Sarbanes-Oxley Section 404 Internal Controls and Actuarial Processes May 2006 Disclaimer •Views and opinions expressed in this presentation and the underlying paper are those of the authors. •Needless to say then, they do not represent the opinions of the CAS, nor any employer of the presenters, nor any sponsors of the meeting. •Anyone who says otherwise is not only wrong, but is clearly itching for a fight. 2 Sarbanes-Oxley Section 404 Internal Controls and Actuarial Processes • Background • COSO Framework • Scope for Actuarial Processes • Issues Information Integrity & Availability Analysis End User Applications Management’s Best Estimate • Documentation •Considerations by Size of Company • Status 3 Comments by Harvey Pitt (SEC Chairman when SOX was Passed) Question: How is SOX like the weather Answer: Everyone talks about it, but no-one does anything about it Quote from Mr. Pitt “The statute was hastily – and, therefore, badly – drafted; but it was and remains, necessary Source: Wall Street Journal, April 13, 2006 4 Background 5 Background SOX Section 404 Company Requirements: – State management’s role in establishing and maintaining an adequate central structure and procedures for financial reporting; – Report on the effectiveness of their internal controls over financial reporting procedures • Including supporting documentation of controls, and testing of their effectiveness. SOX Section 404 Auditor Requirements: – Attest to and report on management’s assessment of internal controls; – Attest to the effectiveness of internal controls. 6 Background Deficiency = situation arises where internal controls are identified as not effective Responses – Identify and implement remediation steps – Evaluate seriousness of the deficiency Type of Deficiency Criteria Reporting Requirement Deficiency Doesn’t rise to a more serious level. Auditor to management. Significant Deficiency Results in a more than remote likelihood of a misstatement that is more than inconsequential. Auditor to Audit Committee Material Weakness Results in a more than remote likelihood of a material misstatement. Auditor to Audit Committee and in Audit Opinion (a public document). 7 The COSO Framework 8 The COSO Framework •Committee of Sponsoring Organizations issued in 1992 AKA The Treadway Commission; Provides a basic framework for all internal controls; Implementers not required to use this framework– But most do. •What is the framework Control Environment; Risk Assessment; Control Activities; Information and Communication; Monitoring. 9 Diagram of COSO Based Internal Control Structure *Presented with thanks to “Tone at the Top” published by the Institute of Internal Auditors 10 Elements of COSO Based Internal Control Structure *Presented with thanks to “Tone at the Top” published by the Institute of Internal Auditors Scope for Actuarial Processes Property/Casualty Insurance Operations Chain: Business Design Underwriting Process Markets Targeted Product Rate Plan and Coverage Underwriting Guides Underwriting/Claims Transaction Producer solicits/binds coverage, or policy renews Underwriter verifies risk acceptability and price Policy is submitted to Underwriter Claims are received or estimated Policy expires and may be renewed or audited Transactional Data Systems Resulting Financial Flows Underwriting Expenses result Premiums Written and Earned Losses received, recorded, estimated 13 Property/Casualty Insurance Operations Chain: Business Design Underwriting Process Markets Targeted Product Rate Plan and Coverage Underwriting Guides Underwriting/Claims Transaction Producer solicits/binds coverage, or policy renews Underwriter verifies risk acceptability and price Policy is submitted to Underwriter Claims are received or estimated Traditional Financial Statement Audit Focus Transactional Data Systems Resulting Financial Flows Policy expires and may be renewed or audited Underwriting Expenses result Premiums Written and Earned Losses received, recorded, estimated 14 Property/Casualty Insurance Internal Controls affecting Estimated Balance Sheet and Income Statement Items Business Design Underwriting Process Markets Targeted Product Rate Plan and Coverage Underwriting Guides Underwriting/Claims Transaction Producer solicits/binds coverage, or policy renews Underwriter verifies risk acceptability and price Policy is submitted to Underwriter Claims are received or estimated Policy expires and may be renewed or audited Transactional Data Systems Resulting Financial Flows Underwriting Expenses result Premiums Written and Earned Losses received, recorded, estimated Additional Focus Areas for Internal Controls 15 Estimated Balances Must Properly Reflect the Following Company Operations Source A Source B Company Risk Assumption/ Underwriting Practices Source C Information and Communication Company IT/ Data Design and Collection Process Source Z Company Claims Handling and Settlement Practices Perform Estimates and Analysis Review and Communication Process Committee Process Input into Accounting System & Review Information and Communication 16 Estimated Balances Must Properly Reflect the Following Company Operations Source A Source B Company Risk Assumption/ Underwriting Practices Source C Information and Communication Company IT/ Data Design and Collection Process Source Z Company Claims Handling and Settlement Practices Underwriting and Claims Perform Estimates and Analysis Review and Communication Process Committee Process Input into Accounting System & Review Information and Communication Data Analysis Management Review Process 17 Comments on Operational Internal Controls and Sarbanes-Oxley, Section 404 AICPA gives guidance as to how SarbanesOxley applies to Internal controls in operational areas – Only controls which affect financial statement reporting are subject to Sarbanes-Oxley; – Includes items with significant input to financial reporting; – Should be taken to include disclosures. Examples and the AICPA guidance are in the following table. 