Public Perceptions of Offshore Wind Farms Caroline Hattam, Tara Hooper and Nicola Beaumont (PML) Marine Research Report i Public Perceptions of Offshore Wind Farms Caroline Hattam, Tara Hooper and Nicola Beaumont Plymouth Marine Laboratory (PML) © Crown copyright 2015 ISBN: 978-1-906410-66-7 Published by The Crown Estate The basis of this report was work undertaken by Caroline Hattam, Tara Hooper and Nicola Beaumont of the Plymouth Marine Laboratory, Plymouth, UK, on behalf of The Crown Estate. Disclaimer The opinions expressed in this report are entirely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the view of The Crown Estate. The Crown Estate is not liable for the accuracy of the information provided or responsible for any use of the content. Dissemination Statement This publication (excluding the logos) may be re-used free of charge in any format or medium. It may only be used accurately and not in a misleading context. The material must be acknowledged as The Crown Estate copyright and use of it must give the title of the source publication. Where third party copyright material has been identified, further use of that material requires permission from the copyright holders concerned. Suggested Citation Hattam, C., Hooper, T. and Beaumont, N. 2015. ‘Public Perceptions of Offshore Wind Farms’, The Crown Estate, 50 pages, ISBN: 978-1-906410-66-7 This report is available on The Crown Estate website at www.thecrownestate.co.uk ii Contents List Page Executive Summary 1. Introduction 2. Aims of the study 3. Method 3.1 Data collection 3.2 Data preparation 3.3 Methods of data analysis 4. Results 4.1 Differences between the UK-wide sample and the East Coast sample 4.2 Familiarity with the issues 4.3 General perceptions of offshore wind farms, their costs and benefits and future role 4.4 Impacts of socio-demographic variables on OWF perceptions 4.5 Perceptions of energy sources, energy security and climate change and their impact on OWF perceptions 4.6 Impacts of experiences of on- and offshore wind farms and their impact on OWF perceptions 4.7 Perceptions of the role of OWFs in the UK energy mix 4.8 Perceived barriers to further OWF development 5. Discussion 5.1 Public perceptions of OWF in UK waters and their impact on individual well-being 5.2 The potential role for OWF in the UK’s energy mix and barriers to further developments 5.3 Limitations 6. Conclusions References Annex 1: Survey findings by question v 1 2 2 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 11 16 17 18 22 23 23 24 25 25 26 29 iii iv Executive Summary Hattam et al. (2015) identify that the impacts of the offshore wind industry on individual well-being are poorly understood, have been little studied, and that most empirical research in the field has focused on the potential visual impact from hypothetical or proposed developments. Given the more than 1300 turbines in 24 offshore wind farms (OWFs) in UK waters, there is a need and an opportunity to explore in greater depth the actual impacts of OWFs on individual well-being and the wider opinions held by members of the public. Information of this kind is critical to informing the continued debate over the viability of OWF development. This study had three main aims: 1) To understand public perceptions of actual OWFs in UK waters and their impacts on individual well-being. 2) To examine the potential role for OWFs in the UK’s energy mix. 3) To identify the perceived barriers to further OWF development. Data were collected through an online questionnaire undertaken during the first week of July 2015, with a sample of 1078 respondents from across the UK and 494 from the East Coast of England. The latter sample was expected to have had greater exposure to the offshore wind industry. While this was indeed the case, there were few statistically significant differences in responses between the two samples. Across both samples unfamiliarity with the issues presented in the questionnaire was at times high, for energy issues in general as well as those specific to OWFs. Perceptions among respondents of OWFs and their impacts were generally favourable. A clear majority of respondents (from both samples) felt that OWFs do not harm human health, are an efficient way to generate electricity, contribute significantly to the UK economy, create local jobs, and do not affect fishermen’s incomes. Opinion was more evenly divided as to whether OWFs have a positive effect on coastal tourism, benefit local communities, harm wildlife or spoil the view. There were statistically significant differences between UK and East Coast responses to questions about visual impacts of OWFs and effects on the image of the coast, with those from the East Coast holding more favourable opinions. Questions were rarely dominated by strong opinions and the majority reported that OWFs had no impact (either positive or negative) on their quality of life. Analysis was undertaken to explore how variables such as socio-demographics and experiences of OWF influence perceptions. Younger people are associated with more pro-OWF opinions, as were respondent who: i) had an energy tariff that already included renewable energy sources, ii) had deliberately visited an OWF, iii) had favourable attitudes towards offshore wind as a source of electricity, and iv) were concerned about UK energy dependency on other countries. Anti-OWF opinions were more associated with i) having deliberately avoided an area with an OWF, ii) having a v favourable attitude towards coal, iii) negative attitudes towards OWFs and hydro as sources of energy, and iv) being concerned about power cuts in future. Concern about climate change influences both pro- and anti-OWF opinions, suggesting that some respondents do not see OWF as a solution to climate change. The majority of other variables used to measure experiences of OWFs (such as whether respondents had seen an OWF or could see one from their house) had no significant effect. Similarly, there was no significant effect of variables measuring individual well-being (such as self-reported health and overall life satisfaction). Consistent with the findings of other public attitude surveys, renewable energies were viewed more favourably than fossil fuels and nuclear. Offshore wind was the third most favourable electricity source with 83% of both the UK and East Coast sample viewing it as either favourable or very favourable. 42% (34%) of the East Coast (UK) sample would like to see at least 30% of their electricity produced by offshore wind. However, OWFs performed less well against other electricity sources in a multi-criteria analysis that considered specific attributes of the energy systems (namely cost per unit, negative environmental impact, reliability of supply and contribution to UK jobs). In this analysis, OWFs scored lowest behind nuclear, gas and solar for the combined sample of respondents. Other energy sources were preferred primarily because they were considered more reliable: the perceived minimal environmental impact of OWFs was not sufficient to compensate for the perceived lack of reliability. Respondents identified a lack of public support as the most significant barrier to OWF developments. Improving the perceived reliability of OWFs may go some way to addressing this issue. This is coupled with a need to improve public awareness about OWFs and electricity generation more generally, as this survey highlighted that respondents are often poorly informed. This presents an opportunity for the offshore wind industry (as well as a significant task) to better inform the public about its impacts if it is to build upon the broadly positive attitudes that members of the public already have towards the industry. vi 1. Introduction This report complements Hattam et al. (2015) which reviews the current literature on the impacts of the offshore wind industry on well-being. Hattam et al. (2015) focused primarily on changes to objective measures of well-being, relating to material living conditions, and links to the broad domains of well-being described by the Office for National Statistics (Randall et al. 2014). The review identified that the impacts of the offshore wind industry on individual (or subjective) well-being, relating to issues of quality of life, are poorly understood and have been little studied. There is also little understanding of the impacts of OWFs on cultural ecosystem services and the wider values that people associate with the coast. Existing research focuses largely on hypothetical situations based on planned offshore wind farms (e.g. Busch et al. 2011; Devine Wright and Howes 2010; Gee and Burkhard 2010). Only two studies were identified where actual impacts of offshore wind farms (OWFs) on individuals have been explored (Vanhulle et al. 2010 and Infomart GfK, 2008), focusing primarily on visual impacts. Studies of hypothetical OWFs suggest that the greatest negative effect perceived by the public is the visual impact (Devine Wright and Howes 2010; Gee and Burkhard 2010; Waldo 2012). Teisl et al. (2015) found that perception of visual amenity degradation predicts the general attitude of individuals to OWFs. In contrast, Gee (2010) reports that visual impacts cannot alone account for attitudes towards OWFs. Nevertheless, OWFs are considered less intrusive than their onshore counterparts (Busch et al. 2011; Ladenburg 2010; Haggett 2011). In relation to an actual OWF, however, Vanhulle et al. (2010) found that for Belgian OWFs, turbines were not considered to disturb the view, although there is a saturation point in terms of number of individual turbines, after which the acceptability of the wind farm to respondents decreases. The study by Infomart GfK (2008) showed similar results, although suggests that opinions may differ by nationality (Germans were more positive than Dutch respondents) and that opinions became more positive over time. Opposition to OWFs is reported to be based on a perception that OWFs are unprofitable and inefficient (Waldo 2012), that they may affect property prices (Teisl et al. 2015) and concerns over environmental impact (Busch et al. 2011). Negative attitudes are also linked to values for the ocean in general and specific sea areas (Kempton et al. 2005; Gee 2010), and to disturbance to sense of place (Devine-Wright and Howes 2010). Haggett (2011) states that opposition (and support) is largely based on visual/aesthetic impact; the social, political and historical context of the site; a disjuncture between local OWFs and climate change; OWF ownership and the relationship between communities and developers; and trust within the decision-making process. Evidence from the literature indicates that support for OWFs is primarily motivated by offshore wind being an environmentally sound energy source that does not harm 1 wildlife, that creates jobs and leads to economic growth (Gee and Burkhard 2010; Vanhulle et al. 2010; Waldo 2012). Support increases when respondents are provided with information detailing community benefits of the project, especially in relation to local jobs and contracting, although community funds can be seen as bribes (Cass et al. 2010). Public involvement in OWF planning also increases its acceptability (Sorensen et al. 2002). Given the more than 1300 turbines in 24 offshore wind farms in UK waters, there is a need and an opportunity to explore in greater depth the actual impacts on individual well-being that these OWFs generate and the opinions members of the public hold for OWFs. Information of this kind is critical to informing the continued debate over the viability of developing OWFs. This study builds on the existing literature on perceptions of planned wind farms to examine public perceptions of the actual impacts of OWFs on individual well-being. 2. Aims of the study This study has three main aims: 1) To understand public perceptions of actual OWFs in UK waters and their impacts on individual well-being. What are the perceived costs and benefits of OWFs and how do these influence individual well-being? How do perceptions of energy security and climate change affect perceptions of OWFs? How do experiences of on- and offshore windfarms affect perceptions? 2) To examine the potential role for OWFs in the UK’s energy mix. What trade-offs are the public willing to take to ensure a clean, secure supply of energy? What role does the public perceive that OWFs should play in this clean, secure supply of energy? 