Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 Disclaimer Ausgrid is registered as both a Distribution Network Service Provider and a Transmission Network Service Provider. This Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report 2013 has been prepared and published by Ausgrid under clause 5.13.2 and 5.12.2 of the National Electricity Rules to notify Registered Participants and Interested Parties of the results of the distribution and transmission network annual planning review and should only be used for those purposes. This document does not purport to contain all of the information that a prospective investor or participant or potential participant in the National Electricity Market, or any other person or interested parties may require. In preparing this document it is not possible nor is it intended for Ausgrid to have regard to the investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of each person who reads or uses this document. In all cases, anyone proposing to rely on or use the information in this document should independently verify and check the accuracy, completeness, reliability and suitability of that information for their own purposes. Accordingly, Ausgrid makes no representations or warranty as to the accuracy, reliability, completeness or suitability for particular purposes of the information in this document. Persons reading or utilising this document acknowledge that Ausgrid and their employees, agents and consultants shall have no liability (including liability to any person by reason of negligence or negligent misstatement) for any statements, opinions, information or matter (expressed or implied) arising out of, contained in or derived from, or for any omissions from, the information in this document, except insofar as liability under any New South Wales and Commonwealth statute cannot be excluded. Contact For all enquires regarding the Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report 2013 and for making written submissions contact: Ausgrid Manager – Asset & Network Planning GPO Box 4009 Sydney NSW 2001 Email: ngordon@ausgrid.com.au Contents 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ................................................................................................................. 1 2 INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................................. 2 2.1 About Ausgrid ...................................................................................................................... 2 2.1.1 Our Purpose and Vision ................................................................................................. 2 2.1.2 Our Principal Activities.................................................................................................... 3 2.1.3 Our Operating Environment ............................................................................................ 3 2.1.4 Ausgrid customer, demand and energy supply statistics ................................................ 4 2.2 Ausgrid’s Network ................................................................................................................ 4 2.2.1 Number and Types of Network Assets ........................................................................... 5 2.3 Annual Planning Review ...................................................................................................... 7 2.4 Ausgrid’s planning approach ................................................................................................ 7 2.4.1 Investment objectives and decision criteria .................................................................... 7 2.4.2 Network planning process .............................................................................................. 8 2.4.3 Network Area Plans ........................................................................................................ 9 2.5 Significant changes from previous DAPR ............................................................................ 9 2.6 Analysis and explanation of forecast changes ..................................................................... 9 2.7 Analysis and explanation of changes in other information ................................................... 9 3 FORECASTS FOR THE FORWARD PLANNING PERIOD ........................................................... 10 3.1 Load Forecasting Methodology .......................................................................................... 10 3.1.1 Assumptions applied to load forecasts ......................................................................... 10 3.1.2 Trasmission - distribution connection point load forecasts ........................................... 12 3.1.3 Sub-transmission feeder load forecasts ....................................................................... 12 3.1.4 Primary distribution feeder load forecasts .................................................................... 12 3.1.5 Notes on STS and ZS load forecast tables................................................................... 13 3.2 Camperdown and Blackwattle Bay Load Area ................................................................... 15 3.2.1 Description of Camperdown and Blackwattle Bay load area ........................................ 15 3.2.2 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast ......................................................................... 16 3.2.3 STS and ZS load forecast ............................................................................................ 16 3.3 Canterbury Bankstown Load Area ..................................................................................... 18 3.3.1 Description of Canterbury Bankstown area .................................................................. 18 3.3.2 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast ......................................................................... 20 3.3.3 STS and ZS load forecast ............................................................................................ 21 3.4 Carlingford Load Area ........................................................................................................ 23 3.4.1 Description of Carlingford area ..................................................................................... 23 3.4.2 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast ......................................................................... 24 3.4.3 STS and ZS load forecast ............................................................................................ 24 3.5 Eastern Suburbs Load Area ............................................................................................... 26 3.5.1 Description of Eastern Suburbs load area .................................................................... 26 3.5.2 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast ......................................................................... 27 3.5.3 STS and ZS load forecast ............................................................................................ 30 3.6 Greater Cessnock Load Area ............................................................................................. 33 3.6.1 Description of Greater Cessnock area.......................................................................... 33 3.6.2 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast ......................................................................... 34 3.6.3 STS and ZS load forecast ............................................................................................ 35 3.7 Inner West Load Area ........................................................................................................ 36 3.7.1 Description of Inner West area ..................................................................................... 36 3.7.2 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast ......................................................................... 37 3.7.3 STS and ZS load forecast ............................................................................................ 38 3.8 Lower Central Coast Load Area ......................................................................................... 40 3.8.1 Description of Lower Central Coast area ...................................................................... 40 3.8.2 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast ......................................................................... 42 3.8.3 STS and ZS load forecast ............................................................................................ 43 3.9 Lower North Shore Load Area ........................................................................................... 45 3.9.1 Description of Lower North Shore area ........................................................................ 45 3.9.2 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast ......................................................................... 46 3.9.3 STS and ZS load forecast ............................................................................................ 47 3.10 Maitland Load Area ............................................................................................................ 49 3.10.1 Description of Maitland area ......................................................................................... 49 3.10.2 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast ......................................................................... 50 3.10.3 STS and ZS load forecast ............................................................................................ 51 3.11 Manly Warringah Load Area .............................................................................................. 52 3.11.1 Manly Warringah area .................................................................................................. 52 3.11.2 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast ......................................................................... 54 3.11.3 STS and ZS load forecast ............................................................................................ 55 3.12 Newcastle Inner City Load Area ......................................................................................... 57 3.12.1 Newcastle Inner City area ............................................................................................ 57 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 i 3.12.2 3.12.3 3.13 3.13.1 3.13.2 3.13.3 3.14 3.14.1 3.14.2 3.14.3 3.15 3.15.1 3.15.2 3.15.3 3.16 3.16.1 3.16.2 3.16.3 3.17 3.17.1 3.17.2 3.17.3 3.18 3.18.1 3.18.2 3.18.3 3.19 3.19.1 3.19.2 3.19.3 3.20 3.20.1 3.20.2 3.20.3 3.21 3.21.1 3.21.2 3.21.3 3.22 3.22.1 3.22.2 3.22.3 3.23 3.23.1 3.23.2 3.23.3 3.24 3.24.1 3.24.2 3.24.3 3.25 3.25.1 3.25.2 3.25.3 3.26 3.26.1 3.26.2 3.26.3 3.27 3.27.1 3.27.2 3.27.3 3.28 3.28.1 3.28.2 3.28.3 3.29 3.29.1 3.29.2 3.29.3 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast ......................................................................... 58 STS and ZS load forecast ............................................................................................ 59 Newcastle Ports Load Area................................................................................................ 60 Description of Newcastle Ports Load area.................................................................... 60 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast ......................................................................... 61 STS and ZS load forecast ............................................................................................ 61 Newcastle Western Corridor Load Area ............................................................................. 63 Description of Newcastle Western Corridor area .......................................................... 63 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast ......................................................................... 64 STS and ZS load forecast ............................................................................................ 64 North East Lake Macquarie Load Area .............................................................................. 66 Description of North East Lake Macquarie area ........................................................... 66 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast ......................................................................... 67 STS and ZS load forecast ............................................................................................ 68 North West Sydney Load Area ........................................................................................... 69 Description of North West Sydney area........................................................................ 69 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast ......................................................................... 70 STS and ZS load forecast ............................................................................................ 70 Pittwater and Terrey Hills Load Area.................................................................................. 71 Description of Pittwater and Terrey Hills area .............................................................. 71 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast ......................................................................... 73 STS and ZS load forecast ............................................................................................ 74 Port Stephens Load Area ................................................................................................... 75 Description of Port Stephens Load area ....................................................................... 75 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast ......................................................................... 76 STS and ZS load forecast ............................................................................................ 77 Singleton Load Load Area.................................................................................................. 78 Description of Singleton Load area .............................................................................. 78 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast ......................................................................... 79 STS and ZS load forecast ............................................................................................ 81 St George Load Area ......................................................................................................... 82 Description of St George load area .............................................................................. 82 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast ......................................................................... 83 STS and ZS load forecast ............................................................................................ 84 Sutherland Load Area ........................................................................................................ 85 Description of Sutherland load area ............................................................................. 85 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast ......................................................................... 86 STS and ZS load forecast ............................................................................................ 87 Sydney CBD Load Area ..................................................................................................... 89 Description of Sydney CBD load area .......................................................................... 89 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast ......................................................................... 90 STS and ZS load forecast ............................................................................................ 90 Upper Central Coast Load Area ......................................................................................... 91 Description of Upper Central Coast load area .............................................................. 91 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast ......................................................................... 92 STS and ZS load forecast ............................................................................................ 92 Upper Hunter Load Area .................................................................................................... 94 Description of Upper Hunter load area ......................................................................... 94 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast ......................................................................... 95 STS and ZS load forecast ............................................................................................ 96 Upper North Shore Load Area ........................................................................................... 98 Description of Upper North Shore load area................................................................. 98 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast ......................................................................... 99 STS and ZS load forecast ............................................................................................ 99 West Lake Macquarie Load Area ..................................................................................... 101 Description of West lake Macquarie load area ........................................................... 101 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast ....................................................................... 102 STS and ZS load forecast .......................................................................................... 102 Transmission Load Area - Central Coast ......................................................................... 104 Description of Central Coast Transmission load area ................................................ 104 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast ....................................................................... 106 STS and ZS load forecast .......................................................................................... 107 Transmission Load Area – Lower Hunter ......................................................................... 108 Description of Lower Hunter 132kV Transmission load area ...................................... 108 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast ....................................................................... 110 STS and ZS load forecast .......................................................................................... 112 Sydney Inner Metropolitan Transmission Load Area ....................................................... 113 Description of Sydney Inner Metropolitan Transmission load area ............................. 113 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast ....................................................................... 116 STS and ZS load forecast .......................................................................................... 121 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 ii Transmission - Distribution Connection Point load forecast ............................................. 121 3.30 3.31 Other factors having a material impact on the network .................................................... 122 3.31.1 Fault levels ................................................................................................................. 122 3.31.2 Voltage levels ............................................................................................................. 122 3.31.3 Other power system security requirements ................................................................ 122 3.31.4 Quality of Supply ........................................................................................................ 122 3.31.5 Ageing and potentially unreliable assets .................................................................... 122 4 PLANNING PROPOSALS FOR FUTURE NEEDS ...................................................................... 124 4.1 Proposed future transmission-distribution connection points ........................................... 124 4.2 Proposed future sub-transmission lines ........................................................................... 124 4.3 Proposed future Sub-transmission STS and Zone substations ........................................ 124 4.4 Future Sub-transmission and Zone substations loading levels ........................................ 125 4.4.1 Sydney and Central Coast Load Areas ...................................................................... 125 4.4.2 Hunter Load Areas ..................................................................................................... 125 5 IDENTIFIED SYSTEM LIMITATIONS .......................................................................................... 126 5.1 Notes on identified system limitations .............................................................................. 126 5.2 Sub-transmission Feeder Limitations ............................................................................... 127 5.3 Sub-transmission STS and Zone Substation Limitations ................................................. 136 5.4 Primary Distribution Feeder Limitations ........................................................................... 146 6 NETWORK INVESTMENTS ........................................................................................................ 147 6.1 Regulatory Tests completed during the year .................................................................... 147 6.1.1 Final Report- Jannali Zone Substation 11kV development ......................................... 147 6.1.2 Final Report- Raymond Terrace 11kV Feeders Upgrade ........................................... 148 6.1.3 Final Report- Rathmines Zone Substation 11kV Feeders .......................................... 149 6.1.4 Final Report- Nelson Bay (Anna Bay) New 11kV Development ................................. 150 6.1.5 Final Report- Nelson Bay New 11kV Development .................................................... 151 6.1.6 Final Report- Edgeworth New 11kV Development ..................................................... 152 6.1.7 Final Report- Kurri Kurri New Heddon Greta 11kV Development ............................... 153 6.1.8 Final Report- Kurri Kurri Zone Substation 11kV Feeders ........................................... 154 6.1.9 Final Report- Maitland Central New 11kV Development ............................................ 155 6.1.10 Final Report- Mosman Zone Substation Panel 18 20 22 29 and 42 Feeders ............. 156 6.1.11 Final Report- Greenacre Park 11kV Feeders ............................................................. 156 6.1.12 Final Report- Mosman Zone Substation 11kV Panel 24 41 and 43 feeders ............... 157 6.1.13 Final Report- Mosman Zone Substation 11kV Panel 9,10,17,23,30,32, 34 feeders ... 158 6.1.14 Final Report- Cardiff New 11kV Development ............................................................ 158 6.1.15 Final Report- Sefton Zone Substation 11kV Panel 16, 34, 35 feeders ....................... 159 6.1.16 Final Report- Thornton Zone Substation 11kV Development ..................................... 160 6.1.17 Final Report- Pelican 11kV Zone 11kV Development ................................................ 160 6.1.18 Final Report- South Eastern Flemington ZS 11kV Development ................................ 161 6.2 Regulatory Tests in progress during the year .................................................................. 162 6.2.1 Development of Alexandria 132/33kV STS ................................................................ 162 6.2.2 System limitations in circuits 9SA and 9SB/1 ............................................................. 162 6.2.3 Top Ryde Additional 132/11kV Transformer and 11kV Switchgear ............................ 163 6.3 Regulatory Investment Tests (RIT-D) for the forward planning period ............................. 164 6.4 Commited Investments .................................................................................................... 165 6.4.1 Refurbishment and replacement investments ............................................................ 165 6.4.2 Urgent and unforseen investments ............................................................................. 175 7 JOINT PLANNING ....................................................................................................................... 176 7.1 Joint Planning with TransGrid TNSP ................................................................................ 176 7.1.1 Process and Methodology .......................................................................................... 176 7.1.2 Joint TransGrid - Ausgrid planning completed in 2013 ............................................... 177 7.1.3 Planned Joint Transgrid-Ausgrid Network Investments .............................................. 177 7.1.4 Additional information ................................................................................................. 178 7.2 Joint planning with other DNSPs ...................................................................................... 178 7.2.1 Process & Methodology.............................................................................................. 178 7.2.2 Joint Ausgrid and other DNSP planning completed in preceding year ....................... 178 7.2.3 Planned DNSP Joint Network Investments ................................................................ 178 7.2.4 Additional information ................................................................................................. 178 8 NETWORK PERFORMANCE ...................................................................................................... 179 8.1 Reliability measures and standards ................................................................................. 179 8.1.1 Supply Reliability Standards ....................................................................................... 180 8.1.2 Supply reliability in the preceding year ....................................................................... 180 8.1.3 Service Target Performance Incentive Scheme (STPIS)............................................ 181 8.1.4 Forecast of Network Reliability Performance .............................................................. 181 8.1.5 Compliance with Network Reliability Standards ......................................................... 182 8.2 Quality of supply standards .............................................................................................. 183 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 iii Voltage range for supplied electricity .......................................................................... 183 8.2.1 8.2.2 Harmonics and total harmonic distortion .................................................................... 184 8.2.3 Voltage fluctuations (flicker) ....................................................................................... 184 8.2.4 Voltage unbalance ...................................................................................................... 184 8.3 Quality of Supply Performance for preceding year ........................................................... 184 8.3.1 Supply voltage performance ....................................................................................... 185 8.3.2 Harmonic Content of Supply Voltage Waveform ........................................................ 185 8.3.3 Voltage Fluctuations (Flicker) performance ................................................................ 185 8.3.4 Voltage Unbalance performance ................................................................................ 185 8.3.5 Action planned to meet quality of supply standards ................................................... 185 8.3.6 Compliance with quality of supply standards .............................................................. 186 9 ASSET MANAGEMENT............................................................................................................... 187 9.1 Ausgrid’s asset management approach ........................................................................... 187 9.2 Asset Management Strategic Plan ................................................................................... 187 9.3 Risk Management strategies ............................................................................................ 188 9.4 Sub-transmission underground cables replacement strategy .......................................... 189 9.5 11kV switchgear asset management strategy .................................................................. 189 9.5.1 11kV compound switchgear replacement strategy ..................................................... 190 9.5.2 Air insulated switchboard replacement strategy ......................................................... 190 9.5.3 Outdoor 11kV switchgear replacement strategy ......................................................... 191 9.6 Distribution network losses .............................................................................................. 192 9.7 Obtaining further information on asset management ....................................................... 192 10 DEMAND MANAGEMENT ........................................................................................................... 193 10.1 Demand management...................................................................................................... 193 10.2 Demand management investigations in 2012-13 ............................................................. 194 10.3 Demand management projects implemented in 2012-13 ................................................. 195 10.4 Demand management innovation .................................................................................... 195 10.5 Forecast demand management projects .......................................................................... 196 11 INVESTMENTS IN METERING AND INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY....................................... 197 11.1 Metering ........................................................................................................................... 197 11.2 Information and communication technology ..................................................................... 198 11.2.1 Ausgrid’s ICT plan ...................................................................................................... 198 11.2.2 Description of key network related ICT systems ......................................................... 199 11.2.3 Smart Grid, Smart City ............................................................................................... 201 12 TRANSMISSION ANNUAL PLANNING REPORT 2013 UPDATE ............................................... 204 12.1 Transmission Annual Planning Report 2013 update ........................................................ 204 12.2 Transmission annual planning review .............................................................................. 204 12.2.1 Ausgrid’s responsibility as a registered TNSP ............................................................ 205 12.3 Developments since the publication of TAPR 2013 (June 2013) ..................................... 206 12.3.1 Dual function projects cancelled or deferred .............................................................. 206 12.3.2 Changes in dual function asset status ........................................................................ 206 12.4 Committed and Completed Dual Function Augmentations............................................... 208 12.4.1 Completed Augmentations ......................................................................................... 208 12.4.2 Committed Dual Function Augmentations .................................................................. 208 12.5 Planned Augmentations that have been subject to the Regulatory Test .......................... 210 12.6 Proposed dual function network developments ................................................................ 210 12.6.1 Constraints emerging within 5 years – proposed dual function assets ....................... 211 12.6.2 Constraints emerging within 5 years – consultation anticipated within 12 months ..... 212 12.6.3 Constraints emerging within 5 years –consultation anticipated beyond 12 months .... 212 12.6.4 Longer Term Constraints and Indicative Developments ............................................. 212 12.7 Dual Function Connection Points ..................................................................................... 213 12.7.1 Augmentation of existing dual function connection points .......................................... 213 12.7.2 Proposed new dual function connection points .......................................................... 214 12.8 Dual function replacement projects .................................................................................. 214 12.8.1 Identified dual function replacement projects ............................................................. 215 12.9 Urgent and unforeseen dual function projects.................................................................. 219 12.10 National Transmission Statement .................................................................................... 219 12.10.1 NSW Responsibility .................................................................................................... 220 12.11 Requests for Proposal...................................................................................................... 220 12.12 Demand Forecasts ........................................................................................................... 220 12.12.1 Ausgrid Network Global Peak Demand Forecasts ..................................................... 221 12.12.2 Dual Function Substation Demand Forecasts ............................................................ 222 13 APPENDIX 1 - GLOSSARY ......................................................................................................... 226 14 APPENDIX 2 - DESIGN, RELIABILITY & PERFORMANCE LICENCE CONDITION CRITERIA 227 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 iv 1 Executive Summary On 11 October 2012 the Australian Energy Market Commission (AEMC) made a new National Electricity Rule (NER) to establish a national Distribution Network Planning and Expansion Framework which is applicable to all Distribution Network Service Providers (DNSPs) operating in the national electricity market. Commencing on 1 January 2013, this Rule requires all registered DNSPs to conduct an annual planning review and report on the outcomes in a Distribution Annual Planning Report (DAPR). This document presents the results of Ausgrid’s annual planning review covering all assets and activities carried out by Ausgrid that could materially affect the performance of our network. The objective is to identify and report on possible future network limitations, including network capacity constraints and aged or poor performing assets, and the potential credible solutions to these limitations. The DAPR portion of this document, Chapters 1 to 11, has been prepared to meet the requirements of the National Electricity Rules Schedule S5.8 Distribution Annual Reporting Requirements and its objective is to: Provide transparency to Ausgrid’s decision making processes to assist non-network providers, other Network Service providers and connection applicants to make efficient investment decisions Provide information on Ausgrid’s distribution assets planning process, including forecasting, identification of network limitations, and the development of potential credible options to address these limitations covering a minimum five year forward planning period Report on the results of Ausgrid’s annual planning review, including STS and zone substation and subtransmission feeder forecast loading, identified network limitations including capacity, asset condition and other limitations on the sub-transmission and distribution assets, and the potential credible solutions to address these limitations Provide third parties the opportunity to offer alternative proposals to the identified network needs, including non-network solutions such as demand management or embedded generation Provide timely indication of the planned commencement dates for the assessment of proposed projects that will be subject the Regulatory Investment Test for Distribution, and Provide information on Ausgrid’s demand management activities and actions taken to promote non-network initiatives each year, including plans for demand management and embedded generation over the forward planning period. The DAPR covers a minimum five year forward planning period. Ausgrid is also a registered Transmission Network Service Provider and is required to produce a Transmission Annual Planning Report (TAPR) covering its 132kV dual function assets. To align the publication of the DAPR and TAPR in future years, the two reports have been combined into one Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report, as permitted under the NER. The TAPR 2013 update is presented as Chapter 12 of this document. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 1 2 Introduction This Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report has been prepared to comply with National Electricity Rules (NER) clause 5.13.2 Distribution Annual Planning Report (DAPR), and clause 5.12.2 Transmission Annual Planning Report (TAPR). With a five year forward planning horizon, this is the first DAPR to be published by Ausgrid. It reflects the outcomes of the annual planning review of Ausgrid’s electricity network. The purpose of this document is to inform Registered Participants, stakeholder groups and interested parties of the identified future network needs and the committed and proposed solutions to these needs, and the potential opportunities for non-network solutions, particularly for large investments where the Regulatory Investment Test for Distribution (RIT-D) applies. Ausgrid’s DAPR has been prepared to meet the requirements of the National Electricity Rules Schedule S5.8 Distribution Annual Reporting Requirements to: Provide transparency to Ausgrid’s decision making processes to assist non-network providers, other Network Service providers and connection applicants to make efficient investment decisions Promote efficient investment decisions in the electricity market Include information on the planning process including forecasting, identification of network limitations, and the development of potential credible options to address these limitations Set out the results of Ausgrid’s annual planning review, including joint planning, covering a minimum five year forward planning period for distribution assets To give third parties the opportunity to offer alternative proposals to the identified network needs, including non-network solutions such as demand management or embedded generation Inform registered participants and interested parties on the outcomes of the annual planning review, including network capacity and load forecasts for sub-transmission lines, zone substations and transmission-distribution connection points, and any 11kV primary distribution feeders which are constrained or are forecast to be constrained within the next two years Provide information on Ausgrid’s demand management activities and actions taken to promote non-network initiatives each year, including plans for demand management and embedded generation over the forward planning period. Ausgrid also owns, develops, operates and maintains dual function assets in NSW. Although these dual function assets form part of our distribution network they are operated in parallel with TransGrid’s network, and essentially perform a transmission function by supporting the NSW transmission network. Ausgrid is therefore also registered as a TNSP and is required to publish a Transmission Annual Planning Report (TAPR) covering dual function assets. The NER permit Ausgrid to publish its TAPR as part of the DAPR. An update to the Ausgrid TAPR 2013 published in June 2013 is presented as Chapter 12 - TAPR 2013 Update. This will align the publication of the DAPR and TAPR in future years. The two reports have been combined into one Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report. 2.1 About Ausgrid Ausgrid is a NSW State Owned Corporation established under the Energy Services Corporations Act 1995 and the State Owned Corporations Act 1989. We operate in the National Electricity Market (NEM) as both a distribution network service provider (DNSP), and a transmission network service provider (TNSP). Our electricity distribution network covers 22,275 square kilometres from Waterfall in Sydney’s south to Auburn in western Sydney and north to the upper Hunter Valley. The network powers about half of the electricity customers in NSW including residential and large and small business customers, as well as major industry including mining, shipping, tourism, manufacturing and agriculture. Ausgrid is committed to keeping electricity prices affordable for customers while delivering a safe, reliable and sustainable network for the community. 2.1.1 Our Purpose and Vision Ausgrid’s purpose is to be of service to its communities by efficiently distributing electricity to its customers in a way that is safe, reliable and sustainable. Its values define the standard of ethical behaviour expected by the community. These following values form the basis for everything done at Ausgrid: safety excellence respect for people Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 2 2.1.2 customer and community focus continuous improvement, and act with integrity. Our Principal Activities Ausgrid is a NSW State Owned Corporation established under the Energy Services Corporations Act 1995 (administered by the Minister for Resources and Energy) and the State Owned Corporations Act 1989. Ausgrid’s main activities are the safe management of its electricity network. 2.1.3 Our Operating Environment Ausgrid is regulated by statutory and legislative requirements, including Work Heath and Safety (WH&S), environmental, competition, industrial, consumer protection and information laws, the National Electricity and Gas Law Rules, the NSW Electricity Supply Act 1995, and a NSW Distribution Network Service Provider licence. Ausgrid manages compliance with these laws and regulations through its internal codes and policies and a common control framework. This control framework comprises plans, policies, procedures, delegations, instruction and training, audit and risk management. The objectives of the corporation under the State Owned Corporations Act 1989 and the Energy Services Corporations Act 1995 include requirements to: operate efficiently and maximise the net worth of the State’s investment operate an efficient, safe and reliable network, and be socially responsible, having an active regard for the interests of the community and the environment. Ausgrid’s operations are guided by a number of important policies and codes, including a Code of Conduct, Safety Policy, Environmental Code of Conduct and Policy and Statement of Business Ethics. The organisation publishes a Statement of Corporate Intent, outlining its strategies, risks and operational and commercial objectives. As a result of the NSW Government reforms to state-owned electricity networks since 1 July 2012, the three NSW Government owned electricity distribution networks Ausgrid, Endeavour Energy and Essential Energy continue to operate as separate legal entities but are managed by a joint Board of Directors and common Chief Executive Officer (CEO). A key objective of the NSW Government’s reform program for its electricity distribution businesses is to deliver more than $400 million in cost and efficiency savings over four years to assist electricity consumers, particularly those receiving Low Income Household and Family Energy rebates. These savings at Ausgrid are being delivered through more streamlined corporate and support services, reducing duplication, more efficient capital spending and strategic procurement. The industry reforms also aim to deliver a more efficient, lower cost electricity distribution service to customers – one that is financially sustainable, minimises waste and maintains the reliability of the network in a way that is safe for its employees and the public. Ausgrid is subject to the National Electricity Law (NEL) and National Electricity Rules (NERs) which regulate the National Electricity Market. Ausgrid operates in the National Electricity Market (NEM) as both a distribution and transmission network service provider (DNSP and TNSP). The National Electricity Objective (NEO), as stated in the National Electricity Law is to: “promote efficient investment in, and efficient operation and use of, electricity services for the long term interests of consumers of electricity with respect to: (a) price, quality, safety, reliability and security of supply of electricity; and (b) the reliability, safety and security of the national electricity system.” This objective requires Registered NEM participants to balance the costs and risks associated with electricity supply. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 3 2.1.4 Ausgrid customer, demand and energy supply statistics Number at end of 2011/12 Number at end of 2012/13 1,627,948 1,642,353 Distribution Customer Numbers – Sydney East Region 321,360 326,028 Distribution Customer Numbers – Sydney South Region 479,182 485,836 Distribution Customer Numbers – Sydney North Region 386,135 388,924 Distribution Customer Numbers – Newcastle Region 200,493 199,759 Distribution Customer Numbers – Central Coast Region 158,668 158,045 Distribution Customer Numbers – Lower Hunter Region 52,695 53,679 Distribution Customer Numbers – Upper Hunter Region 29,415 30,082 Maximum Demand (Aggregated System MW) 5,149 5,659 Energy Received by Dist Network to Year End (GWh) 30,463 27,401 Energy Distributed to Year End (Residential) (GWh) 8,892 8,527 Energy Distributed to Year End (Non-Residential Including unmetered supplies) (GWh) 20,453 17,789 Energy Distributed to Year End (GWh) 29,345 26,316 System Loss Factor (%) 3.67% 3.96% Distribution Customer Numbers (Total) Table 1 – Ausgrid distribution network customers, maximum demand and energy NOTE: 2.2 System Loss Factor (%) is the difference between electricity received by the distribution network and electricity received by customers (including un-metered supplies) divided by electricity received by the distribution network (allowing for embedded generation), expressed as a percentage. Ausgrid’s Network In 2012/13, Ausgrid’s network supplied more than 26,316GWh of electricity to more than 1.64 million network customers. Our distribution area (Figure 1) covers an area of 22,275 square kilometres and includes some of the most densely populated and fastest growing areas of NSW. We supply customers as far north as the Upper Hunter Valley and as far south as Waterfall, and Auburn in Sydney’s west. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 4 Figure 1: Ausgrid’s Network Area 2.2.1 Number and Types of Network Assets Ausgrid’s sub-transmission and distribution network includes: a dual function sub-transmission system of 132kV assets (formerly referred to as transmission system) a sub-transmission system of 33kV, 66kV and 132kV assets a high voltage distribution system of 5kV and 11kV assets, and a low voltage distribution system of 240V and 415V assets. Ausgrid operates an extensive network of 132kV assets which are directly connected to TransGrid’s NSW main transmission network. Where these 132kV assets are operated in parallel and provide transmission services to support TransGrid’s network they are defined as dual function assets under the NER. Ausgrid is therefore also registered as a Transmission Network Service Provider. Dual function assets are regulated by the Australian Energy Regulator (AER) as if they were part of the distribution system for the purposes of revenue and are subject to the economic evaluation, and public notification and consultation requirements of the Regulatory Investment Test for Distribution (RIT-D). Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 5 Table 2 – Ausgrid network statistics Distribution Network Assets 2011/12 2012/13 1,024 789 42 42 3,624 3,534 Substations - Zone (ZS) 188 192 Substations - Distribution 30,860 31,070 High Voltage Overhead (km) 10,159 10,117 High Voltage Underground (km) 7,634 7,822 Low Voltage Overhead (km) 13,642 13,060 Low Voltage Underground (km) 5,494 5,638 56 55 Dual Function (Transmission support) System – 132kV (km) Substations - Sub-transmission (STS) Sub-transmission System - 33kV, 66kV and 132kV (km) Feeder Numbers CBD Feeder Numbers Urban 1,751 1,733 Feeder Numbers Short Rural 293 287 Feeder Numbers Long Rural 4 4 Pole (number) 513,025 514, 190 Streetlights (number) 252, 955 253,881 Figure 2: Typical components of an electricity network Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 6 2.3 Annual Planning Review The NER require that the annual planning review includes the planning for all assets and activities carried out by Ausgrid that would materially affect the performance of its network. This includes planning activities associated with replacement and refurbishment of assets and negotiated services. The objective of the annual planning review is to identify possible future issues that could negatively affect the performance of the distribution network to enable DNSPs to plan for and adequately address such issues in a sufficient timeframe. This Distribution Annual Planning Report provides information to Registered Participants and interested parties on the nature and location of emerging constraints on Ausgrid’s sub-transmission and 11kV distribution network assets, commonly referred to as the distribution network. The timely identification and publication of emerging network constraints allows the market to identify potential non-network options and Ausgrid to develop and implement appropriate and timely solutions. 2.4 Ausgrid’s planning approach The network planning and development process for both distribution and transmission networks is carried out in accordance with the National Electricity Rules (NER) Chapter 5 Part B Network Planning and Expansion which commenced in January, 2013. Planning for distribution and sub-transmission assets is carried out in accordance with NER 5.13.1 - Distribution annual planning review, and in accordance with NER 5.12.1-Transmission annual planning review for dual function assets. 2.4.1 Investment objectives and decision criteria Ausgrid’s investments objectives respond to one or more of three key policy directives: Comply with its obligations under Chapter 5 of the National Electricity Rules (NER); the Design, Reliability and 1 Performance Licence Conditions ; and other applicable regulatory instruments Manage business risks with particular regard to ensuring the safety of its employees, customers and the broader community; maintaining the reliability of supply to its customers; and protecting the environment; and Improve the efficiency of the business or produce a net benefit to the community. To provide a sound and consistent approach, decisions to invest are made based on (as appropriate): Clearly defined requirements in terms of legislative obligations and identified risks Compliance with Ausgrid’s policies and standards Sound risk assessment (safety, performance, environmental, financial, community impact) Consideration of whole-of-life costs and benefits taking into account the time-value of money Consideration of the range of feasible solutions without bias for technology, and A level of analysis which is commensurate with the costs and risks. In compliance with the requirements of the National Electricity Objective and various elements of the NER, investments in the network are made on the basis of best economic value to all producers and consumers of electricity in the National Electricity Market (NEM). Network investments options are selected where they deliver the highest Net Present Value (NPV), taking into account the costs, risks and benefits where material. Where investments are required to meet regulatory obligations, the NPV may be negative. Ausgrid’s investment processes are designed to deliver consistent, efficient and transparently prudent decisions. The processes promote: Efficient and prudent investments consistent with its stated investment objectives Timely identification of the business’s capital and resource requirements Investment decisions that are informed by a full understanding of the costs, benefits and regulatory requirements and are authorised in accordance with the business’s internal delegations policy Compliance with statutory and regulatory obligations to the Board, stakeholders, shareholders, broader community, regulators and appointed auditors Co-ordination with related organisations, including other network service providers and utilities, and Investment opportunities being prioritised to best meet the objectives of the corporation and reviewed at Board level. 1 Refer to Appendix 2- Design, Reliability & Performance Licence Condition Criteria Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 7 2.4.2 Network planning process Ausgrid follows a structured planning process that can be summarised by the following diagram. The planning phase involves identifying the investment needs and risks; developing one or more options to address these needs; assessing those options to select the preferred option and initiating the preferred option. Figure 3: Ausgrid Planning Process The timeframe and complexity of this process varies according to network type, risk profile, and the project scale and intent Accordingly, Ausgrid organises its planning activities by distinct investment categories. This approach allows Ausgrid to adopt a level of analysis and justification that is commensurate with the costs, risks and obligations associated with each investment category discussed below: Major projects These are generally sub-transmission major investments to meet the needs of the network, in particular demand growth, voltage, power quality, fault duty, stability and asset renewal requirements. These investments are made through an Area Planning process to meet the requirements of large geographic areas and consider obligations holistically over a 20 year investment window to capture synergies between major projects. Detailed analysis considering a number of alternatives is typical. These plans comprise of a relatively small number of high cost investments. Asset Replacement and Network Risk These are generally investments to manage risk associated with the age and condition of assets, or that would otherwise affect the safe and reliable operation of the network. Investment is either to meet specific obligations and standards; or justified based on an assessment of the risk (e.g. determined from condition assessments and historical performance) compared to the cost required to mitigate that risk. Investments usually involve programmes of work that comprise of a large volume of lower cost projects to address the risk posed by a group of similar assets. Distribution (generally 11kV) Investments to meet the needs of the distribution network, in particular demand growth, voltage, power quality and fault duty requirements. These investments are to meet the requirements of inter-connected portions of the distribution network considering a five year investment window. Analysis will depend on the scale and complexity of the project. Customer Connections These investments are for the reinforcement of the up-stream portion of the shared network that is not funded by a specific customer. Investments are initiated by applications for a customer connection. Forward investment is forecast based on historical trends at a system level. Reliability These investments address gaps in reliability performance that will not be met by the other investment categories. Proactive investments are planned to respond to forecasts of reliability performance considering investments planned under other investment categories; and reactive investments are determined through an assessment of reliability outcomes based on actual performance. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 8 2.4.3 Network Area Plans To ensure Ausgrid’s investment is prudent and efficient, planning of major investments in the network: Is based on meeting the requirements of geographic areas, defined on the basis that they represent discrete electrical areas and with relative independence from network interconnections considers Ausgrid’s obligations under the National Electricity Rules and other applicable regulatory instruments in a holistic manner considers identified needs over a twenty year planning horizon to allow for the development of a long term strategy that maximises synergies between drivers and minimises long term cost. Ausgrid’s plans are documented in ‘Area Plans’, covering the identified network needs, potential credible options and the preferred solution for each geographic area. For the purposes of planning investments to meet the needs of the sub-transmission network, Ausgrid has divided its network into 25 geographic ‘Areas’ and generates an ‘Area Plan’ for each geographic ‘Area’. The requirements of the Ausgrid 132kV network that links TransGrid’s bulk supply points to Ausgrid’s sub-transmission network are considered based on the broader Sydney Inner Metropolitan, Central Coast and Lower Hunter regions to create three ‘Transmission Area Plans’. Each of these regions encompasses multiple ‘Areas’. Projects that comprise the preferred strategy for each Area Plan are entered in the Major Project List (Project List) with each project initiated based on this list and on expected project lead times, and in accordance with Ausgrid’s Investment Initiation Standard. The Project List records the identified system limitation and need date, the required completion date and the estimated cost for each project. The Area Plans are reviewed on approximately a three year basis. In order to optimise project implementations, the identified need date of projects within the Major Project List is reviewed annually as new information and forecasts become available. Any changes to the projects within the Project List are recorded, including the cause of the change. This Project List also forms the basis of the economic assessment, consultation and reporting requirement under the Regulatory Investment Test for Distribution (RIT-D). 2.5 Significant changes from previous DAPR This document is the first DAPR required to be published under NER Chapter 5 Part B Network planning and expansion which commenced on 1 January 2013. There are therefore no significant changes from previous DAPR to report. 2.6 Analysis and explanation of forecast changes Future DAPRs will discuss significant changes to STS and ZS forecasts, sub-transmission feeder forecasts. 2.7 Analysis and explanation of changes in other information Future DAPRs will discuss: significant changes to proposed solutions (network or non-network) to address system limitations, project timing, deferral, and cancellation significant changes to proposed replacement projects >$2m - timing, deferral, cancellation significant changes to proposed RIT-Ds - timing changes, deferral, and cancellation. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 9 3 Forecasts for the forward planning period 3.1 Load Forecasting Methodology This section describes the maximum demand forecasting methodology (the forecast) used by Ausgrid for zone substations and sub-transmission substations. Ausgrid’s distribution network load forecasts are developed in conjunction with the dual function asset load forecasts each year. The forecasts of peak demand are prepared at the sub-transmission substation level and at the zone substation level. These spatial forecasts form a key input to the planning of the demand driven capital expenditure program. They take into account local trends and the utilisation of specific assets to service particular regions during peak times. The forecast is prepared seasonally for summer and winter. A brief description of the forecasting methodology follows: Gather necessary data: 3.1.1 3.1.1.1 Raw demand data is taken from zone substations and sub-transmission substations in 15min intervals Weather data is taken from Bureau of Meteorology weather stations across the network Network configuration data is taken from planning and customer connections The demand data is screened to remove abnormal loads (generally resulting from network switching and abnormal configurations). This prevents abnormally switched loads from distorting trends The remaining valid historical loads are then weather corrected based on the variable of “average apparent temperature”, and subjected to Monte Carlo simulation analysis. This enables calculation of probability of exceedance (POE) levels. Jurisdictional requirements for NSW stipulate that the forecast for planning purposes must be 50% POE The weather corrected loads are adjusted to reverse out the effect of historical load transfers and spot loads to reveal the underlying trend. Growth rates and the starting point for the forecast are calculated using a line of best fit This trend is adjusted, if necessary, to take account of any anticipated local factors, such as Local Government area plans, that are expected to change the base growth rate in that area Then, future committed spot loads and load transfers are superimposed over the base growth trend line for in the first three years Beyond this point, it is no longer assumed that the future will be driven by the statistical analysis of the past, and regional econometric growth rates are used to adjust the growth rate at each substation for the medium to long term. The regional econometric growth rates are determined by modelling the residential and nonresidential customer segment separately. The residential segment is based on an end-use model using projected residential customer numbers, projected changes in average annual electricity consumption per customer, expected impacts of solar PV penetration, expected impacts of the NSW Energy Savings Scheme and air conditioning penetration and saturation. The non-residential segment is estimated using an econometric model based on NSW gross state product and electricity price. The residential and non-residential estimates are then combined. Assumptions applied to load forecasts Customer negotiated capacity Where a customer has negotiated a higher standard of service than the default in the Licence Conditions and the agreed financial terms have been met, the substation load forecast is adjusted accordingly so that this capacity is reserved for that customer. If a customer has negotiated a lower standard of service (e.g. to reduce their costs), this is generally not incorporated into the forecast. Generally these requests are considered during network planning, or inherent in the connection of the customer. 3.1.1.2 Embedded generation The historical load data includes the impact of downstream embedded generation that was generating at the time of peak, consequently, the forecast includes the impact of small scale generation (such as rooftop solar installations. Where a generator has a material impact on peak load that is not accurately reflected in the historical data and information is available about generator output and reliability, the forecast is adjusted to reflect the expected impact of the generator, taking into account: Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 10 the historical reliability of the generator and expectations about its future reliability, including weather dependency where relevant when the generator was installed and whether it is a temporary or permanent installation contractual obligations for Ausgrid to provide backup or standby supply to a site, and network support agreements with the generator. Larger generators that are relied on for network support are generally included as a negative spot load. In determining whether a generator is ‘large’, Ausgrid uses the same approach as is used for spot loads and transfers. 3.1.1.3 Capacitors for power factor correction Reactive compensation for locations with known capacitor installations is modelled according to the following guidelines: 3.1.1.4 Growth rates are applied to the uncompensated MVAr component of load prior to switching in capacitors. In other words, growth rates are not applied to capacitors The amount of reactive compensation for forecast years is applied according to the step size and maximum available MVAr capacity such that the resultant power factor is as close to unity as possible, but does not result in a leading power factor. Weather correction and load normalisation Historical loads are weather corrected and load normalised, to enable statistical trend line calculation of growth rates and the determination of probabilistic forecast loads. The weather correction and load normalisation factor is the percentage difference between the weather corrected and actual load in the most recent historical year. This correction factor can be negative, positive or zero. Weather correction and load normalisation is applied according to the following rules: maximum demands are weather corrected and normalised with a probability of exceedance of 50% (POE50) 3.1.1.5 each substation uses Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) data from the geographically closest BOM weather station apparent temperature is used, which includes the effects of humidity, wind speed and ambient temperature, and weather correction and load normalisation is applied using a Monte-Carlo simulation method to determine the POE50 maximum demand. The simulation incorporates non-working days to model the effect of substations that can peak on a non-workday. Exceptions for weather correction and load normalisation Weather correction and load normalisation is not applied to zone substations or sub-transmission substations where the load does not exhibit weather dependency for that season, or where the load exhibits weather dependency that does not follow the general trend expected for that season based on an examination of the seasonal load versus temperature relationship. Weather correction and load normalisation is not applied to dedicated customer loads (connected at the sub-transmission level). 3.1.1.6 Rate of growth The rate of growth, which may be negative, is calculated according to the following process: 3.1.1.7 the historical spot loads and transfers are adjusted out of the historical weather corrected loads to reveal the underlying trend the weather corrected and adjusted trends are reviewed by an expert panel to consider factors that could influence the growth rates, such as Local Government Plans a range of econometric factors are incorporated from the 4th year onwards via an adjustment to the growth rates, and a growth rate of zero is applied to dedicated customer loads (connected at the sub-transmission level). Spot loads and transfers Spot loads and transfers are included after the application of growth rates. A spot load or transfer can result in either an increase or decrease in the forecast load (e.g. load can be transferred to or from a zone substation). Only spot loads and transfers for committed projects are included in the forecast. All load transfers are included in the forecast. Spot loads are included according to the following guidelines: Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 11 Substation Capacity Forecast Includes aggregate of spot loads per year if greater than Non-firm substations (<10MVA peak load) 10A @ 11kV (approx 0.2 MVA) Substations with firm capacity between 10 to 25MVA 25A @ 11kV (approx 0.5 MVA) Substation with firm capacity >25MVA 50A @ 11kV (approx 1 MVA) In addition to the above table, distribution planners may apply some discretion to include spot loads that are considered abnormal for a given area. For example, a small industrial spot load in an area dominated by residential load would be considered abnormal for that area, even if the spot is below the numeric threshold. Similarly, a cluster of small spot loads resulting from a local council zoning change to an area would be considered as a single spot load increase for each year. A scaling factor of 80% is applied to spot loads at zone substations to reflect the difference between the capacity applied for as part of a customer connection application, and the eventual load from that connection. The exceptions to this rule are major customer connections and Sydney CBD, where this scaling factor is already applied. 3.1.2 Trasmission - distribution connection point load forecasts Ausgrid produces a ten year forward planning period forecast of loads (MW and MVAr) for each dual function subtransmission substation and zone substation that provides material support to TransGrid’s transmission network. The transmission-distribution connection point forecasts are presented in the TAPR 2013 update in 12.8.3 - Dual Function Substation Demand Forecasts, and are based on the forecast information contained in the “132kV TransGrid Report” which is provided to TransGrid by the end of May each year. 3.1.3 Sub-transmission feeder load forecasts Ausgrid undertakes an annual review of sub-transmission feeder capacity constraints (“the feeder load forecast”) using load-flow analysis to simulate credible network contingencies and identify limitations. The criteria for determining these limitations and any acceptable levels of risk which can be taken are defined in Schedule 1 of the NSW Distribution Licence conditions. With the pending change to the licence conditions from 1st July 2014, Ausgrid has begun assessing network limitations using a more risk-based approach. Initial analysis is conducted using network load-flow models for a forward looking 20 year period, based on: A 50% POE Base Spatial Demand Forecast, including committed spot loads Committed network developments and load transfers Line and cable cyclic normal and long-term emergency ratings. The results of this analysis form an input into the Area Planning process and the Annual Capital Review process. A second series of studies – the ‘Development Feeder Forecast’ – is completed following this initial review, using a set of models which includes proposed projects (such as those investigated to resolve identified capacity constraints or other issues such as reliability or network condition) and anticipated load transfers and spot loads. Any identified feeder limitations are again assessed to ensure that any anticipated future changes do not adversely affect the performance of the network, and the results of this analysis is fed back into the Area Planning and Annual Review processes. 3.1.4 Primary distribution feeder load forecasts Ausgrid’s primary distribution feeder forecast is derived from the historical seasonal peak loads of distribution feeders. Peak load values are identified for a season with standard temperature variation and normal switching on the distribution network. The process for identifying and forecasting distribution peak loads may be triggered by: A licence compliance check performed for every primary distribution feeder in the CBD on an annual cycle and for other locations on a 2.5 year cycle An identified need for an 11kV load transfer A High Voltage customer connection, or other distribution feeder identified needs. The connecting zone substation historic peak load data is reviewed to identify the summer and winter peak day and night loads. SCADA 15 minute interval load data is used to identify the peak loads for the primary distribution feeders. Any inconsistencies between the zone substation and the primary distribution feeder SCADA data, as well as any abnormal load switching are identified. If there is no evidence of abnormal switching the primary distribution feeder peak load value can be assessed as normal and no further analysis of the historic load is required. If there is Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 12 any evidence of abnormal switching further investigations are carried out to get a more accurate understanding of what may have influenced the peak load value to determine the actual load value that will be used as the peak load value for that primary distribution feeder. The weather correction applied to the connecting zone substation load is also applied to the primary distribution feeder if appropriate. The associated zone substation forecast load rate of growth (ROG) value for a forward planning period covering the next 6 years is applied to the primary distribution feeder peak load value, considering the following factors: Maximum Demand Indicators (MDI) Customer types i.e. residential, industrial, or commercial Load sizes and types Constant loads e.g. pumping stations Local knowledge of the network Spot loads and load transfers to other locations. This primary distribution feeder peak load value is then applied in a network modelling tool based review of the primary distribution feeder loading and compliance, or as triggered by other events as shown in Figure 4 below. Figure 4: Primary distribution feeder load forecast process 3.1.5 Notes on STS and ZS load forecast tables Limitation refers to whether the substation is limited to N-1 or N by its configuration. Small or temporary substations may operate in a non-secure manner, these are marked as limited to N and must have load less than 10MVA. The substation Total Capacity is the maximum load able to be carried by the substation with all elements in service. Substations limited to N must ensure their Total Capacity exceeds the forecast load by at least 15%. The Firm Capacity of a substation is the capacity with one major piece of apparatus out of service for subtransmission substations (STS) and suburban zone substations, and two pieces of apparatus out of service for Sydney CBD zone substations. This is often referred to as its N-1 rating for STS and suburban zone substations, and N-2 rating for Sydney CBD zone substations. Sub-transmission substations and CBD zone substations are considered to be constrained when the load exceeds the Firm Capacity. Suburban zone substations are considered to be constrained when the Hours > Firm Capacity exceeds 1% of the year annually (88 hrs) or the Load / Firm capacity exceeds 120%, or where N capacity does not meet at least 115% of forecast demand except where substation rating is limited by underground feeders or where exceeding Firm Capacity will result in the thermal rating of apparatus being exceeded in its normal configuration. In the case of these N-1 limited substations the load may not exceed Firm Capacity. Any future forecast changes to substation Firm Capacity and Total Capacity are based on assumptions as to the effects of future committed projects. The voltage levels of our sub-transmission substations are nominally 132kV on the primary and either 66kV or more usually 33kV on the secondary. The voltage levels of our zone substations are Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 13 nominally either at 132kV, 66kV or 33kV on the primary side of the transformers and 11kV (or 5kV in some rare cases) on the secondary side. Forecast rating changes have only been included where the associated project has been given approval, and is a committed project at the date of preparation of the forecast. Power factor recordings correspond to the power factor at time of peak load. The Solar PV capacity by zone substation is based on the most recent available information recorded in Ausgrid’s data systems at the end of September 2013. The solar generation capacity is based on information gathered and recorded from the application for connection forms completed at the time of applying for a solar installation. Embedded generation “Other” includes all known diesel, landfill biogas, coal seam methane, natural gas including tri-generation and co-generation, hydro and mini hydro, coal washery, and waste heat recovery generating units know to Ausgrid. Not all of these units export to the grid. Many of these units are not capable of operating in parallel with the Ausgrid network to export to the grid and are intended for standby operation in island mode. To calculate the “95% of peak load exceeded hours/year” Ausgrid analysed the demand profile of each zone substation and STS within the network using one of 5 standard Load Cycle demand profiles. A load duration curve (LDC) was then produced for each standard load cycle. The percentage of time within 95% of peak load for each zone substation was determined from the LDC of each load cycle type and multiplied by the total number of hours within the analysed season.) The “hours within 95% of peak” value was then allocated based on the assigned standard load cycle type for each zone substation (ZS) and sub-transmission substation (STS). 3.1.5.1 Load transfer capacities of Zone Substations Load transfer capacity is the load that can be permanently transferred from one substation that has become constrained under current licence capacity, to a nearby substation which still has spare licence capacity, through permanent switching utilising the capacity of the existing network (as determined by any thermal rating, voltage drop, or fault level limitations). The DAPR reports forecast load transfer capacity for those years in the five year planning period when a ZS load forecast exceeds the licence capacity based on the peak MVA and time. Once the load transfer capacity available by switching the network is forecast to be exceeded, Ausgrid would need to seek a solution (network or nonnetwork) to either augment the available capacity or manage the limitation with demand management. Edgeworth 33/11kV ZS > 2.1 2017/18 - 2.1 - Tarro 33/11kV ZS 2016/17 - 2.4 - Argenton 132/11kV ZS Thornton 33/11kV ZS - Maitland 33/11kV ZS Telarah 33/11kV ZS 1.0 >0.7 2018/19 - 0.6 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 Summer Comments Winter Does available transfer defer constraint to >2018? Winter Transfer Capacity Available (MVA) Summer Winter Transfer To Substation Summer Winter Transfer required to defer constraint to >2018 (MVA) Summer Summer Winter Year of Constraint Winter Substation Load Transfer Capacity (MVA) Summer Load Transfer Capacity of Zone Substations - 3.6 - YES - - 1 - NO - - 0.7 - YES - Minimum 3.6MVA transfer capacity exists away from Edgeworth. Maximum 1MVA transfer capacity exists away from Tarro. Maitland ZS will replace Maitland Central ZS in S 13/14. Minimum 0.7MVA transfer capacity exists away from Telarah. 14 3.2 3.2.1 Camperdown and Blackwattle Bay Load Area Description of Camperdown and Blackwattle Bay load area The Camperdown and Blackwattle Bay network area is a predominantly urban area on the fringe of the Sydney CBD. It includes high-density residential developments and commercial areas such as Darling Harbour, Broadway, Pyrmont and Camperdown. A small geographical area, it is supplied by Darling Harbour 132/11kV Zone Substation (ZS), and the Camperdown and Blackwattle Bay 33/5kV zone substations. These are the two remaining Zone Substations in Ausgrid’s network that supply electricity at 5kV. Camperdown ZS, Blackwattle Bay ZS and Darling Harbour ZS supply the suburbs of Pyrmont, Ultimo, Glebe, Camperdown, Forest Lodge and Annandale. Camperdown ZS also supplies the University of Sydney. Pyrmont STS is also included in the Camperdown and Blackwattle Bay network area. Supply at 33kV is provided from Pyrmont STS to two major customers: Railcorp and Global Switch (a data centre). The network in the Camperdown and Blackwattle Bay area has the following characteristics: Darling Harbour ZS and Pyrmont STS are located in the same building and are both supplied at 132kV from Haymarket Bulk Supply Point (BSP) Blackwattle Bay ZS is supplied via four short 33kV cables from Pyrmont STS Camperdown ZS is supplied via three 33kV cables direct from Bunnerong North STS and one 33kV cable from Canterbury STS Pyrmont STS currently supplies Blackwattle Bay ZS and two major customers (Railcorp & Global Switch). It provides a limited alternative supply to City East ZS. Work is currently underway to retire the existing City North ZS. This will free up capacity and 33kV connections at Pyrmont STS. The distribution system in the Camperdown and Blackwattle Bay area is comprised of a significant number of 5kV cables, which are among the oldest in Ausgrid’s system. Ausgrid’s policy is to progressively replace these cables with 11kV assets. This will increase operational flexibility by allowing load transfers between adjacent zone substations if required. Figure 5: Camperdown Load Area Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 15 Table 3 – Identified system limitations in Camperdown load area Location 3.2.2 Identified Limitation Refer to DAPR section 1. Blackwattle Bay ZS Asset condition 5.3.1 2. Feeders 527 & 559 - Pyrmont STS to Blackwattle Bay ZS Asset condition 5.2.1 3. Feeder 490 & 491 - Pyrmont STS to Global Switch Capacity 5.2.1 4. Pyrmont STS Capacity 5.3.1 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast Camperdown-Blackwattle Bay Area - Feeder Load Forecast Feeder name Feeder 490 (Pyrmont STS to Global Switch) 33 Rating Feeder 491 (Pyrmont STS to Global Switch) 33 Rating Load Load Feeder 527 (Pyrmont STS to Blackwattle Bay ZS T1) 33 Rating Feeder 559 (Pyrmont STS to Blackwattle Bay ZS T2) 33 Rating Feeder 560 (Pyrmont STS to Blackwattle Bay ZS T3) 33 Rating Feeder 561 (Pyrmont STS to Blackwattle Bay ZS T4) 33 Rating Feeder 580 (Pyrmont STS to Camperdown ZS T1) Feeder 581 (Pyrmont STS to Camperdown ZS T2) Feeder 582 (Pyrmont STS to Camperdown ZS T3) 3.2.3 Summer (MVA) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 (KV) 2017 2018 32.2 32.2 32.2 32.2 23.4 28.0 32.6 32.6 32.6 32.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 27.4 32.2 32.2 32.2 32.2 32.2 23.4 28.0 32.6 32.6 32.6 32.