OECD World Forum onon Key Indicators OECD World Forum Key Indicators Statistics, Statistics,Knowledge Knowledgeand andPolicy Policy Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 1 International Benchmarking as a Tool for Regional Policy Making: Experiences and Challenges Christoph Koellreuter Managing Director and Chief economist BAK Basel Economics www.bakbasel.com OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 2 Contents 1. Facing globalisation challenges: Regional level particularly important 2. International Regional Benchmarking: a necessary tool for regional policy making in an increasingly competitive world 3. An example of International Regional Benchmarking: the IBC BAK International Benchmark Club® 4. Using International Regional Benchmarking in Regional Policy Making OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 3 1. Facing globalisation challenges: Regional level particularly important • Continuous product and process innovation = the only successful way of high wage economies to meet the challenge of low cost competitors • Innovation activity = takes place where there is a spatial concentration of companies of the same and related industries (clusters) • High private productivity = i.e. internalisation of cluster specific externalities only if individuals and companies are based in the region • Conclusion: policies = have to focus on maintaining and / or improving innovation friendly framework conditions at the regional level • Region = economic region in the sense of an innovation, labour market or functional urban region OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 4 2. International Regional Benchmarking: what gets measured gets done! • What is meant by benchmarking in general? = comparison / positioning in relation to a specific reference point (generally : “the best in class”) • Why is benchmarking so important today? In a world having become so much more competitive, decision makers have to know and monitor their competitors (specialized in the same type of economic activity) • What is quantitative international regional benchmarking? = benchmarking of economic, ecological and societal performance and policy variables as well as the relationship between the two at the level of regions • What is expected from quantitative international regional benchmarking? More precise knowledge about • regional strengths and weaknesses • regional opportunities and threats • quantitative impact of policies on economic growth, employment productivity, the environment and society of the region • The ultimate hope of an international regional “benchmarker”: WHAT GETS MEASURED GETS DONE ! OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 5 3. An example of Regional Benchmarking: the IBC BAK International Benchmark Club® 1. What should be measured? 2. Quantitative assessment of the impact of policy variables on economic growth, productivity and employment: the analytical concept 3. Actual offer of BAK Basel Economics and perspectives for 2005 OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 6 What should be measured? • Economic performance • Gross value added • Hours worked • Employment • Output per manhour Complemented with variables of performance of the environment and the society ( = sustainable development). Necessary differentiation • regions • industries • Policy variables Determining economic growth, productivity and employment: see analytical concept below OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 7 Quantitative assessment: the impact of policy variables on economic growth Regionales Benchmarking von BAK Basel Economics: (at the regional, national and industry level): the BAK analytical concept Analyserahmen für nationale und regionale Volkswirtschaften sowie Branchen Stand August 2003 Economic performance Labour productivity Labour supply (Real Gross Value Added per man hour) Human capital ICT-Capital OECD/CATO Regulation indices (national) Demography Resident population Customer capital Population of working age Capital markets Education expenditure, expenditure for R+D (national, regional) Monetary policy Product markets Process capital (start-up companies) Employees as % of resident population Exchange rate policy Non-ICTCapital (share of employees with tertiary education) Knowledge capital (patents and bibliometric indicatros) Hours worked per employee Control of the phenomenon of business cycles / demand Investment in intangible capital External demand Investment in physical capital GDP per capita Fiscal policy Capital stocks (in man hours worked) (differentiated by country, region or sector) Efficiency of factor use (total factor productivity) Policy variables GDP / Gross Value Added Labour markets Incicators of accessibility Education policies. Regulation of Transportation policy, science policy, product markets infrastructure policy OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo,policy 10-13 November 2004 technology Taxation of companies highly Source:and IBC Module skilled manpower (national, regional) Tax and social policies OECD/CATO Determinants 2003 Regulation indices (national) Regulation of labour markets 8 The Offer of BAK Basel Economics: Overview • Exclusive databases • Performance: more differentiated with respect to regions and regional industries as well as more up-to-date than official statistics (Switzerland: BAK Basel Economics is the only supplier of these data, no official source available) • Policy variables: generally in cooperation with renowned institutions in Europe • Exclusive information and communication platform for regions in Europe: the annual forum of the IBC BAK International Benchmark Club® taking place in June in Basel, Switzerland. OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 9 The Offer of BAK Basel Economics: Overview Continuation • Region specific presentations, reports and platforms, i.e. • Cologne: its economic profile and perspectives in the global market place (Cologne, November 2004) • The Zurich Benchmarking Forum (Zurich, November 2004) • Financial services as drivers of metropolitan economic growth (London, September 2004) • Massachusetts