Severe Weather Movie showing GOES and radar animation over the same area (southern Colorado and western Kansas) and at the same time. Example of nighttime return flow of moisture into Texas. Transition from moist to dry boundary layer air over West Texas – daytime to night Severe Thunderstorms • This presentation on satellites and severe thunderstorms follows is meant to address tornado producing storms, but may be generalized for super cell type storms. • One should familiar with the principals developed in the general convection presentation. Nowcasting requires detailed information on mesoscale thermodynamic structure of atmosphere, cloud type and vertical wind shear Convection and Severe Weather Important for Nowcasting Convection and Severe Weather • Vertical wind shear • Evolving instability field • Strength of storm produced cold pool • Updraft strength • Anvil characteristics Development Temperature structure • Storm-environment interaction • Cloud top rotation • Storm damage • • • • • • • Vertical shear – ABI (cloud motion) – HES-IR (moisture motion) – HES-VNIR (cloud and moisture motion) Evolving instability field – ABI (surface heating) – HES-IR (instability and surface heating) – HES-VNIR (detailed moisture field) Cold pool production – HES-IR Updraft strength – ABI (IR top temperature) – ABI and HES-VNIR (overshooting top height) – Above with HES-IR (updraft efficiency) Anvil characteristics & storm environment interaction – ABI (growth and detailed upper level atmospheric motion and water vapor behavior) – HES-IR and VNIR (as ABI but with better spectral definition) Rotating overshooting top – ABI and HES-VNIR Storm damage – HES-VNIR Severe Thunderstorms Note the cold pool left behind by the storm, as well as convective tower growth. This 4 panel movie illustrates the difference between movies made with 1, 5, 15 and 30 minute interval imagery. GOES: Imager and sounder Instability field from GOES over severe storm area and severe storm at one minute interval (right) Vorticity - On the local scale • Convergence on preexisting vorticity • Tilting of vorticity from one plane to another • Advection from one place to another • Differential heating • Friction Severe Storms Like Boundaries •Interaction along a boundary depends on both the storm’s and boundaries characteristics Wichita Falls, TX tornadic storm at 2345 GMT, Apr 10, ‘79 Wichita Falls, TX tornadic storm at 0015 GMT, Apr 11, ‘79 Wichita Falls tornado (F5) approaching a subdivision where it destroied most of the houses. Note the multiple funnel vortices. A house, cars, gas station and nearby Trade Winds Motor Hotel about to be destroyed in Wichita Falls. Role of Mesoscale Convective System in Jarrell tornadic storm development Genesis of Jarrell tornadic storm system Jarrell tornadic storm system – GOES instability development Jarrell tornadic storm system Near tornado time GOES & AVHRR anvil structure Viewing Perspective, in part determines what we see April 21, 1991 Tornado Outbreak • • • • 2 km visible 1831-0030 Z Earth Relative Motion Main severe outbreak across Kansas & Oklahoma • Note cirrus motion and squall line development April 21, 1991 Tornado Outbreak • 1 km visible zoomed to ½ km scale • 1831-0030 Z • Earth Relative Motion • Across Kansas & Oklahoma boarder • Note cumulus flow, overshooting tops and cirrus motions April 21, 1991 Tornado Outbreak • 1 km visible zoomed to ½ km scale • 1841-2030 Z • Storm Relative Motion • Across Kansas & Oklahoma boarder • Note low level moist flow and shear in cloud layer relative to developing storms and storm effect on low level environment April 21, 1991 Tornado Outbreak • 1 km visible • 1841- 0001 Z • Storm Relative Motion • Across Kansas & Oklahoma boarder • Note low level moist flow and shear in cloud layer relative to developing storms and storm effect on low level environment April 21, 1991 Tornado Outbreak • 1 km visible • 2026-0001 Z • Cirrus Relative Motion • Note storm effect on upper flow Evolution of instability field from GOES sounder Severe thunderstorm development across southern Minnesota. Visible storm relative motion of Minnesota storm. Infrared storm relative motion of Minnesota storm Note the “capped” cumulus cloud streets ahead of the squall line Squall line development south of previous slide area Overshooting tops and cloud top temperature 45 Different visible enhancements 1 - none, 2 - linear min to max 3 - dual stretch min to max using temperature threshold 46 Comparison of visible enhancements top - none versus linear bottom - linear versus dual with temperature threshold 47 Different visible enhancements 4a - none, 4b - linear min to max, 4c - dual stretch min to max using temperature threshold 48 Different characteristics of anvils and overshooting tops are revealed by using different channels. Shown here are AVHRR visible (upper left), 3.7 microns (upper right with special enhancement across anvil top) and 10.7 micron IR Visible AVHRR 10.7 micron IR AVHRR 3.7 micron AVHRR Spectral – ABI and VIIRS like From MODIS Intra-satellite: simple 3 channel RGB (VIS and NIR) Intra-satellite: 3 channel IR RGB combination Overshooting Tops What do they mean? Overshooting Tops What do they mean? First one minute interval images One minute interval visible imagery Case Study –5 May 2002 250 mb Surface and Stability Loop for 15Z on May 5, 2002 to 02Z on May 6 VISITView Case Study 19Z CAPE 19Z 0-6 km Shear 19Z V. Shear & CAPE 19Z CAPE & 0-3 km Shear 22Z CAPE 22Z V. Shear & CAPE 19Z CAPE 22Z CAPE 19Z V. Shear & CAPE 22Z V. Shear & CAPE Note the “capped” cumulus cloud streets ahead of the squall line Squall line development south of previous slide area