REVIEWS REVIEWS REVIEWS Amnazonia loss of Amazon revealed: ecosystem forest goods degradation and services in the and Basin Jonathan A Foley', Gregory P Asner2, Marcos Heil Costa3,Michael T Coe4, Ruth DeFries5, Holly K Gibbs', Erica A Howard', Sarah Olson', Jonathan Patz', Navin Ramankutty', and Peter Snyder6 The Amazon Basin is one of theworld's most important bioregions, harboring a rich array of plant and animal species and offering awealth of goods and services to society. Foryears, ecological science has shown how large scale forest clearings cause declines in biodiversity and the availability of forest products. Yet some important changes in the rainforests, and in the ecosystem services they provide, have been underappreciated until recently.Emerging research indicates that land use in theAmazon goes farbeyond clearing large areas of forest; selective logging and other canopy damage ismuch more pervasive than once believed. Deforestation causes collateral damage to the surrounding forests - through enhanced drying of the forest floor, increased frequency of fires, and lowered productivity. The lossof healthy forests can degrade key ecosystem services, such as carbon storage in biomass and soils, the regulation of water balance and river flow, themodulation of regional climate patterns, and the amelioration of infectious diseases.We review these newly revealed changes in the Amazon rainforests and the ecosystem services that they provide. FrontEcolEnviron2007; 5(1): 25-32 T he Amazon Basin isgenerally regardedas one of the Raven 2003), including a rich arrayof plant, animal, and world's most important ecological systems, mainly microbial life-forms,which are vital for the functioning of because it includes the largest remaining area of tropical the biosphere. The rainforests of the Amazon also provide crucial rainforest (Figure 1). These forestscontain one of Earth's greatest collections of biological diversity (Dirzo and ecosystem goods and services to humanity, includingmany thathave considerableeconomic and societal value (Myers The term "ecosystem goods and services" has 1997). In a nutshell: become widely used in recent years, and typically refers to *While tropical deforestation is a well-known environmental the supply of valuable products and materials (including problem, many aspects of this issue have been overlooked agricultural, forest,mineral, and pharmaceuticalcommodi until recently ties), the supportand regulationof environmental condi * The degradation of tropical rainforests goes far beyond clear ing large areas of trees; selective logging, collateral forest tions (through processes like pollination, flood control, damage, and the replacement of old growth stands are also and water purification), and the provision of cultural and widespread * Inadditiontoprovidingagricultural and timbercommodities aesthetic benefits (including ecotourism, heritage, and sense of place) by ecosystems (Daily 1997; Millenium these landscapes may also sequester carbon, regulate fresh EcosystemAssessment 2003; DeFries et al. 2004). water and river flows, modulate regional patterns of climate, diseases andameliorateinfectious Many of the ecosystem goods and services derived from * The loss and degradation of tropical rainforests and the ser the Amazon Basin (eg from timber,pasture, and soybean vices they provide may be greater and more widespread than production), are easily recognizedand are revealedon local previouslyreported scales- often within individual landparcels that are specif icallymanaged for those purposes.Other ecosystem ser vices, such as pollination and flood control, are somewhat 'Center for Sustainability and the Global Environment (SAGE), less obvious and may appear over larger spatial scales, Nelson Institute for Environmental Studies, University ofWisconsin, extending over complex landscapesandwhole watersheds. Madison, WI 53726; 2Department of Global Ecology, Carnegie Institution of Washington, Stanford, CA 94305; 3Department of Tropical rainforestsalso provide ecosystem services that are manifested at the scale of the whole Amazon Basin and, Agricultural and Environmental Engineering, Federal University of indeed, the planet. For example, rainforestsin theAmazon Viqosa, Viqosa, MG 36571-000, Brazil; 'Woods Hole Research Center, Falmouth, MA 02543; 5Department of Geography and sequestercarbon from the global atmosphere, regulate the water balance and flow of the entireAmazon River system, Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, University