For Official Use DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL Organisation de Coopération et de Développement Économiques Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development 10-Oct-2014 ___________________________________________________________________________________________ _____________ English - Or. English DEVELOPMENT CENTRE DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL For Official Use PROGRAMME OF WORK AND BUDGET, 2015-16 This document: Programme of Work and Budget, 2015-16 was approved by the Governing Board Members of the Development Centre at its session of 18 September 2014. It replaces the document [DEV/GB(2014)3/REV2]. For enquiries regarding this document please contact the Governing Board's Liaison Officer, Suzanne.Leprince@oecd.org; Tel.: 33 1 45 24 87 90 English - Or. English JT03363609 Complete document available on OLIS in its original format This document and any map included herein are without prejudice to the status of or sovereignty over any territory, to the delimitation of international frontiers and boundaries and to the name of any territory, city or area. DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL OECD DEVELOPMENT CENTRE 2015-16 DRAFT PROGRAMME OF WORK AND BUDGET (PWB) TABLE OF CONTENTS NOTE BY THE SECRETARIAT ................................................................................................. 3 I. INTRODUCTION AND PURPOSE ..................................................................................... 5 II. WORKSTREAMS AND OUTPUTS ................................................................................... 11 A. INCLUSIVE SOCIETIES ..................................................................................................... 11 GLOBAL SOCIAL CHALLENGES....................................................................................... 11 GENDER AND WELL-BEING .............................................................................................. 13 B. COMPETITIVE ECONOMIES ............................................................................................ 15 POLICY DIALOGUE INITIATIVE ON GLOBAL VALUE CHAINS AND ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION ............................................................................................................ 15 POLICY DIALOGUE INITIATIVE ON NATURAL RESOURCE-BASED DEVELOPMENT 17 C. NEW PERSPECTIVES FOR DEVELOPMENT .................................................................. 19 PERSPECTIVES ON GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT ............................................................... 19 GLOBAL VIEWS AND GLOBAL FORA ............................................................................. 20 THE EMERGING MARKETS NETWORK (EmNet)............................................................ 22 THE NETWORK OF FOUNDATIONS WORKING FOR DEVELOPMENT (netFWD) .... 22 STRATEGIC GUIDANCE AND INSTITUTIONAL PRIORITIES ...................................... 23 D. REGIONAL AND NATIONAL ANALYSIS ....................................................................... 25 AFRICA AND THE MIDDLE-EAST .................................................................................... 25 ASIA ........................................................................................................................................ 26 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN ....................................................................... 26 REGIONAL ECONOMIC FORA ........................................................................................... 27 MULTI-DIMENSIONAL COUNTRY REVIEWS ................................................................. 28 PRELIMINARY BUDGET ESTIMATES ................................................................................. 30 DEV PWB 2015-16 estimated costs, funding and resource allocation.................................... 30 III. MEASURING OUTPUTS AND RESULTS ................................................................... 33 ANNEX I SECRETARIAT’S RESULTS FRAMEWORK ....................................................... 36 ANNEX II POTENTIAL THEMATIC FOCUS FOR THE REGIONAL OUTLOOKS........... 37 2 DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL NOTE BY THE SECRETARIAT Process & Calendar of preparations of the PWB 2015-16 1. This document [DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL replaces the document: Draft Programme of Work and Budget (PWB 2015-16 [DEV/GB(2014)3/REV2]) , which was approved by the Governing Board at its session of 18 September. It incorporates the comments made by Members throughout the process, starting with the note by the Secretariat on Strategic Orientations for Framing the Development Centre’s 2015-16 PWB (Room Document 5, Governing Board session of 7 March); then a first draft PWB 2015-16 [DEV/GB(2014)3], which was discussed by Members of the Development Centre’s Governing Board at its session of 25 April and at an Enlarged Bureau meeting on 22 May, when the Secretariat presented for information the preliminary results of the Results Framework (RF) exercise [DEV/GB/M(2014)4]. Thereafter, a revised version of the Draft PWB [DEV/GB(2014)3/REV1] was discussed by the Governing Board at its session of 16 June. At the 2014 High-level Meeting (HLM) of the Development Centre, which was held on 1 July, Ministers and highlevel officials from Member countries endorsed the proposed strategic orientations presented in the 2015-16 PWB (see Communiqué, also on OLIS reference DEV/GB(2014)18). The table hereafter, page 4, reminds of the calendar of the PWB preparation process. 3 DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL 2014 January-May Development Centre Calendar of Preparations: PWB 2015-16 Discussion of the indicative orientations and of the PWB with the Governing Board and preparation of the draft PWB - 20 February: Enlarged Bureau of the Governing Board – proposed orientations for shaping the PWB 2015-16 (Room document distributed on 18 February) - 7 March: Governing Board – discussion document: proposed orientations (revised version of the Room Document, circulated on 3 March) - 1 April: Enlarged Bureau – presentation of first Draft PWB (DEV/GB(2014)3, circulated to all Members on 27 March in view of the Governing Board session of 25 April) - Member countries are invited to provide written comments on the Draft PWB by 18 April, in advance of the Governing Board’s session of 25 April. - 25 April: Governing Board – discussion of first draft PWB (DEV/GB(2014)3) – to hear the voice of Governing Board Members and feedback received from the Capital) - 26 April – 23 May: Preparation of final draft, incorporating comments made at the Governing Board’s session of 25 April. Consultation with the Governing Board - 22 May: Enlarged Bureau to inform and discuss the Results Framework and its possible integration in the PWB. - 11 June: Circulation of the final PWB draft (DEV/GB(2014)3/REV1) in view of the Governing Board meeting of 16 June. Further comments will be invited via the written procedure - 16 June: Governing Board – Discussion by the Governing Board of the PWB 2015-15 and Pre-approval of the strategic orientations of the Draft PWB. - 27 June: deadline for submitting written comments to the Secretariat on the final PWB draft (DEV/GB(2014)3/REV1) July: - 1 July: Discussion of the strategic orientations contained in the PWB in the context of the High-level Meeting of the Development Centre September: - 18 September (initially scheduled on 26 September)- Final approval by the Governing Board at its 5th session in 2014 October: - Presentation for approval to the Budget Committee and Council June 4 DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL I. INTRODUCTION AND PURPOSE Main goals of the proposed Programme of Work 2015-16 2. The Development Centre aims to help Members to better identify and respond to pressing development challenges and better shape the international development debate and discourse. Through the Draft Programme of Work 2015-16, the Development Centre intends to assist Members in: (a) identifying emerging global issues and analyse their interactions and impacts on development outcomes to better adjust their responses; (b) promoting stronger cooperation with and within regions, notably Africa, Southeast Asia and Latin America and the Caribbean; (c) developing new diagnostic tools to support the design of national strategies and policies. The expected results will inform decision making across a wide range of development policy issues: global economic interactions, competitiveness and structural transformation, natural resource-based development, employment, rural development, social protection systems, migration, youth inclusion and gender equality. 3. The Centre combines policy-oriented research on a wide spectrum of policies that impact development outcomes with the capacity to engage governmental and non-governmental stakeholders around policy dialogue and knowledge sharing. Over the last years, the Centre has strengthened its comparative edge in analysing global and regional trends, while developing a strong expertise in the areas of production transformation, social cohesion, migration and gender equality. The implementation of the Strategy on Development has also led the Centre to develop horizontal partnerships with other OECD Directorates and International Organisations, notably in the development of innovative tools, such as the Multi-Dimensional Country Reviews, the policy dialogue initiatives on natural resources and on GVCs, or the collection and analysis of tax revenues statistics. These initiatives promote knowledge sharing among the Centre’s Members and with a wide-range of developing countries at different levels of development: least-developed, low-income and middleincome countries. The Centre will continue to promote a balanced approach in terms of geographical and country coverage of its work, reflecting its mandate, and will exploit a diverse set of tools and approaches for engaging with developing countries – as requested inter alia in its Membership Strategy [DEV/GB (2014)1]. Through its Regional Economic Outlooks, Policy Dialogue initiatives and country case studies and reviews, the Centre engages with a wide range of countries, including least-developed ones and countries in a fragile situation (on the latter group of countries, other parts of the OECD, notably DCD/DAC, lead well-established initiatives, to which the Centre provides punctual inputs as appropriate). 4. Focussing on results and leveraging comparative advantages is paramount to enhance the Centre’s value to Members and to the Organisation. Building on the achievements of the PWB 2013-14 and cognisant of the need to streamline, the Centre proposes to focus the next PWB on selected issues that are relevant for addressing development challenges; reflect Member countries’ priorities and the OECD Secretary-General’s strategic orientations; and build on the Centre’s comparative advantages, leveraging on its diverse membership, the multidimensional (rather than sector-specific) nature of its research, and its strategic partnerships with a wide range of stakeholders for policy dialogue: regional organisations, partner institutions in Member countries and in developing countries, including think tanks, private sectors and foundations. 5. The PWB is a tool to define the Centre’s objectives and effectively utilise its resources to achieve them over 2015-16. The realisation of the Centre’s mandate clearly spans beyond a biennium and requires a clear identification of long-term goals and the strategic framework to manage for results. For this reason, the Centre has sharpened its Results Framework (RF), and used it to inform 5 DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL the design of the activities of the PWB. The RF is a management tool to articulate the relationships among resources, outputs, outcomes and long-term goals, pursue objectives and judge if they are being achieved (see Annex 1). The RF aims at supporting the Centre both internally and externally. Internally, to better communicate priorities and focus to staff; inform planning and performance assessment; and improve performance. Externally, to better communicate intentions to the public and relevant stakeholders; demonstrate achievements and impact; and increase accountability. Long term goals and objectives 6. The Development Centre occupies a unique place within the OECD and in the international community. According to its founding mandate, it is a forum where countries come to share their experience of economic and social development policies.1 The Centre contributes expert analysis to the development policy debate, with a view to help decision makers find policy solutions to stimulate growth and improve living conditions. Its long-term goal can be characterised as to improve wellbeing through poverty reduction and sustainable, inclusive growth in developing and emerging economies. 