Reflective Exercise: Money –just another good? 1 Scenario What is meant by the money market? Can it be analysed in the same way as the market for any other good? What happens in the money market if there is an increase in income? Does this depend on whether a Monetarist or Keynesian view is taken? This exercise examines these aspects. Section 1: Setting the framework for investigating this question A Why do people need money? Tick however many of the following you think appropriate a To buy things like food, beer and haircuts. b Because what we have in money determines our wealth. c So that we can replace important things that are broken or lost quickly and easily. feedback page 4 B Tick however many of the following you think appropriate As a student, when you graduate and get a job your income will rise and you will demand more money in order to spend more. For many students their money demand is their student loan. Income is what we get paid over a certain period of time – over a week, month or per term – whereas our money is what we have in notes and coins or in a bank account at a particular time. The quantity of money is the amount of notes and coins issued. The quantity of money is the amount of notes and coins in circulation and certain types of bank deposits. What I have in notes and coins and in my bank account today is my income. What I have in notes and coins and in my bank account today is my money balance. feedback page 4 C Tick however many of the following you think appropriate In examining the money market we will start by considering demand, supply and equilibrium as these are important in any market. In examining the money market we will start by considering demand, supply and disequilibrium. Whether we use demand and supply will depend on whether we are taking a Monetarist or Keynesian view. feedback page 4 a b c d e f g a b c Copyright: Embedding Threshold Concepts Project 21/08/07 This project is funded by the Higher Education Funding Council for England (HEFCE) and the Department for Employment and Learning (DEL) under the Fund for the Development of Teaching and Learning. Reflective Exercise: Money –just another good? 2 D Tick however many of the following you think appropriate If there is inflation we will have to hold more money to purchase the same amount of goods and services because of the higher prices. In considering the quantity of money we are concerned with the quantity of goods, services and assets that the money will buy. The quantity of money we are concerned with is the amount of money held, adjusted for changes in the price level, which is known as real money balances. The quantity of money we are concerned with is the money held, which is known as nominal money balances. feedback page 4 E Tick however many of the following you think appropriate Since we measure the price of other goods in terms of money, it cannot have a price itself. The price of money is the opportunity cost of holding money. If interest rates rise some people may shift money from their current accounts into other forms of savings. If inflation rises then some people will buy things like cars and houses with their money before it loses more value. feedback page 5 a b c d a b c d The money market Now draw a demand and supply diagram with the normal demand and supply slopes and label the axes for the money market. Use the diagram to show the effect of an increase in income on the money market. Then answer the following: F a b c d Using your diagram, tick however many of the following are correct The demand for money will increase and the interest rate will fall and the real quantity of money will rise. The demand for money will increase and the interest rate will rise and the real quantity of money will rise. The demand for money will decrease and the interest rate will fall and the real quantity of money will fall. The demand for money will decrease and the interest rate will rise and the real quantity of money will fall. feedback page 5 Copyright: Embedding Threshold Concepts Project 21/08/07 This project is funded by the Higher Education Funding Council for England (HEFCE) and the Department for Employment and Learning (DEL) under the Fund for the Development of Teaching and Learning. Reflective Exercise: Money –just another good? 3 . Section 2: Keynesian and Monetarist views Distinguish which of the propositions below reflect Keynesian views and which Monetarist views. (a) `Money is not a close substitute for financial assets. Hence changes in the rate of interest will have little effect upon money demand. The liquidity preference curve (demand for money) is thus relatively inelastic.' Monetarist Yes / No Keynesian Yes / No (b) `Money and financial assets are relatively close substitutes for each other. Thus, as interest rates rise, so will the demand for financial assets. Consequently the demand for money will fall significantly. The liquidity preference curve (demand of money) therefore is relatively elastic.' Monetarist Yes / No Keynesian Yes / No Redraw the diagram from section 1D