of influence the patterns of climate and air chemistry over Maryland, College Park, College Park,MD 20742; 6Department of much of the continent, andmay even ameliorate the spread Atmospheric Sciences, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL 61801 ofAmerica CThe Ecological Society wwwefrontiersinecologyorg Forestdegradation in theAmazon JA Foley et at. forest clearance in the Basin (eg Skole and Tucker 1993; Morton et al. 2005). These efforts have given us themeans to quantita tively describe the amounts and spatial pat tems of deforestation. For example, we now know that deforestation is largely focused in the transition areas between forest and cer rado (tropical savanna), along roads, and in the frontier border areas such as Acre and Rond-nia (Houghton et al. 2000; Cardille and Foley 2003; Soares-Filho et al. 2004). Nevertheless, there are still many gaps in our understanding of Amazon deforestation. Until recently, characterizing deforesta tion from satellites has focusedmainly on estimating the changing areasof "forest"and "non-forest" pixels over time. However, Amazonian landscapes are actually much more dynamic and complex: they experi Figure 1. TheAmazonBasin.Map illustrating thespatialextentof theAmazon ence cycles of clearing, cultivation, grazing, on a vegetationmap of the and secondary forest regrowth, resulting in a drainagebasinacrossSouthAmerica, superimposed region.Green indicatesthecurrentdistribution of forest,whereas tanandwhite complex mosaic of intact rainforest, lands indicateareas of deforestationand non-forest, respectively.The geographic under varying management regimes, and locationof major roads is also indicated:black linesare paved roads,grey are recovering secondary forests (Fearnside 1993;Nepstad et al. 1999;Cardille and Foley unpavedroads,anddashedlinesindicateroadsthatare scheduledtobepaved. 2003). "Forest" and "non-forest" are not of vector-borne andwater-borne diseases across the region. adequate descriptions of the real landscape. Unfor But the long-term sustainability of Amazonian rain tunately,we still do not have a complete understanding of forests, and themultiple goods and services they provide, the landscapedynamics of the Basin, that reflects the dif ferent rates of gross deforestation (clearing of primary may now be under threat from human actions. The region has been experiencing high rates of deforestation rainforest to establish pastures or croplands), the widely varying management regimes of croplands and pastures, formany years, and thismay now be affecting the ecolog ical integrityof the forests.By the year 2000, nearly 15% the abandonment of fields leading to regrowth of sec of the forests in the basin (-400000-500000 kmi2)had ondary forests (followed by possible reclearance), and the already been cleared (Nepstad et al. 1999). Recent rates resulting net changes in forested area (gross clearing of deforestation continue to be very high; between 2002 minus regrowth;Figure 2). In particular, it iscrucial to dis and 2004, the highest rateof forestclearing for any 3-year tinguish regionsof regrowingsecondary forest, as they pro period to date was recorded (INPE 2004). This trend is vide areasof carbon uptake (Houghton et al. 2000), tem likely to continue as more roads are built through the porary reservoirsof genetic diversity, and some level of soil core of the forest, and growing internationalmarkets for conservation and flood amelioration. Selective logging representsan even greater gap in our free-rangebeef and soybeans drive increasingdemand for agriculturalproducts (Carvalho et al. 2001; Alencar et al. knowledge. Until recently, clearing forests for croplands and pastures has received themost attention in scientific 2004; Soares-Filho et al. 2004). Here we review recent research on changes in the and political arenas (Houghton et al. 2000; Achard et al. Amazon rainforestsand the ecosystem goods and services 2002; Defries et al. 2002), but selective logging has now they provide.Many of these resultsbuild upon our previous become recognized as another major form of land use in the Amazon. In a ground-breaking estimate of logging notions of deforestation and the subsequent loss of biodi versity and ecological functioning. However, some new activity, based on surveys of mill operators, Nepstad et al. (1999) reported that the extent of logging resultshave dramaticallychanged our perceptions of defor estation, the ecological and societal value of the