MEDIA RELEASE SINGAPORE'S EXTERNAL TRADE – November 20151,2 IMPORTANT: Unless otherwise stated, use of any information in this news release must be attributed to International Enterprise (IE) Singapore. To be embargoed till 08:30 am on Thursday, 17 December 2015 MR No.: 043/15 Singapore, Thursday, 17 December 2015 Highlights • On a year-on-year (y-o-y) basis, NODX declined by 3.3 per cent in November 2015, compared to the flat growth in the previous month, due to a contraction in non-electronic NODX which outweighed the increase in electronic NODX. • On a y-o-y basis, NODX to all of the top 10 NODX markets, except the US, Japan, Thailand and South Korea, contracted in November 2015. The top contributors to the NODX decline in November 2015 were China, Malaysia and the EU 28. • On a y-o-y basis, NORX increased by 5.1 per cent in November 2015, following the 6.1 per cent growth in the previous month, due to the expansion in both electronic and non-electronic NORX. 1 2 Effective February 2014, data regarding the European Union (EU) shall be reported as EU 28 instead of EU 27, to accommodate the recent accession of Croatia to the EU. All top products/countries which are stated to have contributed towards the changes in trade figures are ranked by absolute change in level and not change in percentage. Trade data has been revised arising from periodic reviews based on international standard. International Enterprise Singapore is the government agency driving Singapore’s external economy. The data in the media release is provided on an “as is” basis and is subject to updates. While every effort is made to ensure that the data is accurate, it is provided by IE Singapore without any representation or warranty. IE Singapore shall not be held responsible for any consequence arising from your reliance on any information provided by us. IE Media Release 17 December ‘15 Unless otherwise stated, use of any information in this news release must be attributed to IE Singapore (I) Overall Trend 1. On a y-o-y basis, NODX declined by 3.3 per cent in November 2015, compared to the flat growth in the previous month. On a 3-month moving average (3MMA) y-o-y basis, NODX decreased by 0.3 per cent in November 2015, following a 2.6 per cent decline in the previous month. On a y-o-y basis, NODX declined by 3.3 per cent in November 2015 Per cent NODX, y-o-y growth 20 15 3-month moving average 10 5 0 -5 -10 -15 Nov 13 2. Feb May Aug Nov 14 Feb May Aug Nov 15 On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted (m-o-m SA) basis, NODX declined by 3.8 per cent in November 2015, following the previous month’s 0.3 per cent decrease, due to the contraction in non-electronic NODX which outweighed the growth in electronic NODX. On a SA basis, the level of NODX reached S$12.9 billion in November 2015, lower than the S$13.4 billion registered in the previous month. On a m-o-m SA basis, NODX declined by 3.8 per cent to reach S$12.9 billion in November 2015 S$ billion 16 NODX, seasonally adj. level 15 14 13 12 11 10 Nov 13 3. Feb May Aug Nov 14 Feb May Aug Nov 15 On a SA basis, non-oil retained imports of intermediate goods (NORI) decreased by S$0.6 billion from S$3.8 billion in the previous month to reach S$3.1 billion in November 2015. Page 2 of 10 IE Media Release 17 December ‘15 Unless otherwise stated, use of any information in this news release must be attributed to IE Singapore On a SA basis, NORI was at S$3.1 billion in November 2015 S$ billion NORI, seasonally adj. level 6 5 4 3 2 1 Nov 13 (II) Feb May Aug Nov 14 Feb May Aug Nov 15 Commentaries (a) Performance of Key Trade Components Total Trade 4. On a y-o-y basis, total trade contracted by 5.7 per cent in November 2015, following the 7.7 per cent decline in the previous month. Total exports decreased by 5.9 per cent in November 2015, following the 3.2 per cent contraction in the previous month. Total imports declined by 5.5 per cent in November 2015, following the 12.7 per cent decrease in the preceding month. 5. On a m-o-m SA basis, total trade decreased by 2.9 per cent in November 2015, in contrast to the 3.5 per cent growth in the previous month. On a SA basis, the level of total trade reached S$72.3 billion in November 2015, lower than the previous month’s achievement of S$74.4 billion. Total exports declined by 3.5 per cent in November 2015, compared to the 6.5 per cent growth in the previous month. Total imports decreased by 2.1 per cent in November 2015, compared to the 0.1 per cent rise in the previous month. Page 3 of 10 IE Media Release 17 December ‘15 Unless otherwise stated, use of any information in this news release must be attributed to IE Singapore Total trade (y-o-y) contracted by 5.7 per cent Total Trade, year-on-year growth (Total Exports + Total Imports) Per Cent 20 15 Total Exports 10 5 0 -5 -10 