StatisticsPrelim,May 2007 Work all 8 problems.Pleasebegineachproblemon a newsheetof paper,anddo not use both sidesof the paper(continueon a new sheetof paperif thesolutionwill not fit on a singlesheet). from aN(p, o') population,andlet Xzbeanobservation 1. LetXr be an observation from a N(pt,,to2)population,whereft is a known positiveconstantandXt andXz arc independent. (a) Find a completeandsuffrcientstatisticfor (p, o2). (b) Find the minimumvarianceunbiasedestimatorof p. (c) Showthat X = (X, + X ,) /2 is an unbiasedestimatorof p. Computethevariance of .F andthe estimatorfound in part (b). For what valueof ft will the two variances be equal? 1,2,. fr omt h eint eger s . . ,N . plitehr e placem ent 2 . L e tX r,..., X n bea ran do m samw Obtainthemostpowerfultestfor Ho:N: NeversusHr: rV: N1,whereNl > No. continuous randomvariables.Provethat 3. LetX and Ibe independent P(X <Y) = lF,(y)f ,(y)dy, whereFyis thecdf ofXandfyis thepdf of I'. andidenticallydistributedexponential 4. SupposeXr, X2, andXt areindependent randomvariableswith meanp > 0. FindP(X3> min(Xr,&)). 5. On observingX from a normaldistributionwith meanp andvariance1,a statistician interval[X-1.96,X+1.96]. A Bayesianhastheprior belief declaresthe confidence p normal that is with mean0 andvariancel/3. Computetheposteriorprobability,as a functionof X,that p is in the interval. 6. Let the randomvector(X, n havethejoint density f (x,y I cr,F,T) = ft(o,F,y)*.,-tre-t(l - x - y)'-' ;x > 0,y > 0,.r+ y < 1,u, p,y > 0, to l. wherek(a,F, y) is a normalizingconstantsuchthatthe densityintegrates t (a) Findthemarginaldistributionof I/. (Hint: Makethe transformation .) u= : l-v' (b) Findtheconditional densityofXgiven I'. i'7 7. SupposeXt, . . ., Xn is a random samplefrom I [-rx-utl ,f(xlF,p)=;expl -ff l;x> p,lr> 0,8> 0. PLPJ (a) Findthemethod-of-moments of prandP. estimators (b) Findthemaximum estimators of p andP. likelihood test Considerthe 8. Suppose Xt, ...,Xnisarandom sample fromaN(p,o2)population. ratiotestis equivalent to the of H6:p = 0 vs.Hr: F I 0. Showthatthelikelihood standard whereS is thesample usualt-test,whichis to reiectHoif lJ;Xl ) t..r2''-r' I-fl deviation, and ro,r r_, is such that P(T,-r > t a/z;n-t)= a l 2 with lr-r a t-random variablewith n-l degreesof freedom.