an SBIR presentation from CS 410 Green Group presented by Jeremey Sellen Wednesday, December 10, 2008 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 1 Lonely Bag Left Behind 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 2 Staff Structure (Phase 0) 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 3 Food for Thought If you were told that 3 bags in 1,000 were lost or mishandled in some way, meaning that you may not have your bag when you landed, Would you be excited to embark on that airline with checked bags? 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 4 Fact! In September of 2008, the average of 19 major airlines for mishandled baggage was 3.86 bags per thousand, with a high of 9.37 per thousand. 1 This number represents domestic flights only! 1) http://airconsumer.ost.dot.gov/reports/2008/November/200811ATCR.pdf 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 5 Food for Thought Not convinced? Consider that In 2007, an Atlanta airport processed 78 million passengers over an 11-month span! This equates to 7,090,909 passengers per month, which equals 236,363 passengers per day. Assuming a conservative average of a single bag per customer: 3.86 bags per thousand means that 912 bags will be mishandled in one day at this particular airport. This is an unnecessary result of a flawed system. 1) http://airconsumer.ost.dot.gov/reports/2008/November/200811ATCR.pdf 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 6 Problem Statement In spite of current quality assurance measures, airlines spend billions of dollars a year on mishandled luggage.1 This includes the funding to support the extra personnel to transport bags to travelers and also to reimburse those travelers whose bags have been mishandled. 1) http://www.sita.aero/files/resources/Baggage_Report_2008.pdf 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 7 Importance of Problem “Even small improvements in the amount of baggage ending up at the right place at the right time could save the air transport industry hundreds of millions of dollars a year as well as millions of passenger hours that could have been spent doing something more productive than trying to retrieve mishandled bags.”1 1) Francesco Violante, SITA’s CEO 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 8 Solution The AIR Tracker software solution will augment existing routing systems at airports utilizing existing technology, add an additional layer to the routing system at the baggage cart and transfer levels to fill in the gap of the current system, and provide reporting on the airport’s current system of routing. 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 9 Objectives The overall objectives of the AIR Tracker system are to 1. reduce the number of bags that are mishandled in any given airport, 2. provide an innovative solution that fills the current gap of the transfer process, 3. provide system reporting to allow airports to research their weak baggage routing areas, and 4. provide statistics for historical trend analysis. 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 10 Causes of Mishandled Luggage Source: Popular Mechanics 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 11 Process Flow (Outbound) 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 12 Process Flow (Inbound) 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 13 An Expert’s Words “Baggage handlers drop more bags [off a cart] than they put baggage on the wrong flight.”1 “The carry-on versus checking issue is becoming more important because people are [not wanting to pay the extra money]. They refuse to check bags, but now, airlines can get fined thousands of dollars if a passenger carries more than two carry-ons onto a plane.”1 This means a greater strain on the baggage handling process. 1) Gloria Anderson, baggage handler at Norfolk International Airport 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 14 Modular Solution AIR Tracker is broken down into modules to better display the functionality and to increase flexibility. The modules include 1. the routing module 2. the transfer module (this module provides the technical innovation that has not currently been solved) 1 10 December 2008 2 AIR Tracker 15 Routing Module The routing module contains the actual tracking of the bag as it goes through the Radio Frequency Identification (RFID) / Bar Code scanning process. The path of the bag is tracked by pulling the data from the airport database that is sent from the readers. This is used in quality assurance reporting as well as another level of accountability for the whereabouts of the bag. Airport Database 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker Database AIR Tracker Reports 16 Transfer Module After getting through the routing module, the bag is then passed to the transfer module. 