in an appropriate way given first (a) and then (b), and explain how the answer to 1D would be amended in each case. Continue on anther sheet if needed… feedback page 6 Copyright: Embedding Threshold Concepts Project 21/08/07 This project is funded by the Higher Education Funding Council for England (HEFCE) and the Department for Employment and Learning (DEL) under the Fund for the Development of Teaching and Learning. Reflective Exercise: Money –just another good? 4 Feedback Section 1: Setting the framework Now review your answers in the light of the economists’ approach below. Were your answers the same? If not, why not? A We receive our income in money and use this to spend on goods and services, so (a) is correct (the transactions motive). If we are sufficiently wealthy, most of us also keep some money by in case we need to replace quickly things that break down or get lost, so (c) is correct (the precautionary motive). However, how wealthy we are depends on ownership of things like houses, cars, companies, shares etc. Money is only a very minor way of holding wealth – indeed, if we keep too much in money it will reduce our future wealth because money earns little or no interest and falls in value with inflation. Therefore (b) is not true. B The most important function of money is as a medium of exchange. We receive our wages (or student loans) in money and pay using money for goods and services. If our incomes increase, so will our demand for money, so (a) is true. However, this does not mean that money and income are the same thing. Income is a flow measured over time – we receive a certain income per week or month or per term; while the amount of money we have is a stock, that is it is known at a particular point in time – it is the amount of notes and coins we have in our possession and the amount we have in certain bank accounts at a particular date. Some students, for instance, may spend nearly all of their money in the first few weeks of term and have little in the bank; their level of monetary balances is very low at that point. Thus (c), (e), and (g) are correct while (b) and (f) are not. C Economists analyse markets in terms of demand, supply and equilibrium. This is true of the ‘money market’ as well as the market for other goods and services, although there may be particular features of this market that are different and affect the outcomes. We start this exercise by considering how we can consider money in a standard demand and supply framework as this is the most familiar to us, before going on to consider particular features under different schools of thought. (a) is correct. D If inflation increases we will have to pay more for goods and services in general and will need to hold more money to pay for these. Money, as well as being the means of exchange, is the unit of account – how we measure the prices of other goods and services. However, in demand and supply analysis we do not want to measure the quantity of money without taking out the effect of inflation. We want to measure the quantity of money in terms of the quantity of goods and services it will buy. (We use the idea of a ‘basket’ of goods, by which we mean the large variety of goods that we buy on average.) Thus (b) and (c) are correct. The quantity of money is known as ‘real money balances’ and is usually symbolised as M/P (where M is nominal money balances and P is the price level). Copyright: Embedding Threshold Concepts Project 21/08/07 This project is funded by the Higher Education Funding Council for England (HEFCE) and the Department for Employment and Learning (DEL) under the Fund for the Development of Teaching and Learning. Reflective Exercise: Money –just another good? 5 Feedback Section 1: Setting the framework (cont) E If we keep money in our bank account it means that we are not keeping our wealth in other ways, for instance in other financial assets (stocks and bonds) or in real assets (houses, cars, etc). We have an opportunity cost of holding money from considering these alternatives. This is often measured by the interest rate on an alternative financial asset – if we keep our wealth in money we forgo this return. If inflation is high that is an alternative measure. Thus (b), (c) and (d) are correct. F The money market An increase in income will increase the demand for money as we will want to use more money to buy additional goods and services with our extra income. This moves the demand curve for money to the right (the same as increases in income for any normal good in demand and supply analysis). This means that the interest rate rises and the real quantity of money increases as in the diagram below: (b) is correct. Interest rate (r) S r2 r1 D2 D1 (M/P)1 (M/P)2 Real money balances (M/P) Reflection In your explanation: 1. Did you identify the correct diagram? 2. Did you correctly label the axis and the curves? 