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 7.8 7.5 7.3 7.2 7.2 7.2 7.3 7.1 6.9 6.9 7.0 7.1 17.0 17.0 17.0 17.0 17.0 17.0 18.4 18.4 18.4 18.4 18.4 18.4 7.3 7.1 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.1 5.9 5.7 5.8 5.8 5.9 18.6 18.6 18.6 18.6 18.6 18.6 20.2 20.2 20.2 20.2 20.2 20.2 Load 7.8 7.5 7.3 7.2 7.2 7.2 7.3 7.1 6.9 6.9 7.0 7.1 18.8 18.8 18.8 18.8 18.8 18.8 20.5 20.5 20.5 20.5 20.5 20.5 Load 6.2 6.0 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.7 6.3 6.1 5.9 6.0 6.0 6.1 15.3 15.3 15.3 15.3 15.3 15.3 17.0 17.0 17.0 17.0 17.0 17.0 9.8 9.5 9.1 8.9 8.7 8.5 0.3 9.1 8.8 8.8 8.9 9.0 32.0 32.0 32.0 32.0 32.0 32.0 32.0 32.0 32.0 32.0 32.0 32.0 10.2 9.8 9.4 9.2 9.1 8.8 0.3 9.4 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.3 32.0 32.0 32.0 32.0 32.0 32.0 32.0 32.0 32.0 32.0 32.0 32.0 10.2 9.8 9.4 9.2 9.1 8.8 0.3 9.4 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.3 32.0 32.0 32.0 32.0 32.0 32.0 32.0 32.0 32.0 32.0 32.0 32.0 Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Winter (MVA) 2015 2016 32.2 Load Load 2014 27.4 Load 33 Rating 2013 STS and ZS load forecast Camperdown and Blackwattle Bay Area - STS and ZS details Summer Winter Summer Winter Solar PV Other Embedded Generation (MVA) Winter 95% Peak Load Exceeded (hrs/yr) Summer Licence Capacity (MVA) Winter Substation Pyrmont 132/33kV STS Blackwattle Bay 33/5kV ZS Camperdown 33/11kV ZS Camperdown 33/5kV ZS Darling Harbour 132/11kV ZS Firm Capacity (MVA) Summer Total Capacity (MVA) 299.1 61.3 78.0 75.6 141.2 299.1 65.1 78.0 77.5 141.2 131.7 41.7 52.0 56.2 70.3 134.6 44.8 52.0 59.3 70.3 131.7 41.7 52.0 56.2 78.7 134.6 44.8 52.0 59.3 84.4 13.8 11.2 11.2 11.2 11.2 22.2 5.0 5.0 5.0 19.1 0.06 0.16 0.16 7.31 Identified Limitation in next 5 years Yes No No No No SUMMER - Camperdown and Blackwattle Bay Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation Pyrmont 132/33kV STS Blackwattle Bay 33/5kV ZS Camperdown 33/11kV ZS Camperdown 33/5kV ZS Darling Harbour 132/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF Forecast Load Actual Load 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 89.6 104.5 102.2 98.1 76.1 113.2 128.5 135.7 144.7 154.1 163.1 0.98 1.00 1.00 0.96 1.00 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.95 0.94 0.94 28.6 27.5 26.7 25.1 22.0 22.3 21.6 20.9 20.8 20.8 20.7 0.98 1.00 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 19.7 19.0 18.3 17.9 17.5 17.0 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 39.8 40.1 39.6 30.4 23.5 0.99 0.99 0.87 0.89 0.86 62.4 62.2 58.5 57.1 57.1 64.9 66.4 66.2 67.8 70.0 71.9 0.91 0.91 0.93 0.94 0.95 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 16 WINTER - Camperdown and Blackwattle Bay Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation Pyrmont 132/33kV STS Blackwattle Bay 33/5kV ZS Camperdown 33/11kV ZS Camperdown 33/5kV ZS Darling Harbour 132/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF 2008 88.3 0.94 27.0 0.94 42.6 0.99 47.6 0.93 2009 86.9 0.87 24.4 0.87 37.9 1.00 45.8 0.93 Actual Load 2010 2011 90.3 86.2 1.00 0.96 23.8 25.8 0.92 0.92 38.6 33.8 0.94 0.95 46.6 40.4 0.95 0.95 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 2012 86.1 1.00 22.7 0.92 23.9 0.94 43.2 0.96 2013 93.3 0.99 21.4 0.92 22.9 0.94 46.2 0.96 2014 123.4 0.97 20.8 0.92 18.3 0.94 52.0 0.96 Forecast Load 2015 2016 134.2 138.3 0.96 0.96 20.3 20.4 0.92 0.92 17.7 17.7 0.94 0.94 51.8 53.3 0.96 0.96 2017 148.2 0.96 20.6 0.92 17.8 0.94 55.0 0.96 2018 158.5 0.95 20.9 0.92 18.1 0.94 57.2 0.96 17 3.3 3.3.1 Canterbury Bankstown Load Area Description of Canterbury Bankstown area The Canterbury Bankstown network area extends from Leightonfield in the north-west, Revesby in the south, and east as far as Dulwich Hill. The area encompasses a broad spectrum of load types from low density residential through to large commercial and industrial customers. There area contains substantial industrial precincts at Chullora, Leightonfield, Milperra and Padstow. Bankstown airport at Milperra is viewed as a key economic driver for the central western area of Sydney, providing opportunities for reasonable expansion to serve a wider commercial purpose. Due to the highly built-up nature of the area, residential buildings are often situated in close proximity to electrical substations. There is potential for substantial development of the area, particularly in the vicinity of Bankstown airport The network in the Canterbury Bankstown area: is supplied from Ausgrid’s Inner Metropolitan transmission system, except for Revesby and Milperra zone substations, which are supplied from TransGrid’s Sydney South Bulk Supply Point includes 132/33kV sub-transmission substations at Bankstown and Canterbury which supply five 33/11kV zone substations and provide 33kV supply to Railcorp and the M5 motorway includes six 132/11kV substations at Greenacre Park, Bankstown, Potts Hill, Sefton, Revesby and Milperra includes Leightonfield, a “stand-alone” 33kV zone substation, which is supplied from Endeavour Energy’s network at Guildford sub-transmission substation includes substantial lengths of 33kV gas-pressure cables, which are an obsolete technology, and is traversed by transmission feeders 91A/2, 91B/2, 910, and 911. Figure 6: Canterbury Bankstown Load Area Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 18 Table 4 – Identified system limitations in Canterbury Bankstown load area Location Identified Limitation Refer to DAPR section 1. Bass Hill ZS Asset condition 5.3.2 2. Dulwich Hill ZS Asset condition 5.3.2 3. Greenacre Park ZS Asset condition 5.3.2 4. Leightonfield ZS Asset condition 5.3.2 5. Potts Hill ZS Capacity 5.3.2 6. Feeders 643, 644 & 645 - Canterbury STS to Dulwich Hill ZS Asset condition 5.2.2 7. Feeders 639, 640 & 641 - Canterbury STS to Enfield ZS Asset condition 5.2.2 8. Feeder 291/1 - Greenacre Park to Potts Hill ZS Asset condition 5.2.2 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 19 3.3.2 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast Canterbury-Bankstown Area - Feeder Load Forecast Feeder name Summer (MVA) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 (kV) Feeder 282/1 (Sydney South BSP to Revesby ZS) 132 Rating Feeder 282/2 (Revesby ZS to Milperra ZS) 132 Rating Feeder 283/1 (Sydney South BSP to Revesby ZS) 132 Rating Feeder 283/2 (Revesby ZS to Milperra ZS) 132 Rating Load Load Load Load Feeder 631 (Canterbury STS to Campsie ZS T4) 33 Rating Feeder 632 (Canterbury STS to M5 Tunnel) 33 Rating Feeder 633 (Canterbury STS to M5 Tunnel) 33 Rating Feeder 634 (Canterbury STS to Campsie ZS T4) 33 Rating Feeder 636 (Canterbury STS to Dulwich Hill ZS T1) 33 Rating Load Load Load Load Load Feeder 639 (Canterbury STS to Enfield ZS T1) 33 Rating Feeder 640 (Canterbury STS to Enfield ZS T2) 33 Rating Load Load Feeder 641 (Canterbury STS to Enfield ZS T3) 33 Rating Feeder 643 (Canterbury STS to Dulwich Hill ZS T4) 33 Rating Load Load Feeder 644 (Canterbury STS to Dulwich Hill ZS T2) 33 Rating Feeder 645 (Canterbury STS to Dulwich Hill ZS T3) 33 Rating Load Load Feeder 648 (Canterbury STS to Campsie ZS T1) 33 Rating Feeder 649 (Canterbury STS to Campsie ZS T2) 33 Rating Load Load Feeder 650 (Canterbury STS to Campsie ZS T3) 33 Rating Feeder 655 (Bankstown STS to Bass Hill ZS) 33 Rating Load Load Feeder 661 (Bankstown STS to Bass Hill ZS) 33 Rating Feeder 665 (Bankstown STS to Punchbowl ZS T1) 33 Rating Feeder 666 (Bankstown STS to Punchbowl ZS T2) 33 Rating Feeder 667 (Bankstown STS to Punchbowl ZS T3) 33 Rating Feeder 668 (Bankstown STS to Punchbowl ZS T4) 33 Rating Feeder 669 (Bankstown STS to Punchbowl ZS T5) 33 Rating Load Load Load Load Load Load 2013 2014 Winter (MVA) 2015 2016 2017 2018 70.2 71.7 68.7 69.3 69.9 68.8 60.4 58.6 57.2 57.3 57.6 58.3 184.7 184.7 184.7 184.7 184.7 184.7 196.4 196.4 196.4 196.4 196.4 196.4 25.5 53.6 50.8 50.9 51.0 49.4 41.5 40.4 39.6 39.6 39.8 40.2 143.1 143.1 143.1 143.1 143.1 143.1 152.0 152.0 152.0 152.0 152.0 152.0 68.9 33.8 68.9 69.7 70.2 69.0 60.5 58.8 57.3 57.4 57.7 58.4 193.0 193.0 193.0 193.0 193.0 193.0 202.1 202.1 202.1 202.1 202.1 202.1 25.5 25.1 50.8 51.2 51.6 49.4 41.5 40.3 39.5 39.5 39.8 40.2 155.5 155.5 155.5 155.5 155.5 155.5 164.6 164.6 164.6 164.6 164.6 164.6 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.7 7.0 7.3 6.5 6.6 6.5 6.6 6.7 6.9 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 18.5 18.5 18.5 18.5 18.5 18.5 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 9.7 9.7 9.7 9.7 9.7 9.7 31.1 31.1 31.1 31.1 31.1 31.1 33.4 33.4 33.4 33.4 33.4 33.4 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 9.7 9.7 9.7 9.7 9.7 9.7 31.1 31.1 31.1 31.1 31.1 31.1 33.4 33.4 33.4 33.4 33.4 33.4 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.7 7.0 7.3 6.5 6.6 6.5 6.6 6.7 6.9 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 18.5 18.5 18.5 18.5 18.5 18.5 13.7 13.6 13.5 13.8 14.1 14.5 16.1 15.6 15.1 15.1 15.2 15.4 18.5 18.5 18.5 18.5 18.5 18.5 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 9.5 10.5 10.4 10.6 10.8 11.0 8.5 8.2 8.9 9.0 9.1 9.3 16.4 16.4 16.4 16.4 16.4 16.4 17.3 17.3 17.3 17.3 17.3 17.3 12.8 12.4 12.3 12.5 12.7 14.0 12.2 11.7 12.8 12.9 13.0 13.3 16.4 16.4 16.4 16.4 16.4 16.4 17.3 17.3 17.3 17.3 17.3 17.3 12.3 13.5 13.4 13.6 13.9 14.2 12.4 11.9 13.0 13.1 13.2 13.5 16.4 16.4 16.4 16.4 16.4 16.4 17.3 17.3 17.3 17.3 17.3 17.3 12.9 12.8 12.7 12.9 13.3 13.6 13.3 12.9 12.5 12.5 12.6 12.8 18.9 18.9 18.9 18.9 18.9 18.9 20.4 20.4 20.4 20.4 20.4 20.4 13.3 14.0 14.0 13.4 13.8 14.3 15.9 15.4 15.4 14.9 15.5 15.2 18.9 18.9 18.9 18.9 18.9 18.9 20.4 20.4 20.4 20.4 20.4 20.4 13.7 13.6 13.5 13.8 14.1 14.5 15.1 14.7 14.2 14.3 14.3 14.5 18.9 18.9 18.9 18.9 18.9 18.9 20.4 20.4 20.4 20.4 20.4 20.4 27.4 28.0 28.1 29.6 31.1 32.4 28.8 29.5 28.9 29.5 29.8 31.0 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 36.5 36.5 36.5 36.5 36.5 36.5 23.8 24.1 24.5 25.5 26.8 28.1 25.0 25.4 24.9 25.3 25.9 26.6 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 36.5 36.5 36.5 36.5 36.5 36.5 28.1 28.6 29.0 30.2 31.8 33.3 29.7 30.1 29.5 30.1 30.8 31.7 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 37.2 37.2 37.2 37.2 37.2 37.2 14.7 14.6 14.5 15.0 15.4 15.9 11.6 11.2 10.9 10.9 11.0 11.1 41.2 41.2 41.2 41.2 41.2 41.2 41.2 41.2 41.2 41.2 41.2 41.2 14.8 14.9 14.5 15.0 15.3 15.9 11.6 11.3 10.9 10.9 11.0 11.2 36.1 36.1 36.1 36.1 36.1 36.1 43.4 43.4 43.4 43.4 43.4 43.4 13.8 13.7 13.9 13.7 13.0 13.2 9.5 9.5 9.2 9.2 9.3 9.4 21.3 21.3 21.3 21.3 21.3 21.3 22.5 22.5 22.5 22.5 22.5 22.5 13.2 13.1 12.9 13.2 13.5 13.8 6.7 6.7 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.6 21.3 21.3 21.3 21.3 21.3 21.3 22.5 22.5 22.5 22.5 22.5 22.5 13.1 13.0 12.9 13.2 13.5 13.8 7.3 7.3 7.1 7.1 7.2 7.3 21.3 21.3 21.3 21.3 21.3 21.3 22.5 22.5 22.5 22.5 22.5 22.5 13.6 13.5 13.4 13.6 14.0 14.3 9.3 9.3 9.0 9.1 9.1 9.2 21.3 21.3 21.3 21.3 21.3 21.3 22.5 22.5 22.5 22.5 22.5 22.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 21.3 21.3 21.3 21.3 21.3 21.3 22.5 22.5 22.5 22.5 22.5 22.5 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 20 3.3.3 STS and ZS load forecast Canterbury Bankstown Area - STS and ZS details 155.8 194.5 65.0 29.2 87.0 61.9 44.8 92.0 30.5 64.6 54.9 77.5 47.8 99.7 137.4 176.8 72.6 35.0 97.4 61.9 44.8 96.4 34.1 68.0 61.4 75.7 53.9 113.5 155.8 194.5 69.0 35.0 87.0 61.9 44.8 110.3 36.6 77.5 65.8 77.5 47.9 119.6 Other Winter 137.4 176.8 65.0 29.2 87.0 61.9 44.8 86.2 30.5 61.2 54.9 75.7 44.9 94.6 Solar PV Summer 223.4 274.4 100.0 45.2 140.6 84.8 67.7 152.6 51.9 123.2 107.0 108.6 76.2 152.5 Embedded Generation (MVA) 0.74 0.95 2.21 1.49 0.85 0.38 0.58 1.31 2.44 2.07 3.54 6.00 2.40 - Winter Winter 206.1 274.4 90.0 45.2 140.6 84.8 67.7 152.4 51.9 123.2 107.0 108.0 76.2 152.4 95% Peak Load Exceeded (hrs/yr) Summer Summer Licence Capacity (MVA) Winter Substation Bankstown 132/33kV STS Canterbury 132/33kV STS Bankstown 132/11kV ZS Bass Hill 33/11kV ZS Campsie 33/11kV ZS Dulwich Hill 33/11kV ZS Enfield 33/11kV ZS Greenacre Park 132/11kV ZS Leightonfield 33/11kV ZS Milperra 132/11kV ZS Potts Hill 132/11kV ZS Punchbowl 33/11kV ZS Revesby 132/11kV ZS Sefton 132/11kV ZS Firm Capacity (MVA) Summer Total Capacity (MVA) 2.9 2.9 11.2 2.9 11.2 11.2 2.9 11.2 11.2 13.8 11.2 2.9 2.9 2.9 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 3.5 3.5 19.1 19.1 22.2 19.1 5.0 3.5 5.0 Identified Limitation in next 5 years No No No No No No No No No No No No No No SUMMER - Canterbury Bankstown Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Forecast Load Actual Load 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 Substation Bankstown 132/33kV STS Canterbury 132/33kV STS Bankstown 132/11kV ZS Bass Hill 33/11kV ZS Campsie 33/11kV ZS Dulwich Hill 33/11kV ZS Enfield 33/11kV ZS Greenacre Park 132/11kV ZS Leightonfield 33/11kV ZS Milperra 132/11kV ZS Padstow 33/11kV ZS Potts Hill 132/11kV ZS Punchbowl 33/11kV ZS Revesby 132/11kV ZS Sefton 132/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF 112.5 1.00 142.6 1.00 27.0 1.00 53.5 1.00 40.0 1.00 33.9 1.00 94.3 0.95 24.3 0.95 46.9 0.87 37.6 1.00 55.0 1.00 43.1 0.90 62.5 0.85 121.8 1.00 147.6 0.99 26.8 1.00 60.4 0.99 43.2 0.99 37.3 0.99 85.3 0.95 24.0 0.95 51.7 0.87 36.4 1.00 56.6 1.00 43.8 0.90 70.2 0.85 94.5 0.96 146.0 1.00 26.3 0.77 29.8 0.90 61.1 0.92 45.8 0.94 41.5 0.91 91.1 0.93 25.7 0.94 55.9 0.89 59.8 0.89 48.7 0.92 74.8 0.90 75.0 0.98 126.7 1.00 24.3 0.77 21.5 0.90 56.2 0.92 36.5 0.94 20.2 0.92 71.4 0.96 20.2 0.94 50.1 0.88 47.7 0.89 36.8 0.94 60.1 0.90 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 84.5 0.99 128.2 1.00 22.8 0.77 25.5 0.88 63.6 0.90 38.2 0.95 21.6 0.89 78.9 0.97 22.0 0.94 47.4 0.89 55.3 0.90 43.4 0.94 69.4 0.91 72.4 1.00 127.4 1.00 40.4 0.83 28.1 0.88 62.4 0.90 41.0 0.95 22.0 0.89 59.0 1.00 23.7 0.94 51.1 0.89 50.1 0.92 38.8 0.90 43.6 0.94 45.9 0.91 72.0 1.00 129.9 1.00 40.6 0.83 27.9 0.88 63.3 0.90 40.7 0.95 24.1 0.89 57.1 1.00 22.9 0.94 50.3 0.89 49.1 0.92 38.6 0.90 43.3 0.94 45.4 0.91 71.5 1.00 130.1 1.00 40.5 0.83 27.7 0.88 64.1 0.90 40.5 0.95 23.9 0.89 55.6 1.00 22.7 0.94 48.5 0.89 48.1 0.92 38.2 0.90 43.0 0.94 44.8 0.91 72.7 1.00 133.3 1.00 41.4 0.83 28.3 0.88 66.6 0.90 41.2 0.95 24.3 0.89 55.6 1.00 22.5 0.94 47.9 0.89 48.4 0.92 38.9 0.90 43.9 0.94 45.4 0.91 74.6 1.00 137.6 1.00 42.7 0.83 29.0 0.88 69.7 0.90 42.3 0.95 24.8 0.89 56.1 1.00 22.4 0.94 47.7 0.89 49.1 0.92 39.9 0.90 45.1 0.94 46.3 0.91 76.1 1.00 141.5 1.00 43.9 0.83 29.7 0.88 72.8 0.90 43.3 0.95 25.3 0.89 56.3 1.00 22.3 0.94 47.3 0.89 49.5 0.92 40.7 0.90 46.1 0.94 47.0 0.91 21 WINTER - Canterbury Bankstown Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation Bankstown 132/33kV STS Canterbury 132/33kV STS Bankstown 132/11kV ZS Bass Hill 33/11kV ZS Campsie 33/11kV ZS Dulwich Hill 33/11kV ZS Enfield 33/11kV ZS Greenacre Park 132/11kV ZS Leightonfield 33/11kV ZS Milperra 132/11kV ZS Padstow 33/11kV ZS Potts Hill 132/11kV ZS Punchbowl 33/11kV ZS Revesby 132/11kV ZS Sefton 132/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF 2008 124.6 1.00 175.5 1.00 26.9 1.00 62.1 1.00 53.7 1.00 38.4 1.00 75.7 0.97 21.8 0.95 44.6 0.88 32.7 1.00 60.9 1.00 46.2 0.95 60.2 0.95 Actual Load 2009 2010 2011 112.5 105.0 85.2 0.98 0.99 1.00 160.4 165.6 150.0 1.00 1.00 0.98 23.1 0.78 23.1 24.9 24.3 0.98 0.94 0.94 55.4 57.4 64.4 1.00 0.86 0.83 46.5 48.6 45.6 1.00 0.97 0.98 37.1 40.1 21.7 1.00 0.94 0.94 66.7 67.9 59.2 0.96 0.97 0.97 19.8 21.4 19.2 0.95 0.96 0.84 40.0 48.1 46.2 0.92 0.93 0.90 31.1 23.1 0.98 0.93 53.6 54.8 53.1 0.98 0.96 0.96 41.6 42.4 40.8 0.95 0.95 0.96 60.6 58.5 61.8 0.95 0.95 0.95 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 2012 76.9 1.00 127.6 0.99 22.2 0.79 22.5 0.90 59.5 0.85 42.6 0.97 20.3 0.95 57.6 0.99 19.4 0.97 46.6 0.91 48.0 0.96 38.5 0.90 59.2 0.95 2013 64.6 1.00 134.0 0.99 39.4 0.88 21.9 0.90 62.6 0.85 43.6 0.97 20.5 0.95 56.3 1.00 20.4 0.97 44.8 0.91 32.2 0.96 39.4 0.90 59.6 0.95 2014 63.8 1.00 127.8 0.99 39.1 0.88 21.3 0.90 63.3 0.85 42.3 0.97 19.8 0.95 43.3 1.00 19.8 0.97 44.4 0.91 42.1 0.96 32.4 0.96 38.3 0.90 33.0 0.95 Forecast Load 2015 2016 62.1 62.2 1.00 1.00 127.2 128.4 0.99 0.99 38.6 39.4 0.88 0.88 20.6 20.7 0.90 0.90 62.2 63.3 0.85 0.85 41.0 41.1 0.97 0.97 21.5 21.7 0.95 0.95 42.1 42.4 1.00 1.00 19.2 19.2 0.97 0.97 42.9 42.9 0.91 0.91 40.9 41.1 0.96 0.96 31.4 31.5 0.96 0.96 37.1 37.2 0.90 0.90 32.0 32.1 0.95 0.95 2017 62.6 1.00 130.0 0.99 40.4 0.88 20.8 0.90 64.6 0.85 41.3 0.97 21.9 0.95 42.8 1.00 19.3 0.97 43.1 0.91 41.5 0.96 31.7 0.96 37.5 0.90 32.3 0.95 2018 63.3 1.00 132.4 0.99 41.6 0.88 21.1 0.90 66.3 0.85 41.8 0.97 22.3 0.95 43.5 1.00 19.5 0.97 43.5 0.91 42.1 0.96 32.1 0.96 37.9 0.90 32.7 0.95 22 3.4 3.4.1 Carlingford Load Area Description of Carlingford area The Carlingford network area extends east from Endeavour Energy's Carlingford Sub-transmission substation to Epping and Macquarie Park, and as far south as Hunters Hill and Meadowbank. The area is bounded by the supply boundary with Endeavour Energy to the north-west, by the Lane Cove River Valley to the north, and the Parramatta River and Sydney Harbour to the south and east. The Macquarie Park area, running along the northern boundary of the Carlingford network area contains significant commercial load arising from: Macquarie shopping centre Macquarie University Macquarie Park commercial area Carlingford Court shopping centre Epping/Hunters Hill commercial centres, and Top Ryde shopping centre. Commercial developments are expected to continue in this area as a result of the recently opened Chatswood to Epping rail line and the proposed North West rail line. Between the commercial areas there is significant residential load with high density development in the Epping, Macquarie, Meadowbank and Ryde areas. The distribution network in the Carlingford load area is supplied by two electrically separate sub-transmission systems - a 66kV network supplied from Endeavour Energy’s Carlingford sub-transmission substation, and Ausgrid’s 132kV network interconnected to TransGrid’s Sydney North Bulk Supply Point, Lane Cove Switching Station and Mason Park Switching Station. Figure 7: Carlingford Load Area Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 23 Table 5 – Identified system limitations in Carlingford load area Location 3.4.2 Identified Limitation Refer to DAPR section Asset condition 5.3.3 1. Hunters Hill ZS 2. Macquarie Park ZS Capacity 5.3.3 3. Top Ryde ZS Capacity 5.3.3 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast Carlingford Area - Feeder Load Forecast Feeder name Feeder 809 (Carlingford BSP to Ryde STSS) Feeder 810 (Carlingford BSP to Ryde STSS) Feeder 812 (1) (Ryde STSS to to 812 TEE) Load 66 Rating Load 66 Rating Load 66 Rating Feeder 812 (2) (Hunters Hill ZS to to 812 TEE) 66 Rating Feeder 813 (Carlingford BSP to Epping ZS) 66 Rating Feeder 819 (Carlingford BSP to Hunters Hill ZS) 66 Rating Feeder 820 (Carlingford BSP to Epping ZS) Feeder 82C (Carlingford BSP to Hunters Hill ZS) 3.4.3 Summer (MVA) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 (kV) Load Load 66 Rating Load 66 Rating 2014 Winter (MVA) 2015 2016 2017 2018 - - - - - - 21.6 - - - - - - - - - - - 82.3 - - - - - - - - - - - 24.5 - - - - - - - - - - - 82.3 - - - - - - - - - - - 45.7 - - - - - - - - - - - 153.2 - - - - - - - - - - - 45.1 - - - - - - - - - - - 114.5 - - - - - 65.2 66.1 65.7 67.4 69.5 71.3 48.8 51.2 50.1 50.5 51.0 50.9 79.0 79.0 79.0 79.0 79.0 79.0 83.4 83.4 83.4 83.4 83.4 83.4 55.2 54.9 54.7 55.9 57.5 59.0 45.3 43.9 42.6 43.1 43.5 44.0 88.9 88.9 88.9 88.9 88.9 88.9 82.9 91.4 91.4 91.4 91.4 91.4 65.1 66.0 65.6 67.4 69.5 71.4 48.8 51.2 50.1 50.5 50.9 50.9 Load Load 2013 90.2 90.2 90.2 90.2 90.2 90.2 91.4 91.4 91.4 91.4 91.4 91.4 55.2 54.9 54.5 56.2 57.5 59.0 - 43.9 42.6 43.0 43.4 43.9 82.3 82.3 82.3 82.3 82.3 82.3 - 82.3 82.3 82.3 82.3 82.3 STS and ZS load forecast Carlingford Area - STS and ZS details Winter Summer Winter Summer Winter Solar PV 113.5 113.5 171.5 152.8 113.3 113.5 113.6 171.5 157.7 113.3 74.9 69.8 114.3 103.8 61.3 74.9 72.3 114.3 108.7 61.3 83.3 69.8 127.1 124.6 73.5 89.9 72.3 137.2 130.4 73.5 13.8 2.9 13.8 2.9 2.9 5.0 5.0 19.1 5.0 5.0 1.68 1.20 0.19 2.20 1.28 Other Summer Epping 66/11kV ZS Hunters Hill 66/11kV ZS Macquarie Park 132/11kV ZS Meadowbank 132/11kV ZS Top Ryde 132/11kV ZS Embedded Licence Capacity 95% Peak Load Exceeded (hrs/yr) Generation (MVA) (MVA) Winter Substation Firm Capacity (MVA) Summer Total Capacity (MVA) 1.53 - Identified Limitation in next 5 years No No No No Yes SUMMER - Carlingford Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation MVA PF MVA Hunters Hill 66/11kV ZS PF MVA Macquarie Park 132/11kV ZS PF MVA Meadowbank 132/11kV ZS PF MVA North Ryde 66/11kV ZS PF MVA Top Ryde 132/11kV ZS PF Epping 66/11kV ZS Actual Load Forecast Load 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 64.6 66.9 66.8 54.1 61.1 65.9 66.7 66.3 67.9 69.8 71.5 0.95 0.95 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 60.1 60.9 66.8 48.4 48.4 53.3 53.1 52.7 53.9 55.3 56.6 0.95 0.95 0.88 0.88 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 68.1 67.9 80.8 65.7 68.3 105.1 113.2 117.3 121.3 126.5 131.4 0.95 0.95 0.96 0.95 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 75.2 76.9 80.7 57.8 66.3 74.6 78.4 79.0 81.7 85.2 88.5 0.89 0.89 0.93 0.94 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 32.4 32.4 31.9 0.95 0.95 0.97 40.1 55.3 56.2 58.7 60.3 62.1 64.4 66.5 0.90 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 24 WINTER - Carlingford Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation MVA PF Epping 66/11kV ZS MVA PF Hunters Hill 66/11kV ZS MVA Macquarie Park 132/11kV ZS PF MVA PF Meadowbank 132/11kV ZS MVA North Ryde 66/11kV ZS PF MVA Top Ryde 132/11kV ZS PF 2008 58.7 0.95 66.0 0.95 42.8 0.96 74.0 0.94 35.1 0.95 - 2009 54.4 0.95 56.3 0.95 51.3 0.97 64.8 0.94 28.4 0.95 - Actual Load 2010 2011 56.9 52.0 0.98 0.98 59.0 58.1 0.96 0.97 55.3 56.1 0.97 0.95 64.5 63.0 0.94 0.94 29.3 27.7 0.98 0.98 - Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 2012 48.5 0.99 46.6 0.97 55.3 0.95 58.0 0.94 43.3 0.98 2013 49.3 1.00 46.0 0.97 77.3 0.95 56.9 0.94 43.2 0.98 2014 52.0 1.00 44.8 0.97 82.7 0.95 56.2 0.94 44.7 0.98 Forecast Load 2015 2016 50.5 50.9 1.00 1.00 43.5 43.9 0.97 0.97 87.4 87.9 0.95 0.95 57.4 57.6 0.94 0.94 45.7 46.0 0.98 0.98 2017 51.3 1.00 44.3 0.97 88.6 0.95 58.0 0.94 46.4 0.98 2018 51.8 1.00 44.8 0.97 89.9 0.95 58.8 0.94 47.2 0.98 25 3.5 3.5.1 Eastern Suburbs Load Area Description of Eastern Suburbs load area The Eastern Suburbs load area includes Sydney’s eastern seaboard from South Head to La Perouse, and extends inland to Surry Hills in the north-west, and west as far as Marrickville. It includes a wide variety of load types, comprising heavy industrial around Botany in the south, light industrial and commercial in the west and north, and predominantly domestic with pockets of commercial everywhere else. Significant industrial development has been proposed for the port facilities at Botany, the airport, and the Alexandria area. Residential and light industrial areas in the west of the area have been undergoing urban renewal in recent times. The coastal suburbs in the east of the area are relatively established and are not expected to change drastically in the foreseeable future. The network in the Eastern Suburbs area: is supplied from the Inner Metropolitan transmission network, including Bunnerong sub-transmission substation and TransGrid’s Beaconsfield West and Haymarket Bulk Supply Points (BSPs) includes 132/11kV and 33/11kV zones substations, as well as 132kV and 33kV gas, oil and HSL feeders; supplies high voltage customers including Railcorp (Surry Hills), Sydney Airport, AMCOR (called “Aust Paper” on the above map), and a chemical plant directly at 33kV will supply Equinix data centre in Bourke Road, Alexandria, via an ex-Alexandria zone 33kV cable from Bunnerong North STS includes assets which are in poor condition, particularly 33kV cables and many substation 11kV busbars, and much of the existing 33kV standby feeder network involves extremely long feeders, complex connections and is operationally difficult. In addition to existing loads in the area, Sydney Airport Corporation Limited (SACL) has indicated plans to increase their demand in the medium-term future. Several other large load applications in the Alexandria area have been submitted to Ausgrid, and, though they have not progressed to date, information from town planning cites Alexandria as an area for major future development. Many assets are approaching the end of their service life, particularly 33kV cables and substation 11kV busbars. Much of the existing 33kV standby feeder network involves extremely long feeders, complex connections and is operationally difficult. Figure 8: Eastern Suburbs Load Area Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 26 Table 6 – Identified system limitations in the Eastern Suburbs load area Location 3.5.2 Identified Limitation Refer to DAPR section 1. Botany ZS Asset condition 5.3.4 2. Darlinghurst ZS Asset condition 5.3.4 3. Matraville ZS Asset condition 5.3.4 4. Surry Hills ZS Asset condition 5.3.4 5. Sydney Airport ZS Asset condition 5.3.4 6. Clovelly ZS Asset condition 5.3.4 7. Feeder 396(1) - Surry Hills STS to Paddington ZS Capacity 5.2.3 8. Feeder 396(2) - Surry Hills STS to Waverley ZS Capacity 5.2.3 9. Feeder 387 - Surry Hills STS to Darlinghurst ZS Asset condition 5.2.3 10. Feeders 386, 388 & 389 - Surry Hills STS to Darlinghurst ZS Asset condition 5.2.3 11. Feeders 377 & 378 - Surry Hills STS to Graving Dock ZS Asset condition 5.2.3 12. Feeders 313, 318, 324 & 340 - Bunnerong North STS to Matraville ZS Asset condition 5.2.3 13. Feeders 380, 381 & 382 - Surry Hills STS to Paddington ZS Asset condition 5.2.3 14. Feeder 376 - Surry Hills STS to Surry Hills ZS Asset condition 5.2.3 15. Feeders 383, 384 & 385 - Surry Hills STS to Surry Hills ZS Asset condition 5.2.3 16. Feeders 331, 352 & 356 - Bunnerong STS to Sydney Airport ZS Asset condition 5.2.3 17. Feeders 260/2 and 261/2 - Zetland to Clovelly ZS Asset condition 5.2.3 18. Feeders 328, 331, 337 & 341 - Bunnerong STS to Mascot ZS Asset condition 5.2.3 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast Peak demand in the Eastern Suburbs area occurs in summer and is driven by demand from residential and commercial customers. It is predominantly driven by temperature, and the associated peak in air-conditioning and appliance usage during the hottest part of the day. Winter demand is relatively close to summer demand in the Eastern Suburbs due to the prevalence of central heating systems in residences, and also because proximity to the harbour and the ocean results in relatively moderate summer temperatures. Peak demand in the Eastern Suburbs area has flattened out over the last five years, possibly attributable to a combination of factors such as mild summers, economic down-turn coupled with increased electricity prices, and increasing penetration of energy-efficient appliances. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 27 Eastern Suburbs Area - Feeder Load Forecast Summer (MVA) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 Feeder name (kV) Feeder 260/1 Load 59.5 57.4 55.3 55.1 55.4 55.3 (Beaconsfield West BSP 105.0 105.0 105.0 105.0 105.0 to Zetland ZS) 132 Rating 105.0 Feeder 260/2 (Zetland ZS to Clovelly ZS) Feeder 261/1 (Beaconsfield West BSP to Zetland ZS) Feeder 261/2 (Zetland ZS to Clovelly ZS) Feeder 262 (Double Bay ZS to Clovelly ZS) Feeder 264 (Beaconsfield West BSP to Kingsford ZS) Feeder 265 (Bunnerong STSS to Maroubra ZS) Feeder 270 (Kingsford ZS to Maroubra ZS) Feeder 313 (Bunnerong North STS to Matraville ZS T3) Feeder 315(1) (Bunnerong North STS to Matraville ZS T1) Feeder 317(1) (Bunnerong North STS to 475 TEE) Feeder 318 (Bunnerong North STS to Matraville ZS T4) Feeder 324 (Bunnerong North STS to Matraville ZS T2) Feeder 327 (Bunnerong North STS to Mascot ZS T4) Feeder 328 (Bunnerong North STS to Mascot ZS T3) Feeder 331 (1) (Bunnerong North STS to Sydney Airport) Feeder 331 (2) (Bunnerong North STS to Sydney Airport) Feeder 332 (Bunnerong North STS to Mascot ZS T2) Feeder 337 (Bunnerong North STS to Mascot ZS T5) Feeder 338 (Sydney Airport to International Terminal) Feeder 339 (Bunnerong North STS to Port Botany ZS ZS Feeder 340 (Bunnerong North STS to Matraville ZS T5) Feeder 341 (Bunnerong North STS to Mascot ZS T1) Feeder 345 (Bunnerong North STS to Sydney Airport) Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating 2013 2014 Winter (MVA) 2015 2016 2017 22.6 22.0 22.0 22.0 22.0 22.1 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 2018 28.1 27.7 27.3 27.7 28.3 28.8 31.9 30.3 29.4 29.5 29.6 30.0 135.0 135.0 135.0 135.0 135.0 135.0 130.0 130.0 130.0 130.0 130.0 130.0 73.2 71.4 69.5 69.8 70.7 71.2 78.1 71.0 68.6 68.9 69.4 70.3 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 80.0 80.0 80.0 80.0 80.0 80.0 34.7 34.2 33.7 34.2 35.0 35.6 44.5 42.2 40.8 41.0 41.2 41.8 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 55.0 55.0 55.0 55.0 55.0 55.0 66.1 65.2 63.4 65.0 66.5 68.0 80.6 76.3 73.6 73.8 74.4 75.4 179.5 179.5 179.5 179.5 179.5 179.5 182.9 182.9 182.9 182.9 182.9 182.9 83.0 83.0 82.8 85.1 88.3 91.2 95.0 96.6 96.3 99.6 103.6 108.3 251.0 251.0 251.0 251.0 251.0 251.0 265.7 265.7 265.7 265.7 265.7 265.7 83.1 82.9 82.9 85.2 88.4 91.2 94.4 96.6 96.6 100.0 103.9 108.7 140.6 140.6 140.6 140.6 140.6 140.6 149.8 149.8 149.8 149.8 149.8 149.8 48.0 47.7 47.4 48.4 49.8 51.1 51.7 52.7 52.7 54.5 56.6 59.2 250.4 250.4 250.4 250.4 250.4 250.4 265.2 265.2 265.2 265.2 265.2 265.2 4.8 4.9 4.9 5.0 5.2 5.3 6.7 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 17.4 17.4 17.4 17.4 17.4 17.4 18.0 18.0 18.0 18.0 18.0 18.0 9.7 10.0 9.9 10.2 10.5 10.8 14.8 9.1 9.2 9.4 9.6 9.9 18.2 18.2 18.2 18.2 18.2 18.2 20.2 20.2 20.2 20.2 20.2 20.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.1 16.1 16.1 16.1 16.1 16.1 17.1 17.1 17.1 17.1 17.1 17.1 7.9 8.1 8.1 8.3 8.5 8.8 12.3 7.6 7.7 7.8 8.0 8.2 18.0 18.0 18.0 18.0 18.0 18.0 19.0 19.0 19.0 19.0 19.0 19.0 6.1 6.2 6.2 6.4 6.6 6.7 11.0 6.8 6.9 7.0 7.2 7.4 19.7 19.7 19.7 19.7 19.7 19.7 21.2 21.2 21.2 21.2 21.2 21.2 9.3 9.0 8.7 8.6 8.6 8.5 7.1 6.8 6.6 6.6 6.7 6.7 17.6 17.6 17.6 17.6 17.6 17.7 19.2 19.2 19.2 19.2 19.2 19.2 9.3 9.0 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.5 7.1 6.8 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.7 17.5 17.5 17.5 17.5 17.5 17.5 19.0 19.0 19.0 19.0 19.0 19.0 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 16.9 16.9 16.9 16.9 16.9 16.9 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 16.9 16.9 16.9 16.9 16.9 16.9 9.3 9.0 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.5 7.1 6.8 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.7 16.2 16.2 16.2 16.2 16.2 16.2 17.5 17.5 17.5 17.5 17.5 17.5 8.4 8.1 7.8 7.7 7.7 7.7 6.4 6.2 5.9 6.0 6.0 6.0 16.6 16.6 16.6 16.6 16.6 16.6 18.4 18.4 18.4 18.4 18.4 18.4 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 31.5 31.5 31.5 31.5 31.5 31.5 9.9 12.1 13.2 13.2 13.2 13.2 0.7 7.5 10.2 10.2 10.2 10.2 27.1 27.1 27.1 27.1 27.1 27.1 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 4.5 4.7 4.7 4.8 4.9 5.0 9.7 6.0 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.5 15.1 15.1 15.1 15.1 15.1 15.1 17.7 17.7 17.7 17.7 17.7 17.7 10.2 9.8 9.5 9.4 9.4 9.3 7.7 7.5 7.2 7.3 7.3 7.4 17.1 17.1 17.1 17.1 17.1 17.1 18.7 18.7 18.7 18.7 18.7 18.7 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.1 16.4 16.4 16.4 16.4 16.4 16.4 17.8 17.8 17.8 17.8 17.8 17.8 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 28 Eastern Suburbs Area - Feeder Load Forecast Summer (MVA) Feeder name (kV) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 Feeder 346 Load 9.2 9.1 9.0 9.2 9.4 9.6 (Bunnerong North STS 13.1 13.1 13.1 13.1 13.1 13.1 to Botany ZS T1) 33 Rating Feeder 347 Load 9.9 12.2 13.2 13.2 13.2 13.2 (Bunnerong North STS 27.1 27.1 27.1 27.1 27.1 27.1 to Port Botany ZS T2) 33 Rating Feeder 349 Load 9.2 9.1 9.0 9.2 9.4 9.6 (Bunnerong North STS to Botany ZS T3) 33 Rating 15.1 15.1 15.1 15.1 15.1 15.1 Feeder 350 Load 8.7 8.6 8.5 8.7 8.9 9.1 (Bunnerong North STS to Botany ZS T2) 33 Rating 16.2 16.2 16.2 16.2 16.2 16.2 Feeder 352 Load 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 (Bunnerong North STS 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 to Sydney Airport) 33 Rating Feeder 353 Load 6.9 6.9 6.8 6.9 7.1 7.3 (Bunnerong North STS 17.4 17.3 17.3 17.4 17.3 17.3 to Botany ZS T4) 33 Rating Feeder 354 Load 9.9 12.2 13.2 13.2 13.2 13.2 (Bunnerong North STS to Port Botany ZS ZS 33 Rating 27.1 27.1 27.1 27.1 27.1 27.1 Feeder 356 Load 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.5 (Bunnerong North STS to International Terminal) 33 Rating 16.7 16.7 16.7 16.7 16.7 16.7 Feeder 359 Load 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.5 (Bunnerong North STS 16.7 16.7 16.7 16.7 16.7 16.7 to International Terminal) 33 Rating Feeder 360 Load 10.2 9.9 9.5 9.4 9.4 9.4 (Bunnerong North STS 17.7 17.7 17.7 17.7 17.7 17.7 to Mascot ZS T6) 33 Rating Feeder 376 Load 17.2 17.1 17.0 17.3 17.8 18.3 (Surry Hills STS to Surry Hills T2) 33 Rating 30.5 30.5 30.5 30.5 30.5 30.5 Feeder 377 Load 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 (Surry Hills STS to Graving Dock ZS T1) 33 Rating 17.0 17.0 17.0 17.0 17.0 17.0 Feeder 378 Load 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.1 (Surry Hills STS to 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 Graving Dock ZS T2) 33 Rating Feeder 380 Load 10.7 10.4 10.0 10.0 10.0 9.9 (Surry Hills STS to 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 Paddington ZS T4) 33 Rating Feeder 381 Load 18.4 17.8 17.2 17.1 17.2 17.1 (Surry Hills STS to Paddington ZS T3) 33 Rating 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 Feeder 382 Load 16.6 16.0 15.5 15.4 15.4 15.4 (Surry Hills STS to Paddington ZS T2) 33 Rating 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 Feeder 383 Load 25.1 24.9 24.7 25.3 26.0 26.7 (Surry Hills STS to Surry 27.0 27.0 27.0 27.0 27.0 27.0 Hills T1) 33 Rating Feeder 384 Load 19.8 19.7 19.6 20.0 20.6 21.1 (Surry Hills STS to Surry 30.5 30.5 30.5 30.5 30.5 30.5 Hills T4) 33 Rating Feeder 385 Load 12.2 12.2 12.1 12.3 12.7 13.0 (Surry Hills STS to Surry Hills T3) 33 Rating 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 Feeder 386 (Surry Hills Load 16.0 15.6 15.2 15.3 15.4 15.5 STS to Darlinghurst ZS T4) 33 Rating 27.1 27.1 27.1 27.1 27.1 27.1 Feeder 387 Load 16.8 16.4 16.0 16.0 16.2 16.3 (Surry Hills STS to 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 Darlinghurst ZS T2) 33 Rating Feeder 388 Load 16.8 16.4 16.0 16.0 16.2 16.3 (Surry Hills STS to 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 Darlinghurst ZS T1) 33 Rating Feeder 389 Load 14.3 14.0 13.7 13.7 13.8 13.9 (Surry Hills STS to Darlinghurst ZS T3) 33 Rating 27.1 27.1 27.1 27.1 27.1 27.1 Feeder 390(1) Load 4.0 (Surry Hills STS to Waverley ZS T2) 33 Rating 14.9 - Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 Winter (MVA) 2015 2016 2013 2014 9.0 7.8 7.6 7.7 2017 7.9 2018 8.0 14.6 14.6 14.6 14.6 14.6 14.6 0.7 7.6 10.2 10.2 10.2 10.2 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 9.0 7.8 7.6 7.7 7.9 8.1 16.4 16.4 16.4 16.4 16.4 16.4 8.2 7.1 7.0 7.1 7.2 7.3 17.6 17.6 17.6 17.6 17.6 17.6 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 16.9 16.9 16.9 16.9 16.9 16.9 8.5 7.4 7.2 7.3 7.4 7.6 19.1 19.1 19.1 19.1 19.1 19.1 0.7 7.6 10.2 10.2 10.2 10.2 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.5 18.3 18.3 18.3 18.3 18.3 18.3 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 18.0 18.0 18.0 18.0 18.0 18.0 7.8 7.5 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.4 19.2 19.2 19.2 19.2 19.2 19.2 10.4 13.2 13.1 13.5 14.0 14.5 32.2 32.2 32.2 32.2 32.2 32.2 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 18.4 18.4 18.4 18.4 18.4 18.4 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 17.9 17.9 17.9 17.9 17.9 17.9 12.0 11.6 11.4 11.2 11.4 11.6 32.0 32.0 32.0 32.0 32.0 32.0 20.5 20.2 19.8 20.2 20.6 21.2 31.3 31.3 31.3 31.3 31.3 31.3 17.2 16.9 16.6 16.9 17.3 17.8 31.3 31.3 31.3 31.3 31.3 31.3 15.0 19.2 19.1 19.7 20.3 21.2 29.0 29.0 29.0 29.0 29.0 29.0 13.1 9.3 11.9 11.8 12.2 12.6 32.2 32.2 32.2 32.2 32.2 32.2 11.5 14.6 14.5 15.0 15.5 16.1 31.3 31.3 31.3 31.3 31.3 31.3 14.9 14.4 13.9 13.9 14.0 14.2 28.9 28.9 28.9 28.9 28.9 28.9 11.7 11.4 11.0 11.0 11.1 11.2 31.3 31.3 31.3 31.3 31.3 31.3 14.9 14.4 13.9 13.9 14.0 14.2 31.3 31.3 31.3 31.3 31.3 31.3 11.4 11.0 10.6 10.7 10.7 10.8 28.9 28.9 28.9 28.9 28.9 28.9 11.5 - - - - - 16.6 - - - - - 29 Eastern Suburbs Area - Feeder Load Forecast Summer (MVA) Winter (MVA) Feeder name (kV) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 Feeder 390(2) Load 4.2 (Surry Hills STS to Waverley ZS T2) 33 Rating 14.2 Feeder 391 Load 2.9 (Surry Hills STS to Waverley ZS T3) 33 Rating 16.9 Feeder 392(1) (Surry Load 3.0 Hills STS to Waverley ZS T4) 33 Rating 14.3 Feeder 392(2) Load 3.1 (Surry Hills STS to Waverley ZS T4) 33 Rating 15.1 Feeder 393 Load 7.9 (Surry Hills STS to Rose Bay ZS T4) 33 Rating 17.1 Feeder 394 Load 7.9 (Surry Hills STS to Rose Bay ZS T3) 33 Rating 18.0 Feeder 395 Load 10.7 (Surry Hills STS to Rose Bay ZS T2) 33 Rating 16.8 Feeder 396(1) Load 13.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 (Surry Hills STS to Paddington ZS) 33 Rating 17.8 15.6 15.6 15.6 15.6 15.6 Feeder 396(2) Load 13.4 (Surry Hills STS to Waverley ZS) 33 Rating 16.6 Feeder 478 Load 13.5 (Waverley ZS to Rose Bay ZS T1) 33 Rating 18.5 Feeder 9SB/2 Load 65.4 62.9 60.2 60.0 60.0 59.7 (Surry Hills STS to Double Bay ZS) 33 Rating 132.0 132.0 132.0 132.0 132.0 132.0 3.5.3 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 11.6 - - - - - 16.1 - - - - - 7.8 - - - - - 18.5 - - - - - 8.5 - - - - - 16.2 - - - - - 8.6 - - - - - 17.1 - - - - - 10.4 - - - - - 18.2 - - - - - 13.1 - - - - - 19.7 - - - - - 15.4 - - - - - 18.0 - - - - - 21.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 19.4 15.6 15.6 15.6 15.6 15.6 20.5 - - - - - 17.1 - - - - - 20.3 - - - - - 20.5 - - - - - 64.3 64.6 62.6 62.7 63.0 63.8 140.0 140.0 140.0 140.0 140.0 140.0 STS and ZS load forecast Eastern Suburbs Area - STS and ZS details Summer Winter Summer Winter 378.8 466.4 266.0 346.7 274.4 346.7 266.0 346.7 274.4 346.7 11.2 13.8 19.1 19.1 - - - - - - - - 81.6 127.0 152.4 121.9 157.2 22.2 18.7 171.5 124.6 150.6 76.2 103.5 101.3 114.3 112.3 100.0 68.5 152.4 126.4 96.0 76.0 152.4 82.3 127.0 152.7 121.9 157.2 22.2 20.8 171.5 124.6 150.6 76.2 105.0 105.7 114.3 112.3 100.0 71.2 152.7 127.0 96.0 79.3 152.6 53.1 62.8 87.6 85.2 81.3 0.0 0.0 114.3 62.2 102.8 74.8 76.5 68.1 66.5 59.2 78.0 48.5 87.5 77.8 71.0 51.7 83.6 53.1 65.0 93.0 90.1 87.8 0.0 0.0 114.3 65.0 102.8 74.8 78.8 72.7 69.8 59.2 78.0 50.4 87.5 77.8 75.4 55.4 90.3 53.1 70.3 92.4 85.2 89.2 10.0 10.0 127.1 64.4 103.6 66.3 76.5 68.1 66.5 59.2 85.9 48.5 97.9 77.8 71.7 51.7 93.0 53.1 78.0 111.6 90.1 99.3 10.0 10.0 137.2 78.0 121.2 66.3 78.8 72.7 69.8 59.2 87.0 50.4 104.9 77.8 83.5 55.4 108.4 11.2 11.2 11.2 11.2 11.2 13.8 13.8 13.8 11.2 11.2 13.8 13.8 11.2 11.2 11.2 2.9 2.9 11.2 13.8 2.9 2.9 13.8 19.1 19.1 3.5 19.1 5.0 19.1 19.1 22.2 3.5 5.0 5.0 19.1 5.0 5.0 5.0 3.5 3.5 19.1 19.1 3.5 3.5 19.1 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 0.63 0.07 1.16 0.19 0.42 0.12 0.96 0.81 1.45 0.37 1.02 0.11 0.61 1.03 0.23 0.31 0.39 Other Winter 378.8 466.4 Solar PV Summer Bunnerong North 132/33kV STS Surry Hills 132/33kV STS Alexandria 33/5kV ZS Botany 33/11kV ZS Campbell St 132/11kV ZS Clovelly 132/11kV ZS Darlinghurst 33/11kV ZS Double Bay 132/11kV ZS Graving Dock No 1 33/11kV ZS Graving Dock No 2 33/11kV ZS Green Square 132/11kV ZS Kingsford 132/11kV ZS Maroubra 132/11kV ZS Marrickville 132/11kV ZS Mascot 33/11kV ZS Matraville 33/11kV ZS Paddington 33/11kV ZS Port Botany 33/11kV ZS Rose Bay 132/11kV ZS Rose Bay 33/11kV ZS St Peters 132/11kV ZS Surry Hills 33/11kV ZS Waverley 132/11kV ZS Waverley 33/11kV ZS Zetland 132/11kV ZS Licence Capacity 95% Peak Load Embedded (MVA) Exceeded (hrs/yr) Generation (MVA) Winter Substation Firm Capacity (MVA) Summer Total Capacity (MVA) 1.47 0.32 4.60 4.40 1.40 - Identified Limitation in next 5 years No No No No No No No No No No No No No No No No No No No No No No No No 30 SUMMER - Eastern Suburbs Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation Bunnerong North 132/33kV STS Surry Hills 132/33kV STS Alexandria 33/5kV ZS Botany 33/11kV ZS Campbell St 132/11kV ZS Clovelly 132/11kV ZS Darlinghurst 33/11kV ZS Double Bay 132/11kV ZS Graving Dock No 1 33/11kV ZS Graving Dock No 2 33/11kV ZS Green Square 132/11kV ZS Kingsford 132/11kV ZS Maroubra 132/11kV ZS Marrickville 132/11kV ZS Mascot 33/11kV ZS Matraville 33/11kV ZS Paddington 33/11kV ZS Port Botany 33/11kV ZS Randwick 33/11kV ZS Rose Bay 132/11kV ZS Rose Bay 33/11kV ZS St Peters 132/11kV ZS Surry Hills 33/11kV ZS Waverley 132/11kV ZS Waverley 33/11kV ZS Zetland 132/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF Actual Load Forecast Load 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 261.4 257.5 246.9 227.3 227.4 222.3 238.5 245.6 246.5 248.4 249.9 0.99 0.99 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 218.1 231.4 235.7 217.0 211.3 211.0 186.1 172.8 173.6 175.3 176.5 0.92 1.00 0.98 0.97 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 6.0 0.99 38.4 34.4 34.0 32.3 29.4 27.3 27.1 26.9 27.3 28.0 28.6 0.99 0.99 0.89 0.88 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 31.5 31.7 32.8 29.2 43.6 44.5 44.8 45.0 46.5 48.3 50.1 0.91 0.91 0.92 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 64.1 66.3 67.0 63.2 59.1 60.3 59.6 58.7 59.5 60.7 61.8 0.94 0.94 0.95 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 51.2 54.1 54.5 48.6 48.7 48.6 47.6 46.5 46.6 47.1 47.4 0.92 1.00 0.94 0.95 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 63.7 66.8 70.1 57.8 60.0 60.8 58.8 56.8 56.4 56.4 56.2 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.94 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 7.6 6.8 7.0 6.1 8.1 8.1 8.1 8.1 8.1 8.1 8.1 0.92 1.00 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 6.0 7.2 6.2 6.1 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.4 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 23.7 31.3 34.6 28.8 34.5 46.6 52.2 48.6 50.9 53.7 56.5 0.92 0.92 0.79 0.90 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.79 11.5 38.7 37.2 37.5 41.1 41.3 41.5 42.8 44.5 46.1 0.93 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 56.4 55.2 56.3 49.5 44.6 47.8 47.6 47.3 48.2 49.5 50.7 0.91 0.91 0.92 0.93 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 56.3 56.7 55.5 50.5 49.3 50.1 48.6 47.1 46.8 47.0 47.0 0.87 0.87 0.88 0.90 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 52.5 55.2 56.1 50.8 50.6 50.4 48.8 47.1 46.7 46.6 46.4 0.99 0.99 0.89 0.89 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 40.1 43.4 43.5 40.8 42.4 26.6 27.3 27.2 27.9 28.7 29.5 0.99 0.99 0.92 0.92 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 31.4 32.7 32.8 30.0 29.6 28.5 27.7 26.8 26.6 26.7 26.6 0.92 1.00 0.94 0.91 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 3.2 2.8 27.9 34.0 36.9 36.9 36.9 36.9 0.90 0.84 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 33.2 27.6 0.99 0.99 17.1 34.1 34.9 36.0 36.9 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 34.9 35.0 38.9 31.0 34.0 34.2 17.1 0.92 1.00 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 65.7 65.9 66.7 66.2 66.1 72.4 75.0 74.5 75.9 78.0 79.7 0.90 0.90 0.93 0.94 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 54.8 57.4 60.7 57.7 43.6 56.3 56.0 55.6 56.8 58.3 59.7 0.92 1.00 0.92 0.92 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 11.1 22.1 21.7 22.0 22.4 22.7 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 24.7 23.4 24.2 21.5 22.7 11.1 0.92 1.00 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 80.9 81.2 80.4 69.1 70.7 60.6 58.7 56.8 56.5 56.7 56.7 0.95 0.95 0.96 0.97 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 31 WINTER - Eastern Suburbs Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation Bunnerong North 132/33kV STS Surry Hills 132/33kV STS Alexandria 33/5kV ZS Botany 33/11kV ZS Campbell St 132/11kV ZS Clovelly 132/11kV ZS Darlinghurst 33/11kV ZS Double Bay 132/11kV ZS Graving Dock No 1 33/11kV ZS Graving Dock No 2 33/11kV ZS Green Square 132/11kV ZS Kingsford 132/11kV ZS Maroubra 132/11kV ZS Marrickville 132/11kV ZS Mascot 33/11kV ZS Matraville 33/11kV ZS Paddington 33/11kV ZS Port Botany 33/11kV ZS Randwick 33/11kV ZS Rose Bay 132/11kV ZS Rose Bay 33/11kV ZS St Peters 132/11kV ZS Surry Hills 33/11kV ZS Waverley 132/11kV ZS Waverley 33/11kV ZS Zetland 132/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF 2008 275.8 0.99 230.1 0.95 5.6 0.99 36.0 0.99 26.5 0.93 97.8 0.97 47.1 0.95 76.1 0.85 5.0 0.95 8.1 0.90 17.2 0.97 58.0 0.94 63.4 0.94 42.1 0.99 51.3 0.99 31.8 0.95 49.6 0.99 54.1 0.95 57.2 0.94 48.3 0.95 34.9 0.95 71.5 0.98 Actual Load 2009 2010 2011 252.7 217.2 212.3 1.00 1.00 1.00 220.1 209.1 212.3 1.00 1.00 1.00 3.2 1.00 33.1 29.2 29.9 1.00 0.93 0.94 25.2 24.7 24.1 0.94 0.95 0.95 87.0 87.8 87.5 0.97 0.98 0.99 43.5 44.7 45.7 1.00 0.96 0.95 68.7 68.6 68.0 0.97 0.97 0.97 7.7 4.4 8.5 1.00 0.90 0.90 3.3 6.1 7.0 0.90 0.90 0.90 18.0 26.7 28.1 0.95 0.95 0.95 35.6 48.0 0.90 0.90 58.8 56.9 54.9 0.95 0.95 0.95 55.5 56.9 53.3 0.94 0.97 0.97 38.9 43.8 42.6 1.00 0.93 0.91 44.5 45.8 48.1 1.00 0.95 0.95 31.0 30.7 32.3 1.00 0.96 0.97 2.8 0.90 44.6 12.9 1.00 0.96 46.2 44.5 46.2 1.00 0.97 0.97 52.9 53.4 53.0 0.96 0.95 0.98 45.5 47.4 48.5 1.00 0.93 0.92 30.4 33.3 29.3 1.00 0.98 0.98 63.6 65.6 63.3 0.98 0.98 0.98 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 2012 180.2 1.00 206.3 1.00 26.7 0.95 33.1 0.95 79.8 0.99 39.0 0.98 63.3 0.98 7.3 0.90 8.7 0.90 28.4 0.95 46.9 0.90 49.5 0.93 51.8 0.98 39.8 0.89 43.2 0.95 31.4 0.97 2.5 0.84 42.7 0.97 53.9 0.96 35.9 0.95 28.4 0.97 56.5 0.99 2013 199.4 1.00 200.1 1.00 26.6 0.95 35.1 0.95 80.7 0.99 38.6 0.98 62.3 0.98 7.8 0.90 8.1 0.90 31.9 0.95 51.2 0.90 51.4 0.93 51.8 0.98 40.1 0.89 43.8 0.95 31.6 0.97 2.5 0.84 43.3 0.97 56.3 0.96 36.4 0.95 29.3 0.97 54.4 0.99 2014 184.0 1.00 193.4 1.00 23.2 0.95 35.1 0.95 76.9 0.99 37.4 0.98 62.6 0.98 7.8 0.90 8.1 0.90 40.1 0.95 51.7 0.90 52.4 0.93 50.3 0.98 38.9 0.89 27.4 0.95 31.2 0.97 26.6 0.92 42.0 0.97 60.0 0.96 46.0 0.95 14.6 0.97 47.1 1.00 Forecast Load 2015 2016 202.2 210.7 1.00 1.00 160.7 143.0 0.99 0.99 22.7 23.0 0.95 0.95 35.0 36.2 0.95 0.95 74.5 74.7 0.99 0.99 36.2 36.2 0.98 0.98 60.6 60.8 0.98 0.98 7.8 7.8 0.90 0.90 8.1 8.1 0.90 0.90 39.6 41.0 0.95 0.95 51.5 53.0 0.90 0.90 52.3 54.1 0.93 0.93 48.7 48.9 0.98 0.98 37.6 37.7 0.89 0.89 27.7 28.2 0.95 0.95 30.7 31.2 0.97 0.97 35.6 35.6 0.92 0.92 20.3 40.8 0.97 0.97 20.4 0.97 62.7 64.5 0.96 0.96 45.7 47.1 0.95 0.95 28.8 28.9 0.97 0.97 45.6 45.8 1.00 1.00 2017 212.0 1.00 145.1 0.99 23.3 0.95 37.5 0.95 75.2 0.99 36.4 0.98 61.1 0.98 7.8 0.90 8.1 0.90 42.4 0.95 54.7 0.90 56.0 0.93 49.3 0.98 37.8 0.89 28.8 0.95 31.9 0.97 35.6 0.92 41.0 0.97 66.5 0.96 48.6 0.95 29.1 0.97 46.1 1.00 2018 214.0 1.00 148.1 0.99 23.9 0.95 39.0 0.95 76.1 0.99 36.8 0.98 61.9 0.98 7.8 0.90 8.1 0.90 44.2 0.95 56.9 0.90 58.4 0.93 49.9 0.98 38.2 0.89 29.6 0.95 32.7 0.97 35.6 0.92 41.6 0.97 69.0 0.96 50.4 0.95 29.5 0.97 46.8 1.00 32 3.6 3.6.1 Greater Cessnock Load Area Description of Greater Cessnock area The Greater Cessnock network area extends in the north to Rothbury and Allandale and south to Laguna and Quorrobolong. The area also extends from Kurri in the east, to Mt View and Pokolbin State Forest in the west. The area is geographically bounded by the Sugarloaf Mountain range in the east as well as the Watagan Mountains and Wollemi National Park to the south. Predominantly rural, the main urban development lies between and around Kurri township and the City of Cessnock. Development activity is focussed around the Pokolbin and Rothbury vineyard district, with ongoing winemaking and tourism development, as well as residential developments such as the Vineyards Resort at Rothbury becoming more prevalent. A new large integrated residential development has been proposed to the north of the area near Rothbury. An extensive industrial park is also being developed to the south-west of Kurri known as the Hunter Economic Zone (HEZ), which has the potential to contain large industrial facilities. The network in the Greater Cessnock area: predominantly comprises a 33kV network supply from the Kurri sub-transmission substation (STS), which is itself supplied via 132kV feeders from TransGrid Newcastle BSP at Killingworth includes two 132/11kV zone substations, one located at Rothbury and the other at Kurri includes four 33/11kV zone substations includes one 33kV connected mining customer near Ellalong consists of approximately 100km of predominantly overhead 33kV feeder network is partially traversed by a number of 132kV overhead feeders between Killingworth and Kurri STS, and is traversed by 132kV and 66kV feeders between Kurri sub-transmission substation and Singleton STS. Figure 9: Greater Cessnock load area Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 33 Table 7 – Identified system limitations in the Greater Cessnock load area Location 1. 3.6.2 Cessnock 33/11kV zone substation Identified Limitation Refer to DAPR section Asset Condition 5.3.12 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast Greater Cessnock Area - Feeder Load Forecast Feeder name Feeder 30092 (1) (Cessnock ZS to Paxton ZS) Feeder 30092(3) (Cessncok ZS to Paxton ZS) Feeder 30092(4) (Cessnock ZS to Paxton ZS) Feeder 30092(6) (Cessnock ZS to Paxton ZS) Summer (MVA) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 (kV) Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load Feeder 30092(7) (tee to Austar Kitchener) Feeder 30095(1) (Cessnock ZS to Austar Ellalong) Feeder 30095(3) (Cessncok ZS to Austar Ellalong) Feeder 30095(4) (Cessnock ZS to Austar Ellalong) Feeder KU1(1) (Kurri STS to tee Tomalpin and Cessnock) 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load Feeder KU1(2) (tee to Tomalpin ZS) 33 Rating Load Feeder KU1(3) (tee to Cessnock ZS) Feeder KU6(1) (Kurri STS to tee Cessnock and Nulkaba) Feeder KU6(3) (Kurri STS to tee Cessnock and Nulkaba) 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load Feeder KU6(4) (tee to Nulkaba ZS) 33 Rating Load Feeder KU6(5) (tee to Cessnock ZS) 33 Rating Load Feeder KU9(1) (Kurri STS to Nulkaba) 33 Rating Load Feeder KU9(2) (Kurri STS to Nulkaba) 33 Rating 2013 2014 Winter (MVA) 2015 2016 2017 2018 7.7 7.7 7.7 7.7 7.8 7.9 3.7 7.5 7.5 7.6 7.7 7.8 20.7 20.7 20.7 20.7 20.7 20.7 23.0 23.0 23.0 23.0 23.0 23.0 7.7 7.7 7.7 7.7 7.8 7.9 3.7 7.5 7.5 7.6 7.7 7.7 21.0 21.0 21.0 21.0 21.0 21.0 15.1 28.0 28.0 28.0 28.0 28.0 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.5 5.6 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.2 4.3 13.6 13.6 13.6 13.6 13.6 13.6 15.1 15.1 15.1 15.1 15.1 15.1 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.6 5.6 - 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 21.0 21.0 21.0 21.0 21.0 21.0 - 28.0 28.0 28.0 28.0 28.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 - 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 31.0 31.0 31.0 31.0 31.0 31.0 - 41.0 41.0 41.0 41.0 41.0 9.8 9.8 9.8 9.8 9.8 9.8 10.3 10.3 10.3 10.3 10.3 10.3 20.7 20.7 20.7 20.7 20.7 20.7 23.0 23.0 23.0 23.0 23.0 23.0 9.8 9.8 9.8 9.8 9.8 9.8 10.3 10.3 10.3 10.3 10.3 10.3 20.7 20.7 20.7 20.7 20.7 20.7 23.0 23.0 23.0 23.0 23.0 23.0 9.8 9.8 9.8 9.8 9.8 9.8 10.3 10.3 10.3 10.3 10.3 10.3 20.7 20.7 20.7 20.7 20.7 20.7 23.0 23.0 23.0 23.0 23.0 23.0 33.9 33.2 34.4 33.9 33.7 33.5 27.8 31.9 31.4 31.5 31.6 31.7 41.7 41.7 41.7 41.7 41.7 41.7 46.5 46.5 46.5 46.5 46.5 46.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 46.8 46.8 46.8 46.8 46.8 46.8 63.7 63.7 63.7 63.7 63.7 63.7 32.6 31.9 32.7 32.3 32.1 31.9 26.2 29.9 29.4 29.5 29.6 29.8 41.6 41.6 41.6 41.6 41.6 41.6 56.1 56.1 56.1 56.1 56.1 56.1 35.9 35.3 36.6 36.5 36.6 36.6 27.4 30.4 29.8 30.1 30.4 30.8 41.7 41.7 41.7 41.7 41.7 41.7 46.6 46.6 46.6 46.6 46.6 46.6 35.9 35.3 36.6 36.5 36.6 36.6 27.4 30.4 29.8 30.1 30.4 30.8 41.7 41.7 41.7 41.7 41.7 41.7 46.6 46.6 46.6 46.6 46.6 46.6 19.9 19.7 20.7 20.8 21.1 21.5 13.8 13.7 13.4 13.9 14.2 14.5 46.8 46.8 46.8 46.8 46.8 46.8 63.7 63.7 63.7 63.7 63.7 63.7 31.7 31.0 31.4 31.2 31.0 30.8 25.4 29.0 28.5 28.6 28.7 28.8 41.5 41.5 41.5 41.5 41.5 41.5 56.0 56.0 56.0 56.0 56.0 56.0 20.4 20.3 21.6 21.8 22.1 22.5 14.4 14.3 14.1 14.4 14.8 15.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 45.0 45.0 45.0 45.0 45.0 45.0 20.4 20.3 21.6 21.8 22.1 22.5 14.4 14.3 14.1 14.4 14.8 15.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 45.0 45.0 45.0 45.0 45.0 45.0 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 34 3.6.3 STS and ZS load forecast Greater Cessnock Area - STS and ZS details Summer Winter Summer Winter Solar PV Other Embedded Generation (MVA) Winter 95% Peak Load Exceeded (hrs/yr) Summer Licence Capacity (MVA) Winter Substation Kurri 132/33kV STS Cessnock 33/11kV ZS Kurri 132/11kV ZS Nulkaba 33/11kV ZS Paxton 33/11kV ZS Rothbury 132/11kV ZS Tomalpin 33/11kV ZS Firm Capacity (MVA) Summer Total Capacity (MVA) 183.0 31.0 100.0 76.2 11.6 76.2 20.8 212.0 31.0 100.0 76.2 11.6 76.2 22.2 155.0 22.9 60.0 38.1 0.0 38.1 0.0 164.0 22.9 60.0 38.1 0.0 38.1 0.0 155.0 27.0 72.0 45.7 10.0 42.6 10.0 164.0 27.0 72.0 45.7 10.0 45.7 10.0 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 11.2 11.2 13.8 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 22.2 1.31 1.53 0.97 0.57 0.42 - 29.00 Identified Limitation in next 5 years No No No No No No No SUMMER - Greater Cessnock Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation Kurri 132/33kV STS Cessnock 33/11kV ZS Kurri 132/11kV ZS Kurri 33/11kV ZS Nulkaba 33/11kV ZS Paxton 33/11kV ZS Rothbury 132/11kV ZS Tomalpin 33/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF Actual Load Forecast Load 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 142.1 149.5 130.2 114.4 124.6 137.3 137.3 137.3 138.8 141.1 143.7 0.98 1.00 0.98 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 29.4 28.5 24.5 17.5 22.6 21.4 20.7 20.0 19.6 19.4 19.1 0.98 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 32.5 23.4 28.3 27.4 27.7 27.9 28.5 29.3 30.2 0.92 0.96 0.96 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 29.2 29.6 0.98 1.00 19.0 19.6 21.1 14.5 19.7 21.1 21.1 21.0 21.1 21.4 21.8 0.98 1.00 0.95 0.99 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 5.8 5.4 5.4 3.9 5.5 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.4 5.4 0.98 1.00 0.94 0.94 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 10.9 13.2 13.3 8.4 10.4 15.3 15.3 15.3 15.4 15.7 16.0 0.96 0.93 0.96 0.98 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 1.4 1.7 1.8 1.4 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 0.98 1.00 0.95 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 WINTER - Greater Cessnock Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation Kurri 132/33kV STS Cessnock 33/11kV ZS Kurri 132/11kV ZS Kurri 33/11kV ZS Nulkaba 33/11kV ZS Paxton 33/11kV ZS Rothbury 132/11kV ZS Tomalpin 33/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF 2008 129.6 0.99 18.8 0.99 23.0 0.99 13.6 0.99 4.5 0.99 6.0 1.00 0.1 0.99 Actual Load 2009 2010 2011 108.4 105.1 115.6 1.00 1.00 0.99 17.3 16.8 16.0 1.00 1.00 0.97 20.4 0.96 21.4 22.0 1.00 0.95 12.9 12.9 12.2 1.00 0.96 0.96 4.3 4.1 4.0 1.00 0.97 0.98 5.9 6.5 6.2 0.93 0.93 1.00 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.00 0.94 0.97 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 2012 92.0 0.97 16.3 0.98 21.0 0.96 12.3 0.97 3.9 0.98 6.1 1.00 1.6 0.94 2013 102.2 0.97 14.6 1.00 18.8 0.99 13.8 0.97 4.1 0.98 8.4 1.00 1.6 0.94 2014 101.6 0.97 14.2 1.00 18.8 0.99 13.7 0.98 4.1 0.98 9.3 1.00 1.6 0.94 Forecast Load 2015 2016 100.8 102.4 0.97 0.97 13.7 13.7 1.00 1.00 18.7 19.3 0.99 0.99 13.5 13.9 0.98 0.97 4.0 4.1 0.98 0.98 9.3 9.5 1.00 1.00 1.6 1.6 0.94 0.94 2017 104.0 0.97 13.7 1.00 19.9 0.99 14.2 0.97 4.2 0.98 9.8 1.00 1.6 0.94 2018 106.0 0.97 13.7 1.00 20.6 0.99 14.6 0.97 4.3 0.98 10.1 1.00 1.6 0.94 35 3.7 3.7.1 Inner West Load Area Description of Inner West area The Inner West load area extends from Homebush Bay in the north, south-west to Rozelle and Leichhardt and west as far as Auburn. The area is divided by parts of the harbour and the Lane Cove River. Parramatta Road runs through the southern part of the area. The network in the Inner West area: is supplied from TransGrid’s transmission system at Sydney North, and via Chullora sub-transmission switching station from Beaconsfield West and Sydney South includes 132/33kV sub-transmission substations at Homebush, Strathfield and Rozelle includes four 132/11kV zone substations, supplied via Mason Park sub-transmission switching station includes four 33/11kV zone substations supplied via Homebush sub-transmission substation, and Leichhardt zone substation, which is supplied via Strathfield and Rozelle sub-transmission substations, and includes Five Dock zone substation, Ausgrid’s oldest zone substation. Figure 10: Inner West Load Area Table 8 – Identified system limitations in Inner West load area Location Identified Limitation Refer to DAPR section 1. Feeder 607 - Homebush STS to Concord ZS Capacity 5.2.4 2. Feeder 614 - Homebush STS to Auburn ZS Asset Condition 5.2.4 3. Feeder 615 - Homebush STS to Auburn ZS Asset Condition 5.2.4 4. Feeders 602 & 604 - Homebush STS to Lidcombe ZS Asset Condition 5.2.4 5. Feeder 605 - Homebush STS to Lidcombe ZS Asset Condition 5.2.4 6. Lidcombe ZS Asset Condition 5.3.5 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 36 3.7.2 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast Inner West Area - Feeder Load Forecast Summer (MVA) Feeder name Feeder 200 (Mason Park STSS to Flemington ZS) Feeder 201 (Mason Park STSS to Flemington ZS) Feeder 601 (Homebush STS to Auburn ZS) Feeder 602 (Homebush STS to Lidcombe ZS) Feeder 604 (Homebush STS to Lidcombe ZS) Feeder 605 (Homebush STS to Lidcombe ZS) Feeder 606 (Homebush STS to Concord ZS) Feeder 607 (Homebush STS to Concord ZS) Feeder 608 (Homebush STS to Concord ZS) Feeder 609 (Homebush STS to Concord ZS) Feeder 610 (Homebush STS to Five Dock ZS) Feeder 612 (Homebush STS to Five Dock ZS) Feeder 613 (Homebush STS to Five Dock ZS) Feeder 615 (Homebush STS to Auburn ZS) Feeder 614 (Homebush STS to Auburn ZS) Feeder 617 (Homebush STS to Five Dock ZS) Feeder 763 (Rozelle STS to 763tee) Feeder 763 (A) (763 tee to Leichhardt ZS) Feeder 763 (B) (763 tee to Leichhardt ZS) Feeder 771 (771tee to Leichhardt ZS) Feeder 771 (A) (Strathfield STS to 771tee) Feeder 771 (B) (Strathfield STS to 771tee) Feeder 773 (A) (Strathfield STS to Leichhardt ZS) Feeder 773 (B) (Strathfield STS to Leichhardt ZS) Feeder 90A (Mason Park STSS to Homebush STS) Feeder 90L (Mason Park STSS to Homebush STS) Feeder 923/1 (Mason Park STSS to 923tee) Feeder 923/2 (923tee to Burwood ZS) (kV) Winter (MVA) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 112.5 109.8 106.9 107.4 109.2 109.9 75.4 81.8 78.3 78.8 79.0 2018 79.7 142.4 142.4 142.4 142.4 142.4 142.4 151.1 151.1 151.1 151.1 151.1 151.1 112.6 109.8 107.0 107.4 109.3 110.0 75.5 81.8 78.4 78.8 79.1 80.1 152.9 152.9 152.9 152.9 152.9 152.9 162.3 162.3 162.3 162.3 162.3 162.3 14.0 13.6 13.1 12.9 12.9 12.9 13.2 13.2 13.1 13.5 14.0 14.6 18.5 18.5 18.5 18.5 18.5 18.5 20.1 20.1 20.1 20.1 20.1 20.1 11.0 10.7 10.2 10.1 10.1 10.1 7.4 7.2 6.9 7.0 7.0 7.0 16.8 16.8 16.8 16.8 16.8 16.8 18.2 18.2 18.2 18.2 18.2 18.2 11.3 11.0 10.4 10.3 10.3 10.2 7.6 7.3 7.1 7.1 7.1 7.2 16.8 16.8 16.8 16.8 16.8 16.8 18.2 18.2 18.2 18.2 18.2 18.2 12.5 11.8 11.6 11.4 11.5 11.4 9.1 8.8 8.5 8.5 8.6 8.6 16.8 16.8 16.8 16.8 16.8 16.8 18.2 18.2 18.2 18.2 18.2 18.2 13.5 14.0 13.9 14.2 14.7 15.1 8.4 8.5 8.6 8.6 8.7 8.8 15.9 15.9 15.9 15.9 15.9 15.9 17.7 17.7 17.7 17.7 17.7 17.7 17.4 18.2 18.1 18.5 19.1 19.6 12.0 12.1 12.2 12.3 12.3 12.5 18.6 18.6 18.6 18.6 18.6 18.6 21.4 21.4 21.4 21.4 21.4 21.4 17.5 18.3 18.0 18.5 19.0 19.6 11.6 11.8 11.9 11.9 12.0 12.1 24.1 24.1 24.1 24.1 24.1 24.1 26.8 26.8 26.8 26.8 26.8 26.8 17.6 18.2 18.1 18.5 19.1 19.6 11.0 11.1 11.2 11.2 11.3 11.5 22.8 22.8 22.8 22.8 22.8 22.8 25.3 25.3 25.3 25.3 25.3 25.3 12.6 12.8 6.3 - - - 10.3 10.0 4.8 - - - 18.5 18.5 18.5 - - - 20.0 20.0 20.0 - - - 13.5 13.7 6.8 - - - 16.7 16.2 7.7 - - - 18.4 18.4 18.4 - - - 20.0 20.0 20.0 - - - 11.3 11.6 5.7 - - - 8.4 8.2 3.9 - - - 18.1 18.1 18.1 - - - 20.0 20.0 20.0 - - - 17.6 17.1 16.3 16.2 16.2 16.1 14.5 14.5 14.4 14.9 15.4 16.0 32.2 32.2 32.2 32.2 32.2 32.2 34.9 34.9 34.9 34.9 34.9 34.9 17.3 16.7 16.1 16.0 16.0 15.9 14.3 14.3 14.3 14.7 15.2 15.9 18.6 18.6 18.6 18.6 18.6 18.6 19.0 19.0 19.0 19.0 19.0 19.0 13.3 13.5 6.6 - - - 10.9 10.6 5.0 - - - 18.1 18.1 18.1 - - - 20.0 20.0 20.0 - - - 11.9 11.8 5.6 - - - 13.2 12.8 6.1 - - - 15.6 15.6 15.6 - - - 18.2 18.2 18.2 - - - 5.9 5.9 2.8 - - - 6.6 6.4 3.0 - - - 14.2 14.2 14.2 - - - 16.7 16.7 16.7 - - - 5.9 5.9 2.8 - - - 6.6 6.4 3.0 - - - 14.2 14.2 14.2 - - - 16.7 16.7 16.7 - - - 23.6 23.1 11.1 - - - 26.4 25.7 12.1 - - - 27.4 27.4 27.4 - - - 31.1 31.1 31.1 - - - 11.8 11.6 5.5 - - - 13.2 12.9 6.0 - - - 13.6 13.6 13.6 - - - 15.4 15.4 15.4 - - - 11.8 11.6 5.5 - - - 13.2 12.9 6.0 - - - 13.6 13.6 13.6 - - - 15.4 15.4 15.4 - - - 12.1 11.0 5.1 - - - 11.6 11.2 5.3 - - - 13.6 13.6 13.6 - - - 15.4 15.4 15.4 - - - 12.1 11.0 5.1 - - - 11.6 11.2 5.3 - - - 13.6 13.6 13.6 - - - 15.4 15.4 15.4 - - - 131.6 132.5 108.9 91.1 92.6 93.8 102.8 101.5 84.3 71.1 72.0 73.1 139.0 139.0 139.0 139.0 139.0 139.0 145.4 145.4 145.4 145.4 145.4 145.4 131.5 132.4 108.9 91.1 92.6 93.7 102.8 101.4 84.3 71.1 72.0 73.1 139.0 139.0 139.0 139.0 139.0 139.0 145.4 145.4 145.4 145.4 145.4 145.4 148.1 152.3 192.4 184.8 186.2 186.0 122.6 122.2 106.2 95.8 98.7 101.4 219.5 219.5 219.5 219.5 219.5 219.5 219.5 219.5 219.5 219.5 219.5 219.5 83.2 83.7 84.0 86.8 90.8 94.4 63.5 64.2 63.8 65.9 68.4 71.4 158.9 158.9 158.9 158.9 158.9 158.9 168.0 168.0 168.0 168.0 168.0 168.0 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 37 Inner West Area - Feeder Load Forecast Summer (MVA) Feeder name Feeder 924/1 (Mason Park STSS to 924tee) Feeder 924/2 (924tee to Burwood ZS) Feeder 90G (Mason Park STSS to Olympic Park ZS) Feeder 90U (Mason Park STSS to Olympic Park ZS) Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating 2016 2017 2018 145.3 150.1 193.1 183.6 184.5 184.7 125.0 124.8 107.7 97.0 99.6 103.2 228.4 228.4 228.4 228.4 228.4 228.4 257.4 257.4 257.4 257.4 257.4 257.4 83.8 84.1 84.6 87.2 91.4 94.7 63.8 64.5 64.1 66.3 68.7 71.9 168.0 168.0 168.0 168.0 168.0 168.0 177.2 177.2 177.2 177.2 177.2 177.2 - - 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 - - 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 - - 212.0 212.0 212.0 212.0 - - 218.0 218.0 218.0 218.0 - - 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 - - 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 - - 212.0 212.0 212.0 212.0 - - 218.0 218.0 218.0 218.0 Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating 2013 2014 2015 STS and ZS load forecast Winter Summer Winter Summer Winter 95% Peak Load Exceeded (hrs/yr) Summer Licence Capacity (MVA) Winter Substation Homebush 132/33kV STS Rozelle 132/33kV STS Strathfield 132/33kV STS Auburn 33/11kV ZS Burwood 132/11kV ZS Concord 33/11kV ZS Croydon 132/11kV ZS Drummoyne 132/11kV ZS Five Dock 33/11kV ZS Flemington 132/11kV ZS Homebush Bay 132/11kV ZS Leichhardt 132/11kV ZS Leichhardt 33/11kV ZS Lidcombe 33/11kV ZS Olympic Park 132/11kV ZS Firm Capacity (MVA) Summer Total Capacity (MVA) 266.2 40.0 129.5 75.9 152.4 81.4 124.6 102.1 64.6 152.4 106.7 109.3 114.3 54.1 124.6 266.2 45.0 137.2 75.9 152.5 81.4 124.6 112.3 65.6 152.4 115.1 120.3 114.3 55.2 124.6 140.3 0.0 68.6 41.0 83.6 54.4 62.2 56.2 41.3 98.7 53.2 59.5 65.8 33.4 62.2 142.9 0.0 68.6 41.0 90.3 54.4 65.0 61.8 44.2 106.6 57.4 62.5 69.1 33.4 65.0 140.3 0.0 68.6 41.0 100.3 60.9 74.7 67.4 41.3 109.7 59.1 65.5 65.8 33.4 74.7 142.9 0.0 68.6 41.0 108.4 65.3 78.0 63.3 44.2 127.9 68.9 70.4 69.1 33.4 78.0 11.2 11.2 11.2 13.8 2.9 11.2 2.9 2.9 2.9 13.8 13.8 11.2 11.2 13.8 13.8 5.0 5.0 5.0 22.2 5.0 5.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 19.1 19.1 5.0 5.0 5.0 19.1 Embedded Generation (MVA) Other Inner West Area - STS and ZS details Solar PV 3.7.3 Winter (MVA) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 (kV) - 2.00 - 0.29 1.64 0.76 - 1.16 0.85 0.97 1.20 - 0.95 0.56 - Identified Limitatio n in next 5 years No No No No No No No No No No No No No No No SUMMER - Inner West Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation Homebush 132/33kV STS Rozelle 132/33kV STS Strathfield 132/33kV STS Auburn 33/11kV ZS Burwood 132/11kV ZS Concord 33/11kV ZS Croydon 132/11kV ZS Drummoyne 132/11kV ZS Five Dock 33/11kV ZS Flemington 132/11kV ZS Homebush Bay 132/11kV ZS Leichhardt 132/11kV ZS Leichhardt 33/11kV ZS Lidcombe 33/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF Forecast Load Actual Load 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 101.6 121.9 132.2 108.1 114.3 120.6 121.1 102.1 85.8 87.1 88.1 1.00 1.00 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 14.0 11.4 12.2 10.4 11.2 11.9 11.8 7.3 0.86 0.86 0.90 0.73 0.90 0.91 0.91 0.92 57.8 56.1 44.5 47.0 51.6 50.9 50.6 41.1 31.7 31.7 31.7 0.98 0.98 0.92 0.95 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 22.8 29.7 27.6 29.2 27.8 29.9 28.9 27.9 27.7 27.6 27.5 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.83 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 78.3 81.4 84.2 70.4 78.0 74.0 74.3 74.5 76.7 79.5 82.1 0.92 0.92 0.90 0.91 0.91 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 45.5 44.5 45.6 38.0 43.0 46.4 48.1 47.9 48.9 50.4 51.7 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 18.2 37.2 38.9 40.6 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 51.2 55.6 58.1 48.8 50.7 54.3 55.1 55.9 58.1 60.9 63.6 0.94 0.94 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 29.3 33.6 38.2 30.0 32.7 35.7 36.1 18.3 0.95 0.95 0.94 0.95 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 86.1 85.8 89.2 78.6 84.1 93.1 91.3 89.4 89.8 90.9 91.6 0.88 0.88 0.92 0.92 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 50.2 45.7 47.7 42.9 45.9 52.9 52.0 45.6 45.8 46.3 46.6 0.94 0.94 0.95 0.95 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 16.3 32.7 33.4 33.9 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 32.3 28.8 28.4 28.8 33.9 33.5 33.0 16.3 0.98 0.98 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 28.5 27.7 29.5 26.1 21.7 22.6 21.8 21.1 20.9 20.8 20.7 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 38 WINTER - Inner West Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation Homebush 132/33kV STS Rozelle 132/33kV STS Strathfield 132/33kV STS Auburn 33/11kV ZS Burwood 132/11kV ZS Concord 33/11kV ZS Croydon 132/11kV ZS Drummoyne 132/11kV ZS Five Dock 33/11kV ZS Flemington 132/11kV ZS Homebush Bay 132/11kV ZS Leichhardt 132/11kV ZS Leichhardt 33/11kV ZS Lidcombe 33/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF 2008 109.7 1.00 17.8 0.86 55.9 0.98 17.5 1.00 72.2 0.93 39.0 1.00 71.2 0.97 40.1 1.00 69.4 0.92 43.4 0.96 37.9 0.98 23.5 1.00 2009 104.3 1.00 18.3 0.86 50.3 0.99 23.6 1.00 66.4 0.94 33.9 1.00 60.9 0.96 34.7 1.00 59.7 0.92 37.4 0.99 33.3 0.99 20.8 1.00 Actual Load 2010 2011 105.1 102.7 1.00 1.00 18.5 19.1 0.87 0.90 48.2 40.6 0.98 0.93 28.1 21.5 0.83 0.84 61.5 66.4 0.94 0.90 33.0 32.5 0.93 0.93 63.0 61.3 0.95 0.95 39.9 37.9 0.96 0.96 69.9 62.2 0.91 0.92 39.0 40.3 0.99 0.97 30.8 30.8 0.93 0.93 24.8 23.0 0.94 0.92 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 2012 94.7 0.99 19.8 0.74 47.8 0.99 25.5 0.92 61.9 0.95 30.1 0.93 56.5 0.95 31.6 0.97 64.8 0.92 34.5 0.98 37.1 0.93 20.1 0.94 2013 93.6 0.99 17.9 0.68 47.0 0.99 26.4 0.92 59.9 0.99 30.5 0.93 58.7 0.95 34.2 0.97 66.5 0.92 36.7 0.98 37.3 0.93 16.1 0.94 2014 92.3 0.99 17.4 0.68 46.5 0.99 26.4 0.92 60.5 0.99 30.8 0.93 56.9 0.95 33.2 0.97 71.0 0.92 43.7 0.98 36.3 0.93 15.7 0.94 Forecast Load 2015 2016 76.2 62.5 1.00 1.00 10.9 0.65 36.1 26.1 0.99 0.99 26.3 27.1 0.92 0.92 60.1 61.9 0.99 0.99 31.1 31.2 0.93 0.93 16.1 32.3 0.97 0.97 55.2 55.4 0.95 0.95 16.1 0.97 68.7 68.7 0.92 0.92 36.6 37.1 0.98 0.98 17.7 35.5 0.93 0.93 17.7 0.93 15.1 15.1 0.94 0.94 2017 63.3 1.00 26.1 0.99 28.0 0.92 63.9 0.99 31.4 0.93 32.5 0.97 55.7 0.95 69.0 0.92 37.6 0.98 35.9 0.93 15.2 0.94 2018 64.5 1.00 26.1 0.99 29.2 0.92 66.4 0.99 31.8 0.93 32.9 0.97 56.4 0.95 69.7 0.92 38.4 0.98 36.5 0.93 15.4 0.94 39 3.8 3.8.1 Lower Central Coast Load Area Description of Lower Central Coast area The Lower Central Coast area includes all of the Gosford local government area and a portion of Wyong Shire. The area extends south from Tuggerah Bulk Supply Point (BSP) to Broken Bay/Brisbane Water. There is bushland to the west of the region, and water to the east and south. The coastal area of the Lower Central Coast is a popular holiday destination and is a dormitory suburb for Sydney. The area is currently a mix of rural, residential, commercial and industrial land use. The Department of Planning’s Regional Strategy for the Central Coast predicts continued population growth in the area over the next 25 years. Over 16,000 additional dwellings are expected in the Gosford City Council area in the period to 2031, as a result of in-fill development. The current trend of redeveloping smaller, older dwellings into large modern houses is also expected to continue. As the population grows, industries in the region are likely to generate an increase in the number of jobs in wholesaling, retailing, property and business services, tourism, health services, cultural and recreational services and personal services. Although manufacturing jobs will increase in total numbers, the proportion of manufacturing jobs will decline. Development in the area is currently constrained by water supply issues, which prevent development of extensive areas of land west of the Sydney to Newcastle freeway. Greater population growth may be possible if the water supply issues are resolved. The network in the Lower Central Coast area: is normally supplied from TransGrid’s transmission system at Tuggerah and Vales Point Bulk Supply Points to the north via Ausgrid’s Central Coast 132kV transmission system. There is also a “normally closed” connection with Sydney East Bulk Supply Point to the south includes a mix of 132kV, 66kV and 33kV feeders and 132/11kV, 66/11kV and 33/11kV zone substations. 132kV supply to zone substations is a relatively recent supply development in the area. Historically, areas of high load density were supplied at 66kV is surrounded on three sides by water and bushland, which limits interconnection with other areas supplies RailCorp at 66kV via the Ourimbah sub-transmission substation, and provides two 33kV supplies at Mangrove Creek and Bangalow Creek for water pumping. Figure 11: Lower Central Coast Load Area Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 40 Table 9 – Identified system limitations in Lower Central Coast load area Location Identified Limitation Refer to DAPR section 1. Lisarow ZS Asset Condition (11kV switchgear) 5.3.6 2. Lisarow ZS Asset Condition (33kV switchgear) 5.3.6 3. Umina ZS Asset Condition 5.3.6 4. Feeders 794 - Ourimbah STS to Peats Ridge ZS Capacity 5.2.5 5. Feeders 720 - Gosford STS to Peats Ridge ZS Capacity 5.2.5 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 41 3.8.2 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast Lower Central Coast Area - Feeder Load Forecast Summer (MVA) Feeder name (kV) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 Feeder 268 Load 12.1 12.1 12.2 12.5 12.9 13.3 (Ourimbah STS to Wamberal ZS) 132 Rating 124.0 124.0 124.0 124.0 124.0 124.0 Feeder 720 Load 20.0 22.2 22.2 22.5 22.9 23.1 (Gosford STS to Peats Ridge ZS) 33 Rating 22.9 22.9 22.9 22.9 22.9 22.9 Feeder 721 Load 23.3 23.5 23.8 24.6 25.3 26.0 (Gosford STS to Lisarow ZS) 33 Rating 39.3 39.3 39.3 39.3 39.3 39.3 Feeder 757 Load 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.4 (Peats Ridge ZS to 22.9 22.9 22.9 22.9 22.9 22.9 Mangrove Creek ZS) 33 Rating Feeder 794 Load 20.6 23.1 23.1 23.4 23.8 24.1 (Ourimbah STS to Peats 22.9 22.9 22.9 22.9 22.9 22.9 Ridge ZS) 33 Rating Feeder 799 Load 23.2 23.4 23.7 24.5 25.2 25.9 (Ourimbah STS to Lisarow ZS) 33 Rating 32.9 32.9 32.9 32.9 32.9 32.9 Load Feeder 824/1 (Gosford STS to 824tee) 66 Rating Feeder 824/2 (824tee to 824tee2) 66 Rating Feeder 824/3 (Erina ZS to 824tee) Feeder 824/4 (Wamberal ZS to 824tee2) Feeder 824/5 (Avoca ZS to 824tee2) Feeder 826 (Gosford STS to Erina ZS) Feeder 828 (Gosford to STS Woy Woy ZS) Feeder 830 (Gosford STS to Umina ZS) Feeder 840 (Woy Woy ZS to Umina ZS) Load Load 66 Rating Load 66 Rating Load 66 Rating Load 66 Rating Load 66 Rating Load 66 Rating Load 66 Rating Load Feeder 841 (Avoca ZS to Erina ZS) 66 Rating Feeder 883 Load (Avoca ZS to Empire Bay ZS) 66 Rating Feeder 884 Load (Woy Woy ZS to Empire Bay ZS) 66 Rating Feeder 88J Load (Ourimbah STS to Long Jetty ZS) 66 Rating Feeder 88M Load (Ourimbah STS to Long Jetty ZS) 66 Rating Feeder 954 Load (Tuggerah BSP to Berkeley Vale ZS) 132 Rating Feeder 94L Load (Tuggerah BSP to Brekeley Vale ZS) 132 Rating 2013 2014 Winter (MVA) 2015 2016 2017 15.8 15.7 15.6 16.2 16.7 17.3 130.0 130.0 130.0 130.0 130.0 130.0 2018 13.3 15.5 15.4 15.7 16.2 16.6 22.9 22.9 22.9 22.9 22.9 22.9 22.2 21.8 21.4 21.9 22.5 23.1 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 22.9 22.9 22.9 22.9 22.9 22.9 13.5 15.8 15.7 16.2 16.6 17.1 22.9 22.9 22.9 22.9 22.9 22.9 22.0 21.7 21.3 21.9 22.4 23.0 34.8 34.8 34.8 34.8 34.8 34.8 70.6 74.4 75.1 77.8 80.3 82.9 71.2 70.4 73.2 75.3 77.6 79.8 105.6 105.6 105.6 105.6 105.6 105.6 130.6 130.6 130.6 130.6 130.6 130.6 41.9 45.9 46.5 48.4 50.5 52.5 49.0 48.6 51.9 53.5 55.3 56.9 83.6 83.6 83.6 83.6 83.6 83.6 115.6 115.6 115.6 115.6 115.6 115.6 44.1 45.7 46.0 47.4 48.8 50.2 41.5 40.9 42.0 43.1 44.4 45.5 114.3 114.3 114.3 114.3 114.3 114.3 114.3 114.3 114.3 114.3 114.3 114.3 12.0 12.1 12.1 12.5 12.8 13.2 15.8 15.5 15.5 16.1 16.6 17.2 30.3 30.3 30.3 30.3 30.3 30.3 46.9 46.9 46.9 46.9 46.9 46.9 41.7 45.6 46.2 48.1 50.1 52.1 48.7 48.4 51.6 53.3 55.0 56.6 83.6 83.6 83.6 83.6 83.6 83.6 115.6 115.6 115.6 115.6 115.6 115.6 70.8 74.9 75.6 78.3 80.9 83.5 71.5 70.8 73.6 75.8 78.1 80.3 105.6 105.6 105.6 105.6 105.6 105.6 114.3 114.3 114.3 114.3 114.3 114.3 47.6 43.9 44.0 44.8 45.9 46.8 44.2 43.0 38.3 38.8 39.4 39.9 114.3 114.3 114.3 114.3 114.3 114.3 114.3 114.3 114.3 114.3 114.3 114.3 47.9 44.3 44.3 45.5 46.3 47.3 44.4 43.2 38.5 39.0 39.6 40.1 105.6 105.6 105.6 105.6 105.6 105.6 114.3 114.3 114.3 114.3 114.3 114.3 27.2 25.3 25.1 25.3 25.5 25.7 26.2 25.3 23.1 23.3 23.5 23.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 41.9 45.9 46.7 48.7 50.5 52.5 49.3 49.0 52.1 53.7 55.5 57.2 63.5 63.5 63.5 63.5 63.5 63.5 69.1 69.1 69.1 69.1 69.1 69.1 9.9 14.3 14.5 15.0 15.5 15.9 11.6 11.4 15.6 15.9 16.2 16.6 70.9 70.9 70.9 70.9 70.9 70.9 80.6 80.6 80.6 80.6 80.6 80.6 9.8 14.3 14.5 15.0 15.4 15.9 - 11.5 15.5 16.0 16.2 16.5 70.9 70.9 70.9 70.9 70.9 70.9 - 91.4 91.4 91.4 91.4 91.4 38.4 38.1 38.0 38.8 39.6 40.4 45.6 45.1 44.6 46.1 47.6 49.2 57.2 57.2 57.2 57.2 57.2 57.2 57.2 57.2 57.2 57.2 57.2 57.2 38.2 38.0 37.8 38.7 39.3 40.1 45.3 44.8 44.5 45.8 47.5 48.9 114.3 114.3 114.3 114.3 114.3 114.3 114.3 114.3 114.3 114.3 114.3 114.3 47.6 47.4 48.3 48.2 47.8 47.6 40.4 39.0 38.7 39.0 39.2 39.4 275.0 275.0 275.0 275.0 275.0 275.0 340.4 340.4 340.4 340.4 340.4 340.4 47.6 47.4 48.5 48.2 48.0 47.6 40.4 39.0 38.7 39.0 39.2 39.4 275.0 275.0 275.0 275.0 275.0 275.0 338.1 338.1 338.1 338.1 338.1 338.1 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 42 3.8.3 STS and ZS load forecast Lower Central Coast Area - STS and ZS details Summer Winter Summer Winter Solar PV Other Embedded Generation (MVA) Winter 95% Peak Load Exceeded (hrs/yr) Summer Licence Capacity (MVA) Winter Substation Gosford 132/33kV STS Gosford 132/66kV STS Ourimbah 132/33kV STS Ourimbah 132/66kV STS Avoca 66/11kV ZS Berkeley Vale 132/11kV ZS Empire Bay 66/11kV ZS Erina 66/11kV ZS Lisarow 33/11kV ZS Long Jetty 66/11kV ZS Peats Ridge 33/11kV ZS Somersby 132/11kV ZS Umina 66/11kV ZS Wamberal 132/11kV ZS Wamberal 66/11kV ZS West Gosford 132/11kV ZS Woy Woy 66/11kV ZS Firm Capacity (MVA) Summer Total Capacity (MVA) 71.0 350.0 21.7 216.1 100.3 117.6 76.0 81.1 61.0 114.3 29.2 104.5 96.7 72.5 130.0 62.0 78.0 350.0 22.3 216.1 101.6 117.6 76.0 83.4 61.1 114.3 29.2 112.3 98.9 75.0 130.0 68.0 0.0 240.0 21.7 108.0 55.7 59.9 38.0 49.3 30.5 71.7 15.2 51.9 58.8 34.4 65.0 30.8 0.0 240.0 22.3 108.0 57.0 63.3 38.0 49.3 30.5 76.2 15.2 56.1 61.0 36.9 65.0 32.7 0.0 240.0 21.7 108.0 62.2 67.0 44.2 54.8 30.5 77.2 18.3 53.7 70.6 35.1 72.3 36.9 0.0 240.0 22.3 108.0 68.4 75.9 45.6 59.1 30.5 91.5 17.0 65.8 70.2 43.6 78.0 39.2 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 11.2 2.9 13.8 2.9 2.9 2.9 13.8 2.9 2.9 13.8 2.9 3.5 5.0 5.0 3.5 3.5 5.0 3.5 5.0 3.5 3.5 5.0 5.0 3.5 3.5 5.0 3.5 2.48 1.39 0.43 1.01 1.36 2.10 0.40 0.88 1.63 1.14 1.78 1.31 1.06 0.13 1.06 - Identified Limitation in next 5 years No No No No No No No No No No No No No No No No No SUMMER - Lower Central Coast Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation Gosford 132/33kV STS Gosford 132/66kV STS Ourimbah 132/33kV STS Ourimbah 132/66kV STS Avoca 66/11kV ZS Berkeley Vale 132/11kV ZS Berkeley Vale 33/11kV ZS Empire Bay 66/11kV ZS Erina 66/11kV ZS Lisarow 33/11kV ZS Long Jetty 33/11kV ZS Long Jetty 66/11kV ZS Peats Ridge 33/11kV ZS Somersby 132/11kV ZS Umina 66/11kV ZS Wamberal 132/11kV ZS Wamberal 66/11kV ZS West Gosford 132/11kV ZS Woy Woy 66/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF Actual Load Forecast Load 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 26.0 25.5 26.9 21.7 29.0 25.0 25.2 25.4 26.2 26.9 27.6 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.92 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 138.6 153.3 164.6 115.8 146.2 126.3 126.8 127.3 131.3 134.9 138.9 0.96 0.92 0.95 0.93 0.92 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 87.9 69.2 70.7 12.9 15.1 15.8 17.5 17.4 17.7 18.0 18.3 0.99 0.95 0.94 0.90 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 45.7 61.3 51.5 51.3 51.1 52.0 52.8 53.6 0.90 0.85 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 45.7 42.2 46.2 33.0 41.9 33.7 33.2 33.7 35.1 36.5 37.9 0.96 0.92 0.95 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 45.4 48.3 42.9 46.1 41.2 40.9 41.7 41.6 41.4 41.2 0.91 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 45.7 0.99 9.7 14.0 14.1 14.6 15.0 15.4 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 42.4 39.2 40.1 32.2 34.2 30.7 30.6 30.5 31.2 31.8 32.5 0.96 0.92 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 23.3 24.5 26.1 20.4 27.2 23.1 23.3 23.5 24.3 24.9 25.5 0.99 0.95 0.97 0.97 0.98 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 48.2 45.6 43.6 0.99 0.81 0.93 33.3 45.3 35.3 35.2 35.0 35.7 36.3 37.0 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 12.0 12.2 12.9 11.0 10.6 12.7 14.6 14.5 14.8 15.1 15.4 0.99 0.95 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 19.8 19.2 19.2 16.7 17.2 18.7 17.1 16.6 16.5 16.3 16.2 0.91 0.91 0.89 0.89 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 35.8 32.8 35.8 27.0 34.8 27.8 26.1 25.7 26.0 26.2 26.5 0.96 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 6.9 14.5 11.6 11.6 11.7 12.0 12.3 12.7 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 7.0 8.2 7.6 0.45 0.90 0.90 58.1 56.7 60.1 48.5 51.2 53.8 52.1 50.5 50.3 49.8 49.5 0.92 0.92 0.90 0.91 0.90 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 31.6 27.6 29.1 23.3 31.1 19.3 17.7 17.9 18.7 19.3 20.1 0.96 0.92 0.92 0.91 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 43 WINTER - Lower Central Coast Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation Gosford 132/33kV STS Gosford 132/66kV STS Ourimbah 132/33kV STS Ourimbah 132/66kV STS Avoca 66/11kV ZS Berkeley Vale 132/11kV ZS Berkeley Vale 33/11kV ZS Empire Bay 66/11kV ZS Erina 66/11kV ZS Lisarow 33/11kV ZS Long Jetty 33/11kV ZS Long Jetty 66/11kV ZS Peats Ridge 33/11kV ZS Somersby 132/11kV ZS Umina 66/11kV ZS Wamberal 132/11kV ZS Wamberal 66/11kV ZS West Gosford 132/11kV ZS Woy Woy 66/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF 2008 23.9 0.90 152.5 0.96 110.0 0.98 49.3 0.96 41.7 0.98 37.7 0.96 26.6 0.98 53.2 0.98 9.7 0.98 18.1 0.93 34.5 0.96 48.3 0.99 30.5 0.96 Actual Load 2009 2010 2011 24.5 24.1 20.5 0.90 0.90 0.90 135.5 144.6 134.4 0.99 0.99 0.98 69.0 69.5 11.6 0.99 0.98 0.90 56.2 0.99 43.9 43.6 41.2 0.99 0.98 0.98 34.8 34.3 34.2 0.95 0.90 0.90 35.4 31.5 28.8 0.99 0.97 0.97 24.8 25.9 23.3 0.99 0.98 0.98 47.5 44.2 0.99 0.98 42.6 0.90 10.5 11.1 10.4 0.99 0.90 0.90 17.4 17.7 16.9 0.94 0.93 0.91 30.2 31.2 27.8 0.99 0.96 0.96 0.0 10.5 0.94 0.90 10.4 9.9 0.90 0.90 44.6 44.3 42.1 0.99 0.97 0.96 28.5 27.4 27.8 0.99 0.97 0.97 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 2012 20.5 0.98 116.1 0.98 13.4 0.97 51.9 0.84 43.9 1.00 34.0 0.90 25.1 0.97 20.9 0.97 38.5 0.90 9.3 0.92 16.3 0.93 26.1 0.93 14.1 0.90 38.7 0.97 26.7 0.98 2013 21.0 0.98 116.4 1.00 14.0 0.97 54.4 0.86 39.7 1.00 35.3 0.90 11.5 0.99 23.0 0.99 21.5 1.00 41.4 0.90 10.4 0.92 19.6 0.93 27.5 0.93 15.0 0.90 41.6 1.00 18.2 0.98 Forecast Load 2014 2017 20.7 21.4 0.98 0.98 114.5 118.0 1.00 1.00 15.6 16.4 0.97 0.97 54.0 56.3 0.86 0.86 39.5 41.2 1.00 1.00 34.3 34.5 0.90 0.90 11.3 15.9 0.99 0.98 22.6 23.1 0.99 0.99 21.2 21.9 1.00 1.00 41.1 43.1 0.90 0.90 12.4 13.0 0.92 0.92 18.3 18.9 0.93 0.93 26.7 24.8 0.93 0.93 14.9 15.8 0.90 0.90 42.1 41.6 1.00 1.00 17.8 16.2 0.98 0.98 2018 21.9 0.98 120.5 1.00 16.9 0.97 57.6 0.86 42.6 1.00 34.8 0.90 16.2 0.98 23.6 0.99 22.3 1.00 44.3 0.90 13.4 0.92 19.3 0.93 25.0 0.93 16.3 0.90 41.9 1.00 16.4 0.98 44 3.9 3.9.1 Lower North Shore Load Area Description of Lower North Shore area The Lower North Shore load area extends from Chatswood and Castle Cove in the north to North Sydney in the south, and east to Mosman. The Lower North Shore area has many gas pressure and oil-filled cables, both of which are obsolete technology. These cables require specialist skills to repair and maintain, outage times can be lengthy, and spares are not readily available. The network in the Lower North Shore area: is supplied from TransGrid’s transmission system at Sydney East via four 132kV feeders to Lindfield switching station includes Castle Cove, Mosman and RNSH 132/11kV zone substations and Willoughby sub-transmission substation, which are supplied at 132kV from Lindfield switching station includes 33/11kV zone substations at Crows Nest, Chatswood, Gore Hill and North Sydney, which are supplied radially at 33kV from Willoughby sub-transmission substation supplies high rise commercial load in Chatswood and North Sydney predominantly serves residential and commercial load, and includes the 33kV supplies to two major customers, the Lane Cove Tunnel and Sydney Trains. Figure 12: Lower North Shore Load Area Table 10 – Identified system limitations in Lower North Shore load area Location 1. Nil Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 Identified Limitation Refer to DAPR section Nil - 45 3.9.2 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast Lower North Shore Area - Feeder Load Forecast Feeder name Feeder 925/1 series reactor Feeder 925/1 (Sydney East BSP to Lindfield STSS) Feeder 925/2 (Lindfiels STSS to Willoughby T4) Feeder 925/3 (Lindfield STSS to Castle Cove ZS) Feeder 925/4 (Castle Cove ZS to Mosman ZS) Feeder 9E3(1) (Sydney East BSP to Lindfield STSS) Feeder 9E3(2) (Lindfield STSS to WilloughbyT3) Feeder 9E4/1 (Sydney East BSP to Lindfield STSS) Feeder 9E4/2 (Lindfield STSS to Willoughby T1) Feeder 9E4/3 (Lindfield STSS to Castle Cove ZS) Feeder 9E4/4 (Castle Cove ZS to Mosman ZS) Feeder 9E5 series reactor Feeder 9E5(1) (Sydney East BSP to Lindfield STSS) Feeder 9E5(2) (Lindfield STSS to Willoughby T2) Feeder 9H1 (Willoughby STS to RNSH ZS T1) Feeder 9H2 (Willoughby STS to RNSH ZS T2) Feeder 9H3 (Willoughby STS to Crows Nest ZS) Feeder 9H5 (Willoughby STS to Crows Nest ZS) Feeder 9P3 (Crows Nest ZS to North Sydney ZS) Feeder 9P5 (Crows Nest ZS to North Sydney ZS) Feeder 551 (Willoughby STS to Chatswood ZS ZS T2) Feeder 552 (Willoughby STS to Chatswood ZS T1) Feeder 554 (Willoughby STS to Chatswood ZS T3) Feeder 556 (Willoughby STS to North Sydney ZS T5) Summer (MVA) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 (kV) Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating 2013 2014 Winter (MVA) 2015 2016 2017 2018 181.8 158.9 158.5 161.8 165.5 168.4 180.7 169.8 144.9 148.8 150.9 153.0 240.1 240.1 240.1 240.1 240.1 240.1 240.1 240.1 240.1 240.1 240.1 240.1 179.7 157.7 157.1 160.3 163.8 166.5 177.9 167.5 143.6 147.1 149.1 151.0 285.0 285.0 285.0 285.0 285.0 285.0 285.0 285.0 285.0 285.0 285.0 285.0 67.0 47.7 48.6 49.5 47.6 48.4 66.8 55.7 34.4 40.5 41.0 41.7 234.0 259.0 259.0 259.0 259.0 259.0 234.0 234.0 234.0 259.0 259.0 259.0 129.6 132.3 130.8 133.3 136.7 139.7 129.3 129.0 124.6 126.1 127.6 129.5 165.5 165.5 177.0 177.0 177.0 177.0 175.6 175.6 175.6 177.0 177.0 177.0 63.4 63.7 64.3 66.5 69.4 72.3 78.1 75.4 73.0 73.7 74.5 75.4 165.5 165.5 165.5 165.5 165.5 165.5 175.6 175.6 175.6 175.6 175.6 175.6 83.0 120.3 131.2 146.2 147.1 147.0 77.1 67.3 106.3 119.6 121.0 122.5 226.0 226.0 226.0 226.0 226.0 226.0 254.0 254.0 254.0 254.0 254.0 254.0 88.8 124.1 155.9 177.3 176.0 176.5 83.4 72.7 109.5 140.3 141.3 142.4 140.6 140.6 260.0 260.0 260.0 260.0 149.3 149.3 149.3 260.0 260.0 260.0 186.6 166.4 165.5 169.3 174.6 176.9 185.5 177.0 151.9 157.9 160.9 163.9 286.0 286.0 286.0 286.0 286.0 286.0 286.0 286.0 286.0 286.0 286.0 286.0 70.9 48.3 47.2 49.4 52.3 51.6 73.8 65.6 45.1 45.8 47.6 49.4 160.3 160.3 260.0 260.0 260.0 260.0 170.1 170.1 170.1 260.0 260.0 260.0 129.4 132.1 130.4 133.1 136.6 139.5 128.8 128.8 124.0 125.8 127.5 129.1 165.5 165.5 177.0 177.0 177.0 177.0 175.6 175.6 175.6 177.0 177.0 177.0 63.5 63.9 64.2 66.8 69.7 72.3 78.5 75.7 73.1 73.7 74.5 75.5 165.5 165.5 165.5 165.5 165.5 165.5 175.6 175.6 175.6 175.6 175.6 175.6 90.3 126.4 143.4 163.9 163.2 163.8 78.5 69.2 110.0 128.9 130.0 131.3 240.