Projected 2016-2020 Existing
Generating Unit Retirements
Under EPA 111(d) Proposal
States with Announced Coal Unit Retirements and
Conversions Due to EPA Policies*
EPA-Projected Coal Capacity Retirements Under 111(d)
Proposal* (2016-2020)
Up to 2,500 MW Capacity
Announced Coal
Plant Retirements and
Conversions due to EPA
Policies (as of July 28, 2014)
*361 units nationally representing 55,702 MW of Capacity. 318 units are retiring, 43 are converting to
natural gas or biomass.
2,500 – 5,000 MW Capacity
> 5,000 MW Capacity
*Excludes committed retirements prior to 2016
Source Data: http://www.regulations.gov/#!documentDetail;D=EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602-0220
Source Data: ACCCE, Coal Unit Shutdowns as of July 28th, 2014; www.americaspower.org
States with EPA-Projected Coal Unit Retirements Under
111(d) Proposal* (2016-2020)
2016-2020 Coal Plant
Retirements projected
under EPA’s 111(d) proposal
*Excludes committed retirements prior to 2016
111(d) State Legislation and Resolutions Adopted During
2014 Session
111(d) Resolution Passed
111(d) Legislation Passed
VA – Study Bill
111(d) Legislation in Progress
Source Data: http://www.regulations.gov/#!documentDetail;D=EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602-0220
2
3
OVERVIEW
According to EPA predictions, approximately 50 gigawatts of retirements of baseload coal
generation could occur between 2016 and 2020 due to its proposed regulations to reduce
CO2 from existing coal-fueled power plants commonly called EPA’s “Clean Power Plan.”
This is in addition to the approximately 70 gigawatts of coal-fueled generation that EPA
acknowledges has already retired or will retire this decade due to other factors. This
combined total of lost generation is enough to power 60 million homes. Almost every state
would experience retirements shown on the maps and spreadsheet from EPA’s database.
Greater or fewer Clean Power Plan retirements, and differences in associated jobs,
electricity costs and output from manufacturing and agriculture-based economies might
occur depending upon a state’s ability to achieve EPA’s very high levels of plant unit
and consumer end use energy efficiency, natural gas generating unit capacity factor, and
new renewable and nuclear generating unit deployments on EPA’s extremely
ambitious schedule.
Projected 2016-2020 EGU Retirements Under
111(d) Proposal*
EPA’s IPM Assessment of Option 1 with Regional Compliance
2020 Run Year
State
Plant
Alabama
Barry
Charles R Lowman
Colbert
E C Gaston
Summary of EPA 111d Generation Retirements
Gadsden
• According EPA’s IPM modeling of the proposed 111(d) rule using a regional compliance
approach, 132 GW of generating capacity will retire between 2016 and 2020.
Greene County
• 68 GW of the 132 GW is projected to retire directly in response to the proposed 111(d)
rule (i.e. is incremental), including 46 GW of low cost, base load, coal generation and 11
GW of oil/gas steam generation.
• Of the 68 GW projected to come off-line directly in response to the rule, 44 GW is
projected to retire in 2016 or less than 18 months from now.
-- Includes 28 GW of coal units and 11 GW of oil/gas steam units which are likely in the
process of engineering and constructing (i.e. spending money on) emission control
equipment to become MATS compliant.
-- Retirement of this 44 GW has likely not been considered within reliability planning
efforts.
• Between 2010 and 2015 EPA has also concluded that 48 GW of capacity has retired or
has firm plans to retire, including 30 GW of coal.
• In total, EPA projects 180 GW of electric generation capacity will retire between 2010
and 2020 in response to the 111(d) rule and other factors.
-- This represents greater than 15% of the total U.S. installed capacity.
Notes:
1. EPA’s IPM analysis assumes “building blocks” are available for compliance
commensurate with their assumptions in developing state targets. Real world
achievability of building blocks could result in dramatically different retirement scenarios
in the various states.
Gorgas
Widows Creek
Coal
Steam
Combined Combustion
Cycle
Turbine
IGCC
Nuclear
O/G
Steam
Grand
Total
5,976
5,976
886
886
80
80
1,184
1,184
1,020
1,020
130
130
1,241
1,241
497
497
938
938
766
766
Apache Station
350
350
Cholla
260
260
156
156
Arizona
H Wilson Sundt
Generating Station
Arkansas
4,007
743
Harvey Couch
Independence
123
1,678
Plum Point Energy
Station
4,750
123
1,678
Lake Catherine
620
620
670
670
White Bluff
1,659
1,659
California
120
2,602
1,236
AES Alamitos LLC
Agnews Power Plant
30
6,122
10,080
667
667
30
Alameda
44
44
Almond Power Plant
50
50
Berry Cogen
35
35
Berry Cogen Tanne
Hills 18
14
14
Cardinal Cogen
41
Carson Ice-Gen
Project
58
Civic Center
24
2. Accompanying unit specific spreadsheet shows a total of 121 GW of retirements during
2016-20 (less than the 132 GW total shown above). This is because it does NOT account
for 11 GW of capacity that EPA projects will be retired but cannot be explicitly attributed
to a specific generating unit due to the unique IPM modeling process.
