APPENDIX A: DRAFT AGENDA CEOP MODEL OUTPUT DEVELOPMENT AND ANALYSIS WORKSHOP UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, IRVINE (UCI), IRVINE, CALIFORNIA, USA (8-9 March 2004) REVISION 3a, 6 MARCH 2004 Monday 8 March 8.15-8.45 Registration 8.45 Welcome Dr Eric Saltzman, Chair, Dept of Earth System Science, UCI 9.00 Logistics from CEOP (Benedict/Hohnbaum) 9.15 CEOP Model Output Framework and Workshop Overview (Benedict/Bosilovich) 9.30 Science Overveiw and Applications for CEOP Model Datasets (Koike/Bosilovich) 10.30 BREAK 11.00 Reference Site Data Connection/Status; EOP-3 “Composite” dataset description (Williams) 11.30 CEOP Model Output Providers Presentations (30 minutes maximum) Each Modeling Center will provide a detailed presentation of the status of the work under their authority, including systems, milestones, future plans, and schedule. Presenters should focus on issues pertinent to providing input to the generation of CEOP Model Output for coordination with CEOP “EOP “composite” data sets and science goals. - ECPC (Roads/Kanamitsu/Ruane) Uk Met (Earnshaw) NCEP (Mitchell) BMRC (Rikus) GMAO (Bosilovich) JMA/real-time model output(Matsumura) JMA/reanalysis(Ose) GLDAS (Rodell) CPTEC (Marengo/Chou) NCMRWF (Iyengar) 12.00 LUNCH 13.00 CEOP Model Output Providers Presentations (Continued) 15.30 BREAK 16.00 CEOP Model Output Providers Presentations (Continued) 17.30 ADJOURN Tuesday 9 March 8.30 Specialized Topics (15-20 minutes each) Presentations focused on cross-cutting CEOP model output data issues such as data generation, formating, archiving, retrieval, application and future strategies for CEOP model data integration, visualization and a CEOP data validation/calibration framework. - ECMWF (Viterbo-Conference Call Presentation) MPI (Toussaint) CEOP Data Integration Concept/Demo (Enloe, Burford, McDonald) Independent Model Evaluation Concept (Potter) Preparatory Work for CEOP Model Intercomparison (Tamagawa/K.Yang/Koudelova) GEWEX Modeling and Prediction Panel (GMPP) Strategy/results (Polcher) Specialized Regional Modeling Issues (Bollasina) Assessing models against flux stations: Overarching Lessons (Mitchell) 10.30 BREAK 11.00 CEOP Model Output Strategy Discussion Discussions will continue and parallel working sessions will be set up as required to address specific issues associated with CEOP Model Output topics.including CEOP efforts to improve model physics parameterization for climate predictions and global change projections as well as coordination with ongoing model intercomparison projects and other modeling initiatives. In this context, the group will be challenged to define the framework for a CEOP “independent” Model Validation Project. Potential Breakout Group Topics(i) Data Generation, Storage and Retrieval issues: Standardized Code tables, Standard Formatting of MOLTS; (ii) Model physics improvement process issues: CEOP Model Evaluation Scheme) 12.00 LUNCH 13.30 Breakout Discussions Continued as Required 15.30 BREAK 16.00 Plenary Session (All Participants)/Open Discussion and Wrap-up Working Group/Discussion Leads will be given time to report out on the results of the parallel sessions and final deliberations will be undertaken by all participants. 17.00 ADJOURN APPENDIX B: PROVISIONAL TIMELINE/AGENDA FOR THE THIRD INTERNATIONAL IMPLEMENTATION PLANNING MEETING FOR THE COORDINATED ENHANCED OBSERVING PERIOD (CEOP), A COMPONENT OF THE WORLD CLIMATE RESEARCH PROGRAMME (WCRP), GLOBAL ENERGY AND WATER CYCLE EXPERIMENT (GEWEX) ENDORSED BY THE COMMITTEE ON EARTH OBSERVATION SATELLITES (CEOS), INTEGRATED GLOBAL OBSERVERVING STRATEGY PARTNERS (IGOS-P) UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA AT IRVINE (UCI), IRVINE, CALIFORNIA, USA 10-12 MARCH 2004 (REV-3b 6 MARCH 2004) ---------------------------------------Wednesday, 10 March 2004: ---------------------------------------8.15 – 9.00 REGISTRATION 9.00 1. OPENING/OVERVIEW OF CEOP INTERNATIONAL FRAMEWORK (Remarks in this section should be held to 10-15 minutes) 1.1 Welcome/logistics UCI/GEWEX-WCRP/CEOP (S. Sorooshian, T. Koike, S. Benedict) 1.2 Agency Viewpoints JAXA/NASA/NOAA/Europe/IAEA (N. Matsuura, J. Kaye, M. Colton, H. Grassl, P. Aggarwal) 1.3 GEWEX Overview (S. Sorooshian) 1.4 CEOP as a contribution to the CEOS/IGOS-P Water Initiative (R. Lawford) ----------------------------------10.30 BREAK ----------------------------------11.00 1. OPENING OF SESSION - CONTINUED 11.30 2. CEOP Introduction/Science Overview BY ceop LEAD SCIENTIST (T. Koike) The CEOP Science Strategy and how it will be addressed at the meeting will be introduced. Satellite and in situ data Integration and assimilation topics will be introduced with model related issues. ----------------------------------12.00 LUNCH ----------------------------------13.00 3. CEOP IMPLEMENTATION STRATEGY SUMMARY (S. Benedict) The Planned, co-ordinated and structured international commitments, cooperation and collaboration that are crucial elements of the implementation of CEOP will be addressed. 13.15 4. CEOP DATA MANAGEMENT Williams/H-J Isemer) WORKING GROUP STRATEGY (S. CEOP reference site data is at: http://www.joss.ucar.edu/ghp/ceopdm/rsite.html. An initial CEOP dataset (EOP-1) for the period July through September 2001 has been released. Implementation of the CEOP annual cycle datasets EOP-3 and EOP-4 cover the period from 1 October 2002 up to the end of 2004. The status of this work will be reviewed. --------------------------------------------------------Wednesday, 10 March 2004 - Continued --------------------------------------------------------14.00 5. CSE/CEOP REFERENCE SITE CONTRIBUTIONS SUMMARY The configuration of the EOP-1 and EOP-3 in situ datasets has marked important milestones in CEOP that could not have been accomplished without the support of the Reference Site Spokespersons and Managers. The Reference Site representatives will be asked to discuss individually their contributions to CEOP and note their main issues: - BALTEX (Grassl/Isemer) - GAPP (Williams) - LBA (Marengo) - GAME/CAMP (Koike/Other GAME/CAMP Site Representatives) - La Plata (R. Mechoso) - AMMA/CATCH (Polcher) - New Sites ----------------------------------15.15 BREAK ----------------------------------15.30 6. CEOP WATER AND ENERGY SIMULATION AND PREDICTION STATUS (J. Roads will organize and moderate this section of the Agenda. A CEOP Water and Energy Simulation and Prediction (WESP) Working Group has been organized. WESP studies are designed to understand what components of the global water and energy cycles can be measured, simulated, and predicted at regional and global scales. Results from this work will be shown and specific issues related to these objectives will be addressed. The program may include presentations by: J. Roads (Scripps) H. Berbery (Univ. of Maryland) M. Rodell (GSFC) J. Marengo (LBA) B. Rockel (GKSS) K. Mitchell (NCEP) 16.15 7. agenda.) MODEL STRATEGY OVERVIEW (M. Bosilovich will moderate this part of the An earlier workshop has focused on CEOP model data handling and has emphasized the outcome of the studies to validate models using coordinated CEOP datasets. A review of the earlier meeting and plans to continue to deliver data, to the CEOP Model Output Archive and to apply the CEOP coordinated datasets will be addressed. The CEOP Model Output Guidance Document is at: http://www.joss.ucar.edu/ghp/ceopdm/. The program may include brief statements by: P. Earnshaw (UK Met Office) J. Roads (ECPC) B. Rockel (GKSS) K. Mitchell (NCEP) S. Belair (Environment Canada) T. Matsumura (JMA) G. Iyengar (NCMRWF) L. Rikus (BMRC) S. C. Chou (CPTEC) and H. Grassl (MPI) -------------------------------------17.30: ADJOURN -------------------------------------------------------------------------Thursday, 11 March 2004 ------------------------------------9.00 8. CEOP MONSOON SYSTEMS STRATEGY OVERVIEW (W. Lau, will moderate this section of the agenda) A CEOP Monsoon Systems Working Group has been addressing the accomplishment of one of the main CEOP aims associated with the documenting of the seasonal march of the monsoon systems, assessing the monsoon systems driving mechanisms, intra-seasonal variations, and diurnal cycle and investigating the possible physical connections between such systems. A CEOP Inter-monsoon Model Study (CIMS) will be discussed. The program may include presentations by: W. Lau (GSFC) R. Mechoso (UCLA/VAMOS) J. Marengo (LBA) 9.45 9. CEOP SATELLITE DATA INTEGRATION STRATEGY (moderator: T.Koike) A CEOP Satellite Data Integration Working Group has made progress on the satellite data integration activity under development by JAXA and the University of Tokyo (UT). This concept is supported by a proposal for a CEOP CEOS/WGISS Test Facility (CEOP-WTF) promoted by JAXA. A proto-type CEOP Data Integration System will be demonstrated at the meeting and related data integration issues will be addressed. The program will include two sub-sections: (i)WGISS Test Facility (WTF) for CEOP:25min. - JAXA's Contributions (N.Matsuura/K.Umezawa/O.Ochiai/B.Burford) - NASA's Contributions (K. McDonald/Y. Enloe/M. Rodell) (ii)CEOP Satellite Data Integration Center at UT/IIS: 20min. - Data Integration Functions and System (T.Nemoto - Converged Data Integration and Mining (E.Ikoma) ----------------------------------10.30 BREAK ----------------------------------11.00 10. SPECIAL TOPIC ON ORGANIZATION OF HYDROLOGY WORKING GROUP (D. Lettenmaier, T. Koike) CEOP WATERSHED There is a need to ensure that their our sites which observe directly most of components of the surface water budget (precipitation, streamflow, evapotranspiration, and surface and subsurface storage change) and that such data becomes part of the CEOP database. 11.30 11. PARALLEL WORKING GROUP SESSIONS ON OBSERVATIONS AND RESEARCH (All Participants) Parallel working sessions will be set up in Plenary to address specific implementation issues associated CEOP Implementation topics. Participants can divide between the groups as they wish and may “float” between sessions if their interests overlap topics. ----------------------------------12.00 LUNCH ----------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------Thursday, 11 March 2004 - Continued: ------------------------------------------------------13.00 11. MEETING OF CEOP WORKING GROUPS IN PARALLEL SESSIONS Three sessions are planned: 11.1 CEOP Data Management and Data Integration Working Groups Session (Williams/Bosilovich Co-Chairs, McDonald/Isemer - Correspondents) The Chair(s) and Correspondents will organize the group to respond to at least the following topics: (i) (ii) (iii) (iv) (v) (vi) (vii) (viii) Implementation issues for EOP-3 Data Collection for EOP-2, and 4 Data Policy issues with regard to new datasets (e.g. BSRN, etc.) Data Quality Assurance/Control Data Availability, Data Archive/Flow, etc. Possible additional Satellite Validation Sites WGISS Test Facility (WTF) Definition/Applicability CEOP Data Integration of Satellite data, Model output and in-situ products 11.2 CEOP Water and Energy Simulation and Prediction (WESP) (Co-Chairs Roads/Ohata; Arkin/Aggarwal-Correspondents) 11.3 Monsoon Systems Working Group Session (Lau/Mechoso, Co-Chairs, Marengo/Lettenmaier -Correspondents) These two sessions will address the main issues associated with the CEOP Implementation Working Groups on Water and Energy Simulation and Prediction and Monsoon Systems. Presentations will be made as necessary and the Chair(s) and the Correspondents will organize the group to respond to at least the following topics: (i) (ii) (iii) (iv) (v) (vi) Temporal scale issues (diurnal through Interannual) Spatial scale issues (local through Global) Intercomparison of model products and their application to error analyses Data (observational) Requirements Test case scenarios using EOP-1 data and future EOP datasets Model output requirements and handling ----------------------------------15.00 BREAK ----------------------------------15.30 11.4 Plenary Session (All Participants) The Chairs/Correspondents of each of the Groups will be given 60 minutes to report out on the results of the parallel sessions to all participants including time for open discussion on the outcomes of their deliberations. ---------------------------------------17.30 ADJOURN ----------------------------------------------------------------------------Friday, 12 March 2004: -------------------------------------9.00 12. CONVENING OF JOINT SESSION OF THE CEOP SCIENCE STEERING COMMITTEE (SSC) (H. GRASSL - CHAIR) AND THE CEOP ADVISORY AND OVERSIGHT COMMITTEE (KAYE/GRASSL CO-CHAIRS) 12.1 Drs H. Grassl and J. Kaye will convene a joint breakout session of the CEOP SSC and AOC to address at least the following issues: (i) Maximizing the Science and Technology Benefits from CEOP (ii) Framework for Oversight of CEOP Science Implementation Plans/Results (iii) Specific recommendations for efficient organization and management of CEOP to achieve the main science objectives (iv) Objectives and Plans for possible CEOP Science Workshop in 2005. (v) Highlight items relevant to CEOP implementation and planning that require further development. (vi) Discuss CEOP implementation plans and schedules in the context of the priorities being set by the broader International Climate Research Community (vii) A strategy to foster close coordination between all elements of CEOP and the International framework for Climate System Research. (NOTE: Sessions of the three other Working Groups may take place in parallel with the SSC/AOC breakout session as required) ----------------------------------11.15 BREAK ----------------------------------11.45 13. CONTINUATION OF SSC/AOC BREAKOUT AND PARALLEL WORKING GROUP SESSIONS AS REQUIRED OR MEET IN PLENARY ----------------------------------12.30 LUNCH ----------------------------------13.30 14. FINAL PLENARY ----------------------------------15.30 BREAK ----------------------------------16.00 14. FINAL PLENARY (CONTINUED AS REQUIRED) ADJOURN APPENDIX C: CEOP MEETING 2004, March 8-12, 2004 @ University of California, Irvine, CA 92697 Participant List updated 4/12/2004 Name Organization 1 Pradeep Aggarwal 2 Dr. Phillip Arkin 3 Stephane Belair 4 Mr. Sam Benedict IAEA Wagramer Strasse 5 Vienna A1400, Austria Email: P.Aggarwal@IAEA.ORG Deputy Director Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center (ESSIC) 2207 Computer and Space Science Building University of Maryland College Park, MD 20742-2465 Tel: (301) 405-2147 Fax: (301) 405-8468 Email: parkin@essic.umd.edu Research Scientist Recherche in prevision numeriqaue Meteorological Research Branch Environment Canada 2121 Trans-Canada Highway, room 500 Dorval, PQ, H9P 1J3 Canada Tel: (514) 421-7220 Fax: (514) 421-2106 Email: Stephane.Belair@ec.gc.ca CEOP International Coordinator 742 ‘H’ Avenue Coronado, CA 92118 USA Tel: +1 619 437-7904 Fax: +1 619-437-6814 Email: sam.benedict@gewex.org 5 Dr. Samakkee Boonyawat 6 Dr. Ernesto Hugo Berbery Professor, Faculty of Forestry Kasetsart University 50 Phaholyolhin Road, Chatuchak Bangkok 10900 Thailand Email: fforskb@ku.ac.th Research Associate Professor Department of Meteorology/ESSIC 3427 Computer and Space Sci. Bldg. 7 Dr. Massimo Bollasina 8 Dr. Michael G. Bosilovich 9 Dr. Ben Burford 10 Dr. Tsing Chang (Mike) Chen 11 Dr. Chou Sin Chan The University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742-2425 