3) To identify the perceived barriers to further OWF development. What do the public perceive to be the main barriers to further development of OWFs in the UK? 3. Method An online questionnaire was developed to collect the opinions of members of the UK public about OWFs and their impacts on individual well-being. To facilitate the comparability of the findings with existing studies, the questionnaire used questions 2 from existing surveys focusing on energy generation and energy security (e.g. Spence et al. 2010) and previous studies on the hypothetical impacts of offshore wind farms (e.g. Busch et al. 2011). It also used standard measures of self-reported health and wellbeing taken from national surveys (“Over the last 12 months would you say your health has on the whole been…? Not good, fairly good, good” as used in the UK Census 2001 and “How dissatisfied or satisfied are you with your life overall?” Scored on a scale of 1-7 where 1 means not satisfied and 7 means completely satisfied, as used in the British Household Panel Survey). In addition, it included a series of questions that could be used in multi-criteria analysis. Multi-criteria analysis (MCA) is an approach that explicitly takes into consideration the multiple attributes (or criteria) of an issue that need to be evaluated in a decisionmaking process. It allows exploration of the trade-offs made between these different criteria irrespective of whether the criteria can be measured in the same units (DCLG, 2009). In this study it is used to provide insight into how respondents compare four different electricity generation methods (gas, nuclear, solar and offshore wind) according to four criteria, which can be associated with different domains of well-being (cost per unit of electricity produced, negative environmental impact, reliability of supply and contribution to UK jobs). Data collection for the MCA is a two-step process. First, for each criterion respondents are asked to score the four electricity generating methods on a scale of 0 to 10. A score of 0 is given to the worst performing electricity generating method and a score of 10 to the best performing. The remaining two electricity generating methods are then scored on the same scale. Second, the criteria are weighted. Respondents are given 100 points to distribute across the criteria according to the level of importance given to them (e.g. 25 points could be given to each criteria if they are considered of equal importance; or the points may be distributed unevenly if the criteria are considered to vary in importance, for example an allocation of 10, 20, 30 and 40). The scores and weights can then be combined to identify which electricity generation method is considered to perform the best for each criterion and, overall, which of the four methods is preferred by the respondents. The final questionnaire comprised five subsections: Part one: levels of concern regarding future energy security in the UK and climate change and the favourability of different electricity generating methods (both renewable and non-renewable). Part two: multi-criteria questions where four electricity generating methods (gas, nuclear, offshore wind and solar) are scored against four criteria (cost per unit of electricity generated, negative environmental impact, reliability of supply and contribution to UK jobs). 3 Part three: opinions about offshore wind farms (impacts, costs, benefits and barriers to further development) Part four: experiences of windfarms both on- and offshore. Part five: socio-demographics including measures of life satisfaction and selfreported health (as indicators of individual well-being). 3.1 Data collection Ethical approval for this survey was granted by Plymouth University Faculty for Health and Human Sciences Research Ethics Committee. The questionnaire was piloted online with 144 respondents on the 21st May, 2015. The survey was carried out by Cint, a market research company, which accesses respondents through a number of different online panels (total population size >850,000). Using a quota sampling approach, the sample was drawn from across the UK and was broadly census representative in terms of age and gender. The data collected were summarised to identify how well the questions worked and whether question instructions were understandable. Questions considered to be redundant or unclear were either removed or amended. Initial analysis of the multi-criteria data was undertaken and indicated that few respondents had satisfactorily followed the question instructions. It also suggested that individuals were unfamiliar with some of the electricity sources included in the question. The multi-criteria questions were therefore modified, reducing the number of electricity sources that individuals needed to score (from 7 to 4) and the instructions simplified. An online survey was undertaken with 1572 members of the public during the first week of July 2015, again carried out by Cint. A census representative sample in terms of age and gender of 1078 respondents was drawn from across the UK. A second booster sample of 494 was collected from the east coast of England, selected from postcode areas running along the coast from Hartlepool in Durham to Deal in Kent. The expectation was that respondents from the east coast may have had greater exposure to the offshore wind industry and offshore wind farms, and may therefore respond differently to the questionnaire. It was anticipated that many respondents would be unfamiliar with many of the energy and offshore wind farm related issues presented in the questionnaire. To quantify the extent to which respondents were unfamiliar with the issues, ‘don’t know’ and ‘no opinion’ were explicitly included among the response options in the majority of questions. Where response scales were used (e.g. ranging from strongly disagree to strongly agree), instead of using a five item scale, the neutral mid-point (which can be ambiguous to interpret) was removed and substituted with ‘don’t know’ and ‘no 4 opinion’ options. The result was a six point scale: strongly disagree, disagree, agree, strongly agree, no opinion and don’t know. This meant that respondents were not forced to answer questions for which they had no answer or opinion. 3.2 Data preparation In preparing the data for analysis, certain respondents were removed to ensure robust analysis. Respondents under the age of 18 were disqualified from completing the full survey and their answers to the initial screening questions were removed. The responses given by 12 respondents had become misaligned with the question numbers during the process of data transfer and were also omitted. To ensure only answers from respondents who had given appropriate attention to the survey questions were included in the analysis, the sample was trimmed, in accordance with best practice. The 5% of respondents at either end of the distribution for the survey duration were therefore removed from the sample. Although there is not yet accepted guidance for selecting the optimum cut off point for inattention based on survey duration, the exclusion of the 5% of respondents at either end of the distribution is in line with the work of Maniaci and Rogge (2014). They excluded the slowest 7% of respondents as outliers, and identified the optimum cut off for those completing the survey too quickly as roughly half of the 5% trimmed mean completion time. This resulted in the exclusion of those who had taken less than six minutes to complete the survey and of those taking longer than 35 minutes or 50 minutes for the East Coast and UK subsamples respectively (as each sample was considered discretely). The samples were also assessed for nonsense answers and ‘straightlining’ respondents (individuals who selected the same response across multiple questions or parts of questions) were also excluded. This resulted in a final sample of 436 respondents for the East Coast case study and 922 for the wider UK sample. 3.3 Methods of data analysis Data were first described and frequency distributions calculated. This data description includes the respondents who answered ‘don’t know’ or ‘no opinion’ as it is illustrative to identify the proportion of respondents answering this way. In subsequent analysis, however, ‘don’t know’ or ‘no opinion’ responses are treated as missing variables. ‘Don’t know’ and ‘no opinion’ options were used instead of a neutral mid-point for questions in the survey using a response scale. As ‘don’t know’ or ‘no opinion’ responses cannot be considered the same as a neutral position, they do not fit within the response scale. Doing so could be a considerable threat to validity (Sturgis et al. 2014). They must therefore be considered separately. Removing the ‘don’t know’ and ‘no opinion’ responses, however, substantially reduces the sample size available for analysis. Sample sizes are reported with each stage of the analysis below. Analysis of the data was undertaken using exploratory factor analysis (EFA) followed by Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression analysis. EFA is used to identify common 5 underlying factors that reflect what the variables collected in the survey share in common (i.e. it condenses the information from the original variables into a smaller sub-set of variables (factors), with minimal loss of information; Hair et al. 2006). The technique is useful because it reduces the volume of data into more a manageable amount that can be more readily used in subsequent data analysis. Variables that are seen to group together are said to ‘load’ onto each factor. How variables load onto each factor can then be used to describe the factor. For example, if variables relating to the environmental impact of OWFs load into one factor (e.g. impacts on wildlife, the view and commercial species), this factor may then be described as representing opinions on environmental impacts of OWFs. Factor loadings are numerical; loading values over 0.4 are considered the minimum for factor interpretation. All of the question statements used here have loadings of over 0.5, which can be considered practically significant (Hair et al. 2006). Once the factors have been identified, individual factor scores can be calculated. Individual factor scores can be interpreted as how an individual has scored on each of the factors. This can be considered analogous to how an individual would have responded if the individual questions that make up the factors could have been asked as a single question. Explanatory variables can be regressed upon individual factor scores using Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), to show how characteristics such as age, income or recreational use of coastal areas influence attitudes towards those factors. Variables with significant beta coefficients (a statistical output of the OLS model) can be interpreted as predictors of the individual factor scores. A unit increase in a variable with a significant positive (negative) beta coefficient (at the 1% or 5% confidence level) would lead to a corresponding increase (decrease) in the factor score of the size of the beta coefficient. 4. Results Frequency distributions for each question are presented in Annex 1. 4.1 Differences between the UK wide sample and the East Coast boost sample Statistically significant differences between the UK wide sample and the East Coast boost sample were identified using chi squared tests. Individuals answering ‘don’t know’ or ‘no opinion’ were removed from the analysis, although the proportion of individuals responding this way is reported for each question. Statistically significant differences between groups are colour coded in the tables in Annex 1. Where p values are less than 0.01 (i.e. significant at the 1% level), the question and its associated frequency distribution are coloured green, where p values are between 0.01 and 0.05 (i.e. significant between the 1 and 5% level), the question and its associated frequency distribution are coloured yellow and where p values are between 0.05 and 0.1 (i.e. 6 significant between the 5 and 10% level), the question and its associated frequency distribution are coloured orange. Responses to questions with no colouring show no statistically significant difference between the two target groups. Key significant differences detected between the groups are also highlighted below. 4.2 Familiarity with the issues As expected, unfamiliarity with the issues presented in the questionnaire was at times high. The proportion of respondents answering ‘don’t know’ or ‘no opinion’ ranged from approximately 3% relating to questions about energy security to over 50% relating to a question about impacts of OWFs on commercially important species. Other questions with a high percentage of respondents stating ‘don’t know’ or ‘no opinion’ focused on OWF impacts on wildlife, their contribution to the UK economy and local jobs, and their impacts on recreational experiences. 