6. MODELING WITH FIRST-ORDER EQUATIONS 43 Radioactive Decay Suppose ∆t is a sufficiently small time interval (i.e., as small as we need) and P (∆t) is the probability that a given nucleus will decay over any time period of length ∆t. We assume P (∆t) ∝ ∆t =⇒ P (∆t) ≈ λ∆t, λ > 0 and that P (∆t) << 1 approx (P (∆t) is much smaller than 1). P (∆t) Also assume that lim = λ. ∆t→0 ∆t Let N (t) = # of nuclei at time t. Then the number of atoms decaying over a time period of ∆t beginning at time t is N (t)P (∆t) ≈ N (t) · λ · ∆t =⇒ N (t + ∆t) = N (t) − N (t)P (∆t) ≈ N (t) − N (t) · λ · ∆t =⇒ dN N (t + ∆t) − N (t) −N (t) · λ · ∆t = lim = lim = ∆t→0 ∆t→0 dt ∆t ∆t £ § lim − N (t) · λ = −λN(t) ∆t→0 Thus the model is dN = −λN(t), N (0) = N0. dt However, this model is flawed due to the discreteness of N(t), whose values are integers, resulting in a discontinuous function.