) Unimodal wind sample from parent population Figure 1: Filed measured JPDF (left) and Computed JPDF (right) 8 W ind 4 d 8 6 Sp ee 0 0 45 Wind 90 135 180 Dire ction 225 (Deg 270 ree) 315 360 16 14 12 10 /s 1 2 2 3 2 3 4 ) 4 5 (m /s 5 Sp ee d ty(%) Probability Densi 7 W in d Probability Dens ity (b) Bimodal wind sample of extreme value The Seventh Asia-Pacific Conference on Wind Engineering, November 8-12, 2009, Taipei, Taiwan 337.5 0.0 28 22.5 24 315.0 45.0 20 292.5 67.5 16 12 8270.0 8 90.0 2 6 247.5 112.5 0 4 225.0 8 135.0 202.5 180.0 157.5 Gumbel Frechet Weibull JPDF Figure 2: Comparison of design wind speed for Case 2 Table 5: Design wind speed prediction at returen period 100Y Direction Gumbel distribution Frechet distribution Weibull distribution JPDF N NNE NE ENE E ESE SE SSE S SSW SW WSW W WNW NW NNW W 15.22* 17.81 23.91 22.48 26.79 17.65 16.75 17.73 17.3 12.8 12.98 15 17.07 20.44 18.6 15.21 15.22 12.38 14.99 18.06 18.84 21.37 14.98 14.5 15.02 13.79 11.22 10.27 12.76 13.97 16.89 15.41 13.11 12.38 13.21 15.43 18.86 17.32 18.19 15.93 15.89 15.47 15.38 11.84 12.91 13.76 17.02 17.95 16.57 14.46 13.21 13.75 14.19 14.5 14.56 14.62 14.52 14.45 14.21 12.74 11.12 10.93 12.81 14.11 13.72 13.67 13.73 13.75 *Unit: m/sec Concluding Remarks An empirical joint probability density function (JPDF) of mean wind speed and direction is suggested in the paper. The proposed JPDF model is built up by marginal distributions of wind speed and wind direction that are assumed as an Extreme-Value equation. Different marginal distribution can be adopted for wind speed and wind direction thereby forming different JPDF model. The proposed JPDF model is applied to various field measured wind sample of extreme value or from parent population with unimodal or bimodal distribution. It is concluded from the results that the proposed JPDF model can represent quite well the joint distribution properties of wind speed and direction from different data source. There are still some problems remains for the JPDF model and needs further work. For The Seventh Asia-Pacific Conference on Wind Engineering, November 8-12, 2009, Taipei, Taiwan instance, the value of JPDF may less than zero according to the definition, and the meaning of the design wind speed and the joint distribution function in the angular-liner expression is not very clear. 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(1978), Some angular–linear distributions and related regression models. J Am Statist Associat ,73:602–6. Mardia, KV. and Jupp P., Directional Statistics (2nd edition), John Wiley and Sons Ltd., 2000. McWilliams B, Newmann MM, Sprevak D. (1979), The probability distribution of wind velocity and direction. Wind Eng, 3:269–73. Moriarty, W.W. and Templeton, J.I. (1983), On the estimation of extreme wind gusts by direction section, J. of Wind Engienrring and Industrial Aerodynamics, 13, 127-138 Matsui, M., T. Ishihara, and K. Hibi, Directional characteristics of probability distribution of extreme wind speeds by typhoon simulation. J. of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics, 2002. 90(12-15): p. 1541-1553. Repetto M P, Solari G. (2004), Directional wind-induced fatigue of slender vertical structures. J. of Structural Engineering, ASCE, 130(7), 1032-1040. Weber R. (1991), Estimator for the standard deviation of wind direction based on moments of the Cartesian components. J Appl Meteorol;30:1341–53. Xu Y L, Chen J, Ng C L, (2008), Occurrence probability of wind-rain-induced stay cable vibration, Advances in Structural Engineering, 11(1), 53-69. Yang Y X., Ge Y J. and Xiang H F., Statistic analysis of wind speed based on the joint distribution of wind speed and wind direction, Structural Engineers, 2002, 18(3):29-36 (in Chinese) Acknowledgement Financial support from The 11th Young Teacher Research Fund by Fok Ying Tung Education Foundation through project No 111077 ‘ Field measurement and modeling of joint probability density function of wind speed and direction’ to the first author is highly appreciated. The wind data in case 2 are collected from open source for academic research purpose. Any opinion and conclusions presented in this paper are entirely those of the authors.