Inferring the Galac\c gravita\onal poten\al with Gaia and friends

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Inferring  the  Galac/c   gravita/onal  poten/al   with  Gaia  and  friends

Robyn Sanderson

NSF Postdoctoral Fellow

Columbia University/NYU

Review  of  ac/on-­‐angle  variables

R.E.  Sanderson  •  LG  Astrosta/s/cs  •  1  June  2015

Review  of  ac/on-­‐angle  variables

R.E.  Sanderson  •  LG  Astrosta/s/cs  •  1  June  2015

The  accreted  stellar  halo  is  clumpy  in  ac/on  space

View  in  Galac/c  coordinates

View  in  ac/on  space  

(using  input  poten/al)

1

R.E.  Sanderson  •  LG  Astrosta/s/cs  •  1  June  2015

0

3

2

6

5 n

*

= 497198

M = 2.7x10

12 b = 8 kpc

M

ü

4

5

L z

0

H kpc

2

Myr

1 L

5

Ac/ons  are  most  clustered  in  the  correct  poten/al

J r

= p

GM

2 E

1

2

L + p

L 2 + 4 GM b

⌘ Potential parameters

Observations

Both

M true

=2.7x10

12 M

R.E.  Sanderson  •  LG  Astrosta/s/cs  •  1  June  2015

Ac/ons  are  most  clustered  in  the  correct  poten/al

J r

= p

GM

2 E

1

2

L + p

L 2 + 4 GM b

⌘ Potential parameters

Observations

Both

M true

=2.7x10

12 M

R.E.  Sanderson  •  LG  Astrosta/s/cs  •  1  June  2015

The  Kullback-­‐Leibler  divergence  measures  clustering

D

KL

( p || q ) =

Z ln

✓ p ( x )

◆ p ( x ) dx q ( x )

Clumpier distribution = larger relative entropy

D

KL

= 1.1

Smoother distribution = smaller relative entropy

D

KL

= 0.4

R.E.  Sanderson  •  LG  Astrosta/s/cs  •  1  June  2015

Tes/ng  the  ac/on-­‐clustering  method

1. Make  a  mock  halo  in  a  known  poten/al  (start  with   accreted  component  only)

2. “Observe”  halo  with  Gaia

3. Find  the  poten/al  that  maximizes  the  KLD

4. Determine  confidence  intervals  (“error  bars”)

5. Compare  the  answer  to  input  values

6. Varia/ons:  incorrect/different  func/onal  forms,  

+smooth  component,  different  error  models,  etc.

For  details,  see  Sanderson,  Helmi,  &  Hogg  2015,  ApJ,  801,  98

R.E.  Sanderson  •  LG  Astrosta/s/cs  •  1  June  2015

Errors  blur,  but  do  not  destroy  the  informa/on

Without errors With Gaia (pre-launch) errors

R.E.  Sanderson  •  LG  Astrosta/s/cs  •  1  June  2015

Sanderson, Helmi, & Hogg, 2015

Results  of  tests  with  a  mock   isochrone   halo

Log

10

conditional probability

Without  errors With  pre-­‐launch  Gaia  errors

67 , 95 , 99 % confidence d

GC equivalents

R.E.  Sanderson  •  LG  Astrosta/s/cs  •  1  June  2015

Simulated  stellar  halo  in  cosmological  poten/al

15  thin  streams  chosen  by  hand  from  tagged  Aquarius  halo  Aq-­‐A

(Cooper+2010,  Helmi+2011)