tropical (-9000-15 000 km2per year in 1996-97) nearlymatched rainforests, and how changes in the forest may affect the amount of gross deforestation occurring in the same human relationshipswith these unique ecosystems. period.Using a new, high-resolution satellite analysis sys tem, Asner et al. (2005) found that selective logging over more than 12 000 km2 each year between extended * Revisiting deforestation in the Amazon 1999 and 2002, with some years seeing rates as high as 20 000 km2yr-. More surprisingwas the finding that this Many previous studies have used satellite-based "snapshot" imagesof forest cover to estimate the ratesof newly detected logging only overlappedwith older defor www.frontiersinecology.org ofAmerica ? The Ecological Society JA Foley et al. Forestdegradation in theAmazon estation maps - provided by the 1 50 Brazilian Space Institute (INPE 2004) - by about 6%. Even more unexpected was the finding that only 16% of the logged area turned .35 into deforested (clear-cut) land the ~30 following year, and only 32% of the logged forests were consumed by ~25 clear-cut deforestation within 4 - - - - - --- - - - - - - - - - -- - - - - -- years (Asner et al. 2006). These 20 0 15. . . . . .. .-- . results completely change our view of logging as a form of land use in theAmazon: first, selective logging often matches, and can even O10 I exceed, deforestation each year; second, for the most part, logging does not immediately precede deforestation - it is a distinct form Figure 2. Gross versusnet deforestation. Deforestationin theAmazon isnot just thesimple of forestdisturbance in and of itself. removalof trees.A more completedescription must considerthedifferentratesof gross In short, the footprint of human deforestation (clearing of rainforest for pastures or croplands), themanagement regimens of activity on the Amazon landscape croplandsand pastures, theabandonmentof fields leadingto the regrowthof secondary is roughly double that of previous forests,and theresulting net changesinforestedarea (grossclearing minus regrowth). Here estimates of deforestation alone we have adapted a Markov land-use transition model developed by Fearaside (1993) to (Asner et al. 2005). estimate that roughly a third of the total deforested land in theAmazon between 1961 and The ecological impactsof logging 1997 iscurrentlyregrowing (seealsoCardilleandFoley[2003]). (M= megatons.) are quite different than those of clear-cutting, and vary dramatically across the basin. In These recent studies highlight previously underappreci some areas, logging is highly selective because interna ated manifestations of land use in the Amazon and tionalmarkets accept only a few tree species for use as tim underscore the realization that the degradation of the ber.However, in areas that supply lumbertoBrazilianmar Amazon rainforestmay be farmore pervasive than previ kets, only about 80 species are acceptable (Verissimoet al. ously believed. Taken together, this research forces us to 1995). Such variations in logging practices lead to con adopt a new perspective on the changing nature of these comitant variations in forestdamage.Canopy openings in forests, requiring a new look at the ecological implica the eastern and centralAmazon can encompass 25-50% of tions of human land-usepractices inAmazonia. the total logged area, and up to 30 trees can be damaged with each tree harvested (Asner et al. 2004). The extent * Assessing the ecological impacts of forest decline and intensity of harvest operations also determines the impact on carbon storage and loss of biomass and soils Many previous scientific studies of tropical deforestation (Kelleret al. 2004), the stocks and flowsof importantplant focused on the negative consequences for biodiversity nutrients, and long-term patterns of forest production and ecosystem functioning (eg Turner 1996; Laurance et (Olander et al. 2005). al. 1998). In fact, tropical deforestation has become a The effects of deforestation and selective loggingmay cause cele5re among many environmental activists and also change the local microclimate and fire regimes, NGOs. However, such land-usepractices also offermany resulting in widespread collateral damage to the forest. benefits.Whether for securing food, freshwater, or raw For instance, forest clearance and selective logging materials, land use isultimately central to the sustainabil increase fire occurrence by providing abundant fuel loads ity- indeed, the long-term survival - of all human soci and