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 76.4 124.9 141.2 160.7 160.1 160.7 71.6 62.6 109.2 127.5 128.5 129.8 226.0 285.0 285.0 285.0 285.0 285.0 254.0 254.0 285.0 285.0 285.0 285.0 93.6 128.1 144.6 164.0 163.4 163.9 75.7 66.3 111.9 130.7 131.7 132.8 259.0 259.0 259.0 259.0 259.0 259.0 234.0 234.0 259.0 259.0 259.0 259.0 18.1 18.1 18.1 17.9 18.1 18.1 6.3 11.0 11.0 11.0 11.0 11.0 166.0 166.0 166.0 166.0 166.0 166.0 174.0 174.0 174.0 174.0 174.0 174.0 17.8 18.2 18.2 17.9 18.2 18.1 6.3 11.0 11.0 11.0 11.0 11.0 166.0 166.0 166.0 166.0 166.0 166.0 174.0 174.0 174.0 174.0 174.0 174.0 - 84.6 104.0 127.2 127.3 127.0 - - 78.7 99.0 99.9 100.9 - 272.0 272.0 272.0 272.0 272.0 - - 280.0 280.0 280.0 280.0 - 85.0 104.5 127.4 127.7 127.7 - - 78.8 99.3 100.2 101.3 - 272.0 272.0 272.0 272.0 272.0 - - 280.0 280.0 280.0 280.0 - 85.9 94.5 105.6 105.7 105.2 - - 70.5 80.9 81.6 82.5 - 272.0 272.0 272.0 272.0 272.0 - - 280.0 280.0 280.0 280.0 - 86.3 94.9 105.9 106.0 105.7 - - 70.6 81.2 81.8 82.7 - 272.0 272.0 272.0 272.0 272.0 - - 280.0 280.0 280.0 280.0 24.0 23.8 23.1 23.4 24.0 24.1 21.8 22.0 21.3 21.5 21.7 21.9 58.1 58.1 58.1 58.1 58.1 58.1 61.6 61.6 61.6 61.6 61.6 61.6 24.0 23.5 23.1 23.4 23.8 24.0 22.2 22.1 21.4 21.6 21.8 22.0 58.0 58.0 58.0 58.0 58.0 58.0 61.6 61.6 61.6 61.6 61.6 61.6 24.0 23.5 23.1 23.4 23.8 24.0 22.2 22.1 21.4 21.6 22.0 22.0 34.5 34.5 34.5 34.5 34.5 34.5 38.2 38.2 38.2 38.2 38.2 38.2 9.9 - - - - - 15.7 7.3 - - - - 30.5 - - - - - 30.5 30.5 - - - - Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 46 Lower North Shore Area - Feeder Load Forecast Summer (MVA) Feeder name (kV) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 Feeder 557 Load 4.9 (Willoughby STS to North Sydney ZS T1) 33 Rating 29.8 Feeder 558 Load 4.9 (Willoughby STS to North Sydney ZS T1) 33 Rating 28.3 Feeder 562 Load 0.4 (Willoughby STS to Crows Nest ZS T1) 33 Rating 19.5 Feeder 563 Load 14.9 (Willoughby STS to Crows Nest ZS T4) 33 Rating 20.2 Feeder 564 Load 14.9 (Willoughby STS to 20.2 Crows Nest ZS T3) 33 Rating Feeder 565 Load 14.9 (Willoughby STS to Crows Nest ZS T2) 33 Rating 17.4 Feeder 566 Load 9.9 (Willoughby STS to 27.8 North Sydney ZS T2) 33 Rating Feeder 567 Load 9.9 (Willoughby STS to 27.8 North Sydney ZS T3) 33 Rating Feeder 568 Load 9.9 (Willoughby STS to North Sydney ZS T4) 33 Rating 27.8 Feeder 571 Load 21.4 20.7 20.0 20.1 20.0 20.0 (Willoughby STS to Gore Hill ZS T1) 33 Rating 40.2 40.2 40.2 40.2 40.2 40.2 Feeder 572 Load 21.4 20.8 20.1 20.0 20.0 20.1 (Willoughby STS to Gore Hill ZS T2) 40.2 40.2 40.2 40.2 40.2 40.2 33 Rating Feeder 573 Load 21.5 20.8 20.1 20.0 20.1 20.1 (Willoughby STS to Gore 40.2 40.2 40.2 40.2 40.2 40.2 Hill ZS T3) 33 Rating Feeder 574 Load 21.5 20.8 20.1 20.0 20.1 20.1 (Willoughby STS to Gore Hill ZS T4) 33 Rating 40.2 40.2 40.2 40.2 40.2 40.2 3.9.3 Winter (MVA) 2015 2016 2013 2014 7.8 3.7 - - 2017 - 2018 - 29.8 29.8 - - - - 7.8 3.7 - - - - 28.3 28.3 - - - - 0.4 0.4 - - - - 19.5 19.5 - - - - 12.6 13.3 - - - - 20.2 20.2 - - - - 12.9 13.6 - - - - 20.2 20.2 - - - - 12.6 13.3 - - - - 17.4 17.4 - - - - 15.6 7.3 - - - - 27.8 27.8 - - - - 15.6 7.3 - - - - 27.8 27.8 - - - - 15.7 7.3 - - - - 27.8 27.8 - - - - 17.7 17.4 17.0 17.3 17.6 18.0 43.6 43.6 43.6 43.6 43.6 43.6 17.8 17.5 17.1 17.4 17.7 18.0 43.6 43.6 43.6 43.6 43.6 43.6 17.8 17.5 17.1 17.4 17.7 18.0 43.6 43.6 43.6 43.6 43.6 43.6 17.8 17.5 17.1 17.4 17.7 18.1 43.6 43.6 43.6 43.6 43.6 43.6 STS and ZS load forecast Lower North Shore Area - STS and ZS details Summer Winter Summer Winter Solar PV Other Embedded Generation (MVA) Winter 95% Peak Load Exceeded (hrs/yr) Summer Licence Capacity (MVA) Winter Substation Willoughby 132/33kV STS Castle Cove 132/11kV ZS Chatswood 33/11kV ZS Crows Nest 132/11kV ZS Crows Nest 33/11kV ZS Gore Hill 33/11kV ZS Mosman 132/11kV ZS North Sydney 132/11kV ZS North Sydney 33/11kV ZS RNS Hospital 132/11kV ZS Firm Capacity (MVA) Summer Total Capacity (MVA) 453.2 152.4 121.9 114.3 93.2 151.3 152.4 171.5 152.4 97.3 453.2 152.4 122.1 114.3 94.6 151.3 152.6 171.5 152.7 97.3 313.6 90.7 67.1 57.1 60.0 96.9 82.5 114.3 113.0 53.5 313.6 96.3 70.5 57.1 60.0 96.9 89.1 114.3 119.7 53.5 313.6 100.8 67.1 63.5 60.0 96.9 92.2 127.1 113.0 59.9 313.6 115.5 70.5 57.7 60.0 96.9 92.2 137.2 119.7 64.2 13.8 13.8 11.2 13.8 13.8 11.2 11.2 13.8 13.8 11.2 22.2 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 19.1 3.5 19.1 19.1 19.1 1.25 1.31 0.47 0.22 1.22 0.17 0.03 3.50 1.78 3.37 4.00 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 Identified Limitation in next 5 years No No No No No No No No No No 47 SUMMER - Lower North Shore Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation Willoughby 132/33kV STS Castle Cove 132/11kV ZS Chatswood 33/11kV ZS Crows Nest 132/11kV ZS Crows Nest 33/11kV ZS Gore Hill 33/11kV ZS Mosman 132/11kV ZS North Sydney 132/11kV ZS North Sydney 33/11kV ZS RNS Hospital 132/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF Actual Load Forecast Load 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 272.1 296.5 297.6 245.4 249.0 228.9 188.2 163.9 143.6 144.6 145.2 0.95 0.93 0.84 0.90 0.90 0.91 0.91 0.92 0.93 0.93 0.93 75.0 78.0 80.5 65.1 69.9 68.2 70.3 68.5 68.7 69.2 69.4 0.91 0.91 0.92 0.90 0.94 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 43.9 44.9 47.5 40.3 43.4 46.2 45.4 44.7 45.2 45.9 46.4 0.95 0.93 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 21.4 42.8 43.1 43.3 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 43.6 47.5 45.5 37.9 39.4 42.9 42.9 21.4 0.95 0.93 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 79.2 78.8 83.7 72.7 66.1 64.6 62.7 60.8 60.6 60.7 60.6 0.95 0.93 0.92 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 65.2 68.5 74.3 60.0 63.8 67.1 67.5 67.9 70.2 72.9 75.4 0.90 0.90 0.93 0.93 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 38.9 75.2 72.8 72.5 72.4 72.1 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 89.0 88.2 90.1 80.5 78.7 38.9 0.95 0.93 0.89 0.91 0.91 0.91 6.8 12.4 17.9 17.9 17.9 17.9 17.9 17.9 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 WINTER - Lower North Shore Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation Willoughby 132/33kV STS Castle Cove 132/11kV ZS Chatswood 33/11kV ZS Crows Nest 132/11kV ZS Crows Nest 33/11kV ZS Gore Hill 33/11kV ZS Mosman 132/11kV ZS North Sydney 132/11kV ZS North Sydney 33/11kV ZS RNS Hospital 132/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF 2008 246.2 0.97 72.5 0.92 49.2 0.97 44.5 0.97 69.6 0.97 95.5 0.93 76.2 0.97 - Actual Load 2009 2010 2011 230.7 236.9 224.1 0.99 0.98 0.90 66.5 66.4 64.0 0.92 0.92 0.92 43.7 44.6 42.4 0.99 0.90 0.89 38.1 41.4 39.4 0.99 0.87 0.87 66.7 68.1 67.6 0.99 0.90 0.90 84.0 85.9 86.8 0.93 0.93 0.92 70.2 68.7 66.4 0.99 0.95 0.95 - Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 2012 204.2 0.97 59.1 0.87 42.0 0.90 36.3 0.87 61.0 0.90 79.5 0.93 63.2 0.96 7.3 0.90 2013 221.5 0.97 55.4 0.95 43.9 0.90 37.4 0.87 55.3 0.90 79.5 0.97 61.5 0.96 8.0 0.90 2014 191.4 0.97 57.6 0.95 44.1 0.90 39.5 0.87 54.3 0.90 77.2 0.97 29.4 0.96 29.4 0.96 13.6 0.90 Forecast Load 2015 2016 141.7 125.1 0.98 0.98 55.9 56.4 0.95 0.95 42.7 43.0 0.90 0.90 19.1 38.4 0.87 0.87 19.2 0.87 53.1 54.0 0.90 0.90 74.9 75.5 0.97 0.97 57.0 57.4 0.96 0.96 13.6 13.6 0.90 0.90 2017 126.5 0.98 57.1 0.95 43.4 0.90 38.8 0.87 55.0 0.90 76.2 0.97 57.9 0.96 13.6 0.90 2018 128.1 0.98 57.8 0.95 43.8 0.90 39.1 0.87 56.0 0.90 77.1 0.97 58.4 0.96 13.6 0.90 48 3.10 Maitland Load Area 3.10.1 Description of Maitland area The Maitland network area extends in the north from Luskintyre and Woodville and south to Heddon Greta and Black Hill. The area is traversed from west to east by the Hunter River. The associated flood plains create the northern and eastern boundary along with Hexham Wetlands to the south. The majority of existing urban development lies along the New England Highway and railway transport corridor which passes from east to west through the middle portion of the area. Major residential development is continuing to the east of Maitland and around Thornton, and also to the west, north of Aberglassyn. The surrounding suburbs and villages contain a mixture of urban and rural development, with increasing amounts of light to medium industry along the main transport corridor. Intensive agricultural activities are also prevalent along the Hunter River flood plain. The network in the Maitland area includes: Kurri and Beresfield sub-transmission substations (STS) which are supplied via 132kV feeders from TransGrid’s transmission system at Killingworth seven zone substations, three supplied from the 33kV network from Kurri STS , and four supplied from the 33kV network from Beresfield STS two 33kV connected mining customers and a 33kV connection for Hunter Water supply at Tarro 33kV feeder interconnections to the Tomago and Waratah 33kV networks via Tarro zone substation, and provides the main 33kV supply to the Essential Energy network supplying Martin’s Creek and Gresford. Figure 13: Maitland Load Area Table 11 – Identified system limitations in Maitland load area Location Identified Limitation Refer to DAPR section 1. Tarro 33/11kV zone substation Capacity 5.3.14 2. Telarah 33/11kV zone substation Capacity 5.3.14 3. Telarah 33/11kV zone substation Asset Condition 5.3.14 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 49 3.10.2 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast Maitland Area - Feeder Load Forecast Feeder name Feeder 30012 (Rutherford To Telarah) Feeder 30025(1) (Thornton to East Maitland) Feeder 30025(2) (Thornton to East Maitland) Feeder 30025 (Thornton to Metford) Feeder 30028(1) (East Maitland to Maitland) Feeder 30028(2) (East Maitland to Maitland) Feeder 30028 (Metford to Maitland) Summer (MVA) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 (kV) Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load Feeder 33854 (Beresfield STS To Tarro) 33 Rating Load Feeder 33859 (Beresfield STS To Thornton) 33 Rating Feeder 33874(1) Load (Beresfield STS to East Maitland) 33 Rating Feeder 33874(2) Load (Beresfield STS to East Maitland) 33 Rating 2013 2014 Winter (MVA) 2015 2016 2017 2018 27.4 27.7 28.0 28.6 29.5 29.5 25.9 25.5 25.5 26.4 27.2 28.1 31.2 31.2 31.2 31.2 31.2 31.2 41.4 41.4 41.4 41.4 41.4 41.4 32.1 32.7 - - - - 20.6 20.9 - - - - 45.7 45.7 - - - - 45.7 45.7 - - - - 33.0 33.7 - - - - 20.9 21.3 - - - - 60.0 60.0 - - - - 65.2 65.2 - - - - - - 32.6 32.9 33.3 33.8 - - 22.8 23.2 23.7 24.3 - - 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 - - 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 24.8 24.9 - - - - 13.0 17.4 - - - - 31.2 31.2 - - - - 41.4 41.4 - - - - 24.8 24.9 - - - - 13.0 17.4 - - - - 31.2 31.2 - - - - 41.4 41.4 - - - - - - 25.0 25.4 26.0 26.5 0.0 0.0 17.0 17.2 17.4 17.7 - - 53.0 53.0 53.0 53.0 0.0 0.0 54.0 54.0 54.0 54.0 26.9 27.6 27.9 28.8 30.3 31.3 21.9 19.8 20.1 21.1 22.0 23.1 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 47.3 43.9 41.8 42.3 43.1 44.0 26.2 26.3 24.0 24.8 25.6 26.5 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 65.2 65.2 65.2 65.2 65.2 65.2 33.5 33.3 - - - - 20.3 20.6 - - - - 60.0 60.0 - - - - 65.2 65.2 - - - - 32.8 32.5 - - - - 19.8 20.2 - - - - 45.7 45.7 - - - - 45.7 45.7 - - - - Load Feeder 33874 (Beresfield STS to Metford) 33 Rating - - 31.8 32.0 32.5 33.1 - - 22.1 22.5 23.0 23.6 - - 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 - - 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 Load Feeder 33899 (Beresfield STS To Thornton) 33 Rating 47.0 43.5 41.4 41.9 42.6 43.6 26.0 26.1 23.8 24.5 25.3 26.3 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 65.2 65.2 65.2 65.2 65.2 65.2 Feeder 33904(1) (Beresfield STS to Tarro) Load 33 Rating Load Feeder 33904(2) (Beresfield STS to Tarro) Feeder KU4(1) (Kurri STS to tee Telarah and Maitland) 33 Rating Feeder KU4(2) (tee to Telarah) 33 Rating Feeder KU4(3) (tee to Maitland) 33 Rating Feeder KU5 (Kurri STS To Telarah) Feeder KU8 (Kurri STS To Rutherford) Feeder KU13 (Kurri STS To Telarah) Feeder 34099(1) (Thornton to Essential Energy) Feeder 34099(4) (tee to Wallalong ZS) Feeder 34099(3) (Thornton to Essential Energy) Feeder 34099(5) (Thornton to Essential Energy) 33 Rating Load Load Load Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating 27.3 28.0 28.3 29.2 30.8 31.8 22.2 20.0 20.3 21.4 22.3 23.5 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 62.2 62.2 62.2 62.2 62.2 62.2 26.7 27.3 27.6 28.5 29.9 30.9 21.8 19.7 20.0 21.0 21.9 23.0 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 31.3 31.8 32.1 33.0 34.0 34.9 22.5 20.0 19.8 20.4 20.9 21.5 41.6 41.6 41.6 41.6 41.6 41.6 56.1 56.1 56.1 56.1 56.1 56.1 11.5 11.9 12.0 12.4 13.0 12.6 10.5 13.2 13.3 13.7 14.0 14.5 31.2 31.2 31.2 31.2 31.2 31.2 41.4 41.4 41.4 41.4 41.4 41.4 24.8 24.9 25.0 25.3 25.9 26.4 0.0 17.0 16.8 17.4 17.4 17.8 53.0 53.0 53.0 53.0 53.0 53.0 0.0 54.0 54.0 54.0 54.0 54.0 14.3 14.6 14.7 15.1 15.7 16.0 10.7 9.3 9.2 9.5 9.8 10.1 18.6 18.6 18.6 18.6 18.6 18.6 24.3 24.3 24.3 24.3 24.3 24.3 31.8 32.2 32.5 33.5 34.6 33.9 28.8 28.8 28.8 28.9 28.4 31.2 36.0 36.0 36.0 36.0 36.0 36.0 44.9 44.9 44.9 44.9 44.9 44.9 23.7 24.0 24.3 25.0 25.9 26.3 18.4 16.5 16.5 16.9 17.4 18.0 26.8 26.8 26.8 26.8 26.8 26.8 35.5 35.5 35.5 35.5 35.5 35.5 10.7 5.9 5.9 5.9 6.0 6.1 5.6 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.2 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 65.2 65.2 65.2 65.2 65.2 65.2 4.7 - - - - - 3.1 - - - - - 21.0 - - - - - 27.5 - - - - - 10.6 5.9 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.7 5.6 3.1 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.6 11.3 11.3 11.3 11.3 11.3 11.3 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 5.7 5.7 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.5 3.0 3.0 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.6 9.7 9.7 9.7 9.7 9.7 9.7 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 50 3.10.3 STS and ZS load forecast Maitland Area - STS and ZS details Summer Winter Summer Winter Solar PV Other Embedded Generation (MVA) Winter 95% Peak Load Exceeded (hrs/yr) Summer Licence Capacity (MVA) Winter Substation Beresfield 132/33kV STS Brandy Hill 132/11kV ZS East Maitland 33/11kV ZS Maitland 33/11kV ZS Maitland Central 33/11kV ZS Metford 33/11kV ZS Rutherford 33/11kV ZS Tarro 33/11kV ZS Telarah 33/11kV ZS Thornton 33/11kV ZS Wallalong 33/11kV ZS Firm Capacity (MVA) Summer Total Capacity (MVA) 240.0 37.5 45.7 66.0 38.4 76.0 76.2 45.7 28.9 99.0 5.8 240.0 38.0 45.7 66.0 38.4 76.0 76.2 45.7 30.5 99.0 6.3 142.9 37.5 30.5 38.0 23.8 38.0 38.1 22.9 15.2 72.6 0.0 142.9 37.5 30.5 38.0 23.8 38.0 38.1 22.9 15.2 72.6 0.0 142.9 10.0 34.1 42.5 26.7 42.5 42.6 25.6 18.3 86.1 5.0 142.9 10.0 36.6 45.6 28.6 45.6 45.7 27.4 18.3 86.1 5.5 2.9 11.2 11.2 11.2 11.2 11.2 11.2 11.2 2.9 2.9 2.9 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 0.20 1.55 0.84 1.22 0.86 0.62 2.03 0.32 - Identified Limitation in next 5 years No No No No No No No Yes No No No SUMMER - Maitland Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation MVA PF MVA Brandy Hill 132/11kV ZS PF MVA East Maitland 33/11kV ZS PF MVA Maitland 33/11kV ZS PF MVA Maitland Central 33/11kV ZS PF MVA Metford 33/11kV ZS PF MVA Rutherford 33/11kV ZS PF MVA Tarro 33/11kV ZS PF MVA Telarah 33/11kV ZS PF MVA Thornton 33/11kV ZS PF MVA Wallalong 33/11kV ZS PF Beresfield 132/33kV STS Actual Load Forecast Load 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 113.2 0.91 32.4 0.91 21.7 0.98 24.5 0.98 22.6 0.91 19.3 0.98 36.4 0.91 4.2 0.91 102.4 0.91 31.9 0.91 19.9 1.00 24.1 1.00 22.7 0.91 18.4 1.00 35.5 0.91 4.1 0.91 107.2 0.96 33.0 1.00 22.2 0.90 31.6 0.93 27.4 0.91 16.1 0.94 32.7 0.93 4.9 0.92 96.3 0.94 23.4 1.00 16.3 0.90 23.0 0.99 22.7 0.90 13.2 0.94 24.5 0.93 2.0 0.97 97.7 1.00 31.0 0.99 20.8 0.93 30.0 0.94 24.6 0.91 18.1 0.95 32.2 0.99 4.5 0.90 96.5 1.00 0.9 0.95 32.2 1.00 26.0 0.93 28.7 1.00 24.1 0.91 16.1 0.95 37.0 0.98 4.6 0.90 93.8 1.00 8.7 0.93 32.8 1.00 26.1 0.93 29.0 1.00 24.6 0.91 16.5 0.95 37.0 0.98 - 94.1 1.00 8.8 0.93 26.2 0.93 33.5 0.98 29.2 1.00 25.1 0.91 16.9 0.95 37.0 0.98 - 95.4 1.00 8.9 0.93 26.6 0.93 33.8 0.98 29.9 1.00 25.9 0.91 17.4 0.95 37.4 0.98 - 97.3 1.00 9.1 0.93 27.2 0.93 34.4 0.98 30.7 1.00 26.9 0.91 18.2 0.95 38.1 0.98 - 99.4 1.00 9.3 0.93 27.8 0.93 35.0 0.98 31.6 1.00 28.0 0.91 18.9 0.95 38.9 0.98 - Actual Load 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Forecast Load 2015 2016 2017 2018 79.9 0.93 20.1 0.98 12.0 0.96 21.2 0.99 19.0 0.92 10.1 0.98 21.2 0.96 2.8 0.90 67.2 0.93 1.5 0.97 21.5 1.00 12.6 0.96 23.2 1.00 19.9 0.92 10.7 0.97 19.9 1.00 3.0 0.90 68.6 0.93 2.4 0.97 21.9 1.00 15.8 0.96 23.2 1.00 18.1 0.92 8.0 0.97 22.7 0.99 3.0 0.90 66.9 0.93 10.2 0.94 15.6 0.96 23.8 0.98 23.2 1.00 18.4 0.92 8.0 0.97 22.7 0.99 - 70.8 0.93 10.5 0.94 16.0 0.96 25.1 0.98 24.7 1.00 20.1 0.92 8.5 0.97 24.2 0.99 - 73.1 0.93 10.7 0.94 16.2 0.96 25.9 0.98 25.5 1.00 21.1 0.92 8.8 0.97 25.1 0.99 - WINTER - Maitland Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation 2008 2009 MVA Beresfield 132/33kV STS PF MVA Brandy Hill 132/11kV ZS PF MVA East Maitland 33/11kV ZS PF MVA Maitland 33/11kV ZS PF MVA Maitland Central 33/11kV ZS PF MVA Metford 33/11kV ZS PF MVA Rutherford 33/11kV ZS PF MVA Tarro 33/11kV ZS PF MVA Telarah 33/11kV ZS PF MVA Thornton 33/11kV ZS PF MVA Wallalong 33/11kV ZS PF 78.1 0.96 22.0 0.96 14.6 0.99 21.2 0.99 20.7 0.96 15.7 0.99 27.0 0.96 4.0 0.96 83.3 0.91 21.8 0.91 14.3 1.00 17.9 1.00 17.4 0.91 12.5 1.00 25.0 0.91 3.0 0.91 71.1 0.96 21.5 0.99 12.9 0.93 18.1 0.94 20.0 0.93 12.8 0.96 22.5 0.97 2.5 0.97 69.3 0.94 20.2 1.00 12.4 0.97 20.2 0.97 18.5 0.94 9.9 0.98 20.1 0.97 3.1 0.96 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 68.9 0.93 10.3 0.94 15.8 0.96 24.5 0.98 23.9 1.00 19.2 0.92 8.2 0.97 23.4 0.99 - 51 3.11 Manly Warringah Load Area 3.11.1 Manly Warringah area The Manly Warringah area is bordered on three sides by Middle Harbour and the Tasman Sea. It is separated from the adjoining Terrey Hills and Pittwater area by Narrabeen Lakes and bushland. The network serves both urban residential and commercial areas, with major industrial demand in Brookvale and Dee Why West, and retail demand at Warringah Mall. The area is principally residential. There is substantial high density development along the beachfront forming the eastern boundary of the area whereas the rest of the area is characterised by detached dwellings. There is a proposed implementation of Planning NSW strategies including an employment land strategy at Brookvale, development of commercial centres at Dee Why and Manly, and potential development of a major centre at Frenchs Forest. An additional 19,500 jobs and 17,300 dwellings are forecast for the North-East sub-region by 2031. This includes 13,500 new jobs and 12,700 new dwellings in Manly Warringah. New dwellings will mainly take the form of higher density construction, which will replace existing dwellings. Jobs growth will arise from development in the Dee Why / Brookvale and Manly area. The establishment of a new hospital at Forestville (close to Beacon Hill zone substation) is also proposed for the area. The Manly Warringah network supplies Manly and most of Warringah Shire, and: is supplied at 33kV from Warringah sub-transmission substation (STS), which is in turn supplied from TransGrid’s Sydney East bulk supply point by four 132kV circuits includes eight 33/11kV zone substations and one 132/33/11kV zone substation, and is supplied by a complex network of 33kV feeders, comprising both overhead lines, which generally cover inland areas, and underground cables, which generally cover coastal areas. Figure 14 Manly Warringah Load Area Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 52 Table 12 – Identified system limitations in Manly-Warringah load area Location Identified Limitation Refer to DAPR section 1. Feeder S08(3) - S08TEE to Harbord ZS Asset Condition 5.2.6 2. Feeder S08(2) - S08TEE to Manly ZS Asset Condition 5.2.6 3. Feeder S10 - S10TEE to Kangaroo Park to Manly ZS Asset Condition 5.2.6 4. Feeder S10(4) - Kangaroo Park Terminal to North Head ZS Asset Condition 5.2.6 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 53 3.11.2 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast Manly Warringah Area - Feeder Load Forecast Feeder name Feeder 9M5 (Warringah STS to Balgowlah North ZS) Feeder 9M4 (Sydney East BSP to Warringah STS) Feeder 9M3 (Sydney East BSP to Warringah STS) Feeder 9M2 (Sydney East BSP to Warringah STS) Feeder S10(1) (Warringah STS to Tee Kangaroo Park ) Feeder S10(3) (Tee Warringah STS to Kangaroo Park Terminal) Feeder S10(4) (Kangaroo Park Terminal to North Head ZS) Feeder S10(5) (Kangaroo Park Terminal to Manly ZS) Feeder S18 (Harbord ZS to North Head ZS) Feeder S01(4) (Warringah STS to Balgowlah North ZS) Feeder S14 (Warringah STS to Killarney ZS) Feeder S02(1) (Warringah STS to tee Killarney/Belrose ZS) Feeder S02(2) (Tee Warringah STS/Killarney/Belrose ZS to Killarney ZS) Feeder S02(3) (Tee Warringah STS /Killarney/Belrose ZS to Belrose ZS) Feeder S09 (Warringah STS to Beacon Hill ZS) Feeder S12 (Warringah STS to Beacon Hill ZS) Feeder S03(1) (Warringah STS to tee CP Oxford Falls/Belrose ZS) Feeder S03(2) (Tee Warringah/CP/Belrose ZS to Belrose ZS) Feeder S05(1) (Warringah STS to Tee CP/Dee Why West ZS) Feeder S05(2) (Tee Warringah STS/CP/Dee Why West ZS to Dee Why West Summer (MVA) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 (kV) Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating 2013 2014 Winter (MVA) 2015 2016 2017 2018 22.6 22.7 22.8 23.8 24.8 25.7 34.3 33.8 33.3 34.2 35.1 36.2 198.0 198.0 198.0 198.0 198.0 198.0 208.5 208.5 208.5 208.5 208.5 208.5 105.9 105.8 106.6 109.5 113.3 117.1 127.5 124.7 122.2 124.5 126.8 129.4 503.9 503.9 503.9 503.9 503.9 503.9 503.9 503.9 503.9 503.9 503.9 503.9 105.5 105.4 106.2 109.1 112.9 116.7 127.0 124.3 121.7 124.0 126.3 128.9 454.1 454.1 454.1 454.1 454.1 454.1 454.1 454.1 454.1 454.1 454.1 454.1 74.9 74.9 75.4 77.5 80.2 82.9 89.8 87.8 86.0 87.6 89.3 91.2 102.2 102.2 102.2 102.2 102.2 102.2 179.5 179.5 179.5 179.5 179.5 179.5 23.0 23.0 23.0 23.3 23.8 24.4 29.2 28.5 27.8 28.0 28.3 28.5 51.4 51.4 51.4 51.4 51.4 51.4 62.1 62.1 62.1 62.1 62.1 62.1 22.9 23.0 22.9 23.2 23.8 24.2 28.9 28.2 27.5 27.7 27.9 28.2 37.1 37.1 37.1 37.1 37.1 37.1 42.8 42.8 42.8 42.8 42.8 42.8 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.4 13.1 13.1 13.1 13.1 13.1 13.1 22.9 22.9 22.9 22.9 22.9 22.9 24.6 24.6 24.6 24.6 24.6 24.6 17.3 17.2 16.8 16.7 16.9 17.0 20.8 20.2 19.6 19.8 20.0 20.1 53.9 53.9 53.9 53.9 53.9 53.9 57.2 57.2 57.2 57.2 57.2 57.2 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 13.1 13.1 13.1 13.1 13.1 13.1 26.6 26.6 26.6 26.6 26.6 26.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 21.8 21.9 22.1 22.9 24.0 24.9 33.8 33.3 32.8 33.7 34.6 35.6 37.4 37.4 37.4 37.4 37.4 37.4 50.9 50.9 50.9 50.9 50.9 50.9 11.9 11.8 11.7 12.0 12.3 12.6 13.6 13.2 12.8 12.9 13.0 13.1 25.7 25.7 25.7 25.7 25.7 25.7 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 26.9 26.7 26.5 27.0 27.7 28.4 31.8 30.9 29.9 30.2 30.4 30.8 51.4 51.4 51.4 51.4 51.4 51.4 57.2 57.2 57.2 57.2 57.2 57.2 11.9 11.8 11.8 12.1 12.3 12.6 13.5 13.1 12.7 12.8 12.9 13.0 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 24.4 24.2 24.0 24.4 25.0 25.7 29.1 28.2 27.4 27.6 27.9 28.2 51.4 51.4 51.4 51.4 51.4 51.4 51.4 51.4 51.4 51.4 51.4 51.4 21.6 21.5 21.2 21.7 22.3 22.9 18.7 18.1 17.5 17.7 17.9 18.1 41.0 41.0 41.0 41.0 41.0 41.0 43.2 43.2 43.2 43.2 43.2 43.2 21.6 21.4 21.2 21.7 22.4 22.9 18.7 18.1 17.5 17.7 17.9 18.1 40.5 40.5 40.5 40.5 40.5 40.5 42.6 42.6 42.6 42.6 42.6 42.6 24.5 24.2 23.9 24.5 25.0 25.7 29.2 28.2 27.4 27.6 27.9 28.2 37.4 37.4 37.4 37.4 37.4 37.4 50.9 50.9 50.9 50.9 50.9 50.9 24.5 24.2 24.0 24.5 25.0 25.7 29.1 28.2 27.3 27.6 27.9 28.2 51.4 51.4 51.4 51.4 51.4 51.4 51.4 51.4 51.4 51.4 51.4 51.4 37.0 37.5 37.8 39.4 41.3 43.2 47.5 46.7 45.8 47.3 48.4 49.8 57.2 57.2 57.2 57.2 57.2 57.2 57.2 57.2 57.2 57.2 57.2 57.2 36.2 36.6 36.9 38.4 40.1 41.9 46.1 45.3 44.5 45.9 46.9 48.3 68.8 68.8 68.8 68.8 68.8 68.8 71.4 71.4 71.4 71.4 71.4 71.4 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 54 Manly Warringah Area - Feeder Load Forecast Feeder name Feeder S06 (Warringah STS to Dee Why West ZS) Feeder S16 (Warringah STS to Brookvale ZS) Feeder S17 (Warringah STS to Brookvale ZS) Feeder S07(1) (Warringah STS to Tee Brookvale/Harbord ZS) Feeder S07(3) (Tee Warringah STS/Brookvale/Harbord ZS to Harbord ZS) Feeder S07(2) (Tee Warringah STS/Brrokvale/Harbord ZS to Brookvale ZS) Feeder S08(1) (Warringah STS to Tee Manly/Harbord ZS) Feeder S08(3) (Tee warringah STS/Manly/Harbord ZS to Harbord ZS) Feeder S08(2) (Tee warringah STS/Manly/Harbord ZS to Manly ZS) Summer (MVA) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 (kV) Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating 2013 2014 Winter (MVA) 2015 2016 2017 2018 37.2 37.6 38.0 39.6 41.4 43.3 47.4 47.0 46.0 47.3 48.6 50.1 56.9 56.9 56.9 56.9 56.9 56.9 62.9 62.9 62.9 62.9 62.9 62.9 19.5 19.3 20.1 20.7 21.4 22.0 15.5 15.4 15.3 15.8 16.2 16.9 36.3 36.3 36.3 36.3 36.3 36.3 38.3 38.3 38.3 38.3 38.3 38.3 22.0 21.8 22.7 23.3 24.0 24.7 17.8 17.7 17.6 18.1 18.6 19.3 36.3 36.3 36.3 36.3 36.3 36.3 38.3 38.3 38.3 38.3 38.3 38.3 31.8 31.8 32.2 33.0 33.8 34.7 37.3 36.5 35.8 36.2 36.7 37.2 64.5 64.5 64.5 64.5 64.5 64.5 71.4 71.4 71.4 71.4 71.4 71.4 20.7 20.8 20.7 21.1 21.5 22.0 29.4 28.6 27.9 28.0 28.1 28.3 47.6 47.6 47.6 47.6 47.6 47.6 55.0 55.0 55.0 55.0 55.0 55.0 17.7 17.5 18.2 18.7 19.4 19.9 14.1 14.1 14.0 14.4 14.8 15.3 43.3 43.3 43.3 43.3 43.3 43.3 46.0 46.0 46.0 46.0 46.0 46.0 22.9 22.9 23.0 23.5 24.0 24.6 28.8 28.1 27.5 27.7 28.0 28.3 39.8 39.8 39.8 39.8 39.8 39.8 54.3 54.3 54.3 54.3 54.3 54.3 17.1 17.3 17.5 18.1 18.9 19.6 24.0 23.4 22.8 23.0 23.1 23.3 47.2 47.2 47.2 47.2 47.2 47.2 52.3 52.3 52.3 52.3 52.3 52.3 17.3 17.0 16.8 16.9 17.0 17.1 20.9 20.3 19.6 19.8 20.0 20.2 42.1 42.1 42.1 42.1 42.1 42.1 46.8 46.8 46.8 46.8 46.8 46.8 3.11.3 STS and ZS load forecast Manly Warringah Area - STS and ZS details Summer Winter Summer Winter Solar PV Other Embedded Generation (MVA) Winter 95% Peak Load Exceeded (hrs/yr) Summer Licence Capacity (MVA) Winter Substation Warringah 132/33kV STS Balgowlah North 132/11kV ZS Beacon Hill 33/11kV ZS Belrose 33/11kV ZS Brookvale 33/11kV ZS Dee Why West 33/11kV ZS Harbord 33/11kV ZS Killarney 33/11kV ZS Manly 33/11kV ZS North Head 33/11kV ZS Firm Capacity (MVA) Summer Total Capacity (MVA) 273.7 53.2 54.1 67.7 87.6 79.4 73.7 43.6 47.6 43.0 301.1 53.2 54.1 67.7 87.6 87.3 75.1 43.7 52.0 43.0 217.4 37.9 26.7 43.0 54.3 53.5 37.3 21.1 23.2 23.4 229.8 37.9 26.7 44.8 54.3 58.8 37.5 21.1 25.4 23.6 217.4 41.1 26.7 51.6 54.3 53.5 44.7 21.1 25.2 23.4 229.8 45.5 26.7 52.4 54.3 58.8 44.5 21.1 29.3 23.6 11.2 2.9 13.8 2.9 13.8 11.2 2.9 2.9 11.2 8.6 5.0 3.5 5.0 3.5 19.1 3.5 3.5 3.5 5.0 3.5 1.22 0.75 1.45 0.46 1.59 1.15 0.80 0.23 0.07 3.80 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 Identified Limitation in next 5 years No No No No No No No No No No 55 SUMMER - Manly Warringah Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation Warringah 132/33kV STS Balgowlah 33/11kV ZS Balgowlah North 132/11kV ZS Beacon Hill 33/11kV ZS Belrose 33/11kV ZS Brookvale 33/11kV ZS Dee Why West 33/11kV ZS Harbord 33/11kV ZS Killarney 33/11kV ZS Manly 33/11kV ZS North Head 33/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF Actual Load Forecast Load 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 176.3 197.0 210.3 150.0 161.6 158.9 158.7 160.1 164.2 169.0 173.4 0.95 0.95 0.98 0.98 0.98 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 18.6 22.6 23.1 0.95 0.95 0.97 24.8 29.7 28.0 28.2 28.4 29.4 30.5 31.6 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 24.6 24.5 25.6 23.8 24.6 21.4 21.2 21.0 21.5 22.0 22.5 0.95 0.95 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.96 23.8 25.7 26.8 21.1 27.2 26.8 26.5 26.3 26.8 27.4 28.0 0.95 0.95 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 47.3 45.1 49.6 44.4 43.9 45.7 45.3 46.9 48.1 49.4 50.7 0.95 0.95 0.94 0.95 0.87 0.88 0.88 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 32.1 38.1 39.2 31.4 37.7 36.4 36.8 37.1 38.5 40.1 41.6 0.95 0.95 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 27.0 27.3 28.2 24.3 18.3 18.9 19.2 19.5 20.4 21.4 22.4 0.95 0.95 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 16.6 17.2 17.6 13.2 14.3 12.8 12.7 12.6 12.9 13.3 13.5 0.95 0.95 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 18.6 18.8 18.7 16.6 17.6 17.8 17.4 17.0 17.2 17.4 17.5 0.95 0.95 0.91 0.90 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 21.6 21.7 20.6 21.4 20.3 20.9 20.9 20.9 20.9 20.9 20.9 0.95 0.95 0.92 0.91 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 WINTER - Manly Warringah Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation Warringah 132/33kV STS Balgowlah 33/11kV ZS Balgowlah North 132/11kV ZS Beacon Hill 33/11kV ZS Belrose 33/11kV ZS Brookvale 33/11kV ZS Dee Why West 33/11kV ZS Harbord 33/11kV ZS Killarney 33/11kV ZS Manly 33/11kV ZS North Head 33/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF 2008 2009 247.2 0.99 29.0 0.99 23.7 0.99 28.7 0.99 42.0 0.99 49.0 0.99 41.8 0.99 20.2 0.99 25.0 0.99 23.1 0.99 229.7 1.00 26.3 1.00 22.2 1.00 25.9 1.00 40.5 1.00 50.6 1.00 37.5 1.00 17.5 1.00 23.0 1.00 23.6 1.00 Actual Load 2010 2011 230.2 1.00 27.0 0.90 23.3 0.93 26.3 0.90 39.5 0.94 51.8 0.97 37.6 0.96 17.9 0.96 23.1 0.95 21.9 0.86 218.9 1.00 30.3 0.94 20.8 0.93 24.3 0.94 39.4 0.98 47.2 0.97 35.4 0.96 16.6 0.96 21.6 0.95 23.4 0.86 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 2012 2013 2014 Forecast Load 2015 2016 2017 2018 171.1 0.99 32.1 0.98 21.6 0.93 23.6 0.94 36.8 0.98 41.5 0.98 22.1 0.96 14.8 0.96 20.8 0.95 21.2 0.87 172.1 1.00 34.2 0.98 20.0 1.00 28.6 0.94 38.5 0.98 44.7 0.98 23.8 0.96 13.4 0.96 21.1 0.95 21.7 0.87 168.8 1.00 33.7 0.98 19.4 1.00 27.7 0.94 38.3 0.98 44.2 0.98 23.1 0.96 13.0 0.96 20.4 0.95 21.7 0.87 167.3 0.99 33.3 0.98 18.9 1.00 26.9 0.94 38.0 0.98 43.6 0.98 22.3 0.96 12.6 0.96 19.8 0.95 21.7 0.87 171.2 1.00 34.9 0.98 19.2 1.00 27.4 0.94 40.6 0.98 45.7 0.98 22.7 0.96 12.8 0.96 20.2 0.95 21.7 0.87 174.4 1.00 35.9 0.98 19.4 1.00 27.7 0.94 42.1 0.98 46.9 0.98 22.9 0.96 12.9 0.96 20.4 0.95 21.7 0.87 170.0 0.99 34.1 0.98 19.0 1.00 27.1 0.94 39.3 0.98 44.6 0.98 22.5 0.96 12.7 0.96 20.0 0.95 21.7 0.87 56 3.12 Newcastle Inner City Load Area 3.12.1 Newcastle Inner City area The Newcastle Inner City network area lies on the eastern seaboard of Newcastle. It is bounded by the Hunter River to the north and Glenrock State recreation area to the south and extends west to New Lambton. The area includes the principal CBD precinct for Newcastle, comprising a mixture of commercial and high density residential load. The surrounding suburbs contain a mixture of residential, commercial and industrial areas. Newcastle Harbour and the Hunter River, which form the northern boundary of the Newcastle Inner City area include the Honeysuckle development precinct along the foreshore and also contain several larger industrial 11kV customers including Port Waratah coal loading facility and State Dockyards at Carrington. The network in the Newcastle Inner City area: is predominantly supplied at 33kV from Merewether sub-transmission substation (STS) is traversed by two 132kV feeders (960 & 961) which supply Merewether STS from TransGrid’s transmission system at Killingworth and a 132kV oil-filled cable, (9N9) which provides an alternative 132kV supply to Merewether STS from Waratah STS comprises six zone substations of which five are currently supplied from the 33kV network originating from Merewether STS and one is supplied from the 132kV network consists of around 36km of 33kV oil-filled cables and 15km of overhead 33kV feeders, and includes an underground 11kV triplex network supplying the Newcastle CBD area. Figure 15: Newcastle Inner City Load Area Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 57 Table 13 – Identified system limitations in Newcastle Inner City load area Location Identified Limitation Refer to DAPR section 1. Kotara 33/11kV zone substation Asset Condition 5.3.15 2. Feeder 773 - Merewether to Kotara Asset Condition 5.2.9 3. Feeder 775 - Merewether to Kotara Asset Condition 5.2.9 4. Feeder 775 - Merewether to Kotara Asset Condition 5.2.9 3.12.2 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast Newcastle Inner City Area - Feeder Load Forecast Feeder name Feeder 3060(2) (Broadmeadow to New Lambton) Feeder 3061(2) (Broadmeadow to New Lambton) Feeder 762 (Merewether STS to Broadmeadow) Feeder 762 (Merewether STS to New Lambton) Feeder 3809 (Carrington to Newcastle CBD) Feeder H763 (Merewether STS to Carrington) Feeder H763 (Merewether STS to Tighes Hill) Summer (MVA) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 (kV) Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Feeder H764 (Merewether STS to Newcastle CBD) 33 Rating Feeder H768 (Merewether STS to Broadmeadow) 33 Rating Load Load Feeder H768 Load (Merewether STS to New Lambton) 33 Rating Feeder H769 (Merewether STS to Carrington) Feeder H769 (Merewether STS to Tighes Hill) Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Feeder H770 (Merewether STS to Newcastle CBD) 33 Rating Feeder H773 (Merewether STS to Kotara) 33 Rating Feeder H775 (Merewether STS to Kotara) 33 Rating Feeder H776 (Merewether STS to Newcastle CBD) Load Load Load Load 33 Rating 2013 2014 Winter (MVA) 2015 2016 2017 2018 19.0 - - - - - - - - - - - 29.4 - - - - - - - - - - - 18.9 - - - - - - - - - - - 29.3 - - - - - - - - - - - 18.5 - - - - - - - - - - - 60.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - 9.0 8.9 9.0 9.1 9.3 - 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 27.7 - 29.3 29.3 29.3 29.3 29.3 - 27.7 27.7 27.7 27.7 16.3 16.2 - - - - 10.9 10.8 10.5 - - - 40.0 40.0 - - - - 40.0 40.0 40.0 - - - 22.4 22.3 - - - - 15.7 20.0 19.7 - - - 33.4 33.4 - - - - 33.4 33.4 33.4 - - - - - 13.4 13.5 13.7 13.9 - - - 12.1 12.4 12.7 - - 43.3 43.3 43.3 43.3 - - - 43.3 43.3 43.3 27.4 27.3 31.6 32.0 32.6 33.4 18.1 18.2 17.7 25.0 24.2 25.0 36.0 36.0 36.0 36.0 36.0 36.0 38.9 38.9 38.9 38.9 38.9 38.9 - 18.3 - - - - - - - - - - 60.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - 9.3 9.2 9.3 9.4 9.6 - 4.9 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 - 29.3 29.3 29.3 29.3 29.3 - 38.5 38.5 38.5 38.5 38.5 22.4 22.3 - - - - 15.7 20.0 19.7 - - - 33.4 33.4 - - - - 33.4 33.4 33.4 - - - - - 13.4 13.5 13.7 13.9 - - - 12.1 12.4 12.7 - - 43.3 43.3 43.3 43.3 - - - 43.3 43.3 43.3 26.2 26.3 31.5 31.8 32.4 33.3 23.4 18.5 19.2 24.6 24.2 24.7 42.0 42.0 42.0 42.0 42.0 42.0 40.7 43.0 43.0 43.0 43.0 43.0 25.9 25.8 25.6 25.6 25.8 25.9 15.8 15.3 14.8 14.8 14.7 14.8 30.3 30.3 30.3 30.3 30.3 30.3 32.9 32.9 32.9 32.9 32.9 32.9 25.9 25.8 25.6 25.6 25.8 25.9 15.8 15.3 14.8 14.8 14.7 14.8 30.3 30.3 30.3 30.3 30.3 30.3 32.9 32.9 32.9 32.9 32.9 32.9 18.4 18.4 16.0 16.1 16.5 16.9 12.6 12.4 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 36.0 36.0 36.0 36.0 36.0 36.0 38.9 38.9 38.9 38.9 38.9 38.9 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 58 3.12.3 STS and ZS load forecast Newcastle Inner City Area - STS and ZS details Summer Winter Summer Winter Solar PV Other Embedded Generation (MVA) Winter 95% Peak Load Exceeded (hrs/yr) Summer Licence Capacity (MVA) Winter Substation Adamstown 132/11kV ZS Broadmeadow 132/11kV ZS Broadmeadow 33/11kV ZS Carrington 33/11kV ZS Kotara 33/11kV ZS New Lambton 33/11kV ZS Newcastle CBD 33/11kV ZS Tighes Hill 33/11kV ZS Firm Capacity (MVA) Summer Total Capacity (MVA) 125.2 100.0 37.8 61.0 30.5 45.7 68.6 70.0 130.0 100.0 42.8 61.0 30.5 45.7 68.6 70.0 63.0 60.0 18.9 30.5 30.5 22.9 45.7 43.4 65.0 60.0 21.4 30.5 30.5 22.9 45.7 43.4 75.6 66.7 21.0 33.9 26.5 27.4 50.9 43.4 75.3 72.0 25.7 36.6 26.5 27.4 54.9 43.4 2.9 13.8 13.8 13.8 11.2 2.9 13.8 13.8 3.5 19.1 19.1 19.1 5.0 3.5 19.1 19.1 1.81 0.80 0.85 0.92 0.87 1.02 - 1.96 - Identified Limitation in next 5 years No No No No No No No No SUMMER - Newcastle Inner City Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation Adamstown 132/11kV ZS Adamstown 33/11kV ZS Broadmeadow 132/11kV ZS Broadmeadow 33/11kV ZS Carrington 33/11kV ZS Kotara 33/11kV ZS New Lambton 33/11kV ZS Newcastle CBD 33/11kV ZS Newcastle City Main 33/11kV ZS Tighes Hill 33/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF Forecast Load Actual Load 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 17.3 23.0 32.4 24.9 25.1 25.3 25.8 26.5 27.2 0.93 0.94 0.96 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 23.9 24.7 13.0 2.2 0.99 0.99 0.95 0.98 33.9 33.3 32.7 32.5 32.6 32.7 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 25.4 29.3 30.1 25.9 23.1 0.99 0.99 0.92 0.92 0.93 24.9 25.8 26.6 24.1 26.4 25.9 25.8 0.99 0.99 0.92 0.90 0.92 0.92 0.92 28.6 26.0 29.7 20.6 24.7 24.6 24.3 24.1 24.1 24.3 24.5 0.99 0.99 0.94 0.94 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 24.9 26.8 28.2 20.7 21.8 18.3 18.2 18.2 18.3 18.6 18.8 0.99 0.99 0.94 0.94 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 45.8 47.9 52.0 43.7 50.2 51.7 51.7 51.6 52.2 53.1 54.2 0.99 0.99 0.96 0.98 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 25.6 25.8 26.2 26.6 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 WINTER - Newcastle Inner City Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation Adamstown 132/11kV ZS Adamstown 33/11kV ZS Broadmeadow 132/11kV ZS Broadmeadow 33/11kV ZS Carrington 33/11kV ZS Kotara 33/11kV ZS New Lambton 33/11kV ZS Newcastle CBD 33/11kV ZS Newcastle City Main 33/11kV ZS Tighes Hill 33/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF 2008 29.3 0.97 21.1 0.97 25.3 0.97 23.1 0.97 18.7 0.97 40.3 0.97 30.7 0.97 - 2009 27.8 0.99 21.0 0.99 23.4 0.99 20.3 0.99 18.6 0.99 33.6 0.99 - Actual Load 2010 2011 9.2 26.9 0.97 0.97 21.8 2.0 0.97 0.99 19.2 18.8 0.94 0.94 26.1 23.0 0.93 0.95 19.2 15.1 0.96 0.97 20.9 17.2 0.96 0.97 33.9 34.3 0.98 0.95 - Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 2012 24.4 0.97 20.0 0.95 22.7 0.94 16.8 0.97 15.2 0.97 32.9 0.99 - 2013 22.2 0.99 0.5 0.95 21.6 0.94 15.3 0.97 10.8 0.97 35.8 1.00 - 2014 22.4 0.99 26.6 0.95 23.6 0.94 14.9 0.97 10.5 0.97 35.3 1.00 - Forecast Load 2015 2016 22.7 23.6 0.99 0.99 26.0 26.2 0.95 0.95 23.4 0.94 14.4 14.4 0.97 0.97 10.2 10.1 0.97 0.97 34.2 34.2 1.00 1.00 23.4 0.94 2017 24.6 0.99 26.4 0.95 14.3 0.97 10.1 0.97 34.2 1.00 23.8 0.94 2018 25.5 1.00 26.7 0.95 14.4 0.97 10.1 0.97 34.3 1.00 24.4 0.94 59 3.13 Newcastle Ports Load Area 3.13.1 Description of Newcastle Ports Load area The Newcastle Ports network area extends from Hexham and Kooragang Island in the north to Mayfield and Waratah in the south. It is bordered on the east by Newcastle Harbour and extends west to Jesmond, Shortland and Sandgate. The area contains significant heavy industrial development including coal transport and ship-loading facilities, steel manufacturing and processing and other port related activities. General urban residential and commercial development is also present around the Mayfield and Shortland areas. The University of Newcastle is located at Callaghan, which is adjacent to the existing Shortland zone substation. The principal heavy industrial development is located on either side of the south-arm of the Hunter River at Mayfield North and on Kooragang Island. There are a significant number of proposals and enquiries for further heavy industrial development in these areas including the construction of a third major coal-loader on Kooragang Island anticipated for completion in mid 2015. Two additional coal-loaders are also proposed near Kooragang. The former BHP-Billiton steel-works site (between Tubemakers and Carrington substations) is now largely unused and has been targeted for future development for port-based commercial and industrial activities. The network in the Newcastle Ports area: receives supply from TransGrid’s Bulk Supply Points at Newcastle BSP and Waratah West BSP. The 132kV network emanating from these substations supply both sub-transmission (STS) and zone substations (ZS) within the area both the 132kV and 33kV sub-transmission networks exist to supply customers in Newcastle Ports area there are a number of 132kV feeders that interconnect with adjacent areas – Port Stephens, Newcastle Western Corridor and Newcastle Inner City, and there is also one major customer (Onesteel) that is supplied from the 132kV network. Figure 16: Newcastle Ports load area Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 60 Table 14 – Identified system limitations in Newcastle Ports load area Location Waratah 132/33kV sub-transmission substation 1. Identified Limitation Refer to DAPR section Asset Condition 5.3.16 3.13.2 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast Newcastle Ports Area - Feeder Load Forecast Feeder name Summer (MVA) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 (kV) Feeder 33730 (Kooragang STS to Hexham SS) Feeder 96X (Waratah West BSP to Kooragang STS) Feeder 96Y (Waratah West BSP to Mayfield West ZS) Feeder 97M (Mayfield West ZS to Kooragang STS) Feeder 97W (Mayfield West ZS to Onesteel) Feeder 97Z (Mayfield West ZS to Onesteel) Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating 2013 2014 Winter (MVA) 2015 2016 2017 2018 8.4 8.4 8.4 8.4 8.4 8.4 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.5 33.7 33.7 33.7 33.7 33.7 33.7 36.6 36.6 36.6 36.6 36.6 36.6 75.9 76.1 76.8 76.9 77.8 78.7 83.8 83.0 81.8 82.6 82.6 82.7 214.0 214.0 214.0 214.0 214.0 214.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 76.0 76.2 76.6 77.1 77.9 78.8 83.5 82.8 82.0 82.1 82.4 82.1 76.0 76.2 76.6 77.1 77.9 78.8 240.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 44.0 44.2 45.0 45.0 45.9 46.8 43.9 43.1 41.8 42.4 42.4 42.5 249.0 249.0 249.0 249.0 249.0 249.0 271.0 271.0 271.0 271.0 271.0 271.0 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 10.1 10.1 10.1 10.1 10.1 10.1 214.0 214.0 214.0 214.0 214.0 214.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 10.1 10.1 10.1 10.1 10.1 10.1 214.0 214.0 214.0 214.0 214.0 214.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 3.13.3 STS and ZS load forecast Newcastle Port Area - STS and ZS details Summer Winter Summer Winter Solar PV Other Embedded Generation (MVA) Winter 95% Peak Load Exceeded (hrs/yr) Summer Licence Capacity (MVA) Winter Substation Kooragang 132/33kV STS Waratah (Comsteel) 132/33kV STS Waratah (Domestic) 132/33kV STS Jesmond 132/11kV ZS Mayfield 33/11kV ZS Mayfield West 132/11kV ZS Shortland 33/11kV ZS Firm Capacity (MVA) Summer Total Capacity (MVA) 285.8 0.0 120.0 107.5 90.2 - 285.8 0.0 120.0 107.5 90.2 - 142.9 0.0 90.0 57.5 31.7 - 142.9 0.0 90.0 57.5 33.7 - 142.9 0.0 90.0 64.3 35.4 - 142.9 0.0 90.0 69.0 40.5 - 8.6 8.6 8.6 11.2 11.2 - 4.8 4.8 4.8 5.0 5.0 - 0.01 2.39 0.85 - 0.55 - Identified Limitation in next 5 years No No No No No No No SUMMER - Newcastle Port Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation Kooragang 132/33kV STS Waratah (Comsteel) 132/33kV STS Waratah (Domestic) 132/33kV STS Jesmond 132/11kV ZS Mayfield 33/11kV ZS Mayfield West 132/11kV ZS Shortland 33/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF Actual Load Forecast Load 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 34.0 56.2 61.6 63.0 63.0 63.0 63.0 63.0 63.0 0.93 0.87 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 58.9 58.3 58.6 56.9 58.0 58.0 58.0 58.0 58.0 58.0 58.0 0.94 0.90 0.90 0.96 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 108.7 80.3 96.4 34.1 23.3 20.5 20.5 20.5 20.5 20.5 20.5 0.96 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 4.4 31.9 45.8 45.1 44.9 44.6 44.9 45.4 45.9 1.00 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 23.6 4.5 6.1 0.3 0.99 0.99 0.91 0.96 24.0 23.8 25.1 25.5 33.7 34.0 34.2 34.9 35.8 36.8 0.90 0.92 0.90 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 30.0 29.8 28.4 3.6 0.96 0.98 0.94 0.98 - Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 61 WINTER - Newcastle Port Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation Kooragang 132/33kV STS Waratah (Comsteel) 132/33kV STS Waratah (Domestic) 132/33kV STS Jesmond 132/11kV ZS Mayfield 33/11kV ZS Mayfield West 132/11kV ZS Shortland 33/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF 2008 58.7 0.97 112.9 0.97 21.1 0.97 28.6 0.97 2009 98.4 0.98 18.8 0.99 24.9 0.98 Actual Load 2010 2011 39.8 0.90 57.7 0.95 60.2 50.5 0.98 1.00 24.6 0.96 4.4 0.3 0.87 0.96 17.7 21.3 0.95 0.92 22.6 6.9 0.97 0.99 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 2012 61.1 0.92 58.7 0.92 24.4 0.62 34.1 0.97 21.0 0.93 - 2013 68.4 0.92 58.7 0.92 9.0 0.73 35.8 0.93 27.4 0.93 - 2014 68.4 0.92 58.7 0.92 9.0 0.73 35.3 0.93 26.6 0.93 - Forecast Load 2015 2016 68.4 68.4 0.92 0.92 58.7 58.7 0.92 0.92 9.0 9.0 0.73 0.73 34.7 35.2 0.93 0.93 25.8 25.8 0.93 0.93 - 2017 68.4 0.92 58.7 0.92 9.0 0.73 35.7 0.93 25.8 0.93 - 2018 68.4 0.92 58.7 0.92 9.0 0.73 36.3 0.93 25.9 0.93 - 62 3.14 Newcastle Western Corridor Load Area 3.14.1 Description of Newcastle Western Corridor area The Newcastle Western Corridor network area is bounded by Hexham Wetlands to the north, and extends south to Boolaroo and Holmesville. It includes the suburbs of Wallsend and Cardiff to the east and extends west to the F3 Freeway and Mount Sugarloaf. The area includes a mixture of residential, light industrial and commercial development as well as several coal mining operations. It contains the principal urban expansion areas for Newcastle and Lake Macquarie. There is ongoing residential development, particularly around Maryland and Fletcher, as well as between Edgeworth and Cameron Park. The Glendale area is becoming an increasingly important commercial and transport hub as urban development in the area continues. The network in the Newcastle Western Corridor area: is currently supplied from Argenton sub-transmission substation consists of two older zone substations, supplied from the 33kV network includes new 132/11kV zone substations at Maryland and Argenton contains two 33kV connected mining customers consists of approximately 40km of predominantly overhead 33kV feeder network contains TransGrid’s 330/132kV Newcastle Bulk Supply Point at Killingworth, and is traversed by several 132kV overhead feeders between Killingworth Bulk Supply Point and a number of Ausgrid substations. Figure 17: Newcastle Western Corridor Load Area Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 63 Table 15 – Identified system limitations in Newcastle Western Corridor load area Location Identified Limitation Refer to DAPR section 1. Edgeworth 33/11kV ZS Capacity 5.3.17 2. Edgeworth 33/11kV ZS Asset Condition 5.3.17 3. Feeder 80258 - Argenton STS to Edgeworth ZS Capacity 5.2.10 3.14.2 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast Newcastle Western Corridor Area - Feeder Load Forecast Summer (MVA) Feeder name (kV) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 Feeder 80252 Load 21.5 21.5 21.6 21.9 22.3 22.8 (Argenton STS To Cardiff 33 Rating 40.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 ZS) Feeder 80266 Load 21.5 21.5 21.6 21.9 22.3 22.8 (Argenton STS To Cardiff 40.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 ZS) 33 Rating Feeder 80258 Load 27.7 29.2 30.8 31.7 33.0 34.6 (Argenton STS To 33 Rating 29.4 29.4 29.4 29.4 29.4 29.4 Edgeworth ZS) Feeder 80262(1) Load 28.3 29.6 30.9 31.9 33.0 34.1 (Argenton STS to tee Edgeworth and Stockton 33 Rating 40.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 Feeder 80262(2) (tee to Edgeworth ZS) Feeder 80262(3) (tee to Stockton Borehole SS) Feeder 3587(1) (Edgeworth ZS to West Wallsend Colliery) Feeder 3587(3) Edgeworth to West Wallsend Colliery) Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating 2013 2014 Winter (MVA) 2015 2016 2017 2018 12.6 13.8 13.9 14.3 14.8 15.4 43.8 43.8 43.8 43.8 43.8 43.8 12.7 13.8 13.9 14.3 14.8 15.4 40.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 22.0 18.3 19.3 20.0 20.7 21.6 35.7 35.7 35.7 35.7 35.7 35.7 25.8 20.0 20.6 21.1 21.4 22.2 43.8 43.8 43.8 43.8 43.8 43.8 27.3 28.7 30.2 31.4 32.7 33.9 21.8 18.1 19.1 19.8 20.5 21.3 46.8 46.8 46.8 46.8 46.8 46.8 63.7 63.7 63.7 63.7 63.7 63.7 14.3 14.6 14.6 14.4 14.5 14.5 14.1 15.9 15.9 15.8 15.4 15.8 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 31.4 31.4 31.4 31.4 31.4 31.4 41.9 41.9 41.9 41.9 41.9 41.9 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 13.8 13.8 13.8 13.8 13.8 13.8 17.7 17.7 17.7 17.7 17.7 17.7 3.14.3 STS and ZS load forecast Newcastle Western Corridor Area - STS and ZS details Winter Summer Winter Summer Winter Solar PV Other Embedded Generation Summer Licence 95% Peak Load Capacity (MVA) Exceeded Winter Substation Argenton 132/33kV STS Awaba 132/33kV STS Argenton 132/11kV ZS Cardiff 33/11kV ZS Edgeworth 33/11kV ZS Maryland 132/11kV ZS Firm Capacity (MVA) Summer Total Capacity (MVA) 285.8 202.9 121.4 45.7 37.5 76.2 285.8 205.8 121.4 45.7 37.5 76.2 142.9 137.2 60.8 22.9 22.9 38.1 142.9 137.2 64.2 22.9 22.9 38.1 142.9 137.2 68.0 25.4 27.4 45.7 142.9 137.2 77.0 27.4 27.4 45.7 2.9 11.2 11.2 13.8 2.9 2.9 5.0 19.1 5.0 5.0 3.5 3.5 1.81 1.36 1.47 1.62 8.30 2.25 Identified Limitation in next 5 years No No No No Yes No SUMMER - Newcastle Western Corridor Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Actual Load Forecast Load 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 Substation Argenton 132/33kV STS Awaba 132/33kV STS Argenton 132/11kV ZS Boolaroo 33/11kV ZS Cardiff 33/11kV ZS Edgeworth 33/11kV ZS Maryland 132/11kV ZS Wallsend 33/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF 128.2 0.95 26.8 0.95 30.0 0.95 26.9 0.95 30.6 0.91 17.5 0.96 49.9 0.95 93.1 0.95 16.8 0.95 19.5 0.95 21.7 0.95 21.2 0.95 27.7 0.95 16.1 0.98 94.4 0.95 36.2 0.94 34.1 0.92 5.2 0.95 23.3 0.99 18.0 0.96 31.3 0.93 9.4 0.96 85.9 0.94 25.4 0.92 33.6 0.92 17.5 0.99 17.1 0.95 17.7 0.92 5.4 0.96 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 101.8 0.94 24.2 0.94 35.8 0.94 22.7 0.98 22.2 0.95 24.3 0.94 - 98.5 0.94 27.7 0.94 38.3 0.94 21.6 0.94 23.1 0.95 23.2 0.94 - 100.4 0.94 27.3 0.94 38.5 0.94 21.6 0.94 24.5 0.95 22.6 0.94 - 102.3 0.94 10.3 0.94 38.7 0.94 21.7 0.94 25.9 0.95 22.0 0.94 - 104.6 0.94 10.3 0.94 39.3 0.94 21.9 0.94 26.9 0.95 21.6 0.94 - 107.7 0.94 10.3 0.94 40.1 0.94 22.4 0.94 28.2 0.95 21.4 0.94 - 111.0 0.94 10.3 0.94 41.1 0.94 22.8 0.94 29.5 0.95 21.1 0.94 - 64 WINTER - Newcastle Western Corridor Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation Argenton 132/33kV STS Awaba 132/33kV STS Argenton 132/11kV ZS Boolaroo 33/11kV ZS Cardiff 33/11kV ZS Edgeworth 33/11kV ZS Maryland 132/11kV ZS Wallsend 33/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF 2008 2009 123.5 0.96 26.0 0.96 24.0 0.97 19.4 0.97 27.3 0.94 14.3 0.97 21.8 0.97 94.5 0.98 14.7 0.95 13.5 0.98 16.9 0.97 17.1 0.97 20.7 0.95 13.8 0.98 Actual Load 2010 2011 31.5 0.98 64.7 0.95 28.8 0.91 4.0 0.98 18.8 0.99 12.7 0.99 19.1 0.95 12.0 0.97 68.9 0.97 25.8 0.96 30.2 0.97 17.4 1.00 11.5 0.98 17.7 0.95 6.3 0.98 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 2012 2013 2014 Forecast Load 2015 2016 2017 2018 68.3 0.95 22.5 0.95 27.7 0.96 16.8 0.97 13.6 0.98 13.6 0.96 - 66.1 0.95 19.9 0.95 30.7 0.96 14.0 0.97 12.8 0.98 12.8 0.96 - 67.0 0.95 19.8 0.95 30.0 0.96 15.2 0.97 13.8 0.98 12.4 0.96 - 67.5 0.95 19.8 0.95 29.9 0.96 15.3 0.97 14.9 0.98 12.0 0.96 - 71.0 0.95 7.6 0.95 31.6 0.96 16.3 0.97 16.4 0.98 12.0 0.96 - 73.2 0.95 7.6 0.95 32.6 0.96 17.0 0.97 17.2 0.98 12.0 0.96 - 69.2 0.95 7.6 0.95 30.8 0.96 15.8 0.97 15.6 0.98 12.0 0.96 - 65 3.15 North East Lake Macquarie Load Area 3.15.1 Description of North East Lake Macquarie area The North East Lake Macquarie load area is bounded by Lake Macquarie to the west and the Pacific Ocean to the east. The load area extends from Charlestown in the north to Catherine Hill Bay in the south. The North East Lake Macquarie area includes the Charlestown CBD precinct, which comprises typical inner city commercial load. The surrounding suburbs contain a mixture of residential and commercial areas. The opportunity exists for significant future beachside and lakeside developments, particularly to the south of Swansea Channel. Increasing densities within both residential and commercial areas are anticipated for much of the area, particularly around Charlestown, which is becoming the principal commercial centre for Lake Macquarie. The network in the North East Lake Macquarie area: is currently supplied from both Merewether sub-transmission substation (STS) and Argenton STS which are both supplied via 132kV feeders from TransGrid’s transmission system at Killingworth consists of eight 33/11kV zone substations, of which six are supplied from the 33kV network originating Merewether STS, and two (Mt Hutton and Croudace Bay) are supplied from the 33kV network from Argenton STS is a predominantly overhead 33kV feeder network with a combined total length of more than 110 km, and is traversed on its northern boundary by a double circuit 132kV tower line from Newcastle 330kV substation to Merewether STS. Figure 18: North East Lake Macquarie Load Area Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 66 Table 16 – Identified system limitations in North East Lake Macquarie load area Location Identified Limitation Refer to DAPR section 1. Swansea 33/11kV ZS Asset Condition 5.3.18 2. Feeder 760 - Merewether to Jewells Asset Condition 5.2.11 3. Feeder 766 - Merewether to Gateshead Asset Condition 5.2.11 3.15.2 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast North East Lake Macquarie Area - Feeder Load Forecast Feeder name Feeder 3239(1) (Gateshead to Pelican) Feeder 3239(2) (Gateshead to Pelican) Summer (MVA) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 (kV) Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load Feeder 760 (Merewether STS to Dudley) 33 Rating Feeder 760 (Merewether STS to Jewells) 33 Rating Feeder 772 (Merewether STS to Gateshead) Feeder 3231 (Jewells To Pelican) Feeder 3240 (Pelican To Swansea) Feeder 3431 (Gateshead to Jewells) Feeder 3691 (Pelican To Swansea) Feeder 34405 (Mt Hutton To Croudace Bay) Feeder 80249 (Argenton STS To Mt Hutton) Feeder 80255 (Argenton STS To Croudace Bay) Feeder 80263 (Argenton STS To Mt Hutton) Feeder H766 (Merewether STS to Dudley) Feeder H766 (Merewether STS to Gateshead) Load Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load Feeder 3087 (Dudley to Gateshead) 33 Rating Feeder 3095 (Dudley to Jewells) 33 Rating Load 2013 2014 Winter (MVA) 2015 2016 2017 2018 23.4 23.1 22.7 22.6 22.3 22.9 20.7 21.4 21.4 20.6 20.7 20.5 29.3 29.3 29.3 29.3 29.3 29.3 38.5 38.5 38.5 38.5 38.5 38.5 23.9 23.6 23.2 23.1 22.8 23.4 21.1 21.9 20.9 21.1 20.9 21.1 29.3 29.3 29.3 29.3 29.3 29.3 38.5 38.5 38.5 38.5 38.5 38.5 - - - - - - 25.8 - - - - - - - - - - - 51.4 - - - - - 23.8 23.9 23.9 24.0 24.3 24.4 0.0 20.4 19.8 20.1 20.2 20.6 29.4 29.4 29.4 29.4 29.4 29.4 29.4 29.4 29.4 29.4 29.4 27.9 28.0 28.0 28.1 28.6 28.7 21.5 23.9 23.3 23.6 23.9 24.4 30.3 30.3 30.3 30.3 30.3 30.3 32.9 32.9 32.9 32.9 32.9 32.9 23.4 23.0 22.6 22.5 22.6 22.7 20.6 21.2 20.5 20.5 20.4 20.5 29.4 29.4 29.4 29.4 29.4 29.4 32.7 32.7 32.7 32.7 32.7 32.7 13.0 13.0 13.0 13.2 13.5 13.7 11.1 10.7 10.4 10.4 10.4 10.4 18.0 18.0 18.0 18.0 18.0 18.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 24.2 24.0 24.1 23.9 24.4 24.4 21.2 21.4 20.5 20.7 20.6 20.4 30.3 30.3 30.3 30.3 30.3 30.3 33.8 33.8 33.8 33.8 33.8 33.8 13.0 13.0 13.0 13.1 13.5 13.7 11.1 10.8 10.4 10.4 10.4 10.5 18.0 18.0 18.0 18.0 18.0 18.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 22.3 22.6 22.7 23.3 24.0 24.7 17.6 15.7 15.6 15.9 16.3 16.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 21.1 21.3 21.4 21.9 22.4 23.1 15.5 14.4 14.1 14.3 14.4 14.7 29.4 29.4 29.4 29.4 29.4 29.4 32.7 32.7 32.7 32.7 32.7 32.7 23.3 23.6 23.9 24.5 25.3 26.2 18.3 16.5 16.2 16.7 16.9 17.5 29.4 29.4 29.4 29.4 29.4 29.4 32.7 32.7 32.7 32.7 32.7 32.7 22.7 23.0 23.0 23.6 24.2 24.9 16.8 15.5 15.2 15.4 15.6 15.9 29.4 29.4 29.4 29.4 29.4 29.4 32.7 32.7 32.7 32.7 32.7 32.7 - - - - - - 26.2 - - - - - - - - - - - 56.6 - - - - - 29.7 29.6 29.5 29.7 30.1 30.5 - 25.3 24.8 25.1 25.4 25.8 40.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 - 40.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 - - - - - - 27.7 - - - - - - - - - - - 43.8 - - - - - - - - - - - 22.1 - - - - - - - - - - - 32.7 - - - - - Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 67 3.15.3 STS and ZS load forecast North East Lake Macquarie Area - STS and ZS details Summer Winter Summer Winter Solar PV Other Embedded Generation (MVA) Winter 95% Peak Load Exceeded (hrs/yr) Summer Licence Capacity (MVA) Winter Substation Merewether 132/33kV STS Charlestown 132/11kV ZS Croudace Bay 33/11kV ZS Dudley 33/11kV ZS Gateshead 33/11kV ZS Jewells 33/11kV ZS Mt Hutton 33/11kV ZS Pelican 33/11kV ZS Swansea 33/11kV ZS Firm Capacity (MVA) Summer Total Capacity (MVA) 411.5 100.0 72.9 30.3 44.4 30.8 59.8 45.7 29.9 411.5 100.0 76.2 33.3 44.4 32.5 65.8 45.7 29.9 274.4 60.0 38.1 16.7 24.1 16.9 32.7 22.9 16.4 274.4 60.0 38.1 18.3 24.4 18.1 34.3 22.9 16.4 274.4 64.7 45.7 20.0 26.9 20.3 39.2 25.0 19.7 274.4 69.4 45.7 22.0 25.8 21.8 41.2 26.0 16.5 11.2 11.2 2.9 2.9 11.2 2.9 2.9 11.2 2.9 5.0 5.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 5.0 3.5 1.70 1.69 0.03 1.14 1.29 1.42 0.52 1.00 3.80 - Identified Limitation in next 5 years No No No No No No No No No SUMMER - North East Lake Macquarie Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Actual Load Forecast Load 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 Substation Merewether 132/33kV STS Charlestown 132/11kV ZS Charlestown 33/11kV ZS Croudace Bay 33/11kV ZS Dudley 33/11kV ZS Gateshead 33/11kV ZS Jewells 33/11kV ZS Mt Hutton 33/11kV ZS Pelican 33/11kV ZS Swansea 33/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF 269.5 0.99 31.4 0.99 24.6 0.95 10.8 0.99 15.7 0.99 17.4 0.99 18.2 0.95 11.9 0.99 13.1 0.99 253.2 0.99 29.6 0.99 26.2 0.95 10.7 0.99 14.4 0.99 17.2 0.99 19.3 0.95 11.7 0.99 13.6 0.99 242.8 0.98 33.7 0.95 29.2 0.98 11.4 0.94 16.6 0.92 18.8 0.93 21.0 0.98 12.2 0.99 13.5 1.00 187.1 0.99 19.0 0.99 19.7 0.98 7.4 0.94 12.6 0.90 12.7 0.94 14.8 0.98 9.5 0.93 9.4 1.00 197.4 0.98 39.0 0.90 26.9 0.97 5.0 0.94 12.6 0.94 17.3 0.95 20.1 0.96 12.0 0.94 13.6 0.98 152.6 0.98 33.7 0.90 23.8 0.99 15.3 0.94 15.9 0.95 20.3 0.88 12.0 0.94 12.7 0.89 152.1 0.98 32.7 0.90 24.0 0.99 15.5 0.94 15.9 0.95 20.4 0.88 11.7 0.94 12.7 0.89 151.6 0.98 31.7 0.90 24.3 0.99 15.8 0.94 15.9 0.95 20.4 0.88 11.4 0.94 12.7 0.89 152.6 0.98 31.0 0.90 24.8 0.99 15.9 0.94 16.0 0.95 20.7 0.88 11.2 0.94 12.8 0.89 154.6 0.98 30.6 0.90 25.5 0.99 16.2 0.94 16.3 0.95 21.1 0.88 11.1 0.94 13.0 0.89 156.9 0.98 30.1 0.90 26.3 0.99 16.5 0.94 16.5 0.95 21.5 0.88 11.0 0.94 13.2 0.89 WINTER - North East Lake Macquarie Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation Merewether 132/33kV STS Charlestown 132/11kV ZS Charlestown 33/11kV ZS Croudace Bay 33/11kV ZS Dudley 33/11kV ZS Gateshead 33/11kV ZS Jewells 33/11kV ZS Mt Hutton 33/11kV ZS Pelican 33/11kV ZS Swansea 33/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF 2008 2009 275.5 0.97 26.0 0.97 23.3 0.96 11.9 0.97 16.7 0.97 17.8 0.97 13.4 0.97 12.0 0.97 14.1 0.97 238.0 0.99 22.0 0.99 19.7 0.98 10.9 0.99 20.0 0.99 15.9 0.99 16.0 0.97 11.1 0.99 11.6 0.99 Actual Load 2010 2011 204.8 0.99 19.7 1.00 20.0 0.95 9.5 0.97 13.2 0.96 14.7 0.96 15.8 0.93 10.4 0.96 11.9 1.00 187.9 1.00 20.4 0.98 20.1 0.95 9.4 0.97 12.1 0.96 14.3 0.97 15.1 0.93 10.0 0.97 12.5 0.98 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 2012 2013 2014 Forecast Load 2015 2016 2017 2018 168.8 0.99 18.5 0.99 18.1 0.96 8.5 0.98 11.6 0.97 13.3 0.97 14.3 0.98 10.1 0.96 11.8 0.98 113.8 1.00 33.7 0.91 18.3 0.96 13.5 0.97 13.0 0.97 14.4 0.89 10.8 0.86 10.9 0.98 114.8 1.00 32.7 0.91 16.5 0.97 13.7 0.97 12.6 0.97 13.9 0.89 11.7 0.86 10.6 0.98 112.2 1.00 31.7 0.91 16.3 0.97 13.9 0.97 12.3 0.97 13.5 0.89 11.3 0.86 10.3 0.98 113.7 1.00 31.7 0.91 17.0 0.97 14.9 0.97 12.2 0.97 13.5 0.89 11.3 0.86 10.2 0.98 114.9 1.00 31.8 0.91 17.5 0.96 15.5 0.97 12.2 0.97 13.5 0.89 11.3 0.86 10.3 0.98 113.0 1.00 31.7 0.91 16.7 0.97 14.4 0.97 12.2 0.97 13.5 0.89 11.3 0.86 10.3 0.98 68 3.16 North West Sydney Load Area 3.16.1 Description of North West Sydney area The North West network area includes the area from Sydney North bulk supply point (BSP) in the north, north-east to Berowra and south to Pennant Hills. The area is relatively geographically isolated, bordering Ku-ring-gai Chase National Park and other bush land. The main Sydney to Newcastle freeway and railway run through the eastern edge of this area. Most loads in this area arise from urban residential development in the south-eastern half of the area. Development is mixed and ranges from high-value residential properties in the Cherrybrook area to large scale apartment development at Hornsby. There has been significant high density residential development at Hornsby in recent years, which is expected to continue. The “City of Cities – A Plan for Sydney’s Future”- Dept of Planning 2006 metropolitan strategy released by the NSW Government forecasts that 11,000 new dwellings will be constructed in the area over the next 25 years, Pennant Hills, Hornsby and Berowra zone substations are constructed in residential areas in close proximity to residential housing. Much of the distribution development in the area over the last twenty years has utilised an entirely underground distribution network. Any new sub-transmission construction through urban areas will also require underground construction. The western and northern parts of the area are separated from the rest of the area by Galston Gorge (Berowra Valley Regional Park) and are characterised by a largely semi-rural population. The network in the North West area: is supplied from TransGrid’s transmission system at Sydney North Bulk Supply Point (BSP) consists of four 132/11kV zone substations (ZS) – Berowra, Hornsby, Pennant Hills and Galston ZS supplied on a 132kV ring from Sydney North (BSP), and includes a 66kV supply to Sydney Trains from Berowra zone substation. Figure 19 North West Sydney Load Area Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 69 Table 17 – Identified system limitations in North West Sydney load area Location 1. Identified Limitation Refer to DAPR section Nil - Nil 3.16.2 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast North West Area - Feeder Load Forecast Feeder name Feeder 250 (Sydney North BSP to Berowra ZS) Feeder 251 (Sydney North BSP to Pennant Hills ZS) Feeder 252 (Berowra ZS to Hornsby ZS) Feeder 253 (Pennant Hills ZS to Hornsby ZS) Feeder 257 (Sydney North BSP to Galston ZS) Feeder 258 (Sydney North BSP to Galston ZS) Summer (MVA) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 (kV) Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating 174.3 168.2 171.8 173.8 Winter (MVA) 2015 2016 2017 2018 163.4 169.0 163.2 168.4 173.1 165.6 275.0 275.0 275.0 275.0 275.0 275.0 302.0 302.0 302.0 302.0 302.0 302.0 167.1 163.6 165.3 168.3 170.8 160.8 165.2 160.8 162.7 165.4 169.3 228.6 228.6 228.6 228.6 228.6 228.6 228.6 228.6 228.6 228.6 228.6 228.6 151.4 148.1 145.0 145.8 148.7 150.1 139.1 145.0 140.1 142.4 145.0 149.2 228.6 228.6 228.6 228.6 228.6 228.6 228.6 228.6 228.6 228.6 228.6 228.6 93.2 92.5 91.6 93.6 96.3 98.8 91.8 90.8 89.0 90.6 92.7 95.5 275.0 275.0 275.0 275.0 275.0 275.0 285.8 285.8 285.8 285.8 285.8 285.8 8.4 8.1 7.9 8.1 8.1 8.2 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.2 5.3 68.6 68.6 68.6 68.6 68.6 68.6 68.6 68.6 68.6 68.6 68.6 68.6 Load 132 Rating 167.0 2014 170.5 Load 132 Rating 170.5 2013 8.4 8.1 7.9 8.1 8.1 8.2 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.2 5.3 68.6 68.6 68.6 68.6 68.6 68.6 68.6 68.6 68.6 68.6 68.6 68.6 3.16.3 STS and ZS load forecast North West Area - STS and ZS details Summer Winter Summer Winter Solar PV Other Embedded Generation (MVA) Winter 95% Peak Load Exceeded (hrs/yr) Summer Licence Capacity (MVA) Winter Substation Berowra 132/11kV ZS Galston 132/11kV ZS Hornsby 132/11kV ZS Pennant Hills 132/11kV ZS Firm Capacity (MVA) Summer Total Capacity (MVA) 82.9 76.2 171.5 164.1 85.5 76.2 171.5 171.5 42.3 38.1 114.3 106.9 44.6 38.1 114.3 114.3 50.8 45.7 137.2 128.3 51.1 43.2 130.3 130.0 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.5 3.5 5.0 3.5 1.54 0.63 1.94 3.84 - Identified Limitation in next 5 years No No No No SUMMER - North West Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation MVA PF MVA Galston 132/11kV ZS PF MVA Hornsby 132/11kV ZS PF MVA Pennant Hills 132/11kV ZS PF Berowra 132/11kV ZS Actual Load Forecast Load 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 20.9 23.3 26.3 17.4 24.3 22.5 22.2 22.0 22.3 22.8 23.2 0.91 0.91 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 8.3 9.5 9.4 9.2 9.0 9.0 9.1 9.2 0.90 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 78.6 77.6 80.5 60.1 70.3 73.5 73.0 72.5 73.9 76.0 77.8 0.98 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 94.7 88.2 91.3 61.3 80.4 81.6 79.1 76.5 76.1 76.2 76.0 0.91 0.91 0.93 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 WINTER - North West Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation MVA Berowra 132/11kV ZS PF MVA Galston 132/11kV ZS PF MVA Hornsby 132/11kV ZS PF MVA Pennant Hills 132/11kV ZS PF 2008 27.2 0.95 84.7 0.99 95.1 0.95 2009 25.1 0.95 79.4 0.99 91.1 0.96 Actual Load 2010 2011 25.7 24.4 0.97 0.97 3.6 0.90 77.9 72.4 0.99 0.99 81.8 74.0 0.97 0.97 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 2012 21.2 0.97 8.7 0.96 62.7 0.90 69.3 0.90 2013 23.2 0.97 8.2 0.96 67.8 0.95 67.4 0.90 2014 22.5 0.97 8.0 0.96 67.5 0.95 72.2 0.90 Forecast Load 2015 2016 21.8 21.9 0.97 0.97 7.8 7.8 0.96 0.96 66.5 67.8 0.95 0.95 70.0 70.2 0.90 0.90 2017 22.0 0.97 7.9 0.96 69.5 0.94 70.6 0.90 2018 22.3 0.97 8.1 0.96 71.6 0.94 71.5 0.90 70 3.17 Pittwater and Terrey Hills Load Area 3.17.1 Description of Pittwater and Terrey Hills area The Terrey Hills & Pittwater network area forms a long, narrow corridor beginning at Sydney East sub-transmission substation (west of Belrose), and extending from Terrey Hills to Palm Beach in the north, and down the coast to Narrabeen. The area is bounded to the west by bushland and Broken Bay, and to the north and east by the Tasman Sea. The area is primarily low density residential, although there is continuing development of medium density housing in the Warriewood area. The customer load is primarily domestic load of relatively low density with some commercial load, including the recently expanded Austlink Business Park in Belrose. Multiple zone substations are required to supply this long load corridor. Geographic constraints on development and residential load densities limit the maximum load which can be supplied from a single zone substation. The network in the Pittwater & Terrey Hills area: is supplied from TransGrid’s transmission system at the TransGrid/Ausgrid Sydney East sub-transmission substation via two 120MVA transformers and three overhead 33kV feeders to Terrey Hills and Narrabeen zone substations, and Warriewood sub-transmission switching station has 33kV feeders approaching their voltage and thermal limits. These 33kV feeders are long and therefore have relatively high losses and voltage drops has two connection points with the Manly-Warringah distribution network to the south, which provides limited emergency back-up in the event of multiple 132/33kV transformer outages, and has a 5MW landfill gas generator at Belrose which feeds in at the 33kV busbar supplying the network. Figure 20: Pittwater and Terrey Hills load area Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 71 Table 18 – Identified system limitations in Pittwater and Terrey Hills load area Location Identified Limitation Refer to DAPR section 1. Careel Bay 33/11kV ZS Asset Condition 5.3.7 2. Mona Vale 33/11kV ZS Asset Condition 5.3.7 3. Narrabeen 33/11kV ZS Asset Condition 5.3.7 4. Terrey Hills 33/11kV ZS Asset Condition 5.3.7 5. Feeder S20 - Sydney East STS to Warriewood STSS Asset Condition 5.2.7 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 72 3.17.2 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast Pittwater & Terrey Hills Area - Feeder Load Forecast Summer (MVA) Feeder name 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 (kV) Feeder S22 (Sydney East BSP to Terrey Hills ZS) 33 Rating Feeder S24 (Sydney East BSP to Terrey Hills ZS) 33 Rating Feeder S40 (Terrey Hills to Warriewood STSS) 33 Rating Feeder S42(1) (Warriewood STSS to S42 TEE) 33 Rating Feeder S42(2) (S42 Tee to Newport ZS) 33 Rating Feeder S44 (Warriewood STSS to Newport ZS) 33 Rating Feeder S46 (Warriewood STSS to Mona Vale ZS) Feeder S43 (Warriewood STSS to Mona Vale ZS) Feeder S45 (Warriewood STSS to Mona Vale ZS) Feeder S47 (Newport ZS to Careel Bay ZS) Load Load Load Load Load Load Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Feeder S50 (Newport ZS to Careel Bay ZS) 33 Rating Feeder S21(1) (Sydney East BSP to S21 TEE1) 33 Rating Feeder S21(2) (S21 Tee1 to S21 Tee2) 33 Rating Feeder S21(3) (S21 Tee1 to CP Belrose ZS) 33 Rating Feeder S21(4) (S21 Tee 2T TO NARRABEEN) 33 Rating Feeder S21(5) (S21 Tee 2 to Warriewood STSS) 33 Rating Feeder S20(1) (Sydney East BSP to S20 Tee1) Feeder S20(2) (S20 Tee1 to S20 Tee2) Feeder S20(3) (S20 Tee1 to CP Belrose ZS) Winter (MVA) Load Load Load Load Load Load Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Feeder S20(4) (S20 Tee2 to Warriewood STSS) 33 Rating Feeder S20(5) (S20 Tee2 to Narrabeen ZS) 33 Rating Load Load 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 29.3 29.5 29.2 29.8 31.0 31.9 31.3 31.1 30.2 30.7 31.4 32.2 51.6 51.6 51.6 51.6 51.6 51.6 59.4 59.4 59.4 59.4 59.4 59.4 34.5 34.7 34.4 34.9 36.3 37.3 37.5 37.2 36.0 36.6 37.4 38.5 66.0 66.0 66.0 66.0 66.0 66.0 68.6 68.6 68.6 68.6 68.6 68.6 34.2 34.7 34.5 35.4 36.8 38.0 41.6 41.3 39.9 40.4 41.2 42.2 55.0 55.0 55.0 55.0 55.0 55.0 61.1 61.1 61.1 61.1 61.1 61.1 16.8 16.6 16.5 16.9 17.4 17.9 30.4 29.8 29.0 29.6 30.1 30.8 44.3 44.3 44.3 44.3 44.3 44.3 49.3 49.3 49.3 49.3 49.3 49.3 16.8 16.6 16.5 16.9 17.4 17.9 30.3 29.6 28.9 29.5 30.0 30.7 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 16.9 16.8 16.7 17.1 17.6 18.1 31.2 30.0 29.8 30.3 30.9 31.1 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 18.6 19.2 19.3 20.0 20.7 21.4 17.3 17.0 16.5 16.7 16.9 17.2 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 18.6 19.1 19.2 19.9 20.6 21.3 17.4 17.0 16.6 16.8 17.0 17.2 31.7 31.7 31.7 31.7 31.7 31.7 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 18.7 19.3 19.4 20.0 20.8 21.5 17.3 17.0 16.6 16.8 16.9 17.1 31.7 31.7 31.7 31.7 31.7 31.7 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 9.5 9.3 9.1 9.1 9.2 9.2 14.2 13.2 13.3 13.5 13.7 14.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 22.9 22.9 22.9 22.9 22.9 22.9 9.5 9.3 9.1 9.2 9.2 9.2 13.4 13.0 12.7 12.8 13.0 13.2 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 32.6 33.1 32.9 33.7 35.2 36.3 39.6 39.4 37.9 38.3 39.2 40.2 53.8 53.8 53.8 53.8 53.8 53.8 57.2 57.2 57.2 57.2 57.2 57.2 32.2 32.8 32.5 33.4 34.8 35.8 39.0 38.8 37.3 37.8 38.6 39.5 60.1 60.1 60.1 60.1 60.1 60.1 65.5 65.5 65.5 65.5 65.5 65.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 61.7 61.7 61.7 61.7 61.7 61.7 67.2 67.2 67.2 67.2 67.2 67.2 10.2 9.9 9.6 9.5 9.5 9.5 11.2 12.2 11.8 11.8 11.9 12.1 42.9 42.9 42.9 42.9 42.9 42.9 42.9 42.9 42.9 42.9 42.9 42.9 31.8 32.2 32.1 32.9 34.1 35.1 38.0 37.8 36.5 37.0 37.7 38.5 61.7 61.7 61.7 61.7 61.7 61.7 67.2 67.2 67.2 67.2 67.2 67.2 26.8 27.1 26.8 27.4 28.6 29.4 32.5 32.8 31.4 31.8 32.4 33.3 54.0 54.0 54.0 54.0 54.0 54.0 57.2 57.2 57.2 57.2 57.2 57.2 26.4 26.7 26.4 27.0 28.1 28.8 31.8 32.0 30.8 31.1 31.7 32.5 61.7 61.7 61.7 61.7 61.7 61.7 67.2 67.2 67.2 67.2 67.2 67.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 37.1 37.1 37.1 37.1 37.1 37.1 42.8 42.8 42.8 42.8 42.8 42.8 17.1 17.5 17.6 18.2 18.8 19.5 20.3 19.5 19.0 19.3 19.6 20.0 47.8 47.8 47.8 47.8 47.8 47.8 52.1 52.1 52.1 52.1 52.1 52.1 10.6 10.2 9.9 9.8 9.9 9.9 11.5 12.6 12.3 12.3 12.4 12.5 42.9 42.9 42.9 42.9 42.9 42.9 42.9 42.9 42.9 42.9 42.9 42.9 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 73 3.17.3 STS and ZS load forecast Pittwater and Terrey Hills Area - STS and ZS details Summer Winter Summer Winter Solar PV Other Embedded Generation (MVA) Winter 95% Peak Load Exceeded (hrs/yr) Summer Licence Capacity (MVA) Winter Substation Sydney East 132/33kV STS Careel Bay 33/11kV ZS Mona Vale 33/11kV ZS Narrabeen 33/11kV ZS Newport 33/11kV ZS Terrey Hills 33/11kV ZS Firm Capacity (MVA) Summer Total Capacity (MVA) 205.8 30.5 97.8 44.7 45.1 60.7 205.8 30.5 97.8 45.9 45.2 60.7 102.9 15.2 53.5 19.6 22.4 30.5 102.9 15.3 55.7 20.3 22.4 30.5 102.9 15.2 53.5 19.6 25.6 30.5 102.9 15.3 55.7 20.3 26.9 30.5 2.9 2.9 11.2 2.9 2.9 13.8 5.0 3.5 5.0 3.5 3.5 19.1 0.45 1.16 0.75 0.61 0.44 5.00 1.02 - Identified Limitation in next 5 years No No No No No No SUMMER - Pittwater and Terrey Hills Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation Sydney East 132/33kV STS Careel Bay 33/11kV ZS Mona Vale 33/11kV ZS Narrabeen 33/11kV ZS Newport 33/11kV ZS Terrey Hills 33/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF Actual Load Forecast Load 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 72.9 77.4 83.5 63.2 82.5 74.6 75.2 74.7 76.6 78.9 81.0 0.97 0.97 0.94 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 12.4 11.1 12.1 9.3 12.1 10.0 9.8 9.5 9.6 9.6 9.7 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 30.5 33.1 38.1 29.5 36.7 36.3 37.5 37.6 38.8 40.1 41.4 0.97 0.97 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 15.3 11.2 11.9 15.0 11.2 11.4 11.0 10.7 10.6 10.6 10.6 0.97 0.97 0.89 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 15.0 16.0 14.1 10.9 13.3 12.9 13.1 13.3 13.9 14.6 15.3 0.97 0.97 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 16.6 17.1 17.7 14.4 16.7 16.7 16.5 16.2 16.5 16.8 17.1 0.97 0.97 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 WINTER - Pittwater and Terrey Hills Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation Sydney East 132/33kV STS Careel Bay 33/11kV ZS Mona Vale 33/11kV ZS Narrabeen 33/11kV ZS Newport 33/11kV ZS Terrey Hills 33/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF 2008 103.0 0.95 15.0 0.95 34.8 0.95 19.1 0.95 22.8 0.95 14.2 0.95 2009 88.9 1.00 13.8 1.00 30.1 1.00 15.1 1.00 21.4 1.00 13.4 1.00 Actual Load 2010 2011 90.0 86.2 0.97 1.00 13.9 13.5 0.90 0.90 31.4 34.4 0.94 0.94 13.3 12.4 0.93 0.93 21.1 15.9 0.95 0.95 13.4 12.4 0.96 0.95 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 2012 79.4 0.98 13.0 0.90 31.3 0.94 11.7 0.93 16.4 0.90 13.2 0.95 2013 82.6 1.00 12.9 0.90 33.8 0.94 11.1 0.93 16.0 0.90 13.6 0.95 2014 82.1 1.00 12.6 0.90 33.1 0.94 12.1 0.93 15.8 0.90 13.5 0.95 Forecast Load 2015 2016 80.3 81.5 1.00 1.00 12.2 12.4 0.90 0.90 32.4 32.7 0.94 0.94 11.8 11.8 0.93 0.93 15.5 15.8 0.90 0.90 13.3 13.7 0.95 0.95 2017 82.7 1.00 12.5 0.90 33.1 0.94 11.9 0.93 16.2 0.90 14.0 0.95 2018 84.2 1.00 12.7 0.90 33.5 0.94 12.0 0.93 16.6 0.90 14.4 0.95 74 3.18 Port Stephens Load Area 3.18.1 Description of Port Stephens Load area The Port Stephens network area approximately coincides with Port Stephens local shire area. It extends from Nelson Bay and the coastline in the east, to Raymond Terrace in the west, and from Karuah in the north, to Stockton and Tomago in the south. The area is very diverse and includes tourism-based commercial development, heavy industrial development, the RAAF Fighter Base, and Newcastle Airport at Williamtown. The Port Stephens area has been targeted for future development and continues to grow steadily. Medium density tourist-related and residential urban development is prevalent around Nelson Bay. Two precincts have been identified at Medowie and Raymond Terrace for major subdivision developments. Tanilba Bay and Anna Bay have been earmarked for other large residential developments. The industrial developments at Heatherbrae and Tomago both have large portions of land subdivided for industrial development. The network in the Port Stephens area: is supplied from Tomago sub-transmission substation (STS) includes six zone substations all of which are supplied from the 33kV network from Tomago includes 33kV customer connections for the RAAF Fighter Base at Williamtown and Hunter Water Corporation at Tomago provides the main 33kV supply to Tea Gardens for Essential Energy includes a single transformer 33/11kV zone substation at Tanilba Bay, with a portable 11kV switchroom, which was commissioned in early 2006, and consists of approximately 195km of predominantly overhead 33kV feeder network. Figure 21: Port Stephens Load Area Table 19 – Identified system limitations in Port Stephens load area Location 1. Nelson Bay 33/11kV ZS 2. Feeder TM4 - Tomago STS to Medowie ZS Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 Identified Limitation Refer to DAPR section Asset Condition 5.3.19 Capacity 5.2.12 75 3.18.2 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast Port Stephens Area - Feeder Load Forecast Feeder name Feeder 3300 (1) (Williamtown to tee Tomaree and Tanilba Feeder 3300 (2) (tee to Tomaree) Feeder 3300 (3) (tee to Tanilba Bay) Feeder 3301 (Williamtown to Stockton) Feeder 3305 (Williamtown to Stockton) Feeder 33366 (Tomaree to Nelson Bay) Feeder 34084 (Williamtown to Williamtown RAAF) Feeder TM1 (Tomago STS To Raymond Terrace) Feeder TM10 (Tomago STS To Williamtown ZS) Feeder TM11 (Tomago STS To HDWB Tomago) Feeder TM12 (Tomago STS To Raymond Terrace) Feeder TM2(1) (Tomago STS to tee Williamtown and Nelson Feeder TM2(2) (tee to Nelson Bay) Summer (MVA) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 (kV) Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load Feeder TM2(3) (tee to Williamtown) 33 Rating Feeder TM3 Load (Tomago STS to Tomago ZS) 33 Rating Feeder TM4 (1) (Tomago Load STS to Salt Ash and Tanilba Bay) 33 Rating Feeder TM4 (2) (tee to Salt Ash) Feeder TM4 (3) (tee to Tanilba Bay) Feeder TM4 (Tomago STS to Medowie) Feeder TM5 (1) (Tomago STS to Raymond Terrace) Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load Feeder TM5 (Tomago STS to AGL) 33 Rating Feeder 81204 Load (AGL to Raymond Terrace) 33 Rating Feeder TM6 Load (Tomago STS to Tomago 33 Rating ZS) Feeder TM7 (Tomago STS To Williamtown) Feeder TM8 (Tomago STS To HDWB Tomago) Feeder TM9 (Tomago STS to Nelson Bay ZS) Feeder 81405 (1) (Medowie to Tanilba Bay) Feeder 81405 (2) (Medowie to Tanilba Bay) Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating 2013 2014 Winter (MVA) 2015 2016 2017 2018 20.5 20.6 20.5 20.8 21.1 21.6 17.7 18.1 17.7 17.7 17.7 17.6 46.9 46.9 46.9 46.9 46.9 46.9 52.5 52.5 52.5 52.5 52.5 52.5 20.2 20.3 20.2 20.5 20.8 21.2 17.8 18.2 17.9 17.8 17.8 17.7 31.2 31.2 31.2 31.2 31.2 31.2 41.4 41.4 41.4 41.4 41.4 41.4 7.9 7.9 7.9 8.1 8.3 8.5 - 6.4 6.2 6.1 6.1 6.2 25.7 25.7 25.7 25.7 25.7 25.7 - 28.5 28.5 28.5 28.5 28.5 7.9 8.1 8.4 8.7 9.2 9.6 5.6 5.4 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 18.2 18.2 18.2 18.2 18.2 18.2 22.5 23.5 24.5 25.5 26.5 27.5 7.9 8.1 8.4 8.7 9.2 9.6 5.6 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.2 18.2 18.2 18.2 18.2 18.2 18.2 22.5 23.5 24.5 25.5 26.5 27.5 15.2 15.2 15.1 15.3 15.4 15.7 4.6 15.5 14.9 15.1 15.1 14.9 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 7.2 7.2 7.2 7.2 7.2 7.2 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 20.9 20.9 20.9 20.9 20.9 20.9 23.4 23.4 23.4 23.4 23.4 23.4 18.7 17.5 17.6 17.9 18.3 18.7 10.3 7.9 5.0 5.0 5.1 5.2 29.3 29.3 29.3 29.3 29.3 29.3 29.3 29.3 29.3 29.3 29.3 29.3 22.0 22.2 22.3 22.7 23.2 23.7 22.3 14.9 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 29.4 29.4 29.4 29.4 29.4 29.4 32.7 32.7 32.7 32.7 32.7 32.7 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 11.1 11.1 11.1 11.1 11.1 11.1 28.7 28.7 28.7 28.7 28.7 28.7 18.7 17.5 17.6 17.9 18.3 18.7 10.3 7.9 5.0 5.0 5.1 5.2 29.3 29.3 29.3 29.3 29.3 29.3 29.3 29.3 29.3 29.3 29.3 29.3 22.4 22.7 22.8 23.1 23.7 24.2 22.6 15.3 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 40.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 43.8 43.8 43.8 43.8 43.8 43.8 22.3 22.4 22.3 22.5 22.9 23.4 18.8 19.5 19.0 19.2 19.1 19.1 31.5 31.5 31.5 31.5 31.5 31.5 35.2 35.2 35.2 35.2 35.2 35.2 9.1 9.2 9.3 9.6 9.8 10.1 11.7 10.8 10.5 10.6 10.6 10.6 46.9 46.9 46.9 46.9 46.9 46.9 52.5 52.5 52.5 52.5 52.5 52.5 21.5 23.0 24.0 24.4 25.1 25.8 19.8 21.9 21.9 22.1 22.3 22.6 40.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 43.8 43.8 43.8 43.8 43.8 43.8 - - - - - - 6.8 - - - - - - - - - - - 28.6 - - - - - - - - - - - 0.1 - - - - - - - - - - - 34.9 - - - - - - - - - - - 6.6 - - - - - - - - - - - 24.6 - - - - - - - - - - - - 23.0 22.2 22.3 22.5 22.8 25.7 25.7 25.7 25.7 25.7 25.7 - 28.5 28.5 28.5 28.5 28.5 4.9 - - - - - - - - - - - 27.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - 9.8 9.8 9.9 10.0 10.1 - 4.3 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.6 - 27.0 27.0 27.0 27.0 27.0 - 30.3 30.3 30.3 30.3 30.3 - 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 - 1.3 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 - 27.0 27.0 27.0 27.0 27.0 - 30.3 30.3 30.3 30.3 30.3 21.5 23.0 24.0 24.4 25.1 25.8 19.7 21.8 21.9 22.1 22.3 22.6 40.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 43.8 43.8 43.8 43.8 43.8 43.8 22.6 22.9 23.0 23.4 23.9 24.5 23.0 15.3 15.0 15.0 14.9 15.0 29.4 29.4 29.4 29.4 29.4 29.4 32.7 32.7 32.7 32.7 32.7 32.7 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.6 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 11.1 11.1 11.1 11.1 11.1 11.1 28.7 28.7 28.7 28.7 28.7 28.7 20.8 21.0 21.0 21.3 21.7 22.2 18.3 16.9 16.6 16.5 16.5 16.5 40.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 40.3 43.8 43.8 43.8 43.8 43.8 43.8 7.7 7.8 7.8 7.9 8.1 8.3 6.6 6.3 6.1 6.1 6.0 6.1 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 24.6 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 7.9 7.9 7.9 8.1 8.3 8.5 - 6.4 6.2 6.1 6.1 6.2 25.7 25.7 25.7 25.7 25.7 25.7 - 6.4 6.2 6.1 6.1 6.2 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 76 3.18.3 STS and ZS load forecast Port Stephens Area - STS and ZS details Summer Winter Summer Winter Solar PV Other Embedded Generation (MVA) Winter 95% Peak Load Exceeded (hrs/yr) Summer Licence Capacity (MVA) Winter Substation Tomago 132/33kV STS Medowie 33/11kV ZS Nelson Bay 33/11kV ZS Raymond Terr NEW 33/11kV ZS Raymond Terrace 33/11kV ZS Salt Ash 33/11kV ZS Stockton 33/11kV ZS Tanilba Bay 33/11kV ZS Tomago 33/11kV ZS Tomaree 33/11kV ZS Williamtown 33/11kV ZS Firm Capacity (MVA) Summer Total Capacity (MVA) 137.2 66.0 65.6 73.6 52.0 11.6 40.0 38.8 66.0 66.0 45.3 137.2 66.0 68.6 73.6 53.2 12.7 40.0 40.5 66.0 66.0 49.8 91.5 38.0 45.7 38.1 35.4 0.0 20.0 18.7 38.0 38.0 24.8 91.5 38.0 45.7 38.1 35.4 0.0 20.0 18.8 38.0 38.0 25.6 91.5 45.6 54.9 42.6 39.7 10.0 22.4 18.7 42.5 45.6 29.7 91.5 43.4 54.9 45.7 42.5 10.0 24.0 18.8 45.6 39.6 26.5 13.8 2.9 2.9 11.2 11.2 2.9 11.2 2.9 11.2 2.9 2.9 5.0 3.5 3.5 5.0 5.0 3.5 5.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 2.01 1.41 0.21 0.53 0.74 0.09 0.93 1.22 6.45 Identified Limitation in next 5 years No No No No No No No No No No No SUMMER - Port Stephens Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation Tomago 132/33kV STS Medowie 33/11kV ZS Nelson Bay 33/11kV ZS Raymond Terr NEW 33/11kV ZS Raymond Terrace 33/11kV ZS Salt Ash 33/11kV ZS Stockton 33/11kV ZS Tanilba Bay 33/11kV ZS Tomago 33/11kV ZS Tomaree 33/11kV ZS Williamtown 33/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF Actual Load Forecast Load 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 136.7 147.0 135.4 99.1 127.8 133.0 131.8 133.1 135.2 138.1 141.3 0.95 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.92 14.8 15.0 15.1 15.5 16.0 16.5 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 44.8 45.7 43.4 31.9 28.5 25.5 25.7 25.7 26.0 26.4 26.9 0.95 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 20.0 21.1 22.8 19.5 19.6 20.0 20.5 21.0 0.96 0.95 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 36.4 38.0 39.4 15.2 15.0 0.95 0.98 0.92 0.96 0.97 2.8 2.4 2.3 1.9 2.7 0.95 0.98 0.94 0.93 0.86 7.5 7.6 7.8 6.1 8.2 7.7 7.9 8.1 8.4 8.8 9.2 0.95 0.98 0.94 0.95 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 7.7 8.4 8.9 6.2 8.6 9.9 9.9 9.9 10.0 10.2 10.5 0.95 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.90 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.88 0.88 0.88 4.1 20.8 22.2 23.2 23.6 24.2 24.9 0.93 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 16.3 16.3 16.2 16.4 16.6 16.9 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.99 17.4 17.0 19.6 13.3 16.2 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 0.95 0.98 0.93 0.93 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 WINTER - Port Stephens Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation Tomago 132/33kV STS Medowie 33/11kV ZS Nelson Bay 33/11kV ZS Raymond Terr NEW 33/11kV ZS Raymond Terrace 33/11kV ZS Salt Ash 33/11kV ZS Stockton 33/11kV ZS Tanilba Bay 33/11kV ZS Tomago 33/11kV ZS Tomaree 33/11kV ZS Williamtown 33/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF Actual Load 2008 2009 2010 138.6 108.0 106.3 0.96 0.98 0.99 42.9 40.4 36.8 0.96 0.98 0.99 29.7 27.4 31.5 0.96 0.98 0.94 2.7 1.9 1.9 0.96 0.98 0.96 6.8 6.0 5.9 0.96 0.98 0.96 9.2 7.5 7.7 0.96 0.98 1.00 15.4 13.1 12.8 0.96 0.98 0.98 2011 103.9 1.00 35.3 1.00 29.2 0.96 1.8 0.94 5.8 0.96 7.0 0.98 12.6 0.98 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 2012 102.6 0.99 36.6 0.98 16.5 0.97 13.3 0.97 5.7 0.97 5.6 0.97 7.1 0.90 2.6 0.87 11.8 0.97 2013 94.2 1.00 20.5 1.00 10.2 0.97 5.5 0.97 8.5 0.93 19.3 0.96 14.4 0.98 12.1 0.97 Forecast Load 2014 2015 2016 95.6 91.3 91.6 1.00 1.00 1.00 14.8 14.5 14.7 0.97 0.97 0.97 20.0 19.6 19.6 1.00 1.00 1.00 9.1 5.4 5.5 0.97 0.97 0.97 5.3 5.2 5.2 0.97 0.97 0.97 8.2 7.9 7.9 0.93 0.94 0.94 21.2 21.3 21.5 0.96 0.96 0.96 14.0 13.6 13.5 0.98 0.98 0.98 2.9 2.9 2.9 0.97 0.96 0.96 2017 91.9 1.00 14.8 0.97 19.6 1.00 5.6 0.97 5.2 0.97 7.9 0.94 21.7 0.96 13.5 0.98 2.9 0.96 2018 92.5 1.00 15.0 0.97 19.6 1.00 5.7 0.97 5.2 0.97 7.9 0.94 22.0 0.96 13.6 0.98 3.0 0.96 77 3.19 Singleton Load Load Area 3.19.1 Description of Singleton Load area The Singleton network area extends from Liddell in the west and Westbrook to the north, through to Branxton in the east and south to the Putty Valley. The area is very diverse and includes residential customers, light to heavy industry, coal mining, agriculture, a number of vineyards and wineries, as well as dairy and beef farms and several horse studs. There are a number of residential developments to the north of Singleton. and there is also likely to be increasing industrial activity in the Whittingham area south-east of Singleton. The principal developed areas are clustered around the New England Highway and rail network, with the main township of Singleton centrally located. There are many smaller rural communities around Singleton, including Bulga, Branxton, Greta, Broke, Jerry’s Plains, Putty Valley, Belford, Elderslie, Mitchell’s Flat and Glendon Brook. The network in the Singleton area: is supplied from the Singleton 132/66kV STS and the Liddell 33kV Switching Station at Liddell Power Station has an expansive 66kV sub-transmission system comprising two closed ring networks includes a 66kV interconnection to Kurri STS via Branxton zone substation includes a smaller 33kV network supplied from Macquarie Generation auxiliary 33kV supply at Liddell, which supplies a number of mining operations and conveyors includes eight 66/11kV zone substations and a number of Ausgrid-owned switching station sites on the Liddell 33kV network has over twenty 66kV and 33kV connected mining customers. Figure 22: Singleton Load Area Table 20 – Identified system limitations in Singleton load area Location Identified Limitation Refer to DAPR section 1. Branxton 66/11kV ZS Asset Condition 5.3.20 2. Singleton 66/11kV ZS Asset Condition 5.3.20 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 78 3.19.2 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast Singleton Area - Feeder Load Forecast Feeder name Summer (MVA) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 (kV) Load Feeder 33474 (Singleton ZS to Singleton North) 66 Rating Feeder 6011(1) (Singleton STS to Lemington ZS) 66 Rating Feeder 6011(2) (tee to Lemington Mine) 66 Rating Feeder 6011(3) (Singleton STS to Lemington ZS) 66 Rating Feeder 6011(4) (tee to Wambo Mine) Feeder 6011(5) (Singleton STS to Lemington ZS) Feeder 6011(6) (tee to United Colliery) Feeder 6011(7) (Singleton STS to Lemington ZS) Feeder 6011(8) (tee to Wambo Mine) Load Load Load Load 66 Rating Load 66 Rating Load 66 Rating Load 66 Rating Load 66 Rating Feeder 6011(9) (tee to South Lemington Mine) 66 Rating Feeder 6011(10) (tee to South Lemington Mine) 66 Rating Feeder 6012(1) (Singleton STS to Singleton North ZS) 66 Rating Feeder 6012(2) (tee to Rix's Creek Coal) 66 Rating Feeder 6012(3) (Singleton STS to Singleton North ZS) 66 Rating Feeder 6012(4) (tee to Camberwell and Glennies Creek) 66 Rating Feeder 6012(5) (tee to Camberwell Coal) Feeder 6012(6) (tee to Glennies Creek) Feeder 6012(9) (Singleton STS to Singleton North ZS) Feeder 6017(1) (Singleton STS to Newdell ZS) Feeder 6017(2) (tee to Ashton Mine) Feeder 6017(3) (Singleton STS to Newdell ZS) Feeder 6017(4) (tee to Glendell Mine) Feeder 6017(5) (Singleton STS to Newdell ZS) Load Load Load Load Load Load Load 66 Rating Load 66 Rating Load 66 Rating Load 66 Rating Load 66 Rating Load 66 Rating Load 66 Rating Load 66 Rating Feeder 6018(1) (Singleton STS to Mt Thorley ZS) 66 Rating Feeder 6018(2) (Singleton STS to Mt Thorley ZS) 66 Rating Feeder 6018(3) (Singleton STS to Mt Thorley ZS) 66 Rating Load Load Load 2013 2014 Winter (MVA) 2015 2016 2017 2018 21.7 21.9 22.0 22.2 22.5 22.8 21.3 21.3 21.5 21.5 21.5 21.6 83.0 83.0 83.0 83.0 83.0 83.0 112.0 112.0 112.0 112.0 112.0 112.0 37.8 51.8 71.8 71.8 71.8 71.8 40.4 48.0 78.9 78.9 78.9 78.9 94.0 94.0 94.0 94.0 94.0 94.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 38.3 38.3 38.3 38.3 38.3 38.3 34.5 48.0 67.0 67.0 67.0 67.0 35.3 42.5 71.8 71.9 71.8 71.9 94.0 94.0 94.0 94.0 94.0 94.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 15.4 15.4 15.4 15.4 15.4 15.4 37.0 37.0 37.0 37.0 37.0 37.0 48.6 48.6 48.6 48.6 48.6 48.6 22.4 35.9 54.7 54.7 54.7 54.7 19.7 27.0 56.0 56.0 56.0 56.0 94.0 94.0 94.0 94.0 94.0 94.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 0.6 13.6 13.6 13.6 13.6 13.6 0.6 0.6 13.6 13.6 13.6 13.6 42.1 42.1 42.1 42.1 42.1 42.1 55.0 55.0 55.0 55.0 55.0 55.0 22.0 27.4 46.0 46.0 46.0 46.0 19.3 26.4 45.1 45.1 45.1 45.1 94.0 94.0 94.0 94.0 94.0 94.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 18.8 18.8 18.8 18.8 18.8 18.8 18.4 18.4 18.4 18.4 18.4 18.4 42.1 42.1 42.1 42.1 42.1 42.1 55.0 55.0 55.0 55.0 55.0 55.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 51.2 51.2 51.2 51.2 51.2 51.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 39.1 39.1 39.1 39.1 39.1 39.1 51.2 51.2 51.2 51.2 51.2 51.2 46.3 46.6 46.8 47.1 47.7 48.3 42.7 42.8 43.2 43.4 43.6 44.0 94.0 94.0 94.0 94.0 94.0 94.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 42.1 42.1 42.1 42.1 42.1 42.1 55.0 55.0 55.0 55.0 55.0 55.0 43.3 43.6 43.7 44.1 44.7 45.2 40.0 40.0 40.5 40.6 40.8 41.2 94.0 94.0 94.0 94.0 94.0 94.