Retail Sales Index Food & Beverage Services Index MARCH 2016 Retail Sales Index1 Total Total (excluding motor vehicles) 1.4% 5.1% Month-on-Month2 Year-on-Year 0.6% Month-on-Month2 Month-on-Month2 % Change in Retail Sales Department Stores 3 2.2% Year-on-Year Year-on-Year 0.0 0.5 Supermarkets 0.4 0.5 Mini-marts & Convenience Stores 1.5 1.8 Food & Beverages 13.3 11.2 Motor Vehicles 4.8 41.3 Petrol Service Stations 5.6 8.0 Medical Goods & Toiletries 5.2 5.4 Wearing Apparel & Footwear 2.0 2.0 Furniture & Household Equipment 2.2 3.6 Recreational Goods 3.8 10.2 Watches & Jewellery 6.0 12.2 Telecommunications Apparatus & Computers 1.0 15.1 Optical Goods & Books 8.4 12.7 Food & Beverage Services Index1 1.2% 0.7% Month-on-Month2 Year-on-Year Month-on-Month2 % Change in Sales of F&B Services Year-on-Year Restaurants 1.0 9.2 Fast Food Outlets 3.6 2.7 Food Caterers 1.6 1.6 Other Eating Places (e.g. Cafes) 1.4 7.8 1 At current prices 2 Seasonally adjusted 3 Include department stores cum supermarkets (e.g. hypermarkets) 1 Retail Sales Index and Food & Beverage Services Index, March 2016 RETAIL SALES AND SALES OF FOOD & BEVERAGE SERVICES Retail Sales Retail sales (seasonally adjusted) decreased 1.4% in March 2016 over the previous month. Excluding motor vehicles, retail sales declined 0.6%. Compared to March 2015, retail sales increased 5.1% in March 2016. Excluding motor vehicles, retail sales decreased 2.2%. The total retail sales value in March 2016 was estimated at $3.7 billion, higher than the $3.5 billion in March 2015. Sales of Food & Beverage Services Sales of food & beverage services (seasonally adjusted) increased 1.2% in March 2016 over the previous month. Compared to the same period last year, sales of food & beverage services declined 0.7% in March 2016. The total sales value of food & beverage services in March 2016 was estimated at $676 million, lower than the $681 million in March 2015. Note: The year-on-year growth rate may differ from that derived using values which are rounded to the nearest billion dollars. 2 Retail Sales Index and Food & Beverage Services Index, March 2016 RETAIL SALES BY INDUSTRY Month-on-Month Change (Seasonally Adjusted) After seasonal adjustment, retail sales of optical goods & books, watches & jewellery, medical goods & toiletries, motor vehicles, recreational goods, wearing apparel & footwear, telecommunications apparatus & computers and supermarkets decreased between 0.4% and 8.4% in March 2016 compared to the previous month (Table 1). In contrast, retail sales of food & beverages increased 13.3% in March 2016 over February 2016. Retail sales of petrol service stations, furniture & household equipment and mini-marts & convenience stores also rose between 1.5% and 5.6%. Retail sales of department stores1 remained unchanged during this period. Chart 1 Month-on-Month Change at Current Prices (Seasonally Adjusted) Chart 2 Month-on-Month Change at Constant Prices (Seasonally Adjusted) 0.0 0.5 -0.4 -0.8 -1.1 1.5 13.3 12.5 -4.8 -2.4 5.6 4.7 -5.2 -4.6 -2.0 -0.1 2.2 2.5 -3.8 -6.0 -3.4 -7.0 -1.0 -0.9 -8.4 -10.4 3.3 % -15 -10 -5 0 5 1.2 10 15 % -15 20 Department Stores1 Supermarkets Mini-marts & Convenience Stores Food & Beverages Motor Vehicles Petrol Service Stations Medical Goods & Toiletries 1 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 Wearing Apparel & Footwear Furniture & Household Equipment Recreational Goods Watches & Jewellery Telecommunications Apparatus & Computers Optical Goods & Books Others Include department stores cum supermarkets (e.g. hypermarkets) 3 Retail Sales Index and Food & Beverage Services Index, March 2016 RETAIL SALES BY INDUSTRY Year-on-Year Change Compared to March 2015, retail sales of motor vehicles increased 41.3% in March 2016. Similarly, retail