7. To implement this mandate and achieve its long-term goal, the Centre pursues two main outcomes, both internationally and with Member countries: shaping the terms of the development debate and discourse; and informing development policy and practice. In the fields of policy influencing and knowledge sharing, claims of results and attribution are always problematic. Hence, it is important for the Centre to clearly identify the entry points where it is able to exert positive influence in pursuing the desired outcomes, and manage for results. The Secretariat has accordingly identified four possible entry points, or broad objectives, which help capture the Centre’s value proposition: identify and frame critical issues to improve the quality of the development dialogue; provide influential analysis and an evidence base that underpins development understanding and decision-making for countries at different levels of development; mobilise and translate relevant expertise available globally and within the OECD, to support non-OECD decision-makers; mobilise practical development knowledge and experience to inform and influence OECD thinking. 8. During this biennium, efforts will be pursued and monitored to further enhance the reach and effectiveness of the Centre’s communication with Members and with the public. The PWB 2015-16 will also reflect an improvement of the Centre’s Governance where appropriate. The Governing Board Membership Strategy [DEV/GB (2014)1] acknowledged the need to review the Centre’s governance in 2014, identifying a number of issues for consideration. The outcome of that review [DEV/GB(2014)14], together with the results of the Programme Implementation Report (PIR) and the 2014 In-Depth Evaluation, should allow to identify ways for Members to further engage in the Centre and to permanently upgrade its capacity to deliver value to them. 9. The remainder of this introductory section will first provide the relevant context for identifying the priority areas of work; and then describe the Centre’s levels of engagement (global, regional and national level) re-grouping the Centre’s areas of work and final outputs according to these three levels. 1 Article 2 of the Decision of the Council to establish the Development Centre [C(62)144(Final)] states that: “The purpose of the Centre shall be to bring together the knowledge and experience available in participating countries of both economic development and of the formulation and execution of general economic policies; to adapt such knowledge and experience to the actual needs of countries or regions in the process of economic development and to place the results by appropriate means at the disposal of the countries concerned. In accomplishing this purpose, the Centre shall in particular take into account the interdependence of the political, economic, and cultural conditions existing in the countries in the process of economic development”. 6 DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL Identifying priority areas of work 10. In framing the PWB 2015-16, the Centre considers the emerging trends, the development challenges and the evolving international agenda. Its prioritization reflects its Member countries’ priorities, including those expressed on the occasion of its High-Level Meeting 2014 [see Communiqué] and taking into account the OECD Ambassadors’ convergence paper, the OECD Secretary General’s guidance and strategic orientations, and the outcomes and orientations distilled from the MCM 2014 discussion on the OECD Strategy on Development. 11. An important element to consider in selecting the priorities of the Centre’s PWB is the process of formulation of the post-2015 development framework. The 2013 UN SG report, A life of dignity for all, stresses the importance of placing inclusive and sustainable growth at the core of the new framework and goals. Inclusive growth also emerged as a priority in the OECD Ambassadors Convergence Paper, with particular emphasis on the resilience of economies and societies, the search of new sources of growth and the long-term implications of demographic changes for health, social protection and fiscal policies. The Convergence Paper also reiterated the importance for the Organisation to support the international development agenda and further promote policy coherence for development and inclusive knowledge sharing, which are the building blocks of the Strategy on Development. 12. Budget priority is given to flagship publications (Perspectives on Global Development (PGD) and the Regional Outlooks on Africa, Asia and Latin America) and the policy dialogue forums (Global Forum on Development and the International Economic Forums on Africa and Latin America and the Caribbean). The main innovation of the PWB is a greater focus on the social dimensions and challenges in developing and emerging economies. The work on social challenges will complement the previous analyses on structural transformation, with a view of addressing these two important and interrelated dimensions of inclusive growth. Other activities proposed in the PWB, which feed the Centre’s main priorities through country case studies, data collection, experts’ workshops and policy dialogues, will only be carried out if sufficient funding can be secured through voluntary contributions. 13. The Development Centre has been an important actor in building the OECD Strategy on Development and will continue to pursue a central role in its implementation. Several of the proposed activities will directly contribute to the implementation of the Strategy, notably the two cross-sectorial policy dialogue networks, the Multi-Dimensional Country Reviews (MDCRs), the work on international migration and development feeding Perspectives on Global Development, and the regional work on Asia, notably the annual roundtable with the ASEAN+3 Macro-economic research Office (AMRO). 14. The implementation of the proposed activities in the PWB will not duplicate, but rather complement and add value to the rest of the Organisation, through the implementation of an inclusive and multi-disciplinary approach and the selection of relevant issues where the Centre has a comparative advantage. In this respect, the Centre will continue to contribute to horizontal activities in the framework of the Strategy on Development and to OECD-wide projects such as Inclusive Growth, New Approaches to Economic Challenges (NAEC), Well-being and Gender. 15. The following table presents a summary of the proposed output areas for PWB 2015-16, grouped in four work streams: inclusive societies; competitive economies; new perspectives for development; and regional and national analysis. The next section of this document provides a draft budget table, with preliminary estimated costs for the various output areas. 7 DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL Table 1. List of PWB 2015-16 Output Areas A. B. C. D. INCLUSIVE SOCIETIES 1. Global Social Challenges 2. Gender and Progress COMPETITIVE ECONOMIES 1. Policy Dialogue Initiative on Global-Value Chains & Economic Transformation 2. Policy Dialogue Initiative on Natural-resource based development NEW PERSPECTIVES FOR DEVELOPMENT 1. Perspectives on Global Development 2. Global Views and Global Fora 3. Emerging Markets Network (EmNet) 4. Network on Foundations Working for Development (NetFwd) 5. Strategic guidance & institutional priorities REGIONAL AND NATIONAL ANALYSIS 1. Africa and Middle-East 2. Asia 3. Latin America and The Caribbean 4. Regional Economic For a 5. Multi-Dimensional Country Reviews Levels of engagement: supporting governments at global, regional and national level 16. Thanks to its comprehensive approach, the Centre intends to help Member countries dealing with development issues at the global, regional and national level. In this respect, the Centre’s areas of work and final outputs can also be re-grouped according to these three levels of engagement: a) Global: the PWB intends to help Members to: anticipate emerging trends and better prepare their policy response; promote effective and inclusive knowledge sharing; and contribute to international processes, such as the Post-2015 architecture and the G8/G20 processes. Achieving these goals requires monitoring the pace, direction and sustainability of shifting wealth, better understanding the role and perspectives of large emerging economies such as the BRIICS and non-OECD countries on global challenges; and distilling lessons from crossregional analysis of social, competitiveness and transversal issues. b) Regional: the PWB aims to help Members to: improve co-operation with regions and within regions; promote a more informed, effective and inclusive engagement of the OECD with Africa and the Middle-East, Latin America and the Caribbean, and Southeast Asia; and explore the connections among regions and options for knowledge sharing. The achievement of these goals will build on the Regional Economic Outlooks and International Economic Forums, on the partnerships with non-OECD governments and regional organisations, and on a strengthened presence in regional policy dialogue and political processes (e.g. Summits). c) National: the PWB aims to help Member countries and interested non-members in the design and implementation of better national development strategies and policies. A related goal is the development of new diagnostic tools and policy toolkits, such as the multi-dimensional reviews and the social policy reviews. The achievement of this objective requires country case studies and reviews, identifying major development bottlenecks, analysing those in-depth, assessing the political economy constraints to reform and provide strategic advice on national development plans. In this respect, the Centre works with countries at different level of development, including several low- and lower-middle income ones. 17. Table 2, which also reflects the Results Framework, clarifies the inter-relations between the various streams of work, regrouping the final outputs of Table 1 according to the three levels of engagement. The activities in these two tables offer then a complementary view of the PWB. The 8 DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL remainder of the document is composed of two sections: i) “Workstreams and Outputs” describes the forthcoming work of the Centre regrouped in four streams (Inclusive Societies, Competitive Economies, New Perspectives for Development and Regional and National analysis); each stream of work proposes specific final (and intermediary) outputs and outcomes that contribute to achieving the Centre’s objectives; it is systematically mentioned whether the specific intermediary outputs are subject to voluntary contributions or not; finally, potential collaboration within the OECD and/or with external partners it is also described for each set out outputs. The third and final section, entitled “Measuring Outputs and Results” discusses ways to enhance the tracking, reporting and overall communication on PWB implementation and on the results of its objectives. 9 DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL Table 2. List of PWB 2015-16 Detailed Final Outputs, by level of engagement GLOBAL REGIONAL A.1. Global Social Challenges: A. Inclusive Societies Regional Analysis 2 Social cohesion and protection report D.1. Africa and Middle-east NATIONAL D.5. Multidimensional Country Reviews (tools and recommendations ) 2 Youth inclusion report (tools and recommendations) 2 Economic Outlooks 2 Revenue Statistics A.2. Gender & Progress 2 Launching events: Economic Outlook 1 Report SIGI 2016 Implementation of a strategic dissemination 1 Wiki-Gender web-platform plan Country Reviews (MDCRs) per year 1 Report summarising B.1. Policy Dialogue Initiative on Global-Value Chains the main lessons D.2. Asia & Economic Transformation 3 Multidimensional learned through the B. 4 Policy Dialogue events (meetings of the network) 2 Economic Outlooks various MDCRs Competitive 1 OECD flagship report on lessons learned 2 Revenue Statistics implemented Economies 1 knowledge-sharing web-platform Quarterly business cycle indicators (“This Quarter in Asia”) B.2. Policy Dialogue Initiative on Natural-resource 2 Launching events: Economic Outlook based development Implementation of a strategic dissemination 4 Policy Dialogue events (meetings of the network) plan 2-3 Compendiums on main outcomes of discussions 1 knowledge-sharing web-platform D.3. Latin American and the Caribbean C.1. Perspectives on Global Development 2 Economic Outlooks 1 PGD Report (5th edition) 2 Revenue Statistics C. New Perspectives C.2. Global Views and Global Fora 2 Launching events: Economic Outlook. 2 Global Forums on Development Implementation of a strategic dissemination 2 Meetings of DevCom plan for Development C.3. The OECD Emerging Markets Network D.4. Regional Economic Fora 1 Paper (each year) on Trends in Business for Development 2 International Economic Forum on each 6 meetings region C.4. The Network on Foundations Working for Development 4 NetFWD meetings 2 studies on topics of relevance for netFWD Members 1 Updated version of the “Guidelines for Effective Philanthropic Engagement” (GEPEs) C.5. Strategic guidance & institutional priorities 2 High-level Meeting of the Governing Board & 2 Development Weeks 2 papers on evolution of global development architecture Contribution to OECD strategic priorities (NAEC,IG,ERC) Contribution to global development architecture (GPEDC, G20, Post 2015…) D. Regional and National Analysis 10 DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL II. WORKSTREAMS AND OUTPUTS2 A. INCLUSIVE SOCIETIES 18. Many countries, at different income levels, are struggling to promote more balanced and inclusive development. Large pockets of exclusion and poverty often co-exist with dynamic and prosperous areas. Widening inequalities of income and opportunities across people and locations are a source of great concern for governments, including in fast growing economies, since they can marginalise societal groups, perpetuate themselves across generations and undermine social cohesion. Young people, accounting for more than a quarter of the world’s population, increasingly face acute social inclusion challenges, in particular because they lack access to decent employment opportunities. 