Vanderbilt University Poll May 6 – May 13, 2013 1,000 Tennessee Residents 813 Tennessee Registered Voters Approval of State Figures by Party ID Among TN Registered Voters 80% 70% Source : VU Poll May 2013 N = 813; MoE: +/- 4.0% 76% 68% 63% 60% 62% 61% 54% 51% 50% 45% 64% 47% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Haslam Total Democrats State Legislature Independents Republicans Tea Party Approval of Haslam and Knowledge of Department of Children Services Investigation 70% Source : VU Poll May 2013 N = 813; MoE: +/- 4.0% Among TN Registered Voters 63% 63% Have heard or read about investigation Have not heard or read about investigation 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Matt Mead-WY Chris Christie-NJ Mary Fallin-OK Bill Haslam-TN Susana Martinez-NM John Hickenlooper-CO Brian Sandoval-NV Andrew Cuomo-NY Bob McDonnell-VA Mark Dayton-MN Terry Branstad-IA Scott Walker-WI John Kasich-OH Sean Parnell-AK Dan Malloy-CT Jerry Brown-CA Rick Perry-TX Paul LePage-ME Rick Snyder-MI Nikki Haley-SC Nathan Deal-GA Sam Brownback-KS Maggie Hassan-NH Rick Scott-FL Tom Corbett-PA Pat Quinn-IL Lincoln Chafee-RI Approval of Republican Governors 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Approval of Federal Figures By Party ID Among TN Registered Voters Source : VU Poll May 2013 N = 813; MoE: +/- 4.0% 90% 83% 80% 68% 70% 60% 50% 56% 55% 60% 62% 59% 53% 54% 53% 45% 40% 40% 34% 29% 30% 21% 20% 18% 18% 18% 14% 8% 10% 0% Corker Total Alexander Democrats U.S. Congress Independents Republicans Obama Tea Party State Government Priorities Among TN Registered Voters Source : VU Poll May 2013 N = 813; MoE: +/- 4.0% 60% 50% 50% 40% 31% 30% 20% 16% 18% 12% 15% 12% 10% 6% 3% 8% 3% 4% 0% Economy/Jobs Guns Education Health Care Immigration What should be the TN State Government top priority? What was the TN State Legislature top priority? Social Issues Support for Guns Among TN Registered Voters Source : VU Poll May 2013 N = 813; MoE: +/- 4.0% 100% 80% 80% 85% 77% 62% 60% 60% 49% 39% 40% 23% 20% 0% Background Checks Armed Guards in Schools Gun Owner High Capacity Allow Teachers to Ammunition Clips Ban Carry Guns in Schools Not Gun Owner Health Insurance Exchanges and Medicaid Among TN Registered Voters 60% 52% 50% 40% 41% 51% 54% 45% 35% 33% 29% 30% 20% 32% 13% 10% 0% Support decision, federal government should run exchange Source : VU Poll May 2013 N = 813; MoE: +/- 4.0% Total Democrats Support decision not to expand Medicaid Independents Republicans Tea Party Education in Tennessee Among TN Registered Voters Source : VU Poll May 2013 N = 813; MoE: +/- 4.0% 34% Give scholarships to best students, regardless of need Give scholarships low/middle income students who maintain certain GPA 62% 66% Favor Opening More Charter Schools 24% Oppose Opening More Charter Schools 31% Favor Statewide Voucher Program 35% Favor Limited Voucher Program 26% Oppose Voucher Program 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Taxes in Tennessee Among TN Registered Voters 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Source : VU Poll May 2013 N = 813; MoE: +/- 4.0% 38% 23% 15% 11% 10% One of most heavily taxed Above average About Average Below average One of the least taxed How do you think the amount of taxation in the state compares to that of other states in the U.S.? Source : VU Poll May 2013 N = 813; MoE: +/- 4.0% Taxes in Tennessee by Party Identification Among TN Registered Voters 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 44% 38% 38% 39% 39% 33% 36% 35% 37% 32% 24% 29% 26% 26% 14% TN taxes are above average Total Democrats TN taxes are average Independents TN taxes are below average Republicans Tea Party Issues facing the Legislature Among TN Registered Voters Source : VU Poll May 2013 N = 813; MoE: +/- 4.0% 100% 80% 93% 69% 65% 60% 40% 32% 28% 20% 5% 0% Support Oppose Sell Wine in Grocery Stores Support Oppose Require employers to allow employees to keep gun in vehicle Support Oppose State Legislature selects U.S. Senate Nominees Online Sales Tax Among TN Registered Voters 60% 55% 50% 40% Source : VU Poll May 2013 N = 813; MoE: +/- 