The OECD Input-Output database and Supply-Use Tables in SNA 1993 Rev 1 OECD-NBS Workshop on National Accounts September 25-28, 2007, Beijing Contact: nadim.ahmad@oecd.org OECD Input-Output Database • • • • • • History 2006 Edition Creating Symmetric Tables Data Sources Why Industry by Industry? Dissemination History • 1995 Edition – – – – – 10 countries SNA68 ISIC Rev 2 36 sectors Up to 1990 • 2002 Edition - 20 Countries (2 non member) SNA 93 ISIC Rev 3 42 Sectors Up to 1998 2006 Edition • 2006 Edition – – – – – 37 countries (9 non members) SNA93 ISIC Rev 3 48 sectors Up to 2003 2006 Edition - Country Coverage • Country coverage corresponds to over 90% of global GDP (80% in 2002 Ed and 70% in 1995). Population coverage (66% versus 40 and 10 respectively) 2006 Edition - Tables Country ISIC Rev 2 ISIC Rev 3 1970 68 1975 74 1980 - 1985 86 1990 89 1995 94/95 2000 98/99 Austria - - - - - ✓ ✓ Belgium - - - - - ✓ ✓ Canada 71 76 81 86 ✓ 97 ✓ - - - - - ✓ ✓ 72 77 ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓,97 ✓ Finland - - - - - ✓ France 72 77 ✓ ✓ ✓ Germany - 78 - 86,88 Greece - - - Hungary - - - Australia Czech Republic Denmark Country ISIC Rev 2 ISIC Rev 3 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 Poland - - - - - ✓ ✓ Portugal - - - - - ✓ 99 Slovak Republic - - - - - ✓ ✓ Spain - - - - - ✓ ✓ Sweden - - - - - ✓ Switzerland Turkey - - - - - ✓ 96 ✓ 01 98 ✓ ✓ United Kingdom 68 79 - 84 ✓ ✓,98 ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ United States 72 77 82 ✓ ✓ ✓,97 ✓ - - 94,✓ 99 - - 98 Argentina - - - - - 97 - Brazil - - - - - ✓,96 ✓ China - - - - - 97 Chinese Taipei India - - - - - 93/94 ✓c 01c 98/99 Indonesia - - - - - ✓c ✓c Israel - - - - - ✓ - Russia - - - - - ✓ ✓ Singapore - - - - - Total 8 9 6 10 8 ✓ 33 ✓ 33 Iceland Ireland - - - - - - ✓ 98 Italy - - - ✓ - 92,✓ ✓ Japan ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ 95c-97 ✓ Korea - - - - - Luxembourg Mexico - - - - - ✓ - ✓c 03 Netherlands 72 77 81 86 - 95-98 New Zealand Norway - - - - - 95/96 97 ✓ 01 2006 Edition – Industry Coverage ISIC Rev.3 code IO Industry 1+2+5 10+11+12 13+14 15+16 17+18+19 20 21+22 23 24ex2423 2423 25 26 271+2731 272+2732 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 351 353 352+359 36+37 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 ISIC Rev.3 code 401 Agriculture, hunting, forestry and fishing Mining and quarrying (energy) 402 Mining and quarrying (non-energy) 403 Food products, beverages and tobacco 41 Textiles, textile products, leather and footwear 45 Wood and products of wood and cork 50+51+52 Pulp, paper, paper products, printing and publishing 55 Coke, refined petroleum products and nuclear fuel 60 Chemicals excluding pharmaceuticals 61 Pharmaceuticals 62 Rubber and plastics products 63 Other non-metallic mineral products Iron & steel 64 Non-ferrous metals 65+66+67 Fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment 70 Machinery and equipment, nec 71 Office, accounting and computing machinery 72 Electrical machinery and apparatus, nec 73 Radio, television and communication equipment 74 Medical, precision and optical instruments 75 Motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers 80 Building & repairing of ships and boats 85 Aircraft and spacecraft 90-93 Railroad equipment and transport equipment n.e.c. Manufacturing nec; recycling (include Furniture) 95+99 Description IO Industry 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 Description Production, collection and distribution of electricity Manufacture of gas; distribution of gaseous fuels through Steam and hot water supply Collection, purification and distribution of water Construction Wholesale and retail trade; repairs Hotels and restaurants Land transport; transport via pipelines Water transport Air transport Supporting & auxiliary transport activities; activities of trav Post and telecommunications Finance and insurance Real estate activities Renting of machinery and equipment Computer and related activities Research and development Other Business Activities Public administration and defence; compulsory social security Education