Cooperative Research Program Ingrid Guch CoRP Symposium

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Cooperative Research

Program

Ingrid Guch

CoRP Symposium

August 2006

NOAA/NESDIS

Cooperative Research Program

•NOAA’s Center for Satellite Applications and

Research (STAR) has teamed with academic partners across the country via four

Cooperative Institutes and one Cooperative

Center.

•CIRA @ Colorado State University

•CIMSS @ University of Wisconsin

•CIOSS @ Oregon State University

•CICS @ University of Maryland

•CREST – consortium of universities managed by CUNY

•Three branches of STAR are in the

Cooperative Research Program and collocated with a Cooperative Institute

The Regional and Mesoscale Meteorology

Branch at CIRA/CSU

• The Advanced Satellite Products Branch at

CIMSS/UW

• The Satellite Climate Studies Branch at

CICS/UM

Desired Research

Results for 2025

Dramatic

Improvements in

Forecasting

Extreme Events

Highly Skillful

Seasonal to

Decadal

Climate

Predictions

National Suite of

Air Quality Services

Improved

Understanding of

Physical, Chemical,

Biological, and

Societal

Interactions

Ocean Exploration for Humankind

Global Earth Observation

System of Systems

MODIS Polar Winds in NCEP GFS

NCEP began using the MODIS polar winds product in the

Global Forecast System (GFS) on November 29, 2005. Six other numerical weather prediction centers currently use the MODIS winds in operational forecast system: the ECMWF,

NASA GMAO, the Japan

Meteorological Agency (JMA), the Canadian Meteorological

Centre (CMC), U.S. Navy

FNMOC, and the UK Met

Office.

Improving Volcanic Cloud Warnings

IR image

Ash product

From the 1544 UTC VAAC message:

“REMARKS: WE HAVE RECEIVED A REPORT

FROM NAVY AVIATION IN THE AREA

INDICATING AN ERUPTION OF SANTA ANA

TO FL460. THE ERUPTION CANNOT BE

SEEN IN THE 1515Z IMAGE POSSBILY

BECAUSE OF WEATHER CLOUDS IN THE

AREA. MODEL DATA SUGGESTS ANY ASH

NEAR FL460 WILL MOVE TOWARD THE

WEST ”

From the 1601 UTC VAAC message:

“REMARKS: THE ERUPTION IS NOW

BELIEVED TO HAVE STARTED AT ABOUT

1400Z AND AN AREA PREVIOUSLY

THOUGHT TO BE THUNDERSTORMS IS

NOW IDENTIFIED AS THICK ASH. A

FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED AS SOON AS

The automated Pavolonis et al. technique (JTECH) would have identified the Santa

Ana ash cloud in the 1445 UTC image (one of the first images capturing the eruption).

This product would have likely helped the Washington Volcanic Ash Advisory Center

(VAAC) issue a more timely warning statement.

SSMI Climate Time Series

• Monthly mean products derived from SSM/I since

July 1987:

– Precipitation rate and frequency

– Snow cover frequency

– Sea-ice concentration

– Oceanic total precipitable water

– Oceanic cloud liquid water and frequency

– Ocean surface wind speed

• Products are archived at

NCDC

• Used by NCEP/CPC, JMA,

GEWEX/GPCP

Warm Phase

Cold Phase

Neutral

Phase

Chesapeake Bay Ecosystem

Modeling

• Initiate development of fully integrated ecosystem model of

Chesapeake Bay

– Implement Regional

Ocean Modeling System for bay

– Implement NCEP

Weather Research &

Forecast (wRF)

Modeling System for Bay

• Chair IOCCG Working

Group to finalize “Why

Ocean Color?” Report

• Upcoming Events

– AGU Ocean Sciences

Meeting, Honolulu, HI

February 20 – 24, 2006

SeaWiFS true-color image of Mid-Atlantic Region from April 12, 1998.

Image provided by the SeaWiFS Project, NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center and ORBIMAGE

Global Precipitation Climatology Project

• GPCP is a project that is part of the WCRP/GEWEX program

– Comprises of various “centers”, several of which are

NOAA/Climate Program supported

• Current product suite (1979 – present)

– Monthly mean 2.5°x2.5° latitude/longitude

– Merged satellite and gauge, error estimates

– Satellite components: microwave and infrared estimates, error estimates

– Gauge analysis, error estimates

– Intermediate analysis products, e.g., merged satellite estimates

– Daily 1 x 1 degree, Pentad

RAMM / CIRA TROPICAL CYCLONE IR ARCHIVE

--

IR images, 640 x 480 with 4 km resolution in

Mercator projection

-- began in 1998 with goal of documenting entire hurricane life cycles at 30-min interval

-- all Atlantic hurricanes since 1995, all named storms since 1996

-- all eastern Pacific named storms since 1997

-- automated, global coverage since late 2004, with

2 complete SH seasons

-- as of 15 March 2006:

464 tropical cyclones

125,000+ images

APPLICATIONS:

- improvements to the Statistical Hurricane Intensity

Prediction Scheme (SHIPS)

inner core wind algorithm for the CIRA/RAMM tropical cyclone satellite surface wind analysis

objective wind radii estimates

- long period animations and TC comparison studies

- center relative average images

- development on improved Objective Dvorak Technique intensity estimates

< Atlantic hurricanes 4-km X 2 zoom

4-km: NWPac, EPac, >

SPac, NIO, SIO

GOES-R ABI Product Development

• New product development for GOES-R

Risk Reduction

• Initial focus on fog/stratus and dust detection products

• Thee-color techniques

• Utilizing MODIS and MSG data

• Web-based demonstration planned

• Quasi-operational forum

Thee-Color

Product Name

MSG “natural” color product

MSG “day snowfog” product

Red component

1.6 µm

Green component

0.86 µm

Blue component

0.6 µm

Modified theecolor fog/stratus product

0.8 µm* 1.6 µm*

0.6 µm albedo 1.6 µm albedo

3.9 µm

(solar/reflected part only)*

Shortwave (3.9

µm) albedo

Operational and near-operational satellites sensors supported

Assume 1 Primary POES AM, 1 Backup POES AM, 1 Primary POES PM, 1 Backup POES PM, 1 GOES East, 1

GOES West

30

25

20

40

35

50

45

15

10

5

0

1990-1994 1995-1999 2000-2004 2005-2009 2010-2014 2015-2020

GOES-R

GOES N/P

GOES I/M

GOES-H

NPOESS

NPP

METOP

NOAA N/N'

NOAA KLM

NOAA-G/H/I/J

90

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

2

3

5

1990-1994

Earth Observing Satellites Launched/Planned as of July 2006

5

8

5

3

9

22

1995-1999 2000-2004

International NASA NOAA USGS

8

7

64

2005-2009

Expected Data Growth

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