ANCOVA A hybrid of regression and analysis of variance Analysis of covariance • It is an analysis of variance performed on residuals from the regression of the response variable on the covariate Analysis of covariance Yij Ai i ( X ij X i ) ij Yij Ai C ( X ij X i ) ij Plotting ANCOVAs • The ANCOVA plot should use the continuous covariate variable plotted on the x-axis, and the Y variable plotted on the y-axis. Each point represents an independent replicate, and different symbols or colors should be used for each treatment group. Plotting results A D B E C F Match??? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Treatment significant, covariate and interaction term non-significant (C) Treatment and covariate significant, interaction term non-significant (D) Interaction term significant, everything else nonsignificant (E) Covariate not significant, treatment, and interaction significant (F) Covariate significant, treatment and interaction nonsignificant (B) No term significant (A) Dangerous data!! 60 50 40 T1 T2 T3 30 20 10 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 An important thing… • In Analysis of Covariance order matters • This model: model <- lm(Y ~ X*Group) • is not the same as this one model <- lm(Y ~ Group*X) Membrane potential (in millivolts) 'Action potential' is the name given to the electrical nerve impulse waveform that is generated by the neuron (nerve cell). The shape of an action potential can be seen using an amplifier circuit (voltage clamp) as shown in the diagram below, which measures the flow of ions using two electrodes inserted into the nerve fibre. www.ebme.co.uk/arts/aps/pic1a.gif Membrane potential (in millivolts) • Yamauchi and Kimizuka (1971) measured membrane potential for 4 different cation systems as a function of the logarithm of the activity ratio of various electrolytes are various concentrations. We wish to test whether the mean membrane potential “Y” is different for these systems Data a= 4 groups (cation systems) Ca-Li Ca-K Sr-Na Y X Y X Y X Y X -2.4 -0.31 -7.0 -1.18 -10.8 -1.79 -5.4 -1.83 6.3 0.17 2.1 -0.65 -2.8 -1.21 3.0 -1.25 15.8 0.58 17.8 0.10 14.2 -0.35 20.7 -0.41 20.5 0.81 27.3 0.50 25.5 0.08 30.5 0.05 32.0 0.67 35.7 0.49 39.9 0.43 41.2 0.65 45.0 0.59 N X Ca-Na 4 10.05 5 0.312 6 6 14.44 -0.112 17.17 -0.355 22.28 -0.403 Membrane potential for four different cation systems mean membrane potential (in mV) 60 Ca-Li Ca-Na Ca-K Sr-Na Linear (Sr-Na) Linear (Ca-Na) Linear (Ca-K) Linear (Ca-Li) 50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 -30 -40 -2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 log activity ratio 0 0.5 1 For each group compute the following: Component n1 y (Y Y ) 2 i n1 x (X 2 n1 xy ( X b1 i i Ca-Li Ca-Na Ca-K Sr-Na Pooled Within (sum) 311.33 1096.97 2180.13 2034.63 5623.06 0.727 2.461 4.703 4.639 12.53 15.02 51.85 100.63 96.80 264.30 20.66 21.07 21.39 20.87 bwithin 21.09 2 i Xi) 2 X i )(Yi Y ) For each group compute the following: Component n1 yˆ (Yˆi Yi ) 2 2 Ca-Li Ca-Na Ca-K Sr-Na Pooled(sum) 310.43 1092.43 2152.84 2020.02 5575.73 n1 yˆ ( ( X i X i )(Yi Y )) 2 2 within n1 ( X n1 (Yi Yˆi ) 2 n1 xy total a i Xi) 2 0.898 2 (274.30) 5574.93 12.53 4.54 ni ( X i X )(Yi Y ) 242.46 d d 2 YX 5623.06 5575.73 47.33 5623.06 5574.93 48.13 SS among _ b 's 48.13 47.33 0.79 2 YX _ within 27.29 14.60 47.33 We obtain xy among xy among n1 xytotal xywithin 242.45 264.30 21.85 We calculate unexplained sums of squares for these two levels of variation: d 2 YX _ total n1 y 2 total n1 ( xytotal ) 2 n1 2 x total (242.57) 2 6013.72 1816.71 14.006 n1 2 2 2 y y y among total within 6013.72 5623.06 390.65 d 2 YX _ among n1 y 2 among ( xyamong ) 2 2 x among (21.84) 2 390.65 67.309 1.48 We test the null hypothesis that there are no differences among sample means Y when these are adjusted for a common X and a common regression line: 2 2 2 d d d YX (adj) YXtotal YX _ within 1816.71 48.129 1768.6 Mean _ squareadjusted_ means Mean _ squareerror 2 d YX (adj) a 1 2 d YX ( within) a n a 1 1768.56 598.53 3 48.1 3.008 16 i Fs mean _ squareadjusted_ means mean _ squarewithin 598.53 195.98 3.008 Sokal and Rohlf, 2000. Biometry The output of R: X Group Residuals Df Sum Sq Mean Sq F value Pr(>F) 1 4197.0 4197.0 1395.25 < 2.2e-16 *** 3 1768.6 589.5 195.98 8.005e-13 *** 16 48.1 3.0