Coalinga 25D Cogen
Source Data: http://www.regulations.gov/#!documentDetail;D=EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602-0220
Combustion Turbine
Project No 2
4
Retired Capacity (MW)
Coalinga
Cogeneration
Coalinga
Cogeneration Facility
41
51
109
24
11
11
36
36
6
6
49
49
5
State
Plant
Coolwater
Retired Capacity (MW)
Coal
Steam
Combined Combustion
Cycle
Turbine
Nuclear
O/G
Steam
462
Grand
Total
Plant
462
Panoche Peaker
Retired Capacity (MW)
Coal
Steam
5
5
Pittsburg Power
Cymric 36W Cogen
11
11
Redding Power
5
Rio Bravo Jasmin
33
Rio Bravo Poso
33
DAI Oildale
5
30
Dome Project
30
6
Dynegy Morro Bay
LLC
Dynegy Moss Landing
Power Plant
Dynegy Oakland
Power Plant
El Centro
Foster Wheeler
Martinez
Fresno Cogen
Partners
110
Gilroy Power Plant
Grayson
Harbor
Harbor Cogen
1,311
106
33
33
Roseville
42
42
1,509
1,509
San Jose
Cogeneration
6
6
Santa Clara Cogen
8
8
30
30
165
226
73
6
6
563
563
52
52
105
105
57
57
50
50
225
225
81
81
Sargent Canyon
Cogeneration
SCA Cogen 2
134
134
Sconza Candy
Company
5
SPA Cogen 3
Stockton Cogen
5
164
164
54
54
Taft 26C Cogen
11
United Cogen
445
11
29
29
Walnut
47
47
Wheelabrator Lassen
43
43
Wheelabrator
Norwalk Energy
27
Woodland
27
48
48
974
Colorado
2
2
Arapahoe
109
109
Cherokee
352
352
42
Kern River Fee A
Cogen
6
6
Kern River Fee B
Cogen
3
3
Kern River Fee C
Cogen
6
6
Valmont
Connecticut
Bridgeport Station
King City Power Plant
111
111
Kingsburg Cogen
34
34
184
330
330
Delaware
260
260
Edge Moor
260
260
Florida
112
Anclote
McKittrick Cogen
9
9
Arvah B Hopkins
North Midway Cogen
9
9
Big Bend
7,260
C D McIntosh Jr
342
Cedar Bay Generating
Company LP
249
Crist
2,192
9,587
1,011
1,011
76
39
Central Power & Lime
135
1,552
99
29
394
NRG Norwalk Harbor
112
29
400
491
McClure
OLS Energy Chino
400
394
448
77
5
2,063
491
77
5
1,669
448
McClellan
Olive View Medical
Center
184
394
New Haven Harbor
23
99
645
Montville Station
23
39
645
Middletown
Lodi
Olive
445
974
42
Oildale Energy LLC
1,311
33
73
Kern River Eastridge
Cogen
40
33
104
JRW Associates LP
Grand
Total
Salinas River
Cogeneration
116
Haynes
O/G
Steam
106
Scattergood
Greenleaf 2 Power
Plant
Nuclear
999
104
Gianera
IGCC
999
165
Frito-Lay Cogen Plant
Gateway Generating
Station
6
Combined Combustion
Cycle
Turbine
40
Cymric 31X Cogen
Cymric 6Z Cogen
6
IGCC
State
76
1,552
85
427
249
135
135
906
906
7
State
Plant
Retired Capacity (MW)
Coal
Steam
Crystal River
869
Deerhaven
Generating Station
232
Combined Combustion
Cycle
Turbine
577
330
357
Stanton Energy
Center
105
23
138
92
92
1,310
1,310
886
886
Tom G Smith
30
Vero Beach Municipal
Power Plant
201
201
Mitchell
155
155
Scherer
1,680
1,680
Yates
1,286
1,286
Illinois
6,058
3
3
3
3
6,058
38
38
41
41
George Neal North
957
957
Lansing
237
237
Milton L Kapp
211
211
Muscatine Plant #1
216
216
Prairie Creek
164
164
Riverside
133
133
35
35
78
78
851
851
Kansas
Lawrence Energy
Center
Quindaro
183
Riverton
Tecumseh Energy
Center
Kentucky
1,389
1,389
Big Sandy
260
260
Cooper
334
334
Dale
195
195
E W Brown
267
267
65
65
282
Louisiana
1,002
1,002
Big Cajun 1
Newton
1,197
1,197
Big Cajun 2
Powerton
1,536
1,536
Brame Energy Center
251
251
Robert A Reid
Shawnee
CII Carbon LLC
268
3,051
268
3,192
220
1,756
486
6,243
220
1,756
422
46
908
46
D G Hunter
130
130
