Stat 252.01 Winter 2006 Assignment #3 Solutions (6.64) If Y1 , Y2 , . . . , Yn are all independent and identically distributed beta(2, 2) random variables, then each has density function fY (y) = Γ(4) y(1 − y) = 6y(1 − y), 0 < y < 1. Γ(2)Γ(2) (a) If Y(n) = max{Y1 , . . . , Yn }, then P (Y(n) ≤ t) = P (Y1 ≤ t, . . . , Yn ≤ t) = P (Y1 ≤ t) · · · P (Yn ≤ t) = [P (Y1 ≤ t)]n since the Yi are independent (the second equality) and identically distributed (the third equality). Now, for any 0 < t < 1, Z t Z t Z t Z t P (Y1 ≤ t) = fY (y) dy = 6y(1 − y) dt = 6y dy − 6y 2 dy = 3t2 − 2t3 = t2 (3 − 2t) 0 0 0 0 so that the distribution function of Y(n) is F (t) = [P (Y(n) ≤ t)]n = t2n (3 − 2t)n , 0 < t < 1. (Of course, F (t) = 0 for t ≤ 0, and F (t) = 1 for t ≥ 1. (b) The density function of Y(n) is therefore d d F (t) = t2n (3−2t)n = 2nt2n−1 (3−2t)n −2nt2n (3−2t)n−1 = 6nt2n−1 (3−2t)n−1 (1−t) dt dt for 0 < t < 1 and 0 otherwise. f (t) = (c) For n = 2, the expected value E(Y(2) ) is Z 1 Z 1 Z 1 36 60 24 22 4 E(Y(2) ) = t f (t) dt = 12t (3−2t)(1−t) dt = (36t4 −60t5 +24t6 ) dt = − + = . 5 6 7 35 0 0 0 (6.65) If Y1 , Y2 , . . . , Yn are all independent and identically distributed exponential(β) random variables, then each has density function fY (y) = 1 −y/β e , 0 < y < ∞. β (a) If Y(1) = min{Y1 , . . . , Yn }, then P (Y(1) > t) = P (Y1 > t, . . . , Yn > t) = P (Y1 > t) · · · P (Yn > t) = [P (Y1 > t)]n since the Yi are independent (the second equality) and identically distributed (the third equality). Now, for any 0 < t < ∞, Z ∞ Z 1 ∞ −y/β P (Y1 > t) = fY (y) dy = e dy = e−t/β β t t so that P (Y(1) > t) = e−tn/β . Thus, the distribution function of Y(n) is F (t) = P (Y(1) ≤ t) = 1 − P (Y(1) > t) = 1 − e−tn/β = 1 − e−t/(β/n) which is the distribution function of an exponential random variable with mean β/n. (b) If n = 5, β = 2, then the distribution function of Y(1) is F (t) = 1 − e−5t/2 , 0 < t < ∞ so that the corresponding density function is 5 f (t) = e−5t/2 , 0 < t < ∞. 2 Hence, P (Y(1) 5 ≤ 3.6) = 2 Z 3.6 −5t/2 e 3.6 −9 =1−e . −5t/2 dt = −e 0 0 2. (a) Since Y1 ∼ U(0, θ), we have ( 1/θ, fY (y) = 0, 0 ≤ y ≤ θ, otherwise. (b) If f (t) denotes the density of θ̂ = min(Y1 , . . . , Yn ), then f (t) = F 0 (t), where F (t) = P (θ̂ ≤ t) = 1 − P (θ̂ > t) = 1 − P (Y1 > t, . . . , Yn > t) = 1 − [P (Y1 > t)]n . Note that in the last step we have used the fact that Yi are iid. Next, for 0 ≤ t ≤ θ, we compute Z ∞ Z θ 1 θ−t P (Y1 > t) = fY (y) dy = dy = . θ t t θ Thus, we conclude d f (t) = dt θ−t 1− θ n = nθ−n (θ − t)n−1 , 0 ≤ t ≤ θ. (c) By definition, Z ∞ E(θ̂) = Z tf (t) dt = −∞ θ nθ−n t(θ − t)n−1 dt. 0 This last integral is solved with a simple substitution. Let u = θ − t so that du = −dt. Thus, Z θ Z 0 Z θ nθ−n t(θ − t)n−1 dt = −nθ−n (θ − u)un−1 du = nθ−n θun−1 − un du θ 0 0 θn+1 θn −n = nθ θ· − n n+1 θ = . n+1 (d) From (c), we clearly see that θ̂ is NOT an unbiased estimator of θ. However, θ̃ = (n + 1) min(Y1 , . . . , Yn ) IS an unbiased estimator of θ. (You should check that 2Y is also an unbiased estimator of θ. Why?)