DRAFT AGENDA CEOP MODEL OUTPUT DEVELOPMENT AND ANALYSIS WORKSHOP

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APPENDIX A:
DRAFT AGENDA
CEOP MODEL OUTPUT DEVELOPMENT AND ANALYSIS WORKSHOP
UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, IRVINE (UCI), IRVINE, CALIFORNIA, USA
(8-9 March 2004)
REVISION 3a, 6 MARCH 2004
Monday 8 March
8.15-8.45 Registration
8.45
Welcome Dr Eric Saltzman, Chair, Dept of Earth System Science, UCI
9.00
Logistics from CEOP (Benedict/Hohnbaum)
9.15
CEOP Model Output Framework and Workshop Overview (Benedict/Bosilovich)
9.30 Science Overveiw and Applications for CEOP Model Datasets
(Koike/Bosilovich)
10.30 BREAK
11.00 Reference Site Data Connection/Status; EOP-3 “Composite” dataset description
(Williams)
11.30 CEOP Model Output Providers Presentations (30 minutes maximum)
Each Modeling Center will provide a detailed presentation of the status of the
work under their authority, including systems, milestones, future plans, and schedule.
Presenters should focus on issues pertinent to providing input to the generation of CEOP
Model Output for coordination with CEOP “EOP “composite” data sets and science
goals.
-
ECPC (Roads/Kanamitsu/Ruane)
Uk Met (Earnshaw)
NCEP (Mitchell)
BMRC (Rikus)
GMAO (Bosilovich)
JMA/real-time model output(Matsumura)
JMA/reanalysis(Ose)
GLDAS (Rodell)
CPTEC (Marengo/Chou)
NCMRWF (Iyengar)
12.00 LUNCH
13.00 CEOP Model Output Providers Presentations (Continued)
15.30 BREAK
16.00 CEOP Model Output Providers Presentations (Continued)
17.30 ADJOURN
Tuesday 9 March
8.30
Specialized Topics (15-20 minutes each)
Presentations focused on cross-cutting CEOP model output data issues such as
data generation, formating, archiving, retrieval, application and future strategies
for CEOP model data integration, visualization and a CEOP data
validation/calibration framework.
-
ECMWF (Viterbo-Conference Call Presentation)
MPI (Toussaint)
CEOP Data Integration Concept/Demo (Enloe, Burford, McDonald)
Independent Model Evaluation Concept (Potter)
Preparatory
Work
for
CEOP
Model
Intercomparison
(Tamagawa/K.Yang/Koudelova)
GEWEX Modeling and Prediction Panel (GMPP) Strategy/results (Polcher)
Specialized Regional Modeling Issues (Bollasina)
Assessing models against flux stations: Overarching Lessons (Mitchell)
10.30 BREAK
11.00 CEOP Model Output Strategy Discussion
Discussions will continue and parallel working sessions will be set up as required
to address specific issues associated with CEOP Model Output topics.including
CEOP efforts to improve model physics parameterization for climate predictions
and global change projections as well as coordination with ongoing model intercomparison projects and other modeling initiatives. In this context, the group will
be challenged to define the framework for a CEOP “independent” Model
Validation Project.
Potential Breakout Group Topics(i) Data Generation, Storage and Retrieval issues: Standardized Code tables,
Standard Formatting of MOLTS;
(ii) Model physics improvement process issues: CEOP Model Evaluation
Scheme)
12.00 LUNCH
13.30 Breakout Discussions Continued as Required
15.30 BREAK
16.00 Plenary Session (All Participants)/Open Discussion and Wrap-up
Working Group/Discussion Leads will be given time to report out on the results of the
parallel sessions and final deliberations will be undertaken by all participants.
17.00 ADJOURN
APPENDIX B:
PROVISIONAL TIMELINE/AGENDA
FOR THE THIRD INTERNATIONAL IMPLEMENTATION PLANNING MEETING FOR THE
COORDINATED ENHANCED OBSERVING PERIOD (CEOP),
A COMPONENT OF THE WORLD CLIMATE RESEARCH PROGRAMME (WCRP), GLOBAL
ENERGY AND WATER CYCLE EXPERIMENT (GEWEX) ENDORSED BY THE COMMITTEE
ON EARTH OBSERVATION SATELLITES (CEOS), INTEGRATED GLOBAL OBSERVERVING
STRATEGY PARTNERS (IGOS-P)
UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA AT IRVINE (UCI), IRVINE, CALIFORNIA, USA 10-12 MARCH
2004
(REV-3b 6 MARCH 2004)
---------------------------------------Wednesday, 10 March 2004:
---------------------------------------8.15 – 9.00
REGISTRATION
9.00
1.
OPENING/OVERVIEW OF CEOP INTERNATIONAL FRAMEWORK
(Remarks in this section should be held to 10-15 minutes)
1.1
Welcome/logistics UCI/GEWEX-WCRP/CEOP (S. Sorooshian, T. Koike, S.
Benedict)
1.2
Agency Viewpoints JAXA/NASA/NOAA/Europe/IAEA (N. Matsuura, J. Kaye, M.
Colton, H. Grassl, P. Aggarwal)
1.3
GEWEX Overview (S. Sorooshian)
1.4
CEOP as a contribution to the CEOS/IGOS-P Water Initiative (R. Lawford)
----------------------------------10.30
BREAK
----------------------------------11.00
1.
OPENING OF SESSION - CONTINUED
11.30
2.
CEOP Introduction/Science Overview BY ceop LEAD SCIENTIST (T. Koike)
The CEOP Science Strategy and how it will be addressed at the meeting will be introduced.
Satellite and in situ data Integration and assimilation topics will be introduced with model related
issues.
----------------------------------12.00
LUNCH
----------------------------------13.00
3.
CEOP IMPLEMENTATION STRATEGY SUMMARY
(S. Benedict)
The Planned, co-ordinated and structured international commitments, cooperation and collaboration that are crucial elements of the implementation of
CEOP will be addressed.
13.15
4.
CEOP DATA MANAGEMENT
Williams/H-J Isemer)
WORKING
GROUP
STRATEGY
(S.
CEOP
reference
site
data
is
at:
http://www.joss.ucar.edu/ghp/ceopdm/rsite.html. An initial CEOP dataset
(EOP-1) for the period July through September 2001 has been released.
Implementation of the CEOP annual cycle datasets EOP-3 and EOP-4 cover
the period from 1 October 2002 up to the end of 2004. The status of this work
will be reviewed.
--------------------------------------------------------Wednesday, 10 March 2004 - Continued
--------------------------------------------------------14.00
5.
CSE/CEOP REFERENCE SITE CONTRIBUTIONS SUMMARY
The configuration of the EOP-1 and EOP-3 in situ datasets has marked
important milestones in CEOP that could not have been accomplished without
the support of the Reference Site Spokespersons and Managers. The
Reference Site representatives will be asked to discuss individually their
contributions to CEOP and note their main issues:
- BALTEX (Grassl/Isemer)
- GAPP (Williams)
- LBA (Marengo)
- GAME/CAMP (Koike/Other GAME/CAMP Site Representatives)
- La Plata (R. Mechoso)
- AMMA/CATCH (Polcher)
- New Sites
----------------------------------15.15
BREAK
----------------------------------15.30
6.
CEOP WATER AND ENERGY SIMULATION AND PREDICTION STATUS (J.
Roads will organize and moderate this section of the Agenda.
A CEOP Water and Energy Simulation and Prediction (WESP) Working Group
has been organized. WESP studies are designed to understand what
components of the global water and energy cycles can be measured,
simulated, and predicted at regional and global scales. Results from this work
will be shown and specific issues related to these objectives will be addressed.
The program may include presentations by:
J. Roads (Scripps)
H. Berbery (Univ. of Maryland)
M. Rodell (GSFC)
J. Marengo (LBA)
B. Rockel (GKSS)
K. Mitchell (NCEP)
16.15
7.
agenda.)
MODEL STRATEGY OVERVIEW (M. Bosilovich will moderate this part of the
An earlier workshop has focused on CEOP model data handling and has
emphasized the outcome of the studies to validate models using coordinated
CEOP datasets. A review of the earlier meeting and plans to continue to
deliver data, to the CEOP Model Output Archive and to apply the CEOP
coordinated datasets will be addressed. The CEOP Model Output Guidance
Document is at: http://www.joss.ucar.edu/ghp/ceopdm/.