Louis Doc Bonin
302
302
Louisiana 2
138
138
813
813
126
126
54
54
Frank E Ratts
241
241
Michoud
Harding Street
212
212
Monroe
14
14
Morgan City
R Gallagher
280
280
Plaquemine
R M Schahfer
472
472
R S Nelson
Jasper 2
12
73
282
257
183
12
73
Hennepin Power
Station
257
147
229
380
Eagle Valley
147
229
380
Indiana
694
Nearman Creek
E D Edwards
454
147
50
348
1,889
12
50
348
454
535
Fort Dodge
Dallman
1,889
313
Fair Station
608
Wood River
313
Grand
Total
Earl F Wisdom
608
Will County
O/G
Steam
104
Baldwin Energy
Complex
Joppa Steam
Nuclear
104
Ames Electric
Services Power Plant
46
Kraft
IGCC
100
Walter Scott Jr
Energy Center
1,016
Combined Combustion
Cycle
Turbine
3,065
Sutherland
1,016
Coal
Steam
100
52
840
Retired Capacity (MW)
3,065
22
840
Clearwater Paper IPP
Lewiston
Whitewater Valley
Iowa
131
46
Idaho
Wabash River
131
5,178
Harllee Branch
Plant
Streeter Station
5,178
Hammond
8
577
105
138
Suwannee River
Georgia
315
357
Sanford
Seminole
Grand
Total
330
23
Larsen Memorial
Scholz
O/G
Steam
83
John R Kelly
Lansing Smith
Nuclear
869
Indian River
Indiantown
Cogeneration LP
IGCC
State
763
38
38
603
1,366
9
State
Plant
Retired Capacity (MW)
Coal
Steam
Combined Combustion
Cycle
Turbine
Teche
Maine
58
93
Caribou Generation
Station
Rumford
Cogeneration
IGCC
Nuclear
State
O/G
Steam
Grand
Total
346
346
233
384
14
58
Verso Paper
14
58
93
93
William F Wyman
219
219
Maryland
825
825
C P Crane
385
385
Herbert A Wagner
440
440
Massachusetts
Brayton Point
1,136
521
1,136
Canal
Cleary Flood
Lowell Cogen Plant
1,102
2,769
10
435
1,581
566
566
108
108
29
29
NAEA Energy
Massachusetts LLC
101
Potter Station 2
79
Stony Brook
Michigan
B C Cobb
312
Claude Vandyke
21
101
79
306
2,411
Eckert Station
10
306
284
2,716
312
21
21
301
301
Endicott Station
50
50
Erickson Station
151
151
Harbor Beach
95
J B Sims
O/G
Steam
24
2,086
Grand
Total
24
69
Baxter Wilson
2,193
4,348
1,176
1,176
Delta
177
177
Gerald Andrus
712
712
Henderson
Jack Watson
29
706
L L Wilkins
35
Natchez
R D Morrow
Victor J Daniel Jr
James River Power
Station
43
73
360
360
1,020
19
Yazoo
Blue Valley
8
73
1,020
Wright
Missouri
29
706
33
19
33
599
599
51
51
194
194
Lake Road
92
92
Montrose
169
169
Sibley
Montana
93
93
139
Basin Creek Plant
Colstrip Energy LP
226
365
54
54
35
35
Highwood Generating
Station
40
40
Lewis & Clark
52
52
Yellowstone Energy
LP
52
52
85
85
73
J R Whiting
322
322
27
27
431
Nuclear
95
306
Presque Isle
IGCC
132
73
50
Mississippi
Combined Combustion
Cycle
Turbine
132
306
Mistersky
Willmar
Coal
Steam
Dave Gates
Generating Station
J C Weadock
James De Young
Plant
Retired Capacity (MW)
50
431
Nebraska
Lon Wright
Nevada
85
508
85
104
244
856
234
North Valmy
253
253
41
41
Reid Gardner
255
255
TES Filer City Station
60
60
Trenton Channel
188
188
River Rouge
Shiras
White Pine Electric
Power
234
Tracy
New Hampshire
Merrimack
104
244
348
540
540
444
444
54
54
828
828
29
29
Clay Boswell
428
428
Oyster Creek
Hoot Lake
138
138
Silver Lake
57
57
PSEG Hudson
Generating Station
614
614
152
152
PSEG Mercer
Generating Station
632
632
Minnesota
Austin Northeast
Taconite Harbor
Energy Center
10
Schiller
New Jersey
B L England
96
1,401
96
614
2,015
614
614
155
155
11
State
Plant
New Mexico
Retired Capacity (MW)
Coal
Steam
Combined Combustion
Cycle