Tel: (301) 405-5351 Fax: (301) 314-9482 Email: berbery@atmos.umd.edu http://www.atmos.umd.edu/~berbery Epson Meteo Center – Climate Research Division Via M. Vigano De Vizzi 93/95 20092 Cinisello Balsamo Milan – Italy Tel: +39026602181 Fax: +39026602184 Email: Massimo.bollasina@epsonmeteo.org Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA/GSFC Code 900.3 8800 Greenbelt Rd. Greenbelt, Maryland 20771-0003 Tel: +1 (301) 614-6147 Fax:+1 (301) 614-6297 Email: Michael.Bosilovich@nasa.gov http://www.polar.gsfc.nasa.gov JAXA/RESTEC, Japan Roppongi First Bldg., 7th Floor 1-9-9 Roppongi, Minato-Ku Tokyo-to 106-0032 Japan Tel: +81 3 5561 4534 Fax: +81-3 5561-9541 Email: benb@restec.or.jp Department of Geological and Atmospheric Sciences Iowa State University 3017 Agron Ames, IA 50011-1010 Tel: (515) 294-9874 Email: tmchen@iastate.edu CPTEC/INPE, Rod, Pus. Dutra, km40 12630-000 Cachouira Paulista, Sao Paulo, Brazil Tel:+55 12 3186-8424 Fax:+55 12 3101-2835, Email: chou@cptec.inpe.br http://www.cptec.inpe.br 12 Dr. Yourng-Jean Chou Forecast Research Lab Meteorological Research Institute 460-18 Shindaebang-dong Dongjak-gu Seoul 156-720, Korea 13 Dr. Marie Colton 14 Ms. Linda Cully 15 Dr. M. Sulchan Darmawan 16 Dr. Wenjie Dong 17 Dr. Yonsook Enloe 18 Dr. Paul Earnshaw Director, ORA NOAA/NESDIS HQ. Office of Research& Application 5200 Auth Road Camp Strings, MD 20746 Tel: (301)763-8127 x178 Fax:: (301)763-8108 Marie.Colton@noaa.gov JOSS-UCAR P.O. Box 3000-FL4 Boulder, CO 80307-3000 USA Tel: (303) 497-8163 Fax: (303) 497-8158 Email: cully@joss.ucar.edu Head of Information Technology Division Climate System Core Competence (TSI) BPPT 2nd Building, 18th Floor J1. MH Thamrin No. 8 Jakarta Pusat 10340 Indonesia Tel: +62 21 3169608 Fax: +62 3160982 Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100029 P.R. China Tel: 0086 10 6204 0678 Fax: 0086 10 6202 8606 Email: dwj@tea.ac.cn National Meteorological Center 46 Zhongguancun Nandajie, Haidian District Beijing, China NASA/SGT Inc. 2106 Sandy Pond Waxhaw, NC 28173-8391 Email: yonsook@@harp.gsfc.nasa.gov Met OfficeGlobal Model Development and Diagnostics FitzRoy Road Exeter EX1 3PB UK 19 Dr. Mei Gao 20 Dr. Xiaogang Gao 21 Ms. Akiko Goda 22 Hartmut Grassl 23 Dr. Einar-Arne Herland 24 Dr. Kuo-lin Hsu Tel: +44 (0) 1392 884525 Fax: +44 (0) 1392 885681 Email: paul.earnshaw@metoffice.com http://www.metoffice.com Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences No. 46, South Zhong-Guan-Cun Street Haidian Dirstrict, Beijing, 100081 P.R. China Tel: 86-10-68406938 Fax: 86-10-62175931 Associate Adjunct Professor Dept. of Civil & Environmentall Engineering E/4130 Engineering Gateway University of California, Irvine Irvine, CA 92697-2175 US Tele: +1 (949) 824-8822 Fax: +1 (949) 824-8831 Email: gaox@uci.edu CEOP International Coordination Office Japan Science and Technology Agency Department of Civil Engineering University of Tokyo 7-3-1, Hongo, Bunkyo-ky Tokyo 113-8656 Japan Tele: +81-3-5841-6132 Fax: +81-3-5841-6130 Email: goda@hydra.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorology Bundesstraße 53 D-20146 Hamburg, Germany Tel: 0049 40 41173-226 Fax: 0049 40 41173-350 Email: gtrassl@dkrz.de Mission Experts Division (EOP-SM) European Space Agency-ESTEC Tel: +31 71 565 5674 Fax +31 71 565 5675 Email: Einar.Arne.Herland@esa.int http://www.esa.int Assistant Adjunct Professor Dept. of Civil & Environmentall Engineering E/4130 Engineering Gateway 25 Dr. Liu Huizhi 26 Dr. Eiji Ikoma 27 Dr. Bisher Imam 28 Dr. Hans-Jörg Isemer 29 Dr. Gopal Raman Iyengar University of California, Irvine Irvine, CA 92697-2175 US Tele: +1 (949) 824-8826 Fax: +1 (949) 824-8831 Email: kuolinh@uci.edu Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100029 China Email: huizhil@mail.iap.ac.cn Assistant Professor Center for Spatial Information Systems University of Tokyo Room #306, Building No. 45, Komaba Campus II 4-6-1-, Komaba, Meguwo-ku Tokyo 153-8904 Japan Tele: 3-5453-5690 Fax: 3-5453-5699 Email:eikoma@csis.u-tokyo.ac.jp Associate Adjunct Professor Dept. of Civil & Environmentall Engineering E/4130 Engineering Gateway University of California, Irvine Irvine, CA 92697-2175 US Tele: +1 (949) 824-8830 Fax: +1 (949) 824-8831 Email: bimam@uci.edu GKSS-Forschungszentrum Geesthacht GmbH International Projects Department SEP Head of the International BALTEX Secretariat Max-Planck-Straße 1 D-21502 Geesthacht, Germany Tel: +49 4152 87 1661 Fax: +49 4152 87 1730 Email: isemer@gkss.de National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (NCMRWF), Mausam Bhavan, Lodhi Road, New Delhi 110018; India Ph. 011-4694639 Ext. 237 Fax:011-4610908 E mail :gopal@ncmrwf.gov.in http://www.ncmrwf.gov.in/ 30 Dr. Ichirow Kaihotsu 31 Dr John (Jack) Kaye 32 Professor Toshio Koike, Ph.D. 33 Dr. Petra Koudelova 34 Dr. Richard Lawford Director, IGPO 35 Dr. William Lau University of Hiroshima Dept. of Integrated Sciences 1-7-1, Kagamiyama, Higashi-Hiroshima-shi, Hiroshima,739-8521 Japan Phone: +81-824-24-6497 Fax: +81-824-24-0758 kaihotsu@hiroshima-u.ac.jp NASA Headquarters Room 5Q13 Code YS 300 East Street SW Washington, D.C. 20546 Tel: (202) 358-0757 Fax: (202) 358-2770 Email: Jack.A.Kaye@nasa.gov Lead Scientist CEOP International Coordination Office Japan Secretariat Department of Civil Engineering University of Tokyo 7-3-1, Hongo, Bunkyo-ku Tokyo 113-8656 Japan Tele: +81-3-5841-6106 Fax: +81-3-5841-6130 Email: tkoike@hydra.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp Research Scientist University of Tokyo 7-3-1- Hongo, Bunkyo-Ku Tokyo, 113-8565, Japan Email: petra@hydra.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp International GEWEX Project Office (IGPO) 1100 Wayne Ave., Suite 450 Silver Spring, MD 2090, USA Tel: 301-565-8345 Fax: 301-565-8279 Email: lawford@umbc.edu Chief, Laboratory for Atmospheres Code 910 NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center 8800 Greenbelt Rd. Greenbelt, Maryland 20771-0003 Tel: (301) 614-6332 Fax: (301) 614-6297 36 Dr. Dennis Lettenmaier 37 Dr. Scot Loehrer 38 Dr. Takayuki Matsumura 39 Dr. Naoto Matsuura 40 Dr.Carlos R. Mechoso 41 Insa Meinke 42 Ken McDonald Wilson Ceramic Laboratory Box 352700 University of Washington Seattle, WA 98195-2700 Tel: +1 (206) 685-1796 JOSS-UCAR P.O. Box 3000-FL4 Boulder, CO 80307-3000 USA Tel: (303) 497-2631 loehrer@ucar.edu Japan Meteorological Agency-Numerical Prediction Division 1-3-4- Ote-machi, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-8122 Japan Tel: +81-3-3212-8341 (ext 3322) Fax: +81-3-3211-8407 Email: takayuki.matsumura@naps.kishou.go.jp Senior Engineer, Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency Earth Observation Research and Application Center Harumi IslandOffice Tower X, Triton Square, 1-8-10 Harumi, Chuo-ku, Tokyo 1046023 Japan matsuura.naoto@jaxa.jp Tel: +81-6221-9004 Fax: +81-6221-9191 Professor University of California, Los Angeles Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences 7127 Math Sciences Building 405 Hilgard Avenue Los Angeles, CA 90095-1565 Tel: (310) 825-3057 Fax: (310) 206-5219 ECPC/UCSD UC San Diego 9500 Gilman Drive Mail: 0204 La Jolla, CA 92093 Email: imeinke@ucsd.edu NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center Code 423 43 Dr. Jose A. Marengo 44 Dr. Kenneth Mitchell 45 Dr. K. Shadananan Nair 8800 Greenbelt Rd. Greenbelt, Maryland 20771-0003 Email: ken.mcdonald@nasa.gov CPTEC/ INPE Rodovia Dutra km.40, Cachoeira Paulista, Sao Paulo, 12630-000 Brazil NCEP/EMC NOAA Science Center, Room 207 5200 Auth Road Camp Springs, MD 20746-4304 USA Tel: +1 310 763 8000 ext 7225 Fax: +1 301 763-8545 Email: Kenneth.Mitchell@noaa.gov Cochin University of Science & Technology Vallayil House, North