4.3 General perceptions of offshore wind farms, their costs and benefits and future role Perceptions of offshore windfarms were gauged using a series of questions focusing on the perceived impacts of offshore wind farms and their social and economic costs and benefits (questions 12, 13 and 24, Annex 1). Opinions across the UK and East Coast samples are broadly similar. Percentage figures reported below reflect the proportion of respondents agreeing/strongly agreeing to the statements in the question. Where statements in the survey were written in a negative formation, response scales reported below have been reversed, for example, 50.9% of respondents from the UK sample disagreed or strongly disagreed to the statement “Offshore wind farms harm wildlife” In terms of the impact of OWFs (question 12), individual perceptions were that they: Do not harm wildlife (UK: 50.9%, East Coast: 48.7%) Do not spoil the view (UK: 47.0%, East Coast: 54.8%)* Do not harm human health (UK: 73.6%, East Coast: 80.1%) Contribute significantly to the UK economy (UK: 59.8%, East Coast: 67.7%) Create local jobs (UK: 54.8%, East Coast: 67.2%) Benefit local communities (UK: 48.9%, East Coast: 53.5%) Do not affect fishermen’s incomes (UK: 33.8%, East Coast: 39.2%) Do not have a positive effect on coastal tourism (UK: 45.2%, East Coast 48.7%). Are an efficient way to generate electricity (UK: 70.9%, East Coast: 66.5%) * Statistically significant differences between the UK and East Coast samples. It should be noted that large proportions of both samples answered ‘don’t know’ or ‘no opinion’ to the questions about benefit to local communities, impacts on fishermen’s incomes and positive effect on coastal tourism. For example, in relation to fishermen’s incomes, 39.6% in the UK sample and 33.9% in the east coast sample answered either ‘don’t know’ or ‘no opinion’ to this question. 7 A high number of ‘don’t know’ or ‘no opinion’ answers were also found when examining OWF impacts in more detail (question 24, Annex 1), particularly for aspects of cultural ecosystem services (Table 1). In terms of how OWF affect the image of the coast, there is agreement that they make the coast more modern, and that they detract from the traditional image of the coast (as reported by Busch et al. 2011), but respondents are split over whether they negatively affect the wilderness image of the sea. Responses to these three questions were significantly different between respondents from the UK and East Coast samples. East Coast respondents were more likely to agree or strongly agree that OWFs give the coast a modern image (45.9% compared to 41.9% from the UK sample), but less likely to agree that OWFs detract from the traditional image of the coast (46.5% compared to 51.6% from the UK sample) or that OWFs negatively affect the wilderness image of the sea (38.5% compared to 40.6% from the UK sample). In relation to recreational activities, respondents agree that OWFs do generate new recreational opportunities, but that OWFs have a negative impact on recreational experiences. With respect to the latter point, there is a large proportion of respondents who do not know or have no opinion on this matter (42% East Coast sample compared to 44.5% from the UK sample). This statement is also true for responses to statements about OWFs having negative impacts on sea birds and mammals, and beneficial impacts on commercially important fish and shellfish species. Those respondents who do have an opinion on the impacts of OWFs on sea birds and mammals and on commercially important fish and shellfish species are equally split over whether these impacts are positive or negative. Opinions on the future development of offshore wind (question 13 in Annex 1) across the two sub-samples were, primarily, not statistically significantly different. There was general agreement that: More OWFs are needed to tackle climate change (UK: 65.3%, East Coast: 64.6%) More OWFs would reduce the need for imported fuel for electricity generation (UK: 65.3%, East Coast: 64.6%) We should continue building OWFs (UK: 74.2%, East Coast: 75%) The benefits of OWFs outweigh the disadvantages (UK: 64.2%, East Coast: 65.4%) OWFs should only be built if they are not visible from land (UK: 51.3%, East Coast: 59.9%) There were also indications that: It is only through OWFs that the UK will meet its renewable energy targets (UK: 46.7%, East Coast: 53.9%) OWFs are not viable without government subsidies (UK: 43.8%, East Coast:47.7%) Large proportions of the sample, however, responded ‘don’t know’ or ‘no opinion’ to these questions (UK: 31% and East Coast: 23% with respect to renewable energy targets and UK: 37.5% and East Coast 34.2% with respect to subsidies). 8 Table 1: Impacts of offshore wind farms on cultural ecosystem services (question 24) Percentage of respondents* Strongly Disagree Disagree Agree Strongly Agree No opinion Don't know No answer Offshore wind farms give the coast a modern image** East Coast 13.8 20.0 38.3 7.6 15.6 3.9 0.9 UK 7.8 22.5 34.5 7.4 19.4 7.8 0.7 Offshore wind farms create new recreational opportunities (e.g. boat trips, viewing) East Coast 9.4 16.3 41.7 7.1 11.2 14.0 0.2 UK 5.9 18.8 37.4 7.5 13.2 16.9 0.3 Offshore wind farms improve the quality of recreational experiences East Coast 10.6 26.4 17.0 3.7 22.5 19.5 0.5 UK 8.5 26.6 16.1 4.2 22.0 22.5 0.2 Offshore wind farms have a negative impact on sea birds and mammals East Coast 7.1 26.8 23.2 10.3 6.0 26.1 0.5 UK 5.3 25.3 24.2 7.8 7.3 29.7 0.4 Offshore wind farms are beneficial to commercially important fish and shellfish East Coast 7.3 20.9 15.6 3.9 11.7 40.1 0.5 UK 5.5 15.9 15.9 4.6 13.9 43.2 1.0 Offshore wind farms detract from the traditional image of the coast** East Coast 8.5 32.1 29.1 17.4 7.6 4.8 0.5 UK 5.5 25.2 37.9 13.7 9.7 7.9 0.2 Offshore wind farms negatively affect the wilderness image of the sea** East Coast 9.4 33.5 24.1 14.4 8.7 9.4 0.5 UK 7.4 28.1 29.4 11.2 10.8 12.4 0.8 * East Coast n=436 and UK n=922 **Using Chi squared tests, responses to these questions show statistically significant differences between the UK and east coast sub-samples (p≤0.05). 9 Respondents were equally split over the statements “The electricity produced by OWFs is too expensive” and “Offshore wind farm developers can be trusted to listen to the communities in which they operate”. These two statements, also attracted large proportions of ‘don’t know’ or ‘no opinion’ responses (UK: 47.1%, East Coast: 38.8% with respect to expense and UK: 36.1%, East Coast: 27.3% with respect to trust in developers). The statement about trust in developers is the only statement from question 13 to elicit a statistically significant difference between the two samples. The East Coast sample was more likely to disagree or strongly disagree that developers can be trusted (41.5% compared to 32% for the UK sample). On the whole, based on the findings above, perceptions of OWFs among respondents are generally favourable, with the East Coast sample being slightly more favourable than the UK sample (although this difference is not always statistically significant). This is further demonstrated by the fact that the majority of respondents (UK: 58.7%, East Coast: 67.4%) indicated that they would not strongly oppose an OWF near where they lived or go on holiday. When asked about the impacts of OWFs on their quality of life (Figure 1), however, East Coast respondents are more likely to say no impact or negative impact than their UK sample counterparts (these differences are statistically significantly different: Chi square = 24.5064, p = 0.000). The vast majority state that OWFs have had no impact on their quality of life. 90 Percentage of respondents 80 70 60 50 East Coast 40 UK 30 20 10 0 Strong positive impact Positive No impact Negative Strong impact impact negative impact Don’t know Figure 1: Responses to question 27 “What impact, if any, have offshore wind farms had on your quality of life?”. 10 4.4 Impacts of socio-demographic variables on OWF perceptions To explore how other variables, such as socio-demographics and experiences of OWFs may influence perceptions, exploratory factor analysis (EFA) was undertaken followed by Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression analysis. As stated in section 3.3, EFA is a method for condensing the volume of information contained in multiple variables into a smaller number of variables known as factors. Individuals answering don’t know to one or more of the questions included in the EFA were removed from the sample. Given the high level of unfamiliarity with some of the question topics, this reduced the sample size to 257, combining responses from both the UK and East Coast samples1. Using the variables from questions 12, 13 and 24, the EFA identified two factors (i.e. the 23 statements are condensed into two factors). Each variable will load onto both factors but, for the results to be readily interpretable, the loading should be stronger for one factor than the other. What is important about these factor loadings is that they are over 0.4 (indicating that each variable makes a meaningful contribution to each factor). The factor loadings are presented in Table 2. Only the highest loading for each variable is included. Each factor can be interpreted according to these factor loadings. Variables loading on to factor 1 are all positive statements about OWFs. Factor 1 is therefore labelled as ‘pro-OWFs’. In contrast factor 2 is constituted of negative statements about OWFs and is therefore labelled as ‘anti-OWFs’. Factor scores are then calculated for individual respondents, indicating how their responses to the variables used in the EFA relate to each factor. To reiterate, these factor scores represent how an individual would have responded had it been possible to ask a single question representing all the individual questions making up each factor. When individual factor scores for both the pro-OWFs and anti-OWFs factors are plotted together (Figure 2), it can be seen that for most people, a positive score for one factor corresponds with a negative score for the other: i.e. respondents whose opinions load more strongly onto the pro-OWF factor are less likely to hold strong anti-OWF views, and vice versa. There are some people, however, who show characteristics of both factors (i.e. they score high (low) on both factors)2. This suggests that some individuals have opinions that are equally spread across both positive and negative aspects of OWFs. Combining the samples is considered justifiable given the non-statistically significant differences between the samples in relation to the questions included in the EFA. 2 These individuals were further examined to identify whether they were ‘straightlining’ through the questions used in the EFA. None of these individuals were found to do so, however, the subsequent regression analyses were also undertaken with 23 of these individuals removed in case they were outliers. The findings remained the same for regression models including socio-demographics and experiences of wind farms. There were minor changes in the regression model incorporating opinions on electricity sources, energy security and climate change, but model fit was poorer with the 23 individuals excluded. Consequently all analyses presented include these individuals with characteristics of both the pro and anti OWF factors. 1 11 Table 2: Factor loadings for each of the factors identified from questions 12, 13 and 24 Variable* We need more offshore wind farms to tackle climate change Factor 1 ‘Pro-OWFs’ 0.778 Offshore wind farms give the coast a modern image 0.761 The benefits of offshore wind farms outweigh the disadvantages 0.752 Offshore wind farm developers can be trusted to listen to the communities in which they operate Offshore wind farms are an efficient way to generate electricity It is only through the construction of offshore wind farms that the UK will meet its renewable energy targets Local communities benefit financially from offshore wind developments The development of offshore wind farms contributes significantly to the UK economy Offshore wind farms create new recreational opportunities (e.g. boat trips, viewing) Offshore wind farms have a positive effect on coastal tourism More offshore wind farms would reduce our need to import fuel for generating electricity from other countries The development of offshore wind farms creates local jobs Offshore wind farms are not viable without subsidies from the government We should only build offshore wind farms if they are not visible from land Offshore wind farms detract from the traditional image of the coast Offshore wind farms negatively affect the wilderness image of the sea Offshore wind farms harm wildlife The electricity produced by offshore wind farms is too expensive Offshore wind farms harm people’s health Offshore wind farms negatively affect fishermen’s incomes Offshore wind farms spoil the view We should stop building offshore wind farms I would strongly oppose an offshore wind farm built near where I live or go on holiday Factor 2 ‘Anti-OWFs’ 0.752 0.745 0.719 0.711 0.707 0.682 0.645 0.642 0.584 0.520 0.613 0.641 0.648 0.653 0.677 0.701 0.706 0.718 0.767 0.790 *To increase the sample size, three items from question 24 were dropped from this analysis as they were associated with large proportions of respondents stating ‘don’t know’ or ‘no opinion’. These relate to the quality of the recreational experience and impacts on sea birds, mammals and commercially important species. 