Ship Intelligence Remote and Autonomous Ships The next steps RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps TABLEOFCONTENTS Page Introduction 3 Author(s) Background 4 AAWAInitiative 5 Visionofremotecontrolledshipoperation 6 Voyageplanningandinitiation 8 Unmooringandmanoeuvringoutofharbour 9 Operationmodesatopensea 10 Portapproachanddocking 12 Applicabilityfordifferentshiptypes 12 Conclusion 13 Technologiesformarinesituationalawarenessandautonomousnavigation 15 EsaJokioinen JonnePoikonen Autonomousnavigationofthevessel 18 MikaHyvönen Situationalawareness(SA)forautonomousships 23 AnttiKolu Off-shipcommunication 30 TeroJokela JariTissari AriPaasio LegalImplicationsofremoteandautonomousshipping HenrikRingbom Introduction 36 FelixCollin Lawatsea 36 MikaViljanen Technicalrequirements 40 Liabilityrules 49 Summary 54 Safetyandsecurityinautonomousshipping–challengesforresearchand 35 56 RistoJalonen RistoTuominen Introducingofautonomousmerchantshipsformaritimeoperation 58 MikaelWahlström Are‘unmannedships’safe? 59 Preconditionsofsafetyandsecurity 60 Focalareasofrisk–someselectedexamples 62 Managingshippingsafetyandsecurityinshortandlongterm 68 Buildingriskunderstandingforthefuture 72 Recommendations 72 development FromInnovationstoMarkets–RedefiningShipping 74 JouniSaarni Redefiningshipping–atransitiontoautonomousshipping 75 SiniNordberg-Davies Autonomousshipping–anissueofbusinessrelationshipsand 77 HannuMakkonen networks Autonomousshipping–arenewedsetofrolesbetweenthekey 79 actors Transitiondriverstoautonomousshipping 80 Transitionroadmap 82 Conclusion 85 2 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps Introduction EsaJokioinen–Rolls-Royce–HeadofBlueOceanTeam 3 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps 1.Background “Autonomousshippingisthefutureofthemaritimeindustry.Asdisruptiveasthesmartphone,the smartshipwillrevolutionisethelandscapeofshipdesignandoperations” MikaelMakinen,PresidentRolls-RoyceMarine Tenyearsagotheveryideathatyoucouldmanageyourlifethroughasmallglassscreen,was consideredalmostimpossible.Nowfewofuswouldwanttobewithoutone.Twoyearsagotalkof intelligentshipswasconsideredbymanyasafuturisticfantasy.Today,theprospectofaremote controlledshipincommercialusebytheendofthedecadeisareality. Thetechnologies,particularlysensortechnologies,neededtomakeremoteandautonomousshipsa realityalreadyexist.Thechallengeistofindtheoptimumwaytocombinethemreliablyandcost effectively.Thedecisionalgorithmswhichwillhelpsuchvesselsdecidewhatactiontotakeinthelight ofthatsensorinformationarebeingperfected.Thisrequiresaninterpretationofmaritimerulesand regulationsleadingtochallengesofinterpretationfortheprogrammer.Thedevelopmentofdecision supportsystemswillbeagradualanditerativeprocesssubjecttoextensivetestingandsimulation. Tosecureregulatoryapproval;aswellasindustrysupportandpublicacceptance,remoteand autonomousshipswillneedtobeasleastassafeasexistingvessels.Theyhavethepotentialtoreduce humanbasederrorsbutatthesametimenewtypesofriskwillariseandwillneedtobeaddressed.A comprehensiveandstructuredwaytoidentifyandaddresstheserisksisrequired. Unmannedshipsopenupexcitingpossibilitiestoredefinethewayashipisdesignedandfunctions. Whentherearenopeopleonboard,manyconstraintsontheshiplayoutareremoved.Oneofthemost obviousistheremovaloftheaccommodationandwiththattheentiredeckhouse.Thiswillsavecost, weightandspace,aswellasenablingtheshiptocarrymorecargo.Ashipcontainssystemsthatare onlytheretoservethecrew.Theirremovalwillsimplifytheentireship,whichshouldimprove reliabilityandproductivitywhilereducingbuildandoperatingcosts. Futurevesselswillstillneedhumaninputfromlandmakingconnectivitybetweentheshipandthe shorecrucial.Suchcommunicationwillneedtobebidirectional,accurate,scalableandsupportedby multiplesystemscreatingredundancyandminimisingrisk.Sufficientcommunicationlinkcapacityfor shipsensormonitoringandremotecontrol,whennecessary,hastobeguaranteed.Continuous, guaranteedconnectivitygivesustheabilitytomonitorequipmentinserviceinrealtimedetecting, 4 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps diagnosingandprioritisingissueswithcriticalequipmenthelpingcustomersgetthemostoutoftheir assetsbyoptimisingbothoperationsandmaintenanceschedules. Sucharichstreamofdataandmorestandardisedshipswillhaveenormousconsequencesforthe shippingindustry. Itwillallowshipownerstomanagetheirfleettooptimiseoperationsandmaximiseprofit.Bylooking atdatafromindividualshipstogethertheywillbeabletoidentifythebestcombinationofroute,cargo, maintenancescheduleandfuelpriceforthefleetasawholegettingthemaximumvaluefromasetof veryexpensiveassets. Inthisshipownerswillnotbealone.Increaseddigitalisationwillcreatenewshippingservices,suchas moreefficientpoolingandalliances,leasingofassets,onlinecargoservicemarketplaces,etc.Someof theseserviceswillsupportexistingmarketplayersandsomewillbedisruptive–allowinganew playertoenterthemarketandtakeoverlargesharesofthebusinessinthesamewayasUber,Spotify andAirbnbhavedoneinotherindustrysectors. Rolls-RoycetogetherwiththeotherpartnersintheAAWAproject,DNVGL,Inmarsat,Deltamarin, NAPA,BrighthouseIntelligence,FinferriesandESLShipping–andwiththesupportofTekesRollsRoyce–isleadingthisrevolution. 2.AAWAInitiative TheAdvancedAutonomousWaterborneApplications(AAWA)Initiativeisa€6.6millionproject fundedbyTekes(FinnishFundingAgencyforTechnologyandInnovation)aimstoproducethe specificationandpreliminarydesignsforthenextgenerationofadvancedshipsolutions. Itbringstogetheruniversities,shipdesigners,equipmentmanufacturers,andclassificationsocietiesto exploretheeconomic,social,legal,regulatoryandtechnologicalfactors,whichneedtobeaddressedto makeautonomousshipsareality. Theprojectwillrununtiltheendof2017andwillpavethewayforsolutions-designedtovalidatethe project’sresearch.TheprojectwillcombinetheexpertiseofsomeofFinland’stopacademic researchersfromTampereUniversityofTechnology;VTTTechnicalResearchCentreofFinlandLtd; ÅboAkademiUniversity;AaltoUniversity;theUniversityofTurku;andleadingmembersofthe 5 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps maritimeclusterincludingRolls-Royce,DNVGL,Inmarsat,Deltamarin,NAPA,Brighthouse Intelligence,FinferriesandESLShipping. Thewiderangingprojectlooksatresearchcarriedouttodatebeforeexploringthebusinesscasefor autonomousapplications,thesafetyandsecurityimplicationsofdesigningandoperatingremotely operatedships,thelegalandregulatoryimplicationsandtheexistenceandreadinessofasupplier networkabletodelivercommerciallyapplicableproductsintheshorttomediumterm.The technologicalworkstream,ledbyRolls-Royce,encompassestheimplicationsofremotecontroland autonomyofshipsforpropulsion,deckmachineryandautomationandcontrol,using,wherepossible, establishedtechnologyforrapidcommercialisation. Forremotecontrolledandautonomousshipstobecomearealityanumberofcriticalquestionsneed tobeanswered: • Whattechnologyisneededandhowcanitbebestcombinedtoallowavesseltooperate autonomouslyandmilesfromshore; • Howcananautonomousvesselbemadeatleastassafeasexistingships,whatnewriskswillit faceandhowcantheybemitigated; • Whatwillbetheincentiveforshipownersandoperatorstoinvestinautonomousvesselsand • Areautonomousshipslegalandwhoisliableintheeventofanaccident? In2015thefirstphaseoftheprojecthasexaminedthecurrentstateofthemaritimeindustryand whatcanbelearntfromotherindustries–fromaviation’sdronesanddriverlesscarstothe smartphone.Theprojecthasexploredthecurrentstateofunderstandingofthetechnological,safety, legalandeconomicaspectsofremoteandautonomousoperation.Thefindingsofthisresearchcanbe foundinthiswhitepaper. ThenexttwophasesofAAWAwillbuildonthefindingsfromthefirstphasetodevelopthetechnical, legalandsafetyspecificationsforaproofofconceptdemonstratorbytheend of2017. 3.Visionofremotecontrolledshipoperation Theconceptofdynamicautonomy Therearenumberofdifferentdefinitionsofautonomyandmachineintelligenceintheliterature. Levelsofautonomy(LOA)areoftenusedtodescribetowhatdegreethemachinecanactonitsown. Probablythemostwell-knowndescriptionsforLOAaredevelopedbyThomasSheridan.TheSheridan 6 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps scaleincludesacontinuousrangeofdefinitionsfromamachinebeingcompletelycontrolledbyhuman (i.e.tele-operated)throughthemachinebeingfullyautonomousandnotrequiringanyinputfromthe humanbeforetakingactions. Level 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Description The computer does everything autonomously, ignores human The computer informes human only if it (the computer) decides so The computer informes human only if asked The computer executes automatically, when neccssary informing human The computer allows human a restricted time to veto before automatic execution The computer executes the suggested action if human approves Computer suggests single alternative Computer narrows aleternatives down to a few The computer offers a complete set of decision alternatives The computer offers no assistance, human in charge of all decisions and actions Table1–Sheridanlevelsofautonomy Differentvariationsofthistypesofscalehavebeendevelopedintheresearch.Acommonconclusionis thatsuchscalesmaynotbeapplicabletoentireoperationbutaremostusefulwhenappliedto differentsubtasksoftheautonomousmachine. Thisconclusionisalsohighlyrelevantforautonomousshipsasthebehaviourofthevessel(i.e.LOA) andrequiredamountofhumaninteractionwilldependentonthestateofthevesselandsubtaskbeing executed.Thistypeof“adjustable”or“dynamic”autonomyisaconceptwhichisoftendiscussedin contextofmobilerobotsinwhichthemachinecanbeoperatedforperiodsoftimeonitsown dependingonthelimitsgivenforthedecisionmakingtolerance.Therobotcanhandlesimpletasks autonomouslybutwhenthetasksaregettingmorecomplexincreasinginteractionwiththehuman operatorisneeded. Remotecontrolledshipswillfollowthistypeofdynamicautonomyapproachdependingonthestateof thevesselandmissionbeingexecuted.Insomecases,suchasnavigationintheopenseas,theshipcan benearlyfullyautonomouswhereasforsomepartsofthevoyageitwillrequireclosesupervisionand decisionmaking,orevenfulltele-operationfromthehumanoperator. Inordertounderstandhowautonomousshipswouldwork,anexampleofgeneralcargovessel operatingbetweentwoportsisdescribedinthefollowing.Theexamplewillshowexamplesof differentlevelsofautonomyduringdifferentphasesofthevoyage.Forsimplicityasinglevessel operatedbyonehumanoperatorispresented. 7 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps 4.Voyageplanningandinitiation Therearecertainthingswhicharerelatedtoremotecontroloperationthathavetobetakeninto accountbytheoperatorwhileplanningthevoyageormissionforthevessel.Autonomousvesselswill useamixofdifferentsatelliteandlandbasedcommunicationnetworksdependingontheir availability,qualityandprice.Highbandwidthsatellitecommunicationsystemsprovidethecapability tooperateanautonomousvesseldespitethelocationinvastmajorityofautonomousoperation modes.Howeversomeoftheremotecontrolorremotesupervisionmodesmightrequirealatencyand bandwidththatexceedsthecapabilityofthesatellitesystemsinadverseweatherconditions.The operatorwillhavetoensurethatthereissufficientconnectivityfortheintendedmission.Evenifdata transferofautonomousshipshashighestpriorityinthesenetworkstheoperatorwillhavetoreview thetrafficandweatherconditionsinordertodecidewhatistheprimaryoperationstrategyforeach leg. Fromvoyageplanningpointofviewthismeansdefiningwhichlegsshallbeoperatedinremote controlandwhichareexecutedautonomously.Oncethisdecisionhasbeenmade,theoperatorwill havetofurtherdefinenavigationalstrategiesalongwithfallbackstrategiesforeachleg.Thefallback strategysequenceisexecutedonlyiftheshipexperiencesanunexpectedreductioninconnectivity simultaneouslywithoperationalchallengewhichwouldnormallyrequireoperatorintervention. Thefallbackstrategycouldinclude:askingoperatortotakemanualcontrol(iffailed),slowdownand proceedtofollowingwaypoint(iffailed),stopthevesselandstayinDPmode(iffailed),navigateto previouswaypoint(iffailed),navigatebacktopresetsafelocation.Thecommandsandtheirexecution sequenceisobviouslynotsameinallpartsofthevoyage.Forexampletryingtomaintainitspositionin themiddleofacongestedandnarrowfairwayinharshweathermightnotbeafeasiblestrategy.The voyageplanaswellasthefallbackstrategiescanalwaysbemodifiedduringthevoyageusingthe satellitecommunicationlink. Theshipwillalsoneedtohaveanautomaticsystemforverifyingtheseareadinessbeforestartingthe voyage.Mostofthesystemscanbecheckedremotelybytheoperatorwhileinsomeareas(suchas securingcargo)shorebasedcrewcanalsobeusedtocheckthatvoyagecanbestarted. 5.Unmooringandmanoeuvringoutofharbour Themooringsystemsforanautonomousvesselcanbefullyorsemi-automatic.Inthecaseofafully automaticmooringsystemthecompletemooringandunmooringoperationcanberemotecontrolled 8 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps orisautomaticallyexecutedbytheautonomousvessel.Semi-automaticmooringmeansthat connectiontothequaycanbemadeautomaticallybutcrewisneededtosecurethedocking(i.e.using conventionalrope-basedsystems).Bothoftheserequirepotentiallysomemodificationstothe docksideinfrastructurewhichmeansthattheeconomicfeasibilityofthemooringsystemwilldepend onhowmanyvesselsareabletousethesamedockingsystem.Solutionsforthisexistinthemarket andAAWAexplorestheirfeasibilityforautonomousvesselsalongwithdevelopmentofnewpotential automaticmooringarrangements. Figure1–Semi-automatedmooringsystem Whentheshipismanoeuvredoutofthecongestedharbourareatheoperatorcaneitherhavedirect remotecontrolorsupervisorycontrolwhichissupportedbytheonboardsituationawareness systems.Inthistypeofoperationahighbandwidthandlowlatencycommunicationlinkisneeded.In certainareasthiscanbeprovidedbytheland-basedcommunicationnetworksandsatellite communicationsystemsremainasback-up. Figure2–Supervisoryteleoperation 9 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps Remotecontrolcanmeandirectjoystick-typeoperationmodesalreadyexistinginthedynamic positioningsolutionssuchaslockingspeed,headingorrelativepositiontoanobjectareavailable. However,amorepracticalwayincaseofmostshiptypesiscontrollingthevesselbysendingwaypoint andthedynamicpositioningcontrolcomputerandautonomouscontrolsystemtakescareofactual propulsioncontrols.Insomeareasitispotentiallyalsofeasibletogodirectlytoautonomousmode insteadofstartingwithteleoperationorsupervisorycontrol. 6.Operationmodesatopensea Innormalautonomousmodetheshipexecutestheplannedmission(e.g.navigationtothenext waypoint)accordingtothedefinedplan.Inthismodethedatatransferbetweentheshipandoperator isminimisedandlimitedtoonlyrelevantstatusdatasuchasship’slocation,heading,speed,ETAto nextwaypoint(orareaofclosersupervision)andkeyinformationfromthesituationalawareness systemsaswellascriticalshipsystems.Whiletheinteractionrequirementbetweentheshipand operatorisminimalinthisnormalstate,itispossiblefortheoperatortosupervisemorethanone vesselatthetime.Thismeansthattheautonomylevelofthevesselishighaslongasthemission executionisproceedingaccordingtotheplanmadebytheoperator. Additionalinformationwillbeprovidedautomaticallyincasethesituationalawarenesssystemsand theautonomousnavigationsystemautonomousdecisionmakingthresholdisexceededanduser notification,confirmationorinterventionisrequired.Thismeansthattheautonomylevelis dynamicallyadjustedifthemissionexecutionisnotproceedingaccordingtotheoriginalplanandthe autonomousnavigationsystemseesthatadjustmentsareneeded. Differentlevelsofoperatorinteractionwillberequesteddependingontheoperationalscenario.For exampleifthevesselisdeviatingfromtheplannedcoursebetweenthetwowaypointsbutstayswithin specifiedmarginstheautonomousnavigationsystemonlynotifiestheoperatoraboutplannedevasion andgivestheoperatorapossibilitytovetoforalimitedtime.Oneexampleofsuchevasioncouldbe takingautomaticactiontokeepoutofthewayofanothervesselbyslightlychangingtheheadingor speed.TheoperatorcouldchoosetouseVHFradiotocommunicatewiththeothervesselandconfirm thatactiontakenbythevesselissafeforbothparties,andifmodificationsareneededtheoperatorcan takethevesselinmanualcontrol. Amorecomplicatedcaserequiringuserdecisionmakingiswhenthevesselneedstochangethe courseinsuchawaythatcompletewaypointhastobere-planned(e.g.evasionoroffsetfromthe plannedpathisnotenoughtosolvethenavigationalchallenge).Inordertoensurethatchangestothe 10 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps planaremadeinasafewayoperatorconfirmationwillberequested.Theautonomousnavigation systemwillofferoneormorealternativesofhowthewaypointcouldbemodifiedbuttheoperatorwill finallymakethedecisionhowtocontinuethevoyage. Itcanalsobeexpectedthattherewillbecomplexscenarioswheretheautonomousnavigationsystem pathplanningandalgorithmscannotunambiguouslysolvethesituation.Exampleofthiscouldbeif extremelylargenumberofcraftsorotherobjectsaredetectedandthepathplanningalgorithmsare notcapabletoidentifythemandtherebythesystemcannotdeterminehowthenavigationshould proceed.Inthistypeofscenariothevesselwillimmediatelysenda“pan-pan”messagetotheoperator indicatingthatitisinurgentneedofassistance.Theshiphaspredefinedsetoffallbackstrategiesthat itwillstarttoexecuteintheplannedorderifuserresponseisnotreceived,andin“pan-pan”- dependingontheurgency,automaticfallbackstrategyexecutioncanalsobestartedimmediately. Figure3–Differentscenariosrequiredifferentlevelsofoperatorinvolvement Operationoftheautonomousvesselwillcombinedifferentautonomylevelsdynamicallydependingon thestateofthevesselandexternalconditions.Obviouslyasthecontrolalgorithmswillevolveand matureovertime,theshipswillbecapableofhandlingincreasinglycomplexsituationsontheirown. Whentheautonomousshipfleetincreasesitwillalsobepossiblethattheautonomousshipsshare voyageplansandcommunicatewitheachotherautomaticallywhichreducestheoperatorload. However,therewillalwaysbemannedvesselssailingalongwithautonomousshipswhichmeansthat humanoperatorwillbenecessaryforquitesometimetointerpretthisinformationuntilclear standardsforinformationsharingbetweenmannedandunmannedvesselsaredeveloped. 11 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps 7.Portapproachanddocking Whenapproachingtheportareatheoperatorcanagainchoosetotaketeleoperationtypecontrolor increasethesupervisionlevelofthevessel.ThismightbenecessaryfromVTSpointofview,butalso becausepilotingmightberequired. Pilotingcaninthefuturebeorganisedinnumberofdifferentwaysforautonomousvessels.One alternativeisthatthepilothascapabilitiestotakecontroloftheautonomousvessel,oralternatively theautonomousvesseloperatorcanholdapilotlicensefortheintendedoperationareas. Implementationofautonomousvesselswillmostlikelystartfromnationalorregionalwatersand frequentrouteswhichmeansthatpilotingproceduresandpracticalitieswithVTScanbeagreedcaseby-caseforthefirstvessels. Whenoperatingthevesselinproximityoftheshoreitisagainpossibletorelyontheland-based systemsforcommunication.Additionallythenavigationsystemcanuselandbasedexternalreference systemsforpositioningwhichwillbeusefulespeciallyinportareas.Inadditionlandbasedcamera andradarsystemscanbeusedtonavigatethevesselsafelyalongsidethedock. 8.Applicabilityfordifferentshiptypes Theexampledescribedintheearlierchaptergivesanideaofhowdynamicautonomywouldworkfor shipoperations.Obviouslytypeandlevelofautonomywillbealsohighlydependentontheshiptype, size,operationalareaandconditions.Forexampleanautonomoustugwouldfollowthesame principlesbutastheoperationismuchmorefocusedaroundthetowingmission,thecontroland autonomyprincipleshavetobedefinedfromadifferentpointofview. Generallyspeakingthemorevariationsandcomplexitythemissionhas,themoretheshipwillhaveto relyonoperatorassistanceandremotecontrolatleastinthefirstphasesoftheimplementation. Anotherexamplecouldbeaninlandferrymakingtensofidenticalcrossingseveryday.Inthiscasethe missioninitselfhasmuchlessvariationandtheautonomylevelinexecutingthetaskcanbemuch higher.Atthesametimeitisimportanttokeepinmindthateventhoughthebasicmissionisnot variedtoomuch,theconditionssuchasweatherandtrafficcanchangeconsiderably.Onboardcrew mightstillbeneededinthesecasestosupervisesafetyoftheoperationseveniftheshipexecutesthe basicmissionnearlyautonomously. 12 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps Inadditiontodifferencesinoperationandconditions,therearealsobigdifferencesinhowtheships willreacttocontrolcommands.Alargecontainervesselandsmallgeneralcargovesselwillneedto havetheirownship-specificmodelsofcontrolalgorithmseventhoughthefundamentalsofhowthey reactautonomouslytodifferentnavigationalconditionswouldbefollowingthesameprinciples. Technicallythisalsomeansthatthesituationalawarenesssystemwillhavetobedifferentasthe reactiondistance(time)ofalargevesselisconsiderablyhigherandhigherpredictabilitylevelsare needed. 9.Conclusion ThefirstphaseoftheAAWAprojecthasexaminedthecurrentstateofthemaritimeindustryandwhat canbelearntfromotherindustries.Theprojecthasexploredthecurrentstateofunderstandingofthe technological,safety,legalandeconomicaspectsofremoteandautonomousoperation. Theinitialconclusionsare: 1. Therewillbenosingleremoteorautonomousshipsolutionbutratherahybridofthetwo whichwilldependonthetypeandfunctionofthevessel. 2. Thetechnologiesneededtomakeremoteandautonomousshipsarealityexist.Thechallenge istofindtheoptimumwaytocombinethemreliablyandcosteffectively.Thedevelopmentof decisionsupportsystemsforautonomousvesselswillbeagradualanditerativeprocessand subjecttoextensivetestingandsimulation. 3. Theoperationofremoteandautonomousshipswillbeasleastassafeasexistingvessels. Thereispotentialtoreducehumanbasederrorsbutatthesametimenewtypesofriskwill ariseandwillneedtobeidentifiedandaddressed. 4. Legislationcanbechangedifthereisapoliticalwill.Forremoteandautonomousshippingto becomearealityeffortisneededatallregulatorylevels.Thelegalchallengesofconstructing andoperatingademonstrationvesselatanationallevelneedtobeexploredwhilst simultaneouslyconsideringappropriaterulechangesattheIMO.Questionsofliabilityfor autonomousshipsaresubjecttonationalvariations,butgenerallyitseemsthatthereisless needforregulatorychangeinthisfield.Whatneedstobeexplored,however,istowhatextent otherliabilityrules,suchasproductliability,wouldaffecttraditionalrulesofmaritimeliability andinsurance. 