Gate Vaikom – 686 141 Kottayam Dt., Kerala, India Tele: +91 1829 224264 Email: nair59@yahoo.com 46 Dr. Toshihiro Nemoto Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo Prof. Kitsuregawa Lab. 47 Dr. Osamu Ochiai 48 Dr. Tetsuo Ohata 4-6-1-, Komba, Meguro-ku Tokyo 153-8505 Japan Tel/Fax: +81 3-5452-6457 Email: nemoto@tkl.iis.u-tokyo.ac.jp Engineer Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency Earth Observation Research and Application Center (JAXA/EORC) Harumi Island Office Tower X, Triton Square, 1-8-10 Harumi, Chuo-ku, Tokyo 104-6023 Japan Tel: +81-6221-9131 Fax: +81-6221-9180 Email: ochiai.osamu@nasda.go.jp ILTS, Mokkaido University Frontier Observational System for Global Change Kita-19, Nishi-8, Kita-Ku Sapparo, 060-0819, Japan 49 Dr.Tomoaki Ose 50 Mahadevan Pathnathevan 51 Dr. Jan Polcher 52 Dr. Panya Polsan 53 Dr. Gerald Potter 54 Dr. John Roads 55 Dr. Burkhardt Rockel Climate Prediction Division, Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) 1-3-4 Ote-machi Tokyo 100-8122 Japan Tel: +81-3-3212-8341 ext 4224 Fax: +81-3-3211-8406 Email: t-ose@naps.ksihou.go.jp University of Tokyo 7-3-1, Hongo, Bunkyo-ku Tokyo 113-8656 Japan Tel: +81-3-5841-6139 Fax: +81-3-5841-6130 Email: devan@hydra.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique du (IPSL) Tour 45, Boite 99, 4 pl. Jussieu, 75252 PARIS, France Tel: 33-1-44274763 Fax: 33-1-4427672 Email: Jan.Polcher@lmd.jussieu.fr http://www.lmd.jussieu.fr/~polcher/ Director Hydrology & Water Management Center 2 (for Lower Northern Region) 204 Tha Thong (k.m.7), A. Muang, Phitsanulok 65000, Thailand Tel: +66 1 9723498 Fax: +66 55 245461 Email: hydro2@loxinfo.co.th Lawrence Livermore Lab L-103 P.O. Box 808 Livermore, CA 94550 Tele +1 (925) 422-1832 gpotter@llnl.gov ECPC/SIO/UCSD UC San Diego 9500 Gilman Drive Mail: 0244 La Jolla, CA 92093 Tele: +1 (858) 534-2099 Email: jroads@ucsd.edu GKSS-Forschungszentrum Geesthacht Max-Planck-Strausse D-21502 Geesthacht, Germany Tel: +49 4152 87 2008 Fax: +49 4152 87 2020 56 Dr. Matthew Rodell 57 Alex Ruane 58 Dr. Soroosh Sorooshian 59 Dr. Katsunori Tamagawa 60 Dr. Kiyotoshi Takahashi 61 Dr. Frank Toussaint Email: rockel@gkss.de http://w3.gkss.de/KSR/ksr_home.html NASA/GSFC Code 974.1 8800 Greenbelt Rd. Greenbelt, MD 20771-0003 Tele: (301) 286-9143 matthew.rodell@nasa.gov ECPC/UCSD UC San Diego 9500 Gilman Drive Mail: 0204 La Jolla, CA 92093 Tele: +1 (858) 822-4413 Email: aruane@ucsd.edu Distinguished Professor Civil & Environmental Engineering and Earth System Science Director, Center for Hydrometeorology & Remote Sensing (CHRS) E/ 4130 Engineering Gateway University of California, Irvine Irvine, CA 92697-2175 Tel: +1 (949) 824-8821 Fax+1 (949) 824-8831 Email: soroosh@uci.edu CEOP International Coordination Office Japan Secretariat Department of Civil Engineering University of Tokyo 7-3-1, Hongo, Bunkyo-ky Tokyo 113-8656 Japan Tele: +81-3-5841-6105 Fax: +81-3-5841-6130 Email: tamagawa@hydra.t.u-toydo.ac.jp 5th Research Lab Climate Research Dept. MRI/JMA Nagime 1-1, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, 305-0052 Japan Tel: +81-298-53-8670 Fax: +81-298-55-2683 Email: ktakahas@mri-jma.go.jp Max-Planck-Institut fur Meteorologie Bundesstr.55 – 20146 Hamburg Germany Tel (040) 411 73 –175 Fax: (040) 411 73 – 400 62 63 64 65 66 67 Pfitznerstr. 69 22761 Hamburg Tel: (040) 38 61 92 85 Email: Toussaint@dkrz.de http://www.Leuchtturm-atlas.de/ Dr. Kazuo Umezawa Engineer Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency Earth Observation Research and Application Center (JAXA/EORC) Harumi Island, Triton Square, 1-8-10 Harumi, Chuo-ku, Tokyo 1046023 Japan umezawa@eorc.jaxa.jp Tel: +81-6221-9021 Fax: +81-6221-9191 Professor Tandong Yao, Director, Institute for Tibetan Plateau Ph.D. Research P.O. Box 2871 Beijing 100085, China. Email: tdyao@ns.lzb.ac.cn Dr. Steve Williams JOSS-UCAR P.O. Box 3000-FL4 Boulder, CO 80307-3000 USA Tel: (303) 497-8164 Email: sfw@ucar.edu Dr. Dawen Yang Associate Professor, Dept of Civil Engineering University of Tokyo 7-3-1, Hongo, Bunkyo-ku Tokyo 113-8656 Japan Tel: +81-3-5841-6139 Fax: +81-3-5841-6130 Email: dyang@hydra.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp Dr. Kun Yang Associate Professor River Lab., Dept of Civil Engineering University of Tokyo 7-3-1, Hongo, Bunkyo-ku Tokyo 113-8656 Japan Dr. Shi Xiaohui Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences No. 46, South Zhong-Guan-Cun Street Haidian Dirstrict, Beijing, 100081 P.R. China Tel: 86-10-68406938 Fax: 86-10-62175931 Email: sxh@cams.cma.gov.cn APPENDIX D: Provisional Plans for CEOP South American Monsoon Meeting GLOBAL ENERGY AND WATER CYCLE EXPERIMENT World Climate Research Programme PROVISIONAL AGENDA/EXPLANATORY MEMORANDUM WITH TOPICS AND CONTRIBUTORS FOR A WORKSHOP ON AMERICAN MONSOONS SYSTEM HELD IN THE CONTEXT OF THE COORDINATED ENHANCED OBSERVING PERIOD INTER-MONSOON MODEL STUDY (CIMS) PROJECT MONTEVIDEO, URUGUAY, 17-18 SEPTEMBER 2004 (First draft, 16 March 2004) Scientific organizing committee: Jose Marengo (CPTEC, SALLJEX-LBA-PLATIN)-Chair Julia Slingo (ECMWF and CLIVAR-Monsoon) William Lau (NASA-GSFC, NAME and CEOP-CIMS) Roberto Mechoso (UCÃL, CLIVAR-VAMOS and PLATIN) Chris Thorncroft (US-AMMA) Hugo Berbery (UMD, GEWEX-GAPP and PLATIN) Jun Matsumoto (Univ Tokio, CEOP-CIMS) Carolina Vera (UBA, PLATIN, VAMOS) Jose Luis Genta (Univ. de la Republica)-Uruguay-local contact Sam Benedict (CEOP) Steve Williams (JOSS-UCAR) Carlos Ereno (UBA, CLIVAR Office) ---------------------------------------------Friday, 17 September 2004: ---------------------------------------------- Morning Session 8.00 REGISTRATION Opening Session and Introduction 8.30 9.15 1.0 WORKSHOP OPENING 1.1 Welcome from the organizing Committee (J. Marengo, J. L. Genta) 1.2 A unified view of the American Monsoon System (C. Vera?) 2.0 CEOP FRAMEWORK IN WCRP/GEWEX/CLIVAR, MOTIVATION OF THE WORKSHOP AND RELEVANT SCIENCE ISSUES Contributors: T. Koike, S. Sorooshian, R. Mechoso 10.00 3.0 CEOP MONSOON SYSTEMS STRATEGY OVERVIEW Contributors: W. Lau, J. Matsumoto, ---------------------------------------------10.45 COFFEE BREAK ---------------------------------------------- 11.15 4.0 MONSOON RESEARCH ISSUES/PROGRAMS IN THE AMERICAS Contributors: ??? ---------------------------------------------13.00 LUNCH ---------------------------------------------- Afternoon Session 14.30 5.0 SIMULATION OF THE SOUTH AMERICAN MONSOON: THE ROLE PLAYED BY THE ANDES AND AMAZON BASIN AND BY TROPICAL OCEANS Contributors: ?? 14.45 6.0 MODELING ASPECTS OF THE NORTH AMERICAN MONSOON: REGIONAL VERSUS REMOTE FORCINGS Contributors: ?? ---------------------------------------------16.15 COFFEE BREAK ---------------------------------------------16.45 7.0 17.30 8.0 20.45 10.0 OBSERVATIONS VERSUS MODEL SIMULATIONS FOR THE NORTH AND SOUTH AMERICAN MONSOON SYSTEMS Contributors: ??? GENERAL DISCUSSION Contributors: All Participants. --------------------------------EVENING SESSION -------------------------------20.00 9.0 IMPORTANCE OF SURFACE PROCESSES AND REMOTE SST FORCING IN THE ONSET AND DEVELOPMENT OF NORTH AND SOUTH AMERICAN MONSOON (Contributors: ??) PREDICTABILITY OF THE NORTH AND SOUTH AMERICAN MONSOON SYSTEMS -----------------------------21.30 ADJOURN -------------------------------------------------------------------------Saturday, 18 SEPTEMBER 2003: ---------------------------------------------- Morning Session 08.30 11.0 09.15 12.0 WATER AND ENERGY BALANCES OF THE NORTH AND SOUTH AMERICAN MONSOON SYSTEMS Contributors: . VARIABILITY OF NORTH AND SOUTH AMERICAN MONSOON SYSTEMS: FROM INTERANNUAL TO INTERDECADAL TIME SCALES Contributors: -------------------------------------------------10.00 COFFEE BREAK -------------------------------------------------- 10.30 13.0 11.15 14.0 NORTH AND SOUTH AMERICAN MONSOON REFERENCE SITE IMPLEMENTATION IN CONTEXT OF CEOP DATA MANAGEMENT STRATEGY (CONTRIBUTIONS OF GAPP, LBA AND PLATIN) Contributors: B. GENERAL DISCUSSION Contributors: All Participants. ---------------------------------------------12.00 LUNCH ---------------------------------------------- Afternoon Session 13.00 15.0 ANALYSES OF INTEGRATED EXPERIMENTS SUCH AS C20C, AMIP, PMIP IMPORTANCE IN RELATION TO PREDICTION AND SIMULATION OF NORTH SOUTH AMERICAN MONSOON PATTERNS: CIRCULATION, RAINFALL, CONVECTION AN MONSOON Contributors: ?? 