SAN DIEGO STATE UNIVERSITY Graduate School of Public Health Division of Epidemiology and Biostatistics PH 826 Analysis of Case-Control Studies Section 1 Day Thursday Instructor: John Alcaraz, Ph.D. E-mail: jalcaraz@mail.sdsu.edu Time 9:30am – 12:10pm 3 units Fall 2013 Location HH 128 Schedule No. 22346 Office location: Hardy Tower 231 Office hours: Mon Wed 11:30am – 1:30pm Thursday 1:00pm – 3:00pm Course Description: Statistical methods and applications for analyzing case-control studies. Use of conditional and unconditional logistic regression and approaches for incorporating confounding and interaction in models. Computer applications included. Prerequisites: – PH 623: Epidemiologic Methods – PH 627: Advanced Statistical Methods in Public Health – Ability to independently carry out SAS programs based on examples discussed in class. Students who took the SAS lab as part of PH 627 should have the requisite knowledge. – Recommended: PH 823: Case-control studies Grading System: Homework: 20% Take-home exam: 40% Class presentation of analysis of case-control study: 40% Homework/Exam Schedule (subject to change): Assigned Homework 1 Sept 5 2 Sept 12 3 Sept 19 4 Sept 26 5 Oct 3 6 Oct 10 7 Oct 17 Take-home exam Oct 31 Presentation Oct 3 93 – 100 = A 90 – 93 = A– 87 – 90 = B+ 83 – 87 = B 80 – 83 = B– 77 – 80 = C+ 73 – 77 = C 70 – 73 = C– 67 – 70 = D+ 63 – 67 = D 60 – 63 = D– 0 – 60 = F Due Sept 12 Sept 19 Sept 26 Oct 3 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 24 Nov 14 Dec 5 All coursework must be printed, computer-written documents. Handwritten submissions are not acceptable. Most coursework will require the use of SAS. Do not submit any SAS output. The exam will consist of two problems. The first is similar to the homework in that it requires analyzing a data set. The second involves writing a critical review of a published paper. -1- For the class presentation, you must prepare overheads or a PowerPoint slideshow to accompany the talk. Printouts of these materials must be given to the instructor as part of the grading process. You are graded on the basis of the quality of the materials you have prepared as well as the quality of the oral presentation. Particular focus should be on the appropriate development of tables for presentation to represent both descriptive and analytical results. More details about the presentation will be posted on Blackboard on October 3. The presentations are scheduled to take place on December 5. Required Texts: – Woodward M. Epidemiology: Study Design and Data Analysis, 2nd Ed. New York: CRC Press, 2005. – Hosmer DW and Lemeshow S. Applied Logistic Regression, 2nd Ed. New York: Wiley and Sons, 2000. – Slymen D. Annotated SAS Output for Public Health 826: Analysis of Case-Control Studies. [Available under my name at bookstore] – Thompson WD. Statistical analysis of case-control studies. Epidemiologic Reviews, 1994, v. 16, no. 1, pp. 33-50. [On Blackboard] – Lecture notes. [On Blackboard] Other Resources: – Schlesselman JJ. Case-Control Studies: Design, Conduct, Analysis. New York: Oxford University Press, 1982. [Chapters 7 and 8 are pertinent to this course. But some material is out of date.] – Breslow NE and Day NE. Statistical Methods in Cancer Research: Volume 1 – The Analysis of Case-Control Studies. Lyon: International Agency for Research on Cancer, 1980. [Notation is difficult to follow, but a classic.] – Kleinbaum DG, Kupper LL, Nizam A, Muller KE. Applied Regression Analysis and Other Multivariable Methods, 4th Ed. New York: Duxbury Press, 2007. [Your PH 627 text. Chapter 23 as a review of logistic regression.] Course Objectives: 1. Acquire knowledge on the appropriate use of statistical methods to analyze case-control studies. 2. Gain proficiency in the use of statistical software to carry out analyses of case-control studies. 3. Practice the written and oral transmission of results from analyses appropriate for case-control studies. -2- Specific Objectives: 1. Gain in-depth knowledge of epidemiologic principles associated with case-control studies: a) Evaluate how measures of association such as the odds ratio and attributable risk apply to case-control studies. b) Relate how bias minimization and increasing precision may be implemented through study design and analytical approaches. 