Review for Exam II Econ 207 Dr. Khan Note: Review the lecture notes, homework problems, and quizzes. 1. A set of final examination grades in an introductory statistics course was found to be normally distributed with a mean of 73 and a variance of 64. a. What is the probability of getting a score of 91 on this exam? b. What percentage of students scored between 65 and 89? c. What is the final exam grade if only 5% of the students taking the test scored lower? 2. The dean of a business school wishes to form an executive committee of 5 from among the 40 tenured faculty members at the school. The selection is to be random, and at the school there are 8 tenured faculty members in accounting. What is the probability that the committee will contain? a. None of the accounting faculty? b. at least one of them? 3. A family has five smoke alarms in their home, all battery operated and working independently of each other. Each has reliability of 90% - that is, has a 90% chance of working. If fire breaks out, what is the probability that at least two of them will sound the alarm? 4. The chance that any given taxicab in New York will be involved in an accident in any one month is .02. If a particular cab company has 300 cabs on the street, what is the probability that at least 12 will be in an accident this month? 5. Airplanes arrive at Chicago O’Hare airport at the average rate of 5.2 per minute. Air traffic controllers can safely handle a maximum of four airplanes per minute. What is the probability that airport safety is jeopardized? 6. Given the following probability distribution: X P(X) 0 .5 1 .2 2 --3 .10 4 .05 Find the following: a. Expected value b. Variance c. Standard deviation. 7. Daily water consumption in Mankato, MN, Averages 18.9 gallons per household, with a standard deviation of 3.6 gallons. The city commissioner wishes to estimate this unknown mean with a sample of 100 households. How likely is it the sampling error will exceed .05 gallons? 8. An openion poll of 1000 residents of a large city asks whether they favor a rise in taxes to pay for a new sports stadium. If more than 85% support the tax, a referendum will be introduced in the city’s next election. If the unknown population proportion of all residents who favor the tax is 82%, what is the probability it will be placed on the next ballot? 9. The diameter of Ping-Pong balls manufactured at a large factory is expected to be normally distributed with a mean of 1.30 inches and a standard deviation of .04 inch. What is the probability that a randomly selected Ping-Pong ball will have a diameter a) Between 1.28 and 1.30 inches? b) Between 1.31 and 1.33 inches? C) Between what two Values (symmetrically distributed around the mean) will 60% of the Ping-Pong balls fall(in terms of diameter)? D) If many random sample of 16 balls are selected 1) What is the mean and standard error of the mean be expected to be? 2) What distribution would the sample mean follow? 3) What proportion of the sample means would be between 1.28 and 1.30 inches? 4) What proportion of the sample means would be between 1.31 and 1.33 inches? e) Compare the answers of (a) with (d)(3) and b with (d)(4). Discuss. f) Explain the difference in the results of © and (d)(5). g) Which is more likely to occur-an individual ball 1.34 inches, a sample mean above 1.32 inches in a sample size of 4, or a sample mean above 1.31 inches in a sample size of 16? Explain. 10. Carol spent all weekend partying and knows absolutely nothing about the 10 true/false questions on a Monday morning economics quiz. What is the probability that she gets at least 8 right by simply guessing? ** Review all the homework problems, problems in the lecture note and quizzes. Then solve this worksheet. Good Luck!!!