R.E.  Sanderson  •  LG  Astrosta/s/cs  •  1  June  2015

Sanderson,  Hartke,  &  Helmi,  in  prep

Best-­‐fit  halo  matches  present-­‐day  mass  profile

Model:  smooth,  spherical  NFW

*Membership  info  not  used  in  fit*

Sanderson,  Hartke,  &  Helmi,  in  prep

R.E.  Sanderson  •  LG  Astrosta/s/cs  •  1  June  2015

Best-­‐fit  halo  matches  present-­‐day  mass  profile

Model:  smooth,  spherical  NFW

*Derived  from  (r

-­‐2

,  ρ

-­‐2

)   of  DM *

Sanderson,  Hartke,  &  Helmi,  in  prep

R.E.  Sanderson  •  LG  Astrosta/s/cs  •  1  June  2015

Follow-­‐up  observa/ons

RVs

Northern  Hemisphere :  WEAVE  on  William  

Herschel  Telescope  (INT/IAC,  La  Palma,  Canary  

Islands)

Southern  Hemisphere :  4MOST  on  VISTA  telescope   in  Chile  (ESO,  Cerro  Paranal,  Chile)

4m  telescope  with  mul/ple-­‐fiber  instrument

~10 6  halo  stars  (per  survey)

RV  errors  <2  km  s -­‐1  to  V=20-­‐22

Adds  RVs  to  stars  with  Gaia  proper  mo/ons

20%  photometric  distances

Distances   to  2%,  RV  errors  5-­‐10  km  s

R.E.  Sanderson  •  LG  Astrosta/s/cs  •  1  June  2015

-­‐1

Improved  distances  increase  informa/on,  but   decrease  sampling

KIII giants, Gaia parallaxes RRLe distances

R.E.  Sanderson  •  LG  Astrosta/s/cs  •  1  June  2015

Observa/ons  with  larger  average  d

GC

 do  bener

Sanderson,  in  prep

R.E.  Sanderson  •  LG  Astrosta/s/cs  •  1  June  2015

Advantages

No  need  to  assign  membership  of  stars  in  streams  

( membership  probability  is  an  output )

Robust  to  adiaba/c  /me-­‐evolu/on  of  host,   substructure,  some  chao/c  diffusion

Can  use  any  informa/ve  parameter  (i.e.  abundances)

Disadvantages

Needs  6D  phase  space  info

Not  a  forward  model  (no  way  to  treat  uncertain/es)

Derailed  by  large  (>50%)  smooth  component

Limited  to  integrable  poten/als

R.E.  Sanderson  •  LG  Astrosta/s/cs  •  1  June  2015

Metallici/es  as  a  4 th  dimension

[Fe/H]  vs  L z

[Fe/H]  vs  L z

L  vs  L z

J r

 vs  L z

Metallicities and spreads from empirical relations of

Kirby et al.

(2011), constant

M/L

Z/Z

might be better

(e.g. Leaman

2012)

R.E.  Sanderson  •  LG  Astrosta/s/cs  •  1  June  2015

Metallici/es  as  a  fourth  dimension

With  [Fe/H]  (4D) max  D

KL

 =  2.27

N  =  30,860

∛ N  ~  30

∜ N  ~  13

Without  [Fe/H]  (3D) max  D

KL

 =  2.34

R.E.  Sanderson  •  LG  Astrosta/s/cs  •  1  June  2015

The  takeaway

Tidal  streams  are  sensi/ve  to  the  poten/al  of  the  

Galac/c  dark  maner  halo

Streams  form  clumps  in  ac/on  space  that  s/ll  look   clumpy  at  Gaia  precision  (δπ/π  <  0.2)  

Maximizing  D

KL

 of  ac/on  distribu/on   idenCfies  the   potenCal  parameters

Rela/on  between  D

KL   and  posterior  probability  lets   us  set  confidence  intervals

Expected  number  of  MW  streams  is  enough

Stream  membership  info   not  required  

R.E.  Sanderson  •  LG  Astrosta/s/cs  •  1  June  2015

The  future

Metallicity/abundances  as  extra  dimensions

More  realis/c  poten/als:  flanening,  triaxiality

Halo-­‐to-­‐halo  stochas/city

Uses  for  the  recovered  ac/on  space

R.E.  Sanderson  •  LG  Astrosta/s/cs  •  1  June  2015

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