12 3 Individual factor scores 'anti OWFs' 2 1 0 -1 -2 -3 -3 -2 -1 0 1 Individual factors scores 'pro OWFs' 2 3 Figure 2: Individual factor scores for factor 1 (pro OWFs) plotted against individual factor scores for factor 2 (anti OWFs) Explanatory variables, such as socio-demographic variables, can be regressed upon individual factor scores using Ordinary Least Squares. Variables with significant beta coefficients can be interpreted as predictors of the individual factor scores. A unit increase in a variable with a significant positive (negative) beta coefficient would lead to a corresponding increase (decrease) in the factor score of the size of the beta coefficient. For example, in Table 3, the variable Tariff (referring to the level of importance of having renewable energy as part of an electricity tariff) has a significant positive beta coefficient of 0.357 in relation to the pro-OWF factor. A unit increase in Tariff would lead to a 0.357 increase in individual pro-OWF factor score. In contrast age has a significant negative beta coefficient of -0.151. A unit increase in age therefore leads to a decrease in individual factor score of -0.151 for the pro-OWF factor. As expected, given the lack of statistically significant difference between responses from respondents in the two samples, location has no statistically significant effect on individual factor scores. This means that concern over having renewables as part of an electricity tariff increases pro-OWF perceptions while increasing age decreases proOWF perceptions; location has no effect. 13 Table 3: OLS regression effects of socio-demographic variables on individual factor scores. Figures in bold indicate statistically significant results where p≤0.01, bold and italics indicate statistically significant findings where 0.01<p≤0.05 Factor 1: 'Pro-OWF' Location Gender Age Household <18 Tariff Constant R2 Adjusted R2 Prob>F N Factor 2: 'Anti-OWF' β coef. Std. Err. p value β coef. Std. Err. p value -0.080 -0.016 -0.151 0.063 0.357 -0.585 0.359 0.345 0.000 227 0.111 0.114 0.036 0.056 0.042 0.310 0.474 0.885 0.000 0.258 0.000 0.061 0.150 0.079 0.025 0.093 -0.126 -0.008 0.040 0.018 0.111 227 0.135 0.138 0.044 0.067 0.051 0.376 0.267 0.569 0.566 0.170 0.013 0.983 Only Tariff has a significant negative effect on the anti-OWF factor, but as the model fit is poor (R2 = 0.04) and the model cannot be considered significant (p value for the F statistic is >0.05), the effect of Tariff on anti-OWF factor scores cannot be interpreted with confidence. It is therefore not possible to say which socio-demographic variables affect anti-OWF perceptions, if any do at all. Table 4 gives a full description of the variables included in this and subsequent regressions models. Variables measuring individual well-being, such as self-reported health and overall life satisfaction were also included in previous versions of the regression model. No significant relationship was found between these well-being variables and individual factor scores. 14 Table 4: Description of variables included in the regression models Variable name Location Description Response options Location of respondent 1 = East Coast and 2 = UK Gender Gender of respondent 1 = male and 2 = female 29 Age Age of respondent 30 Household <18 Tariff Number of household residents under 18 years of age Importance that energy tariff includes renewable energy Favourability of coal as an electricity source Favourability of nuclear as an electricity source Favourability of biomass as an electricity source Favourability of hydro as an electricity source Favourability of OWF as an electricity source Level of informedness about OWF 1 = 18-24, 2 = 25-34, 3 = 35-44, 4 = 45-54, 5 = 55-64 and 6 = 65+ Continuous variable 1 = very unimportant, 2 = unimportant, 3 = important and 4 = very important 1 = very unfavourable, 2 = unfavourable, 3 = favourable and 4 = very favourable 1 = very unfavourable, 2 = unfavourable, 3 = favourable and 4 = very favourable 1 = very unfavourable, 2 = unfavourable, 3 = favourable and 4 = very favourable 1 = very unfavourable, 2 = unfavourable, 3 = favourable and 4 = very favourable 1 = very unfavourable, 2 = unfavourable, 3 = favourable and 4 = very favourable 1 = not at all informed, 2 = not very well informed, 3 = quite well informed, 4 = well informed and 5 = very well informed 1 = not at all concerned, 2 = not very concerned 3 = fairly concerned and 4 = very concerned 1 = not at all concerned, 2 = not very concerned 3 = fairly concerned and 4 = very concerned 1 = not at all concerned, 2 = not very concerned 3 = fairly concerned and 4 = very concerned 38 Coal Nuclear Biomass Hydro Offshore wind OW informed Unaffordable Power cuts Energy dependent FF run out Invest in alternatives Concern about CC Causes CC Deliberately visited Deliberately avoided Work OWF Community projects OWF recreation Level of concern that electricity will become unaffordable in future Level of concern that there will be power cuts in future Level of concern that the UK will become too dependent on energy from other countries Level of concern that fossil fuels will run out in future Level of concern that the UK is not investing fast enough in alternative sources of energy Level of concern about climate change Opinion about the cause of climate change Respondent has deliberately visited a coastal area because OWF are visible Respondent has deliberately avoided a coastal area because OWF are visible Respondent or member of respondents family works in offshore wind industry Community projects within the respondent’s area have received funding from an OWF developer Respondent has undertaken a recreational activity within an OWF Question no. n/a 33 4.1 4.3 4.6 4.11 4.13 11 1.1 1.2 1.3 1 = not at all concerned, 2 = not very concerned 3 = fairly concerned and 4 = very concerned 1 = not at all concerned, 2 = not very concerned 3 = fairly concerned and 4 = very concerned 1.4 1 = not at all concerned, 2 = not very concerned 3 = fairly concerned and 4 = very concerned 1 = entirely natural, 2 = mainly natural, 3 = equally natural and human, 4 = mainly human, 5 = entirely human 1 = yes, 0 = no 2 18 1 = yes, 0 = no 19 1 = yes, 0 = no 20 1 = yes, 0 = no 21 1 = yes, 0 = no 17 1.6 3 15 4.5 Perceptions of energy sources, energy security and climate change and their impact on OWF perceptions Using the approach described in section 4.4, perceptions of different energy sources, energy security and climate change are regressed on individual factor scores for both the pro- and anti- OWF factors. Table 5 shows that having a favourable attitude towards OWFs, being informed about OWFs, being concerned that the UK will become too dependent on energy from other countries, and having a higher level of concern about climate change all have a positive effect on pro-OWF individual factor scores, while a greater favourability for hydro power and concerns about the affordability of electricity in the future have a negative effect on pro-OWF individual factor scores. Table 5: OLS regression effects of perceptions of energy sources, energy security and climate change on individual factor scores. Figures in bold indicate statistically significant results where p≤0.01, bold and italics indicate statistically significant findings where 0.01<p≤0.05 Factor 1: 'Pro OWF' Coal Nuclear Biomass Hydro Offshore wind OW informed Unaffordable Power cuts Energy dependent FF run out Invest in alternatives Concern about CC Causes CC Constant R2 Adjusted R2 Prob>F N β coef. 0.015 -0.072 0.003 -0.221 0.524 0.156 -0.154 0.113 0.223 0.081 0.116 0.207 0.064 -2.927 0.455 0.422 0.000 228 Std. Err. 0.052 0.044 0.060 0.078 0.064 0.052 0.068 0.079 0.083 0.070 0.075 0.068 0.052 0.513 p value 0.765 0.109 0.964 0.005 0.000 0.003 0.025 0.152 0.008 0.247 0.120 0.002 0.225 0.000 Factor 2: 'Anti OWF' β coef. 0.211 0.029 0.080 -0.187 -0.380 -0.022 -0.016 0.259 0.101 -0.071 -0.095 0.208 0.240 -0.477 0.381 0.344 0.000 228 Std. Err. 0.000 0.552 0.232 0.032 0.000 0.700 0.831 0.003 0.274 0.359 0.249 0.006 0.000 0.402 p value 0.000 0.696 0.154 0.024 0.000 0.722 0.802 0.003 0.283 0.371 0.226 0.008 0.000 0.732 In contrast having a favourable opinion of coal and being concerned about power cuts in future have a positive impact on anti-OWF individual factor scores, as does a higher level of concern about climate change and having the opinion that humans are the main cause of climate change. These latter two points are somewhat counterintuitive, but may reflect that individuals who would score highly on the anti-OWF factor prefer other 16 renewable energies to OWFs3 (it is also indicative of the relatively low proportion of people who report not to be concerned about climate change: 11% and 9.8% for the East Coast and UK samples respectively). In addition higher levels of favourability for OWFs and hydro power have a negative effect on anti-OWF individual factor scores. 4.6 Impacts of experiences of on- and offshore wind farms and their impacts on OWF perceptions Experiences of OWFs have limited impacts on individual factor scores (Table 6). Deliberately visiting an OWF has a positive relationship with pro-OWF factor scores while deliberately avoiding a location with an OWF has a negative effect. Deliberately avoiding a location with an OWF does, however, have a positive impact on anti-OWF individual factor scores. The proportion of respondents who have deliberately visited (UK: 8.7%, East Coast: 8.0%) or deliberately avoided (UK: 5.1%, East Coast: 5.7%) an area where an OWF is visible is small, suggesting OWFs have limited impact on tourism. Working in the offshore wind industry (or having a member of the family do so), having a community project in your area being funded by an OWF developer and having taken part in a recreation activity in an OWF has no statistically significant effect on either pro- or anti- OWF individual factor scores. Table 6: OLS regression effects of wind farm experiences on individual factor scores. Figures in bold indicate statistically significant results where p≤0.01, bold and italics indicate statistically significant findings where 0.01<p≤0.05 Factor 1: 'Pro OWF' Deliberately visited Deliberately avoided Work OWF Community projects OWF recreation Constant R2 Adjusted R2 Prob>F N Factor 2: 'Anti OWF' β coef. Std. Err. p value β coef. Std. Err. p value 0.763 -0.613 0.465 0.365 0.164 -0.144 0.149 0.128 0.000 200 0.199 0.226 0.327 0.224 0.149 0.076 0.000 0.007 0.156 0.104 0.272 0.061 0.069 1.247 0.278 0.118 -0.183 -0.159 0.205 0.184 0.000 200 0.198 0.225 0.326 0.223 0.148 0.076 0.727 0.000 0.393 0.597 0.219 0.037 Earlier versions of the regression model included whether respondents had seen a wind farm, both on- and offshore, and whether they could see an on- or offshore wind farm from their house. Neither variable was found to be significant. This further supports the Other renewable energies were included in earlier versions of the regression analysis but were found not to be statistically significant. 3 17 idea that pro- and anti-OWF attitudes are not related to location or general experiences of OWFs (or wind farms in general). 4.7 Perceptions of the role of OWFs in the UK energy mix As shown in section 4.3 opinions on the future development of offshore wind were positive. This is supported by the finding that 42% of those on the East Coast and 34% of the UK sample would like to see at least 30% of their electricity provided by offshore wind (Figure 3). There was a statistically significant difference between the samples, although it should also be noted that responses suggesting a more negative perception of OWFs also differed: 5.5% of the East Coast sample preferred no electricity from OWFs, compared to 2.9% of the wider UK sample. 