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 17 Current Cart Dilemma If a bag is dropped from the cart, it may not be noticed until the cart reaches the airplane. By that point, depending on the size of the airport, it may be too late to go back and get it before the plane departs. 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 18 AIR Tracker Cart Module Enter the Baggage Cart RFID / WiFi Antenna: 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 19 RFID Antenna The RFID baggage cart antenna communicates wirelessly via onboard WiFi capability with the airport’s WiFi antenna to gain updates from the master database on which bags should be on which flight. 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 20 RFID Antenna (continued) The RFID baggage cart antenna actively pings the RFID tags on the bags in a cluster method. If one of the bags is returning a distinctly longer ping response, the antenna alerts the driver that a bag has fallen off. The driver then has time to stop and regain the dropped bag or alert another handler of the location of the bag. 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 21 At the Airplane An RFID gate on the ramp reads the bags that are loaded on the airplane and sends an alert to the handlers if there is a bag that is not meant to be on that plane. The gate is updated wirelessly from the airport as well. This serves as a final redundancy to the RFID system and removes the need for a manual scan at the bottom of the ramp. 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 22 Risk Matrix Initial Risks 1. 2. 3. 4. Disinterested Airports Unintentional Leak of Personal Information Incompatible with Airport Databases Wireless Communication Problems Mitigation of Risks 1. Provide a Lower Cost Solution for Smaller Airports 2. Strong Security Protocols and Best Practices 3. Survey Databases Prior to Installation and Provide Manual Data Input 4. Add Access Points to Existing Networks or Install an Optimized Wireless Infrastructure 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 23 Risk Plan In order for this product to be a success, airports must be willing to purchase the system based on the projected data. Since this project scope encompasses not only airports of different sizes, but also of different luggage throughput, the installations will be customized to fit the needs of the airport in a physical sense as well as in fiscal cents. Due to extensive communications devices operating in the wireless mode at airports, there are concerns about signal-to-noise ratios and even signal interference (intentional). To alleviate this, indepth research will be made into the wireless capabilities and limitations of the technologies in the airport environment. 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 24 Competition Matrix 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 25 AIR Tracker Versus the Competition Although the competition helps to solve each facet of the mishandled luggage problem, AIR Tracker supplements their capabilities and is the only one that offers the cart solution for transfers (61% of the problem scope). 1 1) Popular Mechanics 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 26 Marketing Plan The customer for this product is airports vice airlines due to the fact they own the equipment and routing processes this system would have to integrate with. The cost for the product would be shared by airlines and shops and other airport venues via higher lease fees or contracted price division. 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 27 What’s in the Box? Handheld 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 28 AIR Tracker MFCD 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 29 WBS Tree 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 30 Phase Breakdown Phase 0 “Conceptualization Phase” 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 31 Phase 0 Tasks 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 32 Phase 0 Major Deliverables 10 December 2008 Problem Statement Risk Matrix Staff Structure Major Functional Component Diagram Feasibility Presentation Feasibility Presentation (Revised) Work Breakdown Structure Task Breakdown Gantt Chart Milestone Presentation SBIR Presentation Project Plan Write-Ups AIR Tracker 33 Phase Breakdown Phase 1 “Initiation Phase” 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 34 Phase 1 Tasks 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 35 Phase 1 Major Deliverables 10 December 2008 Reassess Staff Structure Resource Determination Persuasive Paper Database Design Documentation Prototype Test Results SBIR Grant Proposal AIR Tracker 36 Prototype (Routing) For the routing prototype: 3 RFID scanners will be set up representing RFID stations throughout a routing process. 