Performance Info, Management & Budgeting, and PSAs Zafar Noman Performance & Efficiency Team [DRAFT] 26/07/2016 1 Why care about performance information? Good performance information: • Indicates how well an organisation is performing against aims/objectives • Helps identify which policies and processes work – and why they work • Improves organisational performance • Enhances [public] accountability • Value for money? – Significant investment in the public sector – Real terms increases in public spending of 4.1% (05/06), 2.7% (06/07), 2.8% (07/08); 26/07/2016 2 UK in context To improve the quality and costeffectiveness of public services whilst maintaining sound public finances. • • Total Managed Expenditure c. £500 billion (c. $900 bn) Around 40% of GDP 26/07/2016 3 Public sector reform (1998) Introduction of 3 year plans Move to resource based accounting and budgeting Separate budget for capital spending Proper asset management Underpinned by outcome focused performance targets (through Public Service Agreements) 26/07/2016 4 Principles of Public Service Performance Clear long-term strategic goals; 2. Independent audit and inspection; 3. Maximum local flexibility and discretion to innovate; 4. Transparency about what is being achieved. 1. 26/07/2016 5 TARGETS AND BUDGETS SET IN PARALLEL 26/07/2016 6 The Spending Review Cycle SR2002 SR2002 plans set 2002-03 Year 1 2003-04 Year 2 Year 3 2004-05 2005-06 SR2004 plans set Year 1 2006-07 2007-08 Year 2 Year 3 SR2004 26/07/2016 7 Structure of PSAs 26/07/2016 8 Public Service Agreement Efficiency Targets Accountable Minister(s) Aim Objective Target Objective Key Measures National Standards Target Target Technical note How measured Efficiency Technical note How measured Note: ETNs and TNs can be revised – but PSAs cannot! 26/07/2016 9 Why set targets? • • • • • a clear statement of what government is trying to achieve; a clear sense of direction; a focus on delivering results; a basis for monitoring what is and isn’t working; better public accountability. 26/07/2016 10 Public Service Agreement targets Examples • DH: reduce health inequalities by 10% as measured by infant mortality and life expectancy at birth. • CJS: reduce crime by 15% and further in high crime areas. • Defra: Eliminate fuel poverty in vulnerable households in England by 2010 in line with the Govt’s Fuel Poverty Strategy objective. 26/07/2016 11 Performance Management (Through accountability and transparency) 26/07/2016 12 Internal monitoring • • • • Departmental monitoring; Delivery and Performance monitoring by Treasury / Prime Minister’s Delivery Unit; PSX (Cabinet Committee); PM stocktakes for key areas. 26/07/2016 13 Public reporting • • • Departmental reports provide backward look of expenditure and performance APRs provide six-monthly performance update Treasury performance portal (www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/performance) 26/07/2016 14 Accountability of individuals • • Named Secretaries of State; Permanent secretaries; BUT… • No mechanistic link between performance and resource allocation in Spending Review. 26/07/2016 15 Evolution of the framework 26/07/2016 16 Inputs, outputs, outcomes That interact with services affecting results RESOURCES (£) INPUTS Resources that contribute to delivery such as labour and physical assets Final goods and services produced for delivery to the consumer OTHER EXTERNAL INFLUENCES OUTPUTS OUTCOMES Impact or consequences of these activities for the community 26/07/2016 17 Example - health OTHER EXTERNAL INFLUENCES LIFESTYLE CHOICES, HOUSING, POVERTY RESOURCES (£) DEPT OF HEALTH SPENDING REVIEW SETTLEMENT INPUTS DOCTORS/NURSES, HOSPITAL EQUIPMENT OUTPUTS OPERATIONS, CONSULTATIONS OUTCOMES LONGER LIFE EXPECTANCY, BETTER HEALTH 26/07/2016 18 Evolution of PSAs Comprehensive Spending Review (1998) CSR 98 Spending Review 2000 Spending Review 2002 SR00 SR02 110 targets 600 targets First set of PSAs published 160 targets Significant changes to CSR model 130 targets Greater continuity, architecture refined Increased consultation Introduction of standards Focus on outcomes 26/07/2016 19 Choose the right targets Not too many… Real measures of success… Which are owned by deliverers Outcome-focussed and SMART… 26/07/2016 20 SMART targets are… Specific – avoiding vague targets which might lead to uncertainty; Measurable – underpinned by a sensible and reliable quantitative data source; Achievable – whilst at the same time setting a stretch, or step-change in performance; Relevant – to what the organisation is trying to achieve; Timed – with a clear end date, and supported by timely data. 26/07/2016 21 Lessons learned With respect to: • Taking a top-down approach • Delivery • Measurement 26/07/2016 22 Top-down: Issues & responses Lack of consultation – 2007 Comprehensive Spending Review Too command & control – Increasing focus on outcomes address this criticism; Too many targets – Less than 1 PSA target for every £5billion of expenditure; Distortion – increased use of evidence and consultation. 26/07/2016 23 Delivery: What’s the connection with Performance Information? • • • If you can’t measure how you are doing (or the lags are too large), you can’t get delivery better A weak delivery plan and low understanding of delivery chain may signal low understanding of data system Highlights importance of rigorous delivery planning & reporting 26/07/2016 24 Delivery issues - education CSR (1998) ..an increase in the proportion of of those aged 11 meeting the standard of literacy for that age (level 4 in key stage 2) from 63% to 80% by 2002 ..an increase in the proportion of of those aged 11 meeting the standard of numeracy for that age (level 4 in key stage 2) from 62% to 75% by 2002 26/07/2016 25 Delivery issues - education 85 80 Targets set 75 Eng tgt 70 Mth tgt 65 English Maths 60 55 50 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 26/07/2016 26 Delivery issues - education 85 80 75 Eng tgt 70 Mth tgt 65 English Maths 60 55 50 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 26/07/2016 27 Delivery issues - education 85 80 75 Eng tgt 70 Mth tgt 65 English Maths 60 55 50 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Necessity of timely performance information for management intervention 26/07/2016 28 Measurement • • Consider measurement issues when attempting to link perf. Info w/ management & budgeting Systematically assess data quality risks • • Consider carefully potential for ‘gaming’ Perverse incentives / Distortion of activity Cascading Kent County Council 26/07/2016 29 Data systems validation How did we do? SR2002 targets: “77% of data systems provided a broadly appropriate basis for measuring progress” 26/07/2016 30 How did we do? PSA 2003-06 Validation Ratings Not fit for purpose 12% Not established 7% Fit for purpose 30% Broadly appropriate, but systems need strengthening 30% Broadly appropriate, but disclosure needs strengthening 21% Note: for 5% of systems it was too early to form a view 26/07/2016 31 Further Issues to Consider • • • • • • Performance management should reflect local priorities; Key agents: Consultation and ownership; What will the effect be on the frontline Should be informed by evidence and analysis at the outset (performance evaluations); X-organisation co-operation Performance information should permit decentralised decisions (measure outcomes) 26/07/2016 32 2007 Comprehensive Spending Review - I “a fundamental review of the balance and pattern of public expenditure” informed by: • Reviews of the long-term challenges • Consultation with public, experts & front-line • Identifying efficiencies • Zero-based reviews of department’s baseline expenditure 26/07/2016 33 2007 Comprehensive Spending Review - II ? (Performance framework; SR process and use of information for budgeting; reform) 26/07/2016 34 Useful websites PERFORMANCE WEBSITE: http://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/performance/ “On Target? Government by Measurement” (Public Administration Select Committee, 22 July 2003) http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm200203/cmselect/cmpubadm/62/6202 .htm “2006 Survey Report - PSA targets: Performance Information” http://www.nao.org.uk/publications/nao_reports/0506/Acting_on_Information.pdf “Second Validation Compendium Report: 2003-2006 data systems” http://www.nao.org.uk/pn/05-06/0506985.htm 26/07/2016 35 www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/fabric 26/07/2016 36 www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/agencytargets 26/07/2016 37 Performance Info, Management & Budgeting, and PSAs Zafar Noman Performance & Efficiency Team zafar.noman@hm-treasury.gov.uk 26/07/2016 38