4.0% 47% 47% Fair Unfair 38% 30% 20% 10% 0% Good Bad Do you think it is a good policy or a bad policy for Tennesseans to be charged sales tax for things they purchase online? Do you think charging sales tax for things Tennesseans purchase online is fair or unfair to local businesses in Tennessee? Gay Rights in Tennessee Source : VU Poll May 2013 N = 813; MoE: +/- 4.0% Among TN Registered Voters 70% 62% 60% 46% 50% 40% 32% 31% 30% 17% 20% 10% 0% Support Gay Marriage Support Civil Unions Oppose Legal Recognition Yes No Should there be health insurance & other employee benefits for gay domestic partners or spouses? Vanderbilt University Poll May 6 – May 13, 2013 1,000 Tennessee Residents 813 Tennessee Registered Voters Approval of Federal Figures Among TN Registered Voters Source : VU Poll May 2013 N = 813; MoE: +/- 4.0% 70% 60% 60% 50% 53% 47% 52% 40% 38% 39% 37% 30% 20% 56% 55% 53% 45% 40% 57% 19% 21% 21% 21% 10% 0% November 2011 February 2012 Corker May 2012 Alexander December 2012 U.S. Congress May 2013 Obama Views of the Economy Among TN Registered Voters 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 81% 17% November 2011 74% Source : VU Poll May 2013 N = 813; MoE: +/- 4.0% 76% 24% 23% February 2012 May 2012 US Economy: Very or Fairly Good 66% 67% 34% 31% December 2012 May 2013 US Economy: Very or Fairly Bad Views of the Economy Among TN Registered Voters 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 43% 17% November 2011 24% 23% February 2012 May 2012 US Economy: Very or Fairly Good Source : VU Poll May 2013 N = 813; MoE: +/- 4.0% 48% 52% 34% 31% December 2012 May 2013 TN Economy: Very or Fairly Good Source : VU Poll May 2013 N = 813; MoE: +/- 4.0% Immigration by Party Identification Among TN Registered Voters 60% 50% 56% 46% 46% 43% 41% 40% 34% 30% 35% 31% 22% 20% 18% 16% 32% 22% 17% 18% 10% 0% Stay and apply for citizenship Total Democrats Stay as temporary guest Required to leave jobs and workers U.S. Independents Republicans Tea Party Guns in Tennessee Among TN Registered Voters 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Source : VU Poll May 2013 N = 813; MoE: +/- 4.0% 88% 72% 59% 43% Owns a Gun 45% Support Requiring Support Armed Support High Support Assualt Background Guards in Schools Capacity Weapons Ban Checks Ammunition Clips Ban Source : VU Poll May 2013 N = 813; MoE: +/- 4.0% Sequestration by Party Identification Among TN Registered Voters 59% 60% 51% 50% 48% 48% 41% 40% 29% 30% 20% 21% 19% 20% 28% 26% 23% 22% 20% 13% 10% 0% Good for country Total Democrats Bad for country Independents No real impact Republicans Tea Party Opinion of “Affordable Care Act” or “Obamacare”? Among TN Registered Voters 57% 60% 52% 50% 40% 20% 29% 27% 30% 15% 17% 10% 0% Generally Favorable Generally Unfavorable Affordable Care Act Haven't heard enough about it Obamacare Source : VU Poll May 2013 N = 813; MoE: +/- 4.0% Scholarships and Charter Schools by Party Identification Among TN Registered Voters 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 73% 62% 61% 53% 52% 45% 43% 34% 66%64%65% 64% 71% 33% 25% Give scholarships to best Give scholarships to students, regardless of need low/middle income students who maintain certain GPA Source : VU Poll May 2013 N = 813; MoE: +/- 4.0% Total Democrats Favor opening more charter schools Independents Republicans Tea Party School Voucher Program by Party Identification Among TN Registered Voters 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 41% 39% 35% 31% 37% 35% 29% 28% 26% 23% Favor statewide voucher program Favor limited voucher program Source : VU Poll May 2013 N = 813; MoE: +/- 4.0% Total 32% 31% Democrat Independent 26% 26% 25% Oppose voucher program Republican Tea Party Source : VU Poll May 2013 N = 813; MoE: +/- 4.0% Education in Tennessee 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Among TN Registered Voters 77% 71% 75% 60% 51% 54% 46% 38% 35% 26% 18% Under $15k 15 - 30k 21% 30 - 45k 45 - 75k Income of Respondent 75k - 100k Above $100k Give scholarships to low-middle income students who maintain a certain GPA Give scholarships to best students, regardless of need