30 Percentage 25 20 15 10 East Coast UK 5 0 Figure 3: The proportion of electricity survey respondents would like to see provided by offshore wind energy Offshore wind also scores well when compared in terms of favourability with a suite of electricity generation sources including fossil fuels, nuclear and renewable sources (question 4, Annex 1). Overall the electricity source that is considered the most favourable is solar power with 89.6% of UK-wide respondents (90.9% of the East Coast sample) stating that they viewed solar power favourably or very favourably. Offshore wind is the third most favourable electricity source with 83% of both the UK and East Coast sample viewing it as either favourable or very favourable. In general, all renewable energies were viewed more favourably than fossil fuels and nuclear. Fracking is the least favourable source followed by coal and oil. This is consistent with 18 the findings of the most recent DECC survey on public attitudes to energy issues (DECC, 2015) as well as those of Spence et al. (2010) and Poortinga et al. (2006). The role of OWFs in a future energy mix can be further examined through multi-criteria analysis (MCA). The data collection for the MCA was a two-step process. First, respondents were asked to score four electricity generating methods (gas, nuclear, OWFs and solar) with regard to four criteria (cost per unit, negative environmental impact, reliability of supply and contribution to UK jobs) (questions 6-9, annex 1). Secondly the respondents were asked to weight these criteria. Despite following standard and well-practised procedures (DCLG, 2009) many respondents were unable to successfully undertake the scoring exercise. This is most likely due to the lack of knowledge (as indicated in section 4.2) regarding the electricity sector. Many respondents were unable to indicate which electricity source they considered to perform the best or worst for each criterion. For these respondents, the relative importance of the scores across the different electricity sources cannot be identified. Consequently, these respondents were removed from the multi-criteria analysis. This left a sample of 164 for use in analysis, 45 from the East Coast sample and 119 from the UK wide sample. A total “MCA score” is calculated for each of the four electricity sources using Equation 1. This equation was applied in two ways: i) using the means of individual scores (i.e. an MCA is undertaken for each individual and the individual results are then combined and averaged); and ii) sample mean scores (i.e. means of criteria scores and weights are calculated and a single MCA is undertaken using these means). Equation 1 Total MCA score for electricity source = (cost per unit electricity score * cost per unit weight / 100) + (neg. environment impact score* neg. environment impact weight / 100) + (reliability of supply score * reliability weight / 100) + (contribution to jobs score * contribution to jobs weight / 100) The MCA results are presented in Table 7 for a combined sample and in Table 8 for the East Coast and UK samples. Where all data are combined (Table 7), solar power obtains the highest total MCA score, meaning it is perceived to be the best when the four criteria are combined. The solar MCA score is followed in order by gas, nuclear and OWFs. There are differences between the East Coast and UK samples, however (Table 8). The UK sample shows the same scoring pattern as the whole sample combined, while the East Coast sample retains solar as the most preferred electricity source, followed by gas, but OWFs take third place and nuclear fourth. 19 Table 7: Multi-criteria scores and weights, all data combined Mean scores Scoring criteria: Cost per unit* Negative enviro. Impact* Reliability of supply Contribution to UK jobs Total** (individual scores) 4.6 3.5 4.5 6.9 31.2 2.3 3.0 7.4 8.4 25.3 7.9 8.1 3.1 2.7 29.0 8.3 6.7 3.4 2.4 14.4 5.4 5.2 4.7 5.6 Gas Nuclear OWF Solar Mean weight Total*** (sample mean scores) 5.5 5.2 4.7 5.4 n=164 (all incorrect answers removed) * Scores for these items have been reversed, so that 10 = cheapest energy source and least negative environmental impact ** MCA calculated for each individual and mean taken of all MCA scores. *** Calculated using mean score for each electricity source weighted by mean criteria scores. Table 8: Multi-criteria scores and weights according to sub-sample Mean scores Scoring criteria: Sub-sample: Gas Nuclear OWF Solar Mean weight Cost per unit* EC 3.8 2.8 5.1 7.2 UK 5.0 3.7 4.3 6.8 Negative enviro. Impact* EC 2.5 3.1 6.8 8.0 UK 2.2 3.0 7.6 8.6 Reliability of supply Contribution to UK jobs Total** (individual scores) EC 7.8 7.4 3.9 2.6 EC 7.8 6.7 4.5 2.9 EC 5.2 4.9 5.0 5.5 UK 7.9 8.4 2.7 2.7 UK 8.4 6.6 3.0 2.3 UK 5.5 5.3 4.5 5.7 Total*** (sample mean scores) EC UK 5.4 5.6 4.9 5.3 5.0 4.4 5.3 5.5 30.7 31.4 22.7 26.3 30.1 28.6 16.5 13.6 East coast n=45 and UK n=119 (all incorrect answers removed) * Scores for these items have been reversed, so that 10 = cheapest energy source and least negative environmental impact ** MCA calculated for each individual and mean taken of all MCA scores. *** Calculated using mean score for each electricity source weighted by mean criteria scores. In terms of criteria, cost per unit is weighted the highest and can therefore be considered the most important to respondents (Table 7). This is closely followed by reliability of supply, negative environmental impact and contribution to UK jobs. These weightings suggest that cost and reliability of supply are approximately twice as important among respondents as contribution to UK jobs. This pattern is the same in both the sub-samples, but the East Coast sample puts less weight on environmental impact and more on contribution to jobs than does the UK sample (Table 8). Sensitivity analysis can be undertaken by setting criteria to equal 0 in the MCA. The effect of this on preferences can then be investigated (Figure 4). Calculation of the mean 20 individual MCA scores with the cost per unit criteria set to 0 (i.e. cost is assumed the same across all electricity sources) means that solar power is no longer the preferred electricity source. For the East Coast sample it is gas and for the UK sample it is nuclear. Setting the negative environmental impact criterion to 0 makes gas the preferred electricity source for both sub-samples. Similarly setting the reliability of supply criterion to 0 makes solar the preferred electricity source, followed by OWFs, for both sub-samples. Solar becomes the preferred source for both the East Coast and UK samples when the contribution to UK jobs criterion is set to 0. This is followed by OWFs for the East Coast, but nuclear for the UK sample. When all criteria are included in the MCA, all electricity sources perform relatively similarly. Differences between them become more apparent as criteria are removed. OWFs performs particularly badly when costs are considered equal across electricity sources and when negative environmental impacts are considered equal. This suggests that for OWFs to become a preferred electricity source, perceptions of reliability of supply of OWFs in particular (as a more highly weighted criterion) need to be strengthened, as do perceptions of OWFs contribution to UK jobs. 6.0 5.0 MCA score 4.0 3.0 Gas 2.0 Nuclear OWF 1.0 Solar East coast MCA: jobs=0 MCA: reliab=0 MCA: enviro=0 MCA: cost=0 Total MCA MCA: jobs=0 MCA: reliab=0 MCA: enviro=0 MCA: cost=0 Total MCA 0.0 UK Figure 4: Sensitivity analysis of MCA scores indicating how preferences for electricity sources change when individual criteria are set to 0. 21 4.8 Perceived barriers to further OWF development Respondents were presented with six potential barriers to future OWF development (Table 9): the cost of construction, operation and maintenance; environmental impact; technological constraints; availability of a workforce with the right skills; political support; and public support. The barrier perceived to be the most significant was considered to be public support, with 73% of both the UK and East Coast sub-samples agreeing or strongly agreeing. This was followed by the cost of construction (UK: 67% and East Coast: 68% agreeing or strongly agreeing) and political support (62% in both sub-samples agreeing or strongly agreeing). The least important barriers were considered to be technological constraints and availability of a skilled workforce. Differences in opinions are apparent between sub-samples. Statistically significant differences can be seen with respect to cost of construction, environmental impacts, technological constraints, and availability of workforce with right skills (Chi squared test, p≤0.05). The UK sample generally sees these barriers to be a greater problem. Table 9: Responses to question 14: “To what extent do you agree or disagree that the following are barriers to increased future development of offshore wind farms? Percentage of respondents* Strongly Strongly No Don't No Disagree Agree Disagree Agree opinion know answer Cost of construction, operation and maintenance** Environmental impact** Technological constraints** Availability of workforce with the right skills** Political support Public support East Coast 4.1 11.7 48.2 19.0 4.8 10.1 2.1 UK 1.7 12.3 51.1 16.6 4.8 12.9 0.7 East Coast 8.5 28.7 34.6 12.4 5.3 9.6 0.9 UK 6.2 26.6 41.2 9.0 5.4 11.2 0.4 East Coast 6.7 29.1 29.4 10.8 6.2 15.8 2.1 UK 5.9 26.6 36.9 7.5 5.7 17.0 0.4 East Coast 7.6 31.4 33.3 9.9 5.7 11.5 0.7 UK 4.3 27.9 38.3 7.9 5.7 14.9 1.0 East Coast 3.2 13.5 48.2 14.2 6.9 13.5 0.5 UK 2.9 14.5 45.0 16.8 7.8 12.0 0.9 East Coast 2.5 10.3 50.2 22.9 4.1 8.7 1.1 UK 2.0 9.1 56.4 17.4 5.4 9.0 0.8 * East coast n=436 and UK n=922 **Using Chi squared tests, responses to these questions show statistically significant differences between the UK and east coast sub-samples (p≤0.05). 22 5. Discussion Existing literature on public perceptions of OWFs identifies the main drivers of negative perceptions of OWFs as visual impacts, concerns over profitability and efficiency, impacts on ocean values, a disjuncture in the link between local OWFs and climate change and lack of trust in OWF developers (Busch et al 2011; Devine Wright and Howes 2010; Gee and Burkhard, 2010; Haggett, 2011; Waldo, 2012). In contrast the main causes of positive perceptions are reported to be the environmentally benign nature of OWF with limited harm to wildlife, job creation, economic growth and community benefits (Gee and Burkhard 2010; Vanhulle et al. 2010; Waldo 2012). All of these drivers can be linked to the Office for National Statistics (ONS) domains of wellbeing (Randall et al. 2014), be it individual well-being or closely related domains, such as what we do, where we live and the economy. 5.1 Public perceptions of OWF in UK waters and their impacts on individual wellbeing A causal relationship between perceptions of OWFs and measures of individual wellbeing such as self-reported health, life satisfaction and impact on quality of life could not be identified through this survey. This is not to say that the OWF do not impact upon individual well-being, but that among the sample used in this study there is no detectable effect. Furthermore, the measures used in this survey (self-reported health, life satisfaction) are also relatively crude single item measures, while well-being is complex and multi-faceted. It may be that further investigation into the impacts of OWFs on specific components of well-being (e.g. perceived restorativeness, connectedness to nature, and psychological benefits) could generate more nuanced findings. This survey does, however, provide a more detailed understanding of the components of pro- and anti-OWF perceptions. Using exploratory factor analysis, the constituents of positive perceptions of OWFs were found to include opinions that OWFs benefit the economy, will support future energy security and modernise the image of the coast. Economic benefits included, for example, creation of local jobs, financial benefits to local communities, positive impacts on coastal tourism and the creation of new recreational activities. Support for future energy security includes opinions that OWFs are an efficient way to produce electricity, the need for more OWFs to tackle climate change and reduce our need to import fuel for electricity generation from other countries. Negative (or anti) OWF perceptions were linked to concerns over impacts on wildlife and the view as well as concerns about the impact of OWFs on the traditional and wilderness image of the coast. Concerns about the viability of the offshore wind industry without Government subsidies and the cost of the electricity produced were also associated with anti-OWF perceptions. These findings are largely supportive of the studies of hypothetical OWFs, supporting their validity. 23 Links between pro- and anti-OWF perceptions and socio-demographic variables, as well as perceptions of electricity sources, energy security and climate change, and experiences of wind farms (both on and offshore) were also examined. Younger age groups and those who consider having renewables as part of their energy tariff are more likely to be associated with pro-OWF perceptions, as are those who have deliberatively visited a coastal area where an OWF is present. An exploration of the link between concern for climate change and perceptions of OWFs produces ambiguous findings. Individuals who are concerned about climate change are found to be simultaneously more and less in favour of OWFs. In the context of pro-OWF perceptions, concern about climate change is coupled with a favourable perception of offshore wind, considering oneself to be well informed about offshore wind and being concerned about the UK becoming more dependent for energy on other countries. For anti-OWF perceptions, concern about climate change is coupled with a favourable perception of coal as a source of energy, an unfavourable perception of offshore wind, concern over power cuts in the future and attribution of the causes of climate change to mainly or entirely human activity. It is possible for individuals to hold both pro-and anti-OWF perceptions at the same time, as indicated by figure 2. It is therefore feasible that individuals who are concerned about climate change may be both pro- and anti-OWFs. In the context of anti-OWFs, the energy solutions they may prefer to climate change may include renewable sources other than OWFs (e.g. solar or biomass). In general, perceptions of OWFs among the respondents appear to be positive, irrespective of location and experience of OWFs. The majority of respondents consider that OWFs do not spoil the view and that they can be considered an efficient way to produce electricity. This complements the findings of Vanhulle et al. (2010) for Belgian OWFs. This survey does highlight that lack of trust in developers is a potential problem for the offshore wind industry however. Respondents were evenly split over the statement “offshore wind farm developers can be trusted to listen to the communities in which they operate”, although this statement was associated with pro-OWF perceptions. This lack of trust has been noted elsewhere in the literature (Aitken 2010a,b; Haggett 2008, 2011) and could partially contribute to the perception that the greatest barrier to future OWF development is public support. 