and Basel / Switzerland: Two world class (Life) science based economies (Boston / Basel, Switzerland, September 2004) • Regional benchmarking as a tool for Scottish economic policy (Edinborough, February 2004) • The region of Veneto facing the challenges of globalisation (Venice, December 2003) • International competitiveness of the Austrian federal states (Vienna, September 2003) • International competitiveness of the Lorraine Region (Metz, February 2003) • Reports on specific policy issues, i.e. «The international accessibility of Switzerland in danger?» OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 10 The Offer of BAK Basel Economics: Overview Continuation • Research project «The impact of policy variables on economic growth of regions» start: autumn 2003, first major interim report: autumn 2005 Expected results should enable us to give answers to the following questions: i.e. What leads to more economic growth: • a billion Euro more in transportation infrastructure or a billion Euro more for basic research? • Tax reduction for companies or tax reduction of the same size for highly qualified manpower? • Later on: Invitation to University institutes specialized in quantitative economic research to participate in this type of research with the support of a foundation (“Regiometrics”) still to be launched OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 11 The Offer of BAK Basel Economics: Overview Continuation • Medium to longer term quantitative scenarios of development of the regional and national growth potential on the basis of the results of the research project “Impact of policy variables on economic growth of regions” as of autumn 2005: • on the basis of the political status quo • on the basis of alternative sets of assumptions regarding policy variables OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 12 The IBC Performance Database Regions 350 regions in 18 EU-countries, Switzerland, Norway and United States at the NUTS 1 and 2 level; for the Extended European Alpine space (Southeast and Eastern France, Baden-Württemberg, Bavaria, Austria, Northern Italy and Switzerland) generally also at the NUTS 3 level Industries 60 industries in the above mentioned 350 regions Variables of economic performance of national/ regional economies as well as the 60 industries Gross value added at current, constant prices as well as industry specific purchasing power parities, employment, hours worked, output per man hour, labour cost and unit labour cost Variables of the performance of the environment and society for regions in the Extended Alpine Space as a part of project MARS «Monitoring the Alpine Regions’ Sustainability» led by the Lead Partner BAK Basel Economics in the framework of the Interreg IIIB programme Alpine Space of the European Commission OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 13 The IBC Policy Variables Database Policy area «INNOVATION»: Education, science and technology policy Indicators: Innovation resources: • Expenditure on research and development as percent of regional GDP • Sum of scores of Shanghai Index of the research quality of the 500 best universities in the world • Part of employment with tertiary education (total and by industry) • Part of employment with secondary education (total and by industry) Innovation processes: • Patents (total and by industry) • Bibliometric indicators (total and by research field) • Company start-ups (total and by industry) Coverage end of 2004: 140 regions in 21 countries Partner institutes: ISI Fraunhofer Institut, Karlsruhe Dun & Bradstreet OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 14 The IBC Policy Variables Database Continuation Policy area «TAXATION»: Fiscal and social policy Indicators: Tax burden of companies and highly qualified manpower Coverage end of 2004: 65 regions in 21 countries Partner institute: ZEW Center for European Economic Research, Mannheim Policy area «REGULATIONS»: Regulatory policies Indicators: OECD Regulation Indices for product and labour markets; backward and forward extrapolation with the CATO Indices for Economic Freedom Coverage end of 2004: 21 countries Policy area «ACCESSIBILITY»: Transport and infrastructure policy Indicators: Indicators of intercontinental and interregional (European) accessibility Coverage end of 2004: 250 regions in 21 countries Partner Institute: IVT Institute for Transport Planning and Systems of ETH Federal Polytechnical Institute, Zürich OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 15 Possible extensions of the IBC Policy Variables Database • Intraregional accessibility • Regional land use regulations • Structure of government: indicators of political fragmentation and the degree of centralization / decentralization • Culture • Social capital OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 16 The IBC Sectoral Databases Benchmarking of tourism Tourism specific variables of performance and determinants for 25 Alpine Holiday Regions and 20 European cities Monitoring Life Sciences Locations Life Science specific performance variables and determinants for 15 countries and 15 Life Science regions Benchmarking of investment goods industries locations Investment goods industries specific performance variables and determinants for selected regions in Western Europe, North America, Central and Eastern Europe Monitoring Financial Services Locations Still open OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 17 4. Using International Regional Benchmarking in Region Policy Making Used by whom? • Representatives of public bodies at the national, regional, sub regional level as well as industry associations, companies and other parties interested in influencing policy decisions at the regional and national level • Last but not least: citizens of regions and countries Used for what? • SWOT analyses • Elaboration and evaluation of regional visions and strategies • Introduction of more objectivity into the discussion of location and competitiveness related issues • As an input into lobbying of the region at the upper level government OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 18