forest edges that aremore vulnerable to desiccation eties (DeFries et al. 2004). Even tropicaldeforestation has during prolonged periods of dryweather (Laurance et al. positive outcomes: it provides essential resources (eg 1998;Cochrane et al. 1999;Nepstad et al. 1999;Alencar food, timber, other rawmaterials) to society, as well as et al. 2004; Barlow and Peres 2004). Under natural condi badly needed jobs and income tomany developing coun tions, fires are a rare occurrence in Amazonian rain triesaround theworld. forests, so many tree species are highly vulnerable and Tropical deforestation therefore representsan inherent can be killed by even low-intensity fires.Such changes in societal tradeoff (DeFries et al. 2004). Ingeneral, land-use the fire regimemay have contributed to the catastrophic practices allow some ecosystem goods to be more readily wildfires that consumed millions of hectares of appropriatedby human societies, often yielding key eco Amazonian forests in 1997-98 (Laurance et al. 1998; nomic and social benefits, at least in the short term. Nepstad et al. 1999). However, land use may degrade other ecosystem services C The Ecological Society of America www.frontiersinecology.org Forestdegradation in theAmazon JA Foley et al. biomass and soil carbon. Inmost instances, a largeand visible portion of the carbon stored in vegetation is released rapidly to the atmosphere through biomass burning. But a smaller, though still substantial, portion of and the carbon is returned to the soil as slash P~~~~~~~roduct i/ 0 (dead plant materials), or is converted to * 0 .3 durable products such as paper, lumber, derived wood products, etc. These carbon pools decompose slowly and release CO2 over amuch longer timescale (Figure3). As a result, some CO2 emissions from deforesta 200 1990 1970 14960 CD tion occur rapidly (from initial clearing and Regrowth ~~~~~~~~~~~flux C.) fire),while others occur graduallyover many years and decades (from subsequent decom -0.1 position of slash and forest products; We haveestimatedthe Houghton et al. 2000). In fact, some of Figure 3. Estimatedcarbonemissionsfromdeforestation. over theAmazonBasin from1961-2000, using today'sCO2 emissions may reflect land-use carbonfluxesfromdeforestation carboncyclemodel adaptedfromHoughtonet al. (2000). In that activities fromdecades ago. a bookkeeping paper,it isnotablethatthelargestfluxesof carbonin the 1980s and 1990sresulted There are some complicating factors to this from thedecayof accumulatedslashand productpools,and not from theburnt picture. First,many estimates of carbon losses was of from deforestation only account for gross regrowth fluxfromfires.Moreover, thefluxof carbonfromaccumulating = as burnt deforestation,while the carbon uptake from the and flux. (Gt gigatons.) opposite sign equal magnitude recovering secondary forests is sometimes - especially those tied to the long-term functioning of the overlooked (Figure 3). Second, deforestation may also ecosystem. For example, the lossof rainforestsmay reduce indirectly affect carbon storage in nearby forest regions, throughchanges in local climate and fire regimes (Alencar several critical ecosystem services, such as the supply of pollinating et of al. 2004; Barlow and Peres 2004). As noted above, defor the availability forest products, non-timber and selective logging can enhance fuel loads and and stocks, estation and carbon of climate insects, the regulation more vulnerable to desiccation and fire. It is make forests flows. of the regulation and purification freshwater these indirect impacts of deforestation may regarding the possible that decisions more informed In order tomake magnify the lossof carbon storage across the basin greatly it is to bal necessary futureof tropical land-usepractices, et al. real 1999;Nepstad et al. 1999). short-term (Cochrane ance the societal benefits (typically the valuable ization of ecosystem goods and commercially commodities) against the long-term costs of ecological Water flow regulation degradation (Millennium Ecosystem Assessment 2003; DeFries et al. 2004; Foley et al. 2005). Such an assessment The Amazon is the largestriversystemon Earth, providing navigablewaters, importantfood sources,hydroelectricity, of tradeoffsmust be informed by the best available eco logical science, but ultimately these assessmentsmust also and habitat for countless plants and animals (Lundberget al. 2000). The forestsof the basin strongly influence this be based on societal values (DeFries et al. 