13.45 16.0 PREDICTABILITY OF THE NORTH AND SOUTH AMERICAN MONSOON SYSTEMS Contributors: ??? ---------------------------------------------14.30 COFFEE BREAK ---------------------------------------------15.00 17.0 GENERAL DISCUSSION AND WRAP UP Contributors: All Participants. ---------------------------------------------16.30 ADJOURN ---------------------------------------------- APPENDIX-E: CEOP Data Management and Data Integration Working Group Breakout Session (CEOP 3rd Implementation Planning Meeting, 10-12 March 2004, Irvine, CA, USA) • Implementation Issue for EOP-3 – WGISS needs to assist in coordinating provision of satellite data (Koike) • NOAA/NESDIS - details and dates for delivery, Arnie Gruber, Dan Tarpley, John Bates are POCs – Action - Need to schedule a telecon • NASA - Same issue for MODIS, AIRS – Action - Prof. Koike to list priorities • ESA - Same issue for MERIS, ASAR - Jurgen Fischer is also POC • Implementation plans to be in place by Sept. GHP meeting with initial data flows from NOAA • SDIC data support by SSG in January • JAXA (Burford) prototype by GHP • List of satellite data and product will be posted on CEOP web site • EUMETSAT data also need to be listed • Data policy question - registration should be sufficient • Metadata content standard - Prof. Koike’s group defining with JAXA input - to be completed by WGISS meeting in May – Modeling data - nor representative present - will use notes from general session – Station data • JOSS continuing to prepare data • Issue - some stations being discontinued - need to pass to SSC - CSE responsibility but CEOP endorsement might help. • Data Collection for EOP -2 and 4 – Considered a science issue • Data Policy Issue with Regard to New Datasets (e.g. BSRN) – JOSS acquiring BSRN and planning on adding it to station data • Distribution policy is same, but issue might be that BSRN loses credit – Current satellite data for EOP-1 will follow station data policy (for subsets) but without time delay – Need to verify that data policy is approved by all satellite data providers – Model data free and open with registration – RECOMMENDATION - Broaden station data policy on CEOP website to cover satellite and modeling • Data Quality Assurance/Control – Quality control for in situ data continuing – Satellite data quality will be submitted via metadata attributes • Questions/issues with CEOP satellite data should be worked through the SDIC(s). • CEOS WG Cal/Val possible contributor • WGISS can ork to get quality attributes into metadata model Possible Additional Satellite Validation Sites – Science Cal/Val issue - Ask CEOS WGCV for help? • • CEOP Data Integration of Satellite Data, Model Output and In-situ Products – Paper represents high-level concept - implementation plans will contain details – Needs continuing review • Data Availability, Data Archive/Flow – Data availability highest priority – Ask WGISS Network Task Team to analyze data flow. APPENDIX-F: DRAFT AGENDA CEOP MODEL OUTPUT DEVELOPMENT AND ANALYSIS WORKSHOP UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, IRVINE (UCI), IRVINE, CALIFORNIA, USA (8-9 March 2004) REVISION 3a, 6 MARCH 2004 Monday 8 March 8.15-8.45 Registration 8.45 Welcome Dr Eric Saltzman, Chair, Dept of Earth System Science, UCI 9.00 Logistics from CEOP (Benedict/Hohnbaum) 9.15 CEOP Model Output Framework and Workshop Overview (Benedict/Bosilovich) 9.30 Science Overveiw and Applications for CEOP Model Datasets (Koike/Bosilovich) 10.30 BREAK 11.00 Reference Site Data Connection/Status; EOP-3 “Composite” dataset description (Williams) 11.30 CEOP Model Output Providers Presentations (30 minutes maximum) Each Modeling Center will provide a detailed presentation of the status of the work under their authority, including systems, milestones, future plans, and schedule. Presenters should focus on issues pertinent to providing input to the generation of CEOP Model Output for coordination with CEOP “EOP “composite” data sets and science goals. - ECPC (Roads/Kanamitsu/Ruane) Uk Met (Earnshaw) NCEP (Mitchell) BMRC (Rikus) GMAO (Bosilovich) JMA/real-time model output(Matsumura) JMA/reanalysis(Ose) GLDAS (Rodell) CPTEC (Marengo/Chou) NCMRWF (Iyengar) 12.00 LUNCH 13.00 CEOP Model Output Providers Presentations (Continued) 15.30 BREAK 16.00 CEOP Model Output Providers Presentations (Continued) 17.30 ADJOURN Tuesday 9 March 8.30 Specialized Topics (15-20 minutes each) Presentations focused on cross-cutting CEOP model output data issues such as data generation, formating, archiving, retrieval, application and future strategies for CEOP model data integration, visualization and a CEOP data validation/calibration framework. - ECMWF (Viterbo-Conference Call Presentation) MPI (Toussaint) CEOP Data Integration Concept/Demo (Enloe, Burford, McDonald) Independent Model Evaluation Concept (Potter) Preparatory Work for CEOP Model Intercomparison(Tamagawa/K.Yang/Koudelova) GEWEX Modeling and Prediction Panel (GMPP) Strategy/results (Polcher) Specialized Regional Modeling Issues (Bollasina) Assessing models against flux stations: Overarching Lessons (Mitchell) 10.30 BREAK 11.00 CEOP Model Output Strategy Discussion Discussions will continue and parallel working sessions will be set up as required to address specific issues associated with CEOP Model Output topics.including CEOP efforts to improve model physics parameterization for climate predictions and global change projections as well as coordination with ongoing model inter-comparison projects and other modeling initiatives. In this context, the group will be challenged to define the framework for a CEOP “independent” Model Validation Project. Potential Breakout Group Topics(i) Data Generation, Storage and Retrieval issues: Standardized Code tables, Standard Formatting of MOLTS; (ii) Model physics improvement process issues: CEOP Model Evaluation Scheme) 12.00 LUNCH 13.30 Breakout Discussions Continued as Required 15.30 BREAK 16.00 Plenary Session (All Participants)/Open Discussion and Wrap-up Working Group/Discussion Leads will be given time to report out on the results of the parallel sessions and final deliberations will be undertaken by all participants. 