Advanced Plant Breeding PBG 650 Take-Home Final Exam, Fall 2015 Due 9:30 am on Friday, December 11, 2015 Name Part 1 – AMMI analysis of Genotype by Environment interaction using R The Barley Project at OSU strives to develop barley cultivars that are both high yielding and that provide outstanding flavor in beer. A trial of 34 promising new experimental varieties and 3 standard checks (Golden Promise, BCD47, and Copeland) was conducted at three locations in Oregon in 2015. Yield trials were conducted in Corvallis, Lebanon, and Madras, OR. Each experiment was arranged as a Randomized Complete Block Design with two replications. While quality testing remains to be done, they need your help to determine how well these varieties are adapted to diverse environments in the target production regions of Oregon. The data set is available in the file OregonPromise2015.csv. As an initial step, they calculated the mean and CV% for each entry (i.e., variety) across all of the blocks and testing sites. The horizontal axis is bisected by the mean yield across all varieties, and the vertical axis is bisected by the mean CV% for all varieties. 1 1) Briefly discuss the concept of stability and the various ways that it can be defined and achieved. What does the graph above tell us (if anything) about the stability of these varieties? Use examples from the graph to illustrate your points. Which varieties are the 5 points best (in your opinion)? 2) A stability analysis (similar to the Eberhart and Russel model) was conducted to look at the regression of each variety across an environmental index, and the following results were obtained: 5 points Source DF Location Block(Location) Entry Location*Entry Heterogeneity of slopes Dev from Linear Reg Residual 2 3 36 72 (36) (36) 108 Type I SS 426578200 10621586.5 35572607.5 53530235.6 19349229.9 34181005.7 27651886 Mean Square 213289100 3540528.8 988128 743475.5 537478.6 949472.4 256036 F Value 60.24 13.83 3.86 2.9 2.1 3.71 Pr > F 0.0038 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.0018 <.0001 Is there evidence for genotype by environment interactions? How can you tell? What do these results tell us about the nature of those interactions? 2 5 points 3) Refer to Table 1 to identify several varieties that you think show a good level of stability. Justify your choice of varieties. Table 1. Stability analysis of barley genotypes Entry 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 Genotype DH120058 DH120145 DH120166 DH120020 DH120031 DH120089 DH120090 DH120156 DH120285 120314 120329 120330 120331 120341 120363 120365 120366 120374 120381 120384 120510 120516 120520 120521 120529 120536 120543 120657 120661 120671 120691 120709 120715 120731 Golden Promise BCD47 Copeland Mean Yield lb/acre linear regression coefficient 5910 6178 5879 5477 5338 5273 5595 6064 5778 6082 6030 5244 5823 6733 6146 6048 6064 6293 6459 6489 5970 6059 6086 5597 5673 6142 5323 6428 6796 5887 5514 5729 5666 6275 6380 6633 6294 1.25 1.01 0.98 1.07 1.13 1.10 1.16 0.85 1.34 1.60 0.62 0.84 1.14 1.20 0.61 1.03 1.28 0.96 1.11 0.66 0.89 0.88 0.87 0.88 1.08 0.93 0.67 1.27 0.85 1.06 1.14 0.85 0.85 1.09 0.66 1.04 1.05 3 5 points 5 points 15 points 4) What are some of the limitations of the Eberhart and Russel stability analysis? 5) Describe the components of the model for an AMMI analysis. What are some of the benefits of AMMI for investigating GXE interactions? 6) Use the R program below to run an AMMI analysis. Interpret the output using guidelines from lecture and from the article by Malosetti et al. (2013). Delete the program, and cut and paste a copy of the PC1*PC2 biplot with your discussion (no other output needs to be submitted). What recommendations would you make to the Barley Project about the adaptation of their experimental varieties to diverse environments in the target production regions of Oregon? Use examples to illustrate the principles involved (one or two paragraphs or about 200 words is sufficient.) #Analysis of barley MET trial #Read in the table from a csv file promise<-read.table("C:/Users/klingj/Desktop/OregonPromise2015.csv", header=TRUE, sep=",") #several options for reviewing data structure before the analysis head(promise) #headings and first six lines of the data #convert integers to factors promise$genof <- as.factor(promise$entry) promise$envf <- as.factor(promise$Location) promise$blockf <- as.factor(promise$Block) promise <- subset(promise, select = c(envf, genof, blockf, Yield)) 4 str(promise) #compactly displays structure of the dataset #plot the data library(ggplot2) qplot(genof, Yield, data=promise, geom="boxplot") library(agricolae) attach(promise) model<- AMMI(envf, genof, blockf, Yield, console=TRUE, PC=TRUE) detach(promise) #print out scaled PCA scores (note alphanumeric sorting) model$biplot # biplot PC1 vs average Yield # number=false turns off renumbering of entries in sorted order plot(model, first=0,second=1, number=FALSE) # biplot plot(model) # get AMMI predicted GXE effects model$genXenv 5