I don`t know what to believe

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sense about science
“I DON’T KNOW
WHAT TO
BELIEVE...”
Making sense of science stories
This leaflet is for people who follow debates about science and
medicine in the news. It explains how scientists present and judge research and
how you can ask questions of the scientific information presented to you.
sense about science
SUMMARY
• Science has a system for assessing the quality of research before
it is published. This system is called peer review.
• Peer review means that other scientific experts in the field
check research papers for validity, significance and originality –
and for clarity.
• Editors of scientific journals draw on a large pool of suitable
experts to scrutinise papers before deciding whether to publish
them.
• Many of the research claims you read in newspapers and
magazines, find on the internet, or hear on television and the
radio are not published in a peer-reviewed journal.
• Some of this research may turn out to be good but much of it is
flawed or incomplete. Many reported findings, such as claims
about “wonder cures” and “new dangers”, never come to anything.
• Unpublished research is no help to anyone. Scientists can’t repeat
or use it and as a society we can’t base decisions about our public
safety – or our family’s health for example – on work that has a
high chance of being flawed.
• So, no matter how exciting or compelling new scientific or medical
research is, you must always ask…
Is it peer reviewed? If not, why not?
If it is peer reviewed, you can look for more information on what
other scientists say about it, the size and approach of the study and
whether it is part of a body of evidence pointing towards the same
conclusions.
sense about science
HOW SHOULD YOU MAKE SENSE OF SCIENCE STORIES?
Every day we are bombarded with information about science from newspapers, radio
and television programmes and the internet. Making sense of it all can be very
difficult. What should be taken seriously? Which are ‘scares’? Sometimes scientists
are reported as saying conflicting things. How do we know what to believe?
There is a system used by scientists to decide which research results should be
published in a scientific journal. This system, called peer review, subjects scientific
research papers to independent scrutiny by other qualified scientific experts (peers)
before they are made public.
Peer review can help you make sense of science stories as it tells you that the
research has passed the scrutiny of other scientists and is considered valid,
significant and original.
Peer review means that statements made by scientists in scientific journals are
critically different from other kinds of statements or claims, such as those made by
politicians, newspaper columnists or campaign groups. Science is therefore more than
just another opinion.
A SHORT EXPLANATION OF PEER REVIEW
When a researcher, or team of researchers, finishes a stage of work, they usually write
a paper presenting their methods, findings and conclusions. They then send the paper
to a scientific journal to be considered for publication.
If the journal’s editor thinks it is suitable for their journal they send the paper
to other scientists who research and publish in the same field asking them to:
• Comment on its validity – are the research results credible;
are the design and methodology appropriate?
• Judge the significance - is it an important finding?
• Determine its originality - are the results new?
Does the paper refer properly to work done by others?
• Give an opinion as to whether the paper should be published,
improved or rejected (usually to be submitted elsewhere).
This process is called peer review. The scientists (peers)
assessing the papers are called referees or reviewers.
Scientists never draw firm conclusions from just one paper or set of results.
They consider the contribution it makes in the context of other work and their
own experience. It usually takes more than one research paper for results to be
seen as good evidence or accepted as a public truth.
sense about science
THE SCIENCE PUBLISHING SCENE
For scientific knowledge to progress scientists need to share their research findings
with other scientists. The main way they do this is by publishing their research in
scientific journals – periodical publications intended to further the development of
science by reporting new research.
Journal editors receive many more papers than they can publish, so they use a twostep selection process. First, they consider whether the paper is a ‘fit’ for their
journals. For example, some journals only publish research papers that are
groundbreaking; others only publish research in a specific area, such as microbiology.
If a journal editor decides that a paper is right for their journal, they send it for peer
review to check whether the research findings are valid, significant and original.
A NOTE ON JOURNAL
FUNDING AND
AVAILABILITY
Most journals receive their income
from subscriptions and some from
organisational subsidies, conference
organising and advertising.
Many are available on the internet
and, increasingly, make their
online content free after a certain
period, usually one year.
There are alternative journal
funding models, such as scientists
paying the costs of reviewing and
publishing their articles so that they
can be made freely available. Less
than 1% of papers are published
this way.
Did you know?
There are around 21,000 scholarly
and scientific journals that use the
peer-review system. A high proportion
of these are scientific, technical or
medical journals, publishing over
1 million research papers each year.
sense about science
Publishing in a journal is an integral part
of being a scientist.
It:
• Connects like-minded individuals and
tells them about new research.