Health and social work Other community, social and personal services Private households with employed persons & extra-territorial or 2006 Edition - Value-Added & Final Demand • VA • FD Creating Symmetric Tables • Requests for Industry by Industry (IxI) (preferably 48x48 at BP) – Or: Supply-Use, or Commodity by Commodity (CxC) and Supply, or CxC • Conversion Steps: – S-U at purchasers’ prices – Convert use table to BP. – S-U at BP (total economy only) – Convert Use table into separate domestic and import use tables – Convert S and Domestic Use tables into IxI tables using ‘Fixed Product Sales Structures’ assumption. – Aggregate to 48x48 – CxC and Supply – (reverse engineer the Use table and follow steps above) – CxC - aggregate only (Japan, Korea. Chinese Taipei and Indonesia) – Other: e.g. FISIM, c.i.f/f.o.b Transforming Supply Use into Input-Output Tables • SU tables are CxI not CxC or IxI • So for CxC, it’s necessary to convert output by industries into output by products • And for IxI, it’s necessary to convert demand by products into demand by industries. • If each industry produced only one product this would be trivial. • Unfortunately this is rarely the case. (CxC) Input-Output Tables • Two assumptions prevail in constructing CxC tables, which can be used in isolation or often in combination: – Product technology - Each product is produced in its own specific way, irrespective of the industry where it is produced – Industry technology - Each industry has its own specific way of production, irrespective of its product mix. Product technology Agricultural products Manufacturing products Wages and salaries Operating surplus Total Agriculture 0 60 60 30 150 Agricultural products Manufacturing products Wages and salaries Operating surplus Total Agriculture -8 -3 -2 -7 -20 USE TABLE SUPPLY TABLE Manufa Final Total Agricul- Manufa Total cturing demand ture cturing 80 50 130 130 0 130 30 130 220 20 200 220 20 80 70 100 one of - the This- illustrates 200 180 150 200 biggest practical problems with the implementation of TABLE USE TABLE SUPPLY the product Manufa Final Total technology Agricul- Manufa Total cturing demand ture cturing assumption – although it 8 0 0 0 0 could of course be used 0 3 0 0 -20 20 0 to identify problems with 2 0 the -original0SU balance 7 20 0 USE TABLE Agricul- Manufa Final Agriculture produces 20 units of tural cturing demand manufacturing assume the products– we products Agricultural products same structure -8 88 in 50 as Manufacturing products 57 hence33 (minus) 130 manufacturing, Wages and salaries 58 22 80/200*20=-8 etc Operating surplus 23 77 Total 130 220 -20 Total 130 220 80 100 20 SUPPLY TABLE Agricul- Manufa Total tural cturing products products 130 0 130 0 220 220 130 220 Industry technology Agricultural products Manufacturing products Wages and salaries Operating surplus Total Agricultural products Manufacturing products Wages and salaries Operating surplus Total Agriculture 0 60 60 30 150 USE TABLE Manufa Final cturing demand 80 50 30 130 20 70 200 180 SUPPLY TABLE Total Agricul- Manufa Total ture cturing 130 130 0 130 220 20 200 220 80 100 Note there are no 150 200 Agriculture 0 -8 -8 -4 -20 USE TABLE the Manufa Final cturing demand 0 0 8 0 8 4 20 0 negatives. A strength of SUPPLY TABLE industry technology Total Agricul- Manufa Total assumption. ture cturing USE TABLE Agricul- Manufa Final Agriculture producestural 20 units of cturing demand manufacturing – we assume the products products Agricultural 0 80 50 sameproducts structure as in agriculture, Manufacturing products 52 38 130 hence zero for agricultural Wages and salaries 52 28 products and (minus) Operating surplus 26 74 60/150*20=-8 etc Total 130 220 0 0 0 0 Total 130 220 80 100 0 -20 -20 0 20 20 0 0 SUPPLY TABLE Agricul- Manufa Total tural cturing products products 130 0 130 0 220 220 130 220 (CxC) Input-Output Tables • A third assumption is the hybrid technology which uses parts of the industry and product technology assumptions. (CxC) Input-Output Tables • These transformations can be described algebraically as Product Tech Industry