5. Remoteandautonomousshipshavethepotentialtoredefinethemaritimeindustryandthe rolesofplayersinitwithimplicationsforshippingcompanies,shipbuilders,maritimesystems 13 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps providersandtechnologycompaniesfromother(especiallytheautomotive)sectors. Thenextstepsare: • thedevelopmentandtestingofspecifictechnologicalsolutionsforautonomousoperations usingbothsimulatorsaswellastestsatseaacrossavarietyofenvironmentalconditions-the optimumwaytocombinethedifferentsensortechnologiesinarangeofoperatingandclimatic conditionswillbethesubjectofaseriesofteststhisyearonboardtheFinFerriesvessel,the Stella,operatingbetweenKorpoandHoutskär; • researchtounderstandthechangedandnewrisks(avarietyofknownandunknownhazards) presentedbynewandemergingtechnology,buildingonthemarineindustry’sexperienceof systematicandcomprehensiveriskassessments,todevelopnewapproaches; • exploringthelegalchallengesofconstructingandoperatingademonstrationvesselata nationallevelwhilstsimultaneouslyconsideringappropriaterulechangesattheIMO; • exploringstakeholderviewsofremoteandautonomousshippingtoestablishcostandrevenue modelsofautonomousoperationfordifferentshiptypes. TheoutcomePhaseIIwillbethetechnical,legalandsafetyspecificationsforafullscaleproofof conceptdemonstratorbytheendof2017andaremotecontrolledshipincommercialusebytheend ofthedecade. Therevolutionhasbegun. 14 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps Technology JonnePoikonen,SeniorResearchFellow,D.Sc.(Tech.),UniversityofTurku MikaHyvönen,SeniorResearchFellow,D.Sc.(Tech.),TampereUniversityof Technology AnttiKolu,DoctoralStudent,M.Sc.(Tech.),TampereUniversityofTechnology TeroJokela,SeniorResearchFellow,D.Sc.(Tech.),UniversityofTurku JariTissari,ProjectResearcher,M.Sc.(Tech.),UniversityofTurku AriPaasio,Professor,D.Sc.(Tech.),UniversityofTurku 15 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps Technologiesformarinesituationalawarenessandautonomous navigation Technologiesforrealisingremoteandautonomousshipsexist.Thetaskistofindtheoptimumwayto combinethemreliablyandcosteffectively. Thedevelopmentofautonomousvehicles,eitheronland,airorseahasseengreatprogressduringthe last10years.Thishasbeenenabledbyadvancesintechnologies,whichenableperceptionofthe surroundingenvironment,pathplanningandvehiclecontrolinrealtime.Withacombinationofan arrayofadvancedsensortechnologies–becomingavailablealsobeyondearliermilitaryandscientific use–andrapidlyincreasingdataprocessingperformance,wehavereachedatechnologicallevelon whichfullvehicularautonomyisindeedfeasible. Themostprogresshasbeendemonstratedinthefieldofautonomouscars.Thisisnaturalduetothe largemass-marketpotentialandtheglobalneedforincreasedtrafficsafety.Formilitaryapplications, significantresearchanddevelopmenthasbeencarriedoutinthefieldsofautonomouslandvehicles, aviationandalsomarinevessels,suchassmallpatrolandattackboats[Elkins,2010].Recently,efforts tocreatesolutionsalsoforcivilianautonomousmarinevesselshaveseenasignificantincrease,e.g.in theformofmanynewresearchprogramsinco-operationwithacademiaandmarinetechnology companies,includingAAWA. Oneofthekeytechnologiesforanyreliableautonomousvehiclenavigationissensorfusion.When creatingSituationalAwareness(SA)foranautonomousvehicle,nosinglesensortechnologycan providesufficientperformanceunderallpossibleconditions.Therefore,inordertoguaranteethatthe informationonthevehicle’ssurroundingsissufficientlyaccurateatalltimes,theinputfrommultiple sensorshastobecombinedandanalysed.Thesensordataprocessingshouldthenbeseamlessly integratedwithsubsequentpathplanningandreactivecollisionavoidancesystems,whichmaintaina constantlyupdateddetailedmapofthevehicle’senvironment,allowingthevehicletoplanitsroute andavoidanycollisionswithobjectsorothervehicles.Themapgatheredfromsensordatacanalsobe augmentedwithdatafromstaticmapdatabasessuchasGoogleMapsforcarsorelectronicnautical charts(ECDIS)forships,whichpresentstaticobjectsofthesurroundingarea. Researchonautonomouscarsoffersthemostextensivesourceofpubliclyavailableinformationon technologiesdevelopedforautonomousvehicles.ThetoppartofFigure1illustratesatypicalsensing 16 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps andprocessingpipelineappliedinautonomouscars.Multiplesensorsareusedtoextractdatafrom thesurroundingsofthevehicle.Thepreferenceondifferentsensortypesvaries:GoogleappliesLIDAR asthemainsensorsource,whichissupportedbyotherdevices,whiletheapproachtakenbyTeslaor MercedesBenzisbasedonthefusionofcamerasandshortrangeautomotiveradars.Theselectionof theoptimalsensorplatformisaquestionofperformance,reliabilityandcost.ThedatafromtheSAsensorsisusedtocreatealocalmapofthesurroundingsofthecar,whichiscomparedtoverydetailed mapsoreven3Dmodelsoftheareawherethevehicleismoving.Thisenablesextractingtheposition andposeofthevehiclewithmoreaccuracythanispossiblewithjustGPS-basedlocalisation.Thelocal mapofobstaclessurroundingthecarisalsousedforreactivecollisionavoidance.[Franke,2013], [Guizzo,2011] ThebottompartofFigure1illustratestheshipautonomyapproachcurrentlybeingdevelopedin AAWA.Manyexistingtechnologicalsolutionsfromautomotivedevelopmentcanbedirectly,or throughsomeadjustment,appliedalsotoautonomousmarinenavigation.Themainquestionis thereforenotwhethertheimplementationofautonomousshipnavigationistechnicallypossible,but whatisthecombinationoftechnologiesandmethodsthatprovidesthelevelofperformanceand reliabilitythatisrequiredforpracticaloperationoflargevessels,andatareasonablecost. Thekeyaspecttosuccessfulvehicularautonomyisreliabilityandsafety.Despitealloftherecent technologicaladvances,conclusivedemonstrationsofsufficientlyreliableautonomouscarnavigation invaryingreal-worldconditionshavenotbeenpresented.Eventhemostadvancedandwidelytested automotivesolutionssuchasGoogle’sautonomouscarsstillstruggletocopewithunknown environmentsandunexpectedevents,thusrequiringhumaninterventionfromtimetotime.Even moreimportantly,tolerancetoextremeweatherconditionsisasignificantchallenge,whichsofarhas notbeenfullyresolved. Publishedmarinesolutionshavesofarbeendemonstratedonsmallboatsandwithonlye.g.alimited useofsensoryfusionandautonomyandtypicallyunderfairlyeasyweatherconditions.IntheAAWA project,thefocusisfromthestartonharsh,butstillrealistic,conditionsandontheparticular challengesofautonomyandremotecontrolimplementationforevenlargeocean-goingships.Thisis madepossiblebycloseco-operationbetweenresearchersandindustrialpartners. Fortheimplementationofautonomousnavigationandreactivecollisionavoidance,themarine applicationpresentsbothadvantagesandchallengescomparedtootherautonomousvehicles. Becausethespeedofashipisfairlyslow,theinterpretationofSA-sensordataandnavigation manoeuvresdonothavetobeasfastasine.g.automotiveapplications.Theshipisalsonotconfinedto 17 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps e.g.anarrowroad,whichmakesavoidingothervesselseasier.Ontheotherhand,theinertiaofaship islargeanditisnotpossibletoe.g.makeasharpturnortostopquickly.Animportantaspecttoalso takeintoaccountisthatthenumberofautonomousshipswill,inanyfuturescenario,beordersof magnitudelowerthanwhatisenvisionedforautonomouscars.Whileitisnotfeasibletoapplyremote humanmonitoring(controlcentre)forbillionsofautonomouscars,shorecontrolcentresdedicatedto autonomousshipsarefeasible.Suchcentrescanoverseetheperformanceofmultipleships,andapply remotecontrolsifnecessary. Thisreportwilltakeacloserlookattheavailabletechnologiesthatcanbeappliedforshipautonomy andtheremainingchallengesaheadtoreachrequiredtechnologicalreadinessforaproof-of-concept demonstratorbytheyear2017. 1. Autonomousnavigationofthevessel 1.1. Reactivecontrolandpathplanningforcollisionfreenavigation CollisionavoidanceforshipshasseengreatinterestafterWorldWarII,duetothedevelopmentof radarandtherapidriseofthetrafficintheseas.Collisionavoidanceplaysamajorroleinthe mariner’sdailyworkandbecausecriticaldecisionsofhumansarehighlysubjective,international rulesformaritimecollisionavoidance(COLREGs)aredevelopedbyInternationalMarineOrganization (IMO)tohelpnavigation. Collision-freemotiontechniquescanbedividedintoeitherglobalmethods,basedonpathplanning usingaprioriinformation,orlocalmethodswhicharebasedonreactivenavigationusingsensory information.Inmotionplanningthepathissolvedbycomputingageometricaltrajectoryavoiding knownobstacles,which,inreal-worlduncertainenvironments,willeasilyleadtocollision.Inreactive navigationtherealityoftheenvironmentduringmotionistakenintoaccountusingarapidlyrepeated perception-actionprocess.[Statheros,2008],[Pietrzykowski,2009],[Tam,2009],[Campbell,2012]. 18 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps Autonomouscarexample ProposedmarinepipelineinAAWA Figure1.Comparisonbetweenautomotiveandmarinenavigationpipelines. Planningacollisionfreepathforanautonomousmachinethroughanenvironmentcontainingstaticor movingobstacles,inthiscaseavesselmovinginbothharbourareaandopensea,isaproblemthathas beenextensivelystudiedduringthepastdecades.Differentsystemsrequiredifferentplanning strategies.Also,thekinematicanddynamicconstraintsofthevesselhavetobetakeninto considerationwhenplanningthepath,sothattheplannedmanoeuvrescanbeexecuted.Forexample, theturningradiusofthevessellimitstheminimumturningangleallowedforthepath.Also,the dynamicsofthevesselneedtobetakenintoaccount,i.e.thevesselturningradiusalsodependson speedofthevehicle.Forautonomousships,alsotheenvironmentalelementsneedtobetakeninto accountwhenplanningapath.Weatherconditionshavealsoalargeeffectontheselectionofthebest path.Thechallengesrelatedtoreactivenavigationaremainlyduetoinstabilityoftheclosedloop controlduetothedynamicpropertiesoftheshipandsurroundingenvironment(waves,wind,sea currents)andingettingtheproperinformationfromtheship’ssituationalawarenesssensors. [Statheros,2008],[Pietrzykowski,2009],[Tam,2009],[Campbell,2012],[Elkins2010]. 19 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps Twoofthemostcommonpathplanningapproachesaregraph-basedandsampling-basedapproaches. GraphbasedapproachessuchasA*andD*andtheirnumerousvariantshavebeenthemoststudied algorithmsforoptimalpathplanningproblems.Themainadvantageofsampling-basedapproaches, suchasprobabilisticroadmap(PRM)andrapidlyexploringrandomtree(RRT)andtheirvariants,is theabilitytoeasilyincludedynamicandkinematicconstraintsofthevehicle.Forreactiveobstacle avoidance,theseoptimalpathplanningapproachesmaynotbeefficientenough.Therefore,algorithms suchasvelocityobstaclesarecommonlyused.[Campbell,2012],[Casalino,2009],[Lalish,2012], [Evans,2008],[Sharma,2012],[Statheros,2008]and[Tam,2009] 1.2. AutonomousNavigationSystem(ANS)ofAAWA InAAWA,asolutionfortheintegrationofacompleteautonomousshipnavigationarchitectureis beingdeveloped,whichtakesadvantageofaRolls-RoyceDynamicPositioning(DP)systemdeveloped forfutureautonomousshipsandlinksitwithanAutomaticNavigationSystem(ANS),including SituationalAwareness(SA),CollisionAvoidance(CA),RoutePlanning(RP),andShipStateDefinition (SSD)modulesdevelopedintheAAWAproject.Figure2showsaschematicoftheANSarchitecture. Figure2.AutonomousNavigationSystem(ANS)architecture. ThehighestlevelintheANSsystemistheShipStateDefinition(SSD)moduleor“VirtualCaptain”(VC), whichcombinesinformationfromdifferentANSsub-systems(SA,DP,RPandCA),aswellasfrom othershipautomationsystemsandtheoperatortodeterminethecurrentstateoftheship’ssystems. Thestateoftheshipdeterminestheallowedshipoperationmode,suchasautonomous,remotecontrolorfailsafe.ThestateinformationfromtheVCisalsousedtocontinuouslyinformtheoperator aboutthestageoftheship. 20 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps Dynamicpositioningsystemsallowtheshiptoautomaticallymaintainitspositionorheadingbyusing itspropellers,ruddersandthrusters.Whencombinedwithaglobalorlocalpositioningreferencesuch asGlobalNavigationSatelliteSystem(GNSS),andwithwindsensorsandInertialMeasurementUnits (IMUs),theshipisabletokeepitspositioneveninroughweatherconditions.ModernDPsystems, suchasRollsRoyceIconDP,areabletoalsomanoeuvretheshipatslowspeed.Thisallowsthe integrationofautonomousbehaviourinshipcontrol.AstheDPsystemalreadyhasinformationofthe ship’smanoeuvringcapabilities,itisabletocalculatewheretheshipiscantomoveinthefuture. Thesedynamicconstraintsontheship’smovementaretransmittedtotheCAmoduletoenablemore efficientlocalpathplanning. RoutePlanning(RP)moduleisasoftwaremodulethatisresponsibleforplanningthepathfromstart tofinish,viapredefinedwaypoints,whileavoidingstaticobstaclesdefinedinelectronicnavigational chartsandfollowingshippinglaneswhenadvisable.Thismoduleiscloselyrelatedtovoyageplanning thatisnowadaysdonebytheshipcrew.However,theRPmoduleusestheplannedvoyageas informationwhenplanningtheactualroutefortheship.Routeconsistsofwaypoints,headingsand speedfortheship.TheRPmoduledoesnotplanroutesinrealtimeastheCAmoduleisresponsiblefor manoeuvresdonetoavoidobstacles. TheCollisionAvoidance(CA)moduleisresponsibleforsafeandcollisionfreenavigation.Ituses informationfromtheRoutePlanningmoduletofollowapaththatleadstothedestinationbutcan deviatefromthecourseifariskofcollisiondetected.TheSAmodulesuppliesthelocalmapand obstacleinformationthatshowsthecurrentobstaclesneartheship.TheDPmodulesuppliestheCA modulewithanareawheretheshipisabletomanoeuvreandthuscreatesboundariesfornew waypointsthatcanberealisticallyassigned.TheCAmodulehastwomainfunctionalities,thefirstisan assessmentofthecollisionriskandthesecondistonavigatetheshipsafelybothintheharbourandin theopensea.Whenacollisionriskisdetected,asuitablestateisrequestedfromtheSSDmodule,in whichafinaldefinitionoftheshipstateismadebasedonallgivendatafromdifferentsub-systems. Thesituationalawareness(SA)moduleoftheANSisconnectedtomultiplesensordevicesofdifferent types.TheSAmodulefusesthesensordataandextractsrelevantinformationontheship’s surroundingstobeusedbytheCAsystem.TheSAmodulecanalsoperformreductionofsensordata formoreefficientoff-shipdatacommunication.TechnologydevelopmentissuesrelatedtotheSA systemandtheshipsensorsarediscussedinSections2and3. 21 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps 1.3. Environmentalmappingandobstacledetectionforautonomousshipnavigation Mappingmeansthecreationofarepresentationoftheworld.Therearemultiplewaysthemapping processcanbeperformedandwhatkindofapresentationoftheworldiscreated.Theseare dependentontheapplication,wherethemapsareneededandwhatsensorsareusedforperceiving theenvironment.Mapinformationisusedinforpathplanning,obstacleavoidance,andlocalisationof theautonomousship. Onseaandharbourarea,itispossibletousenauticalandterrainchartstoobtaininformationabout shippinglanes,shoalsandcoastalterrain.Dynamicobstacles,suchasothervessels,aremappedby usingtheship’ssituationalawarenesssystem,combinedwithe.g.AISdata.Manymethodshavebeen developedforprocessingperceptiondataformodellingandrepresentinga2Dor3Dworld,to mentionforexampleoccupancygridmaps,heightgridandQuadtreetypeofmaps.[Mooney] Twoofthemostcommonapproachesforpresentingtheworldaretopologicalandmetricmaps. Topologicalapproachesdescribetheconnectivityofspatiallocationsintheenvironment,whereas metricmapsdescribetheworldthroughageometricpresentation.Topologicalmapsarebestsuited forhigh-levelpathandmissionplanning.Metricmapscontaingeometricinformationthatisnecessary toplanandexecutetrajectoriessafelywhileavoidingcollisions.Themappingprocesscreatesa representationofthesurroundingworld.[Elfes,1987],[Broten2012]. Obstaclescanbepresentedaspartsofthemap,butitcanalsobebeneficialtopresentdynamic obstaclesseparately.Objectdetectionandtrackingiscloselyrelatedtoobstacleavoidanceprocedures andtogethertheyensurecollisionfreenavigationofthevessel.Thereareseveralmethodsdeveloped forobstacletracking,commonlyusedareparticleandextendedKalmanfilters.Whenaseparate presentationisusedfordynamicobstacles,usingnovelsensorfusiontechniquesandcommercialship objecttrackingfunctionalities(ARPA),theirmovementsandactionscanbeeasiertopredict.For example,obstaclescanhavespeedorapredefinedpath,aswellaskinematicpropertiesthatcanbe usedtopredicttheirpositionsinthefuture.[Sinisterra,2014] 22 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps 2. SituationalAwareness(SA)forautonomousships 2.1.Sensoringtheshipenvironment Methodsforthefusionofmultiplesensortypes,suchasLIDARs,camerasandradarshavebeen activelystudiedforautomotiveapplications[Herpel,2008],[Mukhtar,2015].Forexample,ashortrangeradarorLIDARcanprovideaccuraterange,velocityandangularmeasurementofobjects,while cheaperandsmallercamerascanprovidebetterspatialresolutionforobjectclassification.Near-IR (NIR)cameras,withactiveillumination,orthermalLWIRcamerascanbeusedalsofornight-time imaging.Ontheotherhand,theuseofaradarallowsoperationalsounderdifficultweatherconditions (e.g.heavyrainorsnow)wherethecameras(includingIR)mayfail.Thesameissuesapplyalsoto marineSAsensors. Themaintaskofsensorfusionistocombinethedatafromdifferentsensorsourceinsuchawaythat optimalSAperceptionisguaranteedunderallconditionsandinallsituations.SAdataisthenusedto maplocalobstaclestoenablereactivecollisionavoidance. 2.1.1SensortechnologiesforSituationalAwareness Cameras CamerasareanaturalchoiceforSA.Theyarecheap(withsomeexceptions),smallinsizeanddurable, andcanprovideveryhighspatialresolutionwithcolourinformationforobjectidentification.True night-visionispossiblewiththermalIRimagersandapairofcamerascanbeusedinastereoscopic configurationfor(limited)3Dsensing.Duetothehugerangeofbothcommercialandniche applications,cameratechnologyisstillconstantlyimproving.Thelargeexistingknowledge-baseon visualanalysisalgorithmsprovidesmanypotentialsolutionsalsoformarineSituationalAwareness. NormalvisualspectrumHDcamerasareseenasanimportanttechnologytobefusedwithother sensorydata.Highspatialresolutionallowsforrecognitionofobjectsandobstacles,eitherbyahuman remoteoperatororthroughautomatedanalysisalgorithms,andcolourinformationcanbeusedto helptheseparation(segmentation)ofrelevantobjectsfromthebackground(seasurface). Adisadvantageofcamerasisthemassiveamountsofdatageneratedbyhigh-resolutionsensors, whichrequiresextensiveprocessingperformanceandhigh-bandwidthdatalinksforanalysisand transmission.However,whenconsideringamarineSAimplementationonalargeship,the 23 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps requirementse.g.intermsofthesmallsizeorlowpowerconsumptionofprocessinghardware,are muchlessstrictthanformanyotherautonomousplatforms,suchascarsoraircraft. Visualspectrumcamerashavesomeseverelimitations:theycannotbeusedinthedark(apartfrom detectinglights)andtheirseeingdistancedropsveryquicklyinbadweather,suchasfogorheavyrain. BetterperformancecanbeobtainedwithcamerasoperatingintheInfrared(IR)range.Near-IR(NIR) sensingiscommonlyusedfornight-visioninsecuritycameras,becauseNIRsignalscanbecaptured withinexpensiveCMOS/CCDcamerasensors.This,however,requiresactiveIRilluminationofthe scene,whichisnotpracticalforshipSA.Truepassivenight-visioncanberealizedwithLong-WaveIR (LWIR)cameras,whicharesensitivetoIRradiationinthe8-14µmwavelengthrange.Because thermalLWIRradiationispassivelyemittedbyallobjects,LWIRsensorscanbeusedforimagingin totaldarkness.Duetothevaryingthermalemittanceproperties,dependingone.g.surfacematerials andsurfacegeometry,avisuallymeaningfulimagecanbecreatedevenfromobjectsandscenes,where theaveragetemperatureiseffectivelyuniform.AscanbeseenfromFigure3,thermalimagingcanbe beneficialevenindaylightconditions,e.g.indifficultilluminationconditions. Figure3.DaylightScenecapturedwithanormalcameraandathermalcamera. Microbolometer-basedLWIRcamerasarethemostaffordablethermalimagingtechnology. Furthermore,unlikesomeotherIRtechnologies,bolometersensorsdonotrequirecryogeniccooling, leadingtosimpler(morerobust)camerahardware.Thedisadvantageofbolometer-basedLWIR sensorsistheirlowresolution(typically640x480pixels,megapixelsensorsareavailablebutvery expensive),i.e.forthesamespatialaccuracy,thefield-of-view(FOV)isnarrowerthaninanormalHD camera,ascanbeseenfromFigure4. 24 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps Figure4.Fusionofvisuallightandthermalimagingatnight. Morerecently,Short-WaveIR(SWIR)cameratechnologyhasbecomeavailablealsofornon-military andorscientificapplications[Stark,2015].SWIRsensorsoperateinthe1-3µmwavelengthregion, wherethedetectedsignalisnotpassivelyemitted(thermal),butreflectedradiation.SWIRsensors providebettervisibilitythroughhazeorfogthanvisualspectrumcamerasandtheyalsoworkwellin verylowlightconditions,butnotintotaldarkness.IthasbeenstatedthatSWIRenablesbetter detectionrangeunderhumidandfoggyconditionsthanLWIR[Wallace,2013].However,SWIR technologyiscurrentlymoreexpensivethane.g.LWIR,anddoesnotimproveonthespatialresolution. WhileIRsensorsofferbettervisibilitythanvisualrangecameras,theirperformanceisalsodegraded inbadweather.Forexample,differentIR-bandsareattenuateddifferentlydependingonthelevelof humidityintheatmosphere,whichcanleadtogreatlyvaryingseeingrangesdependingonweather conditions[Beier,2004].Thisiswhyasensorsourcewhichisrobustagainstweathereffects,suchas radar,hastobefusedwiththelessreliablecameradata. RadarandLIDAR Camera-basedsensing(fusionofvisualandthermalimaging)hastwosignificantdisadvantages regardingtoSAextractioninautonomousvehicles1)insufficientweathertoleranceand2)lackofan easywaytoextractobjectdistanceinformation. Acombinationoftwomonocularcamerascanbeusedtoimplementstereoimaging,i.e.createa3D mapofthevisualscenethroughdisparitymappingbetweentwoimages.Thedrawbackofstereo imagingisthecomputationalcomplexityrelatedtolargeamountsofimagedataappliedtostereo matchingalgorithm.Also,thechoiceofcamerabaseline,i.e.thephysicalseparationofthetwosensors, effectivelysetsconstraintsonthedistanceresolvingcapabilityofthesystem.Muchbetter performancecanbeobtainedbyusingactivesensortechnologies,suchasradarorLIDAR. 25 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps Inmaritimeapplicationstheuseofradarhasalonghistory.Therefore,severalradarsystemsuppliers canbefoundinthemarketforobstacledetectionandmapping.Radarcapabilityisinfluencedbythe operatingfrequencybandoftheradar,sothattypicallyhigherfrequenciesofferbetterangleandrange resolution.Thereisawidevarietyofradarsinthemarket,intendedfordifferentpurposes,having specificcarrierfrequencies,bandwidths,transmitdurations,waveforms,antennasetc.Typically, marineradarsaremicrowaveradarsusingS-orX-bands,whicharerobustindifferentweather conditions.[Heuel,2013] However,theresolutionoftraditionalmarineradarmaynotbesufficientforreactivecollision avoidance.Forexample,consideringanautonomousshipinaharbourareaorapproachingthedock, theresolutionoftheradarintheverynearfield,i.e.somehundredsofmeters,needstobegood enoughtobeabletodetect,andmaybealsotrack,evensmallstationaryandmovingobjects.NewKa andW–bandradars,originallydevelopedforautomotiveapplications,couldbebeneficialin autonomousshipapplications,especiallyforverycloserangeobstacledetection.Theyoffermuch betterangularanddistanceresolutionthantraditionalshipradars,atthecostofreducedrange.These newtypeofradarstogetherwithmodernS-andX-bandradarsandseveraldifferenttypeofcameras areexploitedinthedevelopmenttoenablenear-fieldreactivecollisionavoidance,aswellas autonomousnavigationine.g.harbourareas.