17.00 ADJOURN APPENDIX G: EXPANSION ON MODEL ANALYSES PLANS/RESULTS FROM CEOP CONTRIBUTING CENTERS (See Section 7.7 Above) Stéphane Bélair: Meteorological Research Branch, Meteorological Service of Canada MSC’s Contribution to CEOP Model Output Database • Gridded output (every 3h) from global analyses • • • currently, 3DVAR assimilation every 6 h in the next year, 4DVAR system should be implemented operational ly Data currently assimilated: Aircrafts, AMVs, ATOVS, GOES, RAOBS, Surface • Similar ouptut from global model predictions (based on 36 h forecasts from 1200 UTC) • Model Output Location Time Series (MOLTS) for every reference site • Focus on last two EOPs (i.e., from 1 Oct 2002 to 31 Dec 2004) Meteorological Service of Canada Environment Canada RPN The Modeling Strategy MODELING SYSTEM: Based on the new mesoscale version of the Global Enrvironmental Multiscale (GEM) model that is currently being developed at MSC for medium-range weather forecasts • 800x600x58L (~33 km at 50 o lat); • 4-schemes for the representation of clouds • Kain-Fritsch for deep convection • Kuo Transient for shallow convection • Sundqvist for grid-scale condensation • Simple scheme for PBL clouds • 4 types of surface schemes (including ISBA over land + other schemes over water, sea-ice, and glaciers) PERIOD of INTEGRATION: SPIN-UP 1 May 2002 EOP3 1 Oct 2002 CYCLING and ASSIMILATION STRATEGY: Upper-air component of the analyses is directly obtained from CMC’s archive, i.e., no 3DVAR will be performed for atmospheric observations 6h EOP4 1 Oct 2003 6h 31 Dec 2004 Grid-scale cloud water content is cycled from the previous 6-h forecast, to avoid spin-up problems which could have negative impacts on surface processes 6h 6h Surface component of the analyses is cycled from the previous 6-h forecast, with sequential assimilation of soil moisture and surface temperature Meteorological Service of Canada Environment Canada RPN Preliminary List of Model Output Variables Atmospheric variables and processes (2D) Surface variables and processes (2D) SW downward flux TOA SW upward flux TOA LW upward flux Skin temperature Subsurface temperature 2-m air temperature 2-m specific humidity 10-m u and v components of the wind 10-m potential temperature 10-m specific humidity Soil moisture (near surface and deeper) Snow water equivalent Snow depth PBL height SW downward flux at the surface SW upward flux at the surface LW upward flux at the surface Sensible heat surface flux Latent heat surface flux Evaporation surface flux Surface runoff Baseflow runoff Total ground heating (G) Atmospheric variables and processes (3D) Temperature Pressure Specific humidity Zonal wind Meridional wind Geopotential Pressure velocity Cloud water content Vert. integrated variables and processes (2D) Total moisture (precipitable water) Total cloud water Total cloud cover Surface pressure Miscellaneous (2D) Total precipitation Snow precipitation Precipitation type (1=rain, 2=snow) Elevation Surface type (land/sea/ice mask) Surface exchange coefficient Roughness length Vegetation cover Meteorological Service of Canada Environment Canada These model output will be transferred to the MAX PLANCK INSTITUTE FOR METEOROLOGY (MPIM) RPN ============================================================= Status of CPTEC model output development: Sin Chan Chou ============================================================= • Post-processed gridded data from CPTEC GCM for EOP1, • Extracted MOLTS for the 41 requested reference sites of EOP1, • Downloaded LBA reference sites for validation, • Preliminary validation exercises, • MPI account, • Archiving formats: Gridded data are in GRIB and MOLTS in simple binary format. Both are directly read from Grads. • Still to learn the transferring procedures. CPTEC/COLA Global Model Origin: • NMC (USA National Meteorological Center, 1988) - NCEP • COLA (Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies) • Rhomboidal Version 1.7 Fortran 77 from COLA Current Version: • Triangular 2.0 CPTEC/COLA (COLA Version 1.12 + CPTEC) • Fortran 90 Syntax, Optimizations for NEC-SX machines: Vectorization and OpenMP Parallelism • User defined Horizontal and Vertical Resolutions • Sigma at Vertical and Spherical at Horizontal Coordinates • Full Quadratic Gaussian Grid • Resolutions: T062L28 for seasonal forecasts and T126L28 for weather forecasts Initialization: • Diabatic Non-Linear Normal Mode Some preliminary conclusions: CPTEC GCM • Model produces too frequent rains, • •In the absence of precipitation, model produces excess of SH and deficit of LH. Surface temperatures show high correlation with observations but are overestimated. Model has larger amplitude. • correct NetR, • Model produced less frequent rain event over Pantanal, • Both Pantanal and Rondonia show similar error behavior. Eta • Captures better the precipitation events in Rondonia, • Excess of SH, better fit of LH and netR • Winds show better agreement than the global model. Tasks • Identify the sources of the large model errors • Include rainy periods • Extend the study to other reference sites • Experimental runs to reduce the errors • Transfer CPTEC model output • Download more reference sites Developments to improve the models • Convection scheme • Radiation scheme • More realistic soil humidity • New vegetation map • Variability of co2 and ozone =============================================================== Japan Meteorological Agency Contributions to CEOP: Takayuki Matsumura, Tomoaki Ose and Masayuki Hirai =============================================================== Data : Assimilation fields (Analysis and subsequent 6 H Forecast) Format : GRIB1 ( Gridded data ) 6 hourly ASCII ( MOLTS data ) 1 hourly Period : 1 Oct. 2002 ~ 31 Dec. 2004 (EOP3 & EOP4) Status : EOP-3 completed soon 2002 2003 2004 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 EOP2 EOP3 EOP4 JMA JAPANESE REANALYSIS PROJECT (JRA-25) http://www.jreap.org/indexe.html ・T106L40 version of GSM (top: 0.4 hPa) ・Global 3D-Var assimilation system • Retrieved wind data surrounding tropical cyclones (provided by Dr. M. Fiorino of PCMDI/LLNL) • Chinese snow depth observation (digitalized by MRI/JMA from Chinese observation report books) • Reprocessed GMS AMV wind (provided by MSC/JMA) • COBE SST and sea-ice (by M. Ishii, T. Matsumoto et al. of CPD/JMA) Schedule: March 2004 ~ December 2005 FUTURE TASKS/PLANS • JMA continues to send its model output data (EOP-3, EOP-4) to the archive center (Max-Plank Institute). • JMA develops a new SiB model in cooperation with the University of Tokyo. We expect a great deal of the CEOP Integrated Data. • JMA and CRIEPI conduct a Japanese Reanalysis Project. The data will be available with in a next couple of years. ============================================================== Ken Mitchell: NCEP Environmental Modeling Center ============================================================== NCEP Participation and Implementation in CEOP: Including NCEP Model Assessment against CEOP Reference Sites (NCEP Participation in CEOP largely supported by the GAPP Progam) • • • • • Continues NCEP’s wide participation in GEWEX programs – GLASS: PILPS, GLACE – ISLSCP: GSWP-1, GSWP-2 – GABLS – GHP: GAPP – CEOP: – HEPEX ???? Drafted first CEOP Model Implementation Plan – ECPC (Roads) and ECMWF (Viterbo) augmentations – Editing by S. Benedict (WCRP), staging by S. Williams (UCAR) Participated in all 3 CEOP Implementation Annual Meetings – Sep 2002, Apr 2003, Mar 2004 Regular participant in monthly CEOP Model Output telecons – in addition to monthly U.S. CEOP telecons Routine ftp of Global System output to CEOP Model Output archive at MPI – Gridded 3-hourly global fields in GRIB, MOLTS at Reference Sites – Throughly documented global model characteristics at JOSS – EOP-3 finished, EOP-4: current to present time NCEP Global and Regional Reanalysis (Sponsored by NOAA/OGP: e.g. GAPP for NARR) • N. American Regional Reanalysis: “NARR” – Production Completed: 24-years (1979-2002) – Realtime extension being implemented soon – Provides basis for Eta Regional Climate Model hindcasts – Hallmark is precipitation assimilation • Well captures the warm season nocturnal precip max over central U.S. • Global Reanalysis I: NCEP/NCAR – 50-years initial: 1948-1998 – Realtime extension is operational • Global Reanalysis II: NCEP/DOE – 20-year initial: 1979-1999 – Realtime extension in plac • 3-4 Year Routine Refresh for Global Reanalysis imminent ! – infrastructure being readied, support resources being sought Land Surface