Total Trade -15 -20 Total Imports -25 Nov 13 Feb May Aug Nov 14 Feb Total trade (m-o-m SA) decreased by 2.9 per cent... Total Trade, m-o-m SA growth (Total Exports + Total Imports) Per Cent 20 May Aug Nov 15 …to reach S$72.3 billion in November 2015 Total Trade, seasonally adj. level (Total Exports + Total Imports) S$ billion 100 15 90 Total Exports Total Imports 10 Total Trade 80 70 5 60 0 50 -5 Total Exports 40 Total Imports 30 Total Trade -10 20 -15 Nov 13 Feb May Aug Nov 14 Feb May Aug Nov 15 10 Nov 13 Feb May Aug Nov 14 Feb May Non-oil Domestic Exports (NODX) 6. On a y-o-y basis, NODX declined by 3.3 per cent in November 2015, compared to the flat growth in the previous month, due to a contraction in non-electronic NODX which outweighed the increase in electronic NODX. 7. Electronic products. On a y-o-y basis, electronic NODX grew by 0.7 per cent in November 2015, in contrast to the 3.2 per cent decrease in the previous month. The growth in electronic domestic exports was largely due to telecommunications equipment (+41.4 per cent), other computer peripherals (+80.0 per cent) and diodes & transistors (+6.5 per cent). Page 4 of 10 Aug Nov 15 IE Media Release 17 December ‘15 Unless otherwise stated, use of any information in this news release must be attributed to IE Singapore 8. Non-electronic products. On a y-o-y basis, non-electronic NODX contracted by 5.1 per cent in November 2015, compared to the 1.4 per cent rise in the previous month. The decline in non-electronic NODX was led by pharmaceuticals (-12.5 per cent), structural parts (-91.3 per cent) and food preparations (-24.6 per cent). Electronic NODX grew by 0.7 per cent in …while non-electronic NODX contracted by November 2015 … 5.1 per cent SA level NODX by Products: Electronics Per Cent (S$billion) (Y-o-Y) 6 30 4 20 2 10 0 0 SA level NODX by Products: Non-Electronics Per Cent (S$billion) (Y-o-Y) 12 40 9 30 6 20 3 10 0 0 -3 -2 -10 -4 -20 -9 -30 -12 -10 -6 % Growth (RHS) -6 Nov 13 Feb May Aug Nov 14 Feb May Aug Nov 15 -20 % Growth (RHS) -30 -40 Nov 13 Feb May Aug Nov 14 Feb May Aug Nov 15 Oil Domestic Exports 9. On a y-o-y basis, oil domestic exports decreased by 32.4 per cent in November 2015, after the preceding month’s 31.8 per cent contraction. The y-o-y decline of oil domestic exports was mainly due to lower sales to Hong Kong (-53.5 per cent), Indonesia (-35.6 per cent) and Panama (-45.1 per cent). In volume terms, oil domestic exports increased by 5.2 per cent in November 2015, following the 7.5 per cent expansion in the previous month. On a m-o-m SA basis, oil domestic exports contracted by 11.1 per cent in November 2015, in contrast to the 6.7 per cent rise in the previous month. Non-oil Re-exports (NORX) 10. On a y-o-y basis, NORX expanded by 5.1 per cent in November 2015, following the 6.1 per cent growth in the previous month, due to an increase in both electronic and non-electronic NORX. On a 3MMA y-o-y basis, NORX rose by 3.5 per cent in November 2015, following a 2.6 per cent expansion in the preceding month. Page 5 of 10 IE Media Release 17 December ‘15 Unless otherwise stated, use of any information in this news release must be attributed to IE Singapore On a y-o-y basis, NORX expanded by 5.1 per cent in November 2015 NORX, y-o-y growth Per cent 28 23 3-month moving average 18 13 8 3 -2 -7 -12 Nov 13 11. Feb May Aug Nov 14 Feb May Aug Nov 15 On a y-o-y basis, electronic NORX increased by 7.7 per cent in November 2015, after the 13.1 per cent growth in the previous month. The expansion in electronic NORX was due to ICs (+6.9 per cent), diodes & transistors (+23.1 per cent) and telecommunications equipment (+13.1 per cent). 12. On a y-o-y basis, non-electronic NORX grew by 2.3 per cent in November 2015, compared to the 1.4 per cent decrease in the previous month. The rise in non-electronic NORX was due to pharmaceuticals (+100.3 per cent), aircraft parts (+35.8 per cent) and alcoholic beverages (+53.8 per cent). 13. On a m-o-m SA basis, NORX rose by 0.1 per cent in November 2015, after the 10.7 per cent expansion in the previous month, due to an increase in non-electronic NORX which outweighed the decline in electronic NORX. On a SA basis, the level of NORX reached S$20.7 billion in November 2015, similar to the level registered in the preceding month. On a m-o-m SA basis, NORX rose by 0.1 per cent to reach S$20.7 billion in November 2015 NORX, seasonally adj. level S$ billion 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 Nov 13 Feb May Aug Nov 14 Feb May Aug Nov 15 Page 6 of 10 IE Media Release 17 December ‘15 Unless otherwise stated, use of any information in this news release must be attributed to IE Singapore 14. NORX to all of the top 10 NORX markets, except Thailand, South Korea, Indonesia and Hong Kong, increased in November 2015. The top three