[Skolnik,2008],[Seliga,2010] LIghtDetectionAndRanging,LIDAR(orLAserDetectionAndRanging,LADAR)isascanninglaser sensortechnology,whichcanprovideveryaccuratedistancemeasurements.Multichanneldevices (e.g.witha64laserarray),suchasthoseusedinGoogle’sautonomoustestcars,cancreateavery detailed3Dmapofthesurroundingsofthevehicle.LIDAR-basedmarinenavigationhasbeen proposedanddemonstratede.g.in[Jimenez,2009],[Pastore,2010]and[Halterman,2010]. Figure5.Left:radarviewofobject.Right:3DLIDARscanningdata 26 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps OnepossibledisadvantageofLIDARisthatitusesrapidlymovingmechanicalcomponentsforthe scanningoperation,whichcouldbepronetomalfunctions,especiallyoverlongerperiodsoftimeina harshmarineenvironment.BecauseLIDARemploysalaserbeam(typicallyapulsedIRlaser),its rangeandaccuracyisalsoaffectedbyadverseweather,suchasheavyfog,rainandsnow,similarlyto IRcameras. 2.2.Sensordatafusionandprocessing Inpracticallyallfieldsofvehicleautonomy,utilisationsensorfusionhasbeenseenasthekeyfor achievingsufficientsituationalawarenessreliability.Eachseparatesensortypeexhibitsparticular weaknessesandlimitationsundersomeconditions(weather)ordetectionsetups(range,fieldofview, identification).Also,bothfalsepositiveandfalsenegativedetectionscanneverbecompletely preventedforasinglesensor;optimisingoneleadstoatradeoffagainsttheother.Bycombiningthe capabilitiesofmultiplesensormodalities,individualerrorsandweaknessescanbeaveragedoutand betteroverallperformancecanbereached.Table1roughlycomparesdifferentpotentialsensortypes intermsofperformanceaspectsrelevanttomarineSA. Table1.ComparisonofdifferentmarineSAsensors. VisualHD cameras IRcameras Shipradar Short-range LIDAR radar Sound ++ + -- - ++ -- Fieldofview + - ++ - + ++ Distance measurement Object identification 24H,allweather operation Computational loadofanalysis Marine robustness - - ++ ++ ++ -- ++ + -- -- + + -- + ++ ++ +(?) -(?) -- - ++ ++ -- + ++ ++ ++ +(?) (?) (?) ++ - +- ++ -- + SpatialAccuracy Price Basedonthereviewofexistingsolutionsreportedinvariousfieldsofautonomyandthetestingof sensortechnologiesalreadydoneinAAWA,thefusionofdifferenttypesofradarsandvisualsensors, includingthermalIRcamerasisseenasafeasiblesolutionformarinesituationalawareness.Radars enableeasytrackingoftargetdistanceandcanprovidetherequiredtolerancetobadweather.The applicationofnewhigh-GHzradarsdevelopedforautomotivecollisionavoidancecanalsoprovide sufficientobjectdetectionaccuracyforrangeswhicharetooshortandtooinaccurateforconventional 27 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps shipradar.Camerascanaugmentradardatabyprovidingmoredetailedinformationondetected objects.Furthermore,thefusionofcamerasandradarcanalsoincreasedetectionrobustness.Thermal IRcamerascanseeobjectsalsointotaldarkness,whilecolourinformationfromnormalHDcameras canbeusedforsegmentingobjectsinthewater.Asignificantconsiderationisalsotheaffordabilityof thesensorysystem.Whilemanyhigh-endsensordevicescouldprovideavaluableadditiontotheSAsystem,asolutionwhichtakesadvantageofaffordabletechnologyshouldbepreferred.Inthissense, thecombinationofradarandimaginghasanadvantageovere.g.LIDARsensors. Soundsignalling(e.g.byhorns)isalsoanintegralpartofthecurrentmaritimenavigationprocess. Therefore,inordertorealiseaSAsystemwhichisatleastascapableasahumancrew,soundcapture anddataanalysisshouldalsobeincluded.Whileloudandclearsoundssuchase.g.hornsandwhistles couldbefairlyeasilydetected,theirsourcesshouldalsobeaccuratelylocalisedrelativetotheship,to helpreactivecollisionavoidance.Thisrequiresmorethanjustcaptureanddetectionofsound,the soundsourcealsohastobespatiallylocalised,e.g.viaanarrayofmicrophones,andthesounddata fusedwithothersensormodalities.Soundsensorscouldalsobeappliedinamoregeneralmannerin theSAsystem,fordetectingandidentifyingothervesselsbythesoundsthattheynormallyemit. Sensordataprocessing Themostcomputationallyintensivepartofasensorfusionpipelineistheanalysisofdataprovidedby cameras.Theoutputcreatedbyradarsisverysparse(objectswithsomenoise)andthereforemuch easiertoprocess.Animportantpartofimagedataprocessing,isthesegmentationoftheinputdata. Highresolutionvideocamerasprovidemassiveamountsofdata,mostofwhichisirrelevantforthe processofobjectdetectionandimagecontentunderstanding.Thefirststepinanimageanalysis processisthereforetosegmenttherawinputdata,i.e.toremoveallinformationwhichisnotrelevant totheparticulartask(background)fromthosefeaturesandobjectswhichshouldbedetected (foreground).Onthereducedamountofimagedata,morecomplexanalysisalgorithmscanthenbe appliedforspatialandtemporalobjecttrackingandobjectclassification.Forexample,amarinescene canbeassumedtoalwaysconsistofthreedifferentcoarseregions:waterinthebottompartofthe image,skyinthetoppartandahorizonareainthemiddle.Byfindingthehorizonline,alargepartof theimagedatacanbediscardedfromfurtherprocessing.Sensorfusioncanbeusedtomakethe processeasierbyusingcluesfromothersensormodalitiestohelptheimageprocessingpipeline.For example,thedetection(orlackthereof)ofobjectsintheviewofaradarcanbeusedtoguidetheimage segmentationalgorithmtofocusmoreonpotentialobjectareasandfalsedetectionsfromimagedata canbediscardedifsuitableconfidencebasedonradardataisavailable. 28 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps Figure6.Horizondetectionandobjectsegmentation. Datafrommultiplesensorscanbefusedindifferentways,asillustratedinFigure7.Low-levelfusionis performedontherawornearlyunprocesseddatafromdifferentsensors,whileinhigh-levelfusion, theseparatedatastreamsareprocessedindividuallyandthedetectionsfromdifferentsensorsare combinedonobjectlevel.Theuseoflow-levelfusionismorenaturalbetweentwodifferentcamera types,suchasvisualandthermalsensors,whilethefusionbetweencamerasandradarcanbemore naturallyimplementedonahigherobjectlevel.Inpractice,themostefficientwaytoimplementsensor fusionbetweenmultiple(>2)differentsensormodalitiesisprobablyacombinationofbothlow-level andhigh-levelfusionapproaches. Inamarinesensorfusionprocess,radarcanbeusedtoprovidebearinganglesanddistancesfor variousobjectsinthescene.Thisinformationcanthenbemappedtocorrespondingobjects segmentedfrommultiplecameradata,toextractmoredetails.Thepresenceofthesameobjectin multiplesensordataprovidesamorerobustdetectionthanasinglesensorsource,whichcanalways providenoisyorincompletedata.Frame-to-frameanalysisresultsoftencontaintemporalnoise,with objectsbeingsometimeslostduetoanalysisuncertainty.Spatialandtemporalobjecttrackingcanbe appliedtoprovideacontinuoussituationalawarenessforreactivecollisionavoidance. Inordertoreachbestpossibleautonomousnavigationreliability,allotheravailabledatasources whichcanhelptheshipnavigationandcollisionavoidanceprocessshouldalsobefusedwithonboard sensordata.TheseincludealreadycommonlyusedtechnologiessuchasGPS,AIS,ARPAandECDIS,the outputsofwhichcanbefusedwiththeextractedsensordataviahigh-levellocalandglobalmap representations. 29 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps 3. Off-shipcommunication Thecapabilityforremotehumaninteractionandcontrolhastobeenabledforsituations,whichthe shipautonomycannotresolveorisnotallowedtohandlebyitself.RelayingtheSAinformation gatheredbytheship’ssensorstoaremoteoperatormayrequirethetransferofsignificantamountsof data.Duetopracticallimitationsone.g.satellitecommunicationsatopensea,thesameamountof bandwidthmaynotbeavailableatalltimes.Methodsforreducingtheamountofsensordataonlyto whatisabsolutelyneededforthehumanoperatortoperceivetheenvironmentoftheshipneedstobe considered.Alsoissuessuchasdatasecurity(intentionaltampering)andlinkreliabilityshouldbe addressedandthepossibilitiesofusingmultiplealternativecommunicationnetworks(satellite,VHF, 4G)dependingonavailabilityandperformanceneedsshouldbeexamined. TransmissionofHDvideofromtheshiptotheshorecontrolcentreisnotrequiredallthetime.Itmay berequiredonlywhensomethingunexpectedthatrequirestheattentionoftheshorecontrolcentre happens.Suchasituationcouldbeforexampledetectinganobstaclewhichrequireshuman identification,orasituationinwhichtheshipisunabletocalculateareliableavoidancemanoeuvre.It isassumedthatformostofthetimeintheopenseas,theautonomouscontrolsystemisabletohandle thesituationwiththehelpofthesensorysystemsonboard(collisionavoidance,objectdetectionetc.). Thus,mostofthetime,veryminimalamountofoutbounddata,suchasshipstateinformationand reducedsensordataisrequired.Ontheotherhand,sufficientlyhightransmissioncapacityshouldbe availablewhenneededonshortnotice. Theamountofdatatobetransmittedgrowsquicklyasmoresensorsareaddedtothesystem, especiallywithhighresolutionvideo.Reductionoftheframe-rate,lowerimageresolutionandefficient videocompressionhavetraditionallybeenappliedforremotemonitoringoverlow-bandwidth datalinks.However,toevenfurtherreducedatatransferrequirements,thesensorinputscanbe segmentedwiththeonboardSAprocessingsystemtoextractonlytheminimalamountofdata,which canstillbesufficientforhumanunderstandingofthescene.Foreground/backgroundsegmentation performedbytheship’sSA-system,enablestransmissionofonlycertainrelevantfeatures,objectsor regionsofinterest(ROI),asillustratedinFigure8.Ahumanoperatorcould,atleastinnon-critical conditions,extractsufficientsituationalawarenessfromverysparsesegmentedimagefeatures,which canrequirethetransferofverylittledata. 30 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps Figure7: Imagesegmentationforreducingdatarates.Top-left:Original(1900x1080px)withsegmentedobjects.Top-right: 1-bitedgedata.Bottom-left:1-bitobjectdata.Bottom-right:Regionofinterestcaptureofobjectarea(241x145 px). Ontheopensea,themainmeansofcommunicationisviasatellite,however,satellitecommunication canbedisturbedbyweatherconditions.Theamountofattenuationcausedbye.g.heavyrainis dependentonthefrequencybandemployedbythesatellitenetwork.Forexample,fadingismuch moresevereatKa-bands(above20GHz)thanattheL-band(1to2GHz)[Qingling,2006].Thismeans thatsevereweathermaydegradetheperformanceoflinksoperatingatKa-bands.However, combiningaKa-bandsystemwithe.g.alessweathersensitiveL-bandnetwork,ashasbeendonein theInmarsatGlobalXpresssystem,reducestheriskoflosingallcommunicationseveniftheKa-band systemwouldbenon-operational.TheInmarsatsystemallowsdynamicswitchingbetweenthetwo satellitetypeswithoutusereffort.However,thelowercapacityofferedbytheL-bandsatelliteshasto betakenintoaccountwhenallocatingbandwidthtooff-shipcommunication. Inthefuture,theremaybealargenumberofautonomousvesselsinthesamesatellitebeamor cellularnetworkcellarea.Asthetotalbandwidthwithinacertainbeamorcellareaissharedbetween allusers,ashortageofbandwidthmaybecreatedifmanyvesselssimultaneouslyrequirehigh bandwidth,forexampleforHDvideotransmission.Thisproblemcouldbeleveragedbyforming swarmsorfleetsofvesselswhereoneshipwouldbetheleader.Inthisway,communicationtoashore controlcentrecouldbecoordinatedviatheleadshipwithlineofsightship-to-shipcommunication.In thiswayitcouldbepossibletooptimisetheuseofsatellitebandwidthinacertainareabyreducing theneedforalltheshipsintheswarmtocommunicatewiththeshorecontrolcentresimultaneously. 31 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps Possibleeffectsofweatherormulti-usercongestiononcommunicationperformanceshouldbe consideredcarefullywhenimplementingthecontroland“intelligence”ofthewholeautonomysystem throughthe“VirtualCaptain”.Difficultsituationsmayariseifpoorweathersimultaneouslycauses reductionofSA-systemcapability,requiringmoreshorecontrolinterventionordecisionmaking,and areductionindatalinkcapabilityrequiredtotransfersensordatafromtheship.Correctbehaviours andprecautionsforsuchsituationsshouldbedefined.TheseissuesareaddressedintheANS architecturedevelopmentinAAWA,throughtheVirtualCaptainandtheshipstatedefinitiondiscussed earlier. Referencesintext 1. [Beier,2004]K.Beier,H.Gemperlein:“Simulationofinfrareddetectionrangeatfogconditions forEnhancedVisionSystemsincivilaviation”,AerospaceScienceandTechnology8,pp.63–71, Elsevier,2004. 2. [Broten,2012]G.Broten,D.MackayandJ.Collier,"Probabilisticobstacledetectionusing21/2 Dterrainmaps",inComputerandRobotVision(CRV),NinthConferenceOn,pp.17-23,2012. 3. [Cambell,2012]S.Cambell,W.Naeem,G.W.Irwin.“Areviewonimprovingtheautonomyof unmannedsurfacevehiclesthroughintelligentcessionavoidancemanoeuvres”,Annual reviewsinControl,2012. 4. [Casalino,2009]Casalino,G.;Turetta,A.;Simetti,E.,"Athree-layeredarchitectureforrealtime pathplanningandobstacleavoidanceforsurveillanceUSVsoperatinginharbourfields,"in OCEANS2009-EUROPE,vol.,no.,pp.1-8,11-14May2009 5. [Elfes,1987]A.Elfes,"Sonar-basedreal-worldmappingandnavigation,"IEEEJournalOf RoboticsandAutomation,vol.3,pp.249-265,1987. 6. [Elkins,2010]L.Elkins,D.Sellers:“TheAutonomousMaritimeNavigation(AMN)Project:Field Tests,AutonomousandCooperativeBehaviours,DataFusion,Sensors,andVehicles”,Journal ofFieldRobotics27(6),pp.790-818,2010.DOI:10.1002/rob.20367 7. [Evans,2008]J.Evans,P.Patrón,B.Smith,D.M.Lane,(2008),“Designandevaluationofa reactiveanddeliberativecollisionavoidanceandescapearchitectureforautonomousrobots.“ AutonomousRobots,24(3),247-266.2008. 8. [Franke,2013]U.Franke,D.Pfeiffer,C.Rabe,C.Knoeppel,M.Enzweiler,F.Stein,R.Herrtwich: “MakingBerthaSee”,Proc.ofthe2013IEEEInternationalConferenceonComputerVision Workshops,pp.214-221,2013. 9. [Guizzo2011]E.Guizzo:“HowGoogle’sSelf-DrivingCarWorks”,IEEESpectrum (http://spectrum.ieee.org/),18Oct2011. 32 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps 10. [Halterman,2010]R.Halterman,M.Bruch:“VelodyneHDL64ELIDARforUnmannedSurface VehicleObstacleDetection”,SPIEProc.7692:UnmannedSystemsTechnologyXII,Orlando,FL, April2010. 11. [Heuel,2013]HeuelS.,RadarWaveformsforA&DandAutomotiveRadar,whitepaper,2013. 12. [Herpel,2008]T.Herpel,C.Lauer,R.German,J.Salzberger:“Trade-OffbetweenCoverageand RobustnessofAutomotiveEnvironmentSensorSystems”,Proc.ofInternationalConferenceon IntelligentSensors,ISSNIP2008,pp.551-556,2008. 13. [Jimenez,2009]A.R.Jimenez,F.Seco:“AShort-RangeShipNavigationSystemBasedonLadar ImagingandTargetTrackingforImprovedSafetyandEfficiency”,IEEETransactionson IntelligentTransportationSystems,Vol.10,No.1,pp.186-197,2009. 14. [Lalish,2012]E.Lalish,K.A.Morgansen,K.A.(2012).“Distributedreactivecollision avoidance“,AutonomousRobots,32(3),207-226.2012. 15. [Mooney]D.Mooney,“MetricPathPlanning”, http://www.eecs.ucf.edu/~gitars/cap6671/Papers/metric_planning.pdf 16. [Mukhtar,2015]A.Mukhtar,L.Xia,T.B.Tang:“VehicleDetectionTechniquesforCollision AvoidanceSystems:AReview”,IEEETransactionsonIntelligentTransportationSystems,Vol. 6,Issue5,pp.2318–2338,2015. 17. [Pastore,2010]T.J.Pastore,A.N.Patrikalakis:“LaserScannersforAutonomousSurfaceVessels inHarborProtection:AnalysisandExperimentalResults”,Proc.ofthe2010International WatersideSecurityConference,pp.1-6,2010. 18. [Pietrzykowski,2009]Z.Pietrzykowski,Z.,&Uriasz,J.(2009).Theshipdomain-acriterionof navigationalsafetyassessmentinanopenseaarea.JournalofNavigation,62(1),93.2009. 19. [Qingling,2006]Z.Qingling,“RainAttenuationinMillimeterWaveRanges”,7thInternational SymposiumonAntennas,Propagation&EMTheory,ISAPE'06,pp.1-4,2006. 20. [Seliga,2010]T.A.Seliga,(2010,March),“HighResolutionW-BandRadarDetectionand CharacterisationofAircraftWakeVorticesinPrecipitation“,InWakeNet3-Europe/Greenwake dedicatedworkshopon”Wakevortex&windmonitoringsensorsinallweatherconditions. 2010. 21. [Sharma,2012]R.Sharma,J.B.Saunders,R.W.Beard,(2012),“Reactivepathplanningfor microairvehiclesusingbearing-onlymeasurements“,JournalofIntelligent&RoboticSystems, 65(1-4),409-416.2012. 22. [Sinisterra,2014]Sinisterra,A.J.;Dhanak,M.R.;vonEllenrieder,K.,"Stereovision-basedtarget trackingsystemforanUSV,"inOceans-St.John's,2014,vol.,no.,pp.1-7,14-19Sept.2014 23. [Skolnik,2008]MerillSkolnik“RadarHandbook”(3rdedition),McGraw-HillEducation;3 edition(February12,2008),ISBN-13:978-0071485470. 33 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps 24. [Stark,2015]B.Stark,M.McGee,Y.Chen:“ShortWaveInfrared(SWIR)ImagingSystemsUsing SmallUnmannedAerialSystems(sUAS)”,Proc.ofthe2015InternationalConferenceon UnmannedAircraftSystems(ICUAS),pp.495-501,2015. 25. [Statheros,2008]T.Statheros,G.Howells,K.M.Maier."Autonomousshipcollisionavoidance navigationconcepts,technologiesandtechniques."Journalofnavigation61.01(2008):129142. 26. [Tam,2009]C.K.Tam,R.Bucknall,A.Greig,“ReviewofCollisionAvoidanceandPathPlanning MethodsforShipsinCloseRangeEncounters“,JournalofNavigation/Volume62/Issue03/ July2009,pp455-476Copyright©TheRoyalInstituteofNavigation2009 27. [Wallace,2013]J.Wallace:“IRIMAGING:SWIRcamerasspotunwantedactivitiesthroughfog andatnight”,LaserFocusWorld(online),Vol.49,Issue10,2013 http://www.laserfocusworld.com/articles/print/volume-49/issue-10/world-news/irimaging-swir-cameras-spot-unwanted-activities-through-fog-and-at-night.html 34 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps Legalities HenrikRingbom,AdjunctProfessorinMaritimeLawandtheLawoftheSea DepartmentofLaw,ÅboAkademiUniversity FelixCollin,ProjectResearcher,FacultyofLaw,UniversityofTurku MikaViljanen,ActingProfessorofCivilLaw,FacultyofLaw,UniversityofTurku 35 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps LegalImplicationsofremoteandautonomousshipping 1. Introduction Maritimelawisafunctionaltermusedfordescribingawholerangeoflawsandotherlegalsources thatgovernthelegalframeworkrelatedtoshipsandtheiroperation.Itincludesavarietyofdifferent legalsystems,rangingfrominternationallawtoregionalandnationalrulesanddowntolocalrules.It coversissuesofpublicconcerns,suchassafety,securityandenvironmentalprotectionaswellascivil lawmatters,suchascontractsofcarriage,liabilityandcompensationfordamage,salvageandrules relatedtomarinerisksandinsurance,tonamebutafew. Theprospectofunmannedshipsaddressesaveryfundamentalfeatureinshipping–theroleofthe masterandcrewonboardaship–andwillhenceaffectamultitudeoflawsandregulationacrossthe wholerangeofmaritimelaw.Anefforttosummarisethedifferentlevelsandtypesofrulesconcerned ismadeinthetableintheannex. Thefocusofthispaperisontheinternational(global)rules.Threemainkindsofsuchrulesneedtobe distinguished.First,therearejurisdictionalrules,whichlaydownstates’rightsandobligationstotake measureswithrespecttoships.Thesearemainlylaiddowninthe1982UNConventionontheLawof theSea(UNCLOS),whichisdiscussedinsection2.Second,thetechnicalrulescoveringsafety, environmentandtrainingandwatchkeepingstandardsetc.arediscussedinsection3.Theyareusually adoptedbyspecialisedUNagencies,suchasnotablytheInternationalMaritimeOrganization(IMO). Third,aseriesofinternationalruleshavebeenestablishedinthefieldofprivatelawtoharmonise issuessuchasshipowners’civilliabilityforpollution,collisionsorcargo-relatedlossesandhowsuch claimsmaybeenforced.Theserulesarenotascompleteorwidelyratifiedasthepubliclaw conventionsdiscussedinsections2and3andmaythereforebesubjecttogreaternationalvariation. Themainrelationshipsoftheserulestoautonomousshippingarediscussedinsection4. 2.LawoftheSea 2.1General Thelawoftheseadealswiththerightsandobligationsofstatesovertheseas.Asfarasshippingis concerned,thekeyissuesaddressedbythisbodyoflawinclude:towhatextentcanshipsnavigatein differentseaareas;whatobligationsdostateshaveovershipsflyingtheirflag;andwhatrightsdo otherstateshavetointerfereinthenavigationofshipsindifferentseaareas? 36 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps Today’slawoftheseagoverningnavigationismorestablethaneverbeforeinhistory.The ‘ConstitutionfortheOceans’,UNCLOSenjoysawidespreadformalacceptanceworldwide(167 contractingparties)anditsprovisionsconcerningnavigationalrightsanddutiesarewidelyaccepted asrepresentingcustomarylaw(andhenceapplytonon-partiesaswell).Theconventionlaysdownthe rulesonestablishmentanddelimitationofmaritimezonesandincludesdetailedrulesonstates’rights andobligations,differentlyforeachzone. Afirst–andfundamental–questiontoberesolvediswhethershipswithoutacrewonboardare ‘ships’or‘vessels’withinthemeaningoftheconventionatall.Thetwotermsareusedinterchangeably inUNCLOS,butneitherisdefined.Itdoes,however,followfromthenatureoftheactivitiescarriedout bythelarge,self-propelled,cargo-carrying,commercially-operatedunmannedshipsofinteresthere thattheyprobablywillhavetoberegardedasvessels/shipsbyvirtueoftheirsize,featuresand functions.Existinginternationalconventionsthatdefinethetermshipdonotincludereferencesto crewingandatnationallevel,too,thedefinitionofashipisusuallydisconnectedfromthequestionof whetherornottheshipismanned.1Itwouldalsoseemunjustifiedthattwoships,onemannedandthe otherunmanned,doingsimilartasksinvolvingsimilardangerswouldnotbesubjecttothesamerules thathavebeendesignedtoaddressthosedangers. Fromtheassumptionthatunmannedshipsare‘ships’and’vessels’withinthemeaningofUNCLOS followsthattheyaresubjecttothesamerulesofthelawoftheseaasanyordinarilycrewedship.The sameobligationsapplytounmannedshipsandtheirflagstateswithrespecttocompliancewith internationalrules.Ontheotherhand,theyalsoenjoythesamepassagerightsasothershipsand cannotberefusedaccesstootherstates’watersmerelybecausetheyarenotcrewed. 2.2FlagStateJurisdiction Flagstatejurisdictionrepresentsthetraditionalcornerstoneoftheregulatoryauthorityoverships. UNCLOSestablishesthatallstateshavearighttosailshipsflyingtheirflagandtofixtheconditionsfor grantingnationalitytoships(Articles90and91(1)).However,theconventionalsoincludesanumber ofdetaileddutiesforflagstates. Everystatehastheobligationto“effectivelyexerciseitsjurisdictionandcontrolinadministrative, 1 Study ’Liability for Operations in Unmanned Maritime Vehicles with Differing Levels of Autonomy’, performed by the University of Southampton on behalf of the European Defence Agency’s Group on Safety and Regulation of Unmanned Maritime Systems (SARUMS), , 2016, Part 1, Chapter 3 (unpublished). 37 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps technicalandsocialmattersovershipsflyingitsflag”(Article94(1)),includingto“assumejurisdiction underitsinternallawovereachshipflyingitsflaganditsmaster,officersandcrewinrespectof administrative,technicalandsocialmattersconcerningtheship”(Article94(2)(b)).Theflagstateshall also“takesuchmeasures…asarenecessarytoensuresafetyatseawithregard,interalia,to…the manningofships,labourconditionsandthetrainingofcrews,takingintoaccounttheapplicable internationalinstruments”(Article94(3)(b)),includingmeasuresnecessarytoensure“thateachship isinthechargeofamasterandofficerswhopossessappropriatequalifications,inparticularin seamanship,navigation,communicationsandmarineengineering,andthatthecrewisappropriatein qualificationandnumbersforthetype,size,machineryandequipmentoftheship”(Article94(4)(b)). Whenadoptingthesemeasureseachflagstateisrequired“toconformtogenerallyaccepted internationalregulations,proceduresandpracticesandtotakeanystepswhichmaybenecessaryto securetheirobservance”(Article94(5)). UNCLOS,inotherwords,avoidstheneedtoformulatemorepreciseobligationsofflagstatesby referringtoanabstract,andcontinuouslychanging,setofinternationalrulestobedeveloped elsewhere.Inthiswayitavoids‘freezing’therequirementsatagivenpointintimeoratagiven technicallevel,whilestillpreservingtheinternationalcharacteroftherulesinquestion.Themore preciseextentofflagstates’obligationsishencelefttobedevelopedbytheIMOinparticular. 