Environmental Degradation Energy Utilization Klaus S. Lackner Columbia University New York, NY September 2003 Energy Sources Biomass – Firewood Draft animals Wind/water – mills Solar – heat and photovoltaic Fossil carbon – coal, oil, gas, tar & shale Nuclear Energy Fusion Energy Uses Heat cooking, metallurgy, chemical products – fertilizers to plastics Mechanical energy Transportation, manufacturing, agriculture Cooling Desalination Cleanup US Annual Energy Consumption 100 Total Energy Energy (Quads) 80 60 40 Fossil Energy 20 Non Fossil Energy 0 1850 1875 1900 1925 Time 1950 1975 2000 Energy consumption and wealth Mean Gross Domestic Product Per Capita ($/yr •person) 50,000 U.K. 20,000 AFFLUENCE U.S.A. Japan France 10,000 South Korea 5000 2000 U.S.S.R. SLOPE = 23¢/kW•hr Mexico 1000 Poland 500 China 200 100 Bangladesh POVERTY 0.01 0.10 1.0 10 Mean Power Consumption Per Capita, kW/person 100 10 billion people trying to consume energy as US citizens do today would raise world energy demand 10 fold Pollution Issues Pollutant Sources Comments Soot, smoke ash, aromatic compounds Power plants, (coal), steam engines, diesel engines Air quality, deposit of soot, blackens objects, sufficient to drive natural selection to black moths, health hazard, deposits in lungs, e.g., London smog, climate impact through creating opacity, largely but not completely controlled today. Still a big impact in parts of Asia. Sulfur compounds, SOx Power plants (coal, heavy oil), diesel engines, gasoline engines (Sulfur content has been reduced) Acid rain, lakes are acidified (particularly those without buffering capacity e.g. in Canada and Scandinavia), corrosive, causes erosion of limestones, and sandstones particularly in buildings, and outdoor sculptures, e.g. gothic cathedrals, dissolves synthetics like nylons, further reductions are likely, but technology to deal with the problem is in place and applied (however notice grandfathering). Nitrogen compounds, NOx Cars, power plants, any combustion process, NOx results from the oxidation of atmospheric nitrogen with atmospheric oxygen in high temperature flames Air quality issues, NOx is a precursor to photochemical smog, i.e. the production of tropospheric ozone, e.g. smog in Los Angeles but elsewhere as well, diffuse impact on the ecological balance through eutrophication of lakes etc. NOx ultimately leaves the atmosphere, resulting nitrogen fixation greatly changes nitrogen availability to nearly all ecosystems. Current regulations limit NOx emissions. Pollution Issues II Pollutant Sources Comments Heavy metals, mercury, lead, cadmium, etc. Coal fired power plants, mercury is present in the ash and is reduced to mercury vapor Environmental poison, health hazards to humans, difficult to capture because concentrations are very low. Future regulations will impose far more stringent standards. Fine particulates, sulfates, aromatics, etc. Coal fired power plants, but also to a lesser extent, cars, (diesel), and conventional turbines Apparent health hazard, statistical data point to strong correlations between fine particulate emissions from coal fired power plants and mortality rates. Particles smaller than 10 micron are unregulated, are a category of particular concern as they tend to make it into the lung where they get captured. Regulations are still being discussed. Visual pollution from power plant haze (e.g. Grand Canyon). Carbon dioxide Any fossil fuel based power source, coal plants, gas plants, cars, machinery etc. Climate change and environmental change, global impact, direct human impact is considered minimal. Carbon dioxide is the normal end result of power generation from fossil fuels, it is therefore difficult to avoid it. Fossil Energy Is Vital to the World Economy Petroleum 39% Dry Natural Gas 22% HydroElectric 7% Wind, Solar, Geothermal 1% Coal 25% Nuclear 6% Fossil Carbon Accumulates in the Air CO2 increase in the atmosphere accounts