Doyle Fuchs
Texas Workforce Commission
October 23, 2015
TWC Labor Market and
Career Information
• Produces and disseminates
labor market statistics
• Provides resources for education
and career exploration
TWC Labor Market and
Career Information
• Current Jobs Picture
• Near-Term Outlook
• Long-Term Projections
• LMI Tools
Unemployment Rates
(not seasonally adjusted, monthly, September 2015 latest month)
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
United States - 4.9%
Texas - 4.4%
Austin metro area - 3.3%
0%
Source: for Local Area Unemployment Statistics report, U.S. Department of Labor, not seasonally adjusted unemployment rates
Annual Job Growth Rates – Texas & U.S.
August 2014 – August 2015 (seasonally adjusted)
6%
4%
2%
1.9%2.1%
0%
-2%
-4%
-6%
Texas
U.S.
-8%
-10%
Source: Texas Workforce Commission and U.S. Department of Labor, Current Employment Statistics
The Labor Market Structure
Restaurants
Geography
Excel spreadsheets
Jane Smith
Office Manager
Skills
Jobs
Truck Driver
Health Care
Oil & Gas
Industry
Accountant
John Doe
Sales Manager
Capital Area region
Occupations
Manager
Customer service
Top industry of employment for region, 1990-2015
Mining, Oil and Gas
Manufacturing
Transportation &
Warehousing
Public Administration
Health Care & Social
Assistance
Education Services
Retail Trade
Ranked by QCEW average weekly wages for that industry
Industry Title
Employment Avg Weekly Employment Avg Weekly
(1Q 1990)
Wage
(1Q 2015)
Wage
(1Q 1990)
(1Q 2015)
Educational
Services
670,345
$371
1,160,846
$796
Health Care &
Social Assistance
664,543
$373
1,516,509
$871
Manufacturing
965,886
$543
893,767
$1,532
Mining, Oil & Gas
Extraction
159,256
$791
302,376
$2,791
Public
Administration
314,374
$501
438,009
$1,143
Retail Trade
899,202
$290
1,270,092
$575
Transportation &
Warehousing
286,155
$543
468,980
$1,201
Source: Texas Workforce Commission, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages
TEXAS – Occupational Projections Typical Education for 2012 & 2022 Employment
Doctoral or professional degree
Master's degree
483,530
592,730
4,005,050
4,918,660
Bachelor's degree
Associate's degree
Postsecondary non-degree award
Some college, no degree
High school diploma or equivalent
Less than high school
October 2014
2012
2022
311,380
388,390
879,950
1,104,670
1,361,190
1,686,670
287,950
351,470
9,404,430
11,123,850
6,435,050
7,838,280
THEN – 1990
•
•
•
•
Texas Population – 16,986,510
Civilian Labor Force – 8,618,927
Unemployment – 6.3%
Top 3 Industries – Number of Jobs



Manufacturing
Retail Trade
Educational Services
NOW – 2014
•
•
•
•
Texas Population – 27,695,284
Civilian Labor Force – 13,111,548
Unemployment – 5.1%
Top 3 Industries – Number of Jobs



Health Care & Social Assistance
Retail Trade
Educational Services
Top Population Growth Texas Counties 2010-2014
County (Big City)
Change
County (Big City)
Change
Andrews (Andrews)
+ 17.8% McMullen (Tilden)
+ 13.1%
Sterling (Sterling City)
+ 17.8% Denton (Denton)
+ 13.0%
Hays (San Marcos)
+ 16.9% Montgomery (Woodlands) + 13.0%
Fort Bend (Sugar Land)
+ 16.0% Collin (McKinney)
+ 12.3%
Kendall (Boerne)
+ 15.5% Ector (Odessa)
+ 12.3%
Williamson (Round Rock)
+ 14.7% Reagan (Big Lake)
+ 12.1%
Midland (Midland)
+ 13.8% Travis (Austin)
+ 11.7%
Martin (Stanton)
+ 13.3% Rockwall (Rockwall)
+ 11.2%
Comal (New Braunfels)
+ 13.2% Guadalupe (Seguin)
+ 11.1%
Crane (Crane)
+ 13.1% Gaines (Seminole)
+ 10.5%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Occupations
The Near Future
Help Wanted Job Listings Austin Community College service area
Job Type
Openings Change Minimum training/education
1. Registered Nurse
2,181
+ 9%
Associate’s degree
2. Software Application Developer
2,025
- 1%
Bachelor’s degree
3. Customer Service Rep
1,550
+ 8%
Moderate On Job Training
4. Web Developer
1,436
- 10%
Associate’s degree
5. Truck Driver (heavy/tractor trailer)
1,394
+ 4%
Short Term On Job training
6. Supervisor of Retail Sales Workers
1,350
+ 33%
Related Work Experience
7. Retail Salesperson
1,315
- 3%
Short Term On Job training
8. Supervisor of Food Prep/Serving Staff
1,269
+ 21%
Related Work Experience
9. Computer User Support Specialist
1,177
- 1%
Associate’s degree
10. Marketing Manager
1,084
+ 15%
Bachelor’s degree
11. Computer Network Administrator
1,033
- 16%
Bachelor’s degree
12. Computer Systems Analyst
1,033
- 3%
Bachelor’s degree
13. Supervisor of Office Support Workers
1,030
- 4%
Related Work Experience
14. Maintenance / Repair Worker
859
+ 2%
Moderate On Job Training
15. Executive Secretary / Admin Assistant
858
+ 4%
Related Work Experience
16. Truck Driver (light truck)
708
+ 9%
Short Term On Job Training
Source: Wanted Analytics new, unique job postings for past 90 days as of Oct. 21, 2015, for Travis, Williamson, Hays, Bastrop, Caldwell and Blanco counties area.