19. The effective inclusion of the expanding youth population in the growth process, notably through greater employment, and the development of social protection policies and safety nets are crucial to reduce vulnerabilities and exclusion, tackle inequalities and consolidate the emergence of middle-classes. These issues are and will be of great significance to developing countries, as they will be home to 90 percent of the world’s youth by 2025 (up from 85 per cent today) and will have to implement adequate policies to reap the benefits of their demographic transition. With the recently adopted ILO Recommendation on Social Protection Floors and the shaping up of the Post-2015 agenda, social protection is gaining increasing attention among policy makers in the developing world. 20. Gender equality and women’s empowerment are also recognized as critical for achieving sustainable, equitable and human-rights based development. Over the past three decades, significant progress has been made in reducing gender gaps in employment, education, political participation and other key priority areas; however, persisting gaps between women and men’s equal access to resources and opportunities for empowerment remain. Such gaps have important consequences for women’s well-being and basic human rights, as well as for women’s ability to actively contribute to the economic and social life of their communities and countries. GLOBAL SOCIAL CHALLENGES 21. Building on previous work on social cohesion (e.g. Perspectives on Global Development 2012; Social Cohesions Policy Review of Vietnam) and on youth employment (African Economic Outlook 2012), the Centre will expand its work on global social challenges and broaden the remit of OECD activities on the interaction between social and economic development to low- and lowermiddle income countries, which are currently not widely covered. Particular attention will be paid to the question of jobs, notably for youth and women, and to the interaction between social protection and labour markets, notably to governance and regulation policies. The work will be articulated around three main axes: 2 Reference is made to collaboration with OECD Directorates and International Organisations and Agencies in the sections concerning collaboration. The meaning of the acronyms used are: Economics Department (ECO); Development Co-operation Directorate (DCD); Directorate for Employment, Labour and Social Affairs (ELS); Directorate for Science, Technology and Innovation (STI); Office of the Secretary-General (SGE) / Policy Coherence for Development (PCD); Statistics Directorate (STD); Trade and Agriculture Directorate (TAD); Partnerships in Statistics for Development in the 21st Century (Paris 21); International Labour Organisation (ILO); World Bank (WB). 11 DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL Social protection: to provide policy planners, social protection workers, social partners and NGOs from partner countries practical analytical tools, thus contributing to the development of inclusive and sustainable social protection systems, and improved national statistics on social protection coverage for different groups of population in the long term; Youth inclusion: to enhance the knowledge of partner countries’ governments on how to assess youth challenges and involve the youth in national development processes; and provide tools to implement new inclusive youth policies in different sectors and improved national statistics on youth employment, educational achievement, health and civic participation; Social capital and territorial development: to identify good practice and provide policy guidance for designing, implementing, monitoring and evaluating territorial and rural development programmes, including the selection of appropriate indicators and data that could be used in developing countries. Particular attention will be paid at the role of social capital as determinant of success for community-driven local development. 22. Each stream of work will involve a combination of desk analysis to develop conceptual frameworks (final output), in-depth case studies (intermediary outputs funded by VCs) and synthesis reports of the main findings (final output). Close cooperation with national stakeholders and International Organisations is envisaged and will be actively promoted. The selection of the countries to be covered will depend on their interest (demand driven), the relevance of their experience for the specific work stream, and the availability of the necessary data and information to conduct the analysis. The selection criteria will ensure an adequate balance in terms of geography and income levels, so as to include an adequate number of low and lower-middle income countries. The implementation of the case studies will be coordinated by the Development Centre, which will develop the methodology, participate in the analysis and policy dialogues and ensure the quality control, but it will involve and rely on national research institutions and government structures in the reviewed countries. Final Outputs - 2 Reports/Conceptual frameworks: i) promoting youth inclusion; and ii) on social protection in developing and emerging economies. - 2 Reports/Analysis on trends based on comparative country case-studies (subject to VCs) including a guidebook for development partners: i) promoting youth inclusion; ii) social protection policies and guidebook for development partners. Intermediary Outputs (subject to VCs) o Country assessments on social protection systems (using existing and original data and engaging in national policy dialogues) o Country assessments on youth inclusion (using existing and original data and engaging in national policy dialogues) o Social and Territorial Cohesion Policy Reviews (including the role of Social Capital) o 2 Experts’ meeting involving other OECD Directorates, international organisations and key international experts Collaboration 23. The preparation of the reports will promote co-operation with other OECD Directorates (e.g. ELS, STD), bilateral government agencies from interested DEV Members, international organisations (e.g. ILO, WB) and fora (e.g. the Social Protection Inter-Agency Cooperation Board, SPIAC-B and the G20). Contributions to OECD horizontal activities such as the MDCRs and the Inclusive Growth project are also envisaged 12 DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL Expected outcomes 24. Each of the three work streams under Global Social Challenges aims at achieving one or more of the following outcomes: help relevant stakeholders in developing countries to enhance their awareness of effective policy approaches and tools to deal with social challenges, by providing new evidence and sharing experiences from other countries and contributing to national debates; support governments in developing countries to improve their economic and social policies in a way that fosters social cohesion, thus identifying persistent inequalities linked to geographic, socio-economic, ethnic and gender identities, by providing targeted advice and cross-sectorial policy recommendations; help development partners and cooperation agencies to better understand the social challenges faced by developing countries and to effectively support developing country own efforts at dealing with those challenges; improve awareness and coordination at the international level on critical issues where more discussion is necessary and create further research and dialogue to enable such coordination. GENDER AND WELL-BEING 25. Gender equality and women’s empowerment are critical for achieving sustainable, equitable and human-rights based development. Over the past three decades, significant progress has been made in reducing gender gaps in employment, education, political participation and other key areas; however, persisting gaps between women and men’s equal access to resources and opportunities for empowerment remain, with important consequences for women’s well-being and for their ability to actively contribute to the economic and social life of their communities and countries. 26. The Centre’s work on gender provides a solid evidence base on the relationship between discriminatory social norms and development amongst national policymakers and the international community and promotes more informed decisions on policies for women’s employment and empowerment. The work is organised around three pillars: the database on Social Institutions and Gender (SIGI, www.genderindex.org), the related country-level work, and an interactive web platform (Wikigender). In 2015-16, the Centre will focus on the following issues: measuring discriminatory social institutions and gender equality; developing better gender statistics for evidence-based policy making; and advocating for gender equality in the implementation of the Post-2015 agenda and Beijing+20 process. The Centre will continue to contribute to major initiatives to promote gender equality and tackle discriminatory norms, including the follow-up actions and the implementation of the OECD commitment made on the occasion of the UK-hosted 2014 Girls Summit3. An updated version of the SIGI database covering over 100 countries is to be launched in November 2014 and will be further updated in 2016. 3 On the occasion of the 22 July 2014 Girls Summit, the OECD pledged to “[…] work with Member countries and partner governments in developing countries to contribute to the elimination of all norms and practices which discriminate against and violate the rights of women and girls, such as FGM and early and forced marriage. We will do this by providing a solid evidence base, notably by strengthening our measurements of discriminatory norms and practices and tracking donor financing in support of gender equality and women’s and girls’ rights.” https://www.girlsummit2014.org/Commitment/Show 13 DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL Final Outputs - 1 SIGI Report: - Wikigender as the leading online knowledge-sharing platform on gender data and social norms. Intermediary Outputs (subject to VCs) o 2 SIGI country pilots, looking at measures to strengthen national statistical systems to develop gender data, including SIGI indicators, and progress & well-being data. o 4 policy briefs/working papers using SIGI data to analyse key policy questions and implementation of post-2015 and Beijing+ 20 processes o 3 advocacy and knowledge-sharing workshops and events with national and international partners on discriminatory social norms (one in Africa/one in Southeast Asia) Collaboration 27. Co-operation will be pursued with OECD Directorates (e.g. ELS, STD, PARSI21 and DCD), as well as with Regional Economic Commissions, Regional Development Banks, UNDP and other International Organisations (e.g. Organisation Internationale de la Francophonie). Expected outcomes 28. The gender and well-being activities aim at achieving one or more of the following outcomes: discriminatory social norms are prioritized in national and international development agendas, and mainstreamed in the design of policy interventions to promote gender equality; greater mobilisation of domestic and international efforts to end female genital mutilation and child, early and forced marriage; greater community, civil society and government awareness of the need for joint action to tackle embedded discriminatory social norms across a range of socio-economic and political domains. 14 DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL B. COMPETITIVE ECONOMIES 29. The results of the Rio+20 Summit and the on-going discussions on the Sustainable Development Goals (SGDs) confirm the imperative to reconcile economic growth with environmental and social concerns. The OECD has been engaged in searching for new sources of growth that will also ensure social inclusiveness and environmental sustainability. At the same time, in a context where developing and emerging economies are growing faster than OECD countries, a trend that is expected to continue over the near future, there are no guarantees that this growth will be socially inclusive, environmentally friendly and job-rich for all countries, unless the right policies are put in place. 30. Building competitive economies and promoting structural transformation will be a central component to any sustainable development strategy, but there are many challenges. A large share of informal activities, which reduces economic efficiency and the effectiveness of policies, the gap in private sector development and in investment in innovation (both public sector and private sector) between wealthier and developing economies, the mismatch in many countries between the available skill sets of the population and the evolving requirements of national economies, the poor infrastructure, both hard and soft, are some of the examples of factors hindering competitiveness. Finally, the global competitive scenario is changing with new trade and investment partners which open new markets and foster new partnerships, but are also a source of new competitive pressures. 