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 11.0 11.0 11.0 11.0 11.0 11.0 39.1 39.1 39.1 39.1 39.1 39.1 51.2 51.2 51.2 51.2 51.2 51.2 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 39.1 39.1 39.1 39.1 39.1 39.1 51.2 51.2 51.2 51.2 51.2 51.2 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.5 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 48.1 48.1 48.1 48.1 48.1 48.1 34.4 34.7 34.8 35.1 35.7 36.3 30.1 30.1 30.6 30.7 30.9 31.2 83.1 83.1 83.1 83.1 83.1 83.1 112.0 112.0 112.0 112.0 112.0 112.0 28.4 33.8 52.2 52.2 52.2 52.2 26.6 33.8 52.1 52.1 52.1 52.2 83.0 83.0 83.0 83.0 83.0 83.0 112.0 112.0 112.0 112.0 112.0 112.0 11.8 11.8 11.8 11.8 11.8 11.8 11.4 11.4 11.4 11.4 11.4 11.4 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 82.9 82.9 82.9 82.9 82.9 82.9 22.0 27.3 45.0 44.9 44.9 44.9 19.3 26.3 43.9 43.9 43.9 44.1 93.6 93.6 93.6 93.6 93.6 93.6 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 72.0 72.0 72.0 72.0 72.0 72.0 89.7 89.7 89.7 89.7 89.7 89.7 21.8 27.0 44.5 44.5 44.5 44.4 19.1 26.0 43.4 43.5 43.5 43.6 127.0 93.6 93.6 93.6 93.6 93.6 93.6 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 53.6 54.1 54.3 54.6 55.2 55.7 56.8 56.9 57.6 57.8 58.0 58.4 93.6 93.6 93.6 93.6 93.6 93.6 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 53.6 54.1 54.3 54.6 55.2 55.7 56.8 56.9 57.6 57.8 58.0 58.4 93.6 93.6 93.6 93.6 93.6 93.6 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 53.6 54.1 54.3 54.6 55.2 55.7 56.8 56.9 57.6 57.8 58.0 58.4 93.6 93.6 93.6 93.6 93.6 93.6 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 79 Singleton Area - Feeder Load Forecast Feeder name Summer (MVA) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 (kV) Load Feeder 6019 (Singleton STS to Mt Thorley ZS) 66 Rating Feeder 60208(1) (Newdell ZS to Lemington ZS) 66 Rating Feeder 60208(2) (tee to Newdell Mine) 66 Rating Feeder 60208(3) (Newdell ZS to Lemington ZS) 66 Rating Feeder 60208(4) (Newdell ZS to Lemington ZS) Load Load Load Load 66 Rating Feeder 60208(6) (Newdell ZS to Lemington ZS) 66 Rating Feeder 60208(7) (tee to Hunter Valley CPP) 66 Rating Feeder 60208(8) (Newdell ZS to Lemington ZS)( ) 66 Rating (Singleton ZS to Mt Thorley ZS and Branxton ZS) 66 Rating Feeder 66011(2) (Singleton ZS to Braxnton ZS) Load Load Load Load Load 66 Rating Load Feeder 66011(3) (tee to Mitchells Flat ZS) 66 Rating Feeder 66011(4) (Singleton ZS to Branxton ZS) 66 Rating Feeder 66011(5) (Singleton ZS to Mt Thorley ZS) 66 Rating Feeder 66011(6) (tee to Bulga Coal) 66 Rating Feeder 66011(7) (tee to Bulga Coal) Load Load Load Load 66 Rating Feeder 66011(9) (Singleton ZS to Mt Thorley ZS) 66 Rating Feeder 66011(10) (Singleton ZS to Mt Thorley ZS) 66 Rating Feeder 66090(1) (Mt Thorley ZS to Warkworth Mine) 66 Rating Feeder 66090(2) (Mt Thorley ZS to Warkworth Mine) 66 Rating Feeder 66092(1) (Mt Thorley ZS to Mt Thorley Mine) Load Load Load Load Load 66 Rating 2013 2014 Winter (MVA) 2015 2016 2017 2018 53.1 53.6 53.8 54.1 54.6 55.1 56.2 56.2 57.1 57.2 57.4 57.8 93.6 93.6 93.6 93.6 93.6 93.6 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 14.1 14.1 29.8 29.8 29.8 29.8 13.3 13.4 29.6 29.6 29.6 29.6 93.6 93.6 93.6 93.6 93.6 93.6 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 21.1 21.1 21.1 21.1 21.1 21.1 62.0 62.0 62.0 62.0 62.0 62.0 13.2 18.4 36.0 36.0 36.0 36.0 10.9 17.8 35.4 35.4 35.4 35.4 88.4 88.4 88.4 88.4 88.4 88.4 120.0 120.0 120.0 120.0 120.0 120.0 13.2 18.4 36.0 36.0 36.0 36.0 10.9 17.8 35.4 35.4 35.4 35.4 88.4 88.4 88.4 88.4 88.4 88.4 120.0 120.0 120.0 120.0 120.0 120.0 14.1 14.1 29.8 29.8 29.8 29.8 13.3 13.4 29.6 29.6 29.6 29.6 93.6 93.6 93.6 93.6 93.6 93.6 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 21.1 21.1 21.1 21.1 21.1 21.1 62.0 62.0 62.0 62.0 62.0 62.0 20.5 25.8 43.9 43.9 43.9 43.9 18.7 25.7 43.8 43.8 43.8 43.8 93.6 93.6 93.6 93.6 93.6 93.6 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 31.6 31.7 31.8 32.1 32.7 33.2 23.6 24.1 24.1 24.3 24.6 25.3 93.7 93.7 93.7 93.7 93.7 93.7 127.3 127.3 127.3 127.3 127.3 127.3 9.8 10.0 10.1 10.3 10.6 10.9 5.9 5.3 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.5 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 82.9 82.9 82.9 82.9 82.9 82.9 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.4 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 11.1 11.3 11.5 11.7 12.1 12.5 6.1 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.1 42.1 42.1 42.1 42.1 42.1 42.1 55.0 55.0 55.0 55.0 55.0 55.0 41.2 41.5 41.8 42.3 43.1 44.0 28.3 28.3 29.2 29.3 29.5 30.2 93.7 93.7 93.7 93.7 93.7 93.7 127.3 127.3 127.3 127.3 127.3 127.3 32.9 32.9 32.9 32.9 32.9 32.9 34.8 34.8 34.8 34.8 34.8 34.8 39.1 39.1 39.1 39.1 39.1 39.1 51.3 51.3 51.3 51.3 51.3 51.3 32.9 32.9 32.9 32.9 32.9 32.9 34.8 34.8 34.8 34.8 34.8 34.8 39.1 39.1 39.1 39.1 39.1 39.1 51.3 51.3 51.3 51.3 51.3 51.3 62.8 63.0 63.4 63.9 64.8 65.7 57.0 56.9 57.5 57.6 57.9 58.4 93.7 93.7 93.7 93.7 93.7 93.7 127.3 127.3 127.3 127.3 127.3 127.3 62.8 63.0 63.4 63.9 64.8 65.7 57.0 56.9 57.5 57.6 57.9 58.4 93.7 93.7 93.7 93.7 93.7 93.7 127.3 127.3 127.3 127.3 127.3 127.3 24.6 24.6 24.6 24.6 24.6 24.6 24.3 24.3 24.3 24.3 24.3 24.3 93.7 93.7 93.7 93.7 93.7 93.7 127.3 127.3 127.3 127.3 127.3 127.3 24.6 24.6 24.6 24.6 24.6 24.6 24.3 24.3 24.3 24.3 24.3 24.3 93.7 93.7 93.7 93.7 93.7 93.7 127.3 127.3 127.3 127.3 127.3 127.3 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.4 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 38.3 38.3 38.3 38.3 38.3 38.3 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.4 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 38.3 38.3 38.3 38.3 38.3 38.3 Feeder 66092(3) (Mt Thorley ZS to Mt Thorley Mine) 66 Rating Feeder KU12(1) (Kurri STS to Branxton ZS) 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 15.4 15.4 15.4 15.4 15.4 15.4 66 Rating 37.0 37.0 37.0 37.0 37.0 37.0 48.6 48.6 48.6 48.6 48.6 48.6 Feeder 60200 Load (Newdell ZS to Ravensworth North Mine) 66 Rating 5.0 11.0 31.3 31.3 31.3 31.3 - 11.0 31.3 31.3 31.3 31.3 93.0 93.0 93.0 93.0 93.0 93.0 - 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 127.0 Load Load Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 80 3.19.3 STS and ZS load forecast Summer Winter Summer Winter Solar PV Embedded Generation (MVA) Winter 95% Peak Load Exceeded (hrs/yr) Summer Licence Capacity (MVA) Winter Substation Singleton 132/66kV STS Branxton 66/11kV ZS Lemington 66/11kV ZS Mitchells Flat 66/11kV ZS Mt Thorley 66/11kV ZS Newdell 66/11kV ZS Singleton 66/11kV ZS Singleton North 66/11kV ZS Firm Capacity (MVA) Summer Total Capacity (MVA) 405.7 28.9 32.4 6.0 35.2 53.7 45.7 76.2 446.2 30.5 35.6 6.7 35.2 58.0 45.7 76.2 284.4 15.1 13.4 0.0 20.3 26.8 22.9 38.1 300.7 15.2 14.7 0.0 20.3 29.0 22.9 38.1 284.4 16.8 10.0 5.3 24.3 29.4 25.6 45.7 300.7 18.3 10.0 5.8 20.4 30.7 27.4 40.1 8.6 13.8 2.9 2.9 2.9 13.8 11.2 2.4 4.8 3.5 3.5 3.5 22.2 22.2 5.0 3.5 1.03 0.02 0.12 0.42 0.03 0.64 1.02 Identified Limitation in next 5 years 151.00 No No No No No No No 12.80 No Other Singleton Area - STS and ZS details SUMMER - Singleton Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation MVA PF MVA PF Branxton 66/11kV ZS MVA PF Lemington 66/11kV ZS MVA PF Mitchells Flat 66/11kV ZS MVA PF Mt Thorley 66/11kV ZS MVA PF Newdell 66/11kV ZS MVA PF Singleton 66/11kV ZS MVA Singleton North 66/11kV ZS PF Singleton 132/66kV STS Forecast Load Actual Load 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 136.2 150.9 139.2 134.5 153.1 145.2 159.8 180.0 180.6 181.7 182.8 0.93 0.96 0.96 0.93 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 12.1 12.7 13.6 9.6 13.5 10.9 11.1 11.3 11.5 11.9 12.2 0.93 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 3.2 3.2 3.1 2.4 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 0.93 0.96 0.90 0.91 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 1.4 1.4 1.4 0.9 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5 0.93 0.96 0.97 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 8.8 9.9 10.2 7.5 9.3 9.6 10.3 10.4 10.6 10.8 11.1 0.93 0.96 0.92 0.92 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 8.5 9.0 12.6 7.7 9.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 0.93 0.96 0.90 0.92 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 23.7 23.2 21.7 16.3 20.3 21.9 22.0 22.0 22.2 22.6 22.9 0.93 0.96 0.91 0.90 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 15.4 16.6 18.5 13.4 17.6 19.3 19.4 19.5 19.7 20.0 20.4 0.93 0.96 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 WINTER - Singleton Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation MVA PF Singleton 132/66kV STS MVA PF Branxton 66/11kV ZS MVA PF Lemington 66/11kV ZS MVA PF Mitchells Flat 66/11kV ZS MVA PF Mt Thorley 66/11kV ZS MVA PF Newdell 66/11kV ZS MVA PF Singleton 66/11kV ZS MVA Singleton North 66/11kV ZS PF 2008 144.8 0.96 9.9 0.96 2.3 0.96 1.1 0.96 6.9 0.96 8.3 0.96 16.2 0.96 13.2 0.96 Actual Load 2009 2010 2011 147.9 156.7 121.2 0.96 0.93 0.96 9.2 9.1 8.5 0.96 0.96 1.00 2.6 1.8 2.0 0.96 0.95 0.91 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.96 1.00 1.00 7.0 6.9 7.6 0.96 0.96 0.96 8.8 9.0 9.0 0.96 0.92 0.93 15.7 13.9 13.2 0.96 0.94 0.94 11.7 13.1 12.0 0.96 0.99 0.99 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 2012 138.7 0.97 9.3 0.98 2.0 0.94 0.9 1.00 7.3 0.94 8.7 0.94 13.5 0.95 12.4 0.96 2013 142.0 0.97 6.0 0.98 1.8 0.94 0.9 1.00 7.1 0.94 9.0 0.94 12.4 0.95 14.4 0.96 2014 145.6 0.97 5.5 0.98 1.8 0.94 0.9 1.00 7.2 0.94 5.0 0.94 12.8 0.95 14.4 0.96 Forecast Load 2015 2016 175.8 176.1 0.97 0.97 5.3 5.2 0.98 0.98 1.8 1.8 0.94 0.94 0.8 0.8 1.00 1.00 7.7 7.9 0.94 0.94 5.0 5.0 0.94 0.94 12.9 13.0 0.95 0.95 14.5 14.7 0.96 0.96 2017 176.5 0.97 5.1 0.98 1.8 0.94 0.8 1.00 8.1 0.94 5.0 0.94 13.2 0.95 14.9 0.96 2018 177.2 0.97 5.1 0.98 1.8 0.94 0.8 1.00 8.4 0.94 5.0 0.94 13.4 0.95 15.2 0.96 81 3.20 St George Load Area 3.20.1 Description of St George load area The St George network area extends west from Arncliffe and Sans Souci on Botany Bay, and inland to Peakhurst. This is a predominantly urban area that includes high density residential developments and commercial areas such as the Hurstville retail district. Population growth continues to drive load growth along the rail corridor. The East Hills and Illawarra railway lines and Princes Highway pass through the area. There are limited opportunities for connection with other areas of the network because of various geographic, network and physical features of the area, including water, transport infrastructure and customer load control frequencies. The network in the St George area: is supplied from Peakhurst sub-transmission substation via two 132kV feeders from TransGrid’s transmission system at Sydney South Bulk Supply Point Includes six 33/11kV zone substations and two 132/11kV zone substations, and is traversed by 132kV XLPE cables from Peakhurst to Canterbury and Beaconsfield West. Figure 23: St George load area Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 82 Table 21 – Identified system limitations in St George load area Location Identified Limitation Refer to DAPR section 1. Arncliffe ZS Asset Condition 5.3.8 2. Rockdale ZS Asset Condition 5.3.8 3. Peakhurst STS Asset Condition 5.3.8 4. Feeders 775 & 776 - Peakhurst STS to Rockdale ZS Asset Condition 5.2.8 5. Feeder 769 (Peakhurst STS to Blakehurst ZS) Capacity 5.2.8 6. Feeder 770 (Peakhurst STS to Blakehurst ZS) Capacity 5.2.8 3.20.2 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast St George Area - Feeder Load Forecast Summer (MVA) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 (kV) Feeder name Feeder 670 Load 15.0 15.0 15.1 15.5 16.1 16.7 (Peakhurst STS to 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 Riverwood ZS) 33 Rating Feeder 706 Load 16.8 17.0 17.2 17.9 18.8 19.7 (Peakhurst STS to Sans Rating 26.9 26.9 26.9 26.9 26.9 26.9 Souci ZS) 33 Feeder 708 Load 10.6 (Peakhurst STS to 28.5 Hurstville North ZS) 33 Rating Feeder 765 Load 28.9 29.3 29.5 30.7 32.1 33.6 (Peakhurst STS to 35.4 35.4 35.4 35.4 35.4 35.4 Mortdale ZS) 33 Rating Feeder 767 Load 23.3 22.7 21.8 21.6 21.5 21.8 (Peakhurst STS to 36.1 36.1 36.1 36.1 36.1 36.1 Arncliffe ZS) 33 Rating Feeder 768 Load 23.5 (Peakhurst STS to 36.1 768tee) 33 Rating Feeder 768 (768tee to Arncliffe ZS) Feeder 769 (Peakhurst STS to Blakehurst ZS) Feeder 770 (Peakhurst STS to Blakehurst ZS) Feeder 774 (Peakhurst STS to Hurstville North ZS) Feeder 775 (Peakhurst STS to Rockdale ZS) Feeder 776 (Peakhurst STS to Rockdale ZS) Feeder 777 (Blakehurst to Sans Souci ZS) Feeder 778 (Peakhurst STS to Riverwood ZS) Feeder 779 (Peakhurst STS to Riverwood ZS) Feeder 785 (Peakhurst STS to Mortdale ZS) Feeder 786 (Peakhurst STS to Mortdale ZS) Feeder 768 (Peakhurst STS to Arncliffe ZS) Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Winter (MVA) 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 12.7 12.1 11.7 11.8 11.8 2018 12.0 37.2 37.2 37.2 37.2 37.2 37.2 16.8 16.6 16.5 16.8 17.4 18.1 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 16.7 8.2 - - - - 28.6 28.6 - - - - 24.5 24.1 23.2 23.2 23.5 23.8 37.3 37.3 37.3 37.3 37.3 37.3 22.3 23.2 22.6 22.7 22.7 23.2 44.3 44.3 44.3 44.3 44.3 44.3 22.1 23.1 - - - - 44.3 44.3 - - - - 22.8 - - - - - 21.6 22.5 - - - - 36.1 - - - - - 44.3 44.3 - - - - 23.1 23.6 24.0 25.2 26.6 28.0 19.7 19.3 18.9 19.2 19.6 20.1 26.9 26.9 26.9 26.9 26.9 26.9 28.3 28.3 28.3 28.3 28.3 28.3 23.1 23.6 24.0 25.2 26.6 28.0 19.7 19.3 18.9 19.2 19.6 20.1 26.8 26.8 26.8 26.8 26.8 26.8 28.2 28.2 28.2 28.2 28.2 28.2 10.6 - - - - - 16.7 8.2 - - - - 28.4 - - - - - 28.6 28.6 - - - - 20.2 21.3 20.9 21.0 21.4 21.6 17.1 16.6 17.6 17.7 17.9 18.1 27.0 27.0 27.0 27.0 27.0 27.0 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 20.2 21.3 20.9 21.0 21.4 21.7 17.1 16.6 17.6 17.7 17.9 18.1 27.0 27.0 27.0 27.0 27.0 27.0 28.0 28.0 28.0 28.0 28.0 28.0 16.2 16.5 16.6 17.3 18.1 18.9 16.2 16.2 15.9 16.4 16.9 17.5 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 15.0 15.0 15.1 15.5 16.1 16.7 12.7 12.1 11.7 11.8 11.8 12.0 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 37.2 37.2 37.2 37.2 37.2 37.2 15.0 15.0 15.1 15.5 16.1 16.7 12.7 12.0 11.7 11.7 11.8 12.0 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 34.3 37.2 37.2 37.2 37.2 37.2 37.2 22.3 22.6 22.8 23.7 24.8 25.8 19.1 18.7 18.1 18.2 18.3 18.5 35.4 35.4 35.4 35.4 35.4 35.4 37.3 37.3 37.3 37.3 37.3 37.3 28.9 29.2 29.6 30.7 32.2 33.6 24.7 24.1 23.3 23.4 23.5 23.8 35.4 35.4 35.4 35.4 35.4 35.4 37.3 37.3 37.3 37.3 37.3 37.3 - 22.6 21.8 21.7 21.6 21.7 - - 22.5 22.5 22.8 22.9 - 33.5 33.5 33.5 33.5 33.5 - - 40.6 40.6 40.6 40.6 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 83 3.20.3 STS and ZS load forecast St George Area - STS and ZS details Summer Winter Summer Winter Solar PV Other Embedded Generation (MVA) Winter 95% Peak Load Exceeded (hrs/yr) Summer Licence Capacity (MVA) Winter Substation Peakhurst 132/33kV STS Arncliffe 33/11kV ZS Blakehurst 33/11kV ZS Hurstville North 132/11kV ZS Hurstville North 33/11kV ZS Kogarah 132/11kV ZS Mortdale 33/11kV ZS Riverwood 33/11kV ZS Rockdale 33/11kV ZS Sans Souci 33/11kV ZS Firm Capacity (MVA) Summer Total Capacity (MVA) 349.8 60.6 47.4 124.6 67.6 170.8 114.3 65.7 58.0 49.9 349.8 62.4 47.4 124.6 67.6 170.8 114.3 65.7 60.3 52.5 233.2 39.1 31.6 62.2 41.7 114.3 64.3 42.8 27.1 26.9 233.2 42.9 31.6 65.0 42.0 114.3 70.7 42.8 27.1 26.9 233.2 43.4 31.6 69.2 41.7 127.7 64.3 42.8 27.1 26.9 233.2 46.8 31.6 78.0 42.0 120.6 70.7 42.8 27.1 26.9 2.9 11.2 2.9 13.8 13.8 11.2 2.9 2.9 11.2 2.9 5.0 5.0 3.5 5.0 5.0 5.0 3.5 3.5 5.0 3.5 0.58 0.83 0.68 2.20 1.97 1.55 0.38 0.44 1.26 - Identified Limitation in next 5 years No No No No No No No No No No SUMMER - St George Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation Peakhurst 132/33kV STS Arncliffe 33/11kV ZS Blakehurst 33/11kV ZS Carlton 33/11kV ZS Hurstville North 132/11kV ZS Hurstville North 33/11kV ZS Kogarah 132/11kV ZS Mortdale 33/11kV ZS Riverwood 33/11kV ZS Rockdale 33/11kV ZS Sans Souci 33/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF Forecast Load Actual Load 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 213.3 232.8 180.4 141.4 159.9 162.2 155.5 155.8 160.3 166.3 171.9 0.96 0.99 0.99 0.90 0.98 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.99 24.6 25.0 21.9 18.5 21.5 21.1 20.5 19.8 19.7 19.8 19.8 0.96 0.99 0.90 0.90 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 26.1 28.9 25.1 18.6 20.7 22.0 22.5 22.9 23.9 25.2 26.4 0.96 0.99 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 42.9 41.6 0.96 0.99 11.3 20.7 20.3 20.4 20.7 20.9 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 29.8 30.8 26.4 19.6 20.3 10.4 0.96 0.99 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 35.9 76.6 71.1 75.0 76.4 76.3 76.2 78.1 80.7 83.0 0.91 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 45.7 47.5 53.4 33.9 46.3 48.3 48.8 49.3 51.0 53.3 55.4 0.96 0.99 0.90 0.89 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 28.6 29.1 32.2 24.6 28.5 28.5 28.6 28.7 29.5 30.6 31.6 0.96 0.99 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 24.9 24.4 15.6 14.6 15.6 19.6 20.6 20.2 20.4 20.7 21.0 0.96 0.99 0.89 0.89 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 24.5 26.3 16.9 14.0 15.5 15.6 15.8 16.0 16.6 17.4 18.1 0.96 0.99 0.92 0.89 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 WINTER - St George Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation Peakhurst 132/33kV STS Arncliffe 33/11kV ZS Blakehurst 33/11kV ZS Carlton 33/11kV ZS Hurstville North 132/11kV ZS Hurstville North 33/11kV ZS Kogarah 132/11kV ZS Mortdale 33/11kV ZS Riverwood 33/11kV ZS Rockdale 33/11kV ZS Sans Souci 33/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF Actual Load 2008 2009 2010 264.2 233.9 185.1 0.98 0.99 1.00 29.5 25.5 22.4 0.98 0.99 0.93 29.4 28.9 22.3 0.98 0.99 0.95 42.2 42.0 0.98 0.99 28.0 22.9 27.5 0.98 0.99 0.96 59.0 0.90 52.4 42.5 54.2 0.98 0.99 0.93 29.6 26.7 25.2 0.98 0.99 0.95 24.2 21.8 22.0 0.98 0.99 0.92 29.8 26.3 18.7 0.98 0.99 0.95 2011 161.9 1.00 20.4 0.93 21.7 0.95 19.0 0.96 70.5 0.90 45.6 0.93 26.2 0.96 13.1 0.93 16.0 0.95 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 2012 141.9 1.00 18.9 0.93 18.1 0.96 16.1 0.95 65.3 0.90 41.4 0.98 23.2 0.96 12.8 0.93 15.2 0.95 2013 152.6 1.00 20.3 0.93 19.0 0.96 16.3 0.95 69.2 0.90 42.2 0.98 24.7 0.96 16.7 0.93 15.7 0.95 Forecast Load 2014 2015 2016 143.0 133.6 134.6 1.00 1.00 1.00 21.2 20.5 20.6 0.93 0.93 0.93 18.7 18.3 18.6 0.96 0.96 0.96 8.8 16.6 17.0 1.00 0.99 0.99 8.1 0.95 69.2 69.2 71.6 0.90 0.90 0.90 41.2 40.0 40.1 0.98 0.98 0.98 23.6 22.8 22.9 0.96 0.96 0.96 16.3 17.2 17.3 0.93 0.93 0.93 15.6 15.5 15.9 0.95 0.95 0.95 2017 135.8 1.00 20.8 0.93 18.9 0.96 17.5 0.99 74.2 0.90 40.3 0.98 23.1 0.96 17.4 0.93 16.3 0.95 2018 138.2 1.00 21.0 0.93 19.4 0.96 17.9 1.00 77.5 0.90 40.8 0.98 23.3 0.96 17.7 0.93 16.9 0.95 84 3.21 Sutherland Load Area 3.21.1 Description of Sutherland load area The Sutherland network area extends from the Kurnell Peninsula in the north-east, along the southern side of Botany Bay and the Georges River, south as far as Waterfall and east towards the coast. It serves a mixture of residential, commercial and industrial areas. The network in the Sutherland area: is supplied from TransGrid’s bulk supply point at Sydney South, via two double circuit 132kV tower lines includes six 33/11kV zone substations supplied from 132/33kV sub-transmission substations (STS) at Port Hacking and Kurnell, together with three 132/11kV and one 132/33/11kV zone substations consists mainly of overhead lines, operating at 132kV and 33kV is exposed to a marine atmosphere in some places due to its proximity to the ocean (especially feeders 916 and 917) has connections at 33kV to two landfill gas generators at Lucas Heights supplies Sydney Trains at Heathcote and Port Hacking, ANSTO at Lucas Heights, Caltex oil refinery, Sydney Water Desalination Plant at Kurnell, and Sydney Water at Woronora Dam, and includes the ability to provide a 132kV back up supply to Endeavour Energy at Bellambi in the south. Figure 24: Sutherland load area Table 22 – Identified system limitations in Sutherland load area Location 1. Kurnell STS Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 Identified Limitation Refer to DAPR section Asset Condition 5.3.9 85 3.21.2 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast Sutherland Area - Feeder Load Forecast Feeder name Summer (MVA) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 (kV) Feeder 280 (Port Hacking STS to Kirrawee ZS) 132 Rating Feeder 281 (Cronulla ZS to Kirrawee ZS) 132 Rating Feeder 284 (Sydney South BSP to Menai ZS) 132 Rating Feeder 285 (Port Hacking STS to 285tee) 132 Rating Load Load Load Load Load Feeder 285 (Menai ZS to 285tee) 132 Rating Feeder 285 (285tee to RAC Heathcote) 132 Rating Load Feeder 724 (Port Hacking STS to Miranda ZS) 33 Rating Feeder 725 (Port Hacking STS to Gwawley Bay ZS) 33 Rating Feeder 726 (Port Hacking STS to Miranda ZS) Feeder 728 (Port Hacking STS to Caringbah ZS) Feeder 730 (Port Hacking STS to Jannali ZS) Feeder 731 (Engadine ZS to Woronora Dam) Feeder 738 (Port Hacking STS to Jannali ZS) Feeder 739 (Kurnell STS to Kurnell ZS) Feeder 740 (Kurnell STS to Kurnell ZS) Feeder 741 (Kurnell STS to Kurnell ZS) Feeder 742 (Kurnell STS to Kurnell ZS) Load Load Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Feeder 745 (Kurnell to Caringbah ZS) 33 Rating Feeder 747 (Port Hacking STS to Engadine ZS) 33 Rating Load Load Load Feeder 749/1 (Jannali ZS to 749tee) 33 Rating Feeder 749/2 (749tee to Lucas Heights) 33 Rating Load Feeder 749/3 (749tee to Lucas Heights generator) 33 Rating Feeder 750/1 (Miranda ZS to 750tee) 33 Rating Load Load 2013 2014 Winter (MVA) 2015 2016 2017 2018 76.7 78.0 78.4 81.0 84.5 87.8 92.0 90.6 88.3 88.6 89.2 90.4 260.0 260.0 260.0 260.0 260.0 260.0 283.7 283.7 283.7 283.7 283.7 283.7 40.6 42.0 42.6 44.5 46.8 49.1 53.8 53.1 52.0 52.2 52.5 53.2 275.0 275.0 275.0 275.0 275.0 275.0 340.4 340.4 340.4 340.4 340.4 340.4 150.5 148.0 147.4 151.3 156.6 161.7 149.9 144.6 139.3 139.5 141.2 143.6 239.6 239.6 239.6 239.6 239.6 239.6 259.0 259.0 259.0 259.0 259.0 259.0 108.8 - - - - - 108.7 104.3 - - - - 239.6 - - - - - 274.4 274.4 - - - - 115.5 - - - - - 114.8 110.5 - - - - 260.0 - - - - - 283.7 283.7 - - - - 6.6 - - - - - 6.2 6.2 - - - - 168.0 - - - - - 203.7 203.7 - - - - 31.1 30.7 30.2 30.7 31.4 31.9 28.0 27.1 26.2 26.4 26.4 26.9 41.2 41.2 41.2 41.2 41.2 41.2 44.6 44.6 44.6 44.6 44.6 44.6 33.8 33.9 33.9 34.8 36.0 37.3 27.2 26.6 25.6 25.6 25.8 26.1 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 31.1 30.7 30.2 30.7 31.4 31.9 28.0 27.1 26.2 26.4 26.4 26.9 44.0 44.0 44.0 44.0 44.0 44.0 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 21.3 20.8 20.3 20.3 20.6 20.7 18.3 19.7 19.7 20.4 21.2 22.1 45.1 45.1 45.1 45.1 45.1 45.1 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 31.8 30.0 28.7 30.0 31.8 33.4 33.5 32.9 29.4 27.4 27.7 28.5 39.3 43.2 43.2 43.2 43.2 43.2 43.0 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 1.7 1.7 - - - - 1.9 1.9 1.9 - - - 10.3 10.3 - - - - 10.3 10.3 10.3 - - - 32.0 30.2 28.8 30.2 32.0 33.6 33.8 33.1 29.6 27.5 27.9 28.6 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 - - - - - - 12.6 - - - - - - - - - - - 18.4 - - - - - - - - - - - 6.2 - - - - - - - - - - - 17.0 - - - - - - - - - - - 7.0 - - - - - - - - - - - 18.4 - - - - - - - - - - - 7.0 - - - - - - - - - - - 18.2 - - - - - 21.7 21.2 20.7 20.8 21.0 21.2 18.7 20.1 20.1 20.8 21.6 22.6 35.2 35.2 35.2 35.2 35.2 35.2 40.5 40.5 40.5 40.5 40.5 40.5 - 29.7 14.9 - - - - 33.6 32.5 16.0 - - 45.7 45.7 - - - - 45.7 45.7 45.7 - - - 7.7 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 11.6 11.7 11.7 11.7 11.7 11.7 16.8 16.8 16.8 16.8 16.8 16.8 20.5 20.5 20.5 20.5 20.5 20.5 10.6 6.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.4 16.2 16.2 16.2 16.2 16.2 16.2 17.6 17.6 17.6 17.6 17.6 17.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 23.7 23.7 23.7 23.7 23.7 23.7 19.2 9.3 - - - - 19.6 18.9 8.3 - - - 45.7 45.7 - - - - 45.7 45.7 45.7 - - - Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 86 Sutherland Area - Feeder Load Forecast Feeder name Feeder 750/2 (750tee to Engadine ZS) Summer (MVA) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 (kV) Load 33 Rating Feeder 750/3 (750tee to Lucas Heights) 33 Rating Feeder 751 (Kurnell STS to Kurnell ZS) 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Feeder 912 (Sydney South BSP to Port Hacking STS) 33 Rating Feeder 285 (Menai ZS to Engadine ZS) 33 Rating Feeder 286 (Engadine ZS to RAC Heathcote) 33 Rating Feeder 289 (Engadine ZS to Port Hacking STS) Feeder 747 (Port Hacking STS to Woronora Dam) Feeder 750 (Miranda ZS to Lucas Heights) Winter (MVA) 2015 2016 2017 2018 28.0 14.5 - - - - 31.5 30.6 15.6 - - - 45.7 - - - - 45.7 45.7 45.7 - - - 11.1 6.9 - - - - 15.2 11.6 9.0 - - - 30.4 30.4 - - - - 37.3 28.9 28.9 - - - Load Load 2014 45.7 Load Feeder 752 (Kurnell to Gwawley Bay ZS) 2013 - - - - - - 12.6 - - - - - - - - - - - 18.4 - - - - - 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 150.1 146.5 146.7 150.4 155.9 160.6 149.4 144.0 138.2 139.1 140.6 143.2 194.3 220.6 220.6 220.6 220.6 220.6 204.6 257.1 257.1 257.1 257.1 257.1 Load Load Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating - 113.1 112.4 115.1 118.9 122.6 - - 106.1 106.0 107.1 108.7 - 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 - - 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 - 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.6 - - 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 - 120.0 120.0 120.0 120.0 120.0 - - 120.0 120.0 120.0 120.0 - 92.7 78.8 81.1 84.3 87.3 - - 85.8 71.8 72.6 73.9 - 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 - - 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 - - 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 - - - 1.9 1.9 1.9 - - 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 - - - 8.6 8.6 8.6 - - 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 - - - 9.7 9.6 9.6 - - 21.7 21.7 21.7 21.7 - - - 22.9 22.9 22.9 3.21.3 STS and ZS load forecast Sutherland Area - STS and ZS details Summer Winter Summer Winter Solar PV Other Embedded Generation (MVA) Winter 95% Peak Load Exceeded (hrs/yr) Summer Licence Capacity (MVA) Winter Substation Kurnell 132/33kV STS Port Hacking 132/33kV STS Caringbah 33/11kV ZS Cronulla 132/11kV ZS Engadine 132/11kV ZS Engadine 33/11kV ZS Gwawley Bay 132/11kV ZS Jannali 33/11kV ZS Kirrawee 132/11kV ZS Kurnell 33/11kV ZS Kurnell 33/6.3kV ZS Kurnell South 132/11kV ZS Lucas Heights 33/11kV ZS Menai 132/11kV ZS Miranda 33/11kV ZS Firm Capacity (MVA) Summer Total Capacity (MVA) 174.9 205.8 76.2 106.9 109.3 56.2 85.9 71.7 76.2 64.9 17.7 76.2 38.5 121.4 71.9 174.9 206.1 76.2 118.2 120.3 56.3 85.9 71.8 76.3 64.9 17.7 76.2 44.1 130.0 71.9 116.6 137.2 38.1 53.5 59.5 29.0 40.2 40.9 44.6 28.7 9.7 38.1 19.2 60.7 42.0 116.6 137.4 38.1 64.2 62.5 30.9 40.2 44.8 44.6 29.6 9.7 38.1 22.0 65.0 42.0 116.6 137.2 38.1 64.2 71.4 34.8 44.7 40.9 49.5 28.7 9.7 45.7 21.4 72.9 50.4 116.6 137.4 38.1 77.0 73.4 36.4 48.2 44.8 46.0 29.6 9.7 41.6 26.4 78.0 44.1 11.2 2.9 13.8 2.9 2.9 2.9 13.8 2.4 13.8 8.6 8.6 8.6 13.8 2.4 2.9 5.0 5.0 5.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 5.0 3.5 5.0 4.8 4.8 4.8 19.1 3.5 5.0 0.39 1.59 1.65 0.79 1.54 1.35 0.19 2.26 0.77 0.45 0.15 17.48 - Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 Identified Limitation in next 5 years No No No No No No No No No No No No No No No 87 SUMMER - Sutherland Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation MVA PF MVA Port Hacking 132/33kV STS PF MVA Caringbah 33/11kV ZS PF MVA Cronulla 132/11kV ZS PF MVA PF Engadine 132/11kV ZS MVA PF Engadine 33/11kV ZS MVA Gwawley Bay 132/11kV ZS PF MVA PF Gwawley Bay 33/11kV ZS MVA Jannali 33/11kV ZS PF MVA PF Kirrawee 132/11kV ZS MVA PF Kurnell 33/11kV ZS MVA PF Kurnell 33/6.3kV ZS MVA Kurnell South 132/11kV ZS PF MVA Lucas Heights 33/11kV ZS PF MVA PF Menai 132/11kV ZS MVA PF Miranda 33/11kV ZS Kurnell 132/33kV STS Actual Load Forecast Load 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 54.8 58.7 57.0 50.1 46.5 32.0 24.5 23.9 24.0 24.3 24.5 0.83 0.99 0.90 0.90 0.86 1.00 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 110.9 101.5 111.7 116.9 89.5 89.8 77.2 64.6 66.2 68.3 70.2 0.99 0.97 0.93 0.92 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 27.5 27.3 26.9 21.5 21.5 23.2 22.7 22.2 22.3 22.5 22.7 0.83 0.99 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 49.5 51.5 57.0 46.4 51.6 52.5 54.3 55.1 57.3 60.1 62.8 0.97 0.92 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 13.2 26.2 26.6 27.2 27.7 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 28.8 30.3 33.3 24.7 28.2 26.6 13.2 0.99 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 31.2 31.7 31.8 31.7 32.5 33.6 34.6 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 32.5 33.3 36.3 28.6 0.99 0.97 0.90 0.92 31.1 30.5 34.3 26.9 29.7 30.2 30.7 31.2 32.6 34.3 36.0 0.99 0.97 0.94 0.92 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 30.2 33.4 39.2 32.3 35.5 37.5 37.3 37.1 37.8 38.9 39.9 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 25.2 26.4 25.7 20.3 17.2 8.4 0.83 0.99 0.97 0.96 0.99 0.99 9.0 9.3 8.3 9.8 9.6 4.8 0.83 0.99 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 12.9 25.5 24.7 24.6 24.7 24.8 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 7.3 7.5 7.1 7.4 7.1 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 0.99 0.97 0.90 0.90 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 46.5 47.5 50.8 37.8 44.0 43.2 43.3 43.4 44.7 46.4 47.9 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 38.4 38.0 35.2 29.5 31.8 32.5 32.1 31.7 32.1 32.8 33.3 0.99 0.97 0.92 0.94 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 WINTER - Sutherland Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation MVA Kurnell 132/33kV STS PF MVA Port Hacking 132/33kV STS PF MVA PF Caringbah 33/11kV ZS MVA PF Cronulla 132/11kV ZS MVA PF Engadine 132/11kV ZS MVA Engadine 33/11kV ZS PF MVA Gwawley Bay 132/11kV ZS PF MVA Gwawley Bay 33/11kV ZS PF MVA Jannali 33/11kV ZS PF MVA Kirrawee 132/11kV ZS PF MVA Kurnell 33/11kV ZS PF MVA Kurnell 33/6.3kV ZS PF MVA Kurnell South 132/11kV ZS PF MVA Lucas Heights 33/11kV ZS PF MVA Menai 132/11kV ZS PF MVA Miranda 33/11kV ZS PF Actual Load 2008 2009 2010 50.7 52.9 53.0 0.93 0.92 1.00 120.9 112.7 104.8 0.99 0.96 0.96 23.9 22.0 22.1 0.93 0.92 0.93 67.3 57.1 59.8 0.98 0.97 0.98 35.8 28.2 31.7 0.99 0.96 0.98 34.2 28.9 29.9 0.96 0.96 0.96 40.2 36.6 33.3 0.99 0.96 0.97 38.9 34.3 37.3 0.96 0.96 0.89 25.0 24.7 25.4 0.93 0.92 0.92 8.5 8.3 8.2 0.93 0.92 0.86 6.3 5.7 6.2 0.99 0.96 0.90 50.9 41.7 43.2 0.97 0.97 0.97 37.5 36.2 34.6 0.99 0.96 0.97 2011 55.9 0.90 126.1 0.96 22.8 0.91 58.1 0.98 31.0 0.98 27.9 0.97 31.6 0.97 40.7 0.89 21.3 0.92 8.4 0.85 6.3 0.91 45.7 0.97 30.3 0.97 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 2012 43.4 0.91 115.3 0.97 18.4 0.93 56.1 0.99 28.7 0.98 25.9 0.97 32.2 0.98 36.8 0.89 16.6 0.92 8.6 0.85 6.3 0.92 37.6 0.97 28.2 0.98 2013 43.3 1.00 97.1 0.98 20.9 0.93 56.3 0.99 29.0 0.98 26.0 0.97 31.3 0.98 38.5 0.89 20.3 0.92 8.2 0.85 6.5 0.92 36.2 0.97 28.1 0.98 Forecast Load 2014 2015 2016 35.7 22.8 23.6 0.91 0.91 0.91 94.8 79.3 66.5 0.98 0.98 0.98 22.4 22.4 23.1 0.93 0.93 0.93 55.6 54.5 54.7 0.99 0.99 0.99 13.6 27.3 0.98 0.98 28.1 13.7 0.98 0.98 25.2 24.4 24.5 0.97 0.97 0.97 30.6 30.0 30.3 0.98 0.98 0.98 37.9 36.8 36.9 0.89 0.89 0.89 9.8 0.92 4.1 0.85 13.9 27.4 27.6 0.90 0.90 0.90 6.5 6.5 6.5 0.92 0.92 0.92 35.4 34.7 35.1 0.97 0.97 0.97 27.2 26.4 26.5 0.98 0.98 0.98 2017 24.4 0.91 67.2 0.98 24.0 0.93 55.0 0.99 27.5 0.98 24.6 0.97 30.8 0.98 37.1 0.89 27.8 0.90 6.5 0.92 35.6 0.97 26.7 0.98 2018 25.5 0.91 68.1 0.98 25.0 0.93 55.7 0.99 27.8 0.98 24.9 0.97 31.5 0.98 37.6 0.89 28.1 0.90 6.5 0.92 36.4 0.97 27.0 0.98 88 3.22 Sydney CBD Load Area 3.22.1 Description of Sydney CBD load area The Sydney CBD network area extends from Circular Quay in the north, west to Darling Harbour, east to Woolloomooloo, and south to Haymarket. Bounded by Darling Harbour, Central Railway Station and the Domain, it comprises an area of less than 3 square kilometres. This is the commercial heart of Sydney, which contains approximately 45% of Sydney’s office space and is home to some 49,000 residents. The network in the Sydney CBD area: includes 132/11kV zone substations at City Central, City North, City South and Dalley St. and a 33/11kV zone substation at City East is supplied at 132kV from TransGrid’s Haymarket Bulk Supply Point (BSP) and from Ausgrid’s Inner Metropolitan Transmission network which includes supply from Rozelle and Lane Cove STSS includes 33kV supply to City East 33/11kV zone sourced from Surry Hills STS is an underground network, and at the 11kV level, is predominantly of an underground triplex2 construction and provides an N-1 distribution supply. Figure 25: Sydney CBD load area Table 23 – Identified system limitations in Sydney CBD load area Location 1. Dalley St ZS Identified Limitation Refer to DAPR section Asset Condition 5.3.10 2 The triplex design used on much of the distribution network in the CBD means distribution substations generally comprise three distribution transformers supplied radially by three 11kV feeders. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 89 3.22.2 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast Sydney CBD Area - Feeder Load Forecast Feeder name (Surry Hills STS to City East ZS TxA) (Surry Hills STS to City East ZS TxB) (Surry Hills STS to City East ZS TxD) (Surry Hills STS to City East ZS TxF) (Surry Hills STS to City East ZS TxC) (Surry Hills STS to City East ZS TxE) Summer (MVA) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 (kV) 33 33 33 33 33 33 Load Rating Load Rating Load Rating Load Rating Load Rating Load Rating 12.0 17.7 11.9 17.7 11.4 16.8 12.0 16.8 12.1 13.8 11.3 17.7 12.0 17.7 11.9 17.7 11.4 16.8 12.0 16.8 12.1 13.8 11.4 17.7 12.1 17.7 12.0 17.7 11.5 16.8 12.1 16.8 12.3 13.8 11.5 17.7 12.1 17.7 12.0 17.7 11.5 16.8 12.1 16.8 12.3 13.8 11.5 17.7 12.2 17.7 12.1 17.7 11.6 16.8 12.3 16.8 12.4 13.8 11.5 17.7 12.3 17.7 12.2 17.7 11.6 16.8 12.3 16.8 12.4 13.8 11.6 17.7 2013 9.6 19.2 9.5 19.2 9.1 18.3 9.6 18.3 9.7 15.6 9.1 19.2 Winter (MVA) 2015 2016 9.8 9.7 19.2 19.2 9.7 9.6 19.2 19.2 9.3 9.4 18.3 18.3 9.8 9.9 18.3 18.3 9.9 9.8 15.6 15.6 9.2 9.4 19.2 19.2 2014 9.6 19.2 9.6 19.2 9.1 18.3 9.7 18.3 9.7 15.6 9.1 19.2 2017 9.9 19.2 9.9 19.2 9.4 18.3 10.0 18.3 10.0 15.6 9.4 19.2 2018 10.0 19.2 10.0 19.2 9.5 18.3 10.1 18.3 10.1 15.6 9.5 19.2 3.22.3 STS and ZS load forecast Sydney CBD Area - STS and ZS details Summer Winter Summer Winter Solar PV Other Embedded Generation (MVA) Winter 95% Peak Load Exceeded (hrs/yr) Summer Licence Capacity (MVA) Winter Substation Belmore Park 132/11kV ZS City Central 132/11kV ZS City East 33/11kV ZS City North 132/11kV ZS City South 132/11kV ZS Dalley St 132/11kV ZS Firm Capacity (MVA) Summer Total Capacity (MVA) 0.0 254.4 105.2 213.7 242.4 243.2 0.0 254.4 108.9 213.7 242.4 258.0 0.0 192.0 71.6 167.9 195.0 185.4 0.0 195.0 75.5 167.9 195.0 195.0 128.0 192.0 71.6 167.9 195.0 185.4 130.0 195.0 75.5 167.9 195.0 195.0 13.8 13.8 13.8 13.8 13.8 13.8 19.1 22.2 22.2 19.1 19.1 19.1 0.02 0.05 0.04 1.54 0.37 1.20 4.37 1.20 Identified Limitation in next 5 years No Yes No No Yes No SUMMER - Sydney CBD Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation MVA Belmore Park 132/11kV ZS PF MVA PF City Central 132/11kV ZS MVA City East 33/11kV ZS PF MVA PF City North 132/11kV ZS MVA PF City North 33/11kV ZS MVA PF City South 132/11kV ZS MVA Dalley St 132/11kV ZS PF Forecast Load Actual Load 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 6.9 41.6 63.0 62.6 0.95 1.00 1.00 1.00 140.4 134.7 135.2 133.4 136.8 140.7 133.8 132.1 115.9 116.1 115.8 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.96 0.96 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 43.4 47.2 42.7 45.5 42.6 44.4 44.4 44.9 44.5 44.4 44.2 0.92 1.00 0.95 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 20.0 31.5 55.9 59.4 86.4 85.7 85.1 85.2 84.9 0.98 0.97 0.97 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 36.0 37.7 32.2 18.9 0.98 1.00 1.00 0.95 162.5 155.2 160.1 138.3 136.0 154.4 155.1 144.5 124.1 104.0 103.5 0.96 0.96 0.98 0.98 0.95 0.99 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 154.8 151.3 158.4 138.0 118.6 125.8 101.7 99.2 98.4 98.4 97.9 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.97 0.96 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 WINTER - Sydney CBD Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation MVA Belmore Park 132/11kV ZS PF MVA PF City Central 132/11kV ZS MVA PF City East 33/11kV ZS MVA PF City North 132/11kV ZS MVA City North 33/11kV ZS PF MVA PF City South 132/11kV ZS MVA Dalley St 132/11kV ZS PF 2008 121.7 0.96 35.1 0.95 29.1 0.94 126.6 0.97 126.5 0.99 Actual Load 2009 2010 2011 106.6 110.2 103.2 0.98 0.96 0.96 38.2 34.0 31.8 1.00 0.96 0.96 14.2 19.7 0.98 0.95 28.9 31.3 14.5 0.87 0.95 0.99 127.7 125.1 112.2 0.97 0.99 0.99 126.7 126.5 115.8 0.99 0.97 0.98 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 2012 108.8 0.96 36.1 0.94 36.5 0.98 109.6 0.99 112.4 0.98 2013 112.0 1.00 35.5 0.94 48.0 1.00 130.8 1.00 104.5 1.00 2014 5.8 0.95 106.6 1.00 35.6 0.94 69.9 1.00 126.0 1.00 84.6 1.00 Forecast Load 2015 2016 33.8 51.0 1.00 1.00 93.1 93.5 1.00 1.00 36.0 36.2 0.94 0.94 69.5 69.7 1.00 1.00 107.0 90.2 1.00 1.00 82.6 83.0 1.00 1.00 2017 51.7 1.00 94.7 1.00 36.6 0.94 70.6 1.00 91.3 1.00 84.0 1.00 2018 52.2 1.00 95.6 1.00 37.0 0.94 71.3 1.00 92.2 1.00 84.8 1.00 90 3.23 Upper Central Coast Load Area 3.23.1 Description of Upper Central Coast load area The Upper Central Coast area covers the Wyong Shire and includes the area north of Tuggerah Bulk Supply Point (BSP), extending to Vales Point in the north, east to the coast, and to the western boundary of Wyong shire. The area includes Tuggerah Lakes and Lake Munmorah, which largely separate the inland areas from major industries include coal mining and power generation. The Regional Development Strategy for the Central Coast forecasts that there will be continuing population growth in the Wyong shire, with an increase of 27,000 jobs and 36,500 additional dwellings by 2031. Approximately 16,000 of these dwellings will occur in new land release areas. A significant new town centre at Warnervale is proposed in the short to medium term and the nearby Wyong development zone is targeted for industrial development. The network in the Upper Central Coast area is comprised of a southern 132kV system and a northern 33kV system. The 132kV southern system: comprises of a 132kV line linking TransGrid’s 330/132kV Munmorah and Tuggerah bulk supply points consists of three 132/11kV zone substations at Wyong, Charmhaven and Lake Munmorah provides support to TransGrid’s Tuggerah 330/132kV substation which is currently supplied by two 330kV feeders and transformers, and includes a 132kV line running from Vales Point to Morisset zone substation (Westlakes area) and Ourimbah sub-transmission substation. Although this line traverses the area, it does not supply the load within the area. There are two 330/132kV transformers at Vales Point BSP. However, due to non-availability of 132kV busbar at Vales Point BSP the 132kV feeder 957 connects to both 330/132kV transformers. Connection of any additional 132kV feeders to either Munmorah BSP or Vales Point BSP would require substantial work to establish a 132kV busbar at both locations. The 33kV northern system: comprises of two radial feeders which are supplied from the 330/33kV auxiliary transformers at Munmorah power station. The availability of 33kV supply depends on the continued operation of the Munmorah Power station supplies zone substations at Noraville and Vales Point. Figure 26: Upper Central Coast load area Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 91 Table 24 – Identified system limitations in the Upper Central Coast load area Location Identified Limitation Refer to DAPR section 1. Munmorah BSP Asset Condition 5.3.11 2. Vales Point ZS Asset Condition 5.3.11 3.23.2 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast Upper Central Coast Area - Feeder Load Forecast Feeder name Summer (MVA) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 (kV) Feeder 743/1 (Munmorah BSP to 743tee) 33kV Rating Feeder 743/2 (743tee to Vales Point ZS) 33kV Rating Feeder 743/3 (743tee to Noraville ZS) Feeder 744/1 (Munmorah BSP to 744tee) Feeder 744/2 (744tee to Vales Point ZS) Feeder 744/3 (744tee to Noraville ZS) Load Load Load 33kV Rating Load 33kV Rating Load 33kV Rating Load 33kV Rating Feeder 95T Load (Vales Point ZS to Lake 132kV Rating Munmorah ZS) Feeder 97J Load (Munmorah BSP to Lake 132kV Rating Munmorah ZS) 2013 2014 Winter (MVA) 2015 2016 2017 2018 32.4 32.8 33.3 34.4 35.6 36.7 36.6 36.6 36.6 37.7 39.0 40.2 48.6 48.6 48.6 48.6 48.6 48.6 53.0 53.0 53.0 53.0 53.0 53.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.2 10.0 10.7 10.7 10.7 10.5 10.7 10.7 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 22.4 22.9 23.3 24.4 25.5 26.7 26.3 26.4 26.4 27.5 28.7 29.9 46.7 46.7 46.7 46.7 46.7 46.7 54.5 54.5 54.5 54.5 54.5 54.5 33.9 34.2 34.7 36.3 37.3 38.5 38.2 38.6 38.3 39.9 41.4 42.8 49.6 49.6 49.6 49.6 49.6 49.6 52.1 52.1 52.1 52.1 52.1 52.1 12.8 12.8 13.1 13.6 13.6 14.2 14.7 15.1 14.7 15.2 15.6 15.8 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 20.9 21.1 21.2 22.3 23.2 24.0 23.4 23.4 23.5 24.5 25.5 26.6 30.7 30.7 30.7 30.7 30.7 30.7 42.5 42.5 42.5 42.5 42.5 42.5 16.9 21.1 21.0 21.5 21.9 22.4 25.0 27.7 26.8 27.1 27.4 27.6 240.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 257.0 257.0 257.0 257.0 257.0 257.0 17.0 21.1 21.0 21.5 21.9 22.5 25.0 27.7 26.8 27.1 27.4 27.6 250.7 250.7 250.7 250.7 250.7 250.7 306.4 306.4 306.4 306.4 306.4 306.4 3.23.3 STS and ZS load forecast Upper Central Coast Area - STS and ZS details Summer Winter Summer Winter Solar PV Other Embedded Generation (MVA) Winter 95% Peak Load Exceeded (hrs/yr) Summer Licence Capacity (MVA) Winter Substation Munmorah 330/33kV STS Charmhaven 132/11kV ZS Lake Munmorah 132/11kV ZS Noraville 33/11kV ZS Vales Point 33/11kV ZS Wyong 132/11kV ZS Firm Capacity (MVA) Summer Total Capacity (MVA) 125.9 76.2 47.4 30.5 110.3 130.0 76.2 52.2 30.5 115.2 64.0 63.3 38.1 34.4 15.2 54.0 69.0 65.0 38.1 37.5 15.2 58.8 64.0 75.9 38.7 40.1 16.9 60.4 69.0 78.0 45.7 45.0 17.9 59.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 11.2 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 5.0 5.0 2.82 1.82 1.66 2.24 2.20 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 Identified Limitation in next 5 years No No No No No No 92 SUMMER - Upper Central Coast Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation Munmorah 330/33kV STS Charmhaven 132/11kV ZS Lake Munmorah 132/11kV ZS Lake Munmorah 33/11kV ZS Noraville 33/11kV ZS Vales Point 33/11kV ZS Wyong 132/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF Forecast Load Actual Load 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 39.7 48.6 39.6 40.5 20.2 17.8 18.1 18.3 19.0 19.6 20.2 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 43.5 42.3 46.9 37.0 47.8 41.1 36.9 36.8 37.6 38.2 39.0 0.92 0.92 0.93 0.93 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 20.2 16.5 20.5 20.4 20.9 21.3 21.7 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 19.9 19.5 20.3 14.7 0.90 0.90 0.89 0.89 25.5 23.7 24.4 18.4 24.4 21.0 21.4 21.7 22.7 23.6 24.6 0.90 0.90 0.94 0.93 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 10.0 10.1 9.4 10.1 9.3 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.6 0.90 0.90 0.83 0.79 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 40.1 40.4 43.9 33.6 35.8 35.7 34.5 34.5 34.3 33.9 33.5 0.91 0.91 0.92 0.93 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 WINTER - Upper Central Coast Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation Munmorah 330/33kV STS Charmhaven 132/11kV ZS Lake Munmorah 132/11kV ZS Lake Munmorah 33/11kV ZS Noraville 33/11kV ZS Vales Point 33/11kV ZS Wyong 132/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF 2008 59.2 0.90 42.1 0.95 20.5 0.90 26.6 0.90 10.9 0.90 33.0 0.95 2009 50.9 0.90 36.6 0.95 17.4 0.90 23.0 0.90 10.7 0.90 33.1 0.95 Actual Load 2010 2011 53.0 48.5 0.90 0.90 36.6 36.7 0.96 0.98 17.4 17.0 0.90 0.95 24.1 23.0 0.98 0.98 9.9 9.5 0.63 0.80 34.4 32.0 0.97 0.97 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 2012 48.1 0.90 34.4 0.98 15.9 0.95 23.7 0.98 10.3 -0.80 30.8 0.97 2013 30.3 0.92 34.1 0.98 24.2 0.96 24.8 0.98 10.2 0.80 34.1 0.97 2014 30.4 0.92 30.0 0.98 26.7 0.96 24.8 0.98 10.2 0.80 33.0 0.97 Forecast Load 2015 2016 30.4 31.3 0.92 0.92 29.2 29.6 0.98 0.98 25.9 26.2 0.96 0.96 24.8 25.8 0.98 0.98 10.2 10.2 0.80 0.80 32.0 32.3 0.97 0.97 2017 32.3 0.92 30.0 0.98 26.4 0.96 26.9 0.98 10.2 0.80 32.6 0.97 2018 33.3 0.92 30.4 0.98 26.6 0.96 27.9 0.98 10.2 0.80 32.8 0.97 93 3.24 Upper Hunter Load Area 3.24.1 Description of Upper Hunter load area The Upper Hunter area is a large area extending to Wingen in the north, Liddell to the south-east and Kars Springs to the north-west. The main townships in the area are Muswellbrook, Aberdeen, Scone, Denman and Merriwa. Around these towns are many smaller rural communities including Moonan, Rouchel, Ellerston, Wingen, Parkville, Glenbawn, Dartbrook, Baerami and Sandy Hollow. Most of the area is either rural or sparsely developed, and includes many isolated and remote communities. Other than some residential developments occurring around Muswellbrook and on the eastern side of Scone, there is limited urban expansion taking place in the area. The area includes urban residential, light to heavy industrial development - particularly coal mining, as well as extensive vineyards, wineries, dairy and beef industries and horse studs. Predominant economic activities are power generation and coal mining. The network in the Upper Hunter area: is supplied from both Mitchell Line 132/66kV sub-transmission substations (STS) and Muswellbrook 132/33kV STS which are supplied via 132kV feeders from TransGrid’s transmission system at Sandy Creek near Muswellbrook includes nine Ausgrid zone substations, with three supplied at 66kV and the rest at 33kV includes four mining customers; with one supplied at 33kV and the others at 66kV includes a 33kV connection point for the Glenbawn Hydro-generator near Rouchel includes more than 200km of overhead 33kV & 66kV feeder network; and consists of a predominantly radial sub-transmission system with either limited or non existent 11kV interconnections. Figure 27: Upper Hunter load area Table 25 – Identified system limitations in Upper Hunter load area Location Identified Limitation Refer to DAPR section 1. Denman 66/11kV ZS Asset Condition 5.3.21 2. Mitchell Line 66/11kV ZS Asset Condition 5.3.21 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 94 3.24.2 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast Upper Hunter Area - Feeder Load Forecast Feeder name Summer (MVA) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 (kV) Feeder 32038(4) (Rouchel ZS to Moonan ZS) 33 Rating Feeder 32038(6) (Rouchel ZS to Moonan ZS) 33 Rating Feeder 32038(7) (tee to MS5) 33 Rating Feeder 32038(8) (Rouchel to Moonan ZS) 33 Rating Feeder 6023(1) (Mitchell Line STS to Bayswater Coal) 66 Rating Feeder 6023(2) (Mitchell Line STS to Bayswater) 66 Rating Load Load Load Load Load Load Feeder 6025(1) (Mitchell Line STS to Denman ZS) 66 Rating Feeder 6025(3) (Mitchell Line STS to Denman ZS) 66 Rating Feeder 6027(1) (Mitchell Line STS to Denman ZS) 66 Rating Feeder 6027(2) (Mitchell Line STS to Denman ZS) Load Load Load Load 66 Rating Feeder 6028(1) (Mitchell Line STS to Scone ZS) 66 Rating Feeder 6028(3) (Mitchell Line STS to Scone ZS) 66 Rating Feeder 6028(4) (tee to Bengalla Mine) Load Load Load 66 Rating Feeder 6028(5) (Mitchell Line STS to Scone ZS) 66 Rating Feeder 6028(6) (Mitchell Line STS to Scone ZS) 66 Rating Feeder 6028(7) (tee to Dartbrook Mine) 66 Rating Feeder 60334(1) (Denman ZS to Baerami and Merriwa) 33 Rating Feeder 60334(3) (Denman ZS to Baerami and Merriwa) 33 Rating Feeder 60334(4) (tee to Baerami ZS) 33 Rating Feeder 60334(5) (tee to Merriwa ZS) 33 Rating Feeder 6022 (Mitchell Line STS to Aberdeen ZS) Feeder 82257(Aberdeen ZS to Scone ZS) Feeder 89136 (Denman to Mangoola Mine) Feeder MS1 (Muswellbrook STS to Muswellbrook ZS) Load Load Load Load Load Load Load Load 66 Rating Load 66 Rating Load 66 Rating Load 33 Rating 2013 2014 Winter (MVA) 2015 2016 2017 2018 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 21.0 21.0 21.0 21.0 21.0 21.0 27.5 27.5 27.5 27.5 27.5 27.5 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 21.0 21.0 21.0 21.0 21.0 21.0 27.5 27.5 27.5 27.5 27.5 27.5 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 - 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 36.0 36.0 36.0 36.0 36.0 36.0 - 38.9 38.9 38.9 38.9 38.9 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 10.8 10.8 10.8 10.8 10.8 10.8 18.6 18.6 18.6 18.6 18.6 18.6 19.5 19.5 19.5 19.5 19.5 19.5 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 82.9 82.9 82.9 82.9 82.9 82.9 18.6 18.6 18.6 18.6 18.6 18.6 19.5 19.5 19.5 19.5 19.5 19.5 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 82.9 82.9 82.9 82.9 82.9 82.9 20.5 20.4 20.3 20.2 20.5 20.4 16.2 16.2 16.2 7.8 7.8 7.8 63.9 63.9 63.9 63.9 63.9 63.9 85.7 85.7 85.7 85.7 85.7 85.7 20.4 20.4 20.3 20.2 20.5 20.4 16.2 16.2 16.2 7.8 7.8 7.8 29.6 29.6 29.6 29.6 29.6 29.6 38.4 38.4 38.4 38.4 38.4 38.4 20.4 20.3 20.1 20.3 20.2 20.4 16.3 16.2 16.1 16.2 16.2 16.2 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 82.9 82.9 82.9 82.9 82.9 82.9 20.4 20.3 20.1 20.3 20.2 20.4 16.3 16.2 16.1 16.2 16.2 16.2 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 82.9 82.9 82.9 82.9 82.9 82.9 31.9 31.5 31.1 30.8 30.8 30.7 24.2 26.7 26.5 26.3 26.2 26.3 63.9 63.9 63.9 63.9 63.9 63.9 85.7 85.7 85.7 85.7 85.7 85.7 31.9 31.5 31.1 30.8 30.8 30.7 24.2 26.7 26.5 26.3 26.2 26.3 63.9 63.9 63.9 63.9 63.9 63.9 85.7 85.7 85.7 85.7 85.7 85.7 13.1 13.1 13.1 13.1 13.1 13.1 14.0 14.0 14.0 14.0 14.0 14.0 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 82.9 82.9 82.9 82.9 82.9 82.9 22.0 21.6 21.2 20.9 20.9 20.8 12.6 15.1 14.9 14.8 14.7 14.8 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 82.9 82.9 82.9 82.9 82.9 82.9 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 - 14.3 14.1 14.0 13.9 14.0 120.0 120.0 120.0 120.0 120.0 120.0 - 82.9 82.9 82.9 82.9 82.9 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 82.9 82.9 82.9 82.9 82.9 82.9 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.9 27.1 27.1 27.1 27.1 27.1 27.1 29.4 29.4 29.4 29.4 29.4 29.4 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.3 4.4 4.4 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.9 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.4 12.1 12.1 12.1 12.1 12.1 12.1 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.2 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.4 12.1 12.1 12.1 12.1 12.1 12.1 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 10.8 10.8 10.8 10.8 10.8 10.8 22.6 22.9 22.0 21.8 21.7 21.6 - 15.0 14.7 14.6 14.5 14.6 62.0 62.0 62.0 62.0 62.0 62.0 - 83.0 83.0 83.0 83.0 83.0 17.3 17.4 17.0 16.9 16.8 16.8 - 12.1 12.0 11.9 11.9 12.0 62.0 62.0 62.0 62.0 62.0 62.0 - 83.0 83.0 83.0 83.0 83.0 11.3 11.3 11.3 11.3 11.3 11.3 11.0 11.0 11.0 11.0 11.0 11.0 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 82.9 82.9 82.9 82.9 82.9 82.9 14.9 14.5 14.4 - - - 11.0 10.6 10.3 - - - 32.0 32.0 32.0 - - - 42.9 42.9 42.9 - - - Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 95 Upper Hunter Area - Feeder Load Forecast Feeder name Feeder MS10(1) (Musewellbrook STS to Musweelbrook ZS) Feeder MS10(2) (Muswellbrook STS to Muswellbrook ZS) Feeder MS4 (Muswellbrook STS to Muswelbrook Coal) Feeder MS4 (Muswellbrook 132 ZS to Muswellbrook Coal) Summer (MVA) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 (kV) Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating 2013 2014 Winter (MVA) 2015 2016 2017 2018 14.9 14.5 14.4 - - - 11.0 10.6 10.3 - - - 31.2 31.2 31.2 - - - 41.4 41.4 41.4 - - - 14.9 14.4 14.4 - - - 11.0 10.6 10.3 - - - 32.0 32.0 32.0 - - - 42.9 42.9 42.9 - - - 1.4 1.4 1.4 - - - 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 - - 6.1 6.1 6.1 - - - 14.3 14.3 14.3 14.3 - - - - - 1.4 1.4 1.4 - - - - 2.4 2.4 - - - 8.2 8.2 8.2 - - - - 20.5 20.5 Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating 3.24.3 STS and ZS load forecast Upper Hunter Area - STS and ZS details Summer Winter Summer Winter Solar PV Other Embedded Generation (MVA) Winter 95% Peak Load Exceeded (hrs/yr) Summer Licence Capacity (MVA) Winter Substation Mitchell Line 132/66kV STS Muswellbrook 132/33kV STS Aberdeen 33/11kV ZS Aberdeen 66/11kV ZS Baerami 33/11kV ZS Denman 66/11kV ZS Merriwa 33/11kV ZS Mitchell Line 66/11kV ZS Moonan 33/11kV ZS Muswellbrook 132/11kV ZS Muswellbrook 33/11kV ZS Rouchel 33/11kV ZS Scone 66/11kV ZS Firm Capacity (MVA) Summer Total Capacity (MVA) 277.3 69.3 14.6 38.0 2.4 32.4 6.9 29.0 6.9 66.0 47.6 5.8 66.0 299.3 76.3 16.0 38.0 2.7 35.6 7.6 30.5 7.6 66.0 47.6 6.3 66.0 141.3 47.1 8.0 19.0 0.0 16.9 0.0 0.0 2.9 37.5 23.8 0.0 38.0 149.6 50.9 8.5 19.0 0.0 18.2 0.0 0.0 3.1 37.5 23.8 0.0 38.0 141.3 47.1 9.0 21.3 2.1 18.9 6.0 25.2 2.9 37.5 28.6 5.0 45.6 149.6 50.9 10.2 22.8 2.3 21.9 6.6 26.5 3.1 37.5 25.8 5.5 39.5 8.6 2.9 11.2 11.2 11.2 11.2 11.2 13.8 2.9 2.9 2.9 11.2 2.9 4.8 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 19.1 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 5.0 0.24 0.08 0.01 0.36 0.22 0.37 0.04 0.66 0.04 0.67 5.80 - Identified Limitation in next 5 years No No No No No No No No No No No No No SUMMER - Upper Hunter Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation Mitchell Line 132/66kV STS Muswellbrook 132/33kV STS Aberdeen 33/11kV ZS Aberdeen 66/11kV ZS Baerami 33/11kV ZS Denman 66/11kV ZS Merriwa 33/11kV ZS Mitchell Line 66/11kV ZS Moonan 33/11kV ZS Muswellbrook 132/11kV ZS Muswellbrook 33/11kV ZS Rouchel 33/11kV ZS Scone 33/11kV ZS Scone 66/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF Actual Load Forecast Load 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 48.6 51.1 67.3 65.4 80.0 86.8 88.0 88.0 88.4 89.2 90.0 0.92 0.95 0.95 0.92 0.92 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 39.7 42.6 23.1 18.6 22.8 20.4 19.9 19.9 0.97 0.99 0.99 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.98 7.3 7.6 7.1 5.4 2.8 0.97 0.99 0.99 0.95 0.99 1.0 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.3 0.90 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 1.1 1.5 0.9 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.92 0.95 0.95 0.97 0.95 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 8.0 7.0 6.6 5.6 6.8 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.1 6.1 0.94 0.94 0.93 0.94 0.93 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 3.8 3.7 3.8 2.8 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.4 0.92 0.95 0.96 0.98 0.96 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 13.8 13.2 13.4 9.2 13.0 14.7 16.4 16.9 17.4 18.2 18.9 0.92 0.95 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 1.2 1.1 1.2 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 0.97 0.99 0.91 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 14.9 14.7 14.5 0.94 0.94 0.94 15.8 15.9 16.5 11.6 14.3 14.7 14.2 14.2 0.97 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 1.5 1.0 1.3 1.1 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.97 0.99 0.91 0.91 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 16.2 17.0 0.97 0.95 17.4 12.3 16.2 16.2 16.0 15.7 15.5 15.5 15.5 0.98 0.96 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 96 WINTER - Upper Hunter Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation Mitchell Line 132/66kV STS Muswellbrook 132/33kV STS Aberdeen 33/11kV ZS Aberdeen 66/11kV ZS Baerami 33/11kV ZS Denman 66/11kV ZS Merriwa 33/11kV ZS Mitchell Line 66/11kV ZS Moonan 33/11kV ZS Muswellbrook 132/11kV ZS Muswellbrook 33/11kV ZS Rouchel 33/11kV ZS Scone 33/11kV ZS Scone 66/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF 2008 38.2 0.94 40.3 0.98 5.0 0.98 0.9 0.94 5.0 0.94 3.1 0.94 5.4 0.94 1.2 0.98 18.3 0.98 1.0 0.98 13.6 0.98 - 2009 40.3 0.95 32.3 0.99 5.0 0.99 0.7 0.95 4.9 0.95 3.4 0.95 8.9 0.95 1.1 0.99 12.4 0.99 1.0 0.99 12.5 0.99 - Actual Load 2010 2011 54.0 65.6 0.98 0.94 23.6 19.3 1.00 0.96 4.7 5.1 1.00 0.98 0.6 0.7 0.98 0.93 5.1 4.3 0.98 0.98 3.1 3.1 0.99 0.99 9.6 9.2 0.96 0.96 1.2 1.0 0.98 0.98 16.7 12.1 0.99 0.99 1.1 1.0 0.93 0.92 14.5 12.7 0.99 0.97 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 2012 65.5 0.93 18.6 0.96 2.4 0.94 0.7 0.97 4.2 0.97 3.1 1.00 9.2 0.97 1.0 0.99 11.9 0.97 0.9 0.90 12.4 0.98 2013 65.8 0.93 16.7 0.96 2.6 0.96 0.8 0.85 0.6 1.00 4.1 0.97 3.0 1.00 9.9 0.97 1.0 0.99 10.8 0.98 0.8 0.90 12.5 1.00 2014 69.4 0.93 13.2 0.96 2.6 0.87 0.6 1.00 4.1 0.97 2.9 1.00 10.8 0.97 1.0 0.99 10.4 0.98 0.8 0.90 12.3 1.00 Forecast Load 2015 2016 69.7 69.9 0.93 0.93 12.8 0.96 2.6 2.5 0.87 0.87 0.6 0.6 1.00 1.00 4.1 4.1 0.97 0.97 2.9 2.8 1.00 1.00 11.5 11.8 0.97 0.97 0.9 0.9 0.99 0.99 12.7 0.78 10.1 0.98 0.8 0.8 0.90 0.90 12.2 12.1 1.00 1.00 2017 70.3 0.93 2.5 0.87 0.6 0.99 4.1 0.97 2.8 1.00 12.3 0.97 0.9 0.99 12.4 0.78 0.9 0.90 12.1 1.00 2018 71.0 0.93 2.4 0.87 0.7 0.99 4.2 0.97 2.8 1.00 12.8 0.97 0.9 0.99 12.3 0.78 0.9 0.90 12.2 1.00 97 3.25 Upper North Shore Load Area 3.25.1 Description of Upper North Shore load area The Upper North Shore network area extends from St Ives in the north, west to Turramurra, through Pymble and south to Lindfield. The Pacific Highway and the North Shore and Western railway lines run through the area. The Upper North Shore is a predominantly urban area that includes residential and commercial load. The network in the Upper North Shore area: is supplied via Kuring-gai sub-transmission substation (STS) via a radial 33kV underground network. Kuringgai STS is supplied from TransGrid’s transmission system at Sydney East bulk supply point (BSP) via two 132kV feeders, 9E1 and 9E2, which predominantly comprise a single double circuit tower line provides standby supplies to Sydney Trains at 33kV from a busbar at Gordon, teed off a feeder from Kuring-gai STS to Lindfield zone substation, and supplies both residential and commercial load. Figure 28: Upper North Shore load area Table 26 – Identified system limitations in Upper North Shore load area Location 1. Nil Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 Identified Limitation Refer to DAPR section Nil - 98 3.25.2 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast Upper North Shore Area - Feeder Load Forecast Feeder name Feeder 9E1 (Sydney East BSP to Kuringai STS) Feeder 9E2 (Sydney East BSP to Kuringai STS) Feeder 530 (Kuringai STS to Pymble ZS T4) Summer (MVA) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 Volt age Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 33 Rating Feeder 532 (Kuringai STS to Pymble ZS T2) 33 Rating Feeder 533 (Kuringai STS to Pymble ZS T1) 33 Rating Feeder 534 (Kuringai STS to Lindfield ZS T2) Feeder 535 (Kuringai STS to Lindfield ZS T3) Feeder 536/1 (Kuringai STS to Gordon SRA) Feeder 536/2 (Gordon SRA to Lindfield ZS T4) Feeder 537 (Kuringai STS to Turramurra ZS T1) Feeder 538 (Kuringai STS to Turramurra ZS T2) Feeder 539 (Kuringai STS to Turramurra ZS T3) Feeder 540 (Kuringai STS to St Ives ZS T3) Feeder 541 (Kuringai STS to St Ives ZS T2) Feeder 542 (Kuringai STS to St Ives ZS T1) Load Load Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Winter (MVA) 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 154.8 155.1 152.2 154.0 156.5 157.9 160.9 162.5 157.7 160.3 162.8 165.5 229.8 229.8 229.8 229.8 229.8 229.8 277.8 277.8 277.8 277.8 277.8 277.8 154.8 154.8 152.1 154.0 156.5 157.9 160.7 162.4 157.7 160.3 162.8 165.7 229.8 229.8 229.8 229.8 229.8 229.8 277.8 277.8 277.8 277.8 277.8 277.8 18.4 18.0 17.6 17.9 18.1 18.2 18.0 17.7 17.5 17.9 18.7 19.2 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 18.3 18.0 17.5 17.9 18.1 18.2 17.9 17.7 17.5 17.9 18.7 19.2 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 18.7 18.2 17.8 18.1 18.3 18.5 18.2 18.0 17.8 18.2 19.0 19.5 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 15.2 15.0 14.8 14.9 15.0 15.0 17.0 16.7 16.4 16.5 16.7 16.8 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 15.4 15.2 15.1 15.1 15.2 14.9 17.2 16.6 16.3 16.5 16.6 16.7 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 15.2 15.0 14.8 14.9 15.0 15.0 17.0 16.7 16.4 16.6 16.7 16.8 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 15.2 15.0 14.9 14.9 15.0 15.1 17.0 16.7 16.5 16.6 16.7 16.9 31.4 31.4 31.4 31.4 31.4 31.4 31.4 31.4 31.4 31.4 31.4 31.4 18.0 18.8 18.4 18.7 19.0 19.2 18.4 20.5 20.0 20.3 20.5 20.9 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 17.9 18.8 18.5 18.7 19.0 19.2 18.4 20.4 19.9 20.1 20.4 20.7 25.4 25.4 25.4 25.4 25.4 25.4 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 17.9 18.8 18.5 18.7 19.0 19.2 18.4 20.4 19.9 20.1 20.4 20.7 23.6 23.6 23.6 23.6 23.6 23.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 25.3 25.0 24.6 24.9 25.4 25.8 25.9 25.1 24.2 24.4 24.3 24.6 31.3 31.3 31.3 31.3 31.3 31.3 32.8 32.8 32.8 32.8 32.8 32.8 25.5 25.2 24.8 25.4 25.6 26.0 26.0 25.2 24.4 24.5 24.4 25.0 28.9 28.9 28.9 28.9 28.9 28.9 31.4 31.4 31.4 31.4 31.4 31.4 25.4 25.1 24.7 24.9 25.5 25.9 26.0 25.1 24.3 24.5 24.4 24.6 28.9 28.9 28.9 28.9 28.9 28.9 31.4 31.4 31.4 31.4 31.4 31.4 3.25.3 STS and ZS load forecast Upper North Shore Area - STS and ZS details Summer Winter Summer Winter Solar PV Other Embedded Generation (MVA) Winter 95% Peak Load Exceeded (hrs/yr) Summer Licence Capacity (MVA) Winter Substation Kuring-gai 132/33kV STS Lindfield 33/11kV ZS Pymble 33/11kV ZS St Ives 33/11kV ZS Turramurra 33/11kV ZS Firm Capacity (MVA) Summer Total Capacity (MVA) 349.8 53.2 67.7 91.5 66.1 349.8 56.4 67.7 91.6 72.3 261.0 35.2 38.9 58.4 43.3 272.1 37.1 40.9 61.1 44.8 261.0 35.2 44.5 58.4 43.3 272.1 37.1 47.7 61.1 44.8 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 5.0 3.5 5.0 3.5 3.5 0.99 0.78 1.51 0.96 - Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 Identified Limitation in next 5 years No No No No No 99 SUMMER - Upper North Shore Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Forecast Load Actual Load 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 Substation MVA Kuring-gai 132/33kV STS PF Lindfield 33/11kV ZS Pymble 33/11kV ZS St Ives 33/11kV ZS Turramurra 33/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF 141.6 0.88 31.2 0.88 37.7 0.88 51.3 0.88 32.3 0.88 150.4 0.90 32.6 0.90 37.8 0.90 50.9 0.90 32.6 0.90 179.6 0.88 34.6 0.94 41.6 0.92 56.9 0.89 36.8 0.96 122.8 0.97 27.3 0.94 31.2 0.92 39.0 0.90 26.0 0.97 146.7 0.91 30.8 0.93 33.8 0.92 47.4 0.89 34.1 0.98 148.7 0.91 29.2 0.93 34.8 0.92 46.9 0.90 34.6 0.98 148.6 0.91 28.8 0.93 34.1 0.92 46.4 0.90 36.3 0.98 146.3 0.91 28.6 0.93 33.4 0.92 45.8 0.90 35.7 0.98 147.1 0.92 28.6 0.93 34.0 0.91 46.2 0.90 36.1 0.98 149.2 0.92 28.8 0.93 34.3 0.91 47.1 0.90 36.6 0.98 150.8 0.92 28.9 0.93 34.6 0.91 47.8 0.90 37.0 0.98 2012 2013 2014 Forecast Load 2015 2016 2017 2018 143.5 0.95 31.8 0.97 32.8 0.92 46.2 0.94 31.6 0.97 154.9 0.95 32.8 0.97 34.1 0.92 48.5 0.94 35.5 0.97 155.9 0.95 32.2 0.97 33.7 0.92 47.0 0.94 39.1 0.97 152.4 0.95 31.8 0.97 33.3 0.92 45.6 0.94 38.1 0.97 155.7 0.95 32.2 0.97 35.4 0.92 45.7 0.94 39.1 0.97 158.1 0.95 32.6 0.97 36.4 0.92 46.1 0.94 39.7 0.97 WINTER - Upper North Shore Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation Kuring-gai 132/33kV STS Lindfield 33/11kV ZS Pymble 33/11kV ZS St Ives 33/11kV ZS Turramurra 33/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF 2008 2009 179.0 0.87 40.2 0.87 38.4 0.87 58.6 0.87 40.0 0.87 157.9 0.93 36.0 0.93 35.5 0.93 52.0 0.93 35.0 0.93 Actual Load 2010 2011 161.2 0.93 35.9 0.96 35.9 0.91 53.5 0.94 35.1 0.95 155.4 0.91 33.6 0.96 35.2 0.91 51.8 0.94 34.1 0.95 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 154.3 0.95 32.0 0.97 34.1 0.92 45.9 0.94 38.6 0.97 100 3.26 West Lake Macquarie Load Area 3.26.1 Description of West lake Macquarie load area The West Lake Macquarie network area lies along the western edge of Lake Macquarie, located south-west of Newcastle. The area extends from Teralba in the north to Wyee in the south, and west to Wakefield, Cooranbong and Mandalong. The area includes Toronto town centres and emerging Morisset regional centre, as well as a mix of urban residential and light industrial areas. Most of the existing urban development is concentrated in the vicinity of the Lake Macquarie shore-line. The surrounding areas contain a mix of industrial, power generation, coal-mining and semi-rural areas. The F3 freeway and the main northern rail-line pass through the area. There is opportunity for continued urban development in the area as there are large tracts of vacant land. Cooranbong has been identified in the Department of Planning’s Lower Hunter regional strategy as a priority land release area, with 3,000 new lots expected to be released. The network in the West Lake Macquarie area: is supplied from both Awaba STS and Eraring STS via 132kV feeders from TransGrid’s transmission system at Killingworth and Vales Point includes six zone substations. Three of the six zone substations are supplied from the 33kV network originating at Eraring STS (of which two are dedicated to mining customers), one zone substation is supplied from the 33kV network originating at Awaba STS and the remaining two zone substations are supplied from the 132kV network provides dedicated 11kV supply to underground coal-mining operations at Myuna and Cooranbong via two of the zone substations includes three 33kV-connected mining customers (Mandalong, Awaba and Newstan) and a 33kV connection for railway supplies at Awaba consists of approximately 105km of predominantly overhead 33kV feeder network, and serves most of the area’s 11kV supply needs from Avondale ZS, Toronto ZS and Morisset ZS. Figure 29: West Lake Macquarie load area Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 101 Table 27 – Identified system limitations in West Lake Macquarie load area Location Identified Limitation Refer to DAPR section 1. Cooranbong 33/11kV ZS (dedicated customer) Asset Condition 5.3.22 2. Myuna 33/11kV ZS (dedicated customer) Asset Condition 5.3.22 3.26.2 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast West Lake Macquarie Area - Feeder Load Forecast Feeder name Feeder H730 (Awaba STS To Awaba Mine) Feeder H733 (Awaba STS To Toronto ZS) Feeder H734 (Awaba STS To Newstan ZS) Feeder H735 (Awaba STS To Newstan ZS) Feeder H736 (Awaba STS To Toronto ZS) Feeder H738 (Awaba STS To Awaba Mine) Feeder 752 (Awaba STS to SRA Awaba) Feeder H783(1) (Eraring STS to Avondale ZS) Feeder H783(2) (Eraring STS to Avondale ZS) Feeder H784 (Eraring STS To Cooranbong ZS) Feeder H785 (Eraring STS To Myuna ZS) Feeder H786 (Eraring STS To Myuna ZS) Feeder 3710(1) (Cooranbong ZS To Avondale ZS) Feeder 3710(2) (Cooranbong ZS To Avondale ZS) Feeder 3710(3) (Cooranbong ZS To Avondale ZS) Summer (MVA) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 (kV) Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating Load 33 Rating 2013 2014 Winter (MVA) 2015 2016 2017 2018 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 19.4 19.4 19.4 19.4 19.4 19.4 25.1 25.1 25.1 25.1 25.1 25.1 18.7 18.1 - - - - 14.4 14.3 14.2 - - - 24.5 24.5 - - - - 28.6 28.6 28.6 - - - 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.9 8.3 8.3 8.3 8.3 8.3 8.3 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.9 8.6 8.3 8.3 8.3 8.3 8.3 27.2 27.2 27.2 27.2 27.2 27.2 30.3 30.3 30.3 30.3 30.3 30.3 18.7 18.1 - - - - 14.4 14.3 14.2 - - - 29.4 29.4 - - - - 32.7 32.7 32.7 - - - 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 18.9 18.9 18.9 18.9 18.9 18.9 21.1 21.1 21.1 21.1 21.1 21.1 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 13.5 13.5 13.5 13.5 13.5 13.5 13.5 13.5 13.5 13.5 13.5 13.5 23.7 23.4 23.2 23.1 23.0 22.9 21.1 20.9 20.8 20.9 21.1 21.2 46.8 46.8 46.8 46.8 46.8 46.8 52.5 52.5 52.5 52.5 52.5 52.5 23.3 23.1 22.9 22.8 22.7 22.6 20.8 20.7 20.6 20.7 20.8 21.0 42.3 42.3 42.3 42.3 42.3 42.3 42.3 42.3 42.3 42.3 42.3 42.3 23.7 23.5 23.2 23.1 23.0 22.9 21.1 21.0 20.9 21.0 21.2 21.3 46.8 46.8 46.8 46.8 46.8 46.8 52.5 52.5 52.5 52.5 52.5 52.5 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 31.2 31.2 31.2 31.2 31.2 31.2 34.5 34.5 34.5 34.5 34.5 34.5 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 31.2 31.2 31.2 31.2 31.2 31.2 41.4 41.4 41.4 41.4 41.4 41.4 14.3 14.3 14.3 14.4 14.3 14.3 12.7 12.6 12.6 12.6 12.6 12.6 18.2 18.2 18.2 18.2 18.2 18.2 21.6 21.6 21.6 21.6 21.6 21.6 21.4 21.1 20.9 20.8 20.7 20.6 19.8 19.7 19.6 19.7 19.8 20.0 22.9 22.9 22.9 22.9 22.9 22.9 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 28.6 14.8 14.8 14.8 14.8 14.8 14.8 14.6 14.6 14.6 14.6 14.6 14.6 17.2 17.2 17.2 17.2 17.2 17.2 31.2 31.2 31.2 31.2 31.2 31.2 3.26.3 STS and ZS load forecast West Lake Macquarie Area - STS and ZS details Summer Winter Summer Winter Solar PV Other Embedded Generation (MVA) Winter 95% Peak Load Exceeded (hrs/yr) Summer Licence Capacity (MVA) Winter Substation Eraring 132/33kV STS Avondale 33/11kV ZS Morisset 132/11kV ZS Rathmines 132/11kV ZS Rathmin. 132/11kV Temp Toronto 132/11kV ZS Toronto 33/11kV ZS Firm Capacity (MVA) Summer Total Capacity (MVA) 134.3 45.7 76.2 76.0 34.3 76.0 57.7 134.3 45.7 76.2 76.0 34.3 76.0 57.7 69.5 22.9 38.1 38.0 0.0 38.0 30.5 73.5 22.9 38.1 38.0 0.0 38.0 30.5 69.5 25.2 42.6 42.5 10.0 42.5 34.1 73.5 25.7 45.7 39.1 10.0 38.4 36.6 8.6 11.2 11.2 11.2 11.2 11.2 11.2 4.8 5.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 0.97 1.64 1.64 0.75 1.12 - Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 Identified Limitation in next 5 years No No No No No No No 102 SUMMER - West Lake Macquarie Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Forecast Load Actual Load 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 Substation MVA PF MVA Avondale 33/11kV ZS PF MVA Morisset 132/11kV ZS PF MVA Rathmines 132/11kV ZS PF MVA Rathmin. 132/11kV Temp PF MVA Toronto 132/11kV ZS PF MVA Toronto 33/11kV ZS PF Eraring 132/33kV STS 33.5 0.90 15.1 0.90 20.8 0.95 12.9 0.92 19.7 0.95 30.6 0.92 13.5 0.92 25.1 0.94 16.5 0.92 18.2 0.95 33.2 0.89 16.3 0.93 23.4 0.92 16.6 0.91 19.7 0.94 31.2 0.90 12.4 0.94 16.3 0.91 11.6 0.92 14.6 0.95 29.6 0.90 15.1 0.95 21.5 0.94 16.6 0.94 18.6 0.95 27.6 0.91 9.7 0.95 22.7 0.94 14.5 0.94 18.2 0.95 27.4 0.91 9.5 0.95 22.7 0.94 14.6 0.94 17.7 0.95 27.2 0.91 9.2 0.95 22.7 0.94 14.6 0.94 17.7 0.95 - 27.1 0.91 9.1 0.95 23.0 0.94 14.8 0.94 17.3 0.95 - 27.0 0.91 9.0 0.95 23.4 0.94 15.1 0.94 17.1 0.95 - 26.9 0.91 8.9 0.95 23.8 0.94 15.5 0.94 17.0 0.95 - WINTER - West Lake Macquarie Area STS and ZS Load Forecast Substation Eraring 132/33kV STS Avondale 33/11kV ZS Morisset 132/11kV ZS Rathmines 132/11kV ZS Rathmines 132/11kV ZS Toronto 132/11kV ZS Toronto 33/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF 2008 2009 38.8 0.94 21.7 0.94 16.0 0.94 13.9 0.95 18.7 0.96 30.8 0.92 12.8 0.92 18.0 0.94 13.2 0.95 19.9 0.98 Actual Load 2010 2011 29.3 0.93 12.7 0.96 18.5 0.94 12.6 0.95 14.8 0.96 30.8 0.92 12.2 0.96 18.7 0.97 12.5 0.95 14.1 0.97 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 2012 2013 2014 Forecast Load 2015 2016 2017 2018 28.1 0.73 11.9 0.97 16.4 0.97 12.3 0.95 13.1 0.97 25.6 0.72 8.6 0.97 20.0 0.97 13.1 0.95 14.1 0.97 25.5 0.72 8.5 0.97 19.7 0.97 13.0 0.95 14.1 0.97 25.4 0.72 8.4 0.97 19.4 0.97 13.0 0.95 14.0 0.97 25.6 0.72 8.7 0.97 20.0 0.97 13.7 0.95 14.3 0.97 - 25.8 0.72 8.9 0.97 20.4 0.97 14.1 0.95 14.7 0.97 - 25.5 0.72 8.5 0.97 19.7 0.97 13.3 0.95 14.0 0.97 - 103 3.27 Transmission Load Area - Central Coast 3.27.1 Description of Central Coast Transmission load area Ausgrid prepares a Central Coast Transmission Load Area plan that covers all Ausgrid 132kV sub-transmission assets and dual function assets which operate in parallel and support the main TransGrid transmission network in the Lower Central Coast and Upper Central Coast sub-transmission load areas. It forms the basis for TransGrid – Ausgrid joint planning and the sharing of network models and data in the Central Coast area. The Central Coast transmission load area includes all of the Gosford and Wyong local government areas. The area extends south from Lake Macquarie to Broken Bay/Brisbane Water. Most of the development in the area has occurred in a coastal strip to the east of the Sydney to Newcastle expressway. Development is bounded by bushland to the West of the region, and water to the north, south and east. The coastal area of the Lower Central Coast is a popular holiday destination and is a dormitory suburb for Sydney. The area is currently a mix of rural, residential, commercial and industrial land use. The major industries in the area are coal mining and power generation, both of which are in the northern part of the area. The Department of Planning’s Regional Strategy for the Central Coast predicts continued population growth in the area over the next 25 years. 36,000 additional dwellings are expected in the area in the period to 2031, mostly as a result of in-fill development. As the population grows, industries in the region are likely to generate an increase in the number of jobs in wholesaling, retailing, property and business services, tourism, health services, cultural and recreational services and personal services. Although manufacturing jobs will increase in total numbers, the proportion of manufacturing jobs will decline. Development in the area is currently constrained by water supply issues, which prevent development of extensive areas of land west of the Sydney to Newcastle freeway. Greater population growth may be possible if the water supply issues are resolved. Ausgrid’s Central Coast transmission system comprises a network of 132kV lines running from north to south along the length of the Central Coast. The system interconnects TransGrid’s 330/132kV supply points at Vales Point and Munmorah in the north of the area with TransGrid’s centrally located Tuggerah 330/132kV supply point in the south. The network extends south from Tuggerah Bulk Supply Point (BSP) through the lower Central Coast, and connects to the inner metropolitan network at Mt Colah STSS. The Central Coast 132kV network: provides 132kV supply to four zone substations and two STSs in the area supports the TransGrid owned 330/132kV substations at Tuggerah and Munmorah, with Munmorah BSP currently provide only non-firm supply operates in parallel with TransGrid’s 330kV system, linking major power stations on the upper Central Coast area with the Sydney metropolitan area. This means that power flows in the 132kV system are influenced by the configuration of the 330kV system has no 132kV busbar at Vales Point bulk supply point although there are two 330/132kV transformers, and Ausgrid’s single outgoing feeder 957 connects to both 330/132kV transformers. Following the proposed commissioning of Lake Munmorah 132/11kV zone substation in 2013, the feeder 957 will be connected to Vales Point BSP transformer No. 2 and the proposed Lake Munmorah zone substation feeder will be connected to Vales Point BSP transformer No. 1 has no 132kV busbar at Munmorah 330/132kV BSP, and would require substantial work to establish a 132kV busbar if any additional 132kV feeders were to be connected to either Munmorah or Vales Point BSP. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 104 Figure 30: Identified system limitations in Central Coast 132kV load area Table 28 – Identified transmission support limitations in Central Coast Transmission load area Location 1. Nil Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 Identified Limitation Refer to DAPR section - - 105 3.27.2 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast Central Coast Subtransmission - Feeder Load Forecast Summer (MVA) Feeder name Feeder 268 (Ourimbah STS to Wamberal ZS) Feeder 92Z (Mt Colah STSS to Sydney East BSP) Feeder 94L (Tuggerah BSP to Brekeley Vale ZS) Feeder 95C (Tuggerah BSP to Ourimbah STS STS) Feeder 95E (Gosford STS to Somersby ZS) Feeder 95T (Vales Point BSP to Lake Munmorah ZS) Feeder 95Z (Mt Colah STSS to Somersby ZS) Feeder 951 (Ourimbah STS to West Gosford ZS) Feeder 954 (Tuggerah BSP to Berkeley Vale ZS) Feeder 956 (Gosford STS to West Gosford ZS) Feeder 957/1 (Tee Ourimbah STS/ Morisset ZS to Ourimbah STS) Feeder 957/3 (Vales Pt BSP to Tee Ourimbah STS/Morisset ZS) Feeder 958 (Tuggerah BSP to Gosford STS) Feeder 97E (Munmorah Power Station to 97ETee) (kV) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load Feeder 97E (97ETee to Charmhaven ZS) Feeder 97E (97ETee to Lake Munmorah ZS) Feeder 98B (Charmhaven ZS to Wyong ZS) Feeder99C (Tuggerah BSP to Wyong ZS) Winter (MVA) 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 12.1 12.1 12.2 12.5 12.9 13.3 7.3 7.3 7.2 7.5 7.7 8.0 124.0 124.0 124.0 124.0 124.0 124.0 130.0 130.0 130.0 130.0 130.0 130.0 67.7 70.2 70.4 68.5 66.2 68.1 71.6 66.0 63.6 62.7 60.7 59.5 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 46.0 45.5 46.4 46.5 46.2 45.9 37.0 35.8 35.3 35.7 36.1 36.3 275.0 275.0 275.0 275.0 275.0 275.0 338.1 338.1 338.1 338.1 338.1 338.1 206.7 208.3 201.7 208.3 215.2 222.0 212.4 201.7 198.4 201.5 209.0 211.9 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 79.5 81.8 79.0 78.6 77.5 80.9 84.9 77.5 74.6 73.8 73.8 72.7 141.8 141.8 141.8 141.8 141.8 141.8 162.3 162.3 162.3 162.3 162.3 162.3 15.2 19.0 18.9 19.3 19.7 20.2 23.4 25.9 25.1 25.4 25.6 25.8 240.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 257.0 257.0 257.0 257.0 257.0 257.0 67.7 70.1 70.3 68.5 66.2 68.4 71.7 66.0 63.6 62.7 60.9 59.7 170.6 170.6 170.6 170.6 170.6 170.6 221.8 221.8 221.8 221.8 221.8 221.8 206.4 207.3 199.2 205.2 210.6 218.5 205.6 194.2 189.3 191.3 196.7 198.7 238.2 238.2 238.2 238.2 238.2 238.2 248.3 248.3 248.3 248.3 248.3 248.3 46.0 45.6 46.5 46.6 46.2 45.9 37.1 35.8 35.4 35.7 36.1 36.3 275.0 275.0 275.0 275.0 275.0 275.0 340.4 340.4 340.4 340.4 340.4 340.4 153.9 156.0 151.2 156.5 160.8 167.9 164.3 152.8 149.4 151.1 155.3 156.9 275.0 275.0 275.0 275.0 275.0 275.0 334.0 334.0 334.0 334.0 334.0 334.0 86.2 88.1 84.8 86.4 86.6 90.3 87.0 87.5 84.1 84.8 85.5 86.3 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 179.5 179.5 179.5 179.5 179.5 179.5 106.7 108.7 105.3 107.0 107.3 111.1 107.4 108.2 104.6 105.3 105.9 106.9 155.2 155.2 155.2 155.2 155.2 155.2 182.9 182.9 182.9 182.9 182.9 182.9 212.1 213.2 204.7 211.1 217.0 225.4 210.9 199.2 194.2 196.4 202.3 204.6 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 174.4 173.4 167.9 170.6 172.6 178.0 170.7 168.7 163.8 164.9 166.2 167.6 206.0 206.0 206.0 206.0 206.0 206.0 206.0 206.0 206.0 206.0 206.0 206.0 174.4 173.4 168.0 170.6 172.7 178.1 170.7 168.7 163.8 164.9 166.3 167.6 275.0 275.0 275.0 275.0 275.0 275.0 340.0 340.0 340.0 340.0 340.0 340.0 15.2 19.0 18.9 19.3 19.8 20.2 23.4 25.9 25.1 25.3 25.6 25.8 250.7 250.7 250.7 250.7 250.7 250.7 306.4 306.4 306.4 306.4 306.4 306.4 137.6 140.6 135.6 137.3 138.1 142.3 137.8 139.4 135.4 136.0 137.2 137.8 260.0 260.0 260.0 260.0 260.0 260.0 283.7 283.7 283.7 283.7 283.7 283.7 106.5 110.7 106.4 107.9 108.1 112.0 106.5 108.4 105.6 105.6 107.2 106.9 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 106 3.27.3 STS and ZS load forecast The forecast loads for the STS and Zone sub-transmission substations in the Central Coast Transmission Area are shown in the following load areas, identified by DAPR section below: Lower Central Coast Load Area 3.8 Lower Central Coast Load Area, and 3.23 Upper Central Coast Load Area. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 107 3.28 Transmission Load Area – Lower Hunter 3.28.1 Description of Lower Hunter 132kV Transmission load area Ausgrid prepares a Lower Hunter Transmission Load Area plan that covers all Ausgrid 132kV sub-transmission assets and dual function assets which operate in parallel and support the main TransGrid transmission network in the Lower Hunter sub-transmission load areas. It forms the basis for TransGrid – Ausgrid joint planning and the sharing of network models and data in the Lower Hunter transmission area. The Lower Hunter region supplied by Ausgrid’s 132kV network extends from the Tomaree Peninsula and Karuah in the north, to Wyee and Swansea in the south. It is bordered on the east by the coastline and extends north-west to Pokolbin and south-west to Mandalong. The Lower Hunter 132kV network provides supply to the Ausgrid network serving Cessnock, Lake Macquarie, Maitland, Newcastle and Port Stephens local government areas; and connection between TransGrid’s 330/132kV bulk supply points in the Lower Hunter and TransGrid feeders supplying Essential Energy’s Lower North network. The Lower Hunter 132kV transmission network provides 132kV supply to the following Ausgrid network areas: Newcastle Inner City Newcastle Ports Newcastle Western Corridor North-East Lake Macquarie West Lake Macquarie Port Stephens Maitland Greater Cessnock. Ausgrid has prepared separate area strategy documents for each of these network areas; these documents set out the supply strategies for each area. The Lower Hunter 132kV Transmission network: comprises around 300km of predominantly overhead 132kV feeders is supplied from the TransGrid transmission network Bulk Supply Points (BSP) at Killingworth (named Newcastle BSP), Waratah West and Tomago provides 132kV transmission connections from Tomago BSP to TransGrid feeders supplying the Essential Energy network at Taree and Stroud includes 132kV network interconnections to the Upper Hunter 132kV network at Rothbury and the Central Coast 132kV network via Morisset and Eraring substations provides 132kV supply connections for the OneSteel manufacturing facilities at Mayfield North and the Hydro Aluminium Smelter near Kurri Kurri, and includes nine 132/33kV sub-transmission substations and seven 132/11kV zone substations. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 108 Figure 31: Identified system limitations in Lower Hunter Transmission area Table 29 – Identified transmission support limitations in Lower Hunter Transmission load area Location 1. Awaba 132/33kV sub-transmission substation Identified Limitation Refer to DAPR section Asset Condition 5.3.13 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 109 3.28.2 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast Lower Hunter Transmission Area - Feeder Load Forecast Feeder name Feeder 95U (Muswellbrook BSP to Singleton STS) Feeder 95M (Muswellbrook BSP to Mitchell Line STS) Feeder 95H (Muswellbrook BSP to Muswellbrook STS) Feeder 95H (Muswellbrook BSP to Muswellbrook ZS) Feeder 95F (Mitchell Line STS to Muswellbrook STS) Summer (MVA) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 (kV) Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Feeder 95F (Mitchell Line STS to Muswellbrook ZS) 132 Rating Feeder 955 (Redbank PS to Singleton STS) 132 Rating Load 2014 Winter (MVA) 2015 2016 2017 2018 127.2 142.3 162.9 163.6 164.7 166.0 137.6 141.5 175.3 175.6 176.0 176.9 238.0 238.0 238.0 238.0 238.0 238.0 238.0 238.0 238.0 238.0 238.0 238.0 139.4 150.1 164.9 165.0 166.3 167.7 129.8 133.4 157.1 162.2 158.4 159.1 238.0 238.0 238.0 238.0 238.0 238.0 253.0 253.0 253.0 253.0 253.0 253.0 124.9 130.8 138.2 - - - 107.4 108.4 120.3 - - - 290.0 290.0 290.0 - - - 306.0 306.0 306.0 - - - - - - 135.8 136.6 137.5 - - - 130.7 120.3 120.9 - - - 290.0 290.0 290.0 - - - 306.0 306.0 306.0 104.9 111.1 118.3 - - - 90.6 94.8 106.7 - - - 171.0 171.0 171.0 - - - 181.0 181.0 181.0 - - - - - - 119.0 120.0 121.1 - - - 119.0 120.0 121.1 - - - 181.0 181.0 181.0 - - - 181.0 181.0 181.0 18.8 19.0 19.1 19.4 19.7 19.9 10.4 12.2 12.4 12.6 12.8 13.0 200.3 200.3 200.3 200.3 200.3 200.3 223.6 223.6 223.6 223.6 223.6 223.6 129.0 143.9 166.1 167.2 168.7 170.1 139.0 143.1 178.5 179.1 179.6 180.3 290.0 290.0 290.0 290.0 290.0 290.0 306.0 306.0 306.0 306.0 306.0 306.0 101.9 109.3 93.4 78.5 70.2 88.2 87.1 68.9 66.1 67.6 48.2 50.2 166.0 166.0 166.0 166.0 166.0 166.0 186.0 186.0 186.0 186.0 186.0 186.0 109.9 117.7 100.7 84.9 75.9 95.3 93.8 74.4 71.3 72.9 52.1 54.3 132 Rating 128.0 128.0 128.0 128.0 128.0 128.0 143.0 143.0 143.0 143.0 143.0 143.0 Feeder 98A Load (Tomago STS to Tomago BSP) 132 Rating 111.1 118.1 119.3 120.9 123.9 126.9 82.7 83.7 79.7 80.0 80.3 80.8 166.0 166.0 166.0 166.0 166.0 166.0 186.0 186.0 186.0 186.0 186.0 186.0 Feeder 9F4 Load (Tomago STS to Tomago BSP) 132 Rating 111.1 117.9 119.2 120.9 123.8 126.9 82.6 83.6 79.6 80.0 80.2 80.8 290.0 290.0 290.0 290.0 290.0 290.0 308.0 308.0 308.0 308.0 308.0 308.0 0.9 6.6 6.6 6.7 6.9 7.1 - 3.1 6.5 6.7 6.8 6.9 166.0 166.0 166.0 166.0 166.0 166.0 - 224.2 224.2 224.2 224.2 224.2 0.9 6.7 6.7 6.8 7.0 7.1 - 3.1 6.6 6.7 6.8 7.0 213.2 213.2 213.2 213.2 213.2 213.2 - 293.4 293.4 293.4 293.4 293.4 64.2 64.0 63.7 63.4 64.5 65.1 52.4 51.9 50.8 51.7 52.1 52.8 154.0 154.0 154.0 154.0 154.0 154.0 172.0 172.0 172.0 172.0 172.0 172.0 23.1 22.5 21.8 21.5 21.2 21.0 11.7 11.3 11.0 10.9 10.9 11.0 154.0 154.0 154.0 154.0 154.0 154.0 172.0 172.0 172.0 172.0 172.0 172.0 45.7 44.7 44.4 44.5 45.0 45.6 33.8 33.3 32.7 33.2 33.7 34.4 154.0 154.0 154.0 154.0 154.0 154.0 172.0 172.0 172.0 172.0 172.0 172.0 Feeder 95X (Singleton STS to Mitchell Line STS) Feeder 98N (Beresfield STS to Tomago BSP) Feeder 98R (Beresfield STS to Tomago STS) Feeder 9C5 (Brandy Hill ZS to Tomago BSP) Feeder 96F (Tomago BSP to Stroud STS) Feeder 950 (Newcastle BSP to Jesmond ZS) Feeder 96Z (Newcastle BSP to Maryland ZS) Load 2013 Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Feeder 9F5 Load (Jesmond ZS to Waratah STS) 132 Rating Feeder 96J (Maryland ZS to Waratah STS) Feeder 960/1 (Newcastle BSP to tee Argenton STS and Charlestown) Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating 23.1 22.5 21.8 21.5 21.2 21.0 11.7 11.3 11.0 10.9 10.9 11.0 137.0 138.0 139.0 140.0 141.0 142.0 137.0 138.0 139.0 140.0 141.0 142.0 356.4 373.1 372.7 376.3 383.6 391.1 245.0 269.2 265.6 269.9 274.2 279.6 549.0 549.0 549.0 549.0 549.0 549.0 549.0 549.0 549.0 549.0 549.0 549.0 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 110 Lower Hunter Transmission Area - Feeder Load Forecast Feeder name Feeder 9F9/2A (Glebe SS to Merewether STS) Summer (MVA) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 (kV) Load 132 Rating Feeder 9F9/2B Load (Glebe SS to Merewether STS) 132 Rating Feeder 961/1 (Newcastle BSP to tee Load Argenton STS and Glebe SS) 132 Rating Load Feeder 961/2 (tee to Glebe SS) 132 Rating Feeder 961/3 (tee to Argenton STS) 132 Rating Load Feeder 961/2A (Glebe SS to Merewether STS) Feeder 961/2B (Glebe SS to Merewether STS) Feeder 9F9 (Charlestown ZS to Glebe SS) Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load Feeder 9N9/3 (tee to Waratah STS) Feeder 9N9/2 (Waratah West BSP to Waratah STS and Broadmeadow) Feeder 9F8 (Merewether STS to Broadmeadow ZS) Feeder 95A (Newcastle BSP to Awaba STS) Feeder 95G (Awaba STS to Rathmines ZS) Feeder 9F3 (Eraring STS to Rathmines ZS) Feeder 952 (Newcastle BSP to Rathmines ZS) Feeder 95Y/1 (Eraring STS to tee Morisset & Rathmines ) 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load Feeder 95Y/2 (tee to Morisset) 132 Rating Load Feeder 95Y/3 (tee to Rathmines) Feeder 96W (Newcastle BSP to Hydro Aluminium Smelter) 132 Rating Load 132 Rating 2013 2014 Winter (MVA) 2015 2016 2017 2018 93.4 100.7 100.1 100.7 102.3 104.0 62.9 74.7 73.4 74.2 75.0 76.1 164.5 164.5 164.5 164.5 164.5 164.5 174.0 174.0 174.0 174.0 174.0 174.0 93.4 100.7 100.1 100.7 102.3 104.0 62.9 74.7 73.4 74.2 75.0 76.1 164.5 164.5 164.5 164.5 164.5 164.5 174.0 174.0 174.0 174.0 174.0 174.0 356.9 372.9 373.1 376.7 383.9 391.3 244.9 269.5 265.9 270.2 274.1 279.8 549.0 549.0 549.0 549.0 549.0 549.0 549.0 549.0 549.0 549.0 549.0 549.0 128.3 130.2 132.3 135.2 139.1 143.4 85.3 85.5 85.9 88.4 90.8 93.9 282.0 282.0 282.0 282.0 282.0 282.0 282.0 282.0 282.0 282.0 282.0 282.0 223.7 237.2 235.3 235.8 238.9 241.7 158.0 181.9 178.0 179.7 181.2 183.7 274.0 274.0 274.0 274.0 274.0 274.0 274.0 274.0 274.0 274.0 274.0 274.0 64.1 65.1 66.2 67.6 69.5 71.7 42.7 42.8 42.9 44.2 45.4 46.9 141.0 141.0 141.0 141.0 141.0 141.0 141.0 141.0 141.0 141.0 141.0 141.0 64.1 65.1 66.2 67.6 69.5 71.7 42.7 42.8 42.9 44.2 45.4 46.9 141.0 141.0 141.0 141.0 141.0 141.0 141.0 141.0 141.0 141.0 141.0 141.0 186.8 201.4 200.2 201.5 204.7 208.1 125.8 149.5 146.7 148.4 150.1 152.3 329.0 329.0 329.0 329.0 329.0 329.0 348.0 348.0 348.0 348.0 348.0 348.0 70.2 69.8 70.2 63.5 64.1 64.7 52.2 51.7 51.1 51.6 52.1 52.8 264.0 264.0 264.0 264.0 264.0 264.0 264.0 264.0 264.0 264.0 264.0 264.0 70.2 69.8 70.2 63.6 64.2 64.8 52.2 51.7 51.2 51.6 52.1 52.8 273.0 273.0 273.0 273.0 273.0 273.0 292.0 292.0 292.0 292.0 292.0 292.0 14.9 29.9 29.3 29.1 29.2 29.3 - 23.5 23.0 23.1 23.3 23.6 274.0 274.0 274.0 274.0 274.0 274.0 - 286.5 286.5 286.5 286.5 286.5 64.5 64.0 43.3 51.6 51.3 55.1 59.2 73.4 64.5 41.5 50.4 52.9 154.0 154.0 154.0 154.0 154.0 154.0 171.0 171.0 171.0 171.0 171.0 171.0 39.0 38.7 43.3 51.6 51.3 55.1 41.0 55.5 46.4 41.5 50.4 52.9 154.0 154.0 154.0 154.0 154.0 154.0 171.0 171.0 171.0 171.0 171.0 171.0 23.4 23.2 23.1 22.9 22.9 22.8 22.8 22.7 23.0 23.1 22.5 23.0 59.0 59.0 59.0 59.0 59.0 59.0 64.0 64.0 64.0 64.0 64.0 64.0 63.7 63.3 65.0 77.1 76.8 80.6 58.9 73.3 64.2 60.1 71.8 74.5 166.9 166.9 166.9 166.9 166.9 166.9 186.3 186.3 186.3 186.3 186.3 186.3 23.7 23.2 23.1 23.2 22.9 22.8 22.8 23.1 23.0 22.7 23.2 23.0 59.4 59.4 59.4 59.4 59.4 59.4 64.0 64.0 64.0 64.0 64.0 64.0 14.8 14.5 26.4 31.9 31.6 35.6 22.4 31.5 22.2 20.2 32.9 34.5 134.0 134.0 134.0 134.0 134.0 134.0 148.0 148.0 148.0 148.0 148.0 148.0 32.9 32.2 41.7 51.4 50.9 54.9 35.5 51.8 41.4 39.0 50.2 52.7 134.0 134.0 134.0 134.0 134.0 134.0 148.0 148.0 148.0 148.0 148.0 148.0 35.7 36.0 36.1 40.7 41.4 44.1 26.2 26.1 26.2 26.6 30.3 30.8 249.0 249.0 249.0 249.0 249.0 249.0 271.0 271.0 271.0 271.0 271.0 271.0 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 111 Lower Hunter Transmission Area - Feeder Load Forecast Feeder name Feeder 96B (Newcastle BSP to Hydro Aluminium Smelter) Feeder 95L (Hydro Aluminium Smelter to Kurri STS) Feeder 96U (Kurri ZS to Newcastle BSP) Summer (MVA) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 (kV) Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load Feeder 96E (Kurri STS to Kurri ZS) Feeder 95R (Rothbury ZS to Kurri STS) Feeder 953 (Rothbury ZS to Redbank) Feeder 96A (Kurri STS to Newcastle BSP) Feeder 9NA (Beresfield STS to Newcastle BSP) Feeder 99Y (Beresfield STS to Kurri STS) 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating 2013 2014 Winter (MVA) 2015 2016 2017 2018 37.1 37.4 37.5 42.2 42.9 45.8 27.2 27.1 27.2 27.6 31.4 32.0 290.0 290.0 290.0 290.0 290.0 290.0 308.0 308.0 308.0 308.0 308.0 308.0 68.4 69.1 69.2 78.6 79.8 85.4 49.5 49.1 49.5 50.2 57.7 58.8 290.0 290.0 290.0 290.0 290.0 290.0 308.0 308.0 308.0 308.0 308.0 308.0 50.8 51.1 51.4 57.7 58.8 62.7 36.6 36.5 36.7 37.3 42.4 43.3 249.0 249.0 249.0 249.0 249.0 249.0 271.0 271.0 271.0 271.0 271.0 271.0 27.4 27.7 28.0 32.7 31.8 35.0 21.5 19.8 20.3 20.3 24.8 25.1 249.0 249.0 249.0 249.0 249.0 249.0 271.0 271.0 271.0 271.0 271.0 271.0 12.9 12.9 12.9 13.0 13.2 13.5 6.2 6.9 6.8 7.0 7.2 7.4 166.0 166.0 166.0 166.0 166.0 166.0 186.0 186.0 186.0 186.0 186.0 186.0 12.5 12.5 12.5 12.6 12.8 13.1 6.4 7.0 7.0 7.1 7.3 7.6 167.0 167.0 167.0 167.0 167.0 167.0 167.0 167.0 167.0 167.0 167.0 167.0 67.3 67.8 68.0 77.0 78.2 83.6 48.9 48.6 48.9 49.7 56.8 57.9 290.0 290.0 290.0 290.0 290.0 290.0 308.0 308.0 308.0 308.0 308.0 308.0 26.9 43.4 25.6 45.6 40.1 48.2 53.6 18.0 20.3 18.8 28.0 28.4 223.0 223.0 223.0 223.0 223.0 223.0 237.0 237.0 237.0 237.0 237.0 237.0 45.3 46.5 45.4 32.3 32.6 32.7 59.1 38.2 37.5 37.9 28.4 29.4 166.0 166.0 166.0 166.0 166.0 166.0 186.0 186.0 186.0 186.0 186.0 186.0 3.28.3 STS and ZS load forecast The forecast loads for the STS and Zone sub-transmission substations in the Lower Hunter Transmission area are shown in the following load areas, identified by DAPR section below: 3.6 Greater Cessnock Load Area 3.10 Maitland Load Area 3.12 Newcastle Inner City Load Area 3.13 Newcastle Ports Load Area 3.14 Newcastle Western Corridor Load Area 3.15 North-East Lake Macquarie Load Area 3.18 Port Stephens 3.26 West Lake Macquarie Load Area. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 112 3.29 Sydney Inner Metropolitan Transmission Load Area 3.29.1 Description of Sydney Inner Metropolitan Transmission load area Ausgrid prepares a Sydney Inner Metropolitan Transmission Load Area plan that covers all Ausgrid 132kV subtransmission assets and dual function assets which operate in parallel and support the main TransGrid transmission network in the Sydney Metropolitan sub-transmission load areas. It forms the basis for TransGrid – Ausgrid joint planning and the sharing of network models and data for the Sydney Metropolitan transmission area. The Sydney Inner Metropolitan 132kV transmission network provides 132kV supply to the following Ausgrid network load areas: Camperdown and Blackwattle Bay Load Area Canterbury Bankstown Load Area Carlingford Load Area Eastern Suburbs Load Area Inner West Load Area Lower North Shore Load Area Manly Warringah Load Area North West Sydney Load Area Pittwater and Terrey Hills Load Area St George Load Area Sutherland Load Area Sydney CBD Load Area Upper North Shore Load Area. The Sydney Inner Metropolitan transmission network supplies most of the eastern part of the Sydney metropolitan area. The load area extends from the Pacific Ocean, west to Ryde and Auburn, and is bounded to the south by the Royal National Park and to the north by the Hawkesbury River, but excludes the area east of the Lane Cove River valley. The Inner Metropolitan transmission system is defined as TransGrid’s 330kV cables 41 and 42, and the 330/132kV substations at Beaconsfield, Haymarket, Rookwood Road (commissioning due in 2014), Sydney North and Sydney South, together with Ausgrid’s 132kV dual function network that links those supply points. Total demand within the area amounts to more than 4,000MW. Sydney North and Sydney South Bulk Supply Point substations are strongly connected to the main NSW 330kV transmission network, and TransGrid makes firm 132kV capacity available at both locations. Beaconsfield and Haymarket substations are supplied by a single 330kV cable each, and Ausgrid’s interconnected 132kV dual function network provides the necessary connections to provide supply redundancy from these substations. This integrated supply arrangement has been in place since the mid-1970s and has been progressively developed through joint planning between TransGrid and Ausgrid. It represents the least cost solution to meet existing capacity requirements while providing the greatest potential to maximise the utilisation of all network assets. Following commissioning of Rookwood Road BSP in 2014, the Sydney North 132kV network will be completely separated via open points from the remaining 132kV system due to fault level limitations. However, to support the remaining meshed 330kV and 132kV network, there remains the opportunity to transfer some load back to the Sydney North network via these open points. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 113 Figure 32: Identified limitations in Sydney Inner Metropolitan transmission load area Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 114 Table 30 – Identified system limitations in Sydney Inner Metropolitan Transmission load area Location Identified Limitation Refer to DAPR section 1. Feeder 9SA - Beaconsfield BSP to Campbell St ZS Capacity 5.2.13 2. Feeder 92P - Beaconsfield BSP - Belmore Park Zn Capacity 5.2.13 3. Feeder 91X - Chullora STSS to Beaconsfield BSP Capacity 5.2.13 4. Feeder 91Y - Chullora STSS to Beaconsfield BSP Capacity 5.2.13 5. Feeder 92C - Chullora STSS to Beaconsfield BSP (formerly 91A/2) Capacity 5.2.13 6. Feeder 92X - Chullora STSS to Beaconsfield BSP (formerly 91B/2) Capacity 5.2.13 7. Feeder 9S6/1 - Haymarket BSP to Pyrmont STS Capacity 5.2.13 8. Feeders 92FA and 92FB - Mason Park STSS to Top Ryde ZS Asset Condition 5.2.13 9. Feeder 91A/2 - Chullora STSS to Beaconsfield BSP Asset Condition 5.2.13 10. Feeders 928/3 and 929/1 - Lane Cove STS to Dalley St ZS Asset Condition 5.2.13 11. Feeders 92GA and 92GB - Lane Cove STSS to Top Ryde ZS Asset Condition 5.2.13 12. Feeders 92JA and 92JB - Lane Cove STSS to Meadowbank ZS Asset Condition 5.2.13 13. Feeders 90XA and 90XB - Mason Park STSS to Meadowbank ZS Asset Condition 5.2.13 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 115 3.29.2 Sub-transmission feeder load forecast Inner Metropolitan Area - Feeder Load Forecast Feeder name Feeder 202 (Drummoyne - Rozelle STS) Feeder 203 (Mason Park STSS Drummoyne) Feeder 204 (Mason Park STSS Drummoyne) Feeder 91F (Sydney South BSP Peakhurst STS) Feeder 91J: (Sydney South BSP - Peakhurst STS) Feeder 91C (Peakhurst STS Kogarah) Feeder 91C (Peakhurst STS Hurstville North) Feeder 91H (Peakhurst STS Kogarah) Feeder 91R: (Peakhurst STS Hurstville North) Feeder 91W: (Hurstville North Kogarah) Feeder 91H/1 (Kogarah - Hurstville North) Feeder 91H/2(1) (Kogarah - Rockdale 132kV) Feeder 91H/2(2) (Beaconsfield West BSP - Rockdale 132kV) Feeder 91H/2(2) (Marrickville - Rockdale 132kV) Feeder 914 (Sydney South BSP Bankstown STS) Feeder 915 (Sydney South BSP Bankstown STS) Feeder 916 (1) (Sydney South BSP Cronulla) Feeder 917(1) (Sydney South BSP Gwawley Bay) Feeder 917 (3) (Gwawley Bay - Gwawley Bay) Feeder 917(2) (Kurnell STS - Gwawley Bay) Feeder 906 (Beaconsfield West BSP - Canterbury STS) Feeder 906 (Marrickville - Canterbury STS) Feeder 907 (Canterbury STS Kogarah) Feeder 910(3) (Sydney South BSP Chullora STSS) Feeder 910 (1) (Sydney South BSP Sydney South BSP) Feeder 910 (2) (Sydney South BSP Canterbury STS) Feeder 911(3) (Sydney South BSP Chullora STSS) 2017/18 2018/19 2013 2014 Winter (MVA) 2015 2016 2017 107.6 108.6 109.8 107.4 102.1 85.4 73.9 74.5 75.0 155.5 155.5 155.5 155.5 164.6 164.6 164.6 164.6 164.6 164.6 139.3 104.8 108.3 111.1 114.5 112.9 108.4 86.1 89.4 90.1 91.1 217.2 217.2 217.2 217.2 217.2 228.6 228.6 228.6 228.6 228.6 228.6 144.0 139.8 105.3 108.9 111.7 115.1 113.3 108.7 86.6 89.9 90.6 91.6 217.2 217.2 217.2 217.2 217.2 217.2 228.6 228.6 228.6 228.6 228.6 228.6 376.8 370.9 337.4 346.0 357.0 368.3 341.4 328.5 348.6 303.9 310.7 319.2 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 376.8 370.9 337.4 346.0 357.0 368.3 341.4 328.5 348.6 303.9 310.7 319.2 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 - - - - - - 34.5 - - - - - - - - - - - 254.9 - - - - - 184.0 187.1 223.9 229.7 235.5 241.2 - 158.3 177.9 202.5 208.4 215.3 296.0 296.0 296.0 296.0 296.0 296.0 - 296.0 296.0 296.0 296.0 296.0 - - - - - - 68.9 - - - - - - - - - - - 254.9 - - - - - 184.0 187.0 223.9 229.6 235.5 241.2 - 158.3 177.8 202.4 208.4 215.2 296.0 296.0 296.0 296.0 296.0 296.0 - 296.0 296.0 296.0 296.0 296.0 113.7 110.9 121.1 124.3 128.3 133.2 - 97.4 100.6 110.9 114.5 119.1 197.0 197.0 197.0 197.0 197.0 197.0 - 208.0 208.0 208.0 208.0 208.0 113.4 104.0 145.8 149.9 152.7 155.8 - 86.9 100.9 127.5 131.2 134.7 197.0 197.0 197.0 197.0 197.0 197.0 - 208.0 208.0 208.0 208.0 208.0 113.5 103.7 146.3 150.4 153.0 156.6 - 86.8 100.4 127.1 130.8 134.4 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 - 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 114.1 - - - - - - 87.8 - - - - 272.0 - - - - - - 280.0 - - - - - 103.7 146.7 150.8 153.0 157.3 - - 100.2 126.9 130.5 134.3 - 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 - - 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 229.1 96.1 94.6 95.9 98.5 101.1 195.2 89.6 88.1 88.5 89.0 90.1 300.6 300.6 300.6 300.6 300.6 300.6 302.0 302.0 302.0 302.0 302.0 302.0 (kV) Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Summer (MVA) 2015/16 2016/17 2013/14 2014/15 154.2 147.8 123.1 155.5 155.5 143.6 217.2 2018 229.1 96.1 94.6 95.9 98.5 101.1 195.2 89.6 88.1 88.5 89.0 90.1 300.6 300.6 300.6 300.6 300.6 300.6 302.0 302.0 302.0 302.0 302.0 302.0 228.1 225.7 264.7 270.9 276.5 284.4 236.1 220.3 236.7 258.5 263.5 269.9 457.0 457.0 457.0 457.0 457.0 457.0 457.0 457.0 457.0 457.0 457.0 457.0 212.5 209.0 247.3 252.5 257.1 263.5 208.2 191.9 209.0 230.7 235.5 241.3 439.0 439.0 439.0 439.0 439.0 439.0 439.0 439.0 439.0 439.0 439.0 439.0 32.7 33.4 33.3 34.1 35.3 36.5 27.2 26.3 25.4 25.2 25.3 25.5 272.0 272.0 272.0 272.0 272.0 272.0 280.0 280.0 280.0 280.0 280.0 280.0 186.9 183.3 220.8 225.4 229.5 233.6 185.1 168.7 186.8 208.8 213.5 218.9 439.0 439.0 439.0 439.0 439.0 439.0 439.0 439.0 439.0 439.0 439.0 439.0 132.3 - - - - - - 96.1 - - - - 200.0 - - - - - - 200.0 - - - - - 119.7 170.1 174.9 177.8 162.8 - - 114.5 144.7 149.5 154.0 - 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 - - 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 80.4 82.0 81.3 83.4 87.1 91.2 - 71.2 71.2 74.0 76.7 80.5 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 - 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 48.8 42.5 59.7 61.4 62.5 64.5 48.3 33.3 40.4 50.7 52.3 53.9 182.9 182.9 182.9 182.9 182.9 182.9 182.9 182.9 182.9 182.9 182.9 182.9 156.6 151.8 177.9 182.6 187.3 192.7 160.1 137.2 147.6 162.9 167.0 172.0 246.9 246.9 246.9 246.9 246.9 246.9 246.9 246.9 246.9 246.9 246.9 246.9 123.1 122.0 142.0 145.7 149.4 150.5 124.4 113.3 119.3 130.7 133.7 137.2 274.4 274.4 274.4 274.4 274.4 274.4 274.4 274.4 274.4 274.4 274.4 274.4 48.8 42.5 59.7 61.4 62.5 64.5 48.3 33.3 40.4 50.7 52.3 53.9 182.9 182.9 182.9 182.9 182.9 182.9 182.9 182.9 182.9 182.9 182.9 182.9 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 116 Inner Metropolitan Area - Feeder Load Forecast Feeder name (kV) Feeder 911 (1) (Sydney South BSP - Sydney South BSP) Feeder 911 (2) (Sydney South BSP - Canterbury STS) Load 132 Rating Load 2013/14 2014/15 156.6 151.8 Summer (MVA) 2015/16 2016/17 177.9 182.6 2017/18 2018/19 2013 2014 Winter (MVA) 2015 2016 2017 2018 187.3 192.7 160.1 137.2 147.6 167.0 172.0 162.9 246.9 246.9 246.9 246.9 246.9 246.9 246.9 246.9 246.9 246.9 246.9 246.9 123.1 122.0 142.0 145.7 149.4 150.5 124.4 113.3 119.3 130.7 133.7 137.2 132 Rating 260.0 260.0 260.0 260.0 260.0 260.0 274.4 274.4 274.4 274.4 274.4 274.4 Feeder 245 (Bunnerong Load STSS - Bunnerong North 132 Rating STS) 136.4 131.7 166.1 170.1 173.3 176.2 121.5 104.2 120.5 140.4 144.1 147.6 219.0 219.0 219.0 219.0 219.0 219.0 228.6 228.6 228.6 228.6 228.6 228.6 136.7 132.0 166.5 170.5 173.7 176.6 121.8 104.5 120.8 140.7 144.4 148.0 220.0 220.0 220.0 220.0 220.0 220.0 230.0 230.0 230.0 230.0 230.0 230.0 103.8 126.5 91.9 91.2 98.1 106.7 93.7 120.9 115.8 104.5 105.2 107.0 251.0 251.0 251.0 251.0 251.0 251.0 265.7 265.7 265.7 265.7 265.7 265.7 Load Feeder 246 (Bunnerong STSS - Canterbury STS) 132 Rating Feeder 264 Load (Beaconsfield West BSP 132 Rating - Kingsford) 69.9 92.6 58.4 57.0 63.0 70.7 50.9 81.8 74.4 61.3 60.2 59.5 250.4 250.4 250.4 250.4 250.4 250.4 265.2 265.2 265.2 265.2 265.2 265.2 - - - - - - 117.2 - - - - - - - - - - - 248.3 - - - - - Feeder 91M/1 Load (Beaconsfield West BSP 132 Rating - Peakhurst STS) 128.6 119.4 - - - - 118.2 109.2 114.9 - - - 198.9 198.9 - - - - 201.6 201.6 201.6 - - - Feeder 91M/3: Load (Beaconsfield West BSP 132 Rating - Bunnerong STSS) 111.4 154.5 129.6 128.3 130.6 134.9 104.5 155.2 152.4 147.5 146.0 146.8 198.9 198.9 198.9 198.9 198.9 198.9 201.6 201.6 201.6 201.6 201.6 201.6 Feeder 90F (Mason Park STSS Chullora STSS) 135.4 - - - - - 135.0 - - - - - 571.6 - - - - - 571.6 - - - - - 136.8 - - - - - 135.1 - - - - - 571.6 - - - - - 571.6 - - - - - 47.9 63.9 63.9 65.4 63.3 69.6 82.0 31.7 64.0 68.3 63.0 60.5 102.0 102.0 102.0 102.0 102.0 102.0 109.0 109.0 109.0 109.0 109.0 109.0 73.7 82.6 98.9 99.6 100.2 108.1 49.1 65.0 84.1 91.8 90.8 93.2 132 Rating 104.0 104.0 104.0 104.0 104.0 104.0 113.0 113.0 113.0 113.0 113.0 113.0 Feeder 91B Load (Beaconsfield West BSP - St. Peters) 132 Rating 48.0 64.0 64.2 65.5 63.8 70.1 82.4 32.1 64.2 68.5 63.1 60.8 102.0 102.0 102.0 102.0 102.0 102.0 109.0 109.0 109.0 109.0 109.0 109.0 Feeder 92X (St. Peters - Chullora STSS) 74.1 83.0 99.3 100.0 100.6 108.5 49.3 65.0 84.3 92.1 91.2 93.5 104.0 104.0 104.0 104.0 104.0 104.0 113.0 113.0 113.0 113.0 113.0 113.0 Feeder 270 - Kingsford) (Maroubra Feeder 91L (Peakhurst STS Bunnerong STSS) Feeder 90J (Mason Park STSS Chullora STSS) Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Feeder 91A Load (Beaconsfield West BSP - St. Peters) 132 Rating Feeder 92C (Chullora STSS - St. Peters) Load Load 132 Rating Feeder 9F6 Load (Beaconsfield West BSP - Marrickville) 132 Rating 97.2 100.1 150.4 155.4 158.6 142.8 76.2 40.4 93.4 123.7 128.3 132.4 99.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 106.0 106.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 Feeder 91X/2 (Chullora STSS Marrickville) 73.6 - - - - - 47.3 70.8 - - - - 100.0 - - - - - 110.0 110.0 - - - - Load 132 Rating Feeder 91U Load (Beaconsfield West BSP 132 Rating - Marrickville) 97.2 83.5 126.6 130.7 133.4 136.4 76.2 40.3 78.3 105.2 108.7 112.1 99.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 106.0 106.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 Feeder 91Y/2 (Marrickville - Chullora STSS) 73.7 - - - - - 47.4 70.8 - - - - 106.0 - - - - - 110.0 110.0 - - - - Feeder 91X Load (Beaconsfield West BSP 132 Rating - Chullora STSS) - 84.0 100.4 101.0 101.4 109.6 - - 85.7 93.5 92.3 94.6 - 99.0 99.0 99.0 99.0 99.0 - - 106.0 106.0 106.0 106.0 Feeder 91Y Load (Beaconsfield West BSP 132 Rating - Chullora STSS) - 84.0 100.4 101.0 101.4 109.6 - - 85.7 93.5 92.3 94.6 - 99.0 99.0 99.0 99.0 99.0 - - 106.0 106.0 106.0 106.0 Feeder 240 (1) (Chullora STSS Rookwood Tee) - 134.4 180.1 181.3 184.6 196.1 - 105.1 157.2 172.1 170.6 173.2 - 250.0 250.0 250.0 250.0 250.0 - 264.0 264.0 264.0 264.0 264.0 - 229.2 268.7 269.7 273.9 288.5 - 145.8 229.3 242.5 241.3 245.4 - 500.0 500.0 500.0 500.0 500.0 - 500.0 500.0 500.0 500.0 500.0 - 103.1 98.5 98.3 100.0 101.3 - 49.2 77.8 77.8 78.6 80.4 - 205.0 205.0 205.0 205.0 205.0 - 235.0 235.0 235.0 235.0 235.0 Feeder 240 (2) (Rookwood BSP Rookwood Tee) Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Feeder 240 (3) (Potts Hill - Rookwood Tee) 132 Rating Feeder 295 (Sefton - Potts Hill) 132 Rating Feeder 296(2) (Sefton - Sefton) 42.4 42.7 42.8 43.0 43.8 45.9 58.7 28.3 33.2 34.4 34.3 34.9 132 Rating 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 243.0 284.0 284.0 284.0 284.0 284.0 284.0 Load Feeder 291/1 (Greenacre 132 Rating Park - Potts Hill) 68.0 20.0 19.5 19.5 19.6 19.6 38.6 15.0 14.6 14.7 14.8 15.0 156.0 156.0 156.0 156.0 156.0 156.0 165.0 165.0 165.0 165.0 165.0 165.0 Feeder 240/3 (Bankstown STS Greenacre Park) 91.0 - - - - - 69.7 - - - - - 233.2 - - - - - 245.8 - - - - - Load Load Load Load 132 Rating 21.5 42.7 42.0 42.5 43.4 44.4 29.4 14.2 27.3 27.4 27.5 27.8 275.0 275.0 275.0 275.0 275.0 275.0 294.0 294.0 294.0 294.0 294.0 294.0 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 117 Inner Metropolitan Area - Feeder Load Forecast Feeder name (kV) Feeder 291/2 (Bankstown STS Greenacre Park) 132 Rating Feeder 241(1) (Chullora STSS Rookwood Tee) 132 Rating Feeder 241(2) (Rookwood BSP Rookwood Tee) Load Load Load 132 Rating Feeder 241(3) (Potts Hill - Rookwood Tee) 132 Rating Feeder 292 (Greenacre Park - Potts Hill) 132 Rating Feeder 296 (1) (Sefton - Potts Hill) 132 Rating Feeder 296(2) (Rookwood BSP Sefton) 132 Rating Feeder 296(3) (Bankstown STS Sefton) 132 Rating Feeder 900 (Mason Park STSS Rozelle STS) 132 Rating Feeder 9P2 (Mason Park STSS Croydon Road) 132 Rating Feeder 9P8 (Croydon Road Leichhardt 132kV) 132 Rating Feeder 9P9 (Rozelle STS Leichhardt 132kV) 132 Rating Feeder 90V/1: (Haymarket BSP - City South) 132 Rating Feeder 90V/2 (City Central - City South) 132 Rating Feeder 90V/3 (Rozelle STS - City Central) 132 Rating Feeder 90W/1 (Haymarket BSP - City South) 132 Rating Feeder 90W/2 (City Central - City South) 132 Rating Feeder 90W/3 (Pyrmont STS - City Central) 132 Rating Feeder 90W/4 (Rozelle STS - Pyrmont STS) 132 Rating Feeder 90P/1 (Haymarket BSP - City South) 132 Rating Feeder 90P/2 (City Central - City South) 132 Rating Feeder 9S6/1: (Haymarket BSP Pyrmont STS) 132 Rating Load Load Load Load Load Load Load Load Load Load Load Load Load Load Load Load Load Load Load Summer (MVA) 2015/16 2016/17 2013/14 2014/15 91.0 - - 233.2 - - Winter (MVA) 2015 2016 2017/18 2018/19 2013 2014 - - - 69.7 - - - 2017 - 2018 - - - - - 245.8 - - - - - 134.2 179.8 181.0 184.3 195.7 - 102.6 157.0 171.8 170.3 172.9 280.0 280.0 280.0 280.0 280.0 - 294.0 294.0 294.0 294.0 294.0 - 229.1 268.4 269.5 273.6 288.2 - 145.8 229.1 242.2 241.0 245.2 - 500.0 500.0 500.0 500.0 500.0 - 500.0 500.0 500.0 500.0 500.0 - 103.1 98.6 98.3 100.0 101.3 - 49.6 77.9 77.8 78.6 80.4 - 205.0 205.0 205.0 205.0 205.0 - 235.0 235.0 235.0 235.0 235.0 53.8 39.2 38.1 37.9 19.6 19.6 27.5 28.9 28.0 28.3 28.4 15.0 156.0 156.0 156.0 156.0 156.0 156.0 165.0 165.0 165.0 165.0 165.0 165.0 37.0 - - - - - 16.9 - - - - - 243.0 - - - - - 284.0 - - - - - - 42.7 42.7 43.0 43.8 45.8 - 28.2 33.2 34.3 34.2 34.8 - 206.0 206.0 206.0 206.0 206.0 - 284.0 284.0 284.0 284.0 284.0 61.7 - - - - - 50.8 - - - - - 225.0 - - - - - 246.0 - - - - - 57.5 55.5 - - - - 43.0 41.4 - - - - 98.3 98.3 - - - - 104.0 104.0 - - - - - - 92.2 107.4 110.1 113.4 - - 74.6 89.0 89.6 90.6 - - 270.0 270.0 270.0 270.0 - - 270.0 270.0 270.0 270.0 - - 76.4 73.0 74.1 75.5 - - 60.2 59.2 59.8 60.4 - - 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 - - 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 - - 63.8 61.9 64.0 66.2 - - 45.0 62.4 62.7 63.4 - - 270.0 270.0 270.0 270.0 - - 270.0 270.0 270.0 270.0 98.2 95.6 79.8 73.2 73.9 74.6 65.0 62.2 53.4 48.9 49.5 50.0 240.1 240.1 240.1 240.1 240.1 240.1 251.5 251.5 251.5 251.5 251.5 251.5 45.8 44.5 38.5 37.8 38.3 39.0 31.9 29.3 27.2 24.4 24.6 24.8 147.5 147.5 147.5 147.5 147.5 147.5 156.6 156.6 156.6 156.6 156.6 156.6 79.9 76.2 67.1 61.9 61.6 62.5 53.7 50.3 45.7 42.0 42.4 42.9 108.1 108.1 108.1 108.1 108.1 108.1 114.5 114.5 114.5 114.5 114.5 114.5 95.2 93.1 77.8 70.3 71.6 72.3 62.4 59.7 50.9 46.8 47.3 47.8 240.1 240.1 240.1 240.1 240.1 240.1 251.5 251.5 251.5 251.5 251.5 251.5 45.8 44.5 38.2 37.8 38.3 39.0 30.4 28.4 25.3 24.3 24.5 24.8 147.5 147.5 147.5 147.5 147.5 147.5 156.6 156.6 156.6 156.6 156.6 156.6 78.6 75.2 66.1 59.4 60.5 61.2 51.5 48.4 43.9 40.2 40.6 41.0 108.1 108.1 108.1 108.1 108.1 108.1 114.5 114.5 114.5 114.5 114.5 114.5 78.1 74.6 65.7 59.1 60.1 60.9 51.3 48.1 43.7 40.0 40.4 40.8 149.5 149.5 149.5 149.5 149.5 149.5 157.5 157.5 157.5 157.5 157.5 157.5 99.6 97.7 82.0 74.5 75.2 76.4 66.2 64.7 54.4 50.2 50.2 50.8 240.1 240.1 240.1 240.1 240.1 240.1 251.5 251.5 251.5 251.5 251.5 251.5 47.2 46.5 39.8 39.4 39.9 40.5 31.1 29.6 25.8 25.4 25.6 25.8 147.5 147.5 147.5 147.5 147.5 147.5 156.6 156.6 156.6 156.6 156.6 156.6 198.8 207.4 196.7 205.2 220.2 228.8 119.1 111.9 111.5 112.8 118.1 124.1 213.8 213.8 213.8 213.8 213.8 213.8 229.0 229.0 229.0 229.0 229.0 229.0 83.8 82.1 74.6 74.9 76.7 70.6 68.1 57.5 52.4 51.2 52.2 53.7 320.1 320.1 320.1 320.1 320.1 213.8 340.7 340.7 340.7 340.7 340.7 340.7 Feeder 9S6/2 Pyrmont STS - Darling Harbour) 132 Rating Feeder 9S6/3 (City Central - Darling Harbour) 62.2 60.2 46.7 47.0 47.6 30.0 25.2 38.8 30.6 29.2 29.6 29.9 132 Rating 108.1 108.1 108.1 108.1 108.1 77.3 114.5 114.5 114.5 114.5 114.5 114.5 Feeder 9S6/4 Load (City Central - City North 132 Rating (132kV)) 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.5 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 225.0 225.0 225.0 225.0 225.0 225.0 260.0 260.0 260.0 260.0 260.0 260.0 Feeder 90Z/2 (City North (132kV) City South) 28.8 43.8 43.6 43.3 44.0 44.4 18.8 27.7 27.2 27.4 27.8 27.9 132 Rating 155.0 155.0 155.0 155.0 155.0 155.0 179.9 179.9 179.9 179.9 179.9 179.9 Feeder 90Z/1 (Haymarket BSP - City South) 132 Rating Feeder 93H (Haymarket BSP Belmore Park) 132 Rating Feeder 9S9/1 (Haymarket BSP Pyrmont STS) Load Load Load Load Load Load 132 Rating 73.7 81.9 74.9 69.3 70.2 70.8 48.0 53.2 48.8 45.6 46.1 46.4 240.1 240.1 240.1 240.1 240.1 240.1 251.5 251.5 251.5 251.5 251.5 251.5 91.5 89.9 184.4 204.8 208.8 211.3 101.9 97.6 175.8 183.7 184.7 187.1 272.0 272.0 272.0 272.0 272.0 272.0 280.0 280.0 280.0 280.0 280.0 280.0 148.4 171.3 178.6 192.2 203.5 111.3 96.8 140.4 137.9 140.4 150.0 159.7 228.6 228.6 228.6 228.6 228.6 228.6 242.0 242.0 242.0 242.0 242.0 242.0 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 118 Inner Metropolitan Area - Feeder Load Forecast Feeder name (kV) Summer (MVA) 2015/16 2016/17 2013/14 2014/15 83.8 82.1 74.5 320.1 320.1 320.1 2017/18 2018/19 2013 2014 Winter (MVA) 2015 2016 2017 72.8 74.4 77.0 44.3 57.5 52.4 51.0 52.2 53.7 320.1 320.1 320.1 340.7 340.7 340.7 340.7 340.7 340.7 2018 Feeder 9S9/2 (Pyrmont STS - Darling Harbour) 132 Rating Feeder 91G (Haymarket BSP - City North (132kV)) 132 Rating Feeder 93C (Haymarket BSP - City North (132kV)) 132 Rating Feeder 92E (Haymarket BSP - City North (132kV)) 40.3 49.9 44.0 43.3 44.0 44.4 25.6 32.1 28.8 27.4 27.8 27.9 132 Rating 225.0 225.0 225.0 225.0 225.0 225.0 260.0 260.0 260.0 260.0 260.0 260.0 Feeder 9S2 Load (Haymarket BSP Beaconsfield West BSP) 132 Rating 119.0 138.8 153.0 158.3 163.3 167.9 92.4 106.3 126.2 125.1 128.8 132.8 225.0 225.0 225.0 225.0 225.0 225.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 240.0 Feeder 9S4: (Haymarket Load BSP - Beaconsfield 132 Rating West BSP) 147.1 171.0 192.4 198.5 204.4 210.1 113.5 134.3 161.9 161.6 166.0 170.9 280.0 280.0 280.0 280.0 280.0 272.0 280.0 280.0 280.0 280.0 280.0 280.0 Feeder 90T(1) (Haymarket BSP Green Square) 136.1 158.3 179.0 184.6 190.0 195.1 106.2 125.1 151.3 150.4 154.5 159.1 132 Rating 221.0 221.0 221.0 221.0 221.0 221.0 235.0 235.0 235.0 235.0 235.0 235.0 Feeder 90T (2) Load (Beaconsfield West BSP - Green Square) 132 Rating 115.0 131.3 150.9 156.7 162.7 168.6 84.2 105.7 123.0 123.7 127.3 131.6 259.0 259.0 259.0 259.0 259.0 259.0 273.2 273.2 273.2 273.2 273.2 273.2 Load Load Load Load Load Feeder 9SE Load (Beaconsfield West BSP 132 Rating - Green Square) Feeder 9SA Load (Campbell St Beaconsfield West BSP) 132 Rating Feeder 9SB/1 Load (Beaconsfield West BSP 132 Rating - Surry Hills Annexe) Feeder 9SB/1 (Surry Hills Annexe Belmore Park) 132 Rating Feeder 9SB/2 (Surry Hills Annexe Double Bay) 132 Rating Feeder 9SC (Campbell St Haymarket BSP) 132 Rating Load Load Load 28.7 43.8 43.5 43.3 44.0 44.3 18.8 27.6 27.4 27.4 27.8 27.9 225.0 225.0 225.0 225.0 225.0 225.0 260.0 260.0 260.0 260.0 260.0 260.0 28.7 43.8 43.5 43.3 44.0 44.3 18.8 27.6 27.4 27.4 27.8 27.9 225.0 225.0 225.0 225.0 225.0 225.0 260.0 260.0 260.0 260.0 260.0 260.0 80.2 93.7 100.1 103.7 107.5 111.3 58.8 71.0 83.0 83.2 85.6 88.4 227.0 227.0 227.0 227.0 227.0 227.0 242.0 242.0 242.0 242.0 242.0 242.0 119.7 138.8 156.9 161.8 166.6 171.2 96.7 111.7 133.8 134.0 137.5 141.5 129.0 129.0 129.0 129.0 129.0 129.0 140.0 140.0 140.0 140.0 140.0 140.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 54.5 46.1 146.9 148.9 151.8 26.1 29.3 56.6 129.5 121.1 122.9 124.8 180.0 180.0 180.0 180.0 180.0 129.0 129.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 54.9 47.3 36.4 36.0 37.5 38.9 66.7 56.7 44.0 45.2 45.6 46.3 132.0 132.0 132.0 132.0 132.0 132.0 140.0 140.0 140.0 140.0 140.0 140.0 111.1 102.4 161.7 169.0 172.6 173.9 129.0 114.7 164.3 170.4 171.5 173.6 298.4 298.4 298.4 298.4 298.4 298.4 317.8 317.8 317.8 317.8 317.8 317.8 85.4 85.5 83.4 83.7 85.2 86.5 101.2 97.5 94.5 94.8 95.1 96.0 139.5 139.5 139.5 139.5 139.5 139.5 148.6 148.6 148.6 148.6 148.6 148.6 Feeder 90R (Campbell St - Double Bay) 132 Rating Feeder 9SL (Belmore Park Waverley) 132 Rating Feeder 9R8 (Rose Bay New Waverley) - 20.3 43.1 47.7 47.6 47.1 - 31.7 42.8 41.7 41.8 42.2 132 Rating - 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 272.0 - 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 Feeder 91T Load (Campbell St - Rose Bay New) 132 Rating - 29.1 66.5 72.3 73.5 73.6 - 25.9 62.2 72.4 72.9 73.8 - 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 272.0 - 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 Load Load Load - 38.3 47.9 48.8 50.2 51.6 - 45.2 51.8 67.5 67.7 68.4 - 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 272.0 - 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 Feeder 260/1 Load (Beaconsfield West BSP 132 Rating - Zetland) 83.4 83.8 87.5 89.1 90.8 92.9 86.5 77.5 81.3 81.7 82.8 84.4 100.6 100.6 100.6 100.6 100.6 100.6 108.6 108.6 108.6 108.6 108.6 108.6 Feeder 261/1 Load (Beaconsfield West BSP - Zetland) 132 Rating 83.4 83.8 87.5 89.1 90.8 92.9 96.3 88.9 86.3 86.8 86.9 88.1 100.6 100.6 100.6 100.6 100.6 100.6 108.6 108.6 108.6 108.6 108.6 108.6 Load 87.4 91.7 105.3 108.3 110.9 113.4 92.1 97.6 106.8 106.1 107.6 109.8 130.3 130.3 130.3 130.3 130.3 130.3 138.3 138.3 138.3 138.3 138.3 138.3 Feeder 261/2 (Clovelly - Zetland) 132 Rating Feeder 262 (Double Bay - Clovelly) 57.4 58.4 71.9 74.5 76.4 78.3 72.9 69.0 67.0 67.2 67.4 68.0 132 Rating 179.5 179.5 179.5 179.5 179.5 179.5 182.9 182.9 182.9 182.9 182.9 182.9 Feeder 92P Load (Beaconsfield West BSP 132 Rating - Belmore Park) 118.2 139.8 167.2 180.5 184.6 185.8 92.4 110.9 141.3 149.5 151.5 154.2 129.0 129.0 129.0 129.0 129.0 129.0 140.0 140.0 140.0 140.0 140.0 140.0 Feeder 926(1) (Sydney North BSP Sydney North BSP) 422.3 402.6 337.1 339.4 347.1 358.4 322.8 308.7 265.3 261.3 263.5 267.5 548.7 548.7 548.7 548.7 548.7 548.7 548.7 548.7 548.7 548.7 548.7 548.7 365.5 402.5 337.1 339.5 347.2 358.6 322.8 308.6 265.3 261.2 263.4 267.5 407.0 407.0 407.0 407.0 407.0 407.0 434.4 434.4 434.4 434.4 434.4 434.4 397.5 379.7 321.0 323.4 330.6 341.8 307.7 294.1 252.4 248.6 250.8 254.7 538.7 538.7 538.7 538.7 538.7 538.7 548.7 548.7 548.7 548.7 548.7 548.7 397.4 379.7 321.0 323.4 330.7 342.0 307.7 294.1 252.4 248.6 250.9 254.8 407.0 407.0 407.0 407.0 407.0 407.0 434.4 434.4 434.4 434.4 434.4 434.4 347.2 330.2 270.4 273.4 280.0 289.7 266.2 253.1 212.5 209.2 210.9 214.0 607.7 607.7 607.7 607.7 607.7 607.7 639.9 639.9 639.9 639.9 639.9 639.9 347.2 330.2 273.7 276.5 283.0 293.0 268.3 255.2 215.2 211.9 213.7 216.9 512.1 512.1 512.1 512.1 512.1 512.1 512.1 512.1 512.1 512.1 512.1 512.1 Feeder 926(3) (Sydney North BSP Mason Park STSS) Feeder 927(1) (Sydney North BSP Sydney North BSP) Feeder 927(3) (Sydney North BSP Homebush Bay) Feeder 92A (Sydney North BSP Macquarie Park) Feeder 92B (Sydney North BSP Macquarie Park) Load Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Load 132 Rating Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 119 Inner Metropolitan Area - Feeder Load Forecast Feeder name Feeder 935 (Homebush Bay - Mason Park STSS) Feeder 92F (Mason Park STSS Meadowbank) (kV) Load 132 Rating Load 2013/14 2014/15 355.5 338.6 Summer (MVA) 2015/16 2016/17 284.5 286.3 2017/18 2018/19 2013 2014 Winter (MVA) 2015 2016 2017 2018 293.0 303.0 281.2 262.9 225.8 223.8 227.1 221.9 407.0 407.0 407.0 407.0 407.0 407.0 434.4 434.4 434.4 434.4 434.4 434.4 194.8 114.0 102.8 102.0 104.5 105.4 173.9 142.3 110.7 116.7 117.5 117.8 132 Rating 209.2 209.2 209.2 209.2 209.2 209.2 222.9 222.9 222.9 222.9 222.9 222.9 Feeder 92G Load (Lane Cove STSS - East Ryde) 132 Rating 142.2 138.8 155.0 155.7 160.4 163.9 125.9 111.3 123.2 127.9 129.0 130.1 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 Feeder 92FA (Meadowbank - Top Ryde) 96.1 55.7 50.6 50.1 51.3 51.8 85.0 68.5 53.3 56.3 56.7 56.8 132 Rating 165.8 165.8 165.8 165.8 165.8 165.8 176.1 176.1 176.1 176.1 176.1 176.1 Feeder 92FB (Meadowbank - Top Ryde) 132 Rating Feeder 92GA (East Ryde - Top Ryde) 132 Rating Feeder 92GB (East Ryde - Top Ryde) 76.1 71.9 79.0 79.5 82.0 83.8 69.6 63.9 66.6 69.3 69.9 70.4 132 Rating 165.8 165.8 165.8 165.8 165.8 165.8 176.1 176.1 176.1 176.1 176.1 176.1 Feeder 92J Load (Lane Cove STSS - East Ryde) 132 Rating 135.5 140.1 156.2 157.1 161.8 165.5 126.1 117.1 124.2 125.3 126.5 128.1 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 571.6 Feeder 90X (Mason Park STSS Meadowbank) 196.4 122.3 93.0 91.5 93.4 93.7 174.7 142.1 105.9 112.5 113.0 112.8 132 Rating 199.8 199.8 199.8 199.8 199.8 199.8 212.2 212.2 212.2 212.2 212.2 212.2 Feeder 92JA (East Ryde Meadowbank) 132 Rating Feeder 92JB (East Ryde Meadowbank) 132 Rating Feeder 90XA (Meadowbank Meadowbank) 132 Rating Feeder 90XB (Meadowbank Meadowbank) 96.9 60.1 45.8 45.0 45.9 46.1 85.3 68.4 50.3 53.6 53.9 53.8 132 Rating 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 106.0 106.0 106.0 106.0 106.0 106.0 Feeder 928/1 Load (Surry Hills STS - Dalley 132 Rating St) 94.4 83.0 70.8 71.8 67.0 60.6 74.0 80.5 89.1 55.6 64.3 64.4 128.0 128.0 128.0 128.0 128.0 128.0 128.0 128.0 128.0 128.0 128.0 128.0 120.0 110.3 102.2 102.1 96.0 96.7 110.0 114.1 114.5 90.1 99.2 99.5 121.2 121.2 121.2 121.2 121.2 121.2 121.2 121.2 121.2 121.2 121.2 121.2 121.2 105.9 86.2 86.0 92.2 89.9 104.5 100.8 116.3 105.7 109.9 105.3 121.2 121.2 121.2 121.2 121.2 121.2 121.2 121.2 121.2 121.2 121.2 121.2 Load Load Load Load Load Load Load Load Load 96.1 55.7 50.6 50.1 51.3 51.8 85.0 68.6 53.3 56.3 56.7 56.8 165.8 165.8 165.8 165.8 165.8 165.8 176.1 176.1 176.1 176.1 176.1 176.1 76.1 71.9 79.0 79.5 82.0 83.8 69.6 62.5 65.8 68.4 68.9 69.5 165.8 165.8 165.8 165.8 165.8 165.8 176.1 176.1 176.1 176.1 176.1 176.1 77.3 74.4 80.6 81.4 84.1 86.0 75.6 72.5 67.1 69.8 70.3 70.5 129.0 129.0 129.0 129.0 129.0 129.0 136.0 136.0 136.0 136.0 136.0 136.0 77.3 74.4 80.6 81.4 84.1 86.0 75.6 72.5 67.1 69.8 70.3 70.5 129.0 129.0 129.0 129.0 129.0 129.0 136.0 136.0 136.0 136.0 136.0 136.0 96.9 60.1 45.8 45.0 45.9 46.1 85.3 68.4 50.3 53.6 53.9 53.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 106.0 106.0 106.0 106.0 106.0 106.0 Feeder 928/3 (Lane Cove STSS Dalley St) 132 Rating Feeder 929/1 (Lane Cove STSS Dalley St) 132 Rating Feeder 929/2 (Dalley St - Surry Hills STS) 90.9 77.1 55.2 54.5 60.6 51.2 72.7 71.5 85.8 68.6 73.0 68.5 132 Rating 130.6 130.6 130.6 130.6 130.6 130.6 130.6 130.6 130.6 130.6 130.6 130.6 Feeder 92L/1 Load (Surry Hills STS - Dalley 132 Rating St) 69.7 61.7 37.3 37.8 38.5 37.5 68.8 58.7 25.9 25.3 25.7 26.1 129.2 129.2 129.2 129.2 129.2 129.2 129.2 129.2 129.2 129.2 129.2 129.2 Load Load Load 41.0 33.1 37.3 37.8 38.4 37.5 27.4 22.2 25.6 25.1 25.6 25.9 132 Rating 274.4 274.4 274.4 274.4 274.4 274.4 274.4 274.4 274.4 274.4 274.4 274.4 Load Feeder 92L/3 (Lane Cove STSS - Dalley St) 132 Rating 116.1 101.8 - - - - 101.7 89.1 - - - - 128.0 128.0 - - - - 128.0 128.0 - - - - Feeder 92M/1 (Lane Cove STSS Dalley St) 119.6 105.1 - - - - 104.2 90.9 - - - - 132 Rating 128.0 128.0 - - - - 128.0 128.0 - - - - Feeder 92M/2 (Dalley St - Surry Hills STS) 132 Rating Feeder 92M/3 (Campbell St - Surry Hills STS) 132 Rating Feeder 92L/2 (Dalley St - Dalley St) Load Load Load Load 72.3 64.0 36.9 37.7 38.2 37.0 71.8 61.0 32.5 25.5 25.8 26.0 144.0 144.0 144.0 144.0 144.0 144.0 144.0 144.0 144.0 144.0 144.0 144.0 - - 114.4 117.3 119.3 120.8 - - 82.2 86.6 87.8 89.4 - - 240.1 240.1 240.1 240.1 - - 240.1 240.1 240.1 240.1 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 120 3.29.3 STS and ZS load forecast The forecast loads for the STS and Zone sub-transmission substations in the Inner Metropolitan Transmission area are shown in the following load areas, identified by DAPR section below: 3.30 3.2 Camperdown Load Area 3.3 Canterbury Bankstown Load Area 3.4 Carlingford Load Area 3.5 Eastern Suburbs Load Area 3.7 Inner West Load Area 3.9 Lower North Shore Load Area 3.11 Manly Warringah Load Area 3.16 North West Sydney Load Area 3.17 Pittwater and Terrey Hills Load Area 3.20 St George Load Area 3.21 Sutherland Load Area 3.22 Sydney CBD Load Area 3.25 Upper North Shore Load Area. Transmission - Distribution Connection Point load forecast Ausgrid prepares an annual transmission distribution connection point forecast which is provided to TransGrid in May each year as part of the annual planning review and load forecast information provisions of the NER. A forecast of future loads over a ten year forward planning period is prepared for each dual function sub-transmission substation connected to the TransGrid transmission network. These load forecasts are presented in 12.2.2 Dual Function Substation Demand Forecasts. As part of the annual load forecast development Ausgrid provides TransGrid with the “132kV TransGrid Report” which provides an input for their power system load flow modelling of the Ausgrid network. It contains MW, MVAr and uncompensated power factor data per year for the most recent actual year and 10 forecast years for each: 132kV connection point (sub-transmission substations, 132/11kV zone substations and 132kV customers); and Zone substation supplied from other Distribution Network Service Providers (DNSPs), such as Epping, Leightonfield, and Hunters Hill, irrespective of supply voltage. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 121 3.31 Other factors having a material impact on the network 3.31.1 Fault levels Fault levels at TransGrid’s Beaconsfield BSP exceed 40kA. TransGrid is installing new 50kA rated switchgear at Beaconsfield BSP (condition-driven replacement) and Ausgrid is now considering equipment rated at this level for potential future Ausgrid developments in the area. Nearby existing substations with 40kA rated switchgear are operating very close to their limits and this restricts some operating arrangements. There are numerous open points on the 132kV meshed transmission system due to these fault level limitations. These open points create more complicated switching arrangements and limit network flexibility. 132kV series reactors are being installed by TransGrid at the new Rookwood Rd BSP in part to limit fault level contribution (along with power flow control). In addition to these reactors new open points are being created on the 132kV network to restrict fault levels to below equipment ratings following the energisation of this BSP. For a number of 132/33kV sub-transmission substations (STS) refurbishments changes have been made in the standard arrangement for neutral earthing due to the limitations uncovered in past Ausgrid network standards. This results in individual transformer neutral earthing reactors being installed in place of a common neutral earthing resistor. There are restrictions on future embedded generation at a number of inner city locations due to fault levels approaching equipment ratings. These include the CBD triplex network and Pyrmont STS. 3.31.2 Voltage levels The meshed inner-metropolitan network is supplied by two large radial 330kV cables with very high charging capacitance. This means capacitor banks are required during cable outages to replace this lost reactive support, however during low load conditions shunt reactors are required to reduce voltages. These cables also have series reactors for power flow and fault level control, which exacerbate voltage issues at some times. As a result capacitor banks have been installed during the current 2009 -14 regulatory period at Beaconsfield BSP and Peakhurst STS. Additional capacitors and shunt reactors are committed to be installed at Bunnerong STS and Rookwood Rd BSP to help manage voltage on the 132kV meshed network. Voltage control to manage 11kV network voltages is done at zone substations using tap changing transformers and where necessary capacitor banks. 3.31.3 Other power system security requirements There is a project underway to install additional under-frequency load shedding capability across the network to meet NER requirements. 3.31.4 Quality of Supply Supply Voltage Measurements on the LV network indicate that a number of sites exceed the V99% value when measured to AS 61000.3.100. Ausgrid is currently in the process of lowering of the zone substation 11kV float voltages and distribution transformer 415V tap settings to deliver network functional compliance. Harmonics Measurements on the LV network indicate that a number of sites exceed limit for the 15th harmonic. Ausgrid is currently investigating the existing standards and limits applied for the 15th harmonic to see if the limit can be relaxed to a more realistic level (noting that the IEEE 519 and New Zealand set higher limits apply for some th). harmonics including the 15 Flicker Measurements on the LV network indicate that a number of sites exceed the limit for Plt (Long Term flicker). In the next 12 months Ausgrid will carry out an investigation to quantify the main source of the flicker and to determine mitigation means to lower the levels. Ausgrid will also carry out a review of the relative standards limits between Short Term and Long Term flicker with a view to determining if the limit for Long Term flicker is unreasonably low. 3.31.5 Ageing and potentially unreliable assets In considering the age profile, reliability analysis, and the consequences of cable leakage / failures experienced over the 6 year period to 2012, Ausgrid has developed the following asset replacement strategy for subtransmission underground cables: All self contained fluid filled (SCFF) cables crossing major waterways are to be prioritised for replacement by the end of the 2015-2019 Regulatory period. The operational, customer reliability and environmental risks associated with SCFF cable systems traversing Sydney’s major waterways are no longer considered acceptable All SCFF other cables are to be replaced or retired by the end of the 2025-2029 regulatory period. These cable systems will have reached/exceeded the asset standard design life, and combined with the problems associated with this technology in terms of environmental impact of SCFF leakages, long repair times, the Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 122 resulting impacts on system reliability and availability. Ausgrid’s and the industry’s reducing ability to support this infrastructure beyond 2029 means that this asset technology must be considered no longer viable as long term asset solutions All 33kV gas pressure cables are to be replaced or retired by the end of the 2015-2019 regulatory period. These cable systems will have reached/exceeded the asset design life, as evidenced by increasing monthly leakage volumes on a decreasing asset base in service, as well as the number of multiple cable failures impacting zone substations. The risks when one of the cables is out of service having the potential for multiple failures of long repair duration are no longer considered acceptable. Over the years there have been a considerable number of significant failures of 11kV switchgear installed in zone substations that have resulted in a range of consequences from simple equipment outages, to expulsion of hot oil from the circuit breaker, to small fires confined to the switchroom, to large fires that have burnt down the entire switchroom. A range of measures have been undertaken to attempt to mitigate against these consequences, however, much of this type of equipment installed in Ausgrid is now considered beyond its design life, and continued service will result in further deterioration in condition and an increasing number of failures that are random in nature. Ausgrid has developed a compound switchboard replacement strategy for the complete removal of this technology from the network by 2024. High risk switchboards are planned to be replaced in the 2010-2014 regulatory period. Medium risk switchboards are planned to be replaced in the 2015-2019 regulatory period and lower risk switchboards be replaced in the 2020-2024 regulatory period. The insulation condition and design features of the 11kV air insulated switchgear and associated circuit breakers are a key issue for the ongoing management of the Ausgrid supply system. The analysis of test results revealed that all air insulated busbar is in a serviceable condition for its age, however the condition of the associated oil circuit breakers (OCBs) varies from serviceable to poor condition and after in service failures of similar types of OCBs it has been decided to replace the OCB with current technology VCBs wherever feasible. Despite generally being of a younger age than other 11kV switchgear on the Ausgrid network, the deterioration of 11kV outdoor switchgear is markedly pronounced due to its environmental conditions. These circuit breakers have become more unreliable and expensive to maintain; and this type of switchgear is now largely considered obsolete. Ausgrid ‘s asset management strategy for outdoor 11kV switchgear recommends that all outdoor 11kV circuit breakers are replaced within the regulatory period 2010-2014. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 123 4 Planning proposals for future needs 4.1 Proposed future transmission-distribution connection points There are no proposed future transmission-distribution connection points which are not committed projects within the 5 year forward planning period 2014 to 2018. 4.2 Proposed future sub-transmission lines The following table presents forecasts of proposed future sub-transmission feeders which are not yet committed projects. The proposed future solutions to the identified capacity limitations have not yet completed the NER economic evaluation and consultation process where required by the relevant NER cost thresholds. Planning proposal for future Sub-transmission Feeders Location Canterbury Bankstown Eastern Suburbs Inner West St George Sydney CBD Feeder Name Looping in Strathfield South ZS in to existing feeder 911 New Airport feeders 1, 2 & 3 from Alexandria STS New International Terminal feeder 1, 2 & 3 from Alexandria STS New Kingsford to Clovelly ZS feeder 90F/3 (90Ftee to Auburn South ZS) 90J/3 (90Jtee to Auburn South ZS) Looping in Rockdale ZS in to proposed committed feeder 907 Feeders 9RC, 9RW and 9RP from City North to Bligh St ZS Inner Metro Feeder 90Y: Beaconsfield BSP to Belmore Park ZS Feeders 92F and 90X: Mason Park STSS to Top Ryde ZS and Meadowbank ZS West Lake Macquarie 4.3 TransGrid feeders 45 and 46: Beaconsfield BSP to Haymarket BSP and Rookwood Rd BSP to Beaconsfield BSP Feeders 92G and 92J: Lane Cove STSS to Top Ryde ZS and Meadowbank ZS 80251 Argenton STS to Newstan 33305(1) Newstan to tee SRA and Awaba State Mine 33305(2) tee to SRA Awaba 33305(3) tee to Awaba State Mine 3976 Stockton Borehole to Awaba State Mine Voltage (kV) Identified Need Proposed Commissioning Date 132 132 Asset condition Asset condition Dec-19 Sep-16 132 132 132 132 Asset Asset Asset Asset condition condition condition condition Dec-16 Sep-17 Sep-15 Sep-15 132 Asset condition Sep-15 132 Asset condition Capacity constraint on 9SA and 9SB/1 Condition of feeders 92FA, 92FB, 90XA and 90XB Condition of feeders 928/3, 929/1, 91A/2 Capacity constraints on 91X, 91Y, 92C, 92X and TransGrid Feeder 41 Condition of feeders 92GA,92GB,92JA,92JB Asset condition Asset condition Asset condition Asset condition Asset condition Dec-19 132 132 330 132 33 33 33 33 33 Sep-15 Sep-16 Sep-18 Sep-19 Jul-16 Jul-16 Jul-16 Jul-16 Jul-16 Proposed future Sub-transmission STS and Zone substations The following table presents forecasts of proposed future sub-transmission substations which are not yet committed projects. The proposed future solutions to the identified capacity limitations have not yet completed the NER economic evaluation and consultation process where required by the relevant NER cost thresholds. Planning proposal for future STS and ZS Substations Location Canterbury Bankstown Eastern Suburbs Inner West St George Sydney CBD Sub-transmission Substation or Zone Substation New Starthfield South ZS Alexandria STS Auburn South ZS Rockdale 132/11kV ZS Bligh St ZS Upper Central Coast Munmorah STS Paxton ZS Cessnock ZS Telarah West ZS Greater Cessnock Maitland Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 Voltage (kV) 132/11 132/33 132/11 132/11 132/11 Identified Need Asset Asset Asset Asset Asset Unavailability of 33kV supply from 132/33 Delta Electricity 33/11 Asset 33/11 Asset 33/11 Asset Proposed Commissioning Date Sep-16 Sep-16 Sep-15 Sep-15 Dec-19 Jun-15 Jul-14 Jul-16 Dec-16 124 4.4 Future Sub-transmission and Zone substations loading levels The following substation forecasts are based on Ausgrid development forecast which is used in the identification of future needs and the development of our preferred long term Area Plan strategies for potential solutions to these needs. The forecast loads in the table below differ from those presented in DAPR section 3 Forecasts for the Forward Planning Period, which are Ausgrid’s base forecasts inclusive of committed projects and the associated committed load transfers. 4.4.1 Sydney and Central Coast Load Areas Proposed future STS and ZS summer forecast loads based on Ausgrid’s development forecast for the forward planning period. Proposed Future Sub-transmission Substations - Forecast Summer Loads Planning Proposal - Future Sub-transmission Substations MVA Canterbury Strathfield South ZS PF Bankstown MVA New Greenacre Park ZS PF MVA Eastern Suburbs Alexandria STS PF MVA Inner West Auburn South ZS PF MVA St George Rockdale 132/11kV ZS PF MVA Upper Central Coast Munmorah STS PF 2013/14 - 2014/15 - Forecast Summer Load 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 24.3 24.8 0.9 0.9 40.1 0.9 78.6 90.9 0.9 0.9 48.5 48.5 0.9 0.9 56.8 57.2 0.9 0.9 18.3 19 19.6 0.95 0.9 0.9 2018/19 24.8 0.9 40.1 0.9 90.9 0.9 48.5 0.9 57.2 0.9 19.6 0.9 Proposed future STS and ZS winter forecast loads based on Ausgrid’s development forecast for the forward planning period. Proposed Future Sub-transmission Substations - Forecast Winter Loads Substation Canterbury Bankatown Strathfield South ZS New Greenacre Park ZS Eastern Suburbs Inner West St George 4.4.2 Alexandria STS Auburn South ZS Rockdale 132/11kV ZS MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF MVA PF 2013 - 2014 - Forecast Winter Load 2015 2016 31.3 0.0 2017 21.9 0.9 71.2 0.95 43.2 0.9 32.3 0.9 2018 22.3 0.9 30.5 0.9 83.4 0.95 44.5 0.9 33.3 0.9 Hunter Load Areas Proposed future STS and ZS summer forecast loads based on Ausgrid’s development forecast for the forward planning period. Proposed Future Sub-transmission and Zone Substations - Forecast Summer Loads Planning Proposal - Future Sub-transmission Substations MVA Maitland Telarah West PF MVA Cessnock (New) Greater Cessnock PF 2013/14 2014/15 - - Forecast Summer Load 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 - 17.4 0.95 19.6 0.98 18.1 0.95 19.4 0.98 2018/19 19.0 0.95 19.1 0.98 Proposed future STS and ZS winter forecast loads based on Ausgrid’s development forecast for the forward planning period. Proposed Future Sub-transmission and Zone Substations - Forecast Winter Loads Planning Proposal - Future Sub-transmission Substations MVA Maitland Telarah West PF MVA Cessnock (New) Greater Cessnock PF 2013 2014 - - Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 Forecast Winter Load 2015 2016 - 13.7 0.98 2017 2018 8.5 0.97 13.7 0.98 8.8 0.97 13.7 0.98 125 5 Identified System Limitations 5.1 Notes on identified system limitations Remedial action is required when sub-transmission substations and underground feeders exceed secure capacity and when zone substations and overhead feeders do not comply with licence conditions. Identified limitations are and indicative solutions are listed in Area Plan regional groupings, with the following information: Substation – The name of the location, usually a zone or sub-transmission substation Feeder – The name of the feeder, indicating the location of the feeder Timing – the identified need date by which a solution is planned to be implemented. System limitation – an identified network need. “Capacity” indicates there is a projected network capacity shortfall that must be addressed. “Asset condition” refers to either a need to refurbish an asset due its condition or approaching the end of service life. Investment Process Status – An indication of the current development status of a solution. These definitions are: ‘Completed’ projects are those that had been commissioned at the time of this report ‘Committed’ projects are those that are underway but have not yet been commissioned ‘In Development’ projects are those where feasible options have been identified, and included in the program, and detailed development, planning and regulatory approvals and completion of demand management investigations are underway. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 126 5.2 Sub-transmission Feeder Limitations Identified Sub-transmission Feeder Limitations System Limitation Load Area 5.2.1 5.2.2 Camperdown Blackwattle Bay Canterbury Bankstown Load reduction required for 1 year deferral (MW) Impact on TransmissionDistribution Connection Points Feeder Name Timing Driver Feeders 527 & 559 - Pyrmont STS to Blackwattle Bay ZS 2015-19 Asset Condition NA None Potential credible solutions include: 1. decommission Blackwattle Bay ZS by transferring load to Camperdown ZS which requires installation of an additional transformer and 33kV feeder at Camperdown ZS (preferred) 2. refurbishment of Blackwattle Bay ZS 3. new Blackwattle Bay ZS 4. demand management. Feeder 490 & 491 Pyrmont STS to Global Switch Sep-14 Capacity 3.6 None There is a customer funded committed project to install a new 3rd 33kV feeder from Pyrmont STS to Global Switch. Feeders 643, 644 & 645 - Canterbury STS to Dulwich Hill ZS Dec-17 Asset Condition NA None Potential credible solutions include: 1. new Dulwich Hill ZS 2. refurbish Dulwich Hill ZS 3. decommission Dulwich Hill ZS via 11kV load transfer. Feeders 639, 640 & 641 - Canterbury STS to Enfield ZS Sep-16 Asset Condition NA None Potential credible solutions include: 1. South Strathfield ZS (preferred) 2. refurbish Enfield ZS 3. decommission Enfield ZS via 11kV load transfer. Feeder 291/1 Greenacre Park to Potts Hill ZS Sep-15 Asset Condition NA None Potential credible solutions include: 1. like for like replacement (preferred) 2. decommissioning of the feeder 3. or replacement of feeder with new feeder from Rookwood Rd BSP to Greenacre Park ZS. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 Discussion of Potential Credible Solutions 127 Identified Sub-transmission Feeder Limitations System Limitation Load Area 5.2.3 Eastern Suburbs Timing Driver Load reduction required for 1 year deferral (MW) Feeder 396(1) Surry Hills STS to Paddington ZS Mar-13 Capacity 1.7 Feeder 396(2) Surry Hills STS to Waverley ZS Mar-13 Capacity 3.4 Feeder 387 - Surry Hills STS to Darlinghurst ZS Dec-15 Asset Condition Feeders 386, 388 & 389 - Surry Hills STS to Darlinghurst ZS Dec-18 Feeders 377 & 378 - Surry Hills STS to Graving Dock ZS Feeder Name Impact on TransmissionDistribution Connection Points Discussion of Potential Credible Solutions None There is a committed project to convert existing Waverley ZS to 132/11kV operation and subsequently retire feeder 396. NA None Potential credible solutions include: 1. decommissioning of feeder via 11kV load transfer (preferred) or 2. like for like placement of the feeder. Asset Condition NA None Potential credible solutions include: 1. decommission Darlinghurst ZS via an 11kV load transfer to Campbell Street ZS / Padington ZS which requires installation of an additional transformer and 11kV switchgear at Campbell St ZS (preferred) 2. like for like feeder replacement at Darlinghurst ZS. Dec-17 Asset Condition NA None Potential credible solutions include: 1. like for like feeder replacement (preferred) or 2. decommissioning of feeders which implies decommissioning of zone. Feeders 313, 318, 324 & 340 Bunnerong North STS to Matraville ZS Sep-17 Asset Condition NA None Potential credible solutions include: 1. like for like feeder replacement (preferred) or 2. decommissioning of the feeders. Feeders 380, 381 & 382 - Surry Hills STS to Paddington ZS Dec-16 Asset Condition NA None Potential credible solutions include: 1. like for like feeder replacement (preferred) or 2. decommissioning of feeders which implies decommissioning of the zone substation. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 128 Identified Sub-transmission Feeder Limitations System Limitation Load Area 5.2.3 Eastern Suburbs Load reduction required for 1 year deferral (MW) Impact on TransmissionDistribution Connection Points Feeder Name Timing Driver Feeder 376 - Surry Hills STS to Surry Hills ZS Dec-17 Asset Condition NA None Potential credible solutions include: 1. like for like feeder replacement (preferred) or 2. decommissioning of feeders which implies decommissioning of zone. Feeders 383, 384 & 385 - Surry Hills STS to Surry Hills ZS Dec-18 Asset Condition NA None Potential credible solutions include: 1. like for like feeder replacement (preferred) or 2. decommissioning of the feeders which implies decommissioning of the zone substation. Could be done in Dec-17 along with feeder 376. Feeders 331, 352 & 356 - Bunnerong STS to Sydney Airport ZS Dec-16 Asset Condition NA None Potential credible solutions include: 1. reconfigure Sydney Airport ZS and replace 33kV feeders from a new Alexandria STS (preferred) 2. retire Sydney Airport via a new 132/11kV zone 3. retire Sydney Airport ZS via load transfer reconfigure Sydney Airport zone and replace 33kV feeders from Bunnerong STS. Feeders 260/2 and 261/2 - Zetland to Clovelly ZS Dec-17 Asset Condition NA None Potential credible solutions include: 1. replace feeders 260/2 and 261/2 with new 132kV feeder from Kingford to Clovelly ZS (preferred) 2. like for like replacement or 3. retire feeders by decommissioning Clovelly ZS via 11kV load transfer. Feeders 328, 331, 337 & 341 Bunnerong STS to Mascot ZS Dec-18 Asset Condition NA None Potential credible solutions include: 1. Alexandria STS to Mascot ZS (preferred) or 2. decommissioning of feeders which implies decommissioning of Mascot ZS. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 Discussion of Potential Credible Solutions 129 Identified Sub-transmission Feeder Limitations System Limitation Load Area 5.2.4 5.2.5 Inner West Lower Central Coast Feeder Name Timing Driver Load reduction required for 1 year deferral (MW) Feeder 607 Homebush STS to Concord ZS Nov-17 Capacity 0.5 Feeder 614 Homebush STS to Auburn ZS Sep-16 Feeder 615 Homebush STS to Auburn ZS Sep-17 Feeders 602 & 604 - Homebush STS to Lidcombe ZS Sep-16 Feeder 605 Homebush STS to Lidcombe ZS Sep-18 Feeders 794 Ourimbah STS STS to Peats Ridge ZS Sep-14 Feeders 720 Gosford STS to Peats Ridge ZS Sep-18 Impact on TransmissionDistribution Connection Points Discussion of Potential Credible Solutions Committed 11kV load transfer from Concord to Meadowbank ZS None Asset Asset Condition NA None Asset Condition NA None Asset Condition NA None Asset Condition NA None Capacity 0.2 Capacity Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 Potential credible solutions include: 1. replacement of Auburn and Lidcombe ZS with a new 132/11kV zone substation adjacent to Lidcombe ZS (preferred) 2. replacement of 33kV feeders from Homebush STS to Auburn and Lidcombe ZS and refurbish Lidcombe ZS 3. replacement of 33kV feeders from Homebush STS to Auburn and Lidcombe ZS and reconfigure Lidcombe ZS or 4. retirement of Lidcombe ZS and uprate Auburn ZS. Note: From the strategic solution point of view Auburn & Lidcombe zone substation identified needs are addressed together. None Feeder limited by 33kV circuit breaker Current Transformer and there is a committed project to replace the 33kV circuit breakers at Peats Ridge ZS under a replacement subprogram. None Feeder limited by 33kV circuit breaker CT and there is a committed project to replace the 33kV circuit breakers at Peats Ridge ZS under replacement subprogram. 0.2 130 Identified Sub-transmission Feeder Limitations System Limitation Load Area 5.2.6 5.2.7 Manly Warringah Pittwater & Terrey Hills Load reduction required for 1 year deferral (MW) Impact on TransmissionDistribution Connection Points Feeder Name Timing Driver Feeder S08(3) S08TEE to Harbord ZS Jul-16 Asset Condition NA None Potential credible solutions include: 1. replace underground HSL section of 33kV feeder S08(3) with XLPE cables(0.29km) (preferred) or 2. retire the feeder which implies changes to Harboard zone configuration. Feeder S08(2) S08TEE to Manly ZS Jul-16 Asset Condition NA None Potential credible solutions include: 1. replace underground HSL section of 33kV feeder S08(2) with XLPE cables (1.4km) (preferred) or 2. retire the feeder which implies changes to Manly zone configuration. Feeder S10 S10TEE to Kangaroo Park to Manly ZS Jul-16 Asset Condition NA None Potential credible solutions include: 1. replace underground HSL section of 33kV feeder S10 with XLPE cables (2.7km) (preferred) or 2. retire the feeder which implies changes to Manly zone configuration. Feeder S10(4) Kangaroo Park Terminal to North Head ZS Sep-16 Asset Condition NA None Potential credible solutions include: 1. replace underground HSL section of 33kV feeder S10(4) with XLPE cables (3.1km) (Preferred) 2. retire the feeder which implies changes to North Head zone configuration. Feeder S20 Sydney East STS to Warriewood STSS Jul-17 Asset Condition NA None Potential credible solutions include: 1. replace underground HSL section of 33kV feeder S20 with XLPE cables (4.4km) (preferred) 2. new feeder from Sydney East STS to Warriewood STSS. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 Discussion of Potential Credible Solutions 131 Identified Sub-transmission Feeder Limitations System Limitation Load Area 5.2.8 St George Feeder Name Timing Driver Feeders 775 & 776 - Peakhurst STS to Rockdale ZS Sep-16 Asset Condition Load reduction required for 1 year deferral (MW) NA Impact on TransmissionDistribution Connection Points None Discussion of Potential Credible Solutions Potential credible solutions include: 1. Credible solutions include replacement of Rockdale zone with a new 132/11kV ZS (preferred) 2. refurbishment of Rockdale ZS or retirement of Rockdale ZS via 11kV load transfers to adjacent zone Note: All the issues including 33kV and 11kV switchgear related to Rockdale zone are addressed together. 5.2.9 Newcastle Inner City Feeder 769 (Peakhurst STS to Blakehurst ZS) Sep-18 Asset Capacity 1.1 None Feeder 770 (Peakhurst STS to Blakehurst ZS) Sep-18 Asset Capacity 1.2 None Potential credible solutions include: 1. 11kV load transfer from Blakehurst ZS to adjacent zones via switching and ultimately decommissioning of Blakehurst ZS (preferred) 2. new Blakehurst ZS. Feeder 773 Merewether to Kotara Dec-13 Asset Condition NA None Potential credible solutions include: 1. Replace oil-filled cable section (100% feeder length) 2. Augment 33kV network and re-use retired 33kV assets (to Adamstown and Charlestown). Feeder 775 Merewether to Kotara Dec-13 Asset Condition NA None Potential credible solutions include: 1. Replace oil-filled cable section (100% feeder length) 2. Augment 33kV network and re-use retired 33kV assets (to Adamstown and Charlestown). Feeder 775 Merewether to Kotara Dec-18 Asset Condition NA None Potential credible solutions include: 1. Replace oil-filled cable section (40% feeder length) 2. Build new feeder. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 132 Identified Sub-transmission Feeder Limitations Driver Load reduction required for 1 year deferral (MW) Impact on TransmissionDistribution Connection Points System Limitation Load Area Feeder Name Timing Discussion of Potential Credible Solutions 5.2.10 Newcastle Western Corridor Feeder 80258 Argenton STS to Edgeworth ZS Nov-15 Capacity 1.4 None Potential credible solutions include: 1. 11kV load transfer 2. Demand Management 3. Upgrade feeder capacity 4. New Cameron Park ZS (and retire Edgeworth ZS) 5. Build new feeder to Edgeworth. 5.2.11 Northeast Lake Macquarie Feeder 760 Merewether to Jewells Dec-14 Asset Condition NA None Potential credible solutions include: 1. Replace oil-filled cable section (8% feeder length) 2. Build new feeder. Feeder 766 Merewether to Gateshead Dec-14 Asset Condition NA None Potential credible solutions include: 1. Replace oil-filled cable section (10% feeder length) 2. Build new feeder. Nov-16 Capacity 0.5 None Potential credible solutions include: 1. 11kV load transfer 2. Demand Management 3. Anna Bay STS and 33kV network re-arrangement 4. Upgrade feeder capacity. 5.2.12 Port Stephens Feeder TM4 Tomago STS to Medowie ZS Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 133 Identified Sub-transmission Feeder Limitations Driver Load reduction required for 1 year deferral (MW) Impact on TransmissionDistribution Connection Points System Limitation Load Area 5.2.13 Inner Metro Feeder Name Timing Discussion of Potential Credible Solutions Feeder 9SA Beaconsfield BSP to Campbell St ZS Nov-14 Capacity 30 None Potential credible solutions include: 1. refurbishment of the limiting sections of feeder 9SA,. 2. demand management, and 3. construction of a new feeder from Beaconsfield BSP to Belmore Park ZS. Feeder 92P Beaconsfield BSP Belmore Park Zn Nov-14 Capacity 30 None Potential credible solutions include: 1. refurbishment of the limiting sections of feeder 92P 2. demand management, and 3. construction of a new feeder from Beaconsfield BSP to Belmore Park ZS. Feeder 91X Chullora STSS to Beaconsfield BSP Nov-15 Capacity 10 None Feeder 91Y Chullora STSS to Beaconsfield BSP Nov-15 Capacity 10 None Feeder 92C Chullora STSS to Beaconsfield BSP (formerly 91A/2) Nov-18 Capacity 360 None Potential credible interim solutions to resolve the constraints are 1. demand management and further maintenance and refurbishment of feeder 91M/1 to prolong feeder life expectancy until 2019. Potential credible long term solutions include: 2. new 132kV circuits to the inner city area (Beaconsfield or Haymarket BSPs) 3. new 330kV circuits to the inner city area (Beaconsfield or Haymarket BSPs). Feeder 92X Chullora STSS to Beaconsfield BSP (formerly 91B/2) Nov-18 Capacity 360 None Feeder 9S6/1 Haymarket BSP to Pyrmont STS Nov-18 Capacity 7 None Note: These underground cables were recently de-rated following detailed cable route soil and backfill investigations. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 Potential credible solutions include: 1. demand management 2. installation of a 4th transformer at Pyrmont STS or 3. protection changes to allow reconfiguration of the busbar operating arrangement at Darling Harbour ZS. 134 Identified Sub-transmission Feeder Limitations System Limitation Load Area 5.2.14 Inner Metro Feeder Name Timing Driver Load reduction required for 1 year deferral (MW) Impact on TransmissionDistribution Connection Points Discussion of Potential Credible Solutions Feeders 92FA and 92FB - Mason Park STSS to Top Ryde ZS Nov-15 Asset Condition NA None Potential credible solutions include: 1. replacement like-for-like 2. retirement and upgrade of other 132kV circuits, or 3. replacement with a single circuit. Feeder 91A/2 Chullora STSS to Beaconsfield BSP Nov-17 Asset Condition NA None Potential credible solutions include: 1. replacement like-for-like 2. replacement with new high capacity 132kV circuits, or 3. replacement with a 330kV circuit. Feeders 928/3 and 929/1 - Lane Cove STS to Dalley St ZS Nov-16 Asset Condition NA None Potential credible solutions include: 1. replacement with new 132kV circuits to Pyrmont STS 2. new 132kV circuits to the CBD or 3. upgrading of TransGrid's feeder 9S4 to 330kV operation. Feeders 92GA and 92GB - Lane Cove STSS to Top Ryde ZS Nov-19 Asset Condition NA None Potential credible solutions include: 1. replacement like-for-like or 2. replacement with a single circuit. Feeders 92JA and 92JB - Lane Cove STSS to Meadowbank ZS Nov-19 Asset Condition NA None Potential credible solutions include: 1. replacement like-for-like or 2. replacement with a single circuit. Feeders 90XA and 90XB - Mason Park STSS to Meadowbank ZS Nov-20 Asset Condition NA None Potential credible solutions include: 1. replacement like-for-like 2. retirement and upgrade of other 132kV circuits, or 3. replacement with a single circuit. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 135 5.3 Sub-transmission STS and Zone Substation Limitations Sub-transmission STS Substation and Zone Substation Limitations System Limitation Timing Load Area 5.3.1 5.3.2 Camperdown Blackwattle Bay Canterbury Bankstown Driver Substation Name Load reduction required for 1 year deferral (MW) Impact on Transmission -Distribution Connection Points Discussion of Potential Credible Solutions Pyrmont STS Sep-15 Capacity 4.0 - Credible solutions include: 1. installation of additional transfomer at Pyrmont STS (preferred), load transfer from Pyrmont to Surry Hills STS 2. installation of additional transformer at Darling Harbour ZS and 11kV load transfer from Camperdown to Leichhardt ZS or 3. demand management. Blackwattle Bay ZS Sep-18 Asset Condition NA - 11kV switchgear condition issues. Credible solutions include: 1. decommission Blackwattle Bay ZS by transferring load to Camperdown ZS which requires installation of additional transformer and 33kV feeder at Camperdown ZS (preferred) 2. refurbishment of Balackwattle Bay ZS 3. new Blackwattle Bay ZS or 4. demand management. Bass Hill ZS Sep-15 Asset Condition NA - 11kV switchgear condition issues. Credible solutions include: 1. refurbish Bass Hill ZS (preferred) 2. decommission Bass Hill ZS via 11kV load transfer or 3. new Bass Hill ZS. Dulwich Hill ZS Dec-17 Asset Condition NA - 11kV switchgear condition issues. Credible solutions include: 1. new Dulwich Hill ZS 2. refurbish Dulwich Hill ZS or 3. decommission Dulwich Hill ZS via load transfer. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 136 Sub-transmission STS Substation and Zone Substation Limitations System Limitation Timing Load Area 5.3.2 5.3.3 Canterbury Bankstown Carlingford Driver Substation Name Load reduction required for 1 year deferral (MW) Impact on Transmission -Distribution Connection Points Discussion of Potential Credible Solutions Greenacre Park ZS Dec-17 Asset Condition NA - 11kV switchgear condition issues. Credible solutions include: 1. new Greenacre Park ZS (preferred) 2. refurbish Greenacre Park ZS or 3. decommission Greenacre Park ZS by transferring load to Bankstown ZS by installing additional transformer and 11kV switchgear at Bankstowm ZS. Leightonfield ZS Jun-14 Asset Condition NA - Panel 1 to 4 11kV switchgear condition issues. Credible solution include: 1. decommission panel 1 to 4 by redistributing load within Leightonfield ZS (preferred) 2. new Leightonfield ZS 3. refurbish Leightonfield ZS. Potts Hill ZS Dec-13 Capacity 1.7 - Reduce the amount of committed load transfer (approx by 15MVA) from Sefton to Potts Hill zone due to lower forecast load at Sefton zone. Hunters Hill ZS Dec-17 Asset Condition NA - 11kV switchgear condition issues. Credible solutions include: 1. replace old 11kV with new 11kV single bus switchgear (Preferred) 2. decommission the old 11kV switchgear and permanently transfer all the loads to neighbouring ZS 3. decommission existing Hunters Hill ZS and establish a new ZS on adjacent site. Macquarie Park ZS Sep-18 Capacity NA - Due to other non-committed spot loads in the area, the zone is constrained in summer 2016/17 and a credible solution need to be implemented by September 2016. Credible solution include: 1. 11kV load transfer from Macquarie Park to Top Ryde ZS by installing additional transformer and switchgear at Top Ryde ZS (preferred) or 2. new zone substation in 2016. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 137 Sub-transmission STS Substation and Zone Substation Limitations System Limitation Timing Load Area 5.3.3 Carlingford Driver Substation Name Top Ryde ZS Jun-16 Capacity Load reduction required for 1 year deferral (MW) 4.4 Impact on Transmission -Distribution Connection Points - Discussion of Potential Credible Solutions Capacity constraint at Macquarie Park ZS. 1. Top Ryde ZS additional transformer and 11kV Switchgear 2. Demand management. 5.3.4 Eastern Suburbs Botany ZS Dec-18 Asset Condition NA - 11kV switchgear condition issues. Credible solutions include: 1. refurbish Botany ZS (preferred) 2. decommission Botany ZS via 11kV load transfer or 3. new Botany Bay ZS. Darlinghurst ZS Dec-18 Asset Condition NA - 11kV switchgear condition issues. Credible solutions include: 1. decommission Darlinghurst ZS via load transfer to Campbell St/Paddington ZS which requires installation of additional transformer and 11kV switchgear at Campbell St ZS (preferred) 2. refurbish Darlinghurst ZS or 3. new Darlinghurst ZS. Matraville ZS Dec-18 Asset Condition NA - 11kV switchgear condition issues. Credible solutions include: 1. refurbish Matraville ZS (preferred) 2. retire Matraville via new zone substation or 3. retire Matraville ZS via load transfer. Surry Hills ZS Dec-15 Asset Condition NA - 11kV switchgear condition issues. Credible solutions include: 1. refurbish Surry Hills ZS (preferred) 2. retire Surry Hills ZS via new zone substation or 3. retire Surry Hills ZS via load transfer. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 138 Sub-transmission STS Substation and Zone Substation Limitations System Limitation Timing Load Area 5.3.4 Eastern Suburbs Driver Substation Name Load reduction required for 1 year deferral (MW) Impact on Transmission -Distribution Connection Points Discussion of Potential Credible Solutions Sydney Airport ZS Dec-16 Asset Condition NA - 33kV feeder condition issues. Credible solutions include: 1. reconfigure Sydney Airport ZS and replace 33kV feeders from a new Alexandria STS (preferred) 2. retire Sydney airport via a new 132/11kV zone 3. retire Sydney Airport ZS via load transfer or 4. reconfigure Sydney Airport zone and replace 33kV feeders from Bunnerong STS. Clovelly ZS Sep-17 Asset Condition NA - 11kV switchgear condition issues. Credible solutions include: 1. retire one group of 11kV switchgear via 11kV load transfer (preferred) 2. refurbish Clovelly ZS or retire Covelly zone via new zone substation. Lidcombe ZS Sep-16 Asset Condition NA - 11kV switchgear condition issue; Potential credible solutions include: 1. replacement of Auburn and Lidcombe ZS with a new 132/11kV zone substation adjacent to Lidcombe ZS (preferred) 2. replacement of 33kV feeders from Homebush STS to Auburn and Lidcombe ZS and refurbish Lidcombe ZS 3. replacement of 33kV feeders from Homebush STS to Auburn and Lidcombe ZS and reconfigure Lidcombe ZS or 4. retirement of Lidcombe ZS and uprate Auburn ZS. Note: From the strategic solution point of view Auburn & Lidcombe zone substation identified needs are addressed together. Dec-15 Asset Condition NA - 11kV switchgear condition issues. Credible solutions include: 1. replace old 11kV switchgear with new 11kV single bus switchgear (Preferred) 2. decommission existing Lisarow zone and permanently transfer all the loads to neighbouring zones or decommission existing Lisarow ZS and establish a new 132/11kV ZS on adjacent site. 5.3.5 Inner West 5.3.6 Lower Central Lisarow ZS Coast Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 139 Sub-transmission STS Substation and Zone Substation Limitations System Limitation Timing Load Area 5.3.6 5.3.7 Lower Central Coast Pittwater & Terrey Hills Driver Substation Name Load reduction required for 1 year deferral (MW) Impact on Transmission -Distribution Connection Points Discussion of Potential Credible Solutions Lisarow ZS Dec-13 Asset Condition NA - 33kV circuit breakers condition issues. Credible solutions include: 1. like-to-like replacement (Preferred)decommission existing Lisarow zone and permanently transfer all the loads to neighbouring zones or 2. decommission existing Lisarow ZS and establish a new 132/11kV ZS on adjacent site. Umina ZS Sep-16 Asset Condition NA - 11kV switchgear condition issues. Credible solutions include: 1. replace old 11kV switchgears with new 11kV single bus switchgears(Preferred) 2. decommission the old 11kV switchgears and permanently transfer all the loads to neighbouring zones or decommission existing Umina ZS, and 3. establish a new ZS on adjacent site. Careel Bay 33/11kV ZS Jun-15 Asset Condition NA - 11kV switchgear condition issues. Credible solutions include: 1. replace old 11kV switchgears with new 11kV single bus switchgears(Preferred) 2. decommission the old 11kV switchgears and permanently transfer all the loads to neighbouring zones 3. decommission existing Careel Bay ZS and establish a new ZS on adjacent site. Mona Vale 33/11kV ZS Sep-16 Asset Condition NA - 11kV switchgear condition issues. Credible solutions include: 1. replace old 11kV switchgears with new 11kV single bus switchgears(Preferred) 2. decommission the old 11kV switchgears and permanently transfer all the loads to neighbouring zones or 3. decommission existing Mona Vale ZS and establish a new ZS on adjacent site. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 140 Sub-transmission STS Substation and Zone Substation Limitations System Limitation Timing Load Area 5.3.7 5.3.8 Pittwater & Terrey Hills St George Driver Substation Name Load reduction required for 1 year deferral (MW) Impact on Transmission -Distribution Connection Points Discussion of Potential Credible Solutions Narrabeen 33/11kV ZS Sep-17 Asset Condition NA - 33kV steel structure and 33kV oil circuit breakers. Credible solutions include: 1. removal of 33kV busbar and replacement of feeder 33kV oil circuit breakers (Preferred) or 2. 33kV steel structure like-to-like replacement. Terrey Hills 33/11kV ZS Sep-17 Asset Condition NA - 11kV switchgear condition issues. Credible solutions include: 1. replace old 11kV switchgears with new 11kV single bus switchgears(Preferred) 2. decommission the old 11kV switchgears and permanently transfer all the loads to neighbouring zones or 3. decommission existing Terrey Hills ZS and establish a new ZS on adjacent site. Arncliffe Dec-16 Asset Condition NA - 11kV switchgear condition issues. Credible solutions include: 1. retire Arncliffe ZS by transferring load to proposed new Rockdale 132/11kV ZS (preferred) 2. refurbishment of Arncliffe ZS or 3. replacement of Arncliffe ZS with a new zone substation. Rockdale Sep-18 Asset Condition NA - 11kV and 33kV switchgear condition issues. All the issues including 33kV feeders related to Rockdale zone substation are to be addressed together. Credible solutions include: 1. replacement of Rockdale zone with a new 132/11kV ZS (preferred) 2. refurbishment of Rockdale ZS 3. retirement of Rockdale ZS via 11kV load transfers to adjacent zone. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 141 Sub-transmission STS Substation and Zone Substation Limitations System Limitation Timing Load Area Impact on Transmission -Distribution Connection Points Discussion of Potential Credible Solutions Peakhurst STS Sep-18 Asset Condition NA - 33kV building and circuit breaker issues. Credible solutions include: 1. replace or repair 33kV switchgear building and roof in situ (preferred) 2. construct a new 33kV switchgear building retire the existing building 3. retirement of 33kV portion at Peakhurst STS. Sutherland Kurnell STS Dec-14 Asset Condition NA - 33kV switchgear condition and busbar height non-compliance duty of care issues. Credible solutions include: 1. include retirement of 33kV portion of Kurnell STS (preferred) 2. refurbishment of 33kV switchgear and busbar at Kurnell STS. Sydney CBD Dalley St ZS Sep-17 Asset Condition NA - 132kV and 11kV switchgear condition issues. Credible solutions include: 1. replacement of Dalley St ZS with a new Bligh St ZS (preferred), 2. refurbish the existing Dalley St ZS or 3. retire the existing Dalley St ZS via 11kV load transfers to adjacent zones. The anticipated commissioning of the Bligh St ZS is December 2019. Oct-15 Asset Condition NA - Unavailability of 33kV from Delta Electricity Munmorah BSP from March 2017. Credible solutions include: 1. development of new Munmorah 132/33kV STS (preferred) 2. conversion of existing Noraville and Vales Point ZS to 132/11kV operation. Dec-14 Asset Condition NA - 11kV switchgear condition issues. Credible solutions include: 1. replace old 11kV with new 11kV single bus switchgear (preferred) 2. decommission the old 11kV switchgear and permanently transfer all the loads to neighbouring zones or 3. decommission existing Vales Point ZS and establish new ZS. 5.3.8 St George 5.3.9 5.3.10 5.3.11 Driver Substation Name Load reduction required for 1 year deferral (MW) Upper Munmorah BSP Central Coast Vales Point ZS Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 142 Sub-transmission STS Substation and Zone Substation Limitations System Limitation Timing Load Area Cessnock 33/11kV zone substation NA None Credible solutions include: 1. Refurbish substation 2. Build replacement zone substation. Dec-14 Asset Conditon (33kV switchgear) NA None Credible solutions include: 1. Retire substation and augment 33kV network (33kV load transfers to Argenton STS) 2. Refurbish Awaba STS. Tarro 33/11kV zone substation Nov-13 Capacity 1.2 None Credible solutions include: 1. Demand Management 2. Tarro to Thornton 11kV load transfer 3. Build new Beresfield 132/11kV zone substation (and retire Tarro) 4. Build replacement Tarro 33/11kV zone substation. Telarah 33/11kV zone substation Nov-13 Capacity 1.1 None Credible solutions include: 1. 11kV load transfer 2. Demand Management 3. Build new Telarah West 33/11kV zone substation (and retire Telarah) 4. Refurbish Telarah 33/11kV zone substation. Telarah 33/11kV zone substation Dec-16 Asset Condition NA None Credible solutions include: 1. Build new Telarah West 33/11kV zone substation (and retire Telarah) 2. 33kV and 11kV network augmentation to retire Telarah (load transfers to Rutherford and Maitland) 3. Refurbish Telarah zone substation. Kotara 33/11kV zone substation Dec-14 Asset Condition (33kV switchgear) NA None Credible solutions include: 1. Retire 33kV switchgear and transformer-end 33kV feeders 2. Replace 33kV switchgear. 5.3.13 Hunter Awaba 132/33kV Transmission substransmission substation 5.3.15 Newcastle Inner City Discussion of Potential Credible Solutions Asset Condition (building) Greater Cessnock Maitland Impact on Transmission -Distribution Connection Points Jun-14 5.3.12 5.3.14 Driver Substation Name Load reduction required for 1 year deferral (MW) Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 143 Sub-transmission STS Substation and Zone Substation Limitations System Limitation Timing Load Area Driver Substation Name Load reduction required for 1 year deferral (MW) Impact on Transmission -Distribution Connection Points Discussion of Potential Credible Solutions 5.3.16 Newcastle Ports Waratah 132/33kV sub-transmission substation Jun-14 Asset Condition (33kV switchgear) NA None Credible solutions include: 1. Refurbish substation to maintain supply to major customers (Comsteel and SRA) 2. Build replacement substation to maintain supply to major customers (Comsteel and SRA). 5.3.17 Newcastle Western Corridor Edgeworth 33/11kV zone substation Nov-13 Capacity 0.2 None Credible solutions include: 1. 11kV load transfer 2. Demand Management 3. Replace 11kV switchgear (upgrade substation capacity) 4. New Cameron Park ZS (and retire Edgeworth ZS). Edgeworth 33/11kV zone substation Dec-18 Asset Condition (11kV switchgear) NA None Credible solutions include: 1. Replace 11kV switchgear 2. 11kV network augmentation to retire Edgeworth (load transfers to Cardiff and Argenton) 3. New Cameron Park ZS (and retire Edgeworth). Swansea 33/11kV zone substation Dec-18 Asset Condition (11kV switchgear) NA None Credible solutions include: 1. Replace 11kV switchgear 2. Build replacement zone substation. Jun-14 Asset Condition (11kV switchgear) NA None Credible solutions include: 1. Replace 11kV switchgear 2. Build replacement zone substation. 5.3.18 Northeast Lake Macquarie 5.3.19 Port Stephens Nelson Bay 33/11kV zone substation Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 144 Sub-transmission STS Substation and Zone Substation Limitations System Limitation Timing Load Area 5.3.20 5.3.21 5.3.22 Singleton Upper Hunter West Lake Macquarie Driver Substation Name Load reduction required for 1 year deferral (MW) Impact on Transmission -Distribution Connection Points Discussion of Potential Credible Solutions Branxton 66/11kV zone substation Jun-14 Asset Condition (11kV switchgear) NA None Credible solutions include: 1. Replace 11kV switchgear 2. Build replacement zone substation. Singleton 66/11kV zone substation Jun-14 Asset Condition (11kV switchgear) NA None Credible solutions include: 1. Replace 11kV switchgear 2. Build replacement zone substation. Denman 66/11kV zone substation Dec-18 Asset Condition (11kV switchgear) NA None Credible solutions include: 1. Replace 11kV switchgear 2. Build replacement zone substation. Mitchell Line 66/11kV zone substation Dec-18 Asset Condition (11kV switchgear) NA None Credible solutions include: 1. Replace 11kV switchgear 2. Build replacement zone substation. Cooranbong 33/11kV zone substation (dedicated customer) Dec-14 Asset Condition (11kV switchgear) NA None Credible solutions include: 1. Replace 11kV switchgear 2. Transfer customer POC to Rathmines 11kV network 3. Construct 33kV switching station (and transfer assets to customer) 4. Build replacement zone substation. Myuna 33/11kV zone substation (dedicated customer) Dec-14 Asset Condition (11kV switchgear) NA None Credible solutions include: 1. Replace 11kV switchgear 2. Transfer customer Point of Connection to Avondale 11kV network 3. Construct 33kV switching station (and transfer assets to customer) 4. Build replacement zone substation. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 145 5.4 Primary Distribution Feeder Limitations The table below shows four primary distribution feeder limitations that were present in Summer 2012/13. However, these limitations have been either already addressed with a project already completed, or will be addressed prior to summer 2013/14 with a committed project. Identified Primary Distribution Feeder Limitations Zone Substation Feeder Name Normal Cyclic Rating (MVA) Summer Winter Extent Load Exceeds Normal Cyclic Rating (MVA) Current Year Next Two Years Summ er Summer Winter Summer Winter Winter 2014/15 2012/13 2013 2013/14 2014 2015 Estimated Load Reduction to Defer Limitation for 1 Year (MVA) Load Area Cessnock Load Timing Location Kurri ZS 80922 3.54 - 0.29 - - - - - N/A N/A Kurri Westlakes Morisset ZS 80080 6.00 - 0.04 - - - - - 0.04 Nov-12 Morisset Rathmines Temporary ZS 33344 6.17 - 0.55 - - - - - N/A N/A Rathmines 11kV upgrade works issued Temporary (SM-19816 & WBS3278) and ZS completed before S 13/14. Limitation no longer exists. 81244 3.54 - 0.76 - - - - - N/A N/A Raymond 11kV upgrade works issued Terrace (SM-20002) and completed New ZS before S 13/14. Limitation no longer exists. Port Stephens Raymond Terrace New ZS Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 146 Potential Credible Solutions 11kV upgrade works issued (SM-16245) and completed before S 13/14. Limitation no longer exists. 11kV upgrade works issued (SM-06403) with completion expected prior to S 13/14. Limitation is forecast to be addressed prior to S 13/14. 6 Network Investments 6.1 Regulatory Tests completed during the year The RIT-D has a commencement date of 1 January, 2014 and there are provisions in the NER for a transition to the RIT-D which permit all project assessments commenced under the Regulatory Test prior to 31 December, 2013 to be finalised under that process subject to approval from the AER. Ausgrid finalised 18 Regulatory Tests in the preceding year as detailed below. 6.1.1 Final Report- Jannali Zone Substation 11kV development There are existing supply capacity limitations on the Jannali Zone Substation (ZS) 11kV distribution network due to load growth in the area. To ensure a safe and reliable electricity supply for existing customers and proposed developments in the area, an integrated strategy is required to provide additional 11kV network capacity to meet projected load growth. Possible investment options investigated to address the identified limitations affecting the supply network include: Demand Management Option 1 – Establish new feeder from Jannali Zone Substation Option 2 – Underbore from Jannali Panel 28 to Miranda Panel 2. Consideration of demand management options for the Jannali ZS load area was carried out in February 2013. The overall demand reduction required represented a significant proportion of the existing load (9%). Given the cost of the proposed supply-side option, the potential savings derived from deferring this option by one year would be $90,000 or $74/kVA, which is low. Based on this information it was concluded that demand management is not a viable option in this instance. Ausgrid’s preferred and recommended action was Option 1 – Establish new feeder from Jannali Zone Substation. This option establishes the new feeder by a tee-connection to the Panel 28 endbox at Jannali ZS, utilising out-of-service 500mm2 cable, transferring load from Jannali Panel 31 feeder, installing an intellirupter and establishing a new overhead/underground feeder connection to the Panel 21 feeder. Summary of base case economic analysis (12/13 real dollars): Options NPC ($m) Ranking Option 1 Establish new feeder from Jannali Zone Substation 1.15 1 Option 2 Underbore from Jannali Panel 28 to Miranda Panel 2 1.85 2 The proposed works will be completed in conjunction with the replacement of switchgear at Jannali ZS and associated feeder renumbering. The estimated capital cost for this option is $1.26 million (nominal) and is planned to be completed by June 2014. The Net Present Cost also includes operation and maintenance costs. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 147 6.1.2 Final Report- Raymond Terrace 11kV Feeders Upgrade There are existing supply capacity limitations on the Raymond Terrace Zone Substation (ZS) 11kV distribution network due to load growth in the area. To ensure a safe and reliable electricity supply for existing customers and proposed developments in the area, an integrated strategy is required to provide additional 11kV network capacity to meet projected load growth. Possible investment options investigated to address the identified limitations affecting the supply network include: Demand Management Option 1 – Upgrade OH mains on feeders 81236L and 81244L, install a new UG interconnection from feeder 81240L to 81244L Option 2 – Upgrade OH mains on feeder 81236L, install new UG interconnections from feeder 81240L to 81244L and 81236L to 81241L. A demand management screening test concluded that the potential savings derived from deferring this option by one year would be $76,000 or $14/kVA, which is low. Based on this information, it was not considered reasonable to expect that it would be cost effective to postpone the proposed supply-side solution by implementing demand management. Ausgrid’s proposed and recommended action is to proceed with Option 1 – Upgrade OH mains on feeders 81236L and 81244L, install a new UG interconnection from feeder 81240L to 81244L, and install a new OH interconnection on feeder 81244L. This option involves: reconductoring 1.6km of overhead mains on feeders 81236L and 81244L with Pluto 19/3.25 AAC conductor, installing an underground connection between feeders 81244L and 81240L, and installing a new 250m overhead interconnection with one ELBS on feeder 81244L. The estimated capital cost for this option is $0.97 million (nominal) and is planned to be completed by November 2014. Summary of base case economic analysis (12/13 real dollars): Options NPC ($m) Ranking Option 1 Upgrade OH mains on feeders 81236L and 81244L, install a new UG interconnection from feeder 81240L to 81244L 0.91 1 Option 2 Upgrade OH mains on feeder 81236L, install new UG interconnections from feeder 81240L to 81244L and 81236L to 81241L 1.08 2 The estimated capital cost for this option is $0.97 million (nominal) and is planned to be completed by November 2014. The Net Present Cost also includes operation and maintenance costs. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 148 6.1.3 Final Report- Rathmines Zone Substation 11kV Feeders There are existing supply capacity limitations on the Rathmines Transportable Zone Substation (ZS) 11kV distribution network due to load growth in the area. To ensure a safe and reliable electricity supply for existing customers and proposed developments in the area, an integrated strategy is required to provide additional 11kV network capacity to meet projected load growth. Possible investment options investigated to address the identified limitations affecting the supply network are described below: Demand Management Option 1 – Change open points Option 2 – Establish a new feeder from Rathmines Permanent ZS and augment 11kV network Option 3 – Establish two new feeders from Rathmines Permanent ZS and construct a new interconnection. Ausgrid consideration of demand management found that the overall demand reduction required represented a significant proportion of the existing load. Given the cost of the proposed supply-side option, the potential savings derived from deferring this option by one year would be $80,000 or $14/kVA, which is low. Based on this information, it was not considered reasonable to expect that it would be cost effective to postpone the proposed supply-side solution by implementing demand management. It was concluded that demand management is not a viable option in this instance. Ausgrid’s proposed option and recommended action which is to proceed with Option 2 – Establish a new feeder from Rathmines Permanent ZS and augment 11kV network. This option involves constructing a new feeder from Rathmines Permanent 132/11kV ZS to the Rathmines area by upgrading 1.1km of existing 11kV overhead feeder, constructing 2km of new overhead 11kV feeder and 1.8km of new underground 11kV feeder. A voltage regulator will also be installed and two feeder interconnections will be established. Summary of base case economic analysis (12/13 real dollars): Options NPC #($m) Option 1 Change open points F Ranking 0 NA Option 2 Establish a new feeder from Rathmines Permanent ZS and augment 11kV Network 1.12 1 Option 3 Establish two new feeders from Rathmines Permanent ZS and construct a new interconnection 5.98 2 The estimated capital cost for this option is $1.23 million (nominal) and is planned to be completed by November 2013. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 149 6.1.4 Final Report- Nelson Bay (Anna Bay) New 11kV Development There are existing supply capacity limitations on the Nelson Bay Zone Substation (ZS) 11kV distribution network due to load growth in the area. To ensure a safe and reliable electricity supply for existing customers and proposed developments in the area, an integrated strategy is required to provide additional 11kV network capacity to meet projected load growth. Possible investment options to address the identified needs affecting the supply network include: Demand Management Option 1 – New underground/overhead feeder along Nelson Bay Road Option 2 – New underground feeder along Nelson Bay Road Option 3 – New overhead feeder along Frost Rd and Gan Gan Rd to Clark St and interconnection to Port Stephens Drive Option 4 – New underground feeder along Frost Rd and Gan Gan Rd to Clark St and interconnection to Port Stephens Drive. Consideration of demand management options for the Nelson Bay ZS load area was carried out in December 2012. The overall demand reduction required represented a significant proportion of the existing load. Given the cost of the proposed supply-side option, the potential savings derived from deferring this option by one year would be $102,000 or $107/kVA, which is low. Based on this information, it was not considered reasonable to expect that it would be cost effective to postpone the proposed supply-side solution by implementing demand management strategies. Ausgrid’s preferred option and recommended action was to proceed with Option 1 – New underground/overhead feeder along Nelson Bay Road. This option involves creating a new feeder to supply the Anna Bay area by building approximately 3.8km of overhead mains on the existing 33kV feeder along Nelson Bay Rd to Gan Gan Rd and providing an underground interconnection (approximately 1km) to Port Stephens Dr from Gan Gan Rd. Summary of base case economic analysis (12/13 real dollars): Options NPC ($m) Ranking Option 1 - New underground/overhead feeder along Nelson Bay Road 1.43 1 Option 2 - New underground feeder along Nelson Bay Road 4.20 3 Option 3 - New overhead feeder along Frost Rd and Gan Gan Rd to Clark St and interconnection to Port Stephens Drive 2.01 2 Option 4 - New underground feeder along Frost Rd and Gan Gan Rd to Clark St and interconnection to Port Stephens Drive 5.42 4 The estimated capital cost for this option is $1.57 million (nominal) and is planned to be completed by June 2014. The Net Present Cost also includes operation and maintenance costs. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 150 6.1.5 Final Report- Nelson Bay New 11kV Development There are existing supply capacity limitations on the Nelson Bay Zone Substation (ZS) 11kV distribution network due to load growth in the area. To ensure a safe and reliable electricity supply for existing customers and proposed developments in the area, an integrated strategy is required to provide additional 11kV network capacity to meet projected load growth. Possible investment options to address the identified limitations affecting the supply network considered include: Demand Management Option 1 – New interconnection along fire trail from Marine Drive to Government Road Option 2 – New interconnection along Shoal Bay Road from Harwood Avenue to Government Road Option 3 – New interconnection along Marine Drive, Gowrie Avenue and Shoal Bay Road. Consideration of demand management options for the Nelson Bay ZS load area was carried out in December 2012. The overall demand reduction required represented a significant proportion of the existing load. Given the cost of the proposed supply-side option, the potential savings derived from deferring this option by one year would be $63,000 or $33/kVA, which is low. Based on this information it was not considered reasonable to expect that it would be cost effective to postpone the proposed supply-side solution by implementing demand management. Therefore, it was concluded that demand management is not a viable option in this instance. Ausgrid’s proposed option and recommended action was to proceed with Option 1 – New interconnection along fire trail from Marine Drive to Government Road. This option involves establishing a new underground 11kV interconnection along the fire trail from Marine Drive to Government Road (approximately 1.5km) and installing an air break switch. Summary of base case economic analysis (12/13 real dollars): NPC ($m) Ranking Option 1 New interconnection along fire trail from Marine Drive to Government Road 0.88 1 Option 2 New interconnection along Shoal Bay Road from Harwood Avenue to Government Road 1.31 2 Option 3 New interconnection along Marine Drive, Gowrie Avenue and Shoal Bay Road 1.78 3 Options The estimated capital cost of the preferred option is $0.96 million (nominal) and is planned to be completed by December 2013. The Net Present Cost also includes operation and maintenance costs. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 151 6.1.6 Final Report- Edgeworth New 11kV Development There are existing supply capacity limitations on the Edgeworth Zone Substation (ZS) 11kV distribution network due to load growth in the area. To ensure a safe and reliable electricity supply for existing customers and proposed developments in the area, an integrated strategy is required to provide additional 11kV network capacity to meet projected load growth. Possible investment options investigated to address the identified limitations affecting the supply network included: Demand Management Option 1 – New overhead feeder and interconnection from Edgeworth ZS Option 2 – New underground/overhead feeder and interconnection from Edgeworth ZS. Consideration of demand management options for the Edgeworth ZS load area was carried out in December 2012. The overall demand reduction required represented a significant proportion of the existing load. Given the cost of the proposed supply-side option, the potential savings derived from deferring this option by one year would be $352,000 or $154/kVA, which is low. Based on this information, it was not reasonable to expect that it would be cost effective to postpone the proposed supply-side solution by implementing demand management. Ausgrid’s proposed and recommended action was to proceed with Option 2 – New underground/overhead feeder and interconnection from Edgeworth ZS. This option involves installing a new 4-way duct line with two 11kV circuits from Edgeworth ZS to Dunbar Road. From there, one circuit will be constructed as a single circuit overhead line and provide interconnection with feeders from Maryland ZS. The other feeder will continue as underground construction and provide interconnection with other feeders from Edgeworth ZS. Summary of base case economic analysis (12/13 real dollars): Options NPC ($m) Ranking Option 1 New overhead feeder and interconnection from Edgeworth ZS 3.08 2 Option 2 New underground/overhead feeder and interconnection from Edgeworth ZS 2.90 1 The estimated capital cost for this option is $3.41 million (nominal) and is planned to be completed by December 2013. The Net Present Cost also includes operation and maintenance costs. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 152 6.1.7 Final Report- Kurri Kurri New Heddon Greta 11kV Development There are existing supply capacity limitations on the Kurri Kurri Zone Substation (ZS) 11kV distribution network due to load growth in the area. To ensure a safe and reliable electricity supply for existing customers and proposed developments in the area, an integrated strategy is required to provide additional 11kV network capacity to meet projected load growth. Possible investment options to address the identified needs affecting the supply network included: Demand Management Option 1 – Upgrade feeder 48010 Option 2 – Establish a new underground feeder to Cliftleigh Option 3 – Establish a new overhead feeder to Heddon Greta Option 4 – Create Interconnection to Kurri Kurri Feeder 80923. Consideration of demand management options for the Kurri Kurri ZS load area was carried out in December 2012. The overall demand reduction required represented a significant proportion of the existing load (41%). Given the cost of the proposed supply-side option, the potential savings derived from deferring this option by one year would be $63,000 or $37/kVA, which is low. Based on this information, it was not considered reasonable to expect that it would be cost effective to postpone the proposed supply-side solution by implementing demand management. Ausgrid’s proposed option and recommended action was to proceed with Option 3 – Establish a new overhead feeder to Heddon Greta. This option involves installing a regulator near the Heddon Greta recloser and establishing a new overhead/underground feeder from Kurri Kurri ZS via Kurri Sub-transmission Substation (STS) to Cliftleigh by utilising spare 33kV overhead feeder along Northcote Street, Kurri, spare conduits to Kurri STS and the abandoned 66kV overhead feeder 860. Summary of base case economic analysis (12/13 real dollars): Options NPC ($m) Ranking Option 1 - Upgrade feeder 48010 1.96 4 Option 2 - Establish a new underground feeder to Cliftleigh 1.43 2 Option 3 - Establish a new overhead feeder to Heddon Greta 0.88 1 Option 4 - Create Interconnection to Kurri Kurri Feeder 80923 1.82 3 The estimated capital cost for this option is $0.96 million (nominal) and is planned to be completed by June 2014. The Net Present Cost also includes operation and maintenance costs. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 153 6.1.8 Final Report- Kurri Kurri Zone Substation 11kV Feeders There are existing supply capacity limitations on the Kurri Kurri Zone Substation (ZS) 11kV distribution network due to load growth in the area. To ensure a safe and reliable electricity supply for existing customers and proposed developments in the area, an integrated strategy is required to provide additional 11kV network capacity to meet projected load growth. Possible options to address the identified needs affecting the supply network include: Demand Management Option 1 – Install a regulator on feeder 80922 and upgrade feeders 48028, 80922 and 80931 Option 2 – Install new interconnection to 80922 and upgrade feeders 48028, 80922 and 80931 Option 3 – Establish a new feeder to Abermain and upgrade feeders 48028, 80922 and 80931. Consideration of demand management options for the Kurri Kurri ZS load area was carried out in December 2012. The overall demand reduction required represented a significant proportion of the existing load. Given the cost of the proposed supply-side option, the potential savings derived from deferring this option by one year would be $70,000 or $45/kVA, which is low. Based on this information, it was not considered reasonable to expect that it would be cost effective to postpone the proposed supply-side solution by implementing demand management. Ausgrid’s preferred option and recommended action is to proceed with Option 1 – Install a regulator on feeder 80922 and upgrade feeders 48028, 80922 and 80931. This option involves installing a regulator in Sawyers Gully, adjusting settings on two reclosers and replacing approximately 3.6km of conductor on feeders 48028, 80922 and 80931. Summary of base case economic analysis (12/13 real dollars): Options NPC*($m) Ranking Option 1 Install a regulator on feeder 80922 and upgrade feeders 48028, 80922 and 80931 0.97 1 Option 2 Install new interconnection to 80922 and upgrade feeders 48028, 80922 and 80931 1.73 2 Option 3 Establish a new feeder to Abermain and upgrade feeders 48028, 80922 and 80931 2.34 3 The estimated capital cost for this option is $1.07 million (nominal) and is planned to be completed by June 2014. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 154 6.1.9 Final Report- Maitland Central New 11kV Development There are existing supply capacity limitations on the Maitland Central Zone Substation (ZS) 11kV distribution network due to load growth in the area. To ensure a safe and reliable electricity supply for existing customers and proposed developments in the area, an integrated strategy is required to provide additional 11kV network capacity to meet projected load growth. Possible investment options to address the identified needs affecting the supply network include: Demand Management Option 1 – Upgrade Wallalong overhead 11kV feeder 48164 (Future Brandy Hill feeder 82579) Option 2 – Upgrade East Maitland overhead 11kV feeder 48011 (Future Brandy Hill feeder 82576) Option 3 – Upgrade Maitland Central overhead 11kV feeder 48122. Consideration of demand management options for the Maitland Central load area was carried out in December 2012. The overall demand reduction required represented a significant proportion of the existing load. Given the cost of the proposed supply-side option, the potential savings derived from deferring this option by one year would be $84,000, which is low. Based on this information, it was not considered reasonable to expect that it would be cost effective to postpone the proposed supply-side solution by implementing demand management. Ausgrid’s preferred option and recommended action which is to proceed with Option 3 – Upgrade Maitland Central overhead 11kV feeder 48122. This option involves replacing approximately 2.5km of conductor on existing Maitland Central feeder 48122, constructing approximately 700m of new 11kV overhead line and installing a regulator on existing Maitland Central feeder 48123. Summary of base case economic analysis (12/13 real dollars): Options NPC ($m) Ranking Option 1 Upgrade Wallalong overhead 11kV feeder 48164 (Future Brandy Hill feeder 82579) 1.27 3 Option 2 Upgrade East Maitland overhead 11kV feeder 48011 (Future Brandy Hill feeder 82576) 1.21 2 Option 3 Upgrade Maitland Central overhead 11kV feeder 48122 1.17 1 The estimated capital cost for this option is $1.28 million (nominal) and is planned to be completed by December 2013. The Net Present Cost also includes operation and maintenance costs. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 155 6.1.10 Final Report- Mosman Zone Substation Panel 18 20 22 29 and 42 Feeders There are existing supply capacity limitations on the Mosman Zone Substation (ZS) 11kV distribution network due to load growth in the area. To ensure a safe and reliable electricity supply for existing customers and proposed developments in the area, an integrated strategy is required to provide additional 11kV network capacity to meet projected load growth Possible investment options to address the identified needs affecting the supply network include: Demand Management Option 1 – Install new 11kV feeder from Mosman ZS Option 2 – Install new 11kV feeder from Crows Nest ZS. Consideration of demand management options for the Mosman ZS load area was carried out in December 2012. The overall demand reduction required represented a significant proportion of the existing load. Given the cost of the proposed supply-side option, the potential savings derived from deferring this option by one year would be $205,000 or $107.52/kVA, which is low. Based on this information, it was not considered reasonable to expect that it would be cost effective to postpone the proposed supply-side solution by implementing demand management. Ausgrid’s preferred option and recommended action which is to proceed with Option 1 – Install new 11kV feeder from Mosman ZS. This option involves installing a new 11kV feeder using new and existing ducts from Mosman ZS to relieve panels 18, 20, 22, 29 and 42 at Mosman ZS in order to address the identified constraints on the Mosman ZS distribution network. Summary of base case economic analysis (12/13 real dollars): Options NPC [$m] Ranking Option 1 – Install new 11kV feeder from Mosman ZS 2.74 1 Option 2 – Install new 11kV feeder from Crows Nest ZS 5.57 2 The estimated capital cost for this option is $2.74m and is planned to be completed in June 2014. 6.1.11 Final Report- Greenacre Park 11kV Feeders There are existing supply capacity limitations on the Greenacre Park Zone Substation (ZS) 11kV distribution network due to load growth in the area. To ensure a safe and reliable electricity supply for existing customers and proposed developments in the area, an integrated strategy is required to provide additional 11kV network capacity to meet projected load growth. Possible investment options to address the identified needs affecting the supply network, include: Demand Management. Option 1 – Install two new 11kV feeders using existing ducts Option 2 – Install one new 11kV feeder using existing ducts Option 3 – Install two new 11kV feeders in new ducts Option 4 – Install one new 11kV feeder in new ducts. Consideration of Demand Management options for the Greenacre Park ZS load area was carried out in November 2012. The overall demand reduction required represented a significant proportion of the existing load (123%). Given the cost of the proposed supply side option, the potential savings derived from deferring this option by one year would be $305,000 or $170.10/kVA, which is low. Based on this information it was not considered reasonable to expect that it would be cost effective to postpone the proposed supply-side solution by implementing demand management. The preferred option and recommended action is to proceed with Option 1 – Install two new 11kV feeders using existing ducts. This option involves installing a new 11kV feeder from Greenacre Park ZS to relieve this substation’s panel 27L and a new 11kV feeder from Potts Hill ZS to relieve panel 27R at Greenacre Park ZS. It also involves the upgrade of two existing 11kV feeders connected to panels 20R, 31L, 33R and 36 at Greenacre Park ZS to address the identified constraints on the Greenacre Park ZS distribution network. The Net Present Cost also includes operation and maintenance costs. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 156 Summary of base case economic analysis (12/13 real dollars): Options NPC [$m] Ranking Option 1 – Install two new 11kV feeders using existing ducts 4.04 1 Option 2 – Install one new 11kV feeder using existing ducts 4.73 3 Option 3 – Install two new 11kV feeders in new ducts 4.66 2 Option 4 – Install one new 11kV feeder in new ducts 5.31 4 The estimated capital cost for this option is $4.38m and is planned to be completed in October 2014. 6.1.12 Final Report- Mosman Zone Substation 11kV Panel 24 41 and 43 feeders There are existing supply security issues under emergency switching conditions on the Mosman Zone Substation (ZS) 11kV distribution network due to load growth in the area. To ensure a safe and reliable electricity supply for existing customers and proposed developments in the area, an integrated strategy is required to provide additional 11kV network capacity to meet projected load growth. Possible investment options to address the identified needs affecting the supply network include: Demand Management Option 1 – Augment existing 11kV feeders Option 2 – Install new 11kV feeder. Consideration of Demand Management options for the Mosman ZS load area was carried out in December 2012. The overall demand reduction required represented a significant proportion of the existing load (127%). Given the cost of the proposed supply side option, the potential savings derived from deferring this option by one year would be $102,000 or $190.61/kVA, which is low. Based on this information, it was not considered reasonable to expect that it would be cost effective to postpone the proposed supply-side solution by implementing demand management. Ausgrid’s preferred option and recommended action was to proceed with Option 1 – Augment existing 11kV feeders. This option involves installing sections of new 11kV cables on a total length of approximately 700 metres to relieve panels 24, 41 and 43 at Mosman ZS in order to address the identified constraints on the Mosman ZS distribution network. Summary of base case economic analysis (12/13 real dollars): Options NPC#[$m] Ranking Option 1 – Augment existing 11kV feeders 1.35 1 Option 2 – Install new 11kV feeder 4.69 2 The estimated capital cost for this option is $1.36m and is planned to be completed in June 2014. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 157 6.1.13 Final Report- Mosman Zone Substation 11kV Panel 9,10,17,23,30,32, 34 feeders There are existing supply capacity limitations on the Mosman Zone Substation (ZS) 11kV distribution network due to load growth in the area. To ensure a safe and reliable electricity supply for existing customers and proposed developments in the area, an integrated strategy is required to provide additional 11kV network capacity to meet projected load growth. Possible investment options to address the identified needs affecting the supply network, include: Demand Management Option 1 – Augment existing 11kV feeders Option 2 – Install new 11kV feeder. Consideration of Demand Management options for the Mosman ZS load area was carried out in December 2012. The overall demand reduction required represented a significant proportion of the existing load (158%). Given the cost of the proposed supply side option, the potential savings derived from deferring this option by one year would be $218,000 or $156.43/kVA, which is low. Based on this information, it was not considered reasonable to expect that it would be cost effective to postpone the proposed supply-side solution by implementing demand management. Ausgrid’s preferred option and recommended action was to proceed with Option 1 – Augment existing 11kV feeders. This option involves installing sections of new 11kV cables on a total length of approximately 1.4 kilometres to relieve panels 9, 10, 17, 23, 30, 32 and 34 at Mosman ZS in order to address the identified constraints on the Mosman ZS distribution network. Summary of base case economic analysis (12/13 real dollars): Options NPC [$m] Ranking Option 1 – Augment existing 11kV feeders 2.89 1 Option 2 – Install new 11kV feeder 5.30 2 The estimated capital cost for this option is $2.91m and is planned to be completed in December 2013. 6.1.14 Final Report- Cardiff New 11kV Development There are supply security issues on the Cardiff 11kV distribution network due to lack of 11kV network interconnections. To ensure a safe and reliable electricity supply for existing customers and proposed developments in the area, an integrated strategy is required to provide supply security to meet projected load growth. Possible investment options to address the identified needs affecting the supply network, include: Demand Management Option 1 – One new feeder from Cardiff ZS to Warners Bay via Macquarie Rd Option 2 – One new feeder from Cardiff ZS to Warners Bay using trunk of feeder 8667 Option 3 – Two new feeders from Charlestown ZS to Warners Bay via Hillsborough Rd. Consideration of Demand Management options for the Cardiff ZS load area was carried out in May 2012. The overall demand reduction required represents a significant proportion of the existing load (19%). Given the cost of the proposed supply side option, the potential savings derived from deferring this option by two years would be $472,000 or $420/kVA, which is moderate. Based on this information, it was not considered reasonable to expect that it would be cost effective to postpone the proposed supply-side solution by implementing demand management. Therefore, it was concluded that Demand Management is not a viable option in this instance. The preferred and recommended action is Option 2. This option utilises the essentially spare feeder 8667 after the load transfer to Argenton ZS. It involves the construction of approximately 2km of new underground feeder from the intersection of Pendlebury Rd and Macquarie Rd, Cardiff, to substation 55679 ‘ McDonalds Warners Bay.’ The trunk overhead section of feeder 8667 is utilised as the trunk of the new feeder. Two small underground interconnections and one overhead interconnection will also be constructed with this option. The Net Present Cost also includes operation and maintenance costs. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 158 Summary of base case economic analysis (12/13 real dollars): Options NPC ($m] Ranking Option 1 One new feeder from Cardiff ZS to Warners Bay via Macquarie Rd 4.26 2 Option 2 One new feeder from Cardiff ZS to Warners Bay using trunk of feeder 8667 3.36 1 Option 3 Two new feeders from Charlestown ZS to Warners Bay via Hillsborough Rd 5.51 3 The planning estimate for this option is $3.27million (nominal) and is planned to be completed by November 2013. 6.1.15 Final Report- Sefton Zone Substation 11kV Panel 16, 34, 35 feeders There are existing supply capacity limitations on the Sefton Zone Substation (ZS) 11kV distribution network due to load growth in the area. To ensure a safe and reliable electricity supply for existing customers and proposed developments in the area, an integrated strategy is required to provide additional 11kV network capacity to meet projected load growth. Possible investment options to address the identified issues affecting the supply network, include: Demand Management. Option 1 – Install a new 11kV feeder from Sefton ZS Option 2 – Install a new 11kV feeder from Lidcombe ZS. Consideration of Demand Management options for the Sefton ZS load area was carried out in December 2011. The overall demand reduction required represented a significant proportion of the existing load (136%). Given the cost of the proposed supply side option, the potential savings derived from deferring this option by one year would be $164,000 or $104.74/kVA, which is low. Based on this information, it was not considered reasonable to expect that it would be cost effective to postpone the proposed supply-side solution by implementing demand management. Ausgrid’s preferred option and recommended action was to proceed with Option 1 – Install a new 11kV feeder from Sefton ZS. This option involves installing a new 11kV feeder from Sefton ZS and replacing a short limiting feeder section on panel 34 feeder at Sefton ZS to address the identified constraints on the Sefton ZS distribution network. Summary of base case economic analysis (12/13 real dollars): Options NPC [$m] Ranking Option 1 – Install a new 11kV feeder from Sefton ZS 2.18 1 Option 2 – Install a new 11kV feeder from Lidcombe ZS 4.28 2 The estimated capital cost for this option is $2.10m (Nominal) and is planned to be completed in October 2013. The Net Present Cost also includes operation and maintenance costs. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 159 6.1.16 Final Report- Thornton Zone Substation 11kV Development There are existing supply capacity limitations on the Thornton Zone Substation (ZS) 11kV distribution network due to load growth in the area. To ensure a safe and reliable electricity supply for existing customers and proposed developments in the area, an integrated strategy is required to provide additional 11kV network capacity to meet projected load growth. Possible investment options to address the identified needs affecting the supply network, include: Demand Management Option 1 – Install new feeder from Thornton ZS to Beresfield Industrial Estate Option 2 – Install new feeder from Tarro ZS and upgrade Thornton ZS feeders. Consideration of Demand Management options for the Thornton ZS load area was carried out in June 2012. The overall demand reduction required represented a significant proportion of the existing load (124%). Given the cost of the proposed supply side option, the potential savings derived from deferring this option by one year would be $133,000 or $97/kVA, which is low. Based on this information, it was not considered reasonable to expect that it would be cost effective to postpone the proposed supply-side solution by implementing demand management. Ausgrid’s preferred option and recommended action was to proceed with Option 1 – Install new feeder from Thornton ZS to Beresfield Industrial Estate. This option involves installing a new 11kV feeder from Thornton ZS to the Beresfield Industrial area on Weakleys Drive to address the identified constraints on the Thornton ZS distribution network. In addition, Thornton ZS to Tarro ZS feeders will be reconfigured and new interconnectors will be formed in the Thornton ZS network. Summary of base case economic analysis (12/13 real dollars): NPC [$k] Ranking Option 1 – Install a new feeder from Thornton ZS to Beresfield Industrial Estate 1,765 1 Option 2 – Install a new feeder from Tarro ZS and upgrade Thornton ZS feeders 3,820 2 Options The estimated capital cost for this option is $1.65m (Nominal) and is planned to be completed in November 2013. 6.1.17 Final Report- Pelican 11kV Zone 11kV Development There are existing supply capacity limitations on the Pelican Zone Substation (ZS) 11kV distribution network due to load growth in the area. To ensure a safe and reliable electricity supply for existing customers and proposed developments in the area, an integrated strategy is required to provide additional 11kV network capacity to meet projected load growth. Possible investment options to address the identified needs affecting the supply network, include: Demand Management Option 1 – Install new feeder from Pelican ZS to Belmont CBD Option 2 – Install new feeder from Croudace Bay ZS to Halyard Way substation Option 3 – Reconductor feeders from Pelican ZS to Belmont CBD. Consideration of Demand Management options for the Pelican ZS load area was carried out in July 2012. The overall demand reduction required in the next 12 months represents a significant proportion of the existing load (156%). Given the cost of the proposed supply side option, the potential savings derived from deferring this option by one year would be $323,000 or $101/kVA, which is low. Based on this information, it was not considered reasonable to expect that it would be cost effective to postpone the proposed supply-side solution by implementing demand management. Ausgrid’s preferred option and recommended action was to proceed with Option 1 – Install new feeder from Pelican ZS to Belmont CBD. This option involves installing a new 11kV underground feeder from Pelican ZS to Belmont CBD to address the identified constraints on the Pelican ZS distribution network. In addition, Pelican ZS to Croudace Bay ZS cables will be reconfigured and new interconnectors will be formed in the Pelican ZS network. The Net Present Cost also includes operation and maintenance costs. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 160 Summary of base case economic analysis (12/13 real dollars): Options NPC [$k] Ranking Option 1 – Install a new feeder from Pelican ZS to Belmont CBD 4,303 1 Option 2 – Install a new cable from Croudace Bay ZS to Halyard Way substation 4,524 2 Option 3 – Reconductor feeders from Pelican ZS to Belmont CBD 5,286 3 The estimated capital cost for this option is $4.07m and is planned to be completed in November 2013. 6.1.18 Final Report- South Eastern Flemington ZS 11kV Development There are supply security issues on the Flemington Zone Substation (ZS) 11kV distribution network due to load growth in the area. To ensure a safe and reliable electricity supply for existing customers and proposed developments in the area, an integrated strategy is required to provide additional supply system capacity to meet projected load growth. Possible investment options to address the identified needs affecting the supply network, include: Demand Management Option 1 – Install new interconnection cable Option 2 – Modify network connectivity and install new interconnection cable Option 3 – Augment existing underground cables and install new interconnection cable. Consideration of Demand Management options for the Flemington ZS load area was carried out in November 2011. The overall demand reduction required in the next 12 months represents a significant proportion of the existing load. Given the cost of the proposed supply side option, the potential savings derived from deferring this option by one year would be $73,000 or $52.5/kVA, which is low. Based on this information, it was not considered reasonable to expect that it would be cost effective to postpone the proposed supply-side solution by implementing demand management strategies. Ausgrid’s preferred option and recommended action which is to proceed with Option 1 – Install new interconnection cable. This option involves installing a new interconnection cable between Flemington ZS panels 11 and 40 feeder cables by utilizing available cables recently installed, as well as replacing the limiting sections of panel 45 feeder cable to cater for current and future demand and address the constraints on the Flemington ZS distribution network. Summary of base case economic analysis (12/13 real dollars): Options NPC# [$k] Option 1 – Install new interconnection cable Ranking 969 1 Option 2 – Modify network connectivity and install new interconnection cable 1,020 2 Option 3 – Augment existing underground cables and install new interconnection cable 1,167 3 The estimated capital cost for this option is $1.05m and is planned to be completed in November 2014. The Net Present Cost also includes operation and maintenance costs. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 161 6.2 Regulatory Tests in progress during the year 6.2.1 Development of Alexandria 132/33kV STS Ausgrid published a Consultation Paper on the development of Alexandria 132/3kV STS on 12 August, 2013. The identified network needs are the asset condition of the 33kV feeders to Sydney Airport and emerging capacity issues due to new data centre loads in Green Square and Mascot from mid 2014. The distribution network asset replacement options identified in the Consultation Paper are not driven by a need to increase network capacity. However, some of the replacement options presented also contain an augmentation component that facilitates future capacity increases associated with the new Alexandria Sub Transmission Substation (STS) that would result in a new distribution network asset. Although the least cost option has an augmentation component of less than $10 million, the proposed works would introduce a significant change in the topology of the network. For this reason, Ausgrid conducted preliminary Regulatory Test economic evaluations of the network replacement options identified below and invited alternative proposals and comments from Registered Participants and Interested Parties. Based on a condition assessment report for the Sydney Airport 33kV feeders: Sydney Airport feeders 331 (12.9km long) and 352 (8.0km) as well as International Terminal feeder 356 (10.1km) have been prioritised for replacement by 2016 Feeder 345 (8.3km) to Sydney Airport has been prioritised for replacement by 2018, and The remaining 33kV feeder 359 (10.0km) is also aged and will reach the end of its serviceable life by 2026. Possible asset replacement options for addressing the identified needs that affect the supply network are: Consideration of Demand Side Management Strategy 1: Refurbish Mascot 33/11kV Zone Substation (ZS) and new Alexandria STS Strategy 2: Mascot 132/11kV ZS and new Alexandria STS Strategy 3: Mascot 132/11kV ZS and maintain Bunnerong North STS supply Strategy 4: Refurbish Mascot 33/11kV ZS and maintain Bunnerong North STS supply. The following table shows the preliminary ranking of the options considered by Ausgrid in terms of increasing Net Present Cost utilising a base case 8.5% discount rate. Options NPC ($m) Capital Cost ($m) Option1 - Refurbish Mascot 33/11kV ZS and new Alexandria STS 67.69 101.81 Option 2 - Mascot 132/11kV ZS and new Alexandria STS 94.00 133.29 Option 3 - Mascot 132/11kV ZS and maintain Bunnerong North STS supply 97.20 143.62 Option -3 Refurbish Mascot 33/11kV ZS and maintain Bunnerong North STS supply 87.47 144.16 Ausgrid did not receive any submissions to the Consultation. It is anticipated that a Final Report will be published by March 2014. 6.2.2 System limitations in circuits 9SA and 9SB/1 Ausgrid published a Consultation Paper on the identified limitations on feeders 9SA and 9SB/1 in December, 2013. Lane Cove STSS to Dalley Street ZS 132kV circuits 92L/3 and 92M/1 are oil filled cables which were due for retirement in 2011 following the commissioning of 132kV circuit 9S4. However, the de-rating of circuits 9SA and 9SB/1 has prevented this. The condition of these feeders impacts on the transmission capacity across part of the Sydney Inner Metropolitan load area. 132kV circuits 9SA and 9SB/1 run from Beaconsfield BSP to Campbell St ZS and Surry Hills Annex STSS respectively. Following the commissioning of Belmore Park ZS, these circuits will form part of the major transmission supply to the eastern suburbs. The existing circuits are oil-filled cables with an expected replacement date of 2024. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 162 Recent analysis of soil, backfill and mutual heating along the route of 132kV circuits 9SA and 9SB/1 which run from Beaconsfield BSP to Campbell St ZS and Surry Hills Annex STSS respectively, has indicated previously unknown limitations to their thermal capability. As a result, the rating for each of these circuits has been reduced from 250MVA to 130MVA, which results in a 240MVA reduction in capacity. The consequence is a previously unaccounted capacity constraint of 30MVA by summer 2014/15 and 100MVA by summer 2017/18 in the 132kV network between the Haymarket and Beaconsfield BSPs. Further constraints will emerge after summer 2018/19 as demand grows and a number of circuits reach the end of their service life. Potential options for addressing the identified needs that affect the supply network are: Option 1 – Installation of new 132kV circuit from Beaconsfield to Belmore Park and partial remediation of circuits 9SA and 9SB/1 Option 2 – Full remediation of circuits 9SA and 9SB/1 and Demand Management Option 3 – Advance replacement of circuits 9SA and 9SB/1, partial remediation of circuits 9SA and 9SB/1 and Demand Management, and Option 4 – Replacement of circuits 92L/3 and 92M/1, partial remediation of circuits 9SA and 9SB/1 and Demand Management. The following table shows a preliminary ranking of the options considered by Ausgrid in terms of increasing NPC utilising a base case 7.0% discount rate. 6.2.3 Options NPC ($m) Capital Cost ($m) Augmentation Cost ($m) Option 1 - Installation of new 132kV circuit from Beaconsfield to Belmore Park and partial remediation of circuits 9SA and 9SB/1 92.3 147.8 21.4 Option 2 - Full remediation of circuits 9SA and 9SB/1 and Demand Management 109.4 169.1 42.7 Option 3 - Advance replacement of circuits 9SA and 9SB/1, partial remediation of existing circuits 9SA and 9SB/1 and Demand Management 119.6 138.7 23.9 Option 4 - Replacement of circuits 92L/3 and 92M/1, partial remediation of circuits 9SA and 9SB/1 and Demand Management 206.4 291.5 45.8 Top Ryde Additional 132/11kV Transformer and 11kV Switchgear Macquarie Park Zone Substation (ZS) is forecast to exceed its license capacity in 2016/17. This is mainly due to the substantial development around the area of Macquarie Park and North Ryde, in particular data centre, Macquarie University and North Ryde station precinct developments. As a result, some of the loads need to be transferred to nearby zones which presently do not have adequate capacity. Options considered to address this identified capacity need include: Option 1 - Top Ryde ZS additional transformer and 11kV Switchgear Option 2 – Demand management. A Demand Management screening test was carried out and it was found that it is not considered reasonable to expect that it would be cost effective to postpone the proposed supply-side solution by implementing demand management strategies. It is anticipated that a Final Report detailing the result of the economic assessment under the Regulatory Test will be published by June 2014. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 163 6.3 Regulatory Investment Tests (RIT-D) for the forward planning period The table below shows the identified capacity needs that will require a RIT-D within the 5 year forward planning period. Project Name Identified need date Proposed (RIT-D) date Tarro to Thornton 11kV LT (8MVA) Dec-2018 Mar-2017 Capacity constraint at Tarro 33/11kV Zone Substation Pyrmont STS 4th Transformer Sep-2016 Mar-2014 Large data centre customer driven need that will also require shared network augmentation 11kV supply from Mayfield West Zone Substation Mar-2017 Jun-2014 Large customer driven need at Newcastle Port that will also require shared network augmentation Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 Identified Need 164 6.4 Commited Investments 6.4.1 Refurbishment and replacement investments Ausgrid has identified all committed refurbishment or replacement investments with an estimated capital cost of $2 million or more. Capital cost estimates are shown in real 2013/14 dollars. Load Area Committed Refurbishment or Replacement Investment Timing Capital Cost Estimate DAPR Section Canterbury – Bankstown Bankstown STS 33kV switchgear replacement 01-Jul-14 $18.0m 6.4.1.1 Canterbury – Bankstown Canterbury STS 33kV switchgear replacement 30-Jun-14 $46.6m 6.4.1.2 Carlingford Epping zone substation 11kV switchgear replacement 30-Jun-14 $13.6m 6.4.1.3 31-Mar-15 $98.4m 6.4.1.4 Eastern Suburbs New Rose Bay 132/11kV zone substation and feeder. Eastern Suburbs New Waverley 132/11kV zone substation 30-Jun-14 $31.7m 6.4.1.5 Camperdown & Blackwattle Bay Camperdown 33kV Feeder Replacement 30-Apr-14 $22.4m 6.4.1.6 30-Dec-14 $5.4m 6.4.1.7 Lower Central Coast Refurbishment of Gosford STS Lower Central Coast Peats Ridge 33kV and 11kV switchgear replacement 30-May-15 $10.8m 6.4.1.8 Maitland Metford zone substation (East Maitland ZS replacement) 31-Mar-15 $28.7m 6.4.1.9 New Castle Inner City Newcastle CBD ZN 33kV feeders replacement FDR 770 30-Sep-13 $15.2m 6.4.1.10 New Castle Inner City New Lambton 11kV switchgear Replacement 30-Jun-15 $12.3m 6.4.1.11 New Castle Inner City New Tighes Hill zone substation 30-Nov-15 $27.8m 6.4.1.12 Newcastle Port Mayfield to Carrington 33kV feeder replacement 01-Jun-15 $3.6m 6.4.1.13 North East Lake Macquarie 11kV transportable switchroom at Pelican ZS 30-Dec-13 $3.8m 6.4.1.14 Port Stephens Nelson Bay ZN 11kV switchgear replacement 30-Aug-15 $8.3m 6.4.1.15 Singleton Newdell ZN 11kV switchgear replacement 30-Mar-15 $8.1m 6.4.1.16 Upper Hunter Muswellbrook ZN replacement - Upgrade to 132/11kV 30-Jun-16 $40m 6.4.1.17 Sydney Inner Metropolitan (St George) 132kV feeder 91L and 91M replacement. 01-Jul-14 $209.8m 6.4.1.18 30-Nov-15 $33.9m 6.4.1.19 Sydney Inner New Croydon 132/11kV Metropolitan zone substation (Auburn-Homebush) Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 165 Load Area Committed Refurbishment or Replacement Investment Timing Capital Cost Estimate DAPR Section Sydney Inner Metropolitan (Inner West) 132kV feeder 900 replacement. Rozelle STS to Mason Park STSS 132kV feeder 900 replacement 31-Mar-15 $80.0m 6.4.1.20 Lower North Shore Lindfield to Castle Cove 132kV feeders 925/3 and 9E4/3 replacement 31-Aug-15 $23.4m 6.4.1.21 Lower North Shore Crows Nest ZN conversion to 132/11kV 31-Dec-15 $20.1m 6.4.1.22 Lower North Shore New North Sydney 132/11kV zone substation 28-Feb-15 $82.3m 6.4.1.23 Manly Warringah Manly zone substation 33kV switchgear replacement 31-Dec-13 $9.9m 6.4.1.24 Sutherland Engadine 132/11kV ZN & feeder 912/284 reconfiguration $41.0m 6.4.1.25 Sutherland Jannali ZN 11kV switchgear replacement 31-Mar-14 $16.5m 6.4.1.26 Sutherland New Kurnell 132/11kV zone substation on Kurnell STS site and decommission existing Kurnell 33/11kV zone substation 30-Mar-14 $15.8m 6.4.1.27 Sutherland Port Hacking STS 132kV and 33kV busbar replacement 31-Mar-14 $38.9m 6.4.1.28 Sydney CBD New eastern CBD 132kV cable tunnel 30-Mar-15 $189.5m 6.4.1.29 Upper North Shore Kuringai STS 33kV switchgear replacement 30-Jun-17 $25.9m 6.4.1.30 Upper North Shore Lindfield zone substation 33kV feeder and 11kV switchgear replacement 30-Jun-13 $33.5m 6.4.1.31 Upper North Shore St Ives 33kV feeder and high voltage current transformers replacement 30-Sep-14 $10.2m 6.4.1.32 Upper North Shore Turramurra zone substation 11kV switchgear replacement and 33kV feeders replacement 28-Feb-13 $9.3m 6.4.1.33 Upper North Shore Lindfield to Willoughby 132kV feeders 9E3(2) and 9E4/2 replacement 30-Sep-15 $44.0m 6.4.1.34 West Lake Macquarie New Toronto 132/11kV zone substation $25.8m 6.4.1.35 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 31-May-14 30-Nov-15 166 6.4.1.1 Bankstown STS 33kV switchgear replacement The 33kV circuit breakers at Bankstown STS are of the bulk oil type and are at the end of their service lives. Replacement requirements will be addressed in conjunction with work to address the non-compliant busbar height. The Bankstown STS 33kV switchgear replacement project is common across all strategies considered in the Bankstown Area Plan. Since this project is driven by asset condition and Duty of Care requirements, there are no viable non-network alternatives for this project. The sub-transmission substation 33kV switchgear replacement is the committed option. 6.4.1.2 Canterbury STS 33kV switchgear replacement The 33kV circuit breakers are of the bulk oil type and are at the end of their service lives. Replacement requirements will be addressed in conjunction with work to address the non-compliant busbar height. Work is in progress to replace the 33kV switchgear and busbar at Canterbury STS. In conjunction with this work, additional 132kV feeder bays and a series reactor will also be installed to allow for the connections of feeders 91M and 91L. The capacitor banks are to be replaced at the same time as the above mentioned works. Options considered include: Outdoor 132kV busbar refurbishment and indoor 33kV rebuild. This involves rebuilding sections of the outdoor 132kV busbar, construction of a new feeder bay for future feeder 907, refurbishment of an existing feeder bay for future feeder 906, construction of a new 33kV switchroom, re-routing all 33kV underground feeders into the new switchroom. This option requires two transformers to be out of service for a period of up to three months, which from a system security perspective is not viable. Full 132kV and 33kV switchgear rebuild as indoor Gas Insulated Switchgear (GIS) is the least cost option and would utilise significantly less land area due to the compactness of indoor GIS plant. This will also free up a large portion of land at the Canterbury STS site. Demand Management - This option is not viable as the issues at Canterbury STS are driven by condition and not capacity. The preferred and committed option is a full 132kV and 33kV rebuild with GIS. This is a dual function asset, also described in the TAPR section 12.8.1.2. 6.4.1.3 Epping zone substation 11kV switchgear replacement Epping zone substation 11kV switchgear replacement The Epping 11kV switchgear replacement project is common across all strategies considered in the Carlingford Area Plan. No other alternative option was considered as this is an asset condition based replacement. 6.4.1.4 New Rose Bay 132/11kV zone substation. Previous TAPRs identified that the existing Rose Bay 33/11kV ZS equipment and feeders (distribution assets) are approaching the end of their service life and that there is an emerging winter load constraint in the Rose Bay area. Options considered include: 1. New 132/11kV Rose Bay zone substation 2. 33kV supply retained for Rose Bay ZS - This option involves the construction of a new substation with three 33MVA transformers and supplied by dedicated 33kV feeders from Surry Hills STS. Under this option it is also proposed that Surry Hills ZS be converted to 132kV supply as this driven by loading on 132kV cables to Surry Hills STS. The preferred option to address these issues was to replace the existing Rose Bay ZS with a new 132/11kV zone substation. The substation will be connected to new 132kV feeders to be developed from the vicinity of the Sydney CBD. A consultation process was carried out in accordance with clause 5.6.6 of the NER. As the total augmentation component of the projects was under $20M, publication of an Application Notice was not required. A Final Report (Rose Bay 132kV Conversion and Installation of 132kV Feeders) was published in December 2009. Since the project was driven by replacement of aged assets, rather than demand growth, non-network options were not considered. The preferred and committed project is option 1 - New Rose Bay 132/11kV ZN. This is a dual function asset, also described in the TAPR section 12.8.1.6. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 167 6.4.1.5 New Waverley 132/11kV zone substation The existing Waverley 33/11kV ZS (a distribution asset established in 1929) 11kV switchgear needs replacement and that the 33kV supply feeders from Surry Hills STS (390, 391 and 396) are approaching the end of their service life. It was also identified that the most likely option to address these asset condition issues is to replace the existing Waverley 33/11kV ZS with a new 132/11kV substation, connected by looping into one of the new committed 132kV feeders from the Sydney CBD area supplying the new Rose Bay 132/11kV ZS. Since the project was driven by the replacement of aged assets, rather than demand growth, non-network options were not considered. Options considered include: 1. New 132/11kV Waverley zone substation 2. 33kV supply retained for Waverley ZS. This option involves the construction of a new substation with 4 x 33MVA transformers and supplied by dedicated 33kV feeders from Surry Hills STS. Under this option it is also proposed that Surry Hills ZS be converted to 132kV supply as this driven by loading on 132kV cables to Surry Hills STS. The preferred and committed project is option 1 - New 132/11kV Waverley zone substation. This is a dual function asset, also described in the TAPR section 12.8.1.5. 6.4.1.6 Camperdown 33kV Feeder Replacement The 33kV feeder 638 from Canterbury STS to Camperdown zone is at the end of its serviceable life and has been prioritised for replacement. The 33kV feeders 333, 334, 351 and 462 from Bunnerong STS to Camperdown zone are at the end of their serviceable lives and have been prioritised for replacement in the period 2017-2027 (Ref15). Since the project was driven by the replacement of aged assets, rather than demand growth, non-network options were not considered. Options considered include: 1. Replace Camperdown 33kV feeders with new feeders from Pyrmont 2. Camperdown to Leichhardt 11kV load transfer - This option involves transferring around 25MVA of 11kV load from Camperdown to Leichhardt zone (Inner West Area Plan). An additional 50MVA, 132/11kV transformer and associated 11kV switchgear would be required at Leichhardt zone by Summer 2015/16. The preferred least cost and committed option is option 1 to replace 33kV feeders at Camperdown with new feeders from Pyrmont. 6.4.1.7 Refurbishment of Gosford STS Condition of the assets requires the replacement of steel structures supporting the busbar, swichgear and instrument transformers at Gosford STS. Options investigated: include: 1. Refurbishment of Gosford STS 2. Retirement of Gosford STS - This option involves retirement of Gosford STS. To do this, suitable alternate supplies to Avoca, Erina, Umina and Woy Woy zones are required by either converting these zones to 132/11kV operation or building a new STS. However, this option involves complex works and staging issues and will not be cost effective. (Hence, this option is not a viable solution) 3. Demand Management - this option is not viable as the issues at Gosford STS are driven by condition and not capacity. Based on the cost and the need addressed, the preferred and committed option is Option 1 – Refurbishment of Gosford STS. 6.4.1.8 Peats Ridge 33kV and 11kV switchgear replacement The 11kV outdoor switchgear at Peats Ridge zone substation has been prioritised for replacement. The 33kV circuit breakers at Peats Ridge zone substation are of bulk oil type and are at the end of their lives. They are recommended for replacement in 2015. Options investigated included: 1. Peats Ridge 33kV and 11kV Switchgear replacement 2. Retire Peats Ridge ZS - This option involves transferring all the existing 11kV loads from Peats Ridge to Somersby zone substation and ultimately decommissioning the existing Peats Ridge 33/11kV zone substation 3. Demand Management - This option is not viable as the issues at Peats Ridge zone substation are driven by condition and not capacity. The preferred and committed option is Option 1 – Peats Ridge 33kV and 11kV Switchgear replacement. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 168 6.4.1.9 Metford zone substation (East Maitland ZS replacement) East Maitland ZS was constructed in 1966. It is equipped with an outdoor 33kV switchyard and an indoor 11 kV busbar. Aged 33kV assets at East Maitland ZS have limited remaining useful life. The 11kV switchgear at East Maitland ZS also has limited useful life, and its design compromises high voltage clearances during any work and/or testing within the switchgear. Options considered include: 1. Metford 132/11kV ZS. The new ZS will increase the licence capacity of the substation. This solves the asset condition, and 33kV loading issues at East Maitland ZS. (A future 33kV feeder connection from Maitland ZS to feeder 30025 will support the 33kV network supplying Maitland ZS) 2. Metford 33/11kV ZS 3. Demand management. Non-network option investigation concluded that it was not viable for demand management to postpone the preferred network option. Building the preferred Option 2 -a new Metford ZS at 33/11kV is the most cost effective option in meeting the network needs and is the committed project. 6.4.1.10 Newcastle CBD ZN 33kV feeders replacement The 33kV outdoor oil circuit breakers have limited remaining useful life and are recommended for replacement in 2014. The 11kV Air Insulated Switchboard has barrier board issues and is recommended for replacement in 2012. .Options considered include: 1. Fourth 33kV feeder and fourth zone transformer - This option resolves the capacity constraint on feeder 770 and the substation by the addition of a fourth 33kV feeder and fourth zone transformer. This will allow for the reduction of zone substation load current on feeder 770 2. 11kV LT from Newcastle CBD to Adamstown 132kV ZS - This option resolves the capacity constraint on the substation by the transfer of 11kV load from Newcastle CBD ZS to Adamstown 132/11kV ZS 3. Demand management. As the capacity constraint does not arise until Summer 2020/21, this process has not been initiated. Based on the cost and the needs addressed, the preferred and committed option is a combination of Newcastle CBD busbar and fourth feeder and 11kV LT to Adamstown ZS. 6.4.1.11 New Lambton 11kV switchgear Replacement New Lambton 11kV SG replacement was common to all strategies considered for Newcastle Inner City Area Plan. No alternative options for considered as this is a condition driven project. 6.4.1.12 New Tighes Hill zone substation The existing Carrington Zone Substation (ZS) supplies the industrial area associated with the port facilities of Newcastle. The zone was established in 1967 and its 33kV indoor switchgear and 11kV indoor switchgear are nearing the end of their service lives. This project addresses asset issues at Carrington ZS by constructing a new zone substation on a new site at Tighes Hill. The options considered include: 1. a new Tighes Hill 33/11kV ZS 2. Build a new 33/11kV ZS proposed on a site provided by the Buildev Intertrade Consortium. Initially this would be a two transformer substation with the ability to expand to a three transformer substation. This option however requires extensive 33kV feeder works to extend feeders 763 and 769 to the Buildev site This project is driven by asset condition rather than demand growth. On this basis, no investigation of potential demand management options has been undertaken. The preferred and committed option to construct a new Tighes 33/11kV ZS is the least cost option that addresses the identified network need. 6.4.1.13 Mayfield to Carrington 33kV feeder replacement The oil-filled cable section in Feeder 3022 between Mayfield and Carrington is reaching the end of its service live. The condition of the cable is such that from a risk management point of view it should be replaced before 2015. This cable is required to supply the 33kV Tubemakers customer substation which is owned and maintained by Ausgrid solely for supply to OneSteel. There is no 11kV connection to Ausgrid's 11kV distribution network from this substation. The substation is significantly aged and has various condition and Duty of Care issues which need to be addressed. Options considered include: 1. Replace 33kV oil filled cable. The oil filled cable out of Mayfield ZS is approximately 2.7km in length. This option will not allow for the decommissioning of the existing Tubemakers 33/11kV substation, resulting in ongoing maintenance requirements 2. Transfer Tubemakers supply to 11kV. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 169 Option 2 - a project to build a new 11kV connection from Mayfield West to Tubemakers is committed and under construction. Completion of this project will allow for the 33kV connection to be decommissioned, including the oil-filled cable section on Feeder 3022. Since this is an asset condition issue non-network options were not considered viable. 6.4.1.14 11kV transportable switchroom at Pelican ZS Pelican zone was constructed in 1956. The following asset condition issues are present at Pelican zone substation and need to be addressed within this regulatory period: The 11kV switchgear is approaching the end if its service life and is recommended for replacement The 11kV switchroom building is subsiding, and The 33kV circuit breakers are of the outdoor bulk oil type and are recommended for replacement Options considered include: 1. 11kV transportable switchroom at Pelican 2. Refurbish Pelican ZS - Install a new switchroom to replace the 11kV switchgear. The substation site is constrained and does not have any spare land to allow for the construction of a new switchroom 3. Retire Pelican ZS - Transfer load at Pelican ZS to Jewells and Croudace bay ZS. This would create an immediate capacity constraint at Jewells ZS, requiring a project to increase the capacity at Jewells ZS. There is adequate capacity at Croudace Bay ZS. This option would require extensive 11kV augmentation works due to the terrain and geography in the immediate area. Minor works to reconfigure the 33kV network would also be required 4. Build a replacement substation in the adjacent suburb of Belmont north of Pelican. The preferred Option 1 - 11kV transportable switchroom at Pelican is the most cost effective option in meeting the network needs and is the committed project. 6.4.1.15 Nelson Bay ZN 11kV switchgear replacement The condition of the 11kV switchgear at Nelson Bay zone is such that from a risk management point of view the optimal time to replace the switchgear is in the period 2012-14. The condition of the 33kV circuit breakers at Nelson Bay zone is such that from a risk management point of view the optimal time to replace the breakers is in 2013. Options considered include: 1. Retirement of Nelson Bay ZS - This option resolves the 11kV asset condition issue by retiring Nelson Bay ZS and transferring loads to Tomaree ZS. This option will introduce capacity a constraint at Tomaree 2. New Nelson Bay ZS - This option involves the construction of a new 33/11kV ZS adjacent to the existing substation. The preferred and committed option to replace the 11kV switchgear at Nelson Bay ZS is the least cost option that addresses the identified need. 6.4.1.16 Newdell ZN 11kV switchgear replacement The Newdell ZN 11kV SG replacement is a replacement project common to all strategies considered in the Singleton Area Plan. There are no viable non-network alternatives for this project. 6.4.1.17 Muswellbrook 33/11kV ZN replacement - Upgrade to 132/11kV Muswellbrook 33/11kV ZS upgrade to 132/11kV. Options considered include: 1. Muswellbrook 33/11kV ZS upgrade to 132/11kV 2. Muswellbrook 66/11kV ZS - A new 66/11kV ZS is constructed in Muswellbrook to replace the existing Muswellbrook 33/11kV ZS and allow for the retirement of Muswellbrook STS. The impact of spot loads at Mitchell Line STS will advance the timing for the installation of a third transformer. The preferred option of a 132/11kV ZS had a very similar net present cost to the 66/11kV ZS option. However, the decision to construct a new 132/11kV ZS has advantages with respect to possible future developments in the area and this is the committed option. 6.4.1.18 132kV feeder 91L and 91M replacement The existing 132kV feeders 91L and 91M/1 (Peakhurst STS to Bunnerong STS and Beaconsfield BSP respectively) and 91M/3 (from Beaconsfield BSP to Bunnerong STS) comprise of oil-filled cables commissioned in the early 1970’s. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 170 These cables are at the end of their service life and have been prioritised for replacement. They incur significant maintenance costs as they require extended repair times and specialist cable jointing. In addition, failure of the cables can lead to oil leaks with the potential for environmental damage. Ausgrid is to replace 91L and 91M/1 with XLPE cable. A Final Report (Replacement of 132kV Feeders 91L and 91M Peakhurst to Bunnerong and Beaconsfield) was issued in May 2010. This is a committed dual function project and the works are planned to be completed by November 2013. Refer to TAPR section 12.8.1.4. 6.4.1.19 New Croydon 132/11kV zone substation The existing Five Dock 33/11kV zone substation equipment and associated 33kV feeders (distribution assets) are approaching the end of their service life. A combined Application Notice (Replacement of Feeder 900, Leichhardt and Five Dock Zones) was published in December 2008 outlining the issues and a preliminary application of the regulatory test. Both 132/11kV zone substations have been approved internally. A Final Report was issued on 10 September 2010. The options considered include: 1. New Croydon 132/11kV zone substation to decommission existing Five Dock 33/11kV zone 2. Retain 33kV in the Easter Inner West load area - This option involves a like for like replacement of feeder 900 from Mason Park STSS to Rozelle STS. At the same time Rozelle STS would be uprated and new 33kV feeders would be installed from Rozelle STS to Leichhardt ZS to retire the existing 33kV feeders to Leichhardt. A new 33/11kV Croydon ZS would be constructed with new 33kV feeders from Homebush STS to replace Five Dock ZS. No non-network alternatives were considered viable alternatives to this project. The preferred and committed option is to convert the eastern Inner West load area to 132kV, including the installation of new 132/11kV Croydon ZS. This project was reported in previous TAPRs as a dual function asset, is now considered as distribution. Following Ausgrid’s annual review of the operational status of dual function assets of this project is now considered as distribution. 6.4.1.20 132kV feeder 900 Rozelle STS to Mason Park STSS 132kV replacement The need to replace feeder 900 in addition to replacing the existing Leichhardt and Five Dock 33/11kV zone substations is driven by three needs: The existing 132kV feeder 900 is an underground oil-filled cable that connects Mason Park STSS to Rozelle STS and was installed in 1962. The cable is approximately 11km in length and is close to the end of its economic life. In addition, the conductor size is inadequate for present system fault levels The existing Leichhardt 33/11kV zone substation equipment and associated 33kV feeders (distribution assets) are approaching the end of their service life The existing Five Dock 33/11kV zone substation equipment and associated 33kV feeders (distribution assets) are approaching the end of their service life. A combined Application Notice (Replacement of Feeder 900, Leichhardt and Five Dock Zones) was published in December 2008 outlining the issues and a preliminary application of the regulatory test. Both 132/11kV zone substations have been approved internally. A Final Report was issued on 10 September 2010. No nonnetwork alternatives were considered viable alternatives to this project. Ausgrid’s preferred option is the replacement of feeder 900 along a revised route and the replacement of Leichhardt and Five Dock zones with new 132/11kV substations. Both the new Leichhardt and Five Dock (the new Five Dock zone is to be renamed Croydon ZS) will be looped into the new replacement 132kV feeder 900. Feeder 900 Mason Park STSS to Rozelle and the conversions of Leichhardt 33/11kV ZS and Five Dock 33/11kV ZS to 132/11kV are committed projects. These projects are no longer considered as dual function following an annual review of the status of dual function assets by Ausgrid. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 171 6.4.1.21 Lindfield STSS to Castle Cove 132kV feeders 925/3 and 9E4/3 replacement The 132kV feeder 9E4/3 and Feeder 925/3 are approaching the end of their service life and require replacement in the 2009-14 regulatory period due to asset condition issues. The Lindfield STSS to Castle Cove 132 kV cables replacement is a common requirement across all proposed strategies in the Lower North Shore Area Plan. No non-network alternatives were considered viable alternatives to this project. 6.4.1.22 Crows Nest ZN conversion to 132/11kV The four aged 33kV underground gas pressure feeders supplying Crows Nest are in need of replacement. The options considered for the refurbishment of Crows Nest zone substation include: 1. Refurbish Crows Nest and retain 33/11kV supply voltage with new 33kV feeders and new 33kV switchgear 2. Convert Crows Nest to 132/11kV supply voltage with new 132kV feeders and new 132kV switchgear. The preferred and committed option is to establish a new 132/11kV Crows Nest zone substation and retire the existing 33/11kV zone substation. Non non-network options were considered viable to this asset condition driven replacement project. 6.4.1.23 New North Sydney 132/11kV zone substation North Sydney 33/11kV ZS was commissioned in 1968 and the majority of the 11kV switchgear and the 33kV incoming gas pressure cables require replacement within 10 years. The timing of the replacement is driven by the risks associated with aging substation equipment and cables and the limited interconnection, in addition to the need to improve reliability of supply to the North Sydney high rise commercial area. Options considered include: 1. North Sydney 33/11kV zone substation. A new 33/11kV zone is constructed in North Sydney to replace the existing North Sydney ZS. This project addresses the asset condition issues at North Sydney ZS. A new 132/11 kV ZS would also be constructed to address forecast load constraints at Willoughby STS in 2023-24 2. North Sydney 132/11kV zone substation. A new 132/11kV ZS constructed in North Sydney to replace the North Sydney ZS. The new zone substation will result in a net increased licence capacity. This project addresses the asset condition issues at North Sydney ZS and will not add load to Willoughby STS. The preferred and committed option is Option 2 - North Sydney 132/11kV zone substation based on least net present cost. It also requires significantly less overall expenditure than Option 1. Non non-network options were considered viable to this asset condition driven replacement project. 6.4.1.24 Manly zone substation 33kV switchgear replacement 11kV oil-filled circuit breakers have been prioritised for replacement with vacuum circuit breaker trucks in the period 2014–16. The 33kV indoor bulk oil circuit breakers need to be replaced within the next five years. There is a committed project to replace 33kV bulk oil circuit breakers at Manly ZS with anticipated completion in 2013. Options considered include: 1. Replacement of 33kV switchgear at Manly ZS. This option involves replacing the aged 33kV switchgear at Manly ZS 2. Development of Kangaroo Point Switching Station. This option involves the establishment of a switching station with a 33kV busbar in the vicinity of Kangaroo Park. The transformers at Manly ZS would be tailended enabling the retirement of the existing 33kV. Option 1 – replacement of 33kV switchgear at Manly ZS it the least cost and committed option. Non-network options were not considered viable for a asset condition driven replacement project. 6.4.1.25 Engadine 132/11kV ZN & feeder 912/284 reconfiguration Engadine 33/11kV Zone substation was commissioned in 1964. A significant portion of the substation equipment is approaching the end of its service life and requires replacement. The 11kV switchgear at Engadine zone substation is prioritised for replacement between 2012 and 2014; and three 33kV circuit breakers are of the bulk oil type and are at the end of service life and require replacement in the short term. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 172 Options considered include: 1. Convert Engadine zone substation to 132/11kV operation 2. Refurbish existing Engadine zone substation at 33/11kV. Option 1 – Convert Engadine zone substation to 132/11kV operation is the preferred and committed option. This option includes conversion of the existing Engadine 33/11kV zone substation to 132/11kV operation, feeder connection works and reconfiguration of the associated 33kV and 132kV feeder networks. A Final Report Development of Engadine Zone Substation was issued in January, 2010. 6.4.1.26 Jannali ZN 11kV switchgear replacement The 11kV switchgear and bulk oil 33kV circuit breakers at Jannali 33/11kV ZS are approaching the end of their service life and have been prioritised for replacement. In addition. the 33kV busbar height does not comply with clearance standards. There are no viable strategic alternatives to the Jannali 11kV switchgear replacement. Non-network options were not considered viable as the works are driven by the asset condition of the 11kV and 33kV switchgear, and the non-compliant 33kV busbar height which is a duty of care issue. 6.4.1.27 New Kurnell 132/11kV zone substation The 11kV switchgear at Kurnell 33/11kV Zone substation is approaching the end of its service life and is prioritised for replacement. The 6.3kV switchgear is also at the end of its service life and no spares are available. Options considered include: 1. Develop new Kurnell 132/11kV zone substation and decommission existing Kurnell 33/11kV zone 2. Refurbish existing Kurnell zone substation at 33/11kV. Ausgrid’s preferred and committed option is Option 1 – Develop new Kurnell 132/11kV zone substation and decommission existing Kurnell 33/11kV zone. The works are driven by asset condition at the existing Kurnell ZS. A Final Report detailing the outcome of the Regulatory Test and the the preferred option was published in December, 2010. The conclusion of the Final Report was that demand reductions would not enable a lower cost solution to this network need, either through deferral or installation of a smaller capacity zone substation. 6.4.1.28 Port Hacking STS 132kV busbar replacement Port Hacking STS outdoor 132kV steel busbars are at the end of their service lives due to extensive corrosion and require replacement. The 33kV circuit breakers are of the bulk oil type and are at the end of their service lives and have been prioritised for replacement. Also, the height of the existing outdoor 33kV busbar at Port Hacking STS is no longer compliant with current standards and is a duty of care issue. There are no viable strategic alternatives to the Port Hacking STS 132kV busbar replacement. Non-network options were not considered viable as the works are driven by the asset condition, and the noncompliant 33kV busbar height which is a duty of care issue. 6.4.1.29 New Eastern CBD 132kV cable tunnel It is necessary to construct a 132kV cable tunnel from the Riley Street, Surry Hills site to the proposed Bligh St and recently completed City North Zone Substations (ZS) to accommodate new feeders for supply to these zones and nearby 33kV zones. Options considered include: 1. Construct a duct line. This option involves excavating from Riley Street to the new City East, Dalley Street and City North ZS. This would require the construction of three duct lines from Riley St to New City East and two duct lines from the new City East to Dalley St and City North. Under this option a separate 33kV duct line would also be required from Surry Hills STS to Graving Dock ZS 2. Construct an Eastern CBD 132kV cable tunnel. This option involves constructing a tunnel from Riley Street to City North ZS using a tunnel boring machine and the construction of a stub tunnel from the new City East site to the main tunnel, as well as a cable riser at Dalley St ZS. Under this option the 33kV feeders could be replaced via the tunnel to a riser at Woolloomooloo, then excavation to Graving Dock Zone. A separate economic analysis has been undertaken on this and it is considered appropriate that the Graving dock feeders should also be installed in the tunnel. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 173 The preferred and committed option is Option 2 - Construct an Eastern CBD 132kV cable tunnel based on least cost. This option is consistent with Ausgrid’s preferred strategy specified in the Sydney CBD Area Plan. Non-network options were not considered viable as this project is driven by asset replacement needs does not add capacity. 6.4.1.30 Kuringai STS 33kV switchgear replacement The 33kV switchgear replacement at Kuringai STS is driven by non-compliance of the 33kV bus bar with current clearance requirements. as well as the poor condition of the bulk-oil circuit breakers which have reached the end of their service lives and are scheduled for replacement in 2014/2015. No alternative options were considered as the asset replacement is driven by the condition of the bulk oil circuit breakers, and the 33kV busbar clearance duty of care issue. Non-network options were not considered viable as this project is driven by asset replacement and duty of care needs. 6.4.1.31 Lindfield zone substation 33kV feeder and 11kV switchgear replacement Lindfield ZS was commissioned in 1961. The 11kV oil filled switchgear at Lindfield zone substation is approaching the end of its service life and has been prioritised for total replacement. Two out of the three 33kV cables from Kuringai STS to Lindfield zone substation are also approaching the end of their service life. The 33kV feeders 534 and 535 need to be replaced before 2011, while feeder 536 needs to be replaced before 2021. Replacement of feeder 536 has been advanced from 2021 to 2012 to provide additional capacity at Lindfield zone substation. Options considered include: 1. Replacement of 33kV feeders supplying Lindfield Zone substation, and 2. Conversion of Lindfield to 132/11kV operation. This committed replacement project is consistent with Ausgrid’s preferred strategy for the Upper North Shore Area Plan. As this replacement project addresses asset condition needs and involves an expected augmentation component of less than $1 million, investigation of demand management alternatives was not considered viable. A Final Report – Replacement of 33kV Feeders to Lindfield Zone Substation was published in March, 2010. 6.4.1.32 St Ives 33kV feeder and high voltage current transformers replacement Kuringai STS to St. Ives Feeders 540 and 542 need to be replaced before 2017 and feeder 541 needs to be replaced before 2022. However, to address capacity constraint at St Ives, the feeder replacement was advanced to 2013. The 11 kV oil filled circuit breakers have also been prioritised for replacement with vacuum circuit breakers. Options considered include: 1. Replace aged 33kV feeders 540, 541 and 542 2. Replace aged 33kV feeders 540, 541 and 542 feeders and 33kV HV current transformers and install a fourth 33kV feeder in 2013. Option 2 - Replace aged 33kV feeders 540, 541 and 542 feeders and 33kV HV current transformers and install a fourth 33kV feeder in 2013 was the preferred and committed option. As this replacement project addresses asset condition needs and involves an expected augmentation component of less than $1 million, demand management alternatives were not considered viable. 6.4.1.33 Turramurra zone substation 11kV switchgear replacement Turramurra Zone Substation was commissioned in 1963. The 11kV switchgear at Turramurra is approaching the end of its service life and is prioritised for replacement between 2017 and 2019 based purely upon its condition. The firm capacity at Turramurra zone substation is limited by the 11kV switchgear and is not sufficient to support a required load transfer of approximately 7MVA from St Ives. Additionally, there are presently no spare or double bankable 11kV panels at Turramurra to accommodate this transfer. The preferred and committed option is to replace the 11kV switchboard. As this is a replacement project with the augmentation component of the expenditure less than $1 million demand management options were not considered viable. 6.4.1.34 Lindfield to Willoughby 132kV feeders 9E3(2) and 9E4/2 replacement The 132kV cables 9E3 and 9E4/2 from Lindfield STSS to Willoughby STS are aged and approaching the end of their service life. These oil-filled cables are approximately 9 km in length and currently supply transformer No.1 and transformer No.3 in Willoughby STS at 132kV. It is proposed to replace the existing 132kV feeders between Lindfield STSS and Willoughby to address asset condition issues. The 132kV feeder 9E4/2 requires replacement in the period 2009-2014. Feeder 9E3 requires replacement in the period 2014-19. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 174 No alternative options were considered as the replacement of 132kV feeders 9E3 and 9E4/2 is common across all strategies in the Upper North Shore Area Plan. Since this was a replacement driven project no demand management options were not viable. 6.4.1.35 New Toronto 132/11kV zone substation Toronto zone substation was constructed in 1961. It comprises an outdoor 33kV switchyard and an indoor 11 kV busbar. The majority of equipment is approaching the end of its service life. The 33kV circuit breakers are of the outdoor bulk oil type, and are recommended for replacement. The indoor 11 kV switchgear for is also due for replacement. Options considered are: 1. Toronto 33/11kV zone substation. A new 33/11kV zone is constructed in Toronto to replace the existing Toronto ZS. The new zone will result in a net increased licence capacity. This project addresses the asset condition issues at Toronto zone 2. Toronto 132/11kV zone substation. A new 132/11kV Zone is constructed in Toronto to replace the existing Toronto ZS. The new zone will result in a net increased licence capacity. This project addresses the asset condition issues at Toronto zone. The preferred and committed option is Option 2 - Toronto 132/11kV zone substation. The project is driven by the need to replace the assets at Toronto Zone Substation due to their deteriorated condition. A change in the level of demand would not alter the timing of the required investment. On this basis there is no prospect of a lower cost option being enabled by demand management strategies, demand management was not considered viable. 6.4.2 Urgent and unforseen investments There were no distribution network Regulatory Test projects required to address an urgent or unforeseen network investment in the preceding year. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 175 7 Joint Planning 7.1 Joint Planning with TransGrid TNSP Joint Planning is carried out with other Network Service providers, in particular TransGrid, Endeavour Energy and Essential Energy. Ausgrid plans its transmission network jointly with TransGrid as the Ausgrid 132kV dual function network provides support to TransGrid’s 330kV network. In carrying out joint planning TransGrid and Ausgrid: meet regularly, at least 4 times per year record minutes and decisions prepare workplans and monitor progress assess augmentation options on the basis of least cost to the community initiate projects within each organisation following the normal approval processes, and jointly consider demand management as an option. Ausgrid and TransGrid have established a Joint Planning Committee structure which comprises a steering committee and a customer sub-committee to coordinate the planning activities of Ausgrid and TransGrid in accordance with the joint planning requirements of the National Electricity Rules. Under the agreed terms of reference, there are quarterly meetings of the sub-committee and bi-annual steering committee meetings. Members include relevant planning, operations and project development staff. The key considerations of the joint planning committees are: load forecasting connection agreement issues, including major new connections reliability criteria major plant refurbishment plant retirement issues demand management and embedded generation opportunities network augmentation options reactive plant requirements system fault levels earthing coordination major network control coordination overview of protection, metering and communication issues, and network business communication requirements. Committee activities and deliverables are managed through an agreed work plan, with decisions documented in Memorandums of Understanding (MOUs) and approved Joint Planning Reports for major milestones. MOU and Joint Planning Report sign-offs range from Planning Manager level (Ausgrid L5) for more routine agreements up to Chief Executive Officer/Chief Operating Officer level. The more routine operational decisions and actions required are agreed on and recorded via the joint planning meeting minutes. 