3. Did you get the shift correct? Copyright: Embedding Threshold Concepts Project Yes Partly No 21/08/07 This project is funded by the Higher Education Funding Council for England (HEFCE) and the Department for Employment and Learning (DEL) under the Fund for the Development of Teaching and Learning. Reflective Exercise: Money –just another good? 6 Feedback Section 2: The approach of economics Distinguish which of the propositions relate to Keynesian/Monetarist views (a) Monetarist (b) Keynesian How do we draw the diagrams to show the two cases? There are differences in how Keynesians and Monetarists view the supply of money, but here we concentrate on the demand for money and keep a standard sloped supply curve that is the same in each case in the diagram. We amend the diagram in section E by: * comparing the two cases with the monetarist’s unresponsive (inelastic) demand. This is shown as steeper than the Keynesian responsive (elastic) demand (which assumes the graphs are on the same scale). The more inelastic the demand curve the less a particular change in the interest rate will affect the demand for real money balances. *The increase in income will shift in demand and is shown by the same rightward shift in both cases (shown by the arrow). Keynesian (b) Monetarist (a) Rate of interest Rate of interest D1 D2 S S r2 r1 r2 r1 D2 D1 (M/P)2 (M/P)1 (M/P)2 (M/P)1 Real Money Balances Real Money Balances What are the resulting effects? The resulting changes in the interest rate are very different: (a) In the Keynesian case the increased demand from the increase in income is offset by only a small increase in interest rates. The elastic demand for money means that a small rise in interest rates, from r1 to r2, greatly reduces the quantity of money demanded to restore equilibrium. (b) In the Monetarist case the change in the interest rate is relatively large since the increase in demand from the increased income is only made equal to the supply of money by a large increase in the price of money (the interest rate), from r1 to r3 since it is relatively inelastic. Copyright: Embedding Threshold Concepts Project 21/08/07 This project is funded by the Higher Education Funding Council for England (HEFCE) and the Department for Employment and Learning (DEL) under the Fund for the Development of Teaching and Learning. Reflective Exercise: Money –just another good? Reflection 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 7 Yes Partly No Did you correctly illustrate the difference in the elasticities of demand of money on the diagrams? Did you show the same rightward shift in the demand curve for comparison? Did you show the effect of the change in income on the interest rate? Did you use the diagram in your explanation? Do you understand why equilibrium is important in answering this question? Copyright: Embedding Threshold Concepts Project 21/08/07 This project is funded by the Higher Education Funding Council for England (HEFCE) and the Department for Employment and Learning (DEL) under the Fund for the Development of Teaching and Learning. Reflective Exercise: Money –just another good? 8 Notes for lecturers Objectives of the exercise and prerequisites Learning Focus: Developing an understanding of the money market. The exercise starts by encouraging students to think of the money market in a standard demand and supply framework. It covers aspects of the money market that cause students problems: stocks/flows, real/nominal and the ‘price’ of money. It goes on to consider some of the differences in the demand for money given Keynesian and Monetarist views. (Section 1 of the exercise can be carried out independently of Section 2.) Threshold Concepts that are important to this learning are incentives, opportunity cost, elasticity and economic modelling. Prior Knowledge Required Students need to be familiar with demand, supply and for section 2, elasticity. The exercise can be used to introduce the money market or to reinforce aspects covered in lectures. Sequencing and timing 1. With this exercise, the feedback to section 1 parts A, B, C, D and E is better given to students before they attempt section 1 part F. Students need the correct diagram in section 1E before going on to section 2 and it may be useful to encourage them to complete the feedback after this section to ensure their understanding of the diagram before proceeding. 2. The completed feedback to section 1 should be given before students attempt section 2. 3. At the start of section 2 students are asked to distinguish Monetarist and Keynesian positions and it is important they can do this before proceeding. We suggest that this is covered verbally in the class. 4. The exercise will take around 45 minutes to complete. 5. Although our reflective exercises have usually been designed so that it is necessary to complete section 1 and 2, in this case it is possible to get students to complete section 1 only if you do not want them to go on to the Keynesian/Monetarist differences. Copyright: Embedding Threshold Concepts Project 21/08/07 This project is funded by the Higher Education Funding Council for England (HEFCE) and the Department for Employment and Learning (DEL) under the Fund for the Development of Teaching and Learning.