1 bar code scanner will be inserted in the flow to demonstrate the functionality. All of these nodes will be related in the application server to a destination. Once the RFID / bar code tags are passed through these checkpoints, the application will update the database server. The tags will be run through an improper checkpoint to display the error functionality. 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 37 Prototype (Transfer) A database will be created with information related to the RFID tags including destination. This information will be sent to a WiFi router which will transmit this information to a WiFi / RFID hybrid device which will store it locally. The related RFID tags will be grouped together and the hybrid device will be used to actively scan the tags. One or more RFID tags will be removed from the group and the RFID scanner will show an alert that there is a problem. 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 38 Phase 1 Resource Budget Hardware - three RFID readers (with WiFi and onboard memory) - $900 - wireless router - $80 - bar code scanner - $100 - RFID tags - $.15 per tag (lot of 100) Total Hardware Cost for Phase 1 - $1,095 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 39 Phase 1 Budget (Personnel) 10 December 2008 Title Quantity Time Needed Hourly Rate Total Project Manager 1 640 hours $15 $9,600 Hardware Manager 1 320 hours $15 $4,800 Software Manager 2 520 hours $15 $15,600 Marketing Director 1 80 hours $15 $1,200 Financial Specialist 1 160 hours $15 $2,400 Webmaster 1 80 hours $15 $1,200 Wireless Consultant 1 30 hours $15 $1,050 Transportation Consultant 1 70 hours $15 $840 Database Analyst 1 400 hours $15 $6,000 Risk Analysis 1 190 hours $15 $2,850 Sub-total - - - $45,540 40% Overhead - - - $18,216 Totals 10 2,490 hours - $63,756 AIR Tracker 40 Phase Breakdown Phase 2 “Planning Phase” 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 41 Phase 2 Tasks 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 42 Phase 2 Major Deliverables 10 December 2008 Reassess Staff Structure Resource Organization Build Functional Lab Model Successful Hardware and Software Tests Implement Marketing Plan Sell Product and Begin Environmental Statistics Generation AIR Tracker 43 Phase 2 Budget (Resources) Hardware (per install) Server - $14,000 [1] RFID reader (with WiFi and onboard memory) - $300 [N]1 Wireless router (O) - $200 [N] RFID tags (O)- $100 (lot of 1000) [N] Handheld assistant (O)- $300 [N] Software Oracle database software - $10,000 [1] Total Cost Base = $24,000 + $300 per RFID Reader With options = $24,000 + $300(w) + $200(x) + $100(y) + $300(z) 1) 2) 10 December 2008 ‘N’ represents the customized number needed by the individual airport ‘O’ represents an optional component that airports may use if they have it. AIR Tracker 44 Phase 2 Budget (Resources) Example (Base) – An airport with 20 trucks (each with 2 carts for a total of 40 carts) and 20 gates that has all of the WiFi routers they need and do not want the handheld option. Their routing architecture is assumed to be sufficient. – 40 RFID antennae ($12,000) – 20 RFID “gates” for loading ramps ($6,000) – Server ($14,000) – Oracle database software ($10,000) – Total resource cost to us for this install ($42,000) 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 45 Phase 2 Budget (Personnel) Title 10 December 2008 Salary Time Needed per month Hourly Rate Monthly Total Project Manager $62,000 160 hours $30 $5,167 Hardware Manager $58,000 160 hours $28 $4,834 Software Manager $104,000 160 hours $50 $8,667 Marketing Director $82,000 160 hours $40 $6,834 Financial Specialist $45,000 160 hours $22 $3,750 Webmaster $64,000 160 hours $24 $5,334 Wireless Consultant $52,000 80 hours $25 $2,000 Transportation Consultant $19,200 80 hours $20 $1,600 Technical Writer $58,000 160 hours $28 $4,834 Database Administrator $80,000 160 hours $39 $6,667 Risk Analyst $42,000 160 hours $21 $3,500 Contracted install team (4 electricians, 1 hardware installer, 1 wireless surveyor) - 160 hours - $25,000 Sub-total $666,200 $78,187 40% Overhead $266,480 $31,275 Totals $932,680 1,760 hours AIR Tracker - $109,462 46 Phase Breakdown Phase 3 and Out Years “Execution Phase” and Beyond 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 47 Phase 3 and Out Years Tasks 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 48 Phase 3 Major Deliverables Reassess Staff Structure Maintain Mass Production Maintain Product Support 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 49 Phase 3 Budget Hardware (per install) Server - $14,000 [1] RFID reader (with WiFi and onboard memory) - $300 [N]1 Wireless router (O) - $200 [N] RFID tags (O)- $100 (lot of 1000) [N] Handheld assistant (O)- $300 [N] Software Oracle database software - $10,000 [1] 1) 2) 10 December 2008 ‘N’ represents the customized number needed by the individual airport ‘O’ represents an optional component that airports may use if they have it. AIR Tracker 50 Phase 3 Budget Title Salary Time Needed per month Hourly Rate Monthly Total Project Manager $62,000 160 hours $30 $5,167 Hardware Manager $58,000 160 hours $28 $4,834 Software Manager $104,000 160 hours $50 $8,667 Marketing Director $82,000 160 hours $40 $6,834 Financial Specialist $45,000 160 hours $22 $3,750 Webmaster $64,000 160 hours $24 $5,334 Network Engineer $52,000 160 hours $25 $4,334 Transportation Consultant $19,200 80 hours $20 $1,600 Technical Writer $58,000 160 hours $28 $4,834 Database Administrator $80,000 160 hours $39 $6,667 Risk Analyst $42,000 160 hours $21 $3,500 Lawyer $90,000 160 hours $47 $7500 Human Resources Manager $75,000 160 hours $39 $6,250 Customer Service Representative $30,000 160 hours $16 $2,500 Contracted install team (4 electricians, 1 hardware installer, 1 wireless surveyor) - 160 hours - $25,000 Sub-total $861,200 $96,771 40% Overhead $344,480 $38,709 Totals 10 December 2008 $1,205,680 2,320hours AIR Tracker - $135,480 51 Price Point ~ $200,000 - $500,000 $200,000 is the approximate cost for a small to mid-level airport and $500,000 is the approximate cost for a large airport (primarily the hub airports). The price fluctuates based on the hardware and software suite the airport opts for. Reference Funding Plan for further information regarding the price point. 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 52 Marketing Potential “52 percent of airports in the 2007 Airport IT Trends Survey said that improving baggage processing and management was a high priority.”1 An alternate customer may become the competition since they do similar tasks, but lack the transfer module process. patent + market to competition = profit 1) http://www.sita.aero/files/resources/Baggage_Report_2008.pdf 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 53 Breakeven Analysis For small to mid-level airport installs, the cost of equipment (per install) is $37,000. The cost for personnel per year is $1,205,680. A price point of $200,000 generates a surplus per install of $163,000. After 8 installations of only small to mid-level airports, a profit would be gained. 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 54 Breakeven Analysis For large airport installs, the cost of equipment (per install) is $164,000. The cost for personnel per year is $1,205,680. A price point of $500,000 generates a surplus per install of $336,000. After 4 installations of large airports only, a profit would be seen. 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 55 AIR Tracker ROI The soonest that a Return on Investment (ROI) would be noticed would be 4 months after 4 large airport installs. This is assuming 1 install per month with a full team working 8 hours a day, 5 days a week for 4 weeks. 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 56 Airport ROI The airport would spend $200,000 to $500,000 for AIR Tracker. The cost can be recuperated by increasing lease fees for airlines and venues in the airport. The ROI would depend on how the airport director decides to increase these fees or if the director implements a one-time cost-sharing fee with the airlines. 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 57 Airport ROI Larger airports can contain anywhere from 10 – 19 airlines that could share the cost of the implementation (paid to the airport). Assuming 10 airlines at a total cost to the airport of $500,000, the average cost per airline is $50,000. At $100 per mishandled bag, once AIR Tracker saves 500 bags, the system has essentially paid for itself. At a mishandled rate of 3.86 bags per 1000, this number indicates that 129,534 bags would have to be processed for the airline to see an ROI. *Reminder: Atlanta processes about 236,363 passengers per day. 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 58 Management Plan Set-Up Full Development Team Work within the WBS and Emphasize Milestones Report Progress to Upper Management 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 59 Funding Plan (Phase 1) National Science Foundation Phase 1: funding for up to $100,000 - proposal deadline: February 25, 2009 Total Phase 1 Budget: $64,851 Applicable for Grant: $64,851 Not Funded by Grant: $0 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 60 Funding Plan (Phase 2) Phase 2: NSF SBIR Grant (up to $750,000) Total Phase 2 Budget: $1,016,580 Applicable for Grant: $750,000 Not Funded by Grant: $266,580 Federal Aviation Administration Grant - Airport Improvement Program (20.106) - $12,000 to $35 million - Average Grant: $1.25 million 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 61 Funding Plan (Phase 3) Total Phase 3 Budget: $1,205,680 Income from Installations - 8 Installs from Small Airports - 4 Installs from Large Airports Federal Aviation Administration Grant - Airport Improvement Program (20.106) - $12,000 to $35 million - Average Grant: $1.25 million - Small Business Loans 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 62 Marketing Plan Target Market - Focus on airports. - Airlines may be an alternate market. - Competition may be another possible market. Sell - Advertise to airports (travel to locations). - Attend technology conferences. 