18 Operational Controls; Management Responsibility Contrasted with Section 404 Goals Section 404 Internal Controls Include: Examples of Additional Management Responsibilities, not section 404 In General (from AICPA 319, item 40) Address “Inherent and control risks to evaluate the likelihood that material misstatement could occur in the financial statements” Address “identify, analyze, and manage risks that affect entity objectives” Underwriting Company intent around which exposures to insure, at what prices, terms and conditions is clear, is followed, and consistent with assumptions underlying balance sheet and income statement estimates Management executes an underwriting strategy that provides appropriate returns with reasonable risk to capital providers. Staffing resource is appropriate to the volume of business. Claims Case reserving philosophy, and claims processes are understood, impacts of changes are understood, and consistent with assumptions underlying profit, loss, and balance sheet estimates Claim settlements are fair to both claimants and capital providers. Appropriate legal strategies are pursued to defend policyholders. Claims staffing resource is appropriate to the volume of claims. Area of Control 19 Industry Track Record Industry Experience-Runoff of Held Loss and LAE Reserves Industry All Lines Experience in millions of US$ Reserve Date 12/31/1995 12/31/1996 12/31/1997 12/31/1998 12/31/1999 12/31/2000 12/31/2001 12/31/2002 12/31/2003 12/31/2004 Held Reserves for Loss and LAE 360,940 365,319 363,351 378,278 375,734 372,075 389,764 414,813 448,652 486,438 (Equity)/ Deficiency as Recorded 12/31/2004 (723) 189 6,119 24,638 45,101 64,129 60,076 34,650 9,882 NA Ratio (Eq)/Def to Held Reserves -0.2% 0.1% 1.7% 6.5% 12.0% 17.2% 15.4% 8.4% 2.2% NA Accident Year Evaluated at 12/31/2004 Negative means favorable runoff Source for Accident Year: AM BEST Aggregates and Averages, "Industry Schedule P". 20 Industry Track Record Industry Experience-Loss and Loss Expense Ratio Comparison of Accident Year to Calendar Year CY 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Total Earned Premium 000,000's 247,338 257,558 265,356 270,253 277,760 291,472 312,286 351,388 394,951 425,230 3,093,591 Accident Year Loss and LAE Ratio 76.1% 78.3% 76.0% 82.6% 84.8% 86.7% 86.7% 74.0% 68.2% 70.2% 77.6% Calendar Year Loss and LAE Ratio 78.9% 78.4% 72.8% 76.5% 78.9% 81.3% 88.4% 81.5% 75.0% 72.8% 78.3% Difference -2.8% -0.1% 3.2% 6.1% 5.9% 5.4% -1.7% -7.5% -6.8% -2.7% -0.6% Accident Year Evaluated at 12/31/2004 Negative means the Accident Year Ratio is Less Than the Calendar Year Ratio Source for Calendar Year: AM BEST Aggregates and Averages, "Cumulative by Line Net Underwriting Experience, Industry". Source for Accident Year: AM BEST Aggregates and Averages, "Industry Schedule P". 21 Information Integrity and Availability Information Integrity and Availability Data •Controls to ensure data is accurate and complete •Data is available to enable comprehensive analysis •Data is available to monitor compliance with Claims and Underwriting controls Data Analysis Underwriting and Claims •Data is available to support management review needs, including tracking of trends 23 Data Data Completeness Analysis Underwriting & Claims Accuracy Judgmental Areas Quantitative Data: – Verify information is entered timely and accurately and available to management and analysts to make estimates; – Review reconciliation procedures used to discover processing or data errors; investigation process in place when discrepancies arise? – Review the edit process used to ensure correctness of operational data for use by management in breakdowns required for analysis, such as class of business, coverages granted; – Verify that data elements are coded and reported in the detail required to support critical analysis needs (losses, expenses, claim counts, premium, etc.); – Identify and review new impact events, such as new products and regulations, and determine if appropriate data is being gathered; – Validate the compilation and availability of cost trend information underlying the financial estimates. 24 Data Data Completeness Analysis Underwriting & Claims Accuracy Judgmental Areas Qualitative Data: – Capture interaction with claims department; – Capture interaction with underwriting department; – Verify that information gained from such interactions are manifested within actuarial analysis in an appropriate manner; – For companies with multiple business units, ensure that information is interpreted and used consistently across business units. 