5.2 The potential role for OWF in the UK’s energy mix and barriers to further developments The positive perception of OWFs needs to be put in the context of alternative options for the generation of electricity. When asked how favourable different electricity sources are, OWFs score well, and positive support is found for future OWF development. This disguises the fact that people may perceive that OWFs (and other electricity sources) perform differently against different components of well-being. This was examined using multi-criteria analysis in which four electricity sources (gas, nuclear, solar and OWF) were scored against four criteria (cost per unit, negative environmental impact, reliability of supply and contribution to UK jobs). This analysis places OWF in fourth 24 position when all responses are considered together (although OWFs are slightly preferred to nuclear among East Coast respondents). This indicates that despite the positive perceptions of OWFs, other energy sources are preferred, primarily because they are considered more reliable. The perceived minimal negative environmental impact of OWFs does not compensate for a perceived lack of reliability, compounded by a mediocre score for cost per unit of electricity produced. Offshore wind is also considered to contribute relatively little to UK jobs compared to gas and nuclear, but this is perhaps of lesser importance as this criteria was weighted less by respondents. This finding indicates that the cleaner, greener image of OWFs is traded-off against concerns over reliability of electricity supply and to a lesser extent concerns about contribution to jobs and cost per unit of electricity produced. Understanding this tradeoff may be important for garnering public support for future OWF development, especially as public support was identified in this survey to be the greatest barrier to future development of OWFs. 5.3 Limitations The main limitation with this research relates to the small sample sizes used in the exploratory factor analysis (EFA) and the multi-criteria analysis. In the context of the EFA and subsequent regression analyses, the small-sample size is a trade-off between explicitly identifying those who don’t know or have no opinion from those who do genuinely hold an opinion. This trade-off was considered necessary because, as anticipated, respondents were very unfamiliar with certain aspects of OWFs and their impacts. Forcing these individuals to make a guess could have undermined the validity of the findings. This suggests, however, that larger sample sizes may be necessary to establish more robust and nationally representative findings. The small proportion of the sample that correctly completed the multi-criteria analysis is also indicative of the limited knowledge of electricity generation held by the majority of the respondents. 6. Conclusions The issues surrounding perceptions of OWFs are complex, and there is a broad range of opinions amongst survey respondents. While the majority of respondents report that OWFs have had no impact on their own quality of life, they do hold views on the wider costs and benefits of OWF development. Positive opinions of OWFs result from perceptions of positive impacts on the economy through job creation and the development of new tourism and recreation opportunities, strengthening energy security and by giving the coast a more modern image. Negative perceptions arise from concerns over harm to wildlife, the view and the traditional and wilderness image of the coast. This is augmented by concerns about the cost of electricity production from OWFs, the viability of the industry without Government subsidies and a lack of trust in developers. These findings largely support those found in the literature on the potential impacts of hypothetical OWFs. 25 High levels of support, however, were reported for a significant proportion of UK electricity to be generated by OWFs. In general, renewable energies were viewed more favourably than fossil fuels and nuclear, with OWFs ranked third (behind solar and hydro). Nevertheless, respondents compare the performance of offshore wind unfavourably with other electricity sources with respect to specific criteria such as cost per unit and reliability of supply, and this not outweighed by the perceived minimal environmental impact. Respondents identified a lack of public support as the most significant barrier to OWF developments. Improving the perceived reliability of OWFs may go some way to addressing this issue. This is coupled to a need to improve public awareness about OWFs and electricity generation more generally, as this survey highlighted that respondents are often poorly informed. This presents an opportunity for the offshore wind industry (as well as a significant task) to better inform the public about its impacts, if it is to capitalise upon the broadly positive attitudes that members of the public already have towards the industry. References Aitken, M. (2010a). Wind power and community benefits: Challenges and opportunities. Energy Policy 38: 6066-6075. Aitken, M. (2010b). Why we still don’t understand the social aspects of wind power: a critique of key assumptions within the literature. Energy Policy 38: 1834-1841. Busch, M., Gee, K., Burkhard, B., Lange, M. and Stelljes, N. (2011). Conceptualizing the link between marine ecosystem services and human well-being: the case of offshore wind farming. International Journal of Biodiversity Science, Ecosystem Services & Management, 7(3): 190-203. Cass, N., Walker, G. and Devine-Wright, P. (2010). Good neighbours, public relations and bribes: the politics and perceptions of community benefit provision in renewable energy development in the UK. Journal of Environmental Policy and Planning, 12(3): 255-275. DCLG. (2009) Multi-Criteria Analysis: A Manual. Department for Communities and Local Government. http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/12761/1/Multi-criteria_Analysis.pdf (accessed 05/08/15). DECC. (2015). DECC Public Attitudes Tracker – Wave 14. Summary of Key Findings. August 2015. Department of Energy and Climate Change Devine-Wright, P. and Howes, Y. (2010). Disruption to place attachment and the protection of restorative environments: A wind energy case study. Journal of Environmental Psychology, 30(3): 271-280. Gee, K. (2010) Offshore wind power development as affected by seascape values on the German North Sea coast. Land Use Policy 27(2): 185-194. 26 Gee, K. and Burkhard, B. (2010). Cultural ecosystem services in the context of offshore wind farming: a case study from the west coast of Schleswig-Holstein. Ecological Complexity, 7(3): 349-358. Haggett, C. (2008) Over the sea and far away? A consideration of the planning, politics and public perceptions of offshore wind farms. Journal of Environmental Policy and Planning 10 (3), 289-306. Haggett, C. (2011). Understanding public responses to offshore wind power. Energy Policy, 39(2), 503-510. Hair, J. F., Black, B., Babin, B., Anderson, R. E. and Tatham, R. L. (2006). Multivariate Data Analysis. 6th ed. Upper Saddle River, New Jersey: Pearson. Hattam, C., Hooper, T. and Papathanasopoulou, E. (2015). Understanding the Impacts of Offshore Windfarms on Well-being. Unpublished report prepared for The Crown Estate Infomart GfK (2008)The Perception of the Windfarm off the Coast of Egmond. Report prepared for NoordzeeWind, Amsterdam. Kempton, W., Firestone, J., Liley, J., Rouleau, T. and Whitaker, P. (2005) The offshore wind power debate: views from Cape Cod. Coastal Management 33: 119-149. Ladenburg, J. (2010). Attitudes towards offshore wind farms: the role of beach visits on attitude and demographic and attitude relations. Energy Policy, 38(3): 12971304. Maniaci, M. R., & Rogge, R. D. (2014). Caring about carelessness: Participant inattention and its effects on research. Journal of Research in Personality, 48, 61-83. Poortinga W., Pidgeon, N.F. and Lorenzoni, I. (2006). Public Perceptions of Nuclear Power, Climate Change and Energy Options in Britain: Summary Findings of a Survey Conducted during October and November 2005. Technical Report (Understanding Risk Working Paper 06-02). Norwich: Centre for Environmental Risk. Randall, C., Corp, A. and Self, A. (2014). Measuring National Well-being: Life in the UK, 2014. Office for National Statistics. Sorensen, L.K., Hammarlund, K. and Larsten, J.H. (2002) Experience with and strategies for public involvement in offshore wind projects. International Journal of Environmental and Sustainable Development 1(4): 327-336. Spence, A., Venables, D., Pidgeon, N., Poortinga, W. and Demski, C. (2010) Public perceptions of climate change and energy futures in Britain: Summary Findings of a Survey Conducted from January to March 2010. Technical report (Understanding Risk Working Paper 10-01). Cardiff: School of Psychology. Sturgis, P., Roberts, C., & Smith, P. (2014). Middle Alternatives Revisited How the neither/nor Response Acts as a Way of Saying “I Don’t Know”? Sociological Methods & Research, 43(1), 15-38. Teisl, M., McCoy, S., Marrinan, S., Noblet, C., Johnson, T., Wibberly, M., Roper, R. and Klein, S. (2015). Will offshore energy face “fair winds and following seas”? Understanding the factors influencing offshore wind acceptance. Estuaries and Coasts 38 (Suppl 1):S279-S286. 27 Vanhulle, A., Houthave R.and Di Marcantonio, M. (2010). Seascape and socio-economic study: final results. In: Degraer, S.; Brabant, R.; Rumes, B. (Ed.) (2010). Offshore wind farms in the Belgian part of the North Sea: Early environmental impact assessment and spatio-temporal variability. Royal Belgian Institute of Natural Sciences. Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models. Marine Ecosystem Management Unit: Brussel. pp. 165-186 Waldo, Å. (2012). Offshore wind power in Sweden-A qualitative analysis of attitudes with particular focus on opponents. Energy Policy, 41: 692-702. 28 Annex 1: Survey findings by question Key: green = highly significant (p≤0.01) yellow = significant (0.01<p≤0.05) orange = slightly significant (0.05<p≤0.1) Section 1. Your views about energy security and climate change Q1. How concerned are you, if at all, about the following? Percentage of respondents Electricity will become unaffordable in the future There will be power cuts in the future The UK will become too dependent on energy from other countries In the future supplies of fossil fuels (e.g. coal, oil and gas) will run out That the UK will not meet its renewable energy targets The UK not investing fast enough in alternative sources of energy Very concerned Fairly concerned Not very concerned Not at all concerned No opinion Don't know No answer East Coast 27.5 42.7 20.0 4.1 2.1 3.0 0.7 UK 28.4 42.3 20.0 5.5 0.9 2.6 0.3 East Coast 17.4 40.8 28.2 8.0 1.4 3.4 0.7 UK 21.0 40.8 24.8 8.6 2.1 2.2 0.5 East Coast 32.8 44.5 14.7 3.4 1.8 2.8 0.0 UK 30.4 43.5 15.9 5.0 1.7 2.6 0.9 East Coast 29.6 42.7 20.6 4.8 0.9 1.4 0.0 UK 27.1 44.0 18.9 6.9 1.2 1.2 0.7 East Coast 17.4 38.8 24.8 10.8 3.0 4.6 0.7 UK 19.4 39.6 24.3 10.3 3.8 2.4 0.2 East Coast 28.9 45.2 15.6 5.5 1.1 3.0 0.7 UK 29.0 44.7 15.7 5.4 2.1 2.8 0.3 Q2. How concerned, if at all, are you about climate change (sometimes referred to as global warming)? Percentage of respondents Very concerned Fairly concerned Not very concerned Not at all concerned No opinion Don't know No answer East Coast 22.0 43.3 22.2 11.0 0.9 0.2 0.2 UK 26.2 44.9 17.9 9.8 0.7 0.4 0.1 29 Q3. Thinking about the causes of climate change, which, if any, of the following best describes your opinion? % of respondents East Coast UK Climate change is entirely caused by natural processes 4.4 4.8 Climate change is mainly caused by natural processes 9.6 11.4 Climate change is equally caused by natural processes and by human activity 42.0 33.9 Climate change is mainly caused by human activity 33.3 38.1 Climate change is entirely caused by human activity 4.1 5.1 I think there is no such thing as climate change 3.9 2.6 No opinion 1.4 1.8 Don’t know 1.1 2.2 No answer 0.2 0.1 Section 2. Your views about energy technologies Q4. How favourable or unfavourable are your overall opinions or impressions of the following energy sources for producing electricity currently? coal oil nuclear natural gas fracking Percentage of respondents Never Mainly Very heard unfavourable unfavourable of it No opinion Don't know No answer 0.2 6.2 3.9 0.7 21.8 0.9 4.9 2.5 0.7 33.0 15.6 0.7 6.2 4.8 1.1 30.4 34.4 16.8 1.0 5.5 3.5 1.4 15.6 30.3 19.5 23.9 0.5 3.4 5.0 1.8 UK 15.2 26.9 24.2 21.6 1.4 3.9 5.7 1.1 East Coast 17.0 47.7 14.4 8.3 1.6 5.3 5.3 0.5 UK 17.8 47.1 17.6 5.4 2.3 5.2 3.9 0.8 East Coast 7.1 