2.3PortandCoastalStateJurisdiction Whiletheflagstate’sjurisdictionappliesirrespectiveoftheship’slocation,otherstates’parallel jurisdictionoverthesameshipdependsonthemaritimezoneconcerned.Thecoastalstate’sauthority overaforeignshipincreaseswiththeproximityoftheshiptoitsshores. Iftheshipisvoluntarilypresentinoneofitsportsorinternalwaters,thecoastal/portstatehas broadjurisdictionoverforeignships.Internalwatersformpartofthesovereigntyofthestate(Article 2)andintheabsenceofspecificlimitations,thejurisdictionoverforeignshipsinthisareaistherefore complete.Moreover,shipshavenogeneralrighttoaccessforeignportsandtheportstate’swide discretiontoplaceentryconditionsforforeignshipsiswidelyacknowledged,includinginUNCLOS Articles25(2),211(3)and255.Inotherwords,aportstatemay(unlessithasacceptedspecific obligationstothecontrary)refuseunmannedshipsaccesstoitsportsorinternalwaters,provided thattherefusalcomplieswithcertainmoregeneralreasonablenesscriteriathatexistingeneral internationallaw,suchasnon-discrimination,proportionalitybetweenthemeasureanditsobjective andthattheprohibitiondoesnotconstituteanabuseofright(Article300).Thismayturnouttobea 38 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps significantlimitationofthefreeofmovementofunmannedships,butthepotentiallimitationisbyno meansuniquetounmannedships. Withrespecttoshipspassingthroughitsterritorialsea(whichmayextendupto12nauticalmiles fromthecoastline/baseline),therightsofcoastalstatesaremorelimited.Underalongstanding principleofthelawofthesea,allshipsenjoyarightof‘innocentpassage’throughotherstates’ territorialseas.Passageisdeemedtobeinnocentaslongasitisnot“prejudicialtothepeace,good orderorsecurityofthecoastalstate”(Article19(1)).Alistofactivitiesthatmeetthosecriteriaisgiven inArticle19(2),butasthelistfocusesonships’activities(suchasuseorthreatofforce,military activities,fishingactivitiesorwilfulandseriouspollution)questionsrelatedtoaship’smanningwill notassuchrenderpassagenon-innocentunderthewordingofUNCLOS. Regardingthecoastalstate’slegislativejurisdiction,Article21(2)providesthatastatemaynotimpose itsnationalrequirementsontheconstruction,design,equipmentormanningofforeignshipsinits territorialsea,unlessthoserequirementsaregivingeffectto“generallyacceptedinternationalrules andstandards”(Article21(2)).Independentlyofwhatlawsthecoastalstatehasadopted,itmaynot “imposerequirementsonforeignshipswhichhavethepracticaleffectofdenyingorimpairingthe rightofinnocentpassage”(Article24(1)(b).Therightofinnocentpassageextendstoshipsthatare deemedtoposeaparticularriskforthecoastalstate,suchasnuclear-poweredshipsandships carryingnuclearorotherinherentlydangerousornoxioussubstances(Article23). Theareasofacoastalstate’sterritorialseawhichformspartofa‘straitusedforinternational navigation’aresubjecttoevenmorelimitationsforcoastalstates(andcorrespondinglystronger passagerightsforships).Therearedifferentkindsofsuchstraits,butmanyofthemostimportant straitsthatarecompletelycoveredbytheborderingstraits’territorialseas,suchastheStraitsof DoverandMalacca,aresubjecttotheregimeof‘transitpassage’,whereships’rightof(continuousand expeditious)passagearegrantedandmaynotevenbetemporarilysuspendedbytheborderingstates (Articles37-44).Manyotherimportantstraits,includingtheDanishandtheTurkishStraits,are governedbylong-standinginternationalconventionswhichguaranteethenavigationalrightsof foreignships(Article35(c)). Thejurisdictiontoprescribenationalrequirementsisobviouslyevenmorelimitedwithrespectto shipssailingintheexclusiveeconom iczone(EEZ),whichmayextendbeyondtheterritorialsea, uptoamaximumof200nmfromthecoastline/baseline.Inthiszonefreedomofnavigation(forall states)applies,subjecttohavingdueregardtotheinterestofotherstates(Article58).Themostexpress prescriptivejurisdictionofcoastalstatesoverforeignshipsintheEEZconcernslawsaimingatthe 39 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps protectionofthemarineenvironmentandevenhere,coastalstates’jurisdictionislimitedto prescribingrulesthatgiveeffecttointernationalruleswhileenforcementmeasuresexclude interferinginthepassage,saveforthemostseriouscasesofpollutionanddamage(Articled211(5) and220). Inseaareasthatliebeyondthejurisdictionofanycoastalstate,thehighseas,thestartingpointis thattheflagstatealonehasjurisdictionovertheship.Anumberofexemptionstothismainruleexist, butnoneofthemisrelevantforthequestionofnavigationalrightsofunmannedships. 2.4OtherrelevantprovisionsinUNCLOS Apartfromthejurisdictionalprovisions,certainotherUNCLOSprovisionsmayturnouttobe problematicforunmannedships.TheobligationsetoutinArticle94(4)(b)thateachshipneedsto havea(properlyqualified)masterandacrewwasalreadymentionedabove.Whilethisrequirement mayarguablybemetincaseofremotelyoperatedshipsitislessobvioushowafullyautomatedship wouldqualify.Sinceunmannedshippingoperationswilloftenrepresentamixbetweendifferent degreesofautomation,dependingonseaareas,trafficdensityetc.furtherclarificationsofthis obligationmaybeneeded,atleastatthelevelofthe‘generallyacceptedinternationalrules’. AnotherUNCLOSprovision,whichpresumesacrewonboardistheobligationofthemastertorender assistancetopersonsindangerordistressaccordingtoArticle98(1)(asspecifiedinSOLAS RegulationV/33).Thecommunicationpartofthedutycanpresumablybemetbyremotelyoperated shipswithrelayedradiocommunications,butitislessclearhowphysicalassistancecanberendered byashipwithoutacrewonboard.Thedutiesincludequalificationsbyreferenceto“insofarashecan dosowithoutseriousdangertotheship”or“insofarassuchactioncanbereasonablyexpectedof him”whichwillprobablyreducetheextentobligationsforunmannedships,astheavailableoptions willbefewer.However,theabsenceofacrewdoesnotinitselfdoawaywiththedutytoprovide assistancetotheextentnecessaryandreasonable. 3.Technicalrequirements 3.1General IMOalonehasadoptedmorethan50internationalconventionsandprotocolsaimedatharmonising rulesforinternationalshipping.Mostoftheserulesarelaiddownintheformofobligationsimposed onships’flagstateadministrations.Itisprimarilyfortheindividualstatespartiestotheconventions 40 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps ensurethateachshipflyingtheirflagisboundbyandcomplieswiththerules.Acertificatewhereby theadministrationconfirmscomplianceisoftenrequiredandthiscertificateshallbeacceptedby otherstatesasifitwereissuedbythemselves.Inaddition,theIMOrulesfrequentlyincludea possibilityforportstatestoverifythatshipsthatenterintotheirportsinrealitycomplywiththe requirementsand–ifnot–totakecorrectivemeasures,includingdetainingtheshipifnecessary. SinceitisnotpossibletocoverallIMOconventionshere,aselectionofthemostimportant instrumentswithimplicationsforcrewshasbeenmadehere.Theselectedconventions(SOLAS, MARPOL,STCWandCOLREGs)areallwidelyratifiedamongtheworld’s(flag)statesandhence applicableworldwide.TheMaritimeLabourConvention(MLC),whichwasdevelopedbythe InternationalLabourOrganisation(ILO)in2006,hasalreadybeenratifiedbymorethan70states. 3.2TheInternationalConventionfortheSafetyofLifeatSea(SOLAS) ThemainconventionformaritimesafetyistheSOLASConvention,adoptedinitsfirstversionalready in1914.Theconventioncoversaverywiderangeofmatters,itsannexcontainingthesubstantive rulesconsistsoffourteendifferentchapters.SomeoftherulesofSOLASareonlyapplicabletoshipsof aspecifictypeoragewhiletheapplicabilityofothersdependsonthetradingarea.Thefocushereison rulesapplicabletoanewbulkcarrierabove500gtincommercialuseininternationaltrade,witha particularemphasisontherulesthatmayturnouttobechallengingforashipwithoutacrewon board.Thebrief–andincomplete–reviewthusfocusesonoperationalandfunctionalrequirements thatexplicitlyorimplicitlypresupposethepresenceofcrewmembers. ChapterIestablishesthegeneralapplicationoftheregulationsintheAnnexandanexemptions scheme,whichisbasedonthreedifferentcategoriesofexemptions: 1. CertaincategoriesofshipsthatarecompletelyexceptedfromtheSOLASrulesandhence beyonditsscopearelistedinRegulation3.However,noneofthelistedcategoriesarerelevant forpresentpurposes. 2. Regulation4(b)includesapossibilityforflagstateadministrationtoexempt“anyshipwhich embodiesfeaturesofanovelkind”fromtherequirementsofChaptersII-1,II-2,IIIandIVif theirapplication“mightseriouslyimpederesearchintothedevelopmentofsuchfeatures.Such exemptionshallbecommunicatedtoIMOanddonotrelievetheshipfromtheobligationto complywithsafetyrequirementsthatintheopinionoftheadministrationareadequateforthe serviceandacceptabletothe(port)statestobevisitedbytheship. 3. Administrationshaveamoregeneralpossibilitytoacceptequivalentsolutionsiftheyare satisfiedthattheequivalentisatleastaseffectiveasthatrequiredbytheConvention.More 41 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps specifically,thispossibilityapplieswhereSOLASrequires“thataparticularfitting,material, applianceorapparatus,ortypethereof,shallbefittedorcarriedinaship,orthatany particularprovisionshallbemade”.Inthesecasestheadministrationmayallowother solutions“ifitissatisfiedbytrialthereoforotherwisethatsuchfitting,material,applianceor apparatus,ortypethereof,orprovision,isatleastaseffectiveasthatrequiredbythepresent regulations.”SuchequivalentsshallbecommunicatedtoIMOtogetherwithareportofany trialsmade. ChaptersII-1,II-2andIIIcontainrequirementsforshipsintheareasofstructure,stability,machinery andelectricalinstallations(ChapterII-1),fireprotection(ChapterII-2)andlife-savingappliances (ChapterIII).Thesechaptersmainlycoverconstruction,equipmentandmaterialsonboard,which doesnotraiseparticularissuesfromtheperspectiveofautomatedoperations.Ashipthathastobe constructedtomeetcertainstabilityrequirementsorfeaturessuchasdoublebottomswillobviously havetodosoeveniftheshipisunmanned,andtheunmannedconditiondoesnotcallforadditional requirementsinthisregard. However,theyallincludesomedegreeofoperationalrequirements,relatingtoinformation proceduresandcommunicationforthecrew,alarms,monitoringmechanismsetc.,whichare obviouslydifficulttoapplyonacompletelyunmannedships.Insomecasesalarms,monitoring equipmentandsystemoperationmayhavetobeshiftedoraddedtotheplacewherethecontrolleris located,asotherwisethewholepurposeoftherequirementwouldbedefeated.Similarly,term ‘navigatingbridge’,whichfeaturesfrequentlyintherulesrelatingtosteeringgear,indicatorsand varioustypesofengineandfirealarms,needtobeunderstoodasreferringtotheplacefromwhichthe shipiscontrolled,iftherulesaretoretaintheirmeaningforremotelycontrolledships.Manyofthe provisionsspecificallyaddressthepossibilitytoreplaceofhumanmonitoringbytechnicalequipment, suchasunmannedmachineryspaces. Forthesechapters,thepossibilityforexemptionsandalternativedesignsislikelytoplayanimportant roleinfacilitatingcomplianceforunmannedships,2whichpresupposesthattheship’sflagstate administrationisfavourabletoacceptingsuchexemptions. TherequirementsconcerningradiocommunicationsinChapterIVincludefunctionalrequirements ontheequipmentaswellaswatch-keepingrequirementsforthecrew.Thebasicfunctional 2 In addition to the exemptions provided for in Chapter I, the flag state administration may also under these three chapters exempt individual ships or classes of ships which do not proceed more than 20 nautical miles from the nearest land from the requirements “if it considers that the sheltered nature and conditions of the voyage are such as to render the application of any specific requirements … unreasonable or unnecessary” (Regulations II-1/1.4, II-2/4.1 and III/2.1). 42 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps requirementsarethatashipatseashallbecapableoftransmittingadistressalertbyatleasttwo separateindependentmeans,receivingdistressalerts,communicating(transmittingandreceiving)in distresssituations(searchandrescue),maritimesafetyinformation,generalradiocommunicationand bridge-to-bridgecommunication.Whileatsea,everyshipshallmaintainacontinuouswatchona numberoffrequenciesasprovidedfor.Therulesincludelimitedpossibilitiesforexemptionsand alternativedesigns.Compliancewiththeserulesbyunmannedshipspresupposesthatradio communicationcanberelayedtoaplacewhereacontrollerwithfullknowledgeoftheship’s whereaboutsisoncall. ChapterVcomprisesaverywiderangeofdifferentregulations,someofwhichmaybequite challengingtoimplementforunmannedships,suchastherulesonmanningofships(Reg.14),voyage planning(Reg.34),bridgevisibilityrequirements(Reg.22)orpilottransferarrangements(Reg.23). Thechapteralsoincludesageneralobligationformasterstoproceedtotheassistanceofthosein distress(Reg.33)andhighlightsthemaster’sdiscretionindecision-makingrelatingtosafetyofseaor environmentalprotection,nottoberestrictedbytheowner,chartereroroperatingcompany(Reg.341).ManyoftherulesofChapterVhavewiderapplicability,intermsofthesizeofshipsandtrading areas,thantheotherSOLASchapters.Thescopeforexemptionsandequivalencesvariesfromone regulationtoanother,butisingeneraltermsmorelimitedthangenerallyinSOLAS. Therulesonm anningofshipsareofparticularrelevance.Generallyspeaking,decisionsonships’ manningarelefttotheflagstateadministration.Oncetheadministrationissatisfiedthatthenumber andqualificationsofthecrewisadequatefortheshipinquestion,usuallyassessedonthebasisofan estimateandjustificationproposedbytheship’sowner/operator,itwillissueasafemanning documentfortheship.IntermsofsubstanceSOLASRegulationV/14essentiallyonlyrequiresthat “fromthepointofviewofthesafetyoflifeatsea,allshipsshallbesufficientlyandefficientlymanned.” Theassociatedguidelines(IMOResolutionA.1047(27))aremoredetailedandmentionabroader rangeofobjectiveswithmanning,includingshipsecurity,safetyofcargoandenvironmental protection,buttheyarenotlegallybinding. Thekeyquestionwithrespecttounmannedshipsiswhethertheon-boardmanningcouldbereduced totheextentthatasafemanningdocumentcouldbeissuedevenifthereisnotasinglecrewmember onboardtheship,i.e.thatthesafemanningwouldbezero.This,inturn,iscloselylinkedtothe questionofwhethertasksperformedbythecrewcanbetakenoverbyon-shorecontrollersor,inthe caseofhighlyautomatedoperations,byotherpartiesresponsiblefortheship’soperations. 43 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps Ontheonehand,ifanationaladministrationweretodecidethatthefunctionsrequiredtoensurethe safetyofoperationscouldbeperformedfromotherplacesthanfromtheshipitself,itisdifficulttofind aprovisionthatwouldbedirectlyviolatedbythatdecision.‘Manned’isnotnecessarilythesameas ‘attended’andland-basedcontrollersofshipsmightverywellbeabletoperformmanyofthe operationalfunctionsremotelywhileshore-basedmaintenancestaffcouldundertaketherequired maintenanceandservicework.Indeedtheguidelinesonsafemanningspecificallyprovidethat technicalequipmentandlevelofautomationistobetakenintoconsiderationwhendecidingonthe manninglevels(Annex2,paras.1.1.3and1.1.4).Norwouldsuchadecisionnecessarilybeagainstthe purposeunderlyingthesafemanningrules.Itisnotexcludedthattheoperationoftheshipmight actuallygetsaferifmorefunctionsaretransferredtoshore,asnewtypesofequipment,redundancy systemsetc.arebroughtonboardandnewfunctionswillbeperformedfromashore. Ontheotherhand,theprecisewordingoftheindividualprovisionsshouldbeconsideredwithsome cautioninthiscontext,asitisevidentthattheinternationalandnationalrulesonsafemanningare draftedontheunderstandingthatthecrewisbasedonboardtheship.Theprospectofunmanned shipswasnotthereatthetimetherulesweredevelopedandoneshouldthereforeavoidreadingin toomuchsupportforthatdevelopmentintoexistinglegaltexts.Thisisallthemoretrueforfully autonomousoperations,whichstretchesthenotionofmanningevenfurther. ChapterVImainlycontainsoperationalrequirementsrelatedtothesafeloadingandunloadingof solidbulkcargoes.Thechapter,likeEUDirective2001/96/EC,whichmakestheapplicationofthe ‘BLUCode’(IMORes.862(20))mandatoryinEUports,includesanumberofloadingproceduresand requirementswhichpresupposeactivecommunicationbetweenthemaster,theshipperandthe terminaloperator. ChapterIXmakesmandatorytheInternationalSafetyManagement(ISM)Code,whichrequiresa safetymanagementsystemtobeestablishedbytheshipowneroranypersonwhohasassumed responsibilityfortheship(the"Company").ThemainpurposeoftheISMCodeistoachieveagreater involvementoftheshore-sidecompanyinthesafetymanagementofindividualships.Itincludes requirementsondefiningthemaster’sresponsibilities,plansforshipboardoperationsand maintenance,emergencypreparedness,documentationetc. Evenifunmannedshipoperationswillinevitablyservetostrengthenthelinkbetweenshore-based operatorsandtheship,compliancewiththeCodeposescertainchallengesincasethemanningofa shipconcernedisreducedtozero.Thisisparticularlythecasewithrespecttolinesofcommunication andreportingrequirements.ItcanbefurthernotedthatSOLASincludesnopossibilitiesfor 44 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps exemptionsfromChapterIX,exceptforgovernment-operatedshipsusedfornon-commercial purposes. ChapterXI-2addressesmeasurestoenhancemaritimesecurity.Itmostlydealswithobligationsfor (flagstate)administrationsandshipoperatingcompanies,butpresupposeaclosecommunication betweenthemandtheship.Regulations11and12specificallyprovideforthepossibilityforstates partiestoagreeonalternativesecurityagreementswithotherstatesorequivalentarrangementsfor theirownshipsprovidedtheyareatleastaseffectiveasthoseprescribedinChapterXI-2. 3.3InternationalConventionforthePreventionofPollutionfromShips(MARPOL) MARPOListhemainIMOconventionfordealingwithvariousformsofpollutionfromships.Itincludes constructionandequipmentprovisions,e.g.foroiltankers,butalsocertainoperationaland proceduralrequirements,includingdischargelimits,proceduresforship-to-shiptransfers,various reportingobligationsincaseofspillsandrequirementstokeepdifferentrecordbooks.Theapplicable requirementswillnodoubthavetobecompliedwithbyunmannedships,butgenerallyspeakingthe MARPOLrequirementsareunlikelytopresentparticularchallengesinthisregard.Recordbookscan presumablybemaintainedinanelectronicformatwhilereportingandnotificationobligationsexistin severalconventionsandneedtobeaddressedinsimilarways.Responsestopollutionemergenciesas outlinedinthe‘shipboardoilpollutionemergencyplan’(SOPEP)willhavetobeadaptedtothe responsecapabilitiesofunmannedships. 3.4ConventionontheInternationalRegulationsforPreventingCollisionsatSea(COLREGs) TheCOLREGsincludeavarietyof‘rulesfortheroad’inshipping,includingonsafespeed,signals, lights,etc.andrulesonprioritiesandmanoeuvringfordifferenttypesofvesselsindifferentsituations. Theruleswillalsoapplytoanunmannedship,whichrepresentnospecialcategoryofshipswithinthe meaningoftheCOLREGs. TheCOLREGscoverbothcorenavigationaltasksofthecrewonboardaship:situationawareness (includinglookout)andoperationaldecision-makingwhenitcomestocollisionavoidance,priorities, speedetc.Bothaspectsarelikelytoposechallengesforunmannedships. Thelook-outrequirementisprovidedforinRule5: 45 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps “Everyvesselshallatalltimesmaintainaproperlook-outbysightandhearingaswellasbyallavailablemeans appropriateintheprevailingcircumstancesandconditionssoastomakeafullappraisalofthesituationandof theriskofcollision.” Thepurposeofthelookoutruleistomakesurethatwhoevercontrolstheshipareawareofthethings aroundthemtomakeinformeddecisionswithrespecttoactionsinavoidingcollisions.Thetermlookout,asusedbytheRules,doesnotnecessarilydenoteaperson,butratherthesystematiccollectionof information.Moreover,theuseofvaguetermssuchas“proper”and“appropriate”providesflexibility forhowsuchlook-outisorganisedonboard.3 ThekeyquestionforunmannedshipsiswhetherthewordingofRule5isbroadenoughtoauthorisea replacementofthehumanlookoutbyvarioustypesofcameras,radar,audiotechnologyandother technicalsolutions.Onthebasisofthepurposeoftheruleanditsflexiblewording,itisarguablethat thiscouldbeacceptediftheequipmentallowsthecontrollertohaveanadequateoverviewofthe circumstancesallowinghimtakeappropriateactioningoodtime,tothesameextentorbetterthanif hewouldbeonboard.However,inviewofthewidespreadauthorityofCOLREGsandthenatureof collisionregulation(alwaysinvolvingmorethanoneship),anysuchclarificationorinterpretation shouldbedoneatinternationallevelratherthanbyindividualstates. Aseparatequestioniswhethertheremotecontrollercouldalsobeinchargeoftherelevant operationaldecisionsontheship’snavigationandmanoeuvring.Forthismatter,COLREGsdonot poseanydirecttextualobstacle.Thesubjectsofthesteeringandsailingrulesare‘vessels’,withoutany furtherdetailsaboutthepersonbehindthedecisions.Themoreproblematicquestionariseswhen operationaldecisionsareautomated,withoutacontrollerinchargeofthecompletedecision-making. Fromatechnicalpointofviewitisprobablyfeasibletocreatealgorithmsthatcomplyverydiligently withthesteeringandsailingrulesofCOLREGs,eventakingintoaccountthesometimesunpredictable actionsofotherships.Achallenge,however,isthattheCOLREGsdonotofferabsoluterulesof conduct.Therulesforpreventingcollisionsincludeobligationforbothvesselstotakeavoidance actionifitseemsthatthereisariskofcollision.Inaddition,theCOLREGsincludearulewhichserves togiveprecedencetogoodseamanshipoveritsownprovisions.4Whatconstitutesgoodseamanship 3 See e.g. C. Llana & G. Wisneskey Handbook of the Nautical Rules of the Road, 3rd on-line edition, 2006 (updated in 2011), available at http://navruleshandbook.com/Rule5.html 4 COLREGs Rule 2 provides that: (a) Nothing in these Rules shall exonerate any vessel, or the owner, master or crew thereof, from the consequences of any neglect to comply with these Rules or of the neglect of any precaution which may be required by the ordinary practice of seamen, or by the special circumstances of the case. (b) In construing and complying with these Rules due regard shall be had to all dangers of navigation and collision and to any special circumstances, including the limitations of the vessels involved, which may make a departure from these Rules necessary to avoid immediate danger. 