25 Analysis Actuarial Analysis Analysis •Access to data is sufficiently convenient to analysts Data Analysis •Available information is incorporated in analysis •Communication process with underwriting, claims, management is sufficient Underwriting and Claims •Appropriate methods are used •Communication of results to management is clear 27 Data Analysis Completeness Analysis Underwriting & Claims Accuracy Judgmental Areas Validate that the estimation process encompasses sufficiently broad technical analytics for the business written; Verify that information from the internal operating environment (underwriting, claims) is used to support and validate estimates, including consideration of large losses; Review the segmentation of the business into lines of review, and the controls in place to ensure the business in each segment is correctly understood and reflected in estimates; Verify that external trends and changes are identified, and incorporated into the analysis; Review the process used to keep estimates current between review dates (currency of data relative to financial statement date); Review the process followed to validate estimates with functional management; Validate that the considerations in the CAS and AAA guidance are followed and documented. 28 End User Applications End User Applications •Spreadsheets, databases, word documents,…. •One of the most problematic pieces of control documentation •Relevant literature; PwC publication “The Use of Spreadsheets: Considerations for Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act” •There is a group dedicated to spreadsheet risks, lots of stories available See Website http://www.eusprig.org/stories.htm •University of Hawaii research that error rates on spreadsheets near 90% And this goes near 100% if more than 200 lines 30 Priority of Spreadsheet Controls Source: “The Use of Spreadsheets: Considerations for Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act Available at www.Pwcglobal.com 31 What Controls to Consider •Backups •Archiving •Security Controls over Access •Change Control and Version Control Such as Formula Locking •Baselining – In depth review of calculations and functions •Internal Data Reconciliations •Peer Review – Sometimes outside the chain of reporting •Documentation 32 Management’s Best Estimate vs. Actuarial Best Estimate Management’s Best Estimate vs. Actuarial Best Estimate Data Analysis •Management Review Process •Process to determine booked reserves is reasonable Underwriting and Claims •Reserve Committee and management review is effective •Underlying assumptions, such as trends, are validated 34 Data Management Review Process Completeness Analysis Underwriting & Claims Accuracy Judgmental Areas Review the process to determine carried reserves from the analysis and indications; Review the reserve committee process and minutes to ensure proper management control, involvement, and review in the estimating process; Review controls to ensure the estimate selection process is consistent with the outcome of the underlying estimates, or reasons for departure are documented – including quantification of reasons; Verify controls are in place to validate the underlying assumptions in the estimating process are consistent with the observations of functional management; Review the process to reconcile the estimates with the underlying trends. 35 Data Management Review Process Completeness Analysis Underwriting & Claims Accuracy Judgmental Areas Reserve Committee Process (best practices) – Charter spelling out charge and operation of Committee; – Participation by Senior Management, Finance, Claims, Underwriting, Actuarial; – Access to a well documented actuarial estimate and range prepared prior to the Committee meeting; – Active questioning by Committee; – Well documented outcome of Committee meetings, including approved reserve amount; – Documentation of differences between management’s best estimate and actuarial best estimate. 36 Documentation Issues Documentation •While SOX has changed the documentation commonly used in Actuarial work, Accounting documentation requirements are similar to common standards prior to SOX. •Most Common Pitfalls Controls should be specific – What is the control?, who performs?, who reviews?, what is the documentation?, how often?, where maintained? Informal processes do not fully replace controls; Conservatism doesn’t take the place of controls; Lack of misstatement in the past doesn’t obviate the need for controls. 38 Documentation (continued) •Most Common Pitfalls Controls over reserves usually just at year end, but release of results to markets quarterly; Controls over processes with significant input to financial statement balances missing; “Common knowledge” instead of rigorous analysis; Considering the auditor as part of the control process; Forgetting controls over significant actuarial balances other than reserves. 39 Considerations by Size of Company Considerations by Size of Company •All companies need to weight costs and benefits associated with implementation of SOX 404. Management may consider some deficiencies acceptable relative to costs associated with remediation. •Larger companies generally have the actuarial resources to implement internal controls effectively. •Smaller companies likely have resource constraints, most apparently relative to peer review. Third party actuarial analysis; Thorough review (and documentation) of reserves by all professionals in the organization that would be best versed in reasonability of reserves --- senior claims, underwriting, and finance management. 41 Status of Implementation Status – Recent Events •For most large domestic entities; Implemented 2004 •Large foreign filers; Implementation in 2006 •NAIC considering statutory rules Current form would affect large entities, newly impacting about 190 Companies; Proposed effective for 2009; No external audit requirement. •Canadian Securities Administrator has proposed SOX type requirements No external audit requirement. 43