31. As economies are increasingly interconnected, thanks to growing relevance of trade, new trends in FDI and rising mobility of talents and capital, development strategies and policies needed to adjust accordingly to achieve impact, while at the same time fulfilling each country’s priorities and development visions. They also need to take into account the specific institutional capacities and structural features of the given country. For these reasons, the Centre will work on competitiveness issues from two complementary standpoints. First, by looking at strategies and policies of two groups of countries, each sharing similar structural features: forward integration in Global Value Chains (GVCs); and high dependence on natural resources. The Centre will bring together OECD and nonOECD policy-makers around key issues for shaping competitiveness agendas and support them with pertinent analysis on areas such as skills, innovation, production transformation. Second, the Centre will look at competitiveness and structural transformation in the framework of its Multi-Dimensional Country Reviews, where it will analyse the interactions of different policies to tackle binding constraints to development. This point is discussed in Section D. POLICY DIALOGUE INITIATIVE ON GLOBAL VALUE CHAINS AND ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION 32. The challenges of growing interconnectedness of economies, epitomised by the emergence of GVCs, and the rising demand for inclusive, sustainable and job-rich growth have implications for the effective design and implementation of development strategies and policies. As stressed in the OECD-WTO-WB Group report to the G20, GVCs generate opportunities for finer specialisation of production and offer developing countries new, potential entry opportunities in international markets. However, reaping these opportunities hinges upon the development of adequate production capabilities, which, from a government perspective, imply actions cutting across several policy domains, from innovation to trade facilitation, from skills development to access to finance. New development strategies implemented by countries go beyond a “menu” approach and the promotion of participation and upgrading in GVCs requires multidimensional, coordinated actions that mobilize multiple private and public agents and at all levels of government. 33. The Policy Dialogue Initiative on Global Value Chains and Economic Transformation was developed as part of the OECD Strategy on Development and brings together senior-level policy 15 DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL makers from interested OECD and non-OECD governments. It focuses on country strategies to promote production transformation, structural policy issues that determine the patterns of participation in (or exclusion from) GVCs and the complementarities between them. Its objective is to increase coordination among sectorial policies in country development strategies and raise the awareness of the opportunities and challenges that the current re-organisation of production at the global level is generating, as well as its impact on developing and developed countries. This will include: exchanging countries’ experiences on good practices in promoting production transformation through participation to GVCs; identifying successful approaches to boost developing countries’ integration in regional and international value chains (also by looking at specific industries); and supporting the improvement of measurement of developing countries engagement in GVCs, also through supporting a gradual increase in the country coverage of the OECD trade in value-added (TiVA) database, pending available resources. Final Outputs (subject to VCs) - 4 Policy Dialogue events (2 plenary meetings of the Network per year) - 1 OECD flagship report to be published by 2016 on lessons learned from the first 2 years of work - 1 knowledge-sharing web-platform Intermediary Outputs (subject to VCs): o 2 papers per year (based on the topics proposed by participants during the plenary meetings); and o 3 Country studies focusing on the country strategies for economic transformation and participation in GVCs. Some of these country studies might have a specific focus on skills. Collaboration 34. This OECD horizontal and cross-sectorial activity is coordinated by the Development Centre with key inputs from other OECD Directorates (TAD, STD, STI, DCD). Collaboration with EDU is envisaged on the issue of skills and national skills strategies, if addressed. The Initiative counts with an Advisory Board of Experts from International Organisations, as of August are participating in the Initiative, notably UN ECA, UN ECLAC, UNIDO, UNCTAD and the WB. Expected Outcomes 35. The Initiative aims at achieving one or more of the following outcomes: Implementation, in participating countries, of mechanisms for effective coordination across the policy domains relevant for strengthening productive capacities and for greater, meaningful participation in GVCs; Effective sharing of good practices to enhance developing countries’ policies for promoting private sector development and production transformation; Better measurement of developing countries engagement in GVCs, also facilitating their greater use of and participation in the OECD TiVA database; Ensuring OECD’s continuous relevance as a forum where developing, emerging and advanced economies constructively discuss issues of common interest, strengthen global cooperation and facilitate greater coordination towards the achievement of mutually beneficial outcomes. 16 DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL POLICY DIALOGUE INITIATIVE ON NATURAL RESOURCE-BASED DEVELOPMENT 36. While depending on natural resources can hinder socio-economic development, resource abundance in itself is not a curse. On the contrary, it can open up opportunities for broad-based and inclusive growth when appropriate policies and incentives are in place. Still, many producing countries are not reaping the benefits from the exploitation of their natural resource endowments. This is attributable to a combination of factors, including low direct employment generation, price volatility, rising exchange rates, inefficient revenue management and spending, corruptive behaviours. 37. The Policy Dialogue Initiative on Natural Resource-Based Development was developed as part of the Strategy on Development and brings together senior-level policy makers from interested OECD and non-OECD governments, in particular developing countries committed to develop and maximise the sustainable use of their extractive industries. The Policy Dialogue aims to enhance the common understanding of constraints and trade-offs faced by natural resource producing countries and to increase the awareness of the impact of policy choices on long-term competitiveness. The Initiative is organised around four axes: (i) Shared Value Creation and Local Development (identifying good practices on strategies for local content development in the mineral, oil & gas exploitation to incentivise positive spill-overs and diversification of the economy); (ii) Revenue Spending and Stabilisation Funds (assessing practices for the development-oriented use of revenues from extractives and for the management of macroeconomic volatility and effective public finance management); (iii) Getting Better Deals (helping governments determine reasonable prices for minerals and best practices for balanced negotiations); (iv) High-Risk Profile of Corruptive Behaviours (understanding red flag scenarios to detect and address corruption risk across the value chain of extractive projects). The knowledge-sharing process will be fed by comparative analysis/policy reviews co-ordinated by the Centre, with the involvement of participating countries and organisations. Final Outputs (subject to VCs) - 4 Policy Dialogue events (meetings of the network) - 2-3 Reports on: strategies for local content development in country value creation; performance assessment of stabilisation funds and prudent investment options; tackling corruption risks in extractives. - 1 knowledge-sharing web-platform Intermediary outputs (subject to VCs) o 2-3 Policy reviews on in-country resource-based value creation feeding into the comparative analysis of country practices. Collaboration 38. This OECD horizontal and cross-sectorial activity is coordinated by the Development Centre with key inputs from other OECD Directorates (CTPA/DCD, DAF, GOV, ENV, LEG, TAD) and is implemented in coordination with relevant international organisations/institutions (such as IMF, UNDP, WB, WEF) and processes (G8/G20). 17 DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL Expected outcomes 39. The first phase of the Initiative aims at achieving one or more of the following outcomes: Supporting participating countries efforts to build a competitive, value-added and diversified economy (design better approaches to maximise the development impact of their extractive sectors), including through better integration into resource-linked GVCs and identification of multi-pronged strategies for in-country value creation; Enhancing the understanding and commitment of participating countries to improved governance of natural resources; Ensuring OECD’s continuous relevance as a forum where developing, emerging and advanced economies constructively discuss issues of common interest, strengthen global cooperation and facilitate greater coordination towards the achievement of mutually beneficial outcomes. 18 DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL C. NEW PERSPECTIVES FOR DEVELOPMENT 40. An accurate and timely understanding of emerging phenomena and how they impact the global system is critical to inform national responses, but also international cooperation for effective global arrangements and coordination mechanisms. The Centre has been at the core of the analysis of the evolving global context and emerging trends, the interactions between global and national phenomena and their implications for policy making, mainly through the work carried out in the framework of its annual “Perspectives on Global Development” (PGD). The Centre will continue to produce its PGD, and turn it into a biennial publication. New approaches will also be explored, for example using foresight techniques to identify and analyse views on main global issues in both OECD and partner countries. The OECD Global Forum on Development could serve as a platform of discussion around these issues. 41. The complexity of development challenges calls for collective action, involving many actors. Reinforcing policy dialogue and knowledge sharing can greatly contribute to better understanding and addressing such complex challenges. The Centre will continue to bring new voices from nontraditional partners to the debate and strengthen the dialogue between policy makers and a diverse set of actors, such as academia, think thanks, the private sector and foundations. The Centre’s Networks, relying on voluntary contributions, will continue to play an important role, by involving experts in policy dialogue, producing relevant analysis and sharing experience on policy reform for development. These Networks also offer opportunities for Governing Board members to participate in open sessions. The Centre will also continue contributing to strategic priorities of the Organisation, in close collaboration with its Governing Board. PERSPECTIVES ON GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT 42. The Perspectives on Global Development (PGD) analyses the evolving global context and emerging trends, the interactions between global and national phenomena and their implications for policy making. It aims at supporting Members in better anticipating these changes, fine-tuning their policy responses and contributing to a more effective global governance architecture. Since 2010, the PGD series has assessed how the world’s economic centre of gravity has moved east and south over the past 40 years and what the change means for development. Moreover, the PGD focused each year on a specifically relevant issue related to “Shifting Wealth”. The first edition analysed how the rise of China and India helped many other countries grow in tandem. This edition was followed with investigations of the impact of shifting wealth on social cohesion within and between countries (2012), on the return of industrial policies to promote structural transformation (2013) and on the issue of competitiveness as a means for countries to promote new sources of growth and escape poverty traps (2014). 