46 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps forthispurposeisamatteroffacttobeassessedafterconsiderationofallrelevantprevailing circumstances.Itseemsclearthattheincorporationof‘goodseamanship’intoanyautomated navigationprogrammemaybecoupledwithseriousdifficulties. AnotherquestionlinkedtoCOLREGsiswhetherunmannedshipsshouldbegivenaspecificsignal, light,AISmessageortheliketoinformmarinersonboardothershipsabouttheirstatus.Theanswer tothisisprobablypositive,andalthoughsomenationalsolutionsinthisfieldcouldbejustifiedunder Rule1(b),suchdecisionsshouldpreferablybemadeatinternationallevel.Bycontrast,iftheobjective isthatunmannedshipsshouldbenaturallyintegratedintotheenvironmentofmannedships,itdoes notseemjustifiabletomaintainthatunmannedshipsshouldhaveastatusthatwouldofferitspecial privilegesandprioritiesoverothershipsinCOLREGs.5 3.5InternationalConventiononStandardsofTraining,CertificationandWatchkeepingforSeafarers (STCW) TheSTCWConventiondoesnotstrictlyspeakingapplytopersonswhoarenotworkingonboard ships.AccordingtoitsArticleIII,theConventionapplies“toseafarersservingonboardseagoingships” flyingtheflagofastateparty. Evenifnotstrictlyspeakingapplicable,itisevidentthatacorrespondingtrainingregimewill eventuallyhavetobedevelopedforpersonsoperatingshipsremotely.Intheshorterterm,national administrationshavebeengrantedsomediscretiontoapplyequivalentarrangements,includingto caterfortechnicaldevelopments.UnderArticleIX(1): TheConventionshallnotpreventanAdministrationfromretainingoradoptingothereducational andtrainingarrangements,includingthoseinvolvingseagoingserviceandshipboard organisationespeciallyadaptedtotechnicaldevelopmentsandtospecialtypesofshipsand trades,providedthatthelevelofseagoingservice,knowledgeandefficiencyasregards navigationalandtechnicalhandlingofshipandcargoensuresadegreeofsafetyatseaandhasa preventiveeffectasregardspollutionatleastequivalenttotherequirementsoftheConvention. Thequalificationandcompetencesofpersonnelwhoareoperatingshipsfromaremotelocationneed tobegivenconsiderationinviewofthecombinationofmaritimeandtechnologyskillsthatisneeded forthistypeofwork.Inthemeantime,itisprobablysafetoapply(atleast)theSTCWandother 5 It has been suggested, for example, that compliance with the COLREGs might be ensured merely by treating unmanned ships as a vessel ”not under command” or ”restricted in her ability to manoeuvre” under Rule 18, which would require other ships to give way. 47 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps nationalrequirementsanalogically(asifthepersonswereonboardtheship).Ifandwhenitis consideredthatunmannedshipoperationsrequireparticulartraining,therelevantprovisionswould probablyneedtobeamendedtoaccommodatethenewrequirementsfortheoperationofunmanned orlargelyautomatedships. ThebiggestchallengesforunmannedshipsinrelationtoSTCWprobablylieinthefieldof watchkeeping.Theresponsibilitiesforsafewatchkeepinginvolveseveralpersons,includingthe company,themaster,thechiefengineerofficersandthewholewatchkeepingpersonnel,whose responsibilityitistoensure“thatasafecontinuouswatchorwatchesappropriatetotheprevailing andconditionsaremaintainedonallseagoingshipsatalltimes”.This,accordingtoRegulation VIII/2(2)(1),includesthat“officersinchargeofthenavigationalwatchareresponsiblefornavigating theshipsafelyduringtheirperiodsofduty,whentheyshallbephysicallypresentonthenavigating bridgeorinadirectlyassociatedlocationsuchasthechartroomorbridgecontrolroomatalltimes.” ThemoredetailedrequirementsarelaiddownintheSTCWCode,whichinitsmandatoryPartA includesdetailedprovisionsforwatchkeepinginvariousconditions,includingrequirementson lookout,bridge,engineroomandradiowatches.Provisionsforworkhoursandrestinghoursare includedintheactaswellasanobligationtoperformrouteplanningaheadoftheintendedvoyage. Itisprobablydifficultforunmannedshipstomeetthewatchkeepingrequirementaslaiddowninthe STCWConventionandCode,whichsuggeststhatsomeamendmentoftheseinstrumentswillbe necessarybeforecommercialshipscanoperatecompletelywithoutacreworevenwithradically reducedwatcharrangementson-board.Ontheotherhand,itshouldbeborneinmindthatthe reductionofon-boardcrewwillnormallybecompensatedbyotherfunctionsperformedremotely. Theseland-basedfunctionsshouldatleasttosomeextentalleviatetheconcernsrelatedtofatigueand reductionofsafetylevelswhichareusuallyassociatedwithreductionsofon-boardcrew. Intheend,thedecisionofwhetheraparticularmanningsufficesformaintainingasafelookoutand watchkeepingontheshipwillhavetobeaddressedthroughtheprocessofsafemanningwhereall suchfactorswillhavetobetakenintoaccount. 3.6MaritimeLabourConvention(MLC) Theprincipalconventioninthefieldofmaritimeemployment,the2006MaritimeLabourConvention (MLC)addressesarangeofissuesrelatingtolabourconditionsonboardships,rangingfrom 48 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps recruitmentandconditionsofemploymenttofundamentalrightsofseafarersandrecreational facilitiesonboard.Itappliestoallseafarersonships“ordinarilyengagedincommercialactivities”. ThefirstpointtobenotedwithrespecttounmannedshipsisthatthescopeoftheMLCConventionis limitedto‘seafarers’(MLC,ArticleII(2)),whichisdefinedinMLCArticleII(1)(f)as“anypersonwhois employedorengagedorworksinanycapacityonboardashiptowhichthisConventionapplies” (emphasisadded).Literallyspeaking,ashipwhichisentirelyunmannedisaccordinglynotsubjectto theserules.Yet,forunmannedshipsitmightnotbethelastword,asArticleII(3)includesaspecific procedureforsettlingwhetheraparticularcategoryofpersonistoberegardedasaseafarer: “Intheeventofdoubtastowhetheranycategoriesofpersonsaretoberegardedasseafarersfor thepurposeofthisConvention,thequestionshallbedeterminedbythecompetentauthorityin eachMemberafterconsultationwiththeshipowners’andseafarers’organizationsconcerned withthisquestion.” Secondly,sincetherulesmainlytargetlivingandworkingconditionsonboardshipstheircontent largelylosetheirrelevanceiftheshipiscompletelyunmanned.Itisthereforelikelythatissuessuchas employmentconditions,workinghoursetc.forshore-basedremotecontrollerswillbesubjectto relevantland-basedrules,possiblytobecomplementedbyseparateruleswhichtakeinto considerationsthespecificnatureoftheirtasks. 4.Liabilityrules 4.1General–AutonomousSystemsChallengeLegalThinking Inviewoftheprojectedincreaseofautonomousvehicletechnologies,futureaccidentswill increasinglybecausedbydefectiveproductsandsystems,whiletheroleofhumanerrorisreducedor atleastshiftedelsewhere.Whenthereislesshumancontrol,thereliabilityandproblem-solving capacityofanautonomoussystembecomecrucial.Theautonomoussystemmustsurviveevenwhen humaninterventionisnotpossible.Thisalsomeansachangeinlegalthinking.Liabilityfordamages cannotbebasedonhumanactsoromissionsinthesamewayastoday. Currentlylawdoesnotprovideclear-cutanswerstoquestionsonliabilityforautonomousoperations. Intheory,severalactorsmaybeheldliableforaccidentscausedbyanautonomoussystem.Liability could,forexample,beplacedwiththeowner,userormanufacturerofanautonomousdevice,oreven onthemanufacturerwhohasproducedthedefectivecomponent.Asautonomoussystemsbecome 49 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps morecommon,thequestionofliabilityneedstobeclarified.Somemanufacturersofself-drivingcars haveevenvoluntarilytakenupthequestion,irrespectiveofthelegalframeworkinvolved: “Wearethesuppliersofthistechnologyandweareliableforeverythingthecarisdoingin autonomousmode.Ifyouarenotreadytomakesuchastatement,youshouldn'ttrytodevelopan autonomoussystem.”6 Fromatechnologypointofview,autonomousvesselsandself-drivingcarsmayhavemanythingsin common.Nevertheless,legalconclusionsappliedtoroadtrafficarenotdirectlytransferableto autonomousshippingandviceversa.Actors,automation,accidentsandcontextaredifferent.For example,shipsaremorelikelytobeoperatedbycompaniesthanbyprivateindividualsand automationismorefocusedonremotecontrolthancompleteautomation,atleastintheearlyphases. Inthefollowing,thebasisofthecurrentmaritimeliabilitylegalframeworkispresentedinsection4.2. Afterthat,somewaysinwhichautonomoustechnologiesmayaffectthefunctioningoftheexisting liabilityframeworkarehighlightedinsection4.3,followedbysomeconcludingobservationsinsection 4.4.Asliabilityregimesdifferindifferentjurisdictions,thepresentoutlinespecificallydepartsfrom theNordicand,inparticular,Finnishlegalperspective. 4.2MaritimeLiabilityRules Maritimelawrelatingtoshipoperators’liabilitiesandcompensationofdamageincludeanumberof peculiaritiesthatarespecificforthisbranchoflaw.Theruleshavebeendevelopedwiththeparticular featuresofshippinginmind,oftenoriginatinginconsiderationsandconceptsthathavebeenapplied forcenturies.Basicissues,suchaswhoisresponsible,onwhatbasis,andforwhatamounthaveto someextentbeenharmonisedthroughinternationalconventions.However,significantnational variationsexistasstates’participationtothemaritimeliabilityconventionsisnotasuniformasforthe safetyconventionsdiscussedaboveandasliabilityissuestoalargerextentdependonnational traditionsandthelegalsystemconcerned.Whatlawswillbeappliedinagivencaseinturndepends onaseriesoffactors,includingwheretheincidenttookplace,thetypeofincidentsand,insomecases, onthenationalityofthekeyplayersinvolved,includingtheship’sflagstate. First,withregardtotheliableperson,existingmaritimeliabilityrulesgenerallychannelsliabilityand dutiestoowners/operatorsofships(Finnish:‘laivanisäntä’,German:‘Reder’,French:‘armateur’), 6 Håkan Samuelsson, President and CEO of Volvo Car Corporation. See www.autoblog.com/2015/10/09/volvo-acceptautonomous-car-liability/ 50 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps ratherthantoindividualcrewmembersorotherassistants.Likeemployersgenerally,the owner/operatorhasabroadvicariousliabilityfordamagecausedintheservicebythefaultorneglect ofthemaster,crew,pilotorothersperformingworkintheserviceoftheship.Thepossibilityfor aggrievedpartiestoclaimdamagesfromothersthantheowner/operatorislimited,butthe owner/operatorhimselfmaybeabletotakesubsequentrecourseactionagainstthepartyatfault. Specialliabilityrulesforparticularcasesmayalterthisstartingpoint,butthebroadvicariousliability oftheowner/operatorremains.Incaseofliabilityforcollisions,forexample,liabilityisplacedonthe ‘ship(s)’atfaultwithoutanymentionofthepersonsactuallybehindthecollision.Environmental liabilityrulesnormallychannelliabilityexclusivelytotheregistershipowner,specificallyexcludinga rangeofotherpotentiallyliablepersons.Theidentityofthepersonwhosefaultactuallycausedthe damagewillthereforenotnormallyhaveanimpactonthequestionofliablepersonfromthepointof viewofclaimants,aslongasthefaultissomehowlinkedtotheoperationoftheship. Second,astothethresholdoffaultornegligencerequiredtotriggerliability,therulesdifferbetween differenttypesofliability.Forcertaincases,suchasincidentscausingpollutionorinjuryto passengers,it’sacceptedthatclaimantsneednotdemonstratenegligenceonbehalfofthe owner/operatortobecompensated(i.e.ownersinthesecaseshaveastatutory‘strict’liability).Inthe absenceofsuchrules,thegeneralruleisthatliabilityoftheowner/operatorpresupposesfault (negligentactsoromissions)onbehalfoftheowner/operatororhishelpers.Fault-basedliabilityis alsothesoleruleforapportioningliabilityincaseofcollisions.Autonomousshipoperationsmay introducenewconsiderationsregardingfaultwhicharediscussedinsection4.3below. Third,currentmaritimelawgrantstheliablepartywithawide-reachingrighttofinanciallylimitthe liabilityperincidentbasedonthesizeoftheship.Therightofshipowners/operatorstolimitliability islostonlyinveryexceptionalcases.Claimantsmayaccordinglynotbeabletorecoverfull compensationfortheirlosses,howeverlegitimatetheirclaimsmaybe.Limitationofliabilityappliesto faultscommittedbypersonsforwhomtheshipowner/operatorisresponsibleandhencetoabroad numberofhelpersinvolvedintheoperationoftheship. Thekeyelementsofthegeneralmaritimeliabilityregimearethusabroadvicariousliabilityplacedon theowner/operatoroftheship,whichisbasedonfaultorneglectandprotectedbyastrongrightof limitation.Theserulesalsoformthebasisforliabilityinsurancesandotherriskmanagement.For shipsabove300gtenteringEuropeanUnionportsthereisanobligationtomaintainliabilityinsurance uptotheapplicablefinanciallimits. 4.3ImplicationsofAutonomousShipping 51 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps Eveniftheremaynotbeanimmediateneedtochangethefoundationsofmaritimeliabilityfor autonomousships,itisneverthelessimportanttorecognisethatthetechnicaldevelopmenttowards increasedautomationdoesinvolvecertainchallengestothecurrentliabilityframework. Whileerrorscommittedbypersonscontrollingremotely-operatedshipsareprobablytobetreatedin thesamewayaserrorscommittedbyon-boardcrewmembers,autonomoustechnologymaygenerate newtypesoferrorsandcausalrelationships.Oneexampleisdamagecausedbymalfunctionofan autonomoussystem,e.g.bydevicefailureorfaultysoftware.Evenunderthesecircumstancesthe owner/operatorwouldprobablybeliable,atleastinpart,ifhe(orhisassistants)failtooverridethe autonomoussystem.However,scenarioswherehumaninterventionisnotevenpossiblearemore complicated.Forexample,iftheconnectionbetweenthevesselandcontrolleriscutoff,thevesselwill havetorelyexclusivelyonitsautonomoussystems.Ifanaccidentthenoccursduetofailuresinthe autonomoussystem,duetowrongfulprogrammingetc.,itislessobviousthattheowner/operator wouldcarrytheliabilityunderastrictlyfault-basedliabilityscheme. Suchdrawbacksofafault-basedliabilityschemeforhighlyautomatedsystemsmayadvancethe argumentinfavourofastrictliabilityregimeforautomatedships.That,ontheotherhand,would createasignificantdifferentiationbetweenmannedandunmannedvesselswhichmightnotbe justifiedfromariskpointofviewandwouldinanycaseresultindifficultissuesofdelimitationand definition. Asanalternative,claimantsmaytrytobasetheirclaimsonotherliabilitysystemsthanthemaritime one.Ifaccidentswereincreasinglycausedbydefectiveautonomoussystems,theaggrievedparties couldtrytomakeclaimsagainstthebuilderofthevesselorthemanufactureroftheautonomous system,itssoftwareetc.Thiswouldmeanashifttowardsproductliabilityinthemaritimecontextto fillaperceived‘liabilitygap’inmaritimelaw.Thedevelopmentcouldbeadvantageousforclaimants, as,forexample,theEUdirectiveonproductliabilityisbasedonastrictliabilityoftheproducerand doesnotincludeageneralfinanciallimitationofliability. Itseemsinevitablethatpressuresforsuchalternativesolutionswillgrowifitturnsoutthatthe existingmaritimeliabilityregimeisinsufficienttocovertheconcernsofbusinesspartners,claimants andthegeneralpublicrelatingtotherisksinvolvedwithautonomousshipping.Autonomousshipping mayverywellactasacatalystforthisdevelopment,asitiseasiertoappreciatethecriticalroleofthe product(liability)insystemswherethereisnohumaninterventioninvolved. 52 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps Figure1:Thepossibleliabilityframeworkinautonomousshipping Itshouldbeemphasised,however,thattheapplicationofproductliabilityrulestoautonomous shippingisbynomeansstraightforwardeither.TheEUDirectiveonthematter,forexample,only coversalimitedrangeofthepotentiallyrelevanttypesofdamages.Forafullerpictureofroleof shipyardsandmanufacturersofautonomoussystems,othersupplementaryliabilitysystemsmustalso bestudiedinparallel.Thekeypointatthisstageismerelythatproductandotherliabilityrulesmay verywelloperateinparallelwiththetraditionalmaritimeliabilityregimeinthefutureandthatthe prospectofseveralbasesofliabilityforautonomousshippingneedstobetakenseriouslyfromthe outset.Thepresenceofparallelliabilityregimesnecessarilyinvolvescomplexlegalquestionsrelating toscopeandpriorities. 4.4ConcludingObservations Autonomousshippingmightnotimposeasacutedemandsforchangeofthemaritimeliabilityrulesas isthecaseforsomeoftheIMOConventionsdiscussedinsection3.However,itwillaffectthemaritime liabilityframework,possiblyquitesignificantly,albeitataslowerpace,initiallyprobablydrivenby nationalcaselaw.Inthelongerterm,however,autonomousshippingcouldcontributetothe introductionofnewlegalregimestosupplementthetraditionalmaritimelawframeworktofill (perceivedorreal)gapsintheexistingmaritimelawregime.Astherateofautomationincreases,there needstobetrustnotonlyinthesystemsassuch,butalsointhelegalregimewhichistheretomake goodforanydamagecausedbythenewtypeofoperations. Theincreasedautomationinshippingmayalsoaffectmaritimeriskmanagementmoregenerally. Currentinsuranceandcontractualarrangements,forexample,areallbasedonthepremisethatships aremanned.Inautonomousshipping,theplayersinvolved,theirroles,responsibilitiesandliabilities willbedifferent,whichcallsforconsequentialadjustmentsininsuranceandcontractualpractices.The legalimplicationsofautonomousshippingaccordinglyextendbeyondtheliabilityrules. 53 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps 5.Summary Theexistingmaritimelawframeworkdoesnotanticipateunmannedshipping.Abroadrangeofrules arepotentiallyconcernedbyashifttounmannedshippingoperations,butthenatureofthechallenge toaccommodatethisshiftintheexistinglawdiffersfromonetypeofruletoanother. Sinceitisassumedthatthevehiclesofinterestherequalifyas‘ships’underthevariousinternational andnationalrules,theregulatorysituationisreasonablystraightforward.Thestartingpointisthatthe unmannedshipsaresubjecttothesamerightsandobligationsastheirmannedcounterparts. Themostimmediatechallengesforensuringthelegalityofunmannedshippingoperationsarefound atthelevelofinternationaltechnicalrules,i.e.theIMOrules.Thisisnotonlywherethemostclear substantivetensionsarefoundinrelationtoexistingrules,buttheserulesarealsodecisivefor steeringthecontentofthejurisdictionalrulesofthelawoftheseaaswellasofnationalmaritimelaws worldwide.Inotherwords,ifIMOrulesspecificallyrecognisedandauthorisedunmannedshipping operations,evenasanoption,theregulatorychallengeattheotherlegallevelswouldbesignificantly reduced. Thenatureofthechallengealsodependsonthetradingareaoftheshipandofthelevelofautomation concerned.Shipmovementswithinasinglestateinvolvesonestate’sapprovalonlyandalargepartof theinternationalrequirementsdonotapplytosuchtransports.Autonomousshipsinvolvegreater legalchallengesthanremotelyoperatedones.Thelatteronesstillhaveacrew,evenifnotonboard, andmayhencemoreeasilycomplywithanumberoftoday’soperationalrequirements. TheIMOrulesinternationalrulesacceptasignificantdiscretionfortheflagstateadministrationto acceptalternativeandequivalentsolutions,whichwillnodoubtbeofrelevanceintheearlyphasesof unmannedshipping.ThisflexibilityforflagstateshasbeensomewhatreducedforEUmemberstates bytheintroductionofEUmaritimelegislation,butitisclearthatunmannedshippingcannotbe introducedintheearlyphaseswithoutsignificantco-operationbytheship’sflagstateadministration. Maritimeliabilityrulesseemlessacutetoamend,butarealsolikelytoundergosignificantchanges overtime,asnewplayers,newrisksand-possibly-newliabilitysystemswillenterthescenewith unmannedshippingoperations.Existingliabilityrulesmayneedtobeinterpreted,amendedand possiblysupplementedbydedicatedrulestosupplementthetraditionalmaritimeliabilityframework. 54 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps Newliabilityrules,inturn,willhaverepercussionsonmarineinsuranceandotherbusiness relationshipsoftheshipoperators. Thelegalchallengesdiscussedherearenotinsurmountableaslaws,atanylevel,canalwaysbe amendedtoaccommodatenewdevelopments.Thebiggerquestioniswhetherthereissocietal acceptanceandpreparednessinthemaritimecommunityandbeyondtomakechangesto accommodateunmannedshipping.Iftheanswertothatquestionispositive,thelegalchallengeis reducedtoidentifyingthekeyrulesthatareinneedofadjustmentsandmaketheamendments.The amendmentscouldpossiblyevenbeintheformofagenericacceptanceofcertainkeyissuesof principle,suchasthepossibilitytoperformon-boardfunctionsfromaremotelocationandthe relationshipbetweencrewresponsibilitiesandautomatedfunctions. Suchinternationalamendments,however,takeseveralyearstoinitiateandformulateandstillmore yearstocomeintoeffect.Intheinterim,non-bindingIMOguidelinesorbestpracticecodesfor unmannedshippingoperationsmayprovideimportantsupportandassistanceforflagstatesthatsee thebenefitsofthedevelopmentandwishtosupportit,butarestillnotpreparedtoriskthe internationalconnectionthathasinspiredmaritimeregulationforcenturies. Annex:Summaryofthedifferentlayersandsubstantivebranchesofmaritimelaw Jurisdictional Technicalreq.and Privatelawissues Otherrules rules standards (shipownerandothercommercial (Criminal,social, (maintarget:states) (maintarget:flagstates) partners) commercial,publiclawetc.) Global(UN) UNCLOS Global SOLAS,MARPOL,STCW, Privatelawconventionsone.g. (IMO&ILO) Global(IMO, COLREGS,MLC UNCITRAL, liability,limitation,arrest,carriage CMIetc.) European ofgoods,salvage,etc. Union Nordicstates Shipsafetydirectives& Productliabilityrules,insurance SeveralissuescoveredbyEU regulations requirements Treaty&legislation Rulesoncompetentjurisdiction Limitationsonexemptions andapplicablelaw NordicMaritimeCodes,Nordic marineinsuranceterms National (Finland) Nationalimplementing FinnishMaritimeCode674/1994, Theentirelegislationapplies legislation,discretionofflag otherspecifiedactsonliability, aprioriforshipsflyingits stateadministration(Trafi) insuranceetc. flag 55 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps Safetyandsecurity RistoJalonen,Projectmanager,seniorresearchscientist,AaltoUniversity DepartmentofMechanicalEngineering/MarineTechnologyGroup RistoTuominen,Seniorscientist,VTTTechnicalResearchCentreofFinlandLtd MikaelWahlström,Seniorscientist,VTTTechnicalResearchCentreofFinland Ltd 56 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps Safetyandsecurityinautonomousshipping–challengesforresearch anddevelopment Summary Safetyandsecurityimposeessentialconstrainingrequirementsthatneedtobefulfilledinthedesign andimplementationofshipautomation.Inprinciple,autonomousortele-operatedshipsarerequired tobe,atleast,assafeasconventionalvesselsinsimilarservice.However,duetoconsiderable uncertaintyconcerningnewhazardsandrisks,itmaybepossiblethatevenmorestringentsafetygoals areneededforfutureapplicationswithexpandedportionsoftasksandoperationscarriedouteither underremotecontrolorasautonomousoperations.Problemscanbetreatedaschallenges,andin engineeringtheymayoftenbesolvedbycreatingnewtechnicalorsometimeseventechnological solutions.Thequestions,whatneedstobedonetoensuresafetyandsecurityinshipswithcontinually risinglevelsofautomationandremotecontrol,oruptowhatleveltheautomationcanbeincreasedin ships,havebecomemorerelevantthaneverbefore.Whileaddressedinitiallyinafewearlierstudies, theimpactsofautonomous,unmannedmerchantshipsonmaritimesafetyhavenotbeenstudied widelyanddeeplyenough,yet.ThegapsininformationwillbefilledtosomeextentintheAAWA Initiative. Makingsomethingnew–somethingthathasnotexistedbefore–iscentraltoengineering.According tohistoricalrecordstheconceptoffailurehasquiteoftenbeencentraltotheincreasingunderstanding inseveralareasofthemultidisciplinaryengineeringscience.Innewdesignsithasalwaysbeenan overridingobjectivetoavoidfailure.Safetyandsecurityneedtobetakenintoaccountwellenough fromthebeginningofthedesigntotheendofthewholelife-cycleofthenewdesign.Thesociotechnicalapproachhaswidenedoureyestopossibilitiestoconsider,notonlymanyimportant technicaldetails,butalsowideraspects.Thisleadsustosystemicthinkingwiththeimportanteffects ofoperationalandorganisationalfactorsshapingthesystemdesign. Visionsofnewdevelopmentsinthefieldofautomationmaybeidentifiedasheraldsofanew technologicalandoperationalera.Emergenttechnologymayincludemanyhazardsandevensome disruptiveeffects.Thesefeaturessethighdemandsonthesocialresponsibilityofdeveloperstocover allimportantaspectsintheirassessmentsofimpactsonsafetyandsecurity.So,obligationsfor meticulousandover-archingworkbeforepracticaltestapplicationsandfirstcommercialsolutionscan 57 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps starttospreadarehigh.Oneoftheproblemsrelatedtothemanychallengesistoassessthepaceofthe development.Ifthetechnologicaldevelopmentseemstobefasterthanthedesignandconstructionof allnecessaryandfeasiblesafetylevers,moreeffortsshouldbeputongettingthemdevelopedatthe samepace. Alongsidedevelopmentoftechnologicalsolutionstoenablehigherlevelsofautonomousoperationof ships,theAAWAinitiativeaimstobuildupawarenessandunderstandingonsafetyandsecurityrisks relevanttoenvisionedautonomousconcepts,andpointoutsomesuggestedmeasurestomanagethese riskseffectively.Theriskknowledgewillbebuiltupgraduallyandcumulativelythrough comprehensiveanalyses,simulatorstudies,andfinallyinpilotdemonstratorstudiesandteststobe executedonactualseagoingvesselswithsomethoroughlyconsideredrestrictions.Understanding autonomousortele-operatedshipsystemsandtheirembeddedcomplexitygrowsgradually,butitis alsoimportanttoformaholisticpictureofthenew,emergenttechnologyunderdevelopment.Thisis whatweaimatinAAWA. 