Help Wanted Job Listings Austin Community College service area
Job Type
Postings Change
+ 12%
Minimum training/education
Short Term On Job training
17. Food Prep / Serving Worker (fast food)
696
18. Preschool Teacher
691
19. Supervisor of Construction Workers
680
+ 15%
Related Work Experience
20. Management Analyst
678
- 16%
Bachelor’s degree
21. Information Tech Project Manager
668
- 13%
Associate’s degree
22. Maid, Housekeeper
627
- 3%
Short Term On Job Training
23. Janitor, Cleaner
603
+ 5%
Short Term On Job Training
24. Bookkeeper, Audit Clerk
569
+ 1%
Moderate Term On Job Training
25. Accountant
563
+ 7%
Bachelor’s degree
26. Waitress, Waiter
557
- 11%
Short Term On Job Training
27. Computer Programmer
550
+ 14%
Bachelor’s degree
28. Medical Secretary
544
+ 7%
Moderate Term On Job Training
29. Freight, Stock, Material Mover
544
+ 15%
Short Term On Job Training
30. Software Quality Assurance Tester
533
- 15%
Bachelor’s degree
31. Restaurant Cook
511
+ 6%
Long Term On Job Training
32. Sales Rep (wholesale, manufacturing)
509
- 17%
Related Work Experience
33. Construction Laborer
492
+ 23%
Moderate Term On Job Training
+ 5% Post-Secondary Vocational Training
Help Wanted Job Listings Austin Community College service area
Job Type
Postings Change
Minimum training/education
34. Secretarial Assistant
486
- 3%
Moderate On Job Training
35. Sales Rep (technical, scientific products)
481
+ 11%
Related Work Experience
36. Computer Systems Engineer/Architect
478
+ 3%
Bachelor’s degree
37. Construction Carpenter
468
+ 21%
Long Term On Job Training
38. Medical Assistant
453
+ 28%
Moderate Term On Job Training
39. Landscaper, Groundskeeper
450
- 2%
Short Term On Job Training
40. Receptionist, Information Clerk
449
- 1%
Short Term On Job Training
41. Sales Rep (services)
441
- 16%
Related Work Experience
42. Product Demonstrator / Promoter
423
- 22%
Short Term On Job Training
43. Social & Human Services Assistant
421
+ 26%
Moderate Term On Job Training
44. Supervisor of Mechanics, Installers
409
- 1%
Related Work Experience
45. Medical / Health Services Manager
407
+ 16%
Bachelor’s degree
46. Human Resources Specialist
400
+ 21%
Bachelor’s degree
47. General Sales Manager
400
- 2%
Related Work Experience
48. Office Clerk
399
- 15%
Short Term On Job Training
49. Personal Care Aide
392
- 14%
Short Term On Job Training
50. Public Relations Specialist
389
+ 9%
Bachelor’s degree
Current Job Postings in Austin metro region
Organization
Dell
Postings
1,016
Organization
Postings
Deloitte
216
Ascension Health
823
Brookdale Senior Living
190
IBM
604
Wells Fargo
181
Accenture
577
Apple
179
University of Texas System
443
Target
174
Robert Half International
441
TEKsystems
172
Goodwill Industries
432
Austin Medical Center
167
Randstad
427
North Austin Medical Center
151
Aerotek
422
Unitedhealth Group
145
Hospital Corp of America
378
HT Group
144
Texas State University
340
St. David’s Medical Center
139
Macy’s
251
Experis Manpower Group
136
Kforce Professional Staffing
251
Parallon
136
Oracle
228
Aramark
135
The Future
Travis County
(Capital Workforce Area)
Capital Area (Travis County)
Employment Change by Industry Sector, 2012-2022
Professional & Business Services
29,140
Health Care & Social Assistance
18,810
Educational Services
16,310
Leisure & Hospitality
15,670
Government
13,280
Retail Trade
9,320
Construction
7,460
Financial Activities
7,240
Manufacturing
5,710
Wholesale Trade
5,100
Other Services
5,000
Information
Transportation & Warehousing
Natural Resources & Mining
October 2014