43. Now in its 5th edition, the PGD will continue to analyse the sustainability of shifting wealth and the sources of structural transformation and growth. A growing part of the Centre’s work (PGD 2013 and 2014; GFD 2014; AEO 2013, LEO2014; MDCRs) has looked at the binding constraints to structural transformation (including for the service sector) and at the policies that can help countries boosting productivity, skills and converting rapid economic growth rates into stable and permanent development. Moreover, the PGD will take a closer look at how shifting wealth (as well as technological change and climate change) is related to international migration, in particular in developing countries. The report will build on case studies and empirical analysis carried out in the three lines of migration research at the Centre: Interrelations between public policies, migration and development: case studies and policy recommendations (IPPMD); Assessing the economic contribution of labour mobility in developing countries as countries of destination (ECLM); Thematic Working Group on Policy and Institutional Coherence in the framework of the Global Knowledge 19 DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL Partnership on Migration and Development (KNOMAD). Against this background, the PGD 2016 will be structured as follows: (i) Update on the global process and sustainability of shifting wealth; (ii) Shifting wealth, shifting migration flows; (iii) the challenges of migration in developing countries; (iv) Inter-linkages between migration and public policies; (v) Policy implications and recommendations. Final Outputs - 1 report: 5th edition of Perspectives on Global Development (PGD 2015/16) on Shifting wealth, migration and development Intermediary Outputs o Updated analysis on productive transformation (including on the services sector) o 1 Report on the interrelations between public policies, migration and development o 1 study on the economic contribution of labour migration in developing countries as countries of destination o Several country case studies on the link between migration on development o Several country case studies involving other OECD Directorates, international organisations and key international experts Collaboration 44. The preparation of the PGD will promote co-operation with other Directorates (e.g. ELS, STD, ECO, SGE/PCD) and international organisations (e.g. ILO, IOM, WB). Expected outcome 45. The PGD aims at achieving one or more of the following outcomes: Help DEV Members and the international community to get a better understanding of the global system and its challenges, with a view of informing the development of better global governance and coordination mechanisms. Help developing country governments to better incorporate migration into their overall economic and social development strategy, by providing a coherent policy framework which incorporates the direct and indirect benefits and costs related to migration, for both countries of migrant origin and destination. GLOBAL VIEWS AND GLOBAL FORA 46. The Centre aims at better understanding global phenomena and how they impact on development, in order to support its Members and developing countries to formulate better development strategies and to enhance international cooperation tackling global public goods. To this end, in addition to producing the PGD, the Centre will explore some innovative approaches to assess how different countries view global trends and challenges. For example, analyses of opinion polls and use of foresight techniques will help identify what the major concerns of OECD Members and partner countries are, where there is convergence and divergence on global issues and the global governance system, what that implies for the OECD and what has to be done to make greater progress on these issues. The results of these analyses can inform discussions within the Governing Board, as well as the Global Forum on Development (GFD) and the OECD Global Strategy Group meetings. 20 DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL 47. The GFD, jointly led by the Centre and the Development Co-operation Directorate (DCD), is intended to advance the understanding of global development issues and improve the quality and development impact of OECD products. The GFD 2015 will close a three-year series devoted to “Preparing for the Post-2015 World”, through presenting and discussing the evolving financing for development agenda. The follow-up framework to the MDGs will be the overarching umbrella for international development dialogue over the next years. The new GFD cycle 2016-18 will leverage DEV and DCD deliverables in the respective PWBs and could benefit from the Centre’s work on global views and the PGD. The work undertaken in the framework of “Global Views and Global Fora” could also benefit from contributions by think tanks engaged in the Development Finance Network (DeFiNe) and by the Informal Network of Development Communicators (DevCom). DeFiNe, which brings together, on an informal basis, several Southern and Northern think tanks, promotes research collaboration and cross-fertilisation, to enrich the Centre’s work with views from a diverse set of research centres. These think tanks will be invited to contribute to the preparations of the GFD, the Centre’s experts meetings and, where possible, joint research projects (as it has been the case for the Least Developed Country Monitor initiative). DevCom is the only forum where bilateral and multilateral development agencies discuss their communication strategies and share their views on the development narrative. The Centre has provided a secretariat function to this network since the early 2000s. DevCom Members are currently discussing the future of the Network. In 2015-16 DevCom will likely refocus to best address the changing needs of its Members, focusing on lesson learning and dialogue amongst peers, while looking into new development communication narratives on development and more specifically on the post-2015 development goals. Final Outputs - 2 Global Forum on Development - 2 meetings of DevCom (subject to VCs) Intermediary Outputs o A scanning exercise to identify public perceptions and assessing global views in major economies (BRIICs and OECD countries) on global public goods and global governance. o Support and provision of inputs on development communication to DAC peer reviews Collaboration 48. The GFD is a joint DEV/DCD initiative, involving other Directorates depending on the theme. Partnerships will be developed with relevant survey organisations (Global Scan, MORI, PEW Global Survey, Gallup, etc.) and the Development Centre’s networks (EmNet, NetFWD, DevCom) to prepare the global scanning exercise. DevCom contributes on a regular basis to DAC Peer Reviews and collaborates with multilateral agencies and international organisations as well as with selected foundations and CSOs. It will reach out to non-DAC development agencies too. Expected outcome 49. The Global Views and Global Fora workstream aims at achieving one or more of the following outcomes: Help DEV Members and the international community to advance the mutual understanding of global development issues and improve the impact of OECD products, also by engaging with a diverse set of actors and perspectives; Improve the quality and impact of development communication. 21 DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL THE EMERGING MARKETS NETWORK (EmNet) 50. EmNet is a platform for dialogue and networking between OECD-based multinationals and their counterparts from emerging markets, which fosters interaction between high level officials, top executives from mature and emerging economies, and OECD experts. EmNet activities will integrate issues related to the business sector’s contribution to socio-economic development in emerging and developing economies and further engage its members on works linked to responsible business conduct (RBC) and corporate social responsibilities as well as on responding to unmet investment needs for promoting sustainable development. Final outputs - One Paper (each year) on Trends in Business for Development - 6 meetings Intermediary Outputs o Targeted dialogue and events with groups of companies by theme and sector, including businesses in sectors related to Natural Resources and GVCs Policy Dialogue Initiatives. o 6 policy notes based on the discussions of the Network. Collaboration 51. EmNet is partnering with the China International Council for the Promotion of Multinational Corporations (CICPMC), an association for business promotion linked to the Ministry of Commerce. CICPMC-EmNet sessions have been organised since 2010 in Beijing in the framework of the Business Leaders Roundtable, a yearly event gathering Chinese high-level officials and executives from Chinese and foreign companies. Collaboration opportunities will also be sought with the UN Global Compact, business associations, and with the relevant OECD Directorates working on competitiveness, RBC, investment and sustainable development. Expected Outcome 52. To enhance EmNet’s positioning as a key platform of informal dialogue between governments from emerging countries, the business sector and the OECD to promote knowledgesharing and better interactions. To this end, EmNet will formulate pragmatic and targeted recommendations and best practices with a view to include them in OECD tools and publications, including events and Outlooks of the Development Centre; as well as influence business strategies by providing relevant outputs and recommendations in line with DEV priorities. THE NETWORK OF FOUNDATIONS WORKING FOR DEVELOPMENT (netFWD) 53. NetFWD seeks to optimise the impact of philanthropy for development, by providing a platform for foundations for sharing and improving their practices; by acting as a broker for innovative partnerships between foundations and other actors; and by acting as an advocate for policy issues that can increase the effectiveness of philanthropy as a whole.. 22 DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL Final Outputs - 2 NetFWD meetings - 2 knowledge products on topics of relevance for netFWD Members - Updated version of the “Guidelines for Effective Philanthropic Engagement” (GEPEs), endorsed by an increasing number of foundations. Intermediary Outputs o 3 country pilots where GEPEs help to guide further philanthropic dialogue and collaboration Collaboration 54. NetFWD will continue to work in close partnership with foundations and philanthropic associations worldwide within and beyond its membership. The existing partnerships with the UN, namely UNDP, UNCDF and the UN Global Compact will be maintained and strengthened. Engagement with the GPEDC is expected to be deepened following the inclusion of a permanent seat on the GPEDC Steering Committee for foundations, which will be administered by netFWD. Within the OECD, netFWD will pursue its ongoing collaboration with STI and CFE on social investment as well as with DCD on capturing philanthropic financial flows. Expected outcomes 55. Optimise the impact of philanthropy for development and increase the effectiveness of philanthropy as a whole, including to raise foundations’ voices in the international development debate and ensure that the post-2015 framework will take full account of the specificities and value added of philanthropic actors. STRATEGIC GUIDANCE AND INSTITUTIONAL PRIORITIES 56. The specific characteristics of the Development Centre in terms of membership and analysis, cutting across regions and policy areas, confer on it a special status within the OECD. Against this background, the Centre is well-positioned to pursue the strategic guidance that it provides to its Members and to the OECD more widely, on key development issues, by contributing to the understanding of the specificities of developing and emerging economies’ context, their priorities and how they are affected by emerging global trends. 57. The successful implementation of the Development Centre’s work depends on: (i) the effective engagement of its Governing Board (OECD and non-OECD countries); (ii) cooperation with other Directorates and regular contributions to OECD’s horizontal work, corporate initiatives and priorities; and (iii) participation in the processes that shape the global development architecture. 58. The Secretariat will continue to support the Governing Board in fully realising the Centre’s potential. A first step will be to work closely with Members to promote their active engagement and strengthen the Governing Board as a “platform”, i.e. a place where governments can advance their common understanding of global priorities and discuss issues where there is not yet consensus. The results of the 2014 Governance Review of the Governing Board [DEV/GB(2014)14] will be an important input to this end. Opportunities for policy dialogue will be strengthened, notably by organising thematic, informal consultation meetings for each flagship publication and by providing issues papers for the Board’s discussion (e.g. on global governance and development). 23 DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL 59. A second step will be to promote the mainstreaming of development issues across the OECD, notably by strengthening the Centre’s contribution to horizontal initiatives and programmes that aim to engage non-Members. Building on its comparative advantages, the Centre will continue supporting the OECD in (i) deepening its understanding of the implications of major global trends for sustainable development and (ii) adapting and upgrading its analytical frameworks and policy tools to better respond to a world that requires new, multidimensional solutions. The Centre will support the OECD’s strategic priorities through its participation in horizontal initiatives (e.g. Informal Working Group of the Strategy on Development, Well-Being and Progress of Societies, NAEC and Inclusive Growth projects), regional and country programmes. 