The program may include brief statements by:
P. Earnshaw (UK Met Office)
J. Roads (ECPC)
B. Rockel (GKSS)
K. Mitchell (NCEP)
S. Belair (Environment Canada)
T. Matsumura (JMA)
G. Iyengar (NCMRWF)
L. Rikus (BMRC)
S. C. Chou (CPTEC) and
H. Grassl (MPI)
-------------------------------------17.30: ADJOURN
-------------------------------------------------------------------------Thursday, 11 March 2004
------------------------------------9.00
8.
CEOP MONSOON SYSTEMS STRATEGY OVERVIEW (W. Lau, will moderate
this section of the agenda)
A CEOP Monsoon Systems Working Group has been addressing the
accomplishment of one of the main CEOP aims associated with the
documenting of the seasonal march of the monsoon systems, assessing the
monsoon systems driving mechanisms, intra-seasonal variations, and diurnal
cycle and investigating the possible physical connections between such
systems. A CEOP Inter-monsoon Model Study (CIMS) will be discussed.
The program may include presentations by:
W. Lau (GSFC)
R. Mechoso (UCLA/VAMOS)
J. Marengo (LBA)
9.45 9.
CEOP SATELLITE DATA INTEGRATION STRATEGY (moderator: T.Koike)
A CEOP Satellite Data Integration Working Group has made progress on the
satellite data integration activity under development by JAXA and the
University of Tokyo (UT). This concept is supported by a proposal for a CEOP
CEOS/WGISS Test Facility (CEOP-WTF) promoted by JAXA. A proto-type
CEOP Data Integration System will be demonstrated at the meeting and
related data integration issues will be addressed.
The program will include two sub-sections:
(i)WGISS Test Facility (WTF) for CEOP:25min.
- JAXA's Contributions (N.Matsuura/K.Umezawa/O.Ochiai/B.Burford)
- NASA's Contributions (K. McDonald/Y. Enloe/M. Rodell)
(ii)CEOP Satellite Data Integration Center at UT/IIS: 20min.
- Data Integration Functions and System (T.Nemoto
- Converged Data Integration and Mining (E.Ikoma)
----------------------------------10.30
BREAK
----------------------------------11.00
10.
SPECIAL TOPIC ON ORGANIZATION OF
HYDROLOGY WORKING GROUP (D. Lettenmaier, T. Koike)
CEOP
WATERSHED
There is a need to ensure that their our sites which observe directly most of
components of the surface water budget (precipitation, streamflow, evapotranspiration,
and surface and subsurface storage change) and that such data becomes part of the
CEOP database.
11.30
11.
PARALLEL WORKING GROUP SESSIONS ON OBSERVATIONS AND
RESEARCH (All Participants)
Parallel working sessions will be set up in Plenary to address specific
implementation issues associated CEOP Implementation topics. Participants
can divide between the groups as they wish and may “float” between sessions
if their interests overlap topics.
----------------------------------12.00
LUNCH
-----------------------------------
------------------------------------------------------Thursday, 11 March 2004 - Continued:
------------------------------------------------------13.00
11.
MEETING OF CEOP WORKING GROUPS IN PARALLEL SESSIONS
Three sessions are planned:
11.1 CEOP Data Management and Data Integration Working Groups Session
(Williams/Bosilovich Co-Chairs, McDonald/Isemer - Correspondents)
The Chair(s) and Correspondents will organize the group to respond to
at least the following topics:
(i)
(ii)
(iii)
(iv)
(v)
(vi)
(vii)
(viii)
Implementation issues for EOP-3
Data Collection for EOP-2, and 4
Data Policy issues with regard to new datasets (e.g. BSRN, etc.)
Data Quality Assurance/Control
Data Availability, Data Archive/Flow, etc.
Possible additional Satellite Validation Sites
WGISS Test Facility (WTF) Definition/Applicability
CEOP Data Integration of Satellite data, Model output and in-situ
products
11.2 CEOP Water and Energy Simulation and Prediction (WESP) (Co-Chairs
Roads/Ohata; Arkin/Aggarwal-Correspondents)
11.3 Monsoon Systems Working Group Session (Lau/Mechoso, Co-Chairs,
Marengo/Lettenmaier -Correspondents)
These two sessions will address the main issues associated with the CEOP
Implementation
Working Groups on Water and Energy Simulation and Prediction and Monsoon
Systems.
Presentations will be made as necessary and the Chair(s) and the
Correspondents will
organize the group to respond to at least the following topics:
(i)
(ii)
(iii)
(iv)
(v)
(vi)
Temporal scale issues (diurnal through Interannual)
Spatial scale issues (local through Global)
Intercomparison of model products and their application to error analyses
Data (observational) Requirements
Test case scenarios using EOP-1 data and future EOP datasets
Model output requirements and handling
----------------------------------15.00
BREAK
----------------------------------15.30
11.4 Plenary Session (All Participants)
The Chairs/Correspondents of each of the Groups will be given 60
minutes to report out on the results of the parallel sessions to all
participants including time for open discussion on the outcomes of their
deliberations.
---------------------------------------17.30
ADJOURN
----------------------------------------------------------------------------Friday, 12 March 2004:
-------------------------------------9.00
12.
CONVENING OF JOINT SESSION OF THE CEOP SCIENCE STEERING
COMMITTEE (SSC) (H. GRASSL - CHAIR) AND THE CEOP ADVISORY AND
OVERSIGHT COMMITTEE (KAYE/GRASSL CO-CHAIRS)
12.1 Drs H. Grassl and J. Kaye will convene a joint breakout session of the
CEOP SSC and AOC to address at least the following issues:
(i) Maximizing the Science and Technology Benefits from CEOP
(ii) Framework for Oversight of CEOP Science Implementation
Plans/Results
(iii) Specific recommendations for efficient organization and management
of CEOP to achieve the main science objectives
(iv) Objectives and Plans for possible CEOP Science Workshop in 2005.
(v) Highlight items relevant to CEOP implementation and planning that
require further development.
(vi) Discuss CEOP implementation plans and schedules in the context of
the priorities being set by the broader International Climate Research
Community
(vii) A strategy to foster close coordination between all elements of
CEOP and the International framework for Climate System Research.
(NOTE: Sessions of the three other Working Groups may take place in parallel with the
SSC/AOC breakout session as required)
----------------------------------11.15
BREAK
----------------------------------11.45
13.
CONTINUATION OF SSC/AOC BREAKOUT AND PARALLEL WORKING
GROUP SESSIONS AS REQUIRED OR MEET IN PLENARY
----------------------------------12.30
LUNCH
----------------------------------13.30
14.
FINAL PLENARY
----------------------------------15.30
BREAK
----------------------------------16.00
14.
FINAL PLENARY (CONTINUED AS REQUIRED)
ADJOURN
APPENDIX C:
CEOP MEETING 2004, March 8-12, 2004 @
University of California, Irvine, CA 92697
Participant List updated 4/12/2004
Name
Organization
1
Pradeep Aggarwal
2
Dr. Phillip Arkin
3
Stephane Belair
4
Mr. Sam Benedict
IAEA
Wagramer Strasse 5
Vienna A1400, Austria
Email: P.Aggarwal@IAEA.ORG
Deputy Director
Earth System Science Interdisciplinary
Center (ESSIC)
2207 Computer and Space Science
Building
University of Maryland
College Park, MD 20742-2465
Tel: (301) 405-2147
Fax: (301) 405-8468
Email: parkin@essic.umd.edu
Research Scientist
Recherche in prevision numeriqaue
Meteorological Research Branch
Environment Canada
2121 Trans-Canada Highway, room 500
Dorval, PQ, H9P 1J3
Canada
Tel: (514) 421-7220
Fax: (514) 421-2106
Email: Stephane.Belair@ec.gc.ca
CEOP International Coordinator
742 ‘H’ Avenue
Coronado, CA 92118 USA
Tel: +1 619 437-7904
Fax: +1 619-437-6814
Email: sam.benedict@gewex.org
5
Dr. Samakkee
Boonyawat
6
Dr. Ernesto Hugo
Berbery
Professor, Faculty of Forestry
Kasetsart University
50 Phaholyolhin Road, Chatuchak
Bangkok 10900 Thailand
Email: fforskb@ku.ac.th
Research Associate Professor
Department of Meteorology/ESSIC
3427 Computer and Space Sci. Bldg.
7
Dr. Massimo Bollasina
8
Dr. Michael G.