contributors to the NORX expansion in November 2015 were China (+31.9 per cent), the EU 28 (+30.9 per cent) and Taiwan (+14.0 per cent). (b) Non-Oil Domestic Export Markets Overview3 15. NODX to all of the top 10 NODX markets, except the US, Japan, Thailand and South Korea, contracted in November 2015. The top contributors to the NODX decline in November 2015 were China, Malaysia and the EU 28. China was the top contributor to the NODX contraction in November 2015 … SA level (S$billion) NODX by Market: China … followed by Malaysia and the EU 28 Per Cent (Y-o-Y) 3.0 60 60 2.5 50 50 2.0 40 40 1.5 30 0.5 10 0.0 0 -10 -10 -20 -20 -30 -1.5 Nov 13 16. % Growth (RHS) -30 Feb May Aug Nov 14 Feb May Aug Nov 15 Malaysia 20 20 -1.0 EU 28 30 1.0 -0.5 NODX by Markets: Malaysia and EU 28 Per Cent 10 0 -40 Nov 13 Feb May Aug Nov 14 Feb May Aug NODX to China declined by 9.1 per cent in November 2015, following the previous month’s decrease of 8.7 per cent, led by food preparations (-86.4 per cent), primary chemicals (-52.1 per cent) and structural parts (-99.8 per cent). NODX to Malaysia contracted by 8.9 per cent in November 2015, following the 5.7 per cent decline in the preceding month, due to petrochemicals (-28.9 per cent), parts of PCs (-36.4 per cent) and civil engineering equipment parts (-64.4 per cent). NODX to the EU 28 decreased by 6.2 per cent in November 2015, in contrast to the 1.0 per cent increase in the preceding month, due to pharmaceuticals (-13.9 per cent), ICs (-35.9 per cent) and diodes & transistors (-42.3 per cent). 3 All growth rates quoted in the following analysis refer to year-on-year growth rates unless otherwise stated. Page 7 of 10 Nov 15 IE Media Release 17 December ‘15 Unless otherwise stated, use of any information in this news release must be attributed to IE Singapore Non-oil Domestic Exports to Top Markets (% Growth) NODX Electronic NODX Non-Electronic NODX Top Market 17. Oct 2015 Nov 2015 Oct 2015 Nov 2015 Oct 2015 Nov 2015 China -8.7 -9.1 2.5 2.3 -13.5 -13.9 Malaysia -5.7 -8.9 -2.9 3.0 -7.1 -14.7 EU 28 1.0 -6.2 -7.9 -24.0 2.8 -1.3 Hong Kong -0.5 -4.2 -0.9 -0.3 0.6 -12.2 Taiwan -16.2 -3.7 -35.1 -23.0 18.8 40.4 Indonesia -5.3 -1.0 -1.4 9.4 -5.9 -2.4 South Korea -18.6 0.5 -1.8 -3.0 -25.8 2.4 Thailand -6.9 6.9 7.4 23.0 -15.4 -3.2 Japan 5.4 6.3 -1.9 13.8 8.8 2.9 US 2.9 10.8 -4.4 6.5 5.9 12.6 Emerging markets 4 – NODX to emerging markets decreased by 2.4 per cent in November 2015, in contrast to the 31.8 per cent expansion in the previous month. The decline in NODX to the emerging markets was due mainly to Latin America (-59.7 per cent), the Middle East (-14.8 per cent) and South Africa (-46.4 per cent). _____________________________________ For media enquiries, please contact: Ms Foo Xiao Xuan, Manager, Corporate Communications Group, IE Singapore Tel: +65 6433 4400 Fax: +65 6337 6898 Email: foo_xiao_xuan@iesingapore.gov.sg Editors kindly note: Trade statistics released by IE Singapore are proprietary data and therefore copyright belongs to IE Singapore. Any use of the information provided herein must therefore be attributed to IE Singapore. StatLink Online reports listing 5-year data (values & volumes) on Singapore's trade in terms of countries and commodities 4 Consisting of the Caribbean, Central Asia, CLMV (Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar and Viet Nam), Eastern & Southern Europe (non-EU), Latin America, the Middle East, South Asia and South Africa; the list of emerging markets has been updated. Page 8 of 10 IE Media Release 17 December ‘15 Unless otherwise stated, use of any information in this news release must be attributed to IE Singapore https://statlink.iesingapore.gov.sg About International Enterprise Singapore International Enterprise (IE) Singapore is the government agency driving Singapore’s external economy. We spearhead the overseas growth of Singapore-based companies and promote international trade. Our vision is a thriving business hub in Singapore with Globally Competitive Companies and leading international traders. IE Singapore attracts global commodities traders to establish their global or Asian home base in Singapore. Today, Singapore is a thriving trading hub with a complete ecosystem for the energy, agri-commodities and metals & minerals trading clusters. Through our Global Company Partnership and Market Readiness Assistance, we also work with Singapore-based companies in their various stages of growth towards being globally competitive. Our global network of overseas centres in over 35 locations provides the necessary connections in many developed and emerging markets. Visit www.iesingapore.com for more information. Page 9 of 10 IE Media Release 17 December ‘15 Unless otherwise stated, use of any information in this news release must be attributed to IE Singapore Page 10 of 10