sales of medical goods & toiletries, furniture & household equipment, minimarts & convenience stores, department stores1 and supermarkets rose between 0.5% and 5.4% over the same period. Conversely, retail sales of telecommunications apparatus & computers, optical goods & books, watches & jewellery, food & beverages and recreational goods decreased between 10.2% and 15.1% in March 2016 over March 2015. Retail sales of petrol service stations and wearing apparel & footwear also declined 8.0% and 2.0% respectively. Chart 3 Year-on-Year Change at Current Prices Chart 4 Year-on-Ye ar Change at Constant Prices 0.5 0.5 1.8 -1.0 -1.5 0.4 -11.2 -12.8 41.3 40.8 -8.0 -1.4 5.4 5.3 -2.0 -3.5 3.6 4.0 -10.2 -12.2 -15.1 -12.7 -9.3 -15.2 -16.1 -14.6 10.8 % -40 -20 0 20 10.5 40 % -40 60 Department Stores1 Supermarkets Mini-marts & Convenience Stores Food & Beverages Motor Vehicles Petrol Service Stations Medical Goods & Toiletries 1 -20 0 20 40 60 Wearing Apparel & Footwear Furniture & Household Equipment Recreational Goods Watches & Jewellery Telecommunications Apparatus & Computers Optical Goods & Books Others Include department stores cum supermarkets (e.g. hypermarkets) 4 Retail Sales Index and Food & Beverage Services Index, March 2016 SALES OF FOOD & BEVERAGE SERVICES BY INDUSTRY Month-on-Month Change (Seasonally Adjusted) After seasonal adjustment, fast food outlets, other eating places (such as cafes) and restaurants registered increases in receipts of between 1.0% and 3.6% in March 2016 over February 2016 (Table 2). On the other hand, sales of food caterers decreased 1.6% over the same period. Chart 5 Month-on-Month Change at Current Prices (Seasonally Adjusted) Chart 6 Month-on-Month Change at Constant Prices (Seasonally Adjusted) 1.0 0.8 3.6 3.2 -1.6 -2.1 1.4 % -4 -2 0 2 1.2 4 % -4 6 -2 0 Restaurants Food Caterers Fast Food Outlets Other Eating Places 5 2 4 6 Retail Sales Index and Food & Beverage Services Index, March 2016 SALES OF FOOD & BEVERAGE SERVICES BY INDUSTRY Year-on-Year Change Compared to March 2015, turnover of restaurants and food caterers declined 9.2% and 1.6% respectively in March 2016. On the other hand, sales of other eating places and fast food outlets increased 7.8% and 2.7% respectively during this period. Chart 7 Year-on-Year Change at Current Prices Chart 8 Year-on-Year Change at Constant Prices -9.2 -12.1 2.7 1.2 -1.6 -1.7 7.8 % -16 -12 -8 -4 0 4 8 5.3 12 % -16 -12 -8 -4 Restaurants Food Caterers Fast Food Outlets Other Eating Places 6 0 4 8 12 Retail Sales Index and Food & Beverage Services Index, March 2016 Table 1 Percentage Change of Retail Sales Index (2014=100) Industry Month-on-Month Change (Seasonally Adjusted) Year-on-Year Change at Current Prices at Constant Prices at Current Prices at Constant Prices Feb 16/ Mar 16/ Jan 16 Feb 16 Feb 16/ Mar 16/ Feb 15 Mar 15 Feb 16/ Mar 16/ Jan 16 Feb 16 Feb 16/ Mar 16/ Feb 15 Mar 15 Total 1.8 -1.4 1.4 -1.1 -3.1 5.1 -4.1 4.4 Total (excl Motor Vehicles) -1.0 -0.6 -1.2 -0.8 -9.5 -2.2 -10.4 -3.0 Department Stores1 -1.8 0.0 -2.6 0.5 -10.5 0.5 -11.7 -1.0 2.9 -0.4 2.2 -0.8 -6.9 0.5 -8.1 -1.5 -2.4 1.5 -1.2 -1.1 1.0 1.8 -0.3 0.4 0.2 13.3 0.1 12.5 -35.1 -11.2 -35.7 -12.8 Motor Vehicles 15.0 -4.8 13.5 -2.4 51.3 41.3 47.9 40.8 Petrol Service Stations -7.4 5.6 -3.0 4.7 -7.6 -8.0 -9.0 -1.4 Medical Goods & Toiletries 1.9 -5.2 0.5 -4.6 3.3 5.4 3.4 5.3 Wearing Apparel & Footwear 5.2 -2.0 4.4 -0.1 -12.5 -2.0 -14.6 -3.5 Furniture & Household Equipment -5.4 2.2 -6.4 2.5 -13.1 3.6 -12.5 4.0 Recreational Goods -5.0 -3.8 -4.2 -3.4 -6.7 -10.2 -6.6 -9.3 Watches & Jewellery -0.3 -6.0 -2.1 -7.0 -11.5 -12.2 -12.1 -15.2 4.6 -1.0 4.5 -0.9 -16.4 -15.1 -17.0 -16.1 Optical Goods & Books -9.5 -8.4 -9.3 -10.4 -6.2 -12.7 -6.4 -14.6 Others -1.2 3.3 0.9 1.2 -0.7 10.8 -1.8 