Quality of Derivatives Statistics: the Australian Experience OECD Working Party on Financial Statistics, October 2007 What are derivatives? A contract whose value depends on other asset(s) or index values Swaps payments streams in $A for $US fixed interest for floating Options to buy or sell shares, physical assets, etc Futures, forward rate agreements Can be exchange traded or OTC Settled in cash or kind SNA/BPM on derivatives tradeable or offsetable net value, not notional principal assets positions, liability positions, change over time most transactions are settlements revaluations is main item in stock reconciliation Intertemporal reconciliation e.g a swap Opening Transaction Reval Closing Comment t1 (asset) 0 0 10 10 created t2 (asset) 10 0 -5 5 reval t3 (asset>liab) 5 0 -5 0 }reval -6 t3 (liab) 0 0 1 1 t4 (liab) 1 -1 0 0 settled Implementation in BoP, 1997 Direct collection attempted via IIS form 90 Info paper "the information reported to the ABS .... represents a degree of netting in both the positions and transactions flows" expect improvement "as accounting standards develop and reporting systems are upgraded" Subsequent improvement provider coaching, IFRS Implementation in ANA, 1998 Modelling from direct collection data Info paper: "the quality of reporting of transactions in surveys is lower than for other data items" "there is a significant amount of imputation in the estimates" Reporting burden causes subsequent (2001) abandonment of bank (APRA) data collection to meet SNA (draft form ARF 320.6) Summary of issues for direct collection identification of net asset position and net liability position; moving from a net asset to net liability; identification of new and settled contracts; partitioning changes in value into transactions, value changes and volume; summarising by sector of counterparty; separation of derivatives from assets/liabilities being hedged; data by type of derivative contract Modelling derivatives conservative market practices Non-Fin corp and Govt: hedging not trading use of relationship banker, foreign parent market research and regulatory data AFMA turnover by type of contract APRA gross positions RBA report to BIS, infer counterparties BoP/IIP data taken as a given Model boundaries Possible ways forward IFRS/IAS39 commercial accounting is moving in SNA direction, improved direct collection? Stock/price modelling model trans and revals wrt asset prices needs "type of derivative" position classn Leverage market research/regulatory data not much enthusiasm Security by security reporting privacy, computing power Future directions Not much net lending in derivatives (outside fin corps) what are the costs/benefits of increased data collection? What are the policy questions? foreign currency exposures and hedging surveys not addressed by SNA Aim to develop collection options which populate SNA framework suitably and allow analytical views