2. Demonstrate knowledge in data management: a) Build upon existing knowledge using the SAS statistical package to reorganize a data set appropriate for analyses of unmatched and matched case-control studies. b) Examine strategies for handling missing data problems. 3. Demonstrate advanced knowledge in the data analysis and interpretation of results from casecontrol studies: a) Use appropriate measures of association and confidence intervals for unmatched and matched studies with and without adjusting for covariates. b) Explain and implement the use of unconditional and conditional likelihood with logistic regression. c) Apply concepts of confounding and interaction as they relate to case-control studies in the analysis of data sets. d) Be able to carry out statistical analyses using SAS software and correctly interpret results from the output of this software. 4. Gain communication skills: a) Construct a set of tables appropriate for reporting of results from a case-control study. b) Practice communicating clearly and concisely written and oral results from a case-control study. Attendance: Attendance is required at all class meetings. If because of severe circumstances (such as illness, injury, death in the family) you are absent on a day when an assignment (homework or exam) is due, you must submit it to me via email no later than one week after the due date, along with documentation explaining your absence. Students for whom a due date (homework or exam) falls on a date of planned absence (e.g., religious observance) must submit their assignment to me via email by 9:30am on the due date or earlier. Email submissions must be in Word or PDF format. If you are absent for any reason on the date of the presentations, then you must make an appointment with me to give your oral presentation in my office. Student Conduct and Grievances: SDSU is committed to maintaining a safe and healthy living and learning environment for students, faculty and staff. Section 41301, Standards for Student Conduct (at http://csrr.sdsu.edu/conduct1.html ), and Sections 41302-41304 of the University Policies regarding student conduct should be reviewed. -3- If a student believes that a professor’s treatment is grossly unfair or that a professor’s behavior is clearly unprofessional, the student may bring the complaint to the proper university authorities and official reviewing bodies. See University Policies on Student Grievances. Academic Ethics: SDSU has a strict code of ethical conduct which students are expected to follow. See http://csrr.sdsu.edu/conduct1.html for details. In particular, cheating on the exam will not be tolerated. You may not work together on the exam, may not copy answers from other students, and may not allow other students to copy your answers. Anyone caught cheating will face disciplinary action. 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More details on SDSU’s Nondiscrimination Policy can be found in the SDSU General Catalog, University Policies. Students with Disabilities: Students with disabilities should discuss with me privately any specific accommodations for which they have received authorization. Authorization may be obtained by contacting Student Disability Services at 619-594-6473 (Calpulli Center, Suite 3101). Please obtain authorization before making an appointment to see me. More information can be found at http://www.sa.sdsu.edu/sds/. -4- Course Outline for PH 826 Basic design concepts and issues Unmatched Studies Binary exposure, no adjustment Odds ratio, attributable risk Confidence intervals Chi-square tests Binary exposure with categorical adjustment Stratification and Mantel Haenszel Test for heterogeneity Maximum likelihood and logistic regression Binary exposure with continuous (and possibly categorical) covariates Logistic regression Multiple levels of exposure (nominal and ordinal) Dose response and test for trend Continuous exposure, no adjustment Dose response and test for trend Categorizing a continuous variable Continuous exposure with adjustment Multiple exposure variables Identifying confounders Assessing interactions Missing data problems Goodness of fit Matched studies Pair matching 1:1 – binary exposure, no adjustment – adjustment with stratification – continuous exposure with adjustment 1:c matching, 1:variable matching Conditional logistic regression Three or more groups: polychotomous logistic regression Other designs Nested case-control Case-crossover Case-cohort -5-