Tech IO IC (C by C) U(Make)-1 diag(q) U(diag(g))-1Make' IO VA (VA by C) VA(Make)-1 diag(q) VA(diag(g))-1Make' • Where U is the original SU IC CxI Table; VA is the VA vector (VA by I); q, the vector of domestically produced products and g, the vector of the output of industries (IxI) Input-Output Tables • Like CxC two assumptions prevail in constructing IxI tables • Fixed Product Sales Structures – Each product has its own specific sales structure, irrespective of the industry where it’s produced. • Fixed Industry Sales Structures - Each industry has its own specific sales structure, irrespective of its product mix. Fixed Product Sales Structures Agricultural products Manufacturing products Wages and salaries Operating surplus Total Agricultural products Manufacturing products Wages and salaries Operating surplus Total Agriculture 0 60 60 30 150 USE TABLE Manufa Final cturing demand 80 50 30 130 20 70 200 180 Agriculture 5.5 -5.5 0 0 0 USE TABLE Manufa Final cturing demand 2.7 11.8 -2.7 -11.8 0 0 0 0 Total 130 220 80 100 Total 20 -20 0 0 SUPPLY TABLE Agricul- Manufa Total ture cturing 130 0 130 20 200 220 150 200 SUPPLY TABLE Agricul- Manufa Total ture cturing 20 0 20 -20 0 -20 0 0 USE TABLE SUPPLY TABLE Agricul- Manufa Final Total Agricul- Manufa Total Agriculture produces 20 units of manufacturing – we ture cturing demand ture cturing assume that it produces 20/220 per cent Agriculture 5.5 82.7 61.8 150 150of all 0 150 products54.5 and that each118.2 consumer200purchases Manufacturing 27.3 0 this200 200 Wages and salaries share of manufactured 60 20 products 80 the agriculture from Operating surplus 70 60 purchased 100 industry, 30 so, of the by agriculture Total 150 200 180 150 200 60*20/220 =5.5 is from the agriculture industry. Fixed Industry Sales Structures Agricultural products Manufacturing products Wages and salaries Operating surplus Total Agricultural products Manufacturing products Wages and salaries Operating surplus Total Agriculture 0 60 60 30 150 USE TABLE Manufa Final cturing demand 80 50 30 130 20 70 200 180 Agriculture 0 0 0 0 0 USE TABLE Manufa Final cturing demand 12.3 7.7 -12.3 -7.7 0 0 0 0 Total 130 220 80 100 Total 20 -20 0 0 SUPPLY TABLE Agricul- Manufa Total ture cturing 130 0 130 20 200 220 150 200 SUPPLY TABLE Agricul- Manufa Total ture cturing 20 0 20 -20 0 -20 0 0 USE TABLE SUPPLY TABLE Agricul- Manufa Final Total Agricul- Manufa Total ture cturing demand ture cturing Agricultural productsAgriculture produces 0 92.3 20 units 57.7 of manufacturing 150 150 – we0 150 Manufacturing products 60 0 200 200 assume that the17.7 shares122.3 are split 200 equally between Wages and salaries 60 20 80 consumers of agricultural products, so Operating surplus 30 70 100 80/130*20=12.3 Total 150 200 goes 180to manufacturing, 150 200 50/130*20=7.7 to final demand etc. This can also result in negatives. (IxI) Input-Output Tables • These transformations can be described algebraically as FPSS FISS IO IC (I by I) Make'(diag(q)-1 U diag(g)(Make)-1U IO FD (FD by I) Make'(diag(q)-1 U diag(g)(Make)-1fd • Where U is the original SU IC CxI Table; fd is the final demand vector; q, the vector of domestically produced products and g, the vector of the output of industries So why do the OECD choose Industry by Industry? i. Linkages to other OECD industrial database: – STAN, ANBERD, SDBS, IEA (emissions) etc ii. Policy focus – – Structure of businesses, Entrepreneurship etc iii. Statistical Quality – whether CxC or IxI, assumptions are needed: – – Information sources, typically, business (industry) based. IxI using Fixed Product Sales assumption (FPSA) preserves observed VA relationships. CxC does not. Equally the CxC assumption of heterogeneity in products is intrinsically linked to empirical facts – classification systems are too aggregate and businesses rarely have the same cost structures. iv. Simplicity – – IxI tables easily produced using FPSS (no negatives) Sources Tables Country Year Supply Australia Use Total Use Import 1998/99 Tables Country IO Total IO Import ✓ ✓ Poland Year Supply Use Total 2000 ✓ (99) Use Import IO Total IO