Bosilovich
9
Dr. Ben Burford
10
Dr. Tsing Chang (Mike)
Chen
11
Dr. Chou Sin Chan
The University of Maryland,
College Park, MD 20742-2425
Tel: (301) 405-5351
Fax: (301) 314-9482
Email: berbery@atmos.umd.edu
http://www.atmos.umd.edu/~berbery
Epson Meteo Center – Climate Research
Division
Via M. Vigano De Vizzi 93/95
20092 Cinisello Balsamo
Milan – Italy
Tel: +39026602181
Fax: +39026602184
Email: Massimo.bollasina@epsonmeteo.org
Global Modeling and Assimilation Office
NASA/GSFC Code 900.3
8800 Greenbelt Rd.
Greenbelt, Maryland 20771-0003
Tel: +1 (301) 614-6147
Fax:+1 (301) 614-6297
Email: Michael.Bosilovich@nasa.gov
http://www.polar.gsfc.nasa.gov
JAXA/RESTEC, Japan
Roppongi First Bldg., 7th Floor
1-9-9 Roppongi, Minato-Ku
Tokyo-to 106-0032 Japan
Tel: +81 3 5561 4534
Fax: +81-3 5561-9541
Email: benb@restec.or.jp
Department of Geological and
Atmospheric Sciences
Iowa State University
3017 Agron
Ames, IA 50011-1010
Tel: (515) 294-9874
Email: tmchen@iastate.edu
CPTEC/INPE,
Rod, Pus. Dutra, km40
12630-000 Cachouira Paulista,
Sao Paulo, Brazil
Tel:+55 12 3186-8424
Fax:+55 12 3101-2835,
Email: chou@cptec.inpe.br
http://www.cptec.inpe.br
12
Dr. Yourng-Jean Chou
Forecast Research Lab
Meteorological Research Institute
460-18 Shindaebang-dong
Dongjak-gu
Seoul 156-720, Korea
13
Dr. Marie Colton
14
Ms. Linda Cully
15
Dr. M. Sulchan
Darmawan
16
Dr. Wenjie Dong
17
Dr. Yonsook Enloe
18
Dr. Paul Earnshaw
Director, ORA
NOAA/NESDIS HQ.
Office of Research& Application
5200 Auth Road
Camp Strings, MD 20746
Tel: (301)763-8127 x178
Fax:: (301)763-8108
Marie.Colton@noaa.gov
JOSS-UCAR
P.O. Box 3000-FL4
Boulder, CO 80307-3000 USA
Tel: (303) 497-8163
Fax: (303) 497-8158
Email: cully@joss.ucar.edu
Head of Information Technology Division
Climate System Core Competence (TSI)
BPPT 2nd Building, 18th Floor
J1. MH Thamrin No. 8
Jakarta Pusat 10340
Indonesia
Tel: +62 21 3169608
Fax: +62 3160982
Institute of Atmospheric Physics
Chinese Academy of Sciences
Beijing 100029 P.R. China
Tel: 0086 10 6204 0678
Fax: 0086 10 6202 8606
Email: dwj@tea.ac.cn
National Meteorological Center
46 Zhongguancun Nandajie, Haidian
District Beijing, China
NASA/SGT Inc.
2106 Sandy Pond
Waxhaw, NC 28173-8391
Email: yonsook@@harp.gsfc.nasa.gov
Met OfficeGlobal Model Development and
Diagnostics
FitzRoy Road
Exeter EX1 3PB UK
19
Dr. Mei Gao
20
Dr. Xiaogang Gao
21
Ms. Akiko Goda
22
Hartmut Grassl
23
Dr. Einar-Arne
Herland
24
Dr. Kuo-lin Hsu
Tel: +44 (0) 1392 884525
Fax: +44 (0) 1392 885681
Email: paul.earnshaw@metoffice.com
http://www.metoffice.com
Chinese Academy of Meteorological
Sciences
No. 46, South Zhong-Guan-Cun Street
Haidian Dirstrict, Beijing, 100081
P.R. China
Tel: 86-10-68406938
Fax: 86-10-62175931
Associate Adjunct Professor
Dept. of Civil & Environmentall
Engineering
E/4130 Engineering Gateway
University of California, Irvine
Irvine, CA 92697-2175 US
Tele: +1 (949) 824-8822
Fax: +1 (949) 824-8831
Email: gaox@uci.edu
CEOP International Coordination Office
Japan Science and Technology Agency
Department of Civil Engineering
University of Tokyo
7-3-1, Hongo, Bunkyo-ky
Tokyo 113-8656 Japan
Tele: +81-3-5841-6132
Fax: +81-3-5841-6130
Email: goda@hydra.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp
Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorology
Bundesstraße 53
D-20146
Hamburg, Germany
Tel: 0049 40 41173-226
Fax: 0049 40 41173-350
Email: gtrassl@dkrz.de
Mission Experts Division (EOP-SM)
European Space Agency-ESTEC
Tel: +31 71 565 5674
Fax +31 71 565 5675
Email: Einar.Arne.Herland@esa.int
http://www.esa.int
Assistant Adjunct Professor
Dept. of Civil & Environmentall
Engineering
E/4130 Engineering Gateway
25
Dr. Liu Huizhi
26
Dr. Eiji Ikoma
27
Dr. Bisher Imam
28
Dr. Hans-Jörg Isemer
29
Dr. Gopal Raman
Iyengar
University of California, Irvine
Irvine, CA 92697-2175 US
Tele: +1 (949) 824-8826
Fax: +1 (949) 824-8831
Email: kuolinh@uci.edu
Institute of Atmospheric Physics
Chinese Academy of Sciences
Beijing 100029 China
Email: huizhil@mail.iap.ac.cn
Assistant Professor
Center for Spatial Information Systems
University of Tokyo
Room #306, Building No. 45, Komaba
Campus II
4-6-1-, Komaba, Meguwo-ku
Tokyo 153-8904 Japan
Tele: 3-5453-5690
Fax: 3-5453-5699
Email:eikoma@csis.u-tokyo.ac.jp
Associate Adjunct Professor
Dept. of Civil & Environmentall
Engineering
E/4130 Engineering Gateway
University of California, Irvine
Irvine, CA 92697-2175 US
Tele: +1 (949) 824-8830
Fax: +1 (949) 824-8831
Email: bimam@uci.edu
GKSS-Forschungszentrum Geesthacht
GmbH
International Projects Department SEP
Head of the International BALTEX
Secretariat
Max-Planck-Straße 1
D-21502 Geesthacht, Germany
Tel: +49 4152 87 1661
Fax: +49 4152 87 1730
Email: isemer@gkss.de
National Centre for Medium Range
Weather Forecasting (NCMRWF),
Mausam Bhavan, Lodhi Road,
New Delhi 110018; India
Ph. 011-4694639 Ext. 237
Fax:011-4610908
E mail :gopal@ncmrwf.gov.in
http://www.ncmrwf.gov.in/
30
Dr. Ichirow Kaihotsu
31
Dr John (Jack) Kaye
32
Professor Toshio
Koike, Ph.D.
33
Dr. Petra Koudelova
34
Dr. Richard Lawford
Director, IGPO
35
Dr. William Lau
University of Hiroshima
Dept. of Integrated Sciences
1-7-1, Kagamiyama,
Higashi-Hiroshima-shi,
Hiroshima,739-8521 Japan
Phone: +81-824-24-6497
Fax: +81-824-24-0758
kaihotsu@hiroshima-u.ac.jp
NASA Headquarters
Room 5Q13
Code YS
300 East Street SW
Washington, D.C. 20546
Tel: (202) 358-0757
Fax: (202) 358-2770
Email: Jack.A.Kaye@nasa.gov
Lead Scientist
CEOP International Coordination Office
Japan Secretariat
Department of Civil Engineering
University of Tokyo
7-3-1, Hongo, Bunkyo-ku
Tokyo 113-8656 Japan
Tele: +81-3-5841-6106
Fax: +81-3-5841-6130
Email: tkoike@hydra.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp
Research Scientist
University of Tokyo
7-3-1- Hongo, Bunkyo-Ku
Tokyo, 113-8565, Japan
Email: petra@hydra.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp
International GEWEX Project Office
(IGPO)
1100 Wayne Ave., Suite 450
Silver Spring, MD 2090, USA
Tel: 301-565-8345
Fax: 301-565-8279
Email: lawford@umbc.edu
Chief, Laboratory for Atmospheres
Code 910
NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center
8800 Greenbelt Rd.
Greenbelt, Maryland 20771-0003
Tel: (301) 614-6332
Fax: (301) 614-6297
36
Dr. Dennis
Lettenmaier
37
Dr. Scot Loehrer
38
Dr. Takayuki
Matsumura
39
Dr. Naoto Matsuura
40
Dr.Carlos R.