A published paper is read by scientists
all around the world.
• Is a permanent record of what has
been discovered, when and by which
scientists – like a court register for
science.
• Helps scientists to promote their work
and gain recognition from funders and
other institutions.
• Shows the quality of the scientist’s
work: other experts have rated it as
valid, significant and original.
By the way...
Peer review of research proposals
Peer review is also used to assess
scientists’ applications for research
funds. Funding bodies, such as medical
research charities, seek expert advice
on a scientist’s proposal before
agreeing to pay for it. Peer review in
this instance is used to judge which
applications are the best science and
have the potential to help the
organisation achieve its objectives.
HOW CAN YOU TELL
WHETHER REPORTED
RESULTS HAVE BEEN
PEER REVIEWED?
It can be difficult!
The full reference to peer-reviewed
papers is likely to look like this:
Fellers J H and Fellers G M (1976)
Tool use in a social insect and its
implications for competitive
interactions. Science, 192, 70-72.
…or this:
Hedenfalk I, Duggan D, Chen Y, et al.
Gene-expression profiles in
hereditary breast cancer.
N Engl J Med, 2001; 344: 539-48.
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You are most likely to hear about
new research from the daily news
media, where there is not space or
interest in full references. Good
journalists usually indicate whether
research has been published and
mention the name of the journal.
sense about science
You can also look for longer reports
of the same research in other
newspapers, or popular science
magazines, many of which are
online, to find out whether research
is published and where.
This also helps for clarifying whether
the reported claims are a true
reflection of the findings in the
research paper.
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The more we ask, ‘is it peer
reviewed?’ the more obliged
reporters will be to include this
information.
There is no definitive list of peerreviewed journals but you can look
up the names of selected peerreviewed journals online at the
science news service EurekAlert!
(www.eurekalert.org/links.php?jrnl=A)
Sources of further help with
ascertaining the status of
research are listed at the end
of this leaflet.
SO SCIENTISTS USE PEER
REVIEW, SO WHAT?
When research findings have been peer
reviewed and published in a scientific
journal, this indicates that they are
sufficiently valid, significant and original
to merit the attention of other scientists.
Peer review is an essential dividing line
for judging what is scientific and what is
speculation and opinion. Most scientists
make a careful distinction between their
peer-reviewed findings and their more
general opinions.
Sounds good, but what happens
next?
Publication of a peer-reviewed paper is
just the first step: findings, and theories
about them, must go on to be re-tested
and judged against other work in the
same area. Some papers’ conclusions will
be disputed or further research will show
that they need to be revised as more data
are gathered.
Just as a washing machine has a
quality kite-mark, so peer review is a
kind of quality mark for science. It
tells you that the research has been
conducted and presented to a
standard that other scientists accept.
sense about science
CHALLENGES FOR PEER REVIEW
Why can’t there just be a checklist of
scientific validity?
Assessing scientific papers cannot be done in the
same way as giving a car an M.O.T. or marking a
maths test. New research usually has its own
unique features, which are difficult to predict with
a check list and which require expert judgement about
their validity, significance and originality.
Does peer review detect fraud and misconduct?
Peer review is not a fraud detection system. Referees are likely to detect
some wrongdoing, such as copying someone else’s research or misrepresenting data,
because they care about their subject. They know what research has been conducted
already and the kinds of results that are likely. However, if someone deliberately sets
out to falsify data, there is sometimes no way of knowing this until the paper is
published and others in the scientific community scrutinise and try to repeat the work.
Is ‘maverick’ science rejected through peer review?
Sometimes people worry that new ideas won’t be understood by other scientists
(although this is also an excuse given when researchers don’t want to submit to the
scrutiny of their peers). It is true that referees can be cautious about unusual findings;
and important insights can initially be overlooked. But if someone has been
exceptionally clever, other scientists are most likely to recognise it and to distinguish it
from flawed or inflated claims. Journal editors like novel ideas and scientific publishing
has brought thousands of important discoveries to light.
Does the peer-review process slow down advances in scientific and
medical knowledge?
In our world of instant communication and 24-hour news, a deliberative process like
peer review can seem frustratingly slow. Electronic communication has improved it, but
good assessment of research does take time. Sometimes people justify the promotion
of unpublished findings by saying they are ‘too important to wait’. But, although some
papers take months to review and improve, if there is a major breakthrough the
process can be completed in weeks. Furthermore, if the findings are very important –
e.g. they concern public health – then it is all the more necessary to check them
through peer review.
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
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