Import ✓ ✓c ✓c ✓c Austria 2000 ✓ ✓ PU ✓c ✓c Portugal 1999 ✓ ✓ PU ✓c Belgium 2000 ✓ ✓ ✓c ✓c Slovak Republic 2000 ✓ ✓ PP ✓c Canada 2000 ✓ ✓ Spain 2000 ✓ ✓ Czech Republic 2000 Sweden 2000 ✓ ✓ PU ✓c 2000 ✓ ✓ Denmark ✓ 2001 ✓ ✓ ✓c 2000 ✓ Switzerland Finland ✓ PU ✓c 1998 ✓ ✓ ✓c ✓c 2000 ✓ Turkey France ✓ PU ✓c ✓c 2000 ✓ ✓ PU 2000 ✓ United Kingdom Germany ✓ PU 2000 2000 ✓ United States(i) Greece ✓ ✓ PR ✓ PU ✓c ✓c 1997 2000 ✓ Argentina Hungary ✓ ✓ Ireland 1998 ✓ ✓ PU ✓c ✓c Brazil 2000 ✓ ✓ Italy(i) 2000 ✓ ✓ PU ✓c ✓c China 2000 ✓c,PR ✓c,PR Japan (i) 2000 ✓ ✓c ✓c Chinese Taipei 2001 ✓ ✓ Korea 2000 ✓c ✓c India Mexico 2003 ✓ ✓ Indonesia 2000 ✓c ✓c Netherlands 2000 ✓ ✓ Israel 1995 ✓ ✓ New Zealand 1995/96 ✓ ✓ Russia 2000 ✓ ✓ 2001 ✓ ✓ Singapore 2000 ✓ ✓ Norway ✓ ✓ ✓ 1998/99 ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓c ✓ ✓ Dissemination • http://www.oecd.org/std/io-tables/data – 2002 Edition available now (on request) from – 1995 Edition available on-line – 2006 Edition release imminent • See also Ahmad & Yamano, 2006 for more information. Special Issues SNA93 – Rev 1 implications • Although the SU tables are not in themselves subject to change in the SNA revision, a number of changes in other areas will have an effect. Special Issues SNA93 – Rev 1 implications Ancillary Units • The 1993 SNA specifies that units conducting only a specified list of activities designated as “ancillary” should not be treated as separate units but their costs should be consolidated with the units they serve. This means that when accounts for a region are compiled, head offices and other ancillary units located there are excluded if the units they serve are located outside the region. This results in a difference between ancillary units located abroad, which are treated as separate units, and those that are resident but distant from their related enterprises. Special Issues SNA93 – Rev 1 implications Ancillary Units • The AEG recommended that ancillary units can be establishments in their own right if they satisfy the normal requirements of an establishment – allocated to the main service classification provided by the unit. Special Issues SNA93 – Rev 1 implications Goods sent abroad for processing • The 1993 SNA and BoP treat goods sent abroad for processing differently. The SNA records gross flows only in the case of substantial processing (reclassification of the good at three-digit CPC). The Balance of Payments Manual, as a practical matter, suggests a convention that all processing be assumed substantial and therefore gross flows are recorded. • Further, the position is that when goods are sent abroad for processing, no change in ownership takes place and thus there are no actual transactions. • Does the advent of globalization and the increasing amount of goods processed abroad suggest a change in practice would be appropriate? Special Issues SNA93 – Rev 1 implications Goods sent abroad for processing • The AEG has decided to resolve this issue by never imputing a change of ownership, and, so, not recording gross flows. Further the AEG also recommended that the same approach should be used in dealing with goods processed domestically even if between related enterprises, Special Issues SNA93 – Rev 1 implications Merchanting • Merchanting is defined in BoP as the purchase of a good by a resident of country A from a resident of country B which is then sold to a resident of country C, without the good entering the merchant’s economy. The SNA does not cover this topic. • There is a need for a clear and precise definition of merchanting; arising out of this there needs to be clear guidance on whether merchanting (when redefined) should be recorded on a net or a gross basis and under goods or services. Special Issues SNA93 – Rev 1 implications Merchanting • The AEG has recommended that, the acquisition of goods by the merchanter should be recorded as an import, identified as a negative export, of the merchanter. The resale of these goods is then shown as an export with the difference in values (exclusive of holding gains/losses) allocated to wholesale/retail exports.