Mechoso
41
Insa Meinke
42
Ken McDonald
Wilson Ceramic Laboratory
Box 352700
University of Washington
Seattle, WA 98195-2700
Tel: +1 (206) 685-1796
JOSS-UCAR
P.O. Box 3000-FL4
Boulder, CO 80307-3000 USA
Tel: (303) 497-2631
loehrer@ucar.edu
Japan Meteorological Agency-Numerical
Prediction Division
1-3-4- Ote-machi,
Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-8122 Japan
Tel: +81-3-3212-8341 (ext 3322)
Fax: +81-3-3211-8407
Email:
takayuki.matsumura@naps.kishou.go.jp
Senior Engineer,
Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency
Earth Observation Research and
Application Center
Harumi IslandOffice Tower X,
Triton Square,
1-8-10 Harumi, Chuo-ku, Tokyo 1046023 Japan
matsuura.naoto@jaxa.jp
Tel: +81-6221-9004
Fax: +81-6221-9191
Professor
University of California, Los Angeles
Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences
7127 Math Sciences Building
405 Hilgard Avenue
Los Angeles, CA 90095-1565
Tel: (310) 825-3057
Fax: (310) 206-5219
ECPC/UCSD
UC San Diego
9500 Gilman Drive
Mail: 0204
La Jolla, CA 92093
Email: imeinke@ucsd.edu
NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center
Code 423
43
Dr. Jose A. Marengo
44
Dr. Kenneth Mitchell
45
Dr. K. Shadananan Nair
8800 Greenbelt Rd.
Greenbelt, Maryland 20771-0003
Email: ken.mcdonald@nasa.gov
CPTEC/ INPE
Rodovia Dutra km.40,
Cachoeira Paulista,
Sao Paulo, 12630-000 Brazil
NCEP/EMC
NOAA Science Center, Room 207
5200 Auth Road
Camp Springs, MD 20746-4304 USA
Tel: +1 310 763 8000 ext 7225
Fax: +1 301 763-8545
Email: Kenneth.Mitchell@noaa.gov
Cochin University of Science &
Technology
Vallayil House, North Gate
Vaikom – 686 141
Kottayam Dt., Kerala, India
Tele: +91 1829 224264
Email: nair59@yahoo.com
46
Dr. Toshihiro Nemoto
Institute of Industrial Science,
University of Tokyo
Prof. Kitsuregawa Lab.
47
Dr. Osamu Ochiai
48
Dr. Tetsuo Ohata
4-6-1-, Komba, Meguro-ku
Tokyo 153-8505 Japan
Tel/Fax: +81 3-5452-6457
Email: nemoto@tkl.iis.u-tokyo.ac.jp
Engineer
Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency
Earth Observation Research and
Application Center (JAXA/EORC)
Harumi Island
Office Tower X, Triton Square, 1-8-10
Harumi, Chuo-ku, Tokyo 104-6023 Japan
Tel: +81-6221-9131
Fax: +81-6221-9180
Email: ochiai.osamu@nasda.go.jp
ILTS, Mokkaido University
Frontier Observational System for Global
Change
Kita-19, Nishi-8, Kita-Ku
Sapparo, 060-0819, Japan
49
Dr.Tomoaki Ose
50
Mahadevan
Pathnathevan
51
Dr. Jan Polcher
52
Dr. Panya Polsan
53
Dr. Gerald Potter
54
Dr. John Roads
55
Dr. Burkhardt Rockel
Climate Prediction Division,
Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA)
1-3-4 Ote-machi
Tokyo 100-8122 Japan
Tel: +81-3-3212-8341 ext 4224
Fax: +81-3-3211-8406
Email: t-ose@naps.ksihou.go.jp
University of Tokyo
7-3-1, Hongo, Bunkyo-ku
Tokyo 113-8656 Japan
Tel: +81-3-5841-6139
Fax: +81-3-5841-6130
Email: devan@hydra.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp
Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique
du (IPSL)
Tour 45, Boite 99, 4 pl. Jussieu,
75252 PARIS, France
Tel: 33-1-44274763
Fax: 33-1-4427672
Email: Jan.Polcher@lmd.jussieu.fr
http://www.lmd.jussieu.fr/~polcher/
Director Hydrology & Water
Management Center 2 (for Lower
Northern Region)
204 Tha Thong (k.m.7), A. Muang,
Phitsanulok 65000, Thailand
Tel: +66 1 9723498
Fax: +66 55 245461
Email: hydro2@loxinfo.co.th
Lawrence Livermore Lab L-103
P.O. Box 808
Livermore, CA 94550
Tele +1 (925) 422-1832
gpotter@llnl.gov
ECPC/SIO/UCSD
UC San Diego
9500 Gilman Drive
Mail: 0244
La Jolla, CA 92093
Tele: +1 (858) 534-2099
Email: jroads@ucsd.edu
GKSS-Forschungszentrum Geesthacht
Max-Planck-Strausse
D-21502 Geesthacht, Germany
Tel: +49 4152 87 2008
Fax: +49 4152 87 2020
56
Dr. Matthew Rodell
57
Alex Ruane
58
Dr. Soroosh
Sorooshian
59
Dr. Katsunori
Tamagawa
60
Dr. Kiyotoshi
Takahashi
61
Dr. Frank Toussaint
Email: rockel@gkss.de
http://w3.gkss.de/KSR/ksr_home.html
NASA/GSFC
Code 974.1
8800 Greenbelt Rd.
Greenbelt, MD 20771-0003
Tele: (301) 286-9143
matthew.rodell@nasa.gov
ECPC/UCSD
UC San Diego
9500 Gilman Drive
Mail: 0204
La Jolla, CA 92093
Tele: +1 (858) 822-4413
Email: aruane@ucsd.edu
Distinguished Professor Civil &
Environmental Engineering and
Earth System Science
Director, Center for Hydrometeorology &
Remote Sensing (CHRS)
E/ 4130 Engineering Gateway
University of California, Irvine
Irvine, CA 92697-2175
Tel: +1 (949) 824-8821
Fax+1 (949) 824-8831
Email: soroosh@uci.edu
CEOP International Coordination Office
Japan Secretariat
Department of Civil Engineering
University of Tokyo
7-3-1, Hongo, Bunkyo-ky
Tokyo 113-8656 Japan
Tele: +81-3-5841-6105
Fax: +81-3-5841-6130
Email: tamagawa@hydra.t.u-toydo.ac.jp
5th Research Lab
Climate Research Dept. MRI/JMA
Nagime 1-1, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, 305-0052
Japan
Tel: +81-298-53-8670
Fax: +81-298-55-2683
Email: ktakahas@mri-jma.go.jp
Max-Planck-Institut fur Meteorologie
Bundesstr.55 – 20146 Hamburg Germany
Tel (040) 411 73 –175
Fax: (040) 411 73 – 400
62
63
64
65
66
67
Pfitznerstr. 69
22761 Hamburg
Tel: (040) 38 61 92 85
Email: Toussaint@dkrz.de
http://www.Leuchtturm-atlas.de/
Dr. Kazuo Umezawa
Engineer
Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency
Earth Observation Research and
Application Center (JAXA/EORC)
Harumi Island, Triton Square,
1-8-10 Harumi, Chuo-ku, Tokyo 1046023 Japan
umezawa@eorc.jaxa.jp
Tel: +81-6221-9021
Fax: +81-6221-9191
Professor Tandong Yao, Director, Institute for Tibetan Plateau
Ph.D.
Research
P.O. Box 2871
Beijing 100085, China.