23.6 21.3 30.7 3.4 7.1 6.0 0.7 UK 8.6 19.6 23.3 28.4 4.1 7.5 7.8 0.7 Very favourable Mainly favourable East Coast 7.3 27.1 34.2 20.4 UK 7.4 26.7 35.2 East Coast 7.8 30.7 UK 7.0 East Coast 30 Percentage of respondents Never Mainly Very heard unfavourable unfavourable of it No opinion Don't know No answer 4.4 3.7 3.2 0.5 4.0 5.2 5.2 4.4 0.9 3.2 1.8 5.0 4.1 4.1 0.7 36.3 4.2 1.4 6.5 3.6 3.0 1.3 32.3 38.1 4.6 1.8 9.9 6.0 7.1 0.2 UK 32.4 34.9 6.2 1.7 14.8 4.2 5.1 0.7 East Coast 39.4 42.0 2.8 2.5 4.8 3.7 4.1 0.7 UK 42.6 35.5 5.3 2.3 5.9 3.8 3.9 0.8 solar East Coast 53.7 37.2 3.4 1.8 0.0 2.5 1.1 0.2 UK 57.9 31.7 4.8 1.5 0.4 1.8 1.2 0.7 hydro East Coast 45.9 43.1 3.0 0.5 1.4 3.2 2.5 0.5 UK 50.2 35.5 4.2 1.4 2.1 2.8 2.8 1.0 East Coast 32.6 41.3 11.7 8.9 1.1 2.8 0.9 0.7 UK 37.7 38.7 10.6 7.4 0.5 2.6 2.0 0.4 Very favourable Mainly favourable biomass East Coast 27.3 49.1 8.7 3.2 UK 25.8 43.5 11.0 wave East Coast 42.9 38.1 UK 43.6 East Coast tidal lagoons tidal current onshore wind offshore wind East Coast 45.2 37.8 7.3 5.0 0.2 2.5 1.1 0.7 UK 48.0 35.0 5.7 4.1 1.0 3.3 2.2 0.7 Q5.What proportion of your electricity would you like to be provided by wind power generated at sea? % of respondents East Coast UK 0% 5.5 2.9 up to 5% 2.3 3.3 between 5% and 10% 6.4 9.7 between 10% and 15% 10.6 10.7 between 15% and 20% 10.1 11.2 between 20% and 30% 9.9 12.6 between 30% and 50% 17.7 13.3 over 50% 24.3 20.7 Don't know 13.3 15.5 31 Q6. In your opinion, how do you think the different methods of generating electricity currently compare in terms of the cost per unit of electricity produced? Each energy source scored from 0 to 10, where 10 = high cost, environmental impact, reliability and contribution to jobs % of respondents Gas Score EC Nuclear UK EC OWF UK EC Solar UK EC UK 0 14 12 3 5 5 5 11 13 1 8 7 3 3 6 6 9 7 2 15 13 6 4 9 8 13 11 3 14 12 5 6 12 9 10 9 4 10 12 6 10 10 11 9 10 5 16 16 15 14 16 15 15 13 6 10 7 11 11 9 11 6 10 7 5 8 13 11 11 10 10 8 8 3 3 16 12 8 10 7 7 9 2 2 7 9 6 5 3 5 10 3 7 15 16 10 10 6 6 Q7. In your opinion, how do you think the different methods of generating electricity currently compare in terms of negative environmental impact? % of respondents Gas EC Nuclear UK EC OWF UK EC Solar UK EC UK 0 17 18 25 24 3 5 4 4 1 9 9 7 11 3 3 1 2 2 13 14 12 10 4 4 4 3 3 15 14 12 9 4 5 6 3 4 13 11 8 9 6 5 4 5 5 15 15 11 13 12 9 9 8 6 5 7 7 7 8 10 6 7 7 5 7 4 5 9 13 9 7 8 4 3 7 5 17 15 11 13 9 1 1 3 3 18 15 17 18 10 3 2 4 4 16 16 29 30 32 Q8. In your opinion, how do you think the different methods of generating electricity currently compare in terms of how reliable they are in producing electricity day-to-day? % of respondents Gas EC Nuclear UK EC OWF UK EC Solar UK EC UK 0 2 2 4 3 9 9 9 11 1 1 0 2 1 3 4 6 4 2 2 2 2 3 6 7 8 7 3 4 3 3 3 8 8 5 11 4 4 5 5 5 12 12 10 10 5 13 11 12 10 17 19 20 18 6 8 10 7 9 13 13 11 13 7 15 15 13 12 12 10 9 8 8 16 22 17 17 8 8 9 6 9 16 14 12 13 6 5 6 5 10 19 17 24 24 6 5 7 7 Q9. In your opinion, how do you think the different methods of generating electricity currently compare in terms of their contribution to providing UK jobs? % of respondents Gas EC Nuclear UK EC OWF UK EC Solar UK EC UK 0 2 2 3 3 5 8 10 9 1 1 1 3 1 7 6 7 6 2 1 2 4 3 8 8 9 10 3 3 3 4 5 11 10 12 11 4 8 6 7 8 13 11 12 14 5 17 15 17 18 19 22 19 19 6 12 13 11 13 9 12 11 10 7 18 15 15 16 12 9 8 7 8 16 16 15 14 7 6 4 6 9 7 8 9 8 3 3 4 4 10 15 19 13 11 7 5 5 4 33 Q10. How important to you are each of the four criteria you have just considered? Each criteria is scored on a scale from 0 to 100, scores across the four criteria should add to 100 Mean weight (all data combined) Mean weight (per subsample) East UK Coast Cost per unit Negative environmental impact 31.2 Reliability of supply Contribution to UK jobs Cost per unit Negative environmental impact 30.7 31.4 22.7 26.3 29.0 Reliability of supply 30.1 28.6 14.4 Contribution to UK jobs 16.5 13.6 25.3 Section 3. Your views about offshore wind farms: wind power from turbines at sea Q11. How well informed do you think you are about the generation of wind power from turbines at sea (also called offshore wind farms)? % of respondents East Coast Very well informed UK 4.4 4.4 Well informed 11.9 11.4 Quite well informed 34.9 28.6 Not very well informed 43.1 45.9 5.5 9.2 Not at all informed 34 Q12. To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statements about the impacts of offshore wind farms? Percentage of respondents Strongly Agree No opinion 24.5 4.4 3.9 15.8 0.5 40.7 24.9 3.5 5.2 17.4 0.3 15.1 39.7 23.4 13.8 3.9 3.7 0.5 UK 13.9 33.1 30.5 11.7 5.3 5.0 0.5 Offshore wind farms harm people’s health East Coast 39.0 41.1 4.4 2.5 3.2 8.7 1.1 UK 35.4 38.2 6.4 3.1 4.1 11.9 0.9 The development of offshore wind farms contributes significantly to the UK economy East Coast 5.0 12.4 48.4 19.3 4.4 10.3 0.2 UK 2.7 12.4 43.4 16.4 6.8 17.9 0.2 The development of offshore wind farms creates local jobs East Coast 3.0 16.5 50.0 17.2 3.2 9.4 0.7 UK 2.4 13.0 49.9 14.9 5.4 14.2 0.2 Local communities benefit financially from offshore wind developments East Coast 7.3 18.1 41.3 12.2 3.9 16.7 0.5 UK 3.7 16.1 37.4 11.5 7.7 22.8 0.9 Offshore wind farms negatively affect fishermen’s incomes East Coast 5.7 33.5 20.6 5.7 7.1 26.8 0.5 UK 6.3 27.5 18.7 7.4 8.0 31.6 0.5 Offshore wind farms have a positive effect on coastal tourism East Coast 12.2 36.5 13.3 4.1 14.9 17.9 1.1 UK 13.6 31.6 14.8 6.2 12.6 20.8 0.5 Offshore wind farms are an efficient way to generate electricity East Coast 8.5 11.5 42.0 24.5 3.0 10.3 0.2 UK 3.8 8.4 47.1 23.8 4.7 11.7 0.7 Offshore wind farms harm wildlife Offshore wind farms spoil the view Strongly Disagree Disagree East Coast 8.9 42.0 UK 8.0 East Coast Agree Don't know No answer 35 Q13. To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statements about the future development of offshore wind farms? Percentage of respondents Strongly Disagree Disagree Agree Strongly Agree No opinion Don't know No answer It is only through the construction of offshore wind farms that the UK will meet its renewable energy targets East Coast 6.2 16.7 41.7 12.2 4.4 18.6 0.2 UK 4.9 16.4 36.1 10.6 8.8 22.2 1.0 We need more offshore wind farms to tackle climate change East Coast 7.8 10.3 43.3 21.3 5.7 10.6 0.9 UK 5.9 8.5 42.6 22.7 8.6 11.5 0.3 More offshore wind farms would reduce our need to import fuel for generating electricity from other countries East Coast 5.3 7.8 51.4 23.6 2.8 8.9 0.2 UK 3.5 6.7 52.4 21.8 5.1 10.0 0.5 The electricity produced by offshore wind farms is too expensive East Coast 4.8 23.6 21.6 11.0 6.7 32.1 0.2 UK 4.7 23.6 15.7 8.4 9.1 38.0 0.5 Offshore wind farms are not viable without subsidies from the government East Coast 4.6 13.3 34.2 13.5 4.8 29.4 0.2 UK 2.5 15.4 31.9 11.9 8.0 29.5 0.8 I would strongly oppose an offshore wind farm built near where I live or go on holiday East Coast 28.0 39.4 10.6 10.6 5.3 5.7 0.5 UK 22.1 36.6 13.9 8.9 8.7 8.7 1.2 East Coast 30.7 38.3 9.4 9.6 4.8 6.4 0.7 UK 30.3 36.2 9.2 6.1 8.1 9.5 0.5 We should stop building offshore wind farms The benefits of offshore wind farms outweigh the disadvantages East Coast 7.3 10.1 46.1 19.3 2.3 14.2 0.7 UK 4.9 8.4 43.1 21.1 6.6 15.4 0.5 We should only build offshore wind farms if they are not visible from land East Coast 17.2 42.7 18.6 9.2 6.2 5.5 0.7 UK 14.5 36.8 22.1 8.1 10.7 7.2 0.5 Offshore wind farm developers can be trusted to listen to the communities in which they operate East Coast 14.7 26.8 24.5 5.7 8.7 18.6 0.9 8.8 23.2 26.0 5.4 11.2 24.9 0.4 UK 36 Q14. To what extent do you agree or disagree that the following are barriers to increased future development of offshore wind farms? Percentage of respondents Strongly Disagree Disagree Agree Strongly Agree No opinion Don't know No answer East Coast 4.1 11.7 48.2 19.0 4.8 10.1 2.1 UK 1.7 12.3 51.1 16.6 4.8 12.9 0.7 Environmental impact East Coast 8.5 28.7 34.6 12.4 5.3 9.6 0.9 UK 6.2 26.6 41.2 9.0 5.4 11.2 0.4 Technological constraints East Coast 6.7 29.1 29.4 10.8 6.2 15.8 2.1 UK 5.9 26.6 36.9 7.5 5.7 17.0 0.4 East Coast 7.6 31.4 33.3 9.9 5.7 11.5 0.7 UK 4.3 27.9 38.3 7.9 5.7 14.9 1.0 East Coast 3.2 13.5 48.2 14.2 6.9 13.5 0.5 UK 2.9 14.5 45.0 16.8 7.8 12.0 0.9 East Coast 2.5 10.3 50.2 22.9 4.1 8.7 1.1 UK 2.0 9.1 56.4 17.4 5.4 9.0 0.8 Cost of construction, operation and maintenance Availability of workforce with the right skills Political support Public support Q14a. What other barriers, if any, do you think there may be to future increased development of offshore wind farms? Key themes emerging as barriers include: For the East Coast Preferences for other sources of electricity over OWF (e.g. shale gas or tidal energy) The cost of OWF construction, including non-monetary costs such as carbon footprints Visual impacts and community dissatisfaction Energy companies unwilling to invest in OWF/lack of industrial backing Public backing Climate change meaning OWF become unviable due to e.g. increased storminess Concerns over the efficiency of OWFs Concerns over impacts on other industries (e.g. fisheries and shipping) 37 In addition to the above, the UK sub-sample also identified: Availability of suitable sights. Turbine reliability and efficiency Security of installations Europe and its dictates Global financial collapse. Lack of infrastructure to move electricity from the turbine to the Grid Lack of political backing Lack of skilled workforce Lack of willing investors Lack of wind Short-comings in the supply chain Section 4. Your experience of wind farms (both on land and at sea) Q15. Have you seen a wind farm? % of respondents East Coast UK On land 88.3 85.4 At sea 83.7 56.8 Q16. Can you see a wind farm from your home? % of respondents East Coast UK On land 14.4 14.0 At sea 24.3 3.6 Q17. Have you ever taken part in the following recreational activities within an offshore wind farm? % of respondents East Coast UK Angling Scuba diving Sailing 4.8 4.6 2.5 3.1 5.7 4.7 Boat trip 13.8 11.6 5.5 3.0 Other* * responses received for “Other” were generally things like walking that related to onshore wind. Realistic possibilities were kayaking, flying and surfing 38 Q18. In planning a visit to the coast, have you ever deliberately visited an area because there are offshore wind turbines visible from the shore? % of respondents East Coast UK Yes 8.0 8.7 No 92.0 91.3 Q19. In planning a visit to the coast, have you ever deliberately avoided visiting an area because there are offshore wind turbines visible from the shore? % of respondents East Coast UK Yes 5.7 5.1 No 94.3 94.9 Q20. Do you or anyone in your family work in the offshore wind energy industry (e.g. in the research and development, planning, construction, operation and maintenance of offshore wind turbines?) % of respondents East Coast UK Yes 2.5 3.3 No 97.5 96.7 Q21. Have any community projects in your area received funding from an offshore wind farm developer? % of respondents East Coast Yes No Don’t know No answer UK 7.3 3.7 33.7 54.6 58.7 41.1 0.2 0.7 39 Q22. What are the community project(s) that have received funding from an offshore wind farm developer? Responses include (nonsensical responses removed): East Coast a farm and fishing development near Mablethorpe, lincolnshire Cannot remember but Great Yarmouth has a lot to do with this type of thing and up and coming future projects. charitable participation clacton wind turbines development in the town general community funding harwich quay Local Docks local farms on cliff tops Local Training Centre MO Museum Sheringham. Grants to community Not sure of any names but locally inland and on coast wind farms development is ongoing. Not sure what project got the money, but an offshore wind farm is being built were I live and when the company runs over they give a sum of money to a community fund. Park Redcar Offshore Windfarm Sailing club the local rnli have received money to move their headquarters due to the location of our wind farm which is right on the coast unsure of name but it was in the local newspaper Boys brigade, local under 15s football team Caerphilly Big Cheese Annual Event Children's charity community hall and school Financial support for the local community Forest centre I am not sure but I know there are some I can't remember though I did see it mentioned in the local press Local school - And activity centres Local scouts groups Opening up the countryside. Yet another invasive deterioration RenewableUK talk of county down coast line tourism projects in Conwy WindUK UK 40 Q23. What effect, if any, has this community project, or projects, had on you? Responses include (nonsensical responses removed): East Coast a good one Better informed about the projects. I am employed by a company that was directly linked to the building of them. Involved RNLI who I do voluntary work for less jobs as project closed none, lower council bills not a lot, a nicer town to visit perhaps Not affected me at all. I am pleased that something is going to happen (hopefully) without people complaining about "blots on the landscape". Windmills are lovely to watch and makes me feel good that natural resources are being used to create electricity. I would love one in my garden just for my use of household electricity and hopefully one day every house hold will have their own windmill. Not sure yet but sure we will benefit. Some complain about the view but a pragmatic approach is held by myself and most people I know. unsightly complaints UK helped us to provide a better communty given funding for fun days ect lower electricity prices More increase on energy from a renewable source Positive Effect. Very positive effect. progressive lifestyle Slightly improvement in school facilities the major breakdown on the cost of electric being generated instead of using products that cannot be reused. 