Utilities
4,250
1,390
640
150
Service providing
Goods producing
Capital Area (Travis County)
Occupations Adding the Most Jobs, 2012-2022
Annual Average
Wage 2014
Fast Food Preparation Workers
4,890
Customer Service Representatives
3,410
$19,797
$31,072
Retail Salespersons
3,080
$28,894
Secretaries & Admin Assistants
3,050
$33,631
General Office Clerks
3,030
$33,209
Registered Nurses
2,630
$65,394
Janitors & Cleaners
2,450
$22,054
Waiters & Waitresses
2,420
$19,805
General & Operations Managers
2,330
$122,393
Personal Care Aides
2,310
$19,621
October 2014
Capital Area (Travis County)
Fastest Growing Occupations, 2012-2022
Average Annual
Wage 2014
Information Security Analysts
55.6%
Health Specialties Teachers
48.2%
Logisticians
47.0%
$91,569
$66,820
$88,563
Operations Research Analysts
43.3%
$76,690
Market Research Analysts
43.1%
$71,706
Meeting & Event Planners
41.1%
$46,648
Industrial Machinery Mechanics
40.3%
$54,948
Home Health Aides
39.2%
Helpers--Electricians
39.2%
Personal Care Aides
October 2014
37.0%
$21,385
$26,968
$19,621
The Future
Surrounding Counties
(Rural Capital)
Rural Capital Area
Employment Change by Industry, 2012-2022
Educational Services
11,340
Leisure & Hospitality
9,620
Health Care & Social Assistance
7,440
Retail Trade
7,080
Professional & Business Services
6,400
Construction
4,310
Wholesale Trade
2,920
Service providing
Other Services
2,850
Goods producing
Financial Activities
2,680
Government
2,650
Manufacturing
2,380
Transportation & Warehousing
1,060
Natural Resources & Mining
Information
October 2014
Utilities
970
500
70
Rural Capital Area
Occupations Adding the Most Jobs, 2012-2022
Annual Average
Wage 2014
Fast Food Preparation Workers
3,190
Retail Salespersons
2,660
Elementary School Teachers
2,170
Waiters & Waitresses
1,510
$18,986
$24,885
$48,223
$21,900
Secondary School Teachers
1,220
$49,374
Cashiers
1,190
$21,009
Janitors & Cleaners
1,180
$22,704
Customer Service Representatives
1,170
$29,604
Middle School Teachers
General Office Clerks
October 2014
1,090
1,020
$48,396
$33,538
Rural Capital Area
Fastest Growing Occupations, 2012-2022
Average Annual
Wage 2014
Industrial Machinery Mechanics
45.6%
$52,187
Middle School Teachers
44.7%
$48,396
Elementary School Teachers
44.4%
$48,223
Medical Secretaries
40.8%
$33,868
Cooks, Restaurant
39.9%
$22,636
Fast Food Preparation Workers
38.2%
$18,986
Supervisors: Food Preparation Workers
36.6%
$34,991
Education Administrators
36.4%
$76,522
Secondary School Teachers
35.8%
$49,374
Market Research Analysts
35.8%
$99,073
October 2014
Key LMI Tools
LMCI Main Page
www.lmci.state.tx.us
TRACER2 Online Database
•
•
(www.tracer2.com/?PAGEID=67&SUBID=114)
Industry and occupational projections by area
Texas Wages (www.texaswages.com/)
•
Wage ranges for hundreds of occupations by region in Texas
Texas CREWS (www.txcrews.org/)
•
Earnings and student debt by public college and major
Strategic Workforce Assessment Program
•
•
http://www.texasindustryprofiles.com/apps/swap/
Workforce supply-demand information by area
www.lmci.state.tx.us
TRACER2 Online Database
www.tracer2.com/
Long-Term Projections
http://www.tracer2.com/?PAGEID=67&SUBID=114
Texas Wages
www.texaswages.com/
www.txcrews.org
Strategic Workforce Assessment Program
www.texasindustryprofiles.com/apps/swap/
In Development
Texas CREWS 2.0
Texas CARES refresh
Supply/Demand Analysis Portal
Contact Us
Texas Workforce Commission
Labor Market & Career Information
Doyle Fuchs, Director
512-936-3105
doyle.fuchs@twc.state.tx.us
866-938-4444
lmci@twc.state.tx.us