Turbine
IGCC
815
Cunningham
San Juan
New York
O/G
Steam
Grand
Total
186
1,001
186
186
815
2,147
815
177
45
1,779
4,148
AES Cayuga
313
313
AES Greenidge LLC
108
108
AES Somerset LLC
686
686
84
84
AES Westover
Bowline Point
C R Huntley
Generating Station
567
436
Carr Street
Generating Station
Dunkirk Generating
Plant
96
S A Carlson
North Carolina
45
4,532
G F Weaton Power
Station
112
112
320
320
New Castle Plant
P H Glatfelter
52
52
PPL Brunner Island
371
371
Sunbury Generation
LP
382
382
3,633
3,633
South Carolina
McMeekin
250
250
1,212
45
4,532
185
Conesville
51
90
1,127
Avon Lake
51
570
185
Ohio
Urquhart
94
94
W S Lee
200
200
Wateree
684
684
Williams
615
615
Tennessee
Allen Steam Plant
976
428
Texas
592
592
1,195
1,195
2,416
2,416
2,379
2,379
J Robert Massengale
736
736
J T Deely
83
Lake Creek
Orrville
30
30
Lewis Creek
Northeastern
Sooner
Oregon
920
920
1,043
585
Beaver
Boardman
585
Oregon State
University Energy
Center
AES Beaver Valley
Partners Beaver
Valley
726
463
Coyote Springs
Pennsylvania
1,043
1,311
463
585
246
246
17
17
Monticello
Utah
1,417
129
129
Sunnyside Cogen
Associates
4
460
1,130
46
46
457
457
422
422
954
954
723
391
Thomas C Ferguson
KUCC
1,417
870
723
Sabine
Welsh
486
460
Plant X
W A Parish
486
1,130
Nichols
San Miguel
20
4
Moore County
Pirkey
20
870
Jones
1,530
1,022
12,400
Coleto Creek
Fayette Power
Project
1,022
3,265
138
83
Muskogee
4
138
44
440
9,131
AES Deepwater
44
440
741
976
1,530
Hugo
741
428
760
3,425
1,130
2,145
Johnsonville
760
3,425
1,130
2,145
Gallatin
Hamilton
Oklahoma
Grand
Total
90
1,127
Roxboro
O/G
Steam
570
G G Allen
Roanoke Valley
Energy Facility II
Nuclear
Cross
Asheville
Marshall
IGCC
Ebensburg Power
Winyah
1,212
Combined Combustion
Cycle
Turbine
Cogen South
81
Roseton Generating
Station
Coal
Steam
436
520
81
Plant
Retired Capacity (MW)
567
96
520
Massena Energy
Holdings LLC
12
Nuclear
State
391
420
420
2,509
2,509
1,584
1,584
225
225
174
174
51
51
13
State
Plant
Retired Capacity (MW)
Coal
Steam
Combined Combustion
Cycle
Turbine
IGCC
Vermont
Vermont Yankee
Virginia
Bremo Bluff
2,862
Nuclear
O/G
Steam
Grand
Total
620
620
620
620
48
2,910
227
227
Chesapeake
373
Chesterfield
1,237
1,237
Clinch River
460
460
138
138
Mecklenburg Power
Station
48
421
Spruance Genco LLC
104
104
Yorktown
323
323
Washington
1,340
Chehalis Generating
Facility
1,540
596
3,476
509
Crystal Mountain
509
3
Encogen
3
158
Frederickson
Fredonia
Northeast
River Road Gen Plant
158
134
134
280
280
45
45
220
220
Sumas Power Plant
126
126
Tenaska Ferndale
Cogeneration Station
271
271
256
1,596
Transalta Centralia
Generation
1,340
Whitehorn
Wisconsin
134
134
2,713
9
2,722
Alma
120
120
Blount Street
101
101
Columbia
1,118
1,118
Edgewater
378
378
John P Madgett
372
372
Manitowoc
116
116
Menasha
27
27
Port Edwards Mill
Pulliam
5
213
UW Madison Charter
Street Plant
Valley
Grand Total**
4
4
23,363
121,316
268
88,556
268
5,986
2,131
45
1,234
*Excludes committed retirements prior to 2016
**Totals may not match regulatory impact analysis due to how EPA assigns retrofit/retired capacity to
individual units
Source Data: http://www.regulations.gov/#!documentDetail;D=EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602-0220
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