10.5 Supermarkets Mini-marts & Convenience Stores Food & Beverages Telecommunications Apparatus & Computers 1 Include department stores cum supermark ets (e.g. hypermark ets) Table 2 Percentage Change of Food & Beverage Services Index (2014=100) Industry Month-on-Month Change (Seasonally Adjusted) Year-on-Year Change at Current Prices at Constant Prices at Current Prices at Constant Prices Feb 16/ Mar 16/ Jan 16 Feb 16 Feb 16/ Mar 16/ Feb 15 Mar 15 Feb 16/ Mar 16/ Jan 16 Feb 16 Feb 16/ Mar 16/ Feb 15 Mar 15 Total 0.7 1.2 0.2 0.9 -1.4 -0.7 -3.7 -2.9 Restaurants 0.2 1.0 -0.7 0.8 -6.8 -9.2 -9.9 -12.1 Fast Food Outlets 0.9 3.6 0.2 3.2 2.8 2.7 1.6 1.2 -3.5 -1.6 -3.8 -2.1 -4.7 -1.6 -4.7 -1.7 2.6 1.4 2.2 1.2 5.8 7.8 3.5 5.3 Food Caterers Other Eating Places 7 Retail Sales Index and Food & Beverage Services Index, March 2016 Explanatory Notes Introduction The Retail Sales Index (RSI) and Food & Beverage Services Index (FSI) measure the short-term performance of retail and food & beverage (F&B) services industries based on the sales records of retail and F&B services establishments. Sales figure refers to the value of retail goods or food & beverages sold to consumers during the month, excluding taxes on products such as Goods and Services Tax (GST), Additional Registration Fee (ARF) and Certificates of Entitlement (COE). The RSI and FSI are presented at both current prices and constant prices. The indices at current prices measure the changes of sales values which can result from changes in both price and quantity. By removing the price effect, the indices at constant prices measure the changes in the volume of economic activity. To reflect changes in the structure of retail trade and F&B services industries, the coverage and weighting patterns of the RSI and FSI series are revised at regular intervals. These two indices have been re-based from reference year 2010 to 2014, the sixth re-basing exercise of the series. The new RSI and FSI series (2014=100) have been released with effect from Jan 2015 report. Data Collection Data for the compilation of the indices are primarily obtained from the results of the monthly surveys of retail and F&B services establishments respectively. Retail establishments refer to those selling merchandise directly to the consumers. F&B services establishments are those selling prepared food and drinks for in-premises consumption or on a take-away basis. Index Compilation To derive the RSI/FSI at detailed industry level, the monthly sales for that industry is divided by the average monthly sales for the same industry in the base year. The overall RSI/FSI is then computed by combining the sales indices of the detailed industries, using the weights to measure each industry’s relative importance in the overall retail/F&B services industry. To derive the indices at constant prices, the sales indices at current prices at detailed industry level are first deflated by appropriate price indices. These component indices at constant prices are then weighted and aggregated to derive the overall indices at constant prices. Seasonal Adjustment Seasonal effects are observed in both the RSI and FSI as there are usually intra-year periodic variations that repeat during the fixed period of time every year. To better reflect the underlying trend of the monthly sales, both indices are seasonally adjusted to remove the seasonal effects. Singapore Department of Statistics 13 May 2016 More data are available at SingStat website at http://www.singstat.gov.sg/publications/publications-andpapers/services/monthly-retail-sales-and-food-beverage-service-indices For enquiries, please contact: Ms Adeline Chia T (+65) 6835 8912 E Adeline_Chia@singstat.gov.sg Mr Kevin Qua T (+65) 6835 8905 E Kevin_Qua@singstat.gov.sg 8