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 63 Staffing Plan Phase 0 - 1 Project Manager - 1 Webmaster - 1 Hardware Manager - 1 Wireless Consultant - 1 Transportation Consultant Phase 1 (same as Phase 0) Phase 2 - add Contracted Electricians - add 1 Wireless Surveyor - add 1 Hardware Installer (Welder) Phase 3 and Out Years - add Legal Representation, Human Resources, and Customer Service Representative 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 64 Evaluation Plan Phase 0 - Success will be known after the acceptance of the project concept. Phase 1 - Success will be known after the completion of a successful prototype. Phase 2 - Success will be known after the sale of the first operational module. Phase 3 - Success will be known by a maintained sell rate of the product and updates. 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 65 Conclusion Mishandled luggage costs unnecessary resources including money, time, and personnel. The process in place has inherent flaws, and in order to locate these areas and provide the most efficient operations and customer service, AIR Tracker should and must be employed. 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 66 References 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) 10 December 2008 “Air Travel Consumer Reports for 2008.” airconsumer.ost.dot.gov. 30 JUL 2008. Office of Aviation Enforcement. 01 Oct 2008 <http://airconsume r.ost.dot.gov/reports/atcr08.htm>. “Airport IT Trends Survey 2008.” sita.aero. SITA. 21 Oct 2008 <http://www .sita.aero/News_Centre/Industry_surveys_and_trends/Airport_IT_trends /default.htm>. Bevan, Judi. “Coping with crisis, climate change — and lost luggage.” spectator.co.uk. 07 Nov 2007. The Spectator. 20 Oct 2008 <http://ww w.spectator.co.uk/the-magazine/business/334921/coping-with-crisis-cli mate-change-and-lost-luggage.html>. Bicknell, David. “Airlines reject RFID as universal industry solution to lost bags.” ComputerWeekly.com. 30 Jul 2008. Computer Weekly. 20 Oct 2008 <http://www.computerweekly.com/Articles/2008/06/20/2311 41/airlines-reject-rfid-as-universal-industry-solution-to-lost.htm>. “Frequently Asked Questions.” globalbagtag.com. Global Bag Tag. 20 Oct 2008 <http://www.globalbagtag.com/faq.cfm>. Halthore, Mukund. “RE: Contact request from website (Germany).” Email to Joel Elixson concerning the wholesale cost of GPS/GSM modules. 21 Oct 2008. “IBM System x3450.” IBM. 2008. IBM. 21 Oct 2008 <http://www-304.ibm.co m/shop/americas/webapp/wcs/stores/servlet/default/CategoryDisplay ?categoryId=4611686018425232005&storeId=1&catalogId=-840&langId= 1>. James, Andrea. “Seattle firm sues British Airways over lost luggage.” Seattle PI. 13 Nov 2007. Seattle PI. 21 Oct 2008 <http://seattlepi.nwso urce.com/business/339434_lostluggage13.html>. “Job Salaries-Performance Reviews-Compensation software- Salary.com.” 2008. Salary.com. 04 Nov 2008 <http://www.salary.com>. AIR Tracker 67 References 10) Levy, Francesca. “The Airlines’ Bag Reflex.” BusinessWeek.com. 30 Jul 2008. Business Week. 20 Oct 2008 <http://www.businessweek.com/life style/content/jul2008/bw20080729_355085.htm>. 11) Mummolo, Jonathan. “Now Arriving At Carousel 1, Far Fewer Of Your Bags.” Washingtonpost.com. 01 Oct 2007. Washington Post. 20 Oct 20 08 <http://www.washingtonpost.com/wpdyn/content/article/2007/09 /30/AR2007093001653.html?sid=ST2007100200809>. 12) Scottberg, Erin. “Anatomy of Lost Luggage: How to Track Your Bags (and Save ’Em).” Popular Mechanics. 20 Dec 2007. Popular Mechanics. 21 Oct 2008 <http://www.popularmechanics.com/technolo gy/transportation/4237628.html>. 13) “Software Engineer / Developer / Programmer Job Salaries in Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC.” PayScale. 2008. 21 Oct 2008 <http://www.payscale.com/af/calc.aspx?job=program mer&city=Norfo lk&state=VA>. 14) “IB Technology 125 kHz RFID Antenna.” Trossen Robotics. 2008. Trossen Robotics. 04 Nov 2008 <http://www.trossenrobotics.com/ibtechnology125-khz-rfid-antenna.aspx?feed=Froogle>. 15) http://www.sita.aero/files/resources/Baggage_Report_2008.pdf 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 68 Questions? 10 December 2008 AIR Tracker 69