Email: tdyao@ns.lzb.ac.cn
Dr. Steve Williams
JOSS-UCAR
P.O. Box 3000-FL4
Boulder, CO 80307-3000 USA
Tel: (303) 497-8164
Email: sfw@ucar.edu
Dr. Dawen Yang
Associate Professor, Dept of Civil
Engineering
University of Tokyo
7-3-1, Hongo, Bunkyo-ku
Tokyo 113-8656 Japan
Tel: +81-3-5841-6139
Fax: +81-3-5841-6130
Email: dyang@hydra.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp
Dr. Kun Yang
Associate Professor
River Lab., Dept of Civil Engineering
University of Tokyo
7-3-1, Hongo, Bunkyo-ku
Tokyo 113-8656 Japan
Dr. Shi Xiaohui
Chinese Academy of Meteorological
Sciences
No. 46, South Zhong-Guan-Cun Street
Haidian Dirstrict, Beijing, 100081
P.R. China
Tel: 86-10-68406938
Fax: 86-10-62175931
Email: sxh@cams.cma.gov.cn
APPENDIX D: Provisional Plans for CEOP South American Monsoon Meeting
GLOBAL ENERGY AND WATER CYCLE EXPERIMENT
World Climate Research Programme
PROVISIONAL AGENDA/EXPLANATORY MEMORANDUM
WITH TOPICS AND CONTRIBUTORS
FOR A WORKSHOP ON AMERICAN MONSOONS SYSTEM HELD IN THE CONTEXT OF THE
COORDINATED ENHANCED OBSERVING PERIOD INTER-MONSOON MODEL STUDY
(CIMS) PROJECT
MONTEVIDEO, URUGUAY, 17-18 SEPTEMBER 2004
(First draft, 16 March 2004)
Scientific organizing committee:
Jose Marengo (CPTEC, SALLJEX-LBA-PLATIN)-Chair
Julia Slingo (ECMWF and CLIVAR-Monsoon)
William Lau (NASA-GSFC, NAME and CEOP-CIMS)
Roberto Mechoso (UCÃL, CLIVAR-VAMOS and PLATIN)
Chris Thorncroft (US-AMMA)
Hugo Berbery (UMD, GEWEX-GAPP and PLATIN)
Jun Matsumoto (Univ Tokio, CEOP-CIMS)
Carolina Vera (UBA, PLATIN, VAMOS)
Jose Luis Genta (Univ. de la Republica)-Uruguay-local contact
Sam Benedict (CEOP)
Steve Williams (JOSS-UCAR)
Carlos Ereno (UBA, CLIVAR Office)
---------------------------------------------Friday, 17 September 2004:
----------------------------------------------
Morning Session
8.00
REGISTRATION
Opening Session and Introduction
8.30
9.15
1.0
WORKSHOP OPENING
1.1
Welcome from the organizing Committee (J. Marengo, J. L. Genta)
1.2
A unified view of the American Monsoon System (C. Vera?)
2.0
CEOP FRAMEWORK IN WCRP/GEWEX/CLIVAR, MOTIVATION OF THE
WORKSHOP AND RELEVANT SCIENCE ISSUES
Contributors: T. Koike, S. Sorooshian, R. Mechoso
10.00
3.0
CEOP MONSOON SYSTEMS STRATEGY OVERVIEW
Contributors: W. Lau, J. Matsumoto,
---------------------------------------------10.45
COFFEE BREAK
----------------------------------------------
11.15
4.0
MONSOON RESEARCH ISSUES/PROGRAMS IN THE AMERICAS
Contributors: ???
---------------------------------------------13.00
LUNCH
----------------------------------------------
Afternoon Session
14.30
5.0
SIMULATION OF THE SOUTH AMERICAN MONSOON: THE ROLE PLAYED
BY THE ANDES AND AMAZON BASIN AND BY TROPICAL OCEANS
Contributors: ??
14.45
6.0
MODELING ASPECTS OF THE NORTH AMERICAN MONSOON: REGIONAL
VERSUS REMOTE FORCINGS
Contributors: ??
---------------------------------------------16.15
COFFEE BREAK
---------------------------------------------16.45
7.0
17.30
8.0
20.45
10.0
OBSERVATIONS VERSUS MODEL SIMULATIONS FOR THE NORTH AND
SOUTH AMERICAN MONSOON SYSTEMS
Contributors: ???
GENERAL DISCUSSION
Contributors: All Participants.
--------------------------------EVENING SESSION
-------------------------------20.00 9.0
IMPORTANCE OF SURFACE PROCESSES AND REMOTE SST FORCING IN
THE ONSET AND DEVELOPMENT OF NORTH AND SOUTH AMERICAN
MONSOON (Contributors: ??)
PREDICTABILITY OF THE NORTH AND SOUTH AMERICAN MONSOON
SYSTEMS
-----------------------------21.30 ADJOURN
-------------------------------------------------------------------------Saturday, 18 SEPTEMBER 2003:
----------------------------------------------
Morning Session
08.30
11.0
09.15
12.0
WATER AND ENERGY BALANCES OF THE NORTH AND SOUTH
AMERICAN MONSOON SYSTEMS
Contributors: .
VARIABILITY OF NORTH AND SOUTH AMERICAN MONSOON SYSTEMS:
FROM INTERANNUAL TO INTERDECADAL TIME SCALES
Contributors:
-------------------------------------------------10.00
COFFEE BREAK
--------------------------------------------------
10.30
13.0
11.15
14.0
NORTH AND SOUTH AMERICAN MONSOON REFERENCE SITE
IMPLEMENTATION IN CONTEXT
OF
CEOP
DATA
MANAGEMENT
STRATEGY (CONTRIBUTIONS OF GAPP, LBA AND PLATIN)
Contributors: B.
GENERAL DISCUSSION
Contributors: All Participants.
---------------------------------------------12.00
LUNCH
----------------------------------------------
Afternoon Session
13.00
15.0
ANALYSES OF INTEGRATED EXPERIMENTS SUCH AS C20C, AMIP, PMIP
IMPORTANCE IN RELATION TO PREDICTION AND SIMULATION OF NORTH
SOUTH AMERICAN MONSOON PATTERNS: CIRCULATION, RAINFALL,
CONVECTION AN MONSOON
Contributors: ??
13.45
16.0
PREDICTABILITY OF THE NORTH AND SOUTH AMERICAN MONSOON
SYSTEMS
Contributors: ???
---------------------------------------------14.30
COFFEE BREAK
---------------------------------------------15.00
17.0
GENERAL DISCUSSION AND WRAP UP
Contributors: All Participants.
---------------------------------------------16.30
ADJOURN
----------------------------------------------
APPENDIX-E: CEOP Data Management and Data Integration Working Group Breakout
Session (CEOP 3rd Implementation Planning Meeting, 10-12 March 2004, Irvine, CA, USA)
•
Implementation Issue for EOP-3
– WGISS needs to assist in coordinating provision of satellite data (Koike)
• NOAA/NESDIS - details and dates for delivery, Arnie Gruber, Dan
Tarpley, John Bates are POCs
–
Action - Need to schedule a telecon
• NASA - Same issue for MODIS, AIRS
– Action - Prof. Koike to list priorities
• ESA - Same issue for MERIS, ASAR - Jurgen Fischer is also POC
• Implementation plans to be in place by Sept. GHP meeting with initial
data flows from NOAA
• SDIC data support by SSG in January
• JAXA (Burford) prototype by GHP
• List of satellite data and product will be posted on CEOP web site
• EUMETSAT data also need to be listed
• Data policy question - registration should be sufficient
• Metadata content standard - Prof. Koike’s group defining with JAXA input
- to be completed by WGISS meeting in May
– Modeling data - nor representative present - will use notes from general session
– Station data • JOSS continuing to prepare data
• Issue - some stations being discontinued - need to pass to SSC - CSE
responsibility but CEOP endorsement might help.
•
Data Collection for EOP -2 and 4
– Considered a science issue
•
Data Policy Issue with Regard to New Datasets (e.g. BSRN)
– JOSS acquiring BSRN and planning on adding it to station data
• Distribution policy is same, but issue might be that BSRN loses credit
– Current satellite data for EOP-1 will follow station data policy (for subsets) but
without time delay
– Need to verify that data policy is approved by all satellite data providers
– Model data free and open with registration
– RECOMMENDATION - Broaden station data policy on CEOP website to cover
satellite and modeling
•
Data Quality Assurance/Control
– Quality control for in situ data continuing
– Satellite data quality will be submitted via metadata attributes
• Questions/issues with CEOP satellite data should be worked through the
SDIC(s).
• CEOS WG Cal/Val possible contributor
• WGISS can ork to get quality attributes into metadata model
Possible Additional Satellite Validation Sites
– Science Cal/Val issue - Ask CEOS WGCV for help?
•
•
CEOP Data Integration of Satellite Data, Model Output and In-situ Products
– Paper represents high-level concept - implementation plans will contain details
– Needs continuing review
•
Data Availability, Data Archive/Flow
– Data availability highest priority
– Ask WGISS Network Task Team to analyze data flow.
APPENDIX-F:
DRAFT AGENDA CEOP MODEL OUTPUT DEVELOPMENT AND ANALYSIS WORKSHOP
UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, IRVINE (UCI), IRVINE, CALIFORNIA, USA (8-9 March 2004)
REVISION 3a, 6 MARCH 2004
Monday 8 March
8.15-8.45 Registration
8.45
Welcome Dr Eric Saltzman, Chair, Dept of Earth System Science, UCI
9.00
Logistics from CEOP (Benedict/Hohnbaum)
9.15
CEOP Model Output Framework and Workshop Overview (Benedict/Bosilovich)
9.30
Science Overveiw and Applications for CEOP Model Datasets (Koike/Bosilovich)
10.30
BREAK
11.00
Reference Site Data Connection/Status; EOP-3 “Composite” dataset description
(Williams)
11.30
CEOP Model Output Providers Presentations (30 minutes maximum)
Each Modeling Center will provide a detailed presentation of the status of the work under
their authority, including systems, milestones, future plans, and schedule. Presenters should
focus on issues pertinent to providing input to the generation of CEOP Model Output for
coordination with CEOP “EOP “composite” data sets and science goals.