7.1.1 Process and Methodology Ausgrid plans the Inner Sydney Metropolitan, Central Coast and Lower Hunter Transmission Load areas jointly with TransGrid. The joint reliability standard for the Inner Sydney Metropolitan transmission system, as agreed in a Memorandum of Understanding between TransGrid and Ausgrid, is that the system will be capable of supplying peak load under the following contingencies: A coincident outage of TransGrid’s 330kV cable 41 or 330kV cable 42 and any 132kV feeder or 330/132kV transformer, and Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 176 An outage of any section of 132kV busbar. The NER sets out the planning process and consultation requirements and includes requirements on forecasting, annual reviews, regulatory tests and consultations. The main inputs to the joint planning process are: 7.1.2 Ausgrid supply point load forecasts Review of network capacity and utilisation Planning criteria and indicators Condition, operational and risk assessments TransGrid transmission network and Ausgrid supporting dual function network loadflow analysis, and TransGrid – Ausgrid network planning reviews. Joint TransGrid - Ausgrid planning completed in 2013 Sydney Metropolitan Joint planning is underway with TransGrid to address reliability and asset condition issues, and maintain transmission capacity in the Sydney Metropolitan area. TransGrid have installed new GIS switchgear at Beaconsfield Bulk Supply Point and Ausgrid’s 132kV feeders are currently being transferred to the new switchgear, with the transfers due to be completed by 2016. A new Bulk Supply Point at Rookwood Road is currently under construction to increase transmission capacity and better utilise existing 132kV network assets, and is scheduled for completion in December 2013. Due to thermal rating issues identified with TransGrid circuit 41 and some Ausgrid 132kV feeders, a number of aged and poor condition 132kV circuits will be maintained longer than anticipated until reconfiguration work on circuit 41 can be completed. Ausgrid is currently constructing replacement circuits from Kogarah to Beaconsfield BSP and Canterbury for several aged 132kV cables to improve 132kV network reliability and capacity. The first steps in relieving supply constraints and replacing cables from Lane Cove to Dalley St has been completed with two new circuits from Beaconsfield to Green Square and from Beaconsfield and Haymarket. An additional circuit from Beaconsfield to the CBD is anticipated in 2015 as a result of issues identified with two older existing cables from Beaconsfield to Surry Hills. Central Coast To meet the forecasted increasing demand in the Gosford/Ourimbah area, options being considered include installation of additional 132kV feeders between Berkeley Vale and Ourimbah, and Wamberal and Gosford. Hunter Joint planning with TransGrid has resulted in the development of a new 132/11kV zone substation at Brandy Hill to be commissioned in 2013 utilising new TransGrid 132kV circuits between Tomago BSP and Scone. 7.1.3 Planned Joint Transgrid-Ausgrid Network Investments Planned future network investments, excluding committed projects, discussed at TransGrid - Ausgrid joint planning meetings in the preceding year include: Demand Management requirements for summer 2013/14. Analysis and agreement on system requirements for the upcoming 2013/14 summer Rating constraints on feeder 9SA and 9SB/1. Joint planning discussion was conducted on the establishment of a new 132kV feeder 90Y from Beaconsfield BSP to Belmore Park ZS. Studies are underway to confirm the feasibility of installing Ausgrid's new feeder in TransGrid’s Sydney Park to Haymarket tunnel. Investigations on-going. The identified project need date is Sept 2015 Decommissioning of the 330/33kV transformers at Munmorah Power Station by Delta Energy. Establishment of Doyalson STS - due to the proposed decommissioning of 330/33kV transformers at Munmorah P.S by Delta Energy. Joint Ausgrid – TransGrid investigations into the establishment of Doyalson STS and the sharing of easements outside Munmorah BSP to supply local 33kV zone substations. The identified need date is September 2015 Replacement of the current transformers at Sydney East BSP on feeders 9E3/1 and 9E5/1. The identified need date is September 2015 New Alexandria STS requirements for switchbay connections at Beaconsfield BSP. The identified need date for this project is March 2016 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 177 7.1.4 De-rating of TransGrid 330kV feeder 41. To mitigate against the de-rating of feeder 41, TransGrid proposes to reconfigure the 330kV series reactors at Sydney South. The identified need date is September 2016 Strathfield South 132/11kV ZS (formerly referred to as Enfield 132/11kV ZS). Requirements were identified for network protection changes at Sydney South BSP for the connection of Strathfield South ZS. Identified need date is September 2016 Looping of Ausgrid feeder 957 at Tuggerah BSP. The availability of feeder bays and terminations at Tuggerah BSP discussed. The identified need date is 2017/18 Establishment of a new 330kV supply to the CBD. Discussions covered option analysis, identified needs reviews and on-going feasibility studies. The identified need date is September 2018. Additional information Further information on TransGrid and Ausgrid’s completed joint planning and joint network investment can be found in: TransGrid’s Transmission Annual Planning Report, and Ausgrid’s Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report. These are published on our respective websites, as well as AEMO’s website. 7.2 Joint planning with other DNSPs Ausgrid follows the same principles when joint planning with Endeavour Energy and Essential Energy. However due to the limited number of network dependencies between the organisations, joint planning meetings may only take place once per year unless a particular issue has been identified and needs to be progressed and monitored. 7.2.1 Process & Methodology Joint planning meetings with Endeavour Energy and Essential Energy are arranged on a needs basis, and generally there are not more than two meetings in any year. The joint planning process and methodology is similar to the joint planning process between Ausgrid and TransGrid. Joint planning meetings may be initiated by any party to discuss planning issues, identified network needs and proposed solutions near adjoining network boundaries that are likely to affect either party. The joint planning meetings are also the forum used to discuss proposed changes on the network that may have a material impact on either DNSPs network. 7.2.2 Joint Ausgrid and other DNSP planning completed in preceding year No joint planning has been undertaken with Essential Energy this year. There are no identified network issues that affect any Essential Energy customers that are supplied from Ausgrid's network. Essential Energy has not proposed any changes to their network that could impact the planning of Ausgrid's network that supplies Essential Energy. An annual request for Essential Energy's forecast demand for substations supplied by Ausgrid's network was made by email and the forecast information received in accordance with NER requirements. This forecast is used to confirm the forecast demand for the upstream Ausgrid network. No joint planning has been undertaken with Endeavour Energy in the preceding year. There are no identified network issues that affect either Endeavour Energy or Ausgrid. 7.2.3 Planned DNSP Joint Network Investments There were no jointly planned network investments with either Endeavour Energy or Essential Energy in the preceding year. 7.2.4 Additional information Information on completed Ausgrid and other DNSP joint planning and joint network investments may be found in future Ausgrid Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Reports published on website. Where a proposed future DNSP joint planning project satisfies the requirements for a RIT-D project, the identification of non-network options, the consultation on potential credible options and their economic assessment will be published in accordance with the NER. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 178 8 Network Performance 8.1 Reliability measures and standards Ausgrid’s objective is to maintain the overall reliability of our electricity network, given the condition and utilisation of existing network assets and the funding available to maintain and augment the electricity network. In addition Ausgrid also aims to use all reasonable and practicable efforts to ensure that in any financial year, it meets the targets set by the Minister for Resources and Energy in respect of reliability standards and individual feeder standards set out in the Design, Reliability and Performance (DRP) licence conditions. The purpose of the conditions is to facilitate the delivery of a safe and reliable supply of electricity. The conditions impose design, reliability and performance standards on distribution network service providers. Distribution network service providers are required to report to the Minister to ensure compliance with the DRP licence conditions. In stating the above objectives, Ausgrid excludes the following types of interruptions in the assessment and reporting of network reliability outcomes: momentary interruptions (interruptions of one minute or less) interruptions occurring on major event days as defined in the DRP licence conditions transmission system outages load shedding due to insufficient generation to meet system load automatic load shedding controlled by under frequency relays following the occurrence of a power system under frequency condition faults in a customer’s premises or equipment compliance with directions from grid system operators or emergency services or, planned interruptions. Our customers must plan around the possibility that the electricity supply may not be available at all times and that interruptions could occur without notice, or with notice in accordance with their supply contract. Two related indices are applied when reporting network reliability. SAIDI represents the average number of customer minutes lost in a year, while SAIFI represents the average number of interruptions in a year. The classification of Ausgrid’s approximately 2,100 high voltage distribution feeders into the categories CBD, Urban, Short Rural and Long Rural is reviewed at the start of each annual reporting period. To cater for augmentation work through the year new feeders are classified at the time of commissioning. Reliability reporting uses the IEEE methodology for defining Major Event Days as outlined in the DRP licence conditions. Ausgrid measures and records customers affected and the customer base on a daily basis. Reliability performance indices are calculated on a daily basis rather than using the average of the number of customers at the beginning and the end of the reporting period. The daily calculation method provides a more representative customer performance at the time of the event. Ausgrid does not exclude inactive accounts. There are natural time delays in updating customer account details into the real-time Outage Management System, particularly where Ausgrid relies on information from electricity Retailers. Ausgrid considers the recording of reliability performance for all active premises (whether the premise is vacant or not) to be a practical administrative outcome. This action has little effect on reported reliability performance. The inclusion of vacant premises increases both the customers affected (numerator) and the customer base (denominator) of the Indices calculations. In regard to the calculation for the Major Event Day Threshold (Tmed), the Design, Reliability and Performance Licence Conditions Review Working Group agreed in March 2010 that the Tmed calculation should be consistent with the Australian Energy Regulator (AER) Tmed calculation method. The DRP licence conditions require that Planned Outages be included in the daily SAIDI dataset for calculation of the Tmed value. The AER requires (STPIS definitions November 2009) that Planned Outages be excluded from the daily SAIDI dataset for calculation of the Tmed value. Ausgrid has applied this change to the reliability performance reporting to ensure consistency with the AER reliability performance reporting definitions. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 179 8.1.1 Supply Reliability Standards Average feeder category reliability standards The purpose of the DRP licence condition Schedule 2- Reliability Standards is to: define minimum average reliability performance, by feeder type, for a distribution network service provider across its distribution network, and provide a basis against which a distribution network service provider’s reliability performance can be assessed. Average reliability duration Standards SAIDI (average minutes of supply interruption per SAIFI (average number of network interruptions per CBD 45 0.3 Urban 80 1.2 Short Rural Long Rural 300 700 3.2 6.0 Individual feeder standards The purpose of the DRP licence condition Schedule 3 - Individual Feeder Standards is to: specify minimum standards of reliability performance for individual feeders; require a distribution network service provider to focus continually on improving the reliability of its feeders, and enable the reliability performance of feeders to be monitored over time. Individual feeder Standards CBD Urban SAIDI (average minutes of supply interruption per customer) 100 350 1000 1400 SAIFI (average number of network interruptions per customer) 1.4 4.0 8.0 10.0 8.1.2 Supply reliability in the preceding year 8.1.2.1 Performance of individual feeders against the Standard Short Rural Long Rural The 2012/13 performance for both SAIDI and SAIFI was the best result in the last 5 years and has been trending downwards over this period. This year’s results can be attributed to the Regulatory Works Program as well as favourable weather conditions. There were two Major Event Days for 2012/13, firstly on 10 August, 2012 (6.03 SAIDI for the day) and secondly on 23 February, 2013 (5.80 SAIDI for the day). Both events were predominantly due to strong wind storms impacting the entire Ausgrid Network. As required under the current Licence Conditions for Ausgrid, each feeder currently exceeding the Individual Feeder Standard is analysed and an investigation report identifying the causes and, as appropriate, any action required to improve the poor performance is reported in the next quarterly performance report. All actions required were completed in the timeframes required. Overall, the percentage of poor performing feeders in each feeder category is relatively low. Ausgrid has an ongoing reliability management program in place. The program targets those feeders that have exceeded the Individual Feeder Standards as outlined in Schedule 3 of the Design, Reliability and Performance Licence Conditions. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 180 Individual feeder performance against the Standard during 2012/13 CBD Urban 55 1733 287 4 Feeders that exceed the Standard during the year 2 59 6 0 Feeders not immediately investigated 0 0 0 0 Feeders not subject to a completed investigation report by the due date 0 0 0 0 Feeders not having identified operational actions completed by the due date 0 0 0 0 Feeders not having project plan completed by the due date 0 0 0 0 Feeders (Total Number) 8.1.2.2 Short Rural Long Rural Performance of feeder categories against the Standard All feeder category performances were compliant against the Reliability Standards for 2012/13. CBD performance increased from previous years due to cable fault in pit in the CBD. Both Urban and Short Rural feeders continued to improve. Long Rural was similar to the previous year. There are so few feeders in this category that results can fluctuate dramatically year to year. Performance of feeder categories against the Standard during 2012/13 8.1.3 System CBD Urban Short Rural Long Rural SAIDI (average minutes of supply interruption per customer) 68.24 38.49 56.91 147.87 533.15 SAIFI (average number of network interruptions per customer) 0.73 0.12 0.65 1.42 2.56 Service Target Performance Incentive Scheme (STPIS) STPIS does not come into effect for NSW DNSPs until the commencement of the 2015-19 regulatory period. During the current 2009-2014 regulatory period, NSW DNSPs are required to set up methodologies and to perform a paper trial indicating the impacts of the STPIS as if it had been in effect. 8.1.4 Forecast of Network Reliability Performance Ausgrid forecasts the reliability performance of each feeder category based on 5 years of historical performance and considers the impact of the following: The cumulative performance increase due to proposed investments The cumulative performance reduction due to the general ageing of network assets and increase in demand. The net reliability gap is the difference between the management targets and the forecast SAIDI and SAIFI metrics for each feeder category. Investments are initiated when the forecast performance of a feeder category becomes worse than the relevant management target. Planning is based on a minimum ten year investment horizon. There are generally three methods for the improvement of feeder category performance. It is anticipated that a combination of these methods in a suite of individual projects will normally be implemented to achieve the required performance levels. These methods include: improvements of individual feeder performance - affecting a sufficient number of individual feeders to influence the category average, or Improvements at a sub-transmission level, or Improvements with wide spread impacts such as operating policy and its implementation, SCADA systems, and the development of intelligent network options. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 181 Options are short-listed and the reasons for discarding options recorded. The anticipated value of costs and benefits of each short-listed option are estimated. The cost estimates are based on standard unit costs and adjusted to reflect, to the extent practicable, the realities of implementing the solution. SAIDI (average minutes of supply interruption per customer) System Forecast Reliability Standards 95% Management Target Reliability Gap CBD Forecast Reliability Standards 95% Management Target Reliability Gap Urban Forecast Reliability Standards 95% Management Target Reliability Gap Short Rural Forecast Reliability Standards 95% Management Target Reliability Gap Long Rural Forecast Reliability Standards 95% Management Target Reliability Gap SAIFI System (average number of network interruptions per customer) Forecast Reliability Standards 95% Management Target Reliability Gap CBD Forecast Reliability Standards 95% Management Target Reliability Gap Urban Forecast Reliability Standards 95% Management Target Reliability Gap Short Rural Forecast Reliability Standards 95% Management Target Reliability Gap Long Rural Forecast Reliability Standards 95% Management Target Reliability Gap 8.1.5 2013/14 86.80 N/A 24.12 45.00 23.81 0.31 73.48 80.00 71.57 1.91 170.51 300.00 256.24 -85.73 507.46 700.00 453.78 53.69 2014/15 83.81 N/A 23.96 45.00 23.81 0.15 69.78 80.00 71.57 -1.79 159.53 300.00 256.24 -96.72 507.06 700.00 453.78 53.29 2015/16 83.35 N/A 23.80 45.00 23.81 -0.01 66.99 80.00 71.57 -4.59 151.52 300.00 256.24 -104.73 508.17 700.00 453.78 54.40 2016/17 83.23 N/A 23.66 45.00 23.81 -0.15 65.95 80.00 71.57 -5.62 150.57 300.00 256.24 -105.68 509.49 700.00 453.78 55.71 2017/18 82.76 N/A 23.54 45.00 23.81 -0.27 65.03 80.00 71.57 -6.55 150.17 300.00 256.24 -106.07 510.83 700.00 453.78 57.06 2018/19 82.55 N/A 23.40 45.00 23.81 -0.40 64.82 80.00 71.57 -6.76 150.06 300.00 256.24 -106.18 512.16 700.00 453.78 58.39 2013/14 1.04 N/A 0.16 0.30 0.16 0.00 0.94 1.20 1.06 -0.12 1.84 3.20 2.73 -0.90 3.63 6.00 4.24 -0.61 2014/15 1.03 N/A 0.16 0.30 0.16 0.00 0.93 1.20 1.06 -0.13 1.83 3.20 2.73 -0.90 3.63 6.00 4.24 -0.61 2015/16 1.02 N/A 0.16 0.30 0.16 0.00 0.92 1.20 1.06 -0.14 1.82 3.20 2.73 -0.91 3.64 6.00 4.24 -0.60 2016/17 1.02 N/A 0.16 0.30 0.16 -0.01 0.92 1.20 1.06 -0.14 1.82 3.20 2.73 -0.91 3.65 6.00 4.24 -0.59 2017/18 1.02 N/A 0.16 0.30 0.16 -0.01 0.92 1.20 1.06 -0.14 1.82 3.20 2.73 -0.91 3.65 6.00 4.24 -0.58 2018/19 1.02 N/A 0.16 0.30 0.16 -0.01 0.92 1.20 1.06 -0.14 1.82 3.20 2.73 -0.91 3.66 6.00 4.24 -0.57 Compliance with Network Reliability Standards Ausgrid monitors feeder outages and records the duration of any outage event that we respond to into our Outage Management System. For reliability reporting purposes, our network performance is measured at the 11kV distribution level. Excluding any planned interruptions and Major Event Days, the recorded outage information provides Ausgrid with the frequency and duration of feeder outages that are used to determine the SAIDI and SAIFI of individual feeders. In turn these individual feeders are grouped into categories, to enable an average SAIDI and SAIFI to be determined for each category. Currently Ausgrid sends both a Reliability Standards report and an Individual Feeder Standards report to the Minister administering the Electricity Supply Act 1995 within one month of the end of each quarter. Performance against the pro-rata SAIDI and SAIFI average standards is reported in the Reliability Standards document, along with any reasons for non-compliance and Ausgrid’s plans to improve the feeder Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 182 performance. Similarly, the Individual Feeder document details the date at which a feeder first exceeded the relevant Individual feeder standard and the SAIDI and SAIFI performance for that 12 month period, including details of the remedial action to be taken to improve performance, and the planned date of completion for the action plan. Typical remedial action plans include either operational or capital expenditure, a combination of both, or in some cases non-network solutions. Operational work may include works like vegetation maintenance or retro-fitting of animal proofing on electrical mains and apparatus. Any identified and reported operational work is due to be completed by the end of the third quarter following the feeder first exceeding the individual feeder standards. Capital expenditure to improve feeder reliability can be in the form of a network augmentation project involving feeder reclosers or covered overhead mains to prevent or correct some known outage triggers. Any required capital work is to be developed, planned and commenced by the end of the second quarter following the feeder first exceeding the individual feeder standards. Some investigations find that a feeder outage occurred due to a one-off event that is not likely to occur again. In those situations monitoring of the individual feeder performance is recommended as a non-network resolution to the feeder exceeding individual feeder standards. 8.2 Quality of supply standards It is not possible to supply all customers with the idealised voltage and current due to the physical nature of the network and the characteristics of the customers’ loads. Ausgrid’s objective is to achieve the best possible overall supply quality of our electricity network, given the condition and utilisation of existing network assets, within the funding available to maintain and augment the electricity network. Current network supply quality standards are available on Ausgrid’s internet site at www.ausgrid.com.au. The National Electricity Rules require Distribution Network Service Providers to establish planning levels for a range of supply quality parameters. At Ausgrid, monitoring for supply quality is undertaken by a number of means including fixed meters at Distribution Substations, random PQ surveys at customer premises and participation in the Long Term National Power Quality Survey conducted by the University of Wollongong. Ausgrid does not control the frequency on the electricity supplied through its electricity network, as this standard is set during the electricity generation process. The Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) establishes standards and regulates the frequency of supply on the national grid. If Ausgrid becomes aware of frequency excursions in excess of AEMO’s standards, Ausgrid will endeavour to bring these to AEMO’s attention. 8.2.1 Voltage range for supplied electricity Supply voltage is the voltage, from phase to neutral or phase to phase, for electricity that is supplied at a customer’s point of supply. Maintaining this steady state supply voltage is important to ensure appropriately designed equipment does not malfunction and is not damaged. When Ausgrid identifies or is notified that the steady state supply voltage is outside the specified target range, Ausgrid will take reasonable steps to modify the network to ensure that the voltage will be maintained at the required level and achieve Ausgrid’s steady state voltage supply objective. Low voltage network Ausgrid’s objective for the operation of its network is to maintain a target steady state phase to neutral supply voltage (measured as a ten-minute average) within the range of 216V to 253V at customers’ points of supply under normal operating conditions. This range is the nominal voltage range of 230V in the relevant Australian Standard AS 60038 Standard Voltages, with a tolerance of +10%/- 6% to allow for voltage regulation on the mains between distribution substations and customers’ points of supply. High voltage network Ausgrid’s high voltage distribution network operates at several voltage ranges. Accordingly, high voltage customers must obtain from Ausgrid, the network operating objective for supply voltage applicable to their location, particularly before proceeding with any project expenditure or commitments. Ausgrid relies on the following standards and/or guidelines when setting and assessing network voltage performance: Ausgrid Customer Supply Standard “Electricity Network Operation Standards (ENOS)” Section 5 Australian Standards: AS/NZS 60038 and AS 61000.3.100 NER S5.1a.4 – Power Frequency Voltage NSW Service and Installation Rules (SIR): Section 1.4 refers to AS/NZS 600038 & AS 61000.3.100. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 183 8.2.2 Harmonics and total harmonic distortion Voltage waveform distortion including harmonic distortion results from the operation of appliances or equipment that draw non-sinusoidal currents from the network. Harmonic distortion can cause the supply voltage to depart from a sine wave in a repetitive manner. Maintaining waveform distortion within acceptable limits is important because it can otherwise cause interference and damage to sensitive customer and network equipment. This form of distortion can also cause light flicker, incorrect operation of ripple control devices (used for off peak electric hot water) and computers, audible noise in television, radio and audio equipment and vibration in induction motors. Ausgrid relies on the following standards and/or guidelines when setting and assessing harmonics performance: 8.2.3 Ausgrid Customer Supply Standard “Electricity Network Operation Standards (ENOS)” Section 6 Australian Standards: AS/NZS 61000.3.6:2001, (SA/SNZ) TR IEC 61000.3.6:2012, AS 61000.2.2, AS 61000.2.12, SA/SNZ TR IEC 61000.3.14:2013 Standards Australia handbook for power quality HB264 NER S5.1a.6 – Voltage Waveform Distortion NSW Service and Installation Rules (SIR): Section 1.10.2.1 (b) refers to AS/NZS 61000.3.2, 61000.3.4, 61000.3.12. Voltage fluctuations (flicker) Ausgrid relies on the following standards and/or guidelines when setting and assessing Voltage fluctuations performance: 8.2.4 Ausgrid Customer Supply Standard “Electricity Network Operation Standards (ENOS)” Section 6 Australian Standards: AS/NZS 61000.3.7:2001, (SA/SNZ) TR IEC 61000.3.7:2012, AS 61000.2.2, AS 61000.2.12, SA/SNZ TR IEC 61000.3.14:2013 NER S5.1a.5 – Voltage Fluctuations NSW Service and Installation Rules (SIR): Section 1.10.2.1 (b) refers to AS/NZS 61000.3.3, 61000.3.5, 61000.3.11. Voltage unbalance Ausgrid relies on the following standards and/or guidelines when setting and assessing Voltage Unbalance performance: 8.3 Ausgrid Customer Supply Standard “Electricity Network Operation Standards (ENOS)” Section 6 Australian Standards: (SA/SNZ) TR IEC 61000.3.13:2012, AS 61000.2.2, AS 61000.2.12, SA/SNZ TR IEC 61000.3.14:2013) NER S5.1a.7 – Voltage Unbalance. Quality of Supply Performance for preceding year During the 2012-13 period, 206 randomly selected Ausgrid low voltage customer sites were monitored for 1 week using Class A Power Quality monitors following the requirements of AS/NZS 61000.4.30. The sites were then evaluated for compliance of a number of power quality parameters against the relevant standards: Range of Supply Voltage – AS 61000.3.100 Voltage Unbalance – AS/NZS 61000.2.2 Harmonic Content of the Voltage Waveform – AS/NZS 61000.2.2 Voltage Fluctuations (Flicker) – AS/NZS 61000.2.2. A set of 1 week’s low voltage data was also recorded in April 2013 for a sample set of 1090 distribution transformers. This data was analysed for voltage performance and was compared to the data gathered from 225 distribution transformers in April 2012. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 184 8.3.1 Supply voltage performance Australian Standard AS 61000.3.100, which is written for a nominal low voltage supply of 230V, states that the th 99 percentile (V99%) of the 10 minute average voltage readings for a 1 week survey should be less than 253 Volts and that the 1st percentile (V1%) of the 10 minute average voltage readings for a 1 week survey should be greater than 216V. All monitored customer low voltage sites complied with the V1% limit and approximately 70% of sites complied with the V99% limit. The high V99% figure is a consequence of the network historically designed for a nominal 240V range. The results of the sampled Distribution Substations indicate that on average, there has been a 1 Volt drop in th the median and 99 percentile values for supply voltage between the 2012 and 2013 measured data. Ausgrid‟s 230V migration program is progressively delivering a voltage range reduction using adjustments of zone substation voltage regulation settings and distribution substation tap changes. The benefits of this program should begin to be seen in the 2013-14 reporting period with the expectation that a higher percentage of the LV sites will meet the limits. 8.3.2 Harmonic Content of Supply Voltage Waveform The results of the survey show that the Total Harmonic Distortion (THD) was at or below 3.6% against the permitted compatibility level of 8% THD for low voltage. All measured sites were compliant for THD. th th All harmonics apart from the 15 harmonic were compliant. For the 15 harmonic, about 30% of measured sites were above the limit of 0.3% compatibility level (maximum recorded level was 0.5%). This is not seen as a significant issue and it should be noted that New Zealand imposes a higher limit of 1.8% as the compatibility level for the 15th Harmonic. 8.3.3 Voltage Fluctuations (Flicker) performance Short Term Flicker (Pst) The results of the survey show that the majority (approximately 95%) of sites met the Short Term (Pst) compatibility level for flicker of 1.0. Long Term Flicker (Plt) The results of the survey show that just over 90% of sites met the Long Term compatibility level (Plt) for flicker of 0.8. Long term flicker (Plt) is higher than short term flicker (Pst) due to the lower limit it is assessed against (0.8 versus 1.0). 8.3.4 Voltage Unbalance performance The results of the survey show that voltage unbalance for all measured sites with 3 phase connection were under the compatibility level of 3% as specified in AS/NZS 61000.2.2. All measured sites were compliant for Voltage Unbalance. 8.3.5 Action planned to meet quality of supply standards Supply Voltage Measurements on the LV network indicate that a number of sites exceed the V99% value when measured to AS 61000.3.100. Ausgrid is currently undertaking the following activities to lower the LV across the network and deliver network functional compliance: Lowering of the Zone substation 11kV float voltages Change of Distribution transformer tap settings to deliver the correct 99th percentile voltage (to AS 61000.3.100:2011). Harmonics Measurements on the LV network indicate that a number of sites exceed the limit for the 15th harmonic. th Ausgrid is currently investigating the existing standards and limits applied for the 15 harmonic to see if the limit can be relaxed to a more realistic level (noting that the IEEE 519 and New Zealand set higher limits apply th for some harmonics including the 15 ). Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 185 Flicker Measurements on the LV network indicate that a number of sites exceed the limit for Plt (Long Term flicker). In the next 12 months Ausgrid will carry out an investigation to quantify the main sources of the flicker and to determine mitigation means to lower the levels. Ausgrid will also carry out a review of the relative standards limits between Short Term and Long Term flicker with a view to determining if the limit for Long Term flicker is unreasonably low. 8.3.6 Compliance with quality of supply standards Under the Standard Form Customer Connection Contract with Ausgrid, our low voltage network customers are required to comply with the requirements of the Service and Installation Rules of NSW and any other reasonable Ausgrid requirements. Consistent with those Rules and our rights under the Contract, Ausgrid requires our customers to ensure that: their electrical installation does not adversely affect Ausgrid’s network or other customers’ installations, and that any audible or electronic noise generated by their electrical installation does not breach relevant laws or adversely affect others. If disturbances on the network are caused by more than one customer, Ausgrid will establish overall limits for the interference by each customer, and customers who exceed their limits are required to rectify the situation. Ausgrid’s network modelling process includes checks for voltage compliance on the high voltage network and our internal standards specify compliance requirements for low voltage. Customer quality of supply complaints are reviewed and corrective action taken as necessary. The process for managing power quality emission limits for major customer connections is generally dictated by the National Electricity Rules (NER) requirements for connection agreements. Ausgrid is required to provide a 20 day turnaround on responses to connection enquiries under the NER. Limits for automatic and minimum access standards for power quality are included in Ausgrid’s response to the connection enquiries.. There are different rules which apply to network customers and registered generators. However, generally the allocation of emission limits for customers and generators are defined in NER clauses S5.1.5-5.1.7. Power quality requirements for connections are based around the following access standards: Automatic Access Standards Minimum Access Standards Negotiated Access Standards. For Generators allocation limits are defined according to NER Clauses S5.2.5.2. For network customers allocation limits are defined according to NER Clauses S5.3.7 and S5.3.8. For both generators and customers, harmonic and flicker allocations are based on the AS/NZS61000.3 series of documents. For voltage unbalance the proposed approach within Ausgrid is to follow (SA/SNZ) TR IEC61000.3.13:2012, which mirrors the Stages 1-3 approach of the harmonic and flicker standards. The process for achieving compliance with the prescribed power quality allocation limits is likely to be an iterative process, with consideration given to alternative connection points, or mitigation measures, should initial investigations indicate non-compliance. Where necessary this may involve a reassessment of limits, or the acceptance of a negotiated access. Suitable clauses are included in Ausgrid’s connection agreements to ensure compliance with the power quality allocation limit via agreed levels of monitoring of the installation, and also for appropriate notification and approval of customers’ planned major equipment changes, such as new distorting loads or power factor correction. It should be noted that the NER provides scope for Ausgrid to subsequently enforce automatic access standards where network conditions change. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 186 9 Asset Management 9.1 Ausgrid’s asset management approach Ausgrid’s business purpose is ‘to be of service to our communities by efficiently distributing electricity to our customers in a way that is safe, reliable and sustainable’. Effective asset management is a key enabler to safely and efficiently delivering a reliable and sustainable electricity network, while containing network tariff increases to the rate of inflation. Ausgrid has an organisational focus on asset management, including design, procurement, maintenance activities, renewals/replacements, capital investment, condition monitoring and continuous improvement, to deliver this business purpose. Our asset management philosophy enables the competing requirements of the network to be optimised through the mature consideration of risk and is supported by an integrated asset management system. Asset management can be defined as “the lifecycle management of physical assets to achieve the stated outputs of the enterprise.”3 For Ausgrid these outputs are: Compliance with statutory obligations (ie safety and environmental management, etc.) Specified business outcomes Asset “fitness for purpose” and asset integrity Minimum life cycle cost through continuous improvement of the “what, the when and the how” of maintenance. Sound asset management processes also ensure that Ausgrid complies with the Electricity Safety Act, Electricity Supply Act, and the associated NSW Electricity Supply Regulations and Industry Codes of Practice which establish the accountabilities of organisations responsible for construction and maintenance of electrical infrastructure and assets so they are operated safely and reliably. Sound and efficient asset management processes and methods have a further responsibility to be able to transparently prove to industry regulators the prudence and efficiency of our expenditure as it relates to specific assets. 9.2 Asset Management Strategic Plan The Asset Management Strategic Plan is critical to the financial and underlying asset risk of the network. It forms one of the seven strategic plans used by Networks NSW to drive the overall asset management direction and focus of our business. The purpose of this plan is to provide a framework for aligning the three DNSP business activities. This Plan has three main focus areas: Governance – a single investment governance framework, with a consistent risk prioritisation methodology and approach to asset management, in order to leverage the ‘power of three’ Network performance – requiring consistent input policies, asset standards and consolidated reporting and monitoring, and Value for customers – delivering improvement initiatives ensuring not only that we are operating efficiently, but also maintaining our assets in an efficient and sustainable manner. The 2013/14 Asset Management Strategic Plan is currently under review. Ausgrid will develop its Asset Management Plans to meet the outcomes of the 2013/14 Asset Management Strategic Plan. Ausgrid’s Asset Management Policy and Asset Management Strategic Plan (2011) will continue to be followed until the Networks NSW 2013/14 Asset Management Strategic Plan is published and a new Ausgrid Asset Management Plan developed. The 2011 Asset Management Strategic Plan provides a high level link between the NSW Total Asset Management Manual (TAMM) and the asset management approach adopted by Ausgrid. It identifies the four key stages in the asset lifecycle (Asset Planning, Asset Acquisition, Use & Maintain and Asset Disposal), and identifies asset management practices and issues that must be addressed during these phases. 3 Asset Management Council – www.amcouncil.com.au Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 187 Organisational Learning and Feedback Improve and Replace Figure 33: Asset Management Cycle 9.3 Risk Management strategies Risk management identification and strategies to manage the identified business risks are maintained in Ausgrid’s Executive Risk Register and reviewed at least annually. Risk management strategies associated with the various asset categories, are applied across the asset planning process. These are unpinned by Ausgrid's asset management strategy. Risk mitigation may take many forms within an acquisition project. These include: Detailed planning of the project task, to ensure that the scope of the requirement is clearly defined and that appropriate plans and resources are made available to meet the requirements Selection of proven and inherently low risk approaches within the design task, where this is possible to meet specification and other contract requirements Technical and other reviews to monitor the progress toward meeting contract requirements and initiating corrective action as early as possible where deviations occur. All acquisition projects contain an element of risk. These generally relate to the level of technical complexity to be met within the asset solution, the schedule established for the task or financial aspects of the contract. Failure to manage these risks may result in equipment which fails to meet specified performance, delays in project completion, or budget overruns, or a combination of the above. Operation of the assets also contains risk, originating mainly from the consequences of unplanned failures or from high defect rates. These can result in adverse safety, environmental, operational and/or financial impacts. These risks are included in the determination of maintenance requirements and the repair/replace decisions. Risk mitigation may take many forms within the operational phase in the asset lifecycle. These include: Initiation of testing programmes Condition monitoring Altered maintenance task content and/or task periods Initiate re-design of the asset (i.e. modification) Altered operating / work procedures Restrictions on changing equipment loadings Restrictions on staff access to equipment/buildings when equipment is energised Initiation of asset replacement programmes. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 188 9.4 Sub-transmission underground cables replacement strategy Ausgrid’s sub-transmission cables are in continuous use and are an essential part of our supply network, Therefore these assets cannot routinely be taken out of service except for brief periods necessitated by the need for maintenance and repair. A number of these cables form the critical backbone of the sub-transmission network, and loss of multiple circuits can have significant impacts upon our customers, particularly in the Sydney CBD and surrounding urban areas. Ausgrid has developed a strategic asset prioritisation for the replacement sub-transmission cables due to age and condition. The primary focus of this asset management strategy is on the gas and self contained fluid (oil) filled (SCFF) cable technologies which are now considered as superseded and resource intensive technologies for cables at these voltage levels. A condition based risk assessment of our sub-transmission underground cables was carried to examine: The asset performance issues associated with the cable technologies used in underground feeder cables operated at sub-transmission voltages of 33kV to 132kV The availability and defect related performance of individual feeders The service risk associated with individual feeders, and The resulting risk based replacement prioritisation of feeders within their respective cable technologies. In considering the age profile, reliability analysis, and the consequences of cable leakage / failures experienced over the six year period to 2012, the following strategy position applicable to sub-transmission underground cables has been developed. 9.5 All SCFF cables crossing major waterways are to be prioritised for replacement by the end of the 20152019 Regulatory period. The operational, customer reliability and environmental risks associated with SCFF cable systems traversing Sydney’s major waterways are no longer considered acceptable All SCFF cables are to be replaced or retired by the end of the 2025-2029 regulatory period. These cable systems will have reached/exceeded the asset standard and design life, and combined with the problems associated with this technology in terms of environmental impact of SCFF leakages, long repair times, the resulting impacts on system reliability and availability, along with a reducing ability to support this infrastructure beyond 2029 mean that this asset technology must be considered no longer viable as long term asset solutions All 33kV gas pressure cables are to be replaced or retired by the end of the 2015-2019 regulatory period. These cable systems will have reached/exceeded the asset design life, as evidenced by increasing monthly leakage volumes on a decreasing asset base in service, as well as the number of multiple cable failures impacting zone substations. 11kV switchgear asset management strategy Between the late 1930s and the late 1960s Ausgrid progressively installed a large number of compound insulated 11kV switchboards with bulk oil circuit breakers (OCB). Ausgrid has compound insulated switchboards in service across fifty-one (51) different Zone Substation locations, totalling some 999 bulk OCBs. The oldest compound insulated switchboard on the Ausgrid network is seventy-five (75) years old, while the youngest is thirty-nine (39) years old. As technology progressed, air insulated switchboards (non-internal arc classified technology) with bulk oil circuit breakers (OCBs) became widely available, and were installed from the late 1960s until the late 1970s, when vacuum circuit breakers (VCB) were introduced. Internal arc classified switchgear later became the accepted industry standard for new installations with Ausgrid installing this style of technology from 2004. This progression of technology has resulted in a corresponding reduction in the risk of catastrophic failure. This reduction in risk was traded off against a larger construction footprint in a typical urban style Zone Substation. Ausgrid has air insulated switchboards in service across one hundred and twenty five (125) different Zone Substation locations, totalling some 718 OCBs and 2664 VCBs. The oldest air insulated switchboard on the Ausgrid network is 52 years old, while the youngest is zero (0) years old. In rural and lower loaded areas, outdoor 11 kV cubicle switchgear was installed from approximately 1950 to the mid-1980's. Due to environmental conditions, this type of switchgear has markedly deteriorated, leading to more frequent failures and higher maintenance costs. Ausgrid has outdoor 11 kV cubicle switchgear in service across twelve (12) different Zone Substation locations, totalling some 61 bulk OCBs and 2 VCBs. The oldest outdoor 11 kV cubicle switch on the Ausgrid network is 60 years old, while the youngest is four years old. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 189 9.5.1 11kV compound switchgear replacement strategy Over the years there have been a considerable number of significant failures of 11kV switchgear installed in zone substations that have resulted in a range of consequences from simple equipment outages, to expulsion of hot oil from the circuit breaker, to small fires confined to the switchroom, to large fires that have burnt down the entire switchroom. A range of measures have been undertaken to attempt to mitigate against these consequences, however, much of this type of equipment installed in Ausgrid is now considered beyond its design life, and continued service will result infurther deterioration in condition and an increasing number of failures that are random in nature. The ability to support compound switchgear technology into the future is becoming more challenging in terms of maintaining the necessary technical expertise and skills, and the industry's capability to support spare parts has extinguished. Manufacturers no longer support compound insulated technology, resulting in a need to 'engineer' solutions to suit specific switchboards. Following the receipt of test results from Ausgrid’s 11kV compound switchboards that were considered outside previous test limits, an extensive accelerated testing programme was initiated. The aim was to gain a better understanding of the condition of the switchboards and gather further information to assist the decisionmaking process for the future management of these assets. This testing programme gathered the latest measurements and trending information to assist the management of daily operations, as well as providing the means for prioritisation of the replacement sub-programme for switchboards which are approaching the final years of their lives. The replacement priority of compound switchboards is designed around the following factors: Individual 11 kV spout bushing dielectric dissipation factor (DDF) high voltage test results Age and forecast degradation of the remaining compound insulated switchgear Ability to recover from a switchboard failure, including the substation configuration loading and bus bar protection type Ex St George County Council refurbished switchgear with non-capacitively graded spout bushings. Ausgrid’s compound switchboard replacement strategy is summarised as: 9.5.2 An ongoing testing programme, incident investigations as required and further research and benchmarking in order to refine this strategy All compound insulated switchboards are proactively replaced in a prioritised manner The target date for complete removal of this technology from the network is set at 2024 High risk switchboards are planned to be replaced in the 2010-2014 regulatory period Medium risk switchboards are planned to be replaced in the 2015-2019 regulatory period and lower risk switchboards be replaced in the 2020-2024 regulatory period The 11 kV bulk oil circuit breakers in medium and low risk switchboards are to be replaced with 11kV vacuum circuit breakers in the 2010-2014 regulatory period to mitigate the risk and consequences of failure. Air insulated switchboard replacement strategy From the late 1960s Ausgrid began to install air insulated 11kV switchboards in preference to compound insulated switchboards This type of switchboard still included bulk oil circuit breakers (OCBs), however, such switchboards were characterised by the lack of bitumous compound in the busbar chamber and the larger construction footprint required to install this type of switchboard. These switchboards were progressively installed on the network until air insulated switchgear with vacuum circuit breakers (VCBs) became widely available in the late 1970s. This resulted inn substations which have a mixture of compound and air insulated switchboards. The insulation condition and design features of the 11 kV air insulated switchgear and associated circuit breakers are a key issue for the ongoing management of the Ausgrid supply system. The analysis of test results revealed that all air insulated busbar is in a serviceable condition for its age, however the condition of the associated OCBs varies from serviceable to poor condition and after in service failures of similar types of OCBs it has been decided to replace the OCB with current technology VCBs wherever feasible. Complete switchgear replacement is however required in some cases due to the following factors. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 190 Following an investigation into high voltage testing results at New Lambton zone substation 11 kV switchboard and also after further investigation at other zone substations, it was discovered that English Electric OLX Types 1, 2 and 3 air insulated switchgear in the Hunter and Central Coast region do not have internal earthed metal barriers between the Main group left hand side and right hand side busbars and also between Main group and Auxiliary bus bars and Feeder circuits. Due to the absence of any earthed metal barriers between panel chambers within the switchgear, any work and/or testing within the switchgear compromises high voltage clearances. Having earthed metalwork between switchgear chambers is considered to be industry best practice and allows for work to occur with the busbar chambers whilst other sections of the switchboard remain in service. This has limited the ability of Ausgrid to operate and maintain these switchboards in the immediate term and have therefore accelerated the replacement priority. Obsolete switchboards, i.e. unique manufacturer/model types that have a low population on the Ausgrid network, which are not economically viable to specifically design and manufacture a suitable VCB replacement has also been prioritised within the programme. The inability to efficiently remove the oil fire ignition risk is further compounded by lack of suitable spare parts as to maintain this equipment in serviceable condition. This has accelerated replacement of these switchboards. The ability to support ageing air insulated switchgear technology into the future is becoming more challenging in terms of maintaining expertise and skills (Engineering & Trade) and the industry's capability to support spare parts has greatly reduced. The replacement priority of switchboards is designed around the following factors: English Electric OLX Barrier Board Issues and OCB ignition risk Lack of available spares to maintain obsolete air insulated switchgear and OCB ignition risk. Lack of available spares to maintain obsolete air insulated switchgear with VCBs where OCBs were originally installed and were subsequently retrofitted as an interim life extension measure Age and forecast degradation of the remaining air insulated switchgear Ability to recover from a switchboard failure based on substation configuration, loading and busbar protection type. Ausgrid’s air insulated switchgear replacement strategy is summarised as: 9.5.3 An ongoing testing programme, incident instigations as required and further research and benchmarking in order to refine this strategy. Air insulated switchboards are proactively replaced in a prioritised manner in line with factors one to five above High risk switchboards are replaced in the 2010-2014 regulatory period Medium risk switchboards are replaced in the 2014-2019 regulatory period and lower risk switchboards be replaced in the 2020-2024 & 2025-2029 regulatory periods The 11 kV bulk oil circuit breakers in medium and low risk switchboards are replaced with 11kV vacuum circuit breakers in the 2010-2014, 2015-2019 & 2020-2024 regulatory periods to mitigate the risk and consequences of failure. Outdoor 11kV switchgear replacement strategy In some rural and lower loaded areas the decision was made to install outdoor 11kV switchgear as a more cost effective arrangement. This type of equipment consists of stand-alone circuit breakers in separate housings that are located in an outdoor switchyard. These were installed from approximately 1950 until the mid-1980s. Despite generally being of a younger age than other 11kV switchgear on the Ausgrid network, the deterioration of this type of switchgear is markedly pronounced due to its environmental conditions. Accordingly, these circuit breakers have become more unreliable and expensive to maintain; and this type of switchgear is now largely considered obsolete. Quality spare parts are difficult to obtain and maintenance often consists of exchanging a failed part with a similar but well used item. The ability to maintain this style of outdoor 11kV switchgear is also reduced due to the limited number of staff with appropriate skills to maintain this aged and obsolete style of OCB. The priority for outdoor 11kV switchgear was determined using several factors including known condition derived from circuit breaker testing and visual inspection. Accordingly, Ausgrid asset management strategy for outdoor 11kV switchgear recommends the following that all outdoor 11kV circuit breakers are replaced within the regulatory period 2010-2014. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 191 9.6 Distribution network losses Ausgrid has developed a network loss calculation methodology based on internal modelling and a recommendation from consultants Evans & Peck. The aim of this methodology is to enable the quantification of incremental values of network loss savings in the assessment of proposed network project options, and the quantification of network losses as required under the new RIT-D. Trials of network loss quantifications have been conducted with both sub-transmission network and distribution network modelling to fine tune the methodology, and a functionality has been implemented within our sub-transmission network modelling tool PSSE and our distribution (11kV) network modelling tool SINCAL. Ausgrid is currently conducting case studies to develop and document a justifiable threshold of materiality for network loss quantification, screening tests for network losses, and process implementation in preparation for the first economic assessment and consultation under the RIT-D which commences on 1 January, 2014. Ausgrid’s technical specifications for the assessment of losses for primary plant such as sub-transmission transformers, distribution transformers, shunt reactors etc, specify the method of assessing capitalised losses when comparing tender offers from suppliers. For plant assessment purposes, the following formula, which takes into account the load factor, energy and demand charges and interest charges on capital, may be used by Ausgrid to capitalise the guaranteed losses to make a fair economic comparison of plant tenders. K = C + LSi Wi + LSc. Wc where K = total capitalised cost in dollars C= purchase price of transformers in dollars LSi = the capitalised cost per kW of no-load loss in dollars LSc = the capitalised cost per kW of load loss in dollars Wi = no load loss in kW at nominal frequency and voltage Wc = load loss in kW at 75°C corresponding to the nominal ONAN rating and nominal voltage ratio. The values of LSi and LSc are specified and updated in the technical specification for plant procurement. 9.7 Obtaining further information on asset management Further information on asset management may be obtained in Ausgrid’s Network Management Plan and the Electricity Network Performance Report available on the Ausgrid website. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 192 10 Demand Management 10.1 Demand management When the demand for electricity at peak times approaches the capacity of network infrastructure, network service providers must act to maintain reliable electricity supply to customers. Reliable electricity supply to customers can be maintained by either increasing the network capacity (supply side management) or reducing the peak electricity demand on the network (demand management or non-network solutions). Demand management is an important part of efficient and sustainable network operations; and can involve either the voluntary moderation of customer electricity demand at peak times or the supply of electricity from generators connected at customer’s premises or to the distribution network. Effective use of demand management reduces the cost to maintain the network and results in lower electricity bills. There are a range of demand management solutions available for use by electricity networks. Examples include: Shifting appliance or equipment use from peak periods to non-peak periods (e.g. off peak hot water) Converting the appliance energy source from electricity to an alternative (e.g. switching from electric to gas heating) Use of more efficient appliances (e.g. replacing lights with more efficient, lower wattage options) Operating appliances at lower power demand for short periods (e.g. air conditioner load control) Operation of embedded generators, and Power factor correction. When a planning review of the adequacy of an Ausgrid network load area identifies a network limitation, a review of potential credible options that includes both reducing the network demand and increasing network capacity is completed. Ausgrid’s goal is to find the lowest cost solution that meets the required reliability standards. To ensure a thorough investigation of demand management possibilities, including embedded generation, Ausgrid’s Demand Side Engagement Strategy outlines how Ausgrid consults with the community and non-network providers about potential demand management options available to address the identified network needs. The demand management investigation is comprised of five separate stages: Stage 1: Identify network need for demand related investment Demand management options are considered during the network planning process either as part of the development of potential credible options for individually identified network needs, or as part of the integrated consideration of potential credible options in Area Plan reviews. Stage 2: Conduct demand management screening test for credible non-network solutions Each investment is screened to determine if it is reasonable to expect that a demand management or other non-network solution could enable a deferral or avoidance of potential network investments. The screening test is a desktop study used to establish Ausgrid’s expectation of whether non-network options are technically and economically feasible, and implementable in time to address the network need. If the screening test concludes that a non-network solution may be viable, a Non-network Options Report will be issued and the options investigation process will begin. Stage 3: Conduct demand management investigation including community consultation The investigation process seeks to identify potential cost effective demand management or other non-network options that could defer the network investment, and to identify the size, timing and budget costs of these feasible options. Based on the demand reduction requirements in the demand management screening test, the investigation stage identifies potential non-network solutions to achieve the demand reductions. Options are identified using Ausgrid’s existing knowledge, via the public consultation, field visits to customer sites and discussions with major customers. The investigation identifies the amount of demand reductions available and the likely cost of each non-network option identified. Stage 4: Select preferred non-network option, where viable and cost effective Any feasible demand management options are considered alongside viable network augmentation options. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 193 Stage 5: Implement demand management solution If a feasible demand management option is determined to be the most economical solution, it is implemented with clear deliverables in terms of demand reduction, timing and cost. For more information on how Ausgrid investigates and implements non-network solutions, please refer to our Demand Side Engagement Strategy. 10.2 Demand management investigations in 2012-13 Ausgrid initiated the following demand management investigations in 2012-13 to identify potential deferral of network investment. Project Name 1 Alexandria Subtransmission substation Initial need date March 2016 Demand reduction required (Year 1) 12.0 MVA Outcome A demand management screening test concluded that non-network options did not offer a potential cost effective solution to enable deferral of the supply side project. Analysis as part of the area plan review indicated that deferral of the supply side project using demand management was likely to be viable. 2 Arncliffe to Rockdale 11 kV load transfer Summer 2013/14 0.3 MVA The subsequent demand management investigation concluded that non-network options offered a potential cost effective solution to enable deferral of the supply side project. Investigation included a public consultation paper for which no submissions were received. Following a change in customer requirements, a revised electricity demand forecast has resulted in a delay to the need date to Summer 2014/15. 3 4 Tarro to Thornton 11 kV load transfer Summer 2016/17 0.4 MVA Darling Harbour 11kV Zone Development Summer 2012/13 9.3 MVA A demand management investigation was initiated in 2012/13 and remains in progress. 5 6 7 8 Homebush Bay Zone Additional Transformer Summer 2014/15 Jannali Zone 11kVFeeders 2 & 9 Summer 2014/15 South Greenacre Park 11kV Zone Development Summer 2014/15 Top Ryde Zone Additional Transformer Summer 2014/15 Analysis as part of the area plan review indicated that deferral of the supply side project using demand management was likely to be viable. 1.4 MVA A demand management screening test concluded that non-network options did not offer a potential cost effective solution to enable deferral of the supply side project. A demand management screening test concluded that non-network options offered a potential cost effective solution to enable deferral of the supply side project. Following a revised electricity demand forecast and a review of the network need, this project is no longer required. 1.3 MVA A demand management screening test concluded that non-network options did not offer a potential cost effective solution to enable deferral of the supply side project. 9.9 MVA A demand management screening test concluded that non-network options did not offer a potential cost effective solution to enable deferral of the supply side project. 8.4 MVA A demand management screening test concluded that non-network options did not offer a potential cost effective solution to enable deferral of the supply side project. Further information, including the screening test for potential non-network solutions and/or the demand management investigation report for each project, can be found here on our website. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 194 10.3 Demand management projects implemented in 2012-13 In 2012-13, Ausgrid implemented the following demand management projects to defer network investment or maintain network reliability. 10.4 Project Name Demand management solution Description 1 Pennant Hills NW Zone development Embedded generation (0.8 MVA) This is a continuation of a project which began in 2010/11, to defer a $3.8m capital project. Following a three year deferral, a revision of the electricity demand forecast resulted in the cancellation of the project. The total DM cost was $0.8m, and the total $3.8m capital cost was avoided. 2 Medowie zone substation Embedded generation (5 MVA) Continuation of non-network project to provide network support in advance of the completion of the Medowie zone substation. This project was forecast to reduce the load at risk by 92% and continues into 2013/14. Demand management innovation As part of the Demand Management Innovation Scheme, Ausgrid investigates potential non-network solutions to help reduce the cost of maintaining network reliability. In 2012-13, Ausgrid continued or initiated 14 nonnetwork projects across a range of customer sectors and energy appliance types. A brief description of the projects is listed below. Further information on these investigations and trials is available on our website. Project Name Project Description 1 Dynamic load control of small hot water systems Continuation of a trial started in 2011/12 to determine the viability of using direct load control to manage the peak demand from electric storage hot water heaters less than 100 litres in size. 2 CBD embedded generator connection Project to develop, design and test an alternative embedded generator connection in the Sydney CBD that addresses the potential fault level and feeder imbalance issues which are considered to be potential barriers to the widespread adoption of embedded generators in locations with this type of network architecture. 3 Subsidised off peak hot water connections Continuation of a trial started in 2011/12 to develop & demonstrate marketing approaches that can achieve high take-up rates of conversion of electric hot water systems from continuous supply to direct load control and off peak electricity tariffs. 4 Market research for residential air conditioner and pool pump load control Project to identify the likely customer acceptance rates from various air conditioner and pool pump direct load control options for a range of financial incentives to customers. 5 Dynamic peak rebate for nonresidential customers Continuation of a trial started in 2011/12 to determine the level of demand response available in the medium to large, low voltage, non-residential customer sector from a dynamic peak rebate program. 6 AS4755 air conditioner and pool pump load control Project to determine the viability of controlling AS4755 compliant air conditioners and pool pumps. Trial includes the testing of two alternative, low cost communication platforms. Grid battery Project started in late 2012/13 to investigate how a network grid-side battery can be operated reliably and effectively for summer peak reduction purposes and to potentially improve power and supply quality parameters of the network. 8 Off peak 2 summer scheduling Project started in late 2012/13 to determine the customer response and operational issues from the implementation of a modified summer schedule for the off peak 2 tariff which reduces summer peak demand. 9 Verification of demand savings from energy efficiency programs Collaborative project to determine the effect of energy efficiency programs (by others) on peak demand that can be used in the development of demand management programs. 10 Co-managing home energy demand Research project, in partnership with RMIT and TransGrid, to help understand householder’s level of knowledge on peak demand and how they are responding to current demand management activities. 7 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 195 Project Name 10.5 Project Description 11 TransGrid triage database Collaborative project with TransGrid to develop a database of information to support the investigation of demand management solutions for transmission network investments. 12 Large customer power factor correction Project to discover an optimal methodology for the implementation of power factor correction programs by trialling a range of marketing and procurement approaches and incentive levels. 13 Load control of irrigation pumping Project to investigate the likely scale and location of pumping systems in the Upper Hunter region, the viability of load control from these systems and the projected value from the use of pumping load control to defer network investment. 14 Small customer power factor correction Project to investigate the potential for peak demand reductions from small customer power factor correction and the technical and economic viability of single step PFC units in the range of 12.5 kVAr to 75kVAr. Forecast demand management projects For the forward planning period of 2013/14 to 2018/19, Ausgrid has identified, as part of the area plan review process, the following network investment projects where a non-network solution has been identified as a cost effective solution, and has been included in the preferred investment strategy. Project Name Forecast need date Demand reduction required (Year 1) 1 Tarro to Thornton 11kV LT (8 MVA) Summer 2016/17 0.36 MVA 2 Upgrade OH section of 33kV feeder S03(1) Belrose Zone substation Summer 2017/18 0.16 MVA For other network investment projects, it was determined that a more detailed investigation closer to the need date would be required to verify the viability of demand management, or that non-network solutions were unlikely to offer a cost effective deferral of the supply side solution. In advance of the forecast network need date (about 2 or more years), Ausgrid will initiate formal investigations into the viability of using demand management including embedded generation to maintain network reliability. This process will begin with a preliminary screening test to determine if it is reasonable to expect that a demand management or non-network solution could enable a deferral or avoidance of the planned network investment. Where the screening test determines that a non-network option has the potential to be technically and economically feasible, then we will conduct a detailed demand management investigation including community consultation. For RIT-D projects, where the most expensive potential credible option to address an identified network need is greater than $5 million, the consultation will also include the publication of a Non-network Options Report to provide information on the network need and how demand management providers can submit their solutions to be considered in our economic evaluation of the preferred solution. Ausgrid invites interested parties and non-network solution providers to register their details on our Demand Side Engagement Register found on our website here, to receive information updates on our demand management activities. For further information on our demand management programs and activities please contact Ausgrid’s Demand Management team at demandmanagement@ausgrid.com.au. For more information on how Ausgrid investigates and implements non-network solutions, please refer to our Demand Side Engagement Strategy Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 196 11 Investments in metering and information technology 11.1 Metering Ausgrid is responsible for the Metering Provision for approximately 1.6 million sub 160MWh per annum customer connection points across Ausgrid’s franchise area. The management of installations connection to Ausgrid’s electricity network is essential from a revenue and market obligations perspective. The management of installations includes market obligations to: Supply metering hardware for all new and upgrade customer connections Supply and install metering hardware for reactive replacement when metering unexpectedly fails in service, and Supply and install metering hardware for proactive replacement when populations of meters are identified as being at risk of non compliance to Rules obligations. Ausgrid’s maintenance and compliance approach is defined in the AEMO approved Metering Asset Management Plan (MAMP). The summarised key components of the MAMP are as follows for Type 5 and Type 6 metering installations: Reactive replacement - Repairs within ten business days of fault identification. Typically, this involves replacement of the meter Proactive replacement – Meters are categorised into like populations, such as make and model, and each population is field tested for accuracy and functionality under a sample testing regime defined by Australian Standard 1284.13. Type 5 Meter – Manually Read Interval A metering installation containing an electronic meter, or meters, capable of recording electrical energy consumption in National Electricity Market half hour intervals in accordance with the NER. Such meters are read manually by meter readers. Data is down-loaded manually via probes into a hand-held data collection device carried by Ausgrid meter readers. Type 6 Meter - Manually read consumption only A metering installation containing a meter or meters, (electronic or electromechanical) capable of recording cumulative electrical energy consumption only. Such meters are read manually by Ausgrid meter readers who record the cumulative consumption readings displayed on the Type 6 meter register. Ausgrid’s small customer metering population comprises of approximately 2 million electromechanical meters. Ausgrid has been monitoring the performance of in service meters for a number of years, using the sample testing procedures defined in the MAMP. These sample test results are supplemented with customer requested field tests where inadequate results are available. These results indicate a total of 280,380 meters are due for replacement because of their failure to pass testing obligations under AS1284.13. To fulfil its metering obligations in a prudent and efficient manner, Ausgrid’s metering policy is to install Basic (type 6) metering on all new connections, except where the site consumption is greater than 40 MWh per annum or the site requires an interval meter (eg embedded Solar generation) or specifically requested for the site); The anticipated growth in interval meters from new sites with consumption greater than 40 MWh pa, due to replacement of failing electromechanical meters (where requested) and embedded generation is 15,000 per annum. In summary, this is an increase of 54, 000 manually read interval meters (approximately 10, 800 pa) and approximately 6000 Solar per annum over the Regulatory Period 2014-2019. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 197 11.1.1.1 Metering investments actual 2012/13 and forecast 2013/14 Table 31: Metering investment actual 2012/13 and forecast 2013/14 Actual 2012/13 Forecast 2013/14 Replacement metering $9.45m $11.40m Franchise metering $5.87m $5.30m Total metering investments $15.32m $16.70m 11.1.1.2 Metering investment beyond 2014/15 to 2017/18 Forecast metering investments for the period 2014/15 to 2017/18 have not been finalised and are not available for inclusion in this report. Ausgrid is currenly preparing a regulatory submission for the period 2014/15 to 2018/19. The AER will make its next determination in early 2014 being the first of two for the subsequent five-year period to 2019. These determinations will approve Ausgrid’s capital and operating programs. 11.2 Information and communication technology 11.2.1 Ausgrid’s ICT plan Ausgrid’s core business functions are reliant on information and communication technology (ICT) systems for the business to meet its obligations as a network service provider. These ICT systems support both the network and non-network needs. Network ICT provides Ausgrid with the ability to monitor and control our subtransmission and distribution network. Our ICT Plan is structured to ensure the technology for the core business functions is maintained at the lowest cost, is secure, and achieves compliance with statutory and regulatory requirements. The ICT Plan has been developed using the Energy Industry Model (EIM) framework from AEMO. The following diagram describes the core business functions within each Domain and the current enabling IT system. Figure 34: Key Ausgrid IT Systems Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 198 The EIM framework includes the following Domains: Domain Description Asset Management Asset management is one of Ausgrid’s most critical functions. The asset management business function concerns the management of all physical components of Ausgrid’s electrical system across the lifecycle of assets from investment through to retirement/replacement at the component level. It is also tightly integrated with operations and planning at the Network level. The asset management systems are therefore integral to providing services, reliability and quality of supply and protecting the safety of customers, community and employees. Work Management Work management refers to the efficient management of Ausgrid’s resources in the delivery of services within the Network. It encompasses processes which are tightly associated with the asset management capability described above, scheduling and dispatch, warehousing and mobility. Customer and Revenue Management Customer and revenue management includes all of the processes related to the collection of revenue resulting from the provision of energy distribution services. The main processes in delivering this business capability are metering, revenue and customer management, and network billing. Customer and revenue management also incorporates network pricing, market transactions, meter data management and financial reporting. Commercial and Corporate Commercial and corporate includes functions necessary for executive control and oversight of normal organisational functions, such as finance, reporting, strategy development and implementation, human resource management, non-system asset management and property management. Enterprise Information Management The effective management of information across Ausgrid has become crucial. The nature of the business dictates that information needs to be collected, managed and analysed in order to provide timely and effective decision support. Information management is also required to satisfy regulatory obligations and core financial and organisational reporting and analysis. The Enterprise Information management program of work was designed to organise, design, safeguard and make accessible all information assets across Ausgrid. It includes functions such as knowledge management (document and records management, portals and content management), process and data management (quality, integration, workflow) and business intelligence. ICT Infrastructure Infrastructure provides the backbone to Ausgrid’s business capabilities and systems. It includes all of the hardware, communication, operating systems and devices required to support the business. A core component of the Ausgrid infrastructure is the two “tierthree” data centres. System IT System IT provides the core functions regarding provision and development of the Distribution Network Management System (DNMS) and Supervisory Control And Data Acquisition (SCADA) systems, core telecommunication networks (MPLS, 4G), distribution network monitoring and control and elements of the Smart Grid Smart City program. 11.2.2 Description of key network related ICT systems A number of major corporate systems are utilised by Ausgrid to manage the information and configuration of the network assets. 11.2.2.1 SAP SAP is Ausgrid’s company-wide information management system consisting of a number of integrated modules which are used across the lines of business for budgeting and management reporting, including tracking costs in cost centres and special financial costing (internal orders). From a network perspective SAP provides core capabilities regarding Investment Management (IM), Project Systems (PS) and Plant Maintenance (PM): The Investment Management module is used as part of the investment governance for strategic planning to maintain all aspects of the investment process, from managing the overall capital plan, from project Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 199 inception through to completion. The IM Module contains the IM Program Structure which reflects and controls the level at which capital plans and budgets are managed Plant Maintenance is used for Asset Management of network system assets and interfaces with the GIS system. It is used to maintain technical asset data, plan maintenance of technical assets, schedule and despatch work and record details of work carried out Project Systems is used for the management of projects across the organisation for both System and Non-System Capital using Network Activities and Work Breakdown Structure (WBS) elements. Projects originate in the IM module as Appropriation Requests, and when released and approved become projects. 11.2.2.2 Geospatial Information System The Geographical Information System (GIS) is the database of records for spatial and connectivity data related to Ausgrid's network. It is used for Dial Before You Dig, planning and analysis along with providing data for key business systems such as SAP, Outage Management System, and Ratings. The GIS holds connectivity information used by the OMS, and master data on feeders and poles which is used to update SAP PM via the GIS/SAP PM interface. 11.2.2.3 Outage Management System The Outage Management System (OMS) is a computing application that predicts network fault locations based on a combination of customer outage calls and network device operations. This system is used across Ausgrid at the time of an outage to process customer outage calls, provide feedback to customers for known outages, and to assist with managing outage identification and restoration. Data sourced from OMS is then used by claims groups to process any customer claims resulting from outages and also for internal and external regulatory reliability reporting. Primary users of OMS and OMS data include the Contact Centre, Control Room, Despatch, Field Services, Network Security, Network Reliability and Network Claims. 11.2.2.4 Distribution Network Management System / Distribution Management System The Distribution Network Management System / Distribution Management System (DNMS/DMS) is an advanced SCADA system used by Ausgrid control rooms to monitor and control the electrical network. It provides a real-time database to maintain a connectivity model representing the distribution and subtransmission network. 11.2.2.5 Metering Business System The Metering Business System (MBS) supports the network metering requirements of the Australian contestable energy market and provides a comprehensive suite of functions for the management of Meter Reading, Meter Provision, Meter Data Provider and Network services. 11.2.2.6 ICT investment Actual 2012/13 and Forecast 2013/14 Throughout the year, key applications and infrastructure have been maintained to enable a reliable, scalable and secure computing platform. These included our enterprise and geographic information systems, and systems for outage management, document and records management and metering. Ausgrid also migrated its zone substation monitoring and control systems from SCADA1 to a Distribution Network Management system to reduce unacceptable levels of business risks. Changes were also delivered under the National Energy Customer Framework program to assist Ausgrid in meeting its obligations under the new framework before its launch on 1 July 2013. The rollout of smart sensors to distribution substations continued this year, bringing the total number of commissioned devices to 3,943. These sensors monitor ongoing transformer use, over-voltage and earth leakage faults, as well as phase imbalances. Ausgrid continued to deliver the Australian Government’s Smart Grid, Smart City project, commissioning more than 22,000 trial devices on the electricity network. This project, underway since 2010, was designed to gather information about costs and benefits of smart grid technology and included trials of distributed generation and storage, grid trials and feedback technology that make the most of smart meters. The key objective of the ICT Capex program is to: Meeting new and existing compliance obligations – In order for Ausgrid to appropriately manage its business processes and fulfil it’s regulatory and statutory obligations, the ICT systems must be updated to adhere to these obligations. Failure to invest in maintaining the ICT systems would result in lack of compliance with regulatory and audit requirements and potentially result in the loss of license and monetary fines (ATO, NECF, Market Rules) Maintain core platforms and capabilities – Investment required to maintain the technical currency, vendor support and capacity of existing ICT systems and assets to provide for standard control services in a Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 200 prudent and efficient manner reducing the risk of potential failure and/or unplanned production outages. Failure to maintain these platforms would lead to increased business and technical operational cost and risk to deliver core business functions. Table 32 contains a summary of actual ICT investment in 2012/13 and forecast investment in 2013/14, the last year of the current regulatory period for Ausgrid. Table 32 – ICT Investment actual 2012/13 and forecast 2013/14 ICT Program of Work Actual 2012/13 Forecast 2013/14 IT Asset Management $4,638,850 $4,818,416 IT Workforce Management $1,063,492 $5,951,924 IT Customer and Revenue Management $5,583,481 $5,784,405 IT Commercial & corporate Services $3,677,760 $5,255,705 IT Enterprise Information Management $7,253,850 $1,478,765 IT Infrastructure $6,197,488 $8,241,214 System IT Capital $61,889,997 $34,128,000 $90,304,916 $65,658,429 11.2.2.7 ICT investment beyond 2014/15 to 2017/18 Forecast ICT investments for the period 2014/15 to 2017/18 have not been finalised and are not available for inclusion in this report. Ausgrid is currently preparing a regulatory submission for the period 2014/15 to 2018/19. The AER will make its next determination in early 2014 being the first of two for the subsequent fiveyear period to 2019. These determinations will approve Ausgrid’s capital and operating programs. 