for 58% of all fossil CO2 emissions Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Changes in the industrial age are large on a geological scale at Mauna Loa Hawaii 370 360 +4 350 Industrial age CO2 increase CO2 (ppmV) 350 340 330 320 310 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 +2 300 0 -2 250 -4 -6 200 Year Anthropogenic increase of carbon dioxide is well documented for this century. -8 150 -400000 -300000 Petit et al., Nature 399 Vostok, Antarctica Ice Core data -200000 -100000 Age (years) 0 -10 Temperature Changes (ºC) Carbon Dioxide Level (ppmv) 380 Coal Scales of Potential Carbon Sinks 21st Century’s Emissions ??? Atmosphere 2000 1800 Soil & Detritus Ocean pH < 0.3 39,000 Gt Plants 8,000 Gt Gt ??? 7,000 Gt Carbon Sources and Sinks Oil, Gas, Tars & Shales 50,000 6,000 Gt Methane Hydrates 5,000 Gt 4,000 Gt 3,000 Gt 4 2,000 Gt 3 2 1,000 Gt constant 20th Century 0 Gt Carbon Resources 5 4 3 2 180ppm increase in the air The Mismatch in Carbon Sources and Sinks 1 50% increase in biomass 30% of the Ocean 30% increase in acidified Soil Carbon 1800 2000 Fossil Carbon Consumption to date 2050 Net Zero Carbon Economy CO2 extraction from air CO2 from concentrated sources Electricity & Hydrogen Biological & Chemical Permanent & safe disposal Underground & Chemical Storage Hydrogen economy cannot run on electricity There are no hydrogen wells Wind, photovoltaics and nuclear energy cannot. $30.00 Price per GJ Tar, coal, shale and biomass could support a hydrogen economy. Price Ranges for Raw Fossil Energy Resources $25.00 $20.00 $15.00 $10.00 $5.00 $0.00 Coal Gas Oil Electricity Energy States of Carbon The ground state of carbon is a mineral carbonate Carbon 400 kJ/mole Carbon Dioxide 60...180 kJ/mole Carbonate Net Carbonation Reaction for Serpentine Mg3Si2O5(OH)4 + 3CO2(g) 3MgCO3 + 2SiO2 +2H2O(l) heat/mol CO2 = -63.6 kJ Accelerated from 100,000 years to 30 minutes Peridotite and Serpentinite Ore Bodies Magnesium resources that far exceed world fossil fuel supplies Rockville Quarry Mineral Disposal of CO2 Coal Strip Mine Earth Moving ~40 kt/day 28 kt/day 36% MgO Zero Emission Coal Power Plant CO2 Coal 4.3 kt/day Mineral Carbonation Plant Open Pit Serpentine Mine Sand & Magnesite ~35 kt/day 1 GW Electricity 70% Efficiency 11 ktons/day Heat ~1.4 kt/day Fe ~0.2 kt/day Ni, Cr, Mn Mining, crushing & grinding: $7/t CO2 — Processing: $10/t CO2 — No credit for byproducts Zero Emission Principle Air Carbon CO2 N2 H2O SOx, NOx and other Pollutants Need better sources of oxygen Power Plant Solid/Liquid Waste ADVANCED ZERO EMISSION PLANT CONCEPTS How much wind? (6m/sec) Wind area that carries 10 kW 0.2 m 2 for CO2 Wind area that carries 22 tons of CO2 per year 80 m 2 for Wind Energy 1 m3of Air 40 moles of gas, 1.16 kg wind speed 6 m/s mv 2 20 J 2 CO2 0.015 moles of CO2 produced by 10,000 J of gasoline Volumes are drawn to scale Wind Energy v = 6m/s 130 W/m2 Extraction from Air Power Equivalent from gasoline Sunshine 200 W/m2 v = 6 m/s 60,000 W/m2 Biomass 3 W/m2 Areas are drawn to scale 60m by 50m 3kg of CO2 per second 90,000 tons per year 4,000 people or 15,000 cars Would feed EOR for 800 barrels a day. 250,000 units for worldwide CO2 emissions Materially Closed Energy Cycles O2 CO2 CO2 O2 Energy Source H2 H2 CH2 H2O H2O Energy Consumer Ca(OH)2 as an absorbent Air Flow Flux = D/L CO2 diffusion D = 1.3910-5m2/s, diffusion coefficient L is boundary thickness is density of CO2 Ca(OH)2 solution CaCO3 precipitate CO2 mass transfer is limited by diffusion in air boundary layer Public Institutions and Government guidance Carbon Board certification Private Sector Carbon Extraction Farming, Manufacturing, Service, etc. Certified Carbon Accounting certificates Carbon Sequestration Sustainable Development 1 – 2 billion without any electricity The Fossil Carbon Pie 600 Gt C Soon Past Distant Future The Fossil Carbon Pie Soon Past 5000 Gt C Distant Future With Carbon Sequestration