-
ECPC (Roads/Kanamitsu/Ruane)
Uk Met (Earnshaw)
NCEP (Mitchell)
BMRC (Rikus)
GMAO (Bosilovich)
JMA/real-time model output(Matsumura)
JMA/reanalysis(Ose)
GLDAS (Rodell)
CPTEC (Marengo/Chou)
NCMRWF (Iyengar)
12.00
LUNCH
13.00
CEOP Model Output Providers Presentations (Continued)
15.30
BREAK
16.00
CEOP Model Output Providers Presentations (Continued)
17.30
ADJOURN
Tuesday 9 March
8.30
Specialized Topics (15-20 minutes each)
Presentations focused on cross-cutting CEOP model output data issues such as data
generation, formating, archiving, retrieval, application and future strategies for CEOP model data
integration, visualization and a CEOP data validation/calibration framework.
-
ECMWF (Viterbo-Conference Call Presentation)
MPI (Toussaint)
CEOP Data Integration Concept/Demo (Enloe, Burford, McDonald)
Independent Model Evaluation Concept (Potter)
Preparatory
Work
for
CEOP
Model
Intercomparison(Tamagawa/K.Yang/Koudelova)
GEWEX Modeling and Prediction Panel (GMPP) Strategy/results (Polcher)
Specialized Regional Modeling Issues (Bollasina)
Assessing models against flux stations: Overarching Lessons (Mitchell)
10.30
BREAK
11.00
CEOP Model Output Strategy Discussion
Discussions will continue and parallel working sessions will be set up as required to
address specific issues associated with CEOP Model Output topics.including CEOP efforts to
improve model physics parameterization for climate predictions and global change projections as
well as coordination with ongoing model inter-comparison projects and other modeling initiatives.
In this context, the group will be challenged to define the framework for a CEOP “independent”
Model Validation Project.
Potential Breakout Group Topics(i) Data Generation, Storage and Retrieval issues: Standardized Code tables, Standard
Formatting of MOLTS;
(ii) Model physics improvement process issues: CEOP Model Evaluation Scheme)
12.00
LUNCH
13.30
Breakout Discussions Continued as Required
15.30
BREAK
16.00
Plenary Session (All Participants)/Open Discussion and Wrap-up
Working Group/Discussion Leads will be given time to report out on the results of the
parallel sessions and final deliberations will be undertaken by all participants.
17.00
ADJOURN
APPENDIX G: EXPANSION ON MODEL ANALYSES PLANS/RESULTS FROM CEOP
CONTRIBUTING CENTERS (See Section 7.7 Above)
Stéphane Bélair: Meteorological Research Branch, Meteorological Service of Canada
MSC’s Contribution to CEOP Model Output Database
•
Gridded output (every 3h) from global analyses
•
•
•
currently, 3DVAR assimilation every 6 h
in the next year, 4DVAR system should be implemented operational ly
Data currently assimilated: Aircrafts, AMVs, ATOVS, GOES, RAOBS,
Surface
•
Similar ouptut from global model predictions (based on 36 h
forecasts from 1200 UTC)
•
Model Output Location Time Series (MOLTS) for every reference site
•
Focus on last two EOPs (i.e., from 1 Oct 2002 to 31 Dec 2004)
Meteorological Service of Canada
Environment Canada
RPN
The Modeling Strategy
MODELING SYSTEM:
Based on the new mesoscale version of the Global Enrvironmental Multiscale (GEM) model that is
currently being developed at MSC for medium-range weather forecasts
• 800x600x58L (~33 km at 50 o lat);
• 4-schemes for the representation of clouds
• Kain-Fritsch for deep convection
• Kuo Transient for shallow convection
• Sundqvist for grid-scale condensation
• Simple scheme for PBL clouds
• 4 types of surface schemes (including ISBA over land +
other schemes over water, sea-ice, and glaciers)
PERIOD of INTEGRATION:
SPIN-UP
1 May 2002
EOP3
1 Oct 2002
CYCLING and ASSIMILATION STRATEGY:
Upper-air component of the analyses is directly
obtained from CMC’s archive, i.e., no 3DVAR will
be performed for atmospheric observations
6h
EOP4
1 Oct 2003
6h
31 Dec 2004
Grid-scale cloud water content is cycled from the
previous 6-h forecast, to avoid spin-up problems
which could have negative impacts on surface
processes
6h
6h
Surface component of the analyses is cycled from the
previous 6-h forecast, with sequential assimilation of
soil moisture and surface temperature
Meteorological Service of Canada
Environment Canada
RPN
Preliminary List of Model Output Variables
Atmospheric variables and processes (2D)
Surface variables and processes (2D)
SW downward flux TOA
SW upward flux TOA
LW upward flux
Skin temperature
Subsurface temperature
2-m air temperature
2-m specific humidity
10-m u and v components of the wind
10-m potential temperature
10-m specific humidity
Soil moisture (near surface and deeper)
Snow water equivalent
Snow depth
PBL height
SW downward flux at the surface
SW upward flux at the surface
LW upward flux at the surface
Sensible heat surface flux
Latent heat surface flux
Evaporation surface flux
Surface runoff
Baseflow runoff
Total ground heating (G)
Atmospheric variables and processes (3D)
Temperature
Pressure
Specific humidity
Zonal wind
Meridional wind
Geopotential
Pressure velocity
Cloud water content
Vert. integrated variables and processes (2D)
Total moisture (precipitable water)
Total cloud water
Total cloud cover
Surface pressure
Miscellaneous (2D)
Total precipitation
Snow precipitation
Precipitation type (1=rain, 2=snow)
Elevation
Surface type (land/sea/ice mask)
Surface exchange coefficient
Roughness length
Vegetation cover
Meteorological Service of Canada
Environment Canada
These model output will be
transferred to the
MAX PLANCK INSTITUTE FOR
METEOROLOGY (MPIM)
RPN
=============================================================
Status of CPTEC model output development: Sin Chan Chou
=============================================================
• Post-processed gridded data from CPTEC GCM for EOP1,
• Extracted MOLTS for the 41 requested reference sites of EOP1,
• Downloaded LBA reference sites for validation,
• Preliminary validation exercises,
• MPI account,
• Archiving formats: Gridded data are in GRIB and MOLTS in simple binary
format. Both are directly read from Grads.
• Still to learn the transferring procedures.
CPTEC/COLA Global Model
Origin:
• NMC (USA National Meteorological Center, 1988) - NCEP
• COLA (Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies)
• Rhomboidal Version 1.7 Fortran 77 from COLA
Current Version:
• Triangular 2.0 CPTEC/COLA (COLA Version 1.12 + CPTEC)
• Fortran 90 Syntax, Optimizations for NEC-SX machines: Vectorization and
OpenMP Parallelism
• User defined Horizontal and Vertical Resolutions
• Sigma at Vertical and Spherical at Horizontal Coordinates
• Full Quadratic Gaussian Grid
• Resolutions: T062L28 for seasonal forecasts and T126L28 for weather
forecasts
Initialization:
• Diabatic Non-Linear Normal Mode
Some preliminary conclusions:
CPTEC GCM
• Model produces too frequent rains,
• •In the absence of precipitation, model produces excess of SH and deficit of LH.
Surface temperatures show high correlation with observations but are
overestimated. Model has larger amplitude.
• correct NetR,
• Model produced less frequent rain event over Pantanal,
• Both Pantanal and Rondonia show similar error behavior.
Eta
• Captures better the precipitation events in Rondonia,
• Excess of SH, better fit of LH and netR
• Winds show better agreement than the global model.