1. Introducingofautonomousmerchantshipsformaritimeoperation Designandimplementationofmerchantshipconceptsplannedtooperatepartiallyorfully autonomouslyorunderremotecontrolfromashore,isstillinitsinfancy.Howeverthisvisionofnew eraofmarinetransportationisgainingincreasinginterestamongthemaritimeindustryandnew conceptsaredevelopingquicklyworldwide.Theadvancesininformationandcommunications technology(ICT)inrecentyearsenablequickdevelopmentastheymakepossibletheon-board intelligenceanddataconnectioncapabilitiesnecessaryformakingshipsabletooperateevenwithout on-boardcrew. Theeconomicbenefitsofautonomousoperationconceptshavebeenhypothesisedtocapitalize highestinoceangoingfreightvesselstransportingrelativelylowvaluecargosonintercontinental routes.However,mostlikely,thefirstimplementationsincommercialtraffic,firstpilotingandthenin operationaluse,couldbeexpectedinshortseatrafficandspecialtypeofapplicationswhichoperatein nationalwaters.Thisisbecauseoftheassociatedeconomicrisk,andtheneedtohavehighconfidence ontheperformance,reliabilityandsafetyofthesolutionsproposedbeforetakingthemintodeepsea. Anotherincentivesuggestingthiskindofdevelopmentpathcomesfromtherestrictionsimposedby themandatoryinternationalmaritimeregulationswhichdonotcurrentlyrecognizetheconceptof unmannedshipoperation.Consequently,autonomousoperationswillinitiallyrequireexemption permitswhichacompetentflagstateadministrationmayissueonaparticularshipfornationalwaters ifsafetyandsecurityarenotcompromised. 58 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps Dependingonhumanoperators’presenceandinvolvementinmonitoring,planning,executionand controlofshipoperations,differentlevelsofshipautonomycanbeidentified.However,muchworkon standardizedclassificationshelpingtoidentifyandspecifythedifferentautonomylevelsinshipsmay stillbeexpected.Inprinciple,inthelowerormediumlevelsofshipautonomy,theincreased intelligenceintroducedon-boardwouldjustprovideextraassistancetothebridgeoperators,orit wouldtakeoversmallerorlargerpartsofbridgeoperatortaskswhilebeingundersupervisorycontrol byacompetentcrewmemberremainingpresenton-boardandabletointerveneincaseofproblems identifiedbythesupervisororbytheautomatedsystem. Inhigherlevelsofshipautonomy,thesupervisorycontrolpartmaybetransferredtoadedicated ShoreControlCentre(SCC)whereasupervisormaybeabletomonitortheoperationofseveralvessels simultaneouslyandinterveneremotelywhenaspecificneedisidentified.TheSCCcouldalsohavethe responsibilityforexecutingspecificoperationsofaship,e.g.steeringinandoutaport,whichthen wouldbecarriedoutremotelybytele-operation.Inthehighestlevelofshipautonomy,theships wouldoperatewithoutcontinuoushumansupervisionpresenteitheron-boardnoratsomeonshore controlcentre.However,theautomatedsystemisplannedtomakecontactwithanSCCforhelpwhen encounteringaproblemsituationitisnotabletoresolve.Suchconnectivity,alwaysavailablewiththe requiredcapacitywhenneeded,andwithoutanyinterruptions,ismostprobablyanindispensable featureofapplicationsrelyingonthesupportfromtele-operationfromtheSCC.Alsoimportantwillbe thesecurityoftheSCCs. Thetransitiontotheautonomousunmannedshippingeracanbehypothesizedtotakeplacegradually overaperiodofafewdecades.Thefirstapplications,especiallythosebeingupgradesonexisting vessels,couldbeexpectedtostillcarrysome,althoughreduced,crewonboardforspecifictasksand availableasinsitubackupincaseofproblemsencounteredatsea.However,singleapplicationswith evenhigherlevelsofshipautonomycouldalsobeexpectedalreadyinnearfutureinsomelocal specificservicesespeciallywellsuitedforunmannedoperation. 2. Are‘unmannedships’safe? Thepresentedvisionsoffutureautonomousshipssailingunmannedhaveraisedgenericconcernand questionsamongsomeprofessionalsandwell-informedlaymenaboutthecredibilityandsafetyof suchshipsascomparedtoconventionalshipsoperatedbyacrewon-board.Examplesofsafety concernsexpressedhaveconsidered: • abilityofautomationtoreliablydetectsmallvesselsandfloatingobjectsonroute; • abilityofautomationtoavoidcollisionsincaseofencountersofmultipleships; • abilityofautomationtonavigatesafelyoncoastalfairways; 59 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps • reductionsonpreventiveandcorrectivemaintenancethatarecurrentlylargelycarriedout duringvoyages; • abilitytohandleemergencies,suchasfirefightingorfailurerecoveryandrepairsatsea; • errorsandmalfunctionsinsoftware; • disturbances,malfunctionsandvulnerabilitiesindatacommunicationconnections; • unduetrustonthecapabilityandflawlessnessofICTsystems Fromasecuritypointofviewconcernshavebeenraisedastothehighervulnerabilityofenvisaged unmannedshipstohijackingorpiracywiththepurposeofsteelingthecargoorkidnapingthevessel forransom.SimilartotheconcernsraisedregardingcybersecurityofICTsystemsingeneral,potential vulnerabilityofunmannedshipstocyber-attacksbydifferentadversaries,allowingthemtoillegally manipulateorexploittheattackedsystem,hasbeenespeciallyunderlined.Thisstrongconcernreflects therousedpublicawarenessoncybersecurityandisjustifiede.g.bythebreachesincybersecurity pointedoutrecentlyonsomeautonomousroadvehiclesandinotherexamplesonsomeotherfieldsof newtechnology. Contrarytothefearednegativesafetyandsecurityeffects,claimshavealsobeenmadeforthehigher safetylevelsofshipswithhigherlevelsofautomationandoperationautonomy.Suchclaimshavebeen reasonede.g.basedonhighinvolvementofhumanerrorinaccidentsatseainthepast,andthehigh crewfatalityratewhencomparedtootherindustriesobservedcurrently.Bothoftheseissuescouldbe hypothesisedtobereducedbyincreasedshipautonomybyreducingthehumaninvolvementindirect controlofships,andbyreducingthesizeofthecrewon-boardandexposedtohazardsofthehostile seaenvironment. Whileaddressedinitiallyinfewstudies,itappearsthattheimpactsofunmannedmerchantshipson maritimesafetyhavenotyetbeenstudiedcomprehensively.Furthermore,thereisnoexperience availableonsuchshipsandtheirsafetyineverydayuse.Thereforeitisofhighimportanceinanynew developmentprojectsthatthesafetyrisksaresystematicallyaddressedfromthebeginning,andthe knowledgeonsafetyimplicationsaresystematicallybuiltup,withoutforgettingtheapplicable experiencefromotherapplicationsfromthepast. 3. Preconditionsofsafetyandsecurity Ingeneralautonomousandremotelycontrolledshipsfacesimilarsafetythreatstoconventionalships, i.e.threatsarisingfromtheseaenvironment,othershipsoperatinginclosevicinity,andships’own operations.Incaseofautonomousorremotelycontrolledships,however,therecognitionofand responsetothosethreatsistransferred,toacertaindegree,fromtheon-boardcrewtointelligent 60 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps softwareandsensorsystemsoperatingon-board,ortosupervisorsmonitoringandcontrollingthe shipsviadatalinksremotelyonshore.Inaddition,theinterconnectedICTsystemsneededforthe autonomousorremotelycontrolledoperationbringalongnewriskstobeaddressedandmitigatedin thedesignandcommissioningofthesystems. Tobesafeinitsoperation,anautonomousorremotelycontrolledshipshallnotproduceasafety threattoitself,thesurroundingshipsandproperty,orthemarineenvironment.Inaddition,itneedsto beabletoadjustitsoperationifgettingthreatenede.g.byothershipsorunexpectedchangesinthe environment.Thisimplies,ingeneral,thatatele-operated,highlyautomated,orevenunmannedship mustbecapableof: • generating,oratleastusing,avalidvoyageplanforaforeseenseavoyageandassuringthe ship’sreadinessforthevoyagebeforedeparture; • navigatingaccuratelyaccordingtothepredefinedvoyageplan,andavoidingcollisionswith othertrafficandobstacles–bothfixedandfloating-encounteredduringvoyage; • maintainingitsseaworthinessandoperabilityoverthevoyageascarriedoutinvaryingsea states; • respondingsafelytocriticaleventsandadjustingitsoperationtopotentiallydangerous changesintheoperatingenvironmentandshipconditions; • facilitatingemergencyinterventionsforrecoveryandrescueatsea;and • resistingunauthorizedintrusionsintoshipsystems,eitherphysicalorvirtual,withtheaimof maliciousactsorillegalexploitation. Therelativeimportanceofthesedifferentaspectsobviouslydependsontheparticularapplication,i.e. shiptypeandtheserviceitisproviding,characteristicsoftheoperatingarea,etc. Ageneralrequirementcommonlystatedforautonomousunmannedshipsisthat,inordertobe acceptabletocommercialuse,theymustbeapprovedtobe‘atleastassafeastheconventionalvessels currentlyinuseforsimilarpurpose’.Someclaimshavealsobeenpresentedthatthelevelofriskthat canbeconsideredacceptableregardingseverecasualtiesshouldbenotablylowerforautonomous ships.Thiswouldreflecttheassumedlowerpublictoleranceofriskincaseofautonomousshipsdue toperceivedlowerlevelofcontrolbythepeopleinvolvedonevolutionofsuchsituationscomparedto conventionalvessels. 61 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps 4. Focalareasofrisk–someselectedexamples Inmarinetechnology,risksareoftenassessedandanalysedbycategorisingthemindifferenttypesof marineaccidents,like:collision,contact,grounding,fire,explosion,capsizing/listing,flooding, foundering,hullfailure,lossofcontrol,andinsomeaccidentstatisticsadditionally:unknown. However,incaseofanew,emergenttechnology,suchanapproachmaynotnecessarilybefruitful enoughforourpurposes,especially,iftotallynewhazards,risksandriskcontroloptionsneedtobe identifiedandassessed.Therefore,amoreholisticview,notlimitedbytheconventionalwaysof thinking,isconsiderednecessarytoobtainamorecomprehensiveknowledgeandunderstanding. Areviewofrelatedliteratureandpreliminaryassessmentofautonomousandremotelycontrolled shipoperationpointsoutcertainimpactsofincreasedautonomythatcouldbecomedetrimentalto safetyofshippingunlessproperlytakenintoconsiderationwhendesigningandimplementingthe systemsforsuchoperation.Safetyofautonomousshipsdependslargelyonthedesignand technologicalimplementations.However,inadditiontotheinteractionsofthevariouscomponents andsub-systemsinthetechnology,humanoperatorsandthehuman-technologyinteractionremain evenmoreimportantelementsinthisimplementation.Inlinewiththis,theriskscouldbecategorised intothoserelatedtothetechnologiesneededtoimplementautonomousshipoperations,andthose relatedtooperatingthistechnologysuccessfullyaspartofthemaritimetransportationsystem. Selectedexamplesofbotharebrieflydescribedinthefollowingsub-chapters. 4.1 Reliabilityofsafetycriticalequipment Thereisanincreaseddemandforreliabilityordependability7inshipsapplyinghigherthanusual levelsofautomation.Asamatteroffactthedevelopmenttowardstele-operatedorautonomousships demandsdependable,safeandsecuresystemson-board,extendingtotheshipitself,itssystemsand itsenvironment,includingallservicestheshipsuse.Thus,allsystemstheshipispartof,andall systemsandsub-systemstheshipuses,areinvolved. ICTsystems Shore-basedremotemonitoringandcontrolobviouslyreliesontheexistenceofreliableandsecure communicationlinksbetweenthecontrolcentreandtheshipsunderitssupervisorycontrolsothat sufficientspeedandbandwidthfortheneededdatatransferiscontinuouslyavailable. Inprinciple,afullyautonomousvesselcouldoperatesuccessfullyforalongtimewithouthavingan operationaldatalinkwiththeremoteShoreControlCentre(SCC).However,ifcontrolbyanSCC 7 Dependability is an umbrella term. It includes several sub-terms: reliability performance, availability performance, maintainability performance, supportability performance, integrity, safety etc. For further details, see IEC TC56 standard. 62 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps operatorisconsiderednecessaryasanemergencybackup,availabilityofanoperationaldatalink wouldneedtobeverifiedasaprerequisiteforthevesseltooperate.Inotherwords,startingasea voyageshouldnotbeallowedunlessadatalinkarrangementhavingsufficientcapacityforemergency operationsandrequiredreliabilityoverthemissionisknowntoexist.Typically,atleastpartially redundant,divergentdatalinkstofacilitatetheneedsforcommunicationsinthedifferentoperational situationswouldberequired. Similarly,robust,compatibleandproperlyvalidatedICTstructuresandsoftwarearerequiredbothonboardthevesselsandattheshorecontrolcentre(SCC)inordertoavoidrisksrelatedtoflawed operationoftheembeddedsystemintelligence. Reliabilitymanagement Conventionalshipsappeartorelystronglyonthecrewon-boardasaninsituresourcefortimely failurerecoveryatseaandexecutionofpreventivemaintenanceprogramsonlineduringthesea voyage.Thisallowsusinglesscostlymachineryconfigurationsthatrequirefrequentpreventive maintenanceactionsandhavelowerreliabilitywithrespecttofailuresrepairableatsea. Lackofpermanentcrewon-boardwouldessentiallydiminishthecapabilitytoperformpreventiveand correctivemanualmaintenancetasksonshipequipmentduringseavoyages.Thisimpliesthatsystems essentialforoperationneedtobedesignedtoberesilienttofailureandextendedmaintenance intervals.Lackofpermanenton-boardcrewalsocreateshigherdemandsforschedulingof maintenanceactionsonharbourstays.Thiscallsfortheintroductionofefficientdiagnosticsandnew predictiveprognosticalgorithmstohelpassessingandcontrollingtheriskoffailuresand preschedulingofrequiredmaintenanceactionsaspartofoverallshipoperationplanning.Designing easilymaintainablesystemswouldhelptominimisethetimeandresourcesrequiredandtoassure thattheactionsarecorrectlyperformed. Regardingmachinerysystemscontrol,acommontrendseemstobetowardsremotemonitoringand controlfromshore-basedservicecentresrunoftenbythemanufacturer.Inthiscontext,alsothe controlofthestatus/healthofotherimportantequipmentthanthemainmachineryneedstobe maintained. Basedonexperience,revisionsandrepairsmadeonexistingsoftwareintensivesystemsrepresenta commonrisktoerrorswithimmediateorlatentimpactsonsystemperformance.Consequently, revisionsorrepairsonsuchsystemsneedtobethoroughlyplannedandmanagedwithproper configurationcontrolandcomprehensiveverificationtestingprocedurestosupportrecommissioning 63 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps ofthesystemsbacktonormaluse.Allchangesandmodificationsshouldbetrackableandthus systematicallyandtruthfullyregisteredinvessel/companylogbooks. 4.2 Humanfactorsissuesinremoteoperationandmonitoring Thereareavarietyofpotentialchallengesrelatedtooperationandmonitoringoftheunmannedships withsafetyimplications.Firstly,theexistingliteraturehaspointedoutthatduetoteleoperationthere wouldbenobodilyfeelingoftheshiprockingorshipsense.Itisthereforepossiblethatfull understandingoftheconditionswouldnotbeachievedviacamerasystems.Insmallerships,steering canbeadjustedinaccordancewiththewaveformationthroughbodilysenseoftheship. Automationandremoteoperationimpliesthattheshipswillbeequippedandoverviewedwith multiplesensors.Thedangerhereisthattheoperatorcouldbeexposedtoinformationoverloadand thereforenolongerabletomakesenseofthesituation.Theproblemwouldbeevengraverifone personwouldmonitorseveralvesselsassteeringtheoverviewfromonevesseltoanothercouldbea potentialpointformishaps.WithUASs(unmannedaircraftsystem)severalmishapshaveoccurred duringchangeoversorhandoffs,thesehavingbeenthedirectorindirectcauseoftheincidents. Representingseveralsourcesofinformationinoneindicationviaso-calledsensorfusionisapotential solutiontothisproblem.Thismightbeproblematicaswellasitcanbeimportantfortheoperatorto understandeachofthesensors.Allofthesensorsmightnotalwaysbeworkingandtheymighteven provideconflictinginformation.Tofullyunderstandthesituation,theoperatorwouldneedso-called automationawareness,thatis,comprehensionofthecurrentandpredictedstatusofautomation.Yet, achievingfullunderstandingonwhatdifferentaspectsofautomationaredoingcanbedifficultifthe sensordataisfusedtogether.Thisfusionshouldbedoneinamannersuchthatthesystemis transparentfortheoperatoryetwithoutinducinginformationoverload. Afurthercomplicationispotentialskillshortage,andskilldegradationatalaterphase.Thefirstissue hereisrelatedtotheavailabilityofonboardtrainingvacanciesfordeckandengineratingsandcadets, ife.g.thenumberofcabinsandtrainersonboardgetdiminished.Assumedly,withrelianceon automationandwithoutmanualdrivingactivity,itisdifficulttomaintainskillsneededinvarying maritimeactivities.Withrespecttoabnormalsituationsthiscouldbeespeciallydifficult.Maintaining goodskillscouldbeespeciallydifficultifmonitoringafleetofdifferentkindsofships–theoperator couldhavetolearnthepracticaldifferencesofeachoftheshipsandcouldeasilyforgetorfailto recognizerelevantissueswhenswitchingtheoperationfromoneshiptoanother. Drivingtheunmannedshipsremotelybyteleoperationcouldbechallengingduetolatency.Ittakes timeforasignaltotravelviasatellitesorothermeans.Thisimpliesthatinteleoperationthereis alwayslatencypresent.Toomuchlatencycaninhibitactualisingpracticaltasks,i.e.,withtoomuch 64 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps distancepluslatencytheso-calledcognitivehorizoninteleoperationcouldbeexceeded.Accordingto research,50msdelaybordersthelimitofdelaydetectionforhumanbrain.Adelayof200msis consideredtobenoticeableinpractice. Additionally,boredomhastobeconsidered.Forexample,inapreviousstudy,92%ofUAS(unmanned aircraftsystem)operatorshavereported“moderate”to“total”boredom.Boredomcouldresultsasa lossofvigilanceandisthereforeariskfactor. Asasummaryofmanypotentialhumanfactorschallenges(excludingsecurity)inautomatedshipping wemaypresentthefollowinglistofissuesthatneedattention: • Diminishedshipsense • Informationoverload • Mishapsduringchangeoversandhandoffs • Needforautomationawareness • Skilldegradation • Latencyandcognitivehorizon • Boredomandvigilancemaintenance 4.3 Security Securityreferstounauthorizedintentionalactsofpersonsororganisationsaimedtocauseharmor damageto,ortoillegally/criminallyexploit,asystemforthepurposesofthemaliciousactor.Piracy, theftofcargo,smugglingofgoods,humantrafficking,damagingofshiporportfacility,vandalismand sabotage,hijackingofshiporpersonson-board,useofshipasweaponforterroristactivity,etc.are commonlylistedexamplesofmarinetransportrelatedsecuritythreats.Aparticulartypeofthreat beingcredibleforaparticularshipobviouslydependsonhowpotentialactorsperceivethethreattype andtheshiptomatchtotheirobjectivesandperceivedcapabilitiesforsuccessfullyexecutingthe plannedmaliciousact.Vulnerabilities(i.e.gapsordefects/weaknesses)identifiedintheprotectionsof shipsystemscouldbeconsideredasanexampleofpotentialincentivesforattemptingtheactand selectingtheshipasthetarget. Theactorsformaliciousactsmaybeexternalto,orcomefrominside,theorganization.Traditionally executionofmaliciousactshasrequiredphysicalpresenceoftheactorsandintrusionintothetarget system.ThegrowingusageofnetworkedICTtechnology,however,hasmadeitpossibletotryto accesssystemsvirtuallythroughnetworkinterfacesandgainunauthorizedremotecapabilityto manipulateorexploitthesystemoritsparticularelementsinsomeundesiredmanner. 65 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps Cybersecurity Thecontinuousincreaseofconnectedon-boardICTsystemstosupportshipoperationsandtheuseof differenttypesofdatanetworkstomaketheshipsatseaaccessibleforvarioustypesofremote onshoreserviceshasinitiatedcommonconcernsoncybersecurityofsuchsystems.Inotherwords, seriousquestionshavebeenraisedwhethertheimplementationsofsuchsystemscanactually effectivelyresistmaliciousactsonshipsthatmaybecomeattemptedremotelyviatheICT infrastructures.Thisconcernandprovokedawarenessisreflected,forexample,inIMOsafety committeeworktopics,specialnumbersonprofessionaljournals,andbytheguidelinesthatLloyd’s RegisterrecentlyissuedforICTsystems’designandassuranceonships. Concernsoncybersecurityarefurtherincreasedinthecontextofautonomousandtele-operated ships,inwhichtheconnectivityofsystemsisfurtherexpandedtoallowtheshipstorunin autonomousmodeorbeoperatedremotely.Thisimpliesthat,inprinciple,anybodyskilfulandcapable toattainaccessintotheICTsystemcouldtakecontroloftheshipandchangeitsoperationaccording tohackers’objectives.Thiscouldmeansimplysomedisruptiveactionsormanoeuvresintroducedfor annoyanceordemonstration,hijackingoftheshipandcargoforransom,butalsopoweredgroundings orcollisionscreatedonpurposetocauseseveredestruction.Inadditiontohackingintothesystems, operationofautonomousshipscouldalsobethreatenedbyintentionaljammingorspoofingofAISor GPSsignalsorthedatacommunicationsbetweentheshipandtheshorecontrolcentre. ProtectionagainstcyberthreatswouldcallforeliminationofvulnerabilitiesintheICTinfrastructure andimplementationofeffectivemeasuresforintrusionprevention,aswellasintrusiondetection, damagecontrolandsaferecoveryincaseofthepreventionmeasuresfailing.Reflectingthefactthat potentialattackerswillgetmoreskilfulovertime,andwillhavemoreadvancedtechniquesavailable tothem,theoversightoncybersecurityneedstobedynamicandproactiveintroducingupdatesinthe systemsaccordingly.Dataclassification,dataencryption,useridentification,authenticationand authorisation,dataprotectionagainstunauthoriseduse,dataintegrityprotection,connectivity protection,andactivityloggingandauditingareexamplesofcommoncybersecuritymethods foreseentobeneeded.Althoughsomepartsoftheprotectionincybersecuritymaybeautomaticthere isnodoubtthatasufficientamountofresourcesneedtobeallocatedforthispurpose.Inadditionto thetechnologyimplementationthelevelofcybersecuritywouldobviouslydependoneducationand theorganizationalcultureguidingperformanceofthepeopleinvolved. 