41 Q24. To what extent do you agree or disagree to the following statements about offshore wind farms? Percentage of respondents Strongly Disagree Disagree 13.8 20.0 Strongly Agree No opinion 38.3 7.6 15.6 3.9 0.9 Agree Don't know No answer Offshore wind farms give the coast a modern image East Coast UK 7.8 22.5 34.5 7.4 19.4 7.8 0.7 Offshore wind farms create new recreational opportunities (e.g. boat trips, viewing) East Coast 9.4 16.3 41.7 7.1 11.2 14.0 0.2 UK 5.9 18.8 37.4 7.5 13.2 16.9 0.3 Offshore wind farms improve the quality of recreational experiences East Coast 10.6 26.4 17.0 3.7 22.5 19.5 0.5 UK 8.5 26.6 16.1 4.2 22.0 22.5 0.2 Offshore wind farms have a negative impact on sea birds and mammals East Coast 7.1 26.8 23.2 10.3 6.0 26.1 0.5 UK 5.3 25.3 24.2 7.8 7.3 29.7 0.4 Offshore wind farms are beneficial to commercially important fish and shellfish species East Coast 7.3 20.9 15.6 3.9 11.7 40.1 0.5 UK 5.5 15.9 15.9 4.6 13.9 43.2 1.0 Offshore wind farms detract from the traditional image of the coast East Coast 8.5 32.1 29.1 17.4 7.6 4.8 0.5 UK 5.5 25.2 37.9 13.7 9.7 7.9 0.2 Offshore wind farms negatively affect the wilderness image of the sea East Coast 9.4 33.5 24.1 14.4 8.7 9.4 0.5 UK 7.4 28.1 29.4 11.2 10.8 12.4 0.8 Q25. What impact, if any, have offshore wind farms had on your quality of life? % of respondents East Coast Strong positive impact Positive impact No impact Negative impact Strong negative impact Don’t know UK 2.5 2.4 6.0 10.5 82.1 76.5 5.3 2.3 0.5 0.8 3.4 7.4 42 Section 5. Information about you Q26. Approximately how often do you visit the UK coast in a typical year? % of respondents East Coast I live by the coast UK 62.4 12.1 Daily 2.1 1.2 Weekly 6.2 3.3 Fortnightly 3.4 3.3 Monthly 4.1 7.9 6-10 times per year 6.9 10.2 2-5 times per year 9.6 30.6 Once per year 2.3 14.4 Less than once per year I have never visited the UK coast 2.3 14.4 0.5 2.3 Q27. When you visit the UK coast, do you typically take part in any of the following activities? % of respondents East Coast UK Walking 91.3 87.0 Relaxing on the beach 57.3 66.2 Swimming 20.0 25.5 3.0 4.4 Angling/crabbing 12.6 8.4 Wildlife watching 34.4 27.4 Non-powered water sports (e.g. kayaking, wind surfing, sailing) 6.2 6.2 Powered water sports (e.g. waterskiing, jetskiing, power boating) 2.8 3.0 Snorkelling/scuba diving Q28. What is the first half of your postcode? 43 Q29. Are you...? % of respondents East Coast UK Male 47.0 48.9 Female 52.8 50.9 Q30. What is your age? % of respondents East Coast UK 18-24 8.9 11.1 25-34 14.7 19.2 35-44 14.7 18.7 45-54 21.6 16.4 55-64 23.4 22.2 Over 65 16.7 12.3 Q31. How dissatisfied or satisfied are you with your life overall? (where 1 means not satisfied at all and 7 means completely satisfied) % of respondents East Coast UK 1 (not satisfied at all) 1.4 1.3 2 3.0 3.8 3 7.8 5.9 4 13.3 12.5 5 28.7 32.8 6 34.2 31.3 7 (completely satisfied) 11.2 12.4 44 Q32. Over the last 12 months would you say your health has on the whole been...? % of respondents East Coast UK Not good 19.3 16.5 Fairly good 52.5 50.3 Good 28.0 33.2 Q33. How many people in your household are in each of the following age groups? Average number per household East Coast UK Under 18 0.5 0.6 18-64 1.8 1.8 Over 65 0.4 0.4 All occupants 2.5 2.7 Q34. What is your household's yearly total income (before tax and other deductions)? % of respondents East Coast UK Under £10,000 14.4 11.0 £10,000 - £19,999 25.9 18.7 £20,000 - £29,999 22.0 21.7 £30,000 - £39,999 14.4 20.0 £40,000 - £49,999 11.9 10.5 £50,000 or more 10.8 16.6 Q35. Are you responsible for paying the energy bills for your household? % of respondents East Coast Yes 80.7 UK 81.0 Q36. Have you ever switched energy supplier? % of respondents East Coast Yes 65.6 UK 63.4 45 Q37. Why did you switch? % of responses East Coast UK The new supplier was cheaper 62.0 61.0 To increase the proportion of energy from renewable sources 2.7 4.1 13.2 12.3 5.0 6.9 15.1 13.5 2.0 2.1 Poor customer service Inaccurate billing Moving house No reason given Q38. How important is it to you that your energy tariff includes energy generated from renewable sources? % of respondents East Coast UK Very important 11.2 15.2 Important 39.9 39.8 Unimportant 17.9 15.3 6.0 6.6 No opinion 18.8 15.8 Don't know 6.2 6.7 No answer 11.2 15.2 Very unimportant 46 Q39. Do you have any further comments about how electricity is produced in the UK, or offshore wind farms? In addition to comments on offshore wind farms, a large number of comments were also received in favour of solar, nuclear and to a lesser extent tidal power. A small number of comments on the need to revive the coal industry were also made. Selected East Coast comments: I wish there was more alternatives generated electricity. We need to harness as much natural power as possible, to protect our environment and also because fossil fuels have a limited supply. As I have said before, when taking in to account the energy used to produce and maintain wind turbines they are not a low carbon production of energy. The maintenance at sea of these things is going to be extremely costly in money and carbon emissions, when taking into account the manufacture erection and the maintenance; spare parts, travel to the turbines etc. There are better alternatives to wind turbines on land or sea. Hopefully there will be more of it to save the environment I don’t see a problem with offshore windfarms. I think they are visually pleasant. I feel that more of the electricity that we use should be from wind farms i HATE the offshore wind farms - the beach near me use to be beautiful and peaceful now when i visit the wind farm is large ugly and oppressive - I have stopped visiting that beach which is a shame as I had regularly visited the beach for over 10 years i hope all the negative publicity about the cost of production of energy from wind farms is not accurate and they will produce energy at an affordable price after the initial costs as in my opinion we have already raped the earth of fuel sources and will run out of coal gas etc and be back to Fred Flintstone times very soon whether wind farms are with us or not I personally think that the offshore wind farms can look very futuristic and quite stunning. I see a large offshore wind farm everyday while walking the dog. I can understand why some people do not like the sight of them, but we need renewable energy for the future. I think all this moaning about wind farms are pointless and egoistic. I think it is important to educate on the relative efficiencies of different electricity supplies and to teach more of the general principles in schools. It would be good if wind turbines could be much more community owned - so if my village had its own turbine I feel the perceived impact of the turbine would be less to the local community since the benefits would be felt. With the current set up of groups of turbines I would imagine people feel that they are been singled out to provide the nation though in reality that is probably not the case. Perhaps if our statement showed the percentage of how the electricity company gets its electric more people might take more of an interest. I tend not to trust what is shown in the statement at present because it is too complicated, maybe a quarterly or half yearly report would make people think more about this The biggest problem is that foreign companies control our power supplies to make money for foreign governments and investors. We need to out law this and 47 take our power back in to UK control. Unfortunately the only real solution for UK power needs that will not be dependent on other countries is nuclear the greater need far outweighs any other argument either for or against. They will become part of the landscape and largely unnoticed. I am sure that in the past, this applied to windmills here in Norfolk. Now that many have disappeared the ones left are tourist attractions. When they were built, locals may have disliked them too! Selected UK comments: A push needs to be made to switch our existing nuclear reactors into thorium fuelled reactors. The initial cost will be high, but will be quickly earned back, and this type of reactor is impossible to meltdown or weaponise. As well as the traditional windfarms, they should develop wind tunnels with the ability to harness the power of the wind. - in mountainous regions of the highlands for example. Change is always happening. - - If wind turbines are the answer i would rather see the landscape change for green energy that being destroyed by pollution and ugly power plants don't know why people have such negative opinions of them, far safer than nuclear energy, and better looking than ugly electrical pylons in housing areas damaging health and throughout the countryside Down with wind farms. Awful things. Energy companies should have more compulsion to use renewables, and there should be increasingly less subsidies for non renewables and more for renewables.. Forget Wind turbines completely. Nuclear is the way forward with such limited impact yet great job creation get rid of all of them they are highly inefficient and cost the taxpayer a lot of money into PRIVATE businesses pockets Hope there are no blackouts because of a shortage I don't think that it is fair the 'greener' energy costs more than fossil fuels - it seems wrong that the consumer should have to pay more to save the planet energy producers should constantly try and use renewable energy as their duty, rather than charge us extra for the privilege I feel more emphasis should be placed upon means of reducing our demand for electricity, such as higher energy efficiency standards (ie, insulation) in construction of homes and commercial buildings, including, where practicable, renewal energy technologies such as ground/air source heating, solar panel roofs, etc. I think more enlightenment should be done regarding the development of offshore wind farms. They're highly reliable and cost efficient in the long run. For starters, there's always wind out at sea so energy generation is more or less guaranteed. The fact that wind farms have low negative impact on the environment makes their development something everyone should consider. I think some sacrifices have to made; we can keep using the NIMBY argument, but eventually there will be nothing nice left to preserve. I would welcome a wind farm near me, on-shore or off-shore I think the turbines should be manufactured and constructed in the UK. 48 I think they give an air of mystery to the sea and I love them. I had a lovely view of them where I previously had a beach hut. i would like to learn more, maybe see a bit more about it in adverts on tv. just bewilderment at the brain-dead morons who would prefer to have Gazprom supplying us with energy rather than having wind turbines or fracking 'spoiling their view' ...... and the spineless gutless appeasers who sit in Westminster churning out their sanctimonious drivel afraid to upset the apple cart renewables can't grow until government stops subsidising nuclear and fossil fuels(currently globally direct financial support to the fossil fuel industry amounts to $492 billion per year) and invests in wind, wave,. solar, etc. So long as profit is the prime motivator of energy generation, the lowest cost energy (cradle to grave cost) will be preferred, even if that means importing coal or gas from halfway around the world. As such renewable sources cannot compete with gas. Energy is a necessity and in the UK we have sufficient option to invest in higher cost renewable sources if we maintain the bulk of the work required within the UK. The higher costs will directly benefit the economy via wage packets and we will maintain control of the technical skills required for their development. The government should make increasing the percentage of energy supplied from renewable sources a priority. They should also keep the green levy on energy bills. We don't need more wind farms. We need to invest in power storage systems. Wind farms, whether on land or offshore are a monumental con and only benefit the owners and operators of the site. Government subsidies to them should stop altogether. 49 London The Crown Estate 16 New Burlington Place London W1S 2HX T 020 7851 5000 Edinburgh The Crown Estate 6 Bell’s Brae Edinburgh EH4 3BJ T 0131 260 6070 Glenlivet Main Street Tomintoul Banffshire AB37 9EX T 01479 870 070 Windsor The Crown Estate The Great Park Windsor, Berkshire SL4 2HT T 01753 860 222 www.thecrownestate.co.uk @TheCrownEstate ISBN: 978-1-906410-66-7