Tasks
• Identify the sources of the large model errors
• Include rainy periods
• Extend the study to other reference sites
• Experimental runs to reduce the errors
• Transfer CPTEC model output
• Download more reference sites
Developments to improve the models
• Convection scheme
• Radiation scheme
• More realistic soil humidity
• New vegetation map
• Variability of co2 and ozone
===============================================================
Japan Meteorological Agency Contributions to CEOP: Takayuki Matsumura,
Tomoaki Ose and Masayuki Hirai
===============================================================
 Data : Assimilation fields
(Analysis and subsequent 6 H Forecast)
 Format :
GRIB1 ( Gridded data ) 6 hourly
ASCII ( MOLTS data ) 1 hourly
 Period :
1 Oct. 2002 ~ 31 Dec. 2004 (EOP3 & EOP4)
 Status :
EOP-3 completed soon
2002
2003
2004
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
EOP2
EOP3
EOP4
JMA
JAPANESE REANALYSIS PROJECT (JRA-25) http://www.jreap.org/indexe.html
・T106L40 version of GSM (top: 0.4 hPa)
・Global 3D-Var assimilation system
• Retrieved wind data surrounding tropical cyclones
(provided by Dr. M. Fiorino of PCMDI/LLNL)
• Chinese snow depth observation
(digitalized by MRI/JMA from Chinese observation report books)
• Reprocessed GMS AMV wind
(provided by MSC/JMA)
• COBE SST and sea-ice
(by M. Ishii, T. Matsumoto et al. of CPD/JMA)
Schedule: March 2004 ~ December 2005
FUTURE TASKS/PLANS
• JMA continues to send its model output data (EOP-3, EOP-4) to the archive
center (Max-Plank Institute).
• JMA develops a new SiB model in cooperation with the University of Tokyo.
We expect a great deal of the CEOP Integrated Data.
•
JMA and CRIEPI conduct a Japanese Reanalysis Project. The data will be
available with in a next couple of years.
==============================================================
Ken Mitchell: NCEP Environmental Modeling Center
==============================================================
NCEP Participation and Implementation in CEOP: Including NCEP Model
Assessment against CEOP Reference Sites (NCEP Participation in CEOP largely
supported by the GAPP Progam)
•
•
•
•
•
Continues NCEP’s wide participation in GEWEX programs
– GLASS: PILPS, GLACE
– ISLSCP: GSWP-1, GSWP-2
– GABLS
– GHP: GAPP
– CEOP:
– HEPEX ????
Drafted first CEOP Model Implementation Plan
– ECPC (Roads) and ECMWF (Viterbo) augmentations
– Editing by S. Benedict (WCRP), staging by S. Williams (UCAR)
Participated in all 3 CEOP Implementation Annual Meetings
– Sep 2002, Apr 2003, Mar 2004
Regular participant in monthly CEOP Model Output telecons
– in addition to monthly U.S. CEOP telecons
Routine ftp of Global System output to CEOP Model Output archive at MPI
– Gridded 3-hourly global fields in GRIB, MOLTS at Reference Sites
– Throughly documented global model characteristics at JOSS
– EOP-3 finished, EOP-4: current to present time
NCEP Global and Regional Reanalysis (Sponsored by NOAA/OGP: e.g. GAPP for
NARR)
• N. American Regional Reanalysis: “NARR”
– Production Completed: 24-years (1979-2002)
– Realtime extension being implemented soon
– Provides basis for Eta Regional Climate Model hindcasts
– Hallmark is precipitation assimilation
• Well captures the warm season nocturnal precip max over
central U.S.
• Global Reanalysis I: NCEP/NCAR
– 50-years initial: 1948-1998
– Realtime extension is operational
• Global Reanalysis II: NCEP/DOE
– 20-year initial: 1979-1999
– Realtime extension in plac
• 3-4 Year Routine Refresh for Global Reanalysis imminent !
– infrastructure being readied, support resources being sought
Land Surface Validation Lesson Themes:
• Assess model’s soil moisture climate (spin-up): GSWP
– Amplitude of seasonal cycle
– Absolute value of annual mean
• Assess model’s surface forcing biases
– Model forcing versus local forcing
• Assess model’s land properties vs flux-site properties
– Vegetation class, soil class, terrain height
• Independently confirm flux-site representativeness of Surface energy fluxes
– Augment with surface evporation estimated from annual surface
water budget determined from observed precipitation and observed
streamflow
– Complement with satellite skin temperature validation
===============================================================
Gopal Raman Iyengar: National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting
===============================================================
MODEL OUTPUT STRATEGY FOR CEOP:
NCMRWF will provide the model output data for the EOP4 period 2003-2004 from
the current operational version of the T80/L18 analysis-forecast system. The
interface between NCMRWF and MPIM has been activated.
 The analysis fields provided will be valid for 00, 06, 12 and 18UTC. These
fields will contain only the 3D atmospheric variables on 15 pressure levels
and Surface Pressure.
 The forecast fields provided will also be valid for 00, 06, 12 and 18UTC. The
forecast fields will have the 2D surface fields in addition to the 3D fields. The
details of the forecast fields are given in the table.
 The above gridded data will be in GRIB format of ECMWF. We
acknowledge the support of ECMWF in providing us the GRIB software.
 The MOLTS data will be provided in ASCII format.
CEOP SUB-PROJECTS
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Verification and intercomparison of precipitation forecasts
Skill in predicting the occurrence and amount of daily precipitation
Diurnal variation of precipitation
Evolution and predictability of high impact weather in the short range
forecasting
SPECIAL/ CUSTOMIZED FORECASTS/ PRODUCTS
• Weekly weather forecasts (for Crop Weather Watch Group of Dept. of
Ag.& Coop)
• Forecasts of Onset/Advancement/Withdrawal of Monsoon to IMD
• Forecasts for Defence Operations and Exercises.
• Forecasts for Launch of Space Vehicles
• Forecasts on special events
• Forecasts for Avalanche prediction
• Forecasts for tourism and adventure
(Amarnath yatra, Everest expeditions, Circumnavigation Sailing voyage, Hot Air
Balloon Expedition, Indo-Nepal Everest Expedition)
• Organization of field experiments
• [INDOEX ( trajectories for release of balloons), BOBMEX, ARMEX ]
• Wind fields for Ocean State Forecast
• Initial conditions for Climate Experiments, Extended Range forecasting
and Meso-scale modeling.
• Merged Gauge and Satellite data sets.
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UK Met Office CEOP Contribution: Paul Earnshaw and Sean Milton
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Met Office NWP Model Output:
 Operational Global Unified Model Data Archive
– Grid Resolution ~ 0.5° x 0.8° with 38 levels
 EOP3 and EOP4
 MOLTS – ASCII
– 18 pressure levels (1000-10 hPa) and 38 model levels (39 km).
– Assimilation 0-6h for 00, 06, 12, 18 UTC
– Forecast 0-36h for 00, 12 UTC
 Gridded - GRIB 1.25°
– 18 Pressure levels
– Forecast 12-36h for 12 UTC
 TOA Fluxes
 Atmospheric Variables
 Most Surface Variables
 Surface Processes - Radiative, SH, LH fluxes & Surface Runoff
 Subsurface – soil moisture content (T+0,3,6)
“New” Unified Model - Aug 2002
Dynamics
 Semi-Lagrangian advection
 Semi-implicit time integration
 C Grid Horizontal staggering
 Charney-Philips Vertical Staggering
 Pseudo-height co-ordinate
 Non-hydrostatic formulation
HadAM4 Physics
 Edwards-Slingo Radiation
 Mixed Phase Precipitation
 New Boundary Layer
 MOSES I and II
 Vertical Gradient Cloud Area
 Anvils
Progress to date
 Data generated for October 2002 and July 2003 so far
 Current rate of generation is 1 month/month
 Try to hijack more desktop computers!
 Look to complete EOP3 by October 2004
 EOP4 hopefully by mid 2005
Plans For CEOP Data/Research
 Concentrate on MOLTS vs.CSE reference sites and satellite data - Sample
range of climatic regimes.
 Evaluation of current parametrizations in NWP model.
– Clouds and radiation
– Surface energy balance – land surface processes
– Diurnal cycle.
– Hydrological cycle (humidity analysis) + spin-up
 Testbed for evaluation of new model parametrizations
– New prognostic cloud scheme (Wilson, Gregory, Bushell)
– New convection scheme (A. Grant)
 Evaluation of land data assimilation.
 Resolution – EURO model 12km – 70L in global
 Re-run with more recent model and SCM
 Model inter-comparisons with other CEOP contributors.
 Links to climate prediction – Hadley Centre.
Technical Issues & Questions
 MOLTS format – ASCII or NetCDF
 CERA database access
 Web based access to data (e.g. ARM, BSRN)
 Discussion groups on-line
 Software exchange for CEOP utilities (Visualisation & data processing Grads etc.)