2004). Recent complex hydrological system, largelybecause they regulate research has provided new insights into how deforesta tion and selective loggingmay negatively affect the flow the volume and timing of water and nutrient flows into it. of many ecosystem goods and services. Here we review As a result,deforestation has the potential to degrade the regulationof hydrological flows, through changes in evap four examples. otranspiration, canopy interception, surface runoff, and groundwater recharge (Meher-Homji 1992; Costa and Carbon storage Foley 1997;Williams andMelack 1997). There is now compelling evidence to show that The forests of the Amazon play a particularly important role in the Earth'scarbon cycle, as they account fornearly changes in forest cover can affect the water balance and 10% of the world's terrestrialproductivity and biomass hydrology of the Amazon, even if precipitation remains (Melillo et al. 1996;Malhi andGrace 2000). As such, the constant. Studies of small watersheds (< 10 kM2) Amazon provides an important ecosystem service to the throughout the tropics reveal that runoff and stream dis planet by storing organic carbon in biomass and soil, charge generally increasewith increasing deforestation thereby keeping greenhouse gases (CO2 and CH4) from (Sahin and Hall 1996). In addition, a recent study by Costa et al. (2003) showed that changes in land cover the atmosphere. The reduction or degradation of forest cover can have a substantial effect on large river systems; the authors examined the links between river discharge and directly affect carbon storage through lossesof vegetation www.frontiersinecology.org ofAmerica ? The Society Ecological JA Foley et al. Forestdegradation in theAmazon vegetation cover in a 176 000 km2 sub 7000 Observed discharge of Tocantins River catchment of the Tocantins River 6000, basin in eastern Amazonia and found . 6000 1950s-60s co that land-cover changes between the 5000 --E -----1980s-90s 1960s and 1990swere associatedwith a 4000 -25% increase in riverdischarge, even though precipitation in the region did 33000 not change (Figure4). .2000 At largerscales of deforestation, we 1000 .. have onlymathematical models to rely upon. Using a detailed biophysical land surfacemodel, Costa and Foley J F M A M J J A S O N D (1997) analyzed the effects of forest removalon thewater balance and river Figure 4. Effectsof landcoverchangeon riverflow.Here we illustratetheobserved discharge of the entire Amazon Basin. changesin riverdischargein theTocantinsriverbasin that resultedfrom land-cover Their resultsshowed that deforestation changeand agriculturalclearingin themid-20th century.The solid line is themean could produce significant increases in monthly dischargefor theperiod 1950-60s, when cropsand pasturecoveredabout runoff and river discharge. Averaged 30% of the landareaof the176 000 km2basin.The dotted line is theriverdischarge across the entire basin, the model duringthe 1980s and 1990s,when cropsandpasturehad increasedtocovermore than resultssuggested thatwidespread defor 50% of thebasin(adaptedfromCosta et al. 2003). estation would increase runoff and riverdischarge by about 20%, although individualwater European storm tracks, which could cause substantial shedswithin the basin exhibited increases in discharge cooling in southern Europe and warming across parts of ranging from between 5 and 45%, depending on the cli Asia inwinter. mate, watershed position, and original vegetation cover. Regional and global climate regulation The rainforestsof theAmazon play a crucial role in regu lating the general circulation of the atmosphere.As one of the threemajor convection centers in the tropics, the Amazon helps to fuel the Hadley andWalker circula tions. As deforestation becomes more extensive, the resulting reductions in evapotranspiration and atmos pheric heating may weaken moisture recycling and deep convection in the atmosphere over the Amazon, with major repercussions for South American climate (eg Nobre et al. 1991;Costa and Foley 2000). Climate model simulations of large-scale deforestation in the Amazon Basin generally show a considerable reduction in evapo transpirationas tropical forest vegetation is replacedwith grasses and shrubs; this has the effect of substantially warming the surface and inhibiting convection, regional precipitation, and cloud cover (Figure5). The influence of deforestation on climate may also extend farbeyond theAmazon Basin. A few recent stud ies have now illustrated the