66 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps Occupationalsafetyandhealth Socialsecurityisatopicthathasseveralmeanings.WithintheframeworkofAAWA,wemayinclude underitscoversomeissuesrelatedtooccupationalsafety,healthandwell-beingoftheseamenonboardshipsandashore.Inthisareaautonomousandtele-operatedactionsorshipsmayhelpin avoidingoratleastreducingoccupationalaccidentson-board.Itmaybepossibletoincludemany differentsecuritymatters,withinter-activefeedbackmechanismsandimpactsamongthelistsofhighlevelinteresttopicsoftheindustrywhennewtechnologyisimplementedon-board. WithintheframeworkofAAWAsomeissuesalreadyincludede.g.intherelevantconventionsofILO8 mayalsobeseenasindirectproactivemeasuresagainstcyberthreats.Awide,holisticviewmaybring newaspectsandpointsofviewintodiscussion.Althoughadeeperanalysisofsocialsecurityisleftout ofthescopeofthisstudy,itmustberecognisedthatmanydifferentconceptsofsocialsecurityofthe maritimecommunityandsocietyexist,andmanyofthemareofteninterconnected. 4.4 Cargomanagement Inconventionalships,thefirstofficerandshipmasterareinchargeofacceptingthecargoandits loadingintothecargospaces.Lackofpermanentcrewon-boardtheautonomousshipswould emphasisetheroleofportoperatorsinacceptingthecargoandassuringthatitiscorrectlyloadedand stowedon-boardinaccordancewithshippingregulationsandtheshipspecificcargomanual. Furthermore,inunmannedshipsandshipsunderremotecontrolpossibleactionstotakeanycargo relatedmeasuresatseaaremorelimitedthaninconventionalships,ifnoextraequipmentfacilitating additionalmeasures,e.g.foradditionalcargomonitoring,securingorcontrol,areprovided. Incaseofautonomousships,assuranceofproperinitialstatusofthecargofortheforeseenseatrip wouldrelymainlyonthelongshoremen.Thiscouldincreasetheriskofcargorelatedincidents,asitis believedthatcrewmembersandofficerssailingon-boarddohaveadeeperpersonalinteresttoensure thatcargoloadingandthesecuringworkaresafelydoneandtheequipmentusedarefitforthe purposeinallconditions.Anyactionstocurecargorelatedproblemsidentifiedon-board,like:cargo shift,leaks,problemswithmoisture,fireandfloodingarelimitedtothosethatcanbehandledeither byautomationortele-operation. 4.5 Managingemergencies Lackoftrainedcrewmemberson-boardcouldbeexpectedtoincreasetheriskoffailureincopingwith emergencysituationsthatcanbeencounteredduringvoyages.Decreasedcrewsizemaycreatea 8 International Labour Organization (ILO), see e.g. Maritime Labour Convention, 2006 (MLC, 2006) (with entry into force: 20 Aug 2013), or the earlier Convention C165. 67 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps higherriskoffailuretohandleemergencieson-boardwhenactionsareneeded.Capabilityofspecific promptresponseactionsinsituorevacuationofthevessel,ifneeded,hasraisedstrongdoubtsonthe autonomousoperationconceptbeingapplicableatall. Howtheshipcanassistinemergencysituationsrelatedtoothershipsisanotherquestionwithseveral uncertaintiesduetothelimitationinthecurrentlyavailabletechnicalspecification.Emergency situationsincludeawideareaofpotentialoperationsthatneedtobediscussedinmoredetailwhen detailedsolutionsareavailable. However,althoughreducingthecrewsizemightresultindiminishedcapabilitytoassistothershipsin emergencysituationsbyhands-onhelp,theautomatedshipscouldhavealternativepositive contributionstoemergencymanagement.Astudysuggeststhat,thankstoincreasedsensordata,the automatedshipscouldreproduceinformationtoauthoritiesifneeded.Videoandsensordatacouldbe transmitteddirectlytovesseltrafficmonitoringservices,whichcouldbehelpfulinincreasing authorities’situationalawarenessinemergencies. 5. Managingshippingsafetyandsecurityinshortandlongterm Managementofshipsafetyandsecurityintheshorttermmaybeseenmainlyasaprocessthat requireshavingspecificwell-definedsystematicproceduresappliedintheclassificationandapproval processes.Suchprocessesaresufficientforassuringsafetyandsecurityofsuchships.However,there mayalsoappearneedstobeabletoactinunforeseensituations.Whentheoperationofanew,large andsafety-criticalsystem,suchasamerchantshipisconsideredtobeallowedforevenalimiteduse,a precautionaryprincipleissuggestedtobefollowed.Whenthesystemcanpassallthechecksandtests understoodnecessarytoconfirmitssafetyandsecurity,asteptowardsamorecomplicatedsystemor useinadifferentenvironmentmaybeconsidered. Intheshorttermthemistakesmadebyautonomoussystemsmaybestillattributedtohumans,asthe softwareisplannedandproducedbyhumans.However,controlsmustbeinplacetoensurethatno badorerroneousinformationordistortedideasofthefunctionalitiesorenvironmentalconditionsare used. Inthelongertimeperspective,managementofsafetyofautonomousshipscouldbeexpectedthrough IMOregulationsandconventionsbeingadaptedtobetterencompassalsoautonomousmodesofship operationandtheassociatedsafetyrisks.Theinitialrisk-basedapproachesforapprovalcouldbe expectedtodevelopintostandardisedprescriptiveandgoal-basedrequirementstoguidethedesign andimplementationofautonomousfeaturesonshipsandtheonshorecontrolcentres.Safety 68 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps managementshouldbedirectedtoacomprehensive,holisticviewextendedtoaspectsandissues relatedthefulllife-cycleoftheautonomousship. 5.1 Qualificationofnewtechnologiesforuse Qualificationofnewtechnologies,suchasICTsystemstoenableautonomousortele-operatedships, forcommercialusecanbeoutlinedasastep-wiseprocess.Smallstepsthatgraduallybuildup confidenceinthenewtechnologyproposedwithcontinuousimprovementsensuringthatitfulfilsthe requirementsidentifiedforsafeoperation.Implementationofnewtechnologycanbeseenasa learningprocessduringitswholelifetime. Currentlyinternationallyagreedconventions,suchasSOLAS(i.e.SafetyofLifeatSea),specifythe minimumstandardsfortheconstruction,equipmentandoperationofshipsconsideredtoenablesafe operationtogetherwithsuchcodesandregulationsasCOLREG9,ISM10andSTCW11etc.These standardsincludeprescriptiverequirementsonstructuraldesign,specificequipment,sizeand qualificationsofcrew,etc.,compliancetowhichneedstobeproofedforeachindividualship.Deviation fromanyprescriptiverequirementrequirestheshipownertodemonstratewithsufficientevidence thattheproposeddeviationisatleastassafeastheinitialrequirementintheconsideredservice. Basedonsuchdocumentedevidenceonunaffectedorreducedsafetyrisk,theFlagstatecanthenissue anexemptionpermitforthedeviantsolutioninaparticularshipandservice. Thesafetyassuranceprocessforaproposedalternativesolutionneedstostartwithathorough descriptionoftheshipoperations,bothnormalandabnormal,onwhichtheproposedsolutionis foreseentobeinvolved,followedbyidentificationofhazardsandothersafetyissuesconsidered relevanttotheseoperations.Therole,capabilitiesandlimitationsoftheproposedsolutionin controllingthehazardsandcontributingtotheriskofaccidentsthenneedstobethoroughlyidentified andassessedtoproduceasuitablebodyofevidencetosupporttheargumentofsafetyequivalenceof thealternativesolution.The‘standard’solutionscompliantwiththeprescriptiverequirements providethebaselineforriskcomparison. Autonomousortele-operatedshipsrepresentamajortechnologicalandoperationalchangewitha numberofuncertaintiesregardingtheirsafetyinoperation,andnorelevantfielddatacurrently availabletosupporttheirapprovalforcommercialuse.Wellplanneddemonstratorstudies,carried outinitiallyatspeciallyplannedsimulatorsettings,andlateron-boardactualseagoingvesselsare seenasthewayforwardforlearningandbuildinggraduallytheevidenceandconfidenceonsafetyof 9 The International Regulations for Preventing Collisions at Sea 1972 (Colregs) International Safety Management Code 11 Standards of Training, Certification and Watch-keeping for Seafarers 10 69 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps suchshipsandtheoperatingconcepts.Obviouslydemonstratorstudieson-boardactualvesselsneed tostartwithlimitedscopeandendeavour,andhavingacompetentcrewon-boardasabackupand readyfortakeoverthecontrolincaseofseriousproblems.Theshorecontrolcentre(SCC)work processesconstitutesanotherareaoftheautonomousshipsysteminwhichdemonstratorstudiesare seennecessary. 5.2 Managingtherisksduringtechnologytransition Duetothenatureofshippingindustry,thetransitionfromthecurrentconventionalconceptsin marinetransportationtoastagedominatedbyautonomous,unmannedshipsisexpectedtotakeplace slowly,andhasbeenclaimedtorequireatleastacoupleofdecades.Duringthisperiodtherewouldbe amixtureofvesselswithdifferentlevelsofautonomyoperatingatsea.Intheworstcase,thismaylead tounexpectedbehaviourofsomesystems,hazards,and,consequentlyrisks. Oneimportantaspectinthetechnologytransitionisthemanagementofmaintenanceandrepairof systems,andensuringonlyas-plannedinteractionsbetweene.g.subsequentsoftwaregenerations. Thewell-performedmanagementwithstandardisedroutinesofup-to-datedocumentationisan importantpartandfeatureofthesystemicapproach.Theareasofresponsibilityshouldalwaysbe clearduringallphasesofthetechnologicaltransition. 5.3 Obtainingandmaintainingoperatorskills ItisclearthatanupdatedtrainingregimeofSTCW(StandardsofTraining,CertificationandWatchkeepingforSeafarers)willbeneeded,beforeanyfurtherstepsaremadetoallowcrewreductions.The crewmembersneedtobetrainedinanycasetofulfilallfunctionaltasksandcapabilitiesleftforthe crewinautonomousships.Itisnotquitecleartoushowthiswillaffectthecrewlists,butatleastin thebeginningthereisanimportantphase,whentheautomaticoftele-operatedoperationsneedtobe observedandsupervisedon-board. SimilartypeofrequirementsasinSTCWmayeventuallyhavetobedevelopedforpersonsoperating shipsremotely.ItisrecommendedthatpersonsworkingintheShoreControlCentres(SCCs)are requiredtohaveasufficientamountofexperiencerelatedtosimilarships,i.e.withregardto dimensions,deadweightandpowerandtheirrelations.Theserequirementsofcompetence, knowledgeandunderstanding,basedonhands-ontraininginseaserviceandsimulators,shouldbe clearlyhigherforthesupervisorsintheSCCs. Goodskillsareneededinsafetycriticalandchallengingsituations.Thereareseveralissuestobe consideredinobtainingandmaintainingtheoperatorskillsforremoteoperationtasks.Manualskills 70 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps weakenwhentheyarenotused,thatis,itcouldbeproblematiciftheoperatorusuallyonlymonitors theshipsandattimestakescontrol.Inremotemonitoringchallengingsituationsseldomhappen,yet highlevelofcapabilitywouldbeneededinchallengingsituationsinparticular.Workingknowledge canonlybeachievedthroughrepeateduseofthesystemandiftheworkmainlyinvolvesmonitoring, thismightnotbepossible.Inthemaritimecontext,thevesselsareusuallyallmoreorlessdifferent. Theoperatorwouldnotneedtolearntheparticularitiesofalloftheships,butatleastboththeoretical andpracticalknowledgeandunderstandingofthemaincauseandeffectrelationsandtheirvariations duetothepeculiaritieswouldbeadvisable. Overall,welldesignedsimulatortrainingwouldbeneededforpracticingchallengingsafetycritical situations.Thisisnotunproblematic,since,atleastinprinciple,thesimulatorcannotpresent unimaginablesurprisingsituations.Creatingchallengingsituationsdemandscreativityand understandingofmaritimeaccidentsfromthedevelopersoftraining.Theoperatorswouldneedto havesufficienttrainingdaysatthesimulator,wherethesesurprisingandchallengingsituationswould takeplace.Debriefingafterthesimulatorsessionsisimportantandneedtobedesignedaswell.In debriefing,theoperatorshouldbeabletoevaluatehisorherownperformanceandhencewouldlearn fromsuccessesaswellasfromfailures.Oneoptionistoshowanddiscussvideoclipsofoperators’ actionsduringsafetycriticalsituationsatthesimulator. 5.4 User-centreddesignandvalidationoftheshorecontrolcentreoperation Inviewofsafety,itisessentialforthedesignofgoodremoteoperationandmonitoringsystemstodo fieldstudiesonactualmaritimeactivityonregularships.Thestudiedconventionalshipsshould performthesametasksasthenewunmannedshipswouldactualize.Welldonefieldstudiesallow understandingsafetycriticalaspectsofworkandmeansformaintainingsafety.Task-analysesbased onthefieldstudiesallowunderstandingofwhataspectsinactivityshouldbeleftfortheautomation andalarmsandwhatshouldbemonitoredbyothermeans.Fieldstudiescanalsorevealsurprising safety-relevantaspectsfromworkers’activities.Knowledgeoftheseallowstakingtheminto considerationindesign. Afterdesigningandimplementingthesystem,validationthatittrulyworksaswantedisessential.In othersafetycriticaldomains,suchasinnuclearpowerplantoperation,thisinvolvescontrastingthe findingsfromtestingthesystemtosafetystandardsanddemands. 71 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps 6. Buildingriskunderstandingforthefuture Asasteptowardstheeraofautonomousmaritimetraffic,theFinnishAAWAprojectaimstomakeits shareinbuildinguptheawarenessandunderstandingonsafetyandsecurityrisksrelevanttothe envisionedautonomousconcepts,andthemeasuresneededtomanagetheseriskseffectively. Basedoninitialidentificationofhazardsandriskscarriedoutontheconceptofunmannedship,a numberofriskissueshavebeenpointedoutthatcouldbeproblematicintermsofsafetyorsecurity, buttowhichwehaveconfidencethateffectivesolutions,riskcontroloptions,canbefoundwith properlyfocusedandsystematictestingandresearch.Ontheotherhand,thenewconceptsof operationandthetechnologiesaimedtofacilitateitincorporateissuesthatweknowtoentail elementsofrisk,buttheseriousnessandthecomplexityoftheriskiscurrentlylargelyunknowntous. Finally,characteristictoanynoveltechnologyinitsinfancy,wecanassumethatsomeriskissuescould yetbehiddenorvaguetous. Theriskknowledgewillbebuiltupgraduallythroughcomprehensiveanalyses,simulatorstudies, pilotdemonstratorstudiesexecutedonactualseagoingvesselswithsomethoroughlyconsidered restrictions,andfinallyincommercialuse.Consequently,inthefollowingphasesofAAWAproject,the mainemphasisregardingsafetyandsecurityissueswillbeplacedon: systematicriskidentificationandassessmentfocusingonbothdesignandoperation • interactionsandprocesses; • assuranceofcyber-security; • validationofalgorithmsforautonomousnavigation,includingobstacledetectionandcollision avoidance,andassuranceofeachcorrespondingsoftware,andtheirsafeinteractions,by analysisandsimulations; user-centreddesignandvalidationofshorecontrolcentreoperations; • Asidefromtheseeffortstoimproveknowledgeonrelevantsafetyandsecurityrisksandtheircontrol, comprehensiveSafetyCasedocumentationwillbecompiledinAAWAfortheplannedfield demonstratorcase(s)tosupportapprovaloftheexemptionsneededfromthenationalmaritimesafety authoritiesforcarryingoutthedemonstratorstudies. 7. Recommendations BasedontheworkcarriedoutsofarintheAAWAInitiativethefollowingrecommendationscanbe made: • Remoteandautonomousshipsshallbemadeatleastassafeasexistingvesselswithsufficient confidence,takingintoaccountrelevantuncertainties,e.g.environmentalconditionsand disturbances 72 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps Astheshareofuncertaintyandriskmaygrowatleastinthebeginning,whenmovingtowardshigher levelsofautomatedroutines,thetargetlevelofsafetymustbesetactuallyhigherthanthecurrentone. Thereissomepotentialtoreducehumanbasederrors,butatthesametimesomenewtypesof hazardsandriskmayariseandwillneedtobeaddressed,e.g.intheareaofcybersecurity. • Progressonlybysmallandcautioussteps Applicationofthisprecautionaryprinciplemeansacarefulandsystematicapproachinrisk assessment,design,deploymentandoperations.Thisrequiresincreasingknowledgeand understandingbyresearchinthe‘unchartedareas’of‘unknown’.Additionally,itisimportanttolisten toallrelevantstakeholders,improvedisseminationandflowofinformation,inordertoavoid unacceptableriskandtoconfirmsafety. • Co-operativeactionsareneededtodevelopinternationalstandardsandguidelinesforthe maritimeindustry,preferablyinco-operationwithinIMO Internationalco-operationbetweenthenationaladministrations,classificationsocietiesandother relevantbodieswithinterestinthefieldtoutilizetheglobalmaritimeknowledgeunderthewide umbrellaofIMOisrecommendedforthefurtherdevelopment. Co-operationisnecessarytobeabletocreateacommongroundforacoherent,safeapproachwhen layingoutthefirstsketchesofprinciplestobefollowedintheprocedurestobeusedguidingand controllingthetechnicalandoperationalsafetyofautonomousandtele-operatedships.Itwillbeeven moreimportantifandwhenthefurthernewtechnologicalartefacts,likeautonomousandteleoperatedshipsstarttointeractwiththeoperationalenvironmentofthemaritimesociety. Maritimesafetyandsecurityisaverywideanddeepconceptualtopic.Itcanbedividedinmany sectors,includinge.g.shipsafety,cargosafety,maritimetrafficsafety,environmentalsafety, occupationalsafetyandsecurity.Therecommendationsabovearepresentedonaverygenerallevelin anearlyphaseoftheprogressanddevelopmentofautonomousships.Therefore,itmustbe underlinedthattheaboverecommendationsarenotall-encompassing.ItisbelievedthatAAWA Initiativeactsinchangingshipping,butnotinisolationfromthewholemaritimesectorandsociety. ThelatterhavemanyfeaturesandactorsgivingfeedbacktoandshapingAAWA,too,tosomeasyet unknownamount.So,thedevelopmentofthenewtechnologywilloccurinmanyinteractions,known tobetypicalforthesocialconstructionofallsignificanttechnologies.Allthisneedstobetakeninto account,whensafeandsecuretechnology,dependingbothondesignandoperationisdeveloped. 73 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps Business JouniSaarni,DevelopmentManager,TurkuSchoolofEconomics,Universityof Turku SiniNordberg-Davies,DoctoralCandidate,TurkuSchoolofEconomics, UniversityofTurku HannuMakkonen,Docent,SeniorResearchFellow,TurkuSchoolofEconomics, UniversityofTurku 74 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps FromInnovationstoMarkets–RedefiningShipping 1.Redefiningshipping–atransitiontoautonomousshipping Autonomoustechnologieswhichenhanceself-guidingcapabilitiesoftechnicalsystemshavereceiveda considerableamountofattentioninvariousdifferentindustries.Themarinesectorisnowfollowing suit.Whiletheconceptofacompletelyautonomousshipmaybecontroversial,itisnevertheless undeniablethattheshippingsectorisfacingconsiderablechangesasdigitalisationgraduallysweeps overthetechnologicallandscape.Thetechnologicalchangeisconnectedtoasocialone,astheAAWA slogan“redefiningshipping”suggests;autonomousshippingisnotmerelyabouttechnologybutalso abouttherespectivesocialchange.Figure1synthesisesthekeyelementsintoaperspectiveon autonomousshippingintheAAWAproject. TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE Single innovations Combinatory innovations NEW NEEDS TECHNOLOGICAL OPPORTUNITIES Systemic innovation SOCIAL CHANGE Figure1.AAWA–Redefiningshipping Thecentralpanelofthefiguredescribesthelevelsofinnovationforautonomousshipping:single innovations,combinatoryinnovations,systemicinnovation.Thesingleinnovationsrepresentthe productinnovationscreatedfromkeytechnologies,forexample,cameras,radars,andothertypes 75 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps ofsensorsthatcompriseacombinatoryinnovationofasituationalawarenesssystem(seeArthur 2009).OthersuchtechnicalcombinationstobedevelopedinAAWAincludee.g.navigationalsystems orcommunicationslinks.Thesekindsofbuildingblockscomprisethekeytechnologyareasfor systemicinnovation,i.e.theconceptofanautonomousship.TheoutskirtsofFigure1describe technologicalandsocialchangesthatcompriseamutuallyfeedingloop:technologicaldevelopment producestechnologicalopportunities,whereassocialchangealtersthesociallandscapegenerating newneeds.Themutuallyreinforcinginterplaybetweenthetechnologicalandsocialchangeproducesa socio-technicaltransitionthatdescribesastateinwhichthenewtechnologicalopportunitiesand thoserelatedneedsarematerialisedintopracticeandputintouse.Forexample,containerisationas wellasthedevelopmentfromsailstosteamenginesandfurthertodieselenginesdescribessuch socio-technicaltransitionsinthemaritimesector(seeGeels2002).* L essons lear ned from p ast socio -techn ical tr ansit ion s * The past socio-technical transitions in the maritime sector have some joint similarities. Firstly, the transition usually lasts a long period of time, often decades. Ships have large long-term investments involved and they are constantly a part of transportation functions of world trade. Secondly, the transition typically begins from small special markets. Some combinations of tasks, cargo and routes fit well with the novel technologies that are emerging in the beginning of the transition. Thirdly, it is typical in a transition phase that the old existing regime and new entrants co-exist at the same time and compete. Later, market selection occurs favouring a so-called dominant design from different technological alternatives (see Murmann & Frenken 2006). When the selected technology diffuses within markets and users it also causes social impacts. More concrete targets are the needed infrastructure and service networks for e.g. maintenance. Also regulations and policies might face changes as well as industry structures. More vaguely traceable are institutional and cultural dimensions on routines, practices and mind-sets. (Geels 2005.) Taking the history of containerisation as an example, the social factors were of the utmost importance. Containers and container ships were technologically rather straightforward. More importantly, they were process and organizational innovations. The idea of using containers to streamline the loading and unloading was already variously experimented during the 1950s. However, true utilisation of them needed a change in thinking from operating ships to transportation chains. As a consequence, shipping and port operations became more capital-intensive. This provoked social resistance, and contractual negotiations on container sizes and standards took many years. It took over a decade until the late 1960s for the first purpose-built containerships to be completed. After this, containers’ diffusion in shipping companies and ports with related investments and practice-building lasted for several decades. (Levinson 2006). Figure1connectsthelevelsofinnovationwiththetechnologicalandsocialchangeintwoways: 1. Theongoingtechnologicaldevelopment(digitalisation,theinternetof things,autonomousdrivingetc.)andrespectivesocialchangeinwhich thesetechnologiesbecomesociallyacceptedanddesiredfeedthe innovationactivityinthefieldofautonomousshipping(thespinofthe outercircleacceleratesthespinoftheinnovationgears). 2. Theinnovationactivitiesforautonomousshippingacceleratethe “Allthispositive publicityand enthusiasmthatyoucan seearoundGooglecar etc.ishelpingour effortsinthemaritime sector.” 