 Quality control flags on CEOP in-situ data
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ECMWF: Presented Remotely by Dr Pedro Viterbo
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Have already provided ERA40 reanalysis to MPI for CEOP (up to August
2002)
Rerun of recent years to present is planned and will be made available
MOLTS provided in ASCII; developing a tool for ASCII -> NetCDF
Discussed a recent validation of ERA 40 against basin hydrometeorological
observations
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GMAO: By Dr Michael Bosilovich
=========================================================================
GMAO Data Availability/Contribution to CEOP
GEOS3 (July 2001 – Oct 2002)
 MOLTS and Gridded (HDF and Grib)
 Only the analysis and forecasts for 6 hours
GEOS4 (Oct 2002 – present)
 Some data needs reprocessed (MOLTS)
Aggressive development for GEOS5
 CEOP period will be a focal point for this development
Projects at GSFC/GMAO that include/connect to CEOP
Modern Era Reanalysis for Research and Applications (MERRA)
Impact of Surface Temperature
Precipitation and Cloud Data Assimilation to improve global models
Lambda Optical Network supporting Goddard-Scripps CEOP collaborations
APPENDIX H:
(EXCERPT FROM WORKSHOP REPORT)
Coordinated Enhanced Observing Period/Global Water and Energy
Cycle Experiment Workshop: The Role of the Himalayas and the
Tibetan Plateau within the Asian Monsoon System
Massimo Bollasina and Sam Benedict
…..
…..
It was recommended that monsoon analysis, understanding and predictability be improved by
merging different points of view and approaches and by following the CEOP "downscaling"
strategy. This will involve integration of remote sensing observations by satellites, surface/upper
air observations at reference sites, and numerical models analysis and simulations (from global to
regional circulation models). Monsoons involve the interactions among many components of the
climate system and, therefore, fundamental physical processes in the models have to be well
parameterized. Many of the discussions highlighted key different physical processes and
parameters to be further analysed/investigated, including land surface processes, atmospheric
boundary layer processes, atmospheric heating, precipitation, and ocean data.
Land-Surface Processes
Land surface conditions (e.g., surface roughness, snow cover, soil moisture) modify the thermal
contrast between land and ocean. Land-atmosphere physical processes are linked by means of
complex feedback mechanisms involving heat fluxes, precipitation, and convection. Numerical
model sensitivity experiments with different parameterizations will help us understand these
interactions. Attention has also to be paid on how well vegetation and soil are described in
models (heterogeneity), in terms, for example, of vegetation cover (and its monthly variation) and
soil characterization. Regarding the Himalayas/Tibetan Plateau regions, land-surface models are
to be particularly tested against observations, to check the ability to reproduce characteristic
features (e.g., permafrost) affecting ground heat flux and soil moisture.
Atmospheric Boundary Layer
High altitude climate is strongly characterised by the diurnal cycle of many parameters. Some
issues which are of greatest interest are the measurement and simulation of fluxes within the
ABL; their monthly variation in relation to the onset, maintenance, and withdrawal of the
monsoon; and their characteristics within the diurnal cycle (e.g., time of maximum). Moreover, the
importance of mountain/valley circulation over these regions and how the monsoon circulation at
large-scale interacts with this kind of circulation regime, was demonstrated.
Atmospheric Heating
In the monsoons, the land-sea thermal contrast modifies circulation of the overlying atmosphere
and precipitation develops. It is therefore important to evaluate how large-scale atmospheric heat
and moisture budgets, as given by the well-known residuals Q1, the apparent heat source, and
Q2, the apparent moisture sink, vary over space and time. This is especially useful in the study of
the onset phase of the monsoon and its intraseasonal variability and in the analysis of the relative
importance of sensible and condensation heating.
Precipitation
The analysis of temporal and spatial scales of precipitation and its characteristics is crucial for the
determination of the water cycle and the evaluation of water reservoirs and the regional
hydrologic cycle. Specific issues to be addressed are: the documentation and simulation of the
diurnal cycle of precipitation and its characteristics (stratiform/convective) in relation to variation
of air stability and wind flow; the understanding of orographic effects on precipitation pattern; the
analysis of synoptic-mesoscale interaction through, for example, large-scale moisture transport
and convergence and intraseasonal oscillations of the Asian monsoon system; the analysis of the
structure of convection; and the study of the seasonal march and shift of precipitating areas
(East-West, South-North, bottom-top).
Ocean Areas
In view of the importance of the land-sea thermal contrast in driving the monsoon, there is a need
for an improvement of ocean data. These will include surface data (e.g., sea surface temperature,
sensible, latent, water vapor and momentum fluxes, net radiation) as well as upper ocean (mixing
layer) data (e.g., vertical thermal structure and heat flux).
MONSOON ISSUES
In relation to general discussions of the monsoon, some recommendations were made
concerning both large-scale analyses and local-scale process studies. Within the annual cycle of
the monsoon, it was suggested to focus especially on the onset phase (role of surface processes
and of sea surface temperature anomalies) and on active/break cycles (and their relation, for
example, to land-surface heat and moist processes, their intraseasonal oscillations and, in
general, to the interactions among land, atmosphere and ocean processes).
Winter plays a very important role in the development of the Asian monsoon system, through the
effect of anomalous snow cover and/or soil moisture. As a result, there was agreement to also
study the relations between winter and summer monsoon circulation.
On the interannual scale, it is important to document how the variations in monsoon circulation
are directly related to the local hydro-climate (including glacier lake outburst floods) and to the
availability of water reservoirs. The main questions in these cases being: What are large-scale
and long term factors that control these and to what degree can the related water fluxes can be
simulated and predicted?
Moreover, monsoon systems have to be compared in view of a global monsoon climate system,
in a search for not only differences and similarities but also interconnections. This will be directly
translated into the CIMS "telescoping" approach, which coordinates model integrations from
general circulation models of the atmosphere, through regional climate models to cloud resolving
models.
COOPERATION WITH OTHER PROGRAMS
It will be necessary to coordinate CIMS activities, which originally evolved in the Monsoon
Systems Working Group, directly with the work planned under the CEOP Water and Energy
Simulation and Prediction (WESP) Working Group. This is necessary because WESP addresses
the CEOP aim to enhance observations to better document and simulate water and energy fluxes
and reservoirs over land on diurnal to annual temporal scales and to better predict these up to
seasonal scales. WESP will result in a better understanding of model physical processes, of the
difficulties in depicting diurnal and seasonal cycles and in requirements for their improvements. In
this context, joint work of CIMS and WESP is strongly recommended.
CIMS should be considered as a pilot research effort whose aims are addressed to the broader
WCRP community. Therefore, the work should be carried out in connection with GEWEX and the
Climate Variability and Predictability Programme (CLIVAR) and within the framework of existing
monsoon panels, initiatives, and field programs.
One particular area of scientific and programmatic synergy is the Asian Brown Cloud (ABC),
which has been studied by scientists during the Indian Ocean Experiment (INDOEX) (e.g., UNEP
and C4, 2002). This brown haze occurs from January to March over the South Asian region and
the tropical Indian Ocean, Arabian Sea, and Bay of Bengal and has led to a considerable
scientific interest as well as concern. Of immediate importance is the relationship between the
ABC and the Asian Monsoon. For instance, how can the haze’s radiative forcing influence
regional and global monsoon climate, altering, for example, the hydrological cycle (with profound
consequences on agriculture, water availability, etc.)? There is also the question of the impacts of
the ABC on model simulations of the Asian Monsoon (radiation parameterizations, etc.).
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
The Workshop was held on behalf of Dr. Soroosh Sorooshian, Chairman of the GEWEX Scientific
Steering Group (SSG), of Drs. William Lau and Jun Matsumoto, co-chairs of the CEOP Monsoon
System Studies Working Group, Dr. Toshio Koike, lead scientist for CEOP, and Dr. David
Carson, Director of the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP). Authors thank all the
speakers and attendees for their active and fruitful participation at the Workshop. We also thank
the WCRP, Epson Italia and the Institutes belonging to the Pyramid MeteoGroup (Ev-K2-CNR
Committee, Epson Meteo Centre and Water Research Institute of the National Research Council)
for sponsoring, supporting and organising the Workshop and for their scientific advice. Part of the
research is carried out thanks to contributions of the Italian Ministry of Foreign Affairs and is part
of the framework of the Ev-K2-CNR "Scientific and Technological Research in Himalaya and
Karakorum" Project in collaboration with the Royal Nepal Academy of Science and Technology
(RONAST) as governed by the Memorandum of Understanding between the Government of the
Kingdom of Nepal and the Government of the Republic of Italy. The main issues discussed in this
report were summarised by Dr T. Koike during the plenary closing session of the Workshop.
REFERENCES
UNEP and Center for Clouds, Chemistry and Climate (C4), 2002: The Asian Brown
Cloud: Climate and Other Environmental Impacts, UNEP, Nairobi, 53 pp.
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