60. As a third step, the Centre will continue to contribute to and enhance OECD efforts to support the international agenda and global development architecture, such as the Post-2015 framework, the G20 Development Working Group and the Global Partnership for Effective Development Co-operation (GPEDC, where it has spearheaded the participation of Foundations and developed the Guidelines for Effective Development Engagement). Final Outputs - 2 High-level Meetings of the Development Centre and 2 Development Weeks - 2 papers on the evolution of the global development architecture - Contribution to the global development architecture: active participation in further advancing the design the OECD Strategy on Development; active participation in the G20 and in the GPEDC, etc. - Contribution to OECD strategic priorities: horizontal initiatives (NAEC, Inclusive Growth, WellBeing, etc.) and Global Relations (Country and Regional Programmes). Intermediary Outputs o o o o Governing Board Meetings Bureau and Enlarged Bureau Meetings Informal Working Groups (IWG) of the Governing Board & IWG of the Council and of the ERC Joint DAC/DEV sessions Collaboration 61. Co-operation will continue with OECD Directorates and Services (e.g. OSG, GRS, DCD). The Centre will also seek opportunities for greater engagement with other Directorates and for participation in relevant Committees and bodies, to bring there a development perspective. Expected outcomes 62. The Strategic Guidance and Institutional Priorities workstream will contribute to one or more of the following outcomes: Enhancing DEV Members and OECD’s understanding of development realities and of developing countries’ policies and priorities, with a view of improving the coherence and positive impact of their external policies and engagement; Enhancing DEV Members and OECD’s understanding of global public goods and challenges, with a view of promoting greater cooperation and better global governance and coordination mechanisms; OECD’s analytical frameworks and tools are updated to take into account the evolving international context and to better reflect the development dimension; OECD contribution to global development efforts is enhanced. 24 DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL D. REGIONAL AND NATIONAL ANALYSIS 63. The Development Centre’s regional approach constitutes a main pillar of its PWB 2015-16 and is a key contributor to OECD work in the regions of Africa and the Middle-East; Asia (in particular Southeast Asia); and Latin America and the Caribbean. The annual Regional Economic Outlooks on Africa, Asia, and Latin America and the Caribbean outlooks, which provide accurate, comprehensive and comparable data in and across regions and analyses of key areas for reform, are at the core of the Centre’s regional work. The Revenue Statistics report is a second important pillar of the Centre’s work at the regional level. Buildings on its Revenue Statistics in Latin America, the Centre, jointly with the OECD Centre for Tax Policy and Administration (CTPA), will continue carrying out efforts to expand this work to Asia and Africa. 64. The Outlooks, complementing country specific work, aim at enhancing awareness on key development challenges, identifying appropriate policy responses, including through better policy dialogue with OECD and DEV Member countries, and supporting the prioritisation and sequencing of reforms. In order to enhance their policy impact, the production and launch of the Outlooks is aligned with key events in each region. The choice of the themes of the Outlooks over 2015-16 depends on the theme of the international high-level events where they are presented and is agreed upon with the partner institutions (AfDB, UNDP, ECLAC, CAF, SEGIB, ASEAN Secretariat). Taking into account the pressing challenges of each region, the Centre has identified potential themes for its Regional Outlooks over the 2015-16 biennium (Annex III), to be discussed with partner institutions. These topics are also meant to strengthen the Centre’s contribution to OECD horizontal activities (e.g. NAEC, Inclusive Growth, TiVA/GVC, well-being and measuring the progress of societies, skills), and regional initiatives and programmes. The Centre is also exploring ways to analyse specific challenges of sub-regions such as the Caribbean. AFRICA AND THE MIDDLE-EAST Final Outputs - 2 editions of the African Economic Outlook - 2 AEO launching events (Abidjan, May 2015 and Lusaka, May 2016). - 2 editions of Revenue Statistics in Africa and the Middle-East - Implementation of a strategic plan for dissemination and policy-dialogue Intermediary Outputs o 6 thematic/area studies in preparation of the Outlooks (subject to VCs) o 2 experts meetings involving other OECD Directorates, African institutions and key international experts o 2 policy-briefs/working papers Collaboration 65. The Centre collaborates internally with CTPA for the elaboration of the Revenue Statistics in Africa, and with several OECD Directorates, depending on the thematic focus of the Outlook. In addition to the AEO external partners (AfDB, UNDP, the European Commission), the Centre also collaborates with the World Customs Organisation, the South African Revenue Service (SARS) and other national revenue and statistical offices for the revenue statistics projects. Important efforts will 25 DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL be undertaken to strengthened relationships with the African Union and with other relevant partners (e.g. CPLP, OIC, Islamic Development Bank). ASIA Final Outputs - 2 editions of the Economic Outlook for Southeast Asia, China and India - 2 Outlook launching events in the framework of the ASEAN Summit (Myanmar, 2015; Lao PDR, 2016) - 2 editions of Revenue Statistics in Asia - Implementation of a strategic plan for dissemination and policy-dialogue Intermediary Outputs o 6 thematic/area studies in preparation of the Outlooks (subject to VCs) o 8 Quarterly business cycle indicators (“This Quarter in Asia”) (subject to VCs) o 2 experts meetings (Regional roundtables) involving other OECD Directorates, Asian institutions and key international experts o 2 policy-briefs/working papers Collaboration 66. The Centre will pursue its engagement with both countries and regional institutions. The Centre will further leverage its relationship with the ASEAN Secretariat (co-producing the Outlook; the thematic focus of the Outlook coincides with the theme of the ASEAN Summit and East Asian Summit) and on the network of senior policy makers engaged in its preparation. Revenue Statistics are carried out in collaboration with the OECD CTPA and the Asian Development Bank. The 4th and 5th Annual Asian Regional Roundtable, a regional network of senior officials in charge of macroeconomic policies, development and economic planning, will be jointly organised with AMRO and ADB. LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Final Outputs - 2 editions of the Latin American Economic Outlook - 2 launching events in the context of the Ibero-American Summit and potentially in the EUCELAC Summit. - 2 editions of “Revenue Statistics in Latin America and the Caribbean” - Implementation of a strategic plan for dissemination and policy-dialogue Intermediary Outputs o 6 thematic / area studies in preparation of the Outlooks (subject to VCs) o 2 experts meetings involving other OECD Directorates, Latin America institutions and key international experts o 2 policy-briefs/working papers 26 DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL Collaboration 67. The Centre will further leverage its relationship with the UN ECLAC and CAF (both coproducing the LEO) and with the IaDB (co-organising the International Economic Forum on Latin America and the Caribbean) to develop an analytical framework which reflects the binding constraints to competitiveness and social inclusion in the region and fuel the policy dialogue with the main stakeholders of the reform agenda. Revenue Statistics are jointly carried out with CTPA and in cooperation with regional organisations (ECLAC and CIAT). Co-operation with sub-regional organisations (e.g. CARICOM), national authorities and research centres will be deepened, inter alia to: strengthen the Caribbean component of the Outlook, analyse the impact of China on the region, better understand labour markets, contribute to the OECD’s project measuring the progress of societies. Expected Outcomes 68. Activities in the regional analysis workstream on Africa and the Middle-East, Asia, and Latin America and the Caribbean will each contribute to achieve one or more of the following outcomes: Improved understanding of the drivers of sustainable development in region’s economies and of the strategies and policies that can better unlock the development potential, promoting a more informed policy dialogue between DEV and OECD Members and countries from the Region and greater coordination of messages among International Organisations; Greater awareness of the importance of structural reforms, competitiveness policies (e.g. human capital development) and regional integration efforts as a way forward to achieving more balanced, inclusive and sustainable development in the region; Governments in the region design and implement better policies and find effective ways of promoting reforms that steer economic transformation, promote entrepreneurship and spur growth paths that are economically, socially and environmentally sustainable; Improved quality and comparability of national statistics, especially revenues statistics, to help governments assess their revenue sources and implement better fiscal policies. REGIONAL ECONOMIC FORA 69. The organisation of annual fora dedicated to specific regions provides an opportunity to engage relevant stakeholders from the regions to discuss the specific challenges their countries face, share knowledge and experience between OECD and non-OECD countries and contribute to shaping international and regional co-operation. The Centre’s two International Economic Fora, on (i) Latin America and the Caribbean and (ii) on Africa, bring to the OECD every year high-level policy-makers, representatives of the private sector, academia, foundations and civil society organisations. Depending on the availability of resources, the Centre will also launch an International Economic Forum on Asia, resuming the collaboration with the ADB (several editions of this forum were organised in the 1990s to early 2000s). Also, the possibility of hosting one of the regional Forums in a Member country could be considered, to maximise the impact (e.g. raise the visibility of the Centre’s work, contributing to major international processes hosted by the country, etc.) and provided resources can be identified. 27 DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL Final Outputs - 2 International Economic Forum on Africa - 2 International Economic Forum on Latin America and the Caribbean - 2 International Economic Forum on Asia (depending on VCs) Collaboration 70. The regional fora are organised in cooperation with relevant international and regional organisations (e.g. UNDP, AfDB, ECA, AUC; IaDB, ECLAC). The Centre will engage with other partners in order to increase impact and relevance. Expected Outcomes 71. The regional fora will allow high-level stakeholders to exchange experiences on relevant policy issues and share solutions. They will provide opportunities for members of the Development Centre and of the OECD to interact with key representatives, informing the Centre’s and the OECD’s relationships and cooperation with each region. They will also provide opportunities to enhance the visibility of the Development Centre’s work on these regions and to identify and launch possible cooperation projects with governments and institutions from the regions. MULTI-DIMENSIONAL COUNTRY REVIEWS 72. When building national development strategies, policy makers are increasingly faced with the need to reconcile economic, social and environmental objectives to ensure that their country’s development path is sustainable and equitable and that the lives of citizens improve. The MDCRs does not only support policy makers in designing their development strategy, as the report is used as input to national policy making processes (e.g. in formulation of national development plans), but they also intend to create a better understanding of the key development challenges a country faces among national policy makers, local stakeholders and the international development community. The latter will provide insight to OECD’s reflection on new sources of growth and options for building more resilient economies. 73. The Centre will continue to undertake, on a country demand-driven basis, MultiDimensional Country Reviews (MDCRs) in Africa, Latin America and Asia. Cote d’Ivoire, Kazakhstan and Morocco will initiate reviews in 2014; Panama, Peru and Costa Rica will undertake a Review in the 2015-16 biennium; other potential country reviews could include Dominican Republic, Mauritius, Senegal, Thailand and Tunisia. Reviews will be funded from voluntary contributions, either directly from the country undertaking the review or from other sources (e.g. development banks, foundations, bilateral donor agencies) or a combination of those sources. Given the contribution of the MDCR to the implementation of the OECD’s Strategy on Development, the Centre will also seek Central Priority Funds from the OECD and allocate a part of core budget to ensure co-ordination and quality control functions. 28 DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL Final Outputs - 3 MDCRs per year will be initiated (with a foreseen implementation time of 18 months) - 1 Report summarising the main lessons learned through the various MDCRs Intermediary Outputs Each review is composed of a series of intermediary outputs which are produced at the end of each of the phases composing the elaboration of the Review: o 1 Report on the Initial assessment (Volume I) o 1 Report: In-depth analysis (Volume II); o 1 Final Synthesis Report (Volume III). Collaboration 74. The MDCRs are jointly elaborated between DEV, STD and ECO. Other OECD directorates also contribute to the reviews on an ad hoc basis, depending on the focus of the second phase of each review. OECD directorates also contribute commenting to different drafts of the MDCRs. MDCRs have been identified as a core pillar of the proposed OECD’s Country Programmes as they have proved to support countries in identifying the areas where cooperation with the OECD can be most relevant. Each review is undertaken in close cooperation with national authorities of the reviewed country. Partnerships with relevant international organisations are also actively sought and promoted. Expected Outcomes 75. MDCRs will provide the countries under review as well as their development partners with a better understanding of the key constraints to well-being and more equitable and sustainable growth, as well as with support to turning this understanding into strategies for implementation. MDCRs are thus expected to lead to better policies for better lives. 