11.2.3 Smart Grid, Smart City Smart Grid, Smart City (SGSC) is a $100 million Australian Government funded project, led by Ausgrid and supported by our consortium partners. Up to 30,000 households have participated in the project which runs between 2010 and 2013. The project has tested a range of smart grid and network customer technologies; gathering information about the benefits and costs of implementing these technologies in an wider Australian context. During 2013, the Ausgrid Smart Grid, Smart City team analysed the trial data and are now completing the final report for the Australian Government, which will describe the outcomes and conclusions of the trial. This report is due for public release in early 2014. Smart Grid, Smart City Grid Application trials The grid-side part of SGSC, called Grid Applications, involves the deployment of new technology with control algorithms at various points on the electricity network. The Grid Applications stream includes the following initiatives: Active Volt Var Control (AVVC). Uses smart grid technology to manage voltage delivery across the network to more efficiently. This required the deployment of new voltage regulators and capacitor banks integrated into an advanced DMS (distribution management system) Fault Detection Isolation & Restoration (FDIR). FDIR trial included the installation of additional monitoring and switches to better pinpoint location of faults and isolate them to restore power faster Substation and Feeder Monitoring (SFM). The SFM project will shift some traditional substation and feeder monitoring to an (online) condition-based monitoring approach. SFM will leverage Ausgrid’s communications platforms to reduce the cost of getting vital asset information, including from high voltage underground cables Wide Area Measurement (WAM). Using integrated Phasor Measurement Devices, deployed at key points in the Ausgrid sub-transmission and Transgrid transmission networks, to better predict system state and possibly prevent network interruptions across a large area. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 201 Smart Grid, Smart City Network Customer trials The network customer trials encompass Home Energy products, distributed generation and storage, and the electric car trial. These trials explored ways to improve consumer understanding of their energy consumption, to reduce peak load demand on the network and to understand how changing behaviours and technologies will affect networks in the future. The Network Customer stream includes the following trials: The Smart Metering Infrastructure (SMI) component of Smart Grid, Smart City provides the enabling infrastructure to collect data on household electricity usage. This data will be collected remotely, communicated to the network operator in near real time, used for analysis and to provide feedback to the customer The Feedback Technologies component will help determine how better quality information can have a measurable impact on total energy consumption and/or peak demand. This includes the installation and evaluation of technologies such as Customer Portals, In Home Displays, Home Area Networks and Home Energy Management Systems The Electric Vehicle (EV) trial is to examine the impact of large scale adoption of electric vehicles to the electricity supply industry in Australia. EV charging and load modelling will be monitored for both fleet and home users to assess potential impacts on the electricity grid from Plug-In Hybrid EVs (PHEVs) and fully EVs The Energy Resource Management (ERM) stream investigates the potential of distributed storage (battery) technology, natural gas powered fuel cells and the impacts of increase solar generation on the distribution network. 11.2.3.1 Other Ausgrid Smart Grid Initiatives In addition to the Smart Grid, Smart City project, Ausgrid have a number of other initiatives already underway and planned. Distribution Monitoring & Control There are over 30,000 distribution substations (11kV/415V) in Ausgrid’s network. Historically, for the vast majority of these distribution substations, there has been little or no remote telemetry available requiring manual processes and site visits to perform such tasks as checking utilisation, checking voltage, checking fault indications etc. To address these issues, the Distribution Monitoring & Control (DM&C) project has been installing devices in selected distribution substations to monitor both the 11kV and the LV network and utilising wireless communications for returning data to Ausgrid’s IT and OT systems. Up to the end of 2013, around 3,700 DM&C devices have been deployed and commissioned. A modified version of the DM&C device has been introduced as standard in new kiosk substations and the deployment of DM&C devices is planned to continue in a targeted manner through to financial year 2017/2018. In addition during 2013, Ausgrid has been working on delivering a major firmware upgrade which will provide improved integration with Ausgrid’s DMS (Distribution Management System) and it is planned to integrate DM&C LV alarms (e.g. Blown Fuse and Loss of Voltage indications) with Ausgrid’s Outage Management System, thus providing earlier warnings of issues with customer supply. Low Voltage Information System Currently obtaining measurements on distribution substation utilisation relies on field staff manually recording and reseting Maximum Demand Indicators (MDI) meters. Although some distribution substations will have DM&C devices, the majority will not. A new, proposed Low Voltage Information System aims to use Ausgrid’s enterprise analytics platform to calculate estimated load on the low voltage network and identify potential overloads for further investigation. The system will utilise metering data in conjunction with connectivity data provided by Ausgrid’s GIS. Where available, DM&C measurements can be used to calibrate and refine the estimates. Smart Switch Deployment Since late 2010 Ausgrid has been implementing a Smart Switch Program for its overhead network. This has involved the installation of smart recloser switches as well as enclosed load break switches. As an extension of the above Smart Switch Program, Ausgrid has been investigating the proposed trial of a decentralised fault detection, interruption and restoration scheme. The proposed technology functions with peer to peer communication between field devices and full communication and control via Ausgrid’s SCADA system. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 202 Distributed Temperature Sensing Distributed Temperature Sensing (DTS) can be used, among other things, to monitor and calculate the conductor temperature and dynamically rate the cables by accounting for the cables load history. and the characteristics of the cables installation. DTS also has the capability to identify emerging issues along an underground cable, and increase cable reliability and overall asset utilisation which can lead to a deferral in capital expenditure. Ausgrid plans to deploy underground cables with DTS technology on feeders that are DTS ready and meet defined installation criteria based on target utilisation levels within the 5 and 10 year load forecast time frame. IEC 61850 adoption IEC 61850 is a communications protocol standard for use in substations that enables the integration of protection, control, measurement and monitoring functionality within the one protocol, standardising data points across devices and therefore enabling consistency and compatibility and significantly reduce design effort required. Additionally the standard provides tools to allow for greater flexibility in designing the secondary system. Two deployments have already been delivered within Ausgrid, and 4 or 5 more are expected by the end of 2013. All new Ausgrid substation SCADA systems will be based on IEC 61850 communications for all controls (local and remote from Control Room) and indications. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 203 12 Transmission Annual Planning Report 2013 Update 12.1 Transmission Annual Planning Report 2013 update This update to the original Transmission Annual Planning Report 2013 (TAPR) which was published in June, 2013 is included in Ausgrid’s first Distribution Annual Planning Report (DAPR) to align the publication dates of the DAPR and TAPR in future years. Under the NER Network Planning and Expansion rule which came into effect on 1 January, 2013 a distribution network service provider with dual function assets may publish a single annual planning report which includes the requirements of both the DAPR and the TAPR. The TAPR section of this report provides updated information to Registered Participants and Interested Parties on the nature and location of emerging network constraints on the dual function assets in Ausgrid’s electricity network. The timely identification of network constraints allows the market to identify potential credible non-network options and for Ausgrid to develop and implement appropriate and timely solutions to them. The augmentation proposals described in this report are reliability projects and do not have a detrimental material inter-network impact. This update of the TAPR documents processes and outcomes of the transmission annual planning review carried out since the publication of TAPR 2013 in June 2013. The purpose of the update is to: 12.2 Provide details of load forecasts submitted by any Registered Participants Identify emerging constraints in Ausgrid’s dual function asset network over a 10 year planning horizon Provide advance information on the nature and location of emerging constraints on dual function assets Discuss planning proposals for future connection points Provide summary information for proposed dual function asset augmentations Briefly discuss new replacement dual function assets, and any reasonable network and non-network options to the replacement assets, and Provide information on urgent and unforeseen dual function network investments. Transmission annual planning review The National Electricity Rules (NER) require network service providers who own and operate dual function assets to register as Transmission Network Service Providers by virtue of the definition of 'TNSP' in the rules. Certain parts of the rules treat dual function assets in the same way as other sub-transmission assets. However, for the purposes of the transmission annual planning review and reporting, dual function assets are treated as transmission assets requiring a Transmission Annual Planning Report. For the purposes of economic evaluation and consultation with Registered Participants and Interested Parties, dual function assets are treated as distribution network assets and are subject to the same economic evaluation test. From January 2014, the Regulatory Investment Test for Distribution (RIT-D) will replace the former Regulatory Test for all newly commenced economic evaluations and consultations on dual function assets. Ausgrid’s dual function network is defined as those assets with a voltage of 66kV and above that are owned by Ausgrid, and operate in parallel with and provide material support to the TransGrid transmission network. These assets may either operate in parallel with the transmission network during normal system conditions or can be configured so that they operate in parallel during specific system conditions. An asset is deemed to provide material support to TransGrid’s transmission network if: there is otherwise limited or no system redundancy within transmission network, or investment in the transmission system would be required within the regulatory period if that network asset did not exist, or the feeder provides operational support to the transmission network (e.g. to facilitate maintenance of transmission assets or improve security of supply) and the asset provides an effective parallel with the transmission network via a relatively low impedance path. Ausgrid reviews the function of its dual function assets annually to determine if they continue to provide material support to TransGrid’s transmission network. This review is used as input for preparing Ausgrid’s Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 204 regulatory reporting, the regulatory submission, and pricing methodology. For the purpose of the regulatory submission, the list of dual function assets is determined based on the forecast load and the system configuration as at the beginning of the regulatory period. 12.2.1 Ausgrid’s responsibility as a registered TNSP The NER require a DNSP also registered as a TNSP with dual function assets to: analyse the future operation of its network to determine the extent of any future network constraints conduct joint planning with TransGrid TNSP to determine the extent of any emerging constraints conduct joint planning with each DNSP to which the dual function assets are connected to determine options for the relief of constraints develop a Demand Side Engagement Strategy and establish and maintain a demand side engagement 4 register for parties wishing to be advised of relevant developments related to Ausgrid's planning activities establish, maintain and publish a demand side engagement database of non-network proposals and/or case studies that demonstrate assessments undertaken by Ausgrid in considering non-network proposals engage with non-network service providers and consider non-network options at the planning stage coordinate a consultative process for the consideration and economic analysis of potential credible network and non-network options in accordance with the Australian Energy Regulator’s (AER) new Regulatory Investment Test for Distribution5 (RIT-D) after 1 January, 20146 determine the preferred solution to an identified network constraint and consult with Registered Participants, Interested Parties and parties registered on the Demand Side Engagement Register prior to implementation arrange for the implementation of the preferred option, and prepare and publish a Transmission Annual Planning Report. The NER require that the Transmission Annual Planning Report must include: Results of the annual planning review Load forecasts submitted by Registered Participants Planning proposals for future connection points Forecasts of emerging constraints and inability to meet the network performance requirements of NER Schedule 5.1 and the NSW Design Reliability and Performance Licence Conditions Summary information for proposed augmentations A brief description of new replacement dual function assets, and any reasonable network and nonnetwork options to the replacement assets, and Information on urgent and unforeseen network investments. 4 This obligation arises from the commencement of the new NER Network Planning and Expansion rule. This rule replaces many of the requirements formerly covered by the NSW Demand Management Code of Practice, which was withdrawn on 1 January, 2013. 5 The purpose of the RIT-D is to identify the credible option (the preferred option) that maximises the present value of the net economic benefit to all those who produce, consume and transport electricity in the market. The RIT-D process takes place before investment decisions are made and is applied-the estimated capital cost of the most expensive potential credible option is more than $5 million. 6 The old Regulatory Test will continue to apply to dual function asset economic assessments commenced prior to 31 December 2013, under a NER transitional arrangement subject to each DNSP obtaining formal approval from the AER. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 205 12.3 Developments since the publication of TAPR 2013 (June 2013) 12.3.1 Dual function projects cancelled or deferred The following dual function asset augmentations or replacement projects described in TAPR 2013 published in June, 2013 have either been cancelled, or deferred beyond the ten year forward planning period. Region TAPR 2013 (June) Section Project Timing Reason for cancellation / deferral Sydney 3.2 Homebush Bay ZS 132kV Additional Transformer Cancelled Project cancelled due to lower forecast demand in the Inner West area. Sydney 3.2 Riley Street STSS Cancelled Project cancelled due to reduced load growth in the network area. No requirement for STSS. Sydney 6.21 Belmore Park 132/11kV ZS Jan-14 Completion delayed by project delivery issues. Sydney A5.2.11 Beaconsfield BSP to St Peters ZS 132kV Feeders 91A/1 & 91B/1 Replacement Deferred to Dec-27 Project deferred from September 2021 to December 2028 due to a revised cable condition assessment. Sydney 6.2.5 Bunnerong North 132kV Capacitor Sep-14 Completion delayed by project delivery issues. Central Coast 7.1.3 Wyong ZS Additional Transformer Cancelled Proposed major customer data centre load is on hold. Central Coast 7.5 Charmhaven ZS Additional Transformer Cancelled Project cancelled due to a reduction in forecast load. Central Coast A5.2.21 Lisarow 132/11kV Zone Substation Cancelled Proposed solution is to retain existing Lisarow as 33/11Kv substation due to lower forecast and revised cost for 132kV solutions. Hunter 7.5 Beresfield STS 132kV additional transformer Cancelled Project cancelled due to reduction in forecast load. Hunter 7.5 Cameron Park 132/11kV ZS Cancelled Project cancelled due to reduction in forecast load. Hunter 6.2.3 Brandy Hill 132/11kV ZS Jan-14 Completion delayed by project delivery issues. Hunter Removed from TAPR Newcastle BSP to Merewether STS 132kV Feeders 960 and 961 Replacement Dec-28 Project deferred from September 2021 to December 2028 due to a revised cable condition assessment. 12.3.2 Changes in dual function asset status The list of Ausgrid’s dual function assets is reviewed periodically and is used as input for preparing Ausgrid’s regulatory reporting, regulatory submission and pricing methodology. For the purpose of the regulatory submission, the list of dual function assets is determined based on the forecast load and the system configuration as at the beginning of the regulatory period. Ausgrid’s dual function network is defined as those assets with a voltage 66kV and above that are owned by Ausgrid and operate in parallel with and provide material support to the TransGrid transmission network. These assets may either operate in parallel with the transmission network during normal system conditions, or can be configured so that they operate in parallel during specific system conditions. An asset is deemed to provide material support to the TransGrid transmission network if: there is otherwise limited or no system redundancy within TransGrid’s network, or investment in the transmission system would be required within the regulatory period if that network asset did not exist, or Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 206 the feeder provides operational support to the transmission network (e.g. to facilitate maintenance of transmission assets or improve security of supply) and the asset provides an effective parallel with the transmission network via a relatively low impedance path. The following 132/11kV zone substations (ZS) and sub-transmission substations (STS) are no longer considered as dual function assets: Beresfield ZS, Croydon ZS, Drummoyne ZS, Gwawley Bay ZS, Leichhardt ZS, Macquarie Park ZS, and Pyrmont STS. The following 132/11kV zone substations (ZS) and sub-transmission substations (STS) have been reclassified as dual function assets: Potts Hill, new Rose Bay 132/11kV, Muswellbrook, Mitchell Line, Singleton, Brandy Hill, and Rothbury. The following augmentation or replacement projects described in TAPR 2013 are no longer considered as dual function assets: Region TAPR 2013 (June) Section Projects no longer considered as dual function assets Sydney 3.2 Gwawley Bay ZS 132kV Conversion. Following Ausgrid’s review of the operational role of subtransmission assets, this project is not considered to be a dual function asset. Gwawley Bay ZS full conversion to 132kV has been deferred from June 2016 to September 2021 due to lower forecast load in the area and will function as a 33/11kV and 132/11kV ZS hybrid substation. Sydney 6.3 Mason Park – Rozelle Feeder 900 Replacement. Following Ausgrid’s review of the operational role of subtransmission assets, this project is not considered to be a dual function asset. The need to replace feeder 900 in addition to replacing the existing Leichhardt and Five Dock 33/11kV Zone Substations is driven by asset condition and the need for replacement. This is a committed project. Sydney A5.2.13 Drummoyne ZS 132kV Feeders 203 & 204 Replacement. Following Ausgrid’s review of the operational function of dual function assets, this project is not considered as a dual function asset. Replacement options are still under consideration, however the most likely option is to replace the oil-filled cables with XLPE cable. Proposed date is Dec-2025. Sydney A5.2.21 Double Bay Feeder 90R/2 and 9SB/2 Replacement. Following Ausgrid’s review of the operational role of subtransmission assets, this project is not considered to be a dual function asset. Sydney A5.2.22 Lidcombe 132/11kV ZS, a proposed solution for the replacement of Lidcombe 33/11kV ZS due to asset condition, is no longer considered as a possible 132kV dual function asset. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 207 12.4 Committed and Completed Dual Function Augmentations 12.4.1 Completed Augmentations This section describes augmentations that have been completed since the publication of TAPR 2013. Haymarket – Beaconsfield BSP New 132kV Feeder At over 40 years old, the Lane Cove to Dalley Street 132kV feeders 92L and 92M were due to be retired by September 2012. Sydney Central Business District (CBD) network limitations identified in previous TAPRs are exacerbated with the retirement of 132kV feeders 92M and 92L. A joint TransGrid-Ausgrid Application Notice was published in July 2010 outlining the network limitations in the CBD. A joint Final Report (Reinforcement of Electricity Supply within the Sydney Central Business District) was published in October 2010. Consistent with Ausgrid’s and TransGrid’s long term strategy to develop additional 330kV capacity to the Sydney CBD and inner metropolitan area, the Final Report proposed a Haymarket to Beaconsfield 132kV feeder consisting of a 132kV cable section by Ausgrid from Haymarket to Sydney Park, and a 330kV section by TransGrid (operated at 132kV) from Haymarket to Sydney Park. This 132kV feeder would not be required after the establishment of a second 330kV supply to the CBD. It is anticipated that the 132kV section would be utilised for future 132kV developments, and the 330kV section would be reconnected when required to form the second CBD supply anticipated in 2018/19. No non-network alternatives were considered to be viable alternatives to this project. This project was completed in August 2013. 12.4.2 Committed Dual Function Augmentations This section describes network constraints that are being relieved by augmentations that are considered committed. These projects will normally have appeared in previous TAPR publications as proposed network augmentations. For the purposes of the TAPR, an augmentation is considered to be committed if it satisfies all the criteria that are defined in AEMO’s Statement of Opportunities (SOO), as follows: Board commitment has been achieved (this requires the appropriate planning approvals and licences to be in place) Funding has been approved The project has satisfied the Regulatory Test, and Construction has either commenced, or a firm date has been set for it to commence The committed augmentations are as tabulated below. Estimated costs are in real 2013/14 dollars. Region Refer to section Sydney 12.4.2.1 Sydney Augmentation Identified Constraint Timing Estimated Cost Belmore Park 132/11kV Zone Substation Licence condition N-2 security standard Jan-14 $102.1m 12.4.2.4 Bunnerong North 132kV Capacitor Load Growth Sep-14 $13.3m Sydney 12.4.2.2 Rookwood Road Bulk Supply Point 132kV Connections Licence condition N-2 security standard Dec-14 $8.2m Hunter 12.4.2.3 Brandy Hill 132/11kV Zone Substation Asset condition, load growth Jan-14 $25.2m Summary information concerning these augmentations follows. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 208 12.4.2.1 Belmore Park 132/11kV Zone Substation In TAPR 2013 it was identified that the most likely option to address the requirement for an N-2 security standard in the Sydney CBD area (as per the licence conditions relating to reliability performance of DNSPs) was to establish a new 132/11kV zone substation at the southern end of the Sydney CBD on a site opposite Belmore Park. Two options were considered for the development of a new CBD zone substation: Construction of a CBD zone substation in the Southern end of the CBD (Belmore Park) Construction of a CBD zone substation in the Northern end of the CBD No credible non-network options were considered viable alternatives to this project. A consultation process was carried out in accordance with clause 5.6.6 of the NER. An Application Notice (Establishment of a New 132kV/11kV CBD Zone Substation) was published in July 2008. A Final Report was published in July 2009 with the proposed works being unchanged from the Application Notice. The works are planned to be completed by January 2014. 12.4.2.2 Rookwood Road BSP 132kV Connections In TAPR 2013 it was identified that the most likely option to address constraints on the Inner Sydney Inner Metropolitan electricity supply network when applying the modified N-2 reliability standard was the establishment of a new 330/132kV BSP at Rookwood Road. Ausgrid is responsible for providing 132kV connections to the BSP and undertaking the necessary augmentation works on their network. This would involve three 132kV feeder connections at Rookwood Road BSP - two to tee points on the 132kV tower line 240, 241 (between Chullora STS and Potts Hill ZS), and another onto the Sefton ZS tee point on the existing feeder 296 (between Potts Hill ZS and Bankstown STS). Two 330kV strategic network options and non-network options were considered to address the identified network need. As a result of TransGrid proposed 330/132kV BSP, the proposed Rookwood Road BSP 132kV feeder is required to connect to Transgrid 330/132kV BSP. The following 330kV strategic options are based on TransGrid’s Application Notice. 330kV supply from Sydney West. This option involves installing 330kV feeders from TransGrid’s Sydney West via a proposed Holroyd BSP (to supply Endeavour Energy) to the Chullora/Potts Hill area. A 330kV feeder would then be extended in future to provide further 330kV supply to Beaconsfield and Haymarket BSP’s 330kV supply from Sydney North/Sydney East. This option involves installing a 330kV feeder from Sydney East to Haymarket and Beaconsfield BSP’s and upgrading of the 132kV towers between Sydney North and Sydney East BSP’s to 330kV, and The implementation of 80MW of demand management to defer the constraint by 1 year. A non-network options investigation concluded that the emergence of network constraints could potentially be rd delayed by one year through the implementation of an 80MW demand management project. On the 3 December 2009 TransGrid published a Request for Proposal (RFP) for network support from non-network service providers. Following an analysis of the responses to the RFP, it was determined that as a result of insufficient network support offered by non-network service providers, there was no viable non-network alternative to this project. A consultation process was carried out in accordance with clause 5.6.6 of the NER. A joint Application Notice was published in December 2009 outlining the issues and a preliminary application of the regulatory test. A Final Report (Development of Electricity Supply to the Sydney CBD and Inner Metropolitan Area) was published in March 2010 with the proposed works being unchanged. The works are expected to be completed by December 2014. 12.4.2.3 Brandy Hill 132/11kV Zone Substation In TAPR 2013 it was identified that the most likely option to address asset condition issues at the existing Wallalong 33/11kV ZS and an emerging capacity constraint due to significant residential development in surrounding areas (Wallalong, Brandy Hill and Seaham) was the installation of a new 132/11kV zone substation in the Brandy Hill area. Supply to the new zone substation will be provided from a proposed 132kV line to be constructed by TransGrid between Tomago BSP and Stroud (ex feeder 860). Options considered to address these issues included: Development of 33/11kV Brandy Hill zone substation with two 33MVA 33/11kV transformers Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 209 Development of 132/11kV Brandy Hill zone substation. No non-network alternatives were considered viable alternatives to address the asset condition issues at Brandy Hill zone substation. A consultation process was carried out in accordance with clause 5.6.6 of the NER. An Application Notice was published in June 2009 outlining the issues and a preliminary application of the regulatory test. A Final Report (Brandy Hill 132/11kV Zone Substation Development) was published in December 2009 with the proposed works being unchanged. The works are planned to be completed by January 2014. 12.4.2.4 Bunnerong North 132kV Capacitor TAPR 2013 identified the installation of an 80MVAr capacitor bank at Bunnerong North STS to avoid a significant shortfall of reactive capacity in the inner metropolitan network in the event of a planned or unplanned outage of TransGrid’s 330kV feeders 41 or 42. The preferred option was to install an 80MVAr capacitor bank at each of Bunnerong North STS and Peakhurst STS. An investigation of potential non-network options was carried out. It was determined that it was not reasonable to expect Demand Management to cost effectively defer the recommended network solution. A consultation process was carried out in accordance with clause 5.6.6 of the NER. As the total augmentation component of the projects was under $20m, publication of an Application Notice was not required. A Final Report (Inner Metropolitan Reactive Support) was published in June 2011. This work is planned to be completed in September 2014. 12.5 Planned Augmentations that have been subject to the Regulatory Test This section describes dual function network constraints that are being relieved by augmentations that have been subject to the Regulatory Test but have not progressed to the point where they can be considered as committed in AEMO’s SOO. No planned dual function augmentations which have been subject to the Regulatory Test remain uncommitted. Following an annual review of dual function assets the Mason Park to Rozelle Feeder 900 replacement project no longer fulfils the operational criteria for a dual function asset. This project is described in the DAPR section 6.4.1.20. 12.6 Proposed dual function network developments The following sections describe specifically identified current and emerging constraints within Ausgrid’s dual function network. Where dual function assets are proposed to relieve these constraints they are detailed as required by the NER. Section 12.6.1 describes constraints expected to emerge over a five year planning horizon that are proposed to be relieved by dual function assets. These descriptions include an explanation of the ranking of reasonable options to each proposal in accordance with the principles contained in the AER’s Regulatory Test. Section 12.6.2 describes constraints expected to emerge over a five year planning horizon that are proposed to be relieved by dual function assets for which consultation is anticipated within 12 months. Section 12.6.3 describes constraints expected to emerge over a five year planning horizon that are proposed to be relieved by dual function assets for which consultation is anticipated beyond 12 months. Section 12.6.4 describes the longer term constraints expected to emerge over a five year planning horizon that are proposed to be relieved by dual function assets. Section 12.7 describes planning proposals for new dual function asset connection points and augmentations existing connection points. Requirements for these can be initiated by generators or customers, or arise as the result of joint planning with a DNSP or TransGrid TNSP. Section 12.8 describes dual function replacement projects. This section outlines the dual function asset replacement projects which Ausgrid is progressing or proposes to progress in the next ten years. The dual function network constraints detailed in this TAPR 2013 Update report are subject to change in respect to the number and nature of the constraints and their timing. In some cases changes will occur at short notice. Changes may be brought about by changes in load growth, new load developments as well as local generation and demand management developments. In all cases options for the relief of constraints will be developed and commitments will be made in time to ensure that standards of supply are maintained. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 210 12.6.1 Constraints emerging within 5 years – proposed dual function assets This section describes constraints that are proposed to be relieved by dual function assets, as tabulated below. The proposed dual function assets are tabulated below. Estimated costs are in 2013/14 real dollars. Constraint Emerging Load reduction for one year deferral Region Refer to section Proposed Augmentation Sydney 12.6.1.1 Top Ryde ZS Additional Transformer Load Growth 4.4 MW (3.2 MVA) Jun -16 $7.7m Sydney 12.6.1.2 Alexandria 132/33kV STS Customer NA Sep-16 $40.2m Within 1 year 1 to 3 years 3 to 5 years Expected completion Estimated cost Ausgrid conducts a review of feasible options to relieve the emerging network constraint, including nonnetwork solutions such as embedded generation and demand management under our non-network options screening and consultation process prior to finalising the economic evaluation of options under the regulatory test7. Currently, a consultation process is carried out for all dual function asset investments over $1 million to seek responses from non-network solution proponents prior to the finalisation of the regulatory test and publication of the Final Report. From 1 January 2014 the Regulatory Test will be superseded by the new Regulatory Investment Test for Distribution (RIT-D). Any economic evaluations commenced under the Regulatory Test prior to 31 December, 2013 will be finalised under the Regulatory Test, subject to approval from the Australian Energy Regulator. Summary information concerning these augmentations follows. 12.6.1.1 Top Ryde ZS additional transformer In TAPR 2013 it was mentioned that an indicative solution to an expected load growth constraint was an additional transformer at Top Ryde 132/11kV ZS in September 2020. Substantial development in the Macquarie Park and North Ryde area is forecast to result in rapid load growth and Macquarie Park 132/11kV ZS is expected to exceed its licence capacity in 2016/17. Options to address this issue included: Installation of an additional transformer at Top Ryde ZS and transfer load from Macquarie Park Load transfers to nearby zone substations Demand management and/or local generation. The most likely network option to address the Macquarie Park ZS constraint is the installation of an additional transformer at Top Ryde ZS by June 2016. It is anticipated that a Final Report detailing the result of the economic assessment under the Regulatory Test will be published by June 2014. 12.6.1.2 Alexandria 132/33kV STS Mascot ZS 11kV switchgear and the Sydney Airport 33kV switchgear and 33kV cables are approaching the end of their service life and are due for replacement by September 2016. Replacement options are still under consideration, however the most likely option will be the establishment of Alexandria STS to create a 33kV supply point close to Sydney Airport and a large data centre nearby supplied at 33kV. The primary driver for the establishment of Alexandria STS is asset replacement and the augmentation component to provide additional capacity to new data centres at Green Square and Mascot required from mid 2014 is estimated to cost less than $10 million. The options under consideration are: Refurbish Mascot 33/11kV ZS and establish a new 132/33kV STS at Alexandria Construct a new Mascot 132/11kV ZS and establish a new 132/33kV STS at Alexandria Construct a new Mascot 132/11kV ZS and maintain Bunnerong North STS supply 7 The new RIT-D economic assessment and consultation process will apply for all new RIT-D projects commenced after 1 January, 2014. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 211 Refurbish Mascot 33/11kV ZS and maintain Bunnerong North STS supply. A consultation paper was issued in August 2013. A demand management screening test is currently underway. If demand management investigations conclude it would be reasonable to expect that a nonnetwork option could defer supply side options, this will be incorporated as part of the assessment of solution under the relevant economic test. A Final Report will detail the outcomes of the economic assessment and the preferred solution. 12.6.2 Constraints emerging within 5 years – consultation anticipated within 12 months This section describes constraints expected to emerge over a five year planning horizon that are proposed to be relieved by dual function assets which are augmentation proposals, or where application of the new RIT-D economic evaluation and consultation is anticipated within 12 months. Estimated costs are in real 2013/14 dollars. Constraint Emerging Region Refer to section Proposed Augmentation Sydney 12.6.2.1 New 132kV feeder between Beaconsfield BSP and Belmore Park ZS Within 1 year 1 to 3 years 3 to 5 years Load reduction for one year deferral Expected completion - Nov-15 Network Capacity Estimated cost $19.0m A description of these identified constraints and potential credible solutions to them follows. 12.6.2.1 New 132kV feeder between Beaconsfield BSP and Belmore Park Capacity constraints Sydney CBD network area driven by the de-rating of 9SA and 9SB/1, and exacerbated by the need to retire 92L and 92M between Lane Cove and Dalley St. The commissioning of circuit 9S4 was originally intended to allow retirement of 92L and 92M, however due to the reduction in capacity on 9SA and 9SB (as well as other transmission circuits in this corridor) these can no longer be retired as intended. Further constraints will emerge towards the end of this regulatory period and into the next period as additional cables reach end-of-life. 9SA and 9SB/1 are aged oil-filled cables, with a recommended replacement date of 2024. Refurbishing the cable trench backfill to improve ratings will not extend the life of the physical cable itself, and therefore full remediation will not provide a long-term solution to network capacity in the inner-city area. Potential credible options to address this issue are currently being assessed under the reliability limb of the regulatory test. Potential credible options may also include the partial remediation of 132kV feeders 9SA and 9SB/1. If this partial remediation work is included the total estimated cost is $20.9m. 12.6.3 Constraints emerging within 5 years –consultation anticipated beyond 12 months There are no identified constraints expected to emerge within a five year planning horizon that are proposed to be relieved by dual function assets where application of the new RIT-D economic evaluation and consultation is anticipated beyond 12 months. 12.6.4 Longer Term Constraints and Indicative Developments The following table briefly summarises dual function network constraints that are expected to arise over a time frame that is longer than 5 years. Estimated costs are in real 2013/14 dollars. Expected Completion Region Constraint Indicative Development Estimated Cost Sydney Load Growth Kingsford ZS Additional Transformer July-20 $5.4m Central Coast Load Growth Warnervale 132/11kV ZS Sep-20 $27.3m A description of these identified constraints and potential credible solutions to them follows. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 212 12.6.4.1 Warnervale 132/11kV zone substation Anticipated load growth from the Warnervale Mini City and Wyong Employment Zone initiatives are expected to result in a load growth constraint in the area. Options to address this issue included: Development of a new Warnervale 132/11kV ZS by September 2015 Load transfers to nearby Charmhaven ZS Demand management and/or local generation. The most likely network option to address the constraint is the development of a new Warnervale 132/11kV ZS by September 2020. Potential credible network and non-network options will be assessed under the new RIT-D process to identify the preferred option to address the identified load growth constraint. 12.6.4.2 Kingsford ZS additional transformer Initially a new 132/11kV 50MVA transformer will be required to allow for load transfer from Clovelly ZS to Kingsford ZS. The compound-filled 11kV switchgear at Clovelly ZS requires replacement. Ultimately the new transformer will be required to provide additional capacity due to load growth in the area. The capacity of 132kV feeder 265 will also require to be upgraded to avoid a capacity constraint at Kingsford. The options considered included: Load transfer permanently to Kingsford ZS, and retire Section 1 of Clovelly 11kV switchgear Load transfer to Waverley ZS Load transfer to Kingsford ZS to allow replacement of Section 1 of Clovelly 11kV switchgear. The most likely network option is to install a new transformer at Kingsford ZS to facilitate the replacement of 11kV switchgear at Clovelly ZS. Potential credible network and non-network options will be assessed under the new RIT-D process to identify the preferred option to address the identified load growth constraint. 12.7 Dual Function Connection Points The NER requires a TNSP to set out planning proposals for dual function connection points. Ausgrid’s joint planning with customers, TransGrid and other NSPs may involve the establishment of new connection points. These augmentations are driven by constraints on the distribution network. However, when the augmentation options are considered in the future, the preferred solution may comprise a mix of dual function and distribution network augmentations. Planning of new or augmented connections involves consultation between Ausgrid and the connecting party, the determination of technical requirements, and the completion of connection agreements. New connections can result from joint planning with TransGrid, other DNSPs, or be initiated by generators or customers through the application to connect process. In the following sections, proposals for augmentations to the capacity of existing dual function connection points and proposed new connection points that may be provided over the next five years are identified. 12.7.1 Augmentation of existing dual function connection points Ausgrid has identified constraints to the capacity of existing dual function connection points as tabulated below. Region Refer to section Sydney 12.6.1.1 Sydney 12.6.4.2 Proposed solution Identified limitation Timing Top Ryde ZS Additional Transformer Load growth Jun-16 Kingsford ZS Additional Transformer Load growth Mar-17 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 213 12.7.2 Proposed new dual function connection points Ausgrid has identified proposed new dual function network connection points as tabulated below. 12.8 Region Refer to section Proposal Purpose Timing Sydney 12.4.2.1 Belmore Park 132/11kV Zone Substation Licence condition N-2 security standard Jan-14 Sydney 12.8.1.3 Hurstville North 132kV Conversion Replace existing 33kV (distribution) infrastructure Feb-14 Sydney 12.8.1.5 Waverley 132kV conversion Replace existing 33kV (distribution) infrastructure Nov-13 Sydney 12.8.1.6 New Rose Bay 132/11kV Zone Substation replace the existing Rose Bay ZS Mar-14 Sydney 12.8.1.6 Rockdale 132/11kV Zone Substation Replace existing 33kV (distribution) infrastructure Sep-15 Sydney 12.8.1.7 South Strathfield 132/11kV Zone Substation (previously known as Enfield) Replace existing 33kV (distribution) infrastructure Sep-16 Sydney 12.8.10 Alexandria 132/33kV STS Replace existing 33kV (distribution) infrastructure Mar-16 Central Coast 12.6.4.1 Warnervale 132/11kV Zone Substation New connection point Sep-16 Hunter 12.4.2.3 Brandy Hill 132/11kV Zone Substation Replace existing 33kV (distribution) infrastructure Jan-14 Dual function replacement projects In addition to developing its dual function network to meet forecast electricity demand, Ausgrid is required to maintain the capability of its existing network. Ausgrid has developed a long term program of asset replacement in which condition based monitoring and asset performance data form the basis of an asset management strategy. The program considers the risk and consequence of failure, asset sustainability, population size and the availability of technology and spares. This section outlines the dual function asset replacement projects which Ausgrid is progressing or proposes to progress in the next ten years. The identification of potential replacement projects does not indicate a supply reliability risk. Replacement programs are planned a number of years into the future to allow Ausgrid to schedule works in order for it to continue to provide a reliable electricity supply to customers. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 214 12.8.1 Identified dual function replacement projects Estimated costs are in real 2013/14 dollars. Region Refer to section Refurbishment Timing Estimated Cost Sydney 12.8.1.1 Replacement of Kurnell 33/11kV substation with a new 132/11kV Substation Mar-14 $14.8m Sydney 12.8.1.2 Canterbury STS 132kV Busbar Replacement and 33kV Switchgear Replacement Jan-17 $46.6m Sydney 12.8.1.3 Replacement of Hurstville North 33/11kV substation with a new 132/11kV Substation Feb-14 $32.6m Sydney 12.8.1.4 Peakhurst STS to Bunnerong STS and Beaconsfield BSP 132kV Feeders 91L & 91M Replacement May-14 $209.8m Sydney 12.8.1.5 Replacement of Waverley ZS with new 132/11kV Substation Nov-13 $29.4m Sydney 12.8.1.6 New Rose Bay 132/11kV Zone Substation Mar 14 $98.4m Sydney 12.8.1.7 Replacement of Rockdale 132/11kV Zone Substation Sep-15 $32.3m Sydney 12.8.1.8 Replacement of Enfield 33kV ZS with new Strathfield South 132/11kV Substation Sep-16 $33.1m Sydney 12.8.1.9 Mason Park STS to Meadowbank ZS 132kV Feeder 90X & Mason Park STS to Top Ryde Feeder 92F Replacement Sep-16 $46.8m Sydney 12.8.1.10 Beaconsfield BSP132kV Busbar Replacement – Feeder Reconnections Nov-16 $32.9m Sydney 12.8.1.11 Alexandria 132/33kV STS Sep-16 $40.2m Sydney 12.8.1.12 Lane Cove STSS to Meadowbank ZS 132kV Feeder 92J & Lane Cove STSS to Top Ryde Feeder 92G Replacement Sep-19 $50.6m Sydney 12.8.1.13 Haymarket BSP to Pyrmont STS 132kV Feeders 9S6/1 & 9S9/1 Replacement Sep 24 $56.9m Sydney 12.8.1.14 Chullora STS to Beaconsfield BSP Feeders 91X and 91Y decomissioning Mar 23 $1.5m Sydney 12.8.1.15 Campbell St ZS 132kV additional transformer Sep-18 $5.1m Central Coast 12.8.1.16 Gosford STS Refurbishment Dec-14 $5.4m Summary information for the replacement projects not described earlier follows. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 215 12.8.1.1 Replacement of Kurnell with new 132/11kV Substation Kurnell ZS (distribution asset) was established in 1960 and is currently a five transformer 33/11kV zone substation. The 11kV switchgear at the existing Kurnell 33/11kV ZS is approaching the end of its service life. Ausgrid is to replace the existing 33/11kV ZS with a new 132/11kV substation on the Kurnell STS site. The substation will be connected from the 132kV GIS busbar at Kurnell STS. No non-network alternatives were considered to be viable alternatives to this project. This project is committed. 12.8.1.2 Canterbury STS 132kV Busbar Replacement and 33kV Switchgear Replacement Canterbury STS was established in 1961 and is currently a four transformer 132/33kV sub-transmission substation. In TAPR 2013 it was mentioned that the 132kV busbar has been identified as being inadequate to meet increased fault levels on the sub-transmission system following the completion of proposed new connections to Beaconsfield BSP and Peakhurst STS. The 33kV switchgear has been identified as approaching the end of its service life, while the 33kV busbar height does not meet current standards. Replacement of the 132kV outdoor busbar with indoor GIS to meet increased fault levels and the replacement of the outdoor 33kV switchgear with an indoor busbar and switchgear are now under a single project. No non-network alternatives were considered to be viable alternatives to this project. This project is committed. 12.8.1.3 Replacement of Hurstville North with new 132/11kV Substation Hurstville North ZS (distribution asset) was established in 1962 and is currently a three transformer 33/11kV zone substation. The compound 11kV switchgear and the 33kV gas-filled feeders from Peakhurst STS (774 and 708) have been identified as approaching the end of their service life and have been prioritised for replacement. In addition, the 33kV busbar height does not meet current standards. Ausgrid is to replace the existing 33/11kV ZS with a new 132/11kV substation in the Hurstville area. The substation will be connected by looping into the new 132kV feeders from Peakhurst STS to Kogarah ZS (distribution asset). An Application Notice (Development of Hurstville North Zone Substation) was published in December 2008 outlining the issues and a preliminary application of the regulatory test. The project was internally approved in April 2010. A Final Report was issued on 30 June 2010. No non-network alternatives were considered to be viable alternatives to this project. This project is committed. 12.8.1.4 Peakhurst STS to Bunnerong STS and Beaconsfield BSP 132kV Feeders 91L & 91M Replacement The existing 132kV feeders 91L and 91M/1 (Peakhurst STS to Bunnerong STS and Beaconsfield BSP respectively) and 91M/3 (from Beaconsfield BSP to Bunnerong STS) comprise of oil-filled cables commissioned in the early 1970’s. These cables are at the end of their service life and have been prioritised for replacement. They incur significant maintenance costs as they require extended repair times and specialist cable jointing. In addition, failure of the cables can lead to oil leaks with the potential for environmental damage. Ausgrid is to replace 91L and 91M/1 with XLPE cable forming the following 132kV feeders: From Beaconsfield BSP to Canterbury STS From Beaconsfield BSP to the future Hurstville North ZS via Kogarah ZS, and From Canterbury STS to Kogarah ZS 91M/3 between Mill Pond Road and Bunnerong STS will be replaced like-for-like with XLPE cable. A Final Report (Replacement of 132kV Feeders 91L and 91M Peakhurst to Bunnerong and Beaconsfield) was issued in May 2010. These works are planned to be completed by November 2013. This project is committed. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 216 12.8.1.5 Replacement of Waverley Zone Substation with 132/11kV Substation In TAPR 2012 it was identified that the existing Waverley 33/11kV ZS (a distribution asset established in 1929) 11kV switchgear needs replacement and that the 33kV supply feeders from Surry Hills STS (390, 391 and 396) are approaching the end of their service life. It was also identified that the most likely option to address these asset condition issues is to replace the existing Waverley 33/11kV ZS with a new 132/11kV substation, connected by looping into one of the new committed 132kV feeders from the Sydney CBD area supplying the new Rose Bay 132/11kV ZS. Since the project was driven by the replacement of aged assets, rather than demand growth, non-network options were not considered. As this is a replacement project with no network augmentation component the publication of a Dual Function Asset Consultation Paper or Final Report was not required. This is a committed project and the works are planned to be completed by November 2013. 12.8.1.6 New Rose Bay 132/11kV Zone Substation Previous TAPRs identified that the existing Rose Bay 33/11kV ZS equipment and feeders (distribution assets) are approaching the end of their service life and that there is an emerging winter load constraint in the Rose Bay area. Options considered include: New 132/11kV Rose Bay zone substation 33kV supply retained for Rose Bay ZS - This option involves the construction of a new substation with three 33MVA transformers and supplied by dedicated 33kV feeders from Surry Hills STS. Under this option it is also proposed that Surry Hills ZS be converted to 132kV supply as this driven by loading on 132kV cables to Surry Hills STS. The preferred option to address these issues was to replace the existing Rose Bay ZS with a new 132/11kV zone substation. The substation will be connected to new 132kV feeders to be developed from the vicinity of the Sydney CBD. A consultation process was carried out in accordance with clause 5.6.6 of the NER. As the total augmentation component of the projects was under $20M, publication of an Application Notice was not required. A Final Report (Rose Bay 132kV Conversion and Installation of 132kV Feeders) was published in December 2009. Since the project was driven by replacement of aged assets, rather than demand growth, non-network options were not considered. The preferred and committed project is option 1 - New Rose Bay 132/11kV ZS. 12.8.1.7 Replacement of Rockdale with new 132/11kV Substation Rockdale ZS (distribution asset) was established in 1971 and is currently a two transformer 33/11kV zone substation. The compound 11kV switchgear and the 33kV gas-filled feeders from Peakhurst STS (775 and 776) have been identified as approaching the end of their service life and have been prioritised for replacement. In addition, the 33kV busbar height does not meet current standards. The most likely option is to replace the existing 33/11kV ZS with a new 132/11kV substation in the Rockdale area. The substation will be connected by looping into the committed new 132kV feeder from Kogarah to Canterbury. No non-network options were considered to be viable alternatives to this project. 12.8.1.8 Strathfield South132/11kV Zone Substation There are emerging asset condition issues in the area. The 11kV compound switchgear at Enfield 33/11kV ZS is approaching the end of its service life and is prioritised for replacement in the period 2017-19. Several 33kV gas filled feeders have also been prioritised for replacement in the period 2012-2017. Potential credible options identified to address this issue include: A new Strathfield South 132/11kV ZS (previously referred to as Enfield 132/11kV ZS in TAPR 2013) A new Enfield 33/11kV ZS, and Demand management and/or local generation. The most likely network option is to develop a new Enfield 132/11kV ZS replacement asset. Investigation of non-network options will continue to be pursued. This project is expected to be completed by September 2016. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 217 12.8.1.9 Mason Park STS to Meadowbank ZS 132kV Feeder 90X and Mason Park STS to Top Ryde Feeder 92F Replacement The 132kV feeder 90X from Mason Park STSS to Meadowbank ZS comprises an oil-filled section made up of two parallel cables, 90XA and 90XB, of approximately 2km in length which were commissioned in the 1980’s. The 132kV feeder 92F from Mason Park STSS to Top Ryde ZS comprises an oil-filled section made up of two parallel cables, 92FA and 92FB, of approximately 4km in length which were commissioned in the 1960’s. The oil filled cables 92FA, 92FB, 90XA and 9XB have been identified as approaching the end of their service life. The most likely option is to replace the oil-filled cable sections with XLPE cable. 12.8.1.10 Beaconsfield BSP 132kV - Ausgrid Feeder Reconnections TransGrid’s Beaconsfield 330/132kV substation is a major point of supply to Ausgrid for the electricity needs of the southern and inner metropolitan region of Sydney. TransGrid has determined that the 132kV busbar at the Beaconsfield BSP has reached the end of its technical life and is due for replacement. Due to emerging asset condition issues and the need for additional 132kV connections by Ausgrid, TransGrid is undertaking a project that will replace the existing gas insulated busbar and allow the transfer of existing Ausgrid cables to a new Southern GIS busbar (BFS) and a new Northern GIS busbar (BFN). Ausgrid will reconnect 12 existing cables, five to BFS and seven to BFN in two stages, with all works planned to be completed by December 2015. This is a committed project. No non-network alternatives were considered to be viable alternatives to this project. Provision will also be made for the termination of Ausgrid’s new 132kV feeders from Green Square (90T), Haymarket BSP (9S4), Canterbury STS (906), and Hurstville North ZS (91H/2). The 132kV feeder from Green Square (90T) is a committed project. 12.8.1.11 Alexandria 132/33kV STS Mascot ZS 11kV switchgear and the Sydney Airport 33kV switchgear and 33kV cables are approaching the end of their service life and are due for replacement by September 2016. Replacement options are still under consideration, however the most likely option will be the establishment of Alexandria STS to create a 33kV supply point close to Sydney Airport and a large data centre nearby supplied at 33kV. The primary driver for the establishment of Alexandria STS is asset replacementand the augmentation component to provide additional capacity to new data centres at Green Square and Mascot required from mid 2014 is estimated to cost less than $10 million. The options under consideration are: Refurbish Mascot 33/11kV ZS and establish a new 132/33kV STS at Alexandria Construct a new Mascot 132/11kV ZS and establish a new 132/33kV STS at Alexandria Construct a new Mascot 132/11kV ZS and maintain Bunnerong North STS supply Refurbish Mascot 33/11kV ZS and maintain Bunnerong North STS supply. A consultation paper was issued in August 2013. A demand management screening test is currently underway. If demand management investigations conclude it would be reasonable to expect that a nonnetwork option could defer supply side options, this will be incorporated as part of the assessment of solution under the relevant economic test. A Final Report will detail the outcomes of the economic assessment and the preferred solution. 12.8.1.12 Lane Cove STS to Meadowbank ZS 132kV Feeder 92J and Lane Cove STS to Top Ryde 132kV Feeder 92G Replacement The 132kV feeder 92J from Lane Cove STS to Meadowbank ZS comprises a section of two parallel oil-filled underground cables, 92JA and 92JB, approximately 12.9km long which were commissioned in the 1960’s. The 132kV feeder 92G from Lane Cove STS to Top Ryde ZS comprises a section of two parallel oil-filled underground cables, 92GA and 92GB, approximately 7.2km long which were commissioned in the 1960’s. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 218 The oil filled cables 92JA, 92JB, 92GA and 92GB have been identified as approaching the end of their service life. Replacement options are still under consideration, however the most likely option is to replace the oil-filled cable sections with XLPE cable. 12.8.1.13 Haymarket BSP to Pyrmont STS 132kV Feeders 9S6/1 and 9S9/1 Replacement The 132kV underground feeders 9S6/1 and 9S9/1 from Haymarket BSP to Pyrmont STS were commissioned in the 1980’s and comprise an oil-filled section of approximately 2km in length and for the most part are oilfilled cables. The oil filled cables 9S6/1 and 9S9/1 have been identified as approaching the end of their service life. Replacement options are still under consideration, however the most likely option is to replace the oil-filled cable sections with XLPE cable. 12.8.1.14 Chullora STS to Beaconsfield BSP 132kV Feeders 91X and 91Y Replacement The 132kV feeders 91X and 91Y from Chullora STS to Beaconsfield BSP comprise of two oil-filled underground cable sections, with one section consisting of two cables 91X/1 and 91X/2, and the other section consisting of cables 91Y/1 and 91Y/2. Both feeders 91X and 91Y are of approximately 16.2km in length and were commissioned in the 1970’s. These cables have been identified as approaching the end of their service life. Replacement options are still under consideration, however the most likely option is to decommission these cables in March 2023. 12.8.1.15 Campbell Street Additional Transformer Due to the condition of 33kV feeders 386, 388 & 389 - Surry Hills STS to Darlinghurst ZS, these feeders are required to be replaced by December 20018. Potential credible replacement solutions include: decommission Darlinghurst ZS via an 11kV load transfer to Campbell Street ZS / Padington ZS which requires installation of an additional transformer and 11kV switchgear at Campbell St ZS, and a like for like feeder replacement at Darlinghurst ZS. 12.8.1.16 Gosford STS 132/66/33kV Substation Refurbishment Gosford STS was established in 1972 and is currently a four transformer 132/66/33kV sub-transmission substation. Most of the steel structures in the Gosford STS yard have been scheduled for replacement. The 132kV, 66kV and 33kV isolator supports, voltage transformer (VT) and current transformer (CT) supports and lightning protection mast structures have deteriorated and require replacement. Ausgrid has also scheduled circuit breakers, CTs, VTs, transformer bushings and some protection equipment at Gosford STS for replacement due to condition issues. No non-network alternatives were considered to be viable alternatives to this project. 12.9 Urgent and unforeseen dual function projects There were no dual function asset RIT-T projects or Regulatory Test projects required to address an urgent or unforeseen network investment in the preceding year. 12.10 National Transmission Statement The annual National Transmission Statement (NTS) is the outcome of the Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) annual national transmission review. It provides an integrated overview of the current state and potential future development of National Transmission Flow Paths (NTFPs). The NTS includes a review of the: national transmission flow paths historical and forecast utilisation and constraints in respect of the national transmission flow paths, and options that are technically capable of relieving forecast constraints in respect of national transmission flow paths. A copy of the annual National Transmission Statement is available on AEMO’s website at www.aemo.com.au Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 219 12.10.1 NSW Responsibility In the NTS, network augmentation proposals by TNSPs that affect NTFPs are taken into account by AEMO in the development of conceptual augmentation options and market development scenarios. TransGrid is the Jurisdictional Planning Body (JPB) for NSW in the NEM. In this role TransGrid: represents the NSW jurisdiction on the Inter-Regional Planning Committee (IRPC), and provides jurisdictional information to the IRPC to enable it to assist AEMO in producing its annual Statement of Opportunities (SOO) and NTS. Accordingly, TransGrid is responsible for providing information concerning transmission developments in NSW which may affect the power transfer capacity of NTFPs. Further details are available on TransGrid’s website at www.transgrid.com.au 12.11 Requests for Proposal The commencement of the NER Network Planning and Expansion Rule on 1 January, 2013 required all DNSPs to develop and publish a demand side engagement strategy document, and develop and maintain a demand side register of interested parties by 31 August, 2013. For Ausgrid, these obligations are similar to the former jurisdictional requirements under the Demand Management Code. Dual function assets are treated as distribution network assets under the Network Planning and Expansion rule. Ausgrid is therefore not required to issue Requests for Proposal as our public consultation for nonnetwork solutions such as local generation and demand management is carried out under our demand side engagement strategy. From 1 January, 2014, the results of non-network option screening tests, including consultations via Non-network Options Reports or Notices, will also be published on our web site for any identified network needs that will require a project evaluation and consultation under the RIT-D. More information on Ausgrid’s demand management activities in the preceding year and planned future activities is detailed in the DAPR chapter 9 - Demand Management. Ausgrid publishes all demand management public consultation papers and our Demand Management Investigation Reports on the Ausgrid web site at www.ausgrid.com.au. 12.12 Demand Forecasts Ausgrid has made significant process changes to the forecasting methodology – particularly relating to the probabilistic weather correction and load normalisation, implementation of a new forecasting information technology platform, and the inclusion of econometric growth data into the spatial forecasts. Ausgrid’s dual function asset network forecasts are developed in conjunction with the distribution network forecasts. A description of the forecasting methodology and assumptions used is presented in DAPR section 3.1. The demand growth figures used in this update to TAPR 2013 are based on Ausgrid loads at Bulk Supply Points excluding the direct loads of Hydro Aluminium, BHP Billiton and inter-distributor transfers. The peak demand figures are weather corrected and reflect a 50% probability of exceedance (PoE). On the whole, the forecasts for demand growth are lower than previous forecasts, continuing a recent trend. Factors contributing to the lower demand growth include: a high Australian dollar dampening manufacturing sector the lingering effects of the Global Financial Crisis energy efficiency impacts of Government policy in areas such as building construction under the Building Code of Australia, and electrical appliance Minimum Energy Performance Standards recent rapid uptake of rooftop Solar PV embedded generation driven by state government incentives - ie Solar Bonus Scheme, and recent electricity price rises and the resultant customer response to decrease their demand. While at the aggregate level the demand growth is lower, the growth rates differ by location with rates ranging from slightly negative to moderately increasing. Because of this spatial diversity, a requirement for growth driven investment remains. Summer is confirmed as the dominant season. However, there are still a significant number of substations and corresponding load areas that peak in winter, or both summer and winter. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 220 12.12.1 Ausgrid Network Global Peak Demand Forecasts This section presents forecasts of demand for the Ausgrid network, covering: Network summer peak demand 50% Probability of Exceedence (PoE) in Mega Watts (MW), and Network winter peak demand 50% PoE in MW. Ausgrid network Summer Global Peak Forecast values are illustrated below. Summer Peak Demand Actual Forecast Based on 2012/13 Actual 7000 6000 5000 4000 W M 3000 2000 1000 0 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 Year TAPR 2013 Update - forecast summer peak demand is based on actual data up to and including summer 2012/13. Ausgrid network Winter Global Peak Forecast values are illustrated below. Winter Peak Demand Actual Forecast Based on 2012 Actual 7000 6000 5000 4000 W M 3000 2000 1000 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Year TAPR 2013 Update - forecast winter peak demand is based on actual data up to and including winter 2012. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 221 12.12.2 Dual Function Substation Demand Forecasts 12.12.2.1 Sydney Region Winter Peak Demands The following Ausgrid 132kV substations are classified as dual function network assets. Their forecast winter peak demand (MW and MVAr) based on Winter 2012 actual load is: Actual Forecast 2012 MW Belmore Park ZS 2013 MVAr MW 2014 MVAr MW 2015 MVAr MW 2016 MVAr MW 2017 MVAr MW 2018 MVAr MW 2019 MVAr MW 2020 MVAr MW 2021 MVAr MW 2022 MVAr MW 2023 MVAr MW MVAr 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.5 1.8 33.8 0.0 51.0 0.0 51.7 0.0 52.2 0.0 52.4 0.0 52.8 0.0 53.1 0.0 53.4 0.0 53.7 17.6 Bunnerong North STS 180.1 2.7 199.4 4.2 184.0 3.5 202.2 0.4 210.6 3.5 212.0 4.0 214.0 4.7 215.7 5.3 217.7 6.0 219.8 6.7 221.9 7.4 224.1 8.2 Campbell St ZS 31.5 10.1 33.4 10.7 33.4 10.7 33.3 10.7 34.4 11.1 35.7 11.5 37.2 12.0 38.7 12.4 40.3 13.0 41.9 13.5 43.7 14.1 45.3 14.6 Canterbury STS 126.3 18.0 132.7 18.6 126.8 15.5 126.3 15.3 127.5 15.9 129.0 16.7 131.2 17.8 133.3 18.8 135.6 19.9 137.9 21.1 140.4 22.4 142.7 23.5 Green Square ZS 27.0 8.8 30.4 9.8 40.0 13.0 39.5 12.8 40.8 13.2 42.3 13.7 44.1 14.3 45.9 14.9 47.8 15.5 49.8 16.1 51.9 16.8 53.8 17.4 Homebush Bay ZS 33.9 6.7 35.9 7.5 42.8 8.9 35.9 7.5 36.3 7.6 36.8 7.7 37.6 7.8 38.3 8.0 39.1 8.1 39.9 8.3 40.8 8.5 41.6 8.7 Hurstville North ZS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.8 0.1 16.4 2.6 16.8 2.7 17.3 2.9 17.9 0.1 18.5 0.3 19.1 0.5 19.7 0.7 20.3 0.9 20.9 1.1 Kingsford ZS 42.2 20.4 46.0 22.3 46.5 22.5 46.3 22.4 47.7 23.1 49.3 23.9 51.2 24.8 53.1 25.7 55.1 26.7 57.1 27.7 59.3 28.7 61.2 29.7 Kogarah ZS 58.5 29.0 62.0 30.7 62.0 30.7 62.0 30.7 64.2 31.7 66.5 32.9 69.4 34.3 72.3 35.8 75.4 37.3 78.5 38.8 81.9 40.5 84.9 42.0 Kurnell STS 39.4 18.2 43.3 2.0 32.4 15.0 20.7 9.6 21.4 9.9 22.2 10.3 23.1 10.7 24.0 11.1 25.0 11.6 26.0 12.0 27.1 12.5 28.0 13.0 Kurnell South ZS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.6 6.0 24.8 11.8 24.9 11.9 25.0 12.0 25.4 12.1 25.7 12.3 26.0 12.4 26.3 12.5 26.6 12.7 26.9 12.9 Maroubra ZS 46.1 18.1 47.9 18.8 48.8 19.1 48.7 19.0 50.3 19.7 52.2 20.4 54.4 21.2 56.5 22.1 58.8 23.0 61.2 23.9 63.7 24.9 66.0 25.8 Marrickville ZS 50.6 10.8 50.7 10.8 49.2 10.5 47.7 10.2 47.8 10.2 48.2 10.3 48.8 10.5 49.3 10.6 49.9 10.7 50.5 10.8 51.1 10.9 51.7 11.1 Meadowbank ZS 54.7 19.3 53.6 18.9 53.0 18.7 54.1 19.1 54.3 19.2 54.7 19.3 55.4 19.6 56.0 19.8 56.7 20.0 57.3 20.2 58.0 20.5 58.7 20.7 Peakhurst STS 141.8 4.9 152.5 5.4 143.0 2.4 133.4 7.5 134.4 7.8 135.8 0.3 138.2 0.9 140.2 1.5 142.5 2.2 144.8 2.8 147.2 3.5 149.5 4.2 Potts Hill ZS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 55.2 15.0 53.6 14.5 53.9 14.6 54.3 14.7 55.2 15.0 55.8 15.2 56.6 15.3 57.3 15.5 58.1 15.8 58.8 16.0 Rose Bay ZS 14.6 13.4 12.2 13.1 11.9 12.8 7.0 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 St Peters ZS 51.9 14.5 54.2 15.2 57.7 16.6 60.3 17.3 62.0 17.8 63.9 18.4 66.4 19.1 68.7 19.7 71.3 20.5 74.0 21.3 76.8 22.1 79.3 22.8 Top Ryde ZS 42.5 8.4 42.4 8.4 43.8 8.7 44.9 8.9 45.1 8.9 45.5 9.0 46.3 9.2 46.9 9.3 47.5 9.4 48.2 9.5 48.9 9.7 49.5 9.8 Waverley ZS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.3 3.3 28.1 6.5 28.2 6.5 28.4 6.5 28.7 6.6 29.0 6.7 29.4 6.8 29.7 6.8 30.1 6.9 30.4 7.0 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 222 12.12.2.2 Sydney Region Summer Peak Demands The following Ausgrid 132kV substations are classified as dual function network assets. Their forecast summer peak demand (MW and MVAr) based on Summer 2012/13 actual load is: Actual 2012/13 MW Belmore Park ZS MVAr Forecast 2013/14 MW MVAr 2014/15 MW MVAr 2015/16 MW MVAr 2016/17 MW MVAr 2017/18 MW MVAr 2018/19 MW MVAr 2019/20 MW MVAr 2020/21 MW MVAr 2021/22 MW MVAr 2022/23 MW MVAr 2023/24 MW MVAr 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.7 2.2 41.8 0.0 63.2 0.0 63.7 0.0 63.8 0.0 64.1 0.0 64.5 0.0 64.9 0.0 65.2 0.0 65.6 21.6 Bunnerong North STS 227.4 2.3 221.6 18.1 238.4 6.4 245.4 9.9 246.3 10.3 248.2 11.2 249.7 11.9 251.2 12.7 252.9 13.5 254.6 14.3 256.3 15.2 258.2 16.1 Campbell St ZS 40.6 16.0 41.4 16.3 41.7 16.4 41.9 16.5 43.2 17.0 45.0 17.7 46.6 18.4 48.3 19.0 50.1 19.7 51.9 20.5 53.8 21.2 55.5 21.9 Canterbury STS 128.2 2.1 127.4 1.2 129.8 2.2 130.1 2.3 133.3 3.5 137.5 5.1 141.3 6.6 145.6 8.3 150.1 10.0 154.8 11.8 159.5 13.7 163.8 15.3 Green Square ZS 27.1 21.3 38.2 30.0 42.6 33.4 39.8 31.3 41.7 32.7 44.0 34.6 46.3 36.4 48.6 38.2 51.1 40.1 53.7 42.2 56.4 44.3 58.8 46.2 Homebush Bay ZS 44.2 12.3 51.0 14.2 50.1 13.9 43.9 12.2 44.1 12.2 44.6 12.4 44.9 12.5 45.5 12.6 46.1 12.8 46.8 13.0 47.4 13.2 48.0 13.3 Hurstville North ZS 0.0 0.0 11.2 1.8 20.5 2.8 20.1 2.6 20.2 2.7 20.5 2.8 20.7 2.9 20.9 3.0 21.1 0.1 21.3 0.1 21.5 0.2 21.7 0.3 Kingsford ZS 33.7 16.3 37.0 17.9 37.2 18.0 37.4 18.1 38.5 18.7 40.1 19.4 41.5 20.1 42.9 20.8 44.4 21.5 46.0 22.3 47.5 23.0 48.9 23.7 Kogarah ZS 67.5 32.7 68.8 33.3 68.7 33.3 68.6 33.2 70.3 34.1 72.6 35.2 74.7 36.2 76.9 37.2 79.1 38.3 81.5 39.5 83.8 40.6 86.0 41.6 Kurnell STS 39.9 23.9 31.9 1.1 21.0 12.6 20.5 12.3 20.6 12.3 20.9 12.5 21.0 12.6 21.2 12.7 21.3 12.8 21.5 12.9 21.7 13.0 21.9 13.1 Kurnell South ZS 0.0 0.0 12.3 3.8 24.3 7.5 23.6 7.3 23.5 7.3 23.6 7.3 23.7 7.3 23.7 7.3 23.6 7.3 23.6 7.3 23.6 7.3 23.6 7.3 Maroubra ZS 42.0 14.9 45.1 16.1 44.8 16.0 44.5 15.9 45.4 16.2 46.7 16.6 47.7 17.0 48.9 17.4 50.0 17.9 51.2 18.3 52.4 18.7 53.5 19.1 Marrickville ZS 45.1 19.9 45.8 20.2 44.4 19.6 43.1 19.0 42.9 18.9 43.0 19.0 43.0 19.0 42.9 18.9 42.9 18.9 42.8 18.9 42.8 18.9 42.8 18.9 Meadowbank ZS 63.0 20.5 71.0 23.1 74.6 24.3 75.2 24.5 77.7 25.3 81.0 26.4 84.1 27.4 87.3 28.4 90.6 29.5 94.0 30.6 97.5 31.7 100.7 32.8 Peakhurst STS 157.4 28.1 161.5 15.2 155.0 12.4 155.3 12.5 159.6 14.3 165.5 16.8 170.9 19.0 176.4 21.3 182.3 23.7 188.4 26.3 194.7 28.9 200.3 31.2 Potts Hill ZS 0.0 0.0 61.0 24.6 59.8 24.2 58.7 23.7 59.1 23.9 59.9 24.2 60.5 24.5 61.2 24.7 61.9 25.0 62.6 25.3 63.2 25.5 63.9 25.8 Rose Bay ZS 10.1 4.9 10.9 4.8 10.7 4.8 6.8 2.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 St Peters ZS 61.6 23.8 67.4 26.4 69.9 27.4 69.4 27.2 70.7 27.7 72.6 28.4 74.2 29.1 76.1 29.8 78.1 30.6 80.1 31.4 82.2 32.2 84.0 32.9 Top Ryde ZS 52.9 16.4 53.7 16.6 56.1 17.3 57.6 17.8 59.3 18.3 61.5 19.0 63.6 19.7 65.6 20.3 67.6 20.9 69.8 21.6 72.0 22.3 74.0 22.9 Waverley ZS 0.0 0.0 10.5 3.7 20.8 7.4 20.5 7.3 20.7 7.3 21.1 7.5 21.4 7.6 21.7 7.7 22.1 7.8 22.4 7.9 22.7 8.0 23.0 8.1 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 223 12.12.2.3 Central Coast Region Winter Peak Demands The following Ausgrid 132kV substations are classified as dual function network assets. Their forecast winter peak demand (MW and MVAr) based on Winter 2012 actual load is: Actual Forecast 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr Charmhaven ZS 33.7 6.8 33.4 6.8 29.4 6.0 28.6 5.9 29.0 5.9 29.4 6.0 29.8 6.1 30.3 6.2 30.8 6.3 31.3 6.4 31.9 6.5 32.4 6.6 Gosford STS (33kV) 20.1 4.3 20.6 4.3 20.3 4.2 20.0 4.1 20.5 4.2 21.0 4.3 21.4 4.4 22.0 4.6 22.6 4.7 23.2 4.8 23.9 4.9 24.5 5.1 Gosford STS (66kV) 114.0 22.0 116.4 2.6 114.5 2.1 112.6 1.6 115.2 2.3 117.9 3.0 120.4 3.7 123.5 4.6 126.8 5.5 130.1 6.4 133.7 7.4 137.1 8.4 Ourimbah STS (33kV) 13.1 3.2 13.6 3.3 15.2 3.7 15.1 3.7 15.5 3.8 16.0 3.9 16.4 4.0 16.9 4.1 17.4 4.2 18.0 4.4 18.6 4.5 19.1 4.6 Ourimbah STS (66kV) 43.7 28.0 46.7 27.8 46.4 27.6 46.0 27.3 47.2 28.0 48.4 28.7 49.5 29.4 50.9 30.2 52.4 31.1 53.9 32.0 55.5 32.9 57.0 33.8 Somersby ZS 15.1 6.2 18.1 7.4 16.9 7.0 16.7 6.8 17.1 7.0 17.5 7.2 17.8 7.3 18.3 7.5 18.8 7.7 19.3 7.9 19.8 8.1 20.3 8.3 West Gosford ZS 37.5 9.4 41.6 1.4 42.1 1.6 40.8 1.2 41.2 1.3 41.6 1.4 41.9 1.5 42.4 1.6 42.9 1.8 43.4 1.9 44.0 2.0 44.6 2.2 Wyong ZS 29.9 7.5 33.0 8.3 32.0 8.0 31.1 7.8 31.3 7.8 31.6 7.9 31.8 8.0 32.1 8.0 32.5 8.1 32.9 8.2 33.3 8.3 33.8 8.5 12.12.2.4 Central Coast Region Summer Peak Demands The following Ausgrid 132kV substations are classified as dual function network assets. Their forecast summer peak demand (MW and MVAr) based on Summer 2012/13 actual load is: Actual 2012/13 Forecast 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr Charmhaven ZS 45.1 15.8 38.8 13.5 34.9 12.2 34.7 12.1 35.5 12.4 36.1 12.6 36.8 12.8 37.7 13.1 38.6 13.5 39.5 13.8 40.5 14.1 41.4 14.5 Gosford STS (33kV) 26.6 11.7 22.0 11.8 22.2 11.9 22.4 12.0 23.1 12.4 23.7 12.8 24.3 13.1 25.2 13.6 26.2 14.1 27.2 14.7 28.3 15.3 29.3 15.8 Gosford STS (66kV) 135.0 56.0 125.7 12.4 126.2 12.7 126.7 12.8 130.5 14.4 134.0 15.9 137.8 17.4 142.2 19.3 146.8 1.5 151.7 3.6 156.8 5.7 161.4 7.6 Ourimbah STS (33kV) 14.1 5.4 14.7 5.7 16.3 6.3 16.3 6.2 16.5 6.3 16.8 6.4 17.0 6.5 17.4 6.7 17.7 6.8 18.1 6.9 18.4 7.1 18.8 7.2 Ourimbah STS (66kV) 52.0 32.5 40.0 32.4 39.9 32.3 39.7 32.2 40.4 32.8 41.0 33.3 41.6 33.8 42.4 34.5 43.3 35.2 44.2 35.9 45.1 36.6 46.0 37.4 Somersby ZS 16.0 6.3 17.4 6.9 15.9 6.3 15.4 6.1 15.3 6.1 15.2 6.0 15.1 5.9 15.0 5.9 15.0 5.9 14.9 5.9 14.9 5.9 14.9 5.9 West Gosford ZS 46.1 22.3 47.1 25.9 45.7 25.1 44.2 24.3 44.0 24.2 43.6 24.0 43.3 23.8 43.2 23.8 43.1 23.7 43.0 23.6 42.9 23.6 42.9 23.6 Wyong ZS 34.0 11.2 33.9 11.1 32.8 10.8 32.8 10.8 32.5 10.7 32.2 10.6 31.9 10.5 31.8 10.4 31.7 10.4 31.6 10.4 31.5 10.4 31.6 10.4 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 224 12.12.2.5 Hunter Region Winter Peak Demands The following Ausgrid 132kV substations are classified as dual function network assets. Their forecast winter peak demand (MW and MVAr) based on Winter 2012 actual load is: Actual Forecast 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr Kurri 132kV ZS 20.1 5.9 18.7 1.9 18.7 1.9 18.6 1.9 19.2 2.2 19.7 2.6 20.3 2.9 21.1 0.4 21.9 0.8 22.7 1.3 23.5 1.8 24.3 2.3 Kurri STS 88.8 23.9 98.7 26.6 98.1 26.4 97.3 26.2 98.8 26.6 100.4 27.0 102.4 27.6 104.7 28.2 107.2 28.9 109.7 29.5 112.4 30.3 115.0 31.0 Muswellbrook STS 17.9 5.0 16.0 4.7 12.6 3.7 12.3 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Mitchell Line STS 61.2 23.4 61.4 23.7 64.7 25.0 65.0 25.1 65.3 25.2 65.6 25.3 66.2 25.5 66.9 25.8 67.5 26.0 68.3 26.3 69.1 26.6 69.8 26.9 Singleton STS 135.0 31.8 138.1 33.0 141.5 34.3 170.0 44.8 170.3 44.9 170.6 45.0 171.3 45.3 172.0 45.5 172.7 45.8 173.5 46.1 174.3 46.4 175.3 46.7 Brandy Hill 132kV ZS 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.4 2.4 0.6 9.6 3.3 9.8 3.4 9.9 3.4 10.2 3.5 10.4 3.6 10.7 3.7 10.9 3.8 11.2 3.9 11.5 4.0 Rothbury ZS 6.1 0.0 8.4 0.5 9.3 0.6 9.2 0.6 9.5 0.6 9.8 0.7 10.1 0.7 10.4 0.7 10.8 0.7 11.2 0.7 11.6 0.8 11.9 0.8 12.12.2.6 Hunter Region Summer Peak Demands The following Ausgrid 132kV substations are classified as dual function network assets. Their forecast summer peak demand (MW and MVAr) based on Summer 2012/13 actual load is: Actual 2012/13 Forecast 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr MW MVAr Kurri 132kV ZS 27.3 7.5 27.3 1.4 27.6 1.5 27.9 1.6 28.5 1.8 29.3 2.1 30.1 2.5 31.1 2.8 32.2 0.2 33.3 0.7 34.4 1.1 35.5 1.5 Kurri STS 124.2 9.6 136.9 10.6 136.9 10.6 136.9 10.6 138.4 10.7 140.7 10.9 143.3 11.1 146.3 11.4 149.5 11.6 152.9 11.9 156.4 12.1 159.7 12.4 Muswellbrook STS 22.1 5.3 20.0 4.3 19.5 4.2 19.4 4.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Mitchell Line STS 73.9 30.6 80.7 32.0 81.8 32.5 81.8 32.5 82.1 32.6 82.9 32.9 83.6 33.2 84.5 33.6 85.4 34.0 86.5 34.4 87.5 34.8 88.5 35.2 Singleton STS 145.4 47.8 137.9 45.3 151.3 51.4 169.8 59.8 170.4 60.0 171.4 60.5 172.3 60.9 173.5 61.4 174.6 62.0 175.9 62.5 177.2 63.1 178.5 63.7 Brandy Hill 132kV ZS 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.3 8.1 3.3 8.1 3.3 8.2 3.4 8.4 3.4 8.6 3.5 8.8 3.6 9.1 3.7 9.3 3.8 9.5 3.9 9.8 4.0 Rothbury ZS 10.1 2.6 14.8 4.1 14.7 4.1 14.7 4.1 14.9 4.1 15.1 4.2 15.4 4.3 15.7 4.4 16.0 4.5 16.4 4.5 16.7 4.6 17.1 4.7 Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 225 13 Appendix 1 - Glossary Primary distribution feeder Distribution line connecting a sub-transmission asset to either other distribution lines that are not sub-transmission lines, or to distribution assets that are not sub-transmission assets Sub-transmission Any part of the power system which operates to deliver electricity from the higher voltage transmission system to the distribution network and which may form part of the distribution network, including zone substations NER National Electricity Rules AER Australian Energy Regulator AEMC The Australian Energy Market Commission is the rule maker and developer for Australian energy markets DNSP A Distribution Network Service Provider who engages in the activity of owning, controlling, or operating a distribution system, such as Endeavour Energy, Ausgrid and Essential Energy DAPR Distribution Annual Planning Report prepared by a Distribution Network Service Provider under National Electricity Rules clause 5.13.2 V volt A volt is the unit of potential or electrical pressure W watt A measurement of the power present when a current of one ampere flows under a potential of one volt kW kilowatt One kW = 1000 watts KWh kilowatt hour The standard unit of energy which represents the consumption of electrical energy at the rate of one kilowatt for one hour kV kilovolt One kV = 1000 volts MW megawatt One MW = 1000 kW or one million watts MWh megawatt hour One MWh = 1000 kilowatt hours GWh gigawatt hour One GWh = 1000 megawatt hours or one million kilowatt hours GJ gigajoule One gigajoule = 1000 megajoules. A joule is the basic unit of energy used in the gas industry equal to the work done when a current of one ampere is passed through a resistance of one ohm for one second Sub-transmission system Consists of 132kV, 66kV and 33kV assets, including dual function assets HV high voltage Consists of 11kV and 22kV distribution assets LV low voltage Consists of 400V and 230V distribution assets TNSP Transmission Network Service Provider pf Power Factor RIT-D Regulatory Investment Test for Distribution Dual function asset Any part of a network owned, operated or controlled by a Distribution Network Service Provider which operates between 66kV and 220kV and which operates in parallel, and provides support, to the higher voltage transmission network and is an asset which forms part of a network that is predominantly a distribution network STPIS Service Target Performance Incentive Scheme SAIDI System Average Interruption Duration Index SAIFI System Average Interruption Frequency Index Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 226 14 Appendix 2 - Design, Reliability & Performance Licence Condition Criteria Design, Reliability and Performance licence conditions: Network Element Load Type CBD Sub-transmission Line Sub-transmission Substation Zone Substation Distribution Feeder Distribution Substation 1 Urban & NonUrban Urban & NonUrban Forecast Demand or Expected Demand Security Standard Customer Interruption Time Any N-26 Nil for 1st credible contingency < 1hr for 2nd credible contingency ≥ 10 MVA N-11 < 1 minute < 10 MVA N2 Best practice repair time CBD Any N-26 Nil for 1st credible contingency < 1hr for 2nd credible contingency Urban & NonUrban Any N-1 < 1 minute CBD Any N-26 Nil for 1st credible contingency < 1hr for 2nd credible contingency ≥ 10 MVA N-11 < 1 minute < 10 MVA N2 Best practice repair time Any Any Any Any N-13 N-14 N N-13 Nil < 4 Hours5 Best practice repair time Nil Any N7 Best practice repair time Urban & NonUrban Urban & NonUrban CBD Urban Non-Urban CBD1 Urban & NonUrban For a Sub-transmission line – Overhead and Zone substation: (a) under N-1 conditions, the forecast demand is not to exceed the thermal capacity for more than 1% of the time i.e. a total aggregate time of 88 hours per annum, up to a maximum of 20% above the thermal capacity under N-1 conditions. (b) under N conditions, a further criterion is that the thermal capacity is required to meet at least 115% of forecast demand. For a Sub-transmission line – Underground, any overhead section may be designed as if it was a Subtransmission line – Overhead, providing the forecast demand does not exceed the thermal capacity of the underground section at any time under N-1 conditions. 2 Under N conditions, thermal capacity is to be provided for greater than 115% of forecast demand. 3 The actual security standard is an enhanced N-1. For a second coincident credible contingency on the CBD triplex system, restricted essential load can still be supplied. 4 By 30 June 2014, expected demand is to be no more than 80% of feeder thermal capacity (under system normal operating conditions) with switchable interconnection to adjacent feeders enabling restoration for an unplanned network element failure. By 30 June 2019, expected demand is to be no more than 75% of feeder thermal capacity. In order to achieve compliance, feeder reinforcement projects may need to be undertaken over more than one regulatory period. In those cases where a number of feeders form an interrelated system (such as a meshed network), the limits apply to the average loading of the feeders within one system. Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 227 5 The timeframe is expected only, and is based on the need to carry out the isolation and restoration switching referred to in note 4. This standard does not apply to interim / staged supplies, i.e. prior to completion of the entire development or to excluded interruptions outside the control of the licence holder. 6 In the CBD area, N-2 equivalent is achieved by the network being normally configured on the basis of N-1 with no interruption of supply when any one line or item of electrical apparatus within a substation is out of service. The licence holder must plan the CBD network to cater for two credible contingencies involving the loss of multiple lines or items of electrical apparatus within a substation, by being able to restore supply within 1 hour. Restoration may be via alternative arrangements (e.g. 11kV interconnections). Distribution and Transmission Annual Planning Report December 2013 228