Validation Lesson Themes: • Assess model’s soil moisture climate (spin-up): GSWP – Amplitude of seasonal cycle – Absolute value of annual mean • Assess model’s surface forcing biases – Model forcing versus local forcing • Assess model’s land properties vs flux-site properties – Vegetation class, soil class, terrain height • Independently confirm flux-site representativeness of Surface energy fluxes – Augment with surface evporation estimated from annual surface water budget determined from observed precipitation and observed streamflow – Complement with satellite skin temperature validation =============================================================== Gopal Raman Iyengar: National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting =============================================================== MODEL OUTPUT STRATEGY FOR CEOP: NCMRWF will provide the model output data for the EOP4 period 2003-2004 from the current operational version of the T80/L18 analysis-forecast system. The interface between NCMRWF and MPIM has been activated. The analysis fields provided will be valid for 00, 06, 12 and 18UTC. These fields will contain only the 3D atmospheric variables on 15 pressure levels and Surface Pressure. The forecast fields provided will also be valid for 00, 06, 12 and 18UTC. The forecast fields will have the 2D surface fields in addition to the 3D fields. The details of the forecast fields are given in the table. The above gridded data will be in GRIB format of ECMWF. We acknowledge the support of ECMWF in providing us the GRIB software. The MOLTS data will be provided in ASCII format. CEOP SUB-PROJECTS Verification and intercomparison of precipitation forecasts Skill in predicting the occurrence and amount of daily precipitation Diurnal variation of precipitation Evolution and predictability of high impact weather in the short range forecasting SPECIAL/ CUSTOMIZED FORECASTS/ PRODUCTS • Weekly weather forecasts (for Crop Weather Watch Group of Dept. of Ag.& Coop) • Forecasts of Onset/Advancement/Withdrawal of Monsoon to IMD • Forecasts for Defence Operations and Exercises. • Forecasts for Launch of Space Vehicles • Forecasts on special events • Forecasts for Avalanche prediction • Forecasts for tourism and adventure (Amarnath yatra, Everest expeditions, Circumnavigation Sailing voyage, Hot Air Balloon Expedition, Indo-Nepal Everest Expedition) • Organization of field experiments • [INDOEX ( trajectories for release of balloons), BOBMEX, ARMEX ] • Wind fields for Ocean State Forecast • Initial conditions for Climate Experiments, Extended Range forecasting and Meso-scale modeling. • Merged Gauge and Satellite data sets. =============================================================== UK Met Office CEOP Contribution: Paul Earnshaw and Sean Milton =============================================================== Met Office NWP Model Output: Operational Global Unified Model Data Archive – Grid Resolution ~ 0.5° x 0.8° with 38 levels EOP3 and EOP4 MOLTS – ASCII – 18 pressure levels (1000-10 hPa) and 38 model levels (39 km). – Assimilation 0-6h for 00, 06, 12, 18 UTC – Forecast 0-36h for 00, 12 UTC Gridded - GRIB 1.25° – 18 Pressure levels – Forecast 12-36h for 12 UTC TOA Fluxes Atmospheric Variables Most Surface Variables Surface Processes - Radiative, SH, LH fluxes & Surface Runoff Subsurface – soil moisture content (T+0,3,6) “New” Unified Model - Aug 2002 Dynamics Semi-Lagrangian advection Semi-implicit time integration C Grid Horizontal staggering Charney-Philips Vertical Staggering Pseudo-height co-ordinate Non-hydrostatic formulation HadAM4 Physics Edwards-Slingo Radiation Mixed Phase Precipitation New Boundary Layer MOSES I and II Vertical Gradient Cloud Area Anvils Progress to date Data generated for October 2002 and July 2003 so far Current rate of generation is 1 month/month Try to hijack more desktop computers! Look to complete EOP3 by October 2004 EOP4 hopefully by mid 2005 Plans For CEOP Data/Research Concentrate on MOLTS vs.CSE reference sites and satellite data - Sample range of climatic regimes. Evaluation of current parametrizations in NWP model. – Clouds and radiation – Surface energy balance – land surface processes – Diurnal cycle. – Hydrological cycle (humidity analysis) + spin-up Testbed for evaluation of new model parametrizations – New prognostic cloud scheme (Wilson, Gregory, Bushell) – New convection scheme (A. Grant) Evaluation of land data assimilation. Resolution – EURO model 12km – 70L in global Re-run with more recent model and SCM Model inter-comparisons with other CEOP contributors. Links to climate prediction – Hadley Centre. Technical Issues & Questions MOLTS format – ASCII or NetCDF CERA database access Web based access to data (e.g. ARM, BSRN) Discussion groups on-line Software exchange for CEOP utilities (Visualisation & data processing Grads etc.) Quality control flags on CEOP in-situ data =============================================================== ECMWF: Presented Remotely by Dr Pedro Viterbo =============================================================== Have already provided ERA40 reanalysis to MPI for CEOP (up to August 2002) Rerun of recent years to present is planned and will be made available MOLTS provided in ASCII; developing a tool for ASCII -> NetCDF Discussed a recent validation of ERA 40 against basin hydrometeorological observations =============================================================== GMAO: By Dr Michael Bosilovich ========================================================================= GMAO Data Availability/Contribution to CEOP GEOS3 (July 2001 – Oct 2002) MOLTS and Gridded (HDF and Grib) Only the analysis and forecasts for 6 hours GEOS4 (Oct 2002 – present) Some data needs reprocessed (MOLTS) Aggressive development for GEOS5 CEOP period will be a focal point for this development Projects at GSFC/GMAO that include/connect to CEOP Modern Era Reanalysis for Research and Applications (MERRA) Impact of Surface Temperature Precipitation and Cloud Data Assimilation to improve global models Lambda Optical Network supporting Goddard-Scripps CEOP collaborations APPENDIX H: (EXCERPT FROM WORKSHOP REPORT) Coordinated Enhanced Observing Period/Global Water and Energy Cycle Experiment Workshop: The Role of the Himalayas and the Tibetan Plateau within the Asian Monsoon System Massimo Bollasina and Sam Benedict ….. ….. It was recommended that monsoon analysis, understanding and predictability be improved by merging different points of view and approaches and by following the CEOP "downscaling" strategy. This will involve integration of remote sensing observations by satellites, surface/upper air observations at reference sites, and numerical models analysis and simulations (from global to regional circulation models). Monsoons involve the interactions among many components of the climate system and, therefore, fundamental physical processes in the models have to be well parameterized. Many of the discussions highlighted key different physical processes and parameters to be further analysed/investigated, including land surface processes, atmospheric boundary layer processes, atmospheric heating, precipitation, and ocean data. Land-Surface Processes Land surface conditions (e.g., surface roughness, snow cover, soil moisture) modify the thermal contrast between land and ocean. Land-atmosphere physical processes are linked by means of complex feedback mechanisms involving heat fluxes, precipitation, and convection. Numerical model sensitivity experiments with different parameterizations will help us understand these interactions. Attention has also to be paid on how well vegetation and soil are described in models (heterogeneity), in terms, for example, of vegetation cover (and its monthly variation) and soil characterization. Regarding the Himalayas/Tibetan Plateau regions, land-surface models are to be particularly tested against observations, to check the ability to reproduce characteristic features (e.g., permafrost) affecting ground heat flux and soil moisture. Atmospheric Boundary Layer High altitude climate is strongly characterised by the diurnal cycle of many parameters. Some issues which are of greatest interest are the measurement and simulation of fluxes within the ABL; their monthly variation in relation to the onset, maintenance, and withdrawal of the monsoon; and their characteristics within the diurnal cycle (e.g., time of maximum). Moreover, the importance of mountain/valley circulation over these regions and how the monsoon circulation at large-scale interacts with this kind of circulation regime, was demonstrated. Atmospheric Heating In the monsoons, the land-sea thermal contrast modifies circulation of the overlying atmosphere and precipitation develops. It is therefore important to evaluate how large-scale atmospheric heat and moisture budgets, as given by the well-known residuals Q1, the apparent heat source, and Q2, the apparent moisture sink, vary over space and time. This is especially useful in the study of the onset phase of the monsoon and its intraseasonal variability and in the analysis of the relative importance of sensible and condensation heating. Precipitation The analysis of temporal and spatial scales of precipitation and its characteristics is crucial for the determination of the water cycle and the evaluation of water reservoirs and the regional hydrologic cycle. Specific issues to be addressed are: the documentation and simulation of the diurnal cycle of precipitation and its characteristics (stratiform/convective) in relation to variation of air stability and wind flow; the understanding of orographic effects on precipitation pattern; the analysis of synoptic-mesoscale interaction through, for example, large-scale moisture transport and convergence and intraseasonal oscillations of the Asian monsoon system; the analysis of the structure of convection; and the study of the seasonal march and shift of precipitating areas (East-West, South-North, bottom-top). Ocean Areas In view of the importance of the land-sea thermal contrast in driving the monsoon, there is a need for an improvement of ocean data. These will include surface data (e.g., sea surface temperature, sensible, latent, water vapor and momentum fluxes, net radiation) as well as upper ocean (mixing layer) data (e.g., vertical thermal structure and heat flux). MONSOON ISSUES In relation to general discussions of the monsoon, some recommendations were made concerning both large-scale analyses and local-scale process studies. Within the annual cycle of the monsoon, it was suggested to focus especially on the onset phase (role of surface processes and of sea surface temperature anomalies) and on active/break cycles (and their relation, for example, to land-surface heat and moist processes, their intraseasonal oscillations and, in general, to the interactions among land, atmosphere and ocean processes). Winter plays a very important role in the development of the Asian monsoon system, through the effect of anomalous snow cover and/or soil moisture. As a result, there was agreement to also study the relations between winter and summer monsoon circulation. On the interannual scale, it is important to document how the variations in monsoon circulation are directly related to the local hydro-climate (including glacier lake outburst floods) and to the availability of water reservoirs. The main questions in these cases being: What are large-scale and long term factors that control these and to what degree can the related water fluxes can be simulated and predicted? Moreover, monsoon systems have to be compared in view of a global monsoon climate system, in a search for not only differences and similarities but also interconnections. This will be directly translated into the CIMS "telescoping" approach, which coordinates model integrations from general circulation models of the atmosphere, through regional climate models to cloud resolving models. COOPERATION WITH OTHER PROGRAMS It will be necessary to coordinate CIMS activities, which originally evolved in the Monsoon Systems Working Group, directly with the work planned under the CEOP Water and Energy Simulation and Prediction (WESP) Working Group. This is necessary because WESP addresses the CEOP aim to enhance observations to better document and simulate water and energy fluxes and reservoirs over land on diurnal to annual temporal scales and to better predict these up to seasonal scales. WESP will result in a better understanding of model physical processes, of the difficulties in depicting diurnal and seasonal cycles and in requirements for their improvements. In this context, joint work of CIMS and WESP is strongly recommended. CIMS should be considered as a pilot research effort whose aims are addressed to the broader WCRP community. Therefore, the work should be carried out in connection with GEWEX and the Climate Variability and Predictability Programme (CLIVAR) and within the framework of existing monsoon panels, initiatives, and field programs. One particular area of scientific and programmatic synergy is the Asian Brown Cloud (ABC), which has been studied by scientists during the Indian Ocean Experiment (INDOEX) (e.g., UNEP and C4, 2002). This brown haze occurs from January to March over the South Asian region and the tropical Indian Ocean, Arabian Sea, and Bay of Bengal and has led to a considerable scientific interest as well as concern. Of immediate importance is the relationship between the ABC and the Asian Monsoon. For instance, how can the haze’s radiative forcing influence regional and global monsoon climate, altering, for example, the hydrological cycle (with profound consequences on agriculture, water availability, etc.)? There is also the question of the impacts of the ABC on model simulations of the Asian Monsoon (radiation parameterizations, etc.). ACKNOWLEDGMENTS The Workshop was held on behalf of Dr. Soroosh Sorooshian, Chairman of the GEWEX Scientific Steering Group (SSG), of Drs. William Lau and Jun Matsumoto, co-chairs of the CEOP Monsoon System Studies Working Group, Dr. Toshio Koike, lead scientist for CEOP, and Dr. David Carson, Director of the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP). Authors thank all the speakers and attendees for their active and fruitful participation at the Workshop. We also thank the WCRP, Epson Italia and the Institutes belonging to the Pyramid MeteoGroup (Ev-K2-CNR Committee, Epson Meteo Centre and Water Research Institute of the National Research Council) for sponsoring, supporting and organising the Workshop and for their scientific advice. Part of the research is carried out thanks to contributions of the Italian Ministry of Foreign Affairs and is part of the framework of the Ev-K2-CNR "Scientific and Technological Research in Himalaya and Karakorum" Project in collaboration with the Royal Nepal Academy of Science and Technology (RONAST) as governed by the Memorandum of Understanding between the Government of the Kingdom of Nepal and the Government of the Republic of Italy. The main issues discussed in this report were summarised by Dr T. Koike during the plenary closing session of the Workshop. REFERENCES UNEP and Center for Clouds, Chemistry and Climate (C4), 2002: The Asian Brown Cloud: Climate and Other Environmental Impacts, UNEP, Nairobi, 53 pp.