potential for "teleconnec tions" from Amazonian climate change, where atmos pheric signals may propagate into the middle latitudes, causing changes in the climate of other regions (Snyder et al. unpublished;Werth and Avissar 2002). Snyder et al. (unpublished) found that deforestation weakens atmos pheric convection over the basin and reduces the high level outflow out of the tropics that interactswith the cir culation of the atmosphere in themid and high latitudes. In their simulations, widespread deforestation causes changes in circulation that alter theNorth Atlantic and ? The ofAmerica Ecological Society Vector-borne diseases Some of the world's most serious infectious diseases, including malaria, dengue, Leishmaniasis, and several arboviruses,are found in theAmazon basin.Malaria alone kills 1.2million people worldwide each year, and approxi mately 40% of theworld's population lives in areaswhere malaria is endemic (WHO 2005). In the Brazilian Amazon alone, there are typically 400 000-600 000 cases contracted annually (WHO 2005). Rainforestsmay provide another valuable ecosystem ser vice, moderating the riskof infectious disease by regulat ing the populations of disease organisms (viruses,bacteria, and other parasites), their animal hosts, or the intermedi ary disease vectors (most often insects or rodents). For example, the lossof forestcovermay affect the abundance and behavior of mosquitoes - a common disease vector in the tropics- throughchanges in local habitat conditions. Individual mosquito species occupy unique ecological niches and can react rapidly to changes in habitat. For example, in Africa, the larvae of Anopheles gambiae are much more likely to survive in deforested landscapes than in intact, forestedhabitats (Tuno et al. 2005). Previous studies conducted in the Amazon indicated that malaria risk rose sharply during the late 1980s and 1990s (AramburuGuarda et al. 1999). New evidence sug gests that changes in forest cover, through effects on the distribution patterns of mosquito vectors, may have con tributed to this upsurge in the disease. In particular, a recent project in the Peruvian Amazon examined the links between deforestation and the principle mosquito vector formalaria in South America, Anopheles darlingi www.frontiersinecology.org Forestdegradation in theAmazon JA Foley et al. * Summary and conclusions This is a critical point in the history of the Amazon Basin, when human stresses could affect the ecology of the region for decades and centuries to come. Cross-disciplinary 0 0 scientific research is particularly vital in helping us to understand how this crucial region functions, and how itmay be chang ing. In response, one of themajor priorities of the Brazilian-led Large-Scale Atmos 300S 300S phere Biosphere Experiment in Amazonia (LBA) has been to understand how Amazonia functions as an integrated entity, including interactions among terrestrial ecosystems, freshwater systems, and the 600S600S atmosphere. Recent research stemming 800W 60VW 400W 80?W 600W 400W from the LBA, aswell as other efforts, have already improved our understanding of human activities and their potential conse -4 -2 0 2 4 -3-2-1 0 1 2 3 quences for the sustainability of ecosystem Figure 5. Changes in climateoverAmazonia from completedeforestation. goods and services in the basin. Snyderet al. (unpublished)used the coupledCCM3-IBIS climate-biosphere Much of this increasedunderstanding has onAmazonianclimate. resulted from remote sensing observations, model todeterminetheeffectsof large-scale deforestation The resultssuggestthattheAmazon climatemay be highlysensitiveto large-scale intensive and coordinated field measure ments, and synthetic modeling exercises. deforestation (adapted from Snyder et al. unpublished). However. despite this new understanding. observational and modeling capabilities are still lacking. (Vittor et al. 2006). This analysis suggests a direct rela tionship between the extent of deforested land and For example, there is a pressing need to observe smaller scale patterns of forest degradation by increasing the spa increasingbiting ratesof A darlingi.In fact, heavily defor tial or spectral resolution of satellite observations (eg ested areas can see up to a 300-fold increase in the riskof Asner et al. 2005; DeFries et al. 2005), and characterizing malaria infection, compared to areasof intact forest, con the fate of land use following clearing (egMorton et al. in trolling for changes in human population density. Furthermore, there