29 DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL PRELIMINARY BUDGET ESTIMATES DEV PWB 2015-16 estimated costs, funding and resource allocation Budget envelope, funding sources, and planning assumptions for voluntary contributions 76. The target budget envelope for the 2015-16 Programme of Work is determined on the basis of the estimated costs of expenditure required for the implementation of the activities proposed by Members in the new PWB. The envelope is to be constituted by funding provided through a mix of Part II budget (Core 35%) and Voluntary Contributions (VCs 65%). 77. This planned budget envelope is based on the intended scope of the proposed work programme for 2015-16. The core budget is composed of Assessed Contributions provided by Members [DEV/GB(2014)2] and the VC estimates are based on the assumption that Members will continue to provide similar levels of VCs when compared to the current and previous biennia for ongoing activities, and take account of VCs already materialized as well as expressions of interest by Member countries, partner institutions and other countries (e.g. for the MDCRs). The proposed budget allocation for each of the fourteen priorities for the next biennium is set out in Table 3 (at end of this section). Table 4 provides a comparison of allocations between the current biennium 2013-14 and 2015-16. 78. To ensure that 2015-16 planning assumptions are realistic, it is important that Members are fully apprised of the VCs that have been provided so far for the 2013-14 PWB. To this end, the Secretariat provided Members with a comprehensive update on the volume and nature of all VCs received including pledges. Funding core priorities 79. Members have made it clear throughout the preparation of the 2015-16 PWB that Core Budget (assessed contributions) must be allocated to finance the Centre’s flagship reports (Perspectives on Global Development (PGD) and regional outlooks). As shown in the proposed budget allocation (Table 3), pillars ‘C. New Perspectives for Development’ and ‘D. Regional and national Analysis’ combined amount to 81% or 28.6 million euros of the overall budget envelope, and 85% of the Core budget envelope. 80. The remaining core budget is distributed across PWB activities to finance the production of final outputs, as indicated in the PWB and in the budget tables. 81. In addition to Core Budget and VC funding, the priority horizontal activities ‘B1. Initiative on Global Value Chains and Economic Transformation’ and ‘D5. Multi-Dimensional Country Reviews’ have been allocated some Central Priority Funding (CPF) by the Secretary-General (respectively 180,000 EUR and 150,000 EUR for the biennium). These Part I funds will serve as seed funding to consolidate these core activities initiated during the 2013-14 PWB and will partially offset the need for VC fundraising. 30 DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL Table 3. DEV PWB 2015-16 Preliminary Estimated Costs (Integrating the Results Framework) Pillar 2015 in EUR Workstream Funding A. INCLUSIVE SOCIETIES A1. GLOBAL SOCIAL CHALLENGES Total 2015 CORE VC Total 2016 441,602 1,309,800 1,751,402 414,909 1,973,644 2,388,553 4,139,955 197,146 805,111 1,002,256 165,961 1,459,217 1,625,178 2,627,435 128,264 535,461 663,725 109,134 844,137 953,271 1,616,996 Non Staff 68,882 269,650 338,532 56,827 615,080 671,907 1,010,439 244,456 504,689 749,145 248,948 514,427 763,375 1,512,521 Staff 159,045 334,303 493,348 163,706 344,368 508,074 1,001,422 Non Staff 85,412 170,386 255,797 85,242 170,059 255,302 511,099 458,375 839,422 1,297,797 482,062 843,537 1,325,599 2,623,396 B. COMPETITIVE ECONOMIES B1. OECD INITIATIVE ON GLOBAL VALUE CHAINS AND ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION 165,028 366,789 531,817 172,978 370,279 543,257 1,075,074 Staff 107,368 207,287 314,655 113,749 210,889 324,638 639,293 Non Staff 57,660 159,502 217,162 59,230 159,390 218,619 435,781 B2. POLICY DIALOGUE ON NATURAL RESOURCE-BASED DEVELOPMENT 293,346 472,634 765,980 309,083 473,258 782,342 1,548,322 Staff 190,853 190,352 381,205 203,250 191,233 394,484 775,688 Non Staff 102,493 282,282 384,775 105,833 282,025 387,858 772,633 2,551,351 2,019,717 4,571,068 2,627,005 2,515,386 5,142,391 9,713,460 C. NEW PERSPECTIVES FOR DEVELOPMENT C1. PERSPECTIVES ON GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT 1,480,533 934,835 2,415,368 1,518,199 1,411,426 2,929,625 5,344,993 Staff 963,243 543,277 1,506,521 998,352 805,534 1,803,886 3,310,407 Non Staff 517,290 391,558 908,847 519,846 605,893 1,125,739 2,034,586 C2. GLOBAL VIEWS AND GLOBAL FORA 241,901 387,359 629,260 269,984 394,409 664,392 1,293,653 Staff 157,382 255,841 413,223 177,539 262,821 440,360 853,582 Non Staff 84,519 131,519 216,037 92,445 131,588 224,033 440,070 C3. THE OECD EMERGING MARKETS NETWORK (EmNet) 7,173 404,699 411,872 7,092 410,937 418,029 829,901 Staff 4,667 218,957 223,624 4,663 225,260 229,924 453,548 Non Staff 2,506 185,742 188,248 2,428 185,677 188,105 376,353 C4. THE NETWORK OF FOUNDATIONS WORKING FOR DEVELOPMENT (netFWD) 7,173 292,824 299,996 7,092 298,614 305,706 605,702 Staff 4,667 205,157 209,823 4,663 211,044 215,708 425,531 Non Staff 2,506 87,667 90,173 2,428 87,570 89,998 180,171 C5. STRATEGIC GUIDANCE AND INSTITUTIONAL PRIORITIES 814,571 - 814,571 824,639 - 824,639 1,639,211 Staff 469,459 - 469,459 481,119 - 481,119 950,577 Non Staff 345,113 - 345,113 343,521 - 343,521 688,633 D. REGIONAL AND NATIONAL ANALYSIS D1. AFRICA AND THE MIDDLE-EAST 2,664,995 7,299,751 9,964,746 2,712,902 6,185,542 8,898,444 18,863,189 845,651 2,514,622 3,360,273 861,190 1,923,173 2,784,363 6,144,636 Staff 550,186 811,073 1,361,259 566,310 613,269 1,179,580 2,540,839 Non Staff 295,466 1,703,549 1,999,014 294,880 1,309,903 1,604,783 3,603,798 D2. ASIA 919,050 1,507,898 2,426,948 935,938 1,337,537 2,273,475 4,700,423 Staff 597,939 477,664 1,075,603 615,464 322,718 938,182 2,013,785 Non Staff 321,111 1,030,234 1,351,345 320,474 1,014,818 1,335,293 2,686,638 D3. LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 843,617 1,828,994 2,672,610 859,118 1,450,731 2,309,850 4,982,460 Staff 548,862 872,016 1,420,878 564,948 751,360 1,316,308 2,737,186 Non Staff 294,755 956,977 1,251,732 294,171 699,371 993,542 2,245,274 D4. REGIONAL ECONOMIC FORA 35,863 329,230 365,094 35,459 334,716 370,174 735,268 Staff 23,333 219,552 242,884 23,317 225,150 248,468 491,352 Non Staff 12,530 109,679 122,209 12,141 109,565 121,707 243,916 D5. MULTI-DIMENSIONAL COUNTRY REVIEWS Estimated Costs VC 2015-16 EUR TOTAL Staff A2. GENDER AND PROGRESS TOTAL CORE 2016 in EUR 20,814 1,119,007 1,139,820 21,196 1,139,386 1,160,582 2,300,402 Staff 13,541 679,423 692,964 13,938 699,877 713,815 1,406,779 Non Staff 7,272 439,584 446,856 7,258 439,509 446,766 893,623 Staff 3,918,808 5,550,362 9,469,170 4,040,153 5,707,662 9,747,815 19,216,985 Non Staff 2,197,514 5,918,328 8,115,843 2,196,724 5,810,448 8,007,173 16,123,015 6,116,323 11,468,690 17,585,013 6,236,878 11,518,110 17,754,988 35,340,000 31 DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL Table 4. DEV PWB 2015-16 Preliminary Estimated Costs (Integrating the Results Framework - Evolution) Pillar Workstream Results Framework Structure (PWB 15-16 v. REV1 at 16 June) PWB 2013-14 Estimated Costs PWB 2015-16 Estimated Costs v. REV2 CORE 13-14 VC 13-14 Total 2013-14 CORE 15-16 VC 15-16 Total 2015-16 CORE %Δ prev. PWB %Δ prev. PWB VC Total 2015-16 %Δ prev. PWB %Δ prev. PWB A. INCLUSIVE SOCIETIES 1,681,778 1,159,399 2,841,177 856,511 3,283,444 4,139,955 -73.5% 739.7% 90.5% A1. GLOBAL SOCIAL CHALLENGES A2. GENDER AND PROGRESS B. COMPETITIVE ECONOMIES 1,164,128 517,650 79,741 274,642 884,757 305,212 1,438,769 1,402,407 384,952 363,107 493,405 940,437 2,264,328 1,019,116 1,682,959 2,627,435 1,512,521 2,623,396 -68.8% -4.7% 2158.7% 724.5% 15.2% 902.8% 82.6% 7.9% 1163.0% [1] B1. OECD INITIATIVE ON GLOBAL VALUE CHAINS AND ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION B2. POLICY DIALOGUE ON NATURAL RESOURCE-BASED DEVELOPMENT C. NEW PERSPECTIVES FOR DEVELOPMENT 39,870 39,870 4,329,737 152,606 152,606 4,277,400 192,476 192,476 8,607,137 338,007 602,430 5,178,356 737,067 945,892 4,535,104 1,075,074 1,548,322 9,713,460 747.8% 1411.0% 74.9% 383.0% 519.8% 334.1% 458.5% 704.4% 277.8% [2] C1. PERSPECTIVES ON GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT C2. GLOBAL VIEWS AND GLOBAL FORA C3. THE OECD EMERGING MARKETS NETWORK (EmNet) C4. THE NETWORK OF FOUNDATIONS WORKING FOR DEVELOPMENT (netFWD) C5. STRATEGIC GUIDANCE AND INSTITUTIONAL PRIORITIES D. REGIONAL AND NATIONAL ANALYSIS 3,944,263 192,737 128,491 64,246 6,005,467 2,823,339 595,766 658,395 199,900 4,731,797 6,767,603 788,503 786,887 264,145 10,737,263 2,998,732 511,885 14,264 14,264 1,639,211 5,377,897 2,346,261 781,768 815,636 591,438 13,485,293 5,344,993 1,293,653 829,901 605,702 1,639,211 18,863,189 -24.0% 165.6% -88.9% -77.8% 100.0% -104.4% -16.9% 31.2% 23.9% 195.9% 100.0% 1268.2% -21.0% 64.1% 5.5% 129.3% 100.0% 696.3% [3] 2,250,016 1,404,784 2,142,435 128,491 79,741 1,327,067 734,398 1,367,761 997,358 305,212 3,577,083 2,139,183 3,510,196 1,125,849 384,952 1,706,842 1,854,989 1,702,735 71,322 42,010 4,437,795 2,845,435 3,279,725 663,946 2,258,393 6,144,636 4,700,423 4,982,460 735,268 2,300,402 -24.1% 32.0% -20.5% -44.5% -47.3% 234.4% 287.5% 139.8% -33.4% 639.9% 71.8% 119.7% 41.9% -34.7% 497.6% [1] D1. AFRICA AND THE MIDDLE-EAST D2. ASIA D3. LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN D4. REGIONAL ECONOMIC FORA D5. MULTI-DIMENSIONAL COUNTRY REVIEWS TOTAL Estimated Costs 12,096,723 10,473,807 22,570,529 12,353,201 22,986,800 35,340,000 2.1% 119.5% 56.6% [1] Includes activities for which VC funding has been secured [EC funding]. Core Budget allocation adjusted accordingly [2] Activities stemming from OECD Strategy on Development. Cost and funding sources re-evaluated based on experience of current biennium. Core funding allocated to consolidate priority activities initiated in 2013-14 PWB. [3] It is anticipated that only one flagship PGD report will be issued in 2015-16 PWB as opposed to 2 in 2013-14 [4] In addition to DEVCOM and GFD/Define, workstream includes foreseen new activities on Growth and Structural Transformation [5] VC funded activity. Core budget allocation reduced to cover only oversight and management [6] Cost previously assigned across outputs on basis of relative staff costs [7] Revised cost estimate based on experience of current biennium 32 [2] [4] [5] [5] [7] [6] [1] [1] [7] [2] [5] DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL III. MEASURING OUTPUTS AND RESULTS OECD reporting tools 82. In line with OECD practice, the Development Centre applies a results-based approach to planning, budgeting and management, with consequent emphasis on accountability and outputs rather than inputs. This approach offers greater operational flexibility in managing resources but requires increased accountability as regards the delivery of Outputs and Results. Reporting tools serve the purposes of monitoring and evaluation, with a view to improve Committee / Board effectiveness (how to improve performance through adjusting priorities and outputs) and Organisational effectiveness (how to increase the impact of the Organisation and its outputs). 83. The OECD Secretariat has developed two major accountability mechanisms for monitoring and reporting on the implementation and impact of the OECD’s Programme of Work: the Committee Progress Report [C(2008)93/REV2] and the Programme Implementation Report (PIR) [C(2014)12]. The Committee Progress Report is a standard reporting on the implementation of PWB outputs activity by activity, issued twice a year. The PIR Survey is a ‘customer feedback survey’ of end-users in capitals covering the substantive work of the Organisation for the preceding biennium, with a view of gauging its Quality and Impact. 84. The key dimensions to be measured by these two tools, as identified by the OECD Council [C(2014)12], are: the proportion of Output Results completed; the timeliness of Output delivery (Output Results completion rates within the period specified); the cost of delivery (the actual use of resources compared with PWB allocations, at Output Area level); the quality of Output Results (based on feedback from Member countries and certain nonMembers and key stakeholders); and their impact (based on feedback from clients in capitals and from stakeholders). 