21.3.2005 | Folie 1 Experiences and Approaches Related to Adaptation - AUSTRIA “Working Together to Respond to Climate Change” Seminar of the AIXG on the UNFCCC Paris, 21-22 March 2005 Klaus Radunsky 21.3.2005 | Folie 2 Overview Introduction Adaptation flood risk management Forest management Grassland management Cropland management Tourism (avalanches, snow cover) lessons learned 21.3.2005 | Folie 3 Introduction Significant increase in average temperature from 1900 to 1990s + 1.5o C yearly average + 1.5o C to + 2.0o C during winter + 1.0o C during summer expected temperature increase by 2050: +2o C to +3o C Significant increase in GHG emissions at an average rate of 0.9%/a over the last 13 years no coherent and effective adaptation regime some extreme weather events with significant impacts and already visible impacts of climate change that raise concerns 21.3.2005 | Folie 4 Adaptation - Flood risk management (1) Challenge: Flood in August 2002, with return periods of 2,000 to 10,000 years in some regions 9 people died, economic loss ~3 Bio € (~1% of GDP) current level of flood protection designed for return periods of 30 and 100 years Measures: investigation on the possible contribution of climate change (but it became evident that the high damage was also due to other factors) 21.3.2005 | Folie 5 Adaptation - Flood risk management (2) Additional measures: stricter implementation of integrated flood risk management (combining aspects of Meteorology, Hydrology and actual construction measures like dams with land-use planning, legal aspects and warning- and evacuation measures), measures to limit damage in case of flood (mandatory structural measures in buildings, e.g. no oil tanks in regions with risk), speeding up the preparation, completion and updating of hazard zone plans, improvements in disaster management (e.g. improved training for disaster protection administrators, standardization of flood alarm plans, improving the coordination of the relevant plans of the public authorities), raising of public awareness 21.3.2005 | Folie 6 Adaptation – forest management Challenge: long life time (80-120 years) damage by insects is spreading to higher elevations storms (wind speeds > 160/170 km/h result in area-wide damage) Draught, if global T increases above 2o C Measures: establish forests as close to the (potential) natural forests as practical (nature-conforming forestry) Need for further research 21.3.2005 | Folie 7 Adaptation – grassland management Challenge: summer 2003 significant damage by draught Little awareness about future damage Measures: limited to buy hay No infrastructure for irrigation 21.3.2005 | Folie 8 Adaptation – cropland management Challenge: change in precipitation pattern (drought) local extreme weather events (floods, hail, storms) Measures: improved water management use of more drought resistant crops insurance 21.3.2005 | Folie 9 Adaptation in tourism - avalanches (1) Challenge: avalanches in Feb 1999 Galtür (Tyrol) 31 people died Measures: 2002: ALPS Centre for Natural Hazard Management was founded issues: natural hazard management (debris flows, landslides, rock falls, avalanches) goal: develop new strategies, technologies, systems to improve the handling of natural hazards and to evaluate present and future potential hazards 1st meeting (January 2004): expert meeting on climate impacts for Tyrol 21.3.2005 | Folie 10 See http://www.alp-s.at/v2/en/ Adaptation in tourism - avalanches (2) Additional measures Improved modeling and data assessment development of natural hazard scenarios (focus: alpine region) development of risk-oriented approaches for structural engineering, technical forest planning, development planning and short-term measures (e.g. improved disaster management - is planned in Tyrol to be fully operational by 2006) 21.3.2005 | Folie 11 Adaptation – tourism (artificial snow) Challenge: reduced snow cover at elevation<1500m Measures: artificial snow (9200 ha or 40% of total) investment costs in winter 2003/04: 176 Mio € significant water and power consumption (4000 m3 water per ha; 25000 kWh per ha) future: artificial snow will be extended to ~90% of total meteorological experts: artificial snow may not work in the future due to further temperature increase 21.3.2005 | Folie 12 Lessons learned (1) Austria: reluctant to be proactive on adaptation (top down approach) although more vulnerable compared to many other countries (high share of the alpine region (70% of the land is higher than 500m)) significant damage from extreme weather events or already visible impacts (reduction in snow cover) triggered significant investments and short as well as long term measures (bottom up approach) large and growing adaptation deficit international efforts and co-operation could help to get on the right track and begin to address the deficit more effectively Goal should be: development of a more coherent and operational adaptation regime climate risk assessment should become common practice for many activities 21.3.2005 | Folie 13 Lessons learned (2) Hurdles for a coherent and effective adaptation regime: lack of awareness (e.g. of stakeholders in industry, the general public), lack of information on climate vulnerabilities, impacts and ways and means to adapt, lack of resources at the MoE to start information process, lack of willingness to raise the profile of adaptation and to prepare for a public debate on climate change issues. Work at the OECD and under the UNFCCC may help to overcome national hurdles. 21.3.2005 | Folie 14