appears to be a threshold effect in press). Others have suggested the need for monitoring these data:when the landscape is about 20% deforested, changes in forest structure, possibly using active radaror mosquito biting activity increases substantially. In short, lidarmeasurements (eg Drake et al. 2002; Lefsky et al. deforestation appears to greatlymagnify mosquito biting 2002). In the end, we must balance the need for these data, their cost, and competing needs for global environ ratesand the riskof spreadingmalaria by increasinghabi mental observation capabilities. tat available forA darlingi. Recent assessments of the ecological impacts of land This work demonstrates that the extent and pattern of deforestation may degrade the disease regulation services use practices have focused on the need to balance the tradeoffs resulting from human actions (Millennium of the rainforest. Specifically, links between deforesta Ecosystem Assessment 2003; DeFries et al. 2004; Foley et tion, changes in local habitat conditions and biodiver sity, and the ecology of A darlingi resulted in greatly al. 2005). In this framework,deforestation is recognized to have importantbenefits for society, as it increases eco increased risk of malaria. However, this result could be even more general; deforestation may also amplify other nomic opportunities and the availability of many ecosys disease risksaswell (Patz et al. 2005). It is also likely that tem goods, at least in the short term.However, the lossof changes in forest cover (and associated changes in rivers rainforestsmay also degrademany critical ecosystem ser and regional climate) could affect human health through vices, such as carbon storage in forests and soils, regula tion of water balance and river flow, modulation of changes in food and freshwater availability, or inwater and air quality. Overall, an important conclusion of atmospheric circulation and regional climate, and the amelioration of infectious diseases. Thus, the deforesta these studies is thatmaintaining intact rainforestecosys tion tradeoff is a balance between realizing short-term tems may provide many health-related ecosystem ser gains in selected ecosystem goods, while potentially vices to the region (Patz et al. 2005). degrading ecological function and other ecosystem ser These new scientific results demonstrate the potential for losingmany important ecosystem services, including vices in the long term. In this paper,we have distinguished between the local, some that aremanifest across regional and global scales, regional, and global effects of deforestation, which also as tropical forestscontinue to be cleared and degraded. Change in temperature (K) Change in precipitation (mm day 1) ~~~~~~~~~~~~Ii~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ www.frontiersinecology.org ofAmerica ? TheEcological Society Forestdegradation in theAmazon JA Foley et al. occur over a wide range of timescales, and the inherent tradeoffsthey represent.While these cross-scale phenom ena are increasingly recognized in ecology, it is important to note that each of these space and time scales (ie local to global-scale, short- to long-term time horizons) have profoundly different effects on human society. Each eco logical scale, in both space and time, potentially interacts with different groups of people, each with different levels of vulnerability and control. Additional research is still needed to quantify the tradeoffs in ecosystem goods and services resulting from deforestation, and how they aremanifested across local, regional, and global scales. Furthermore, continued efforts are needed to link the scientific quantification of ecosystem goods and services to policy-relevant terms, such as economic, political, or cultural valuation, allow ing formultiple perspectives in the assessmentof the con sequences of deforestation. The scientific community hasmade tremendousprogress in understanding the continued loss and degradation of Amazonian rainforests,and their connections to human society.What we have learned is alarming, and reinforces the need to clearly communicate these new findings to stakeholdersand decision makers acrossmany levels. Carvalho Moutinho AC, P, could protect development it. Nature 131-31. 409: destroying Cochrane MA, Alencar A, Schulze in the fire dynamic of backs MD, closed Nepstad Amazonia et al on dependence 1999. canopy Science 284: 1832-35. Costa MH and Foley JA. 1997. 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