76 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps technologicalandsocialchangeingeneral(thespinofthegearsacceleratesthespinoftheouter circle),andthusreinforcethecross-industrialsocio-technicaltransitiontowardsautonomous technologiesandtheirapplicationinthesociety. Thebusinessmodelsofthekeyactorsintheshippingsectormediatetheconnectionbetweenthe innovationactivitiesandthetechnologicalandsocialchange.Theinnovationactivityisdependenton theextenttowhichthekeyactorsperceivebusinessopportunitiesregardingautonomousshipping. Thisisagainrelatedtotheissueofhowotherkeyactorswillbemobilisedtothetopic,andwhatkind ofrelationshipsandnetworksaretoemergetoadvancethetechnologicalandsocialchange.Thus, autonomousshippingislargelyasocialissueinwhichtheprevailingnormsandroutinesofthe shippingbusinessthatpromotestagnationaretobeovercome.Furthermore,onasocietalleveldigital solutionsneedtobeseenasmeasuresforimprovingthequalityoflifeinsteadofthreateningit.Based onthefindingsofthefirstphaseoftheAAWAproject,autonomousshippingisnotaquestionof whetherornot,butratheraquestionofwhen. 2.Autonomousshipping–anissueofbusinessrelationshipsandnetworks Duetoitssystemicnature,theemergenceofautonomousshippingisfirstandforemostanissueof managingtherelevantrelationshipsandnetworks(Håkansson& Snehota,1995;Håkansson,Ford,Gadde,Snehota,&Waluszewski, 2009),andtheecosystemsbasedonthese.Intermsoftechnology, theshifttowardsaneraofautonomousshippingrequires convergenceoftherelevanttechnologies.Similarly,intermsof themarketsideforautonomousshippingthisshiftrequiresthat autonomousshippingisperceivedtodelivertheexpected “Increasingly,allthese systemsarediscussingwith eachothersomuchthatthe discussionisnolonger betweentwosystems,butall systems.Andthisrequiresa certainlevelofnetworking. Butonwhatlevel?It’snota simplisticsituationinfact.” benefits:onthemicrolevel;seafarersexperiencethattheir workingconditionsareimproved,onthemesolevel;marineindustryplayersseecost,efficiencyand safetygains,andonthemacrolevel;thesocietybenefitsfromtheredivisionofworkandlowered emissions.Thecombinatorialdevelopmentbetweentechnologiesandmarketswithinthemarine industryoccursinconjunctionwithsimilardevelopmentinotherrelevantindustries(e.g.automotive andaviation),thataltogethercompriseacross-sectoralautonomoustechnologiesecosystem(as describedinFigure2).Technologicalinnovationsandthedawnofthenewconceptofautonomous shippingmotivatestheactorstodevelopnewbusinessmodelsandfurther,newbusinessmodelswith intentionalactivitiestogeneratecommerciallyviableapplicationsfeedthetechnologiestodevelopas describedinFigure2. 77 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps Figure2:Thenetworksandrelationshipsforautonomousshippingbusiness Figure2describestheautonomousshippingbusinesstoemergeasaresultofmatchingevolvingneeds andevolvingtechnologieswithinstrategicrelationships,localnetworksfortechnologyplatforms,and globalnetworksfornewmarkets.Currently,thedevelopmentofsuitabletechnologiesforautonomous shippingtakesplacelargelyinstrategicrelationships;businessactorsdevelopsolutionstoservetheir currentbusinessintheirkeyrelationships.Thiscanbeexemplifiedbyasatellitecommunicationsfirm workingwithcurrentsuppliersandcustomerstoachievesafercommunicationlinks,oravideo technologyfirmworkingwithalgorithmspecialiststodevelopthecomputationalpowerofvideo cameras. 78 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps Secondly,industry-levellocalnetworksexistinwhichactorshavecometogethertobuildtheconcept ofautonomousshippingintentionally,asexemplifiedbydevelopmentnetworkssuchasAAWA.These localnetworkstrulybegintoquestiontheprevailing,traditionallogicofshippingandaimatanew dominantlogicbyprovidingatechnologyplatform,onwhichfuturedevelopmentcantakeplace (compareFrenken2000).Whiletheactorsinalocalnetworkmayhaveexpectationsforshort-term returnsbasedonsingleinnovations,autonomousshippingtrulybecomesadrivingforcefor innovationinlocalnetworks.Thisdevelopmenttowardsautonomoussolutionshasprogressedfurther inotherrelevantindustries.Forexample,theautomotiveindustryhasforalongtimedeveloped technologies(e.g.cameras,radar,ultrasonicsensors)thatformthebasisforintentionalactivitiesto developandlaunchautonomousdrivingplatforms,suchasthoseofGoogleandTesla.Thesecurrently representlocalnetworksbutaretransformingtowardsglobalnetworksnotonlycomprising development,butalsoproductionanduseofcommerciallyviableapplications. Itisonlywhenotheractors,e.g.customersandotherstakeholdersinthelogisticschain,understand theapplicabilityofautonomousshippingfortheirneeds,thedevelopmentofautonomousshipping becomesamatterofincreasedvalueinsteadofafeatofengineering.Atthispoint,thelocalnetworks, i.e.hotspotsofautonomousshipping,graduallygainmomentumandscaletogenerateglobal networksengagedintothedevelopmentandoperationofautonomousshipping.Itisintheseglobal networksthatautonomousshippingeventuallyevolvesintothenewdominantform,i.e.redefine shipping. 3.Autonomousshipping–arenewedsetofrolesbetweenthekeyactors Autonomousshippingwillleadtoanewkindofrole-setanddivisionofworkbetweentheactorsinthe shippingsector.Someoftheserolesareplayedbythetraditionalplayersandsomebynewentrants. Forautonomousshippingtherewillbenewfunctionsandrespectiveactorswhospecialisein technologiesenablingthesefunctions,e.g.aremotecontrolcentreoperatorandanautonomous systemsintegrator.Eachactormustconsidertheirpositioninthemarketrelativetotheotherplayers, meaningthatactorsshapetheirbusinessmodelsaccordingly.Holdingakeypositioninthetechnology platformforthenewdominantlogicofautonomousshippingiscrucialforcompetitiveadvantage (Makkonen,Vuori,Puranen,2016).Asglobalnetworksemerge,moreandmoreactorsengagebothin thetechnologicalframeworkaswellasusageinautonomousshipping.Thiswillaltertheprevailing structuresandprocessesoftheshippingindustryinitsentirety.Inotherwords,theautonomousshift willnotonlystreamlinetechnology-relatedoperationsbutmorewidelyfacilitateacriticalevaluation 79 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps andreorganisationofthewaytheshippingbusinessoperates. Figure3Therenewedsetofrolesfortheautonomousshippingbusiness Figure3describesthepossibleentranceofnewactorsaswellasthechangeoftherolesofthecurrent actorsintheshippingbusiness.Theincreasingintelligencethatcomesalongwithautonomous shippingislikelyto1)bringinnewactorstothefieldofautonomousshippingbusinessaswellas2) bringinadifferentphilosophyintermsofmaintenanceandservicefunctions.Intermsoftheformer, newtechnologiesdevelopandtechnologicalpotentialmaterialisesinapplicationsoriginallydeveloped inotherareas,whichcanservetheemergenceofautonomousshipping,asdemonstratedbye.g.the developmentofdroneaircraftandsemiconductors.Intermsofthelatter,evenafterthedesignand productionofanautonomousship,newcapabilitiescanbeaddedduetothedigitalnatureofkey systems.Inthissense,theonceproducedsolutionsandsystemsareneverreallycomplete(Yooetal. 2012),andthusthenetworkofactorsandfunctionsarelikelytobeincontinuousevolution. 4.Transitiondriverstoautonomousshipping Theanticipatedbenefitsandchallengesofautonomousshippingtobusinessescanbebroadlyviewed fromtheperspectivesofshippingcompanies,existingmaritimesystemandservicesuppliers,and possiblenewsuppliersenteringthemarket. Fromtheperspectiveofshippingcom panies,indiscussionswith theindustrybothdirectcost-reducingbenefitsandotherindirect benefitshavebeenpointedout.Thedirectbenefitsareoftenlistedina “Theindustryneedsnowto startsearchingfor assignmentswherean autonomousshippaysoff exceptionallywell.” 80 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps vessellevelasmoreefficientuseofspaceinshipdesign,moreefficientuseofcrewandtheirskills,and moreefficientuseoffuel.Shippingcompaniesarealsolikelytobenefitandseenewrevenuesfrom tailoringtransportationchainswithautonomousapplicationsaswellasfromincreasedcargospaceon theship.Indirectbenefitsareactualisedmoreinacompanyandnetworklevelsoftheshippingsector. Autonomousshippingallowsimprovedoptimisationofoperationsandprocesses.Forexample, optimisingoperationsbasedonreal-timedataenableseconomiesofscaleatfleet(orcompany)level, andreducesthelikelihoodofhumanerrorscontributingbothtosafetyandservicequality.TheAAWA teamseesthattheseindirectbenefitsarethekeyforgaininglong-termcompetitiveadvantagesfrom autonomousshipping. Radicallyrethinkingoperationswithremoteandautonomoussystemsisdeemedtobehinderedby thecurrentregulatoryenvironment,causinguncertaintyintermsofbeingamongthefirsttoengagein autonomousshipping.Modifyingregulationforremoteandautonomousshippingisabroadtask becauseitisacombinationofbothnationalandinternationalrules.Nevertheless,rulesreflectthe socialopinions,andifautonomousshippingisseentoofferbenefits,itwillgraduallychallengethe prevailingrules. Fromtheperspectiveofm aritim esystem andservicesuppliers,autonomousshippingcan bringmorepossibilitiesindesigningforimprovedshipefficiency.Supplierscanalsobenefitfrom significantnewbusinessopportunitiesparticularlyregardingdata-relatedservices.Byengaginginthe developmentofautonomousapplications,supplierswillgainnewcapabilities,whichcanbeleveraged bothinfindingnewbusinessopportunitiesaswellas improvingandbuildingupontheirexistingofferingsinthe shortterm.Thislearningisenhancedbytheincreasingcrosssectoralcooperationthatistakingplacearoundautonomous “Personally,thefirm,the community,theindustry,the society,everyonebenefits fromexchangingexperiences andthoughtsonsomelevel.” shipping.Knowledgeandskillsaswellastechnologiestravel acrossindustryborders,whichsupportstheemergenceofautonomoussystemsnotonlyinthe maritimesectorbutalsoine.g.theautomotiveandaviationsectors.Theinnovationeffortsofmaritime systemandservicesuppliersaregraduallysupportedbytherelatedsocietalacceptanceof autonomoussystemsoverall.Furthermore,regulatorybodiesindifferingflagstatesarealsoshowing increasinginterestinbackingthecreationofcooperativenetworksthatpursuethedevelopmentof autonomousshipping. However,thecurrentregulatoryenvironmentcanbeanobstaclefordevelopingnewbusiness solutionsinparticulararoundremotecontrol.Whileremotecontrolisregardedasanareawithhigh potentialforrethinkingoperationswithoutmuchcompetition,thereasonforlowlevelsofcompetition 81 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps comesdowntoregulationsgoverningcertainpracticesthatcouldotherwisebehandledremotely. Questionsarealsoraisedwhethertheconservativenaturedmaritimeindustrywouldbereadyto adoptautonomoustechnologieswiththesamespeedastheybecomeavailable.Also,autonomous shippingisrecognisedtohaveamajorimpactonthebusinessmodelsofsupplierswhosecurrent modelsarebuiltaroundtheshippingoperationsoftoday.Reluctancetochangetheprevailingbusiness modelsmayhindertheemergenceofautonomousshipping.Lastly,uncertaintysurroundingliability issuesneedstoberesolvedbeforecommercialisationofautonomoussolutionsispossible.Thus, leapingintothebusinessofautonomousshippingwouldrequirecertaintyoftheinsurers’willingness tocooperate. Autonomousshippingcanpavethewayfornewsupplierstoentertheindustry,inparticularfrom sectorswherethenecessaryhardwareandsoftwaretechnologies(e.g.differenttypesofsensors,data analyticsetc.)arealreadyinuse.Forthesetypesofentrants,autonomousshippinghasthepotentialto uncovernewglobalmarketsinshipping.Increasedshipintelligenceopensupnewservice opportunitiesinparticularforsuppliersspecialisingindataandsoftware.Atthedawnofadigitalera, theindustryislikelytoseethearrivalofastartupsceneenrichingtheindustry’ssoftwarecapabilities. Furthermore,duetolowerdemandsforreactiontime,ashipcanbealessdemandingplatformforthe performanceofmanysystems,incomparisontoe.g.carsandairplanes,makingshippingamore lucrativesectorfordevelopmentefforts. Despitetheopportunitiesthatautonomousshippingcanprovidenewsuppliers,shippingis neverthelessatoughbusinessenvironmenttoenterinto.Forexample,certainequipmentdeveloped foruseonlandmayfacedurabilityissuesatseaifnotadaptedto theseaconditions.Itmaybedifficulttoentertheindustryasa newplayerduetotheinvestmentrequiredtogetallthe equipmentapprovedtobeabletobringthemonaship,thus offeringportfoliosforthemaritimesectorneedtobecarefully “It’saveryconservative industry,sobeforeyouhave establishedanameandtrust onthecustomerside,ittakes alongtime.” planned.Also,buildingbusinessrelationshipsintheconservativeindustrymaybealengthy endeavour.Furthermore,themarineindustrycouldbeconsideredtobecompetingforknowledgeable suppliersagainstotherindustriesthataremoreadvancedintheirstepstowardsautonomy,andthus commercialisationofsolutions.Themaritimeindustryisatadisadvantageintermsofunitvolumes whencomparedtotheautomotivesectorinparticular. 5.Transitionroadmap Basedonfindingsmadeonacademicliteratureoninnovations,marketsandsociotechnicaltransitions supportedbypreliminaryinterviews,asketchinFigure4wasmadeonhowtheautonomous 82 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps transitioninthemaritimesectormighttakeplace.Thefigureisnotmeanttobepredictiveordering. Rather,itisatoolforunderstandingthedifferenttriggersneededforthetransitiontoproceed forward.ThebasicconceptinFigure4isthatthesocialacceptanceforautonomousshippingaffects whatinnovationsareadoptedandtakenintouse.Complexsystemicchangesuchasautonomous shippingcannotbeimmediatelyadoptedasawholebutitisratherapathandachainofinterrelated events. Figure4.Transitionroadmaptoautonomousshipping Atthefirststagethesocietyneedstorecognisethattheconceptofautonomousshippingisatleastin someformpossibleandimaginable.Societyismeanthereinawidesensecoveringalsotherelevant industryplayersbutalsoauthoritiesandthegeneralpublic.Toseparatearealisableideafromscience fictiontherecognitionphaseinvolvesconditionsthatsignalthedifferentactorsthattherearerealistic underlyingpossibilities.Knowledgefromexistingtechnicalperformancebothinmaritimeandother sectorsshapestheboundariesofwhatisthoughtaspossible.Existingtechnologieslikedynamic propulsionsystemsorhigh-speedsatellitecommunicationsgiveatestedgroundonwheretothinkup morefunctionalities.Professionalsarenaturallymorefamiliarwiththetechnicaldetailsbutashared understandingofprevailingtechnologicalcapabilitiesneverthelessexistsinthesociety.Recentlythe automotivesectorhasbeenfeedingnumerousexamplesfromautonomousdevelopment.Besides technicalaspectslikesensorsitalsobringsupmorecomplexthemesintodiscussion.Therearemore andmorestoriesonregulationorethicsofrobotics.Herethemediahasanimportantroleinspreading thewordaroundandchallengingexistingthoughts.Theawarenessand“buzz”isculminatedinthe formofR&DprojectslikeAAWA.Theirtaskistoexplorethenearbyhangingopportunitiesandtake stepsforwardinthesectorinquestion.AAWAitselfisoneelementcontributingtorecognitionof 83 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps autonomousshipping.Wideinterestinautonomousshippingisalreadyshowingthatrecognitionhas beenprogressingfastanditisnowtimetomoveforwardinthefigure. Aftertherecognitionsomevisionaryindividuals,theearlyadopterswillseetheconceptalsonotonly aspossiblebutalsoasdesirable.Astheoriesforsystemicinnovationssuggest,theinnovationsin shippingfollowanincrementalapproach.Ashipwon’tbemadedirectlyasfullyautonomousbut ratherinsmallersteps.Firstconcreteofferingsmightforexamplebenewkindsofdecisionsupport systems.Theywillbebuiltoverexistingofferingsforshipnavigationandmanoeuvring.Aprecondition forthatisasituationalawarenesssystemthatmustbedevelopedwithsuitablesensorcombinations.A decisionsupportsystemwillofferabasiclevelofautonomouscapabilitiesforenhancedobservation andself-guidanceindifferentoperationalscenarios.Evenifitisnotnecessarilyinconflictwiththe regulation,basedonthesystem’scapabilitiesandperformance,changestonationalregulationmustbe evaluated,sothatthedecisionsupportsystemcouldbebroughtintomarkets.Animportant characteristicinautonomousshippingisthatpartialinnovationscreatedhaveagoodchancetospinofftomarketsalreadyalongtheway. Atathirdstagemoredetailedplanningoccursandinsteadofasingleshipmoreattentionisgivento managementoftrafficinanautonomousera.Inearlydevelopmentsitistypicalthatmanydifferent technologicalalternativesemergeandcompetetogether.Eventhoughthisacceleratestechnical experimenting,atsomepointaneedrisestostandardiseprocedures.Userstendtowantaunified conceptfortechnologicalartefacts.Thisalsomeansthatpeopleneedtocognitivelyhaveashared understandingofwhatismeantbytheautonomousshipconcept.Itmustbefairlysimilarastohow today’sconventionalshipisunderstoodtoholdacertainhomogeneitybetweendifferentships. Discussionswillstartregardingwhatwillbethestandardsofautonomousshippingindifferent dimensions.Asthetechnologiesbecomeintowiderusetheremustbesuitableinfrastructureinplace tosupportit.Shipconnectivitynetworkbasedonsatelliteandshore-basedcommunicationsaretobe graduallyenlargedtosupporttheautonomoustraffic.Finallystandards,infrastructureandtherising needfordoingbusinesswiththenewtechnologywillaffectinternationalregulation.Asshippingis global,thestandardsandrulesmustbeinternationallyagreedupon.Naturallyitisalongprocess, howeveritisconstantlyreflectedwithnovelapplicationsbroughttobecontestedbythemarketand bysocialacceptance. Whentheessentialstandards,rulesandelementsofinfrastructurehavebeensettledthedevelopment becomesaquestionofexpanding.Therecanbealreadysomespecialmarketnichesthatshowthenew technologiestoproduceverygoodoutcomes.Thesenichesstarttoexpandintheirownregionsand 84 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps markets.Graduallysomeregionalseaareaswillbecomeharnessedtohaveafull-scaleinfrastructure forautonomousoperations. Inthefinalstageofthefiguretheregionalandniche-specificprocesseswillstarttoaccumulateintoa globalscale.Autonomousapplicationsdiffuseinsidetheinnovation,reachingapointwhereithasa significantimpactonglobalshippingandworldtrade(compareGreve2009).Thiswillaltertheroles andstructurebasedonconventionalshipping.Dataandserviceswillbringmorevaluetocustomers. Transportationchainswillallowmoreoptimisationandwillbemoretailoredforspecificneedsof differentindustriesandcustomers.Managementofautonomousfleetsmightconsolidateandglobal remotecontrolcentresforthesekindsofshipsarebuilt.Ashiftfromproductinnovationstoprocess innovationsoccurstostartproducingautonomousofferingsmoreefficiently.Onasociallevel,regime ischanged.Regulation,routinesandpracticesgraduallyincorporatestheautonomousshippingas takenforgranted.Institutionsofshippingincludethefeaturesandinfrastructurederivedfrom autonomoustechnologies. 6.Conclusion Thetransitiontoaneraofautonomousshippingisamorecomplexmatterthanameretechnological invention.Therealisationofanautonomousshiprequiresaplethoraoftechnologiestobeintegrated systemically,whichmeansthatcooperationisrequiredbetweenvariousactorswhocanmasterthe differenttechnologicalareas.However,engaginginsuchinnovativeeffortsmustrealiseabusiness casefortheactorsinvolved–bothintheshortandlongterm.Thus,benefitsmustberealisedalready beforeautonomousshippingcanbecomethenorm.Oftenthismeansneworimprovedofferingsinthe shortterm,whichcanberealisedwiththenewskillsthatactorslearnduringthecooperative innovationprocess.Assuch,thebusinessaroundautonomousshippingisbuiltiterativelyasaresultof thecontinuousdevelopmentofsub-componentsthattogethercomprisetheautonomousshipandthe technologiesneededforitsoperation(e.g.theremotecontrolcentreandcommunications technologies).Yettheviabilityofthenewbusinessarearequiresactorswhoseinputmakesthe operationspossible.Theseincludee.g.regulatorybodies,insurers,classificationsocieties,ship managers,shipowners,shipyards,etc.Moreover,viableshippingbusinessalsorequirescertainnorms tobebroken,e.g.themarineindustryneedstoovercomeitsconservativenatureifitistobenefitfrom newsolutions,andthesocietyneedstoacceptdigitalsolutionsasimprovingthequalityoflifeinstead ofthreateningit.Inotherwords,tofullyrealisethepotentialofautonomousshipping,thedeveloped technologiesmustbedeemedvaluablebythewidermarineindustryaswellasthesocietyasawhole. 85 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps Table1:Thewayforwardtoautonomousshipping Table1presentsthewayforwardtoautonomousshipping.Insummary,autonomousshippingis possiblefromatechnologicalperspective,astherespectiveindustrialnetworksandsuppliersare increasinglybecomingorganisedtomaketheconceptareality,andthevalueofautonomousshipping hasbeenrecognisedfordifferentactorsinthemaritimeindustry.Evenissuesregardingtheregulatory environment,theoftenpointedoutbarriertoautonomousshipping,appeartobesolvableifthereis politicalwill.Astheelementsforautonomousshippingarecomingtogether,attentionshouldbe turnedtohowpeopleperceiveautonomousshippinginthesocietyandtheindustry.Autonomous shippingmustbecomeculturallyrecognised,anditneedstobecomeanappropriatenorminthe industry.Suchchangesinmind-setsdonothappenovernight,butthereisindicationthatchangeis takingplaceasattentionandwiderpublicdiscussionaroundautonomousshippingisincreasinglyon therise. Toprovidethemaritimeindustrywithfurtherunderstandingofthecomplexphenomenonof autonomousshipping,researchersatTurkuSchoolofEconomicscontinuetheirworkin2016-2017in closecooperationwithindustryrepresentatives.Researchwillincludeexploringthewidermarine stakeholderperspectivesviaastakeholdersurvey,andinvestigatingthenewbusinessmodelsofkey actorsintheautonomousshippingecosystemthroughworkshops,enrichedbyinsightsfromother relevantindustriessuchasautomotiveandaviation. 86 AAWA Position Paper © Rolls-Royce plc Registered office: 62 Buckingham Gate, London, SW1E 6AT. Company number 1004142. Registered in England RemoteandAutonomousShip–Thenextsteps References Arthur,W.B.(2009)TheNatureofTechnology:WhatItIsandHowItEvolves,NewYork:FreePress. Frenken,K.(2000)Acomplexityapproachtoinnovationnetworks.Thecaseoftheaircraftindustry. ResearchPolicy,29(2),257–272. 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Registered in England Advanced Autonomous Waterborne Applications (AAWA) partners Company Rolls-Royce Deltamarin Inmarsat DNV GL NAPA Universities Aalto / VTT (Technical Research Centre of Finland) Tampere University of Technology / University of Turku University of Turku Åbo Akademi / University of Turku Input System Integration and Automation Control Ship Design Satellite Communications Technology Classification and Regulatory Guidelines Software House providing solutions for Ship Design and Operation Input Safety and Security Technology Research Business Aspects Legal Aspects AAWA project coordination Markus Laurinen markus.laurinen@rolls-royce.com © Rolls-Royce plc 2016 The information in this document is the property of Rolls-Royce plc and may not be copied, communicated to a third party, or used for any purpose other than that for which it is supplied, without the express written consent of Rolls-Royce plc. While the information is given in good faith, based upon the latest information available to Rolls-Royce plc, no warranty or representation is given concerning such information, which must not be taken as establishing any contractual or other commitment binding upon Rolls-Royce plc or any of its subsidiary or associated companies. www.rolls-royce.com/marine