85. These tools are routinely implemented for Part 1 bodies, but are not mandatory for Part 2. The Centre has nonetheless developed its own activity report since April 2005 (report of the Development Centre’s activities in 2004 [DEV/GB(2005)1]; [DEV/GB/M(2005)2]), to inform the Governing Board on the implementation of its PWB and the reach of its activities, and has volunteered to pilot the PIR for its PWB for the period 2007-08 and 2009-10 [DEV/GB/RD(2013)2]. Discussions are currently underway with the Executive Directorate on the possibility of piloting the new PIR exercise for the 2013-14 PWB. 33 DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL Using the Development Centre’s Results Framework to track and report on implementation 86. The Secretariat’s Results Framework (RF) has been developed to clearly demonstrate the implementation and impact of the Development Centre’s PWB. The RF is an internal managerial tool, with a longer time span than the PWB, which articulates the relationships between its long-term goal, outcomes, objectives, work-streams, specific outputs and resources & capabilities. This Framework will help developing a series of specific tracking indicators for the PWB 2015-16, complementing the ones used in standard OECD reporting. 87. While the goal statement provides the long-term rationale for the Centre’s work, its utility for regular performance assessment is limited. Hence, measurement will begin at the Outcome level. Each proposed activity in the PWB should clearly articulate: the work-stream(s) it will support; how it is expected to contribute to the Centre’s Objectives and ultimately one (or both) of its Outcomes; and what Capabilities and Resources will be used to implement it. On this last point, the expectation is that this will go beyond financial costs and consider the full range of the Centre’s strategic capabilities that need to be deployed to deliver the intended results. 88. Being able to distinguish clearly ex-ante between different activities in terms of expectations regarding results, their primary audiences and the key influencers targeted will be an important element in both establishing a coherent rationale and in shaping the approach to assessment. It is proposed that reporting to the Governing Board focuses on progress against the Objectives and Outcomes, i.e. the ‘results’ levels of the RF, leaving the Secretariat to manage the other two levels (work-streams and resources & capabilities). That said, summary reporting on the delivery of planned outputs in each work-stream and on key aspects of the Centre’s capabilities (such as expansion of nonOECD membership, broadening network participation or establishing a new network, etc.) will be conducted for managerial purposes and properly inform the higher-level reporting on results. Choice of indicators 89. An important guiding principle in the definition of indicators and data systems is to keep the approach as simple as possible as well as cost-effective, while still meeting internal and external expectations. This means in practice: Considering cost (financial and human) implications of measurement and assessing the returns to different measurement efforts; In the first instance making use of indicators that are already established in OECD reporting systems, even if these require tailoring to the Centre’s particular needs/work streams; Where new indicators are required – primarily at the level of Outcomes and Objectives – keeping them simple while still providing value to internal and external audiences. 90. Measuring outcomes: real-world complexity and uncertainty (attribution problems) means that a credible assessment at the ‘Outcome’ level requires investing in evaluative analysis, not provided by routine performance measures. Resource implications, however, pose the question of whether the investment required for a specific evaluation is justified and, if so, at what periodicity. A combination of Objective-level indicators and an improved user survey, such as the PIR, could provide sufficient assurance about the Centre’s performance. The results of the OECD In-Depth Evaluation, planned for late 2014, should inform the reporting. 34 DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL 91. Measuring objectives: the implementation of the PWB will be underpinned by the refinement of existing indicators and internal monitoring systems, and their better structuring. In particular, this could imply (i) developing self-assessment frameworks to ensure consistent judgements, (ii) routinely collect the relevant indicators and, in some cases, (iii) a clearer targeting of dissemination and influencing strategies in advance. Objective-levels indicators could be compiled as stand-alone or by using the information collected at each work-stream/activity level. While further reflections are necessary, to adequately assess the feasibility of various options and their cost implications, some examples of indicators that could be used include: Active involvement of countries at different level of development (MIC, LICs, LDC, fragile) and of relevant stakeholders in the Centre’s policy dialogues (NR and GVC Networks, Global and International Economic Forum on each region, etc.) Participation by the Centre in high-level events where the Centre’s flagship reports are discussed Contributions to the design of specific policy measures and reforms in countries (e.g. use of the Centre’s results by policy makers, requests by countries to provide specific advice, etc.) Coverage of the Centre’s work in traditional and social media and its impact (also by more systematically adopting analytical tools developed by PAC for Part 1 bodies, etc.) Regular feedbacks from participants in the Centre’s policy dialogue events, Fora and experts’ meeting 92. are: Specific examples of measuring progress in achieving outcomes of the PWB workstreams References to and/or inclusion of SIGI indicators in national action plans on gender equality, in academic research and civil society advocacy, and international debates on gender equality discriminatory social norms; similar measurement could be undertaken for the use of tax revenue statistics in LAC, Africa and Asia; Surveys assessing the relevance and uptake of policy recommendations by participating country governments in the MDCRs, in the Policy Dialogues on Natural Resources and on GVC and production transformation and in the projects on youth inclusion, on migration and on social protection; Benchmarking of the participation and quality of discussions in the Global and Regional Fora, as well as launching of new partnerships and cooperation with countries, relevant institutions and other stakeholders. 93. Measuring capabilities: the importance of the Centre’s capabilities suggests some merit also in tracking (on an exception rather than routine basis) the status/performance of important aspects. Measurement would be ‘descriptive’ in the sense of simply signalling the status of important capabilities (e.g. engagement of Member countries) or it could be used to track targeted changes (e.g. expansion in network participation; increased in the Centre’s membership). 35 DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL ANNEX I SECRETARIAT’S RESULTS FRAMEWORK 36 DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL ANNEX II POTENTIAL THEMATIC FOCUS FOR THE REGIONAL OUTLOOKS 94. The Secretariat would like to propose for discussion among its Members, the below potential thematic focus for the Centre’s Regional Outlooks. The below proposed areas of work intend to reflect the main challenges for each of the regions. The outcomes of the discussion will be shared with partners working on these outlooks for their consideration and will be used during the process of negotiation on the future focus of the Outlooks. African Economic Outlook (AEO) 95. The proposed areas of work for the AEO 2015 and 2016 are: a. The role of fiscal policies in promoting competitiveness and inclusiveness, not only as a means to enhance resources for investment in physical and social infrastructure, but also as an essential feature of successful governance reforms. This work would be conducted in tandem with the revenue statistics. b. Spatial inclusion and social capital development (proposal for AEO theme 2015): Rural areas in Africa are undergoing a profound transformation spurred by growing relations with urban centres and the unremitting links of urban dwellers with their land of origin. Making the most of Africa’s urbanisation drive while controlling for its risks requires harnessing this relationship. Yet public policies too often overlook this essential, territorial dynamics of development processes. The African and international policy debate has yet to tackle the question of what policy reforms can best support an effective connection of rural and urban economies for structural transformation. c. A greener growth for Africa: Accounting for African economies’ natural capital (proposal for AEO theme 2016). According to World Bank calculations, only 13.5% of Sub-Saharan Africa’s wealth consists of physical capital, 26% is natural capital, and 60.5% is embodied in intangible capital. Traditional national accounting only measures physical capital, which means that over 85% of the region’s asset base, and implicitly also its changes, are not taken into account. A key obstacle to promoting “greener” development policies –to avoid that a country reduces its future growth potential by depleting its natural asset base too much or by causing too many negative externalities-- is the inability of existing monitoring tools to include all forms of wealth in measures that claim to deal with the wealth of economies or with sustainable development. Yet environmental factors such as natural resources (mining), environmental pollution (pipelines, air pollution) or endangered species (national parks) are of vital importance for many African countries. d. Monitoring governance for development: The Centres analysis and case studies on institutional economics and political economy helps understand the interrelations between governance and development effectiveness and the important progress made over the last decade. They confirm that, more than technical aspects, misaligned incentives of key stakeholders are usually the main obstacle to policy reform. Yet policy makers and donors alike find it difficult to “operationalize” this knowledge, not least because of its scattered state and politically sensitive nature. This work would be prepared through policy dialogue events 37 DEV/GB(2014)3/FINAL on governance monitoring in Africa to bridge the gap between the supply and demand for governance analysis and indicators (to be funded by VC). Economic Outlook for Southeast Asia, China and India (SAEO) 96. The proposed areas of work for the SAEO 2015 and 2016 are: a. Regional integration towards a single ASEAN community by 2015. As integration with the world economy intensifies, the ASEAN region - with a population of over 600 million and a combined GDP of USD 2.2 trillion - finds itself facing important opportunities and challenges. Indeed, the year 2015 marks an important threshold for the ASEAN integration process. In this context, the strengthening tie between ASEAN and neighbouring countries (such as China) will be also examined. b. Human capital development. Countries in the region face challenges of improving capacities to provide the education and job skills that will be needed for the development of higher productivities and technology intensive industries, partly due to remarkable growth performance of the region over the past decades. Human capital development has been identified as a key policy area in national development plans in most Emerging Asian economies. Latin American Economic Outlook (LEO) 97. The proposed areas of work for the LEO 2015 and 2016 are: a. Productivity and competitiveness in a shifting world economy. While the centre of gravity of the global economy shifts towards emerging economies, Latin America’s economic structure has moved towards a commodity-exporting model, focusing on low value-added activities with low levels of sophistication, and shifting away from more productive sectors. For a sustainable and more dynamic pattern of growth, the region needs to diversify its productive structure and to increase productivity levels to be able to compete and add more value in higher segments of the global value chains. This implies adopting a series of reforms in areas like infrastructure and logistics, where large investments will be needed and will require the mobilisation of private and public resources. In addition, the diversification of economic partners and the promotion of financial and economic integration would contribute to boost competitiveness in the region. b. Skills and productive development: Human capital is a major constraint to development in several countries of the region. The quality of education and skills mismatches are hurdles for productive diversification and upgrading. The analysis would emphasize policies that help create the necessary skills for the countries’ to meet medium-term development goals, as well as favouring a productive structure that makes the most of the existing pool of skills and that incentivises investment in more sophisticated and employable skills. c. Fiscal policy and social protection for development. Fiscal reforms both to increase the level of tax revenues collected, as well as to improve the quality of the public services provided are key in the region so that governments can respond effectively to their country’s development challenges. Current fiscal policy does little to reduce inequality in Latin America, due to low levels of direct personal taxes and public social expenditures, as well as inadequate targeting of expenditure. Social protection policies and safety nets are also essential to promote employment, to disincentivise informality and to protect elderly society.http://www2.oecd.org/oecdinfo/info.aspx?app=OLIScoteEN&Ref=C/MIN(2013)1 38